Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (June 23, 2026)

#	Thru Jun 23, 2026	Events	Hawley rating	Previous week
1	Scottie Scheffler	43	3588.3	1
2	Xander Schauffele	38	2373.6	3
3	Rory McIlroy	47	2345.9	2
4	Tommy Fleetwood	53	2290.1	4
5	Russell Henley	41	2134.3	5
6	Ludvig Aberg	44	2076.3	6
7	Matt Fitzpatrick	51	1990.0	8
8	Justin Thomas	41	1971.7	10
9	Jon Rahm	42	1907.3	7
10	Patrick Cantlay	41	1883.1	9
11	Cameron Young	48	1856.5	11
12	Sam Burns	50	1827.0	14
13	Collin Morikawa	43	1801.2	12
14	Maverick McNealy	53	1716.5	13
15	Jackson Koivun	8	1715.0	17
16	Si Woo Kim	59	1652.9	15
17	Jake Knapp	40	1604.8	16
18	Ben Griffin	64	1599.2	21
19	JJ Spaun	55	1579.8	18
20	Sepp Straka	51	1577.3	19
21	Justin Rose	44	1546.3	26
22	Harris English	49	1524.3	20
23	Hideki Matsuyama	51	1483.1	22
24	Robert MacIntyre	59	1449.6	27
25	Viktor Hovland	44	1442.9	23
26	Jordan Spieth	41	1440.5	24
27	Tyrrell Hatton	50	1417.7	38
28	Bryson DeChambeau	38	1414.4	25
29	Rickie Fowler	42	1411.4	28
30	Akshay Bhatia	54	1387.0	35
31	Chris Gotterup	53	1378.4	30
32	Jacob Bridgeman	58	1373.7	31
33	Min Woo Lee	49	1368.9	29
34	Keegan Bradley	45	1353.3	34
35	Aaron Rai	51	1352.6	41
36	Shane Lowry	55	1328.0	32
37	Kurt Kitayama	46	1326.5	33
38	Corey Conners	51	1303.9	40
39	Wyndham Clark	52	1296.2	48
40	Adam Scott	46	1272.5	36
41	Alex Noren	39	1265.2	37
42	Alex Smalley	57	1261.7	39
43	JT Poston	50	1241.1	50
44	Bud Cauley	47	1220.1	43
45	Joaquin Niemann	46	1212.7	53
46	Harry Hall	57	1211.7	42
47	Jason Day	40	1182.8	44
48	Gary Woodland	47	1172.9	54
49	Nick Taylor	53	1152.5	45
50	Nicolai Hojgaard	55	1151.1	46
51	Daniel Berger	50	1150.0	47
52	Patrick Reed	52	1113.0	49
53	Ryan Fox	52	1088.4	55
54	Ryan Gerard	62	1085.3	51
55	Andrew Novak	57	1074.0	52
56	Sam Stevens	61	1071.7	62
57	Denny McCarthy	47	1032.5	57
58	Brian Harman	52	1021.0	59
59	Matt McCarty	59	1020.0	56
60	Eric Cole	59	1009.1	58
61	Michael Kim	62	999.4	61
62	Taylor Pendrith	49	975.2	64
63	David Puig	50	973.3	60
64	Keith Mitchell	54	972.7	78
65	Sahith Theegala	53	952.0	75
66	Michael Thorbjornsen	51	946.4	67
67	Brooks Koepka	40	940.9	63
68	Max Greyserman	55	940.4	66
69	Lucas Glover	46	927.7	70
70	Kristoffer Reitan	49	925.4	65
71	Ryo Hisatsune	64	918.8	69
72	Sungjae Im	53	910.5	68
73	Stephan Jaeger	50	896.7	72
74	Tony Finau	45	884.7	74
75	Nico Echavarria	56	882.6	71
76	Dean Burmester	43	869.4	77
77	Thomas Detry	54	867.4	76
78	Cameron Smith	41	859.0	73
79	Marc Leishman	35	849.6	80
80	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	54	849.0	81
81	Sebastian Munoz	33	844.2	82
82	Pierceson Coody	62	838.2	89
83	Talor Gooch	32	834.3	86
84	Tom Hoge	59	832.7	84
85	Abraham Ancer	38	826.0	87
86	Rasmus Hojgaard	54	819.6	88
87	Davis Thompson	50	819.5	79
88	Dustin Johnson	41	818.5	91
89	Patrick Rodgers	65	813.2	83
90	Paul Casey	31	808.2	90
91	Carlos Ortiz	38	800.4	85
92	Branden Grace	39	798.9	93
93	Alex Fitzpatrick	57	793.7	99
94	AJ Ewart	17	793.4	95
95	Andrew Putnam	56	773.3	92
96	Matti Schmid	59	772.0	94
97	Thomas Pieters	39	768.2	96
98	Aldrich Potgieter	49	767.4	98
99	Will Zalatoris	24	762.7	97
100	Tom McKibbin	57	744.6	102
101	Mac Meissner	51	743.4	101
102	Tom Kim	51	739.8	135
103	Kevin Yu	54	736.9	105
