I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Patrick Cantlay	0.725
Jordan Spieth	0.650
Kevin Streelman	0.634
Patrick Reed	0.598
Rickie Fowler	0.586
Xander Schauffele	0.527
Si Woo Kim	0.523
Jason Dufner	0.507

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Jon Rahm	1	1506.9
Rory McIlroy	4	1357.3
Xander Schauffele	5	1354.7
Patrick Cantlay	6	1349.4
Cameron Smith	7	1337.9
Cameron Young	8	1258.7
Will Zalatoris	9	1174.0
Viktor Hovland	10	1166.2

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Justin Thomas	2	1475.1
Scottie Scheffler	3	1365.1
Sam Burns	11	1135.6
Dustin Johnson	14	1106.3

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Davis Riley	1814.1
Jordan Spieth	1754.6
Cameron Young	1610.5
Rory McIlroy	1352.7
Shane Lowry	1301.2
Xander Schauffele	1276.5
Mito Pereira	1255.8
Matthew Fitzpatrick	1243.1

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Keegan Bradley	-805.6
Bryson DeChambeau	-757.5
Collin Morikawa	-700.2
Keith Mitchell	-584.0
Sepp Straka	-568.8
Harris English	-532.4
Adam Hadwin	-520.3
Kevin Streelman	-489.8

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Muirfield Village Golf Club course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.18	Scrambling
0.16	Shots gained in approach
0.09	Shots gained off the tee
0.00	Shots gained putting

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Jon Rahm	71.99
Patrick Cantlay	72.13
Daniel Berger	72.19
Mito Pereira	72.21
Viktor Hovland	72.23
Will Zalatoris	72.24
Collin Morikawa	72.25
Bryson DeChambeau	72.32

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Brandon Wu	73.7
Justin Lower	73.6
Lucas Herbert	73.5
Min Woo Lee	73.4
Brandon Hagy	73.4
Garrick Higgo	73.3
Kevin Tway	73.3
Matthew Wolff	73.3

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and Columbus OH, the event venue.

Player	Residence	Distance
Jason Day	Columbus Oh	45
Bo Hoag	Columbus Oh	45
Justin Lower	Uniontown OH	100
Ryan Brehm	Mount Pleasant MI	225
Corey Conners	Listowel ON	250
Adam Schenk	Vincennes IN	275
Scott Stallings	Knoxville Ten	325
Peter Malnati	Knoxville Ten	325

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.315
I love this place	0.177
Ooh, that’s hot	0.145
Location, location, location	0.027