A quick and accurate look at this week's professional golf.

Zurich Classic of New Orleans Power Ratings

Dates: Apr.23-26, 2026. Venue: TPC Louisiana; Avondale LA. Purse: $9.5 million.

Matt Fitzpatrick

Pick	Player	Power number	Observed Odds	Course fit
1	Alex Fitzpatrick & Matt Fitzpatrick	41.7	13-1	66.9
2	Ben Griffin & Andrew Novak	43.5	15-1	67.5
3	Brooks Koepka & Shane Lowry	47.0	18-1	66.8
4	Aaron Rai & Sahith Theegala	49.8	22-1	67.3
5	Ryan Gerard & Sudarshan Yellamaraju	50.8	24-1	67.0
6	Tony Finau & Max Greyserman	54.9	30-1	67.5
7	Alex Smalley & Hayden Springer	55.9	35-1	33.7
8	Matt McCarty & Mac Meissner	56.2	35-1	67.3
9	Mackenzie Hughes & Taylor Pendrith	57.2	40-1	67.4
10	Haotong Li & Jordan Smith	59.0	50-1	67.1
11	Wyndham Clark & Taylor Moore	59.7	55-1	67.6
12	Zach Bauchou & Sam Stevens	60.3	55-1	67.2
13	Andrew Putnam & Austin Smotherman	60.8	60-1	66.9
14	Austin Eckroat & Davis Thompson	61.5	65-1	67.1
15	Tom Hoge & Billy Horschel	61.9	70-1	67.4
16	Rico Hoey & David Lipsky	62.3	70-1	67.1
17	Max McGreevy & Kevin Roy	62.5	75-1	67.4
18	Keith Mitchell & Brandt Snedeker	63.1	80-1	67.6
19	Tom Kim & Kevin Yu	63.4	80-1	67.6
20	Seamus Power & Matti Schmid	64.0	90-1	67.9
21	Greyson Sigg & Vince Whaley	64.1	90-1	33.9
22	Michael Thorbjornsen & Karl Vilips	64.2	90-1	33.7
23	AJ Ewart & Casey Jarvis	64.4	95-1	67.3
24	Chandler Phillips & Carson Young	64.6	95-1	33.9
25	Christiaan Bezuidenhout & Erik van Rooyen	65.0	100-1	67.7
26	Marco Penge & Matt Wallace	65.4	100-1	67.6
27	Zac Blair & Patrick Fishburn	65.5	100-1	34.0
28	Cameron Champ & Ben Silverman	65.6	100-1	0.0
29	Beau Hossler & Sam Ryder	65.9	100-1	67.2
30	Stephan Jaeger & Jackson Suber	66.1	100-1	67.4
31	Michael Brennan & Johnny Keefer	66.4	100-1	67.1
32	Kristoffer Reitan & Kris Ventura	66.4	100-1	67.9
33	Dan Brown & John Parry	66.5	100-1	67.3
34	Trey Mullinax & David Skinns	66.9	100-1	0.0
35	Chris Kirk & Patton Kizzire	67.4	100-1	67.1
36	Trace Crowe & Ben Martin	67.7	150-1	0.0
37	Luke List & Henrik Norlander	67.8	150-1	0.0
38	Brice Garnett & Lee Hodges	67.8	150-1	67.5
39	Harry Higgs & Jeremy Paul	68.0	150-1	0.0
40	Eric Cole & Hank Lebioda	68.1	150-1	67.4
41	Will Gordon & Paul Peterson	68.3	150-1	0.0
42	Joel Dahmen & Kevin Streelman	69.1	150-1	67.6
43	Adam Hadwin & Adam Svensson	70.0	200-1	33.6
44	Lanto Griffin & Ben Kohles	70.1	200-1	34.0
45	Justin Lower & Chad Ramey	70.3	200-1	67.9
46	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen & Jacob Skov Olesen	70.7	250-1	67.2
47	Jimmy Stanger & Danny Walker	70.8	250-1	33.9
48	Blades Brown & Luke Clanton	70.9	250-1	33.6
49	Takumi Kanaya & William Mouw	71.0	250-1	67.7
50	Martin Couvra & Matthieu Pavon	71.1	250-1	67.6
51	Chan Kim & Ryan Palmer	71.2	250-1	0.0
52	Garrick Higgo & Matt Kuchar	71.5	250-1	68.3
53	Taylor Montgomery & Scott Piercy	71.6	250-1	0.0
54	Jonathan Byrd & Chez Reavie	71.8	300-1	0.0
55	Zecheng Dou & Dylan Wu	71.8	300-1	67.1
56	Nick Hardy & Davis Riley	72.4	300-1	34.0
57	Troy Merritt & Robert Streb	73.2	350-1	0.0
58	Frankie Capan & Noah Goodwin	73.2	350-1	33.5
59	Doug Ghim & Jeffrey Kang	74.1	400-1	67.6
60	Davis Chatfield & Adrien Dumont de Chassart	74.2	400-1	67.7
61	Austin Cook & Jason Dufner	74.8	400-1	0.0
62	Ryan Brehm & Mark Hubbard	75.1	500-1	33.9
63	James Hahn & Kyle Stanley	75.4	500-1	0.0
64	Pontus Nyholm & Jesper Svensson	75.6	500-1	67.7
65	Cam Davis & Geoff Ogilvy	76.3	500-1	33.9
66	Tyler Duncan & Adam Schenk	76.5	500-1	33.9
67	Kensei Hirata & Keita Nakajima	77.2	500-1	67.4
68	Charley Hoffman & Nick Watney	78.2	500-1	34.0
69	Chandler Blanchet & John VanDerLaan	78.2	500-1	67.3
70	Nick Dunlap & Gordon Sargent	78.3	500-1	67.9
71	Russell Knox & Peter Malnati	78.4	500-1	34.1
72	Rafael Campos & Alejandro Tosti	80.1	500-1	67.9
73	Marcelo Rozo & Camilo Villegas	83.5	500-1	67.2
74	Christo Lamprecht & Neal Shipley	84.1	500-1	67.7

