A quick and accurate look at this week's professional golf.
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Charles Schwab Challenge Power Ratings

Dates: May 28-31, 2026. Venue: Colonial CC, Ft. Worth TX. Purse: $9.9 million.

Ludvig Aberg
Ludvig Aberg
.
PickPlayerPower numberObserved OddsCourse fit
1Scottie Scheffler-38.711-177.6
2Xander Schauffele-1.025-177.7
3Ludvig Aberg1.325-178.9
4Matt Fitzpatrick4.030-177.9
5Justin Thomas5.130-1
6Russell Henley7.430-177.5
7Rory McIlroy7.630-178.0
8Cameron Young11.835-177.6
9Patrick Cantlay12.135-177.2
10Ben Griffin15.440-177.7
11Tommy Fleetwood16.540-177.5
12Jake Knapp17.545-177.2
13Si Woo Kim17.845-177.6
14Maverick McNealy18.345-177.8
15Alex Smalley21.450-177.9
16JJ Spaun21.750-178.7
17Harris English22.550-177.4
18Robert Macintyre23.555-177.1
19Kurt Kitayama23.855-177.2
20Sam Burns24.455-177.9
21Rickie Fowler25.360-177.6
22Min Woo Lee26.260-177.7
23Hideki Matsuyama26.360-176.7
24Justin Rose26.560-177.9
25Jordan Spieth26.960-177.5
26Chris Gotterup29.270-177.7
27Nick Taylor29.870-177.1
28Adam Scott30.775-177.5
29Sepp Straka31.775-178.1
30Alex Noren32.980-177.6
31Akshay Bhatia33.585-177.7
32Aaron Rai34.085-178.3
33Harry Hall34.085-177.3
34Shane Lowry36.095-177.6
35Daniel Berger36.395-177.9
36Nicolai Hojgaard36.9100-178.1
37Corey Conners37.2100-177.8
38Jacob Bridgeman37.2100-177.8
39Bud Cauley37.3100-178.2
40Keegan Bradley37.7100-177.7
41Matt McCarty37.8100-177.8
42Jason Day38.0100-177.3
43Kristoffer Reitan39.5100-178.1
44Ryan Gerard39.7100-177.4
45Andrew Novak40.3100-178.2
46Wyndham Clark40.5100-178.0
47Ryo Hisatsune41.1100-177.7
48Pierceson Coody41.7100-177.6
49Gary Woodland42.0100-178.0
50Michael Kim42.2100-177.7
51Sam Stevens42.3100-177.6
52JT Poston42.8100-178.3
53Taylor Pendrith43.2100-177.5
54Sungjae Im43.3100-1
55Denny McCarthy43.5100-177.6
56Brian Harman44.5150-178.3
57Ryan Fox45.0150-178.0
58Sahith Theegala45.1150-177.5
59Tom Hoge45.1150-177.8
60Andrew Putnam45.4150-177.8
61Alex Fitzpatrick46.4150-178.5
62Nico Echavarria47.4150-178.2
63Tony Finau47.8150-177.9
64Patrick Rodgers47.9150-177.9
65Keith Mitchell48.5150-177.8
66Lucas Glover50.1200-178.1
67Matti Schmid51.2200-178.5
68Aldrich Potgieter51.5200-178.1
69Sudarshan Yellamaraju52.5250-178.1
70Zach Bauchou53.7250-177.7
71David Lipsky53.8250-178.4
72Ricky Castillo55.6300-178.1
73Austin Smotherman56.5350-177.8
74Billy Horschel57.2350-178.5
75Mark Hubbard59.9500-178.3
76Brandt Snedeker61.6600-177.5
77Jhonattan Vegas63.0600-178.2
78Jackson Suber64.4800-178.2
79Brian Campbell70.02000-178.0

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A golfer wearing a blue cap and white jacket, focused and engaged
Scottie Scheffler has been no. 1 for 158 consecutive weeks.

Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (May 26, 2026)

#Thru Jun 2, 2026EventsHawley ratingPrevious week
1Scottie Scheffler433548.71
2Xander Schauffele382377.12
3Rory McIlroy462351.83
4Russell Henley412233.44
5Tommy Fleetwood522171.05
6Ludvig Aberg442101.06
7Jon Rahm411983.67
8Patrick Cantlay411958.98
9Matt Fitzpatrick501954.79
10Cameron Young491941.710
11Justin Thomas411931.911
12Collin Morikawa431811.012
13Maverick McNealy521678.113
14Si Woo Kim591657.815
15Jake Knapp421655.517
16Sam Burns491650.316
17Sepp Straka511644.314
18Jackson Koivun81615.018
19Ben Griffin641589.021
20JJ Spaun541580.322
21Hideki Matsuyama511578.220
22Harris English491529.723
23Jordan Spieth411522.124
24Rickie Fowler431514.419
25Robert MacIntyre591484.725
26Bryson DeChambeau381477.426
27Justin Rose431462.728
28Min Woo Lee491459.327
29Viktor Hovland441414.629
30Chris Gotterup531388.231
31Akshay Bhatia551386.730
32Jacob Bridgeman561374.433
33Shane Lowry541373.832
34Corey Conners501359.134
35Kurt Kitayama461347.135
36Keegan Bradley451325.336
37Alex Smalley561325.243
38Aaron Rai501297.038
39Alex Noren381294.439
40Tyrrell Hatton501285.741
41Adam Scott461282.340
42Harry Hall551276.537
43Jason Day401274.442
44Nicolai Hojgaard541253.344
45Nick Taylor521238.145
46Daniel Berger501207.646
47Patrick Reed531135.648
48Bud Cauley451130.749
49Andrew Novak561121.547
50Joaquin Niemann451104.351
51Denny McCarthy471064.852
52Gary Woodland471061.662
53Matt McCarty601056.650
54Brian Harman521032.557
55Wyndham Clark511026.554
56Brooks Koepka401020.456
57Ryan Gerard631018.466
58Michael Kim611013.661
59Sam Stevens611007.455
60JT Poston501000.358
61Taylor Pendrith50996.960
62Max Greyserman55991.153
63Eric Cole60981.572
64Ryan Fox51977.565
65David Puig50974.064
66Lucas Glover46973.659
67Michael Thorbjornsen52972.470
68Sungjae Im53943.563
69Ryo Hisatsune63941.667
70Stephan Jaeger52924.568
71Nico Echavarria56918.284
72Tony Finau45904.769
73Sahith Theegala52897.471
74Kristoffer Reitan46895.874
75Dean Burmester44875.675
76Tom Hoge59873.873
77Davis Thompson50871.876
78Cameron Smith41865.783
79Christiaan Bezuidenhout55865.680
80Sebastian Munoz33857.181
81Patrick Rodgers65853.777
82Thomas Detry55846.079
83Keith Mitchell53845.978
84Carlos Ortiz37830.782
85Pierceson Coody61829.387
86Marc Leishman35827.189
87Andrew Putnam55817.391
88Talor Gooch32816.495
89Rasmus Hojgaard55815.685
90Matti Schmid59811.488
91Abraham Ancer37804.286
92Paul Casey32802.190
93Branden Grace38795.893
94Mac Meissner51784.3109
95Thomas Pieters39782.392
96AJ Ewart16778.3105
97Dustin Johnson41761.7101
98Will Zalatoris27760.396
99Lucas Herbert38759.5100
100Chris Kirk45752.494
101Tom McKibbin59735.299
102Rico Hoey61734.9103
103Cameron Tringale32731.697
104Charles Howell27720.7113
105Byeong Hun An47720.198
106Kevin Yu54717.6102
107Lee Hodges49698.2107
108Matt Wallace61697.4108
109Jordan Smith59696.9124
110Victor Perez49693.6106
111Max Homa48689.6118
112Billy Horschel45689.0104
113Mackenzie Hughes53688.8127
114Aldrich Potgieter51677.2115
115Taylor Moore53672.0111
116Sergio Garcia39672.0112
117Josele Ballester27666.9110
118Sami Valimaki54662.5120
119Thorbjorn Olesen58657.4114
120Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen48655.1119
121Jhonattan Vegas47654.3122
122Harold Varner33654.2132
123Matt Kuchar40653.4130
124Seamus Power54650.8116
125Marco Penge53644.9126
126Austin Eckroat51643.0117
127Kevin Roy55642.8121
128Beau Hossler53635.8123
129Doug Ghim53635.6129
130Brendan Steele32631.3142
131Alex Fitzpatrick56630.9128
132Sudarshan Yellamaraju49629.3125
133Richard Bland36606.5133
134Bubba Watson34605.8131
135Jason Kokrak34600.8136
