Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (June 30, 2026)

#	Thru Jun 30, 2026	Events	Hawley rating	Previous week
1	Scottie Scheffler	44	3614.5	1
2	Rory McIlroy	47	2353.3	3
3	Tommy Fleetwood	54	2304.2	4
4	Xander Schauffele	39	2281.9	2
5	Russell Henley	42	2157.3	5
6	Matt Fitzpatrick	52	2051.1	7
7	Ludvig Aberg	45	2008.8	6
8	Justin Thomas	42	1995.5	8
9	Jon Rahm	42	1907.6	9
10	Patrick Cantlay	42	1904.2	10
11	Collin Morikawa	44	1881.0	13
12	Sam Burns	51	1856.0	12
13	Cameron Young	49	1812.5	11
14	Jackson Koivun	8	1720.7	15
15	Maverick McNealy	53	1672.2	14
16	JJ Spaun	55	1639.7	19
17	Ben Griffin	64	1637.4	18
18	Si Woo Kim	60	1617.4	16
19	Jake Knapp	40	1551.3	17
20	Viktor Hovland	45	1549.1	25
21	Justin Rose	45	1545.6	21
22	Sepp Straka	51	1532.2	20
23	Hideki Matsuyama	52	1512.3	23
24	Harris English	50	1502.0	22
25	Robert MacIntyre	60	1494.8	24
26	Akshay Bhatia	55	1455.5	30
27	Tyrrell Hatton	50	1424.0	27
28	Bryson DeChambeau	38	1422.3	28
29	Keegan Bradley	46	1397.5	34
30	Jordan Spieth	41	1391.6	26
31	Rickie Fowler	43	1384.4	29
32	Chris Gotterup	53	1373.7	31
33	Corey Conners	52	1371.8	38
34	Wyndham Clark	53	1371.6	39
35	Jacob Bridgeman	58	1345.5	32
36	Aaron Rai	51	1343.7	35
37	Shane Lowry	56	1335.8	36
38	Kurt Kitayama	47	1326.0	37
39	Min Woo Lee	50	1325.5	33
40	Bud Cauley	47	1265.3	44
41	Alex Smalley	57	1237.2	42
42	Joaquin Niemann	47	1222.2	45
43	Alex Noren	40	1219.6	41
44	Adam Scott	47	1219.6	40
45	JT Poston	50	1207.6	43
46	Nicolai Hojgaard	56	1194.9	50
47	Harry Hall	57	1183.8	46
48	Daniel Berger	50	1163.7	51
49	Nick Taylor	54	1163.3	49
50	Jason Day	40	1141.5	47
51	Gary Woodland	48	1136.3	48
52	Denny McCarthy	47	1084.1	57
53	Patrick Reed	52	1083.3	52
54	Andrew Novak	57	1074.9	55
55	Ryan Gerard	63	1069.7	54
56	Ryan Fox	52	1055.1	53
57	Sam Stevens	61	1045.1	56
58	Brian Harman	53	1039.6	58
59	Matt McCarty	60	1026.1	59
60	Michael Kim	62	1003.9	61
61	Eric Cole	59	996.3	60
62	Keith Mitchell	54	995.2	64
63	Kristoffer Reitan	50	949.1	70
64	Michael Thorbjornsen	50	946.8	66
65	David Puig	51	945.5	63
66	Brooks Koepka	40	942.8	67
67	Taylor Pendrith	50	941.9	62
68	Max Greyserman	54	935.7	68
69	Sahith Theegala	54	927.5	65
70	Ryo Hisatsune	64	914.3	71
71	Sungjae Im	53	909.9	72
72	Stephan Jaeger	50	896.6	73
73	Lucas Glover	46	895.5	69
74	Nico Echavarria	56	885.0	75
75	Alex Fitzpatrick	57	876.5	93
76	Dean Burmester	43	872.2	76
77	Tony Finau	46	858.3	74
78	Cameron Smith	41	857.8	78
79	Marc Leishman	35	852.0	79
80	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	54	851.2	80
81	Sebastian Munoz	33	847.4	81
82	Thomas Detry	55	839.9	77
83	Talor Gooch	32	838.3	83
84	Pierceson Coody	61	838.0	82
85	Abraham Ancer	38	829.3	85
86	Tom Hoge	60	828.8	84
87	Dustin Johnson	41	821.4	88
88	Rasmus Hojgaard	54	820.8	86
89	Davis Thompson	49	818.9	87
90	Patrick Rodgers	64	812.6	89
91	Paul Casey	31	811.7	90
92	Carlos Ortiz	38	804.1	91
93	AJ Ewart	17	790.3	94
94	Thomas Pieters	38	773.1	97
95	Andrew Putnam	55	773.0	95
96	Matti Schmid	58	771.6	96
97	Aldrich Potgieter	49	770.0	98
98	Branden Grace	39	767.2	92
99	Will Zalatoris	24	760.4	99
100	Tom McKibbin	58	740.2	100
101	Kevin Yu	53	739.1	103
102	Tom Kim	51	738.8	102
