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CJ Cup Byron Nelson Power Ratings

Dates: May 21-24, 2026. Venue: TPC Craig Ranch, McKinney TX. Purse: $10.3 million.

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Scottie Scheffler has been the favorite in nine events this season with no wins (five top-10s)
PickPlayerPower numberObserved OddsCourse fit
1Scottie Scheffler-30.33-169.41
2Si Woo Kim24.616-169.67
3Jordan Spieth32.922-170.59
4Aaron Rai41.635-169.90
5Sungjae Im45.140-1
6Taylor Pendrith48.150-170.28
7Eric Cole48.855-170.58
8Christiaan Bezuidenhout49.155-170.24
9Max Greyserman49.155-170.55
10Michael Kim49.560-170.76
11Ryo Hisatsune49.660-169.80
12Wyndham Clark49.760-170.40
13Pierceson Coody50.060-169.53
14Davis Thompson50.260-169.83
15Patrick Rodgers51.770-170.04
16Tom Hoge52.170-170.77
17Rasmus Hojgaard53.175-169.90
18Michael Thorbjornsen53.580-169.96
19Stephan Jaeger54.185-170.23
20Brooks Koepka54.385-170.41
21Mac Meissner54.685-169.92
22Tony Finau55.290-170.71
23Andrew Putnam55.9100-169.28
24Austin Eckroat56.1100-170.58
25Kevin Roy56.4100-171.00
26Matti Schmid57.2100-171.03
27Keith Mitchell57.9100-169.79
28Hayden Springer58.0100-1
29Seamus Power58.5100-170.30
30Aldrich Potgieter58.6100-170.41
31Chris Kirk58.7100-169.71
32Lee Hodges59.1100-169.73
33Taylor Moore59.3100-170.55
34Haotong Li59.4100-169.67
35Jordan Smith59.5100-169.52
36Beau Hossler59.5100-171.22
37John Parry59.6100-169.76
38Doug Ghim59.7100-170.33
39Karl Vilips60.3150-170.71
40Matt Kuchar60.5150-170.52
41Trace Crowe60.9150-1
42AJ Ewart61.3150-169.91
43Billy Horschel61.4150-170.17
44Sam Ryder61.7150-170.38
45Kris Ventura62.2150-170.83
46Kevin Yu62.3150-170.14
47Thorbjorn Olesen62.4150-170.41
48Tom Kim62.5150-170.37
49Mackenzie Hughes62.8200-170.18
50Chandler Phillips63.0200-171.22
51Chad Ramey63.0200-170.72
52Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen63.1200-170.24
53Max McGreevy63.7200-169.65
54Rico Hoey64.0200-170.57
55Vince Whaley64.1200-171.01
56Joel Dahmen64.2200-169.89
57Chan Kim64.5250-1
58Adrien Dumont de Chassart65.4250-170.52
59Zach Bauchou65.6250-170.17
60Henrik Norlander65.8300-1
61Michael Brennan65.8300-170.45
62Emiliano Grillo66.0300-170.68
63Carson Young66.0300-1
64Adam Hadwin66.0300-1
65Ben Silverman66.2300-1
66Paul Peterson66.3300-1
67Trey Mullinax66.5300-1
68Blades Brown66.6300-1
69David Skinns66.7300-1
70Taylor Montgomery67.0350-1
71Lanto Griffin67.1350-170.91
72Davis Riley67.1350-170.69
73David Ford67.2350-169.75
74Zac Blair67.2350-1
75Ben Kohles67.5350-1
76Noah Goodwin67.5350-1
77Mark Hubbard68.1400-170.69
78Jeremy Paul68.2400-1
79Zecheng Dou68.2400-170.21
80Takumi Kanaya68.2400-170.59
81Webb Simpson68.3400-170.86
82Johnny Keefer68.4400-169.28
83Steven Fisk68.5400-170.27
84Danny Willett68.6400-1
85Harry Higgs68.9400-1
86Matthieu Pavon68.9400-170.78
87Jhonattan Vegas69.0400-171.27
88Jimmy Stanger69.1500-1
89Jesper Svensson69.2500-169.69
90Dylan Wu69.3500-169.41
91Cameron Champ69.7500-1
92Nick Hardy69.7500-1
93Adam Svensson70.2600-170.86
94Joe Highsmith70.4600-170.80
95William Mouw71.0600-170.76
96Justin Lower71.2600-171.03
97Patrick Fishburn71.3600-169.69
98Luke List71.4600-1
99Danny Walker71.6600-171.32
100Jonathan Byrd71.6600-1
101Adrien Saddier71.7600-170.47
102Brice Garnett71.9800-170.76
103Will Gordon72.0800-1
104Nick Dunlap72.0800-171.20
105Seung-Yul Noh72.1800-1
106Chesson Hadley72.3800-1
107Keita Nakajima72.7800-170.11
108Ben Martin72.9800-1
109Erik van Rooyen73.1800-170.64
110Patton Kizzire73.21000-171.19
111Yongjun Bae73.31000-1
112Austin Cook73.41000-1
113Martin Laird73.51000-1
114Jackson Suber73.61000-170.54
115Luke Clanton73.71000-169.82
116Daniel Brown73.81000-1
117KH Lee74.51000-1
118Cam Davis74.71000-171.42
119Ryan Brehm74.71000-1
120Robert Streb74.81000-1
121Jackson Buchanan74.91000-1
122Hank Lebioda75.11000-169.65
123Garrick Higgo75.61000-171.66
124Preston Stout75.61000-1
125Troy Merritt75.71000-1
126Tyler Duncan75.81000-1
127Kevin Streelman75.91000-169.69
128Scott Piercy76.01000-1
129Adam Schenk76.11000-171.05
130James Hahn76.41000-1
131Kensei Hirata76.61000-169.91
132Chandler Blanchet76.71000-170.26
133Jeffrey Kang77.01000-171.39
134Ryan Palmer77.11000-1
135Adam Headley77.51000-1
136William Sides77.51000-1
137Charley Hoffman77.51000-170.83
138Camilo Villegas77.61000-170.77
139John VanDerLaan77.61000-170.38
140Rafael Campos77.81000-170.64
141Gordon Sargent77.91000-170.25
142Davis Chatfield78.31000-170.64
143Alejandro Tosti78.91000-171.70
144Pontus Nyholm79.21000-172.00
145Aaron Wise79.81000-1
146Peter Malnati80.41000-171.24
147Christo Lamprecht81.71000-170.82
148Neal Shipley82.01000-170.21
149Marcelo Rozo83.31000-170.51
160Ryan Vermeer77.52000-1
161Timothy Wiseman77.52000-1

