23
Jan

Hero Dubai Desert Classic Power Ratings

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Rory McIlroy makes his first appearance this week since finishing fourth in the DP World Tour Championship in mid-November. He’s the clear favorite as the DP World Tour plays its third straight event (out of what will be four) in the United Arab Emirates, the Dubai Desert Classic. McIlroy missed by one stroke in this event last year. The event include eight others from the Hawley Ratings top 100, led by Tyrrell Hatton and Shane Lowry. LIV player Patrick Reed missed the cut last week but ended the 2022 LIV season playing very well.

Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Power Number Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy -1.2 1
2 Tyrrell Hatton 27.7 38
3 Shane Lowry 38.1 110
4 Patrick Reed 38.5 2
5 Abraham Ancer 39.0 88
6 Tommy Fleetwood 41.3 59
7 Lucas Herbert 51.5 3
8 Lee Westwood 51.8 51
9 Richard Bland 52.0 8
10 Min Woo Lee 55.7 13
11 Ian Poulter 56.0 6
12 Francesco Molinari 57.6 116
13 Sepp Straka 57.7 116
14 Padraig Harrington 57.9 113
15 Thomas Pieters 58.6 6
16 Robert MacIntyre 58.9 38
17 Adrian Meronk 59.5 104
18 Rasmus Hojgaard 60.2 20
19 Victor Perez 61.9 28
20 Sam Horsfield 62.0 59
21 Adrian Otaegui 62.2 28
22 Bernd Wiesberger 62.3 20
23 Jason Scrivener 62.4 59
24 Matt Wallace 62.5 16
25 Justin Harding 63.3 59
26 Henrik Stenson 64.3 8
27 Andy Sullivan 64.4 75
28 Jordan Smith 64.9 20
29 Ryan Fox 65.5 20
30 Thorbjorn Olesen 65.8 16
31 Alexander Bjork 65.8 16
32 Ashun Wu 65.8 20
33 Nicolai Hojgaard 66.0 38
34 Guido Migliozzi 66.0 88
35 Edoardo Molinari 66.2 88
36 Richie Ramsay 66.3 DNP
37 Shubhankar Sharma 66.4 88
38 Scott Jamieson 66.5 70
39 Thriston Lawrence 66.7 88
40 Fabrizio Zanotti 66.9 38
41 Yannik Paul 66.9 70
42 Sebastian Soderberg 66.9 130
43 Dale Whitnell 66.9 78
44 Adri Arnaus 67.0 13
45 Pablo Larrazabal 67.4 28
46 Antoine Rozner 67.5 78
47 Oliver Bekker 67.6 51
48 Grant Forrest 67.7 51
49 Nathan Kimsey 67.8 78
50 Romain Langasque 68.0 16
51 George Coetzee 68.1 128
52 Rafa Cabrera Bello 68.1 128
53 Matthieu Pavon 68.2 104
54 Jeff Winther 68.2 130
55 Haotong Li 68.4 DNP
56 Maximilian Kieffer 68.5 38
57 Sami Valimaki 68.5 104
58 Connor Syme 68.6 38
59 Joakim Lagergren 68.6 88
60 Joost Luiten 68.6 51
61 Luke Donald 69.0 85
62 Hennie du Plessis 69.0 38
63 Masahiro Kawamura 69.1 88
64 Jorge Campillo 69.3 28
65 Jamie Donaldson 69.5 38
66 Marcel Schneider 69.8 75
67 Andrew Johnston 69.8 38
68 Ewen Ferguson 69.8 28
69 Richard Mansell 69.9 51
70 Paul Waring 70.2 65
71 Marcus Armitage 70.2 28
72 Ross Fisher 70.3 88
73 Kristian Krogh Johannessen 70.3 DNP
74 Eddie Pepperell 70.3 120
75 Hurly Long 70.6 104
76 Julien Brun 70.7 5
77 Matthew Southgate 70.9 65
78 Jazz Janewattananond 70.9 20
79 Gavin Green 71.0 120
80 Niklas Norgaard Moller 71.1 51
81 Tapio Pulkkanen 71.1 82
82 Ockie Strydom 71.3 88
83 Marcus Helligkilde 71.3 51
84 Mikko Korhonen 71.3 88
85 Matthew Jordan 71.4 20
86 Callum Shinkwin 71.4 4
87 Lukas Nemecz 71.5 70
88 Johannes Veerman 71.6 8
89 Justin Walters 71.8 38
90 Louis de Jager 71.8 51
91 David Law 71.9 59
92 Shaun Norris 72.1 65
93 Kalle Samooja 72.4 38
94 Julien Guerrier 72.5 65
95 Tom McKibbin 72.7 110
96 Sean Crocker 72.7 88
97 Jack Senior 72.7 88
98 John Catlin 72.9 59
99 JC Ritchie 72.9 104
100 Dan Bradbury 73.0 28
101 Alexander Levy 73.1 88
102 Oliver Hundebol Jorgensen 73.3 110
103 Santiago Tarrio Ben 73.3 120
104 Chase Hanna 73.4 38
105 Wil Besseling 73.4 116
106 Marcus Kinhult 73.4 8
107 Darius van Driel 73.6 86
108 Zander Lombard 73.7 116
109 Nacho Elvira 73.7 88
110 Aaron Cockerill 73.8 88
111 Daniel Gavins 73.8 38
112 Stephen Gallacher 73.9 130
113 Soren Kjeldsen 74.0 120
114 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 74.0 75
115 Daniel Hillier 74.1 83
116 Calum Hill 74.2 13
117 Angel Hidalgo 74.2 8
118 Espen Kofstad 74.2 120
119 Jacques Kruyswijk 74.3 28
120 James Morrison 74.3 113
121 Jens Dantorp 74.4 28
122 Clement Sordet 74.5 DNP
123 Alexander Knappe 74.6 120
124 Oliver Wilson 74.6 88
125 Daan Huizing 74.9 81
126 Victor Dubuisson 74.9 113
127 Miguel Angel Jimenez 75.3 65
128 Martin Simonsen 75.5 DNP
129 Nicolas Colsaerts 75.7 87
130 Thomas Bjorn 75.8 104
131 Michael Thorbjornsen 75.8 20
132 Marc Warren 76.1 83
133 Robin Sciot-Siegrist 76.2 DNP
134 Jeremy Freiburghaus 76.6 120
135 Jeong Weon Ko 76.8 DNP
136 Jeunghun Wang 77.1 28
137 Freddy Schott 77.2 DNP
138 Ludvig Aberg 78.2 70
139 Mikael Lundberg 78.4 70
140 Issa Abou El Ela 78.5 120
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The accuracy number for these picks is 395. The average is 165. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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