A quick and accurate look at this week's professional golf.

Valspar Championship Power Ratings

Dates: Mar. 19-22, 2026. Venue: Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club (Copperhead); Palm Harbor FL. Purse $9.1 million.

Xander Schauffele

Pick	Player	Power number	Observed Odds	Course fit
1	Xander Schauffele	2.7	16-1	75.4
2	Akshay Bhatia	19.4	25-1	75.1
3	Matt Fitzpatrick	19.9	25-1	75.6
4	Patrick Cantlay	20.3	25-1	75.4
5	Justin Thomas	20.5	25-1
6	Ben Griffin	21.6	30-1	75.2
7	Robert Macintyre	23.4	30-1	75.0
8	Corey Conners	25.9	35-1	76.0
9	Jacob Bridgeman	27.1	35-1	74.5
10	JJ Spaun	28.0	35-1	75.4
11	Viktor Hovland	28.5	40-1	75.6
12	Jordan Spieth	28.7	40-1	75.3
13	Keegan Bradley	32.7	45-1	75.8
14	Nicolai Hojgaard	35.2	50-1	75.4
15	Taylor Pendrith	37.1	55-1	75.2
16	Aaron Rai	39.2	65-1	76.0
17	Nick Taylor	39.9	65-1	75.5
18	Ryo Hisatsune	40.7	70-1	75.3
19	Max Greyserman	41.3	70-1	75.2
20	Lucas Glover	41.4	75-1	75.6
21	Alex Smalley	41.8	75-1	75.4
22	Bud Cauley	42.1	75-1	75.3
23	Andrew Novak	42.2	75-1	74.9
24	Patrick Rodgers	42.3	75-1	75.4
25	Brooks Koepka	43.4	80-1	76.8
26	Keith Mitchell	44.2	85-1	75.7
27	Denny McCarthy	44.5	85-1	75.6
28	Wyndham Clark	46.1	95-1	75.1
29	Sahith Theegala	46.6	100-1	75.0
30	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	46.9	100-1	75.0
31	Rico Hoey	47.0	100-1	76.0
32	Rasmus Hojgaard	47.1	100-1	75.3
33	Matti Schmid	47.3	100-1	75.4
34	Tony Finau	48.0	100-1	75.0
35	Lee Hodges	48.2	100-1	75.7
36	Michael Kim	48.3	100-1	75.5
37	Mackenzie Hughes	48.4	100-1	75.2
38	Matt McCarty	48.7	100-1	75.1
39	Eric Cole	48.8	100-1	75.2
40	Kristoffer Reitan	48.8	100-1	75.3
41	Billy Horschel	49.5	100-1	75.5
42	Davis Thompson	49.6	100-1	75.9
43	SungJae Im	50.0	100-1
44	Pierceson Coody	50.4	100-1	75.3
45	Garrick Higgo	51.4	100-1	75.9
46	Max McGreevy	51.7	100-1	75.6
47	Kevin Roy	51.8	100-1	75.1
48	Stephan Jaeger	51.9	100-1	75.0
49	Taylor Moore	52.1	150-1	75.6
50	Matt Kuchar	52.2	150-1	75.1
51	Vince Whaley	52.5	150-1	75.5
52	Max Homa	52.7	150-1	75.9
53	William Mouw	52.7	150-1	75.8
54	Chad Ramey	52.8	150-1	75.1
55	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	52.9	150-1	75.9
56	Kevin Yu	53.1	150-1	75.7
57	Seamus Power	53.4	150-1	75.1
58	Ricky Castillo	53.7	150-1	74.9
59	Thorbjorn Olesen	54.3	150-1	75.4
60	AJ Ewart	54.5	150-1	75.7
61	Mac Meissner	55.4	150-1	75.2
62	Austin Smotherman	55.6	200-1	75.4
63	Patrick Fishburn	56.0	200-1	76.2
64	John Parry	56.1	200-1	75.3
65	Mark Hubbard	56.6	200-1	75.8
66	Matt Wallace	56.7	200-1	75.7
67	Gary Woodland	56.8	200-1	75.9
68	Joel Dahmen	57.1	200-1	75.3
