A quick and accurate look at this week's professional golf.

Cadillac Championship Power Ratings

Dates: Apr. 30-May 3, 2026. Venue: Blue Monster; Miami FL. Purse: $20 million.

A golfer wearing a blue cap and white jacket, focused and engaged

Scottie Scheffler

Pick	Player	Power number	Observed Odds	Course fit
1	Scottie Scheffler	-28.9	9-1	70.6
2	Russell Henley	3.3	18-1	71.1
3	Cameron Young	13.7	25-1	71.3
4	Patrick Cantlay	14.1	25-1	70.8
5	Collin Morikawa	18.8	30-1	70.8
6	Tommy Fleetwood	19.0	30-1	71.4
7	Sam Burns	20.4	30-1	71.1
8	Justin Thomas	21.2	35-1
9	Jake Knapp	23.9	35-1	71.3
10	Maverick McNealy	24.1	35-1	71.2
11	Si Woo Kim	24.2	35-1	70.8
12	Hideki Matsuyama	25.4	40-1	71.3
13	Harris English	31.2	50-1	71.1
14	Jordan Spieth	32.0	50-1	71.5
15	Jacob Bridgeman	33.2	55-1	70.8
16	Akshay Bhatia	33.4	55-1	71.0
17	Jason Day	33.6	55-1	71.0
18	Viktor Hovland	33.7	55-1	71.4
19	Sepp Straka	34.5	60-1	71.4
20	Ben Griffin	34.6	60-1	71.1
21	Justin Rose	34.8	60-1	70.7
22	Rickie Fowler	35.6	60-1	71.0
23	Adam Scott	36.4	65-1	71.0
24	Corey Conners	37.3	65-1	71.1
25	JJ Spaun	37.4	70-1	71.5
26	Keegan Bradley	37.9	70-1	71.6
27	Min Woo Lee	40.1	80-1	71.0
28	Shane Lowry	40.4	80-1	71.0
29	Chris Gotterup	40.8	80-1	71.1
30	Ryo Hisatsune	41.3	85-1	70.9
31	Harry Hall	41.5	85-1	71.4
32	Andrew Novak	42.3	90-1	71.5
33	Sam Stevens	42.6	90-1	70.9
34	Alex Noren	43.4	95-1	71.3
35	Alex Smalley	43.4	95-1	71.0
36	Bud Cauley	43.5	95-1	71.2
37	Daniel Berger	43.7	95-1	70.8
38	Gary Woodland	43.8	95-1	71.5
39	Sahith Theegala	44.0	100-1	71.2
40	Sungjae Im	44.8	100-1
41	Matt McCarty	45.2	100-1	71.3
42	Kurt Kitayama	46.2	100-1	70.7
43	Nick Taylor	46.4	100-1	71.0
44	Brian Harman	46.8	100-1	71.4
45	Denny McCarthy	47.1	100-1	71.2
46	Ryan Gerard	47.2	100-1	70.9
47	Michael Kim	47.8	100-1	71.6
48	Wyndham Clark	48.1	100-1	71.3
49	Taylor Pendrith	48.4	100-1	71.3
50	JT Poston	48.7	100-1	71.0
51	Michael Thorbjornsen	48.9	100-1	71.0
52	Nicolai Hojgaard	49.2	100-1	71.3
53	Ryan Fox	50.0	100-1	71.5
54	Patrick Rodgers	50.7	150-1	71.1
55	Stephan Jaeger	51.4	150-1	71.2
56	Pierceson Coody	51.9	150-1	70.7
57	Brooks Koepka	52.3	150-1	71.4
58	Max Greyserman	53.1	150-1	71.5
59	Keith Mitchell	53.1	150-1	70.9
60	Tom Hoge	53.8	150-1	71.6
61	Kristoffer Reitan	54.4	200-1	71.5
62	Andrew Putnam	55.0	200-1	70.5
63	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	56.5	250-1	71.4
64	Jordan Smith	57.1	250-1	70.7
65	Lucas Glover	57.7	250-1	71.5
66	Nico Echavarria	57.7	250-1	71.2
67	David Lipsky	57.8	250-1	71.1
68	Max Homa	59.0	300-1	71.4
69	Taylor Moore	60.0	350-1	71.5
70	Ricky Castillo	60.4	350-1	71.4
71	Matt Wallace	61.3	400-1	70.9
72	Joel Dahmen	61.5	400-1	71.0
73	Aldrich Potgieter	62.3	400-1	71.4
74	Matti Schmid	62.5	400-1	71.8
75	Alex Fitzpatrick	63.5	500-1	70.9
76	Austin Smotherman	64.4	500-1	71.2
77	Marco Penge	64.6	600-1	71.7
78	Jhonattan Vegas	66.4	600-1	72.0
79	Brian Campbell	74.2	2000-1	72.3
80	Chandler Blanchet	76.2	2000-1	71.2

