Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3302.3
Xander Schauffele	2	2647.1
Rory McIlroy	3	2435.0
Collin Morikawa	5	1884.6
Ludvig Aberg	6	1841.2
Viktor Hovland	7	1737.6
Jon Rahm	10	1578.7
Tommy Fleetwood	11	1567.7

Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Patrick Cantlay	4	2022.3
Russell Henley	8	1713.8
Sungjae Im	9	1643.6
Tyrrell Hatton	13	1514.2

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Shane Lowry	1134.2
Collin Morikawa	1059.3
Corey Conners	931.0
Xander Schauffele	811.0
Matthieu Pavon	766.6
Matteo Manassero	624.3
Rory McIlroy	587.6
Shubhankar Sharma	484.6

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Viktor Hovland	-1362.4
Byeong Hun An	-796.9
Matt Fitzpatrick	-724.8
Nick Taylor	-708.3
Emiliano Grillo	-514.9
Mito Pereira	-412.9
Nicolai Hojgaard	-407.4
Jason Day	-404.8

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Le Golf National course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.21	Greens in regulation
0.13	Sand saves
0.07	Scrambling
0.06	Putts per GIR

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Matteo Manassero	71.83
Scottie Scheffler	71.85
Adrian Meronk	71.91
Xander Schauffele	72.07
Joaquin Niemann	72.08
Byeong Hun An	72.08
Alex Noren	72.10
Corey Conners	72.11

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Alejandro Tosti	73.1
Nick Taylor	72.9
Ryan Fox	72.9
Nicolai Hojgaard	72.9
Stephan Jaeger	72.9
Thomas Detry	72.8
Adrien Dumont de Chassart	72.8
Camilo Villegas	72.8

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2024 and Paris, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Matt Fitzpatrick	Sheffield, England	350
Victor Perez	Semeac, France	400
Tommy Fleetwood	Southport, England	400
Matthieu Pavon	Encamp, Andorra	425
Matthias Schmid	Maxhütte-Haidhof, Germany	450
David Puig	La Garriga, Spain	500
Rory McIlroy	Holywood, Northern Ireland	525
Nicolai Hojgaard	Aarhus, Denmark	625

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.378
I love this place	0.179
Ooh, that’s hot	0.131
Location, location, location	0.013