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A golfer wearing a blue cap and white jacket, focused and engaged

Scottie Scheffler has been no. 1 for 153 consecutive weeks.

Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (Apr. 21, 2026)

#	Thru Apr 21, 2026	Events	Hawley rating	Previous week
1	Scottie Scheffler	43	3518.3	1
2	Xander Schauffele	39	2415.4	2
3	Russell Henley	41	2323.3	3
4	Rory McIlroy	48	2235.1	4
5	Tommy Fleetwood	53	2168.6	5
6	Collin Morikawa	45	1992.4	6
7	Patrick Cantlay	42	1942.0	7
8	Ludvig Aberg	43	1925.0	9
9	Matt Fitzpatrick	50	1863.4	12
10	Jon Rahm	41	1856.9	8
11	Cameron Young	50	1781.1	11
12	Sam Burns	50	1720.2	14
13	Justin Thomas	40	1707.5	10
14	Sepp Straka	51	1678.2	13
15	Maverick McNealy	53	1667.1	17
16	Hideki Matsuyama	49	1654.3	16
17	Si Woo Kim	60	1617.4	21
18	Jake Knapp	46	1602.1	15
19	Robert MacIntyre	61	1592.6	18
20	Jackson Koivun	9	1533.9	22
21	Viktor Hovland	44	1518.0	20
22	Bryson DeChambeau	38	1515.5	19
23	Harris English	50	1477.9	32
24	Jacob Bridgeman	57	1473.7	23
25	Jordan Spieth	42	1455.2	25
26	Akshay Bhatia	56	1445.7	30
27	JJ Spaun	54	1443.2	27
28	Shane Lowry	55	1431.4	26
29	Rickie Fowler	43	1429.2	34
30	Corey Conners	51	1426.7	24
31	Ben Griffin	65	1418.8	29
32	Justin Rose	44	1415.3	31
33	Keegan Bradley	45	1397.4	35
34	Jason Day	41	1394.9	28
35	Tyrrell Hatton	51	1326.4	37
36	Min Woo Lee	49	1323.6	33
37	Harry Hall	55	1281.4	36
38	Adam Scott	48	1245.9	38
39	Chris Gotterup	55	1238.5	40
40	Daniel Berger	51	1185.1	41
41	Alex Noren	40	1181.6	39
42	Aaron Rai	51	1144.5	44
43	Kurt Kitayama	46	1141.7	51
44	Nicolai Hojgaard	54	1126.4	43
45	Andrew Novak	55	1126.1	48
46	Taylor Pendrith	50	1115.1	42
47	Bud Cauley	44	1095.8	60
48	Denny McCarthy	48	1092.2	45
49	Brooks Koepka	39	1064.5	50
50	Nick Taylor	53	1058.1	47
51	JT Poston	50	1050.1	46
52	Brian Harman	52	1049.8	54
53	Sam Stevens	60	1042.9	49
54	Sahith Theegala	51	1037.1	55
55	Michael Thorbjornsen	47	1032.3	52
56	Ryan Gerard	62	1024.4	56
57	Sungjae Im	46	1020.3	53
58	Wyndham Clark	51	1010.9	64
59	Patrick Reed	55	992.8	61
60	Lucas Glover	46	988.8	57
61	Ryan Fox	53	982.8	66
62	Max Greyserman	53	982.1	62
63	Ryo Hisatsune	63	971.6	59
64	Michael Kim	61	969.0	65
65	Joaquin Niemann	45	966.4	63
66	Gary Woodland	47	966.0	80
67	Tony Finau	45	960.8	58
68	Matt McCarty	59	952.4	75
69	Patrick Rodgers	64	931.5	72
70	Alex Smalley	55	921.0	68
71	Thomas Detry	55	909.9	71
72	Stephan Jaeger	51	897.7	70
73	Nico Echavarria	56	895.9	67
74	Keith Mitchell	52	892.7	73
75	David Puig	49	891.3	82
76	Rasmus Hojgaard	54	887.4	77
