Greenbrier Classic

July 3, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,

Bill Haas
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Bill Haas 24.3 37
2 Kevin Kisner 29.6 103
3 Webb Simpson 32.6 14
4 Phil Mickelson 32.9 20
5 David Lingmerth 33.6 64
6 Charles Howell 34.7 45
7 Patrick Reed 36.8 20
8 Danny Lee 44.7 9
9 Sean O’Hair 45.2 103
10 JB Holmes 45.9 9
11 Tony Finau 46.9 7
12 Stewart Cink 47.6 58
13 Bubba Watson 48.1 70
14 Keegan Bradley 48.6 50
15 Russell Henley 48.7 5
16 Kevin Streelman 50.2 29
17 Graham DeLaet 51.1 20
18 Gary Woodland 51.4 57
19 David Hearn 51.5 14
20 James Hahn 52.1 20
21 Jamie Lovemark 52.9 3
22 Jimmy Walker 53.0 18
23 Si-woo Kim 53.2 88
24 Chad Campbell 56.7 9
25 Joel Dahmen 57.2 88
26 Jonas Blixt 57.8 88
27 Xander Schauffele 57.9 1
28 Jason Kokrak 58.2 140
29 Jim Herman 59.2 103
30 Sung Kang 59.6 103
31 Scott Brown 59.6 103
32 Johnson Wagner 60.0 118
33 Nick Watney 60.2 37
34 Cameron Tringale 60.7 88
35 Morgan Hoffmann 60.7 88
36 Ted Potter 61.3 37
37 Harris English 61.5 29
38 Scott Stallings 61.7 58
39 Mackenzie Hughes 61.9 20
40 Ollie Schniederjans 61.9 DQ
41 Robert Streb 63.5 2
42 Trey Mullinax 63.6 50
43 Ricky Barnes 63.9 103
44 Ben Martin 64.0 37
45 Luke List 64.1 75
46 Bryce Molder 64.1 127
47 Hudson Swafford 64.1 58
48 Grayson Murray 64.3 156
49 Matt Jones 64.4 64
50 Nick Taylor 64.4 9
51 Patrick Rodgers 64.4 70
52 Braden Thornberry 64.5 146
53 Billy Hurley 64.5 88
54 Chris Kirk 65.1 75
55 JJ Spaun 65.5 29
56 Seung-yul Noh 65.7 75
57 Michael Kim 65.7 29
58 Luke Donald 66.1 127
59 JT Poston 66.1 127
60 Smylie Kaufman 66.3 37
61 Blayne Barber 66.7 88
62 Geoff Ogilvy 66.8 58
63 Kelly Kraft 66.8 5
64 Will Wilcox 66.9 118
65 Vaughn Taylor 67.0 75
66 Robert Garrigus 67.1 45
67 Brian Gay 67.1 72
68 John Huh 67.2 45
69 Harold Varner 67.3 29
70 Spencer Levin 67.7 88
71 Dominic Bozzelli 67.8 88
72 CT Pan 67.8 68
73 Tyrone van Aswegen 67.8 73
74 Bryson DeChambeau 67.9 14
75 Jason Bohn 68.0 146
76 Chris Stroud 68.2 20
77 Whee Kim 68.3 118
78 Kyle Reifers 68.4 103
79 Boo Weekley 68.5 103
80 Zac Blair 68.5 73
81 Steven Bowditch 68.5 103
82 Sam Saunders 68.6 118
83 Roberto Castro 68.6 20
84 Seamus Power 68.6 50
85 Bill Lunde 68.7 144
86 Troy Merritt 68.7 88
87 Tim Wilkinson 68.7 88
88 Alex Cejka 68.8 9
89 DA Points 68.9 75
90 Angel Cabrera 68.9 127
91 Vijay Singh 69.1 127
92 Patton Kizzire 69.2 75
93 Ben Crane 69.2 75
94 Greg Owen 69.3 103
95 Brandon Hagy 69.7 18
96 Derek Fathauer 69.7 127
97 Martin Flores 69.8 50
98 Cameron Percy 69.8 127
99 Julian Etulain 69.9 68
100 Jonathan Randolph 70.0 20
101 Andres Gonzales 70.0 127
102 Shawn Stefani 70.2 37
103 Ryan Blaum 70.3 7
104 Jonathan Byrd 70.4 58
105 Michael Putnam 70.5 88
106 KJ Choi 70.5 118
107 Will MacKenzie 70.7 DNP
108 Chad Collins 70.7 88
109 JJ Henry 70.8 45
110 Stuart Appleby 70.9 148
111 Steve Wheatcroft 70.9 127
112 Brendon de Jonge 70.9 75
113 Davis Love 70.9 29
114 Davis Love 70.9 29
115 Tag Ridings 71.0 103
116 Camilo Villegas 71.2 50
117 Andres Romero 71.2 DNP
118 Andrew Loupe 71.2 75
119 Brett Stegmaier 71.7 50
120 Tom Hoge 71.9 127
121 Ryan Brehm 72.0 37
122 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 72.4 75
123 Ken Duke 72.5 103
124 Charlie Beljan 72.6 150
125 Mark Anderson 72.9 50
126 YE Yang 73.2 127
127 Carl Pettersson 73.2 140
128 Richy Werenski 73.2 118
129 Rick Lamb 73.2 118
130 Ryan Armour 73.3 75
131 Brett Drewitt 73.3 118
132 Bob Estes 73.3 DNP
133 Rory Sabbatini 73.6 14
134 Tyler Aldridge 73.7 88
135 Mark Hubbard 73.7 58
136 Hunter Mahan 73.9 37
137 Matt Every 74.4 127
138 Mark Wilson 74.4 DNP
139 Nicholas Lindheim 74.4 WD
140 Peter Malnati 74.5 29
141 Brian Campbell 74.5 45
142 Greg Chalmers 74.6 103
143 Sebastian Munoz 75.0 3
144 Steven Alker 75.0 WD
145 Miguel Angel Carballo 75.4 140
146 Dicky Pride 75.4 DNP
147 Brad Fritsch 75.4 140
148 Bobby Wyatt 75.5 88
149 Zack Sucher 76.1 DNP
150 John Merrick 80.3 DNP
151 Shane Bertsch 81.8 103
152 John Daly 83.8 144
153 Tommy Gainey 84.3 64
154 Max Homa 84.6 75
155 Nicholas Thompson 85.0 DNP
156 Christian Brand 85.4 103
157 Alan Cooke 85.4 151
158 Joaquin Niemann 85.4 29
159 Kevin Shields 85.4 WD
160 Bobby Gates 85.6 127
161 Sung-joon Park 86.1 DNP
Curtis Luck late entry 24
Dan Obremski late entry 67
Dru Love late entry 123
Clayton Portz late entry 149
Ryan Zylstra late entry 152
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 30. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Dubai Duty Free Irish Open Hosted by the Rory Foundation

July 3, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy 4.8 118
2 Hideki Matsuyama 10.3 14
3 Jon Rahm 12.9 1
4 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 13.6 81
5 Justin Rose 26.1 4
6 Tyrrell Hatton 29.8 118
7 Shane Lowry 33.8 20
8 Tommy Fleetwood 41.2 10
9 Danny Willett 42.0 WD
10 Thomas Pieters 44.9 129
11 Andy Sullivan 46.0 20
12 Soren Kjeldsen 46.6 62
13 Lee Westwood 46.8 143
14 Matthew Fitzpatrick 48.0 54
15 Hideto Tanihara 50.3 10
16 Graeme McDowell 51.3 81
17 Pablo Larrazabal 53.0 66
18 Eddie Pepperell 54.1 DNP
19 Ian Poulter 55.9 42
20 Hao-tong Li 55.9 36
21 Peter Uihlein 56.6 14
22 Alexander Bjork 56.8 105
23 Chris Wood 57.0 DNP
24 Jamie Donaldson 58.4 WD
25 Thorbjorn Olesen 59.7 48
26 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 60.4 143
27 Padraig Harrington 60.7 42
28 Joost Luiten 61.4 54
29 Gregory Bourdy 61.5 30
30 Bradley Dredge 61.9 13
31 Andrew Johnston 62.3 118
32 Victor Dubuisson 63.2 81
33 Thongchai Jaidee 63.5 66
34 Nicolas Colsaerts 63.6 143
35 Maximilian Kieffer 64.0 81
36 Richard Bland 64.7 66
37 Jaco van Zyl 65.0 WD
38 Rikard Karlberg 65.7 54
39 Jorge Campillo 67.1 94
40 Alejandro Canizares 67.6 66
41 Richard Sterne 67.9 66
42 George Coetzee 68.1 129
43 Paul Dunne 68.9 54
44 Fabrizio Zanotti 69.1 30
45 Peter Hanson 69.4 14
46 Alexander Levy 69.6 94
47 Jordan Smith 69.7 20
48 Ryan Fox 69.8 4
49 Scott Hend 70.3 20
50 Thomas Aiken 70.6 105
51 David Horsey 70.6 48
52 Dean Burmester 70.8 58
53 Renato Paratore 71.0 81
54 Dylan Frittelli 71.0 81
55 Graeme Storm 71.0 118
56 Jeunghun Wang 71.3 143
57 David Lipsky 71.6 81
58 Romain Wattel 71.8 118
59 Kristoffer Broberg 71.9 135
60 Marc Warren 72.1 105
61 Benjamin Hebert 72.2 8
62 James Morrison 72.6 105
63 Brandon Stone 72.7 81
64 Paul Waring 72.9 66
65 Richie Ramsay 72.9 2
66 Joakim Lagergren 73.3 94
67 Romain Langasque 73.6 58
68 Raphael Jacquelin 73.6 94
69 Niclas Fasth 73.7 129
70 Mikko Ilonen 73.9 118
71 Andres Romero 74.0 42
72 Thomas Detry 74.1 48
73 Scott Jamieson 74.4 14
74 Marcel Siem 74.5 66
75 Julien Quesne 74.5 8
76 Nacho Elvira 74.7 105
77 Anthony Wall 74.7 20
78 Florian Fritsch 74.8 94
79 Brett Rumford 75.1 139
80 Andrew Dodt 75.1 20
81 Stephen Gallacher 75.1 36
82 Ashun Wu 75.2 94
83 Gregory Havret 75.5 139
84 David Drysdale 75.6 4
85 Ricardo Gouveia 75.8 66
86 Johan Carlsson 75.9 118
87 Magnus A Carlsson 75.9 105
88 Nino Bertasio 75.9 135
89 Lucas Bjerregaard 76.0 94
90 Adrian Otaegui 76.0 20
91 Oliver Fisher 76.0 10
92 Matteo Manassero 76.0 48
93 Darren Fichardt 76.1 143
94 Hennie Otto 76.3 81
95 Ashley Chesters 76.3 20
96 Felipe Aguilar 76.4 48
97 Miguel Angel Jimenez 76.5 42
98 Lasse Jensen 76.6 81
99 Marcus Fraser 76.9 36
100 Nathan Kimsey 77.0 58
101 SSP Chawrasia 77.3 129
102 Matthew Southgate 77.3 2
103 Robert Rock 77.4 105
104 Matthieu Pavon 77.8 42
105 Chris Hanson 77.8 36
106 Pep Angles 77.9 139
107 Max Orrin 78.0 DNP
108 Eduardo de la Riva 78.0 42
109 Jason Scrivener 78.0 135
110 Gary Stal 78.1 66
111 David Howell 78.2 105
112 Haydn Porteous 78.2 36
113 Justin Walters 78.4 129
114 Chris Paisley 78.5 94
115 Michael Hoey 78.6 30
116 Callum Shinkwin 78.6 30
117 Lee Slattery 78.8 30
118 Alvaro Quiros 78.8 143
119 Darren Clarke 79.3 152
120 Robert Karlsson 79.4 30
121 Jens Fahrbring 79.6 81
122 Tom Lewis 79.7 DNP
123 Bernd Ritthammer 79.8 105
124 Joel Stalter 79.8 66
125 Sebastian Heisele 79.9 135
126 Daniel Im 80.0 4
127 Paul Lawrie 80.1 81
128 Richard McEvoy 80.1 DNP
129 Sebastian Soderberg 80.1 DNP
130 Sam Brazel 80.3 62
131 Soo-min Lee 80.4 58
132 Matt Wallace 80.4 105
133 Wade Ormsby 80.5 14
134 Jeff Winther 80.6 DNP
135 Paul Peterson 80.8 48
136 Daniel Brooks 80.8 66
137 Thomas Bjorn 81.0 81
138 Jose-Filipe Lima 81.1 151
139 Simon Khan 81.3 94
140 Sebastien Gros 82.0 154
141 Stuart Manley 82.1 66
142 Duncan Stewart 82.1 20
143 Mark Foster 82.2 94
144 Marcus Armitage 82.2 36
145 Shih-chang Chan 82.3 143
146 Laurie Canter 82.3 DNP
147 Edoardo Molinari 82.4 118
148 Alexander Knappe 82.8 66
149 Sam Walker 82.8 20
150 Damien McGrane 83.3 118
151 Richard Finch 84.4 94
152 Damien Perrier 84.4 66
153 Simon Thornton 84.5 118
154 Trevor Immelman 84.8 143
155 Jose Maria Olazabal 84.8 105
156 Gavin Moynihan 85.0 14
157 Paul McGinley 85.2 152
158 Dermot McElroy 85.4 105
159 Colm Moriarty 85.4 139
160 Neil O’Briain 85.4 105
161 Richard Kilpatrick 85.4 129
162 David Higgins 85.9 66
163 Simon Dyson 86.5 64
Gary Hurley late entry 127
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 227. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (July 2, 2017)

