Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (June 30, 2026)

#	Thru Jul 7, 2026	Events	Hawley rating	Previous week
1	Scottie Scheffler	44	3625.0	1
2	Rory McIlroy	46	2361.9	2
3	Tommy Fleetwood	53	2309.6	3
4	Xander Schauffele	38	2281.7	4
5	Russell Henley	42	2156.6	5
6	Matt Fitzpatrick	51	2061.6	6
7	Ludvig Aberg	44	2011.0	7
8	Justin Thomas	41	2000.3	8
9	Jon Rahm	41	1913.6	9
10	Patrick Cantlay	42	1906.4	10
11	Collin Morikawa	43	1876.0	11
12	Sam Burns	51	1855.0	12
13	Cameron Young	49	1815.3	13
14	Maverick McNealy	53	1674.5	15
15	JJ Spaun	54	1649.4	16
16	Ben Griffin	64	1636.2	17
17	Si Woo Kim	59	1620.1	18
18	Jake Knapp	40	1554.2	19
19	Viktor Hovland	44	1553.3	20
20	Justin Rose	44	1546.8	21
21	Sepp Straka	50	1536.1	22
22	Hideki Matsuyama	51	1513.1	23
23	Harris English	49	1511.4	24
24	Robert MacIntyre	59	1496.4	25
25	Akshay Bhatia	55	1459.3	26
26	Jackson Koivun	9	1438.0	14
27	Bryson DeChambeau	37	1430.6	28
28	Chris Gotterup	53	1426.9	32
29	Tyrrell Hatton	49	1425.0	27
30	Rickie Fowler	43	1395.1	31
31	Keegan Bradley	47	1385.3	29
32	Corey Conners	51	1374.8	33
33	Wyndham Clark	52	1370.7	34
34	Jordan Spieth	41	1347.9	30
35	Aaron Rai	50	1346.0	36
36	Shane Lowry	56	1335.9	37
37	Jacob Bridgeman	58	1332.7	35
38	Kurt Kitayama	46	1330.9	38
39	Min Woo Lee	49	1327.8	39
40	Bud Cauley	47	1271.3	40
41	Alex Smalley	56	1241.4	41
42	Joaquin Niemann	47	1224.7	42
43	Alex Noren	39	1215.9	43
44	Adam Scott	46	1210.0	44
45	Nicolai Hojgaard	55	1197.7	46
46	Harry Hall	56	1183.5	47
47	JT Poston	51	1174.8	45
48	Nick Taylor	53	1167.8	49
49	Jason Day	40	1139.1	50
50	Gary Woodland	47	1138.2	51
51	Daniel Berger	50	1130.2	48
52	Ryan Gerard	62	1072.0	55
53	Ryan Fox	51	1059.7	56
54	Denny McCarthy	47	1052.6	52
55	Andrew Novak	57	1051.7	54
56	Patrick Reed	52	1051.2	53
57	Sam Stevens	60	1044.9	57
58	Brian Harman	52	1044.0	58
59	Matt McCarty	59	1032.7	59
60	Michael Kim	62	982.3	60
61	Eric Cole	59	979.0	61
62	Keith Mitchell	54	969.2	62
63	Lucas Glover	46	959.2	73
64	Kristoffer Reitan	50	950.0	63
65	David Puig	50	948.7	65
66	Ryo Hisatsune	64	947.0	70
67	Brooks Koepka	39	942.9	66
68	Stephan Jaeger	51	920.3	72
69	Sahith Theegala	53	919.4	69
70	Michael Thorbjornsen	50	918.4	64
71	Taylor Pendrith	51	909.0	67
72	Max Greyserman	54	904.7	68
73	Nico Echavarria	55	885.5	74
74	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	54	882.9	80
75	Alex Fitzpatrick	56	879.9	75
76	Sungjae Im	53	875.6	71
77	Dean Burmester	42	874.5	76
78	Cameron Smith	40	859.0	78
79	Marc Leishman	34	853.4	79
80	Talor Gooch	31	843.2	83
81	Thomas Detry	54	836.1	82
