A quick and accurate look at this week's professional golf.

PGA Championship Power Ratings

Dates: May 14-17, 2026. Venue: Aronimink Golf Club, Newtown Square PA. Purse: $18.65 million (2025).

A golfer wearing a blue cap and white jacket, focused and engaged

Scottie Scheffler

Pick	Player	Power number	Observed Odds	Course fit
1	Scottie Scheffler	-36.4	16-1	78.4
2	Xander Schauffele	-3.7	30-1	79.6
3	Matt Fitzpatrick	0.9	35-1	81.7
4	Cameron Young	2.8	35-1	80.2
5	Ludvig Aberg	3.8	35-1	80.6
6	Russell Henley	4.0	35-1	79.2
7	Patrick Cantlay	4.4	40-1	81.0
8	Si Woo Kim	7.6	40-1	82.2
9	Rory McIlroy	12.2	50-1	79.5
10	Tommy Fleetwood	13.3	50-1	80.2
11	Jon Rahm	14.1	50-1
12	Maverick McNealy	17.7	60-1	80.4
13	Jake Knapp	17.9	60-1	77.4
14	Sam Burns	18.9	60-1	79.7
15	Collin Morikawa	19.4	60-1	81.3
16	Rickie Fowler	20.8	65-1	78.5
17	Robert Macintyre	21.2	65-1	77.9
18	JJ Spaun	21.3	65-1	83.3
19	Hideki Matsuyama	22.0	70-1	79.4
20	Justin Thomas	23.3	70-1
21	Ben Griffin	23.4	70-1	79.9
22	Sepp Straka	25.1	75-1	81.2
23	Bryson DeChambeau	25.2	80-1
24	Harris English	25.8	80-1	79.1
25	Adam Scott	26.0	80-1	80.1
26	Jordan Spieth	27.8	85-1	78.0
27	Akshay Bhatia	28.4	90-1	79.5
28	Jason Day	29.2	90-1	78.3
29	Viktor Hovland	29.8	95-1	81.4
30	Keegan Bradley	30.1	95-1	81.6
31	Kurt Kitayama	30.5	95-1	80.2
32	Min Woo Lee	31.0	100-1	78.7
33	Chris Gotterup	31.1	100-1	80.9
34	Alex Smalley	31.1	100-1	79.5
35	Tyrrell Hatton	31.2	100-1
36	Harry Hall	31.4	100-1	79.1
37	Justin Rose	31.5	100-1	79.5
38	Corey Conners	32.0	100-1	81.9
39	Matt McCarty	32.2	100-1	79.2
40	Nick Taylor	32.8	100-1	79.8
41	Alex Noren	33.4	100-1	79.0
42	Shane Lowry	33.6	100-1	80.1
43	Jacob Bridgeman	34.3	100-1	76.9
44	Sam Stevens	34.6	100-1	80.8
45	Bud Cauley	35.5	100-1	82.2
46	Daniel Berger	36.2	100-1	81.4
47	Nicolai Hojgaard	36.8	100-1	79.6
48	Sahith Theegala	36.9	100-1	78.8
49	Gary Woodland	37.4	100-1	80.3
50	Kristoffer Reitan	37.7	100-1	81.8
51	Davis Thompson	38.2	100-1	83.3
52	Andrew Novak	38.2	100-1	80.5
53	Ryan Gerard	38.3	100-1	79.5
54	Wyndham Clark	38.4	100-1	82.2
55	Ryo Hisatsune	38.8	100-1	80.3
56	Michael Kim	39.2	100-1	78.9
57	SungJae Im	39.8	150-1
58	Andrew Putnam	40.0	150-1	83.4
59	Brooks Koepka	40.3	150-1	86.1
60	Denny McCarthy	40.5	150-1	79.7
61	Aaron Rai	40.8	150-1	81.5
62	JT Poston	40.8	150-1	80.3
63	Brian Harman	41.3	150-1	81.3
64	Michael Thorbjornsen	41.5	150-1	82.7
65	Patrick Reed	42.1	150-1	78.9
66	Pierceson Coody	42.2	150-1	80.2
67	Joaquin Niemann	42.4	150-1
68	Taylor Pendrith	42.7	150-1	78.8
69	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	44.1	150-1	77.4
70	Patrick Rodgers	44.2	150-1	79.7
71	Keith Mitchell	44.7	200-1	81.8
72	Rasmus Hojgaard	44.9	200-1	78.3
73	Max Greyserman	44.9	200-1	80.6
74	Ryan Fox	45.1	200-1	79.1
75	Lucas Glover	45.5	200-1	82.5
76	Thomas Detry	45.6	200-1	78.9
