A quick and accurate look at this week's professional golf.

Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Power Ratings

Dates: Mar. 5-8, 2026. Venue: Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club and Lodge; Orlando FL. Purse $20 million.

A golfer wearing a blue cap and white jacket, focused and engaged

Scottie Scheffler

Pick	Player	Power number	Observed Odds	Course fit
1	Scottie Scheffler	-39.1	11-1	74.3
2	Russell Henley	-4.2	24-1	74.2
3	Rory McIlroy	6.9	30-1	74.3
4	Xander Schauffele	10.9	35-1	74.3
5	Tommy Fleetwood	13.1	35-1	74.3
6	Jake Knapp	19.2	45-1	74.4
7	Sepp Straka	19.7	45-1	74.2
8	Ben Griffin	20.5	50-1	74.4
9	Collin Morikawa	20.6	50-1	74.4
10	Akshay Bhatia	20.7	50-1	74.4
11	Ludvig Aberg	21.5	50-1	74.2
12	Maverick McNealy	21.9	50-1	74.3
13	Patrick Cantlay	23.9	55-1	74.5
14	Cameron Young	24.0	55-1	74.3
15	Justin Thomas	25.7	60-1
16	Matt Fitzpatrick	26.6	60-1	74.1
17	Robert Macintyre	27.2	65-1	74.3
18	Rickie Fowler	27.4	65-1	74.4
19	Si Woo Kim	27.8	65-1	74.3
20	Hideki Matsuyama	28.1	65-1	74.5
21	Harry Hall	28.3	65-1	74.5
22	Sam Burns	28.7	65-1	74.2
23	Viktor Hovland	29.4	70-1	74.2
24	Harris English	30.2	70-1	74.4
25	Shane Lowry	30.2	70-1	74.4
26	Jordan Spieth	30.7	75-1	74.6
27	JJ Spaun	31.3	75-1	74.3
28	Jacob Bridgeman	34.5	90-1	75.5
29	Keegan Bradley	34.5	90-1	74.4
30	Alex Noren	35.6	90-1	74.4
31	Corey Conners	35.8	95-1	74.2
32	Adam Scott	35.8	95-1	74.7
33	Nicolai Hojgaard	37.1	100-1	74.4
34	Kurt Kitayama	37.2	100-1	74.2
35	Taylor Pendrith	38.5	100-1	74.3
36	Nico Echavarria	39.3	100-1	74.2
37	Jason Day	39.7	100-1	74.4
38	Nick Taylor	40.2	100-1	74.4
39	Lucas Glover	40.7	100-1	74.1
40	Max Greyserman	41.1	100-1	74.3
41	Michael Thorbjornsen	41.4	100-1	74.3
42	Andrew Novak	41.7	100-1	74.2
43	Chris Gotterup	41.7	100-1	74.4
44	Min woo Lee	41.7	100-1	74.4
45	Daniel Berger	42.2	100-1	74.2
46	Aaron Rai	42.5	100-1	74.5
47	Tony Finau	43.1	100-1	74.3
48	Justin Rose	44.6	150-1	74.4
49	Denny McCarthy	44.6	150-1	74.2
50	Ryo Hisatsune	44.8	150-1	74.4
51	JT Poston	45.1	150-1	74.3
52	Keith Mitchell	45.1	150-1	74.4
53	Sam Stevens	45.2	150-1	74.2
54	Rasmus Hojgaard	45.5	150-1	74.3
55	Bud Cauley	45.7	150-1	74.2
56	Pierceson Coody	46.5	150-1	74.4
57	Ryan Fox	47.0	150-1	74.2
58	Rico Hoey	47.0	150-1	74.3
59	Sahith Theegala	47.1	150-1	74.3
60	Michael Kim	47.2	150-1	74.3
61	Brian Harman	47.2	150-1	74.3