82	Carlos Ortiz	38	831.1	92
83	Tony Finau	47	829.2	77
84	Pierceson Coody	61	826.2	84
85	Davis Thompson	49	825.2	89
86	Dustin Johnson	40	823.3	87
87	Tom Hoge	60	823.2	86
88	Rasmus Hojgaard	53	819.7	88
89	Paul Casey	30	814.2	91
90	Patrick Rodgers	64	811.5	90
91	Sebastian Munoz	33	807.8	81
92	Abraham Ancer	38	801.2	85
93	Max Homa	47	800.4	106
94	Mac Meissner	51	783.9	105
95	Thomas Pieters	37	777.2	94
96	Kevin Yu	53	772.0	101
97	Branden Grace	38	771.5	98
98	Matti Schmid	58	768.0	96
99	Will Zalatoris	23	759.2	99
100	Andrew Putnam	55	756.4	95
101	Aldrich Potgieter	49	749.5	97
102	Tom McKibbin	57	744.4	100
103	AJ Ewart	18	740.8	93
104	Lee Hodges	47	735.8	124
105	Doug Ghim	52	735.4	119
106	Charles Howell	28	734.9	104
107	Matt Kuchar	39	730.4	112
108	Lucas Herbert	38	723.5	107
109	Tom Kim	51	719.7	102
110	Chris Kirk	44	719.7	108
111	Victor Perez	48	717.1	110
112	Byeong Hun An	46	706.4	103
113	Matt Wallace	61	701.3	111
114	Marco Penge	51	692.4	122
115	Rico Hoey	59	691.7	109
116	Cameron Tringale	32	686.5	114
117	Sami Valimaki	52	685.8	117
118	Emiliano Grillo	51	684.4	121
119	Harold Varner	32	682.9	120
120	Jordan Smith	57	681.0	118
121	Billy Horschel	45	677.6	116
122	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	49	662.1	113
123	Bubba Watson	34	654.0	127
124	Sergio Garcia	39	651.9	115
125	Mackenzie Hughes	52	644.5	125
126	Taylor Moore	51	642.4	123
127	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	49	635.4	126
128	Brendan Steele	31	629.5	129
129	Jackson Suber	52	625.8	144
130	Thorbjorn Olesen	57	622.3	128
131	Beau Hossler	52	612.3	130
132	Jesper Svensson	53	599.1	136
133	Kevin Roy	54	597.1	131
134	Max McGreevy	61	595.2	134
135	John Parry	55	592.5	137
136	Austin Eckroat	50	592.3	132
137	Jason Kokrak	33	591.0	139
138	Seamus Power	52	589.2	133
139	Jhonattan Vegas	48	587.5	138
140	Richard Bland	35	586.2	140
141	Charl Schwartzel	37	579.7	141
142	David Lipsky	53	575.3	146
143	Anirban Lahiri	37	575.0	142
144	Josele Ballester	30	574.5	135
145	Louis Oosthuizen	39	566.5	143
146	Caleb Surratt	41	550.4	147
147	Chandler Phillips	53	546.5	157
148	Michael Brennan	24	542.3	148
149	Ricky Castillo	52	538.5	149
150	Sam Ryder	52	537.7	150
151	Haotong Li	53	537.4	145
152	Zach Johnson	27	530.2	192
153	Ben James	8	524.3	151
154	Wesley Bryan	14	517.0	152
155	Scott Vincent	35	515.0	156
156	Mark Hubbard	59	511.3	153
157	William Mouw	47	510.1	162
158	Vince Whaley	55	501.5	154
159	Phil Mickelson	24	501.2	160
160	Oliver Lindell	46	498.4	164
161	Karl Vilips	47	495.8	161
162	Patrick Fishburn	53	495.0	155