July 3, 2017 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson remains no. 1 for the 16th week in a row.
# Thru July 2, 2017 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 46 1860 1
2 Rory McIlroy 39 1650 2
3 Jordan Spieth 51 1527 3
4 Adam Scott 43 1472 4
5 Jason Day 41 1441 5
6 Rickie Fowler 54 1420 7
7 Jon Rahm 27 1388 6
8 Paul Casey 49 1381 8
9 Hideki Matsuyama 48 1378 9
10 Sergio Garcia 41 1361 10
11 Matt Kuchar 60 1295 11
12 Justin Rose 47 1288 12
13 Phil Mickelson 46 1287 13
14 Brooks Koepka 53 1235 14
15 Henrik Stenson 48 1147 15
16 Louis Oosthuizen 48 1118 17
17 Francesco Molinari 47 1109 16
18 Patrick Reed 67 1100 18
19 Bill Haas 52 1070 22
20 Brandt Snedeker 56 1068 20
21 Kevin Kisner 55 1067 21
22 Justin Thomas 54 1055 19
23 Charles Howell 50 1050 26
24 Jason Dufner 50 1017 24
25 Brendan Steele 50 1009 23
26 Charl Schwartzel 48 1006 25
27 Daniel Berger 54 989 27
28 Marc Leishman 52 982 29
29 Charley Hoffman 57 936 30
30 Steve Stricker 30 930 32
31 Branden Grace 53 927 31
32 Ryan Moore 47 919 33
33 Tyrrell Hatton 50 918 28
34 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 58 913 34
35 Pat Perez 37 904 35
36 Gary Woodland 51 889 37
37 Webb Simpson 48 886 38
38 Brian Harman 61 878 39
39 JB Holmes 53 866 36
40 Bubba Watson 46 865 40
41 Kevin Na 52 852 42
42 Emiliano Grillo 57 841 44
43 Kevin Chappell 54 827 41
44 Billy Horschel 51 825 46
45 Tony Finau 55 816 45
46 Jimmy Walker 54 814 43
47 Alex Noren 40 788 51
48 Martin Kaymer 53 780 47
49 Russell Henley 50 771 48
50 Ryan Palmer 47 770 50
51 Kyle Stanley 56 769 58
52 Bernd Wiesberger 58 769 49
53 Thomas Pieters 49 757 55
54 William McGirt 55 753 53
55 Zach Johnson 53 743 54
56 Adam Hadwin 54 730 52
57 Byeong Hun An 56 724 56
58 Lucas Glover 50 695 60
59 David Lingmerth 60 693 69
60 Ross Fisher 49 692 66
61 Shane Lowry 49 688 57
62 Martin Laird 50 688 77
63 Graham DeLaet 44 683 59
64 Lee Westwood 46 680 68
65 Tommy Fleetwood 56 679 74
66 Bud Cauley 40 673 61
67 Kevin Streelman 53 672 71
68 Jamie Lovemark 53 670 63
69 Sean O’Hair 54 666 65
70 Si-woo Kim 58 665 62
71 Stewart Cink 48 660 67
72 Russell Knox 61 655 64
73 Keegan Bradley 55 655 83
74 Jim Furyk 36 636 73
75 Graeme McDowell 58 632 70
76 Jhonattan Vegas 59 630 72
77 Nick Watney 29 628 91
78 Scott Piercy 57 624 79
79 Danny Lee 68 623 80
80 Soren Kjeldsen 60 617 75
81 Matthew Fitzpatrick 59 613 76
82 Chez Reavie 55 608 81
83 Jason Kokrak 55 603 86
84 Sung Kang 59 602 97
85 Kevin Tway 29 598 78
86 Andy Sullivan 56 592 90
87 Wesley Bryan 27 585 82
88 Daniel Summerhays 58 574 96
89 Anirban Lahiri 55 573 89
90 Sangmoon Bae 8 572 98
91 Colt Knost 37 569 94
92 Chris Kirk 54 567 87
93 Jim Herman 54 559 88
94 James Hahn 53 556 92
95 Hideto Tanihara 16 555 84
96 Chad Campbell 57 555 95
97 Mackenzie Hughes 27 549 85
98 Ollie Schniederjans 38 543 93
99 Scott Brown 53 542 100
100 Harris English 60 532 103
101 Luke List 55 530 99
102 Ian Poulter 47 519 101
103 Xander Schauffele 25 509 105
104 Oscar Fraustro 11 507 113
105 Danny Willett 49 505 102
106 Smylie Kaufman 55 501 104
107 Hudson Swafford 58 498 106
108 Luke Donald 53 489 109
109 Jonas Blixt 53 485 107
110 David Hearn 61 484 108
111 Joost Luiten 52 483 111
112 Cameron Smith 53 476 110
113 Jerry Kelly 37 475 112
114 Nick Taylor 55 454 118
115 Aaron Baddeley 55 451 114
116 Peter Uihlein 43 443 143
117 Billy Hurley 50 442 116
118 JJ Spaun 28 438 115
119 Chris Wood 56 437 117
120 Patrick Rodgers 55 436 125
121 Robert Garrigus 51 434 123
122 Ben Martin 56 422 147
123 John Huh 56 421 119
124 Aaron Wise 8 420 126
125 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 55 420 121
126 Robert Streb 58 417 122
127 Alexander Bjork 17 413 192
128 Michael Kim 53 407 132
129 Victor Dubuisson 35 405 120
130 Hao-tong Li 12 405 205
131 Haotong Li 28 402 133
132 Cameron Tringale 55 401 127
133 Grayson Murray 24 401 124
134 Morgan Hoffmann 56 400 128
135 Pablo Larrazabal 50 399 144
136 Matt Jones 51 397 134
137 Patton Kizzire 53 397 129
138 Johnson Wagner 54 396 168
139 Padraig Harrington 47 395 136
140 Harold Varner 58 394 131
141 Seung-yul Noh 56 393 130
142 JT Poston 25 388 137
143 Thorbjorn Olesen 55 387 166
144 Roberto Castro 56 385 135
145 Freddie Jacobson 35 383 141
146 Alex Cejka 57 379 138
147 Vaughn Taylor 52 374 140
148 Bryce Molder 55 373 139
149 Thongchai Jaidee 55 369 142
150 Geoff Ogilvy 47 363 185
151 Andrew Johnston 49 363 157
152 Blayne Barber 51 363 145
153 Kyle Reifers 68 362 146
154 Retief Goosen 39 360 149
155 Ricky Barnes 63 360 171
156 Brian Gay 34 357 148
157 Joel Dahmen 14 356 150
158 Jon Curran 47 354 153
159 John Senden 53 353 155
160 Kelly Kraft 50 351 152
161 Scott Stallings 50 347 158
162 Trey Mullinax 31 346 154
163 Jordan L Smith 13 342 164
164 David Toms 27 338 167
165 Jorge Campillo 52 338 160
166 Richard Bland 52 337 159
167 Will Wilcox 38 337 163
168 Fabrizio Zanotti 46 334 161
169 Jamie Donaldson 47 333 174
170 Dominic Bozzelli 24 333 151
171 Meen-whee Kim 16 332 173
172 Bradley Dredge 44 332 182
173 Sam Saunders 52 332 165
174 Fabian Gomez 56 331 162
175 Julian Etulain 23 330 156
176 Brian Stuard 55 329 176
177 Michael Thompson 57 328 169
178 Nicolas Colsaerts 57 327 172
179 Spencer Levin 65 323 216
180 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 42 323 221
181 Tyrone van Aswegen 65 322 191
182 Kyung-tae Kim 18 321 181
183 Tim Clark 13 317 194
184 Zac Blair 67 316 193
185 Peter Hanson 35 316 170
186 George Coetzee 50 316 177
187 Tim Wilkinson 53 315 180
188 Jaco van Zyl 48 314 179
189 CT Pan 34 314 178
190 Curtis Luck 15 314 335
191 Yuta Ikeda 14 314 189
192 Derek Fathauer 60 313 183
193 Boo Weekley 56 311 184
194 Brandon Hagy 25 311 175
195 Troy Merritt 59 309 186
196 Alexander Levy 48 305 187
197 Gregory Bourdy 56 305 188
198 Justin Leonard 18 303 196
199 Vijay Singh 45 301 197
200 KJ Choi 47 299 190
201 Bronson Burgoon 32 298 199
202 Rob Oppenheim 33 298 198
203 Andrew Loupe 52 294 206
204 Lee McCoy 11 293 203
205 Henrik Norlander 34 293 202
206 Whee Kim 44 291 195
207 Rikard Karlberg 47 287 204
208 Richard Sterne 34 286 200
209 Ben Crane 53 283 214
210 Bryson DeChambeau 46 280 231
211 Chris Stroud 51 280 201
212 Jonathan Randolph 30 280 223
213 David Horsey 49 279 215
214 Ryan Blaum 31 277 209
215 Cameron Percy 44 277 213
216 David Lipsky 58 277 207
217 Camilo Villegas 59 275 208
218 Thomas Aiken 57 274 222
219 Seamus Power 26 273 219
220 Jeunghun Wang 45 273 211
221 Scott Hend 58 272 218
222 Paul Dunne 44 272 238
223 Alejandro Canizares 48 268 212
224 Dean Burmester 27 267 210
225 Andres Gonzales 56 263 220
226 DA Points 47 260 217
227 Jason Gore 43 258 267
228 Bill Lunde 13 252 228
229 Robby Shelton 11 248 226
230 Steve Wheatcroft 47 244 233
231 Joakim Lagergren 49 243 227
232 James Morrison 54 243 224
233 Benjamin Hebert 52 243 225
234 John Peterson 24 243 235
235 Brett Coletta 8 242 234
236 Martin Piller 30 241 237
237 Will MacKenzie 46 241 239
238 Brett Stegmaier 55 240 230
239 Tom Hoge 50 238 236
240 Dylan Frittelli 27 238 229
241 Tag Ridings 21 236 240
242 Mikko Ilonen 45 236 232
243 Shawn Stefani 55 224 243
244 Eddie Pepperell 44 224 259
245 Maximilian Kieffer 50 222 268
246 Martin Flores 35 221 242
247 Graeme Storm 54 220 246
248 Brandon Stone 37 219 241
249 Renato Paratore 59 219 244
250 Chad Collins 51 216 247
251 Julien Quesne 48 215 245
252 Nacho Elvira 49 213 249
253 Luke Guthrie 31 213 250
254 Ryo Ishikawa 31 213 251
255 Paul Waring 18 212 320
256 Andrew Landry 24 212 256
257 Angel Cabrera 36 212 255
258 Scott Langley 38 212 252
259 Hiroshi Iwata 45 210 254
260 Wes Roach 27 208 258
261 Chesson Hadley 42 207 262
262 Yusaku Miyazato 8 207 261
263 Ashun Wu 32 205 248
264 Florian Fritsch 29 204 257
265 Ryan Fox 33 203 343
266 Mikko Korhonen 45 200 266
267 JJ Henry 57 197 260
268 Andres Romero 29 195 253
269 Anders Hansen 16 193 276
270 Stephen Gallacher 44 193 263
271 Romain Langasque 23 192 265
272 Ken Duke 47 191 271
273 Ricardo Gouveia 45 190 279
274 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 31 189 270
275 Greg Owen 49 187 264
276 Michael Putnam 24 187 277
277 Richie Ramsay 46 186 269
278 Anthony Wall 43 186 275
279 Tyler Aldridge 44 186 282
280 Matteo Manassero 49 184 273
281 Raphael Jacquelin 52 183 272
282 David Drysdale 58 183 309
283 Cody Gribble 28 182 274
284 Lucas Bjerregaard 58 181 278
285 Rod Pampling 50 180 281
286 Ernie Els 53 179 285
287 Richy Werenski 23 178 286
288 Stuart Appleby 41 177 291
289 Trevor Fisher 40 177 280
290 Jonathan Byrd 22 174 288
291 Mark Anderson 17 174 292
292 Ryan Brehm 22 172 283
293 Matthew Southgate 45 171 290
294 YE Yang 33 171 296
295 Thomas Detry 18 170 284
296 Romain Wattel 52 170 293
297 Marcus Fraser 49 169 287
298 Austin Connelly 11 169 297
299 Scott Jamieson 53 169 295
300 Johan Carlsson 51 168 294
301 Miguel Angel Jimenez 27 167 299
302 Lasse Jensen 49 167 311
303 Brice Garnett 30 166 298
304 Kristoffer Broberg 43 166 351
305 Mark Hubbard 61 165 300
306 Steve Marino 42 165 301
307 Prayad Marksaeng 9 163 303
308 Jason Bohn 49 163 289
309 Shubhankar Sharma 9 161 304
310 Adrien Saddier 13 160 535
311 Jeff Overton 32 160 305
312 Rashid Khan 15 158 306
313 Robert Rock 46 158 326
314 Darren Fichardt 43 157 302
315 Nino Bertasio 43 154 308
316 Brett Drewitt 17 153 315
317 Marcel Siem 51 153 340
318 Michael Hendry 8 153 317
319 Chris Hanson 37 153 312
320 Magnus A Carlsson 47 151 307
321 Chris Paisley 55 151 313
322 Gregory Havret 54 149 350
323 Mark Wilson 43 149 319
324 Scott Pinckney 38 148 322
325 Jordan Niebrugge 10 147 310
326 Marc Warren 53 145 316
327 Callum Shinkwin 34 144 318
328 Tim Herron 27 144 331
329 Rick Lamb 16 144 332
330 Adrian Otaegui 52 144 415
331 Ashley Hall 8 144 329
332 Jason Scrivener 49 143 339
333 Ryan Armour 27 142 333
334 Peter Malnati 61 142 341
335 Rory Sabbatini 47 141 328
336 Andrew Dodt 45 140 327
337 David Howell 46 139 324
338 Nicholas Lindheim 22 139 338
339 Carlos Ortiz 41 139 337
340 Brett Rumford 38 137 330
341 Justin Hicks 21 136 342
342 Ryan Ruffels 17 135 323
343 Jbe Kruger 40 135 336
344 Ashley Chesters 15 135 321
345 Austin Cook 13 134 325
346 Felipe Aguilar 48 134 348
347 Prom Meesawat 41 133 346
348 Thanyakorn Khrongpha 11 131 356
349 Steve Allan 8 131 353
350 Hunter Stewart 8 131 345
351 Alex Prugh 25 130 355
352 Phachara Khongwatmai 18 130 334
353 Oliver Fisher 54 129 354
354 Brendon de Jonge 50 129 352
355 Pep Angles 18 128 358
356 Justin Walters 48 128 347
357 George McNeill 40 127 357
358 Hennie Otto 27 126 344
359 Lee Slattery 55 126 349
360 Jake Higginbottom 9 124 367
361 Eduardo de la Riva 46 124 359
362 Erik Compton 34 123 361
363 Matthew Griffin 8 123 364
364 Greg Chalmers 46 123 360
365 Hunter Mahan 51 122 362
366 Adilson da Silva 27 122 366
367 Nathan Kimsey 15 122 389
368 S Chikarangappa 10 120 371
369 Shiv Kapur 35 120 369
370 Panuphol Pittayarat 17 119 373
371 Dawie van der Walt 36 119 372
372 Jacques Blaauw 13 118 374
373 Robert Karlsson 42 118 363
374 Andrew Putnam 11 117 381
375 Haydn Porteous 45 117 396
376 Brian Campbell 18 117 375
377 Carlos Pigem 33 117 365
378 Josh Teater 10 116 376
379 Rahil Gangjee 19 116 379
380 Steven Alker 31 115 377
381 Christofer Blomstrand 8 114 378
382 Angelo Que 13 114 380
383 Matthieu Pavon 18 112 370
384 David Bransdon 8 112 383
385 Richard Lee 18 109 393
386 Masahiro Kawamura 17 109 390
387 Paul Lawrie 34 109 385
388 SSP Chawrasia 46 108 391
389 Max Orrin 17 108 394
390 Sebastian Munoz 14 107 392
391 Nick Cullen 18 107 395
392 Abraham Ancer 27 107 401
393 Richard Green 40 107 388
394 Rhein Gibson 32 107 397
395 Sam Brazel 31 106 382
396 Daniel Im 41 105 386
397 Bobby Wyatt 24 105 403
398 Bernd Ritthammer 29 105 384
399 Pelle Edberg 50 105 400
400 Craig Lee 39 104 404
More | Less

