A quick and accurate look at this week's professional golf.
Fantasy golf
PGA Tour logo featuring a golfer in motion, symbolizing professional golf and representing the organization’s brand and events

Truist Championship Power Ratings

Dates: May 7-10, 2026. Venue: Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte NC. Purse: $4 million.

A golfer wearing a blue cap and white jacket, focused and engaged
Scottie Scheffler
PickPlayerPower numberObserved Odds
1Xander Schauffele0.018-1
2Matt Fitzpatrick6.924-1
3Ludvig Aberg11.225-1
4Cameron Young13.525-1
5Patrick Cantlay13.625-1
6Si Woo Kim17.130-1
7Rory McIlroy18.735-1
8Robert Macintyre19.735-1
9Justin Thomas21.435-1
10Jake Knapp21.735-1
11Maverick McNealy22.840-1
12Sam Burns23.140-1
13Tommy Fleetwood24.340-1
14Hideki Matsuyama24.940-1
15Collin Morikawa28.250-1
16Ben Griffin28.250-1
17Rickie Fowler28.650-1
18Sepp Straka30.555-1
19Harris English30.655-1
20Jordan Spieth30.955-1
21Jason Day32.055-1
22JJ Spaun32.460-1
23Adam Scott32.860-1
24Akshay Bhatia33.060-1
25Justin Rose33.760-1
26Alex Smalley35.770-1
27Jacob Bridgeman35.970-1
28Min Woo Lee36.470-1
29Viktor Hovland36.975-1
30Harry Hall37.575-1
31Alex Noren37.975-1
32Keegan Bradley38.180-1
33Matt McCarty38.580-1
34Kurt Kitayama38.680-1
35Chris Gotterup39.280-1
36Nick Taylor39.985-1
37Sam Stevens40.285-1
38Corey Conners40.490-1
39Sahith Theegala40.890-1
40Daniel Berger42.3100-1
41Michael Kim42.4100-1
42Bud Cauley42.5100-1
43Ryan Gerard43.1100-1
44Andrew Novak43.9100-1
45Nicolai Hojgaard44.6100-1
46Ryo Hisatsune44.7100-1
47Denny McCarthy45.1100-1
48Gary Woodland45.6100-1
49SungJae Im46.4100-1
50Taylor Pendrith46.5100-1
51JT Poston47.4100-1
52Brian Harman47.6100-1
53Kristoffer Reitan48.0100-1
54Andrew Putnam48.4100-1
55Pierceson Coody48.9150-1
56Ryan Fox49.0150-1
57Michael Thorbjornsen49.3150-1
58Patrick Rodgers49.8150-1
59Brooks Koepka50.1150-1
60Stephan Jaeger50.5150-1
61Lucas Glover51.9150-1
62Tom Hoge52.1150-1
63Tony Finau52.3150-1
64Keith Mitchell53.2200-1
65Alex Fitzpatrick55.5250-1
66Jordan Smith55.6250-1
67Nico Echavarria55.7250-1
68Aldrich Potgieter55.9250-1
69Max Homa56.2250-1
70Matt Wallace56.2250-1
71Sudarshan Yellamaraju56.3250-1
72David Lipsky57.7300-1
73Ricky Castillo58.6300-1
74Mackenzie Hughes58.6300-1
75Taylor Moore59.3350-1
76Austin Smotherman61.9400-1
77Jhonattan Vegas65.6600-1
78Webb Simpson65.7600-1
79Brian Campbell71.62000-1
80Chandler Blanchet74.12000-1

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A golfer wearing a blue cap and white jacket, focused and engaged
Scottie Scheffler has been no. 1 for 154 consecutive weeks.

Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (Apr. 28, 2026)