103	Byeong Hun An	46	735.1	104
104	Charles Howell	28	731.3	105
105	Mac Meissner	51	731.1	101
106	Max Homa	47	726.7	106
107	Lucas Herbert	39	723.3	107
108	Chris Kirk	44	715.1	108
109	Rico Hoey	59	710.2	109
110	Victor Perez	48	704.7	110
111	Matt Wallace	61	701.8	113
112	Matt Kuchar	38	693.0	111
113	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	49	683.8	115
114	Cameron Tringale	33	682.7	116
115	Sergio Garcia	39	682.2	114
116	Billy Horschel	46	681.6	112
117	Sami Valimaki	53	678.6	119
118	Jordan Smith	58	678.2	117
119	Doug Ghim	52	677.3	118
120	Harold Varner	33	677.2	120
121	Emiliano Grillo	51	672.5	121
122	Marco Penge	51	671.1	124
123	Taylor Moore	51	667.3	123
124	Lee Hodges	47	664.8	122
125	Mackenzie Hughes	52	659.5	125
126	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	48	654.5	126
127	Bubba Watson	35	648.5	127
128	Thorbjorn Olesen	57	642.6	128
129	Brendan Steele	32	626.3	130
130	Beau Hossler	51	622.7	131
131	Kevin Roy	54	614.5	134
132	Austin Eckroat	50	613.5	133
133	Seamus Power	52	612.0	132
134	Max McGreevy	61	604.1	136
135	Josele Ballester	29	601.6	129
136	Jesper Svensson	54	597.2	137
137	John Parry	55	592.1	138
138	Jhonattan Vegas	48	589.9	135
139	Jason Kokrak	34	588.3	139
140	Richard Bland	36	583.8	140
141	Charl Schwartzel	38	577.7	141
142	Anirban Lahiri	38	573.0	142
143	Louis Oosthuizen	40	566.6	143
144	Jackson Suber	52	565.3	146
145	Haotong Li	53	555.4	144
146	David Lipsky	53	555.0	145
147	Caleb Surratt	42	548.0	147
148	Michael Brennan	23	537.0	149
149	Ricky Castillo	53	537.0	148
150	Sam Ryder	53	536.2	150
151	Ben James	8	525.8
152	Wesley Bryan	15	519.4	152
153	Mark Hubbard	59	518.1	151
154	Vince Whaley	55	516.3	154
155	Patrick Fishburn	53	515.4	153
156	Scott Vincent	36	512.5	156
157	Chandler Phillips	53	509.9	155
158	Chad Ramey	56	499.2	157
159	Angel Ayora	51	498.1	165
160	Phil Mickelson	25	497.5	159
161	Karl Vilips	47	497.0	158
162	William Mouw	47	492.8	160
163	Austin Smotherman	52	486.2	161
164	Oliver Lindell	45	484.6	172
165	Brandt Snedeker	47	480.6	167
166	Garrick Higgo	48	478.2	166
167	Steven Fisk	53	478.1	164
168	Joel Dahmen	54	476.8	163
169	Graeme McDowell	31	471.0	171
170	Jayden Schaper	49	471.0	169
171	Zach Bauchou	37	469.9	168
172	Matthew Wolff	28	468.9	170
173	Daniel Hillier	51	459.8	162
174	Kris Ventura	50	455.8	174
175	Hayden Springer	51	453.8	173
176	Brice Garnett	44	444.9	175
177	Keita Nakajima	44	441.7	177
178	Webb Simpson	22	441.2	176
179	Johnny Keefer	48	439.3	178
180	Joe Highsmith	57	435.6	179
181	SH Kim	44	432.4	180
182	Nate Lashley	30	429.6	184
183	Laurie Canter	46	426.7	183
184	Jacob Skov Olesen	49	424.5	181
185	Eugenio Chacarra	54	424.5	201
186	Peter Uihlein	44	423.4	185
187	Isaiah Salinda	43	422.2	187
188	Henrik Stenson	21	421.2	186
189	Andy Sullivan	57	420.2	188
190	Antoine Rozner	54	414.0	182
191	Greyson Sigg	43	411.0	189
192	Zach Johnson	26	410.6	190
193	Shaun Norris	31	406.3	192
194	Takumi Kanaya	52	406.2	193
195	Dan Brown	45	403.4	194
196	Davis Riley	52	400.6	198
197	Lanto Griffin	51	400.0	197
198	Erik van Rooyen	55	396.4	199
199	Danny Walker	51	390.7	203
200	Francesco Laporta	40	390.6	191
201	Ian Poulter	28	389.8	202
202	Cam Davis	43	388.9	200
