I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .600 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .275 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Tommy Fleetwood	0.632
Thomas Detry	0.529
Alexander Bjork	0.467
Robert MacIntyre	0.452
Ryan Fox	0.423
Jordan Smith	0.421
Xander Schauffele	0.418
Padraig Harrington	0.396

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Xander Schauffele	2	2552.8
Rory McIlroy	3	2446.1
Viktor Hovland	5	1841.0
Ludvig Aberg	6	1833.2
Collin Morikawa	7	1775.9
Hideki Matsuyama	8	1632.3
Tommy Fleetwood	9	1617.0
Max Homa	14	1517.9

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3248.9
Patrick Cantlay	4	2029.8
Russell Henley	10	1591.8
Tyrrell Hatton	11	1563.4

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Davis Thompson	2100.5
Collin Morikawa	1541.6
Aaron Rai	1438.1
Xander Schauffele	1219.0
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	935.7
Rory McIlroy	928.8
Corey Conners	910.5
Andrew Novak	906.6

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Max Homa	-1297.6
Wyndham Clark	-992.4
Harris English	-958.8
Justin Rose	-793.9
Alex Noren	-791.1
Taylor Moore	-751.2
Byeong Hun An	-717.3
Jordan Spieth	-706.2

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Renaissance Club course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last five years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.25	Shots gained in approach
0.13	Shots gained off the tee
0.09	Sand saves
0.08	Driving accuracy

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Dan Bradbury	68.20
Sebastian Soderberg	68.31
Laurie Canter	68.39
Keith Mitchell	68.41
Xander Schauffele	68.48
Rory McIlroy	68.51
Tom McKibbin	68.53
Corey Conners	68.55

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Jens Dantorp	71.1
Hurly Long	71.0
Taylor Montgomery	71.0
Oliver Wilson	71.0
Nick Bachem	70.9
Chad Ramey	70.9
Adri Arnaus	70.8
Davis Riley	70.7

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2024 and North Berwick, Scotland, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Connor Syme	Kirkcaldy, Scotland	18
Calum Hill	Kirkcaldy, Scotland	18
Ewen Ferguson	Glasgow, Scotland	50
Robert MacIntyre	Oban, Scotland	100
Grant Forrest	North Berwick, Scotland	150
Rory McIlroy	Holywood, Northern Ireland	150
Tommy Fleetwood	Southport, England	175
Dan Bradbury	Wakefield, England	175

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.378
I love this place	0.182
Ooh, that’s hot	0.130
Location, location, location	0.046