LIV Singapore Power Ratings

24
Apr

LIV Singapore Power Ratings

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Sentosa Golf Club, site of a fairly regular series of professional golf events, is host to LIV Golf Singapore this week. The club, on Sentosa Island and adjacent to the Singapore Strait, has two courses. The Serapong course, which will be used this week, was site of a Asian Tour event four times between 2018 an 2022 for purses in the $1 million to $2 million range. A few of the current LIV players have experience on the course. For example Sihwan Kim was fourth last year and Paul Casey was 16th. Several other LIV players competed on other Sentosa and/ or Singapore area courses through 2014 when those were Euro Tour events with much larger ($6 million range) purses. Anirban Lahiri, Danny Lee, Graeme McDowell, Louis Oosthuizen, and Ian Poulter all had top-10s, and no less a celebrity than Phil Mickelson appeared multiple times without a top-10. Based on a very small sample set, there was a correlation between success on the Serapong course and players whose greens in regulation and sand save stats were strong.

Dustin Johnson

Pick	Player	Power Number	Actual Finish
1	Dustin Johnson	25.1	23
2	Cameron Smith	28.5	6
3	Talor Gooch	33.2	1
4	Patrick Reed	35.4	13
5	Joaquin Niemann	36.1	8
6	Brooks Koepka	40.2	3
7	Mito Pereira	43.0	5
8	Brendan Steele	45.6	27
9	Abraham Ancer	45.8	47
10	Charles Howell	46.7	8
11	Paul Casey	46.8	30
12	Harold Varner	47.2	8
13	Pat Perez	47.3	36
14	Matthew Wolff	47.9	41
15	Cameron Tringale	48.0	11
16	Kevin Na	49.7	19
17	Sebastian Munoz	50.0	33
18	Sergio Garcia	50.2	2
19	Louis Oosthuizen	51.7	16
20	Marc Leishman	52.3	16
21	Peter Uihlein	53.0	11
22	Jason Kokrak	53.0	6
23	Branden Grace	53.3	41
24	Anirban Lahiri	54.7	19
25	Carlos Ortiz	54.9	19
26	Dean Burmester	55.0	41
27	Bryson DeChambeau	57.3	19
28	Thomas Pieters	57.8	23
29	Matt Jones	57.8	30
30	Richard Bland	57.9	36
31	Phil Mickelson	57.9	13
32	Bubba Watson	59.2	23
33	Charl Schwartzel	59.4	33
34	Lee Westwood	60.7	36
35	Ian Poulter	61.3	27
36	Henrik Stenson	63.5	30
37	Danny Lee	63.8	23
38	Bernd Wiesberger	64.8	36
39	Graeme McDowell	64.9	36
40	Chase Koepka	65.7	46
41	Laurie Canter	66.4	27
42	Scott Vincent	67.2	4
43	Eugenio Chacarra	67.5	13
44	Martin Kaymer	68.0	41
45	David Puig	70.7	33
46	James Piot	70.7	48
47	Sihwan Kim	72.5	45
48	Jed Morgan	73.3	16
More \| Less

May 1, 2023. The accuracy number for these picks is 234. The average is 160. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.