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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Scottie Scheffler has been no. 1 for 154 consecutive weeks.

Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (May 19, 2026)

#Thru May 19, 2026EventsHawley ratingPrevious week
1Scottie Scheffler433568.21
2Xander Schauffele392383.72
3Rory McIlroy482336.44
4Russell Henley412164.23
5Tommy Fleetwood542154.95
6Ludvig Aberg442112.67
7Jon Rahm412025.111
8Patrick Cantlay421956.66
9Matt Fitzpatrick511941.710
10Cameron Young511928.38
11Justin Thomas411907.912
12Collin Morikawa441821.19
13Maverick McNealy531670.417
14Sepp Straka511661.813
15Sam Burns511654.214
16Jake Knapp431638.516
17Si Woo Kim591625.715
18Jackson Koivun91583.019
19Rickie Fowler431564.518
20Hideki Matsuyama511561.522
21Ben Griffin651528.424
22JJ Spaun541522.920
23Jordan Spieth411516.027
24Harris English501513.326
25Robert MacIntyre591512.221
26Bryson DeChambeau381460.523
27Min Woo Lee491450.731
28Justin Rose441449.336
29Viktor Hovland451410.225
30Akshay Bhatia561394.528
31Chris Gotterup541376.139
32Shane Lowry561369.532
33Jacob Bridgeman581368.529
34Corey Conners521359.830
35Kurt Kitayama471343.342
36Keegan Bradley451336.333
37Harry Hall551313.134
38Aaron Rai511298.945
39Adam Scott471288.335
40Alex Noren401287.740
41Tyrrell Hatton511277.437
42Jason Day411266.638
43Alex Smalley551251.547
44Nicolai Hojgaard551241.841
45Nick Taylor541220.844
46Daniel Berger511193.743
47Andrew Novak561147.446
48Patrick Reed541123.158
49Bud Cauley461117.949
50Matt McCarty611075.848
51Joaquin Niemann451068.263
52Denny McCarthy481056.350
53Taylor Pendrith511025.653
54Sam Stevens611022.751
55Brian Harman521013.355
56JT Poston501008.652
57Lucas Glover461001.754
58Max Greyserman54992.871
59Brooks Koepka40991.256
60Michael Kim61984.362
61Gary Woodland47981.757
62Michael Thorbjornsen50972.759
63David Puig50971.174
64Ryan Fox52970.366
65Ryan Gerard64968.664
66Wyndham Clark51963.560
67Sungjae Im52953.461
68Ryo Hisatsune62951.367
69Sahith Theegala53934.965
70Davis Thompson50916.469
71Eric Cole60915.972
72Stephan Jaeger51913.184
73Tony Finau44899.073
74Christiaan Bezuidenhout54898.276
75Patrick Rodgers64896.470
76Thomas Detry54895.768
77Kristoffer Reitan46892.975
78Dean Burmester44880.379
79Sebastian Munoz33866.880
80Cameron Smith41865.1109
81Rasmus Hojgaard55862.277
82Carlos Ortiz37861.981
83Nico Echavarria56853.078
84Tom Hoge58852.586
85Abraham Ancer36850.182
86Matti Schmid59833.9108
87Keith Mitchell52819.483
88Pierceson Coody60801.485
89Paul Casey33798.288
90Marc Leishman35797.789
91Andrew Putnam55783.287
92Thomas Pieters39778.491
93Chris Kirk44777.990
94Branden Grace38773.393
95Talor Gooch32755.697
96Will Zalatoris28753.994
97Cameron Tringale32752.796
98Byeong Hun An47741.898