69	Andrew Putnam	57.1	200-1	74.5
70	Emiliano Grillo	57.6	200-1	75.4
71	Takumi Kanaya	57.8	200-1	75.6
72	Doug Ghim	58.1	250-1	75.3
73	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	58.2	250-1	75.2
74	David Lipsky	58.4	250-1	74.2
75	Beau Hossler	58.8	250-1	74.7
76	Tom Kim	58.8	250-1	75.4
77	Jesper Svensson	59.1	250-1	75.8
78	David Ford	59.5	250-1	75.8
79	Jordan Smith	60.0	300-1	75.7
80	Austin Eckroat	60.7	300-1	74.9
81	Justin Lower	61.4	350-1	75.2
82	Luke Clanton	61.5	350-1	76.4
83	Kris Ventura	61.7	350-1	75.0
84	Dan Brown	61.8	350-1	75.3
85	Sam Ryder	61.8	350-1	74.1
86	Marco Penge	61.8	350-1	75.8
87	Chandler Phillips	61.9	350-1	74.9
88	Adam Schenk	62.2	350-1	75.7
89	Karl Vilips	62.3	350-1	75.2
90	Jackson Suber	62.4	400-1	75.8
91	Michael Brennan	62.7	400-1	75.7
92	Joe Highsmith	62.9	400-1	75.5
93	Isaiah Salinda	63.2	400-1	75.7
94	Johnny Keefer	63.2	400-1	75.8
95	Cam Davis	63.6	400-1	75.7
96	Steven Fisk	63.9	400-1	75.3
97	Davis Riley	64.0	400-1	75.1
98	Zecheng Dou	64.2	500-1	75.6
99	Alejandro Tosti	64.4	500-1	76.0
100	Zach Bauchou	64.5	500-1	75.5
101	Brandt Snedeker	65.0	500-1	75.0
102	Nick Dunlap	65.1	500-1	75.5
103	Danny Walker	65.1	500-1	75.0
104	Zac Blair	65.2	500-1
105	Erik van Rooyen	65.4	500-1	75.4
106	Webb Simpson	65.5	500-1	75.9
107	Brice Garnett	66.0	600-1	75.9
108	Charley Hoffman	66.1	600-1	75.9
109	Patton Kizzire	66.2	600-1	75.2
110	Lanto Griffin	66.4	600-1	75.2
111	Dylan Wu	66.6	600-1	75.3
112	Adam Svensson	66.8	600-1	75.2
113	SH Kim	67.0	600-1	75.4
114	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	67.1	600-1	75.5
115	Adrien Saddier	67.4	600-1	75.4
116	Kevin Streelman	68.3	800-1	75.8
117	Brian Campbell	68.4	800-1	75.2
118	Adam Hadwin	68.9	1000-1
119	Jeremy Paul	69.2	1000-1
120	David Skinns	69.3	1000-1
121	Blades Brown	69.5	1000-1
122	Paul Waring	70.1	1000-1	76.0
123	Kensei Hirata	70.3	1000-1	76.1
124	John VanDerLaan	71.4	1000-1	75.8
125	Paul Peterson	71.4	1000-1
126	Matthieu Pavon	71.6	1000-1	74.9
127	Neal Shipley	72.8	1000-1	75.7
128	Danny Willett	73.4	2000-1
129	Jimmy Stanger	73.6	2000-1
130	Hank Lebioda	73.8	2000-1	76.3
131	Davis Chatfield	73.9	2000-1	75.5
132	Marcelo Rozo	75.3	2000-1	76.4
133	Pontus Nyholm	75.5	2000-1	75.8
134	Greg Koch	76.2	2000-1
135	Rafael Campos	76.3	2000-1	75.6
136	Chandler Blanchet	76.3	2000-1	76.2
137	Peter Malnati	76.6	2000-1	75.0
138	Gordon Sargent	78.1	2000-1	75.9
139	Jeffrey Kang	79.8	2000-1	75.6

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A golfer wearing a blue cap and white jacket, focused and engaged

Scottie Scheffler has been no. 1 for 148 consecutive weeks.

Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (Mar. 17, 2026)

#	Thru Mar 17, 2026	Events	Hawley rating	Previous week
1	Scottie Scheffler	44	3393.2	1
2	Russell Henley	41	2344.9	2
3	Xander Schauffele	39	2326.7	4
4	Tommy Fleetwood	53	2227.0	5
5	Rory McIlroy	51	2116.8	3
6	Jon Rahm	41	1875.4	7
7	Justin Thomas	39	1866.4	9
8	Collin Morikawa	47	1843.7	6
9	Sepp Straka	51	1794.0	10
10	Ludvig Aberg	43	1784.4	11
11	Patrick Cantlay	42	1764.5	8
12	Cameron Young	51	1661.6	22
13	Bryson DeChambeau	38	1641.2	12
14	Matt Fitzpatrick	51	1624.3	25
15	Sam Burns	49	1617.6	16
16	Hideki Matsuyama	49	1606.8	13
17	Viktor Hovland	42	1592.8	20
18	Robert MacIntyre	60	1591.3	23
19	Maverick McNealy	52	1591.1	14
20	Si Woo Kim	60	1539.8	15
21	Jackson Koivun	9	1508.6	19
22	Akshay Bhatia	57	1500.4	26
23	Jake Knapp	46	1487.1	17
24	Corey Conners	52	1477.8	27
25	Shane Lowry	55	1467.7	18
26	Ben Griffin	64	1461.1	21
27	Jacob Bridgeman	58	1461.0	33
28	Rickie Fowler	43	1434.9	24
29	JJ Spaun	53	1416.4	28
30	Jordan Spieth	41	1368.9	32
31	Keegan Bradley	44	1342.4	30
32	Harris English	50	1339.3	29
33	Harry Hall	55	1333.2	31
34	Min Woo Lee	47	1327.1	53
35	Alex Noren	40	1268.8	38
36	Jason Day	41	1258.5	34
37	Taylor Pendrith	51	1253.9	35
38	Justin Rose	45	1252.8	44
39	Adam Scott	48	1230.7	37
40	Tyrrell Hatton	51	1229.4	40
41	Aaron Rai	53	1229.1	36
42	Daniel Berger	52	1207.7	39
43	Lucas Glover	45	1132.6	41
44	Kurt Kitayama	47	1119.3	42
45	Denny McCarthy	47	1114.4	43
46	Chris Gotterup	56	1104.7	47
47	JT Poston	49	1104.6	45
48	Nick Taylor	52	1101.1	49
49	Nicolai Hojgaard	54	1096.1	52
50	Andrew Novak	54	1095.8	46
51	Sungjae Im	48	1069.9	51
52	Max Greyserman	55	1064.0	50
53	Tony Finau	44	1059.4	48
54	Brian Harman	52	1044.2	65
55	Michael Thorbjornsen	44	1027.9	59
56	Sahith Theegala	52	1020.7	54
57	Ryan Gerard	62	1018.2	58
58	Wyndham Clark	50	1000.4	55
59	Ryan Fox	54	977.3	60
60	Sam Stevens	61	977.1	57
61	Brooks Koepka	39	976.9	84
62	Bud Cauley	44	976.3	62
63	Nico Echavarria	56	975.1	56
64	Joaquin Niemann	46	957.7	66
65	Patrick Rodgers	63	949.9	77
66	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	54	932.8	61
67	Ryo Hisatsune	62	924.1	81
68	Sebastian Munoz	33	919.3	68
69	Patrick Reed	57	913.8	69
70	Rasmus Hojgaard	53	913.2	64
71	Davis Thompson	52	907.8	63
72	Billy Horschel	44	902.5	70
73	Tom Hoge	58	893.4	67
74	Michael Kim	61	877.5	71
75	Matt McCarty	58	876.9	72
76	Carlos Ortiz	36	876.5	73
77	Keith Mitchell	53	870.1	74
78	Thomas Detry	56	866.3	76
79	Eric Cole	62	861.5	80
80	Alex Smalley	56	856.4	89
81	David Puig	49	841.1	82
82	Stephan Jaeger	51	837.7	75
83	Paul Casey	33	831.6	83
84	Byeong Hun An	50	829.6	78
85	Abraham Ancer	36	825.7	79
86	Will Zalatoris	32	823.3	87
87	Chris Kirk	45	821.1	94
88	Thomas Pieters	40	818.4	92
89	Dean Burmester	45	814.6	91
90	Matt Kuchar	40	802.9	90
91	Pierceson Coody	61	802.8	86
92	Mackenzie Hughes	53	795.0	85
93	Talor Gooch	33	793.2	98
94	Lee Hodges	50	791.4	88
95	Marc Leishman	35	774.8	96
96	Cameron Tringale	32	767.1	95
97	Tom McKibbin	55	763.7	97
98	Rico Hoey	60	758.6	93
99	Cameron Smith	41	757.9	103
100	Lucas Herbert	38	753.7	101
101	Jhonattan Vegas	46	723.6	99
102	Seamus Power	53	721.6	100