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Scottie Scheffler has been no. 1 for 154 consecutive weeks.

Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (Apr. 28, 2026)

#	Thru Apr 28, 2026	Events	Hawley rating	Previous week
1	Scottie Scheffler	43	3526.7	1
2	Xander Schauffele	39	2406.3	2
3	Russell Henley	41	2325.5	3
4	Rory McIlroy	48	2239.4	4
5	Tommy Fleetwood	53	2174.6	5
6	Collin Morikawa	45	1988.4	6
7	Patrick Cantlay	42	1944.5	7
8	Ludvig Aberg	43	1926.4	8
9	Matt Fitzpatrick	51	1921.4	9
10	Jon Rahm	40	1864.4	10
11	Cameron Young	50	1785.9	11
12	Sam Burns	50	1716.2	12
13	Justin Thomas	40	1708.6	13
14	Sepp Straka	51	1683.2	14
15	Maverick McNealy	52	1672.9	15
16	Hideki Matsuyama	49	1653.9	16
17	Si Woo Kim	59	1622.3	17
18	Jake Knapp	45	1608.8	18
19	Robert MacIntyre	60	1596.6	19
20	Jackson Koivun	9	1545.9	20
21	Bryson DeChambeau	37	1518.9	22
22	Viktor Hovland	44	1517.7	21
23	Harris English	50	1488.3	23
24	Jacob Bridgeman	56	1480.5	24
25	Jordan Spieth	41	1466.1	25
26	JJ Spaun	53	1452.1	27
27	Akshay Bhatia	56	1451.0	26
28	Rickie Fowler	43	1436.9	29
29	Ben Griffin	65	1427.0	31
30	Corey Conners	51	1426.1	30
31	Justin Rose	44	1416.9	32
32	Keegan Bradley	45	1401.1	33
33	Jason Day	40	1398.5	34
34	Shane Lowry	56	1386.4	28
35	Tyrrell Hatton	50	1327.3	35
36	Min Woo Lee	48	1326.8	36
37	Harry Hall	54	1288.4	37
38	Adam Scott	47	1246.5	38
39	Chris Gotterup	54	1246.0	39
40	Daniel Berger	50	1192.9	40
41	Alex Noren	39	1178.8	41
42	Kurt Kitayama	46	1146.0	43
43	Andrew Novak	55	1139.6	45
44	Nicolai Hojgaard	54	1132.4	44
45	Aaron Rai	51	1109.4	42
46	Bud Cauley	43	1103.5	47
47	Denny McCarthy	48	1093.6	48
48	Taylor Pendrith	50	1071.0	46
49	Nick Taylor	53	1066.2	50
50	JT Poston	50	1051.5	51
51	Brian Harman	52	1049.9	52
52	Sam Stevens	60	1047.8	53
53	Michael Thorbjornsen	48	1034.0	55
54	Brooks Koepka	39	1013.4	49
55	Sungjae Im	46	1009.5	57
56	Sahith Theegala	52	1007.7	54
57	Ryan Gerard	63	1002.7	56
58	Patrick Reed	54	998.9	59
59	Wyndham Clark	52	994.6	58
60	Lucas Glover	46	991.7	60
61	Alex Smalley	55	990.9	70
62	Ryan Fox	52	989.6	61
63	Michael Kim	60	975.2	64
64	Matt McCarty	60	974.6	68
65	Ryo Hisatsune	62	973.8	63
66	Gary Woodland	47	972.4	66
67	Joaquin Niemann	44	969.1	65
68	Max Greyserman	53	948.3	62
69	Patrick Rodgers	64	930.4	69
70	Davis Thompson	51	921.1	79
71	Tony Finau	46	917.0	67
72	Thomas Detry	54	911.7	71
73	David Puig	48	897.8	75
74	Eric Cole	62	896.1	82
75	Nico Echavarria	55	895.1	73
76	Rasmus Hojgaard	54	889.4	76
77	Sebastian Munoz	32	884.7	78
78	Carlos Ortiz	36	876.6	80