77	Mac Meissner	45.8	200-1	79.9
78	David Puig	46.6	200-1	78.1
79	Stephan Jaeger	47.6	200-1	78.9
80	Alex Fitzpatrick	47.9	200-1	80.7
81	Chris Kirk	47.9	200-1	81.3
82	Tom Hoge	48.1	250-1	79.3
83	Nico Echavarria	48.2	250-1	82.4
84	Tony Finau	48.4	250-1	79.5
85	Jordan Smith	49.2	250-1	80.5
86	Billy Horschel	49.3	250-1	81.7
87	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	49.9	250-1	79.4
88	Aldrich Potgieter	50.0	250-1	80.0
89	Haotong Li	50.4	250-1	81.7
90	Max Homa	50.7	300-1	80.2
91	John Parry	50.7	300-1	79.2
92	Kevin Roy	50.8	300-1	77.5
93	Max McGreevy	51.4	300-1	81.6
94	Kevin Yu	51.5	300-1	82.4
95	Sami Valimaki	52.0	300-1	79.9
96	Matt Wallace	52.0	300-1	79.9
97	Michael Brennan	52.1	300-1	82.8
98	Rico Hoey	52.2	300-1	82.1
99	Austin Smotherman	53.1	350-1	82.8
100	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	53.5	350-1	80.5
101	Dustin Johnson	53.6	350-1
102	David Lipsky	53.7	350-1	77.9
103	Ricky Castillo	53.9	350-1	79.2
104	Tom McKibbin	54.3	400-1	81.5
105	Emiliano Grillo	54.5	400-1	81.1
106	Marco Penge	55.4	400-1	81.8
107	Cameron Smith	56.2	400-1
108	Matti Schmid	56.4	400-1	80.4
109	Johnny Keefer	56.9	500-1	81.9
110	Angel Ayora	57.3	500-1	81.0
111	Jhonattan Vegas	58.3	500-1	82.6
112	Jayden Schaper	58.7	500-1	76.9
113	Steven Fisk	59.2	600-1	80.2
114	Daniel Hillier	60.3	600-1	78.1
115	William Mouw	60.5	600-1	81.8
116	Casey Jarvis	60.7	600-1	79.8
117	Joe Highsmith	60.9	600-1	81.5
118	Dan Brown	61.2	600-1	77.7
119	Mikael Lindberg	61.4	600-1	80.9
120	Elvis Smylie	62.3	800-1	79.8
121	Davis Riley	62.7	800-1	76.6
122	Adrien Saddier	63.0	800-1	80.1
123	Andy Sullivan	63.9	1000-1	79.2
124	Martin Kaymer	64.6	1000-1
125	Adam Schenk	64.7	1000-1	83.0
126	Bernd Wiesberger	64.8	1000-1	81.4
127	Stewart Cink	65.0	1000-1
128	Garrick Higgo	65.2	1000-1	82.4
129	Chandler Blanchet	66.2	1000-1	84.6
130	Brian Campbell	67.5	1000-1	79.5
131	Jordan Gumberg	68.7	2000-1	82.3
132	Ian Holt	68.9	2000-1
133	Kazuki Higa	71.1	2000-1
134	Kota Kaneko	71.3	2000-1
135	Travis Smyth	71.5	2000-1
136	Jason Dufner	73.8	2000-1
137	Jimmy Walker	74.2	2000-1
138	Padraig Harrington	74.2	2000-1	81.8
139	Ben Polland	75.3	2000-1
140	YE Yang	75.7	2000-1
141	Tyler Collet	75.9	2000-1
142	Luke Donald	76.6	2000-1
143	Michael Block	76.8	2000-1
144	Derek Berg	77.5	2000-1
145	Francisco Bide	77.5	2000-1
146	Jesse Droemer	77.5	2000-1
147	Bryce Fisher	77.5	2000-1
148	Chris Gabriele	77.5	2000-1
149	Mark Geddes	77.5	2000-1
150	Zach Haynes	77.5	2000-1
151	Austin Hurt	77.5	2000-1
152	Jared Jones	77.5	2000-1
153	Michael Kartrude	77.5	2000-1
154	Ben Kern	77.5	2000-1
155	Ryan Lenahan	77.5	2000-1
156	Paul McClure	77.5	2000-1
157	Shaun Micheel	77.5	2000-1
158	Garrett Sapp	77.5	2000-1
159	Braden Shattuck	77.5	2000-1
160	Ryan Vermeer	77.5	2000-1
161	Timothy Wiseman	77.5	2000-1