136Max McGreevy62592.8141
137Louis Oosthuizen40590.2134
138Emiliano Grillo51587.1138
139Caleb Surratt42582.1135
140Charl Schwartzel38581.2137
141Haotong Li55571.9139
142David Lipsky54570.7140
143Michael Brennan21559.7188
144Tom Kim52556.7143
145Anirban Lahiri37554.1144
146Mark Hubbard60544.4145
147Ricky Castillo54537.0148
148Sam Ryder54534.0147
149Vince Whaley57531.2146
150Patrick Fishburn55517.6151
151John Parry53517.0149
152Wesley Bryan17515.4155
153Graeme McDowell31511.7150
154Chad Ramey57508.0152
155Jesper Svensson55505.9156
156Karl Vilips46504.9153
157Austin Smotherman55502.5157
158Zach Bauchou36496.4169
159Scott Vincent36490.0179
160Joel Dahmen55489.7159
161Matthew Wolff28483.9154
162Garrick Higgo49479.6167
163Steven Fisk54479.6190
164Phil Mickelson27478.9165
165Chandler Phillips53477.4158
166Jayden Schaper50477.4163
167Daniel Hillier51477.4168
168Hayden Springer53472.7160
169Jackson Suber52467.4161
170Kris Ventura51465.2162
171William Mouw48461.2164
172Angel Ayora52456.8171
173Brandt Snedeker47454.8181
174Joe Highsmith59446.2170
175Johnny Keefer46444.9178
176Jacob Skov Olesen47443.2176
177Antoine Rozner54443.0175
178CT Pan17439.2174
179Peter Uihlein44438.9172
180Webb Simpson25438.6166
181Oliver Lindell43436.3173
182SH Kim47430.0182
183Laurie Canter46429.9192
184Andy Sullivan57429.6183
185Cam Davis45423.5177
186Nate Lashley32419.9186
187Greyson Sigg46415.6187
188Henrik Stenson22408.8191
189Lanto Griffin52408.5203
190Isaiah Salinda46406.9195
191Lee Westwood27406.9184
192Shaun Norris32406.7194
193Francesco Laporta42406.2185
194Hennie du Plessis12405.0180
195Zach Johnson28404.0196
196Davis Riley54403.2189
197Dan Brown48396.6201
198Ben Campbell35395.7222
199Keita Nakajima44394.3218
200Justin Lower54394.3199
201Martin Couvra43391.5198
202Blades Brown38390.2202
203Marcus Armitage54389.7204
204Danny Walker53389.3197
205Trace Crowe41386.4193
206Takumi Kanaya54383.2206
207Luke Clanton39380.5200
208Ian Poulter28379.7225
209Elvis Smylie38377.2205
210Adrian Meronk45376.9213
211Jorge Campillo61375.0214
212Adrien Dumont de Chassart54373.1207
213Ewen Ferguson53369.0220
214Richard T Lee27368.8209
215Thriston Lawrence60368.5208
216Eugenio Chacarra55366.7223
217Adam Schenk58366.0216
218Carson Young56365.5211
219Henrik Norlander54365.4210
220Martin Kaymer37365.3212
221David Ford23364.1219
222Erik van Rooyen56360.1217
223Chan Kim55359.0221
224Nick Dunlap49358.9215
225Anthony Kim34357.7227
226Adrien Saddier52353.5224
227Ben Silverman49344.1226
228Ugo Coussaud52342.7228
229Brice Garnett45336.4253
230Joost Luiten53331.4242
231Kelly Kraft10327.6237
232Alexander Bjork10327.5236
233Padraig Harrington22326.3232
234Brian Campbell51325.8231
235Zac Blair51321.1229
236Matteo Manassero51320.7230
237Matthew Jordan51319.0234
238Julien Guerrier52318.4233
239Matthieu Pavon56314.2235
240Nathan Kimsey34313.5247
241Niklas Norgaard55313.3240
242Zecheng Dou50307.1239
243Trey Mullinax36306.7245
244Grant Forrest49305.6256
245Jinichiro Kozuma33305.0249
246Mikael Lindberg41304.7238
247Alejandro Tosti49302.7241
248Ben Kohles56302.6243
249Luis Masaveu28298.9248
250Matt Jones31295.2254
251Wenyi Ding33294.6244
252Richard Mansell46293.9252
253Frankie Capan50293.3255
254Calum Hill55286.0267
255David Skinns51285.7251
256Adam Hadwin52285.6258
257Quade Cummins46284.4263
258Charley Hoffman37283.4250
259JC Ritchie15282.2283
260Darius van Driel55280.5261
261Dan Bradbury54280.0265
262Kevin Na25279.8257
263Cameron Champ50278.6269
264Gregorio De Leo31278.0294
265Daniel Rodrigues13277.8246
266Johannes Veerman50277.1259
267Todd Clements56275.9262
268Dylan Wu50275.3260
269Kevin Streelman34273.0276