163	Chad Ramey	56	484.9	158
164	Angel Ayora	52	484.1	159
165	Brandt Snedeker	46	482.7	165
166	Graeme McDowell	30	471.5	169
167	Joel Dahmen	54	469.7	168
168	Austin Smotherman	52	469.6	163
169	Steven Fisk	53	467.5	167
170	Matthew Wolff	27	467.1	172
171	Garrick Higgo	48	465.6	166
172	Jayden Schaper	50	455.6	170
173	Zach Bauchou	38	449.4	171
174	Daniel Hillier	51	442.8	173
175	Hayden Springer	51	440.7	175
176	Kris Ventura	50	440.0	174
177	Ben Kohles	57	437.1	210
178	Keita Nakajima	44	437.0	177
179	SH Kim	43	435.7	181
180	Nate Lashley	30	433.2	182
181	Brice Garnett	44	431.7	176
182	Laurie Canter	45	427.2	183
183	Isaiah Salinda	42	426.9	187
184	Henrik Stenson	20	425.3	188
185	Johnny Keefer	49	423.8	179
186	Joe Highsmith	57	423.1	180
187	Peter Uihlein	43	423.0	186
188	Hennie du Plessis	15	420.0	231
189	Blades Brown	41	418.0	212
190	Erik van Rooyen	55	413.8	198
191	Antoine Rozner	53	412.5	190
192	Jacob Skov Olesen	50	412.1	184
193	Andy Sullivan	57	412.0	189
194	Webb Simpson	23	411.6	178
195	Eugenio Chacarra	54	411.3	185
196	Greyson Sigg	42	408.3	191
197	Dan Brown	44	403.8	195
198	Lanto Griffin	51	399.0	197
199	Takumi Kanaya	53	396.4	194
200	Shaun Norris	32	395.2	193
201	Ian Poulter	27	391.9	201
202	Davis Riley	52	390.8	196
203	Francesco Laporta	39	390.4	200
204	Zac Blair	51	387.9	234
205	Lee Westwood	26	385.6	204
206	Ben Campbell	36	384.2	205
207	Cam Davis	42	382.7	202
208	Danny Walker	51	381.3	199
209	Marcus Armitage	54	378.8	203
210	Trace Crowe	40	370.3	214
211	Anthony Kim	33	368.8	213
212	CT Pan	15	368.2	207
213	Martin Kaymer	35	366.5	206
214	Adrian Meronk	44	360.6	211
215	Elvis Smylie	41	358.1	221
216	David Ford	23	357.8	220
217	Richard T Lee	29	357.4	223
218	Jorge Campillo	61	355.4	216
219	Martin Couvra	46	354.7	217
220	Jimmy Stanger	18	354.4	208
221	Justin Lower	52	353.2	215
222	Alexander Bjork	9	351.3	227
223	Carson Young	57	351.0	219
224	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	54	350.7	222
225	Ewen Ferguson	52	349.9	218
226	Henrik Norlander	51	348.7	225
227	Adam Schenk	56	344.6	224
228	David Skinns	50	343.1	233
229	Chan Kim	56	338.3	229
230	Thriston Lawrence	60	337.6	226
231	Nick Dunlap	47	335.4	235
232	Matthieu Pavon	55	334.3	230
233	Adrien Saddier	51	332.7	232
234	Zecheng Dou	48	330.0	248
235	Luke Clanton	37	326.5	228
236	Ugo Coussaud	52	321.5	239
237	Luis Masaveu	30	318.4	241
238	Jinichiro Kozuma	31	317.7	243
239	Julien Guerrier	51	315.1	236
240	Calum Hill	55	312.0	244
241	Brian Campbell	51	311.3	240
242	Ben Silverman	49	309.5	238