62	Lee Hodges	47.5	150-1	74.3
63	Ryan Gerard	47.6	150-1	74.3
64	Wyndham Clark	47.6	150-1	74.3
65	Alex Smalley	47.7	150-1	74.3
66	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	47.7	150-1	74.5
67	Mackenzie Hughes	48.4	150-1	74.2
68	Matti Schmid	48.7	200-1	74.3
69	Matt McCarty	49.0	200-1	74.2
70	Kristoffer Reitan	49.1	200-1	74.3
71	Patrick Rodgers	49.1	200-1	74.3
72	Stephan Jaeger	49.2	200-1	74.5
73	Davis Thompson	49.8	200-1	74.2
74	Eric Cole	49.9	200-1	74.3
75	SungJae Im	51.0	200-1
76	Tom Hoge	51.1	200-1	74.2
77	Sami Valimaki	51.4	200-1	74.4
78	Kevin Roy	52.3	250-1	74.5
79	Garrick Higgo	52.3	250-1	74.2
80	Brooks Koepka	52.6	250-1	74.2
81	Chris Kirk	52.7	250-1	74.3
82	Vince Whaley	52.9	250-1	74.4
83	Max McGreevy	53.1	250-1	74.2
84	Seamus Power	53.3	250-1	74.4
85	AJ Ewart	53.3	250-1	74.4
86	Ricky Castillo	53.6	250-1	74.2
87	Thorbjorn Olesen	53.7	250-1	74.2
88	Kevin Yu	53.8	250-1	74.2
89	Chad Ramey	54.4	300-1	74.3
90	Joel Dahmen	54.5	300-1	74.3
91	Taylor Moore	54.9	300-1	74.4
92	Mac Meissner	55.5	300-1	74.2
93	Jhonattan Vegas	55.9	350-1	74.4
94	Andrew Putnam	56.1	350-1	74.4
95	Haotong Li	56.2	350-1	74.4
96	John Parry	57.0	350-1	74.3
97	David Ford	57.3	350-1	74.2
98	Max Homa	57.3	400-1	74.1
99	Mark Hubbard	57.6	400-1	74.3
100	Gary Woodland	57.7	400-1	74.2
101	Emiliano Grillo	58.0	400-1	74.3
102	Jordan Smith	58.4	400-1	74.3
103	Takumi Kanaya	58.7	400-1	74.1
104	William Mouw	59.3	400-1	74.2
105	Aldrich Potgieter	59.4	400-1	75.1
106	Tom Kim	60.0	500-1	74.2
107	Karl Vilips	60.8	500-1	74.3
108	Chandler Phillips	61.6	600-1	74.3
109	Adam Schenk	62.3	600-1	74.3
110	Dan Brown	62.5	600-1	74.3
111	Johnny Keefer	62.8	600-1	74.0
112	Marco Penge	63.0	600-1	74.0
113	Davis Riley	63.1	600-1	74.5
114	Michael Brennan	63.1	600-1	74.1
115	Austin Smotherman	64.2	800-1	74.4
116	Cam Davis	64.3	800-1	74.1
117	Steven Fisk	64.5	800-1	74.4
118	Zecheng Dou	64.6	800-1	74.1
119	Joe Highsmith	64.8	800-1	74.3
120	Patton Kizzire	64.9	800-1	74.4
121	Danny Walker	65.1	800-1	74.2
122	Zach Bauchou	65.7	1000-1	74.1
123	Erik van Rooyen	65.9	1000-1	74.1
124	SH Kim	67.4	1000-1	74.5
125	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	68.0	1000-1	74.3
126	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	68.2	1000-1	74.2
127	Brian Campbell	68.8	1000-1	74.2
128	Matthieu Pavon	70.8	2000-1	74.2
129	Pontus Nyholm	75.0	2000-1	74.2

