Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (June 4, 2017)

June 4, 2017 Thomas Hawley

It’s 12 weeks on top and counting for Dustin Johnson.
# Thru June 4, 2017 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 47 1909 1
2 Rory McIlroy 38 1732 2
3 Jason Day 40 1580 3
4 Jordan Spieth 50 1515 6
5 Adam Scott 42 1487 5
6 Jon Rahm 26 1473 4
7 Rickie Fowler 52 1369 11
8 Sergio Garcia 41 1352 8
9 Justin Rose 47 1351 7
10 Paul Casey 50 1326 9
11 Hideki Matsuyama 48 1268 10
12 Matt Kuchar 60 1262 14
13 Phil Mickelson 47 1257 13
14 Henrik Stenson 48 1215 12
15 Francesco Molinari 47 1181 15
16 Brooks Koepka 53 1155 16
17 Kevin Kisner 56 1107 18
18 Louis Oosthuizen 50 1096 17
19 Justin Thomas 53 1065 22
20 Jason Dufner 50 1043 27
21 Patrick Reed 67 1014 19
22 Charles Howell 51 991 23
23 Brandt Snedeker 56 984 24
24 Charl Schwartzel 47 983 21
25 Brendan Steele 49 972 20
26 Tyrrell Hatton 51 971 25
27 Bill Haas 52 961 28
28 Branden Grace 54 960 26
29 Bubba Watson 47 949 36
30 Pat Perez 37 931 32
31 Marc Leishman 52 909 38
32 Ryan Moore 48 907 29
33 Gary Woodland 52 904 30
34 Daniel Berger 52 894 33
35 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 58 888 31
36 Kevin Na 52 881 34
37 Emiliano Grillo 56 867 37
38 JB Holmes 52 856 35
39 Jimmy Walker 53 856 41
40 Steve Stricker 30 847 39
41 Ryan Palmer 46 846 42
42 Webb Simpson 49 837 40
43 Martin Kaymer 53 835 43
44 Russell Henley 49 818 50
45 Charley Hoffman 56 812 49
46 Tony Finau 56 809 46
47 William McGirt 55 806 44
48 Brian Harman 62 803 47
49 Billy Horschel 51 800 45
50 Adam Hadwin 53 798 48
51 Alex Noren 39 790 52
52 Kevin Chappell 54 782 51
53 Byeong Hun An 55 769 56
54 Zach Johnson 53 767 53
55 Thomas Pieters 48 766 54
56 Bernd Wiesberger 58 754 57
57 Lucas Glover 51 751 55
58 Shane Lowry 49 733 62
59 Kyle Stanley 55 727 72
60 Bud Cauley 37 726 59
61 Russell Knox 59 715 58
62 Graham DeLaet 44 703 76
63 Sean O’Hair 55 687 60
64 Jhonattan Vegas 59 682 63
65 Ross Fisher 48 682 70
66 Jamie Lovemark 52 681 77
67 Scott Piercy 55 678 61
68 Wesley Bryan 24 676 65
69 Lee Westwood 46 664 66
70 Graeme McDowell 58 663 69
71 Hideto Tanihara 14 662 68
72 Nick Watney 29 641 75
73 Soren Kjeldsen 61 636 71
74 Jim Furyk 34 634 64
75 Martin Laird 49 634 73
76 Kevin Tway 26 633 67
77 Matthew Fitzpatrick 60 633 78
78 Stewart Cink 48 632 79
79 Si-woo Kim 56 629 74
80 David Lingmerth 59 621 85
81 Daniel Summerhays 57 604 93
82 Jim Herman 54 599 88
83 Kevin Streelman 53 590 99
84 Chris Kirk 53 590 80
85 Jason Kokrak 55 589 86
86 Andy Sullivan 56 583 87
87 Sung Kang 56 581 82
88 Ollie Schniederjans 38 578 81
89 Danny Lee 68 577 84
90 Keegan Bradley 55 574 83
91 James Hahn 53 567 109
92 Mackenzie Hughes 24 556 89
93 Danny Willett 49 554 92
94 Scott Brown 55 553 90
95 Colt Knost 40 551 94
96 Anirban Lahiri 56 550 114
97 Hudson Swafford 58 543 91
98 Chad Campbell 58 541 97
99 Smylie Kaufman 52 530 95
100 Tommy Fleetwood 55 529 96
101 Ian Poulter 46 528 101
102 Luke List 53 524 98
103 Chez Reavie 55 519 102
104 Luke Donald 55 517 100
105 Jonas Blixt 53 511 105
106 Sangmoon Bae 10 509 107
107 Harris English 58 503 104
108 Cameron Smith 54 493 103
109 Joost Luiten 51 481 106
110 Jerry Kelly 39 478 111
111 JJ Spaun 27 469 108
112 Chris Wood 57 468 119
113 Victor Dubuisson 36 466 112
114 Billy Hurley 51 463 110
115 JT Poston 22 459 116
116 John Huh 55 458 117
117 Nick Taylor 55 454 115
118 Aaron Baddeley 57 454 113
119 Robert Streb 57 452 118
120 Robert Garrigus 51 446 121
121 Patrick Rodgers 55 438 120
122 Patton Kizzire 50 428 122
123 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 55 426 123
124 Cameron Tringale 56 424 125
125 Harold Varner 55 424 138
126 Seung-yul Noh 56 419 129
127 Aaron Wise 8 419 128
128 Michael Kim 51 416 124
129 David Hearn 61 412 126
130 Roberto Castro 56 411 127
131 Peter Uihlein 42 410 144
132 Oscar Fraustro 14 409 137
133 Alex Cejka 57 405 131
134 Haotong Li 28 404 133
135 Morgan Hoffmann 57 403 130
136 Thongchai Jaidee 56 399 132
137 Brian Gay 31 396 135
138 Vaughn Taylor 52 392 134
139 Freddie Jacobson 35 387 139
140 Matt Jones 51 382 140
141 Bryce Molder 55 379 142
142 Blayne Barber 53 379 145
143 Retief Goosen 40 378 136
144 Ben Martin 55 373 150
145 Kyle Reifers 68 366 147
146 Kelly Kraft 48 366 143
147 Pablo Larrazabal 49 363 146
148 Scott Stallings 49 362 152
149 Fabrizio Zanotti 46 362 153
150 Will Wilcox 40 360 151
151 Brian Stuard 55 359 149
152 Michael Thompson 57 356 156
153 Sam Saunders 53 350 155
154 Peter Hanson 35 349 148
155 Grayson Murray 21 349 170
156 Johnson Wagner 54 349 154
157 John Senden 54 347 159
158 Jon Curran 50 347 161
159 Thorbjorn Olesen 55 345 175
160 David Toms 29 344 160
161 Padraig Harrington 48 344 179
162 Yuta Ikeda 13 343 141
163 Andrew Johnston 49 342 163
164 Jordan L Smith 13 340 164
165 Jorge Campillo 53 340 158
166 Jaco van Zyl 47 336 162
167 Julian Etulain 20 334 172
168 Ricky Barnes 62 334 195
169 Tim Wilkinson 53 334 169
170 Bradley Dredge 44 333 178
171 Geoff Ogilvy 46 332 168
172 George Coetzee 48 332 183
173 Brandon Hagy 23 330 174
174 Richard Bland 52 328 165
175 Nicolas Colsaerts 58 327 184
176 Zac Blair 67 326 167
177 Fabian Gomez 55 325 166
178 Alexander Levy 48 323 181
179 Hao-tong Li 10 323 176
180 Kyung-tae Kim 18 322 177
181 Alexander Bjork 14 322 157
182 KJ Choi 44 322 173
183 Vijay Singh 45 320 171
184 Jamie Donaldson 48 318 196
185 Whee Kim 44 317 180
186 Gregory Bourdy 57 315 187
187 Chris Stroud 52 312 182
188 Ryan Blaum 28 312 186
189 Andrew Loupe 51 309 189
190 Derek Fathauer 60 308 190
191 Tyrone van Aswegen 65 308 188
192 Justin Leonard 20 306 191
193 Cameron Percy 44 304 192
194 Dean Burmester 25 303 194
195 Alejandro Canizares 47 301 193
196 Camilo Villegas 60 299 185
197 Rob Oppenheim 33 298 198
198 Dominic Bozzelli 21 295 199
199 Henrik Norlander 34 294 200
200 Jeunghun Wang 43 294 203
201 Bronson Burgoon 32 293 201
202 Richard Sterne 35 290 197
203 Lee McCoy 13 284 202
204 Bill Lunde 15 283 205
205 Tim Clark 14 283 213
206 Joel Dahmen 12 278 210
207 John Peterson 24 278 206
208 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 43 277 204
209 David Horsey 50 277 207
210 Troy Merritt 58 276 211
211 Spencer Levin 65 276 209
212 Benjamin Hebert 52 272 227
213 DA Points 47 272 208
214 Tag Ridings 20 270 217
215 David Lipsky 58 269 214
216 James Morrison 53 269 215
217 CT Pan 33 265 226
218 Rikard Karlberg 48 265 212
219 Thomas Aiken 56 264 218
220 Xander Schauffele 21 263 219
221 Scott Hend 59 263 216
222 Andres Gonzales 56 263 220
223 Jonathan Randolph 29 261 225
224 Boo Weekley 54 260 222
225 Robby Shelton 11 256 224
226 Martin Flores 35 254 228
227 Paul Dunne 42 252 221
228 Mikko Ilonen 44 250 223
229 Seamus Power 23 250 230
230 Tom Hoge 52 244 232
231 Julien Quesne 48 242 229
232 Shawn Stefani 54 242 233
233 Joakim Lagergren 50 237 231
234 Brett Stegmaier 52 237 235
235 Ben Crane 52 236 237
236 Bryson DeChambeau 44 235 238
237 Martin Piller 30 235 239
238 Chad Collins 52 231 240
239 Graeme Storm 54 226 241
240 Florian Fritsch 29 223 234
241 Ashun Wu 29 223 236
242 JJ Henry 57 221 246
243 Hiroshi Iwata 44 220 248
244 Angel Cabrera 38 219 252
245 Scott Langley 40 218 249
246 Luke Guthrie 34 217 250
247 Ryo Ishikawa 34 217 242
248 Stephen Gallacher 43 215 245
249 Jason Bohn 49 214 247
250 Greg Owen 50 212 253
251 Dylan Frittelli 24 211 244
252 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 33 211 256
253 Mark Anderson 17 209 257
254 Romain Langasque 20 209 243
255 Richy Werenski 21 209 258
256 Jason Gore 45 208 255
257 Cody Gribble 26 207 262
258 Maximilian Kieffer 50 206 254
259 Ken Duke 48 206 261
260 Brandon Stone 34 205 263
261 Anthony Wall 44 205 251
262 Andrew Landry 24 203 268
263 Renato Paratore 59 202 293
264 Richie Ramsay 46 202 265
265 Wes Roach 27 201 271
266 Raphael Jacquelin 52 200 259
267 Nacho Elvira 46 200 260
268 Chesson Hadley 43 198 276
269 Mikko Korhonen 45 196 273
270 Steve Wheatcroft 48 195 277
271 Will MacKenzie 47 194 279
272 Tiger Woods 9 194 266
273 Andres Romero 29 194 267
274 Matteo Manassero 50 194 270
275 Brice Garnett 32 193 275
276 Ricardo Gouveia 43 193 269
277 Lucas Bjerregaard 58 191 272
278 Tyler Aldridge 43 191 282
279 Rod Pampling 49 190 278
280 Ernie Els 52 190 283
281 YE Yang 34 189 281
282 Marcus Fraser 49 188 274
283 Jonathan Byrd 25 188 280
284 Stuart Appleby 39 185 287
285 Meen-whee Kim 15 183 286
286 Matthew Southgate 42 183 285
287 Gavin Green 8 182 288
288 Trey Mullinax 27 181 290
289 Miguel Angel Jimenez 27 181 291
290 Trevor Fisher 39 180 292
291 Austin Cook 14 179 284
292 Anders Hansen 18 179 264
293 Scott Jamieson 54 177 303
294 Brett Drewitt 15 176 298
295 Romain Wattel 52 176 289
296 Mark Wilson 44 172 299
297 Johan Carlsson 51 171 297
298 Chris Hanson 34 170 296
299 Marc Warren 52 169 295
300 Darren Fichardt 43 169 302
301 Rory Sabbatini 46 165 304
302 David Howell 46 163 300
303 David Drysdale 59 163 305
304 Austin Connelly 10 163 481
305 Jeff Overton 35 162 310
306 Lasse Jensen 50 162 306
307 Shubhankar Sharma 9 162 311
308 Steve Marino 43 161 313
309 Paul Waring 16 161 314
310 Ryan Ruffels 16 160 294
311 Magnus A Carlsson 48 160 307
312 Chris Paisley 56 160 308
313 Mark Hubbard 62 160 316
314 Nicholas Lindheim 20 159 317
315 Rashid Khan 15 157 318
316 Prayad Marksaeng 9 157 321
317 Kristoffer Broberg 43 156 319
318 Callum Shinkwin 33 156 309
319 Curtis Luck 13 154 301
320 Scott Pinckney 41 152 324
321 Robert Rock 46 150 320
322 Michael Hendry 8 149 333
323 Ryan Armour 27 149 315
324 Peter Malnati 58 148 329
325 Nino Bertasio 40 147 325
326 Jason Scrivener 50 147 323
327 Brett Rumford 35 146 322
328 Hunter Stewart 8 146 327
329 Phachara Khongwatmai 16 145 335
330 Lee Slattery 54 145 326
331 Ashley Hall 8 145 334
332 George McNeill 42 144 331
333 Andrew Dodt 46 144 330
334 Marcel Siem 52 143 364
335 Carlos Ortiz 43 143 337
336 Brendon de Jonge 52 141 332
337 Eddie Pepperell 42 139 380
338 Ryan Brehm 18 139 341
339 Prom Meesawat 40 139 342
340 Pep Angles 16 138 328
341 Sebastian Heisele 9 138 312
342 Oliver Fisher 54 138 338
343 Tim Herron 27 138 343
344 Justin Walters 48 137 339
345 Gregory Havret 53 136 340
346 Justin Hicks 21 133 346
347 Steve Allan 8 131 348
348 Steven Alker 32 130 347
349 Felipe Aguilar 47 130 344
350 Nathan Kimsey 12 130 368
351 Erik Compton 37 129 349
352 Alex Prugh 28 129 350
353 Max Orrin 15 128 437
354 Robert Karlsson 42 128 352
355 Jbe Kruger 40 128 354
356 Matthieu Pavon 16 128 459
357 Greg Chalmers 47 127 359
358 Eduardo de la Riva 46 127 355
359 Thanyakorn Khrongpha 11 126 357
360 Ashley Chesters 12 126 336
361 Sebastian Munoz 12 125 356
362 Matthew Griffin 8 124
363 Stephan Jaeger 8 124 360
364 Ryan Fox 30 124 387
365 Richard Green 40 123 374
366 Thomas Detry 15 122 345
367 Carlos Pigem 32 122 362
368 Dawie van der Walt 36 122 361
369 Sam Brazel 29 122 353
370 Adilson da Silva 27 121 365
371 Panuphol Pittayarat 17 120 366
372 Zander Lombard 22 120 351
373 Jacques Blaauw 14 120 372
374 Simon Wakefield 9 119 369
375 Josh Teater 12 119 371
376 Jake Higginbottom 9 118 378
377 S Chikarangappa 10 117 376
378 Paul Lawrie 34 116 375
379 Michael Putnam 25 115 373
380 Bernd Ritthammer 29 115 363
381 Bobby Wyatt 22 115 382
382 Shiv Kapur 37 115 381
383 Daniel Im 39 114 370
384 Christofer Blomstrand 8 113
385 Thomas Bjorn 35 113 367
386 Angelo Que 13 113 383
387 Joel Stalter 15 113 358
388 David Bransdon 8 111 388
389 Haydn Porteous 42 111 379
390 Wade Ormsby 36 111 377
391 Rahil Gangjee 19 111 390
392 Miguel Angel Carballo 39 109 392
393 Derek Ernst 38 109 386
394 Rhein Gibson 32 108 391
395 Brian Campbell 17 108 389
396 Nick Cullen 18 108 393
397 SSP Chawrasia 46 108 400
398 Soo-min Lee 41 108 384
399 Pelle Edberg 53 107 385
400 Masahiro Kawamura 18 106 395
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide

May 28, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,
Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Dustin Johnson -13.9 104
2 Patrick Cantlay -7.0 35
3 Adam Scott 15.4 31
4 Matt Kuchar 20.4 4
5 Jordan Spieth 22.7 13
6 Jon Rahm 23.0 91
7 Hideki Matsuyama 24.4 45
8 Justin Rose 26.8 DNP
9 Jason Day 27.2 15
10 Rickie Fowler 32.9 2
11 Phil Mickelson 33.6 22
12 Charl Schwartzel 34.1 35
13 Brooks Koepka 34.5 31
14 Kevin Kisner 34.9 6
15 Pat Perez 39.6 19
16 Bill Haas 39.8 25
17 Brian Harman 40.1 104
18 Justin Thomas 40.2 4
19 Jason Dufner 40.3 1
20 Brendan Steele 41.1 57
21 Patrick Reed 42.0 57
22 Webb Simpson 42.0 67
23 Marc Leishman 42.2 15
24 Ryan Moore 43.7 99
25 Tony Finau 44.5 40
26 Kevin Chappell 46.0 52
27 Emiliano Grillo 46.6 40
28 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 46.7 91
29 Adam Hadwin 47.1 104
30 Charley Hoffman 47.3 45
31 Gary Woodland 49.6 49
32 JB Holmes 49.6 114
33 Byeong Hun An 50.1 25
34 Stewart Cink 50.5 25
35 Billy Horschel 50.6 85
36 Bud Cauley 50.9 25
37 Lucas Glover 51.1 45
38 Keegan Bradley 51.1 99
39 Sean O’Hair 51.4 52
40 Ross Fisher 51.6 22
41 Kyle Stanley 51.7 6
42 David Lingmerth 51.7 15
43 Bubba Watson 51.9 6
44 William McGirt 52.0 67
45 Cameron Smith 52.7 65
46 Shane Lowry 53.8 15
47 Danny Lee 54.6 49
48 Kevin Tway 54.7 104
49 Jim Furyk 55.5 99
50 Zach Johnson 56.3 40
51 Smylie Kaufman 56.5 91
52 Scott Piercy 56.7 85
53 Tommy Fleetwood 57.4 112
54 Si-woo Kim 57.7 WD
55 Martin Laird 57.9 52
56 Ollie Schniederjans 58.6 71
57 Soren Kjeldsen 58.6 71
58 Russell Knox 58.8 65
59 Sung Kang 59.0 75
60 Scott Brown 59.2 91
61 Yuta Ikeda 59.5 112
62 Jim Herman 59.7 19
63 Nick Taylor 59.7 49
64 Morgan Hoffmann 59.8 77
65 Jonas Blixt 60.2 31
66 Mackenzie Hughes 60.3 45
67 Jamie Lovemark 60.4 10
68 Chris Kirk 60.5 104
69 Graham DeLaet 60.6 10
70 Kevin Streelman 61.4 13
71 Billy Hurley 61.5 114
72 Hudson Swafford 62.0 85
73 Jason Kokrak 62.4 35
74 Kelly Kraft 62.5 114
75 James Hahn 62.7 6
76 John Huh 62.9 DNP
77 Vaughn Taylor 63.2 73
78 Aaron Baddeley 63.5 99
79 Luke List 64.0 77
80 JT Poston 64.0 DNP
81 Daniel Summerhays 64.2 10
82 Brian Stuard 64.3 52
83 Luke Donald 64.3 77
84 Peter Uihlein 64.9 25
85 JJ Spaun 65.0 WD
86 David Hearn 65.4 77
87 Ben Martin 65.6 35
88 Michael Kim 65.9 104
89 Blayne Barber 66.4 DNP
90 Patrick Rodgers 66.5 67
91 Anirban Lahiri 66.5 2
92 Harris English 66.7 DNP
93 Brian Gay 66.8 DNP
94 Roberto Castro 66.9 91
95 Grayson Murray 67.0 35
96 Patton Kizzire 67.3 99
97 Camilo Villegas 67.7 63
98 Vijay Singh 68.1 85
99 Alex Cejka 68.5 57
100 Retief Goosen 68.5 85
101 Kyle Reifers 68.6 91
102 KJ Choi 68.7 67
103 Sam Saunders 69.0 57
104 DA Points 69.3 57
105 Harold Varner 69.4 19
106 Johnson Wagner 69.6 114
107 Padraig Harrington 69.6 31
108 Ricky Barnes 70.0 22
109 Ryan Ruffels 70.3 118
110 Bryce Molder 70.4 DNP
111 Rod Pampling 70.5 57
112 Tyrone van Aswegen 70.5 DNP
113 Ryo Ishikawa 71.3 77
114 Fabian Gomez 71.3 77
115 Dominic Bozzelli 71.6 DNP
116 Spencer Levin 71.6 DNP
117 CT Pan 71.8 40
118 Curtis Luck 72.5 73
119 Jason Bohn 72.9 DNP
120 Carl Pettersson 73.0 91
121 Ryan Armour 73.3 104
122 Brendon de Jonge 74.1 85
123 Hunter Mahan 74.2 77
124 Greg Chalmers 74.7 52
125 Steven Bowditch 76.3 91
126 Matt Every 77.4 104
127 Brett Coletta 84.0 25
128 Scott Gregory 84.6 77
129 Matthew Griffin 85.3 76
Steve Stricker late entry 44
Zac Blair late entry 63
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 117. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Nordea Masters

May 28, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,
Henrik Stenson
Henrik Stenson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Henrik Stenson -5.2 26
2 Alex Noren 41.8 15
3 Matthew Fitzpatrick 50.4 2
4 Lee Westwood 50.9 15
5 Andy Sullivan 52.6 8
6 Rikard Karlberg 52.8 47
7 Pablo Larrazabal 54.6 73
8 Peter Hanson 57.5 62
9 Nicolas Colsaerts 58.5 8
10 Victor Dubuisson 58.6 DNP
11 Julien Quesne 59.0 119
12 Maximilian Kieffer 59.5 139
13 Alexander Bjork 60.2 73
14 Joost Luiten 60.3 95
15 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 60.4 41
16 Chris Wood 60.6 2
17 Alexander Levy 60.9 15
18 Hao-tong Li 61.6 26
19 Jorge Campillo 61.9 95
20 Bradley Dredge 62.6 15
21 Mikko Ilonen 64.2 95
22 Matteo Manassero 64.5 72
23 Alejandro Canizares 64.9 30
24 Jaco van Zyl 65.2 36
25 George Coetzee 65.6 4
26 Fabrizio Zanotti 65.9 DNP
27 Thongchai Jaidee 66.2 53
28 Thorbjorn Olesen 66.3 4
29 Richard Bland 66.7 53
30 Thomas Bjorn 67.2 148
31 Dylan Frittelli 67.6 108
32 Paul Dunne 68.4 80
33 Stephen Gallacher 68.8 53
34 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 68.8 DNP
35 Gregory Bourdy 69.0 21
36 Benjamin Hebert 69.2 8
37 Raphael Jacquelin 69.3 119
38 Lucas Bjerregaard 69.6 62
39 Jamie Donaldson 69.8 7
40 David Lipsky 69.9 30
41 Graeme Storm 70.0 41
42 Romain Wattel 70.8 73
43 Anders Hansen 71.0 108
44 Florian Fritsch 71.1 108
45 Scott Hend 71.2 47
46 Richie Ramsay 71.2 36
47 Richard Sterne 71.3 47
48 Johan Carlsson 71.5 80
49 Jeunghun Wang 71.5 8
50 Magnus A Carlsson 71.7 139
51 Joakim Lagergren 71.8 68
52 Ashun Wu 71.9 95
53 Alvaro Quiros 72.1 DNP
54 Romain Langasque 72.3 80
55 Robert Karlsson 72.4 DNP
56 Gregory Havret 72.6 139
57 Anthony Wall 73.1 95
58 Scott Jamieson 73.5 21
59 Sebastian Heisele 73.6 133
60 Eduardo de la Riva 73.7 36
61 Eduardo de la Riva 73.7 36
62 Matthew Southgate 73.8 65
63 Lee Slattery 73.8 139
64 Andrew Dodt 73.8 65
65 YE Yang 74.1 DNP
66 Brett Rumford 74.3 128
67 Nacho Elvira 74.4 57
68 Marcus Fraser 74.4 133
69 Jens Dantorp 74.5 133
70 Felipe Aguilar 74.6 57
71 Ricardo Gouveia 74.9 80
72 Kristoffer Broberg 75.0 30
73 Callum Shinkwin 75.0 WD
74 Pep Angles 75.1 152
75 Ashley Chesters 75.3 73
76 Nino Bertasio 75.4 80
77 Oliver Fisher 75.4 80
78 Paul Lawrie 75.6 DNP
79 Richard Green 75.7 30
80 Marc Warren 75.7 119
81 Paul Waring 75.8 36
82 Lasse Jensen 75.8 62
83 Jason Scrivener 75.9 119
84 SSP Chawrasia 76.0 30
85 David Howell 76.0 WD
86 Chris Hanson 76.1 95
87 Renato Paratore 76.2 1
88 Bernd Ritthammer 76.4 95
89 Chris Paisley 76.4 73
90 Aaron Rai 76.5 DNP
91 Thomas Detry 76.6 119
92 Shiv Kapur 76.6 41
93 Sebastian Soderberg 76.6 41
94 David Drysdale 76.8 108
95 Tom Lewis 76.8 41
96 Robert Rock 76.9 128
97 Joel Stalter 77.1 108
98 Justin Walters 77.2 80
99 Daniel Im 77.2 95
100 Nathan Kimsey 77.3 30
101 Craig Lee 77.4 DNP
102 Anton Karlsson 77.4 146
103 Marcel Siem 77.5 8
104 Niclas Fasth 77.6 95
105 Zander Lombard 77.7 65
106 Soo-min Lee 78.0 80
107 Jens Fahrbring 78.2 47
108 Sam Brazel 78.2 57
109 Paul Peterson 78.2 73
110 Eddie Pepperell 78.4 8
111 Haydn Porteous 78.4 80
112 Julien Guerrier 78.4 26
113 Wade Ormsby 78.5 80
114 Max Orrin 78.6 15
115 Pelle Edberg 78.9 71
116 Marcus Armitage 79.2 80
117 Mark Foster 79.2 139
118 Adrian Otaegui 79.2 80
119 Daniel Brooks 79.3 57
120 Ryan Fox 79.4 21
121 Jeff Winther 79.7 53
122 Simon Dyson 79.8 57
123 Richard S Johnson 79.8 133
124 Austin Connelly 79.9 8
125 Duncan Stewart 80.0 95
126 Ricardo Gonzalez 80.2 108
127 Matthieu Pavon 80.2 6
128 Richard McEvoy 80.3 80
129 Johan Edfors 80.3 36
130 Stuart Manley 80.3 95
131 Sam Walker 80.4 80
132 Miguel Tabuena 80.4 DNP
133 Nathan Holman 80.4 DNP
134 Jaco Ahlers 80.6 119
135 Paul Maddy 80.8 146
136 Laurie Canter 80.8 41
137 Jose-Filipe Lima 80.9 26
138 Gary Stal 80.9 80
139 Matthew Nixon 81.0 150
140 Alexander Knappe 81.0 119
141 Pontus Widegren 81.1 108
142 Sebastien Gros 81.1 47
143 Scott Henry 81.5 119
144 John Parry 81.6 73
145 Steven Tiley 82.4 139
146 Gary King 82.7 150
147 Damien Perrier 83.2 108
148 Jordan Smith 83.6 21
149 Trevor Immelman 84.0 108
150 Oscar Stark 84.0 128
151 Jamie Rutherford 84.3 133
152 Niclas Johansson 84.3 128
153 Christofer Blomstrand 84.3 15
154 Richard Finch 84.4 139
155 Adrien Bernadet 84.5 47
156 Oscar Lengden 84.6 108
157 Fredrik Nilehn 84.6 70
158 Gumundur Kristjansson 84.6 148
159 Hannes Ronneblad 84.6 108
160 Magnus Persson Atlevi 84.6 153
161 Michael Miller 84.6 119
162 Zach Wright 84.6 95
163 Rafa Echenique 84.7 95
164 Niklas Lemke 85.1 21
Oliver Gillberg late entry 69
Robert Dinwiddie late entry 131
Marcus Larsson late entry 138
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 184. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (May 28, 2017)