243	Niklas Norgaard	55	307.2	245
244	Trey Mullinax	36	306.5	246
245	Joost Luiten	53	305.7	242
246	Daniel Rodrigues	16	303.9	237
247	Oihan Guillamoundeguy	17	299.2	324
248	Nacho Elvira	56	296.8	262
249	Alejandro Tosti	49	296.2	247
250	Frankie Capan	46	295.0	252
251	Quade Cummins	42	293.6	254
252	Todd Clements	56	293.3	253
253	Matt Jones	30	292.9	255
254	Joakim Lagergren	46	288.1	250
255	Kota Kaneko	34	286.5	249
256	Mikael Lindberg	43	285.6	258
257	Grant Forrest	47	285.1	259
258	Matteo Manassero	49	279.9	251
259	Matthew Jordan	51	277.2	260
260	Bernd Wiesberger	52	276.5	298
261	Adam Hadwin	53	275.9	256
262	Nathan Kimsey	37	273.8	257
263	Cameron Champ	49	270.6	263
264	Wenyi Ding	36	269.0	261
265	Padraig Harrington	23	266.1	269
266	Richard Mansell	44	266.1	267
267	Frederic LaCroix	46	266.0	284
268	Bronson Burgoon	26	265.7	268
269	Taylor Montgomery	51	265.5	276
270	Andrea Pavan	47	264.2	275
271	Kevin Na	24	259.8	279
272	Richard Sterne	41	258.7	280
273	Eddie Pepperell	35	258.4	265
274	Dan Bradbury	54	258.3	270
275	Darius van Driel	54	258.2	272
276	Chandler Blanchet	49	257.9	274
277	Kazuma Kobori	49	257.9	271
278	Dylan Wu	50	257.1	273
279	Sam Horsfield	33	256.4	282
280	Kevin Streelman	32	255.2	264
281	Mito Pereira	21	254.4	286
282	Davis Bryant	34	254.3	278
283	Harry Higgs	55	254.3	313
284	Guido Migliozzi	50	252.7	277
285	John Pak	50	252.1	289
286	Casey Jarvis	61	251.6	285
287	JC Ritchie	18	250.2	281
288	Jeff Winther	48	248.8	306
289	Pontus Nyholm	51	248.8	309
290	Hank Lebioda	47	247.3	283
291	Rafa Cabrera Bello	57	244.7	288
292	Vincent Norrman	13	243.4	293
293	Alejandro Del Rey	51	243.0	307
294	Young-han Song	28	242.3	297
295	Gregorio De Leo	32	241.7	287
296	Andy Ogletree	27	240.3	300
297	Charley Hoffman	37	239.8	292
298	Paul Peterson	55	239.1	290
299	Yu-bin Jang	10	237.9	303
300	Noah Goodwin	51	235.6	296
301	Johannes Veerman	49	235.0	291
302	Brendan Valdez	13	234.7	304
303	Romain Langasque	55	234.1	316
304	Ricardo Gouveia	57	233.5	295
305	Hunter Eichhorn	25	233.4	305
306	Freddy Schott	44	233.3	328
307	Marcel Schneider	54	231.7	301
308	Jeremy Paul	55	231.2	302
309	Adam Svensson	54	231.1	294
310	Jacques Kruyswijk	43	229.9	299
311	Maximilian Steinlechner	22	229.4	320
312	Thomas Rosenmuller	8	227.8	310
313	Andrew Johnston	17	225.3	311
314	Thomas Rosenmueller	39	224.8	351
315	Doc Redman	44	224.3	315
316	Daniel van Tonder	22	223.8	312
317	Ben Carr	14	221.6	319
318	Darren Fichardt	31	220.1	322
319	Danny Willett	46	218.4	308
320	Ashun Wu	31	217.3	388
321	Jason Scrivener	50	215.6	314
322	Chieh-po Lee	34	214.1	326