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Scottie Scheffler has been no. 1 for 146 consecutive weeks.

Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (Mar. 2, 2026)

#	Thru Mar 3, 2026	Events	Hawley rating	Previous week
1	Scottie Scheffler	43	3515.3	1
2	Rory McIlroy	50	2240.6	2
3	Xander Schauffele	39	2218.6	3
4	Russell Henley	40	2204.2	4
5	Tommy Fleetwood	52	2201.8	5
6	Jon Rahm	39	1875.6	6
7	Patrick Cantlay	41	1860.7	7
8	Collin Morikawa	46	1844.6	8
9	Justin Thomas	39	1793.4	9
10	Bryson DeChambeau	36	1683.0	10
11	Hideki Matsuyama	48	1646.3	11
12	Sepp Straka	51	1635.4	12
13	Sam Burns	49	1597.1	13
14	Maverick McNealy	52	1551.3	14
15	Shane Lowry	55	1550.5	20
16	Si Woo Kim	59	1542.6	16
17	Ludvig Aberg	42	1536.3	15
18	Ben Griffin	64	1531.9	17
19	Jake Knapp	46	1525.7	19
20	Jackson Koivun	9	1509.3	18
21	Matt Fitzpatrick	50	1493.8	21
22	Robert MacIntyre	60	1459.8	22
23	Viktor Hovland	41	1449.6	23
24	Keegan Bradley	44	1432.7	24
25	JJ Spaun	53	1418.9	26
26	Corey Conners	51	1414.6	25
27	Cameron Young	51	1399.1	27
28	Rickie Fowler	42	1374.8	28
29	Jason Day	40	1367.0	29
30	Harris English	49	1366.2	30
31	Akshay Bhatia	57	1320.0	31
32	Taylor Pendrith	51	1304.6	32
33	Jacob Bridgeman	57	1300.0	33
34	Harry Hall	55	1296.6	34
35	Aaron Rai	54	1276.8	35
36	Tyrrell Hatton	49	1266.1	37
37	Alex Noren	39	1262.0	36
38	Jordan Spieth	41	1261.8	38
39	Adam Scott	47	1209.7	39
40	Denny McCarthy	46	1207.2	40
41	Justin Rose	44	1197.5	41
42	JT Poston	48	1173.6	42
43	Lucas Glover	45	1159.3	43
44	Andrew Novak	54	1138.9	44
45	Kurt Kitayama	46	1125.2	45
46	Tony Finau	45	1116.9	46
47	Daniel Berger	51	1114.1	47
48	Nick Taylor	52	1110.7	48
49	Sungjae Im	50	1085.0	49
50	Chris Gotterup	55	1083.5	50
51	Max Greyserman	54	1064.8	51
52	Nicolai Hojgaard	53	1037.2	58
53	Min Woo Lee	43	1026.0	52
54	Sam Stevens	61	1023.8	54
55	Wyndham Clark	50	1016.2	53
56	Nico Echavarria	56	1014.4	62
57	Ryan Gerard	60	999.2	57
58	Michael Thorbjornsen	42	978.5	55
59	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	54	968.3	56
60	Brian Harman	52	967.4	59
61	Rasmus Hojgaard	52	966.5	67
62	Joaquin Niemann	44	958.5	61
63	Ryan Fox	55	943.4	65
64	Tom Hoge	57	940.9	64
65	Davis Thompson	52	931.0	60
66	Sahith Theegala	51	926.5	66
67	Patrick Reed	57	921.9	63
68	Sebastian Munoz	32	916.9	68
69	Matt McCarty	56	906.5	69
70	Bud Cauley	43	898.0	72
71	Byeong Hun An	49	891.0	71
72	Michael Kim	61	890.5	73
73	Keith Mitchell	53	876.9	87
74	Eric Cole	62	868.8	75
75	Stephan Jaeger	51	865.0	70
76	Abraham Ancer	34	863.3	76
77	Carlos Ortiz	35	848.4	78
78	Pierceson Coody	60	845.5	79
79	Brooks Koepka	38	840.1	96
80	Patrick Rodgers	63	839.7	81
81	Billy Horschel	45	839.5	74
82	Ryo Hisatsune	62	836.1	84
83	Mackenzie Hughes	54	834.5	85
84	Thomas Detry	56	834.2	82
85	Paul Casey	32	831.2	83
86	David Puig	48	817.8	90
87	Will Zalatoris	33	814.7	89
88	Lee Hodges	51	811.5	86
89	Chris Kirk	44	805.9	77
90	Alex Smalley	57	805.7	88
91	Matt Kuchar	42	803.5	80
92	Cameron Tringale	30	799.1	93
93	Rico Hoey	60	782.5	91
94	Marc Leishman	33	778.1	95
95	Dean Burmester	43	776.5	94
96	Seamus Power	53	775.5	92
97	Tom McKibbin	54	769.7	97
98	Cameron Smith	39	762.9	98
99	Talor Gooch	31	759.9	99
100	Thomas Pieters	38	737.8	102
