I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Webb Simpson	0.690
Russell Henley	0.621
Sungjae Im	0.617
Billy Horschel	0.578
Si Woo Kim	0.486
Chesson Hadley	0.454
Denny McCarthy	0.441
Richy Werenski	0.414

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Sungjae Im	12	1475.7
Justin Thomas	18	1325.8
Sam Burns	19	1322.7
Shane Lowry	22	1293.9
Denny McCarthy	25	1271.2
Hideki Matsuyama	26	1263.3
Adam Scott	30	1215.0
Russell Henley	31	1205.5

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	2711.0
Rory McIlroy	2	2470.5
Patrick Cantlay	3	2308.8
Xander Schauffele	4	2188.2

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Lucas Glover	1054.3
Garrick Higgo	972.0
Alex Noren	948.1
Denny McCarthy	858.2
Alex Smalley	813.5
Aaron Rai	773.7
Lee Hodges	713.4
Shane Lowry	705.2

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Justin Thomas	-1317.8
Matt Kuchar	-847.3
Sungjae Im	-783.1
Taylor Montgomery	-767.5
Sam Burns	-679.3
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-619.2
Adam Hadwin	-561.6
Billy Horschel	-544.5

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Sedgefield CC course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.21	Shots gained in approach
0.13	Shots gained off the tee
0.10	Shots gained putting
0.09	Driving accuracy

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Si Woo Kim	68.26
Shane Lowry	68.38
Gary Woodland	68.46
Aaron Rai	68.54
Russell Henley	68.58
Adam Hadwin	68.63
Sungjae Im	68.64
Hideki Matsuyama	68.68

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Max McGreevy	71.7
Nick Watney	71.2
Harry Higgs	71.1
Trevor Werbylo	71.0
Ryan Brehm	70.9
Tyson Alexander	70.8
Dylan Frittelli	70.8
Robert Streb	70.7

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2023 and the Greensboro NC, event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Alex Smalley	Greensboro NC	6
Ben Griffin	Chapel Hill NC	47
Cameron Percy	Raleigh NC	75
Chesson Hadley	Raleigh NC	75
Webb Simpson	Charlotte NC	75
Trevor Cone	Charlotte NC	75
Carson Young	Greenville, SC	150
Ben Martin	Greenville SC	150

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.370
I love this place	0.173
Ooh, that’s hot	0.139
Location, location, location	0.056