103	Kevin Yu	54	709.7	102
104	Matti Schmid	61	707.8	105
105	Max Homa	47	695.6	113
106	Andrew Putnam	53	695.6	116
107	Sergio Garcia	39	695.1	104
108	Dustin Johnson	41	691.0	118
109	Thorbjorn Olesen	61	688.5	106
110	Taylor Moore	53	687.0	107
111	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	41	672.3	115
112	Mac Meissner	52	667.3	108
113	Bubba Watson	33	664.9	112
114	Victor Perez	52	661.4	109
115	Sami Valimaki	54	656.3	111
116	Beau Hossler	54	654.5	121
117	Gary Woodland	47	652.5	110
118	Branden Grace	38	649.8	117
119	Matt Wallace	59	639.8	127
120	Max McGreevy	62	639.6	123
121	Haotong Li	52	638.1	119
122	Tom Kim	54	637.0	126
123	Kevin Roy	55	630.3	125
124	Vince Whaley	52	628.4	122
125	Kristoffer Reitan	38	626.9	120
126	Jason Kokrak	34	626.2	124
127	Charl Schwartzel	38	623.9	131
128	Josele Ballester	21	613.6	149
129	Hennie du Plessis	8	613.4	132
130	Patrick Fishburn	55	610.4	133
131	Caleb Surratt	40	607.7	129
132	Jordan Smith	56	604.7	130
133	Richard Bland	36	601.3	128
134	Brendan Steele	32	597.0	147
135	Louis Oosthuizen	40	595.4	139
136	Charles Howell	26	593.7	135
137	Austin Eckroat	52	592.6	137
138	AJ Ewart	9	590.8	114
139	Harold Varner	33	584.9	134
140	Emiliano Grillo	50	580.3	136
141	Chad Ramey	58	573.0	150
142	Doug Ghim	54	571.2	145
143	Garrick Higgo	48	569.4	138
144	Ricky Castillo	54	569.2	140
145	Joel Dahmen	56	564.1	142
146	Marco Penge	51	558.2	143
147	Anirban Lahiri	38	557.7	141
148	Mark Hubbard	61	554.0	146
149	Graeme McDowell	31	554.0	148
150	Cam Davis	47	544.9	144
151	David Lipsky	54	536.2	151
152	William Mouw	48	528.0	174
153	Luke Clanton	32	526.4	153
154	Jesper Svensson	53	525.0	154
155	Jayden Schaper	49	518.3	155
156	Joe Highsmith	58	516.1	158
157	John Parry	46	514.5	156
158	Angel Ayora	46	512.4	157
159	Chandler Phillips	54	511.1	152
160	Austin Smotherman	55	506.1	195
161	Matthew Wolff	28	505.7	180
162	Sam Ryder	55	500.9	162
163	Greyson Sigg	50	492.2	163
164	Aldrich Potgieter	51	491.5	160
165	Peter Uihlein	44	487.6	159
166	CT Pan	24	483.9	164
167	Davis Riley	53	483.5	161
168	Justin Lower	56	480.1	165
169	Phil Mickelson	31	479.2	168
170	Elvis Smylie	32	476.3	166
171	Wesley Bryan	22	471.1	170
172	Nick Dunlap	49	469.5	167
173	Daniel Hillier	52	465.7	172
174	Oliver Lindell	36	464.2	171
175	Lee Westwood	27	462.3	215
176	Henrik Norlander	55	459.5	175
177	Andy Sullivan	57	456.6	176
178	Thriston Lawrence	59	450.9	178
179	Francesco Laporta	42	449.1	181
180	Karl Vilips	38	447.9	173
181	Kris Ventura	51	444.3	182
182	David Ford	20	441.0	169
183	Antoine Rozner	55	439.9	184
184	Carson Young	55	439.8	183
185	Takumi Kanaya	50	436.1	179
186	Dan Brown	45	431.3	186
187	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	48	430.5	296
188	Hayden Springer	54	426.8	188
189	Chan Kim	55	424.9	187
190	Zac Blair	49	420.8	189
191	Adam Schenk	57	417.5	185
192	Michael Brennan	13	413.5	177
193	Zach Johnson	33	405.6	191
194	Laurie Canter	45	403.9	190
195	Ben Silverman	51	401.0	192
196	Nate Lashley	39	394.6	194
197	Webb Simpson	25	392.4	197
198	Isaiah Salinda	50	389.9	198
199	Charley Hoffman	37	389.8	196
200	Ben Campbell	31	387.6	193
201	Martin Couvra	36	386.9	200
202	Niklas Norgaard	56	385.1	201