99Kevin Yu53737.999
100Billy Horschel44736.292
101Lucas Herbert38734.0100
102Tom McKibbin59732.595
103Josele Ballester25729.9101
104Lee Hodges48723.5102
105Dustin Johnson41720.4103
106Thorbjorn Olesen57700.8105
107Matt Wallace62695.3107
108Mac Meissner50695.3106
109Rico Hoey60692.7104
110Sergio Garcia39690.5110
111Victor Perez49687.2112
112Charles Howell26683.1115
113Jhonattan Vegas47681.2113
114Beau Hossler52679.3117
115Austin Eckroat50678.3116
116Kevin Roy55674.3119
117Jordan Smith58670.0111
118Aldrich Potgieter52665.2128
119Max Homa48663.6114
120Sami Valimaki55657.9118
121Seamus Power54655.2123
122Mackenzie Hughes53655.2122
123Taylor Moore52653.9127
124Matt Kuchar40650.7124
125AJ Ewart14650.0125
126Sudarshan Yellamaraju50646.0120
127Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen47637.7121
128Bubba Watson33637.6130
129Marco Penge54633.1126
130Alex Fitzpatrick58626.7129
131Caleb Surratt41622.7133
132Doug Ghim52621.8131
133Haotong Li55607.4142
134Richard Bland36605.8136
135Max McGreevy62605.7132
136Louis Oosthuizen40604.6137
137Harold Varner33602.9139
138Tom Kim52596.6138
139Emiliano Grillo50595.6134
140Jason Kokrak34593.0140
141Charl Schwartzel38591.4141
142David Lipsky54588.5135
143Brendan Steele32581.9143
144Anirban Lahiri37568.2145
145Vince Whaley56566.4144
146Mark Hubbard59549.1149
147Patrick Fishburn54543.8148
148John Parry51541.8146
149Sam Ryder53539.5151
150Karl Vilips44538.5152
151Chad Ramey56538.4150
152Ricky Castillo55533.7147
153Graeme McDowell31531.1153
154Matthew Wolff28515.3156
155Chandler Phillips52512.3154
156Wesley Bryan18509.1159
157Joel Dahmen54508.0157
158Hayden Springer52504.6160
159Austin Smotherman55504.1155
160Kris Ventura50496.2162
161William Mouw48489.8158
162Daniel Hillier51483.3179
163Hennie du Plessis10482.4164
164Jayden Schaper50479.2161
165Joe Highsmith58472.2163
166Phil Mickelson28468.0170
167Webb Simpson24465.5169
168Cam Davis44463.5167
169Angel Ayora52457.1166
170CT Pan18455.8168
171Peter Uihlein44453.3172
172Oliver Lindell41453.0173
173Jesper Svensson56451.6174
174Antoine Rozner55446.3176
175Michael Brennan19442.0165
176Andy Sullivan58441.5171
177Garrick Higgo48435.2175
178Scott Vincent36430.0181
179Brandt Snedeker48429.8177
180SH Kim48428.7180
181Trace Crowe41425.5182
182Davis Riley53424.5178
183Lee Westwood27422.2183
184Jacob Skov Olesen45421.5184
185Greyson Sigg47417.5185
186Nate Lashley33415.8186
187Danny Walker52409.0191
188Francesco Laporta41408.5188
189Laurie Canter46407.6187
190Justin Lower54404.9189
191Lanto Griffin51404.9195
192Henrik Stenson23404.6194
193Jackson Suber51403.9196
194Shaun Norris33402.6197
195Richard T Lee25402.1198
196Isaiah Salinda47400.7204
197Takumi Kanaya53399.7199
198Dan Brown49399.6203
199Martin Couvra41398.5202