79	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	55	875.5	77
80	Abraham Ancer	35	874.1	81
81	Stephan Jaeger	51	868.6	72
82	Tom Hoge	58	867.1	84
83	Keith Mitchell	52	865.0	74
84	Dean Burmester	44	845.6	83
85	Pierceson Coody	59	814.2	85
86	Billy Horschel	45	812.3	97
87	Paul Casey	32	783.8	87
88	Cameron Tringale	31	782.2	89
89	Marc Leishman	34	780.2	88
90	Thomas Pieters	39	779.1	94
91	Chris Kirk	46	771.8	86
92	Tom McKibbin	56	771.7	95
93	Talor Gooch	32	770.1	96
94	Byeong Hun An	48	769.4	93
95	Branden Grace	37	767.3	98
96	Lee Hodges	50	758.0	90
97	Andrew Putnam	55	757.4	92
98	Kevin Yu	54	756.0	91
99	Will Zalatoris	30	742.6	100
100	Rico Hoey	59	739.8	99
101	Jhonattan Vegas	44	729.8	102
102	Kristoffer Reitan	43	729.2	123
103	Matti Schmid	59	714.1	113
104	Dustin Johnson	40	711.5	106
105	AJ Ewart	13	710.8	101
106	Max Homa	48	705.3	107
107	Jordan Smith	58	705.2	103
108	Thorbjorn Olesen	59	702.8	109
109	Cameron Smith	40	700.4	110
110	Sami Valimaki	56	687.9	114
111	Seamus Power	54	687.3	116
112	Josele Ballester	24	684.9	105
113	Lucas Herbert	38	681.2	104
114	Mac Meissner	51	681.1	119
115	Mackenzie Hughes	54	680.5	108
116	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	45	679.9	136
117	Victor Perez	51	675.4	115
118	Austin Eckroat	52	675.1	128
119	Matt Wallace	61	674.1	111
120	Charles Howell	25	660.5	118
121	Matt Kuchar	41	659.3	112
122	Sergio Garcia	38	648.6	121
123	Bubba Watson	32	639.2	125
124	Marco Penge	54	639.1	122
125	Taylor Moore	54	637.7	124
126	Beau Hossler	54	637.7	117
127	Max McGreevy	62	634.3	120
128	Emiliano Grillo	51	631.7	127
129	Louis Oosthuizen	39	624.3	129
130	Harold Varner	32	621.3	132
131	Kevin Roy	56	618.3	126
132	Hennie du Plessis	8	618.2	131
133	Doug Ghim	53	614.2	147
134	Jason Kokrak	33	613.3	135
135	Richard Bland	35	608.5	139
136	Haotong Li	53	603.3	130
137	David Lipsky	53	599.9	134
138	Brendan Steele	31	595.0	141
139	Caleb Surratt	40	594.1	138
140	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	49	591.8	133
141	Charl Schwartzel	37	590.8	142
142	Vince Whaley	56	587.6	137
143	Aldrich Potgieter	51	582.2	144
144	Tom Kim	54	582.1	140
145	Anirban Lahiri	36	581.0	143
146	Ricky Castillo	54	567.8	146
147	John Parry	49	563.0	151
148	Chad Ramey	57	551.0	145
149	Matthew Wolff	27	541.5	152
150	Chandler Phillips	53	538.3	149
151	Patrick Fishburn	54	537.7	148
152	Joel Dahmen	54	532.9	150
153	Karl Vilips	43	522.2	162
154	Jayden Schaper	48	520.9	154
155	Sam Ryder	54	514.5	153
156	Graeme McDowell	30	510.4	159
157	Kris Ventura	51	505.8	190
158	Mark Hubbard	60	501.0	155
159	Joe Highsmith	57	499.7	161
