RBC Heritage Power Ratings

14
Apr

RBC Heritage Power Ratings

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Although he has not yet won this year, it’s going to take bigger changes in the results before Scottie Scheffler is not the favorite each time he appears. He is tied for second on the Tour (behind Corey Conners) in top-10 finishes, with four, including a second and a third. After missing some time due to a kitchen accident during the holidays, Scheffler has been high-end competitive every time in seven appearances this year, with the possible exception of the Phoenix Open, where he was T25. The Heritage is the fifth of eight signature events this year and thus has a limited but loaded field with plenty of others capable of winning. Among them, Collin Morikawa checks all the boxes for strong recent play, fit for the course, and statistical ranking in shots gained total, the key stat.

Dates: Apr. 10-13, 2025. Venue: Harbour Town Golf Links, Hilton Head Island SC.
Purse: $20 million

Scottie Scheffler

Pick	Player	Power Number	Actual Finish
1	Scottie Scheffler	-23.2	8
2	Collin Morikawa	6.2	54
3	Xander Schauffele	13.7	18
4	Corey Conners	15.8	49
5	Russell Henley	18.2	8
6	Shane Lowry	23.5	18
7	Sepp Straka	25.2	13
8	Patrick Cantlay	25.5	13
9	Tommy Fleetwood	25.5	7
10	Justin Thomas	25.7	1
11	Jason Day	28.7	49
12	Denny McCarthy	30.1	49
13	Bud Cauley	30.4	32
14	Tom Hoge	30.9	18
15	Ludvig Aberg	32.4	54
16	Sungjae Im	34.7	11
17	Wyndham Clark	35.2	27
18	Lucas Glover	35.2	61
19	Aaron Rai	35.8	38
20	Keegan Bradley	36.3	18
21	Byeong Hun An	37.6	38
22	Min Woo Lee	37.9	61
23	Maverick McNealy	38.0	3
24	Viktor Hovland	38.0	13
25	Robert MacIntyre	38.9	66
26	Jordan Spieth	39.5	18
27	Stephan Jaeger	39.6	32
28	Akshay Bhatia	40.0	42
29	Taylor Pendrith	40.6	42
30	Daniel Berger	40.9	3
31	Harris English	41.9	66
32	JJ Spaun	42.1	42
33	Michael Kim	42.6	54
34	Eric Cole	44.4	18
35	Brian Harman	44.6	3
36	Davis Thompson	44.7	27
37	Billy Horschel	44.7	27
38	JT Poston	44.9	11
39	Sam Burns	45.1	13
40	Si Woo Kim	45.3	8
41	Tony Finau	45.8	38
42	Justin Rose	46.7	42
43	Mac Hughes	47.4	3
44	Adam Scott	47.4	49
45	Jacob Bridgeman	47.5	61
46	Ryo Hisatsune	47.7	18
47	Will Zalatoris	48.2	54
48	Ben Griffin	48.5	DNP
49	Sahith Theegala	48.7	69
50	Thomas Detry	49.4	32
51	Max Greyserman	50.5	27
52	Nick Taylor	50.9	49
53	Jake Knapp	51.2	DNP
54	Harry Hall	51.7	DNP
55	Alex Smalley	51.9	DNP
56	Ryan Gerard	52.0	27
57	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	52.3	42
58	Andrew Novak	52.6	2
59	Cam Davis	54.0	13
60	Patrick Rodgers	55.0	42
61	Joe Highsmith	56.0	72
62	Cameron Young	56.1	54
63	Matt Fitzpatrick	56.1	38
64	Adam Hadwin	56.3	61
65	Nico Echavarria	56.4	DNP
66	Gary Woodland	56.4	61
67	Sami Valimaki	57.1	18
68	Max Homa	57.4	70
69	Chris Kirk	57.9	18
70	Sam Stevens	58.6	54
71	Austin Eckroat	59.0	32
72	Rickie Fowler	59.5	68
73	Nick Dunlap	59.9	71
74	Danny Walker	65.4	DNP
75	Jhonattan Vegas	65.7	DNP
76	Matthieu Pavon	66.8	42
77	Karl Vilips	70.7	54
78	Brian Campbell	72.0	32
79	Aldrich Potgieter	73.1	DNP
	Matt Kuchar	late entry	34
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Apr. 21, 2025. The accuracy number for these picks is 116. The average is 178. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.