200Adrien Dumont de Chassart53397.9205
201Zach Johnson29397.4207
202Thriston Lawrence59396.2200
203Nick Dunlap48395.0201
204Henrik Norlander54392.5192
205Carson Young55391.9209
206Adrian Meronk44390.6211
207Luke Clanton37388.8206
208Elvis Smylie37388.5190
209Johnny Keefer44387.9193
210Keita Nakajima43386.0212
211Adam Schenk57384.2208
212Zach Bauchou34382.9213
213Steven Fisk54379.1210
214Ewen Ferguson52376.8215
215Martin Kaymer37375.4234
216David Ford23370.8216
217Marcus Armitage54363.5217
218Chan Kim54359.6218
219Ben Campbell34358.2221
220Jorge Campillo62355.6220
221Eugenio Chacarra54352.8222
222Zac Blair50350.2229
223Adrien Saddier52348.8219
224Ugo Coussaud52348.3226
225Matteo Manassero49347.9223
226Ian Poulter28346.7227
227Blades Brown36345.7225
228Matthew Jordan51345.3224
229Julien Guerrier52342.3228
230Erik van Rooyen55341.1231
231Anthony Kim34339.8232
232Daniel Rodrigues11335.5233
233Padraig Harrington22333.7452
234Brian Campbell52332.4230
235Matthieu Pavon55329.2235
236Niklas Norgaard56328.0236
237Zecheng Dou50325.4239
238Joost Luiten52323.3238
239Alejandro Tosti47323.3237
240Ben Kohles54323.0240
241Alexander Bjork11317.0242
242Kelly Kraft11315.9243
243Jinichiro Kozuma33312.6247
244Ben Silverman49312.6241
245Richard Mansell46308.7245
246Charley Hoffman36307.9246
247Mikael Lindberg39306.9244
248David Skinns50306.4248
249Brice Garnett44304.6249
250Trey Mullinax36304.0251
251Luis Masaveu27302.7250
252Adam Hadwin53302.4252
253Grant Forrest48302.1253
254Dylan Wu49296.6254
255Wenyi Ding31295.0255
256Matt Jones32292.7259
257Johannes Veerman51291.7256
258Todd Clements56291.2260
259Kevin Na25290.5261
260Frankie Capan51290.5262
261Taylor Montgomery49286.9257
262Calum Hill55286.7264
263JC Ritchie13285.2266
264Joakim Lagergren41284.8265
265Cameron Champ50284.1258
266Adam Svensson56283.6263
267Guido Migliozzi51281.5268
268Dan Bradbury56280.2269
269Nathan Kimsey32278.9271
270Quade Cummins48278.5275
271Kevin Streelman33278.1272
272Sam Horsfield34276.2273
273Hank Lebioda48276.1276
274Nacho Elvira55272.9277
275Casey Jarvis62272.2270
276Paul Peterson57271.1283
277Darius van Driel55269.5278
278Stewart Cink11269.2214
279Bronson Burgoon28268.9267
280Noah Goodwin49268.6274
281Chandler Blanchet50267.9288
282Andrea Pavan52267.7279
283Andy Ogletree28267.0281
284Kazuma Kobori45265.6282
285Ian Gilligan25264.6290
286KH Lee32263.7280
287Alejandro Del Rey53260.7285
288Brandon Stone48256.6286
289Patton Kizzire49252.3287
290John Pak51251.8284
291Frederic LaCroix46247.0291
292Jeremy Paul55246.8289
293Pontus Nyholm53246.6292
294Mito Pereira24245.5293
295Rafa Cabrera Bello58244.3295
296Jacques Kruyswijk46244.3294
297Jason Scrivener51242.5297
298Eddie Pepperell35241.6299
299Romain Langasque55238.4296
300Freddy Schott44237.1301
301Oihan Guillamoundeguy12235.2302
