I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the Wyndham Championship. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Webb Simpson	0.887
Si Woo Kim	0.625
Billy Horschel	0.573
Denny McCarthy	0.568
Kevin Kisner	0.557
Russell Henley	0.530
Sungjae Im	0.512
Rory Sabbatini	0.499

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Will Zalatoris	10	1321.7
Shane Lowry	13	1166.2
Corey Conners	18	1075.0
Sungjae Im	24	979.4
Tyrrell Hatton	25	963.7
Billy Horschel	26	957.1
Brian Harman	27	942.8
Adam Scott	29	927.0

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Patrick Cantlay	1	1770.3
Rory McIlroy	2	1646.6
Xander Schauffele	3	1622.4
Jon Rahm	4	1526.7

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Taylor Pendrith	1398.1
Scott Stallings	1383.8
JT Poston	1341.8
Joohyung Kim	900.1
Brian Harman	801.0
Adam Long	741.1
Mark Hubbard	688.0
Callum Tarren	601.0

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Sungjae Im	-685.4
Davis Riley	-667.9
Billy Horschel	-601.2
Russell Henley	-521.6
Sepp Straka	-480.1
Webb Simpson	-445.6
Anirban Lahiri	-412.4
Mac Hughes	-378.8

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Sedgefield CC course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.17	Shots gained off the tee
0.14	Shots gained in approach
0.14	Shots gained around the green
0.11	Driving accuracy

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Sungjae Im	67.28
Russell Henley	67.44
Shane Lowry	67.56
Martin Laird	67.58
Will Zalatoris	67.59
Corey Conners	67.59
Billy Horschel	67.63
Ryan Armour	67.84

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Richy Werenski	70.4
Jonas Blixt	70.3
Martin Trainer	70.3
Brian Gay	70.2
Brandon Hagy	70.1
Nick Watney	70.1
Harry Higgs	70.0
Chesson Hadley	69.9

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and Greensboro NC, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Alex Smalley	Greensboro NC	6
Ben Kohles	Cary NC	75
Chesson Hadley	Raleigh NC	75
Grayson Murray	Raleigh NC	75
Cameron Percy	Raleigh NC	75
Webb Simpson	Charlotte NC	75
Mac Hughes	Charlotte NC	75
Harold Varner	Charlotte NC	75

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.330
I love this place	0.159
Ooh, that’s hot	0.139
Location, location, location	0.009