160	William Mouw	49	498.4	157
161	Hayden Springer	53	494.6	192
162	Wesley Bryan	20	493.9	165
163	Angel Ayora	49	487.1	160
164	Cam Davis	46	487.1	158
165	Austin Smotherman	55	479.6	163
166	Michael Brennan	18	476.2	156
167	Jesper Svensson	55	476.1	164
168	CT Pan	21	473.2	169
169	Webb Simpson	25	470.8	170
170	Andy Sullivan	57	469.3	168
171	Garrick Higgo	48	468.5	166
172	Peter Uihlein	43	467.3	167
173	Alex Fitzpatrick	56	458.2	219
174	Oliver Lindell	39	452.3	172
175	Phil Mickelson	29	451.2	173
176	Daniel Hillier	50	449.6	171
177	Antoine Rozner	54	447.5	176
178	Davis Riley	53	446.5	174
179	Trace Crowe	42	446.0	231
180	Francesco Laporta	40	444.6	177
181	Elvis Smylie	34	429.4	182
182	Lee Westwood	26	426.6	183
183	Thriston Lawrence	60	426.6	175
184	SH Kim	51	423.6	185
185	Luke Clanton	36	423.5	178
186	Laurie Canter	46	423.1	184
187	Greyson Sigg	49	421.2	179
188	Henrik Norlander	53	419.0	180
189	Justin Lower	55	417.1	181
190	Jacob Skov Olesen	43	414.0	232
191	Dan Brown	49	409.9	204
192	Nate Lashley	34	408.3	193
193	Carson Young	55	405.3	187
194	Johnny Keefer	42	405.0	186
195	Danny Walker	53	402.9	188
196	Takumi Kanaya	53	402.0	191
197	Adam Schenk	58	399.4	189
198	Nick Dunlap	49	398.2	196
199	Richard T Lee	24	398.1	194
200	Henrik Stenson	23	398.1	195
201	Martin Couvra	39	396.5	197
202	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	54	392.8	205
203	Steven Fisk	54	390.3	201
204	Zach Johnson	30	390.1	200
205	Isaiah Salinda	49	389.5	202
206	Brandt Snedeker	48	380.4	198
207	Jackson Suber	52	378.9	199
208	David Ford	23	378.9	207
209	Scott Vincent	35	376.8	210
210	Stewart Cink	10	375.6	213
211	Adrian Meronk	44	374.6	209
212	Zach Bauchou	33	372.6	228
213	Jorge Campillo	62	372.2	203
214	Lanto Griffin	52	370.6	227
215	Julien Guerrier	51	369.1	214
216	Chan Kim	54	368.7	206
217	Ben Campbell	33	368.0	218
218	Shaun Norris	32	366.5	225
219	Matthew Jordan	51	365.0	216
220	Zac Blair	50	360.2	208
221	Adrien Saddier	52	359.1	220
222	Keita Nakajima	43	356.4	211
223	Matteo Manassero	48	354.7	212
224	Ewen Ferguson	50	354.6	215
225	Marcus Armitage	53	354.4	221
226	Niklas Norgaard	55	352.2	217
227	Matthieu Pavon	56	348.0	224
228	Brian Campbell	51	344.6	226
229	Erik van Rooyen	56	343.8	233
230	Martin Kaymer	36	339.3	230
231	Alejandro Tosti	49	336.2	223
232	Ben Silverman	50	336.2	222
233	Joost Luiten	52	333.6	234
234	Eugenio Chacarra	52	332.6	229
235	Ugo Coussaud	51	330.6	235
236	Grant Forrest	47	320.3	240
237	Johannes Veerman	50	318.8	236
238	Ben Kohles	55	318.8	256
239	Luis Masaveu	26	316.6	238
240	Ian Poulter	27	314.0	245