302Marcel Schneider55234.0303
303Paul Waring42232.6300
304Davis Bryant30232.3304
305Doc Redman43232.0313
306Brendan Valdez13231.4305
307Yu-bin Jang10229.3307
308Herman Loubser9226.1311
309Vincent Norrman17224.2317
310Justin Hastings18222.5298
311Harry Higgs54222.3309
312Joseph Bramlett49222.1306
313Brandon Robinson Thompson49221.6312
314Will Gordon52221.0314
315Bernd Wiesberger53219.2308
316Ricardo Gouveia57218.7316
317Danny Willett45218.7319
318Adrian Otaegui59218.5315
319Tom Vaillant51215.9318
320Chieh-po Lee33215.7320
321Thomas Rosenmueller33215.4310
322Gregorio De Leo29209.8322
323Sam Bairstow54209.6324
324Ren Yonezawa19209.3323
325Will Chandler50207.5321
326Thomas Rosenmuller12207.5332
327Richard Sterne38207.3327
328Jimmy Stanger14207.1329
329Niklas Lemke27207.1330
330Daniel van Tonder20206.6328
331Yosuke Asaji25205.7331
332Darren Fichardt35203.6337
333Danny Lee34202.7334
334Luke List53200.9339
335Ben Carr9200.8345
336Seungbin Choi8199.3336
337Young-han Song27199.2340
338Hunter Eichhorn20197.8325
339Francesco Molinari37197.2341
340Kiradech Aphibarnrat55196.8348
341Jonathan Byrd28196.6326
342Ding Wenyi10196.6342
343Ben Schmidt39196.1343
344Jeff Winther47195.2347
345Taylor Dickson50193.9338
346Fabrizio Zanotti41193.2349
347Hayden Buckley50191.7335
348Sebastian Soderberg40188.8351
349Matthew NeSmith15188.3333
350Richie Ramsay47188.2352
351Ian Holt36187.5344
352Kota Kaneko31186.2346
353Trevor Cone50184.9350
354Michael Johnson50184.7365
355Rikuya Hoshino50184.1353
356Michael La Sasso13183.9355
357Tapio Pulkkanen29183.4356
358Nick Hardy53183.1354
359Marcel Siem48181.0357
360Camilo Villegas52178.5359
361Yuto Katsuragawa46177.4358
362Hugo Townsend10177.2360
363Nicolai von Dellingshausen46176.9361
364Kensei Hirata49175.3362
365Ryan Moore15173.7363
366Jeffrey Kang48172.4366
367Curtis Luck8172.2364
368Manuel Elvira60168.0367
369Ashun Wu33167.4371
370Scott Jamieson52166.4368
371Davis Lamb25165.6384
372Yubin Jang11165.5370
373Jonathan Goth-rasmussen10163.9379
374Jens Dantorp54163.9374
375Kieran Vincent34163.7373
376Connor Syme50163.4372
377Cooper Dossey49161.3376
378Edoardo Molinari29160.7378
379Alistair Docherty51160.3390
380Seung-taek Lee29159.9377
381Andrew Wilson35159.5375
382Mitchell Meissner51159.2369
383David Micheluzzi48157.7380
384Dylan Frittelli56156.9386
385Sean Crocker50156.5381
386David Law30156.4389
387Angel Hidalgo56156.3382
388Benjamin Hebert25156.2388
389Davis Shore54155.3387
390Caleb VanArragon38154.8401
391Gordon Sargent23153.6392
392Kevin Chappell26153.1383
393Shimizu Taisei15152.0391
394Davis Chatfield50150.4395
395David Ravetto57148.4397
396Marcus Kinhult49148.0396
397Ivan Cantero Gutierrez56147.3404
398Robby Shelton49147.1385
399Andreas Halvorsen27145.5403
400Neal Shipley48144.8399