77	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	54	884.8	74
78	Sebastian Munoz	33	882.3	69
79	Davis Thompson	51	878.8	76
80	Carlos Ortiz	37	872.0	79
81	Abraham Ancer	36	869.3	78
82	Eric Cole	61	858.7	81
83	Dean Burmester	45	844.5	84
84	Tom Hoge	58	824.8	83
85	Pierceson Coody	60	812.8	94
86	Chris Kirk	45	798.8	89
87	Paul Casey	33	780.8	85
88	Marc Leishman	35	779.9	97
89	Cameron Tringale	32	779.7	98
90	Lee Hodges	49	778.0	92
91	Kevin Yu	54	777.6	93
92	Andrew Putnam	54	776.1	91
93	Byeong Hun An	49	775.3	90
94	Thomas Pieters	40	775.1	86
95	Tom McKibbin	57	767.5	99
96	Talor Gooch	33	766.8	88
97	Billy Horschel	44	762.6	87
98	Branden Grace	38	761.2	105
99	Rico Hoey	59	757.8	95
100	Will Zalatoris	30	737.1	103
101	AJ Ewart	12	731.6	101
102	Jhonattan Vegas	45	729.6	96
103	Jordan Smith	58	722.4	115
104	Lucas Herbert	38	711.6	100
105	Josele Ballester	23	711.0	123
106	Dustin Johnson	41	709.7	109
107	Max Homa	48	707.6	102
108	Mackenzie Hughes	54	706.6	106
109	Thorbjorn Olesen	60	702.9	108
110	Cameron Smith	41	701.0	104
111	Matt Wallace	61	693.5	107
112	Matt Kuchar	41	691.9	111
113	Matti Schmid	59	689.4	112
114	Sami Valimaki	57	682.9	110
115	Victor Perez	51	677.1	114
116	Seamus Power	54	664.5	117
117	Beau Hossler	54	659.3	119
118	Charles Howell	26	656.8	120
119	Mac Meissner	51	654.5	118
120	Max McGreevy	62	650.9	122
121	Sergio Garcia	39	650.8	113
122	Marco Penge	54	649.9	116
123	Kristoffer Reitan	42	646.1	121
124	Taylor Moore	53	643.0	125
125	Bubba Watson	33	632.7	124
126	Kevin Roy	55	632.6	131
127	Emiliano Grillo	51	627.8	129
128	Austin Eckroat	51	623.5	130
129	Louis Oosthuizen	40	623.3	140
130	Haotong Li	53	619.6	134
131	Hennie du Plessis	8	616.5	135
132	Harold Varner	33	615.8	143
133	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	48	613.8	132
134	David Lipsky	53	612.8	127
135	Jason Kokrak	34	610.4	126
136	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	44	608.9	138
137	Vince Whaley	55	607.8	137
138	Caleb Surratt	40	607.5	133
139	Richard Bland	36	607.2	128
140	Tom Kim	54	606.8	136
141	Brendan Steele	32	592.4	142
142	Charl Schwartzel	38	588.8	139
143	Anirban Lahiri	37	577.3	141
144	Aldrich Potgieter	51	575.1	151
145	Chad Ramey	57	567.6	145
146	Ricky Castillo	54	563.5	144
147	Doug Ghim	53	561.3	146
148	Patrick Fishburn	54	557.1	147
149	Chandler Phillips	53	556.9	148
150	Joel Dahmen	54	549.5	150
151	John Parry	48	546.0	149
152	Matthew Wolff	28	541.4	170
153	Sam Ryder	54	526.8	153
154	Jayden Schaper	48	520.7	154
155	Mark Hubbard	60	513.6	156
156	Michael Brennan	17	511.3	157
157	William Mouw	48	509.3	155
158	Cam Davis	45	508.9	158