241	Adam Hadwin	53	312.7	241
242	Richard Mansell	47	311.8	244
243	Charley Hoffman	38	309.9	237
244	Dylan Wu	50	308.7	239
245	Alexander Bjork	13	307.1	254
246	Blades Brown	35	305.9	248
247	Taylor Montgomery	47	301.8	246
248	Adam Svensson	58	301.7	249
249	Trey Mullinax	36	301.0	242
250	Kelly Kraft	12	300.3	247
251	Jinichiro Kozuma	33	300.1	250
252	David Skinns	51	293.5	253
253	Kevin Streelman	34	291.1	252
254	Nathan Kimsey	30	290.7	278
255	Wenyi Ding	29	290.1	261
256	Matt Jones	32	289.7	251
257	Sam Horsfield	33	289.7	264
258	Frankie Capan	53	289.4	255
259	Kevin Na	25	289.3	243
260	Zecheng Dou	52	288.9	257
261	Cameron Champ	49	287.8	258
262	Calum Hill	56	287.6	265
263	Todd Clements	55	284.4	259
264	Noah Goodwin	49	283.0	260
265	Bronson Burgoon	29	282.7	266
266	Hank Lebioda	49	281.0	330
267	Brice Garnett	44	280.4	268
268	Nacho Elvira	54	280.2	262
269	Anthony Kim	33	279.1	269
270	Casey Jarvis	61	278.5	274
271	Mikael Lindberg	37	277.4	285
272	Patton Kizzire	49	273.1	263
273	Brandon Stone	47	272.9	272
274	KH Lee	34	272.5	271
275	Dan Bradbury	55	271.6	276
276	Quade Cummins	50	270.5	279
277	Andrea Pavan	53	270.5	277
278	Joakim Lagergren	39	266.0	270
279	Andy Ogletree	29	264.5	267
280	Daniel Rodrigues	9	264.4	291
281	Chandler Blanchet	49	263.9	275
282	Guido Migliozzi	50	263.6	286
283	Romain Langasque	54	262.9	273
284	John Pak	52	260.1	283
285	Jeremy Paul	55	259.0	280
286	Jacques Kruyswijk	44	258.9	282
287	Freddy Schott	43	255.4	297
288	Ian Gilligan	24	254.5	288
289	Frederic LaCroix	46	254.1	281
290	Darius van Driel	54	249.2	298
291	Jason Scrivener	50	248.6	287
292	Mito Pereira	24	241.8	292
293	Thomas Rosenmueller	31	240.6	290
294	Daniel van Tonder	18	239.0	284
295	Justin Hastings	17	238.9	294
296	Alejandro Del Rey	52	235.5	310
297	Pontus Nyholm	54	235.2	289
298	Brandon Robinson Thompson	47	233.8	299
299	Paul Waring	41	233.7	296
300	Adrian Otaegui	59	233.0	318
301	Harry Higgs	55	232.6	295
302	Joseph Bramlett	50	229.0	303
303	Brendan Valdez	13	228.8	304
304	Herman Loubser	9	228.6	300
305	Richard Sterne	36	228.0	293
306	Davis Bryant	28	227.9	316
307	Rafa Cabrera Bello	57	227.3	308
308	Tom Vaillant	50	226.8	326
309	Yu-bin Jang	10	226.4	307
310	Paul Peterson	57	224.6	301
311	Doc Redman	44	223.0	309
312	Kazuma Kobori	44	221.9	302
313	Marcel Schneider	54	221.2	305
314	Francesco Molinari	36	219.4	313
315	Matthew NeSmith	17	217.3	311
316	Will Gordon	51	215.4	312
317	Eddie Pepperell	34	215.0	320
318	Danny Willett	44	213.7	325
319	Ren Yonezawa	19	212.9	306
320	Danny Lee	33	212.9	323
321	Will Chandler	49	212.5	324
