I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .595 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Martin Laird	0.536
Patrick Rodgers	0.507
Mark Hubbard	0.494
Chesson Hadley	0.441
JJ Spaun	0.373
Kevin Tway	0.366
Joel Dahmen	0.356
Beau Hossler	0.352

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Keith Mitchell	58	845.1
Andrew Putnam	66	792.0
Beau Hossler	67	782.2
Taylor Pendrith	68	781.5
Patrick Rodgers	70	774.1
Michael Thorbjornsen	81	726.7
Mark Hubbard	82	725.4
Adam Svensson	84	723.5

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3259.1
Xander Schauffele	2	2551.3
Rory McIlroy	3	2508.8
Patrick Cantlay	4	2031.4

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Max Greyserman	961.5
Hayden Springer	788.8
Pierceson Coody	642.8
Carson Young	523.3
Taylor Pendrith	470.0
Rico Hoey	389.1
Joel Dahmen	353.6
Hayden Buckley	315.8

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Andrew Putnam	-595.4
KH Lee	-564.6
Sam Ryder	-521.8
Alex Smalley	-500.7
Luke List	-475.2
Justin Suh	-472.4
Mark Hubbard	-464.0
Peter Malnati	-462.1

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Tahoe Mountain Club course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.18	Shots gained off the tee
0.04	Scrambling
0.03	Shots gained around the green
0.01	Sand saves

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Paul Barjon	2.0
Tom Whitney	1.9
Nick Hardy	1.8
Patrick Fishburn	1.8
Kevin Dougherty	1.8
Lanto Griffin	1.8
Justin Suh	1.8
Gunner Wiebe	1.8

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Aaron Baddeley	1.44
Adri Arnaus	1.45
Martin Laird	1.46
Scott Jamieson	1.46
Robby Shelton	1.47
Clement Sordet	1.48
Harry Hall	1.48
Fabrizio Zanotti	1.48

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2024 and Truckee CA, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Joseph Bramlett	San Jose, CA	175
Martin Trainer	Palo Alto, CA	175
Kevin Chappell	Fresno, CA	175
Charley Hoffman	Las Vegas, NV	350
Harry Hall	Las Vegas, NV	350
Justin Suh	Las Vegas, NV	350
David Lipsky	Las Vegas, NV	350
Scott Piercy	Las Vegas, NV	350
Ryan Moore	Las Vegas, NV	350

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.379
I love this place	0.181
Ooh, that’s hot	0.130
Location, location, location	0.045