05
Jun

A look at the RBC Canadian Open

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player History
Shane Lowry 0.755
Rory McIlroy 0.650
Brandt Snedeker 0.616
Charley Hoffman 0.495
Adam Hadwin 0.490
Matt Kuchar 0.448
Kelly Kraft 0.434
Hank Lebioda 0.430

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player Rank Rating
Rory McIlroy 4 2089.2
Tyrrell Hatton 7 1647.0
Matthew Fitzpatrick 13 1435.2
Sam Burns 15 1395.4
Cameron Young 23 1216.8
Shane Lowry 24 1211.1
Justin Rose 25 1205.2
Tommy Fleetwood 26 1201.7

Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player Rank Rating
Scottie Scheffler 1 2504.6
Patrick Cantlay 2 2315.1
Xander Schauffele 3 2115.0
Jon Rahm 5 2011.9

Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player Upward change
Tyrrell Hatton 1506.0
Tommy Fleetwood 1355.6
Michael Kim 1205.9
Justin Rose 1076.4
Corey Conners 1074.2
Vincent Norrman 758.0
Michael Thorbjornsen 744.9
Carson Young 737.7

Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player Downward change
Cameron Young -1205.1
Sahith Theegala -827.7
Davis Riley -717.3
Adam Hadwin -687.5
Maverick McNealy -662.9
Aaron Wise -659.4
Matt Kuchar -640.9
Ben Griffin -618.7

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2023 and Toronto, the event host city.

Player Residence Distance
Michael Gligic Kitchener ON 50
Corey Conners Listowel ON 75
Ryan Armour Silver Lake OH 200
Justin Lower Uniontown OH 225
Ryan Brehm Mount Pleasant MI 275
Brandon Wu Scarsdale NY 350
Alex Smalley Greensboro NC 525
Ben Griffin Chapel Hill NC 550

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic Correlation to results
Top of the heap 0.370
I love this place 0.172
Ooh, that’s hot 0.131
Location, location, location 0.104
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