Quicken Loans National

June 26, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,

Rickie Fowler
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rickie Fowler 0.4 3
2 Bill Haas 0.6 13
3 Patrick Reed 8.4 17
4 Brendan Steele 13.1 94
5 Justin Thomas 18.2 75
6 Kevin Chappell 27.5 102
7 Marc Leishman 28.9 5
8 Charles Howell 30.8 2
9 Jimmy Walker 34.4 83
10 Si-woo Kim 34.5 109
11 David Lingmerth 34.5 5
12 Kevin Streelman 36.2 17
13 Tony Finau 37.6 29
14 Gary Woodland 38.6 DNP
15 JB Holmes 38.7 68
16 Billy Horschel 40.1 26
17 Danny Lee 40.9 22
18 Xander Schauffele 42.9 35
19 James Hahn 43.1 46
20 Mackenzie Hughes 43.4 51
21 Graham DeLaet 43.5 83
22 Kevin Na 44.4 22
23 Russell Henley 45.2 46
24 Bud Cauley 45.3 94
25 Byeong Hun An 46.2 29
26 Kyle Stanley 47.1 1
27 Jason Kokrak 48.0 26
28 Kevin Tway 48.0 55
29 Daniel Summerhays 49.6 17
30 David Hearn 49.7 73
31 Grayson Murray 50.8 74
32 Harris English 51.7 22
33 Adam Hadwin 52.1 75
34 Jim Herman 52.4 102
35 Chris Kirk 52.5 94
36 Lucas Glover 52.8 43
37 Jonas Blixt 53.6 109
38 Cameron Tringale 54.1 116
39 Morgan Hoffmann 54.5 75
40 Keegan Bradley 54.7 5
41 Jhonattan Vegas 54.8 94
42 Wesley Bryan 54.9 46
43 Martin Laird 55.0 3
44 Smylie Kaufman 55.2 104
45 Ollie Schniederjans 55.4 63
46 Ricky Barnes 56.0 17
47 Billy Hurley 56.4 63
48 Aaron Baddeley 56.4 90
49 Hudson Swafford 57.0 51
50 Joel Dahmen 57.3 DNP
51 Sung Kang 57.5 5
52 John Huh 57.9 106
53 Nick Watney 58.1 13
54 Luke List 58.6 90
55 Trey Mullinax 59.1 46
56 Nick Taylor 59.1 29
57 Robert Garrigus 60.2 29
58 Robert Streb 60.4 55
59 Julian Etulain 61.3 104
60 Ben Martin 61.8 5
61 Dominic Bozzelli 62.0 106
62 JJ Spaun 62.7 106
63 Bryce Molder 63.2 109
64 Boo Weekley 63.2 WD
65 Harold Varner 63.3 65
66 Patrick Rodgers 63.3 22
67 Patton Kizzire 63.7 114
68 Blayne Barber 63.8 83
69 Matt Jones 64.0 38
70 Kyle Reifers 64.1 51
71 Roberto Castro 64.3 114
72 Vaughn Taylor 64.4 61
73 CT Pan 64.4 83
74 Seung-yul Noh 64.5 83
75 Scott Stallings 64.7 38
76 Fabian Gomez 64.9 WD
77 Michael Kim 65.6 35
78 Brian Gay 65.8 43
79 Alex Cejka 65.9 90
80 JT Poston 65.9 DNP
81 Kelly Kraft 66.2 43
82 Sam Saunders 66.7 61
83 Whee Kim 67.4 WD
84 Derek Fathauer 67.4 68
85 Troy Merritt 67.7 94
86 Brandon Hagy 67.8 68
87 Tyrone van Aswegen 68.5 26
88 Michael Thompson 68.7 WD
89 Johnson Wagner 68.8 5
90 Ben Crane 69.0 38
91 Tim Wilkinson 69.1 72
92 KJ Choi 69.3 94
93 Bill Lunde 69.8 DNP
94 Andrew Loupe 69.8 35
95 Chris Stroud 69.9 112
96 Spencer Levin 70.0 5
97 Seamus Power 70.3 38
98 Zac Blair 70.4 29
99 Geoff Ogilvy 70.6 13
100 Camilo Villegas 70.7 83
101 Ryan Blaum 70.9 55
102 Bryson DeChambeau 71.3 17
103 Jonathan Randolph 71.3 29
104 Brett Stegmaier 71.4 65
105 Ryan Brehm 71.6 94
106 Cameron Percy 71.9 46
107 DA Points 72.3 65
108 John Peterson 72.6 DNP
109 Tag Ridings 72.8 DNP
110 Chad Collins 73.2 DNP
111 JJ Henry 73.7 68
112 Shawn Stefani 73.7 55
113 Andres Gonzales 73.8 DNP
114 Martin Flores 74.3 55
115 Jason Bohn 74.4 75
116 Richy Werenski 75.1 DNP
117 Greg Owen 75.2 75
118 Jason Gore 75.3 13
119 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 75.3 DNP
120 Curtis Luck 75.9 5
121 Cody Gribble 76.0 90
122 Ryan Ruffels 76.2 112
123 Rod Pampling 77.0 75
124 Matt Every 78.3 94
125 Peter Malnati 78.4 38
126 Greg Chalmers 79.2 75
127 Arjun Atwal 82.3 55
128 Gavin Kyle Green 85.0 75
129 Wyndham Clark 85.4 51
130 Sam Horsfield 85.4 83
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 206. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