159	Graeme McDowell	31	508.3	152
160	Angel Ayora	48	498.3	161
161	Joe Highsmith	58	498.1	164
162	Karl Vilips	42	496.7	168
163	Austin Smotherman	55	493.9	159
164	Jesper Svensson	55	489.7	163
165	Wesley Bryan	21	487.3	165
166	Garrick Higgo	48	486.1	160
167	Peter Uihlein	43	485.6	162
168	Andy Sullivan	57	482.5	166
169	CT Pan	22	475.6	167
170	Webb Simpson	25	468.1	172
171	Daniel Hillier	50	466.9	171
172	Oliver Lindell	38	462.3	173
173	Phil Mickelson	30	446.7	169
174	Davis Riley	53	445.4	176
175	Thriston Lawrence	59	442.0	177
176	Antoine Rozner	54	441.9	178
177	Francesco Laporta	41	441.2	181
178	Luke Clanton	35	440.1	175
179	Greyson Sigg	49	438.7	174
180	Henrik Norlander	53	434.1	184
181	Justin Lower	55	433.2	183
182	Elvis Smylie	34	429.1	180
183	Lee Westwood	27	427.1	182
184	Laurie Canter	46	423.3	187
185	SH Kim	52	422.7	186
186	Johnny Keefer	41	422.1	179
187	Carson Young	55	420.4	185
188	Danny Walker	52	413.9	189
189	Adam Schenk	58	410.9	196
190	Kris Ventura	50	410.1	191
191	Takumi Kanaya	52	409.4	190
192	Hayden Springer	53	406.2	188
193	Nate Lashley	35	405.3	192
194	Richard T Lee	24	396.5	218
195	Henrik Stenson	24	395.0	197
196	Nick Dunlap	49	393.3	193
197	Martin Couvra	38	393.3	194
198	Brandt Snedeker	48	390.3	199
199	Jackson Suber	51	390.3	201
200	Zach Johnson	31	390.0	198
201	Steven Fisk	54	388.2	250
202	Isaiah Salinda	49	386.2	202
203	Jorge Campillo	62	385.4	200
204	Dan Brown	48	383.6	204
205	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	54	383.5	206
206	Chan Kim	54	381.4	195
207	David Ford	23	379.0	203
208	Zac Blair	50	374.9	208
209	Adrian Meronk	45	373.8	207
210	Scott Vincent	36	373.6	247
211	Keita Nakajima	42	372.6	209
212	Matteo Manassero	48	371.2	210
213	Stewart Cink	11	369.2	216
214	Julien Guerrier	52	369.0	212
215	Ewen Ferguson	49	367.6	214
216	Matthew Jordan	52	367.3	211
217	Niklas Norgaard	55	366.6	213
218	Ben Campbell	33	366.0	205
219	Alex Fitzpatrick	55	363.4	217
220	Adrien Saddier	53	358.3	219
221	Marcus Armitage	54	352.6	221
222	Ben Silverman	50	351.5	215
223	Alejandro Tosti	49	347.8	223
224	Matthieu Pavon	55	346.1	222
225	Shaun Norris	31	345.5	224
226	Brian Campbell	51	343.2	220
227	Lanto Griffin	52	343.2	225
228	Zach Bauchou	32	339.9	226
229	Eugenio Chacarra	52	338.3	233
230	Martin Kaymer	37	337.8	237
231	Trace Crowe	42	337.3	227
232	Jacob Skov Olesen	42	334.5	228
233	Erik van Rooyen	55	333.6	229
234	Joost Luiten	53	333.3	231
235	Ugo Coussaud	52	331.4	234
236	Johannes Veerman	50	330.9	232
237	Charley Hoffman	37	325.9	236
238	Luis Masaveu	25	323.1	274
239	Dylan Wu	50	320.5	240