203	Matthew Jordan	52	383.8	203
204	Adrien Saddier	51	381.9	205
205	Richard T Lee	21	381.1	273
206	Henrik Stenson	27	380.9	206
207	Jorge Campillo	64	378.3	207
208	Adam Hadwin	51	378.2	204
209	Danny Walker	52	376.9	202
210	Jackson Suber	51	376.5	210
211	Keita Nakajima	44	375.6	208
212	Johnny Keefer	36	370.3	199
213	Julien Guerrier	52	369.0	211
214	Matteo Manassero	49	366.8	212
215	Adrian Meronk	46	362.2	213
216	Erik van Rooyen	55	361.0	209
217	Ewen Ferguson	50	355.3	216
218	Alejandro Tosti	50	353.6	217
219	Alex Fitzpatrick	57	347.3	219
220	KH Lee	36	345.9	218
221	Marcus Armitage	53	344.6	222
222	Adam Svensson	57	343.4	220
223	Patton Kizzire	50	343.1	214
224	Ben Kohles	55	342.7	221
225	Trey Mullinax	35	341.7	224
226	Zach Bauchou	29	341.6	228
227	Joost Luiten	54	341.5	223
228	Lanto Griffin	54	340.6	225
229	Shaun Norris	32	339.8	227
230	Trace Crowe	44	339.1	226
231	Kelly Kraft	14	335.8	229
232	Jacob Skov Olesen	41	333.5	230
233	Johannes Veerman	51	332.7	231
234	Stewart Cink	13	330.6	235
235	Grant Forrest	49	325.1	237
236	Brice Garnett	43	323.9	236
237	Brandt Snedeker	49	323.3	240
238	Martin Kaymer	37	321.8	232
239	Taylor Montgomery	47	321.8	241
240	Frankie Capan	53	320.0	242
241	Steven Fisk	53	319.4	233
242	Brian Campbell	50	317.7	234
243	Richard Mansell	49	315.1	243
244	Dylan Wu	49	314.6	245
245	Justin Hastings	14	313.5	246
246	Kevin Na	27	312.0	247
247	Jinichiro Kozuma	34	310.6	248
248	Matthieu Pavon	55	307.9	239
249	Eugenio Chacarra	53	307.6	250
250	Ian Poulter	28	306.7	238
251	Ugo Coussaud	52	306.7	251
252	SH Kim	53	303.4	244
253	Matt Jones	34	303.4	252
254	Kevin Streelman	34	300.7	254
255	Wenyi Ding	26	299.5	255
256	David Skinns	52	299.3	253
257	Cameron Champ	49	297.1	257
258	Joakim Lagergren	37	296.3	256
259	Anthony Kim	34	295.2	280
260	Todd Clements	55	294.1	259
261	Andy Ogletree	31	293.5	258
262	Sam Horsfield	34	292.7	249
263	Jeremy Paul	53	290.3	262
264	Romain Langasque	55	290.2	260
265	Nacho Elvira	53	289.5	261
266	Alexander Bjork	16	288.5	264
267	Noah Goodwin	48	286.4	265
268	Mikael Lindberg	35	282.7	263
269	Blades Brown	30	282.4	267
270	Nathan Kimsey	28	281.9	266
271	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	55	278.0	269
272	Dan Bradbury	55	277.8	268
273	Brandon Stone	50	276.6	270
274	Calum Hill	58	274.8	271
275	Thomas Rosenmueller	29	273.2	272
276	Andrea Pavan	56	271.6	276
277	Guido Migliozzi	52	270.4	275
278	Casey Jarvis	61	269.3	278
279	Frederic LaCroix	47	265.7	281
280	Zecheng Dou	51	262.0	277
281	Brendon Todd	28	261.7	274
282	Daniel van Tonder	18	259.8	282
283	Scott Vincent	36	258.2	307
284	Quade Cummins	54	252.5	284
285	Richard Sterne	35	251.9	283
286	Luis Masaveu	23	251.5	279
287	Jacques Kruyswijk	45	250.1	285
288	Jason Scrivener	51	247.2	286
289	Ren Yonezawa	18	245.0	288
290	John Pak	52	243.8	290
291	Mito Pereira	27	243.0	287
292	Brandon Robinson Thompson	45	240.2	293
293	Matthew NeSmith	22	239.9	291
294	Harry Higgs	55	239.8	294
295	Herman Loubser	9	238.6	292
296	Doc Redman	44	237.3	295
297	Danny Lee	34	235.3	289
298	Kazuma Kobori	43	234.1	297
299	Will Gordon	47	233.7	299
300	Hayden Buckley	53	231.5	298
301	Jonathan Byrd	29	231.2	300
302	Luke List	54	229.7	303
303	Darius van Driel	54	229.3	302