104	Byeong Hun An	46	736.5	103
105	Charles Howell	28	729.6	106
106	Max Homa	47	723.4	107
107	Lucas Herbert	39	722.9	100
108	Chris Kirk	44	710.5	104
109	Rico Hoey	60	710.3	109
110	Victor Perez	48	704.1	111
111	Matt Kuchar	39	693.1	112
112	Billy Horschel	46	686.8	108
113	Matt Wallace	60	682.1	114
114	Sergio Garcia	39	681.1	113
115	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	49	680.6	110
116	Cameron Tringale	33	679.6	116
117	Jordan Smith	59	679.6	115
118	Doug Ghim	53	677.2	117
119	Sami Valimaki	54	676.8	118
120	Harold Varner	33	673.4	121
121	Emiliano Grillo	51	670.3	130
122	Lee Hodges	48	669.4	119
123	Taylor Moore	51	667.2	120
124	Marco Penge	52	665.8	123
125	Mackenzie Hughes	52	662.6	122
126	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	48	651.9	124
127	Bubba Watson	35	643.0	126
128	Thorbjorn Olesen	58	640.1	125
129	Josele Ballester	28	632.9	127
130	Brendan Steele	32	624.0	131
131	Beau Hossler	52	623.2	129
132	Seamus Power	53	616.7	132
133	Austin Eckroat	50	616.0	133
134	Kevin Roy	54	612.5	128
135	Jhonattan Vegas	48	604.2	134
136	Max McGreevy	61	601.9	138
137	Jesper Svensson	55	595.3	136
138	John Parry	55	590.1	157
139	Jason Kokrak	34	587.1	137
140	Richard Bland	36	583.2	139
141	Charl Schwartzel	38	575.9	140
142	Anirban Lahiri	38	569.1	141
143	Louis Oosthuizen	40	566.9	143
144	Haotong Li	54	556.0	145
145	David Lipsky	54	554.4	146
146	Jackson Suber	51	546.6	144
147	Caleb Surratt	43	546.2	142
148	Ricky Castillo	53	536.8	147
149	Michael Brennan	23	535.5	150
150	Sam Ryder	54	534.7	148
151	Mark Hubbard	59	532.7	149
152	Wesley Bryan	16	519.7	153
153	Patrick Fishburn	54	518.8	152
154	Vince Whaley	56	515.4	154
155	Chandler Phillips	54	510.4	151
156	Scott Vincent	37	509.7	155
157	Chad Ramey	57	496.9	158
158	Karl Vilips	47	493.4	160
159	Phil Mickelson	25	492.8	161
160	William Mouw	47	490.2	156
161	Austin Smotherman	53	485.1	162
162	Daniel Hillier	51	478.3	164
163	Joel Dahmen	55	476.6	165
164	Steven Fisk	53	475.3	168
165	Angel Ayora	51	474.6	166
166	Garrick Higgo	49	473.7	170
167	Brandt Snedeker	47	472.3	169
168	Zach Bauchou	37	471.4	167
169	Jayden Schaper	50	470.4	163
170	Matthew Wolff	28	469.2	171
171	Graeme McDowell	32	469.1	159
172	Oliver Lindell	44	459.9	172
173	Hayden Springer	52	454.3	173
174	Kris Ventura	50	454.1	174
175	Brice Garnett	45	445.0	175
176	Webb Simpson	22	441.8	176
177	Keita Nakajima	45	440.6	177
178	Johnny Keefer	48	439.7	180
179	Joe Highsmith	58	434.9	179
180	SH Kim	45	433.5	182
181	Jacob Skov Olesen	48	431.0	181
182	Antoine Rozner	53	427.9	183
183	Laurie Canter	46	427.9	185
184	Nate Lashley	31	425.6	184
185	Peter Uihlein	45	424.0	178
186	Henrik Stenson	21	418.0	188
187	Isaiah Salinda	43	417.9	189
188	Andy Sullivan	57	417.6	186
189	Greyson Sigg	44	413.7	187
190	Zach Johnson	27	409.9	193
191	Francesco Laporta	40	409.8	191
192	Shaun Norris	32	406.4	192
193	Takumi Kanaya	53	404.3	194
194	Dan Brown	46	402.0	199
195	CT Pan	16	401.0	190
196	Marcus Armitage	53	400.6	198
197	Lanto Griffin	52	399.7	197
198	Davis Riley	53	398.0	201
199	Erik van Rooyen	55	394.7	200
200	Cam Davis	43	394.4	196
201	Eugenio Chacarra	54	391.5	202
202	Ian Poulter	28	388.2	203
203	Danny Walker	51	388.0	206