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Scottie Scheffler has been no. 1 for 154 consecutive weeks.

Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (May 12, 2026)

#	Thru May 12, 2026	Events	Hawley rating	Previous week
1	Scottie Scheffler	43	3564.0	1
2	Xander Schauffele	38	2278.7	2
3	Russell Henley	40	2249.2	3
4	Rory McIlroy	47	2235.4	4
5	Tommy Fleetwood	53	2217.2	5
6	Patrick Cantlay	41	1991.9	6
7	Ludvig Aberg	43	1980.7	8
8	Cameron Young	50	1923.1	10
9	Collin Morikawa	44	1893.6	9
10	Matt Fitzpatrick	50	1882.1	7
11	Jon Rahm	40	1851.5	11
12	Justin Thomas	40	1743.0	13
13	Sepp Straka	51	1712.4	12
14	Sam Burns	50	1644.5	15
15	Si Woo Kim	59	1641.6	14
16	Jake Knapp	43	1629.5	17
17	Maverick McNealy	53	1627.3	16
18	Rickie Fowler	43	1619.0	22
19	Jackson Koivun	9	1570.4	20
20	JJ Spaun	54	1564.5	25
21	Robert MacIntyre	59	1554.7	19
22	Hideki Matsuyama	50	1549.4	18
23	Bryson DeChambeau	37	1525.4	21
24	Ben Griffin	65	1469.2	23
25	Viktor Hovland	44	1461.5	26
26	Harris English	50	1458.5	28
27	Jordan Spieth	41	1452.3	24
28	Akshay Bhatia	56	1438.0	27
29	Jacob Bridgeman	57	1407.7	29
30	Corey Conners	51	1397.3	30
31	Min Woo Lee	49	1395.6	35
32	Shane Lowry	55	1391.2	31
33	Keegan Bradley	45	1384.2	34
34	Harry Hall	55	1350.5	38
35	Adam Scott	47	1343.0	36
36	Justin Rose	44	1327.1	32
37	Tyrrell Hatton	50	1317.3	37
38	Jason Day	40	1315.2	33
39	Chris Gotterup	54	1279.5	40
40	Alex Noren	39	1259.8	39
41	Nicolai Hojgaard	55	1254.1	43
42	Kurt Kitayama	46	1241.7	41
43	Daniel Berger	51	1191.4	42
44	Nick Taylor	53	1190.6	44
45	Aaron Rai	51	1126.3	46
46	Andrew Novak	56	1121.8	45
47	Alex Smalley	55	1103.7	50
48	Matt McCarty	61	1101.5	54
49	Bud Cauley	45	1083.6	48
50	Denny McCarthy	48	1068.9	47
51	Sam Stevens	61	1049.4	49
52	JT Poston	50	1043.8	55
53	Taylor Pendrith	50	1041.5	51
54	Lucas Glover	46	1039.1	52
55	Brian Harman	52	1038.9	53
56	Brooks Koepka	39	1024.2	56
57	Gary Woodland	47	1012.9	66
58	Patrick Reed	53	1012.1	60
59	Michael Thorbjornsen	49	1005.7	58
60	Wyndham Clark	50	997.9	63
61	Sungjae Im	52	995.9	62
62	Michael Kim	61	992.2	59
63	Joaquin Niemann	44	990.4	65
64	Ryan Gerard	64	990.2	57
65	Sahith Theegala	52	966.9	61
66	Ryan Fox	52	964.2	64
67	Ryo Hisatsune	62	939.4	67
68	Thomas Detry	54	925.1	71
69	Davis Thompson	51	921.1	69
70	Patrick Rodgers	64	920.8	72
71	Max Greyserman	54	915.9	68
72	Eric Cole	61	915.5	73
73	Tony Finau	45	905.2	70
74	David Puig	49	901.2	75
75	Kristoffer Reitan	45	900.2	90
76	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	54	893.5	80
77	Rasmus Hojgaard	54	887.5	74