#Thru May 5, 2026EventsHawley ratingPrevious week
1Scottie Scheffler443556.61
2Xander Schauffele382397.32
3Russell Henley412247.43
4Rory McIlroy472243.94
5Tommy Fleetwood532161.55
6Patrick Cantlay411948.27
7Matt Fitzpatrick501933.39
8Ludvig Aberg431926.28
9Collin Morikawa451902.56
10Cameron Young501878.311
11Jon Rahm401869.410
12Sepp Straka511766.014
13Justin Thomas401706.313
14Si Woo Kim591683.317
15Sam Burns501681.312
16Maverick McNealy531655.315
17Jake Knapp441620.818
18Hideki Matsuyama501605.016
19Robert MacIntyre591601.319
20Jackson Koivun91558.120
21Bryson DeChambeau371522.021
22Rickie Fowler431504.928
23Ben Griffin651501.029
24Jordan Spieth411496.125
25JJ Spaun531488.626
26Viktor Hovland441484.322
27Akshay Bhatia561456.027
28Harris English501450.123
29Jacob Bridgeman561441.224
30Corey Conners511412.030
31Shane Lowry561393.334
32Justin Rose441369.631
33Jason Day401367.733
34Keegan Bradley451360.132
35Min Woo Lee491354.136
36Adam Scott471335.638
37Tyrrell Hatton501333.435
38Harry Hall541285.937
39Alex Noren391272.041
40Chris Gotterup541233.439
41Kurt Kitayama461211.942
42Daniel Berger501211.040
43Nicolai Hojgaard551151.744
44Nick Taylor531139.449
45Andrew Novak551109.543
46Aaron Rai511106.645
47Denny McCarthy481093.147
48Bud Cauley441092.346
49Sam Stevens601076.252
50Alex Smalley551066.561
51Taylor Pendrith501054.248
52Lucas Glover461048.560
53Brian Harman521040.851
54Matt McCarty611038.464
55JT Poston501026.550
56Brooks Koepka391014.554
57Ryan Gerard641010.357
58Michael Thorbjornsen491006.053
59Michael Kim601005.963
60Patrick Reed541005.258
61Sahith Theegala521003.856
62Sungjae Im45996.655
63Wyndham Clark51995.059
64Ryan Fox52992.062
65Joaquin Niemann44974.367
66Gary Woodland47964.166
67Ryo Hisatsune62953.365
68Max Greyserman53933.468
69Davis Thompson50915.970
70Tony Finau45911.471
71Thomas Detry54909.572
72Patrick Rodgers64906.569
73Eric Cole61896.074
74Rasmus Hojgaard54892.576
75David Puig49888.573
76Sebastian Munoz32888.377
77Carlos Ortiz36878.978
78Abraham Ancer35878.080
79Nico Echavarria55874.475
80Christiaan Bezuidenhout54871.679
81Stephan Jaeger50870.281
82Dean Burmester44847.084
83Tom Hoge58844.782
84Keith Mitchell53844.183
85Pierceson Coody59808.085
86Billy Horschel44806.386
87Andrew Putnam55796.297
88Paul Casey32785.787
89Cameron Tringale31785.088
90Kristoffer Reitan44784.3102
91Thomas Pieters39784.090
92Marc Leishman34783.689
93Talor Gooch32776.593
94Chris Kirk45776.091
95Branden Grace37770.495
96Byeong Hun An47764.494
97Lee Hodges49756.196
98Kevin Yu53755.298
99Tom McKibbin57750.892
100Will Zalatoris29746.499
101Rico Hoey58736.3100
102Dustin Johnson40716.3104
103Matti Schmid58715.1103
104AJ Ewart13707.4105
105Jhonattan Vegas45704.1101
106Max Homa48702.4106
107Thorbjorn Olesen58702.1108
108Cameron Smith40701.9109
109Matt Wallace61697.7119
110Sami Valimaki55691.6110
111Jordan Smith59687.4107
112Josele Ballester24684.3112
113Seamus Power53683.5111
114Lucas Herbert38682.1113
115Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen45681.9116
116Mac Meissner50677.2114
117Mackenzie Hughes53675.3115
118Austin Eckroat51674.3118
119Victor Perez50673.8117
120Charles Howell25662.0120
121Matt Kuchar40655.7121
122Aldrich Potgieter52649.0143
123Sergio Garcia38646.2122
124Bubba Watson32646.0123
125Marco Penge54642.5124
126Taylor Moore53639.9125
127Beau Hossler53637.9126
128Max McGreevy62637.1127
129Emiliano Grillo50633.9128
130Harold Varner32624.9130
131Louis Oosthuizen39624.0129
132Kevin Roy56623.6131
133Jason Kokrak33615.9134
134Sudarshan Yellamaraju50614.4140
135Doug Ghim53613.8133
136Richard Bland35609.8135
