26
Jun

Rocket Mortgage Classic Power Ratings

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

While a majority of golf’s biggest names catch their breaths after three $20 million (or near) events in the last four weeks, the tour visits Detroit for the Rocket Mortgage Classic this week. Neither of the two entrants from the Hawley Ratings top 10 who are entered can be said to be playing particularly well – that’s Max Homa and Sungjae Im – and for that matter, not the next guy, either – that’s no. 14 Justin Thomas – however there is one very recognizable name in the field who’s been playing very well recently. Rickie Fowler, who was no. 97 in the ratings on Jan. 1, is up to 15th after a great stretch that has seen him in the top 10 four times and the top 20 five more times since mid-March. The only clunker in there is a missed cut in the PGA.

Homa probably is best of the rest, basically treading water for the first half of the year. He started with a win in the Farmers and a runner-up finish in the Genesis. In 11 events since then, he has three top-10s, four made cuts, and four missed cuts (two of the latter occurring this month). For upward momentum, consider Austin Eckroat. The Tour rookie from Oklahoma State was runner-up in the Nelson, 10th in the U.S. Open, and no worse than 30th in three other starts since early May. Among those showing some improved form are Adam Schenk, who has back-to-back top-10s in the Memorial and Schwab but with back-to-back missed cuts both before and after; and Sepp Straka, whose up-and-down season includes a top-10 in the PGA and a top-20 in the Memorial.

This is the fifth iteration of this event, all at the Detroit Golf Club. Statistically it has shown that well-rounded players who display strong performance in the shots gained off the tee, shots gained putting, and greens in regulation stats have done well. Based on stats, relative unknowns Nicolai Hojgaard and Kevin Yu might find the course to their liking. Hojgaard is second on the DP World Tour in shots gained off the tee and in the top 10 percent in greens in regulation. Yu is third on the PGA Tour in shots gained off the tee and second in greens in regulation.