101	Kevin Yu	55	726.2	100
102	Lucas Herbert	37	713.0	101
103	Taylor Moore	53	709.9	126
104	Thorbjorn Olesen	61	706.5	104
105	Mac Meissner	52	700.2	103
106	Bubba Watson	31	699.1	109
107	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	40	697.5	105
108	Jhonattan Vegas	45	694.2	108
109	Matti Schmid	61	693.5	121
110	Sergio Garcia	38	687.6	110
111	Andrew Putnam	53	675.4	106
112	Max Homa	47	674.8	125
113	Victor Perez	51	670.5	113
114	Gary Woodland	48	669.8	107
115	Sami Valimaki	55	669.6	111
116	Dustin Johnson	39	668.9	117
117	Branden Grace	36	667.7	112
118	Haotong Li	52	665.7	119
119	Beau Hossler	55	664.3	122
120	Matt Wallace	60	659.6	116
121	Jason Kokrak	33	658.7	120
122	Kristoffer Reitan	37	653.7	128
123	Vince Whaley	50	653.4	114
124	Tom Kim	55	647.0	115
125	Max McGreevy	62	639.6	123
126	Kevin Roy	55	636.8	130
127	Charl Schwartzel	36	632.8	118
128	Patrick Fishburn	55	631.6	124
129	Jordan Smith	56	620.3	133
130	Austin Eckroat	52	612.3	127
131	Caleb Surratt	38	611.5	131
132	Richard Bland	34	608.6	132
133	Emiliano Grillo	50	597.3	129
134	Garrick Higgo	48	592.8	135
135	Joel Dahmen	56	592.4	146
136	Josele Ballester	19	583.5	137
137	Anirban Lahiri	36	583.4	138
138	Charles Howell	24	582.4	139
139	Mark Hubbard	60	581.8	140
140	Cam Davis	47	573.6	134
141	Doug Ghim	55	572.6	136
142	Marco Penge	51	569.7	141
143	Brendan Steele	30	562.1	142
144	Louis Oosthuizen	38	557.4	144
145	Chad Ramey	58	552.3	150
146	Ricky Castillo	53	542.8	170
147	David Lipsky	55	539.6	143
148	Harold Varner	32	537.5	147
149	Chandler Phillips	54	532.8	145
150	Angel Ayora	45	520.7	155
151	Jayden Schaper	49	517.3	152
152	Aldrich Potgieter	49	515.6	160
153	Sam Ryder	56	512.4	149
154	Peter Uihlein	42	510.5	159
155	Davis Riley	53	510.2	148
156	Graeme McDowell	30	504.2	161
157	Joe Highsmith	58	501.3	157
158	Nick Dunlap	49	498.8	151
159	Jesper Svensson	53	498.5	156
160	Justin Lower	57	497.1	154
161	Greyson Sigg	52	493.8	162
162	John Parry	45	492.6	158
163	Luke Clanton	31	491.7	153
164	CT Pan	25	479.9	167
165	Henrik Norlander	54	470.8	172
166	Andy Sullivan	57	468.4	168
167	Oliver Lindell	36	468.2	166
168	Phil Mickelson	31	467.0	174
169	Takumi Kanaya	49	465.7	184
170	Thriston Lawrence	59	465.1	165
171	Daniel Hillier	53	464.1	169
172	Karl Vilips	37	463.2	164
173	Wesley Bryan	22	462.0	175
174	William Mouw	47	457.0	210
175	Michael Brennan	11	456.0	163
176	Kris Ventura	50	454.9	171
177	Carson Young	56	452.5	173
178	David Ford	18	451.0	181
179	Antoine Rozner	54	450.7	176
180	Francesco Laporta	43	441.8	188
181	Adam Schenk	58	437.6	177
182	Elvis Smylie	30	433.3	182
183	Dan Brown	46	431.0	183
184	Chan Kim	56	424.3	179
185	Hayden Springer	54	421.5	180
186	Ben Campbell	30	421.1	186
187	Laurie Canter	43	415.6	187
188	Charley Hoffman	38	413.0	178
189	Martin Couvra	35	402.5	190
190	Zach Johnson	34	401.9	194
191	Adrien Saddier	50	397.2	189
192	Nate Lashley	40	396.1	196
193	Isaiah Salinda	49	395.9	191
194	Danny Walker	50	395.7	199
195	Zac Blair	50	395.6	195
196	Austin Smotherman	53	395.5	248
197	Ben Silverman	52	390.2	200
198	Webb Simpson	27	388.9	185
199	Johnny Keefer	35	388.3	192
200	Niklas Norgaard	57	386.6	202
201	Erik van Rooyen	54	386.6	193
202	Matthew Jordan	53	384.4	205