240	Grant Forrest	48	319.9	241
241	Adam Hadwin	52	319.1	230
242	Trey Mullinax	35	314.5	235
243	Kevin Na	25	313.5	244
244	Richard Mansell	47	312.7	243
245	Ian Poulter	28	312.4	257
246	Taylor Montgomery	47	311.7	239
247	Kelly Kraft	13	310.9	238
248	Blades Brown	34	310.5	256
249	Adam Svensson	57	309.8	242
250	Jinichiro Kozuma	33	309.0	246
251	Matt Jones	32	305.6	248
252	Kevin Streelman	34	305.4	252
253	David Skinns	51	303.4	249
254	Alexander Bjork	14	302.4	255
255	Frankie Capan	52	300.0	254
256	Ben Kohles	55	298.5	245
257	Zecheng Dou	52	297.7	258
258	Cameron Champ	49	295.6	251
259	Todd Clements	54	294.3	260
260	Noah Goodwin	48	292.1	253
261	Wenyi Ding	28	291.3	262
262	Nacho Elvira	54	289.6	264
263	Patton Kizzire	49	289.1	261
264	Sam Horsfield	34	289.0	265
265	Calum Hill	57	288.7	263
266	Bronson Burgoon	30	283.6	266
267	Andy Ogletree	29	282.7	268
268	Brice Garnett	44	281.1	269
269	Anthony Kim	34	279.3	267
270	Joakim Lagergren	38	276.6	270
271	KH Lee	35	274.5	259
272	Brandon Stone	48	274.0	271
273	Romain Langasque	54	272.4	272
274	Casey Jarvis	61	272.2	276
275	Chandler Blanchet	48	271.3	289
276	Dan Bradbury	56	271.2	275
277	Andrea Pavan	54	270.9	277
278	Nathan Kimsey	29	270.9	278
279	Quade Cummins	51	267.4	279
280	Jeremy Paul	54	266.0	273
281	Frederic LaCroix	46	264.2	280
282	Jacques Kruyswijk	44	260.2	285
283	John Pak	52	259.9	288
284	Daniel van Tonder	17	259.1	284
285	Mikael Lindberg	36	258.6	281
286	Guido Migliozzi	50	257.6	282
287	Jason Scrivener	50	256.6	287
288	Ian Gilligan	24	256.0	286
289	Pontus Nyholm	53	243.9	293
290	Thomas Rosenmueller	31	241.7	290
291	Daniel Rodrigues	8	240.9	291
292	Mito Pereira	25	240.1	294
293	Richard Sterne	35	239.8	292
294	Justin Hastings	17	238.9	283
295	Harry Higgs	54	238.8	297
296	Paul Waring	42	237.1	295
297	Freddy Schott	43	236.6	299
298	Darius van Driel	54	235.5	298
299	Brandon Robinson Thompson	47	233.8	300
300	Herman Loubser	9	231.2	301
301	Paul Peterson	56	230.4	296
302	Kazuma Kobori	43	228.7	302
303	Joseph Bramlett	51	228.6	323
304	Brendan Valdez	13	227.7	304
305	Marcel Schneider	53	226.1	305
306	Ren Yonezawa	18	224.9	307
307	Yu-bin Jang	10	224.8	311
308	Rafa Cabrera Bello	57	224.1	312
309	Doc Redman	44	224.1	321
310	Alejandro Del Rey	52	223.0	308
311	Matthew NeSmith	18	222.0	306
312	Will Gordon	50	221.1	303
313	Francesco Molinari	36	219.9	313
314	Jonathan Byrd	28	219.3	315
315	Chieh-po Lee	32	219.1	318
316	Davis Bryant	27	219.1	314
317	Sam Bairstow	53	217.1	316
318	Adrian Otaegui	59	215.7	320
319	Jimmy Stanger	15	215.5	325
320	Eddie Pepperell	34	214.3	327