323	Manuel Elvira	59	214.0	340
324	Tom Vaillant	51	213.1	318
325	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	55	213.0	353
326	Brandon Stone	49	208.8	323
327	Brandon Robinson Thompson	52	207.2	325
328	Luke List	51	206.9	327
329	Danny Lee	34	205.9	329
330	Joe Dean	47	204.1	364
331	Sebastian Soderberg	41	203.5	331
332	Seung-Yul Noh	15	203.5	317
333	Paul Waring	41	203.3	330
334	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	47	203.1	347
335	Yanhan Zhou	14	202.1	321
336	Ding Wenyi	10	198.2	336
337	Herman Loubser	10	196.3	337
338	Joseph Bramlett	50	196.3	338
339	Richie Ramsay	47	196.3	333
340	Seungbin Choi	8	195.8	342
341	Ben Schmidt	44	195.0	334
342	KH Lee	31	194.4	335
343	Patton Kizzire	49	194.1	332
344	Ian Gilligan	30	193.3	341
345	Taylor Dickson	50	191.2	345
346	Kensei Hirata	51	188.4	339
347	Will Gordon	54	187.9	343
348	Michael Johnson	49	186.4	350
349	Francesco Molinari	35	184.4	352
350	Hugo Townsend	15	184.2	430
351	Adrian Otaegui	58	184.1	346
352	Jonathan Byrd	27	182.9	344
353	Tapio Pulkkanen	29	182.2	354
354	Michael Hollick	24	181.6	473
355	Lorenzo Scalise	13	181.5	369
356	Hayden Buckley	51	181.0	356
357	Jeffrey Kang	46	180.4	349
358	Will Chandler	52	179.9	355
359	Cole Sherwood	47	179.5	360
360	Niklas Lemke	30	179.3	359
361	Ren Yonezawa	20	179.2	358
362	Fabrizio Zanotti	41	178.3	348
363	Sam Bairstow	55	177.0	357
364	Travis Smyth	32	175.8	363
365	Yosuke Asaji	28	175.3	362
366	Cooper Dossey	48	174.1	368
367	Dylan Frittelli	54	171.6	361
368	Ross Steelman	47	171.4	370
369	Michael La Sasso	16	170.1	371
370	Yuto Katsuragawa	47	169.2	366
371	Camilo Villegas	52	168.4	365
372	Kieran Vincent	32	166.7	375
373	Miles Russell	10	165.2	374
374	Marcel Siem	48	164.6	373
375	Justin Hastings	23	164.3	378
376	Angel Hidalgo	57	164.1	372
377	Scott Jamieson	52	164.0	384
378	Seung-taek Lee	29	163.4	380
379	Jens Dantorp	52	163.3	383
380	Marcus Kinhult	49	162.2	381
381	Joel Girrbach	59	161.3	397
382	David Ravetto	57	160.4	376
383	Nick Hardy	53	159.4	377
384	Tyler Duncan	57	158.6	470
385	Yubin Jang	12	157.9	385
386	Ryan Moore	11	157.6	379
387	Benjamin Hebert	25	157.1	386
388	Rikuya Hoshino	50	156.8	382
389	Davis Chatfield	49	155.4	410
390	Trevor Cone	50	154.6	389
391	Davis Shore	53	154.5	390
392	Alexander Levy	37	154.2	387
393	Troy Merritt	50	152.9	452
394	Ian Holt	41	151.6	391
395	Matthew Anderson	42	150.8	394
396	Emilio Gonzalez	42	150.1	396
397	Alistair Docherty	49	149.9	392
398	Pablo Ereno Perez	14	149.4	393
399	Robby Shelton	50	149.0	395
400	Caleb VanArragon	43	146.5	400

