I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .600 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .275 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Troy Merritt	0.734
Chris Kirk	0.668
JJ Spaun	0.644
Rickie Fowler	0.547
Taylor Moore	0.469
Adam Schenk	0.456
Stephan Jaeger	0.452
Taylor Pendrith	0.442

---

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Tom Kim	26	1246.4
Min Woo Lee	34	1130.0
Cameron Young	36	1110.3
Rickie Fowler	38	1071.1
Alex Noren	42	1028.1
Taylor Moore	45	990.8
Cam Davis	47	951.1
Will Zalatoris	48	940.4

---

Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3220.0
Xander Schauffele	2	2549.4
Rory McIlroy	3	2437.7
Patrick Cantlay	4	2027.0

---

Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Akshay Bhatia	1232.1
Tom Kim	1053.6
Maverick McNealy	1031.6
Lee Hodges	1025.2
Davis Thompson	993.0
Chandler Phillips	816.9
Taylor Pendrith	727.2
Aaron Rai	612.2

---

Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Taylor Moore	-990.8
Adam Schenk	-824.4
Cam Davis	-770.6
Taylor Montgomery	-736.2
Chris Kirk	-712.7
Eric Cole	-647.2
Cameron Young	-633.5
Rickie Fowler	-600.0

---

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Detroit GC course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last five years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.17	Shots gained off the tee
0.16	Shots gained putting
0.11	Shots gained in approach
0.08	Shots gained around the green

---

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Keith Mitchell	69.69
Alex Noren	69.83
Stephan Jaeger	69.90
Kevin Yu	69.94
Chris Kirk	69.95
Maverick McNealy	69.97
Doug Ghim	69.98
Akshay Bhatia	70.00

---

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Raul Pereda	72.2
Camilo Villegas	72.2
Kevin Kisner	72.2
Ben Taylor	72.1
Brandt Snedeker	71.9
Adrien Dumont de Chassart	71.6
Josh Teater	71.5
Scott Gutschewski	71.5

---

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2024 and Detroit, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Justin Lower	Uniontown, OH	125
Nick Hardy	Northbrook, IL	250
Adam Schenk	Vincennes, IN	350
Peter Malnati	Knoxville, TN	450
Alex Smalley	Greensboro, NC	475
Brandt Snedeker	Nashville, TN	475
Akshay Bhatia	Wake Forest, NC	500
Trace Crowe	Charlotte, NC	500
Webb Simpson	Charlotte, NC	500

---

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.380
I love this place	0.184
Ooh, that’s hot	0.130
Location, location, location	0.046