78	Nico Echavarria	56	876.7	79
79	Dean Burmester	44	876.0	82
80	Sebastian Munoz	33	863.5	76
81	Carlos Ortiz	37	859.8	77
82	Abraham Ancer	36	846.7	78
83	Keith Mitchell	52	844.6	84
84	Stephan Jaeger	50	843.9	81
85	Pierceson Coody	60	826.8	85
86	Tom Hoge	58	820.4	83
87	Andrew Putnam	55	799.7	87
88	Paul Casey	33	796.2	88
89	Marc Leishman	35	794.2	92
90	Chris Kirk	44	780.7	94
91	Thomas Pieters	40	774.5	91
92	Billy Horschel	44	770.4	86
93	Branden Grace	38	769.7	95
94	Will Zalatoris	28	751.7	100
95	Tom McKibbin	58	751.4	99
96	Cameron Tringale	32	750.4	89
97	Talor Gooch	32	750.3	93
98	Byeong Hun An	47	743.3	96
99	Kevin Yu	54	736.9	98
100	Lucas Herbert	38	732.7	114
101	Josele Ballester	25	730.1	112
102	Lee Hodges	49	726.1	97
103	Dustin Johnson	40	721.6	102
104	Rico Hoey	59	715.0	101
105	Thorbjorn Olesen	57	701.2	107
106	Mac Meissner	51	699.4	116
107	Matt Wallace	61	698.9	109
108	Matti Schmid	59	693.5	103
109	Cameron Smith	40	692.6	108
110	Sergio Garcia	39	692.3	123
111	Jordan Smith	58	690.4	111
112	Victor Perez	50	688.6	119
113	Jhonattan Vegas	46	684.9	105
114	Max Homa	48	683.8	106
115	Charles Howell	26	681.4	120
116	Austin Eckroat	51	677.8	118
117	Beau Hossler	53	677.4	127
118	Sami Valimaki	55	674.2	110
119	Kevin Roy	56	668.6	132
120	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	50	663.2	134
121	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	46	658.9	115
122	Mackenzie Hughes	53	658.4	117
123	Seamus Power	54	658.1	113
124	Matt Kuchar	41	654.3	121
125	AJ Ewart	14	652.8	104
126	Marco Penge	54	650.4	125
127	Taylor Moore	53	649.8	126
128	Aldrich Potgieter	52	645.6	122
129	Alex Fitzpatrick	58	643.6	150
130	Bubba Watson	33	631.4	124
131	Doug Ghim	53	621.6	135
132	Max McGreevy	62	621.0	128
133	Caleb Surratt	41	619.6	139
134	Emiliano Grillo	50	615.7	129
135	David Lipsky	54	609.6	143
136	Richard Bland	36	604.6	136
137	Louis Oosthuizen	40	604.3	131
138	Tom Kim	53	602.8	144
139	Harold Varner	33	599.7	130
140	Jason Kokrak	34	590.9	133
141	Charl Schwartzel	38	589.3	140
142	Haotong Li	54	589.3	137
143	Brendan Steele	32	578.8	138
144	Vince Whaley	57	566.7	141
145	Anirban Lahiri	37	565.6	142
146	John Parry	50	559.1	145
147	Ricky Castillo	55	546.9	146
148	Patrick Fishburn	54	545.3	152
149	Mark Hubbard	60	544.9	158
150	Chad Ramey	57	536.3	147
151	Sam Ryder	54	536.0	155
152	Karl Vilips	44	534.7	153
153	Graeme McDowell	31	528.4	156
154	Chandler Phillips	53	517.3	151
155	Austin Smotherman	55	517.1	169
156	Matthew Wolff	28	515.5	149
157	Joel Dahmen	55	504.6	154
158	William Mouw	48	504.3	159
159	Wesley Bryan	19	503.6	162
