
Charles Schwab Challenge Power Ratings
Dates: May 28-31, 2026. Venue: Colonial CC, Ft. Worth TX. Purse: $9.9 million.

| Pick | Player | Power number | Observed Odds | Course fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | -38.7 | 11-1 | 77.6 |
| 2 | Xander Schauffele | -1.0 | 25-1 | 77.7 |
| 3 | Ludvig Aberg | 1.3 | 25-1 | 78.9 |
| 4 | Matt Fitzpatrick | 4.0 | 30-1 | 77.9 |
| 5 | Justin Thomas | 5.1 | 30-1 | |
| 6 | Russell Henley | 7.4 | 30-1 | 77.5 |
| 7 | Rory McIlroy | 7.6 | 30-1 | 78.0 |
| 8 | Cameron Young | 11.8 | 35-1 | 77.6 |
| 9 | Patrick Cantlay | 12.1 | 35-1 | 77.2 |
| 10 | Ben Griffin | 15.4 | 40-1 | 77.7 |
| 11 | Tommy Fleetwood | 16.5 | 40-1 | 77.5 |
| 12 | Jake Knapp | 17.5 | 45-1 | 77.2 |
| 13 | Si Woo Kim | 17.8 | 45-1 | 77.6 |
| 14 | Maverick McNealy | 18.3 | 45-1 | 77.8 |
| 15 | Alex Smalley | 21.4 | 50-1 | 77.9 |
| 16 | JJ Spaun | 21.7 | 50-1 | 78.7 |
| 17 | Harris English | 22.5 | 50-1 | 77.4 |
| 18 | Robert Macintyre | 23.5 | 55-1 | 77.1 |
| 19 | Kurt Kitayama | 23.8 | 55-1 | 77.2 |
| 20 | Sam Burns | 24.4 | 55-1 | 77.9 |
| 21 | Rickie Fowler | 25.3 | 60-1 | 77.6 |
| 22 | Min Woo Lee | 26.2 | 60-1 | 77.7 |
| 23 | Hideki Matsuyama | 26.3 | 60-1 | 76.7 |
| 24 | Justin Rose | 26.5 | 60-1 | 77.9 |
| 25 | Jordan Spieth | 26.9 | 60-1 | 77.5 |
| 26 | Chris Gotterup | 29.2 | 70-1 | 77.7 |
| 27 | Nick Taylor | 29.8 | 70-1 | 77.1 |
| 28 | Adam Scott | 30.7 | 75-1 | 77.5 |
| 29 | Sepp Straka | 31.7 | 75-1 | 78.1 |
| 30 | Alex Noren | 32.9 | 80-1 | 77.6 |
| 31 | Akshay Bhatia | 33.5 | 85-1 | 77.7 |
| 32 | Aaron Rai | 34.0 | 85-1 | 78.3 |
| 33 | Harry Hall | 34.0 | 85-1 | 77.3 |
| 34 | Shane Lowry | 36.0 | 95-1 | 77.6 |
| 35 | Daniel Berger | 36.3 | 95-1 | 77.9 |
| 36 | Nicolai Hojgaard | 36.9 | 100-1 | 78.1 |
| 37 | Corey Conners | 37.2 | 100-1 | 77.8 |
| 38 | Jacob Bridgeman | 37.2 | 100-1 | 77.8 |
| 39 | Bud Cauley | 37.3 | 100-1 | 78.2 |
| 40 | Keegan Bradley | 37.7 | 100-1 | 77.7 |
| 41 | Matt McCarty | 37.8 | 100-1 | 77.8 |
| 42 | Jason Day | 38.0 | 100-1 | 77.3 |
| 43 | Kristoffer Reitan | 39.5 | 100-1 | 78.1 |
| 44 | Ryan Gerard | 39.7 | 100-1 | 77.4 |
| 45 | Andrew Novak | 40.3 | 100-1 | 78.2 |
| 46 | Wyndham Clark | 40.5 | 100-1 | 78.0 |
| 47 | Ryo Hisatsune | 41.1 | 100-1 | 77.7 |
| 48 | Pierceson Coody | 41.7 | 100-1 | 77.6 |
| 49 | Gary Woodland | 42.0 | 100-1 | 78.0 |
| 50 | Michael Kim | 42.2 | 100-1 | 77.7 |
| 51 | Sam Stevens | 42.3 | 100-1 | 77.6 |
| 52 | JT Poston | 42.8 | 100-1 | 78.3 |
| 53 | Taylor Pendrith | 43.2 | 100-1 | 77.5 |
| 54 | Sungjae Im | 43.3 | 100-1 | |
| 55 | Denny McCarthy | 43.5 | 100-1 | 77.6 |
| 56 | Brian Harman | 44.5 | 150-1 | 78.3 |
| 57 | Ryan Fox | 45.0 | 150-1 | 78.0 |
| 58 | Sahith Theegala | 45.1 | 150-1 | 77.5 |
| 59 | Tom Hoge | 45.1 | 150-1 | 77.8 |
| 60 | Andrew Putnam | 45.4 | 150-1 | 77.8 |
| 61 | Alex Fitzpatrick | 46.4 | 150-1 | 78.5 |
| 62 | Nico Echavarria | 47.4 | 150-1 | 78.2 |
| 63 | Tony Finau | 47.8 | 150-1 | 77.9 |
| 64 | Patrick Rodgers | 47.9 | 150-1 | 77.9 |
| 65 | Keith Mitchell | 48.5 | 150-1 | 77.8 |
| 66 | Lucas Glover | 50.1 | 200-1 | 78.1 |
| 67 | Matti Schmid | 51.2 | 200-1 | 78.5 |
| 68 | Aldrich Potgieter | 51.5 | 200-1 | 78.1 |
| 69 | Sudarshan Yellamaraju | 52.5 | 250-1 | 78.1 |
| 70 | Zach Bauchou | 53.7 | 250-1 | 77.7 |
| 71 | David Lipsky | 53.8 | 250-1 | 78.4 |
| 72 | Ricky Castillo | 55.6 | 300-1 | 78.1 |
| 73 | Austin Smotherman | 56.5 | 350-1 | 77.8 |
| 74 | Billy Horschel | 57.2 | 350-1 | 78.5 |
| 75 | Mark Hubbard | 59.9 | 500-1 | 78.3 |
| 76 | Brandt Snedeker | 61.6 | 600-1 | 77.5 |
| 77 | Jhonattan Vegas | 63.0 | 600-1 | 78.2 |
| 78 | Jackson Suber | 64.4 | 800-1 | 78.2 |
| 79 | Brian Campbell | 70.0 | 2000-1 | 78.0 |
Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (May 26, 2026)
| # | Thru Jun 2, 2026 | Events | Hawley rating | Previous week |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | 43 | 3548.7 | 1 |
| 2 | Xander Schauffele | 38 | 2377.1 | 2 |
| 3 | Rory McIlroy | 46 | 2351.8 | 3 |
| 4 | Russell Henley | 41 | 2233.4 | 4 |
| 5 | Tommy Fleetwood | 52 | 2171.0 | 5 |