304	Davis Bryant	26	229.3	306
305	Paul Peterson	56	228.1	309
306	Freddy Schott	44	228.1	304
307	Tom Vaillant	50	227.7	301
308	Alejandro Del Rey	53	227.1	305
309	Sam Bairstow	54	226.4	308
310	Sebastian Soderberg	40	224.8	310
311	Rafa Cabrera Bello	58	223.8	312
312	Marcel Schneider	55	223.3	313
313	Ben Schmidt	36	223.0	311
314	Brendan Valdez	13	219.3	316
315	Chieh-po Lee	32	218.7	314
316	Yu-bin Jang	10	217.0	317
317	Rikuya Hoshino	46	217.0	315
318	Danny Willett	42	213.0	320
319	Ian Gilligan	22	211.5	318
320	Paul Waring	40	210.1	321
321	Adrian Otaegui	59	210.1	322
322	Taylor Dickson	52	209.7	324
323	Joseph Bramlett	51	206.4	323
324	Tapio Pulkkanen	27	205.7	325
325	Kevin Tway	31	204.7	319
326	Niklas Lemke	27	204.4	326
327	Jeff Winther	48	200.5	327
328	Trevor Cone	52	200.1	329
329	Darren Fichardt	36	199.3	328
330	Nick Hardy	54	197.1	331
331	Will Chandler	47	197.0	333
332	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	45	196.5	332
333	Bernd Wiesberger	52	196.3	330
334	Ding Wenyi	10	194.1	335
335	Chandler Blanchet	47	194.1	336
336	Neal Shipley	44	191.3	334
337	David Micheluzzi	45	191.0	337
338	Eddie Pepperell	33	189.7	338
339	Ian Holt	33	188.9	339
340	Francesco Molinari	36	188.8	340
341	Kensei Hirata	45	188.6	341
342	Fabrizio Zanotti	43	187.3	342
343	Camilo Villegas	53	187.1	345
344	Yuto Katsuragawa	42	186.3	344
345	Thomas Rosenmuller	17	185.4	346
346	Connor Syme	51	185.3	343
347	Scott Jamieson	53	183.7	348
348	Ricardo Gouveia	57	183.1	354
349	Kieran Vincent	35	182.9	349
350	Ben Martin	39	181.8	347
351	Sean Crocker	48	181.4	352
352	Pontus Nyholm	53	180.9	355
353	Kevin Chappell	32	180.8	350
354	Marcel Siem	48	180.1	356
355	Robby Shelton	51	180.0	351
356	Gregorio De Leo	25	179.0	357
357	Edoardo Molinari	30	178.4	360
358	Cameron Adam	10	177.6	358
359	Yuta Sugiura	26	176.7	359
360	Manuel Elvira	58	174.1	362
361	Andrew Wilson	37	173.5	361
362	Yosuke Asaji	21	173.0	363
363	Vincent Norrman	23	170.1	369
364	Angel Hidalgo	56	169.7	365
365	Yannik Paul	51	169.7	364
366	Ryan Moore	21	168.1	353
367	Richie Ramsay	47	167.3	366
368	Yubin Jang	10	166.9	367
369	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	55	165.6	368
370	Hunter Eichhorn	18	164.8	372
371	Jens Dantorp	54	164.3	371
372	Michael Hollick	15	164.2	370
373	Benjamin Hebert	25	162.5	373
374	Shimizu Taisei	16	162.0	377
375	Kazuki Higa	33	161.4	374
376	David Ravetto	55	161.4	375
377	Joel Girrbach	59	160.9	376
378	Curtis Luck	9	158.8	381
379	Pat Perez	13	158.5	378
380	Seung-taek Lee	29	158.1	379
381	Oihan Guillamoundeguy	8	154.9	384
382	John Catlin	46	154.9	380
383	Max Rottluff	32	154.3	383
384	Jimmy Stanger	15	153.4	386
385	Padraig Harrington	24	153.4	382
386	Chris Korte	11	153.3	385
387	Andreas Halvorsen	25	151.9	388
388	Martin Laird	45	151.1	390
389	Marcus Kinhult	49	151.0	389
390	Andrew Johnston	17	150.8	387
391	Mitchell Meissner	52	150.2	392
392	Jack Senior	35	149.7	391
393	Aaron Cockerill	52	148.6	393
394	Joe Dean	45	147.3	394
395	Michael Johnson	51	147.2	395
396	Ross Steelman	48	144.4	401
397	Louis Albertse	21	144.0	396
398	Gordon Sargent	18	143.8	404
399	Kota Kaneko	24	143.3	402
400	Jorge Fernandez-Valdes	34	143.3	400