HNA Open de France

June 26, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,
Francesco Molinari
Francesco Molinari
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Francesco Molinari 26.2 38
2 Jon Rahm 35.5 10
3 Graeme McDowell 38.6 83
4 Alex Noren 43.9 10
5 Bernd Wiesberger 44.3 27
6 Martin Kaymer 45.6 57
7 Tyrrell Hatton 45.7 73
8 Shane Lowry 50.4 139
9 Ross Fisher 51.2 7
10 Thomas Pieters 51.3 13
11 Tommy Fleetwood 52.0 1
12 Matthew Fitzpatrick 52.1 126
13 Lee Westwood 54.0 10
14 Ian Poulter 55.2 45
15 Thongchai Jaidee 55.7 62
16 Soren Kjeldsen 57.1 95
17 Joost Luiten 58.8 32
18 Andy Sullivan 59.9 13
19 Hideto Tanihara 60.8 143
20 Jorge Campillo 62.8 83
21 Russell Knox 62.9 95
22 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 63.7 DQ
23 Alexander Bjork 63.7 3
24 Victor Dubuisson 63.9 126
25 Chris Wood 63.9 WD
26 Nicolas Colsaerts 64.0 55
27 Pablo Larrazabal 64.0 16
28 Jamie Donaldson 64.6 32
29 Peter Uihlein 64.7 2
30 Hao-tong Li 64.8 7
31 Jaco van Zyl 65.8 83
32 Danny Willett 66.0 83
33 George Coetzee 66.7 135
34 Peter Hanson 66.8 106
35 Thorbjorn Olesen 66.9 3
36 Andrew Johnston 67.0 23
37 Fabrizio Zanotti 67.0 55
38 Richard Sterne 67.0 50
39 David Lipsky 67.4 141
40 Bradley Dredge 67.7 27
41 Graeme Storm 67.9 38
42 Richard Bland 68.1 83
43 Alexander Levy 68.1 57
44 Gregory Bourdy 68.1 57
45 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 68.5 3
46 Renato Paratore 68.5 106
47 Dean Burmester 68.6 126
48 James Morrison 68.6 126
49 Alejandro Canizares 69.2 73
50 Brandon Stone 69.4 95
51 Rikard Karlberg 69.6 45
52 Dylan Frittelli 69.6 106
53 Stephen Gallacher 69.7 106
54 Eddie Pepperell 69.7 23
55 Jeunghun Wang 69.8 WD
56 Joakim Lagergren 69.9 57
57 Thomas Aiken 70.0 23
58 Scott Jamieson 70.4 117
59 Paul Dunne 70.4 13
60 Marcel Siem 70.5 27
61 Mikko Korhonen 70.6 38
62 Scott Hend 70.6 32
63 Benjamin Hebert 70.7 142
64 Nacho Elvira 70.9 50
65 Mikko Ilonen 71.0 106
66 Anthony Wall 71.1 DNP
67 Matteo Manassero 71.2 117
68 Ashun Wu 71.3 95
69 Florian Fritsch 71.6 45
70 Raphael Jacquelin 71.6 83
71 Richie Ramsay 71.6 106
72 Julien Quesne 71.7 62
73 Maximilian Kieffer 71.9 16
74 Nino Bertasio 72.2 62
75 Eduardo de la Riva 72.4 106
76 Darren Fichardt 72.4 95
77 Ryan Fox 72.4 6
78 Marc Warren 72.5 149
79 Andrew Dodt 72.5 73
80 Magnus A Carlsson 72.7 135
81 Jbe Kruger 72.8 106
82 Trevor Fisher 72.8 65
83 Kristoffer Broberg 72.9 16
84 Mark Foster 73.0 126
85 Lucas Bjerregaard 73.0 73
86 Hennie Otto 73.0 83
87 Andres Romero 73.0 152
88 David Howell 73.1 95
89 Felipe Aguilar 73.2 45
90 Romain Wattel 73.3 117
91 Johan Carlsson 73.4 151
92 Oliver Fisher 73.4 50
93 Thomas Detry 73.5 106
94 Marcus Fraser 73.6 117
95 Romain Langasque 73.7 50
96 David Drysdale 73.7 16
97 Ricardo Gouveia 73.8 38
98 Chris Paisley 73.8 117
99 Jason Scrivener 73.9 38
100 Robert Karlsson 73.9 95
101 Lasse Jensen 73.9 32
102 Chris Hanson 74.1 57
103 Jordan Smith 74.1 30
104 Brett Rumford 74.2 83
105 Matthew Southgate 74.3 126
106 Thomas Bjorn 74.3 69
107 Callum Shinkwin 74.3 66
108 Gregory Havret 74.3 23
109 Carlos Pigem 74.4 135
110 Robert Rock 74.7 30
111 Lee Slattery 74.7 143
112 Justin Walters 74.8 135
113 Edoardo Molinari 75.0 83
114 Max Orrin 75.0 DNP
115 Soo-min Lee 75.0 73
116 Paul Peterson 75.1 148
117 Daniel Im 75.1 66
118 Tom Lewis 75.1 DNP
119 Zander Lombard 75.2 117
120 Jens Fahrbring 75.2 45
121 Wade Ormsby 75.2 150
122 Niclas Fasth 75.5 32
123 Ashley Chesters 75.6 117
124 Haydn Porteous 75.6 32
125 Alvaro Quiros 75.6 95
126 Thomas Linard 75.8 117
127 Phachara Khongwatmai 75.8 69
128 Adrian Otaegui 76.0 7
129 Gary Stal 76.0 16
130 Daniel Brooks 76.1 38
131 Stuart Manley 76.1 73
132 Sam Walker 76.5 143
133 Sebastien Gros 76.5 69
134 Laurie Canter 76.5 DNP
135 Darren Clarke 76.7 153
136 Julien Guerrier 76.9 95
137 Clement Berardo 76.9 83
138 Simon Dyson 77.0 139
139 SSP Chawrasia 77.3 DNP
140 Matthieu Pavon 77.3 73
141 Pep Angles 77.4 50
142 Trevor Immelman 77.7 117
143 Paul Waring 77.9 16
144 Nathan Kimsey 78.7 38
145 Sebastian Heisele 79.1 126
146 Joel Stalter 79.4 73
147 Bernd Ritthammer 79.5 83
148 Matt Wallace 79.5 95
149 Sam Brazel 79.8 126
150 Sebastian Soderberg 80.1 DNP
151 Jose-Filipe Lima 80.4 126
152 Marcus Armitage 81.7 95
153 Duncan Stewart 81.9 106
154 Clement Sordet 81.9 73
155 Shih-chang Chan 82.0 83
156 Adrien Saddier 82.4 16
157 Alexander Knappe 82.6 143
158 Damien Perrier 84.3 66
159 Edouard Dubois 85.4 73
160 Yan-wei Lui 85.4 DNP
161 Jose Maria Olazabal 85.7 143
Yan Liu late entry 114
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 36. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (June 25, 2017)