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

John Deere Classic Power Ratings

Dates: July 2-5, 2026. Venue: TPC Deere Run; Silvis IL. Purse: $8.8 million.

Jackson Koivun

Pick	Player	Power number	Observed Odds	Course fit
1	Scottie Scheffler	-29.3	8-1	73.3
2	Padraig Harrington	0.0	16-1
3	Tommy Fleetwood	6.0	20-1	71.0
4	Matt Fitzpatrick	8.0	22-1	73.0
5	Xander Schauffele	9.3	22-1	71.9
6	Rory McIlroy	12.1	25-1	72.9
7	Patrick Cantlay	20.3	30-1	72.3
8	Ludvig Aberg	22.4	35-1	72.2
9	Justin Thomas	22.8	35-1	69.9
10	Si Woo Kim	24.4	35-1	72.3
11	JJ Spaun	25.4	40-1	71.8
12	Wyndham Clark	28.9	45-1	71.6
13	Jon Rahm	29.4	45-1
14	Viktor Hovland	30.9	50-1	71.4
15	Jake Knapp	31.4	50-1	71.2
16	Robert MacIntyre	32.8	55-1	70.6
17	Harris English	35.1	60-1	71.4
18	Kurt Kitayama	35.2	60-1	72.5
19	Chris Gotterup	35.4	60-1	71.6
20	Bud Cauley	37.8	70-1	71.3
21	Shane Lowry	38.5	70-1	72.0
22	Aaron Rai	38.8	70-1	72.6
23	Sepp Straka	40.6	80-1	71.2
24	Ryan Gerard	41.9	85-1	72.1
25	Alex Smalley	42.3	90-1	72.4
26	Min Woo Lee	42.4	90-1	71.8
27	Corey Conners	43.1	90-1	71.3
28	Alex Fitzpatrick	44.2	100-1	73.9
29	Harry Hall	45.9	100-1	70.5
30	Ryan Fox	46.0	100-1	70.9
31	Adam Scott	47.1	100-1	72.4
32	Eric Cole	47.1	100-1	70.3
33	Alex Noren	47.2	100-1	70.9
34	Patrick Reed	47.6	100-1	74.1
35	Tyrrell Hatton	48.1	100-1	68.0
36	Sahith Theegala	48.4	100-1	70.7
37	Sam Stevens	48.6	100-1	72.0
38	Nick Taylor	49.2	100-1	71.1
39	Nicolai Hojgaard	49.8	100-1	71.1
40	Doug Ghim	50.2	100-1	72.0
41	Kristoffer Reitan	51.4	150-1	71.6
42	Matt McCarty	51.6	150-1	70.3
43	Tom McKibbin	51.9	150-1
44	Pierceson Coody	52.2	150-1	71.6
45	Brian Harman	52.5	150-1	70.3
46	Mac Meissner	52.9	150-1	71.3
47	Andrew Novak	53.2	150-1	70.6
48	Tom Kim	53.2	150-1	71.9
49	Michael Thorbjornsen	54.2	200-1	71.7
50	David Puig	55.0	200-1	71.0
51	Michael Kim	55.2	200-1	70.0
52	Kevin Yu	55.4	200-1	72.0
53	Sungjae Im	55.6	200-1	69.3
54	Nico Echavarria	56.1	200-1	70.0
55	Max Greyserman	56.4	200-1	71.2
56	Rasmus Hojgaard	56.9	250-1	72.2
57	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	57.0	250-1	71.3
58	Jesper Svensson	57.2	250-1	70.8
59	Tony Finau	57.5	250-1	69.9
60	Aldrich Potgieter	57.6	250-1	70.9
61	Andrew Putnam	57.9	250-1	70.8
62	Matti Schmid	58.0	250-1	71.1
63	John Parry	58.7	300-1	72.8
64	Jordan Smith	58.9	300-1	72.7
65	Matt Wallace	59.5	300-1	70.6
66	Max McGreevy	60.5	350-1	72.4
67	Beau Hossler	60.5	350-1	70.8
68	Taylor Moore	60.7	350-1	70.3
69	Laurie Canter	61.4	400-1
70	Chris Kirk	61.5	400-1	71.4
71	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	61.7	400-1	71.5
72	Zach Bauchou	61.7	400-1	71.7
73	Austin Eckroat	61.7	400-1	70.9
74	Billy Horschel	61.9	400-1	70.4
75	Seamus Power	62.1	400-1	71.3
76	Michael Brennan	62.1	400-1	71.1
77	Keita Nakajima	62.5	400-1
78	Daniel Hillier	62.9	400-1	73.8
79	William Mouw	63.0	400-1	71.8
80	Eugenio Chacarra	63.0	400-1	72.7
