I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Adam Hadwin	0.653
Brian Harman	0.645
Brendan Steele	0.513
Andrew Putnam	0.472
Lucas Glover	0.460
Sungjae Im	0.449
Jon Rahm	0.409
John Huh	0.380

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Patrick Cantlay	1	1901.4
Jon Rahm	3	1715.8
Scottie Scheffler	4	1567.7
Xander Schauffele	5	1563.5
Will Zalatoris	8	1422.1
Taylor Montgomery	11	1256.5
Sungjae Im	13	1215.6
Tom Kim	14	1213.1

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Rory McIlroy	2	1794.2
Dustin Johnson	6	1540.4
Cameron Smith	7	1509.9
Justin Thomas	9	1371.7

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Joel Dahmen	1515.9
Ben Taylor	1204.3
Alex Smalley	1051.9
Rickie Fowler	996.4
Patrick Rodgers	994.9
Wyndham Clark	968.2
David Lipsky	954.4
Will Gordon	840.3

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Tom Kim	-728.5
Sam Burns	-633.8
Sungjae Im	-629.7
Erik van Rooyen	-465.4
Taylor Pendrith	-439.5
Mark Hubbard	-418.9
Keith Mitchell	-413.9
Jhonattan Vegas	-401.3

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.16	Scrambling
0.13	Driving distance
0.09	Driving accuracy
0.05	Greens in regulation

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Tom Kim	69.60
Sungjae Im	70.09
Jon Rahm	70.11
Kevin Yu	70.14
Patrick Cantlay	70.14
Taylor Montgomery	70.15
Keith Mitchell	70.16
Will Gordon	70.18

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Anders Albertson	72.0
Kyle Stanley	71.7
Gunner Wiebe	71.7
Ryan Brehm	71.6
Jimmy Walker	71.5
Trevor Werbylo	71.5
Richy Werenski	71.4
Garrick Higgo	71.3

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and the event venue.

Player	Residence	Distance
Sahith Theegala	Chino Hills CA	75
Brendan Steele	Irvine CA	100
Patrick Cantlay	Long Beach CA	100
Justin Suh	Los Angeles CA	125
Scott Piercy	Las Vegas NV	175
Nick Watney	Las Vegas NV	175
Harry Hall	Las Vegas NV	175
Xander Schauffele	Las Vegas NV	175
Joseph Bramlett	Las Vegas NV	175
Doug Ghim	Las Vegas NV	175
Charley Hoffman	Las Vegas NV	175
David Lipsky	Las Vegas NV	175
Taylor Montgomery	Las Vegas NV	175

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.364
I love this place	0.164
Ooh, that’s hot	0.142
Location, location, location	0.024