203	Marcus Armitage	54	387.7	196
204	Lee Westwood	27	386.7	204
205	Ben Campbell	36	383.1	206
206	Martin Kaymer	35	382.7	207
207	CT Pan	15	376.8	195
208	Jimmy Stanger	17	376.6	209
209	Kelly Kraft	8	372.2	220
210	Ben Kohles	57	372.1	210
211	Adrian Meronk	44	372.0	212
212	Blades Brown	40	370.1	205
213	Anthony Kim	34	369.6	213
214	Trace Crowe	40	368.8	214
215	Justin Lower	52	368.8	211
216	Jorge Campillo	61	368.0	219
217	Martin Couvra	45	367.2	208
218	Ewen Ferguson	52	361.4	224
219	Carson Young	57	360.5	216
220	David Ford	23	359.7	218
221	Elvis Smylie	41	359.0	215
222	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	54	357.9	221
223	Richard T Lee	29	357.4	222
224	Adam Schenk	55	355.7	223
225	Henrik Norlander	52	349.9	227
226	Thriston Lawrence	60	349.4	217
227	Alexander Bjork	10	345.8	230
228	Luke Clanton	37	345.0	226
229	Chan Kim	56	344.4	225
230	Matthieu Pavon	55	343.8	228
231	Hennie du Plessis	14	334.6	232
232	Adrien Saddier	52	332.8	229
233	David Skinns	50	331.9	235
234	Zac Blair	51	331.1	231
235	Nick Dunlap	46	329.2	233
236	Julien Guerrier	51	328.2	236
237	Daniel Rodrigues	15	325.3	283
238	Ben Silverman	49	321.5	238
239	Ugo Coussaud	52	320.0	234
240	Brian Campbell	51	319.8	240
241	Luis Masaveu	30	316.6	241
242	Joost Luiten	53	314.7	237
243	Jinichiro Kozuma	32	314.6	242
244	Calum Hill	55	309.6	247
245	Niklas Norgaard	55	309.5	239
246	Trey Mullinax	36	306.8	244
247	Alejandro Tosti	49	304.6	245
248	Zecheng Dou	48	299.7	246
249	Kota Kaneko	33	298.4	266
250	Joakim Lagergren	45	296.4	275
251	Matteo Manassero	49	295.1	243
252	Frankie Capan	47	293.8	251
253	Todd Clements	56	293.3	263
254	Quade Cummins	43	292.2	252
255	Matt Jones	31	291.7	253
256	Adam Hadwin	53	286.6	249
257	Nathan Kimsey	36	285.7	255
258	Mikael Lindberg	43	285.0	250
259	Grant Forrest	48	285.0	248
260	Matthew Jordan	51	283.9	254
261	Wenyi Ding	35	280.2	257
262	Nacho Elvira	56	280.1	261
263	Cameron Champ	49	278.2	256
264	Kevin Streelman	32	271.4	259
265	Eddie Pepperell	34	270.8	306
266	Stewart Cink	8	269.1	268
267	Richard Mansell	45	268.1	258
268	Bronson Burgoon	26	267.3	269
269	Padraig Harrington	24	267.1	262
270	Dan Bradbury	54	266.9	265
271	Kazuma Kobori	48	266.2	287
272	Darius van Driel	54	265.9	260
273	Dylan Wu	50	264.9	272
274	Chandler Blanchet	49	264.7	271
275	Andrea Pavan	48	264.1	274
276	Taylor Montgomery	52	263.4	278
277	Guido Migliozzi	50	263.0	270
278	Davis Bryant	33	261.2	267
279	Kevin Na	25	259.1	279
280	Richard Sterne	41	258.0	284
281	JC Ritchie	17	257.9	264
282	Sam Horsfield	34	256.4	285
283	Hank Lebioda	47	255.4	286
284	Frederic LaCroix	45	255.1	308
285	Casey Jarvis	61	253.4	276
286	Mito Pereira	22	252.8	288
287	Gregorio De Leo	31	251.6	273
288	Rafa Cabrera Bello	57	250.8	282
289	John Pak	51	250.2	281
290	Paul Peterson	55	248.2	291
291	Johannes Veerman	49	247.1	280
292	Charley Hoffman	38	244.9	277
293	Vincent Norrman	14	242.3	296
294	Adam Svensson	53	241.7	295
295	Ricardo Gouveia	57	241.1	289
296	Noah Goodwin	51	241.0	293
297	Young-han Song	28	240.7	299
298	Bernd Wiesberger	52	239.9	292
299	Jacques Kruyswijk	43	239.4	290
300	Andy Ogletree	28	239.4	301
301	Marcel Schneider	54	238.1	294
302	Jeremy Paul	55	236.7	297