81	Victor Perez	63.6	500-1
82	Ricky Castillo	63.8	500-1	70.7
83	Thorbjorn Olesen	63.8	500-1	72.1
84	Angel Ayora	63.9	500-1	72.1
85	Johnny Keefer	64.0	500-1	73.0
86	Haotong Li	64.0	500-1	72.8
87	Jayden Schaper	64.0	500-1	73.0
88	Kevin Roy	64.3	500-1	70.3
89	Adrian Meronk	64.6	600-1
90	Brice Garnett	64.7	600-1	71.6
91	Hennie du Plessis	64.8	600-1	72.8
92	Chandler Phillips	64.9	600-1	68.6
93	Brandt Snedeker	65.3	600-1	70.9
94	Marco Penge	65.9	600-1	70.3
95	Kota Kaneko	66.0	600-1	71.8
96	Shaun Norris	66.3	600-1	71.3
97	Joel Dahmen	66.6	800-1	71.9
98	Austin Smotherman	66.7	800-1	71.8
99	Bernd Wiesberger	67.0	800-1	73.1
100	Mark Hubbard	67.5	800-1	70.8
101	Chad Ramey	67.7	800-1	70.6
102	Antoine Rozner	67.9	800-1	71.8
103	Ewen Ferguson	68.2	1000-1	73.2
104	Erik van Rooyen	68.3	1000-1	70.1
105	Casey Jarvis	68.7	1000-1	72.0
106	Dan Brown	68.7	1000-1	71.5
107	Matthieu Pavon	68.9	1000-1	70.9
108	Seungbin Choi	69.0	1000-1
109	Calum Hill	69.1	1000-1	71.5
110	Zecheng Dou	69.4	1000-1	71.9
111	Daniel Rodrigues	69.7	1000-1	73.4
112	Mikael Lindberg	70.3	1000-1	72.3
113	Martin Couvra	70.4	1000-1	71.3
114	Julien Guerrier	70.6	1000-1	72.2
115	Danny Willett	71.0	1000-1
116	Richard Sterne	71.1	1000-1	72.4
117	Charley Hoffman	71.3	1000-1
118	Adrien Saddier	71.4	1000-1	71.3
119	Dan Bradbury	71.7	1000-1	72.8
120	Thriston Lawrence	71.8	1000-1	71.7
121	Nacho Elvira	72.0	1000-1	70.6
122	Andy Sullivan	72.6	2000-1	71.0
123	Joost Luiten	72.8	2000-1	71.9
124	Darius van Driel	73.2	2000-1	72.0
125	Frederic LaCroix	73.5	2000-1	72.3
126	Alejandro Del Rey	73.9	2000-1	70.2
127	David Ravetto	74.2	2000-1	73.1
128	Taehoon Ok	74.3	2000-1
129	Matteo Manassero	74.3	2000-1	71.5
130	Freddy Schott	74.4	2000-1	70.8
131	Joe Highsmith	74.4	2000-1	69.5
132	Niklas Norgaard	74.6	2000-1	71.2
133	Grant Forrest	74.6	2000-1	72.3
134	Davis Riley	74.8	2000-1	69.6
135	Jacques Kruyswijk	74.9	2000-1	71.6
136	Baekjun Kim	75.4	2000-1
137	Joakim Lagergren	76.2	2000-1	70.2
138	Ashun Wu	76.2	2000-1	72.1
139	Guido Migliozzi	76.4	2000-1	70.3
140	Francesco Molinari	76.5	2000-1	72.4
141	Adrian Otaegui	76.8	2000-1	70.8
142	Jordan Gumberg	76.8	2000-1	73.7
143	Paul Waring	77.2	2000-1	71.8
144	Yuto Katsuragawa	77.4	2000-1	71.0
145	Scott Jamieson	77.6	2000-1	70.0
146	Angel Hidalgo	77.6	2000-1	71.0
147	Yurav Premlall	77.8	2000-1	71.0
148	Dylan Frittelli	78.1	2000-1	69.8
149	Johannes Veerman	78.3	2000-1	70.5
150	Rikuya Hoshino	78.7	2000-1	70.4
151	Richard Mansell	79.2	2000-1
152	Cam Davis	79.3	2000-1	68.9
153	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	79.4	2000-1	70.2
154	Marcel Siem	79.6	2000-1	70.6
155	Brian Campbell	80.4	2000-1	68.2
156	Junghwan Lee	81.4	2000-1	70.4
157	Ryggs Johnston	81.9	2000-1	69.9
158	Connor Syme	82.3	2000-1	71.0
159	Pablo Larrazabal	83.7	2000-1	69.2
160	Dylan Naidoo	85.2	2000-1	69.8
161	Ockie Strydom	86.4	2000-1	68.0