203	Jackson Suber	50	384.0	198
204	Julien Guerrier	51	379.7	206
205	Jorge Campillo	64	378.2	203
206	Henrik Stenson	27	378.0	209
207	Adam Hadwin	52	377.7	197
208	Keita Nakajima	45	376.5	201
209	Adrian Meronk	44	374.3	211
210	Matteo Manassero	50	369.3	212
211	Alejandro Tosti	50	368.2	207
212	Ewen Ferguson	50	366.7	220
213	Matthew Wolff	26	364.8	214
214	Patton Kizzire	49	363.9	244
215	Lee Westwood	26	358.1	217
216	KH Lee	38	355.7	208
217	Shaun Norris	31	355.0	213
218	Ben Kohles	56	352.3	222
219	Lanto Griffin	53	351.0	215
220	Marcus Armitage	52	351.0	223
221	Justin Hastings	13	348.0	204
222	Martin Kaymer	35	345.9	224
223	Adam Svensson	58	345.6	216
224	Joost Luiten	54	344.8	218
225	Jacob Skov Olesen	40	343.1	219
226	Ian Poulter	27	340.6	226
227	Trace Crowe	45	340.2	227
228	Kelly Kraft	14	339.7	229
229	Trey Mullinax	35	339.5	230
230	Alex Fitzpatrick	57	338.7	235
231	Brice Garnett	44	336.1	221
232	Taylor Montgomery	48	335.5	234
233	Brandt Snedeker	49	333.3	225
234	Johannes Veerman	52	332.4	233
235	Matthieu Pavon	55	330.6	252
236	Brian Campbell	48	328.8	238
237	Steven Fisk	52	327.9	241
238	Frankie Capan	52	327.2	231
239	Dylan Wu	50	327.0	228
240	Zach Bauchou	27	324.7	264
241	Sam Horsfield	32	324.4	239
242	Grant Forrest	50	323.3	240
243	Stewart Cink	14	322.2	242
244	SH Kim	53	321.2	232
245	Richard Mansell	50	316.6	243
246	Ugo Coussaud	52	315.5	236
247	Kevin Na	27	310.6	246
248	Jinichiro Kozuma	34	305.8	249
249	Cameron Champ	49	305.7	247
250	Matt Jones	34	301.8	250
251	Joakim Lagergren	37	299.9	245
252	Wenyi Ding	26	298.9	251
253	Todd Clements	55	295.9	257
254	Romain Langasque	55	295.5	255
255	Eugenio Chacarra	53	295.0	254
256	Noah Goodwin	47	294.7	256
257	Andy Ogletree	32	293.8	253
258	Mikael Lindberg	35	288.4	258
259	Nacho Elvira	53	288.2	259
260	Brendon Todd	30	284.2	237
261	Alexander Bjork	17	283.5	261
262	Calum Hill	58	282.9	266
263	Luis Masaveu	21	282.5	263
264	Herman Loubser	8	280.4	262
265	Zecheng Dou	49	277.1	305
266	Brandon Stone	50	277.0	260
267	Thomas Rosenmueller	29	275.0	268
268	Guido Migliozzi	53	275.0	267
269	David Skinns	53	272.7	269
270	Andrea Pavan	57	271.5	270
271	Nathan Kimsey	27	267.9	289
272	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	55	267.0	292
273	Richard Sterne	34	266.3	265
274	Frederic LaCroix	48	264.2	295
275	Dan Bradbury	55	260.3	271
276	Anthony Kim	33	257.1	275
277	Danny Lee	33	255.7	276
278	Jeremy Paul	52	254.9	272
279	Casey Jarvis	61	253.0	304
280	Kevin Streelman	35	251.3	308
281	Matthew NeSmith	24	251.2	274
282	John Pak	51	248.7	277
283	Quade Cummins	54	247.4	285
284	Mito Pereira	28	247.4	283
285	Jacques Kruyswijk	44	246.9	278
286	Jonathan Byrd	28	245.5	273
287	Ren Yonezawa	18	244.7	279
288	Harry Higgs	54	244.0	281
289	Hayden Buckley	54	241.5	280
290	Jason Scrivener	51	239.4	299
291	Will Gordon	46	237.9	286
292	Darius van Driel	54	237.0	287
293	Sebastian Soderberg	40	236.2	284
294	Alejandro Del Rey	53	235.8	309
295	Luke List	54	235.4	288
296	Sam Bairstow	54	235.2	291
297	Kazuma Kobori	43	233.2	300
298	Richard T Lee	20	232.1	302
299	Tom Vaillant	51	232.0	298
300	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	46	230.5	356
301	Rafa Cabrera Bello	58	229.1	321
