I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .590 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Webb Simpson	0.739
Sungjae Im	0.699
Billy Horschel	0.668
Si Woo Kim	0.516
Chesson Hadley	0.495
JT Poston	0.459
Brendon Todd	0.433
Denny McCarthy	0.364

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Sungjae Im	10	1619.1
Shane Lowry	18	1436.4
Brian Harman	24	1324.6
Denny McCarthy	26	1247.7
Si Woo Kim	28	1175.4
Cameron Young	30	1150.3
Min Woo Lee	31	1147.0
Keegan Bradley	33	1123.1

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3272.7
Xander Schauffele	2	2660.3
Rory McIlroy	3	2462.9
Patrick Cantlay	4	2053.7

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Sungjae Im	2055.6
Aaron Rai	1547.3
Shane Lowry	1129.5
Max Greyserman	1091.8
Patrick Fishburn	946.0
Harry Hall	860.4
Davis Thompson	849.8
Eric Cole	814.4

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
JT Poston	-941.6
Adam Schenk	-762.8
Nick Taylor	-707.2
Will Zalatoris	-706.3
Lee Hodges	-675.0
Keegan Bradley	-636.2
Beau Hossler	-630.2
Denny McCarthy	-586.6

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Sedgefield CC course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.15	Shots gained in approach
0.08	Driving accuracy
0.07	Driving distance
	Greens in regulation

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Aaron Rai	68.30
Keith Mitchell	68.40
Shane Lowry	68.46
Akshay Bhatia	68.52
Si Woo Kim	68.61
Davis Thompson	68.66
Doug Ghim	68.76
Kevin Yu	68.77

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Ben Taylor	71.5
Brandt Snedeker	71.5
Camilo Villegas	71.1
Paul Barjon	71.0
Ryan Brehm	70.7
Adrien Dumont de Chassart	70.5
Aaron Baddeley	70.5
Justin Suh	70.5

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2024 and Greensboro NC, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Alex Smalley	Greensboro, NC	6
Chesson Hadley	Raleigh NC	75
Mac Hughes	Charlotte, NC	75
Trace Crowe	Charlotte, NC	75
Webb Simpson	Charlotte, NC	75
Akshay Bhatia	Wake Forest, NC	75
Jacob Bridgeman	Greenville, SC	150
Bill Haas	Greenville, SC	150

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.378
I love this place	0.176
Ooh, that’s hot	0.130
Location, location, location	0.012