I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Brian Gay	0.900
Russell Knox	0.639
Kramer Hickok	0.503
David Hearn	0.486
Thomas Detry	0.484
Alex Smalley	0.483
Justin Lower	0.476
Sean O’Hair	0.441

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Adam Scott	27	1219.8
Brendon Todd	61	818.9
Alex Smalley	73	734.5
Alex Noren	75	728.5
Lucas Glover	80	703.8
Davis Riley	82	696.9
Taylor Pendrith	83	686.1
Ben Griffin	85	679.5

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	2599.7
Rory McIlroy	2	2535.1
Patrick Cantlay	3	2308.7
Xander Schauffele	4	2126.4

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Lucas Glover	1565.9
Luke List	600.3
Kelly Kraft	562.8
Brendon Todd	485.8
Troy Merritt	402.8
Akshay Bhatia	367.9
Henrik Norlander	229.6
Camilo Villegas	183.4

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Alex Smalley	-574.9
Peter Kuest	-435.0
David Lingmerth	-411.4
David Lipsky	-411.2
Davis Riley	-388.3
Kevin Yu	-372.7
Thomas Detry	-361.3
Sam Bennett	-341.5

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Port Royal course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.14	Putts per GIR
0.12	Shots gained in approach
0.04	Driving accuracy
0.02	Shots gained off the tee

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Lucas Glover	69.79
Akshay Bhatia	69.85
Brendon Todd	69.86
Mark Hubbard	69.90
Ben Martin	69.92
Adam Scott	70.05
Ryan Moore	70.05
Dylan Wu	70.06

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Jim Herman	71.4
Michael Gligic	71.4
Brent Grant	71.3
Trevor Werbylo	71.3
Andrew Landry	71.3
Max McGreevy	71.2
Ryan Brehm	71.2
Dylan Frittelli	71.1

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2023 and Southampton, Bermuda, the event venue.

Player	Residence	Distance
Brandon Wu	Scarsdale NY	775
Cameron Percy	Raleigh NC	825
Ben Griffin	Chapel Hill NC	850
Kyle Westmoreland	Daniel Island, SC	875
Alex Smalley	Greensboro NC	900
Taylor Pendrith	Palm Beach Gardens FL	950
Trevor Cone	Charlotte NC	950
Lucas Glover	Tequesta FL	975

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.383
I love this place	0.181
Ooh, that’s hot	0.141
Location, location, location	0.053