322	Sam Bairstow	53	211.7	317
323	Chieh-po Lee	33	210.9	315
324	Hunter Eichhorn	20	208.6	329
325	Seungbin Choi	8	206.7
326	Hayden Buckley	51	206.3	328
327	Jonathan Byrd	29	206.3	314
328	Hugo Townsend	8	205.6
329	Ben Schmidt	38	204.8	321
330	Vincent Norrman	19	204.4	336
331	Niklas Lemke	27	204.3	331
332	Sebastian Soderberg	39	203.9	322
333	Luke List	54	202.9	327
334	Yosuke Asaji	24	201.0	334
335	Tapio Pulkkanen	27	200.5	333
336	Bernd Wiesberger	51	200.4	356
337	Jeff Winther	46	200.4	339
338	Rikuya Hoshino	48	198.3	332
339	Taylor Dickson	52	198.2	340
340	Thomas Rosenmuller	14	197.5	343
341	Ding Wenyi	10	197.4	338
342	Darren Fichardt	36	197.2	342
343	Ian Holt	35	197.2	335
344	Jimmy Stanger	15	196.2	319
345	Michael La Sasso	12	195.3	344
346	Ben Carr	8	195.3	341
347	Trevor Cone	51	193.3	345
348	Nick Hardy	52	192.5	352
349	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	45	190.0	337
350	Yuto Katsuragawa	44	186.6	346
351	Young-han Song	26	186.1	347
352	Fabrizio Zanotti	40	185.8	348
353	Gregorio De Leo	27	182.4	369
354	Kensei Hirata	48	179.8	349
355	Edoardo Molinari	28	179.1	361
356	Ricardo Gouveia	56	178.5	353
357	Marcel Siem	49	178.5	350
358	Scott Jamieson	51	177.0	351
359	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	54	176.6	372
360	Camilo Villegas	53	175.2	355
361	Jeffrey Kang	49	174.3	508
362	Manuel Elvira	59	173.6	360
363	David Micheluzzi	47	173.0	354
364	Ryan Moore	17	172.6	364
365	Connor Syme	50	172.0	358
366	Brendon Todd	28	171.8	357
367	Kota Kaneko	28	171.7	378
368	Curtis Luck	8	171.4	365
369	Sean Crocker	49	171.3	363
370	Oihan Guillamoundeguy	10	170.4	434
371	Michael Johnson	51	169.5	367
372	Angel Hidalgo	55	166.3	380
373	Andrew Wilson	36	165.5	370
374	Kieran Vincent	34	165.3	362
375	Dylan Frittelli	55	164.9	373
376	Mitchell Meissner	52	163.6	374
377	Yubin Jang	11	163.5	375
378	Kevin Chappell	27	163.2	368
379	Gordon Sargent	22	162.8	443
380	Robby Shelton	50	161.0	376
381	Anthony Quayle	11	159.7	504
382	Cooper Dossey	50	159.1	383
383	Seung-taek Lee	29	158.8	382
384	Richie Ramsay	46	158.5	371
385	Euan Walker	10	158.5	359
386	Benjamin Hebert	25	157.9	381
387	Yannik Paul	48	157.3	379
388	Shimizu Taisei	15	156.6	384
389	Andrew Johnston	18	156.4	411
390	Alistair Docherty	52	155.9	386
391	Cameron Adam	12	155.5	366
392	Jens Dantorp	53	155.1	377
393	Yuta Sugiura	28	154.6	387
394	Davis Shore	55	154.4	394
395	Davis Chatfield	51	154.0	432
396	David Ravetto	56	153.9	389
397	Jonathan Goth-rasmussen	11	153.1	397
398	Ben Martin	38	153.1	393
399	Carson Bacha	10	151.6	395
400	Davis Lamb	26	150.6	402