June 26, 2017 Thomas Hawley

It’s 15 straight weeks on top for Dustin Johnson.
# Thru June 25, 2017 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 46 1853 1
2 Rory McIlroy 39 1647 2
3 Jordan Spieth 51 1529 4
4 Adam Scott 43 1462 5
5 Jason Day 41 1444 3
6 Jon Rahm 26 1394 6
7 Rickie Fowler 53 1391 7
8 Paul Casey 50 1376 10
9 Hideki Matsuyama 48 1375 8
10 Sergio Garcia 41 1360 9
11 Matt Kuchar 60 1294 12
12 Justin Rose 47 1292 11
13 Phil Mickelson 46 1286 13
14 Brooks Koepka 53 1232 14
15 Henrik Stenson 48 1150 15
16 Francesco Molinari 47 1133 16
17 Louis Oosthuizen 49 1115 18
18 Patrick Reed 67 1092 20
19 Justin Thomas 54 1091 17
20 Brandt Snedeker 56 1067 22
21 Kevin Kisner 56 1067 19
22 Bill Haas 52 1051 21
23 Brendan Steele 50 1044 23
24 Jason Dufner 50 1015 24
25 Charl Schwartzel 48 1003 25
26 Charles Howell 50 993 26
27 Daniel Berger 55 982 32
28 Tyrrell Hatton 50 948 27
29 Marc Leishman 52 940 29
30 Charley Hoffman 57 933 39
31 Branden Grace 53 930 28
32 Steve Stricker 31 924 31
33 Ryan Moore 47 917 33
34 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 59 908 30
35 Pat Perez 38 899 35
36 JB Holmes 53 893 36
37 Gary Woodland 51 887 38
38 Webb Simpson 49 883 43
39 Brian Harman 61 879 37
40 Bubba Watson 47 869 34
41 Kevin Chappell 54 853 41
42 Kevin Na 52 850 40
43 Jimmy Walker 53 840 44
44 Emiliano Grillo 58 834 42
45 Tony Finau 55 824 47
46 Billy Horschel 50 823 46
47 Martin Kaymer 53 807 45
48 Russell Henley 50 794 48
49 Bernd Wiesberger 58 774 50
50 Ryan Palmer 47 768 49
51 Alex Noren 39 763 54
52 Adam Hadwin 54 753 51
53 William McGirt 56 752 53
54 Zach Johnson 53 747 52
55 Thomas Pieters 48 743 56
56 Byeong Hun An 56 726 55
57 Shane Lowry 48 716 59
58 Kyle Stanley 55 709 58
59 Graham DeLaet 44 708 61
60 Lucas Glover 50 707 57
61 Bud Cauley 39 698 60
62 Si-woo Kim 57 682 64
63 Jamie Lovemark 53 672 62
64 Russell Knox 60 672 63
65 Sean O’Hair 55 666 66
66 Ross Fisher 48 660 67
67 Stewart Cink 48 658 68
68 Lee Westwood 46 652 70
69 David Lingmerth 60 651 72
70 Graeme McDowell 58 651 69
71 Kevin Streelman 53 650 84
72 Jhonattan Vegas 59 648 65
73 Jim Furyk 36 641 77
74 Tommy Fleetwood 55 637 79
75 Soren Kjeldsen 60 636 76
76 Matthew Fitzpatrick 59 633 78
77 Martin Laird 49 625 71
78 Kevin Tway 28 623 75
79 Scott Piercy 58 621 74
80 Danny Lee 68 615 92
81 Chez Reavie 56 608 80
82 Wesley Bryan 26 606 73
83 Keegan Bradley 55 605 95
84 Hideto Tanihara 15 605 82
85 Mackenzie Hughes 25 597 96
86 Jason Kokrak 55 595 86
87 Chris Kirk 53 580 87
88 Jim Herman 54 580 83
89 Anirban Lahiri 56 575 97
90 Andy Sullivan 56 572 85
91 Nick Watney 29 570 81
92 James Hahn 53 569 91
93 Ollie Schniederjans 37 569 89
94 Colt Knost 38 565 94
95 Chad Campbell 58 556 88
96 Daniel Summerhays 58 556 93
97 Sung Kang 58 555 90
98 Sangmoon Bae 9 555 100
99 Luke List 54 543 98
100 Scott Brown 54 540 99
101 Ian Poulter 46 530 102
102 Danny Willett 49 527 103
103 Harris English 59 519 101
104 Smylie Kaufman 54 516 106
105 Xander Schauffele 24 509 121
106 Hudson Swafford 58 509 104
107 Jonas Blixt 53 500 105
108 David Hearn 61 496 117
109 Luke Donald 53 491 107
110 Cameron Smith 52 490 108
111 Joost Luiten 51 484 109
112 Jerry Kelly 37 476 110
113 Oscar Fraustro 12 475 120
114 Aaron Baddeley 55 464 113
115 JJ Spaun 27 462 112
116 Billy Hurley 50 454 111
117 Chris Wood 56 452 116
118 Nick Taylor 55 446 114
119 John Huh 56 436 118
120 Victor Dubuisson 35 433 115
121 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 55 433 123
122 Robert Streb 58 432 119
123 Robert Garrigus 51 423 122
124 Grayson Murray 23 422 137
125 Patrick Rodgers 55 421 124
126 Aaron Wise 8 419 126
127 Cameron Tringale 55 416 125
128 Morgan Hoffmann 56 413 134
129 Patton Kizzire 52 409 128
130 Seung-yul Noh 56 405 127
131 Harold Varner 57 404 130
132 Michael Kim 52 403 129
133 Haotong Li 28 402 133
134 Matt Jones 50 400 132
135 Roberto Castro 55 395 139
136 Padraig Harrington 47 393 160
137 JT Poston 25 390 131
138 Alex Cejka 57 389 135
139 Bryce Molder 55 386 149
140 Vaughn Taylor 51 385 138
141 Freddie Jacobson 35 384 141
142 Thongchai Jaidee 55 382 136
143 Peter Uihlein 43 380 142
144 Pablo Larrazabal 49 375 152
145 Blayne Barber 51 372 148
146 Kyle Reifers 68 367 145
147 Ben Martin 55 365 153
148 Brian Gay 33 361 143
149 Retief Goosen 39 359 147
150 Joel Dahmen 14 354 140
151 Dominic Bozzelli 23 354 146
152 Kelly Kraft 49 353 151
153 Jon Curran 48 353 156
154 Trey Mullinax 30 352 150
155 John Senden 53 351 159
156 Julian Etulain 22 351 144
157 Andrew Johnston 49 350 158
158 Scott Stallings 50 348 154
159 Richard Bland 52 348 182
160 Jorge Campillo 52 348 166
161 Fabrizio Zanotti 46 346 155
162 Fabian Gomez 56 342 157
163 Will Wilcox 39 341 165
164 Jordan L Smith 13 341 168
165 Sam Saunders 52 340 169
166 Thorbjorn Olesen 55 340 164
167 David Toms 27 338 167
168 Johnson Wagner 54 337 171
169 Michael Thompson 57 337 162
170 Peter Hanson 35 333 163
171 Ricky Barnes 63 333 176
172 Nicolas Colsaerts 57 332 173
173 Meen-whee Kim 16 331 172
174 Jamie Donaldson 47 330 185
175 Brandon Hagy 24 329 161
176 Brian Stuard 56 328 170
177 George Coetzee 49 328 183
178 CT Pan 33 327 230
179 Jaco van Zyl 48 326 179
180 Tim Wilkinson 53 324 177
181 Kyung-tae Kim 18 322 180
182 Bradley Dredge 44 322 181
183 Derek Fathauer 60 321 175
184 Boo Weekley 55 320 227
185 Geoff Ogilvy 46 320 174
186 Troy Merritt 59 317 221
187 Alexander Levy 48 314 189
188 Gregory Bourdy 56 311 192
189 Yuta Ikeda 14 311 190
190 KJ Choi 46 311 178
191 Tyrone van Aswegen 65 309 186
192 Alexander Bjork 16 309 187
193 Zac Blair 67 309 184
194 Tim Clark 13 308 197
195 Whee Kim 44 303 188
196 Justin Leonard 19 303 193
197 Vijay Singh 46 299 191
198 Rob Oppenheim 33 298 196
199 Bronson Burgoon 32 297 199
200 Richard Sterne 34 292 201
201 Chris Stroud 51 292 200
202 Henrik Norlander 34 292 202
203 Lee McCoy 11 291 206
204 Rikard Karlberg 47 291 219
205 Hao-tong Li 11 289 204
206 Andrew Loupe 51 288 195
207 David Lipsky 58 286 215
208 Camilo Villegas 58 285 207
209 Ryan Blaum 30 285 198
210 Dean Burmester 26 283 194
211 Jeunghun Wang 44 282 210
212 Alejandro Canizares 48 280 205
213 Cameron Percy 44 279 203
214 Ben Crane 53 278 208
215 David Horsey 50 277 209
216 Spencer Levin 65 271 212
217 DA Points 47 269 216
218 Scott Hend 58 266 217
219 Seamus Power 25 265 211
220 Andres Gonzales 57 262 214
221 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 42 261 213
222 Thomas Aiken 56 259 222
223 Jonathan Randolph 30 253 218
224 James Morrison 54 253 224
225 Benjamin Hebert 52 252 220
226 Robby Shelton 11 251 229
227 Joakim Lagergren 49 250 235
228 Bill Lunde 14 250 231
229 Dylan Frittelli 26 250 241
230 Brett Stegmaier 54 247 239
231 Bryson DeChambeau 45 246 245
232 Mikko Ilonen 45 245 225
233 Steve Wheatcroft 48 243 226
234 Brett Coletta 8 242
235 John Peterson 25 242 223
236 Tom Hoge 51 240 238
237 Martin Piller 30 240 234
238 Paul Dunne 43 239 232
239 Will MacKenzie 47 239 269
240 Tag Ridings 21 235 228
241 Brandon Stone 36 229 240
242 Martin Flores 35 228 233
243 Shawn Stefani 55 228 236
244 Renato Paratore 59 224 260
245 Julien Quesne 48 223 237
246 Graeme Storm 54 218 243
247 Chad Collins 52 217 244
248 Ashun Wu 31 216 242
249 Nacho Elvira 48 216 274
250 Luke Guthrie 32 214 247
251 Ryo Ishikawa 32 213 248
252 Scott Langley 39 212 250
253 Andres Romero 29 212 321
254 Hiroshi Iwata 45 211 252
255 Angel Cabrera 37 210 253
256 Andrew Landry 24 210 255
257 Florian Fritsch 29 206 246
258 Wes Roach 27 206 257
259 Eddie Pepperell 44 206 249
260 JJ Henry 57 206 251
261 Yusaku Miyazato 8 205 259
262 Chesson Hadley 42 204 261
263 Stephen Gallacher 44 201 254
264 Greg Owen 49 198 262
265 Romain Langasque 22 198 270
266 Mikko Korhonen 45 197 256
267 Jason Gore 43 195 264
268 Maximilian Kieffer 50 195 258
269 Richie Ramsay 46 194 272
270 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 33 190 263
271 Ken Duke 48 190 267
272 Raphael Jacquelin 52 190 266
273 Matteo Manassero 49 190 268
274 Cody Gribble 27 190 265
275 Anthony Wall 44 190 278
276 Anders Hansen 17 189 281
277 Michael Putnam 25 189 279
278 Lucas Bjerregaard 58 187 271
279 Ricardo Gouveia 44 186 275
280 Trevor Fisher 40 186 293
281 Rod Pampling 49 185 276
282 Tyler Aldridge 44 185 285
283 Ryan Brehm 21 182 312
284 Thomas Detry 17 181 386
285 Ernie Els 53 180 284
286 Richy Werenski 23 180 273
287 Marcus Fraser 49 177 282
288 Jonathan Byrd 23 177 286
289 Jason Bohn 49 177 277
290 Matthew Southgate 44 176 289
291 Stuart Appleby 41 176 287
292 Mark Anderson 18 175 280
293 Romain Wattel 52 174 291
294 Johan Carlsson 51 174 288
295 Scott Jamieson 53 174 290
296 YE Yang 34 173 292
297 Austin Connelly 11 169 297
298 Brice Garnett 31 168 294
299 Miguel Angel Jimenez 27 167 298
300 Mark Hubbard 62 165 308
301 Steve Marino 42 164 302
302 Darren Fichardt 43 163 295
303 Prayad Marksaeng 9 162 310
304 Shubhankar Sharma 9 161 306
305 Jeff Overton 33 161 307
306 Rashid Khan 15 158 315
307 Magnus A Carlsson 47 158 314
308 Nino Bertasio 42 158 319
309 David Drysdale 58 157 305
310 Jordan Niebrugge 10 157 300
311 Lasse Jensen 49 157 304
312 Chris Hanson 36 156 303
313 Chris Paisley 55 155 311
314 Tiger Woods 8 154 296
315 Brett Drewitt 17 153 299
316 Marc Warren 53 152 313
317 Michael Hendry 8 151 323
318 Callum Shinkwin 33 151 316
319 Mark Wilson 44 150 309
320 Paul Waring 17 150 324
321 Ashley Chesters 14 150 370
322 Scott Pinckney 39 149 325
323 Ryan Ruffels 17 148 301
324 David Howell 46 148 317
325 Austin Cook 13 146 318
326 Robert Rock 46 145 328
327 Andrew Dodt 45 144 330
328 Rory Sabbatini 48 144 320
329 Ashley Hall 8 143 332
330 Brett Rumford 37 143 339
331 Tim Herron 27 143 338
332 Rick Lamb 16 143 614
333 Ryan Armour 28 142 322
334 Phachara Khongwatmai 17 142 333
335 Curtis Luck 14 141 335
336 Jbe Kruger 40 140 327
337 Carlos Ortiz 42 140 337
338 Nicholas Lindheim 22 139 326
339 Jason Scrivener 49 139 329
340 Marcel Siem 51 139 331
341 Peter Malnati 60 136 336
342 Justin Hicks 21 135 346
343 Ryan Fox 32 135 359
344 Hennie Otto 27 134 449
345 Hunter Stewart 8 134 342
346 Prom Meesawat 41 133 347
347 Justin Walters 47 132 344
348 Felipe Aguilar 48 132 343
349 Lee Slattery 54 132 341
350 Gregory Havret 54 131 350
351 Kristoffer Broberg 43 131 334
352 Brendon de Jonge 51 131 348
353 Steve Allan 8 130 351
354 Oliver Fisher 54 130 345
355 Alex Prugh 26 130 353
356 Thanyakorn Khrongpha 11 130 354
357 George McNeill 41 130 349
358 Pep Angles 17 130 340
359 Eduardo de la Riva 46 129 364
360 Greg Chalmers 46 126 352
361 Erik Compton 35 125 358
362 Hunter Mahan 51 125 435
363 Robert Karlsson 42 123 356
364 Matthew Griffin 8 123 360
365 Carlos Pigem 32 123 361
366 Adilson da Silva 27 122 363
367 Jake Higginbottom 9 122 368
368 Julien Guerrier 8 121 366
369 Shiv Kapur 36 120 380
370 Matthieu Pavon 17 120 355
371 S Chikarangappa 10 120 373
372 Dawie van der Walt 36 120 367
373 Panuphol Pittayarat 17 119 371
374 Jacques Blaauw 13 119 369
375 Brian Campbell 18 118 357
376 Josh Teater 10 118 374
377 Steven Alker 32 115 362
378 Christofer Blomstrand 8 115 383
379 Rahil Gangjee 19 114 385
380 Angelo Que 13 114 384
381 Andrew Putnam 11 113 393
382 Sam Brazel 30 112 372
383 David Bransdon 8 112 390
384 Bernd Ritthammer 28 111 378
385 Paul Lawrie 34 111 388
386 Daniel Im 40 110 387
387 Zander Lombard 24 109 379
388 Richard Green 41 108 381
389 Nathan Kimsey 14 108 376
390 Masahiro Kawamura 17 108 396
391 SSP Chawrasia 46 108 395
392 Sebastian Munoz 14 108 375
393 Richard Lee 18 108 401
394 Max Orrin 17 108 377
395 Nick Cullen 18 107 397
396 Haydn Porteous 44 107 391
397 Rhein Gibson 32 107 399
398 Sebastian Heisele 11 106 365
399 Wade Ormsby 37 106 403
400 Pelle Edberg 51 105 400
More | Less

A look at the Travelers Championship

June 20, 2017 Thomas Hawley

Steady Paul Casey, who had moments in the spotlight at last week’s U.S. Open, is the pick this week at the Travelers Championship in Cromwell CT. Casey’s string of five straight finishes in the top 25, including three in the top 10, ended when he finished 26th in the Open. Still it was an exhilarating four days in Erin WI as he opened with an eagle on his first hole, held the lead at various points, and then faded with a weekend performance of 75-74, five over par. Casey has played the Travelers the last two years. After being runner-up to Bubba Watson in 2015, a final-round one-over dropped him off the leaderboard and down to 17th place last year. According to the Hawley course-fit statistics, the areas most highly correlated with success at TPC River Highlands are driving distance, scrambling, and driving accuracy, in that order. Casey ranks just behind Brendan Steele and ahead of Kyle Stanley among this year’s Travelers entrants in overall fitness of his game for the course.
Multiple-times winners Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy, and Justin Thomas trail Casey (but not by much) on the list of contenders. Thomas shot the record-breaking 63 on Saturday at the Open while Spieth never got into contention, finishing 35th, and McIlroy spent too much time in the fescue and missed the cut. The full list of picks is below.