| 6 | Ludvig Aberg | 44 | 2101.0 | 6 |
| 7 | Jon Rahm | 41 | 1983.6 | 7 |
| 8 | Patrick Cantlay | 41 | 1958.9 | 8 |
| 9 | Matt Fitzpatrick | 50 | 1954.7 | 9 |
| 10 | Cameron Young | 49 | 1941.7 | 10 |
| 11 | Justin Thomas | 41 | 1931.9 | 11 |
| 12 | Collin Morikawa | 43 | 1811.0 | 12 |
| 13 | Maverick McNealy | 52 | 1678.1 | 13 |
| 14 | Si Woo Kim | 59 | 1657.8 | 15 |
| 15 | Jake Knapp | 42 | 1655.5 | 17 |
| 16 | Sam Burns | 49 | 1650.3 | 16 |
| 17 | Sepp Straka | 51 | 1644.3 | 14 |
| 18 | Jackson Koivun | 8 | 1615.0 | 18 |
| 19 | Ben Griffin | 64 | 1589.0 | 21 |
| 20 | JJ Spaun | 54 | 1580.3 | 22 |
| 21 | Hideki Matsuyama | 51 | 1578.2 | 20 |
| 22 | Harris English | 49 | 1529.7 | 23 |
| 23 | Jordan Spieth | 41 | 1522.1 | 24 |
| 24 | Rickie Fowler | 43 | 1514.4 | 19 |
| 25 | Robert MacIntyre | 59 | 1484.7 | 25 |
| 26 | Bryson DeChambeau | 38 | 1477.4 | 26 |
| 27 | Justin Rose | 43 | 1462.7 | 28 |
| 28 | Min Woo Lee | 49 | 1459.3 | 27 |
| 29 | Viktor Hovland | 44 | 1414.6 | 29 |
| 30 | Chris Gotterup | 53 | 1388.2 | 31 |
| 31 | Akshay Bhatia | 55 | 1386.7 | 30 |
| 32 | Jacob Bridgeman | 56 | 1374.4 | 33 |
| 33 | Shane Lowry | 54 | 1373.8 | 32 |
| 34 | Corey Conners | 50 | 1359.1 | 34 |
| 35 | Kurt Kitayama | 46 | 1347.1 | 35 |
| 36 | Keegan Bradley | 45 | 1325.3 | 36 |
| 37 | Alex Smalley | 56 | 1325.2 | 43 |
| 38 | Aaron Rai | 50 | 1297.0 | 38 |
| 39 | Alex Noren | 38 | 1294.4 | 39 |
| 40 | Tyrrell Hatton | 50 | 1285.7 | 41 |
| 41 | Adam Scott | 46 | 1282.3 | 40 |
| 42 | Harry Hall | 55 | 1276.5 | 37 |
| 43 | Jason Day | 40 | 1274.4 | 42 |
| 44 | Nicolai Hojgaard | 54 | 1253.3 | 44 |
| 45 | Nick Taylor | 52 | 1238.1 | 45 |
| 46 | Daniel Berger | 50 | 1207.6 | 46 |
| 47 | Patrick Reed | 53 | 1135.6 | 48 |
| 48 | Bud Cauley | 45 | 1130.7 | 49 |
| 49 | Andrew Novak | 56 | 1121.5 | 47 |
| 50 | Joaquin Niemann | 45 | 1104.3 | 51 |
| 51 | Denny McCarthy | 47 | 1064.8 | 52 |
| 52 | Gary Woodland | 47 | 1061.6 | 62 |
| 53 | Matt McCarty | 60 | 1056.6 | 50 |
| 54 | Brian Harman | 52 | 1032.5 | 57 |
| 55 | Wyndham Clark | 51 | 1026.5 | 54 |
| 56 | Brooks Koepka | 40 | 1020.4 | 56 |
| 57 | Ryan Gerard | 63 | 1018.4 | 66 |
| 58 | Michael Kim | 61 | 1013.6 | 61 |
| 59 | Sam Stevens | 61 | 1007.4 | 55 |
| 60 | JT Poston | 50 | 1000.3 | 58 |
| 61 | Taylor Pendrith | 50 | 996.9 | 60 |
| 62 | Max Greyserman | 55 | 991.1 | 53 |
| 63 | Eric Cole | 60 | 981.5 | 72 |
| 64 | Ryan Fox | 51 | 977.5 | 65 |
| 65 | David Puig | 50 | 974.0 | 64 |
| 66 | Lucas Glover | 46 | 973.6 | 59 |
| 67 | Michael Thorbjornsen | 52 | 972.4 | 70 |
| 68 | Sungjae Im | 53 | 943.5 | 63 |
| 69 | Ryo Hisatsune | 63 | 941.6 | 67 |
| 70 | Stephan Jaeger | 52 | 924.5 | 68 |
| 71 | Nico Echavarria | 56 | 918.2 | 84 |
| 72 | Tony Finau | 45 | 904.7 | 69 |
| 73 | Sahith Theegala | 52 | 897.4 | 71 |
| 74 | Kristoffer Reitan | 46 | 895.8 | 74 |
| 75 | Dean Burmester | 44 | 875.6 | 75 |
| 76 | Tom Hoge | 59 | 873.8 | 73 |
| 77 | Davis Thompson | 50 | 871.8 | 76 |
| 78 | Cameron Smith | 41 | 865.7 | 83 |
| 79 | Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 55 | 865.6 | 80 |
| 80 | Sebastian Munoz | 33 | 857.1 | 81 |
| 81 | Patrick Rodgers | 65 | 853.7 | 77 |
| 82 | Thomas Detry | 55 | 846.0 | 79 |
| 83 | Keith Mitchell | 53 | 845.9 | 78 |
| 84 | Carlos Ortiz | 37 | 830.7 | 82 |
| 85 | Pierceson Coody | 61 | 829.3 | 87 |
| 86 | Marc Leishman | 35 | 827.1 | 89 |
| 87 | Andrew Putnam | 55 | 817.3 | 91 |
| 88 | Talor Gooch | 32 | 816.4 | 95 |
| 89 | Rasmus Hojgaard | 55 | 815.6 | 85 |
| 90 | Matti Schmid | 59 | 811.4 | 88 |
| 91 | Abraham Ancer | 37 | 804.2 | 86 |
| 92 | Paul Casey | 32 | 802.1 | 90 |
| 93 | Branden Grace | 38 | 795.8 | 93 |
| 94 | Mac Meissner | 51 | 784.3 | 109 |
| 95 | Thomas Pieters | 39 | 782.3 | 92 |
| 96 | AJ Ewart | 16 | 778.3 | 105 |
| 97 | Dustin Johnson | 41 | 761.7 | 101 |
| 98 | Will Zalatoris | 27 | 760.3 | 96 |
| 99 | Lucas Herbert | 38 | 759.5 | 100 |
| 100 | Chris Kirk | 45 | 752.4 | 94 |
| 101 | Tom McKibbin | 59 | 735.2 | 99 |
| 102 | Rico Hoey | 61 | 734.9 | 103 |
| 103 | Cameron Tringale | 32 | 731.6 | 97 |