137Haotong Li53605.6136
138Brendan Steele31599.1138
139Caleb Surratt40597.0139
140Charl Schwartzel37592.9141
141Vince Whaley56586.1142
142Anirban Lahiri36584.0145
143David Lipsky53580.2137
144Tom Kim53574.6144
145John Parry49562.6147
146Ricky Castillo55558.8146
147Chad Ramey56553.6148
148Hennie du Plessis9542.0132
149Matthew Wolff27541.8149
150Alex Fitzpatrick57540.1173
151Chandler Phillips52536.1150
152Patrick Fishburn53535.9151
153Karl Vilips43525.8153
154Joel Dahmen54520.8152
155Sam Ryder53517.2155
156Graeme McDowell30512.9156
157Kris Ventura51509.6157
158Mark Hubbard60503.2158
159William Mouw49502.5160
160Jayden Schaper49501.5154
161Joe Highsmith56500.6159
162Wesley Bryan19499.9162
163Hayden Springer52496.6161
164Angel Ayora50488.0163
165Cam Davis45485.3164
166Michael Brennan18474.7166
167Webb Simpson24470.7169
168CT Pan20469.5168
169Austin Smotherman55469.0165
170Peter Uihlein43468.7172
171Garrick Higgo47467.9171
172Jesper Svensson56462.7167
173Phil Mickelson29457.0175
174Andy Sullivan58454.7170
175Davis Riley52448.7178
176Trace Crowe41446.6179
177Antoine Rozner55443.4177
178Oliver Lindell40441.0174
179Jacob Skov Olesen44436.1190
180Daniel Hillier51433.0176
181Lee Westwood26427.5182
182Francesco Laporta41425.3180
183SH Kim50424.6184
184Laurie Canter46421.9186
185Greyson Sigg48418.9187
186Henrik Norlander52418.4188
187Elvis Smylie35418.1181
188Luke Clanton36417.1185
189Justin Lower54416.2189
190Thriston Lawrence60413.3183
191Dan Brown49412.2191
192Nate Lashley34410.6192
193Danny Walker53405.3195
194Carson Young54404.1193
195Johnny Keefer42403.3194
196Takumi Kanaya53402.6196
197Adam Schenk57402.5197
198Richard T Lee24400.5199
199Henrik Stenson23400.2200
200Adrien Dumont de Chassart53394.9202
201Isaiah Salinda49393.1205
202Nick Dunlap48392.7198
203Zach Johnson30392.1204
204Steven Fisk54390.6203
205Martin Couvra40386.4201
206Brandt Snedeker47382.0206
207Jackson Suber52381.7207
208Ewen Ferguson51378.4224
209Scott Vincent35377.8209
210Stewart Cink10377.8210
211Adrian Meronk44376.4211
212David Ford23374.9208
213Lanto Griffin51373.6214
214Marcus Armitage54372.5225
215Zach Bauchou33371.2212
216Ben Campbell33370.5217
217Shaun Norris32368.5218
218Chan Kim53368.3216
219Matteo Manassero49366.0223
220Daniel Rodrigues10360.6280
221Adrien Saddier52360.1221
222Jorge Campillo62358.5213
223Zac Blair50357.5220
224Julien Guerrier52357.1215
225Keita Nakajima43354.8222
226Matthew Jordan52353.0219
227Ugo Coussaud52348.9235
228Matthieu Pavon55345.5227
229Brian Campbell52344.5228
230Erik van Rooyen55342.5229
231Niklas Norgaard56342.5226
232Martin Kaymer36341.6230
233Eugenio Chacarra53340.2234
234Alejandro Tosti48336.5231
235Joost Luiten52334.1233
236Ben Silverman49331.6232
237Ben Kohles54318.6238
238Luis Masaveu26316.5239
239Ian Poulter27315.8240
240Grant Forrest48313.1236
241Mikael Lindberg38312.4271
242Alexander Bjork12311.5245
243Adam Hadwin52311.2241
244Richard Mansell47310.3242
245Charley Hoffman38309.3243
246Wenyi Ding30309.2255
247Dylan Wu49307.6244
248Kelly Kraft11307.1250
249Johannes Veerman51305.2237
250Jinichiro Kozuma33304.2251
251Blades Brown34303.7246
252Taylor Montgomery47302.8247
253Trey Mullinax36301.7249
254Todd Clements56299.2263
255Adam Svensson57297.2248
256Guido Migliozzi51294.5282
257David Skinns50292.4252
258Nathan Kimsey31292.1254
259Kevin Streelman33291.8253
260Zecheng Dou51290.7260
261Matt Jones32290.6256
262Sam Horsfield33289.9257
263Cameron Champ49289.9261
264Kevin Na25289.5259
265Frankie Capan53289.2258
266Calum Hill56287.4262
267Noah Goodwin49284.7264
268Bronson Burgoon29284.1265
269Hank Lebioda49282.9266
270Brice Garnett44281.1267