“Rickie Fowler
Pick Player Power Number Actual Finish
1 Rickie Fowler 17.3 1
2 Max Homa 19.2 21
3 Sungjae Im 23.1 24
4 Tony Finau 28.3 116
5 Collin Morikawa 30.3 2
6 Justin Thomas 31.4 135
7 Hideki Matsuyama 32.0 116
8 Tom Kim 37.7 100
9 Sepp Straka 41.3 64
10 Keegan Bradley 42.0 21
11 Harris English 42.9 DNP
12 Chris Kirk 43.9 14
13 Adam Hadwin 44.3 2
14 Justin Suh 46.2 78
15 JJ Spaun 46.4 33
16 Taylor Moore 46.8 4
17 Andrew Putnam 46.9 DNP
18 Cam Davis 47.1 17
19 Brian Harman 47.5 9
20 Adam Schenk 47.9 7
21 Byeong Hun An 49.3 100
22 Patrick Rodgers 50.2 DNP
23 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 50.8 56
24 Mark Hubbard 50.8 85
25 Tom Hoge 51.0 146
26 Austin Eckroat 51.8 125
27 Beau Hossler 53.2 85
28 Troy Merritt 53.4 17
29 Aaron Rai 53.5 9
30 Sam Bennett 53.7 29
31 Stephan Jaeger 54.3 9
32 Thomas Detry 54.7 135
33 Lee Hodges 55.2 85
34 CT Pan 55.5 DNP
35 Brendon Todd 55.5 56
36 Alex Smalley 55.7 47
37 Davis Riley 56.0 33
38 Matthew NeSmith 56.1 135
39 Scott Stallings 56.4 56
40 David Lipsky 57.0 116
41 Alex Noren 57.3 9
42 Hayden Buckley 57.6 DNP
43 Nate Lashley 57.9 56
44 Brandon Wu 58.1 100
45 Ben Griffin 58.2 33
46 Adam Svensson 58.3 40
47 SH Kim 58.9 74
48 Taylor Pendrith 59.1 14
49 Kevin Yu 59.3 125
50 Joseph Bramlett 59.8 116
51 Ludvig Aberg 60.0 40
52 Doug Ghim 60.3 33
53 Sam Ryder 60.3 40
54 Harry Hall 60.6 125
55 Robby Shelton 60.7 70
56 Nick Hardy 61.3 100
57 Chez Reavie 61.4 29
58 Ryan Palmer 61.6 33
59 Joel Dahmen 62.4 125
60 Jimmy Walker 62.4 135
61 Sam Stevens 62.6 74
62 Luke List 62.6 WD
63 Danny Willett 62.6 74
64 Carson Young 63.0 52
65 Matt Wallace 63.2 78
66 Lanto Griffin 63.2 85
67 Webb Simpson 63.5 100
68 Trey Mullinax 63.5 85
69 Patton Kizzire 63.8 85
70 Aaron Baddeley 64.0 125
71 Peter Malnati 64.3 9
72 Ben Taylor 64.7 100
73 Andrew Novak 64.7 100
74 Dylan Wu 64.7 24
75 Cameron Champ 64.8 85
76 Vincent Norrman 65.0 24
77 Garrick Higgo 65.1 33
78 Will Gordon 65.2 74
79 Erik van Rooyen 65.4 116
80 David Lingmerth 66.1 85
81 Lucas Glover 66.2 4
82 Callum Tarren 66.5 29
83 Doc Redman 66.6 116
84 Dylan Frittelli 66.7 116
85 Davis Thompson 66.8 24
86 Scott Piercy 67.0 DNP
87 Chad Ramey 67.0 17
88 Nicolai Hojgaard 67.0 21
89 Ben Martin 67.1 125
90 Russell Knox 67.2 47
91 Richy Werenski 67.3 100
92 Martin Laird 67.7 70
93 Henrik Norlander 67.8 81
94 Adam Long 67.9 85
95 Austin Smotherman 67.9 85
96 Tyler Duncan 68.1 47
97 Kramer Hickok 68.2 85
98 Sean O’Hair 68.3 135
99 Harrison Endycott 68.3 100
100 Zac Blair 68.3 146
101 Harry Higgs 68.4 52
102 Justin Lower 68.4 8
103 Cameron Percy 68.5 116
104 Paul Haley 68.5 83
105 Charley Hoffman 68.6 64
106 Zach Johnson 68.9 70
107 Greyson Sigg 69.1 56
108 Chesson Hadley 69.1 33
109 James Hahn 69.5 100
110 Luke Donald 69.5 52
111 MJ Daffue 69.6 24
112 Ryan Moore 69.7 64
113 Vincent Whaley 70.2 40
114 Matthias Schwab 70.3 83
115 Akshay Bhatia 70.4 100
116 Zecheng Dou 70.4 17
117 Jonathan Byrd 70.5 85
118 Cody Gribble 70.6 135
119 Brandt Snedeker 70.7 135
120 Ryan Armour 70.7 85
121 Kevin Tway 70.9 47
122 Satoshi Kodaira 71.3 40
123 Seung-yul Noh 71.3 70
124 Carl Yuan 71.3 14
125 Robert Streb 71.5 56
126 Ryan Gerard 71.7 56
127 Martin Trainer 71.8 146
128 Brice Garnett 71.8 47
129 Brian Stuard 71.9 153
130 Michael Gligic 72.2 135
131 Matthias Schmid 72.3 85
132 Kevin Chappell 72.5 DNP
133 Sung Kang 72.5 157
134 Austin Cook 72.6 135
135 Nico Echavarria 73.0 100
136 Chris Stroud 73.3 100
137 Brent Grant 73.3 125
138 Brandon Matthews 73.5 155
139 Hank Lebioda 73.7 64
140 Tyson Alexander 73.9 152
141 Augusto Nunez 74.0 100
142 Estanislao Goya 74.1 146
143 Kelly Kraft 74.2 40
144 Scott Harrington 74.2 100
145 Nick Watney 74.4 56
146 Kyle Westmoreland 74.7 78
147 Trevor Werbylo 74.8 125
148 Max McGreevy 74.9 125
149 Ryan Brehm 74.9 81
150 Kevin Roy 75.5 85
151 Trevor Cone 75.7 40
152 Jason Dufner 75.9 100
153 Andrew Landry 76.0 64
154 Gordon Sargent 80.0 116
155 Aldrich Potgieter 81.1 146
156 Chad Collins 81.1 135
157 Kyle Martin 81.1 135
158 Ross Steelman 81.1 125
Peter Kuest late entry 5
Brett Stegmaier late entry 30
Kyle Reifers late entry 53
Chase Johnson late entry 67
Kyle Stanley late entry 151
Andy Spencer late entry 154
More | Less
July 3, 2023. The accuracy number for these picks is 303. The average is 163. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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