303	Yu-bin Jang	10	235.9	304
304	Brendan Valdez	13	234.7	305
305	Hunter Eichhorn	25	233.4	317
306	Jeff Winther	48	229.2	343
307	Alejandro Del Rey	51	228.2	302
308	Danny Willett	45	227.1	303
309	Pontus Nyholm	51	226.1	312
310	Thomas Rosenmuller	8	225.6	313
311	Andrew Johnston	18	225.6	311
312	Daniel van Tonder	21	224.2	328
313	Harry Higgs	54	224.2	314
314	Jason Scrivener	50	223.8	307
315	Doc Redman	45	222.5	318
316	Romain Langasque	55	222.2	332
317	Seung-Yul Noh	14	221.3	300
318	Tom Vaillant	51	220.9	310
319	Ben Carr	14	220.6	319
320	Maximilian Steinlechner	21	220.4	331
321	Yanhan Zhou	13	219.6	298
322	Darren Fichardt	31	217.7	320
323	Brandon Stone	48	217.7	309
324	Oihan Guillamoundeguy	16	217.6	339
325	Brandon Robinson Thompson	51	214.4	315
326	Chieh-po Lee	34	213.1	322
327	Luke List	51	213.0	323
328	Freddy Schott	43	211.7	316
329	Danny Lee	35	207.3	324
330	Paul Waring	41	205.2	327
331	Sebastian Soderberg	41	205.0	321
332	Patton Kizzire	49	204.2	326
333	Richie Ramsay	47	203.5	371
334	Ben Schmidt	43	201.2	325
335	KH Lee	32	200.5	330
336	Ding Wenyi	10	197.4	336
337	Herman Loubser	10	196.1	340
338	Joseph Bramlett	51	196.0	333
339	Kensei Hirata	50	195.7	338
340	Manuel Elvira	59	195.5	335
341	Ian Gilligan	30	195.0	329
342	Seungbin Choi	8	194.5	342
343	Will Gordon	54	194.0	334
344	Jonathan Byrd	27	193.2	344
345	Taylor Dickson	51	190.9	345
346	Adrian Otaegui	58	190.1	337
347	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	46	189.8	382
348	Fabrizio Zanotti	41	187.5	347
349	Jeffrey Kang	46	186.6	352
350	Michael Johnson	50	185.5	361
351	Thomas Rosenmueller	38	185.1	357
352	Francesco Molinari	36	185.0	341
353	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	55	184.5	346
354	Tapio Pulkkanen	29	182.9	353
355	Will Chandler	53	181.4	350
356	Hayden Buckley	52	180.3	354
357	Sam Bairstow	55	180.2	349
358	Ren Yonezawa	20	180.2	356
359	Niklas Lemke	30	179.4	348
360	Cole Sherwood	48	178.9	377
361	Dylan Frittelli	54	177.0	394
362	Yosuke Asaji	28	175.4	359
363	Travis Smyth	32	174.9	360
364	Joe Dean	46	174.7	355
365	Camilo Villegas	52	174.7	363
366	Yuto Katsuragawa	47	174.5	358
367	Curtis Luck	8	174.4	364
368	Cooper Dossey	49	173.6	367
369	Lorenzo Scalise	14	170.8	624
370	Ross Steelman	48	170.3	381
371	Michael La Sasso	16	170.0	366
372	Angel Hidalgo	57	169.7	390
373	Marcel Siem	48	169.7	362
374	Miles Russell	10	166.7	374
375	Kieran Vincent	33	165.6	375
376	David Ravetto	57	165.5	369
377	Nick Hardy	53	164.9	376
378	Justin Hastings	23	163.4	365
379	Ryan Moore	12	163.3	378
380	Seung-taek Lee	29	163.0	380
381	Marcus Kinhult	50	162.9	373
382	Rikuya Hoshino	50	162.7	368
383	Jens Dantorp	53	162.2	372
384	Scott Jamieson	52	162.0	370
385	Yubin Jang	12	157.7	386
386	Benjamin Hebert	25	157.1	387
387	Alexander Levy	36	156.6	388
388	Ashun Wu	31	156.0	379
389	Trevor Cone	51	154.0	384
390	Davis Shore	54	153.8	385
391	Ian Holt	41	152.7	383
392	Alistair Docherty	50	150.6	391
393	Pablo Ereno Perez	14	150.1	397
394	Matthew Anderson	42	150.1	389
395	Robby Shelton	51	149.3	409
396	Emilio Gonzalez	43	149.1	399
397	Joel Girrbach	59	148.4	392
398	Gordon Sargent	23	148.2	400
399	Andrew Wilson	31	147.2	398
400	Caleb VanArragon	43	146.3	402

