I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .590 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Tony Finau	0.840
Emiliano Grillo	0.620
Adam Long	0.584
JT Poston	0.575
Tom Hoge	0.547
Brice Garnett	0.516
Doug Ghim	0.459
Aaron Baddeley	0.453

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Tony Finau	16	1469.8
Sahith Theegala	19	1406.5
Sam Burns	21	1386.9
Keegan Bradley	33	1139.1
JT Poston	34	1123.2
Cam Davis	39	1050.0
Adam Hadwin	42	1018.5
Justin Rose	43	1015.8

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3291.9
Xander Schauffele	2	2643.3
Rory McIlroy	3	2431.3
Patrick Cantlay	4	2021.7

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Akshay Bhatia	1778.1
Tony Finau	1690.9
Max Greyserman	937.8
Andrew Novak	927.0
Hayden Springer	890.6
Rico Hoey	868.4
Harry Hall	708.0
Ben Silverman	625.1

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Adam Schenk	-769.6
Taylor Moore	-686.8
JT Poston	-650.0
Keegan Bradley	-602.1
Andrew Putnam	-593.5
KH Lee	-543.7
Austin Eckroat	-533.1
Adam Hadwin	-531.2

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the TPC Twin Cities course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last five years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.09	Shots gained around the green
0.07	Greens in regulation
0.03	Sand saves
	Driving accuracy

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Tony Finau	68.88
Andrew Novak	69.06
Maverick McNealy	69.23
Keith Mitchell	69.24
Thriston Lawrence	69.25
Ben Silverman	69.26
Mac Meissner	69.43
Ryo Hisatsune	69.43

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Paul Barjon	72.5
Ben Taylor	71.8
Brandt Snedeker	71.8
Ryan Brehm	71.6
Callum Tarren	71.4
Gary Woodland	71.3
Adrien Dumont de Chassart	71.2
Erik Barnes	71.2

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2024 and Blaine MN, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Tom Hoge	Fargo, ND	200
Nick Hardy	Northbrook, IL	350
Brice Garnett	Gallatin MO	375
Adam Schenk	Vincennes, IN	525
Sam Stevens	Wichita, KS	550
Austin Cook	Jonesboro, AR	650
Justin Lower	Uniontown, OH	650
Austin Eckroat	Edmond, OK	700

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.378
I love this place	0.183
Ooh, that’s hot	0.130
Location, location, location	0.013