Safeway Open

30
Sep

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Patrick Cantlay

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Patrick Cantlay	25.5	17
2	Phil Mickelson	41.4	17
3	Emiliano Grillo	42.0	41
4	Adam Hadwin	45.4	128
5	Ryan Moore	45.9	2
6	Brendan Steele	48.5	53
7	Chez Reavie	49.9	33
8	Joaquin Niemann	51.0	83
9	Brandt Snedeker	51.2	2
10	Jamie Lovemark	52.8	110
11	Chris Kirk	54.8	110
12	Luke List	55.9	4
13	Russell Knox	56.9	87
14	Chesson Hadley	57.3	87
15	Beau Hossler	57.8	87
16	Peter Uihlein	57.9	135
17	Danny Lee	58.0	10
18	Russell Henley	58.2	103
19	Kevin Tway	58.7	1
20	Abraham Ancer	59.3	DNP
21	Kevin Streelman	60.0	25
22	Martin Laird	60.4	46
23	Bud Cauley	60.5	46
24	Harold Varner	60.6	14
25	Jason Dufner	61.0	110
26	Joel Dahmen	61.8	46
27	Anirban Lahiri	62.2	110
28	Lucas Glover	62.5	17
29	Nick Watney	62.7	110
30	Scott Piercy	62.7	117
31	Dylan Frittelli	62.8	25
32	JJ Spaun	63.5	41
33	JB Holmes	63.6	9
34	Jhonattan Vegas	63.9	53
35	Patrick Rodgers	63.9	25
36	Bronson Burgoon	64.0	53
37	Hudson Swafford	64.8	69
38	Denny McCarthy	64.9	128
39	Sam Ryder	65.4	4
40	Sean O’Hair	65.8	135
41	James Hahn	66.4	78
42	Matt Jones	66.5	87
43	Bill Haas	66.5	10
44	Vaughn Taylor	66.7	78
45	Grayson Murray	66.7	41
46	Sam Burns	66.7	128
47	Brandon Hagy	66.8	110
48	Andrew Landry	66.9	66
49	Sam Saunders	67.0	78
50	Tyler Duncan	67.1	69
51	Ted Potter	67.2	138
52	Johnson Wagner	67.3	25
53	Ollie Schniederjans	67.5	143
54	Kramer Hickok	67.6	103
55	Seamus Power	67.8	87
56	Troy Merritt	68.0	4
57	John Huh	68.0	103
58	Ryan Blaum	68.1	33
59	David Hearn	68.2	86
60	JT Poston	68.3	46
61	Hunter Mahan	68.4	17
62	Tom Hoge	68.5	17
63	Aaron Baddeley	68.6	4
64	Nick Taylor	68.7	53
65	Brandon Harkins	68.7	74
66	Richy Werenski	68.7	33
67	Brian Stuard	68.7	53
68	Scott Brown	68.7	87
69	Mackenzie Hughes	68.8	33
70	Harris English	69.0	66
71	Peter Malnati	69.2	25
72	Trey Mullinax	69.2	117
73	Michael Thompson	69.3	17
74	Cameron Davis	69.3	17
75	Tyrone van Aswegen	69.5	66
76	Chris Stroud	69.7	103
77	Ben Crane	69.8	46
78	Curtis Luck	69.8	87
79	David Lingmerth	69.8	DNP
80	Adam Schenk	70.0	14
81	Chad Campbell	70.0	117
82	Jonas Blixt	70.0	33
83	Robert Garrigus	70.1	128
84	Michael Kim	70.1	73
85	Shawn Stefani	70.1	138
86	Corey Conners	70.2	128
87	Retief Goosen	70.4	DNP
88	Fabian Gomez	70.5	63
89	Whee Kim	70.6	33
90	Sung Kang	70.6	83
91	Derek Fathauer	70.7	DNP
92	Kelly Kraft	70.8	87
93	Anders Albertson	70.8	117
94	Wesley Bryan	71.3	144
95	Danny Willett	71.3	117
96	Sang-Moon Bae	71.5	128
97	Talor Gooch	71.8	DNP
98	Robert Streb	71.9	117
99	JJ Henry	72.3	117
100	Benjamin Silverman	72.4	75
101	Stephan Jaeger	72.6	87
102	Nate Lashley	72.6	17
103	Alex Prugh	72.7	33
104	Jim Herman	72.9	87
105	Jim Knous	73.2	10
106	Jonathan Byrd	73.4	75
107	Seth Reeves	73.4	69
108	Dominic Bozzelli	73.4	117
109	Ricky Barnes	73.5	69
110	Roberto Diaz	73.7	87
111	Andres Romero	73.9	DNP
112	Cody Gribble	73.9	87
113	Roger Sloan	74.2	60
114	Cameron Tringale	74.2	46
115	Martin Piller	74.3	138
116	Tom Lovelady	74.3	DNP
117	Julian Etulain	74.5	14
118	Wes Roach	74.7	87
119	Matt Every	74.7	DNP
120	Sung-jae Im	74.8	4
121	Chad Collins	75.0	83
122	Max Homa	75.3	60
123	Sebastian Munoz	75.6	117
124	Roberto Castro	76.1	53
125	Cameron Champ	76.3	25
126	Carlos Ortiz	76.8	53
127	Adam Svensson	77.2	41
128	Sepp Straka	77.2	46
129	Maverick McNealy	77.9	63
130	Josh Teater	78.4	78
131	Tyler McCumber	78.9	25
132	Fred Couples	79.1	41
133	KH Lee	79.1	117
134	Scott Langley	79.3	87
135	Wyndham Clark	79.6	33
136	John Chin	79.6	128
137	John Senden	80.0	78
138	Eric Axley	80.1	DNP
139	Jon Curran	80.4	117
140	Adam Long	80.4	63
141	Chase Wright	81.1	10
142	Kyle Jones	81.2	75
143	Martin Trainer	81.2	60
144	Chris Thompson	81.5	103
145	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	81.5	87
146	Joey Garber	81.5	141
147	Hank Lebioda	81.5	135
148	Mark Mulder	81.6	141
149	Brady Schnell	81.6	103
150	Jeff Brehaut	81.6	110
	Brett Drewitt	late entry	29
	Andres Gonzales	late entry	101
	Mark Anguiano	late entry	104
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The accuracy number for these picks is 86. The average is 207. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.