| 104 | Charles Howell | 27 | 720.7 | 113 |
| 105 | Byeong Hun An | 47 | 720.1 | 98 |
| 106 | Kevin Yu | 54 | 717.6 | 102 |
| 107 | Lee Hodges | 49 | 698.2 | 107 |
| 108 | Matt Wallace | 61 | 697.4 | 108 |
| 109 | Jordan Smith | 59 | 696.9 | 124 |
| 110 | Victor Perez | 49 | 693.6 | 106 |
| 111 | Max Homa | 48 | 689.6 | 118 |
| 112 | Billy Horschel | 45 | 689.0 | 104 |
| 113 | Mackenzie Hughes | 53 | 688.8 | 127 |
| 114 | Aldrich Potgieter | 51 | 677.2 | 115 |
| 115 | Taylor Moore | 53 | 672.0 | 111 |
| 116 | Sergio Garcia | 39 | 672.0 | 112 |
| 117 | Josele Ballester | 27 | 666.9 | 110 |
| 118 | Sami Valimaki | 54 | 662.5 | 120 |
| 119 | Thorbjorn Olesen | 58 | 657.4 | 114 |
| 120 | Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | 48 | 655.1 | 119 |
| 121 | Jhonattan Vegas | 47 | 654.3 | 122 |
| 122 | Harold Varner | 33 | 654.2 | 132 |
| 123 | Matt Kuchar | 40 | 653.4 | 130 |
| 124 | Seamus Power | 54 | 650.8 | 116 |
| 125 | Marco Penge | 53 | 644.9 | 126 |
| 126 | Austin Eckroat | 51 | 643.0 | 117 |
| 127 | Kevin Roy | 55 | 642.8 | 121 |
| 128 | Beau Hossler | 53 | 635.8 | 123 |
| 129 | Doug Ghim | 53 | 635.6 | 129 |
| 130 | Brendan Steele | 32 | 631.3 | 142 |
| 131 | Alex Fitzpatrick | 56 | 630.9 | 128 |
| 132 | Sudarshan Yellamaraju | 49 | 629.3 | 125 |
| 133 | Richard Bland | 36 | 606.5 | 133 |
| 134 | Bubba Watson | 34 | 605.8 | 131 |
| 135 | Jason Kokrak | 34 | 600.8 | 136 |
| 136 | Max McGreevy | 62 | 592.8 | 141 |
| 137 | Louis Oosthuizen | 40 | 590.2 | 134 |
| 138 | Emiliano Grillo | 51 | 587.1 | 138 |
| 139 | Caleb Surratt | 42 | 582.1 | 135 |
| 140 | Charl Schwartzel | 38 | 581.2 | 137 |
| 141 | Haotong Li | 55 | 571.9 | 139 |
| 142 | David Lipsky | 54 | 570.7 | 140 |
| 143 | Michael Brennan | 21 | 559.7 | 188 |
| 144 | Tom Kim | 52 | 556.7 | 143 |
| 145 | Anirban Lahiri | 37 | 554.1 | 144 |
| 146 | Mark Hubbard | 60 | 544.4 | 145 |
| 147 | Ricky Castillo | 54 | 537.0 | 148 |
| 148 | Sam Ryder | 54 | 534.0 | 147 |
| 149 | Vince Whaley | 57 | 531.2 | 146 |
| 150 | Patrick Fishburn | 55 | 517.6 | 151 |
| 151 | John Parry | 53 | 517.0 | 149 |
| 152 | Wesley Bryan | 17 | 515.4 | 155 |
| 153 | Graeme McDowell | 31 | 511.7 | 150 |
| 154 | Chad Ramey | 57 | 508.0 | 152 |
| 155 | Jesper Svensson | 55 | 505.9 | 156 |
| 156 | Karl Vilips | 46 | 504.9 | 153 |
| 157 | Austin Smotherman | 55 | 502.5 | 157 |
| 158 | Zach Bauchou | 36 | 496.4 | 169 |
| 159 | Scott Vincent | 36 | 490.0 | 179 |
| 160 | Joel Dahmen | 55 | 489.7 | 159 |
| 161 | Matthew Wolff | 28 | 483.9 | 154 |
| 162 | Garrick Higgo | 49 | 479.6 | 167 |
| 163 | Steven Fisk | 54 | 479.6 | 190 |
| 164 | Phil Mickelson | 27 | 478.9 | 165 |
| 165 | Chandler Phillips | 53 | 477.4 | 158 |
| 166 | Jayden Schaper | 50 | 477.4 | 163 |
| 167 | Daniel Hillier | 51 | 477.4 | 168 |
| 168 | Hayden Springer | 53 | 472.7 | 160 |
| 169 | Jackson Suber | 52 | 467.4 | 161 |
| 170 | Kris Ventura | 51 | 465.2 | 162 |
| 171 | William Mouw | 48 | 461.2 | 164 |
| 172 | Angel Ayora | 52 | 456.8 | 171 |
| 173 | Brandt Snedeker | 47 | 454.8 | 181 |
| 174 | Joe Highsmith | 59 | 446.2 | 170 |
| 175 | Johnny Keefer | 46 | 444.9 | 178 |
| 176 | Jacob Skov Olesen | 47 | 443.2 | 176 |
| 177 | Antoine Rozner | 54 | 443.0 | 175 |
| 178 | CT Pan | 17 | 439.2 | 174 |
| 179 | Peter Uihlein | 44 | 438.9 | 172 |
| 180 | Webb Simpson | 25 | 438.6 | 166 |
| 181 | Oliver Lindell | 43 | 436.3 | 173 |
| 182 | SH Kim | 47 | 430.0 | 182 |
| 183 | Laurie Canter | 46 | 429.9 | 192 |
| 184 | Andy Sullivan | 57 | 429.6 | 183 |
| 185 | Cam Davis | 45 | 423.5 | 177 |
| 186 | Nate Lashley | 32 | 419.9 | 186 |
| 187 | Greyson Sigg | 46 | 415.6 | 187 |
| 188 | Henrik Stenson | 22 | 408.8 | 191 |
| 189 | Lanto Griffin | 52 | 408.5 | 203 |
| 190 | Isaiah Salinda | 46 | 406.9 | 195 |
| 191 | Lee Westwood | 27 | 406.9 | 184 |
| 192 | Shaun Norris | 32 | 406.7 | 194 |
| 193 | Francesco Laporta | 42 | 406.2 | 185 |
| 194 | Hennie du Plessis | 12 | 405.0 | 180 |
| 195 | Zach Johnson | 28 | 404.0 | 196 |
| 196 | Davis Riley | 54 | 403.2 | 189 |
| 197 | Dan Brown | 48 | 396.6 | 201 |
