I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Patrick Reed	0.682
Jon Rahm	0.597
Kevin Na	0.566
Gary Woodland	0.499
Abraham Ancer	0.463
Rafa Cabrera Bello	0.454
Tony Finau	0.396
Carlos Ortiz	0.359

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Jon Rahm	1	1516.3
Daniel Berger	11	1117.1
Abraham Ancer	31	821.8
Cameron Tringale	34	801.4
Kevin Na	37	764.7
Tony Finau	43	737.0
Patrick Reed	51	680.7
Aaron Wise	55	648.2

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Patrick Cantlay	2	1396.8
Justin Thomas	3	1360.7
Scottie Scheffler	4	1311.1
Cameron Smith	5	1251.8

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Kevin Streelman	1034.1
Davis Riley	983.9
Anirban Lahiri	939.0
Kevin Na	671.2
Sebastian Munoz	652.7
Tyler Duncan	491.8
Armando Favela	420.4
Nate Lashley	407.0

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Lanto Griffin	-489.8
Charley Hoffman	-467.7
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-430.4
Chris Kirk	-389.0
Sahith Theegala	-388.0
Carlos Ortiz	-382.2
Emiliano Grillo	-364.1
Lee Hodges	-343.4

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Certain skills required

(There is no player performance history on this course based on prior PGA Tour play.)

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and the event venue.

Player	Residence	Distance
Abraham Ancer	San Antonio TX	725
Roger Sloan	Houston TX	875
Patrick Reed	Spring TX	900
Mark Hubbard	The Woodlands TX	900
Paul Barjon	Fort Worth TX	925
Brian Stuard	Fort Worth TX	925
Brandon Hagy	Scottsdale AZ	975
James Hahn	Scottsdale AZ	975
Matt Jones	Scottsdale AZ	975
Nate Lashley	Scottsdale AZ	975
Pat Perez	Scottsdale AZ	975
Jon Rahm	Scottsdale AZ	975
Chez Reavie	Scottsdale AZ	975
Kevin Streelman	Scottsdale AZ	975
Dylan Wu	Scottsdale AZ	975

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.272
Ooh, that’s hot	0.169
I love this place	0.166
Location, location, location	0.118