270Taylor Montgomery51272.6266
271Davis Bryant32271.9304
272Casey Jarvis63269.5268
273Guido Migliozzi51268.4264
274Bronson Burgoon28268.3274
275Joakim Lagergren43267.7270
276Chandler Blanchet50267.3280
277Kota Kaneko32267.3311
278Andrea Pavan51265.0275
279Seung-Yul Noh11263.7279
280Stewart Cink10263.2281
281Sam Horsfield34263.1271
282Adam Svensson56261.5272
283Rafa Cabrera Bello58260.6303
284Hank Lebioda48260.5273
285Paul Peterson57257.4278
286Noah Goodwin50257.1282
287Nacho Elvira55255.1277
288Ricardo Gouveia58251.0314
289John Pak51250.5295
290Jeremy Paul55250.4298
291Andy Ogletree28250.2287
292Alejandro Del Rey52250.1284
293Kazuma Kobori47248.5285
294Mito Pereira23248.3289
295Marcel Schneider55248.2302
296Jacques Kruyswijk45246.7293
297Young-han Song28241.6343
298Bernd Wiesberger53241.6316
299Eddie Pepperell35241.3286
300Jason Scrivener51238.6292
301Frederic LaCroix46238.2301
302Richard Sterne40238.1296
303Brandon Stone49238.0291
304Vincent Norrman15236.8308
305Tom Vaillant52235.4307
306Ian Gilligan27233.9288
307Doc Redman44232.5297
308Brendan Valdez13232.5306
309Pontus Nyholm53231.6300
310Yu-bin Jang10231.4309
311Paul Waring41230.5305
312KH Lee33229.2290
313Patton Kizzire50227.3299
314Herman Loubser9227.3313
315Andrew Johnston21226.2344
316Romain Langasque55220.7310
317Freddy Schott45219.1312
318Danny Willett45214.3323
319Ben Schmidt41213.8315
320Oihan Guillamoundeguy14212.4321
321Brandon Robinson Thompson51212.3320
322Thomas Rosenmuller10211.9327
323Ben Carr11211.9354
324Harry Higgs55211.9318
325Joseph Bramlett50211.7317
326Chieh-po Lee34210.4329
327Will Gordon53210.4319
328Darren Fichardt34207.7334
329Daniel van Tonder20206.6333
330Luke List54206.1330
331Kensei Hirata50205.3324
332Adrian Otaegui59204.5325
333Hunter Eichhorn22202.4322
334Danny Lee35201.8345
335Jeff Winther48201.8328
336Fabrizio Zanotti42200.3326
337Niklas Lemke28196.5331
338Ding Wenyi10196.5340
339Thomas Rosenmueller35195.9335
340Francesco Molinari37195.6341
341Will Chandler50195.5337
342Sam Bairstow55195.3336
343Yosuke Asaji26194.9338
344Ren Yonezawa19194.1342
345Seungbin Choi8194.0339
346Justin Hastings20193.8332
347Manuel Elvira61193.7366
348Jonathan Byrd27189.5351
349Kiradech Aphibarnrat56186.3346
350Hayden Buckley51184.2352
351Tapio Pulkkanen29183.5356
352Taylor Dickson50182.9350
353Michael Johnson50182.7349
354Camilo Villegas53181.3353
355Jeffrey Kang49181.3371
356Cooper Dossey49181.2369
357Rikuya Hoshino52181.1361
358Sebastian Soderberg40180.9348
359Yanhan Zhou11178.4450
360Yuto Katsuragawa47176.6368
361Travis Smyth31176.4467
362Matthew NeSmith14175.9357
363Jimmy Stanger16175.3347
364Marcus Kinhult50175.0358
365Richie Ramsay48174.5359
366Ian Holt38174.3360
367Curtis Luck8172.8367
368Jonathan Goth-rasmussen9171.8374
369Ryan Moore14171.5365
370Michael La Sasso14171.2355
371Marcel Siem48171.2362
372Nick Hardy54171.0364
373Trevor Cone50169.7363
374Nicolai von Dellingshausen47164.8370
375Ross Steelman48164.5397
376Jens Dantorp54163.0373
377Ashun Wu32161.5372
378Davis Shore54161.2376
379Seung-taek Lee29160.6378
380Davis Lamb25159.6387
381Mitchell Meissner51159.3375
382Alexander Levy35159.2409
383Benjamin Hebert25156.4382
384Andrew Wilson34156.1380
385Scott Jamieson52156.0377
386Yubin Jang12155.6386
387David Ravetto58154.4390
388Kieran Vincent34154.2384
389Joel Girrbach60153.9417
390Dylan Frittelli55153.0381
391Ivan Cantero Gutierrez57152.4406
392Joe Dean47151.7427
393Robby Shelton50151.6405
394Hugo Townsend12151.4379
395Connor Syme50150.0383
396Alistair Docherty51149.4389
397Shimizu Taisei14148.8394
398Caleb VanArragon40148.7385
399Sean Crocker50148.5388
400Cole Sherwood47147.6399