271Anthony Kim33280.9269
272Casey Jarvis61279.2270
273Darius van Driel55276.1290
274Joakim Lagergren40275.9278
275Quade Cummins50273.2276
276Nacho Elvira55271.6268
277KH Lee34269.9274
278Andrea Pavan53269.6277
279Patton Kizzire48269.4272
280Brandon Stone48268.6273
281Andy Ogletree29265.3279
282Dan Bradbury56261.8275
283Jeremy Paul55260.4285
284John Pak52260.3284
285Chandler Blanchet50254.5281
286Ian Gilligan24253.3288
287Romain Langasque55253.1283
288Jacques Kruyswijk45250.3286
289Frederic LaCroix47246.8289
290Freddy Schott44246.0287
291Mito Pereira24243.0292
292Jason Scrivener51241.4291
293Kazuma Kobori45240.8312
294Justin Hastings17239.8295
295Thomas Rosenmueller31239.4293
296Alejandro Del Rey53237.2296
297Pontus Nyholm54237.0297
298Harry Higgs54234.3301
299Marcel Schneider55233.7313
300Davis Bryant29231.7306
301Brendan Valdez13229.8303
302Brandon Robinson Thompson48229.6298
303Joseph Bramlett49229.3302
304Yu-bin Jang10227.4309
305Herman Loubser9227.3304
306Adrian Otaegui60226.1300
307Paul Peterson57225.7310
308Gregorio De Leo28222.0353
309Daniel van Tonder19221.8294
310Eddie Pepperell35221.6317
311Rafa Cabrera Bello58221.5307
312Doc Redman44221.5311
313Paul Waring42220.7299
314Tom Vaillant51217.4308
315Will Gordon51217.3316
316Richard Sterne37217.3305
317Bernd Wiesberger52216.2336
318Danny Willett44215.9318
319Sam Bairstow54214.4322
320Danny Lee33213.4320
321Will Chandler49213.2321
322JC Ritchie12213.1420
323Chieh-po Lee33212.7323
324Ren Yonezawa19212.4319
325Matthew NeSmith16211.1315
326Vincent Norrman19210.4330
327Hunter Eichhorn20209.1324
328Francesco Molinari37208.3314
329Jonathan Byrd28207.8327
330Niklas Lemke27205.4331
331Kota Kaneko29204.7367
332Hayden Buckley50204.6326
333Ben Schmidt38204.4329
334Seungbin Choi8204.3325
335Luke List54204.3333
336Fabrizio Zanotti41203.7352
337Ricardo Gouveia57202.8356
338Yosuke Asaji24201.3334
339Thomas Rosenmuller14199.8340
340Taylor Dickson51199.4339
341Jeff Winther47199.3337
342Darren Fichardt36199.2342
343Ian Holt35197.3343
344Ding Wenyi10197.2341
345Jimmy Stanger14197.2344
346Sebastian Soderberg40196.0332
347Ben Carr8195.6346
348Tapio Pulkkanen28195.1335
349Michael La Sasso12194.7345
350Trevor Cone51192.9347
351Nick Hardy52192.4348
352Rikuya Hoshino49189.6338
353Young-han Song26186.6351
354Hugo Townsend9186.5328
355Nicolai von Dellingshausen46182.6349
356Kensei Hirata48180.7354
357Marcel Siem49179.3357
358Yuto Katsuragawa45178.7350
359Jeffrey Kang49176.4361
360Camilo Villegas53176.3360
361Richie Ramsay47174.2384
362Ryan Moore16173.5364
363Kiradech Aphibarnrat55172.0359
364Curtis Luck8171.6368
365Edoardo Molinari29170.6355
366Scott Jamieson52170.6358
367Michael Johnson51170.4371
368Manuel Elvira60170.0362
369Jens Dantorp54169.0392
370David Micheluzzi48165.5363
371Connor Syme51165.2365
372Kieran Vincent34164.6374
373Yubin Jang11164.2377
374Mitchell Meissner52164.1376
375Sean Crocker50164.0369
376Andrew Wilson36163.7373
377Brendon Todd27163.5366
378Gordon Sargent22162.7379
379Angel Hidalgo56162.4372
380Ashun Wu34162.2401
381Dylan Frittelli56160.6375
382Kevin Chappell26160.3378
383Cooper Dossey50159.4382
384Seung-taek Lee29159.3383
385Robby Shelton49158.4380
386Benjamin Hebert25156.8386
387Jonathan Goth-rasmussen11155.9397
388Shimizu Taisei15155.1388
389Davis Shore55154.9394
390Davis Chatfield51154.5395
391Marcus Kinhult49154.3404
392Alistair Docherty51154.3390
393Davis Lamb26153.9400
394Yuta Sugiura28153.5393
395Ben Martin37152.8398
396Carson Bacha10151.6399
397Oihan Guillamoundeguy11150.9370
398David Ravetto57149.2396
399Junghwan Lee21149.1403
400Yannik Paul49148.8387

