I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Xander Schauffele	0.879
Rory McIlroy	0.842
Jon Rahm	0.796
Tony Finau	0.766
Patrick Cantlay	0.608
Sungjae Im	0.605
Scottie Scheffler	0.499
Viktor Hovland	0.470

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	2700.8
Rory McIlroy	2	2579.7
Patrick Cantlay	3	2356.8
Xander Schauffele	4	2199.9
Jon Rahm	5	1980.4
Viktor Hovland	6	1920.9
Max Homa	7	1749.0
Tyrrell Hatton	8	1697.3

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Cameron Smith	10	1563.1
Will Zalatoris	11	1556.9
Justin Thomas	19	1342.3
Dustin Johnson	23	1287.0

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Tommy Fleetwood	1621.9
Lucas Glover	1559.0
Tom Kim	1547.7
Brian Harman	1524.9
Max Homa	1423.0
Rory McIlroy	1362.0
Russell Henley	1270.8
Emiliano Grillo	1120.4

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Jon Rahm	-939.0
Tony Finau	-832.1
Patrick Cantlay	-830.2
Matt Fitzpatrick	-786.6
Rickie Fowler	-689.3
Keegan Bradley	-589.5
Sam Burns	-356.0
Xander Schauffele	-349.8

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Jason Day	70.15
Brian Harman	70.15
Scottie Scheffler	70.36
Hideki Matsuyama	70.44
Byeong Hun An	70.46
Tommy Fleetwood	70.47
Denny McCarthy	70.54
Eric Cole	70.56

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Cameron Young	71.9
Sepp Straka	71.8
Kurt Kitayama	71.7
Sahith Theegala	71.5
Corey Conners	71.5
Keegan Bradley	71.5
Tom Hoge	71.4
Collin Morikawa	71.4

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2023 and Atlanta, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Sepp Straka	Athens GA	50
Brian Harman	St. Simons Island GA	250
Russell Henley	Kiawah Island SC	250
Adam Schenk	Vincennes IN	375
Jason Day	Columbus Oh	425
Emiliano Grillo	Bradenton FL	450
Lucas Glover	Tequesta FL	525
Rickie Fowler	Jupiter FL	525

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.379
I love this place	0.178
Ooh, that’s hot	0.140
Location, location, location	0.054