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol Power Ratings

Dates: May 28-31, 2026. Venue: Golfclub Kitzbühel-Schwarzsee-Reith, Kitzbühel, Austria. Purse: $2.75 million.

Sepp Straka
Sepp Straka
PickPlayerPower numberObserved OddsCourse fit
1Sami Valimaki59.525-173.0
2Daniel Hillier63.240-172.2
3Jayden Schaper63.240-172.6
4Jacob Skov Olesen65.250-173.0
5Angel Ayora65.350-172.9
6Hennie du Plessis66.260-172.5
7Antoine Rozner66.360-173.1
8Gregorio De Leo66.665-173.0
9Nathan Kimsey66.765-172.4
10Oliver Lindell66.765-172.9
11Kevin Na66.965-1
12Casey Jarvis67.170-172.7
13Wenyi Ding67.270-173.3
14Jorge Campillo67.370-172.8
15Ricardo Gouveia67.575-172.5
16Marcus Armitage67.575-172.9
17Martin Couvra67.775-173.5
18Eugenio Chacarra67.980-173.0
19JC Ritchie67.980-173.2
20Mikael Lindberg68.080-172.9
21Francesco Laporta68.180-172.9
22Thriston Lawrence68.285-173.3
23Richard Mansell68.385-1
24Danny Willett68.790-1
25Matthew Jordan69.5100-172.9
26Alexander Levy69.6100-173.1
27Ewen Ferguson70.0100-172.8
28Daniel Rodrigues70.0100-172.5
29Davis Bryant70.1100-173.0
30Fabrizio Zanotti70.2100-1
31Yanhan Zhou70.3100-1
32Calum Hill70.4100-173.0
33Julien Guerrier70.5100-172.8
34Oihan Guillamoundeguy70.5100-172.7
35Ben Schmidt70.6100-172.8
36Andrew Wilson70.8100-1
37Nacho Elvira71.0100-173.3
38Andy Sullivan71.1100-173.3
39Joost Luiten71.3100-173.0
40Lucas Bjerregaard71.4100-1
41Hamish Brown71.4100-1
42Alejandro Del Rey71.5100-173.4
43Dan Bradbury71.5100-172.4
44Rafa Cabrera Bello71.7150-172.7
45Kazuma Kobori71.7150-173.5
46Bernd Wiesberger72.1150-173.0
47Sebastian Soderberg72.3150-172.6
48Brandon Stone72.5150-172.3
49Tom Vaillant72.5150-172.8
50Grant Forrest72.6150-172.6
51Veer Ahlawat72.6150-1
52Simon Forsstrom72.7150-1
53Jason Scrivener72.7150-172.6
54Marcel Schneider72.8150-173.6
55Callum Tarren72.8150-1
56Guido Migliozzi72.9150-173.9
57Richie Ramsay73.0150-1
58Joakim Lagergren73.0150-173.6
59Darius van Driel73.0150-173.2
60Freddy Schott73.1150-173.2
61Jeong Weon Ko73.1150-1
62Richard Sterne73.1150-172.7
63Albin Bergstrom73.3200-1
64Scott Jamieson73.3200-173.8
65Frederic LaCroix73.6200-172.5
66Niklas Lemke73.6200-172.4
67Zander Lombard73.6200-173.5
68Todd Clements73.8200-173.1
69Brandon Robinson Thompson74.0200-172.9
70Yuvraj Sandhu74.2200-1
71Michael Hollick74.2200-173.1
72Romain Langasque74.2200-173.0
73Andreas Halvorsen74.3200-172.4
74Niklas Norgaard74.4200-173.4
75Felix Mory74.4200-1
76Hugo Townsend74.5200-173.6
77Anthony Quayle74.6200-173.0
78Francesco Molinari74.6200-173.0
79Joel Girrbach74.7200-172.9
