14
Jan

The American Express Power Ratings

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Dates: Jan. 16-19 2025. Venues: Pete Dye Stadium Course (par 72, 7210 yards), La Quinta CC (par 72, 7060 yards), and Nicklaus Tournament Course (par 72, 7147 yards); La Quinta, CA.
Purse: $8.8 million.

Patrick Cantlay
Patrick Cantlay
Pick Player Power Number Observed Odds Course fit
1 Patrick Cantlay 18.2 16-1 69.5
2 Sungjae Im 28.5 24-1 69.3
3 Sam Burns 29.3 25-1 68.7
4 Wyndham Clark 32.2 25-1 68.8
5 Eric Cole 34.4 30-1 69.3
6 Justin Thomas 36.6 35-1 69.4
7 Tony Finau 37.6 35-1 69.5
8 Denny McCarthy 39.1 40-1 69.2
9 JT Poston 40.7 40-1 69.4
10 Brian Harman 42.9 45-1 69.3
11 Cameron Young 43.7 50-1 69.5
12 Beau Hossler 45.2 55-1 69.4
13 Kurt Kitayama 45.3 55-1 69.7
14 Tom Kim 45.4 55-1 69.4
15 Billy Horschel 47.1 60-1 69.4
16 Jason Day 47.6 65-1 69.1
17 Cam Davis 47.8 65-1 69.5
18 Si Woo Kim 48.3 65-1 69.4
19 JJ Spaun 48.4 70-1 69.6
20 Harris English 48.6 70-1 69.4
21 Davis Thompson 48.7 70-1 69.4
22 Rickie Fowler 48.9 70-1 69.6
23 Ben Griffin 49.2 70-1 69.5
24 Harry Hall 49.4 75-1 69.1
25 Lee Hodges 49.6 75-1 69.9
26 Mac Hughes 50.2 75-1 69.3
27 Tom Hoge 50.4 80-1 69.3
28 Lucas Glover 50.6 80-1 69.5
29 Max Greyserman 50.7 80-1 69
30 Sepp Straka 50.8 80-1 69.5
31 Patrick Rodgers 51.5 85-1 69.5
32 Jhonattan Vegas 52.2 90-1 69.4
33 Keith Mitchell 52.5 90-1 69.6
34 Nico Echavarria 53.1 95-1 69.3
35 Will Zalatoris 53.2 95-1 70.1
36 Nick Dunlap 53.6 100-1 69.2
37 Emiliano Grillo 53.9 100-1 69.6
38 Mark Hubbard 53.9 100-1 69.4
39 Adam Hadwin 54.1 100-1 69.5
40 Patrick Fishburn 54.2 100-1 69.7
41 Nick Taylor 54.4 100-1 69.7
42 Michael Thorbjornsen 54.6 100-1
43 Taylor Moore 55.4 100-1 69.5
44 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 55.7 100-1 69.2
45 Michael Kim 55.9 100-1 69.3
46 Kevin Yu 55.9 100-1 69.9
47 Doug Ghim 56.1 100-1 69.7
48 Vince Whaley 56.8 100-1
49 Andrew Putnam 56.9 100-1 69.7
50 Andrew Novak 56.9 100-1 69.4
51 Adam Schenk 57.1 100-1 69.8
52 Matt Kuchar 57.1 100-1 69.6
53 Adam Svensson 57.2 100-1 69.9
54 Chris Kirk 57.8 100-1 69.4
55 Justin Lower 58.2 150-1 69.4
56 Brendon Todd 58.5 150-1 69.5
57 Matti Schmid 59.1 150-1
58 Erik van Rooyen 59.5 150-1 69.4
59 Victor Perez 59.5 150-1 69.6
60 Joe Highsmith 59.7 150-1 69.4
61 Carson Young 59.8 150-1 69.6
62 Alex Smalley 59.9 150-1 69.6
63 Mac Meissner 60.3 150-1 69.6
64 Sam Stevens 60.7 200-1 69.5
65 Greyson Sigg 60.8 200-1 70.2
66 Sam Ryder 60.9 200-1 69.4
67 Rico Hoey 61.0 200-1 69.5
68 Bud Cauley 61.4 200-1 69.9
69 KH Lee 62.0 200-1 69.5
70 Daniel Berger 62.0 200-1 69.6
71 Ryo Hisatsune 62.6 200-1 69.6
72 David Lipsky 63.0 250-1 69.8
73 Chandler Phillips 63.0 250-1 69.2
74 Jesper Svensson 63.9 250-1
75 Henrik Norlander 64.2 300-1 69.7
76 Charley Hoffman 64.3 300-1 69.4