| 198 | Ben Campbell | 35 | 395.7 | 222 |
| 199 | Keita Nakajima | 44 | 394.3 | 218 |
| 200 | Justin Lower | 54 | 394.3 | 199 |
| 201 | Martin Couvra | 43 | 391.5 | 198 |
| 202 | Blades Brown | 38 | 390.2 | 202 |
| 203 | Marcus Armitage | 54 | 389.7 | 204 |
| 204 | Danny Walker | 53 | 389.3 | 197 |
| 205 | Trace Crowe | 41 | 386.4 | 193 |
| 206 | Takumi Kanaya | 54 | 383.2 | 206 |
| 207 | Luke Clanton | 39 | 380.5 | 200 |
| 208 | Ian Poulter | 28 | 379.7 | 225 |
| 209 | Elvis Smylie | 38 | 377.2 | 205 |
| 210 | Adrian Meronk | 45 | 376.9 | 213 |
| 211 | Jorge Campillo | 61 | 375.0 | 214 |
| 212 | Adrien Dumont de Chassart | 54 | 373.1 | 207 |
| 213 | Ewen Ferguson | 53 | 369.0 | 220 |
| 214 | Richard T Lee | 27 | 368.8 | 209 |
| 215 | Thriston Lawrence | 60 | 368.5 | 208 |
| 216 | Eugenio Chacarra | 55 | 366.7 | 223 |
| 217 | Adam Schenk | 58 | 366.0 | 216 |
| 218 | Carson Young | 56 | 365.5 | 211 |
| 219 | Henrik Norlander | 54 | 365.4 | 210 |
| 220 | Martin Kaymer | 37 | 365.3 | 212 |
| 221 | David Ford | 23 | 364.1 | 219 |
| 222 | Erik van Rooyen | 56 | 360.1 | 217 |
| 223 | Chan Kim | 55 | 359.0 | 221 |
| 224 | Nick Dunlap | 49 | 358.9 | 215 |
| 225 | Anthony Kim | 34 | 357.7 | 227 |
| 226 | Adrien Saddier | 52 | 353.5 | 224 |
| 227 | Ben Silverman | 49 | 344.1 | 226 |
| 228 | Ugo Coussaud | 52 | 342.7 | 228 |
| 229 | Brice Garnett | 45 | 336.4 | 253 |
| 230 | Joost Luiten | 53 | 331.4 | 242 |
| 231 | Kelly Kraft | 10 | 327.6 | 237 |
| 232 | Alexander Bjork | 10 | 327.5 | 236 |
| 233 | Padraig Harrington | 22 | 326.3 | 232 |
| 234 | Brian Campbell | 51 | 325.8 | 231 |
| 235 | Zac Blair | 51 | 321.1 | 229 |
| 236 | Matteo Manassero | 51 | 320.7 | 230 |
| 237 | Matthew Jordan | 51 | 319.0 | 234 |
| 238 | Julien Guerrier | 52 | 318.4 | 233 |
| 239 | Matthieu Pavon | 56 | 314.2 | 235 |
| 240 | Nathan Kimsey | 34 | 313.5 | 247 |
| 241 | Niklas Norgaard | 55 | 313.3 | 240 |
| 242 | Zecheng Dou | 50 | 307.1 | 239 |
| 243 | Trey Mullinax | 36 | 306.7 | 245 |
| 244 | Grant Forrest | 49 | 305.6 | 256 |
| 245 | Jinichiro Kozuma | 33 | 305.0 | 249 |
| 246 | Mikael Lindberg | 41 | 304.7 | 238 |
| 247 | Alejandro Tosti | 49 | 302.7 | 241 |
| 248 | Ben Kohles | 56 | 302.6 | 243 |
| 249 | Luis Masaveu | 28 | 298.9 | 248 |
| 250 | Matt Jones | 31 | 295.2 | 254 |
| 251 | Wenyi Ding | 33 | 294.6 | 244 |
| 252 | Richard Mansell | 46 | 293.9 | 252 |
| 253 | Frankie Capan | 50 | 293.3 | 255 |
| 254 | Calum Hill | 55 | 286.0 | 267 |
| 255 | David Skinns | 51 | 285.7 | 251 |
| 256 | Adam Hadwin | 52 | 285.6 | 258 |
| 257 | Quade Cummins | 46 | 284.4 | 263 |
| 258 | Charley Hoffman | 37 | 283.4 | 250 |
| 259 | JC Ritchie | 15 | 282.2 | 283 |
| 260 | Darius van Driel | 55 | 280.5 | 261 |
| 261 | Dan Bradbury | 54 | 280.0 | 265 |
| 262 | Kevin Na | 25 | 279.8 | 257 |
| 263 | Cameron Champ | 50 | 278.6 | 269 |
| 264 | Gregorio De Leo | 31 | 278.0 | 294 |
| 265 | Daniel Rodrigues | 13 | 277.8 | 246 |
| 266 | Johannes Veerman | 50 | 277.1 | 259 |
| 267 | Todd Clements | 56 | 275.9 | 262 |
| 268 | Dylan Wu | 50 | 275.3 | 260 |
| 269 | Kevin Streelman | 34 | 273.0 | 276 |
| 270 | Taylor Montgomery | 51 | 272.6 | 266 |
| 271 | Davis Bryant | 32 | 271.9 | 304 |
| 272 | Casey Jarvis | 63 | 269.5 | 268 |
| 273 | Guido Migliozzi | 51 | 268.4 | 264 |
| 274 | Bronson Burgoon | 28 | 268.3 | 274 |
| 275 | Joakim Lagergren | 43 | 267.7 | 270 |
| 276 | Chandler Blanchet | 50 | 267.3 | 280 |
| 277 | Kota Kaneko | 32 | 267.3 | 311 |
| 278 | Andrea Pavan | 51 | 265.0 | 275 |
| 279 | Seung-Yul Noh | 11 | 263.7 | 279 |
| 280 | Stewart Cink | 10 | 263.2 | 281 |
| 281 | Sam Horsfield | 34 | 263.1 | 271 |
| 282 | Adam Svensson | 56 | 261.5 | 272 |
| 283 | Rafa Cabrera Bello | 58 | 260.6 | 303 |
| 284 | Hank Lebioda | 48 | 260.5 | 273 |
| 285 | Paul Peterson | 57 | 257.4 | 278 |
| 286 | Noah Goodwin | 50 | 257.1 | 282 |
| 287 | Nacho Elvira | 55 | 255.1 | 277 |
| 288 | Ricardo Gouveia | 58 | 251.0 | 314 |
| 289 | John Pak | 51 | 250.5 | 295 |
| 290 | Jeremy Paul | 55 | 250.4 | 298 |
| 291 | Andy Ogletree | 28 | 250.2 | 287 |
