Italian Open

07
Oct

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Francesco Molinari

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Francesco Molinari	20.0	107
2	Justin Rose	21.0	15
3	Paul Casey	29.1	107
4	Ian Poulter	35.1	70
5	Tyrrell Hatton	45.8	18
6	Shane Lowry	46.3	70
7	Danny Willett	47.1	18
8	Rory Sabbatini	48.2	10
9	Alex Noren	49.2	34
10	Matthew Fitzpatrick	49.7	2
11	Matt Wallace	52.9	7
12	Erik Van Rooyen	54.4	10
13	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	55.2	40
14	Thomas Pieters	57.5	68
15	Haotong Li	58.5	70
16	Eddie Pepperell	59.4	48
17	Bernd Wiesberger	59.7	1
18	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	60.4	84
19	Andrea Pavan	60.5	10
20	Jordan Smith	62.0	24
21	Robert MacIntyre	62.2	4
22	Joost Luiten	62.5	25
23	Lee Westwood	62.6	60
24	Paul Waring	62.8	25
25	Graeme McDowell	63.5	15
26	Martin Kaymer	63.6	94
27	Andrew Johnston	65.0	4
28	Andy Sullivan	65.4	100
29	Matthias Schwab	65.4	4
30	Joakim Lagergren	65.5	60
31	Thomas Detry	65.8	70
32	Tom Lewis	65.8	DNP
33	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	66.7	DNP
34	Richie Ramsay	67.8	70
35	Victor Perez	67.8	57
36	Jorge Campillo	68.0	117
37	Benjamin Hebert	68.3	107
38	Sam Horsfield	68.3	34
39	Matthew Southgate	68.4	94
40	Marcus Kinhult	68.7	18
41	Ryan Fox	68.9	18
42	Julian Suri	69.2	18
43	Richard Sterne	69.2	15
44	Alexander Bjork	69.2	84
45	Ross Fisher	69.7	25
46	Adri Arnaus	69.8	48
47	Justin Harding	70.2	57
48	Ashley Chesters	70.9	66
49	Mikko Korhonen	71.2	25
50	Chris Paisley	71.2	40
51	Adrian Otaegui	71.5	60
52	Padraig Harrington	71.5	70
53	Gavin Green	71.6	100
54	Pablo Larrazabal	71.6	70
55	Scott Jamieson	71.7	107
56	Lucas Herbert	71.8	34
57	Aaron Rai	71.9	18
58	Alexander Levy	71.9	48
59	Robert Rock	72.1	121
60	Jason Scrivener	72.1	55
61	Wade Ormsby	72.4	40
62	Kurt Kitayama	72.5	3
63	David Horsey	72.6	34
64	Dean Burmester	72.8	40
65	Shubhankar Sharma	72.9	7
66	Fabrizio Zanotti	73.0	84
67	Paul Dunne	73.0	107
68	Sebastian Soderberg	73.0	25
69	Nino Bertasio	73.1	34
70	Luke Donald	73.3	84
71	Victor Dubuisson	73.4	DNP
72	Darren Fichardt	73.4	100
73	Nacho Elvira	73.6	64
74	David Lipsky	73.6	69
75	Chris Wood	73.6	125
76	Edoardo Molinari	73.7	40
77	Lee Slattery	73.7	70
78	Guido Migliozzi	73.9	48
79	George Coetzee	74.0	48
80	Kalle Samooja	74.3	40
81	Jeunghun Wang	74.4	10
82	Tapio Pulkkanen	74.7	40
83	Brandon Stone	74.7	70
84	Nicolas Colsaerts	74.9	64
85	Ashun Wu	75.0	66
86	Renato Paratore	75.1	48
87	Oliver Fisher	75.1	55
88	Jamie Donaldson	75.1	84
89	Lorenzo Gagli	75.3	125
90	Soren Kjeldsen	75.4	25
91	Andres Romero	75.4	117
92	Julien Guerrier	75.5	40
93	Joachim B Hansen	75.5	25
94	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	75.7	48
95	Scott Hend	75.8	132
96	Hideto Tanihara	75.9	121
97	Maximilian Kieffer	75.9	94
98	Matthieu Pavon	76.1	70
99	Bradley Dredge	76.1	84
100	Sean Crocker	76.1	DNP
101	Alvaro Quiros	76.2	70
102	James Morrison	76.2	60
103	Haydn Porteous	76.4	121
104	Thomas Aiken	76.8	84
105	Romain Wattel	76.9	113
106	Gaganjeet Bhullar	77.0	121
107	Peter Hanson	77.1	DNP
108	Stephen Gallacher	77.1	25
109	Grant Forrest	77.2	107
110	Thongchai Jaidee	77.4	34
111	Robert Karlsson	77.6	84
112	David Drysdale	77.6	94
113	Jack Singh Brar	77.6	70
114	Steven Brown	78.0	100
115	Trevor Immelman	78.2	84
116	Jacques Kruyswijk	78.2	25
117	Jens Dantorp	78.4	113
118	Ricardo Gouveia	78.4	94
119	Yusaku Miyazato	78.5	94
120	Liam Johnston	78.9	125
121	Charlie Saxon	79.0	DNP
122	Richard McEvoy	79.0	WD
123	Justin Walters	79.0	10
124	Thomas Bjorn	79.1	131
125	Jaco van Zyl	79.2	100
126	Kim Koivu	79.2	134
127	David Law	79.4	128
128	Pedro Figueiredo	79.4	113
129	David Howell	79.6	WD
130	Matteo Manassero	79.7	117
131	Sam Brazel	79.7	117
132	Raphael Jacquelin	79.7	84
133	Stuart Manley	79.9	70
134	Filippo Bergamaschi	80.6	133
135	SSP Chawrasia	80.8	57
136	Hyo-won Park	81.2	DNP
137	Lorenzo Scalise	81.6	113
138	Jose Maria Olazabal	81.9	134
139	Enrico di Nitto	82.0	100
140	Francesco Laporta	82.0	7
141	Edoardo Raffaele Lipparelli	82.2	129
142	Michael Campbell	82.2	129
	Romain Langasque	late entry	72
	Jeff Winther	late entry	106
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The accuracy number for these picks is 19. The average is 138. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.