I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the BMW event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Tony Finau	0.801
Jon Rahm	0.792
Rory McIlroy	0.749
Patrick Cantlay	0.719
Justin Thomas	0.695
Hideki Matsuyama	0.675
Xander Schauffele	0.539
Billy Horschel	0.459

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Patrick Cantlay	1	1719.6
Jon Rahm	2	1643.0
Rory McIlroy	3	1590.6
Xander Schauffele	5	1576.2
Will Zalatoris	6	1457.8
Matthew Fitzpatrick	7	1451.0
Justin Thomas	8	1444.1
Scottie Scheffler	9	1423.3

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Cameron Smith	4	1589.3
Dustin Johnson	13	1233.2
Daniel Berger	19	1117.3
Paul Casey	23	1066.0

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Matthew Fitzpatrick	2397.3
Tony Finau	1812.5
Joohyung Kim	1481.2
Sungjae Im	1452.5
Xander Schauffele	1371.6
Patrick Cantlay	1348.9
Trey Mullinax	1284.0
Scott Stallings	1186.0

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Keegan Bradley	-857.1
Mito Pereira	-801.7
Cameron Tringale	-751.4
Sam Burns	-676.7
Justin Thomas	-673.1
Marc Leishman	-644.5
Seamus Power	-601.7
Sebastian Munoz	-586.0

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

(Course characteristics data not available for Wilmington Country Club.)

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

(Course characteristics data not available for Wilmington Country Club.)

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

(Course characteristics data not available for Wilmington Country Club.)

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and Wilmington DE, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Marc Leishman	Virginia Beach VA	200
Keegan Bradley	Woodstock VT	300
Alex Smalley	Greensboro NC	350
Corey Conners	Listowel ON	400
Harold Varner	Charlotte NC	425
Mac Hughes	Charlotte NC	425
Scott Stallings	Knoxville Ten	525
Kevin Kisner	Aiken SC	550

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.337
I love this place	0.152
Ooh, that’s hot	0.131
Location, location, location	0.008