I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .595 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Chris Kirk	0.635
Russell Henley	0.616
Andrew Putnam	0.571
Hideki Matsuyama	0.566
Nick Taylor	0.552
Corey Conners	0.525
Keegan Bradley	0.518
Patton Kizzire	0.490

---

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Russell Henley	9	1651.5
Luke Clanton	10	1634.2
Hideki Matsuyama	11	1591.7
Corey Conners	14	1540.2
Denny McCarthy	22	1241.6
Sahith Theegala	23	1227.4
JT Poston	25	1194.0
Byeong Hun An	26	1187.2

---

Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	2999.9
Xander Schauffele	2	2492.4
Rory McIlroy	3	2228.3
Collin Morikawa	4	1908.7

---

Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Joe Highsmith	1521.2
Maverick McNealy	1388.3
Harry Hall	1323.6
Michael Kim	1059.7
Nico Echavarria	940.0
Austin Eckroat	836.4
Vince Whaley	834.4
Lee Hodges	764.5

---

Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Billy Horschel	-962.0
Sahith Theegala	-898.5
Brian Harman	-883.9
Keith Mitchell	-779.8
Brendon Todd	-748.3
Adam Hadwin	-620.5
Cam Davis	-618.4
Chris Kirk	-589.9

---

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.09	Driving accuracy
0.03	Sand saves
0.01	Shots gained putting
	Driving distance

---

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Russell Henley	68.88
Carson Young	68.92
Lucas Glover	68.94
Brice Garnett	68.95
Ben Kohles	68.96
Brendon Todd	68.96
Henrik Norlander	68.97
Doug Ghim	68.98

---

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Chris Gotterup	69.5
Taylor Montgomery	69.4
Alejandro Tosti	69.4
Vincent Norrman	69.4
Gary Woodland	69.4
David Skinns	69.3
Peter Malnati	69.3
Nick Dunlap	69.3

---

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.386
I love this place	0.183
Ooh, that’s hot	0.129
Location, location, location	0.011