| 292 | Alejandro Del Rey | 52 | 250.1 | 284 |
| 293 | Kazuma Kobori | 47 | 248.5 | 285 |
| 294 | Mito Pereira | 23 | 248.3 | 289 |
| 295 | Marcel Schneider | 55 | 248.2 | 302 |
| 296 | Jacques Kruyswijk | 45 | 246.7 | 293 |
| 297 | Young-han Song | 28 | 241.6 | 343 |
| 298 | Bernd Wiesberger | 53 | 241.6 | 316 |
| 299 | Eddie Pepperell | 35 | 241.3 | 286 |
| 300 | Jason Scrivener | 51 | 238.6 | 292 |
| 301 | Frederic LaCroix | 46 | 238.2 | 301 |
| 302 | Richard Sterne | 40 | 238.1 | 296 |
| 303 | Brandon Stone | 49 | 238.0 | 291 |
| 304 | Vincent Norrman | 15 | 236.8 | 308 |
| 305 | Tom Vaillant | 52 | 235.4 | 307 |
| 306 | Ian Gilligan | 27 | 233.9 | 288 |
| 307 | Doc Redman | 44 | 232.5 | 297 |
| 308 | Brendan Valdez | 13 | 232.5 | 306 |
| 309 | Pontus Nyholm | 53 | 231.6 | 300 |
| 310 | Yu-bin Jang | 10 | 231.4 | 309 |
| 311 | Paul Waring | 41 | 230.5 | 305 |
| 312 | KH Lee | 33 | 229.2 | 290 |
| 313 | Patton Kizzire | 50 | 227.3 | 299 |
| 314 | Herman Loubser | 9 | 227.3 | 313 |
| 315 | Andrew Johnston | 21 | 226.2 | 344 |
| 316 | Romain Langasque | 55 | 220.7 | 310 |
| 317 | Freddy Schott | 45 | 219.1 | 312 |
| 318 | Danny Willett | 45 | 214.3 | 323 |
| 319 | Ben Schmidt | 41 | 213.8 | 315 |
| 320 | Oihan Guillamoundeguy | 14 | 212.4 | 321 |
| 321 | Brandon Robinson Thompson | 51 | 212.3 | 320 |
| 322 | Thomas Rosenmuller | 10 | 211.9 | 327 |
| 323 | Ben Carr | 11 | 211.9 | 354 |
| 324 | Harry Higgs | 55 | 211.9 | 318 |
| 325 | Joseph Bramlett | 50 | 211.7 | 317 |
| 326 | Chieh-po Lee | 34 | 210.4 | 329 |
| 327 | Will Gordon | 53 | 210.4 | 319 |
| 328 | Darren Fichardt | 34 | 207.7 | 334 |
| 329 | Daniel van Tonder | 20 | 206.6 | 333 |
| 330 | Luke List | 54 | 206.1 | 330 |
| 331 | Kensei Hirata | 50 | 205.3 | 324 |
| 332 | Adrian Otaegui | 59 | 204.5 | 325 |
| 333 | Hunter Eichhorn | 22 | 202.4 | 322 |
| 334 | Danny Lee | 35 | 201.8 | 345 |
| 335 | Jeff Winther | 48 | 201.8 | 328 |
| 336 | Fabrizio Zanotti | 42 | 200.3 | 326 |
| 337 | Niklas Lemke | 28 | 196.5 | 331 |
| 338 | Ding Wenyi | 10 | 196.5 | 340 |
| 339 | Thomas Rosenmueller | 35 | 195.9 | 335 |
| 340 | Francesco Molinari | 37 | 195.6 | 341 |
| 341 | Will Chandler | 50 | 195.5 | 337 |
| 342 | Sam Bairstow | 55 | 195.3 | 336 |
| 343 | Yosuke Asaji | 26 | 194.9 | 338 |
| 344 | Ren Yonezawa | 19 | 194.1 | 342 |
| 345 | Seungbin Choi | 8 | 194.0 | 339 |
| 346 | Justin Hastings | 20 | 193.8 | 332 |
| 347 | Manuel Elvira | 61 | 193.7 | 366 |
| 348 | Jonathan Byrd | 27 | 189.5 | 351 |
| 349 | Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 56 | 186.3 | 346 |
| 350 | Hayden Buckley | 51 | 184.2 | 352 |
| 351 | Tapio Pulkkanen | 29 | 183.5 | 356 |
| 352 | Taylor Dickson | 50 | 182.9 | 350 |
| 353 | Michael Johnson | 50 | 182.7 | 349 |
| 354 | Camilo Villegas | 53 | 181.3 | 353 |
| 355 | Jeffrey Kang | 49 | 181.3 | 371 |
| 356 | Cooper Dossey | 49 | 181.2 | 369 |
| 357 | Rikuya Hoshino | 52 | 181.1 | 361 |
| 358 | Sebastian Soderberg | 40 | 180.9 | 348 |
| 359 | Yanhan Zhou | 11 | 178.4 | 450 |
| 360 | Yuto Katsuragawa | 47 | 176.6 | 368 |
| 361 | Travis Smyth | 31 | 176.4 | 467 |
| 362 | Matthew NeSmith | 14 | 175.9 | 357 |
| 363 | Jimmy Stanger | 16 | 175.3 | 347 |
| 364 | Marcus Kinhult | 50 | 175.0 | 358 |
| 365 | Richie Ramsay | 48 | 174.5 | 359 |
| 366 | Ian Holt | 38 | 174.3 | 360 |
| 367 | Curtis Luck | 8 | 172.8 | 367 |
| 368 | Jonathan Goth-rasmussen | 9 | 171.8 | 374 |
| 369 | Ryan Moore | 14 | 171.5 | 365 |
| 370 | Michael La Sasso | 14 | 171.2 | 355 |
| 371 | Marcel Siem | 48 | 171.2 | 362 |
| 372 | Nick Hardy | 54 | 171.0 | 364 |
| 373 | Trevor Cone | 50 | 169.7 | 363 |
| 374 | Nicolai von Dellingshausen | 47 | 164.8 | 370 |
| 375 | Ross Steelman | 48 | 164.5 | 397 |
| 376 | Jens Dantorp | 54 | 163.0 | 373 |
| 377 | Ashun Wu | 32 | 161.5 | 372 |
| 378 | Davis Shore | 54 | 161.2 | 376 |
| 379 | Seung-taek Lee | 29 | 160.6 | 378 |
| 380 | Davis Lamb | 25 | 159.6 | 387 |
| 381 | Mitchell Meissner | 51 | 159.3 | 375 |
| 382 | Alexander Levy | 35 | 159.2 | 409 |
| 383 | Benjamin Hebert | 25 | 156.4 | 382 |
