Nedbank Golf Challenge Power Ratings

06
Nov

Nedbank Golf Challenge Power Ratings

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Tommy Fleetwood

Dates: Nov. 9-12, 2023
Venue: Gary Player CC
Sun City, South Africa
Purse: $6 million

Pick Player Power Number Actual Finish

1 Tommy Fleetwood 10.2 12

2 Max Homa 12.6 1

3 Justin Thomas 32.8 4

4 Justin Rose 43.9 51

5 Ryan Fox 45.5 51

6 Branden Grace 51.2 43

7 Aaron Rai 52.6 10

8 Adrian Meronk 58.8 15

9 Jordan Smith 58.8 12

10 Robert MacIntyre 59.6 58

11 Vincent Norrman 62.5 15

12 Thorbjorn Olesen 63.1 3

13 Rasmus Hojgaard 63.4 6

14 Victor Perez 63.6 33

15 Nicolai Hojgaard 63.8 2

16 Alexander Bjork 63.8 10

17 Joost Luiten 64.2 39

18 Matt Wallace 64.4 15

19 Ryo Hisatsune 64.5 9

20 Matthieu Pavon 64.7 15

21 Yannik Paul 64.8 15

22 Adrian Otaegui 64.9 33

23 Francesco Molinari 65.3 60

24 Nathan Kimsey 66.0 31

25 Ewen Ferguson 66.4 20

26 Romain Langasque 66.6 62

27 Antoine Rozner 66.9 51

28 Matthew Southgate 67.3 26

29 Jorge Campillo 67.6 12

30 Sebastian Soderberg 67.9 6

31 Shubhankar Sharma 67.9 59

32 Richie Ramsay 68.0 37

33 Grant Forrest 68.0 39

34 Marcel Siem 68.3 20

35 Sami Valimaki 68.4 26

36 Richard Mansell 68.5 43

37 Jeff Winther 68.7 31

38 Daniel Hillier 68.8 33

39 Calum Hill 68.9 55

40 Jason Scrivener 69.2 39

41 Connor Syme 69.4 43

42 Marcus Helligkilde 69.4 55

43 Julien Brun 69.5 43

44 Matthew Jordan 69.7 39

45 Tom McKibbin 70.2 33

46 Pablo Larrazabal 70.4 43

47 Thriston Lawrence 70.4 24

48 Hennie du Plessis 70.5 6

49 Marcus Armitage 70.7 26

50 Nick Bachem 71.0 43

51 Callum Shinkwin 71.0 60

52 Scott Jamieson 71.2 DNP

53 Adri Arnaus 71.2 DNP

54 Dan Bradbury 71.3 5

55 Maximilian Kieffer 71.7 38

56 Julien Guerrier 71.7 20

57 Hurly Long 71.9 66

58 Zander Lombard 72.0 55

59 Sean Crocker 72.0 20

60 Nacho Elvira 72.7 43

61 Rikuya Hoshino 72.7 DNP

62 Daniel Brown 72.8 64

63 Niklas Norgaard Moller 73.0 DNP

64 Louis de Jager 73.0 43

65 Masahiro Kawamura 73.7 DNP

66 Dale Whitnell 73.9 65

67 Santiago Tarrio Ben 74.5 DNP

68 Jens Dantorp 74.5 26

69 Matthew Baldwin 74.9 26

70 Aaron Cockerill 75.5 DNP

71 Daniel Gavins 76.1 DNP

72 Todd Clements 76.3 51

73 Simon Forsstrom 76.4 24

74 Ockie Strydom 77.2 62

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Nov. 13, 2023. The accuracy number for these picks is 258. The average is 168. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Nedbank Golf Challenge Power Ratings

Nedbank Golf Challenge Power Ratings

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Pick	Player	Power Number	Actual Finish
1	Tommy Fleetwood	10.2	12
2	Max Homa	12.6	1
3	Justin Thomas	32.8	4
4	Justin Rose	43.9	51
5	Ryan Fox	45.5	51
6	Branden Grace	51.2	43
7	Aaron Rai	52.6	10
8	Adrian Meronk	58.8	15
9	Jordan Smith	58.8	12
10	Robert MacIntyre	59.6	58
11	Vincent Norrman	62.5	15
12	Thorbjorn Olesen	63.1	3
13	Rasmus Hojgaard	63.4	6
14	Victor Perez	63.6	33
15	Nicolai Hojgaard	63.8	2
16	Alexander Bjork	63.8	10
17	Joost Luiten	64.2	39
18	Matt Wallace	64.4	15
19	Ryo Hisatsune	64.5	9
20	Matthieu Pavon	64.7	15
21	Yannik Paul	64.8	15
22	Adrian Otaegui	64.9	33
23	Francesco Molinari	65.3	60
24	Nathan Kimsey	66.0	31
25	Ewen Ferguson	66.4	20
26	Romain Langasque	66.6	62
27	Antoine Rozner	66.9	51
28	Matthew Southgate	67.3	26
29	Jorge Campillo	67.6	12
30	Sebastian Soderberg	67.9	6
31	Shubhankar Sharma	67.9	59
32	Richie Ramsay	68.0	37
33	Grant Forrest	68.0	39
34	Marcel Siem	68.3	20
35	Sami Valimaki	68.4	26
36	Richard Mansell	68.5	43
37	Jeff Winther	68.7	31
38	Daniel Hillier	68.8	33
39	Calum Hill	68.9	55
40	Jason Scrivener	69.2	39
41	Connor Syme	69.4	43
42	Marcus Helligkilde	69.4	55
43	Julien Brun	69.5	43
44	Matthew Jordan	69.7	39
45	Tom McKibbin	70.2	33
46	Pablo Larrazabal	70.4	43
47	Thriston Lawrence	70.4	24
48	Hennie du Plessis	70.5	6
49	Marcus Armitage	70.7	26
50	Nick Bachem	71.0	43
51	Callum Shinkwin	71.0	60
52	Scott Jamieson	71.2	DNP
53	Adri Arnaus	71.2	DNP
54	Dan Bradbury	71.3	5
55	Maximilian Kieffer	71.7	38
56	Julien Guerrier	71.7	20
57	Hurly Long	71.9	66
58	Zander Lombard	72.0	55
59	Sean Crocker	72.0	20
60	Nacho Elvira	72.7	43
61	Rikuya Hoshino	72.7	DNP
62	Daniel Brown	72.8	64
63	Niklas Norgaard Moller	73.0	DNP
64	Louis de Jager	73.0	43
65	Masahiro Kawamura	73.7	DNP
66	Dale Whitnell	73.9	65
67	Santiago Tarrio Ben	74.5	DNP
68	Jens Dantorp	74.5	26
69	Matthew Baldwin	74.9	26
70	Aaron Cockerill	75.5	DNP
71	Daniel Gavins	76.1	DNP
72	Todd Clements	76.3	51
73	Simon Forsstrom	76.4	24
74	Ockie Strydom	77.2	62
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