I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .590 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Scottie Scheffler	0.943
Tony Finau	0.732
Mac Hughes	0.716
Luke List	0.702
Jhonattan Vegas	0.627
Maverick McNealy	0.591
Aaron Rai	0.558
Mark Hubbard	0.546

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3051.5
Rory McIlroy	2	2534.7
Tony Finau	17	1400.7
Sungjae Im	18	1368.7
Wyndham Clark	22	1310.7
Jason Day	23	1304.1
Aaron Rai	29	1235.1
Si Woo Kim	30	1225.1

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Xander Schauffele	3	2300.0
Collin Morikawa	4	2298.9
Patrick Cantlay	5	1992.9
Russell Henley	6	1988.1

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Jacob Bridgeman	2359.2
JJ Spaun	1896.2
Rory McIlroy	1826.6
Joe Highsmith	1700.6
Aaron Rai	1604.0
Max McGreevy	1551.4
Jake Knapp	1427.1
Michael Kim	1315.6

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Sungjae Im	-974.8
Taylor Pendrith	-864.2
Adam Hadwin	-715.5
Thomas Detry	-661.0
Adam Schenk	-651.5
Austin Eckroat	-631.5
Beau Hossler	-607.2
Mark Hubbard	-604.2

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Memorial Park course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last three years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.17	Shots gained in approach
0.16	Greens in regulation
0.15	Shots gained around the green
0.14	Driving distance

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Davis Riley	76.07
Ryan Palmer	76.32
Peter Malnati	76.39
Kevin Velo	76.46
Kaito Onishi	76.46
Emiliano Grillo	76.48
Braden Thornberry	76.54
Luke List	76.64

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Jackson Suber	78.6
Nicolai Hojgaard	78.6
Nick Taylor	78.5
JJ Spaun	78.5
Scottie Scheffler	78.4
Jhonattan Vegas	78.4
David Lipsky	78.3
Henrik Norlander	78.3

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2025 and Houston, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Michael Kim	Houston, TX	4
Jhonattan Vegas	Houston, TX	4
Sahith Theegala	Spring, TX	20
Mark Hubbard	The Woodlands, TX	29
Chandler Phillips	College Station, TX	75
Beau Hossler	Austin, TX	150
Si Woo Kim	Dallas, TX	225
Harry Higgs	Dallas, TX	225
Mac Meissner	Dallas, TX	225
Frankie Capan	Dallas TX	225
Noah Goodwin	Dallas, TX	225
Scottie Scheffler	Dallas, TX	225
Taylor Moore	Dallas, TX	225

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.375
I love this place	0.176
Ooh, that’s hot	0.120
Location, location, location	0.013