302	Marcel Schneider	55	228.2	297
303	Ben Schmidt	35	228.2	293
304	Davis Bryant	26	228.1	290
305	Freddy Schott	45	228.0	319
306	Doc Redman	43	227.6	294
307	Daniel van Tonder	17	227.2	359
308	Ian Gilligan	21	226.6	320
309	Rikuya Hoshino	46	226.3	303
310	Blades Brown	29	224.9	296
311	Scott Vincent	34	222.0	311
312	Brandon Robinson Thompson	44	221.4	306
313	Paul Waring	40	221.1	301
314	Kevin Tway	32	219.9	307
315	Chieh-po Lee	33	216.4	315
316	Yu-bin Jang	10	214.9	318
317	Joseph Bramlett	52	214.7	310
318	Brendan Valdez	13	214.4	317
319	Taylor Dickson	51	213.8	323
320	Darren Fichardt	35	211.4	312
321	Danny Willett	41	210.5	313
322	Trevor Cone	51	207.6	316
323	Tapio Pulkkanen	27	206.4	326
324	Niklas Lemke	27	205.4	328
325	Neal Shipley	43	205.0	314
326	Nick Hardy	55	204.2	324
327	Jeff Winther	49	202.8	325
328	Will Chandler	46	202.0	330
329	Adrian Otaegui	59	196.6	358
330	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	45	195.8	335
331	Ben Martin	40	194.7	327
332	Kensei Hirata	44	193.6	331
333	Yuto Katsuragawa	41	193.5	329
334	Ding Wenyi	10	192.9	341
335	David Micheluzzi	46	192.6	338
336	Camilo Villegas	54	190.7	336
337	Robby Shelton	52	189.7	332
338	Bernd Wiesberger	52	189.4	357
339	Connor Syme	50	189.1	333
340	Scott Jamieson	53	189.1	344
341	Ian Holt	32	187.7	345
342	Paul Peterson	55	187.1	348
343	Francesco Molinari	38	187.1	343
344	Ryan Moore	23	186.9	340
345	Eddie Pepperell	33	186.9	392
346	Fabrizio Zanotti	44	186.8	347
347	Ricardo Gouveia	57	185.1	342
348	Kieran Vincent	35	184.9	337
349	Cameron Adam	9	184.5	322
350	Kevin Chappell	32	183.8	346
351	Sean Crocker	48	183.7	350
352	Thomas Rosenmuller	17	182.4	351
353	Gregorio De Leo	25	180.7	339
354	Michael Hollick	14	179.1	334
355	Hunter Eichhorn	17	177.7	386
356	Angel Hidalgo	56	177.3	349
357	Manuel Elvira	58	177.0	352
358	Andrew Wilson	37	175.2	360
359	Edoardo Molinari	31	173.7	363
360	Yannik Paul	52	173.2	361
361	Richie Ramsay	47	173.1	353
362	Andrew Johnston	16	172.4	362
363	Yuta Sugiura	26	172.2	368
364	Marcel Siem	47	172.0	355
365	Chris Korte	10	170.9	458
366	Yubin Jang	10	166.6	366
367	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	57	165.4	364
368	Jens Dantorp	55	164.1	365
369	Benjamin Hebert	25	163.2	369
370	Joel Girrbach	59	162.4	367
371	Kazuki Higa	34	161.9	370
372	Vincent Norrman	24	160.7	380
373	JC Ritchie	10	160.5	354
374	Pat Perez	14	159.9	373
375	John Catlin	47	158.9	372
376	Padraig Harrington	24	158.9	371
377	Shimizu Taisei	16	158.7	378
378	Yosuke Asaji	19	158.0	374
379	Seung-taek Lee	30	157.8	376
380	Jack Senior	34	157.1	375
381	Pontus Nyholm	52	157.1	495
382	Max Rottluff	33	156.4	379
383	Martin Laird	45	155.3	381
384	Oihan Guillamoundeguy	8	154.9	383
385	Joe Dean	44	153.8	406
386	Curtis Luck	9	153.8	389
387	Andreas Halvorsen	25	152.0	388
388	Marcus Kinhult	50	151.5	377
389	Chesson Hadley	40	150.4	387
390	Mitchell Meissner	51	150.2	384
391	Aaron Cockerill	53	148.6	391
392	Troy Merritt	52	148.5	385
393	Kota Kaneko	23	148.0	382
394	David Ravetto	55	145.8	393
395	Lucas Bjerregaard	28	145.5	394
396	Miguel Tabuena	31	145.1	398
397	Trent Phillips	55	144.8	390
398	Seung-yul Noh	52	143.5	399
399	Braden Thornberry	53	142.6	395
400	Ivan Cantero Gutierrez	54	142.4	397