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Soudal Open Power Ratings

Dates: May 21-24, 2026. Venue: Rinkven International GC; Antwerp, Belgium. Purse: $2.75 million.

Josele Ballester
Josele Ballester
PickPlayerPower numberObserved OddsCourse fit
1Josele Ballester49.712-1
2Victor Perez52.215-1
3Thomas Detry52.816-172.1
4Caleb Surratt55.420-1
5Jayden Schaper62.540-173.0
6Daniel Hillier62.740-172.5
7Hennie du Plessis64.150-171.4
8Adrian Meronk64.450-1
9Jacob Skov Olesen65.360-172.3
10Richard Mansell66.370-1
11Oliver Lindell67.280-171.5
12Casey Jarvis67.885-171.6
13Wenyi Ding68.395-172.4
14Martin Couvra68.495-171.8
15Daniel Rodrigues69.0100-171.2
16Mikael Lindberg69.0100-171.1
17Jorge Campillo69.1100-172.0
18Francesco Laporta69.3100-171.6
19Nathan Kimsey69.3100-171.2
20Thriston Lawrence69.4100-171.6
21Marcus Armitage69.6100-171.8
22Julien Guerrier69.8100-171.9
23Ugo Coussaud69.9100-171.8
24Ricardo Gouveia69.9100-171.9
25JC Ritchie70.0100-171.9
26Eugenio Chacarra70.2100-170.8
27Oihan Guillamoundeguy70.4100-171.6
28Lucas Bjerregaard71.0150-1
29Ewen Ferguson71.1150-171.5
30Gregorio De Leo71.2150-171.8
31Calum Hill71.3150-172.7
32Fabrizio Zanotti71.6150-1
33Richie Ramsay71.6150-1
34Matthis Besard71.7150-1
35Kota Kaneko71.8150-1
36MJ Daffue71.9150-1
37Alexander Levy72.0150-171.7
38Davis Bryant72.2150-172.0
39Yanhan Zhou72.2150-1
40Andy Sullivan72.3150-171.9
41Freddy Schott72.4150-171.6
42Kazuma Kobori72.4150-172.6
43Nacho Elvira72.4150-172.1
44Joakim Lagergren72.5150-172.2
45Ben Schmidt72.6150-172.1
46Callum Tarren72.6150-1
47Veer Ahlawat72.7200-1
48Joost Luiten72.8200-171.4
49Rafa Cabrera Bello73.0200-171.7
50Brandon Stone73.1200-170.5
51Jason Scrivener73.2200-171.1
52Grant Forrest73.4200-171.9
53Matthew Jordan73.5200-171.7
54Edoardo Molinari73.6200-1
55Alfredo Garcia-Heredia73.6200-1
56Daan Huizing73.8200-1
57Deon Germishuys73.9200-1
58Tom Vaillant74.0200-172.1
59Yuvraj Sandhu74.1250-1
60Kiradech Aphibarnrat74.3250-171.5
61Jeong Weon Ko74.4250-1
62Romain Langasque74.5250-172.0
63Darius van Driel74.6250-170.9
64Scott Jamieson74.6250-171.8
65Marcel Schneider74.7250-172.0
66Anthony Quayle74.7250-171.6
67Manuel Elvira74.8250-171.4
68Brandon Robinson Thompson74.8250-171.3
69Matteo Manassero74.8250-170.6
70Hugo Townsend74.9250-171.9
71Gavin Green74.9250-1
72Michael Hollick75.0250-171.5
73Andreas Halvorsen75.0250-171.2
74Nicolas Colsaerts75.1250-1
75Frank Kennedy75.2250-1
76Niklas Norgaard75.2250-171.7
77Felix Mory75.3250-1
78Eddie Pepperell75.3250-171.5