80Jonathan Broomhead74.7200-172.6
81Matteo Manassero74.8200-173.7
82Daan Huizing74.8200-1
83Joe Dean75.0250-172.9
84Kiradech Aphibarnrat75.0250-173.1
85Sam Bairstow75.2250-172.6
86Andrew Johnston75.3250-172.4
87Eddie Pepperell75.4250-173.0
88Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano75.5250-1
89Marcus Helligkilde75.5250-1
90Tobias Jonsson75.5250-172.5
91Yurav Premlall75.6250-174.0
92Daniel Young75.6250-173.3
93Jeff Winther75.6250-174.2
94David Micheluzzi75.7250-173.7
95Scott Woltering75.7250-1
96Paul Waring75.7250-173.3
97Gavin Green75.7250-1
98Lars Van Der Vight75.8250-1
99Ashun Wu75.9250-1
100Marcus Kinhult76.0250-173.2
101Fred Biondi76.0250-173.3
102Michael Feuerstein76.2250-1
103Maximilian Kieffer76.3250-1
104David Law76.4250-173.0
105Jack Buchanan76.4250-172.8
106Cameron Adam76.5250-172.3
107Johannes Veerman76.6250-173.5
108Adrian Otaegui76.6250-173.0
109Marcel Siem76.6250-173.6
110Dylan Frittelli76.7250-174.0
111Jack Senior77.0250-173.1
112Sadom Kaewkanjana77.1250-173.2
113Ivan Cantero Gutierrez77.1250-173.5
114Sebastian Garcia Grout77.2250-172.9
115Jordan Gumberg77.4250-172.1
116Stefano Mazzoli77.4250-172.3
117Guus Lafeber77.5250-1
118Nevill Ruiter77.5250-1
119Mason Howell77.5250-1
120Pieter Werner77.5250-1
121Wouter De Vries77.5250-1
122Jerry Ji77.5250-1
123Floris de Haas77.5250-1
124Jack Yule77.5250-1
125Logan Hunter77.5250-1
126Robin Williams77.5250-172.7
127Adri Arnaus77.6250-173.1
128James Morrison77.7250-173.3
129Yannik Paul77.8250-173.4
130Jens Dantorp77.8250-173.0
131Angel Hidalgo77.9250-173.5
132Rocco Paolo Repetto Taylor77.9250-173.0
133Wil Besseling77.9250-1
134Maximilian Steinlechner78.0250-173.3
135Rikuya Hoshino78.1250-174.3
136Yuto Katsuragawa78.2250-173.7
137Romain Wattel78.2250-1
138Connor Syme78.3250-173.4
139Ryan Van Velzen78.4250-172.9
140Benjamin Follet-Smith78.4250-172.8
141Clement Charmasson78.4250-172.9
142Sean Crocker78.4250-172.5
143Kristoffer Broberg78.6250-1
144David Ravetto78.6250-172.8
145Euan Walker78.7250-174.3
146Lars van Meijel78.7250-1
147Ryggs Johnston78.9250-173.6
148Quentin Debove79.0250-172.4
149Pablo Larrazabal79.1250-173.9
150Matthew Baldwin79.6250-172.9
151Joshua Berry79.8250-173.2
152Ryan Peake80.0250-173.0
153Renato Paratore80.1250-173.4
154Mike Toorop80.1250-173.5
155Quim Vidal80.5250-173.6
156Filippo Celli80.7250-173.4
157Nicolai von Dellingshausen80.8250-173.6
158Connor McKinney81.1250-173.5
159Andres Gallegos83.4250-173.9
160Dylan Naidoo83.7250-174.2
161Ross Fisher84.4250-173.3
162Daniel Gavins88.9250-176.0