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

LIV Golf South Africa Power Ratings

Dates: Mar. 19-22, 2026. Purse: $20 million (individuals). Venue: The Club at Steyn City; Midrand, South Africa.

Jon Rahm

Pick	Player	Power number	Observed Odds
1	Jon Rahm	12.7	6-1
2	Bryson DeChambeau	26.4	11-1
3	Tyrrell Hatton	39.0	20-1
4	Sebastian Munoz	44.5	25-1
5	Joaquin Niemann	45.8	30-1
6	Thomas Pieters	46.3	30-1
7	Dean Burmester	47.5	30-1
8	Carlos Ortiz	47.5	30-1
9	Paul Casey	48.6	35-1
10	Abraham Ancer	48.9	35-1
11	Talor Gooch	49.6	35-1
12	Marc Leishman	49.8	35-1
13	Cameron Smith	50.4	40-1
14	Lucas Herbert	50.4	40-1
15	Cameron Tringale	51.9	45-1
16	David Puig	52.0	45-1
17	Dustin Johnson	53.4	50-1
18	Branden Grace	53.5	50-1
19	Byeong Hun An	55.0	60-1
20	Bubba Watson	55.2	60-1
21	Jason Kokrak	55.2	60-1
22	Brendan Steele	55.3	60-1
23	Charl Schwartzel	55.4	60-1
24	Josele Ballester	55.7	60-1
25	Caleb Surratt	55.7	60-1
26	Louis Oosthuizen	55.9	65-1
27	Richard Bland	56.5	65-1
28	Sergio Garcia	56.5	65-1
29	Graeme McDowell	56.5	65-1
30	Thomas Detry	56.5	65-1
31	Charles Howell	56.6	65-1
32	Harold Varner	56.8	70-1
33	Matthew Wolff	56.8	70-1
34	Peter Uihlein	57.7	75-1
35	Anirban Lahiri	58.2	80-1
36	Victor Perez	58.3	80-1
37	Lee Westwood	60.2	95-1
38	Richard T Lee	61.0	100-1
39	Tom McKibbin	61.4	100-1
40	Elvis Smylie	61.5	100-1
41	Ben Campbell	63.0	100-1
42	Anthony Kim	63.9	150-1
43	Scott Vincent	65.5	150-1
44	Ian Poulter	65.9	200-1
45	Sam Horsfield	66.8	200-1
46	Adrian Meronk	67.5	250-1
47	Luis Masaveu	67.7	250-1
48	Danny Lee	68.1	250-1
49	Laurie Canter	68.3	250-1
50	Yosuke Asaji	68.8	300-1
51	Martin Kaymer	69.9	350-1
52	Bjorn Hellgren	70.8	400-1
53	Miguel Tabuena	71.2	400-1
54	Wade Ormsby	71.7	500-1
55	Minkyu Kim	72.6	600-1
56	Michael La Sasso	72.9	600-1
57	Young-han Song	73.9	600-1

