22
May

KLM Open Power Ratings

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Victor Perez is the obvious choice this week in the KLM Open at Bernardus Golf in Cromvoirt, Netherlands. Perez has been back and forth across the Atlantic four times this year, playing a mixture of PGA Tour and DP World Tour events. He was 12th last week in the PGA Championship, ninth two weeks earlier in the Italian Open, mid-pack in two March events in the U.S., and in the top 20 three times, including one win (Abu Dhabi) in four winter DP World Tour events. He’s the defending champ. Second pick Adrian Meronk, who also has had numerous flights over water this year, won the Italian event and is only a few slots behind Perez in the Hawley Ratings, 114th vs. 120th.

Greens in regulation and driving distance are the top two stats in terms of correlation with success in the two prior instances of this event at Bernardus.


Victor Perez
Pick Player Power Number Actual Finish
1 Victor Perez 54.8 104
2 Adrian Meronk 59.3 5
3 Jordan Smith 60.9 124
4 Alexander Bjork 62.6 29
5 Jorge Campillo 62.7 29
6 Romain Langasque 63.0 16
7 Maximilian Kieffer 63.0 21
8 Antoine Rozner 63.4 29
9 Rasmus Hojgaard 63.5 3
10 Richard Mansell 63.6 146
11 Eddie Pepperell 66.0 115
12 Callum Shinkwin 66.7 146
13 Adrian Otaegui 67.0 2
14 Shubhankar Sharma 67.1 16
15 Pablo Larrazabal 67.3 1
16 Ashun Wu 68.0 104
17 Grant Forrest 68.2 8
18 Edoardo Molinari 68.3 48
19 Jeunghun Wang 68.5 90
20 Julien Brun 68.6 29
21 Richie Ramsay 68.7 39
22 Adri Arnaus 68.7 DNP
23 Scott Jamieson 68.8 82
24 Joost Luiten 68.9 21
25 Matthieu Pavon 69.1 39
26 Sebastian Soderberg 69.3 48
27 Marcus Helligkilde 69.5 60
28 Jazz Janewattananond 69.6 21
29 Marcel Schneider 69.7 48
30 Guido Migliozzi 69.7 151
31 Johannes Veerman 69.7 76
32 Ryo Hisatsune 70.1 55
33 Jayden Schaper 70.2 67
34 Ewen Ferguson 70.2 8
35 Marcus Armitage 70.2 29
36 David Law 70.2 67
37 Haotong Li 70.3 124
38 Sami Valimaki 70.3 90
39 Clement Sordet 70.4 48
40 Julien Guerrier 70.6 39
41 Oliver Bekker 70.6 124
42 Pierre Pineau 70.8 DNP
43 Alex Fitzpatrick 70.8 90
44 Kristian Krogh Johannessen 70.9 67
45 Kristoffer Broberg 71.1 115
46 Calum Hill 71.2 104
47 Matthew Jordan 71.3 16
48 Daniel Brown 71.3 80
49 Simon Forsstrom 71.5 70
50 Dan Bradbury 71.5 29
51 Marcus Kinhult 71.5 29
52 Masahiro Kawamura 71.6 124
53 Gavin Green 71.6 8
54 Ockie Strydom 71.7 104
55 Dale Whitnell 71.8 81
56 Hurly Long 71.9 39
57 Connor Syme 72.0 48
58 Angel Hidalgo 72.1 154
59 Niklas Norgaard Moller 72.1 21
60 Daniel van Tonder 72.1 146
61 Kalle Samooja 72.1 29
62 Marcel Siem 72.2 60
63 Matthias Schmid 72.3 21
64 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 72.4 12
65 Tapio Pulkkanen 72.4 60
66 Joakim Lagergren 72.5 82
67 Lukas Nemecz 72.6 134
68 Matthew Baldwin 72.6 21
69 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 72.7 5
