Masters Tournament

04
Apr

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Jon Rahm

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Jon Rahm	12.2	27
2	Dustin Johnson	13.9	12
3	Scottie Scheffler	17.6	1
4	Justin Thomas	19.4	8
5	Cameron Smith	22.4	3
6	Viktor Hovland	23.2	27
7	Xander Schauffele	24.5	64
8	Rory McIlroy	26.8	2
9	Tyrrell Hatton	29.6	52
10	Corey Conners	31.8	6
11	Patrick Cantlay	32.4	39
12	Daniel Berger	33.0	50
13	Sam Burns	33.5	53
14	Shane Lowry	34.4	3
15	Paul Casey	35.6	DNP
16	Matthew Fitzpatrick	35.9	14
17	Brooks Koepka	36.0	59
18	Collin Morikawa	36.5	5
19	Russell Henley	37.4	30
20	Will Zalatoris	37.7	6
21	Max Homa	37.8	48
22	Kevin Kisner	38.5	44
23	Adam Scott	38.8	48
24	Hideki Matsuyama	39.4	14
25	Billy Horschel	39.6	43
26	Jordan Spieth	40.1	59
27	Joaquin Niemann	40.2	35
28	Louis Oosthuizen	44.3	WD
29	Tommy Fleetwood	44.8	14
30	Abraham Ancer	45.7	64
31	Tony Finau	46.2	35
32	Patrick Reed	46.3	35
33	Si Woo Kim	46.4	39
34	Cameron Young	46.4	76
35	Webb Simpson	47.0	35
36	Gary Woodland	47.2	69
37	Talor Gooch	48.1	14
38	Seamus Power	48.7	27
39	Sepp Straka	48.9	30
40	Sergio Garcia	49.1	23
41	Harold Varner	49.8	23
42	Marc Leishman	49.8	30
43	Sungjae Im	50.8	8
44	Kevin Na	52.8	14
45	Brian Harman	53.8	53
46	Justin Rose	54.1	69
47	Bryson DeChambeau	54.1	82
48	Jason Kokrak	54.9	14
49	Erik van Rooyen	56.1	69
50	Bubba Watson	56.7	39
51	Lucas Herbert	57.7	59
52	Tom Hoge	59.4	39
53	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	59.7	44
54	Robert MacIntyre	59.9	23
55	Mac Hughes	61.1	50
56	Thomas Pieters	62.0	85
57	JJ Spaun	62.5	23
58	Matthew Wolff	62.7	85
59	Ryan Palmer	62.8	59
60	Francesco Molinari	63.0	69
61	Zach Johnson	63.3	53
62	Stewart Cink	63.5	64
63	Lucas Glover	64.1	30
64	Luke List	64.9	69
65	Lee Westwood	66.1	14
66	KH Lee	66.5	53
67	Padraig Harrington	66.6	53
68	Takumi Kanaya	66.7	53
69	Cameron Davis	68.3	46
70	Charl Schwartzel	68.4	10
71	Danny Willett	69.5	12
72	Harry Higgs	69.5	14
73	Cameron Champ	70.1	10
74	Hudson Swafford	70.7	30
75	Min Woo Lee	71.9	14
76	Keita Nakajima	72.1	64
77	Guido Migliozzi	74.0	69
78	Garrick Higgo	74.5	78
79	Tiger Woods	74.9	47
80	Bernhard Langer	76.3	69
81	Mike Weir	77.3	59
82	Stewart Hagestad	77.5	87
83	Fred Couples	77.8	76
84	Jose Maria Olazabal	77.8	88
85	Vijay Singh	77.9	83
86	Larry Mize	77.9	78
87	Sandy Lyle	77.9	83
88	Aaron Jarvis	78.2	78
89	Austin Greaser	78.2	64
90	James Piot	78.2	78
91	Laird Shepherd	78.2	89
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The accuracy number for these picks is 139. The average is 130. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.