May 28, 2017 Thomas Hawley

It’s 10 weeks on top and counting for Dustin Johnson.
# Thru May 28, 2017 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 47 1974 1
2 Rory McIlroy 38 1731 2
3 Jason Day 40 1569 3
4 Jon Rahm 25 1555 5
5 Adam Scott 41 1508 4
6 Jordan Spieth 50 1498 6
7 Justin Rose 48 1355 7
8 Sergio Garcia 41 1352 8
9 Paul Casey 50 1324 11
10 Hideki Matsuyama 48 1305 9
11 Rickie Fowler 52 1299 10
12 Henrik Stenson 48 1254 13
13 Phil Mickelson 47 1250 12
14 Matt Kuchar 60 1205 14
15 Francesco Molinari 48 1181 16
16 Brooks Koepka 53 1166 15
17 Louis Oosthuizen 50 1094 17
18 Kevin Kisner 56 1051 21
19 Patrick Reed 67 1036 18
20 Brendan Steele 49 1004 20
21 Charl Schwartzel 47 995 23
22 Justin Thomas 53 993 22
23 Charles Howell 52 990 25
24 Brandt Snedeker 56 982 19
25 Tyrrell Hatton 51 968 26
26 Branden Grace 54 962 28
27 Jason Dufner 50 956 24
28 Bill Haas 52 953 30
29 Ryan Moore 48 940 27
30 Gary Woodland 52 924 31
31 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 58 909 32
32 Pat Perez 37 900 29
33 Daniel Berger 53 891 33
34 Kevin Na 53 881 35
35 JB Holmes 51 881 37
36 Bubba Watson 46 876 36
37 Emiliano Grillo 56 875 39
38 Marc Leishman 52 875 34
39 Steve Stricker 30 865 53
40 Webb Simpson 48 862 49
41 Jimmy Walker 53 850 43
42 Ryan Palmer 46 843 38
43 Martin Kaymer 53 835 40
44 William McGirt 55 830 41
45 Billy Horschel 51 827 44
46 Tony Finau 56 826 45
47 Brian Harman 61 826 52
48 Adam Hadwin 53 824 42
49 Charley Hoffman 55 822 47
50 Russell Henley 50 822 46
51 Kevin Chappell 54 803 50
52 Alex Noren 39 801 57
53 Zach Johnson 52 781 48
54 Thomas Pieters 49 763 58
55 Lucas Glover 51 763 51
56 Byeong Hun An 54 757 56
57 Bernd Wiesberger 58 753 55
58 Russell Knox 59 737 54
59 Bud Cauley 36 707 59
60 Sean O’Hair 55 704 73
61 Scott Piercy 55 697 70
62 Shane Lowry 48 691 69
63 Jhonattan Vegas 59 680 61
64 Jim Furyk 34 675 62
65 Wesley Bryan 24 675 60
66 Lee Westwood 45 668 71
67 Kevin Tway 25 667 77
68 Hideto Tanihara 14 664 98
69 Graeme McDowell 58 663 68
70 Ross Fisher 47 656 74
71 Soren Kjeldsen 61 655 67
72 Kyle Stanley 54 655 63
73 Martin Laird 49 648 64
74 Si-woo Kim 55 643 72
75 Nick Watney 30 638 65
76 Graham DeLaet 44 638 66
77 Jamie Lovemark 51 626 75
78 Matthew Fitzpatrick 59 625 79
79 Stewart Cink 48 613 89
80 Chris Kirk 53 605 76
81 Ollie Schniederjans 37 604 80
82 Sung Kang 55 595 78
83 Keegan Bradley 55 594 82
84 Danny Lee 68 587 96
85 David Lingmerth 59 585 93
86 Jason Kokrak 55 584 81
87 Andy Sullivan 56 577 83
88 Jim Herman 54 569 86
89 Mackenzie Hughes 23 569 85
90 Scott Brown 55 566 101
91 Hudson Swafford 58 558 90
92 Danny Willett 49 556 84
93 Daniel Summerhays 57 550 87
94 Colt Knost 41 546 97
95 Smylie Kaufman 51 546 94
96 Tommy Fleetwood 55 546 88
97 Chad Campbell 58 544 95
98 Luke List 52 539 92
99 Kevin Streelman 53 538 104
100 Luke Donald 54 537 91
101 Ian Poulter 46 525 99
102 Chez Reavie 55 521 100
103 Cameron Smith 54 510 103
104 Harris English 59 504 105
105 Jonas Blixt 53 497 116
106 Joost Luiten 51 497 107
107 Sangmoon Bae 11 496 108
108 JJ Spaun 26 493 102
109 James Hahn 53 492 106
110 Billy Hurley 50 477 109
111 Jerry Kelly 39 476 112
112 Victor Dubuisson 36 471 119
113 Aaron Baddeley 56 466 110
114 Anirban Lahiri 55 461 111
115 Nick Taylor 55 461 113
116 JT Poston 22 460 118
117 John Huh 56 457 115
118 Robert Streb 58 457 120
119 Chris Wood 56 454 117
120 Patrick Rodgers 55 454 114
121 Robert Garrigus 51 442 123
122 Patton Kizzire 49 440 121
123 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 55 436 132
124 Michael Kim 50 428 126
125 Cameron Tringale 57 425 122
126 David Hearn 61 424 124
127 Roberto Castro 55 422 129
128 Aaron Wise 8 420 128
129 Seung-yul Noh 57 419 125
130 Morgan Hoffmann 57 416 145
131 Alex Cejka 57 414 131
132 Thongchai Jaidee 56 412 127
133 Haotong Li 28 406 133
134 Vaughn Taylor 51 405 148
135 Brian Gay 31 396 137
136 Retief Goosen 40 394 136
137 Oscar Fraustro 14 394 142
138 Harold Varner 54 388 135
139 Freddie Jacobson 35 387 139
140 Matt Jones 52 386 134
141 Yuta Ikeda 12 381 130
142 Bryce Molder 55 378 138
143 Kelly Kraft 47 377 160
144 Peter Uihlein 42 376 149
145 Blayne Barber 53 376 140
146 Pablo Larrazabal 49 375 152
147 Kyle Reifers 68 374 141
148 Peter Hanson 35 369 163
149 Brian Stuard 55 364 162
150 Ben Martin 55 364 146
151 Will Wilcox 40 363 150
152 Scott Stallings 50 363 144
153 Fabrizio Zanotti 47 362 143
154 Johnson Wagner 53 360 147
155 Sam Saunders 53 356 167
156 Michael Thompson 57 356 151
157 Alexander Bjork 13 351 213
158 Jorge Campillo 53 350 153
159 John Senden 55 347 156
160 David Toms 29 345 158
161 Jon Curran 50 345 159
162 Jaco van Zyl 47 343 188
163 Andrew Johnston 50 341 179
164 Jordan L Smith 13 340 166
165 Richard Bland 51 338 154
166 Fabian Gomez 54 336 157
167 Zac Blair 67 334 161
168 Geoff Ogilvy 46 333 164
169 Tim Wilkinson 53 332 171
170 Grayson Murray 20 332 169
171 Vijay Singh 45 332 170
172 Julian Etulain 20 330 172
173 KJ Choi 44 330 173
174 Brandon Hagy 23 330 155
175 Thorbjorn Olesen 55 329 165
176 Hao-tong Li 9 325 193
177 Kyung-tae Kim 18 324 176
178 Bradley Dredge 44 323 175
179 Padraig Harrington 47 322 168
180 Whee Kim 44 317 192
181 Alexander Levy 48 315 178
182 Chris Stroud 53 315 182
183 George Coetzee 48 315 174
184 Nicolas Colsaerts 58 312 223
185 Camilo Villegas 60 311 177
186 Ryan Blaum 28 311 205
187 Gregory Bourdy 56 311 181
188 Tyrone van Aswegen 65 308 183
189 Andrew Loupe 51 307 190
190 Derek Fathauer 60 307 189
191 Justin Leonard 21 306 191
192 Cameron Percy 44 304 180
193 Alejandro Canizares 47 304 184
194 Dean Burmester 25 304 240
195 Ricky Barnes 61 303 209
196 Jamie Donaldson 47 301 187
197 Richard Sterne 35 299 186
198 Rob Oppenheim 33 299 195
199 Dominic Bozzelli 21 296 185
200 Henrik Norlander 34 296 194
201 Bronson Burgoon 32 293 196
202 Lee McCoy 13 281 203
203 Jeunghun Wang 42 279 198
204 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 44 278 197
205 Bill Lunde 15 278 215
206 John Peterson 25 278 204
207 David Horsey 50 277 200
208 DA Points 47 277 210
209 Spencer Levin 65 276 206
210 Joel Dahmen 12 276 212
211 Troy Merritt 59 276 207
212 Rikard Karlberg 48 273 199
213 Tim Clark 14 272 221
214 David Lipsky 58 271 202
215 James Morrison 54 270 201
216 Scott Hend 59 268 226
217 Tag Ridings 20 267 219
218 Thomas Aiken 57 265 208
219 Xander Schauffele 21 263 216
220 Andres Gonzales 57 262 222
221 Paul Dunne 41 261 228
222 Boo Weekley 54 261 214
223 Mikko Ilonen 44 259 217
224 Robby Shelton 11 259 224
225 Jonathan Randolph 29 258 227
226 CT Pan 32 258 211
227 Benjamin Hebert 52 256 220
228 Martin Flores 35 254 218
229 Julien Quesne 47 251 229
230 Seamus Power 23 249 230
231 Joakim Lagergren 50 246 225
232 Tom Hoge 52 246 231
233 Shawn Stefani 55 242 233
234 Florian Fritsch 29 241 251
235 Brett Stegmaier 52 237 238
236 Ashun Wu 28 237 237
237 Ben Crane 52 235 241
238 Bryson DeChambeau 44 235 235
239 Martin Piller 30 233 232
240 Chad Collins 52 232 243
241 Graeme Storm 54 230 293
242 Ryo Ishikawa 34 229 242
243 Romain Langasque 19 224 234
244 Dylan Frittelli 23 224 236
245 Stephen Gallacher 43 223 275
246 JJ Henry 57 222 244
247 Jason Bohn 50 221 239
248 Hiroshi Iwata 44 220 246
249 Scott Langley 41 220 245
250 Luke Guthrie 34 218 248
251 Anthony Wall 43 217 249
252 Angel Cabrera 38 216 257
253 Greg Owen 50 216 247
254 Maximilian Kieffer 50 215 270
255 Jason Gore 46 211 254
256 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 34 210 259
257 Mark Anderson 17 210 258
258 Richy Werenski 21 209 256
259 Raphael Jacquelin 52 209 250
260 Nacho Elvira 45 206 253
261 Ken Duke 49 206 264
262 Cody Gribble 26 206 273
263 Brandon Stone 34 206 252
264 Anders Hansen 18 205 267
265 Richie Ramsay 45 203 280
266 Tiger Woods 10 203 255
267 Andres Romero 29 202 261
268 Andrew Landry 24 201 268
269 Ricardo Gouveia 42 201 260
270 Matteo Manassero 49 200 284
271 Wes Roach 27 200 272
272 Lucas Bjerregaard 58 198 262
273 Mikko Korhonen 45 197 263
274 Marcus Fraser 48 197 265
275 Brice Garnett 32 197 269
276 Chesson Hadley 44 195 278
277 Steve Wheatcroft 49 195 276
278 Rod Pampling 48 194 266
279 Will MacKenzie 48 193 281
280 Jonathan Byrd 26 191 277
281 YE Yang 34 191 279
282 Tyler Aldridge 43 190 283
283 Ernie Els 53 189 282
284 Austin Cook 14 189 271
285 Matthew Southgate 41 189 274
286 Meen-whee Kim 15 184 305
287 Stuart Appleby 39 183 289
288 Gavin Green 8 182 291
289 Romain Wattel 51 181 285
290 Trey Mullinax 27 181 292
291 Miguel Angel Jimenez 28 181 290
292 Trevor Fisher 40 179 296
293 Renato Paratore 59 179 288
294 Ryan Ruffels 15 178 300
295 Marc Warren 51 178 286
296 Chris Hanson 33 177 287
297 Johan Carlsson 51 176 294
298 Brett Drewitt 15 176 302
299 Mark Wilson 44 175 298
300 David Howell 46 173 299
301 Curtis Luck 12 170 354
302 Darren Fichardt 44 169 297
303 Scott Jamieson 53 169 345
304 Rory Sabbatini 47 169 295
305 David Drysdale 59 168 307
306 Lasse Jensen 50 167 303
307 Magnus A Carlsson 48 167 304
308 Chris Paisley 56 165 306
309 Callum Shinkwin 33 164 310
310 Jeff Overton 36 163 309
311 Shubhankar Sharma 9 162 315
312 Sebastian Heisele 8 161 314
313 Steve Marino 43 160 318
314 Paul Waring 15 160 301
315 Ryan Armour 26 160 316
316 Mark Hubbard 62 159 319
317 Nicholas Lindheim 20 158 320
318 Rashid Khan 15 157 322
319 Kristoffer Broberg 43 157 308
320 Robert Rock 45 155 312
321 Prayad Marksaeng 9 155 325
322 Brett Rumford 34 153 326
323 Jason Scrivener 50 153 317
324 Scott Pinckney 41 152 323
325 Nino Bertasio 39 152 388
326 Lee Slattery 54 151 321
327 Hunter Stewart 8 151 324
328 Pep Angles 15 149 311
329 Peter Malnati 58 149 329
330 Andrew Dodt 45 149 430
331 George McNeill 43 149 327
332 Brendon de Jonge 52 148 328
333 Michael Hendry 8 148 331
334 Ashley Hall 8 145 333
335 Phachara Khongwatmai 16 145 313
336 Ashley Chesters 11 145 330
337 Carlos Ortiz 44 144 334
338 Oliver Fisher 54 143 340
339 Justin Walters 48 141 332
340 Gregory Havret 53 140 335
341 Ryan Brehm 18 140 337
342 Prom Meesawat 40 139 339
343 Tim Herron 27 136 336
344 Felipe Aguilar 47 134 338
345 Thomas Detry 14 133 344
346 Justin Hicks 21 132 349
347 Steven Alker 32 131 348
348 Steve Allan 8 131 350
349 Erik Compton 38 130 347
350 Alex Prugh 28 129 353
351 Zander Lombard 21 128 341
352 Robert Karlsson 43 128 343
353 Sam Brazel 28 128 342
354 Jbe Kruger 41 127 355
355 Eduardo de la Riva 46 126 346
356 Sebastian Munoz 12 126 358
357 Thanyakorn Khrongpha 11 125 362
358 Joel Stalter 14 124 359
359 Greg Chalmers 47 124 352
360 Stephan Jaeger 8 123 364
361 Dawie van der Walt 36 123 361
362 Carlos Pigem 32 123 351
363 Bernd Ritthammer 29 122 385
364 Marcel Siem 51 122 357
365 Adilson da Silva 27 121 367
366 Panuphol Pittayarat 17 121 369
367 Thomas Bjorn 35 120 360
368 Nathan Kimsey 11 119 370
369 Simon Wakefield 10 119 371
370 Daniel Im 38 119 363
371 Josh Teater 12 119 375
372 Jacques Blaauw 14 119 373
373 Michael Putnam 26 118 366
374 Richard Green 40 118 368
375 Paul Lawrie 34 118 356
376 S Chikarangappa 10 117 378
377 Wade Ormsby 36 116 365
378 Jake Higginbottom 9 116 381
379 Haydn Porteous 41 115 372
380 Eddie Pepperell 42 114 376
381 Shiv Kapur 37 114 386
382 Bobby Wyatt 22 114 382
383 Angelo Que 13 113 383
384 Soo-min Lee 40 112 379
385 Pelle Edberg 53 111 380
386 Derek Ernst 38 110 384
387 Ryan Fox 29 110 374
388 David Bransdon 8 110 389
389 Brian Campbell 17 110 387
390 Rahil Gangjee 19 110 392
391 Rhein Gibson 32 109 391
392 Miguel Angel Carballo 39 109 393
393 Nick Cullen 18 108 394
394 Davis Love 30 107 377
395 Masahiro Kawamura 18 106 397
396 Carl Pettersson 50 105 390
397 Ben Evans 45 105 396
398 Paul Peterson 44 104 411
399 Pablo Martin Benavides 11 103 402
400 SSP Chawrasia 45 103 398
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Dean & Deluca Invitational