321	Ben Schmidt	37	213.0	326
322	Sebastian Soderberg	39	212.8	324
323	Danny Lee	34	212.8	309
324	Will Chandler	49	211.5	330
325	Danny Willett	44	211.3	329
326	Tom Vaillant	50	210.7	328
327	Luke List	54	209.1	322
328	Hayden Buckley	52	208.3	319
329	Hunter Eichhorn	20	207.7	310
330	Hank Lebioda	48	205.9	332
331	Niklas Lemke	27	204.0	333
332	Rikuya Hoshino	47	203.4	331
333	Tapio Pulkkanen	27	201.0	334
334	Yosuke Asaji	24	199.8	362
335	Ian Holt	35	198.3	336
336	Vincent Norrman	20	197.7	344
337	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	44	197.6	337
338	Ding Wenyi	10	197.6	339
339	Jeff Winther	46	197.5	338
340	Taylor Dickson	52	197.0	335
341	Ben Carr	8	195.6
342	Darren Fichardt	36	195.6	340
343	Thomas Rosenmuller	14	195.5	342
344	Michael La Sasso	12	194.9	317
345	Trevor Cone	51	193.8	341
346	Yuto Katsuragawa	43	190.9	343
347	Young-han Song	25	190.5	345
348	Fabrizio Zanotti	41	186.8	348
349	Kensei Hirata	47	185.3	350
350	Marcel Siem	48	184.4	351
351	Scott Jamieson	51	184.1	349
352	Nick Hardy	52	183.4	346
353	Ricardo Gouveia	56	182.8	352
354	David Micheluzzi	46	180.5	354
355	Camilo Villegas	53	179.9	356
356	Bernd Wiesberger	51	179.8	353
357	Brendon Todd	28	179.6	347
358	Connor Syme	50	179.5	355
359	Euan Walker	9	178.6	357
360	Manuel Elvira	59	177.2	358
361	Edoardo Molinari	29	176.5	360
362	Kieran Vincent	34	175.0	359
363	Sean Crocker	49	171.9	361
364	Ryan Moore	18	171.8	365
365	Curtis Luck	8	171.1	368
366	Cameron Adam	11	169.1	367
367	Michael Johnson	51	168.2	389
368	Kevin Chappell	28	168.0	363
369	Gregorio De Leo	26	167.3	369
370	Andrew Wilson	36	167.0	370
371	Richie Ramsay	46	165.4	373
372	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	54	164.5	376
373	Dylan Frittelli	56	163.8	377
374	Mitchell Meissner	52	162.9	371
375	Yubin Jang	11	162.9	378
376	Robby Shelton	51	162.9	364
377	Jens Dantorp	53	161.0	381
378	Kota Kaneko	27	160.9	380
379	Yannik Paul	49	159.8	379
380	Angel Hidalgo	55	159.2	385
381	Benjamin Hebert	25	158.8	384
382	Seung-taek Lee	29	158.7	387
383	Cooper Dossey	50	158.3	375
384	Shimizu Taisei	15	157.9	386
385	Neal Shipley	46	157.6	382
386	Alistair Docherty	52	157.2	390
387	Yuta Sugiura	28	156.2	372
388	Michael Hollick	16	156.1	391
389	David Ravetto	55	156.1	392
390	Kevin Tway	28	155.7	374
391	Joel Girrbach	58	153.9	394
392	Kazuki Higa	33	153.8	396
393	Ben Martin	39	153.7	383
394	Davis Shore	55	153.3	418
395	Carson Bacha	10	151.2	366
396	Pat Perez	10	150.8	397
397	Jonathan Goth-rasmussen	11	150.6	401
398	Junghwan Lee	21	150.5	399
399	Andreas Halvorsen	25	150.5	398
400	Jack Senior	36	150.3	400