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

John Deere Classic Power Ratings

Dates: July 2-5, 2026. Venue: TPC Deere Run; Silvis IL. Purse: $8.8 million.

Jackson Koivun

Pick	Player	Power number	Observed Odds	Course fit
1	Jackson Koivun	14.4	18-1
2	Ben Griffin	22.2	24-1	73.0
3	Chris Gotterup	36.0	40-1	72.1
4	Keegan Bradley	38.4	50-1	72.7
5	JT Poston	38.6	50-1	72.1
6	Jacob Bridgeman	39.4	50-1	72.0
7	Eric Cole	40.4	55-1	72.1
8	Rickie Fowler	41.0	55-1	72.4
9	Jordan Spieth	42.8	60-1	72.4
10	Keith Mitchell	43.1	65-1	72.1
11	Stephan Jaeger	47.9	85-1	73.1
12	Daniel Berger	48.3	90-1	71.6
13	Pierceson Coody	49.7	95-1	72.4
14	Denny McCarthy	50.1	100-1	72.6
15	Michael Kim	50.5	100-1	72.6
16	Tom Kim	50.8	100-1	71.8
17	Ryo Hisatsune	50.9	100-1	72.1
18	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	51.0	100-1	72.1
19	Andrew Novak	51.1	100-1	72.2
20	Sungjae Im	51.2	100-1	73.4
21	AJ Ewart	51.6	100-1	72.6
22	Aldrich Potgieter	52.0	100-1	72.7
23	Max Greyserman	52.7	100-1	72.5
24	Taylor Pendrith	53.0	100-1	72.6
25	Mac Meissner	53.0	100-1	72.1
26	Michael Thorbjornsen	53.1	100-1	72.6
27	Doug Ghim	53.7	100-1	72.5
28	Tony Finau	54.3	100-1	72.7
29	Davis Thompson	54.6	100-1	72.0
30	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	55.7	150-1	72.1
31	Andrew Putnam	56.1	150-1	72.2
32	Taylor Moore	56.4	150-1	73.2
33	Matt Kuchar	56.5	150-1	73.1
34	Max Homa	56.8	150-1	73.0
35	Tom Hoge	56.9	150-1	72.3
36	Patrick Rodgers	57.3	150-1	72.8
37	Matt Wallace	57.5	150-1	72.3
38	Emiliano Grillo	57.7	150-1	72.5
39	Beau Hossler	58.0	150-1	72.8
40	Rico Hoey	58.0	150-1	72.6
41	Kevin Yu	58.6	200-1	72.5
42	Mackenzie Hughes	58.8	200-1	72.9
43	Jackson Suber	59.2	200-1	71.6
44	Austin Eckroat	59.6	200-1	72.0
45	Zach Bauchou	59.8	200-1	72.0
46	Lee Hodges	60.1	200-1	72.3
47	Seamus Power	60.4	250-1	73.0
48	Lucas Glover	60.6	250-1	72.6
49	Max McGreevy	60.9	250-1	71.8
50	Steven Fisk	61.4	250-1	72.9
51	Keita Nakajima	61.5	250-1
52	Kevin Roy	61.6	250-1	73.2
53	Michael Brennan	61.8	250-1	72.7
54	Brice Garnett	62.3	300-1	72.7
55	Johnny Keefer	62.7	300-1	72.0
56	Thorbjorn Olesen	63.0	300-1	72.0
57	Patrick Fishburn	63.1	300-1	72.8
58	Webb Simpson	63.2	350-1
59	Haotong Li	63.5	350-1	71.9
60	Chandler Phillips	63.8	350-1	73.9
61	Kris Ventura	64.0	350-1
62	David Lipsky	64.2	350-1	72.5
63	Ben Kohles	64.3	400-1
64	William Mouw	64.5	400-1	72.3
65	Jimmy Stanger	64.7	400-1	74.4
66	Carson Young	64.7	400-1
67	Austin Smotherman	64.9	400-1	71.6
68	Chad Ramey	65.1	400-1	73.1
69	Erik van Rooyen	65.2	400-1	73.4
70	Lanto Griffin	65.3	400-1	72.9
71	Vince Whaley	65.5	400-1	73.6