May 22, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,
Jordan Spieth
Jordan Spieth
Pick Player Hawley Number Actual Finish
1 Jordan Spieth 12.7 2
2 Paul Casey 21.0 10
3 Jon Rahm 27.2 2
4 Sergio Garcia 29.9 12
5 Jason Dufner 30.8 73
6 Matt Kuchar 33.6 12
7 Pat Perez 35.5 82
8 Phil Mickelson 36.3 29
9 Ryan Palmer 36.5 70
10 Kevin Kisner 37.3 1
11 Brian Harman 38.2 7
12 Brandt Snedeker 38.6 48
13 Ryan Moore 42.8 67
14 Adam Hadwin 44.4 53
15 Charl Schwartzel 45.0 DNP
16 Marc Leishman 45.8 34
17 Tony Finau 46.6 29
18 Kyle Stanley 46.8 88
19 Bud Cauley 47.4 41
20 Charley Hoffman 47.6 24
21 Zach Johnson 47.8 63
22 Steve Stricker 48.2 7
23 William McGirt 48.6 61
24 Emiliano Grillo 48.7 24
25 Webb Simpson 49.0 5
26 Lucas Glover 49.5 106
27 Bill Haas 50.3 12
28 Graeme McDowell 52.0 29
29 Kevin Tway 52.3 18
30 Cameron Smith 52.4 DNP
31 Sung Kang 54.0 57
32 Chris Kirk 54.4 67
33 Martin Laird 54.7 73
34 Stewart Cink 55.1 10
35 Nick Taylor 55.5 61
36 Jhonattan Vegas 55.9 111
37 Billy Horschel 56.3 34
38 Graham DeLaet 57.2 57
39 Si-woo Kim 57.5 DNP
40 Yuta Ikeda 57.5 53
41 Sean O’Hair 58.6 2
42 David Lingmerth 58.7 12
43 Wesley Bryan 58.9 48
44 Aaron Baddeley 58.9 82
45 Nick Watney 58.9 53
46 Ollie Schniederjans 59.5 29
47 Danny Lee 59.6 6
48 Mackenzie Hughes 60.0 DNP
49 Seung-yul Noh 60.3 WD
50 Billy Hurley 60.3 41
51 Jason Kokrak 60.8 117
52 Scott Piercy 60.8 7
53 Scott Brown 61.0 12
54 John Huh 61.8 73
55 Chad Campbell 62.3 34
56 James Hahn 62.5 DNP
57 Luke List 62.6 94
58 Morgan Hoffmann 62.6 12
59 Ben Martin 63.2 57
60 Cameron Tringale 63.4 72
61 Jonas Blixt 63.5 18
62 JT Poston 63.5 41
63 Chez Reavie 63.6 48
64 Anirban Lahiri 63.8 88
65 Blayne Barber 63.8 100
66 JJ Spaun 64.1 WD
67 Chris Stroud 64.3 41
68 Patton Kizzire 64.5 63
69 Daniel Summerhays 64.6 106
70 Robert Streb 65.2 34
71 Harris English 65.3 29
72 Brian Gay 65.6 34
73 Camilo Villegas 65.7 WD
74 Michael Kim 65.7 DNP
75 Kevin Streelman 65.8 18
76 Patrick Rodgers 65.9 106
77 Kelly Kraft 66.2 18
78 Zac Blair 66.2 94
79 David Hearn 66.3 70
80 Matt Jones 66.3 63
81 Vaughn Taylor 66.6 18
82 Grayson Murray 66.8 DNP
83 Michael Thompson 67.0 57
84 Kyle Reifers 67.2 73
85 Brian Stuard 67.4 24
86 Geoff Ogilvy 67.4 53
87 Xander Schauffele 67.7 48
88 Brandon Hagy 67.7 100
89 Scott Stallings 67.8 63
90 Harold Varner 67.9 94
91 Tim Wilkinson 67.9 DNP
92 JJ Henry 68.1 94
93 Johnson Wagner 68.5 100
94 Alex Cejka 68.5 DNP
95 Bryce Molder 68.5 88
96 Cameron Percy 68.5 94
97 Tyrone van Aswegen 68.6 111
98 Boo Weekley 68.7 111
99 Rod Pampling 69.9 100
100 Derek Fathauer 69.9 48
101 Sam Saunders 70.2 24
102 Fabian Gomez 70.5 73
103 Angel Cabrera 70.5 41
104 John Peterson 70.6 DNP
105 Martin Flores 70.7 106
106 Ryan Blaum 70.9 24
107 Seamus Power 70.9 DNP
108 Dominic Bozzelli 71.0 69
109 Martin Piller 71.1 82
110 CT Pan 71.2 88
111 Jason Bohn 71.3 114
112 Ricky Barnes 71.4 18
113 Ryo Ishikawa 71.5 DNP
114 Richy Werenski 72.5 DNP
115 Greg Owen 72.7 DNP
116 Bryson DeChambeau 72.7 73
117 Cody Gribble 72.8 41
118 Rory Sabbatini 73.2 73
119 Trey Mullinax 73.4 DNP
120 Greg Chalmers 74.7 82
121 Hunter Mahan 74.8 82
122 Meen-whee Kim 74.9 41
123 Steven Bowditch 75.8 88
124 Tim Herron 76.4 100
125 Curtis Luck 76.5 34
126 Matt Every 77.2 88
127 Beau Hossler 77.7 94
128 Davis Love 79.4 117
129 Jazz Janewattananond 81.7 82
130 Keith Clearwater 84.6 100
131 Tom Purtzer 84.6 DNP
132 Jamie Sadlowski 84.6 106
Whee Kim late entry 40
Seong-yong Kim late entry 79
Cameron Smith late entry 80
James Hahn late entry 114
M Hughes late entry 115
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 382. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

BMW PGA Championship

May 22, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,
Francesco Molinari
Francesco Molinari
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Francesco Molinari 18.8 2
2 Justin Rose 31.8 12
3 Martin Kaymer 38.1 91
4 Bernd Wiesberger 40.9 30
5 Tyrrell Hatton 41.8 30
6 Henrik Stenson 42.2 3
7 Branden Grace 42.6 9
8 Shane Lowry 45.9 6
9 Lee Westwood 46.3 14
10 Chris Wood 47.7 49
11 Byeong Hun An 50.8 24
12 Tommy Fleetwood 52.4 91
13 Thomas Pieters 52.4 14
14 Ross Fisher 53.4 9
15 Alex Noren 53.6 1
16 Joost Luiten 56.0 24
17 Luke Donald 56.0 65
18 Andy Sullivan 56.1 30
19 Matthew Fitzpatrick 56.3 12
20 Soren Kjeldsen 56.6 30
21 Russell Knox 57.7 68
22 Ian Poulter 58.5 40
23 Thongchai Jaidee 59.5 54
24 Fabrizio Zanotti 60.1 116
25 Thomas Aiken 61.1 101
26 George Coetzee 61.5 91
27 Danny Willett 61.6 58
28 Peter Uihlein 61.8 30
29 Hideto Tanihara 62.2 3
30 Pablo Larrazabal 62.5 24
31 Alejandro Canizares 62.8 128
32 Jorge Campillo 63.7 40
33 Alexander Levy 63.9 51
34 Gregory Bourdy 64.7 62
35 Marc Warren 65.0 68
36 Peter Hanson 65.0 21
37 David Horsey 66.0 51
38 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 66.1 116
39 Victor Dubuisson 66.3 24
40 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 66.4 14
41 Richard Bland 66.7 101
42 Jaco van Zyl 66.8 14
43 David Lipsky 66.8 68
44 Jamie Donaldson 67.0 82
45 James Morrison 67.0 68
46 Dylan Frittelli 67.8 116
47 Rikard Karlberg 67.8 68
48 Mikko Ilonen 68.0 62
49 Gregory Havret 68.3 101
50 Thorbjorn Olesen 68.4 82
51 Padraig Harrington 68.7 68
52 Paul Dunne 68.9 30
53 Bradley Dredge 68.9 40
54 Matteo Manassero 69.0 30
55 Raphael Jacquelin 69.1 68
56 Richard Sterne 69.2 68
57 Thomas Bjorn 69.2 57
58 Nicolas Colsaerts 69.4 3
59 Hao-tong Li 69.5 30
60 Romain Wattel 69.5 66
61 Nacho Elvira 69.7 91
62 Benjamin Hebert 69.7 58
63 Joakim Lagergren 69.9 131
64 Andrew Johnston 70.0 21
65 Richie Ramsay 70.1 30
66 Julien Quesne 70.1 DNP
67 Jeunghun Wang 70.2 91
68 Dean Burmester 70.5 9
69 Graeme Storm 70.6 6
70 Scott Jamieson 70.6 14
71 Ricardo Gouveia 70.9 116
72 Alexander Bjork 70.9 14
73 Romain Langasque 70.9 91
74 Scott Hend 71.1 24
75 Brandon Stone 71.2 101
76 Stephen Gallacher 71.2 21
77 David Drysdale 71.2 49
78 Mikko Korhonen 71.4 101
79 Chris Hanson 71.4 91
80 Anthony Wall 71.5 40
81 Renato Paratore 71.5 136
82 Marcel Siem 71.6 131
83 Darren Fichardt 71.7 68
84 Marcus Fraser 72.1 68
85 Robert Rock 72.2 82
86 Ernie Els 72.2 51
87 Chris Paisley 72.2 136
88 Johan Carlsson 72.3 58
89 Oliver Fisher 72.3 40
90 Florian Fritsch 72.3 30
91 Paul Waring 72.3 82
92 Matthew Southgate 72.3 116
93 Phachara Khongwatmai 72.4 101
94 Felipe Aguilar 72.5 67
95 Brett Rumford 72.6 DNP
96 Lucas Bjerregaard 72.6 139
97 Lasse Jensen 72.7 68
98 Jason Scrivener 72.7 82
99 Eduardo de la Riva 72.8 82
100 Edoardo Molinari 72.9 116
101 Alvaro Quiros 73.0 68
102 Carlos Pigem 73.0 82
103 Maximilian Kieffer 73.3 24
104 Justin Walters 73.3 101
105 Daniel Im 73.4 139
106 SSP Chawrasia 73.4 58
107 Robert Karlsson 73.4 101
108 Zander Lombard 73.7 128
109 Magnus A Carlsson 73.7 101
110 Sam Brazel 73.8 139
111 Paul Lawrie 73.8 68
112 Pep Angles 73.8 101
113 Wade Ormsby 74.1 82
114 David Howell 74.2 48
115 Lee Slattery 74.2 116
116 Thomas Detry 74.2 DNP
117 Callum Shinkwin 74.3 DNP
118 Soo-min Lee 74.4 101
119 Kristoffer Broberg 74.6 116
120 Joel Stalter 74.6 DNP
121 Haydn Porteous 74.6 116
122 Bernd Ritthammer 74.6 40
123 Ryan Fox 74.7 101
124 Andrew Dodt 74.7 6
125 Matthieu Pavon 74.9 101
126 Paul Peterson 74.9 40
127 Nathan Kimsey 75.0 DNP
128 Pelle Edberg 75.0 91
129 Marcus Armitage 75.1 DNP
130 Darren Clarke 75.1 101
131 Daniel Brooks 75.2 54
132 Gary Stal 75.3 91
133 Adrian Otaegui 75.4 91
134 Alexander Knappe 75.5 101
135 Hennie Otto 75.6 DNP
136 Nino Bertasio 75.6 14
137 Niclas Fasth 75.8 54
138 Duncan Stewart 75.8 DNP
139 Sam Walker 75.8 DNP
140 Jose-Filipe Lima 76.0 DNP
141 Sebastien Gros 76.1 64
142 Simon Dyson 76.5 131
143 Nathan Holman 76.6 DNP
144 Damien Perrier 77.3 DNP
145 Paul McGinley 77.4 DNP
146 Trevor Immelman 77.6 82
147 Jordan Smith 77.8 40
148 Damien McGrane 79.7 68
149 Matt Wallace 80.1 131
150 Robert Coles 80.6 DNP
151 Greig Hutcheon 83.6 116
152 Phillip Archer 84.6 139
153 Chris Gane 84.6 116
154 Matthew Cort 84.6 131
155 Neil O’Briain 84.6 DNP
156 Graham Fox 84.6 136
157 Paul Streeter 84.6 116
158 Paul Hendriksen 84.6 128
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 298. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (May 21, 2017)