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classicy Power Ratings

Dates: May 7-10, 2026. Venue: Dunes Golf and Beach Club; Myrtle Beach SC. Purse: $4 million.

Davis Thompson
Davis Thompson
PickPlayerPower numberObserved OddsCourse fit
1Davis Thompson50.625-171.0
2Christiaan Bezuidenhout51.530-170.1
3Andrew Putnam51.530-170.4
4Eric Cole52.030-170.5
5Aaron Rai52.030-170.3
6Brooks Koepka52.730-170.9
7Stephan Jaeger53.030-169.4
8Rasmus Hojgaard53.135-170.3
9Max Greyserman54.635-169.8
10Mac Meissner56.045-170.3
11Seamus Power56.845-169.8
12AJ Ewart57.145-169.9
13Austin Eckroat57.145-170.5
14Lee Hodges57.350-169.5
15Jordan Smith58.050-170.7
16John Parry58.455-170.8
17Billy Horschel58.755-169.9
18Hayden Springer59.055-1
19Haotong Li59.760-170.9
20Trace Crowe60.265-1
21Sami Valimaki60.365-170.0
22Karl Vilips60.670-169.6
23Rico Hoey60.670-170.2
24Doug Ghim60.870-169.0
25Max McGreevy60.870-170.4
26Kevin Roy61.175-169.4
27Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen61.175-170.9
28Kevin Yu61.475-169.2
29Taylor Moore62.685-168.5
30Sam Ryder62.890-171.5
31Greyson Sigg62.990-1
32Henrik Norlander63.195-1
33Joel Dahmen63.195-169.5
34Matt Kuchar63.195-167.9
35Tom Kim63.6100-169.9
36Kris Ventura63.6100-168.8
37Chandler Phillips63.8100-169.3
38Emiliano Grillo64.0100-170.0
39Beau Hossler64.0100-169.6
40Austin Smotherman64.0100-171.8
41Chad Ramey64.1100-169.0
42Chan Kim64.6100-1
43Carson Young64.9100-1
44Adrien Dumont de Chassart65.1100-169.6
45David Skinns65.1100-1
46Vince Whaley65.2100-169.2
47Ben Kohles65.6100-1
48Ben Silverman65.6100-1
49Matti Schmid65.8100-168.0
50David Ford65.9100-171.1
51Adam Hadwin66.2100-1
52Zac Blair66.3100-1
53Johnny Keefer66.6150-171.2
54Zach Bauchou66.8150-170.4
55Marco Penge66.9150-169.0
56Casey Jarvis67.1150-170.5
57Dylan Wu67.5150-170.4
58Jeremy Paul67.7150-1
59Dan Brown67.8150-169.8
60Davis Riley67.8150-168.7
61Jesper Svensson68.0150-170.9
62Matthieu Pavon68.1150-169.1
63Blades Brown68.4200-1
64Harry Higgs68.5200-1
65Paul Peterson68.6200-1
66Danny Willett68.6200-1
67Thriston Lawrence68.7200-170.5
68Steven Fisk68.8200-169.6
69Jimmy Stanger69.1200-1
70Takumi Kanaya69.4200-168.9
71Nick Hardy69.6200-1
72Brandt Snedeker69.9250-169.1
73Zecheng Dou70.1250-171.0
74Adam Svensson70.3250-170.7
75Joe Highsmith70.5250-169.8
76Brendon Todd70.6250-1
77Ben Martin71.0300-1
78William Mouw71.2300-169.7
79Trent Phillips71.2300-1
80Hank Lebioda71.3300-169.8
81Martin Laird71.3300-1
82Mark Hubbard71.4300-169.0
83Lanto Griffin71.4300-168.5
84Troy Merritt71.9350-1
85Adrien Saddier72.1350-169.7
86Tyler Duncan72.1350-1
87Luke Clanton72.4400-170.7
88Patrick Fishburn72.5400-168.7
89Patton Kizzire72.9400-170.2
90Danny Walker73.0400-168.9
91Justin Lower73.4400-168.5
92James Hahn73.5400-1
93Brice Garnett73.5400-170.4
94Nick Dunlap73.8500-170.5
95Keita Nakajima74.0500-170.2
96Erik van Rooyen74.2500-168.8
97Kevin Streelman74.6500-169.5
98Ryan Brehm74.7500-1
99Robert Streb74.8500-1
100Aaron Wise75.0500-1
101Jackson Suber75.4600-170.8
102Evan Harmeling75.4600-1
103Ryan Ruffels75.8600-1
104Cam Davis76.2600-169.1
105Tyler Collet76.2600-1
106Adam Schenk76.5600-169.3
107Kensei Hirata76.6600-169.6
108Grant Haefner77.5600-1
109Cooper Hrabak77.5600-1
110Nicholas Marchese77.5600-1
111Wells Williams77.5600-1
112Grayson Wood77.5600-1
113John VanDerLaan77.6600-170.1
114Camilo Villegas77.7600-170.8
115Jeffrey Kang77.8600-170.3
116Garrick Higgo78.0600-168.0
117Rafael Campos78.3600-169.9
118Davis Chatfield78.9600-168.8
119Gordon Sargent79.8600-167.5
120Alejandro Tosti80.9600-168.0
121Peter Malnati82.2600-168.0
122Neal Shipley82.3600-169.9
123Pontus Nyholm83.3600-167.8
124Christo Lamprecht83.5600-168.6
125Marcelo Rozo83.8600-170.1