72	Karl Vilips	65.7	400-1	72.7
73	Mark Hubbard	66.0	500-1	72.0
74	Joel Dahmen	66.2	500-1	72.0
75	Blades Brown	66.4	500-1
76	Takumi Kanaya	66.5	500-1	73.7
77	Matthieu Pavon	66.5	500-1	73.1
78	Zach Johnson	66.7	500-1
79	Garrick Higgo	66.7	500-1	73.5
80	David Skinns	66.9	500-1
81	Trace Crowe	67.0	500-1
82	Zac Blair	67.2	600-1
83	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	67.4	600-1	72.7
84	Ben Silverman	67.7	600-1
85	Harry Higgs	68.2	600-1
86	Noah Goodwin	68.3	600-1
87	Adam Hadwin	68.5	600-1
88	Jhonattan Vegas	68.9	600-1	73.2
89	Will Gordon	69.7	800-1
90	Luke Clanton	69.9	800-1	71.9
91	Justin Lower	70.1	800-1	73.6
92	Zecheng Dou	70.2	800-1	71.9
93	Paul Peterson	70.6	1000-1
94	Danny Walker	70.7	1000-1	72.6
95	Jeremy Paul	70.7	1000-1
96	Cameron Champ	70.8	1000-1
97	Kevin Streelman	71.0	1000-1	72.7
98	Davis Riley	71.1	1000-1	73.5
99	Joe Highsmith	71.1	1000-1	72.9
100	Dylan Wu	71.6	1000-1	72.1
101	Hank Lebioda	72.0	1000-1	72.4
102	Adam Svensson	72.2	1000-1	72.3
103	Chandler Blanchet	72.2	1000-1	72.5
104	Scott Piercy	72.8	1000-1
105	Camilo Villegas	73.0	1000-1
106	Nick Dunlap	73.2	1000-1	72.1
107	Kensei Hirata	73.3	1000-1	73.3
108	Austin Cook	73.4	1000-1
109	Gordon Sargent	73.5	1000-1
110	Nick Hardy	73.7	1000-1
111	Augusto Nunez	73.7	1000-1
112	Ryan Palmer	73.8	1000-1
113	Pontus Nyholm	73.9	1000-1	73.2
114	Michael Feagles	74.0	1000-1
115	Jeffrey Kang	74.1	1000-1	72.7
116	William McGirt	74.1	1000-1
117	Troy Merritt	74.3	1000-1
118	Alejandro Tosti	74.6	2000-1	74.0
119	Chez Reavie	74.6	2000-1
120	Dylan Frittelli	74.7	2000-1	73.0
121	Seung-Yul Noh	74.7	2000-1
122	Adam Schenk	74.7	2000-1	73.3
123	Luke Gutschewski	74.8	2000-1
124	Fabian Gomez	74.9	2000-1
125	Nicholas Lindheim	75.0	2000-1
126	Aaron Wise	75.0	2000-1
127	Ben Martin	75.1	2000-1
128	Peter Malnati	75.3	2000-1	73.8
129	Martin Laird	75.3	2000-1
130	Rafael Campos	75.3	2000-1
131	Neal Shipley	75.5	2000-1	73.2
132	Jason Dufner	75.6	2000-1
133	Preston Stout	75.7	2000-1
134	Brian Campbell	76.3	2000-1	73.4
135	Chesson Hadley	76.3	2000-1
136	Tommy Gainey	76.6	2000-1
137	Davis Chatfield	76.6	2000-1	73.3
138	Patton Kizzire	77.1	2000-1	72.7
139	Tyler Duncan	0.0	12-1
140	Chan Kim	0.0	12-1
141	Luke List	0.0	12-1
142	Jonathan Byrd	0.0	12-1
143	Hayden Springer	0.0	12-1
144	Patrick Adler	77.5	2000-1
145	Darin Fisher	77.5	2000-1
146	Mason Howell	77.5	2000-1
147	Ryan Voois	77.5	2000-1
148	Christo Lamprecht	77.5	2000-1	74.6
149	Ryan Brehm	77.7	2000-1
150	Robert Streb	77.8	2000-1
151	John Vanderlaan	77.8	2000-1
152	Brendon Todd	78.2	2000-1
153	Adam Long	78.4	2000-1
154	Marcelo Rozo	81.1	2000-1	72.1