160	Hayden Springer	53	502.7	163
161	Jayden Schaper	50	496.6	160
162	Kris Ventura	51	492.3	157
163	Joe Highsmith	57	486.3	161
164	Hennie du Plessis	10	482.1	148
165	Michael Brennan	18	472.7	166
166	Angel Ayora	51	472.1	164
167	Cam Davis	45	465.2	165
168	CT Pan	19	464.3	168
169	Webb Simpson	25	462.7	167
170	Phil Mickelson	28	462.5	173
171	Andy Sullivan	58	455.4	174
172	Peter Uihlein	44	452.5	170
173	Oliver Lindell	41	452.1	178
174	Jesper Svensson	56	450.5	172
175	Garrick Higgo	48	450.4	171
176	Antoine Rozner	56	445.8	177
177	Brandt Snedeker	48	444.4	206
178	Davis Riley	53	440.6	175
179	Daniel Hillier	51	432.0	180
180	SH Kim	49	429.2	183
181	Scott Vincent	36	427.7	209
182	Trace Crowe	42	424.7	176
183	Lee Westwood	27	421.4	181
184	Jacob Skov Olesen	45	420.8	179
185	Greyson Sigg	48	417.9	185
186	Nate Lashley	34	412.9	192
187	Laurie Canter	47	409.3	184
188	Francesco Laporta	42	406.6	182
189	Justin Lower	55	406.5	189
190	Elvis Smylie	36	405.5	187
191	Danny Walker	53	404.8	193
192	Henrik Norlander	53	403.5	186
193	Johnny Keefer	43	402.5	195
194	Henrik Stenson	23	402.4	199
195	Lanto Griffin	52	402.0	213
196	Jackson Suber	52	401.0	207
197	Shaun Norris	33	400.7	217
198	Richard T Lee	25	400.2	198
199	Takumi Kanaya	53	399.1	196
200	Thriston Lawrence	60	399.1	190
201	Nick Dunlap	48	398.9	202
202	Martin Couvra	41	398.3	205
203	Dan Brown	50	397.3	191
204	Isaiah Salinda	48	396.9	201
205	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	54	396.5	200
206	Luke Clanton	37	394.9	188
207	Zach Johnson	30	394.4	203
208	Adam Schenk	57	392.8	197
209	Carson Young	55	390.0	194
210	Steven Fisk	54	389.6	204
211	Adrian Meronk	44	389.1	211
212	Keita Nakajima	43	387.1	225
213	Zach Bauchou	34	384.2	215
214	Stewart Cink	10	380.3	210
215	Ewen Ferguson	52	377.1	208
216	David Ford	23	374.8	212
217	Marcus Armitage	55	362.4	214
218	Chan Kim	54	361.4	218
219	Adrien Saddier	52	360.6	221
220	Jorge Campillo	63	356.8	222
221	Ben Campbell	34	355.6	216
222	Eugenio Chacarra	54	352.4	233
223	Matteo Manassero	50	350.5	219
224	Matthew Jordan	52	349.3	226
225	Blades Brown	35	348.2	251
226	Ugo Coussaud	53	348.0	227
227	Ian Poulter	28	344.6	239
228	Julien Guerrier	53	344.0	224
229	Zac Blair	50	344.0	223
230	Brian Campbell	52	341.5	229
231	Erik van Rooyen	55	340.9	230
232	Anthony Kim	34	337.4	271
233	Daniel Rodrigues	11	336.8	220
234	Martin Kaymer	36	335.9	232
235	Matthieu Pavon	55	332.7	228
236	Niklas Norgaard	57	331.2	231
237	Alejandro Tosti	48	324.8	234
238	Joost Luiten	53	323.0	235
239	Zecheng Dou	51	322.7	260
240	Ben Kohles	54	320.5	237