77 Antoine Rozner 64.5 300-1
78 Wesley Bryan 65.2 300-1 69.2
79 Hayden Springer 65.6 350-1 69.5
80 Patton Kizzire 65.8 350-1 69.5
81 Jacob Bridgeman 65.8 350-1 69.2
82 Chan Kim 65.8 350-1 69.6
83 Nate Lashley 66.2 400-1 69.9
84 Chesson Hadley 66.6 400-1 69.7
85 Luke List 66.8 400-1 69.7
86 Chad Ramey 67.3 400-1 69.6
87 Zac Blair 67.6 400-1 69.8
88 Zach Johnson 67.7 500-1 69.8
89 Joel Dahmen 68.2 500-1 69.8
90 Matteo Manassero 68.5 500-1
91 Nick Hardy 68.8 600-1 69.9
92 Ben Silverman 69.1 600-1
93 Jake Knapp 69.2 600-1 69.6
94 Kevin Streelman 69.9 600-1 69.6
95 Taylor Montgomery 70.0 600-1 69.4
96 Brice Garnett 71.1 800-1 69.8
97 Ben Kohles 71.1 800-1 69.7
98 SH Kim 71.1 800-1 69.3
99 Chez Reavie 71.2 800-1 69.9
100 Davis Riley 71.2 800-1 69.6
101 David Skinns 71.6 800-1 69.8
102 Lanto Griffin 71.8 1000-1 69.9
103 Peter Malnati 72.7 1000-1 69.8
104 Hayden Buckley 73.2 1000-1 69.9
105 Rafael Campos 73.2 1000-1 69.9
106 Sami Valimaki 73.5 1000-1 69.5
107 Alejandro Tosti 73.8 1000-1 69.6
108 Ben Martin 74.5 1000-1
109 Paul Peterson 74.5 1000-1
110 Rikuya Hoshino 75.0 1000-1
111 Aaron Baddeley 75.2 1000-1 69.6
112 Vincent Norrman 75.4 1000-1 70.7
113 Blades Brown 75.4 1000-1
114 Jackson Suber 75.8 1000-1
115 Chris Gotterup 75.9 1000-1 69.7
116 Ryan Gerard 76.1 1000-1
117 Thomas Rosenmueller 76.9 1000-1
118 Kyle Mendoza 77.1 1000-1
119 Kris Ventura 77.1 1000-1
120 Max McGreevy 77.1 1000-1
121 Ryan Palmer 77.5 1000-1 70.2
122 Kevin Roy 78.1 1000-1
123 Will Gordon 78.5 1000-1
124 Matt McCarty 79.0 1000-1
125 Frankie Capan 79.4 1000-1
126 Takumi Kanaya 79.8 1000-1
127 Aldrich Potgieter 79.9 1000-1
128 Brandt Snedeker 80.1 1000-1 70
129 Harry Higgs 80.2 1000-1
130 Jason Dufner 80.3 1000-1
131 Isaiah Salinda 80.6 1000-1
132 William Mouw 80.8 1000-1
133 Francesco Molinari 80.9 1000-1
134 Brian Campbell 80.9 1000-1
135 Danny Willett 81.0 1000-1
136 Trey Mullinax 81.1 1000-1
137 Bronson Burgoon 81.3 1000-1
138 Steven Fisk 81.4 1000-1
139 Camilo Villegas 81.6 1000-1 70.3
140 Trevor Cone 81.7 1000-1
141 Will Chandler 81.7 1000-1
142 Braden Thornberry 81.9 1000-1
143 Quade Cummins 82.0 1000-1
144 Jeremy Paul 82.0 1000-1
145 Danny Walker 82.2 1000-1
146 John Pak 82.3 1000-1
147 Taylor Dickson 82.5 1000-1
148 Matthew Riedel 82.6 1000-1
149 Tim Widing 82.7 1000-1
150 Noah Goodwin 82.8 1000-1
151 Ricky Castillo 83.1 1000-1
152 Bill Haas 83.1 1000-1
153 Kevin Kisner 83.1 1000-1 70.3
154 Cristobal Del Solar 83.2 1000-1
155 Kevin Velo 83.3 1000-1
156 Norman Xiong 83.4 1000-1
157 Philip Knowles 83.6 1000-1
158 Mason Andersen 84.0 1000-1
159 Kaito Onishi 84.4 1000-1
160 Anders Albertson 85.2 1000-1
161 Scott Gutschewski 85.4 1000-1
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Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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