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

LIV Golf Singapore Power Ratings

Dates: Mar. 12-15, 2026. Purse: $20 million (individuals). Venue: Sentosa GC; Singapore.

Jon Rahm

Pick	Player	Power number	Observed Odds	Course fit
1	Jon Rahm	22.8	6-1	71.5
2	Bryson DeChambeau	26.9	8-1	71.5
3	Tyrrell Hatton	45.3	20-1	71.9
4	David Puig	47.3	24-1	72.8
5	Paul Casey	48.1	25-1
6	Sebastian Munoz	50.4	30-1	72.0
7	Carlos Ortiz	51.5	30-1	71.6
8	Thomas Detry	52.4	35-1	73.0
9	Branden Grace	53.0	35-1	71.8
10	Byeong Hun An	53.1	35-1	71.6
11	Joaquin Niemann	53.4	35-1	71.5
12	Abraham Ancer	53.6	35-1	71.9
13	Thomas Pieters	53.9	35-1	71.7
14	Dean Burmester	54.9	40-1	71.7
15	Lucas Herbert	55.5	45-1	71.5
16	Cameron Smith	56.1	45-1	71.9
17	Marc Leishman	56.1	45-1	71.6
18	Talor Gooch	56.9	50-1	71.9
19	Tom McKibbin	57.2	50-1	73.1
20	Sergio Garcia	57.7	55-1	71.7
21	Cameron Tringale	58.0	55-1	72.0
22	Victor Perez	58.7	60-1	71.5
23	Elvis Smylie	59.3	65-1	73.0
24	Jason Kokrak	59.3	65-1	72.1
25	Richard Bland	59.6	65-1	71.8
26	Caleb Surratt	59.7	65-1	71.7
27	Dustin Johnson	60.0	70-1	71.8
28	Peter Uihlein	61.1	80-1	71.6
29	Louis Oosthuizen	61.1	80-1	71.9
30	Bubba Watson	61.2	80-1	71.8
31	Charles Howell	61.3	80-1	71.9
32	Graeme McDowell	61.4	80-1	72.0
33	Charl Schwartzel	61.6	85-1	71.8
34	Harold Varner	61.9	85-1	71.8
35	Brendan Steele	62.9	95-1	71.7
36	Josele Ballester	63.0	100-1	71.3
37	Anirban Lahiri	63.2	100-1	71.8
38	Lee Westwood	64.1	100-1
39	Matthew Wolff	65.2	100-1	71.8
40	Laurie Canter	66.5	150-1	73.0
41	Ben Campbell	68.2	200-1	72.1
42	Ian Poulter	69.2	200-1	71.9
43	Adrian Meronk	69.5	250-1	72.0
44	Anthony Kim	69.9	250-1	71.8
45	Richard T Lee	70.0	250-1	71.5
46	Martin Kaymer	70.7	300-1	72.1
47	Scott Vincent	71.7	350-1	72.0
48	Sam Horsfield	71.8	350-1	71.9
49	Luis Masaveu	72.0	400-1	71.8
50	Danny Lee	73.0	400-1	71.9
51	Yosuke Asaji	73.3	400-1	71.9
52	Young-han Song	74.2	500-1
53	Bjorn Hellgren	76.0	600-1	71.7
54	Miguel Tabuena	76.1	600-1	72.0
55	Wade Ormsby	76.2	600-1	71.9
56	Minkyu Kim	76.7	600-1	71.8
57	Michael La Sasso	76.9	600-1	71.7

