14
Nov

DP World Tour Championship Power Ratings

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm are the clear favorites in a nice field for the DP World Championship this week in Dubai, the final event on the DP World Tour schedule for 2022. McIlroy and Rahm are second and third in the Hawley Ratings and the field includes three others from the top 20 – Matthew Fitzpatrick (3th), Viktor Hovland (13th), and Shane Lowry (17th). McIlroy won the CJ Cup Oct. 23 in his last appearance, and Rahm was fourth there in what was also his prior appearance.

Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Power Number Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy 2.3 4
2 Jon Rahm 4.5 1
3 Matthew Fitzpatrick 20.1 5
4 Shane Lowry 26.4 23
5 Viktor Hovland 26.7 23
6 Tyrrell Hatton 34.1 2
7 Tommy Fleetwood 38.0 5
8 Alex Noren 47.3 2
9 Kurt Kitayama 53.3 42
10 Thomas Detry 54.1 DNP
11 Robert MacIntyre 57.6 34
12 Rasmus Hojgaard 60.1 7
13 Richard Bland 60.1 44
14 Ryan Fox 61.1 19
15 Min Woo Lee 61.7 12
16 Jordan Smith 62.0 30
17 Antoine Rozner 64.0 34
18 Sam Horsfield 64.1 16
19 Thriston Lawrence 65.1 41
20 Yannik Paul 65.3 23
21 Adrian Otaegui 66.0 16
22 Fabrizio Zanotti 67.0 34
23 Adrian Meronk 67.3 7
24 Victor Perez 67.3 12
25 Guido Migliozzi 67.8 23
26 Marcel Schneider 68.2 34
27 Richard Mansell 68.3 28
28 Oliver Bekker 68.6 34
29 Richie Ramsay 68.8 16
30 Thorbjorn Olesen 68.9 30
31 Hurly Long 69.2 50
32 Adri Arnaus 69.2 9
33 Callum Shinkwin 69.7 23
34 Matthieu Pavon 70.3 49
35 Pablo Larrazabal 70.3 47
36 Ewen Ferguson 70.6 42
37 Eddie Pepperell 70.7 34
38 Connor Syme 70.7 12
39 Scott Jamieson 70.9 DNP
40 Ashun Wu 70.9 28
41 Jorge Campillo 71.1 9
42 Edoardo Molinari 71.2 DNP
43 Tapio Pulkkanen 71.3 DNP
44 Paul Waring 71.4 30
45 Romain Langasque 71.4 20
46 Joakim Lagergren 71.9 12
47 Maximilian Kieffer 72.1 11
48 Gavin Green 72.4 20
49 Rafa Cabrera Bello 72.8 34
50 David Law 72.9 20
51 Haotong Li 73.0 30
52 Shubhankar Sharma 73.0 44
53 Sebastian Soderberg 73.8 46
54 Oliver Wilson 74.5 47
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The accuracy number for these picks is 255. The average is 164. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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