| 384 | Andrew Wilson | 34 | 156.1 | 380 |
| 385 | Scott Jamieson | 52 | 156.0 | 377 |
| 386 | Yubin Jang | 12 | 155.6 | 386 |
| 387 | David Ravetto | 58 | 154.4 | 390 |
| 388 | Kieran Vincent | 34 | 154.2 | 384 |
| 389 | Joel Girrbach | 60 | 153.9 | 417 |
| 390 | Dylan Frittelli | 55 | 153.0 | 381 |
| 391 | Ivan Cantero Gutierrez | 57 | 152.4 | 406 |
| 392 | Joe Dean | 47 | 151.7 | 427 |
| 393 | Robby Shelton | 50 | 151.6 | 405 |
| 394 | Hugo Townsend | 12 | 151.4 | 379 |
| 395 | Connor Syme | 50 | 150.0 | 383 |
| 396 | Alistair Docherty | 51 | 149.4 | 389 |
| 397 | Shimizu Taisei | 14 | 148.8 | 394 |
| 398 | Caleb VanArragon | 40 | 148.7 | 385 |
| 399 | Sean Crocker | 50 | 148.5 | 388 |
| 400 | Cole Sherwood | 47 | 147.6 | 399 |
Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.
Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol Power Ratings

Dates: May 28-31, 2026. Venue: Golfclub Kitzbühel-Schwarzsee-Reith, Kitzbühel, Austria. Purse: $2.75 million.

| Pick | Player | Power number | Observed Odds | Course fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sami Valimaki | 59.5 | 25-1 | 73.0 |
| 2 | Daniel Hillier | 63.2 | 40-1 | 72.2 |
| 3 | Jayden Schaper | 63.2 | 40-1 | 72.6 |
| 4 | Jacob Skov Olesen | 65.2 | 50-1 | 73.0 |
| 5 | Angel Ayora | 65.3 | 50-1 | 72.9 |
| 6 | Hennie du Plessis | 66.2 | 60-1 | 72.5 |
| 7 | Antoine Rozner | 66.3 | 60-1 | 73.1 |
| 8 | Gregorio De Leo | 66.6 | 65-1 | 73.0 |
| 9 | Nathan Kimsey | 66.7 | 65-1 | 72.4 |
| 10 | Oliver Lindell | 66.7 | 65-1 | 72.9 |
| 11 | Kevin Na | 66.9 | 65-1 | |
| 12 | Casey Jarvis | 67.1 | 70-1 | 72.7 |
| 13 | Wenyi Ding | 67.2 | 70-1 | 73.3 |
| 14 | Jorge Campillo | 67.3 | 70-1 | 72.8 |
| 15 | Ricardo Gouveia | 67.5 | 75-1 | 72.5 |
| 16 | Marcus Armitage | 67.5 | 75-1 | 72.9 |
| 17 | Martin Couvra | 67.7 | 75-1 | 73.5 |
| 18 | Eugenio Chacarra | 67.9 | 80-1 | 73.0 |
| 19 | JC Ritchie | 67.9 | 80-1 | 73.2 |
| 20 | Mikael Lindberg | 68.0 | 80-1 | 72.9 |
| 21 | Francesco Laporta | 68.1 | 80-1 | 72.9 |
| 22 | Thriston Lawrence | 68.2 | 85-1 | 73.3 |
| 23 | Richard Mansell | 68.3 | 85-1 | |
| 24 | Danny Willett | 68.7 | 90-1 | |
| 25 | Matthew Jordan | 69.5 | 100-1 | 72.9 |
| 26 | Alexander Levy | 69.6 | 100-1 | 73.1 |
| 27 | Ewen Ferguson | 70.0 | 100-1 | 72.8 |
| 28 | Daniel Rodrigues | 70.0 | 100-1 | 72.5 |
| 29 | Davis Bryant | 70.1 | 100-1 | 73.0 |
| 30 | Fabrizio Zanotti | 70.2 | 100-1 | |
| 31 | Yanhan Zhou | 70.3 | 100-1 | |
| 32 | Calum Hill | 70.4 | 100-1 | 73.0 |
| 33 | Julien Guerrier | 70.5 | 100-1 | 72.8 |
| 34 | Oihan Guillamoundeguy | 70.5 | 100-1 | 72.7 |
| 35 | Ben Schmidt | 70.6 | 100-1 | 72.8 |
| 36 | Andrew Wilson | 70.8 | 100-1 | |
| 37 | Nacho Elvira | 71.0 | 100-1 | 73.3 |
| 38 | Andy Sullivan | 71.1 | 100-1 | 73.3 |
| 39 | Joost Luiten | 71.3 | 100-1 | 73.0 |
| 40 | Lucas Bjerregaard | 71.4 | 100-1 | |
| 41 | Hamish Brown | 71.4 | 100-1 | |
| 42 | Alejandro Del Rey | 71.5 | 100-1 | 73.4 |
| 43 | Dan Bradbury | 71.5 | 100-1 | 72.4 |
| 44 | Rafa Cabrera Bello | 71.7 | 150-1 | 72.7 |
| 45 | Kazuma Kobori | 71.7 | 150-1 | 73.5 |
| 46 | Bernd Wiesberger | 72.1 | 150-1 | 73.0 |
| 47 | Sebastian Soderberg | 72.3 | 150-1 | 72.6 |
| 48 | Brandon Stone | 72.5 | 150-1 | 72.3 |
| 49 | Tom Vaillant | 72.5 | 150-1 | 72.8 |
| 50 | Grant Forrest | 72.6 | 150-1 | 72.6 |
| 51 | Veer Ahlawat | 72.6 | 150-1 | |
| 52 | Simon Forsstrom | 72.7 | 150-1 | |
| 53 | Jason Scrivener | 72.7 | 150-1 | 72.6 |
| 54 | Marcel Schneider | 72.8 | 150-1 | 73.6 |
| 55 | Callum Tarren | 72.8 | 150-1 | |
| 56 | Guido Migliozzi | 72.9 | 150-1 | 73.9 |
| 57 | Richie Ramsay | 73.0 | 150-1 | |
| 58 | Joakim Lagergren | 73.0 | 150-1 | 73.6 |
| 59 | Darius van Driel | 73.0 | 150-1 | 73.2 |
| 60 | Freddy Schott | 73.1 | 150-1 | 73.2 |
| 61 | Jeong Weon Ko | 73.1 | 150-1 | |
| 62 | Richard Sterne | 73.1 | 150-1 | 72.7 |
| 63 | Albin Bergstrom | 73.3 | 200-1 | |
| 64 | Scott Jamieson | 73.3 | 200-1 | 73.8 |
| 65 | Frederic LaCroix | 73.6 | 200-1 | 72.5 |
| 66 | Niklas Lemke | 73.6 | 200-1 | 72.4 |
| 67 | Zander Lombard | 73.6 | 200-1 | 73.5 |