A look at The Players Championship

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .595 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Shane Lowry	0.657
Tom Hoge	0.654
Tommy Fleetwood	0.654
Corey Conners	0.632
Scottie Scheffler	0.588
Rory McIlroy	0.576
Si Woo Kim	0.527
Keegan Bradley	0.508
Denny McCarthy	0.505
Sepp Straka	0.488

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Scottie Scheffler	1	3432.8
Russell Henley	2	2278.5
Rory McIlroy	3	2172.4
Xander Schauffele	4	2168.6
Tommy Fleetwood	5	2140.8
Collin Morikawa	6	1924.7
Patrick Cantlay	7	1783.5
Justin Thomas	8	1713.5

Sorry, can't make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Jon Rahm	7	1882.9
Bryson DeChambeau	12	1626.0
Jackson Koivun	19	1503.9
Tyrrell Hatton	40	1227.8

Ooh, that's hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Akshay Bhatia	2387.5
Min woo Lee	2115.7
Jake Knapp	2024.9
Jacob Bridgeman	1606.6
Collin Morikawa	1436.8
Nicolai Hojgaard	1137.9
Ryo Hisatsune	1115.0
Adam Scott	1070.0

Brr, that's cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
JJ Spaun	-1255.2
Patrick Cantlay	-1156.4
Keegan Bradley	-1047.7
SungJae Im	-1032.2
Justin Thomas	-1019.8
Corey Conners	-1011.5
Sam Burns	-955.7
Denny McCarthy	-946.6

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.11	Sand saves
0.11	Putts per GIR
0.10	Driving distance
0.08	Scrambling

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Johnny Keefer	74.0
Marco Penge	74.0
Lucas Glover	74.1
Michael Brennan	74.1
Matt Fitzpatrick	74.1
Zecheng Dou	74.1
Erik van Rooyen	74.1
Cam Davis	74.1
Max Homa	74.1

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above

Course fit	Player
Jacob Bridgeman	75.5
Aldrich Potgieter	75.1
Adam Scott	74.7
Jordan Spieth	74.6
Hideki Matsuyama	74.6
Aaron Rai	74.5
Davis Riley	74.5
Stephan Jaeger	74.5
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	74.5

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2026 and Orlando FL, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Ludvig Aberg	Ponte Vedra Beach FL	8
Nico Echavarria	Ponte Vedra Beach FL	8
Adrien Dumont de Chassart	Ponte Vedra Beach FL	8
Michael Brennan	Jacksonville FL	18
Karl Vilips	Jacksonville FL	18
Danny Walker	Jacksonville FL	18
Ricky Castillo	Jacksonville FL	18
Keith Mitchell	St. Simons Island GA	75
Brian Harman	St. Simons Island GA	75
Davis Thompson	St. Simons Island GA	75
Andrew Novak	St. Simons Island GA	75
Ben Griffin	St. Simons Island GA	75
JT Poston	St. Simons Island GA	75
Patton Kizzire	St. Simons Island GA	75

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.371
I love this place	0.178
Ooh, that’s hot	0.118
Location, location, location	0.007

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