May 22, 2017 Thomas Hawley

It’s nine weeks on top and counting for Dustin Johnson.
# Thru May 21, 2017 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 48 1967 1
2 Rory McIlroy 39 1729 2
3 Jason Day 40 1569 3
4 Adam Scott 41 1501 5
5 Jon Rahm 24 1482 6
6 Jordan Spieth 50 1457 4
7 Justin Rose 47 1361 7
8 Sergio Garcia 41 1330 8
9 Hideki Matsuyama 48 1304 9
10 Rickie Fowler 53 1299 10
11 Paul Casey 49 1296 11
12 Phil Mickelson 46 1266 12
13 Henrik Stenson 47 1231 13
14 Matt Kuchar 60 1185 15
15 Brooks Koepka 54 1164 14
16 Francesco Molinari 48 1154 16
17 Louis Oosthuizen 50 1092 17
18 Patrick Reed 67 1034 20
19 Brandt Snedeker 56 1005 18
20 Brendan Steele 50 1004 22
21 Kevin Kisner 55 999 23
22 Justin Thomas 54 995 24
23 Charl Schwartzel 48 991 19
24 Jason Dufner 50 987 27
25 Charles Howell 53 987 25
26 Tyrrell Hatton 51 981 26
27 Ryan Moore 47 972 21
28 Branden Grace 53 949 28
29 Pat Perez 36 941 29
30 Bill Haas 51 923 31
31 Gary Woodland 53 918 30
32 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 59 906 33
33 Daniel Berger 54 890 34
34 Marc Leishman 52 886 40
35 Kevin Na 53 881 36
36 Bubba Watson 46 880 35
37 JB Holmes 51 879 32
38 Ryan Palmer 46 874 37
39 Emiliano Grillo 56 871 38
40 Martin Kaymer 53 861 39
41 William McGirt 54 854 42
42 Adam Hadwin 53 847 43
43 Jimmy Walker 54 845 44
44 Billy Horschel 50 833 54
45 Tony Finau 56 831 47
46 Russell Henley 51 825 41
47 Charley Hoffman 55 819 45
48 Zach Johnson 52 810 46
49 Webb Simpson 47 804 49
50 Kevin Chappell 54 799 48
51 Lucas Glover 50 789 51
52 Brian Harman 61 785 50
53 Steve Stricker 29 781 52
54 Russell Knox 58 762 53
55 Bernd Wiesberger 58 760 55
56 Byeong Hun An 54 756 58
57 Alex Noren 39 747 56
58 Thomas Pieters 49 746 57
59 Bud Cauley 35 719 69
60 Wesley Bryan 23 700 59
61 Jhonattan Vegas 59 697 60
62 Jim Furyk 34 682 61
63 Kyle Stanley 53 678 64
64 Martin Laird 49 669 65
65 Nick Watney 30 669 62
66 Graham DeLaet 44 660 63
67 Soren Kjeldsen 61 660 66
68 Graeme McDowell 58 658 68
69 Shane Lowry 48 656 67
70 Scott Piercy 55 647 72
71 Lee Westwood 45 643 70
72 Si-woo Kim 55 642 71
73 Sean O’Hair 54 638 81
74 Ross Fisher 47 626 73
75 Jamie Lovemark 51 625 77
76 Chris Kirk 52 622 75
77 Kevin Tway 24 622 80
78 Sung Kang 54 609 79
79 Matthew Fitzpatrick 59 607 76
80 Ollie Schniederjans 36 601 74
81 Jason Kokrak 54 599 99
82 Keegan Bradley 56 598 78
83 Andy Sullivan 56 580 83
84 Danny Willett 49 577 82
85 Mackenzie Hughes 23 570 87
86 Jim Herman 55 569 86
87 Daniel Summerhays 56 568 84
88 Tommy Fleetwood 55 566 89
89 Stewart Cink 47 564 88
90 Hudson Swafford 59 559 85
91 Luke Donald 54 558 90
92 Luke List 51 557 91
93 David Lingmerth 59 551 92
94 Smylie Kaufman 51 545 95
95 Chad Campbell 58 545 103
96 Danny Lee 68 544 105
97 Colt Knost 42 542 97
98 Hideto Tanihara 13 539 96
99 Ian Poulter 45 537 98
100 Chez Reavie 55 532 93
101 Scott Brown 55 529 100
102 JJ Spaun 25 521 94
103 Cameron Smith 55 512 102
104 Kevin Streelman 52 508 104
105 Harris English 59 498 101
106 James Hahn 54 493 126
107 Joost Luiten 50 489 108
108 Sangmoon Bae 12 482 116
109 Billy Hurley 50 479 109
110 Aaron Baddeley 56 478 112
111 Anirban Lahiri 55 477 106
112 Jerry Kelly 40 476 111
113 Nick Taylor 54 471 129
114 Patrick Rodgers 55 471 118
115 John Huh 56 468 113
116 Jonas Blixt 53 467 117
117 Chris Wood 56 466 115
118 JT Poston 21 465 107
119 Victor Dubuisson 36 464 114
120 Robert Streb 57 459 110
121 Patton Kizzire 48 454 119
122 Cameron Tringale 56 440 140
123 Robert Garrigus 52 439 120
124 David Hearn 60 436 122
125 Seung-yul Noh 56 431 121
126 Michael Kim 50 428 123
127 Thongchai Jaidee 56 425 124
128 Aaron Wise 8 421 127
129 Roberto Castro 56 419 130
130 Yuta Ikeda 11 415 132
131 Alex Cejka 57 414 125
132 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 55 412 131
133 Haotong Li 28 408 133
134 Matt Jones 52 402 128
135 Harold Varner 53 398 137
136 Retief Goosen 41 392 139
137 Brian Gay 30 391 135
138 Bryce Molder 55 390 136
139 Freddie Jacobson 35 388 134
140 Blayne Barber 52 387 141
141 Kyle Reifers 68 382 152
142 Oscar Fraustro 15 379 148
143 Fabrizio Zanotti 47 377 138
144 Scott Stallings 49 375 160
145 Morgan Hoffmann 57 373 151
146 Ben Martin 54 372 143
147 Johnson Wagner 53 372 144
148 Vaughn Taylor 51 371 145
149 Peter Uihlein 42 369 147
150 Will Wilcox 41 368 158
151 Michael Thompson 57 365 142
152 Pablo Larrazabal 49 362 150
153 Jorge Campillo 53 352 157
154 Richard Bland 51 349 149
155 Brandon Hagy 23 348 146
156 John Senden 56 347 162
157 Fabian Gomez 54 346 159
158 David Toms 29 346 161
159 Jon Curran 51 344 164
160 Kelly Kraft 47 344 153
161 Zac Blair 67 344 166
162 Brian Stuard 55 343 155
163 Peter Hanson 35 343 163
164 Geoff Ogilvy 46 341 154
165 Thorbjorn Olesen 55 340 168
166 Jordan L Smith 13 340 170
167 Sam Saunders 53 334 165
168 Padraig Harrington 47 334 173
169 Grayson Murray 20 333 192
170 Vijay Singh 46 333 174
171 Tim Wilkinson 54 331 167
172 Julian Etulain 20 329 156
173 KJ Choi 44 328 181
174 George Coetzee 48 327 175
175 Bradley Dredge 44 326 169
176 Kyung-tae Kim 18 324 179
177 Camilo Villegas 59 323 178
178 Alexander Levy 48 322 182
179 Andrew Johnston 50 322 183
180 Cameron Percy 44 318 171
181 Gregory Bourdy 56 318 185
182 Chris Stroud 52 317 172
183 Tyrone van Aswegen 65 316 180
184 Alejandro Canizares 47 316 184
185 Dominic Bozzelli 20 314 177
186 Richard Sterne 35 314 188
187 Jamie Donaldson 46 313 176
188 Jaco van Zyl 47 313 187
189 Derek Fathauer 60 309 189
190 Andrew Loupe 52 306 186
191 Justin Leonard 21 306 190
192 Whee Kim 44 304 191
193 Hao-tong Li 8 300
194 Henrik Norlander 34 297 194
195 Rob Oppenheim 33 297 196
196 Bronson Burgoon 32 292 201
197 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 44 291 200
198 Jeunghun Wang 41 291 199
199 Rikard Karlberg 48 285 195
200 David Horsey 50 283 210
201 James Morrison 54 281 204
202 David Lipsky 58 279 211
203 Lee McCoy 13 279 213
204 John Peterson 25 277 197
205 Ryan Blaum 27 277 198
206 Spencer Levin 66 277 206
207 Troy Merritt 59 275 214
208 Thomas Aiken 57 275 215
209 Ricky Barnes 61 273 212
210 DA Points 48 273 208
211 CT Pan 31 272 203
212 Joel Dahmen 12 272 623
213 Alexander Bjork 12 271 202
214 Boo Weekley 54 269 220
215 Bill Lunde 16 268 222
216 Xander Schauffele 20 268 205
217 Mikko Ilonen 44 268 219
218 Martin Flores 35 266 209
219 Tag Ridings 20 265 207
220 Benjamin Hebert 52 264 221
221 Tim Clark 14 262 230
222 Andres Gonzales 58 261 217
223 Nicolas Colsaerts 58 260 218
224 Robby Shelton 11 259 193
225 Joakim Lagergren 49 256 226
226 Scott Hend 59 254 228
227 Jonathan Randolph 30 253 216
228 Paul Dunne 40 253 229
229 Julien Quesne 48 252 223
230 Seamus Power 23 249 225
231 Tom Hoge 53 248 227
232 Martin Piller 29 247 234
233 Shawn Stefani 55 242 231
234 Romain Langasque 18 242 224
235 Bryson DeChambeau 43 241 232
236 Dylan Frittelli 22 238 240
237 Ashun Wu 28 238 238
238 Brett Stegmaier 52 238 235
239 Jason Bohn 49 237 236
240 Dean Burmester 24 235 241
241 Ben Crane 53 234 237
242 Ryo Ishikawa 34 232 233
243 Chad Collins 53 231 239
244 JJ Henry 57 229 260
245 Scott Langley 42 221 245
246 Hiroshi Iwata 44 221 248
247 Greg Owen 51 220 242
248 Luke Guthrie 35 219 249
249 Anthony Wall 43 219 247
250 Raphael Jacquelin 52 218 251
251 Florian Fritsch 29 217 253
252 Brandon Stone 33 215 257
253 Nacho Elvira 44 215 256
254 Jason Gore 47 214 254
255 Tiger Woods 10 211 250
256 Richy Werenski 21 211 244
257 Angel Cabrera 38 211 252
258 Mark Anderson 18 210 243
259 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 35 210 246
260 Ricardo Gouveia 41 209 261
261 Andres Romero 30 209 255
262 Lucas Bjerregaard 58 207 263
263 Mikko Korhonen 44 206 266
264 Ken Duke 50 206 258
265 Marcus Fraser 48 206 272
266 Rod Pampling 48 202 262
267 Anders Hansen 19 202 271
268 Andrew Landry 24 200 273
269 Brice Garnett 32 200 268
270 Maximilian Kieffer 50 199 270
271 Austin Cook 15 198 264
272 Wes Roach 27 198 276
273 Cody Gribble 26 198 259
274 Matthew Southgate 40 195 267
275 Stephen Gallacher 43 195 278
276 Steve Wheatcroft 50 195 269
277 Jonathan Byrd 27 194 277
278 Chesson Hadley 44 193 282
279 YE Yang 34 193 265
280 Richie Ramsay 45 192 281
281 Will MacKenzie 48 191 275
282 Ernie Els 53 191 295
283 Tyler Aldridge 43 190 274
284 Matteo Manassero 49 188 280
285 Romain Wattel 51 187 287
286 Marc Warren 51 187 286
287 Chris Hanson 32 185 279
288 Renato Paratore 59 184 292
289 Stuart Appleby 39 181 289
290 Miguel Angel Jimenez 29 180 293
291 Gavin Green 8 180 298
292 Trey Mullinax 27 180 285
293 Graeme Storm 54 180 294
294 Johan Carlsson 51 179 300
295 Rory Sabbatini 47 179 283
296 Trevor Fisher 41 179 290
297 Darren Fichardt 44 177 299
298 Mark Wilson 44 177 296
299 David Howell 46 176 291
300 Ryan Ruffels 15 176 305
301 Paul Waring 14 176 302
302 Brett Drewitt 15 175 284
303 Lasse Jensen 49 174 297
304 Magnus A Carlsson 48 174 303
305 Meen-whee Kim 14 171 288
306 Chris Paisley 55 171 307
307 David Drysdale 59 170 308
308 Kristoffer Broberg 43 170 306
309 Jeff Overton 37 164 310
310 Callum Shinkwin 33 164 311
311 Pep Angles 14 161 339
312 Robert Rock 45 161 313
313 Phachara Khongwatmai 15 161 301
314 Sebastian Heisele 8 160
315 Shubhankar Sharma 9 160 314
316 Ryan Armour 26 160 393
317 Jason Scrivener 49 160 325
318 Steve Marino 43 160 315
319 Mark Hubbard 63 159 312
320 Nicholas Lindheim 20 158 309
321 Lee Slattery 54 158 321
322 Rashid Khan 15 156 319
323 Scott Pinckney 42 155 318
324 Hunter Stewart 8 155 316
325 Prayad Marksaeng 9 154 324
326 Brett Rumford 35 153 322
327 George McNeill 43 153 317
328 Brendon de Jonge 53 151 323
329 Peter Malnati 58 150 320
330 Ashley Chesters 11 150 304
331 Michael Hendry 8 148 328
332 Justin Walters 47 147 329
333 Ashley Hall 8 146 327
334 Carlos Ortiz 45 145 331
335 Gregory Havret 53 145 332
336 Tim Herron 26 144 333
337 Ryan Brehm 18 141 326
338 Felipe Aguilar 47 140 335
339 Prom Meesawat 40 139 338
340 Oliver Fisher 54 139 337
341 Zander Lombard 20 137 386
342 Sam Brazel 27 135 340
343 Robert Karlsson 43 134 353
344 Thomas Detry 14 133 330
345 Scott Jamieson 53 133 341
346 Eduardo de la Riva 46 132 348
347 Erik Compton 39 132 342
348 Steven Alker 33 131 334
349 Justin Hicks 21 131 346
350 Steve Allan 8 131 344
351 Carlos Pigem 31 129 347
352 Greg Chalmers 47 129 343
353 Alex Prugh 29 128 351
354 Curtis Luck 11 128 350
355 Jbe Kruger 42 127 375
356 Paul Lawrie 34 126 349
357 Marcel Siem 51 126 374
358 Sebastian Munoz 12 125 363
359 Joel Stalter 14 125 336
360 Thomas Bjorn 34 124 357
361 Dawie van der Walt 36 124 354
362 Thanyakorn Khrongpha 11 124 360
363 Daniel Im 37 123 370
364 Stephan Jaeger 8 123 361
365 Wade Ormsby 36 122 356
366 Michael Putnam 27 121 411
367 Adilson da Silva 27 120 365
368 Richard Green 41 120 358
369 Panuphol Pittayarat 17 120 366
370 Nathan Kimsey 11 119 345
371 Simon Wakefield 10 119 369
372 Haydn Porteous 40 118 367
373 Jacques Blaauw 14 118 378
374 Ryan Fox 28 118 352
375 Josh Teater 13 118 377
376 Eddie Pepperell 43 117 359
377 Davis Love 29 117 368
378 S Chikarangappa 10 117 376
379 Soo-min Lee 39 116 379
380 Pelle Edberg 53 116 362
381 Jake Higginbottom 9 114 385
382 Bobby Wyatt 22 113 372
383 Angelo Que 13 112 387
384 Derek Ernst 39 112 381
385 Bernd Ritthammer 28 112 364
386 Shiv Kapur 38 112 388
387 Brian Campbell 17 112 355
388 Nino Bertasio 38 112 380
389 David Bransdon 8 110 391
390 Carl Pettersson 51 110 371
391 Rhein Gibson 32 109 390
392 Rahil Gangjee 19 109 394
393 Miguel Angel Carballo 39 108 384
394 Nick Cullen 18 108 373
395 Steven Bowditch 64 106 382
396 Ben Evans 45 105 399
397 Masahiro Kawamura 18 105 400
398 SSP Chawrasia 44 105 398
399 Brian Davis 22 105 392
400 Hunter Mahan 50 104 389
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