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A look at the John Deere Classic

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed between 2018 and 2025. A value of about .601 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .269 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	Value
Lucas Glover	0.752
Denny McCarthy	0.733
Mark Hubbard	0.567
Seamus Power	0.565
Michael Thorbjornsen	0.512
Davis Thompson	0.487
Kevin Yu	0.483
Zach Johnson	0.479

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Jackson Koivun	14	1720.7
Ben Griffin	17	1637.4
Keegan Bradley	29	1397.5
Jordan Spieth	30	1391.6
Rickie Fowler	31	1384.4
Chris Gotterup	32	1373.7
Jacob Bridgeman	35	1345.5
JT Poston	45	1207.6

Sorry, can't make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3614.5
Rory McIlroy	2	2353.3
Tommy Fleetwood	3	2304.2
Xander Schauffele	4	2281.9

Ooh, that's hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward Change
JT Poston	1266.6
Aldrich Potgieter	911.3
Eric Cole	891.2
Ben Griffin	887.2
Jackson Koivun	866.0
Brice Garnett	806.7
Tom Kim	695.9
Zach Bauchou	600.0

Brr, that's cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Rickie Fowler	-1304.8
Jordan Spieth	-1102.7
Lucas Glover	-850.1
Andrew Novak	-825.1
Patrick Rodgers	-672.8
Tom Hoge	-661.0
Michael Thorbjornsen	-656.7
Kevin Roy	-614.5

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the TPC Deere Run course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.18	Shots gained in approach
0.13	Shots gained around the green
0.12	Shots gained off the tee
0.11	Sand saves

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Daniel Berger	71.55
Jackson Suber	71.62
Austin Smotherman	71.63
Tom Kim	71.78
Max McGreevy	71.83
Haotong Li	71.94
Zecheng Dou	71.95
Luke Clanton	71.95

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above

Course fit	Player
Christo Lamprecht	74.6
Jimmy Stanger	74.4
Alejandro Tosti	74.0
Chandler Phillips	73.9
Peter Malnati	73.8
Takumi Kanaya	73.7
Vince Whaley	73.6
Justin Lower	73.6

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2026 and Cromwell CT, the event host city.

Player	Home	Miles
Adam Schenk	Vincennes IN	250
Justin Lower	Uniontown OH	475
Tom Hoge	Fargo ND	475
Lee Hodges	Athens AL	500
Christo Lamprecht	Stillwater OK	525
Peter Malnati	Knoxville TN	525
Stephan Jaeger	Chattanooga TN	525
Max McGreevy	Edmond OK	550
Austin Eckroat	Edmond OK	550
Zach Bauchou	Edmond OK	550
Chris Gotterup	Edmond OK	550

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.373
I love this place	-0.183
Ooh, that’s hot	-0.117
Location, location, location	0.001

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