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A look at the Charles Schwab Challenge

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed between 2018 and 2025. A value of about .601 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .269 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

PlayerValue
Christiaan Bezuidenhout0.539
Lucas Glover0.518
Emiliano Grillo0.510
Brian Harman0.490
Tony Finau0.466
Rickie Fowler0.448
Gary Woodland0.410
Harry Hall0.366

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

PlayerRankRating
Russell Henley42163.8
Ludvig Aberg62115.9
Justin Thomas111912.3
Rickie Fowler191569.4
Hideki Matsuyama201560.3
Ben Griffin211534.5
JJ Spaun221529.0
Robert Macintyre251514.1

Sorry, can't make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not among this event’s entries.

PlayerRankRating
Scottie Scheffler13540.8
Xander Schauffele22380.4
Rory McIlroy32344.7
Tommy Fleetwood52160.5

Ooh, that's hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

PlayerUpward Change
Alex Smalley2103.9
Ludvig Aberg1528.9
Rickie Fowler1365.5
Matt McCarty944.7
Eric Cole837.6
Austin Eckroat834.8
Ben Griffin800.5
Zach Bauchou706.9

Brr, that's cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

PlayerDownward change
Russell Henley-950.5
Sahith Theegala-674.0
Ryan Gerard-845.2
Rasmus Hojgaard-667.5
Nico Echavarria-672.6
Michael Thorbjornsen-737.3
Lee Hodges-667.6
JT Poston-696.7

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Colonial Country Club course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat valueStatistic
0.16Driving accuracy
0.13Driving distance
0.10Greens in regulation
0.10Putts per GIR

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fitPlayer
Lucas Glover71.44
Joel Dahmen71.46
Andrew Putnam71.78
Kensei Hirata71.92
David Lipsky71.93
Russell Henley72.08
Matt Kuchar72.14
David Ford72.18

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above

Course fitPlayer
Jeffrey Kang74.01
Pontus Nyholm73.89
Nick Dunlap73.75
Christo Lamprecht73.60
Alejandro Tosti73.49
Zecheng Dou73.39
Camilo Villegas73.34
Danny Walker73.33

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2026 and Orlando FL, the event host city.

PlayerHomeMiles
Ryan PalmerColleyville TX17
Hayden SpringerTrophy Club TX22
Taylor MooreDallas TX33
Zecheng DouDallas TX33
Mac MeissnerDallas TX33
Austin SmothermanDallas TX33
Tom KimDallas TX33
Pierceson CoodyPlano TX44

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

StatisticCorrelation to results
Top of the heap0.373
I love this place-0.181
Ooh, that’s hot-0.117
Location, location, location0.004

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