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A look at the RBC Heritage

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of about .601 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .269 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	Value
Adam Hadwin	0.545
David Lipsky	0.537
Chad Ramey	0.535
Billy Horschel	0.499
Shane Lowry	0.472
Brice Garnett	0.443
Aaron Rai	0.431
Henrik Norlander	0.415

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Matt Fitzpatrick	9	1863.4
Shane Lowry	28	1431.4
Ben Griffin	31	1418.8
Aaron Rai	42	1144.5
Andrew Novak	45	1126.1
Taylor Pendrith	46	1115.1
Brooks Koepka	49	1064.5
Sam Stevens	53	1042.9

Sorry, can't make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3518.3
Xander Schauffele	2	2415.4
Russell Henley	3	2323.3
Rory McIlroy	4	2235.1

Ooh, that's hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward Change
Matt Fitzpatrick	2298.9
Sudarshan Yellamaraju	2054.4
Brooks Koepka	1166.7
Alex Smalley	763.5
Jordan Smith	750.6
Adrien Dumont de Chassart	568.6
Michael Thorbjornsen	450.7
Sahith Theegala	360.7

Brr, that's cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Taylor Pendrith	-1050.9
Tom Hoge	-824.8
Shane Lowry	-683.7
Max Greyserman	-720.4
Matt Kuchar	-676.7
Mackenzie Hughes	-689.9
Billy Horschel	-683.3
Aaron Rai	-885.4

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.14	Shots gained in approach
0.07	Shots gained around the green
0.05	Shots gained off the tee
0.05	Shots gained putting

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Shane Lowry	66.63
Austin Smotherman	66.65
Matt Fitzpatrick	66.75
Sam Ryder	66.77
Ryan Gerard	66.88
David Lipsky	66.91
Johnny Keefer	66.91
Chris Kirk	66.95

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above

Course fit	Player
Gordon Sargent	68.5
Pontus Nyholm	68.4
Matt Kuchar	68.3
Alejandro Tosti	68.3
Garrick Higgo	68.3
Peter Malnati	68.3
Matti Schmid	68.3
Charley Hoffman	68.1

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2026 and Orlando FL, the event host city.

Player	Home	Miles
Davis Riley	Hattiesburg MS	100
Chad Ramey	Fulton MS	200
Cameron Champ	Houston TX	300
Mark Hubbard	The Woodlands TX	325
Trey Mullinax	Gardendale AL	325
Chandler Phillips	College Station TX	375
Lee Hodges	Athens AL	375
Brice Garnett	Valdosta GA	425

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.372
I love this place	-0.181
Ooh, that’s hot	-0.117
Location, location, location	0.005

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