AT&T Byron Nelson

May 14, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,
Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Dustin Johnson -18.2 13
2 Jordan Spieth 23.8 76
3 Sergio Garcia 24.7 20
4 Brooks Koepka 25.4 50
5 Matt Kuchar 28.5 9
6 Jason Day 30.6 2
7 Jason Dufner 35.2 13
8 Charl Schwartzel 35.4 WD
9 Ryan Palmer 36.1 27
10 Charley Hoffman 36.3 40
11 Louis Oosthuizen 39.7 18
12 Brandt Snedeker 39.8 107
13 Ryan Moore 40.7 117
14 Marc Leishman 42.1 13
15 Tony Finau 45.1 13
16 Russell Henley 45.5 117
17 Patrick Reed 45.6 20
18 Gary Woodland 46.2 40
19 Jimmy Walker 46.9 DNP
20 JB Holmes 49.3 90
21 Graham DeLaet 49.6 117
22 Kevin Tway 50.1 20
23 Bud Cauley 50.1 5
24 Keegan Bradley 50.5 27
25 Sung Kang 54.1 20
26 Ian Poulter 55.0 35
27 Ollie Schniederjans 55.4 55
28 Byeong Hun An 56.1 5
29 Jhonattan Vegas 56.2 35
30 Smylie Kaufman 56.7 35
31 Billy Hurley 56.7 50
32 Si-woo Kim 57.5 DNP
33 Nick Watney 58.8 40
34 Brian Gay 59.2 50
35 John Huh 59.3 40
36 Nick Taylor 59.8 9
37 Seung-yul Noh 60.3 76
38 Chez Reavie 60.4 76
39 Billy Horschel 60.6 1
40 Hudson Swafford 60.8 144
41 Morgan Hoffmann 60.9 27
42 JJ Spaun 61.3 74
43 Scott Piercy 61.8 20
44 Sean O’Hair 62.0 5
45 Robert Garrigus 62.2 141
46 JT Poston 62.3 144
47 Scott Brown 62.3 35
48 Fabrizio Zanotti 62.4 76
49 Anirban Lahiri 63.2 136
50 Danny Lee 63.3 5
51 Jamie Lovemark 63.3 18
52 Tim Wilkinson 63.7 107
53 Chad Campbell 63.8 13
54 James Hahn 64.5 3
55 Harris English 65.1 76
56 Cameron Percy 65.4 76
57 Robby Shelton 65.5 90
58 Julian Etulain 65.5 107
59 Jason Kokrak 65.5 4
60 Bryce Molder 65.6 90
61 Camilo Villegas 65.7 DNP
62 Robert Streb 65.7 117
63 Daniel Summerhays 65.8 40
64 Matt Jones 65.9 76
65 Kelly Kraft 66.1 76
66 Michael Kim 66.2 40
67 Michael Thompson 66.2 127
68 DA Points 66.4 73
69 Brandon Hagy 66.4 76
70 Xander Schauffele 66.6 76
71 Patrick Rodgers 67.2 27
72 Jonathan Randolph 67.2 90
73 Will Wilcox 67.3 27
74 Brian Stuard 67.4 90
75 Zac Blair 67.7 40
76 Kyle Reifers 67.8 20
77 Rod Pampling 67.8 59
78 Alex Cejka 67.8 136
79 Andres Gonzales 67.9 127
80 Geoff Ogilvy 67.9 61
81 Tyrone van Aswegen 68.1 127
82 Tag Ridings 68.2 90
83 Freddie Jacobson 68.4 90
84 Sam Saunders 68.6 90
85 Cameron Tringale 68.6 9
86 Rory Sabbatini 68.7 144
87 Spencer Levin 68.8 66
88 Bill Lunde 68.8 DNP
89 Ricky Barnes 68.8 59
90 Chris Stroud 69.3 107
91 Grayson Murray 69.3 27
92 Martin Flores 69.5 127
93 Boo Weekley 69.5 40
94 Brendon Todd 69.7 70
95 JJ Henry 69.8 27
96 Angel Cabrera 69.8 107
97 Derek Fathauer 69.9 DNP
98 Ben Crane 70.0 127
99 Scott Stallings 70.0 20
100 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 70.3 90
101 Ryan Blaum 70.3 117
102 Mark Anderson 70.4 141
103 CT Pan 70.5 90
104 Andrew Loupe 70.7 154
105 John Peterson 70.7 107
106 Ryo Ishikawa 70.7 90
107 Andres Romero 70.9 DNP
108 Dominic Bozzelli 71.0 50
109 Shawn Stefani 71.1 DQ
110 Seamus Power 71.2 57
111 Greg Owen 71.7 61
112 Chad Collins 71.8 90
113 Tom Hoge 71.8 55
114 Steve Wheatcroft 72.0 107
115 Ken Duke 72.1 66
116 Nicholas Lindheim 72.2 66
117 Richy Werenski 72.2 90
118 Brett Drewitt 72.2 127
119 Cody Gribble 72.3 90
120 Bob Estes 72.4 70
121 Steven Bowditch 72.6 144
122 Bryson DeChambeau 72.6 76
123 Brett Stegmaier 72.6 57
124 Jason Bohn 72.8 40
125 Stuart Appleby 72.8 127
126 Tyler Aldridge 73.0 153
127 Will MacKenzie 73.1 141
128 Mark Wilson 73.2 DNP
129 Greg Chalmers 73.3 72
130 Trey Mullinax 73.3 150
131 Carl Pettersson 73.4 90
132 Ryan Brehm 73.7 61
133 Ernie Els 74.0 35
134 Jonathan Byrd 74.0 DNP
135 Steven Alker 74.2 90
136 Brad Fritsch 74.3 136
137 Sebastian Munoz 74.5 50
138 Peter Malnati 74.5 61
139 Mark Hubbard 74.6 90
140 Meen-whee Kim 74.7 76
141 Miguel Angel Carballo 74.7 117
142 Ryan Armour 75.0 27
143 Brian Campbell 75.0 144
144 Bobby Wyatt 75.2 136
145 Zack Sucher 75.2 107
146 Hunter Mahan 75.6 76
147 Rick Lamb 76.3 76
148 Beau Hossler 77.0 61
149 Matt Every 77.1 107
150 John Merrick 78.1 152
151 Michael Putnam 78.9 40
152 Shane Bertsch 79.9 127
153 Charlie Beljan 82.5 117
154 Nicholas Thompson 82.9 DNP
155 Joel Dahmen 82.9 9
156 Max Homa 83.6 151
157 Sung-joon Park 84.3 DNP
158 Stuart Deane 84.6 127
159 Paul Earnest 84.6 155
160 Kramer Hickok 84.6 117
161 Austin Smotherman 84.6 136
162 Bobby Gates 84.8 117
Alex Moon late entry 68
Sean Kelly late entry 110
YE Yang late entry 118
Ben Polland late entry 149
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 63. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Rocco Forte Open

May 14, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,

James Morrison
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 James Morrison 53.4 23
2 Bradley Dredge 53.7 73
3 Richard Bland 55.2 127
4 Alexander Bjork 55.8 27
5 Jamie Donaldson 56.3 58
6 Rikard Karlberg 56.9 73
7 Hao-tong Li 58.7 3
8 Julien Quesne 59.7 94
9 Nicolas Colsaerts 59.8 58
10 Phachara Khongwatmai 60.0 55
11 David Horsey 60.3 7
12 Renato Paratore 61.9 23
13 Romain Langasque 62.4 73
14 Trevor Fisher 62.9 137
15 Matthew Southgate 63.3 127
16 Chris Hanson 63.3 73
17 Lasse Jensen 63.6 105
18 Mikko Korhonen 63.8 11
19 Raphael Jacquelin 63.9 18
20 Romain Wattel 64.0 31
21 Anthony Wall 64.2 DNP
22 Scott Jamieson 64.4 38
23 Matteo Manassero 64.9 48
24 Sebastian Heisele 65.1 31
25 Johan Carlsson 65.6 18
26 Ashley Chesters 65.6 73
27 Marcus Fraser 66.5 5
28 Anton Karlsson 66.5 94
29 Thomas Detry 67.3 65
30 Wade Ormsby 67.4 38
31 David Howell 67.4 73
32 Chris Paisley 67.4 31
33 Bernd Ritthammer 67.9 113
34 Edoardo Molinari 68.0 127
35 Jason Scrivener 68.0 5
36 Oliver Fisher 68.6 27
37 Callum Shinkwin 69.0 DNP
38 Lee Slattery 69.1 11
39 Jens Fahrbring 69.3 94
40 Joel Stalter 69.5 113
41 Daniel Im 69.5 18
42 Haydn Porteous 69.6 38
43 Eduardo de la Riva 69.6 18
44 Nathan Kimsey 70.1 48
45 Pep Angles 70.2 4
46 Marcel Siem 70.6 8
47 Nick Cullen 70.7 63
48 Thomas Linard 70.9 113
49 Pelle Edberg 71.0 105
50 Eddie Pepperell 71.0 38
51 Michael Jonzon 71.0 149
52 Matthieu Pavon 71.0 73
53 Ryan Fox 71.0 73
54 Thomas Bjorn 71.3 23
55 Robert Karlsson 71.3 11
56 Richard Green 71.3 DNP
57 Daniel Brooks 71.3 94
58 Zander Lombard 71.4 2
59 Craig Lee 71.4 127
60 Paul Peterson 71.4 67
61 Jbe Kruger 71.5 11
62 Max Orrin 71.6 DNP
63 Ben Evans 72.0 27
64 Nino Bertasio 72.0 73
65 Jeff Winther 72.0 38
66 Daniel Fox 72.1 73
67 Andrew Dodt 72.2 38
68 Simon Khan 72.3 113
69 Jaco Ahlers 72.4 94
70 Adrian Otaegui 72.5 73
71 Marcus Armitage 72.6 38
72 Duncan Stewart 72.7 142
73 Mark Foster 72.8 8
74 Robert Coles 72.9 127
75 Sebastian Soderberg 72.9 18
76 Robert Dinwiddie 72.9 105
77 Steve Webster 72.9 48
78 Richard McEvoy 73.0 48
79 Laurie Canter 73.0 73
80 Matthew Nixon 73.2 73
81 Alexander Knappe 73.5 137
82 Roope Kakko 73.7 55
83 Mikael Lundberg 73.7 121
84 Gary Stal 73.9 127
85 Lorenzo Scalise 73.9 142
86 Sebastien Gros 74.0 152
87 Michael Hoey 74.0 11
88 Stuart Manley 74.0 11
89 Alvaro Quiros 74.0 1
90 Jens Dantorp 74.1 38
91 Nathan Holman 74.2 154
92 Pontus Widegren 74.2 73
93 Charlie Ford 74.4 DNP
94 Tom Lewis 74.5 11
95 Austin Connelly 74.6 31
96 Alessandro Tadini 74.9 105
97 Paul Maddy 74.9 38
98 Matt Ford 75.1 94
99 Jose-Filipe Lima 75.2 31
100 Adrien Saddier 75.3 48
101 Chris Doak 75.5 105
102 Reinier Saxton 75.7 137
103 Niclas Fasth 75.7 105
104 Johan Edfors 75.7 94
105 Nicolo Ravano 75.9 94
106 Julien Guerrier 76.0 8
107 Julian Suri 76.0 31
108 Borja Virto Astudillo 76.1 73
109 Gary King 76.1 73
110 Steven Tiley 76.3 73
111 Andrea Pavan 76.3 121
112 Francesco Laporta 76.3 48
113 Oliver Farr 76.4 105
114 John Parry 76.5 55
115 Clement Berardo 76.5 58
116 Ricardo Gonzalez 76.6 113
117 Ross McGowan 76.8 137
118 Pavit Tangkamolprasert 77.1 70
119 Richard Finch 77.2 142
120 Scott Henry 77.3 105
121 Marco Crespi 77.3 152
122 Oscar Stark 77.4 67
123 Damien Perrier 77.5 113
124 Daan Huizing 77.5 142
125 Richard S Johnson 77.6 58
126 Simon Forsstrom 77.6 121
127 Gary Hurley 77.7 23
128 Trevor Immelman 78.0 94
129 James Heath 78.0 94
130 Oliver Wilson 78.2 121
131 Rafa Echenique 78.5 73
132 Matt Wallace 78.5 38
133 Simon Dyson 78.7 127
134 Jamie Rutherford 78.8 66
135 Mike Weir 78.8 72
136 Niclas Johansson 79.0 58
137 Alvaro Velasco 79.0 121
138 Aaron Zemmer 79.3 149
139 Andrea Maestroni 79.3 127
140 Garrick Porteous 79.3 27
141 Lorenzo Gagli 79.3 71
142 Guido Migliozzi 79.3 73
143 Petr Gal 79.3 73
144 Eirik Tage Johansen 79.3 31
145 Tom Foster 79.3 154
146 Massimilliano Campigli 79.3 142
147 Andrea Romano 79.3 94
148 Giacomo Fortini 79.3 127
149 Philip Geerts 79.3 147
150 Luca Cianchetti 79.3 67
151 Michele Ortolani 79.3 148
152 Cristiano Terragni 79.3 127
153 Matteo Delpodio 79.3 113
154 Enrico di Nitto 79.3 137
155 Federico Maccario 79.3 151
156 Filippo Bergamaschi 79.3 73
157 Jacopo Vecchi Fossa 79.3 121
158 Jordan Smith 79.3 48
159 Jurrian van der Vaart 79.3 113
160 Oscar Lengden 79.3 63
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 38. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (thru May 14, 2017)