79Steven Brown75.3250-1
80Marcus Helligkilde75.5250-1
81Kristof Ulenaers75.5250-1
82Frederic LaCroix75.5250-171.1
83Maximilian Kieffer75.5250-1
84Zander Lombard75.6250-172.1
85Richard Sterne75.6250-171.2
86Jonathan Broomhead75.7250-171.5
87Lev Grinberg75.7250-1
88David Law75.7300-171.8
89Albin Bergstrom75.8300-1
90Sam Bairstow75.8300-172.1
91Simon Forsstrom76.1300-1
92Todd Clements76.5300-170.6
93Daniel Young76.5300-170.9
94David Micheluzzi76.5300-172.1
95Joe Dean76.6300-171.8
96Tobias Jonsson76.7300-170.9
97Jack Senior76.9300-171.4
98Joel Girrbach77.1300-170.8
99Fred Biondi77.4300-170.8
100Jarno Tollenaire77.5300-1
101Liam Bentein77.5300-1
102James Skeet77.5300-1
103Arthur Haghedooren77.5300-1
104Anthony De Schutter77.5300-1
105Lars Buijs77.5300-1
106Yente Van Doren77.5300-1
107James Meyer de Beco77.5300-1
108Nathan Cossement77.5300-1
109Jack Yule77.5300-1
110Logan Hunter77.5300-1
111Per Langfors77.5300-1
112Anton Albers77.5300-1
113Cameron Adam77.5300-171.3
114Marcel Siem77.8300-171.3
115Paul Waring78.0300-170.2
116Sadom Kaewkanjana78.1300-171.5
117Jack Buchanan78.1300-170.9
118Jeff Winther78.3300-171.5
119Aaron Cockerill78.4300-171.8
120Stefano Mazzoli78.4300-170.7
121Jordan Gumberg78.4300-170.4
122Yurav Premlall78.8300-170.6
123Marcus Kinhult78.8300-171.0
124Adri Arnaus78.9300-171.0
125Adrian Otaegui79.0300-170.3
126Jens Dantorp79.1300-171.5
127Sebastian Garcia Grout79.1300-170.6
128James Morrison79.2300-171.8
129Sean Crocker79.4300-170.9
130Benjamin Follet-Smith79.6300-171.0
131Quentin Debove79.6300-171.2
132Clement Charmasson79.8300-171.1
133Andrew Johnston79.8300-170.5
134Robin Williams79.9300-169.3
135Rikuya Hoshino80.0300-171.0
136Yannik Paul80.1300-171.6
137David Ravetto80.1300-170.2
138Rocco Paolo Repetto Taylor80.2300-170.2
139Ryggs Johnston80.2300-171.4
140Joshua Berry80.4300-172.0
141Ivan Cantero Gutierrez80.5300-170.0
142Quim Vidal80.5300-171.8
143Shubhankar Sharma80.7300-170.0
144Angel Hidalgo80.9300-171.1
145Pablo Larrazabal80.9300-171.4
146Yuto Katsuragawa81.0300-170.4
147Mike Toorop81.1300-172.0
148Euan Walker81.2300-170.4
149Maximilian Steinlechner81.3300-170.4
150Nicolai von Dellingshausen81.8300-170.9
151Ryan Peake81.8300-170.2
152Matthew Baldwin81.8300-171.3
153Connor Syme82.1300-170.5
154Adam Blomme82.3300-170.1
155Renato Paratore82.4300-171.3
156Connor McKinney82.4300-171.4
157Filippo Celli82.4300-171.3
158Dylan Naidoo85.8300-171.1
159Ross Fisher86.7300-170.4
160Andres Gallegos87.3300-168.5
161Daniel Gavins91.4300-171.4