Travelers Championship

June 19, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,
Paul Casey
Paul Casey
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Paul Casey 20.3 5
2 Jordan Spieth 22.8 1
3 Rory McIlroy 23.5 17
4 Justin Thomas 27.2 125
5 Brendan Steele 30.1 14
6 Bubba Watson 30.5 92
7 Marc Leishman 33.3 17
8 Jason Day 33.5 92
9 Brandt Snedeker 36.3 14
10 Brian Harman 37.6 35
11 Charley Hoffman 39.5 3
12 Patrick Reed 40.6 5
13 Graham DeLaet 43.0 26
14 Kyle Stanley 43.3 57
15 Webb Simpson 43.8 8
16 Tony Finau 47.6 17
17 Emiliano Grillo 49.3 43
18 David Lingmerth 50.1 26
19 Daniel Berger 51.0 2
20 Jamie Lovemark 51.0 75
21 Byeong Hun An 52.2 66
22 Lucas Glover 52.2 107
23 Adam Hadwin 52.5 57
24 Si-woo Kim 52.9 DNP
25 Bud Cauley 53.2 35
26 Zach Johnson 53.5 120
27 Chez Reavie 53.6 43
28 Jim Herman 53.7 92
29 Chad Campbell 54.6 107
30 Kevin Na 54.8 57
31 Danny Lee 55.0 3
32 Joel Dahmen 55.4 62
33 Russell Knox 55.8 62
34 Kevin Tway 56.6 43
35 Kevin Streelman 56.7 8
36 William McGirt 57.0 43
37 Jhonattan Vegas 57.1 120
38 Martin Laird 57.4 92
39 Jonas Blixt 57.9 62
40 Nick Taylor 58.2 131
41 Ryan Palmer 58.2 53
42 Anirban Lahiri 59.0 17
43 Keegan Bradley 59.0 8
44 Harris English 59.1 92
45 Jason Kokrak 59.6 26
46 Mackenzie Hughes 59.8 17
47 Chris Stroud 60.3 DNP
48 Nick Watney 60.6 73
49 Jim Furyk 61.4 26
50 Wesley Bryan 61.5 74
51 Sung Kang 62.0 75
52 Morgan Hoffmann 62.1 26
53 Scott Piercy 62.2 85
54 Vaughn Taylor 62.3 57
55 Seung-yul Noh 62.4 92
56 Smylie Kaufman 62.5 35
57 Hudson Swafford 62.9 66
58 Daniel Summerhays 63.2 43
59 Trey Mullinax 63.7 86
60 Grayson Murray 63.8 26
61 Xander Schauffele 64.0 14
62 Billy Hurley 64.0 92
63 Julian Etulain 64.4 75
64 Patrick Rodgers 64.5 35
65 Ricky Barnes 64.8 35
66 Harold Varner 64.8 92
67 Ken Duke 65.4 107
68 Luke Donald 65.5 86
69 Michael Kim 65.8 69
70 Robert Streb 65.8 57
71 JT Poston 65.8 120
72 Robert Garrigus 65.9 86
73 Brett Coletta 66.0 107
74 David Hearn 66.0 8
75 Padraig Harrington 66.1 17
76 Brian Stuard 66.2 143
77 John Huh 66.3 107
78 Matt Jones 66.3 DNP
79 Brian Gay 66.3 120
80 Whee Kim 66.4 107
81 Dominic Bozzelli 66.5 131
82 Tyrone van Aswegen 66.6 92
83 Scott Stallings 66.7 107
84 Kelly Kraft 66.9 86
85 Brandon Hagy 67.1 92
86 Retief Goosen 67.2 62
87 Vijay Singh 67.2 92
88 Will Wilcox 67.3 DNP
89 Kyle Reifers 67.4 107
90 Tim Wilkinson 67.8 43
91 Carl Pettersson 67.8 148
92 Geoff Ogilvy 67.9 69
93 Alex Cejka 68.0 84
94 Michael Thompson 68.2 134
95 Sam Saunders 68.5 DNP
96 KJ Choi 68.7 81
97 Bryce Molder 68.7 26
98 Jonathan Randolph 68.8 134
99 Zac Blair 68.9 143
100 Tag Ridings 68.9 92
101 Patton Kizzire 68.9 53
102 Seamus Power 68.9 107
103 Cameron Percy 69.1 75
104 Derek Fathauer 69.4 125
105 Fabian Gomez 69.4 53
106 Spencer Levin 69.5 81
107 Stuart Appleby 69.6 WD
108 Ryan Blaum 69.7 139
109 Ben Crane 69.7 134
110 JJ Henry 70.1 69
111 Steve Wheatcroft 70.2 83
112 Andres Gonzales 70.4 86
113 Johnson Wagner 70.4 43
114 Rod Pampling 70.9 69
115 John Peterson 70.9 92
116 CT Pan 71.0 8
117 Boo Weekley 71.3 5
118 Martin Flores 71.5 125
119 Andrew Loupe 71.6 146
120 Chad Collins 71.8 92
121 Greg Owen 72.0 DNP
122 Troy Merritt 72.1 8
123 Cody Gribble 72.4 107
124 Shawn Stefani 72.4 134
125 Mark Anderson 72.6 86
126 Bryson DeChambeau 72.6 26
127 Ryan Brehm 72.7 35
128 Brett Stegmaier 72.7 26
129 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 72.8 92
130 Richy Werenski 72.9 139
131 Brett Drewitt 72.9 153
132 Ryan Armour 73.0 125
133 Will MacKenzie 73.1 17
134 Mark Wilson 73.4 148
135 Jason Bohn 73.5 146
136 Nicholas Lindheim 73.6 139
137 Sebastian Munoz 73.6 75
138 Rory Sabbatini 73.7 125
139 Bob Estes 74.1 WD
140 Ryan Ruffels 74.3 143
141 Brian Campbell 74.3 120
142 Mark Hubbard 74.4 43
143 Greg Chalmers 74.4 66
144 Steven Alker 74.6 134
145 Peter Malnati 74.6 75
146 Miguel Angel Carballo 74.7 107
147 Hunter Mahan 75.0 17
148 Bobby Wyatt 75.4 125
149 Zack Sucher 75.7 107
150 Matt Every 76.0 35
151 Brad Fritsch 76.1 43
152 Rick Lamb 76.9 17
153 Beau Hossler 79.3 53
154 Shane Bertsch 81.9 DNP
155 Max Homa 84.5 DNP
156 Charlie Beljan 85.4 WD
157 Wyndham Clark 85.4 150
158 Billy Downes 85.4 152
159 Troy Kelly 85.4 107
160 Bobby Gates 85.6 150
Tom Hoge late entry 38
Chase Seiffert late entry 52
Zach Zaback late entry 133
Neil Johnson late entry 141
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 286. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

BMW International Open

June 19, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,
Henrik Stenson
Henrik Stenson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Henrik Stenson 19.3 10
2 Sergio Garcia 24.2 2
3 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 40.6 26
4 Bernd Wiesberger 40.8 20
5 Martin Kaymer 50.8 86
6 Tommy Fleetwood 51.4 6
7 Pablo Larrazabal 56.3 14
8 Andy Sullivan 58.9 51
9 Joost Luiten 59.5 14
10 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 62.0 12
11 Thongchai Jaidee 63.5 129
12 Alexander Bjork 63.7 34
13 Fabrizio Zanotti 64.5 67
14 David Horsey 64.5 75
15 Victor Dubuisson 64.9 34
16 Nicolas Colsaerts 65.1 26
17 Jaco van Zyl 65.4 20
18 Thorbjorn Olesen 65.7 34
19 Jorge Campillo 65.9 20
20 Peter Hanson 65.9 44
21 George Coetzee 66.0 14
22 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 67.7 105
23 Alejandro Canizares 67.8 145
24 Graeme Storm 68.0 67
25 Dean Burmester 68.0 82
26 David Lipsky 68.3 10
27 Scott Jamieson 68.3 133
28 Brandon Stone 68.8 31
29 Benjamin Hebert 68.8 129
30 Darren Fichardt 69.2 86
31 James Morrison 69.2 34
32 Jamie Donaldson 69.2 14
33 Eddie Pepperell 69.3 98
34 Richard Bland 69.7 2
35 Dylan Frittelli 69.9 14
36 Richard Sterne 70.0 34
37 Mikko Korhonen 70.2 75
38 Raphael Jacquelin 70.4 138
39 Rikard Karlberg 70.5 5
40 Ashun Wu 70.5 112
41 Mikko Ilonen 70.7 129
42 Stephen Gallacher 70.7 98
43 Renato Paratore 70.7 6
44 Maximilian Kieffer 70.7 82
45 Joakim Lagergren 70.8 14
46 Matteo Manassero 71.1 86
47 Anthony Wall 71.1 31
48 Ernie Els 71.2 59
49 Florian Fritsch 71.3 51
50 Julien Quesne 71.4 82
51 Thomas Bjorn 71.5 120
52 Oliver Fisher 71.5 79
53 Nacho Elvira 71.5 8
54 Johan Carlsson 71.7 67
55 Marcel Siem 71.8 112
56 Marcus Fraser 72.3 112
57 Jbe Kruger 72.3 79
58 Lucas Bjerregaard 72.5 59
59 Chris Paisley 72.6 112
60 Felipe Aguilar 72.6 98
61 Nino Bertasio 72.7 34
62 David Drysdale 72.7 98
63 Ricardo Gouveia 72.8 86
64 Marc Warren 73.1 154
65 Jason Scrivener 73.1 85
66 Trevor Fisher 73.3 20
67 Ryan Fox 73.3 26
68 Romain Wattel 73.3 51
69 Justin Walters 73.4 120
70 Mark Foster 73.5 51
71 Robert Karlsson 73.7 112
72 Lasse Jensen 73.7 112
73 Chris Hanson 73.9 105
74 Gregory Havret 73.9 44
75 David Howell 73.9 WD
76 Shiv Kapur 74.0 34
77 Brett Rumford 74.0 34
78 Matthew Southgate 74.1 51
79 Max Orrin 74.1 86
80 Romain Langasque 74.3 31
81 Richard Green 74.3 75
82 Callum Shinkwin 74.3 WD
83 Lee Slattery 74.3 105
84 Prom Meesawat 74.4 DNP
85 Eduardo de la Riva 74.4 26
86 Zander Lombard 74.5 67
87 Paul Peterson 74.6 105
88 Daniel Im 74.7 59
89 Paul Lawrie 74.8 44
90 Richard McEvoy 74.8 59
91 Kristoffer Broberg 74.8 120
92 Soo-min Lee 74.8 138
93 Tom Lewis 74.9 44
94 Ben Eccles 75.0 DNP
95 Simon Khan 75.3 138
96 Haydn Porteous 75.3 105
97 Wade Ormsby 75.3 44
98 Matthew Nixon 75.3 98
99 Jeff Winther 75.3 44
100 Alvaro Quiros 75.4 120
101 Jens Fahrbring 75.4 34
102 Edoardo Molinari 75.5 73
103 Hennie Otto 75.5 8
104 Thomas Linard 75.6 DNP
105 Robert Dinwiddie 75.7 138
106 Mikael Lundberg 75.8 DNP
107 Adrian Otaegui 75.9 51
108 Steve Webster 75.9 120
109 Daniel Brooks 75.9 67
110 Sam Walker 75.9 112
111 Stuart Manley 76.0 105
112 Niclas Fasth 76.1 20
113 Matthieu Pavon 76.1 86
114 Jaco Ahlers 76.1 59
115 Laurie Canter 76.2 79
116 Johan Edfors 76.3 DNP
117 Jeev Milkha Singh 76.5 151
118 Matt Ford 76.6 DNP
119 Pep Angles 76.8 145
120 John Parry 76.8 120
121 Andres Romero 77.1 1
122 Scott Henry 77.1 12
123 Simon Dyson 77.2 152
124 SSP Chawrasia 77.3 DNP
125 Julien Guerrier 77.3 DNP
126 Bernd Ritthammer 77.4 86
127 Sebastian Heisele 77.7 73
128 Ashley Chesters 78.0 20
129 Nathan Kimsey 78.2 149
130 Thomas Detry 78.6 2
131 Sam Brazel 79.4 105
132 Joel Stalter 79.4 51
133 Sebastian Soderberg 79.6 98
134 Jose-Filipe Lima 80.0 133
135 Anton Karlsson 80.2 98
136 Paul Maddy 80.9 59
137 Marcus Armitage 81.1 120
138 Shih-chang Chan 81.6 145
139 Duncan Stewart 81.6 149
140 Jens Dantorp 81.8 34
141 Ricardo Gonzalez 81.9 133
142 Oscar Stark 82.1 DNP
143 Alexander Knappe 82.3 86
144 Nicholas Fung 82.4 DNP
145 Pontus Widegren 83.0 59
146 Jordan Smith 83.6 44
147 Pavit Tangkamolprasert 83.8 129
148 Gary King 83.9 86
149 Steven Tiley 83.9 112
150 Damien Perrier 84.2 133
151 Niclas Johansson 84.8 120
152 Richard Finch 84.9 138
153 Jamie Rutherford 85.1 51
154 Borja Etchart 85.1 DNP
155 James Heath 85.4 86
156 Max Rottluff 85.4 120
157 Hinrich Arkenau 85.4 138
158 Jonas Kolbing 85.4 153
159 Max Kramer 85.4 67
160 Max Schmitt 85.4 59
161 Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 85.4 26
162 Sean Crocker 85.4 78
163 Thomas Rosenmller 85.4 145
164 Jose Maria Olazabal 85.7 138
165 Rafa Echenique 86.0 133
Borja Virto Astudillo late entry 89
Ben Evans late entry 91
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 272. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (June 18, 2017)