204	Lee Westwood	27	385.2	204
205	Blades Brown	39	383.2	205
206	Ben Campbell	37	381.1	207
207	Martin Kaymer	36	381.0	208
208	Martin Couvra	44	378.1	209
209	Jimmy Stanger	18	377.5	195
210	Ben Kohles	57	374.8	236
211	Justin Lower	53	371.8	210
212	Adrian Meronk	44	370.2	213
213	Anthony Kim	34	369.6	211
214	Trace Crowe	41	368.2	212
215	Elvis Smylie	40	366.7	215
216	Carson Young	57	362.2	217
217	Thriston Lawrence	60	362.1	216
218	David Ford	23	361.6	218
219	Jorge Campillo	61	361.2	219
220	Kelly Kraft	9	358.7	228
221	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	55	357.5	220
222	Richard T Lee	29	356.1	222
223	Adam Schenk	56	355.6	223
224	Ewen Ferguson	52	354.1	225
225	Chan Kim	56	353.1	226
226	Luke Clanton	38	352.6	221
227	Henrik Norlander	53	351.7	227
228	Matthieu Pavon	55	344.7	229
229	Adrien Saddier	52	343.3	224
230	Alexander Bjork	10	342.8	231
231	Zac Blair	51	337.6	243
232	Hennie du Plessis	14	337.0	214
233	Nick Dunlap	47	331.6	232
234	Ugo Coussaud	52	331.0	230
235	David Skinns	51	330.5	235
236	Julien Guerrier	52	330.5	234
237	Joost Luiten	53	325.0	237
238	Ben Silverman	50	322.2	233
239	Niklas Norgaard	55	318.1	241
240	Brian Campbell	50	316.6	239
241	Luis Masaveu	30	315.8	238
242	Jinichiro Kozuma	33	311.5	244
243	Matteo Manassero	49	309.5	240
244	Trey Mullinax	36	307.3	245
245	Alejandro Tosti	50	303.2	242
246	Zecheng Dou	49	298.3	248
247	Calum Hill	55	298.3	249
248	Grant Forrest	48	295.8	251
249	Adam Hadwin	52	295.3	250
250	Mikael Lindberg	42	295.0	252
251	Frankie Capan	47	293.2	254
252	Quade Cummins	43	290.8	256
253	Matt Jones	31	290.6	255
254	Matthew Jordan	52	287.4	246
255	Nathan Kimsey	36	286.8	247
256	Cameron Champ	49	286.1	257
257	Wenyi Ding	34	281.4	258
258	Richard Mansell	44	280.6	259
259	Kevin Streelman	33	274.2	261
260	Darius van Driel	54	274.0	262
261	Nacho Elvira	56	272.3	263
262	Padraig Harrington	24	271.9	253
263	Todd Clements	55	271.4	265
264	JC Ritchie	16	270.1	266
265	Dan Bradbury	53	270.1	264
266	Kota Kaneko	32	268.9	267
267	Davis Bryant	33	268.6	269
268	Stewart Cink	9	267.7	273
269	Bronson Burgoon	26	266.2	268
270	Guido Migliozzi	50	264.6	271
271	Chandler Blanchet	49	264.5	278
272	Dylan Wu	51	264.4	260
273	Gregorio De Leo	31	264.0	274
274	Andrea Pavan	49	263.3	275
275	Joakim Lagergren	44	262.3	279
276	Casey Jarvis	61	261.3	277
277	Charley Hoffman	37	261.2	272
278	Taylor Montgomery	52	261.2	270
279	Kevin Na	25	259.4	280
280	Johannes Veerman	49	259.2	276
281	John Pak	50	258.1	281
282	Rafa Cabrera Bello	57	257.5	283
283	Daniel Rodrigues	14	256.8	284
284	Richard Sterne	41	256.4	282
285	Sam Horsfield	34	255.5	285
286	Hank Lebioda	47	254.6	286
287	Kazuma Kobori	48	252.4	287
288	Mito Pereira	22	251.7	288
289	Ricardo Gouveia	57	249.5	289
290	Jacques Kruyswijk	43	249.2	290
291	Paul Peterson	55	248.4	291
292	Bernd Wiesberger	52	248.1	292
293	Noah Goodwin	50	246.6	294
294	Marcel Schneider	54	244.9	295
295	Adam Svensson	54	244.6	293
296	Vincent Norrman	14	242.9	296
297	Jeremy Paul	55	241.9	299
298	Yanhan Zhou	12	241.3	298
299	Young-han Song	29	240.5	302
300	Seung-Yul Noh	13	239.4	297
301	Andy Ogletree	28	239.2	300
302	Alejandro Del Rey	51	237.2	301
303	Danny Willett	45	235.3	303
