I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Tony Finau	0.813
Brice Garnett	0.636
Adam Long	0.631
Adam Hadwin	0.561
Emiliano Grillo	0.526
Cameron Champ	0.505
Tom Hoge	0.488
Hank Lebioda	0.469

---

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Sungjae Im	10	1516.8
Justin Thomas	16	1373.3
Cameron Young	23	1280.4
Hideki Matsuyama	24	1279.6
Tony Finau	27	1269.9
Sahith Theegala	38	1033.3
Adam Hadwin	39	1028.1
Cam Davis	41	942.2

---

Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	2707.2
Rory McIlroy	2	2462.3
Patrick Cantlay	3	2304.3
Xander Schauffele	4	2179.2

---

Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Aaron Rai	1178.1
Nicolai Hojgaard	1157.0
Lucas Glover	1041.7
Sepp Straka	997.8
Stephan Jaeger	880.8
CT Pan	698.7
Emiliano Grillo	696.0
Greyson Sigg	686.7

---

Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Tony Finau	-955.7
Justin Thomas	-879.9
Matt Kuchar	-770.7
Sahith Theegala	-755.5
Taylor Montgomery	-728.9
Billy Horschel	-684.6
KH Lee	-651.2
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-598.3

---

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the TPC Twin Cities course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last four years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.16	Shots gained in approach
0.15	Scrambling
0.11	Driving distance
0.07	Shots gained off the tee

---

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Tony Finau	68.86
Gary Woodland	69.28
Hideki Matsuyama	69.40
Kevin Yu	69.51
Nicolai Hojgaard	69.54
Cameron Young	69.68
JJ Spaun	69.71
Cam Davis	69.82

---

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Max McGreevy	73.5
Brian Stuard	72.6
Kelly Kraft	72.4
Andrew Landry	72.4
Nick Watney	72.3
Harry Higgs	72.0
Ryan Brehm	72.0
Doc Redman	72.0

---

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2023 and Blaine MN, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Tom Hoge	Fargo ND	200
Nick Hardy	Northbrook IL	350
Brice Garnett	Gallatin Missouri	375
Ryan Brehm	Mount Pleasant MI	425
Robert Streb	Shawnee KS	425
Michael Gligic	Kitchener ON	625
Ryan Armour	Silver Lake OH	650
Austin Cook	Jonesboro AR	650

---

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.370
I love this place	0.177
Ooh, that’s hot	0.141
Location, location, location	0.056