June 19, 2017 Thomas Hawley

It’s 14 straight weeks on top for Dustin Johnson.
# Thru June 18, 2017 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 46 1849 1
2 Rory McIlroy 38 1656 2
3 Jason Day 40 1507 3
4 Jordan Spieth 50 1484 4
5 Adam Scott 43 1454 5
6 Jon Rahm 27 1397 6
7 Rickie Fowler 53 1390 10
8 Hideki Matsuyama 48 1369 12
9 Sergio Garcia 41 1369 7
10 Paul Casey 50 1331 9
11 Justin Rose 47 1293 8
12 Matt Kuchar 60 1289 13
13 Phil Mickelson 46 1282 11
14 Brooks Koepka 53 1228 16
15 Henrik Stenson 48 1167 14
16 Francesco Molinari 48 1133 15
17 Justin Thomas 54 1126 19
18 Louis Oosthuizen 50 1112 18
19 Kevin Kisner 56 1071 17
20 Patrick Reed 67 1053 22
21 Bill Haas 52 1048 27
22 Brandt Snedeker 56 1047 24
23 Brendan Steele 50 1022 26
24 Jason Dufner 50 1013 20
25 Charl Schwartzel 48 999 21
26 Charles Howell 50 992 23
27 Tyrrell Hatton 51 945 25
28 Branden Grace 54 931 28
29 Marc Leishman 52 921 34
30 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 59 921 32
31 Steve Stricker 31 920 39
32 Daniel Berger 54 920 29
33 Ryan Moore 47 913 33
34 Bubba Watson 47 907 30
35 Pat Perez 38 893 31
36 JB Holmes 53 891 43
37 Brian Harman 61 889 48
38 Gary Woodland 52 886 35
39 Charley Hoffman 56 880 46
40 Kevin Na 52 879 36
41 Kevin Chappell 54 849 44
42 Emiliano Grillo 57 848 37
43 Webb Simpson 48 838 42
44 Jimmy Walker 53 837 38
45 Martin Kaymer 53 834 41
46 Billy Horschel 51 822 40
47 Tony Finau 55 805 47
48 Russell Henley 50 796 51
49 Ryan Palmer 46 790 45
50 Bernd Wiesberger 58 782 57
51 Adam Hadwin 54 775 49
52 Zach Johnson 53 774 55
53 William McGirt 56 765 52
54 Alex Noren 39 762 50
55 Byeong Hun An 55 747 53
56 Thomas Pieters 49 741 54
57 Lucas Glover 50 730 56
58 Kyle Stanley 55 729 60
59 Shane Lowry 49 717 58
60 Bud Cauley 38 703 59
61 Graham DeLaet 44 701 62
62 Jamie Lovemark 52 693 66
63 Russell Knox 60 689 61
64 Si-woo Kim 57 682 77
65 Jhonattan Vegas 59 666 64
66 Sean O’Hair 56 666 63
67 Ross Fisher 49 659 65
68 Stewart Cink 49 658 68
69 Graeme McDowell 58 649 69
70 Lee Westwood 46 649 70
71 Martin Laird 49 646 74
72 David Lingmerth 60 646 78
73 Wesley Bryan 25 640 67
74 Scott Piercy 57 639 72
75 Kevin Tway 27 637 75
76 Soren Kjeldsen 61 636 73
77 Jim Furyk 35 634 81
78 Matthew Fitzpatrick 60 633 76
79 Tommy Fleetwood 55 628 102
80 Chez Reavie 56 615 90
81 Nick Watney 29 605 79
82 Hideto Tanihara 15 605 71
83 Jim Herman 54 598 80
84 Kevin Streelman 53 596 82
85 Andy Sullivan 55 587 85
86 Jason Kokrak 55 582 83
87 Chris Kirk 53 578 87
88 Chad Campbell 58 574 86
89 Ollie Schniederjans 37 572 88
90 Sung Kang 57 569 92
91 James Hahn 53 567 91
92 Danny Lee 68 565 93
93 Daniel Summerhays 58 565 84
94 Colt Knost 39 561 94
95 Keegan Bradley 55 556 89
96 Mackenzie Hughes 24 554 95
97 Anirban Lahiri 55 548 97
98 Luke List 54 543 98
99 Scott Brown 55 541 99
100 Sangmoon Bae 10 536 104
101 Harris English 59 534 100
102 Ian Poulter 46 532 101
103 Danny Willett 49 529 96
104 Hudson Swafford 58 527 103
105 Jonas Blixt 53 516 107
106 Smylie Kaufman 53 515 105
107 Luke Donald 53 512 106
108 Cameron Smith 53 490 108
109 Joost Luiten 51 479 109
110 Jerry Kelly 38 477 110
111 Billy Hurley 49 468 113
112 JJ Spaun 27 465 112
113 Aaron Baddeley 56 461 115
114 Nick Taylor 55 457 116
115 Victor Dubuisson 35 453 114
116 Chris Wood 57 452 111
117 David Hearn 60 449 118
118 John Huh 56 448 119
119 Robert Streb 57 447 117
120 Oscar Fraustro 13 445 122
121 Xander Schauffele 23 440 223
122 Robert Garrigus 51 435 121
123 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 55 425 123
124 Patrick Rodgers 55 420 124
125 Cameron Tringale 55 419 125
126 Aaron Wise 8 418 128
127 Seung-yul Noh 56 418 126
128 Patton Kizzire 51 418 127
129 Michael Kim 51 417 129
130 Harold Varner 56 414 130
131 JT Poston 24 411 120
132 Matt Jones 51 403 131
133 Haotong Li 28 402 132
134 Morgan Hoffmann 56 400 133
135 Alex Cejka 57 399 135
136 Thongchai Jaidee 55 396 136
137 Grayson Murray 22 395 137
138 Vaughn Taylor 51 395 139
139 Roberto Castro 56 392 134
140 Joel Dahmen 13 390 141
141 Freddie Jacobson 35 386 140
142 Peter Uihlein 44 379 138
143 Brian Gay 32 377 142
144 Julian Etulain 21 377 145
145 Kyle Reifers 68 375 144
146 Dominic Bozzelli 22 375 143
147 Retief Goosen 39 372 146
148 Blayne Barber 52 370 148
149 Bryce Molder 55 369 147
150 Trey Mullinax 29 369 236
151 Kelly Kraft 48 366 149
152 Pablo Larrazabal 49 365 151
153 Ben Martin 55 364 150
154 Scott Stallings 49 361 152
155 Fabrizio Zanotti 46 361 153
156 Jon Curran 49 351 156
157 Fabian Gomez 55 349 154
158 Andrew Johnston 50 349 164
159 John Senden 53 349 158
160 Padraig Harrington 47 348 161
161 Brandon Hagy 23 347 159
162 Michael Thompson 57 347 160
163 Peter Hanson 35 347 157
164 Thorbjorn Olesen 55 344 163
165 Will Wilcox 40 344 162
166 Jorge Campillo 52 343 167
167 David Toms 28 340 166
168 Jordan L Smith 13 340 168
169 Sam Saunders 52 340 169
170 Brian Stuard 56 338 155
171 Johnson Wagner 54 338 170
172 Meen-whee Kim 16 331 174
173 Nicolas Colsaerts 57 330 175
174 Geoff Ogilvy 45 330 173
175 Derek Fathauer 60 329 176
176 Ricky Barnes 63 327 177
177 Tim Wilkinson 53 324 180
178 KJ Choi 45 322 183
179 Jaco van Zyl 48 322 181
180 Kyung-tae Kim 18 321 179
181 Bradley Dredge 45 321 171
182 Richard Bland 52 320 187
183 George Coetzee 48 318 172
184 Zac Blair 67 318 184
185 Jamie Donaldson 46 318 186
186 Tyrone van Aswegen 65 317 190
187 Alexander Bjork 15 317 189
188 Whee Kim 44 316 185
189 Alexander Levy 48 312 178
190 Yuta Ikeda 14 312 165
191 Vijay Singh 46 310 191
192 Gregory Bourdy 57 309 188
193 Justin Leonard 19 304 192
194 Dean Burmester 25 302 193
195 Andrew Loupe 51 299 194
196 Rob Oppenheim 33 298 195
197 Tim Clark 14 298 204
198 Ryan Blaum 29 298 197
199 Bronson Burgoon 32 295 198
200 Chris Stroud 52 295 196
201 Richard Sterne 34 294 201
202 Henrik Norlander 34 293 199
203 Cameron Percy 44 291 202
204 Hao-tong Li 11 290 182
205 Alejandro Canizares 48 290 203
206 Lee McCoy 12 290 206
207 Camilo Villegas 59 286 205
208 Ben Crane 52 286 208
209 David Horsey 50 286 207
210 Jeunghun Wang 44 282 200
211 Seamus Power 24 281 209
212 Spencer Levin 65 279 210
213 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 42 274 211
214 Andres Gonzales 57 270 214
215 David Lipsky 58 269 212
216 DA Points 47 266 218
217 Scott Hend 59 265 217
218 Jonathan Randolph 30 265 230
219 Rikard Karlberg 47 264 215
220 Benjamin Hebert 52 262 220
221 Troy Merritt 59 261 213
222 Thomas Aiken 56 258 216
223 John Peterson 25 258 221
224 James Morrison 54 256 222
225 Mikko Ilonen 44 253 227
226 Steve Wheatcroft 48 253 226
227 Boo Weekley 54 253 225
228 Tag Ridings 20 252 229
229 Robby Shelton 11 252 224
230 CT Pan 33 250 219
231 Bill Lunde 15 243 231
232 Paul Dunne 43 242 228
233 Martin Flores 35 240 232
234 Martin Piller 30 238 233
235 Joakim Lagergren 49 236 234
236 Shawn Stefani 54 234 235
237 Julien Quesne 48 232 238
238 Tom Hoge 51 230 237
239 Brett Stegmaier 53 228 240
240 Brandon Stone 35 228 254
241 Dylan Frittelli 25 228 242
242 Ashun Wu 30 228 241
243 Graeme Storm 54 227 243
244 Chad Collins 52 224 244
245 Bryson DeChambeau 44 223 239
246 Florian Fritsch 29 217 246
247 Luke Guthrie 33 215 247
248 Ryo Ishikawa 33 215 249
249 Eddie Pepperell 44 215 344
250 Scott Langley 40 214 248
251 JJ Henry 57 212 250
252 Hiroshi Iwata 45 211 251
253 Angel Cabrera 38 211 245
254 Stephen Gallacher 43 209 252
255 Andrew Landry 24 207 256
256 Mikko Korhonen 45 205 253
257 Wes Roach 27 205 259
258 Maximilian Kieffer 50 204 255
259 Yusaku Miyazato 8 203
260 Renato Paratore 58 203 260
261 Chesson Hadley 42 202 263
262 Greg Owen 50 201 257
263 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 33 200 262
264 Jason Gore 44 200 258
265 Cody Gribble 26 198 267
266 Raphael Jacquelin 52 197 265
267 Ken Duke 48 197 266
268 Matteo Manassero 49 196 270
269 Will MacKenzie 47 194 273
270 Romain Langasque 21 194 269
271 Lucas Bjerregaard 58 194 268
272 Richie Ramsay 46 194 261
273 Richy Werenski 22 193 271
274 Nacho Elvira 47 193 274
275 Ricardo Gouveia 43 192 275
276 Rod Pampling 48 191 278
277 Jason Bohn 49 191 264
278 Anthony Wall 44 190 272
279 Michael Putnam 26 190 336
280 Mark Anderson 18 189 276
281 Anders Hansen 18 186 285
282 Marcus Fraser 48 186 279
283 Gavin Green 8 185 282
284 Ernie Els 53 184 280
285 Tyler Aldridge 44 184 283
286 Jonathan Byrd 24 181 281
287 Stuart Appleby 40 181 287
288 Johan Carlsson 51 180 286
289 Matthew Southgate 43 179 288
290 Scott Jamieson 53 179 289
291 Romain Wattel 51 178 291
292 YE Yang 35 175 290
293 Trevor Fisher 40 172 292
294 Brice Garnett 32 172 277
295 Darren Fichardt 43 170 294
296 Tiger Woods 8 170 284
297 Austin Connelly 11 169 295
298 Miguel Angel Jimenez 27 167 296
299 Brett Drewitt 16 166 298
300 Jordan Niebrugge 10 165 501
301 Ryan Ruffels 16 164 303
302 Steve Marino 42 163 302
303 Chris Hanson 35 163 301
304 Lasse Jensen 49 162 305
305 David Drysdale 58 162 300
306 Shubhankar Sharma 9 161 306
307 Jeff Overton 34 161 304
308 Mark Hubbard 62 161 308
309 Mark Wilson 44 160 299
310 Prayad Marksaeng 9 160 312
311 Chris Paisley 55 160 310
312 Ryan Brehm 20 159 315
313 Marc Warren 52 159 307
314 Magnus A Carlsson 48 158 311
315 Rashid Khan 15 158 313
316 Callum Shinkwin 32 158 314
317 David Howell 46 157 309
318 Austin Cook 13 157 297
319 Nino Bertasio 41 155 317
320 Rory Sabbatini 47 153 316
321 Andres Romero 29 153 293
322 Ryan Armour 28 152 318
323 Michael Hendry 8 151 321
324 Paul Waring 17 151 320
325 Scott Pinckney 40 151 319
326 Nicholas Lindheim 21 149 322
327 Jbe Kruger 40 147 325
328 Robert Rock 46 145 326
329 Jason Scrivener 49 145 323
330 Andrew Dodt 46 144 329
331 Marcel Siem 51 144 327
332 Ashley Hall 8 144 328
333 Phachara Khongwatmai 17 143 330
334 Kristoffer Broberg 43 141 324
335 Curtis Luck 14 141 334
336 Peter Malnati 59 141 331
337 Carlos Ortiz 43 141 332
338 Tim Herron 27 141 337
339 Brett Rumford 36 140 335
340 Pep Angles 16 139 339
341 Lee Slattery 54 138 338
342 Hunter Stewart 8 138 333
343 Felipe Aguilar 48 137 340
344 Justin Walters 47 137 341
345 Oliver Fisher 54 135 342
346 Justin Hicks 21 134 346
347 Prom Meesawat 41 133 347
348 Brendon de Jonge 52 132 345
349 George McNeill 41 132 343
350 Gregory Havret 54 131 348
351 Steve Allan 8 130 349
352 Greg Chalmers 46 130 353
353 Alex Prugh 27 129 351
354 Thanyakorn Khrongpha 11 129 356
355 Matthieu Pavon 16 129 355
356 Robert Karlsson 42 129 352
357 Brian Campbell 17 129 350
358 Erik Compton 36 127 354
359 Ryan Fox 31 125 357
360 Matthew Griffin 8 123 359
361 Carlos Pigem 32 123 360
362 Steven Alker 32 122 362
363 Adilson da Silva 27 122 365
364 Eduardo de la Riva 46 121 363
365 Sebastian Heisele 10 121 369
366 Julien Guerrier 8 120 364
367 Dawie van der Walt 36 120 366
368 Jake Higginbottom 9 120 372
369 Jacques Blaauw 13 120 370
370 Ashley Chesters 13 120 361
371 Panuphol Pittayarat 17 120 368
372 Sam Brazel 29 119 367
373 S Chikarangappa 10 119 374
374 Josh Teater 11 118 371
375 Sebastian Munoz 13 118 375
376 Nathan Kimsey 13 118 373
377 Max Orrin 16 117 377
378 Bernd Ritthammer 28 117 378
379 Zander Lombard 23 116 379
380 Shiv Kapur 36 115 381
381 Richard Green 41 115 380
382 Simon Wakefield 8 115 376
383 Christofer Blomstrand 8 114 382
384 Angelo Que 13 113 385
385 Rahil Gangjee 19 113 388
386 Thomas Detry 16 113 387
387 Daniel Im 39 113 384
388 Paul Lawrie 34 113 383
389 Thomas Bjorn 35 112 386
390 David Bransdon 8 112 389
391 Haydn Porteous 43 110 392
392 Bobby Wyatt 23 110 393
393 Andrew Putnam 11 110 401
394 Stephan Jaeger 8 109 358
395 SSP Chawrasia 46 108 394
396 Masahiro Kawamura 17 108 398
397 Nick Cullen 18 107 396
398 Soo-min Lee 41 107 397
399 Rhein Gibson 32 107 395
400 Pelle Edberg 52 106 400
More | Less