304	Yu-bin Jang	10	234.7	305
305	Brendan Valdez	13	234.2	304
306	Eddie Pepperell	34	233.5	306
307	Jason Scrivener	50	232.2	307
308	Frederic LaCroix	45	229.3	308
309	Brandon Stone	48	227.3	309
310	Tom Vaillant	51	226.5	310
311	Andrew Johnston	19	225.5	311
312	Pontus Nyholm	51	225.2	312
313	Thomas Rosenmuller	8	224.0	313
314	Harry Higgs	55	222.6	324
315	Brandon Robinson Thompson	51	221.4	314
316	Freddy Schott	43	220.1	315
317	Hunter Eichhorn	24	219.3	316
318	Doc Redman	44	216.9	317
319	Ben Carr	13	216.7	318
320	Darren Fichardt	32	214.8	321
321	Sebastian Soderberg	40	214.4	319
322	Chieh-po Lee	35	211.7	323
323	Luke List	52	211.3	326
324	Danny Lee	35	207.8	327
325	Ben Schmidt	42	207.8	329
326	Patton Kizzire	50	207.6	320
327	Paul Waring	42	207.3	325
328	Daniel van Tonder	20	207.0	331
329	Ian Gilligan	29	206.5	328
330	KH Lee	33	206.2	322
331	Maximilian Steinlechner	20	204.3	332
332	Romain Langasque	55	203.3	330
333	Joseph Bramlett	51	201.9	333
334	Will Gordon	54	200.2	334
335	Manuel Elvira	59	198.5	336
336	Ding Wenyi	10	196.5	338
337	Adrian Otaegui	58	196.4	337
338	Kensei Hirata	51	196.1	335
339	Oihan Guillamoundeguy	15	195.8	339
340	Herman Loubser	10	195.4	340
341	Francesco Molinari	35	194.7	341
342	Seungbin Choi	8	194.3	342
343	Jeff Winther	48	193.7	343
344	Jonathan Byrd	27	191.1	344
345	Taylor Dickson	50	190.7	345
346	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	55	189.3	347
347	Fabrizio Zanotti	42	188.5	346
348	Niklas Lemke	29	187.5	349
349	Sam Bairstow	54	187.5	348
350	Will Chandler	52	186.5	350
351	Jonathan Goth-rasmussen	8	185.6	356
352	Jeffrey Kang	46	184.5	351
353	Tapio Pulkkanen	29	183.5	352
354	Hayden Buckley	52	182.8	353
355	Joe Dean	46	181.4	354
356	Ren Yonezawa	20	181.3	355
357	Thomas Rosenmueller	37	180.9	357
358	Yuto Katsuragawa	46	180.7	358
359	Yosuke Asaji	28	175.7	361
360	Travis Smyth	33	175.2	364
361	Michael Johnson	49	175.1	363
362	Marcel Siem	48	174.8	362
363	Camilo Villegas	53	174.6	360
364	Curtis Luck	8	174.0	365
365	Justin Hastings	22	172.0	366
366	Michael La Sasso	16	170.7	368
367	Cooper Dossey	48	170.3	359
368	Rikuya Hoshino	50	170.0	367
369	David Ravetto	57	169.8	370
370	Scott Jamieson	52	167.4	373
371	Richie Ramsay	47	167.4	371
372	Jens Dantorp	53	166.2	375
373	Marcus Kinhult	49	165.4	374
374	Miles Russell	10	165.3	585
375	Kieran Vincent	34	165.1	376
376	Nick Hardy	54	164.9	369
377	Cole Sherwood	48	164.3	377
378	Ryan Moore	13	164.3	372
379	Ashun Wu	31	163.7	379
380	Seung-taek Lee	29	162.2	378
381	Ross Steelman	47	160.5	382
382	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	46	160.0	381
383	Ian Holt	40	158.9	380
384	Trevor Cone	50	158.7	383
385	Davis Shore	53	158.4	385
386	Yubin Jang	12	157.2	386
387	Benjamin Hebert	25	156.7	387
388	Alexander Levy	36	156.4	388
389	Matthew Anderson	41	156.0	389
390	Angel Hidalgo	56	155.3	391
391	Alistair Docherty	49	153.7	390
392	Joel Girrbach	59	152.2	394
393	Jonas Blixt	8	151.0	400
394	Dylan Frittelli	54	151.0	393
395	Ivan Cantero Gutierrez	56	150.7	396
396	Mitchell Meissner	50	150.3	397
397	Pablo Ereno Perez	14	149.9	395
398	Andrew Wilson	32	149.3	392
399	Emilio Gonzalez	43	148.3	398
400	Gordon Sargent	23	148.2	399