| 68 | Todd Clements | 73.8 | 200-1 | 73.1 |
| 69 | Brandon Robinson Thompson | 74.0 | 200-1 | 72.9 |
| 70 | Yuvraj Sandhu | 74.2 | 200-1 | |
| 71 | Michael Hollick | 74.2 | 200-1 | 73.1 |
| 72 | Romain Langasque | 74.2 | 200-1 | 73.0 |
| 73 | Andreas Halvorsen | 74.3 | 200-1 | 72.4 |
| 74 | Niklas Norgaard | 74.4 | 200-1 | 73.4 |
| 75 | Felix Mory | 74.4 | 200-1 | |
| 76 | Hugo Townsend | 74.5 | 200-1 | 73.6 |
| 77 | Anthony Quayle | 74.6 | 200-1 | 73.0 |
| 78 | Francesco Molinari | 74.6 | 200-1 | 73.0 |
| 79 | Joel Girrbach | 74.7 | 200-1 | 72.9 |
| 80 | Jonathan Broomhead | 74.7 | 200-1 | 72.6 |
| 81 | Matteo Manassero | 74.8 | 200-1 | 73.7 |
| 82 | Daan Huizing | 74.8 | 200-1 | |
| 83 | Joe Dean | 75.0 | 250-1 | 72.9 |
| 84 | Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 75.0 | 250-1 | 73.1 |
| 85 | Sam Bairstow | 75.2 | 250-1 | 72.6 |
| 86 | Andrew Johnston | 75.3 | 250-1 | 72.4 |
| 87 | Eddie Pepperell | 75.4 | 250-1 | 73.0 |
| 88 | Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano | 75.5 | 250-1 | |
| 89 | Marcus Helligkilde | 75.5 | 250-1 | |
| 90 | Tobias Jonsson | 75.5 | 250-1 | 72.5 |
| 91 | Yurav Premlall | 75.6 | 250-1 | 74.0 |
| 92 | Daniel Young | 75.6 | 250-1 | 73.3 |
| 93 | Jeff Winther | 75.6 | 250-1 | 74.2 |
| 94 | David Micheluzzi | 75.7 | 250-1 | 73.7 |
| 95 | Scott Woltering | 75.7 | 250-1 | |
| 96 | Paul Waring | 75.7 | 250-1 | 73.3 |
| 97 | Gavin Green | 75.7 | 250-1 | |
| 98 | Lars Van Der Vight | 75.8 | 250-1 | |
| 99 | Ashun Wu | 75.9 | 250-1 | |
| 100 | Marcus Kinhult | 76.0 | 250-1 | 73.2 |
| 101 | Fred Biondi | 76.0 | 250-1 | 73.3 |
| 102 | Michael Feuerstein | 76.2 | 250-1 | |
| 103 | Maximilian Kieffer | 76.3 | 250-1 | |
| 104 | David Law | 76.4 | 250-1 | 73.0 |
| 105 | Jack Buchanan | 76.4 | 250-1 | 72.8 |
| 106 | Cameron Adam | 76.5 | 250-1 | 72.3 |
| 107 | Johannes Veerman | 76.6 | 250-1 | 73.5 |
| 108 | Adrian Otaegui | 76.6 | 250-1 | 73.0 |
| 109 | Marcel Siem | 76.6 | 250-1 | 73.6 |
| 110 | Dylan Frittelli | 76.7 | 250-1 | 74.0 |
| 111 | Jack Senior | 77.0 | 250-1 | 73.1 |
| 112 | Sadom Kaewkanjana | 77.1 | 250-1 | 73.2 |
| 113 | Ivan Cantero Gutierrez | 77.1 | 250-1 | 73.5 |
| 114 | Sebastian Garcia Grout | 77.2 | 250-1 | 72.9 |
| 115 | Jordan Gumberg | 77.4 | 250-1 | 72.1 |
| 116 | Stefano Mazzoli | 77.4 | 250-1 | 72.3 |
| 117 | Guus Lafeber | 77.5 | 250-1 | |
| 118 | Nevill Ruiter | 77.5 | 250-1 | |
| 119 | Mason Howell | 77.5 | 250-1 | |
| 120 | Pieter Werner | 77.5 | 250-1 | |
| 121 | Wouter De Vries | 77.5 | 250-1 | |
| 122 | Jerry Ji | 77.5 | 250-1 | |
| 123 | Floris de Haas | 77.5 | 250-1 | |
| 124 | Jack Yule | 77.5 | 250-1 | |
| 125 | Logan Hunter | 77.5 | 250-1 | |
| 126 | Robin Williams | 77.5 | 250-1 | 72.7 |
| 127 | Adri Arnaus | 77.6 | 250-1 | 73.1 |
| 128 | James Morrison | 77.7 | 250-1 | 73.3 |
| 129 | Yannik Paul | 77.8 | 250-1 | 73.4 |
| 130 | Jens Dantorp | 77.8 | 250-1 | 73.0 |
| 131 | Angel Hidalgo | 77.9 | 250-1 | 73.5 |
| 132 | Rocco Paolo Repetto Taylor | 77.9 | 250-1 | 73.0 |
| 133 | Wil Besseling | 77.9 | 250-1 | |
| 134 | Maximilian Steinlechner | 78.0 | 250-1 | 73.3 |
| 135 | Rikuya Hoshino | 78.1 | 250-1 | 74.3 |
| 136 | Yuto Katsuragawa | 78.2 | 250-1 | 73.7 |
| 137 | Romain Wattel | 78.2 | 250-1 | |
| 138 | Connor Syme | 78.3 | 250-1 | 73.4 |
| 139 | Ryan Van Velzen | 78.4 | 250-1 | 72.9 |
| 140 | Benjamin Follet-Smith | 78.4 | 250-1 | 72.8 |
| 141 | Clement Charmasson | 78.4 | 250-1 | 72.9 |
| 142 | Sean Crocker | 78.4 | 250-1 | 72.5 |
| 143 | Kristoffer Broberg | 78.6 | 250-1 | |
| 144 | David Ravetto | 78.6 | 250-1 | 72.8 |
| 145 | Euan Walker | 78.7 | 250-1 | 74.3 |
| 146 | Lars van Meijel | 78.7 | 250-1 | |
| 147 | Ryggs Johnston | 78.9 | 250-1 | 73.6 |
| 148 | Quentin Debove | 79.0 | 250-1 | 72.4 |
| 149 | Pablo Larrazabal | 79.1 | 250-1 | 73.9 |
| 150 | Matthew Baldwin | 79.6 | 250-1 | 72.9 |
| 151 | Joshua Berry | 79.8 | 250-1 | 73.2 |
| 152 | Ryan Peake | 80.0 | 250-1 | 73.0 |
| 153 | Renato Paratore | 80.1 | 250-1 | 73.4 |
| 154 | Mike Toorop | 80.1 | 250-1 | 73.5 |
| 155 | Quim Vidal | 80.5 | 250-1 | 73.6 |
