I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Martin Laird	0.478
Kevin Tway	0.443
Richy Werenski	0.393
Mark Hubbard	0.379
Patrick Rodgers	0.372
Joseph Bramlett	0.365
Taylor Pendrith	0.345
Troy Merritt	0.343

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Keith Mitchell	42	949.3
Justin Suh	70	752.3
JJ Spaun	86	676.0
Mark Hubbard	87	675.4
Beau Hossler	89	669.5
Stephan Jaeger	94	649.3
Taylor Pendrith	97	636.4
Chez Reavie	99	624.1

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	2730.8
Rory McIlroy	2	2393.3
Patrick Cantlay	3	2353.2
Xander Schauffele	4	2162.0

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Stephan Jaeger	875.1
Greyson Sigg	676.9
Chez Reavie	661.5
Nick Hardy	456.3
Grayson Murray	405.7
Mark Hubbard	388.8
Justin Lower	323.0
Luke List	267.5

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Matthew NeSmith	-557.0
David Lipsky	-495.1
Joel Dahmen	-481.1
Keith Mitchell	-443.1
Erik van Rooyen	-374.4
SH Kim	-364.7
Dylan Frittelli	-347.2
Martin Laird	-310.4

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Tahoe Mountain Club course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last three years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.06	Driving distance
0.02	Scrambling
0.00	Putts per GIR
0.00	Driving accuracy

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Niklas Norgaard Moller	15.04
Brandon Matthews	15.40
Louis de Jager	15.51
Jeremy Freiburghaus	15.59
Nicolai Hojgaard	15.71
Matthias Schmid	15.80
Alexander Knappe	15.86
Cameron Champ	15.88

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Brian Stuard	18.9
Aaron Baddeley	18.1
Austin Cook	18.1
Russell Knox	18.0
James Morrison	17.9
Ryan Moore	17.9
Kelly Kraft	17.9
Max McGreevy	17.8

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2023 and Truckee CA, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Cameron Champ	Sacramento CA	100
John Catlin	Sacramento CA	100
Martin Trainer	Palo Alto CA	175
Scott Piercy	Las Vegas NV	350
Joseph Bramlett	Las Vegas NV	350
Charley Hoffman	Las Vegas NV	350
Nick Watney	Las Vegas NV	350
Harry Hall	Las Vegas NV	350
David Lipsky	Las Vegas NV	350

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.373
I love this place	0.177
Ooh, that’s hot	0.142
Location, location, location	0.099