May 14, 2017 Thomas Hawley

It’s eight weeks on top and counting for Dustin Johnson.
# Thru May 14, 2017 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 47 1970 1
2 Rory McIlroy 40 1725 2
3 Jason Day 39 1521 3
4 Jordan Spieth 50 1514 4
5 Adam Scott 42 1493 7
6 Jon Rahm 24 1481 5
7 Justin Rose 48 1365 6
8 Sergio Garcia 40 1334 9
9 Hideki Matsuyama 48 1303 11
10 Rickie Fowler 53 1299 8
11 Paul Casey 50 1294 12
12 Phil Mickelson 46 1263 10
13 Henrik Stenson 47 1235 14
14 Brooks Koepka 54 1198 15
15 Matt Kuchar 59 1156 13
16 Francesco Molinari 49 1154 17
17 Louis Oosthuizen 50 1080 29
18 Brandt Snedeker 56 1037 19
19 Charl Schwartzel 47 1028 16
20 Patrick Reed 67 1028 22
21 Ryan Moore 46 1010 18
22 Brendan Steele 50 1003 35
23 Kevin Kisner 56 1000 21
24 Justin Thomas 54 996 20
25 Charles Howell 53 984 25
26 Tyrrell Hatton 52 977 24
27 Jason Dufner 50 959 23
28 Branden Grace 54 951 26
29 Pat Perez 37 942 36
30 Gary Woodland 52 933 27
31 Bill Haas 51 923 28
32 JB Holmes 50 905 32
33 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 60 900 48
34 Daniel Berger 55 886 31
35 Bubba Watson 46 884 30
36 Kevin Na 54 881 33
37 Ryan Palmer 46 873 34
38 Emiliano Grillo 57 866 49
39 Martin Kaymer 54 860 38
40 Marc Leishman 52 858 37
41 Russell Henley 50 857 40
42 William McGirt 55 851 45
43 Adam Hadwin 54 844 43
44 Jimmy Walker 55 840 39
45 Charley Hoffman 55 829 44
46 Zach Johnson 53 813 42
47 Tony Finau 56 809 41
48 Kevin Chappell 55 800 47
49 Webb Simpson 47 797 55
50 Brian Harman 62 785 46
51 Lucas Glover 51 785 66
52 Steve Stricker 30 779 51
53 Russell Knox 59 763 50
54 Billy Horschel 49 761 52
55 Bernd Wiesberger 59 759 61
56 Alex Noren 40 748 72
57 Thomas Pieters 50 742 53
58 Byeong Hun An 54 701 59
59 Wesley Bryan 23 699 54
60 Jhonattan Vegas 59 698 57
61 Jim Furyk 34 689 56
62 Nick Watney 29 686 63
63 Graham DeLaet 44 685 58
64 Kyle Stanley 53 676 91
65 Martin Laird 50 665 60
66 Soren Kjeldsen 62 661 68
67 Shane Lowry 49 658 62
68 Graeme McDowell 59 657 64
69 Bud Cauley 34 644 65
70 Lee Westwood 46 642 67
71 Si-woo Kim 55 639 102
72 Scott Piercy 55 628 71
73 Ross Fisher 48 625 70
74 Ollie Schniederjans 35 623 69
75 Chris Kirk 53 621 94
76 Matthew Fitzpatrick 59 609 73
77 Jamie Lovemark 50 604 74
78 Keegan Bradley 55 594 76
79 Sung Kang 53 588 86
80 Kevin Tway 23 582 75
81 Sean O’Hair 54 580 78
82 Danny Willett 50 579 77
83 Andy Sullivan 57 578 82
84 Daniel Summerhays 56 575 80
85 Hudson Swafford 59 573 79
86 Jim Herman 56 571 90
87 Mackenzie Hughes 23 571 118
88 Stewart Cink 47 565 87
89 Tommy Fleetwood 56 565 88
90 Luke Donald 55 559 81
91 Luke List 51 557 84
92 David Lingmerth 60 554 85
93 Chez Reavie 54 551 89
94 JJ Spaun 24 547 83
95 Smylie Kaufman 50 545 117
96 Hideto Tanihara 13 542 95
97 Colt Knost 43 539 96
98 Ian Poulter 45 535 142
99 Jason Kokrak 54 533 92
100 Scott Brown 55 527 93
101 Harris English 58 515 98
102 Cameron Smith 55 513 97
103 Chad Campbell 58 511 99
104 Kevin Streelman 53 506 100
105 Danny Lee 68 497 101
106 Anirban Lahiri 55 496 103
107 JT Poston 20 494 106
108 Joost Luiten 51 488 107
109 Billy Hurley 50 487 109
110 Robert Streb 57 479 104
111 Jerry Kelly 41 476 105
112 Aaron Baddeley 57 474 115
113 John Huh 56 470 108
114 Victor Dubuisson 37 469 112
115 Chris Wood 57 468 113
116 Sangmoon Bae 13 467 119
117 Jonas Blixt 54 465 110
118 Patrick Rodgers 55 460 111
119 Patton Kizzire 48 453 114
120 Robert Garrigus 51 451 116
121 Seung-yul Noh 55 444 134
122 David Hearn 61 436 120
123 Michael Kim 49 430 121
124 Thongchai Jaidee 57 427 124
125 Alex Cejka 56 426 123
126 James Hahn 54 424 122
127 Aaron Wise 8 421 129
128 Matt Jones 51 421 127
129 Nick Taylor 54 420 130
130 Roberto Castro 56 417 128
131 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 56 413 132
132 Yuta Ikeda 11 412 271
133 Haotong Li 29 409 133
134 Freddie Jacobson 35 405 126
135 Brian Gay 29 402 125
136 Bryce Molder 55 401 131
137 Harold Varner 53 397 140
138 Fabrizio Zanotti 47 392 135
139 Retief Goosen 42 390 136
140 Cameron Tringale 56 389 141
141 Blayne Barber 52 384 188
142 Michael Thompson 57 376 137
143 Ben Martin 55 373 160
144 Johnson Wagner 54 372 138
145 Vaughn Taylor 51 371 139
146 Brandon Hagy 22 371 144
147 Peter Uihlein 43 367 145
148 Oscar Fraustro 15 366 154
149 Richard Bland 51 362 149
150 Pablo Larrazabal 50 360 150
151 Morgan Hoffmann 56 360 143
152 Kyle Reifers 68 359 147
153 Kelly Kraft 46 355 146
154 Geoff Ogilvy 46 353 152
155 Brian Stuard 55 352 148
156 Julian Etulain 19 350 157
157 Jorge Campillo 54 350 156
158 Will Wilcox 40 350 153
159 Fabian Gomez 55 347 151
160 Scott Stallings 48 347 159
161 David Toms 30 346 162
162 John Senden 57 346 163
163 Peter Hanson 36 345 161
164 Jon Curran 52 344 164
165 Sam Saunders 53 344 165
166 Zac Blair 67 343 155
167 Tim Wilkinson 53 341 166
168 Thorbjorn Olesen 56 340 167
169 Bradley Dredge 44 340 168
170 Jordan L Smith 13 339 169
171 Cameron Percy 43 333 173
172 Chris Stroud 52 332 171
173 Padraig Harrington 48 332 175
174 Vijay Singh 47 332 236
175 George Coetzee 49 328 176
176 Jamie Donaldson 46 327 178
177 Dominic Bozzelli 19 326 158
178 Camilo Villegas 59 326 170
179 Kyung-tae Kim 18 325 179
180 Tyrone van Aswegen 64 325 174
181 KJ Choi 44 324 172
182 Alexander Levy 49 322 181
183 Andrew Johnston 51 321 182
184 Alejandro Canizares 48 317 184
185 Gregory Bourdy 57 316 186
186 Andrew Loupe 51 316 177
187 Jaco van Zyl 48 314 185
188 Richard Sterne 36 311 187
189 Derek Fathauer 60 309 183
190 Justin Leonard 22 306 189
191 Whee Kim 45 304 190
192 Grayson Murray 19 301 180
193 Robby Shelton 10 300 192
194 Henrik Norlander 34 298 191
195 Rikard Karlberg 47 298 194
196 Rob Oppenheim 33 297 195
197 John Peterson 25 294 196
198 Ryan Blaum 26 293 197
199 Jeunghun Wang 41 292 198
200 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 45 292 200
201 Bronson Burgoon 32 291 201
202 Alexander Bjork 11 287 204
203 CT Pan 30 286 193
204 James Morrison 54 286 203
205 Xander Schauffele 19 286 205
206 Spencer Levin 66 285 199
207 Tag Ridings 19 284 208
208 DA Points 47 282 202
209 Martin Flores 35 281 211
210 David Horsey 50 280 209
211 David Lipsky 59 280 210
212 Ricky Barnes 60 279 206
213 Lee McCoy 13 276 213
214 Troy Merritt 59 275 207
215 Thomas Aiken 58 275 212
216 Jonathan Randolph 29 268 218
217 Andres Gonzales 58 267 214
218 Nicolas Colsaerts 58 267 215
219 Mikko Ilonen 45 266 216
220 Boo Weekley 54 265 220
221 Benjamin Hebert 53 264 217
222 Bill Lunde 16 263 229
223 Julien Quesne 48 263 219
224 Romain Langasque 17 262 221
225 Seamus Power 22 259 224
226 Joakim Lagergren 49 256 226
227 Tom Hoge 52 256 225
228 Scott Hend 60 254 227
229 Paul Dunne 40 253 228
230 Tim Clark 14 252 234
231 Shawn Stefani 55 251 222
232 Bryson DeChambeau 42 249 231
233 Ryo Ishikawa 34 247 232
234 Martin Piller 29 245 235
235 Brett Stegmaier 51 243 230
236 Jason Bohn 49 241 223
237 Ben Crane 53 240 233
238 Ashun Wu 28 239 237
239 Chad Collins 53 239 240
240 Dylan Frittelli 22 238 238
241 Dean Burmester 24 237 239
242 Greg Owen 50 231 242
243 Mark Anderson 17 230 243
244 Richy Werenski 20 226 245
245 Scott Langley 43 223 247
246 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 34 223 249
247 Anthony Wall 43 223 246
248 Hiroshi Iwata 44 221 251
249 Luke Guthrie 36 220 250
250 Tiger Woods 10 220 244
251 Raphael Jacquelin 52 218 253
252 Angel Cabrera 38 218 255
253 Florian Fritsch 30 217 241
254 Jason Gore 47 216 254
255 Andres Romero 30 216 248
256 Nacho Elvira 44 215 256
257 Brandon Stone 33 214 257
258 Ken Duke 50 214 258
259 Cody Gribble 26 211 266
260 JJ Henry 57 211 260
261 Ricardo Gouveia 41 211 252
262 Rod Pampling 47 209 265
263 Lucas Bjerregaard 59 208 261
264 Austin Cook 15 206 259
265 YE Yang 34 206 262
266 Mikko Korhonen 43 204 263
267 Matthew Southgate 39 203 269
268 Brice Garnett 33 202 264
269 Steve Wheatcroft 50 202 268
270 Maximilian Kieffer 51 200 267
271 Anders Hansen 20 200 273
272 Marcus Fraser 48 199 270
273 Andrew Landry 24 198 275
274 Tyler Aldridge 42 197 274
275 Will MacKenzie 47 197 277
276 Wes Roach 27 196 279
277 Jonathan Byrd 27 196 272
278 Stephen Gallacher 43 195 276
279 Chris Hanson 31 194 281
280 Matteo Manassero 49 193 285
281 Richie Ramsay 46 193 282
282 Chesson Hadley 45 191 286
283 Rory Sabbatini 47 191 278
284 Brett Drewitt 14 191 287
285 Trey Mullinax 26 191 288
286 Marc Warren 52 190 284
287 Romain Wattel 51 188 290
288 Meen-whee Kim 13 187 291
289 Stuart Appleby 38 187 293
290 Trevor Fisher 41 187 280
291 David Howell 46 187 289
292 Renato Paratore 59 184 294
293 Miguel Angel Jimenez 30 183 292
294 Graeme Storm 55 181 296
295 Ernie Els 53 180 295
296 Mark Wilson 45 180 297
297 Lasse Jensen 48 179 298
298 Gavin Green 8 179 299
299 Darren Fichardt 45 177 300
300 Johan Carlsson 51 176 305
301 Phachara Khongwatmai 14 176 302
302 Paul Waring 14 175 303
303 Magnus A Carlsson 49 174 304
304 Ashley Chesters 10 174 283
305 Ryan Ruffels 15 174 308
306 Kristoffer Broberg 44 173 301
307 Chris Paisley 54 173 307
308 David Drysdale 60 170 306
309 Nicholas Lindheim 19 170 309
310 Jeff Overton 38 165 311
311 Callum Shinkwin 33 163 313
312 Mark Hubbard 62 163 310
313 Robert Rock 46 161 315
314 Shubhankar Sharma 9 160 318
315 Steve Marino 43 159 319
316 Hunter Stewart 8 159 314
317 George McNeill 44 159 312
318 Scott Pinckney 43 157 317
319 Rashid Khan 15 156 323
320 Peter Malnati 57 154 316
321 Lee Slattery 54 154 322
322 Brett Rumford 36 153 324
323 Brendon de Jonge 53 153 321
324 Prayad Marksaeng 9 153 325
325 Jason Scrivener 48 151 327
326 Ryan Brehm 17 150 328
327 Ashley Hall 8 147 332
328 Michael Hendry 8 146 331
329 Justin Walters 47 146 326
330 Thomas Detry 13 146 334
331 Carlos Ortiz 46 145 330
332 Gregory Havret 54 145 333
333 Tim Herron 27 142 338
334 Steven Alker 32 140 336
335 Felipe Aguilar 48 140 337
336 Joel Stalter 13 139 320
337 Oliver Fisher 54 139 339
338 Prom Meesawat 41 138 340
339 Pep Angles 13 138 329
340 Sam Brazel 27 136 343
341 Scott Jamieson 53 135 344
342 Erik Compton 40 133 345
343 Greg Chalmers 46 133 342
344 Steve Allan 8 131 348
345 Nathan Kimsey 10 130 335
346 Justin Hicks 21 130 350
347 Carlos Pigem 31 129 351
348 Eduardo de la Riva 45 129 352
349 Paul Lawrie 35 129 341
350 Curtis Luck 11 128 353
351 Alex Prugh 30 128 355
352 Ryan Fox 27 126 354
353 Robert Karlsson 43 126 356
354 Dawie van der Walt 37 125 358
355 Brian Campbell 16 124 357
356 Wade Ormsby 36 124 360
357 Thomas Bjorn 34 123 359
358 Richard Green 42 122 349
359 Eddie Pepperell 43 122 347
360 Thanyakorn Khrongpha 11 122 364
361 Stephan Jaeger 8 122 365
362 Pelle Edberg 52 121 363
363 Sebastian Munoz 11 121 366
364 Bernd Ritthammer 27 120 367
365 Adilson da Silva 27 120 368
366 Panuphol Pittayarat 17 120 370
367 Haydn Porteous 39 120 372
368 Davis Love 29 119 362
369 Simon Wakefield 10 119 369
370 Daniel Im 36 119 374
371 Carl Pettersson 51 119 361
372 Bobby Wyatt 21 119 375
373 Nick Cullen 17 118 346
374 Marcel Siem 51 117 377
375 Jbe Kruger 42 117 376
376 S Chikarangappa 10 117 378
377 Josh Teater 13 117 379
378 Jacques Blaauw 14 117 382
379 Soo-min Lee 39 116 380
380 Nino Bertasio 37 115 383
381 Derek Ernst 39 114 381
382 Steven Bowditch 64 114 371
383 Bob Estes 10 114 388
384 Miguel Angel Carballo 38 113 386
385 Jake Higginbottom 9 113 389
386 Zander Lombard 19 112 373
387 Angelo Que 13 112 387
388 Shiv Kapur 39 111 393
389 Hunter Mahan 50 111 384
390 Rhein Gibson 32 110 391
391 David Bransdon 8 109 395
392 Brian Davis 23 109 385
393 Ryan Armour 25 108 394
394 Rahil Gangjee 19 108 396
395 Adrian Otaegui 51 107 398
396 Michael Jonzon 15 107 399
397 John Merrick 34 105 401
398 SSP Chawrasia 45 105 402
399 Ben Evans 44 105 406
400 Masahiro Kawamura 18 105 403
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

