Portugal Masters

21
Oct

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Matt Wallace

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Matt Wallace	46.1	7
2	Andy Sullivan	53.1	7
3	Eddie Pepperell	54.1	5
4	Jordan Smith	59.2	30
5	Lucas Bjerregaard	60.2	86
6	Tom Lewis	62.4	7
7	Lee Westwood	63.8	55
8	Mikko Korhonen	63.8	30
9	Martin Kaymer	63.9	20
10	Sam Horsfield	65.7	48
11	Joakim Lagergren	65.8	13
12	Chris Paisley	66.1	4
13	Alexander Bjork	67.7	48
14	Ryan Fox	67.7	30
15	Shubhankar Sharma	67.9	20
16	George Coetzee	67.9	13
17	Ross Fisher	68.2	48
18	Matthew Southgate	68.2	30
19	Joachim B Hansen	68.4	60
20	Callum Shinkwin	68.8	93
21	Jeunghun Wang	69.1	5
22	Adri Arnaus	69.1	39
23	Jeff Winther	69.1	71
24	Robert Rock	69.2	39
25	Padraig Harrington	69.8	107
26	Pablo Larrazabal	70.5	13
27	Nino Bertasio	70.6	102
28	David Horsey	70.8	47
29	Stephen Gallacher	70.9	71
30	Nacho Elvira	70.9	102
31	Hugo Leon	71.0	20
32	Oliver Fisher	71.1	7
33	Ashley Chesters	71.4	30
34	Alexander Levy	71.4	93
35	Dean Burmester	71.5	13
36	Soren Kjeldsen	71.5	71
37	Kalle Samooja	71.7	20
38	Oliver Wilson	71.7	55
39	Ricardo Gouveia	71.8	26
40	Justin Walters	71.8	2
41	Tapio Pulkkanen	71.9	39
42	Jamie Donaldson	72.1	30
43	Lee Slattery	72.1	107
44	Alvaro Quiros	72.1	107
45	Si-hwan Kim	72.2	60
46	Renato Paratore	72.2	20
47	Thomas Aiken	72.3	30
48	Chris Wood	72.4	67
49	Adrian Otaegui	72.6	48
50	Guido Migliozzi	72.7	13
51	Alejandro Canizares	72.9	71
52	Niklas Lemke	72.9	55
53	Paul Dunne	73.3	93
54	Darren Fichardt	73.3	39
55	Marc Warren	73.4	55
56	Bradley Dredge	73.4	13
57	Lorenzo Gagli	73.4	71
58	Brandon Stone	73.5	1
59	Matthieu Pavon	73.5	26
60	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	73.6	48
61	Haydn Porteous	73.7	39
62	Maximilian Kieffer	73.9	82
63	Grant Forrest	73.9	93
64	Romain Wattel	74.0	62
65	Hideto Tanihara	74.1	71
66	Jack Singh Brar	74.2	7
67	Steven Brown	74.3	DNP
68	Ben Evans	74.4	71
69	Gavin Moynihan	74.4	70
70	Jacques Kruyswijk	74.4	48
71	John Catlin	74.4	71
72	Bernd Ritthammer	74.4	26
73	Adrien Saddier	74.5	3
74	Clement Sordet	74.6	111
75	David Drysdale	74.6	86
76	Kristoffer Reitan	74.7	20
77	Raphael Jacquelin	74.9	71
78	Robert Karlsson	74.9	68
79	Espen Kofstad	75.1	93
80	Jens Dantorp	75.2	111
81	Max Schmitt	75.2	82
82	Jake McLeod	75.3	7
83	Thomas Bjorn	75.3	86
84	Daniel Gavins	75.3	93
85	Louis de Jager	75.3	13
86	Yusaku Miyazato	75.5	71
87	Anton Karlsson	75.6	62
88	Liam Johnston	75.6	39
89	David Law	75.7	82
90	Richard McEvoy	75.9	48
91	Sam Brazel	76.0	93
92	Deyen Lawson	76.2	86
93	Stuart Manley	76.2	102
94	Pedro Figueiredo	76.3	115
95	Per Langfors	76.3	122
96	Matteo Manassero	76.3	125
97	Nick Cullen	76.3	39
98	Filippo Bergamaschi	76.4	86
99	Max Orrin	76.6	86
100	Tom Murray	76.6	62
101	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	76.6	30
102	David Howell	76.7	93
103	Hyo-won Park	76.7	123
104	Ivan Cantero Gutierrez	76.9	115
105	David Borda	77.4	30
106	Trevor Immelman	77.8	62
107	Steve Webster	79.9	111
108	Paul Lawrie	80.6	55
109	Scott Gregory	81.3	115
110	Michael Campbell	81.7	123
111	Joao Carlota	82.2	86
112	Daniel Rodrigues	82.2	93
113	Pedro Cruz Silva	82.2	115
114	Tomas Melo Gouveia	82.2	102
115	Tomas Silva	82.2	26
116	Miguel Gasper	82.2	102
117	Tomas Guimares Bessa	82.2	82
118	Tiago Cruz	82.2	39
	Min Woo Lee	late entry	64
	Nicolai Hojgaard	late entry	68
	Dimitrios Papadatos	late entry	79
	Eduardo de la Riva	late entry	107
	Michael Hoey	late entry	112
	Joel Girrbach	late entry	118
	Matthew Nixon	late entry	120
	Rikard Karlberg	late entry	121
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The accuracy number for these picks is 82. The average is 138. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.