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A look at the Cadillac Championship

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed between 2010 and 2016, the latter being the last year the event was played. A value of about .601 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .269 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	Value
Adam Scott	0.826
Rickie Fowler	0.588
Justin Rose	0.562
Jason Day	0.423
Jordan Spieth	0.393
Keegan Bradley	0.346
Harris English	0.319
Gary Woodland	0.318

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3526.7
Russell Henley	3	2325.5
Tommy Fleetwood	5	2174.6
Collin Morikawa	6	1988.4
Patrick Cantlay	7	1944.5
Cameron Young	11	1785.9
Sam Burns	12	1716.2
Justin Thomas	13	1708.6

Sorry, can't make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Xander Schauffele	2	2406.3
Rory McIlroy	4	2239.4
Ludvig Aberg	8	1926.4
Matt Fitzpatrick	9	1921.4

Ooh, that's hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward Change
Cameron Young	2357.7
Gary Woodland	1736.0
Collin Morikawa	1333.4
Sam Burns	1201.3
Ryo Hisatsune	881.3
Patrick Cantlay	869.4
Kristoffer Reitan	824.1
Alex Smalley	816.9

Brr, that's cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Harry Hall	-1090.4
Taylor Pendrith	-1071.0
Max Greyserman	-948.3
Lucas Glover	-926.4
Nico Echavarria	-895.1
Sungjae Im	-749.4
Rickie Fowler	-747.2
JT Poston	-701.3

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.25	Greens in regulation
0.10	Driving accuracy
0.06	Scrambling
0.05	Driving distance

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Andrew Putnam	70.53
Scottie Scheffler	70.62
Jordan Smith	70.70
Pierceson Coody	70.71
Justin Rose	70.72
Kurt Kitayama	70.74
Daniel Berger	70.78
Patrick Cantlay	70.81

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above

Course fit	Player
Brian Campbell	72.31
Jhonattan Vegas	71.98
Matti Schmid	71.81
Marco Penge	71.68
Tom Hoge	71.62
Michael Kim	71.61
Keegan Bradley	71.60
Gary Woodland	71.52

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2026 and Orlando FL, the event host city.

Player	Home	Miles
Gary Woodland	Delray Beach FL	50
Kristoffer Reitan	West Palm Beach FL	75
Patrick Rodgers	Palm Beach Gardens FL	75
Max Greyserman	Palm Beach Gardens FL	75
Taylor Pendrith	Palm Beach Gardens FL	75
Justin Thomas	Jupiter FL	75
Denny McCarthy	Jupiter FL	75
Patrick Cantlay	Jupiter FL	75
Ryan Gerard	Jupiter FL	75
Akshay Bhatia	Jupiter FL	75
Shane Lowry	Jupiter FL	75
Sahith Theegala	Jupiter FL	75
Cameron Young	Jupiter FL	75
Daniel Berger	Jupiter FL	75
Bud Cauley	Jupiter FL	75
Corey Conners	Jupiter FL	75
Rickie Fowler	Jupiter FL	75

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.372
I love this place	-0.181
Ooh, that’s hot	-0.117
Location, location, location	0.005

Stay updated on the world of golf.

Learn More