| 156 | Filippo Celli | 80.7 | 250-1 | 73.4 |
| 157 | Nicolai von Dellingshausen | 80.8 | 250-1 | 73.6 |
| 158 | Connor McKinney | 81.1 | 250-1 | 73.5 |
| 159 | Andres Gallegos | 83.4 | 250-1 | 73.9 |
| 160 | Dylan Naidoo | 83.7 | 250-1 | 74.2 |
| 161 | Ross Fisher | 84.4 | 250-1 | 73.3 |
| 162 | Daniel Gavins | 88.9 | 250-1 | 76.0 |
Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.
A look at the Charles Schwab Challenge
I love this place!
Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed between 2018 and 2025. A value of about .601 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .269 puts a player in the top 10 percent.
| Player | Value |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 0.539 |
| Lucas Glover | 0.518 |
| Emiliano Grillo | 0.510 |
| Brian Harman | 0.490 |
| Tony Finau | 0.466 |
| Rickie Fowler | 0.448 |
| Gary Woodland | 0.410 |
| Harry Hall | 0.366 |
Top of the heap
The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.
| Player | Rank | Rating |
| Russell Henley | 4 | 2163.8 |
| Ludvig Aberg | 6 | 2115.9 |
| Justin Thomas | 11 | 1912.3 |
| Rickie Fowler | 19 | 1569.4 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 20 | 1560.3 |
| Ben Griffin | 21 | 1534.5 |
| JJ Spaun | 22 | 1529.0 |
| Robert Macintyre | 25 | 1514.1 |
Sorry, can't make it
The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not among this event’s entries.
| Player | Rank | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 1 | 3540.8 |
| Xander Schauffele | 2 | 2380.4 |
| Rory McIlroy | 3 | 2344.7 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 5 | 2160.5 |
Ooh, that's hot
Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.
| Player | Upward Change |
|---|---|
| Alex Smalley | 2103.9 |
| Ludvig Aberg | 1528.9 |
| Rickie Fowler | 1365.5 |
| Matt McCarty | 944.7 |
| Eric Cole | 837.6 |
| Austin Eckroat | 834.8 |
| Ben Griffin | 800.5 |
| Zach Bauchou | 706.9 |
Brr, that's cold
Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.
| Player | Downward change |
|---|---|
| Russell Henley | -950.5 |
| Sahith Theegala | -674.0 |
| Ryan Gerard | -845.2 |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | -667.5 |
| Nico Echavarria | -672.6 |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | -737.3 |
| Lee Hodges | -667.6 |
| JT Poston | -696.7 |
Certain skills required
Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Colonial Country Club course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.
| Stat value | Statistic |
|---|---|
| 0.16 | Driving accuracy |
| 0.13 | Driving distance |
| 0.10 | Greens in regulation |
| 0.10 | Putts per GIR |
Location, location, location
Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.
| Course fit | Player |
|---|---|
| Lucas Glover | 71.44 |
| Joel Dahmen | 71.46 |
| Andrew Putnam | 71.78 |
| Kensei Hirata | 71.92 |
| David Lipsky | 71.93 |
| Russell Henley | 72.08 |
| Matt Kuchar | 72.14 |
| David Ford | 72.18 |
Anyplace but here
Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above
| Course fit | Player |
|---|---|
| Jeffrey Kang | 74.01 |
| Pontus Nyholm | 73.89 |
| Nick Dunlap | 73.75 |
| Christo Lamprecht | 73.60 |
| Alejandro Tosti | 73.49 |
| Zecheng Dou | 73.39 |
| Camilo Villegas | 73.34 |
| Danny Walker | 73.33 |
Staying close to home
Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2026 and Orlando FL, the event host city.
| Player | Home | Miles |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Palmer | Colleyville TX | 17 |
| Hayden Springer | Trophy Club TX | 22 |
| Taylor Moore | Dallas TX | 33 |
| Zecheng Dou | Dallas TX | 33 |
| Mac Meissner | Dallas TX | 33 |
| Austin Smotherman | Dallas TX | 33 |
| Tom Kim | Dallas TX | 33 |
| Pierceson Coody | Plano TX | 44 |
Mathematically speaking
The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.
| Statistic | Correlation to results |
|---|---|
| Top of the heap | 0.373 |
| I love this place | -0.181 |
| Ooh, that’s hot | -0.117 |
| Location, location, location | 0.004 |
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