A look at the Valspar Championship

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .601 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .269 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Justin Thomas	0.650
Lucas Glover	0.606
Xander Schauffele	0.525
Davis Riley	0.500
Viktor Hovland	0.436
Sam Ryder	0.429
Adam Hadwin	0.417
Billy Horschel	0.407
Kevin Streelman	0.400
Adam Schenk	0.386

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Xander Schauffele	3	2326.7
Justin Thomas	7	1866.4
Patrick Cantlay	11	1764.5
Matt Fitzpatrick	14	1624.3
Viktor Hovland	17	1592.8
Robert MacIntyre	18	1591.3
Akshay Bhatia	22	1500.4
Corey Conners	24	1477.8
Ben Griffin	26	1461.1
Jacob Bridgeman	27	1461.0

Sorry, can't make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3393.2
Russell Henley	2	2344.9
Tommy Fleetwood	4	2227.0
Rory McIlroy	5	2116.8

Ooh, that's hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Jacob Bridgeman	2477.7
Akshay Bhatia	2166.5
Ryo Hisatsune	1257.1
Nicolai Hojgaard	1157.2
Austin Smotherman	1082.0
Sudarshan Yellamaraju	869.6
Matt Fitzpatrick	774.5
Jordan Spieth	708.6

Brr, that's cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Ben Griffin	-1085.1
SungJae Im	-1047.6
Keegan Bradley	-1044.4
Denny McCarthy	-1007.8
Lucas Glover	-934.3
JJ Spaun	-917.4
Justin Thomas	-807.7
Michael Kim	-762.7

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.13	Putts per GIR
0.12	Scrambling
0.10	Shots gained off the tee
0.09	Greens in regulation

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Sam Ryder	74.11
David Lipsky	74.24
Andrew Putnam	74.51
Jacob Bridgeman	74.53
Beau Hossler	74.72
Austin Eckroat	74.87
Andrew Novak	74.88
Ricky Castillo	74.90

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above

Course fit	Player
Rico Hoey	76.03
Kensei Hirata	76.11
Chandler Blanchet	76.15
Patrick Fishburn	76.19
Hank Lebioda	76.32
Marcelo Rozo	76.38
Luke Clanton	76.43
Brooks Koepka	76.79

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2026 and Orlando FL, the event host city.

Jackson Suber	Tampa FL	27
Kevin Roy	Lakewood Ranch FL	48
Pontus Nyholm	Windermere FL	75
Hank Lebioda	Orlando FL	100
Alejandro Tosti	Gainesville FL	100
John VanDerLaan	Naples FL	150
Lanto Griffin	Ponte Vedra Beach FL	150
Adrien Dumont de Chassart	Ponte Vedra Beach FL	150
Billy Horschel	Ponte Vedra Beach FL	150

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.371
I love this place	0.178
Ooh, that’s hot	0.118
Location, location, location	0.007

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