08
Nov

Nedbank Golf Challenge Power Ratings

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Tommy Fleetwood is a solid top choice in the Nedbank Golf Challenge this week in Sun City, South Africa. He was fourth his last outing, October’s CJ Cup, after playing in Europe for most of the prior four months. He Is 31st in the current Hawley Rankings, with Christiaan Bezuidenhout (66th) and Lucas Herbert (78th) the only others in the Nedbank field who are among the world top 100.


Tommy Fleetwood
Pick Player Power Number Actual Finish
1 Tommy Fleetwood 34.1 1
2 Branden Grace 49.0 8
3 Thomas Detry 50.2 13
4 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 54.1 5
5 Lucas Herbert 55.6 25
6 Robert MacIntyre 58.2 32
7 Rasmus Hojgaard 61.3 8
8 Richard Bland 61.6 8
9 Jordan Smith 62.8 13
10 Haotong Li 64.2 61
11 Ryan Fox 64.4 2
12 Antoine Rozner 64.6 32
13 Min Woo Lee 64.8 8
14 Fabrizio Zanotti 65.4 29
15 Sam Horsfield 65.8 19
16 George Coetzee 65.8 44
17 Adrian Otaegui 66.6 19
18 Yannik Paul 66.7 25
19 Adrian Meronk 66.8 36
20 Thriston Lawrence 66.9 13
21 Guido Migliozzi 68.1 44
22 Victor Perez 68.2 44
23 Marcel Schneider 68.5 25
24 Alexander Bjork 68.7 DNP
25 Thorbjorn Olesen 68.8 44
26 Oliver Bekker 68.8 36
27 Richard Mansell 68.9 56
28 Richie Ramsay 69.3 4
29 Mikko Korhonen 69.5 DNP
30 Pablo Larrazabal 69.5 63
31 Jamie Donaldson 69.6 DNP
32 Hurly Long 69.8 52
33 Jorge Campillo 70.1 32
34 Callum Shinkwin 70.2 64
35 Adri Arnaus 70.2 61
36 Matthieu Pavon 70.4 41
37 Eddie Pepperell 70.4 49
38 Ross Fisher 70.4 19
39 Dale Whitnell 70.7 36
40 Tapio Pulkkanen 70.9 56
41 Paul Waring 71.0 19
42 Scott Jamieson 71.0 13
43 Marcus Armitage 71.1 41
44 Lukas Nemecz 71.1 DNP
45 Connor Syme 71.4 49
46 Joakim Lagergren 71.4 29
47 Edoardo Molinari 71.7 32
48 Matthew Southgate 71.8 58
49 Jeff Winther 71.9 DNP
50 Julien Brun 72.6 DNP
51 Ashun Wu 72.6 25
52 Nicolai Hojgaard 72.9 55
53 Romain Langasque 73.0 29
54 Matthew Jordan 73.1 44
55 Richard Sterne 73.4 19
56 Zander Lombard 73.5 64
57 Luke Donald 73.5 13
58 Ewen Ferguson 73.7 13
59 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 73.8 64
60 Rafa Cabrera Bello 73.8 41
61 Marcus Kinhult 74.0 DNP
62 JC Ritchie 74.4 52
63 Shaun Norris 74.5 49
64 Maximilian Kieffer 74.5 8
65 Justin Walters 74.5 52
66 Sean Crocker 74.6 36
67 Gavin Green 74.7 7
68 Wil Besseling 74.8 58
69 Oliver Wilson 74.8 36
70 David Law 74.9 19
71 Shubhankar Sharma 75.1 3
72 Kalle Samooja 75.3 58
73 Sebastian Soderberg 76.2 5
74 Chase Hanna 76.4 DNP
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The accuracy number for these picks is 442. The average is 164. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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