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A look at the John Deere Classic

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed between 2018 and 2025. A value of about .601 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .269 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	Value
Lucas Glover	0.752
Denny McCarthy	0.733
Mark Hubbard	0.567
Seamus Power	0.565
Michael Thorbjornsen	0.512
Davis Thompson	0.487
Kevin Yu	0.483
Zach Johnson	0.479

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Jackson Koivun	14	1720.7
Ben Griffin	17	1637.4
Keegan Bradley	29	1397.5
Jordan Spieth	30	1391.6
Rickie Fowler	31	1384.4
Chris Gotterup	32	1373.7
Jacob Bridgeman	35	1345.5
JT Poston	45	1207.6

Sorry, can't make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3614.5
Rory McIlroy	2	2353.3
Tommy Fleetwood	3	2304.2
Xander Schauffele	4	2281.9

Ooh, that's hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward Change
JT Poston	1266.6
Aldrich Potgieter	911.3
Eric Cole	891.2
Ben Griffin	887.2
Jackson Koivun	866.0
Brice Garnett	806.7
Tom Kim	695.9
Zach Bauchou	600.0

Brr, that's cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Rickie Fowler	-1304.8
Jordan Spieth	-1102.7
Lucas Glover	-850.1
Andrew Novak	-825.1
Patrick Rodgers	-672.8
Tom Hoge	-661.0
Michael Thorbjornsen	-656.7
Kevin Roy	-614.5

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the TPC Deere Run course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.18	Shots gained in approach
0.13	Shots gained around the green
0.12	Shots gained off the tee
0.11	Sand saves

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Daniel Berger	71.55
Jackson Suber	71.62
Austin Smotherman	71.63
Tom Kim	71.78
Max McGreevy	71.83
Haotong Li	71.94
Zecheng Dou	71.95
Luke Clanton	71.95

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above

Course fit	Player
Christo Lamprecht	74.6
Jimmy Stanger	74.4
Alejandro Tosti	74.0
Chandler Phillips	73.9
Peter Malnati	73.8
Takumi Kanaya	73.7
Vince Whaley	73.6
Justin Lower	73.6

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2026 and Cromwell CT, the event host city.

Player	Home	Miles
Adam Schenk	Vincennes IN	250
Justin Lower	Uniontown OH	475
Tom Hoge	Fargo ND	475
Lee Hodges	Athens AL	500
Christo Lamprecht	Stillwater OK	525
Peter Malnati	Knoxville TN	525
Stephan Jaeger	Chattanooga TN	525
Max McGreevy	Edmond OK	550
Austin Eckroat	Edmond OK	550
Zach Bauchou	Edmond OK	550
Chris Gotterup	Edmond OK	550

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.373
I love this place	-0.183
Ooh, that’s hot	-0.117
Location, location, location	0.001

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