Safeway Open

07
Sep

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Brendan Steele

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Brendan Steele	47.6	29
2	Joel Dahmen	48.7	52
3	Matt Kuchar	54.3	DNP
4	Sergio Garcia	56.1	86
5	Shane Lowry	57.0	86
6	Harold Varner	57.4	29
7	Erik Van Rooyen	58.0	86
8	Brandt Snedeker	58.5	108
9	Si Woo Kim	59.8	44
10	Cameron Tringale	59.8	86
11	Chez Reavie	60.0	3
12	Mark Hubbard	60.1	86
13	Doc Redman	61.2	3
14	Talor Gooch	61.5	101
15	Jordan Spieth	61.7	108
16	Wesley Bryan	62.0	74
17	Bud Cauley	62.3	14
18	JB Holmes	62.3	46
19	Cameron Davis	62.3	36
20	Rafa Cabrera Bello	62.5	119
21	Phil Mickelson	62.5	44
22	Lucas Glover	62.9	65
23	Sam Burns	63.0	7
24	Vaughn Taylor	63.0	DNP
25	Henrik Norlander	63.0	132
26	Kevin Streelman	63.6	3
27	Scott Piercy	63.8	108
28	Maverick McNealy	63.8	74
29	Emiliano Grillo	64.0	29
30	Troy Merritt	64.4	86
31	Patrick Rodgers	64.5	46
32	Charley Hoffman	64.5	56
33	Keegan Bradley	65.4	74
34	Pat Perez	65.7	9
35	Adam Schenk	65.9	61
36	Jim Furyk	66.2	46
37	Denny McCarthy	66.2	86
38	Martin Laird	66.4	108
39	Carlos Ortiz	66.6	46
40	Brice Garnett	66.7	67
41	Andrew Putnam	66.7	36
42	Jhonattan Vegas	66.8	52
43	Seamus Power	66.8	132
44	Harry Higgs	66.9	2
45	Luke List	66.9	65
46	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	67.2	119
47	Wyndham Clark	67.2	101
48	Nick Watney	67.4	46
49	Robby Shelton	67.6	119
50	Scott Stallings	67.7	119
51	Tyler Duncan	67.8	128
52	Brian Stuard	67.9	3
53	Chesson Hadley	68.0	14
54	Sepp Straka	68.1	14
55	KH Lee	68.2	108
56	Tom Hoge	68.3	29
57	Matthew NeSmith	68.3	108
58	Xinjun Zhang	68.6	14
59	Ryan Armour	68.6	108
60	Will Gordon	68.8	61
61	Jim Knous	68.9	128
62	Russell Knox	68.9	9
63	Kyle Stanley	69.0	46
64	Peter Malnati	69.2	86
65	Charl Schwartzel	69.2	23
66	Kevin Tway	69.5	101
67	Beau Hossler	69.7	23
68	Nate Lashley	69.8	146
69	Roger Sloan	69.9	74
70	Scott Brown	70.0	108
71	Stewart Cink	70.1	1
72	Branden Grace	70.2	29
73	Aaron Baddeley	70.4	74
74	Chase Seiffert	70.4	86
75	Jason Dufner	70.4	29
76	James Hahn	70.7	9
77	Bo Hoag	70.7	29
78	Zac Blair	70.7	74
79	Sam Ryder	70.8	108
80	Fabian Gomez	70.8	132
81	Hank Lebioda	71.1	86
82	Patton Kizzire	71.3	108
83	Aaron Wise	71.4	128
84	Brandon Hagy	71.5	67
85	Rob Oppenheim	71.6	36
86	Brian Gay	71.6	152
87	Roberto Castro	71.7	137
88	Bronson Burgoon	71.7	DNP
89	Hudson Swafford	71.8	56
90	CT Pan	71.8	61
91	Joseph Bramlett	71.9	137
92	Chris Baker	71.9	74
93	Shawn Stefani	72.0	150
94	Kristoffer Ventura	72.0	7
95	Robert Streb	72.3	119
96	Matt Every	72.3	137
97	Zack Sucher	72.3	86
98	Chris Stroud	72.4	74
99	Cameron Percy	72.4	23
100	Peter Uihlein	72.5	108
101	Bill Haas	72.5	101
102	Tim Wilkinson	72.6	36
103	Austin Cook	72.7	52
104	Wes Roach	72.8	86
105	Doug Ghim	72.8	14
106	Josh Teater	72.8	74
107	Luke Donald	72.9	146
108	Ben Martin	72.9	DNP
109	Jonathan Byrd	73.0	61
110	Kevin Chappell	73.1	56
111	Kelly Kraft	73.3	137
112	Ted Potter	73.3	74
113	Kramer Hickok	73.3	148
114	JJ Spaun	73.4	9
115	Michael Gligic	73.4	14
116	Grayson Murray	73.4	74
117	DJ Trahan	73.5	14
118	Scott Harrington	73.5	36
119	David Hearn	73.6	14
120	Mark Anderson	73.8	36
121	Tyler McCumber	74.0	119
122	Dominic Bozzelli	74.2	128
123	Johnson Wagner	74.3	119
124	Sebastian Cappelen	74.3	101
125	Vincent Whaley	74.8	23
126	KJ Choi	74.8	119
127	Ryan Brehm	74.9	86
128	George McNeill	75.0	137
129	Anirban Lahiri	75.1	36
130	Arjun Atwal	75.6	DNP
131	Ricky Barnes	75.7	23
132	Rhein Gibson	75.7	73
133	Sean O’Hair	75.7	74
134	Michael Gellerman	76.0	101
135	Ben Taylor	76.0	36
136	Ryan Blaum	76.3	52
137	John Huh	76.7	DNP
138	Martin Trainer	77.0	119
139	Alex Cejka	77.1	137
140	Nelson Ledesma	77.3	23
141	John Senden	77.4	132
142	Bo Van Pelt	77.6	DNP
143	Hunter Mahan	78.7	137
144	Jamie Lovemark	78.8	56
145	Rafael Campos	79.5	101
146	Sangmoon Bae	79.6	137
147	Chad Campbell	79.8	155
148	William McGirt	81.3	67
149	Robert Garrigus	81.4	DNP
150	Michael Kim	81.7	132
151	Graham DeLaet	81.8	148
152	Carl Pettersson	81.8	DNP
153	Bryson Nimmer	82.0	DNP
154	Derek Ernst	82.0	DNP
155	DA Points	82.0	150
156	Sahith Theegala	82.1	14
157	Akshay Bhatia	82.2	9
158	Tommy Kim	82.2	DNP
159	Peter Kuest	82.2	153
160	Isaiah Salinda	82.2	56
161	Steve Watanabe	82.2	153
162	Camilo Villegas	82.4	86
	Joohyung Kim-	late entry	68
	Andy Zhang	late entry	71
	MJ Daffue	late entry	72
	Shintaro Ban	late entry	86
	Luke Schniederjans	late entry	137
	Parker McLachlin	late entry	156
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The accuracy number for these picks is 5. The average is 138. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.