70 Jens Dantorp 72.7 144
71 Jack Senior 72.8 DNP
72 Andy Sullivan 72.9 39
73 Daniel Gavins 72.9 DNP
74 Ross Fisher 73.0 70
75 Wil Besseling 73.0 124
76 Alejandro Del Rey 73.0 39
77 Jeong Weon Ko 73.1 82
78 Paul Waring 73.2 82
79 Brandon Stone 73.2 90
80 Soren Kjeldsen 73.2 90
81 Ricardo Gouveia 73.3 146
82 David Horsey 73.3 151
83 JC Ritchie 73.4 90
84 John Catlin 73.5 90
85 Alexander Knappe 73.6 144
86 Rikuya Hoshino 73.6 55
87 Santiago Tarrio Ben 73.6 90
88 Wilco Nienaber 73.6 139
89 Louis de Jager 73.7 29
90 James Morrison 73.7 39
91 Andrew Wilson 73.7 90
92 Tom McKibbin 74.0 21
93 Ding Wenyi 74.1 70
94 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 74.1 60
95 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 74.3 90
96 Sean Crocker 74.4 48
97 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 74.5 104
98 Nick Bachem 74.5 139
99 Victor Dubuisson 74.5 DNP
100 Darius van Driel 74.5 82
101 Lars van Meijel 74.6 16
102 Yeongsu Kim 74.6 134
103 Frederic LaCroix 74.7 134
104 Thomas Aiken 74.7 82
105 Renato Paratore 74.8 39
106 Deon Germishuys 74.8 3
107 David Ravetto 74.9 16
108 Bryce Easton 75.0 115
109 Nacho Elvira 75.1 82
110 Daan Huizing 75.3 29
111 Adrien Saddier 75.4 124
112 Oliver Wilson 75.7 60
113 Robin Sciot-Siegrist 75.7 115
114 Christoffer Bring 75.8 134
115 Martin Simonsen 75.9 90
116 Niklas Lemke 76.0 124
117 John Murphy 76.1 90
118 Marc Warren 76.2 70
119 Oliver Hundebol Jorgensen 76.2 104
120 Ricardo Santos 76.3 60
121 Filippo Celli 76.3 12
122 Pedro Figueiredo 76.3 139
123 Daniel Hillier 76.3 5
124 Aguri Iwasaki 76.4 90
125 Stephen Gallacher 76.4 139
126 Todd Clements 76.5 21
127 Max Schmitt 76.5 39
128 Manu Gandas 76.5 124
129 Garrick Porteous 76.6 115
130 Joshua Lee 76.6 55
131 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 76.7 77
132 Rowin Caron 76.7 8
133 Gunner Wiebe 76.7 139
134 Joel Stalter 76.7 48
135 Alexander Levy 76.7 124
136 John Parry 76.8 77
137 Sven Maurits 77.1 115
138 Tristen Strydom 77.1 115
139 Emilio Cuartero Blanco 77.2 DNP
140 John Axelsen 77.2 12
141 Freddy Schott 77.4 55
142 Gary Stal 77.5 104
143 Gumundur Kristjansson 77.5 124
144 Toby Tree 77.6 DNP
145 David Howell 77.6 104
146 Mikael Lundberg 77.8 12
147 Mike Toorop 77.9 104
148 Dario Antonisse 77.9 151
149 Jerry Ji 77.9 82
150 Jack Ingham 77.9 115
151 Lars Van Der Vight 77.9 55
152 Denny Kloeth 77.9 150
153 Vince van Veen 77.9 70
154 Davey Porsius 77.9 115
155 Chengyao Ma 77.9 70
156 Tobias Eden 77.9 134
157 Mateusz Gradecki 77.9 60
158 Nicolas Colsaerts 77.9 104
159 Jeremy Freiburghaus 78.5 79
160 Blake Windred 78.8 154
161 Sam Hutsby 79.0 90
Oihan Guillamoundeguy late entry 105
More | Less
May 29, 2023. The accuracy number for these picks is 77. The average is 162. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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