241	Ben Silverman	50	317.0	236
242	Alexander Bjork	11	312.0	242
243	Kelly Kraft	11	311.2	248
244	Mikael Lindberg	38	310.9	241
245	Richard Mansell	47	309.2	244
246	Charley Hoffman	37	308.7	245
247	Jinichiro Kozuma	33	308.5	250
248	David Skinns	51	306.5	257
249	Brice Garnett	44	302.9	270
250	Luis Masaveu	27	302.8	238
251	Trey Mullinax	36	302.7	253
252	Adam Hadwin	52	302.0	243
253	Grant Forrest	49	301.3	240
254	Dylan Wu	50	297.2	247
255	Wenyi Ding	31	295.7	246
256	Johannes Veerman	52	293.6	249
257	Taylor Montgomery	48	293.0	252
258	Cameron Champ	49	292.4	263
259	Matt Jones	32	291.8	261
260	Todd Clements	57	290.2	254
261	Kevin Na	25	290.2	264
262	Frankie Capan	52	289.4	265
263	Adam Svensson	57	289.0	255
264	Calum Hill	56	286.6	266
265	Joakim Lagergren	41	284.7	274
266	JC Ritchie	13	284.6	322
267	Bronson Burgoon	28	283.3	268
268	Guido Migliozzi	52	283.0	256
269	Dan Bradbury	57	280.8	282
270	Casey Jarvis	62	279.7	272
271	Nathan Kimsey	32	279.0	258
272	Kevin Streelman	34	277.7	259
273	Sam Horsfield	34	276.2	262
274	Noah Goodwin	49	276.0	267
275	Quade Cummins	49	275.9	275
276	Hank Lebioda	49	274.4	269
277	Nacho Elvira	56	273.5	276
278	Darius van Driel	56	268.8	273
279	Andrea Pavan	53	268.7	278
280	KH Lee	33	267.5	277
281	Andy Ogletree	28	266.6	281
282	Kazuma Kobori	45	264.9	293
283	Paul Peterson	57	262.0	307
284	John Pak	51	260.7	284
285	Alejandro Del Rey	54	260.5	296
286	Brandon Stone	49	257.5	280
287	Patton Kizzire	49	255.7	279
288	Chandler Blanchet	50	255.5	285
289	Jeremy Paul	55	254.0	283
290	Ian Gilligan	24	251.8	286
291	Frederic LaCroix	47	246.9	289
292	Pontus Nyholm	54	244.6	297
293	Mito Pereira	24	244.2	291
294	Jacques Kruyswijk	46	243.2	288
295	Rafa Cabrera Bello	59	242.4	311
296	Romain Langasque	56	242.2	287
297	Jason Scrivener	52	240.5	292
298	Justin Hastings	17	240.0	294
299	Eddie Pepperell	36	238.8	310
300	Paul Waring	43	235.4	313
301	Freddy Schott	45	235.3	290
302	Oihan Guillamoundeguy	12	234.1	397
303	Marcel Schneider	56	232.9	299
304	Davis Bryant	30	232.7	300
305	Brendan Valdez	13	230.8	301
306	Joseph Bramlett	49	229.9	303
307	Yu-bin Jang	10	228.3	304
308	Bernd Wiesberger	53	228.2	317
309	Harry Higgs	54	228.2	298
310	Thomas Rosenmueller	32	226.7	295
311	Herman Loubser	9	225.2	305
312	Brandon Robinson Thompson	49	222.1	302
313	Doc Redman	43	220.5	312
314	Will Gordon	51	219.1	315
315	Adrian Otaegui	60	218.9	306
316	Ricardo Gouveia	58	218.1	337
317	Vincent Norrman	18	217.4	326
318	Tom Vaillant	52	216.6	314
319	Danny Willett	45	216.6	318
320	Chieh-po Lee	33	214.3	323
321	Will Chandler	49	214.2	321