The Players Championship

May 8, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,

Patrick Cantlay
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Patrick Cantlay -14.6 22
2 Dustin Johnson -1.0 12
3 Rory McIlroy 1.3 35
4 Sergio Garcia 9.3 30
5 Jon Rahm 19.3 72
6 Rickie Fowler 21.1 60
7 Jordan Spieth 22.4 97
8 Jason Day 22.6 60
9 Paul Casey 22.9 22
10 Justin Rose 24.0 65
11 Adam Scott 26.5 6
12 Phil Mickelson 30.9 41
13 Brooks Koepka 31.3 16
14 Matt Kuchar 31.8 82
15 Francesco Molinari 32.3 6
16 Hideki Matsuyama 33.4 22
17 Charl Schwartzel 34.6 114
18 Jason Dufner 35.1 60
19 Justin Thomas 37.2 75
20 Martin Kaymer 37.7 69
21 Ryan Palmer 37.9 97
22 Pat Perez 37.9 22
23 Kevin Kisner 38.5 56
24 Ryan Moore 38.7 53
25 Henrik Stenson 39.0 16
26 Brian Harman 40.2 53
27 Russell Henley 40.4 35
28 Marc Leishman 40.5 97
29 Branden Grace 42.1 48
30 Tyrrell Hatton 43.6 41
31 Bill Haas 43.8 104
32 Louis Oosthuizen 45.2 2
33 Lee Westwood 45.2 65
34 Kevin Chappell 45.4 35
35 Bubba Watson 46.1 123
36 Adam Hadwin 46.1 30
37 Charles Howell 46.3 DNP
38 Jimmy Walker 46.4 56
39 Daniel Berger 47.1 65
40 Zach Johnson 47.2 48
41 Steve Stricker 47.3 41
42 Tony Finau 47.6 83
43 Kevin Tway 47.8 145
44 Brendan Steele 48.7 6
45 JB Holmes 48.7 41
46 Bernd Wiesberger 48.8 12
47 Charley Hoffman 49.4 30
48 Bud Cauley 49.4 145
49 Kevin Na 50.0 WD
50 Patrick Reed 50.0 22
51 Gary Woodland 50.1 145
52 Graeme McDowell 50.4 69
53 Sung Kang 50.7 30
54 Cameron Smith 51.1 97
55 Emiliano Grillo 51.1 11
56 Matthew Fitzpatrick 51.3 104
57 William McGirt 51.4 22
58 Ross Fisher 51.7 104
59 Russell Knox 51.9 97
60 Kyle Stanley 53.4 4
61 Tommy Fleetwood 53.4 41
62 Martin Laird 53.6 83
63 Jhonattan Vegas 53.8 83
64 Ollie Schniederjans 54.7 145
65 Jim Furyk 54.8 83
66 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 55.2 4
67 Alex Noren 55.4 10
68 Keegan Bradley 55.5 60
69 Billy Horschel 55.5 123
70 Lucas Glover 56.1 6
71 Graham DeLaet 56.4 97
72 Webb Simpson 56.8 16
73 Wesley Bryan 57.3 97
74 Shane Lowry 57.4 114
75 Hudson Swafford 58.5 83
76 Luke List 58.8 83
77 Aaron Baddeley 58.9 41
78 Billy Hurley 59.0 41
79 David Lingmerth 59.4 72
80 JJ Spaun 59.7 145
81 Brian Gay 59.8 114
82 Luke Donald 59.8 83
83 Jamie Lovemark 59.9 75
84 Chris Kirk 61.2 12
85 Danny Lee 61.5 139
86 Scott Brown 61.5 83
87 Scott Piercy 61.6 143
88 Sean O’Hair 61.6 130
89 Jim Herman 61.7 35
90 Daniel Summerhays 62.0 53
91 Jerry Kelly 62.1 123
92 Anirban Lahiri 62.2 114
93 John Huh 62.3 83
94 Chad Campbell 62.4 104
95 Jonas Blixt 63.2 104
96 Kevin Streelman 63.2 72
97 Chez Reavie 63.4 56
98 Vaughn Taylor 63.4 130
99 Michael Kim 63.7 60
100 Patton Kizzire 63.7 138
101 Danny Willett 64.0 WD
102 Ian Poulter 64.1 2
103 Robert Garrigus 64.1 139
104 James Hahn 64.4 83
105 Jason Kokrak 64.4 83
106 Morgan Hoffmann 64.5 145
107 Robert Streb 64.6 114
108 Smylie Kaufman 64.7 12
109 David Hearn 64.8 69
110 Camilo Villegas 65.1 145
111 Brian Stuard 65.2 75
112 Harris English 65.3 142
113 Zac Blair 65.5 141
114 Alex Cejka 65.6 79
115 Seung-yul Noh 65.8 22
116 Mackenzie Hughes 65.9 16
117 DA Points 66.0 130
118 Si-woo Kim 66.0 1
119 Kelly Kraft 66.1 145
120 Patrick Rodgers 66.6 104
121 Michael Thompson 66.6 145
122 KJ Choi 66.7 83
123 David Toms 66.8 DNP
124 Freddie Jacobson 66.8 104
125 Johnson Wagner 67.0 130
126 Bryce Molder 67.1 123
127 Tyrone van Aswegen 67.9 137
128 Ben Martin 68.3 30
129 Roberto Castro 68.3 56
130 Grayson Murray 68.5 79
131 Blayne Barber 68.5 16
132 Cameron Tringale 68.9 35
133 Kyle Reifers 68.9 104
134 Andrew Loupe 69.0 83
135 Harold Varner 69.3 35
136 Derek Fathauer 69.3 130
137 Fabian Gomez 70.0 123
138 CT Pan 70.0 145
139 Rod Pampling 70.1 48
140 Dominic Bozzelli 70.2 145
141 Ben Crane 70.6 79
142 Spencer Levin 70.7 83
143 Troy Merritt 70.9 114
144 Shawn Stefani 71.3 104
145 Yuta Ikeda 71.4 22
146 Boo Weekley 71.7 48
147 Ricky Barnes 71.7 65
148 Vijay Singh 72.0 16
149 Brett Stegmaier 72.3 130
150 Jason Bohn 72.3 123
151 Cody Gribble 72.5 48
152 Ernie Els 73.4 114
153 Peter Malnati 74.3 114
154 Greg Chalmers 74.6 114
155 Mark Hubbard 74.6 123
156 Matt Every 77.4 130
157 Bernhard Langer 79.9 104
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 6. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Open de Portugal at Morgado Golf Resort

May 8, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,

Florian Fritsch
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Florian Fritsch 58.4 106
2 Ricardo Gouveia 60.3 106
3 Trevor Fisher 62.5 35
4 Anton Karlsson 64.5 106
5 Justin Walters 64.6 106
6 Sebastian Heisele 64.8 4
7 Ashley Chesters 65.4 18
8 David Drysdale 66.8 48
9 Jens Fahrbring 67.2 118
10 Pep Angles 67.8 74
11 Joel Stalter 68.6 74
12 Robert Rock 68.7 12
13 Craig Lee 68.9 WD
14 Nathan Kimsey 69.3 142
15 Duncan Stewart 69.6 68
16 Jeff Winther 69.6 68
17 Simon Khan 69.7 59
18 Paul Lawrie 69.9 59
19 Oliver Fisher 70.0 6
20 Sebastian Soderberg 70.5 64
21 Eddie Pepperell 70.5 96
22 Matthieu Pavon 70.6 3
23 Richard Green 70.9 106
24 Laurie Canter 70.9 26
25 Richard McEvoy 71.2 118
26 Max Orrin 71.3 18
27 Zander Lombard 71.3 35
28 Seve Benson 71.4 127
29 Jaco Ahlers 71.6 59
30 Thomas Linard 71.8 12
31 Robert Dinwiddie 72.6 96
32 Ben Evans 72.7 6
33 Steve Webster 72.8 35
34 Mark Foster 72.9 6
35 Jens Dantorp 73.0 42
36 Matthew Nixon 73.1 26
37 Marcus Armitage 73.4 10
38 Clement Sordet 73.5 96
39 Ryan Evans 73.5 15
40 Stuart Manley 73.5 74
41 Roope Kakko 73.8 22
42 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 74.3 127
43 Paul Maddy 74.3 72
44 Sam Walker 74.3 4
45 Joachim B Hansen 74.3 DNP
46 Matt Ford 74.4 35
47 Alvaro Quiros 74.4 22
48 Tom Lewis 74.7 18
49 Pontus Widegren 74.8 12
50 Simon Forsstrom 74.9 137
51 Borja Virto Astudillo 75.1 73
52 Gary King 75.1 96
53 Estanislao Goya 75.1 18
54 Johan Edfors 75.3 53
55 Steven Tiley 75.5 74
56 Adrien Saddier 75.6 26
57 Jose-Filipe Lima 75.6 22
58 John Parry 75.8 142
59 Clement Berardo 75.9 74
60 Aaron Rai 76.0 22
61 Christopher Mivis 76.3 74
62 Matthew Baldwin 76.3 26
63 Pavit Tangkamolprasert 76.4 106
64 Richard Finch 76.4 118
65 Scott Henry 76.8 148
66 Oscar Stark 76.9 35
67 Morten Orum Madsen 77.1 118
68 Damien Perrier 77.1 42
69 James Heath 77.2 74
70 Julien Guerrier 77.4 74
71 Rafa Echenique 77.8 106
72 Reinier Saxton 77.8 74
73 Pedro Figueiredo 77.9 42
74 Simon Dyson 77.9 148
75 Mike Weir 78.2 106
76 Tiago Cruz 78.3 106
77 Alvaro Velasco 78.4 74
78 Scott Fernandez 78.6 26
79 Hugo Santos 78.7 142
80 Garrick Porteous 78.7 74
81 Filip Mruzek 78.7 48
82 Niclas Johansson 78.7 127
83 Jamie Rutherford 78.7 42
84 Tomas Melo Gouveia 78.7 127
85 Luca Cianchetti 78.7 145
86 Ewen Ferguson 78.7 153
87 Joao Ramos 78.7 145
88 Niklas Lindstrom 78.7 74
89 Federico Maccario 78.7 145
90 Petr Dedek 78.7 154
91 Kristian Krogh Johannessen 78.7 155
92 Joel Girrbach 78.7 127
93 Filippo Bergamaschi 78.7 148
94 Tomas Silva 78.7 137
95 Adrian Meronk 78.7 42
96 Tiago Rodrigues 78.7 152
97 Jamie Abbott 78.7 15
98 Joao Carlota 78.7 74
99 Hugues Joannes 78.7 137
100 Craig Farrelly 78.7 127
Matt Wallace late entry 1
Julian Suri late entry 2
Tapio Pulkkanen late entry 9
Erik Van Rooyen late entry 11
Pedro Oriol late entry 16
Darius van Driel late entry 30
Christian Braeunig late entry 31
Charlie Ford late entry 33
Jordi Garcia Pinto late entry 34
Moritz Lampert late entry 39
Mark Tullo late entry 41
Gary Hurley late entry 46
Ben Eccles late entry 49
Steven Brown late entry 50
Robert Coles late entry 51
Dominic Foos late entry 54
James Allan late entry 55
Lorenzo Gagli late entry 56
Andrea Pavan late entry 57
Alessandro Tadini late entry 58
Wil Besseling late entry 62
Grant Forrest late entry 63
Rhys Davies late entry 64
Jack Senior late entry 65
Daniel Fox late entry 67
Nick Cullen late entry 68
Ricardo Santos late entry 71
Michael Hoey late entry 76
Kevin Phelan late entry 78
Enrico di Nitto late entry 82
Borja Etchart late entry 83
Oscar Lengden late entry 86
Ruaidhri McGee late entry 88
Robin Sciot-siegrist late entry 92
Chris Selfridge late entry 93
Jurrian van der Vaart late entry 94
Oliver Farr late entry 97
Marcus Kinhult late entry 99
Ross McGowan late entry 100
Tom Murray late entry 101
Daan Huizing late entry 104
Victor Riu late entry 105
Bradley Neil late entry 111
Matteo Delpodio late entry 115
Edouard Dubois late entry 116
Mikael Lundberg late entry 119
Ryan McCarthy late entry 121
Oliver Wilson late entry 123
Maarten Lafeber late entry 125
David Law late entry 126
Scott Arnold late entry 127
Austin Connelly late entry 131
Nicolas Geyger late entry 133
Martin Ovesen late entry 136
Ross Kellett late entry 137
Francesco Laporta late entry 138
Andrea Maestroni late entry 151
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 50. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.