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Travelers Championship Power Ratings

Dates: June 25-28, 2026. Venue: TPC River Highlands; Cromwell CT. Purse: $20 million.

Scottie Scheffler is favored for his 55th appearance in a row. In that span he's won 16 times with 43 finishes in the top 10.

Pick	Player	Power number	Observed Odds	Course fit
1	Scottie Scheffler	-30.2	9-1	71.3
2	Tommy Fleetwood	6.4	22-1	72.4
3	Xander Schauffele	8.1	25-1	72.0
4	Matt Fitzpatrick	12.2	25-1	71.5
5	Ludvig Aberg	14.1	30-1	71.9
6	Sam Burns	17.6	30-1	72.0
7	Russell Henley	17.9	30-1	72.2
8	Maverick Mcnealy	20.2	35-1
9	Si Woo Kim	21.7	35-1	71.8
10	Justin Thomas	22.5	40-1	72.9
11	Patrick Cantlay	23.6	40-1	71.8
12	Jake Knapp	24.2	40-1	72.3
13	Ben Griffin	24.3	40-1	72.4
14	Jj Spaun	27.8	50-1
15	Collin Morikawa	28.5	50-1	71.7
16	Cameron Young	28.8	50-1	72.0
17	Justin Rose	29.2	50-1	71.7
18	Wyndham Clark	30.7	55-1	72.1
19	Robert Macintyre	31.0	55-1	72.6
20	Harris English	32.0	55-1	72.2
21	Chris Gotterup	33.5	60-1	72.1
22	Alex Smalley	34.9	65-1	71.7
23	Kurt Kitayama	35.1	65-1	71.7
24	Min Woo Lee	36.9	75-1	72.0
25	Aaron Rai	37.4	75-1	71.7
26	Hideki Matsuyama	38.4	80-1	72.5
27	Viktor Hovland	38.8	80-1	72.2
28	Jordan Spieth	38.9	80-1	72.3
29	Jacob Bridgeman	39.1	80-1	72.0
30	Bud Cauley	39.1	80-1	72.3
31	Sepp Straka	39.5	85-1	72.3
32	Eric Cole	40.2	85-1	72.7
33	Akshay Bhatia	40.7	90-1	72.5
34	Gary Woodland	41.1	90-1	72.3
35	Alex Noren	41.5	95-1	72.5
36	Keegan Bradley	41.7	95-1	72.7
37	Rickie Fowler	41.8	95-1	72.3
38	Jt Poston	42.0	95-1
39	Keith Mitchell	42.4	100-1	71.7
40	Ryan Gerard	42.5	100-1	71.9
41	Shane Lowry	42.7	100-1	72.0
42	Ryan Fox	42.9	100-1	72.4
43	Harry Hall	43.5	100-1	72.6
44	Adam Scott	44.2	100-1	71.8
45	Denny Mccarthy	44.3	100-1
46	Sahith Theegala	46.7	100-1	72.5
47	Nick Taylor	47.2	100-1	72.4
48	Matt Mccarty	47.3	100-1
49	Sam Stevens	48.0	100-1	72.0
50	Corey Conners	48.1	100-1	72.3
51	Nicolai Hojgaard	48.5	100-1	72.4
52	Daniel Berger	49.6	150-1	71.9
53	Andrew Novak	49.8	150-1	72.6
54	Pierceson Coody	49.9	150-1	72.1
55	Jason Day	50.0	150-1	72.2
56	Ryo Hisatsune	50.8	150-1	71.7
57	Michael Kim	51.1	150-1	72.9
58	Sungjae Im	51.4	150-1	73.2
59	Tom Kim	51.4	150-1	72.0
60	Tony Finau	51.6	150-1	72.9
61	Mac Meissner	52.1	150-1	72.3
62	Aldrich Potgieter	52.3	150-1	72.4
63	Alex Fitzpatrick	52.7	200-1	71.1
64	Kristoffer Reitan	53.2	200-1	72.1
65	Matti Schmid	54.2	200-1	72.3
66	Taylor Pendrith	54.6	200-1	71.8
67	Brian Harman	55.1	200-1	72.7
68	Nico Echavarria	55.3	200-1	72.8
69	Tom Hoge	55.5	250-1	72.5
70	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	55.6	250-1	72.3
71	Jackson Suber	57.2	250-1	71.7
72	Ben James	57.4	300-1
73	Patrick Rodgers	57.9	300-1	72.6
74	Lucas Glover	60.0	350-1	72.9
75	Ricky Castillo	62.2	400-1	72.6
76	Brandt Snedeker	63.1	500-1	72.4
77	Mark Hubbard	63.5	500-1	72.5
78	Jhonattan Vegas	67.2	800-1	72.5
79	Brian Campbell	75.8	2000-1	73.7