322	Gregorio De Leo	29	210.9	308
323	Ren Yonezawa	19	210.9	324
324	Sam Bairstow	55	210.5	319
325	Hunter Eichhorn	19	210.0	327
326	Jonathan Byrd	27	209.4	329
327	Richard Sterne	38	207.6	316
328	Daniel van Tonder	20	206.6	309
329	Jimmy Stanger	15	206.4	345
330	Niklas Lemke	27	206.0	330
331	Yosuke Asaji	25	205.3	338
332	Thomas Rosenmuller	13	202.9	339
333	Matthew NeSmith	16	202.7	325
334	Danny Lee	34	202.4	320
335	Hayden Buckley	50	202.1	332
336	Seungbin Choi	8	201.8	334
337	Darren Fichardt	36	201.1	342
338	Taylor Dickson	50	200.3	340
339	Luke List	54	199.2	335
340	Young-han Song	27	198.5	353
341	Francesco Molinari	37	197.7	328
342	Ding Wenyi	10	196.7	344
343	Ben Schmidt	39	196.6	333
344	Ian Holt	35	196.1	343
345	Ben Carr	8	195.8	347
346	Kota Kaneko	30	195.6	331
347	Jeff Winther	48	195.5	341
348	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	56	195.1	363
349	Fabrizio Zanotti	42	193.7	336
350	Trevor Cone	50	192.5	350
351	Sebastian Soderberg	40	189.2	346
352	Richie Ramsay	48	187.9	361
353	Rikuya Hoshino	50	185.8	352
354	Nick Hardy	53	185.7	351
355	Michael La Sasso	13	185.0	349
356	Tapio Pulkkanen	29	183.4	348
357	Marcel Siem	49	180.2	357
358	Yuto Katsuragawa	46	178.1	358
359	Camilo Villegas	53	177.5	360
360	Hugo Townsend	10	177.5	354
361	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	47	176.1	355
362	Kensei Hirata	49	175.2	356
363	Ryan Moore	16	173.3	362
364	Curtis Luck	8	171.9	364
365	Michael Johnson	50	171.7	367
366	Jeffrey Kang	49	170.2	359
367	Manuel Elvira	61	166.5	368
368	Scott Jamieson	53	165.7	366
369	Mitchell Meissner	51	165.0	374
370	Yubin Jang	11	164.8	373
371	Ashun Wu	34	164.4	380
372	Connor Syme	51	164.2	371
373	Kieran Vincent	34	164.1	372
374	Jens Dantorp	55	163.7	369
375	Andrew Wilson	36	161.9	376
376	Cooper Dossey	49	160.1	383
377	Seung-taek Lee	29	159.6	384
378	Edoardo Molinari	30	159.2	365
379	Jonathan Goth-rasmussen	11	158.9	387
380	David Micheluzzi	49	158.8	370
381	Sean Crocker	51	157.4	375
382	Angel Hidalgo	57	157.0	379
383	Kevin Chappell	26	156.8	382
384	Davis Lamb	25	156.6	393
385	Robby Shelton	49	156.5	385
386	Dylan Frittelli	57	156.2	381
387	Davis Shore	54	156.2	389
388	Benjamin Hebert	25	155.8	386
389	David Law	31	155.3	437
390	Alistair Docherty	50	153.9	392
391	Shimizu Taisei	15	153.6	388
392	Gordon Sargent	23	153.4	378
393	Carson Bacha	10	152.3	396
394	Yuta Sugiura	28	152.0	394
395	Davis Chatfield	51	149.7	390
396	Marcus Kinhult	50	149.2	391
397	David Ravetto	58	148.2	398
398	Jeremy Gandon	35	148.1	401
399	Neal Shipley	48	147.9	407
400	Seung-Yul Noh	8	146.8	403