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A look at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed between 2018 and 2025. A value of about .601 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .269 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

PlayerValue
Scottie Scheffler0.608
Jordan Spieth0.579
Si Woo Kim0.560
Stephan Jaeger0.469
Adam Schenk0.464
Patton Kizzire0.413
Mark Hubbard0.404
Ryan Palmer0.387

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

PlayerRankRating
Scottie Scheffler13568.2
Si Woo Kim171625.7
Jordan Spieth231516.0
Aaron Rai381298.9
Taylor Pendrith531025.6
Max Greyserman58992.8
Brooks Koepka59991.2
Michael Kim60984.3

Sorry, can't make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not among this event’s entries.

PlayerRankRating
Xander Schauffele22383.7
Rory McIlroy32336.4
Russell Henley42164.2
Tommy Fleetwood52154.9

Ooh, that's hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

PlayerUpward Change
Austin Eckroat844.6
Eric Cole771.1
Si Woo Kim706.7
Aldrich Potgieter647.0
Scottie Scheffler602.2
Davis Thompson584.2
Mac Meissner532.2
Daniel Brown484.5

Brr, that's cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

PlayerDownward change
Keith Mitchell-777.7
Tony Finau-683.2
Stephan Jaeger-530.1
Ryo Hisatsune-641.1
Max McGreevy-604.2
Mackenzie Hughes-628.7
Lee Hodges-691.5
Emiliano Grillo-595.6

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the TPC Craig Ranch course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last five years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat valueStatistic
0.19Greens in regulation
0.10Scrambling
0.10Shots gained off the tee
0.10Putts per GIR

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fitPlayer
Andrew Putnam69.28
Johnny Keefer69.28
Scottie Scheffler69.41
Dylan Wu69.41
Jordan Smith69.52
Pierceson Coody69.53
Hank Lebioda69.65
Max McGreevy69.65

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above

Course fitPlayer
Pontus Nyholm72.00
Alejandro Tosti71.70
Garrick Higgo71.66
Cam Davis71.42
Jeffrey Kang71.39
Danny Walker71.32
Jhonattan Vegas71.27
Peter Malnati71.24

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2026 and Orlando FL, the event host city.

PlayerHomeMiles
Pierceson CoodyPlano TX12
Noah GoodwinDallas TX31
Tom KimDallas TX31
Si Woo KimDallas TX31
Mac MeissnerDallas TX31
Taylor MooreDallas TX31
Harry HiggsDallas TX31
Jordan SpiethDallas TX31
Zecheng DouDallas TX31
Scottie SchefflerDallas TX31

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

StatisticCorrelation to results
Top of the heap0.373
I love this place-0.181
Ooh, that’s hot-0.117
Location, location, location0.004

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