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A look at the Truist Championship

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed between 2010 and 2016, the latter being the last year the event was played. A value of about .601 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .269 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

PlayerValue
Rory McIlroy0.874
Max Homa0.726
Xander Schauffele0.708
Corey Conners0.706
Tommy Fleetwood0.670
Justin Thomas0.645
Rickie Fowler0.640
Stephan Jaeger0.613

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

PlayerRankRating
Xander Schauffele22397.3
Rory McIlroy42243.9
Tommy Fleetwood52161.5
Patrick Cantlay61948.2
Matt Fitzpatrick71933.3
Ludvig Aberg81926.2
Collin Morikawa91902.5
Cameron Young101878.3

Sorry, can't make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not among this event’s entries.

PlayerRankRating
Scottie Scheffler13556.6
Russell Henley32247.4
Jon Rahm111869.4
Jackson Koivun201558.1

Ooh, that's hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

PlayerUpward Change
Cameron Young2286.5
Ludvig Aberg1677.3
Matt Fitzpatrick1583.2
Kristoffer Reitan1514.3
Alex Smalley1476.5
Alex Fitzpatrick1442.0
Gary Woodland1260.2
Si Woo Kim1235.2

Brr, that's cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

PlayerDownward change
Taylor Pendrith-976.2
Viktor Hovland-775.8
Tommy Fleetwood-880.8
SungJae Im-759.8
Sepp Straka-890.7
Nico Echavarria-856.0
Justin Thomas-951.3
Daniel Berger-825.7

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat valueStatistic
0.19Shots gained off the tee
0.10Shots gained around green
0.09Shots gained putting
0.09Sand saves

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fitPlayer
Adam Scott72.97
Chris Gotterup73.03
Pierceson Coody73.12
Harris English73.13
Rory McIlroy73.14
Taylor Moore73.15
Gary Woodland73.16
Keith Mitchell73.17

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above

Course fitPlayer
Brian Campbell74.76
Webb Simpson74.76
Michael Kim74.72
David Lipsky74.27
Lucas Glover74.26
Andrew Novak74.23
Chandler Blanchet74.22
Jhonattan Vegas74.22

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2026 and Orlando FL, the event host city.

PlayerHomeMiles
Mackenzie HughesCharlotte NC1
Webb SimpsonCharlotte NC1
Alex SmalleyGreensboro NC75
Jacob BridgemanGreenville SC100
Stephan JaegerChattanooga TN250
Andrew NovakSt. Simons Island GA275
Brian HarmanSt. Simons Island GA275
JT PostonSt. Simons Island GA275
Ben GriffinSt. Simons Island GA275
Keith MitchellSt. Simons Island GA275

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

StatisticCorrelation to results
Top of the heap0.372
I love this place-0.181
Ooh, that’s hot-0.117
Location, location, location0.004

Stay updated on the world of golf. 

Learn More