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A look at the U.S. Open

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed between 2018 and 2025. A value of about .601 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .269 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	Value
Patrick Cantlay	0.864
Brian Harman	0.835
Scottie Scheffler	0.702
Keegan Bradley	0.630
Justin Thomas	0.552
Wyndham Clark	0.539
Russell Henley	0.539
Jason Day	0.520

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3588.3
Xander Schauffele	2	2373.6
Tommy Fleetwood	4	2290.1
Russell Henley	5	2134.3
Ludvig Aberg	6	2076.3
Matt Fitzpatrick	7	1990.0
Justin Thomas	8	1971.7
Patrick Cantlay	10	1883.1

Sorry, can't make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Rory McIlroy	3	2345.9
Jon Rahm	9	1907.3
Jackson Koivun	15	1715.0
Tyrrell Hatton	27	1417.7

Ooh, that's hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward Change
Wyndham Clark	2263.8
Aaron Rai	1466.3
Justin Rose	1318.9
Sam Burns	1159.3
Ben Griffin	1109.7
Alex Fitzpatrick	963.1
Aldrich Potgieter	914.0
Keith Mitchell	905.7

Brr, that's cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Rickie Fowler	-1400.1
Sepp Straka	-1281.3
Jason Day	-1161.3
Nicolai Hojgaard	-1070.5
Russell Henley	-1057.5
Collin Morikawa	-1027.4
Corey Conners	-904.3
Harry Hall	-893.3

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the TPC River Highlands course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.14	Greens in regulation
0.12	Scrambling
0.11	Shots gained around the green
0.10	Driving accuracy

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Alex Fitzpatrick	71.07
Scottie Scheffler	71.34
Matt Fitzpatrick	71.49
Aaron Rai	71.66
Jackson Suber	71.66
Ryo Hisatsune	71.68
Kurt Kitayama	71.72
Collin Morikawa	71.73

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above

Course fit	Player
Brian Campbell	73.7
Sungjae Im	73.2
Justin Thomas	72.9
Tony Finau	72.9
Michael Kim	72.9
Lucas Glover	72.9
Nico Echavarria	72.8
Keegan Bradley	72.7

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2026 and Cromwell CT, the event host city.

Player	Home	Miles
Keegan Bradley	Woodstock VT	150
Sudarshan Yellamaraju	Mississauga, Ontario	375
Alex Smalley	Greensboro NC	550
Jason Day	Forest Lake OH	650
Jacob Bridgeman	Greenville SC	700
Brandt Snedeker	Nashville TN	850
Brian Harman	St. Simons Island GA	875
Andrew Novak	St. Simons Island GA	875
Keith Mitchell	St. Simons Island GA	875
Ben Griffin	St. Simons Island GA	875

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.371
I love this place	-0.182
Ooh, that’s hot	-0.117
Location, location, location	0.002

Stay updated on the world of golf.

Learn More