A look at the U.S. Open

June 14, 2017 Thomas Hawley

As has been the case most of the time this season, if Dustin Johnson tees it up, Dustin Johnson is the favorite. So it goes this week in the U.S. Open. Although Johnson had his second bad event of the year two weeks ago in the Memorial, he is no. 1 this week both for the overall quality of his play and for the unsentimental mathematical fitness of his game for the standard U.S. Open course. The statistics most highly correlated with success in this event over recent years are driving distance and scrambling, much as many golf fans would suspect. Johnson is no. 1 on the Tour in the former and about two-thirds of the way up the list in the latter.

Included in Johnson’s 15 lifetime victories on the Tour are wins in three straight appearances earlier this season.
Based on analytics reflecting Johnson’s finish estimate and the strength of those behind him, I see Johnson as about a 12-1 shot to win a second straight Open. Next on the list is Rory McIlroy, who should be about 20-1, and then it drops back to a fairly closely-bunched group at 25-1 to 35-1. In strict terms of course fit, the second-best guy in the field is the young Spanish bomber Jon Rahm. After that you have two longshots with a statistical profile to suggest that they are good fits for the course. That’s two-time PGA Tour winner Brendan Steele and Belgium’s Thomas Pieters. Top picks below.

U.S. Open

June 12, 2017 Thomas Hawley , ,
Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Dustin Johnson -9.3 92
2 Rory McIlroy 10.4 102
3 Jason Day 19.0 144
4 Adam Scott 19.1 79
5 Jordan Spieth 21.0 35
6 Paul Casey 21.7 26
7 Sergio Garcia 24.6 21
8 Jon Rahm 26.7 102
9 Francesco Molinari 27.1 79
10 Matt Kuchar 27.3 16
11 Phil Mickelson 30.4 DNP
12 Justin Rose 30.9 69
13 Kevin Kisner 31.0 58
14 Hideki Matsuyama 31.8 2
15 Rickie Fowler 32.5 5
16 Henrik Stenson 32.9 79
17 Justin Thomas 33.1 9
18 Jason Dufner 34.5 127
19 Pat Perez 36.8 69
20 Louis Oosthuizen 37.7 23
21 Brooks Koepka 41.0 1
22 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 41.6 42
23 Alex Noren 42.3 115
24 Branden Grace 42.5 50
25 Brian Harman 42.6 2
26 Charl Schwartzel 43.1 79
27 Bill Haas 43.3 5
28 Brandt Snedeker 43.4 9
29 Tyrrell Hatton 44.0 92
30 Patrick Reed 44.7 13
31 Marc Leishman 44.8 27
32 Brendan Steele 44.9 13
33 Shane Lowry 44.9 46
34 Webb Simpson 44.9 35
35 Bubba Watson 45.3 92
36 Steve Stricker 45.6 16
37 Byeong Hun An 46.8 79
38 Stewart Cink 46.9 46
39 Billy Horschel 47.2 150
40 Emiliano Grillo 47.3 132
41 Martin Kaymer 47.5 35
42 Bernd Wiesberger 47.6 16
43 Graeme McDowell 48.9 102
44 Lucas Glover 49.2 69
45 Ross Fisher 49.2 69
46 Daniel Berger 49.6 140
47 Thomas Pieters 49.6 79
48 Lee Westwood 49.9 55
49 Charley Hoffman 50.4 8
50 Sean O’Hair 50.7 102
51 David Lingmerth 50.8 21
52 Jimmy Walker 51.4 115
53 Adam Hadwin 52.2 60
54 Russell Henley 52.4 27
55 Kevin Na 52.9 32
56 Kevin Chappell 53.4 23
57 Gary Woodland 53.4 50
58 JB Holmes 54.1 12
59 Bud Cauley 54.1 92
60 Zach Johnson 54.3 27
61 Jamie Lovemark 54.5 27
62 Matthew Fitzpatrick 54.7 35
63 Ryan Palmer 57.4 79
64 Tommy Fleetwood 57.9 4
65 Scott Piercy 57.9 115
66 Si-woo Kim 57.9 13
67 Jhonattan Vegas 58.2 132
68 William McGirt 58.7 55
69 Keegan Bradley 59.2 60
70 Martin Laird 59.3 32
71 Jim Furyk 59.9 23
72 Hideto Tanihara 60.1 92
73 Jason Kokrak 60.4 53
74 Chez Reavie 61.1 16
75 Hao-tong Li 61.2 68
76 Chris Wood 61.6 79
77 Wesley Bryan 61.6 154
78 Russell Knox 61.9 102
79 Daniel Summerhays 62.1 65
80 Yuta Ikeda 62.3 69
81 Harris English 62.6 46
82 George Coetzee 63.6 127
83 Peter Uihlein 64.2 69
84 Whee Kim 65.1 50
85 JT Poston 65.1 115
86 Bradley Dredge 66.4 79
87 Danny Willett 66.5 WD
88 Alexander Levy 66.8 132
89 Brian Stuard 67.7 149
90 Andrew Johnston 68.2 42
91 Paul Dunne 68.8 92
92 Jeunghun Wang 69.4 102
93 Angel Cabrera 69.6 102
94 Roberto Castro 69.8 132
95 Gregory Bourdy 69.9 102
96 Thomas Aiken 70.2 58
97 Xander Schauffele 70.3 5
98 Jonathan Randolph 70.8 42
99 Ernie Els 71.1 55
100 CT Pan 71.2 79
101 Brandon Stone 71.5 35
102 Trey Mullinax 71.5 9
103 Richie Ramsay 72.3 69
104 Troy Merritt 72.3 92
105 Bryson DeChambeau 72.8 115
106 Andres Romero 73.4 115
107 Ryan Brehm 73.6 53
108 Eddie Pepperell 74.2 16
109 Brice Garnett 74.8 115
110 Wade Ormsby 75.1 115
111 Michael Putnam 75.1 35
112 Stephan Jaeger 76.7 60
113 Oliver Bekker 77.1 127
114 Matt Wallace 77.3 127
115 Joel Stalter 78.4 102
116 Stewart Hagestad 78.5 132
117 Davis Love 81.0 DNP
118 Jordan Niebrugge 81.0 35
119 Scottie Scheffler 81.3 27
120 Yusaku Miyazato 82.0 60
121 Aaron Rai 83.2 140
122 Nick Flanagan 83.4 144
123 Satoshi Kodaira 83.6 46
124 Sam Ryder 83.7 102
125 Chan Kim 83.9 115
126 Shugo Imahira 84.2 102
127 Roberto Diaz 84.3 92
128 Daniel Chopra 84.4 150
129 Kyle Thompson 84.5 69
130 Andy Pope 84.5 132
131 Maverick McNealy 84.5 79
132 Alex Smalley 84.6 79
133 Brad Dalke 84.6 115
134 Cameron Champ 84.6 32
135 Christopher Crawford 84.6 115
136 Corey Conners 84.6 132
137 Daniel Miernicki 84.6 79
138 Derek Barron 84.6 140
139 Garrett Osborn 84.6 144
140 Gene Sauers 84.6 140
141 Jack Maguire 84.6 42
142 Joaquin Niemann 84.6 102
143 John Oda 84.6 144
144 Kevin Dougherty 84.6 64
145 Mason Andersen 84.6 69
146 Matthew Campbell 84.6 153
147 Max Greyserman 84.6 102
148 Roman Robledo 84.6 150
149 Sahith Theegala 84.6 132
150 Scott Gregory 84.6 92
151 Scott Harvey 84.6 144
152 Talor Gooch 84.6 66
153 Tyson Alexander 84.6 92
154 Walker Lee 84.6 155
155 Todd Light 84.6 DNP
156 Ben Kohles 84.9 127
157 Ted Potter 85.5 115
Tyler Light late entry 67
Dru Love late entry 73
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The accuracy number for these picks is 0, making this the least predictable event in four years, a span of about 400 U.S./ Euro events. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.