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A look at the Truist Championship

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed between 2010 and 2016, the latter being the last year the event was played. A value of about .601 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .269 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	Value
Scottie Scheffler	0.738
Bryson DeChambeau	0.695
Xander Schauffele	0.685
Justin Rose	0.661
Viktor Hovland	0.635
Rory McIlroy	0.624
Keegan Bradley	0.596
Shane Lowry	0.587

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3564.0
Xander Schauffele	2	2278.7
Russell Henley	3	2249.2
Rory McIlroy	4	2235.4
Tommy Fleetwood	5	2217.2
Patrick Cantlay	6	1991.9
Ludvig Aberg	7	1980.7
Cameron Young	8	1923.1

Sorry, can't make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Jackson Koivun	19	1570.4
Eric Cole	72	915.5
Dean Burmester	79	876.0
Sebastian Munoz	80	863.5

Ooh, that's hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward Change
Cameron Young	2241.7
Matt Fitzpatrick	1634.4
Ludvig Aberg	1622.7
Alex Smalley	1439.3
Kristoffer Reitan	1398.4
Alex Fitzpatrick	1338.5
Xander Schauffele	1314.0
Si Woo Kim	1276.9

Brr, that's cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Russell Henley	-1035.8
Tommy Fleetwood	-936.5
Taylor Pendrith	-963.5
Sepp Straka	-837.1
Nico Echavarria	-858.3
Justin Thomas	-988.0
Harry Hall	-767.6
Daniel Berger	-806.1

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the typical PGA Championship course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.31	Shots gained putting
0.26	Shots gained, total
0.24	Shots gained off the tee
0.22	Shots gained in approach

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Davis Riley	76.58
Jayden Schaper	76.92
Jacob Bridgeman	76.93
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	77.42
Jake Knapp	77.42
Kevin Roy	77.54
Dan Brown	77.72
David Lipsky	77.85

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above

Course fit	Player
Brooks Koepka	86.08
Chandler Blanchet	84.59
Andrew Putnam	83.37
Davis Thompson	83.35
JJ Spaun	83.30
Adam Schenk	82.99
Austin Smotherman	82.84
Michael Brennan	82.84

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2026 and Orlando FL, the event host city.

Player	Home	Miles
Michael Thorbjornsen	Wellesley, Ma	275
Keegan Bradley	Woodstock, VT	300
Alex Smalley	Greensboro, NC	350
Jacob Bridgeman	Greenville, SC	525
Steven Fisk	Evans, GA	575
Chris Kirk	Athens, GA	600
Brian Campbell	Bluffton, SC	625
Stephan Jaeger	Chattanooga, TN	650

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.373
I love this place	-0.181
Ooh, that’s hot	-0.117
Location, location, location	0.004

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