Masters Tournament

April 2, 2017 Thomas Hawley , ,
Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Dustin Johnson -5.2 DNP
2 Jordan Spieth 9.1 11
3 Rory McIlroy 11.6 7
4 Jon Rahm 18.0 27
5 Jason Day 19.2 22
6 Rickie Fowler 19.4 11
7 Justin Rose 19.6 2
8 Adam Scott 22.9 9
9 Paul Casey 24.2 6
10 Phil Mickelson 27.3 22
11 Tyrrell Hatton 28.3 90
12 Sergio Garcia 30.2 1
13 Francesco Molinari 33.0 33
14 Bill Haas 33.9 36
15 Hideto Tanihara 34.0 84
16 Hideki Matsuyama 35.0 11
17 Henrik Stenson 35.7 62
18 Louis Oosthuizen 37.2 41
19 Matt Kuchar 38.4 4
20 Kevin Kisner 38.7 43
21 Brandt Snedeker 39.5 27
22 Marc Leishman 40.3 43
23 Charl Schwartzel 40.5 3
24 Martin Kaymer 41.3 16
25 Gary Woodland 41.3 81
26 Jason Dufner 41.4 33
27 Adam Hadwin 41.7 36
28 Ryan Moore 42.9 9
29 Russell Henley 43.9 11
30 Charley Hoffman 43.9 22
31 Bubba Watson 44.1 62
32 Daniel Berger 44.5 27
33 Brendan Steele 44.6 27
34 Justin Thomas 45.1 22
35 Jhonattan Vegas 45.2 78
36 Pat Perez 47.6 18
37 Lee Westwood 48.1 18
38 Brooks Koepka 48.2 11
39 Bernd Wiesberger 48.4 43
40 Alex Noren 48.8 62
41 Matthew Fitzpatrick 48.8 32
42 Tommy Fleetwood 48.8 62
43 Kevin Na 49.1 54
44 Emiliano Grillo 49.2 51
45 Jim Furyk 50.0 54
46 Hudson Swafford 50.3 71
47 Patrick Reed 50.4 71
48 JB Holmes 50.4 50
49 Zach Johnson 50.6 54
50 Soren Kjeldsen 50.7 36
51 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 50.8 62
52 Ross Fisher 51.3 41
53 Branden Grace 52.2 27
54 Jimmy Walker 52.7 18
55 Steve Stricker 52.8 16
56 Shane Lowry 54.1 54
57 William McGirt 54.3 22
58 Thomas Pieters 55.0 4
59 Russell Knox 56.4 62
60 Webb Simpson 56.9 62
61 Andy Sullivan 57.1 48
62 Danny Willett 58.7 54
63 Kevin Chappell 59.1 7
64 Scott Piercy 59.4 62
65 Byeong Hun An 60.0 33
66 Sean O’Hair 61.8 71
67 James Hahn 61.9 48
68 Chris Wood 62.1 54
69 Daniel Summerhays 62.8 46
70 Mackenzie Hughes 62.9 91
71 Roberto Castro 64.5 88
72 Si-woo Kim 64.9 84
73 Billy Hurley 66.6 54
74 Brian Stuard 67.0 36
75 Jeunghun Wang 68.2 84
76 Yuta Ikeda 68.2 54
77 Angel Cabrera 70.0 78
78 Vijay Singh 71.2 71
79 Rod Pampling 72.5 62
80 Ernie Els 72.8 53
81 Curtis Luck 77.1 46
82 Trevor Immelman 77.3 81
83 Bernhard Langer 77.8 71
84 Mark O’Meara 82.1 84
85 Larry Mize 82.6 52
86 Fred Couples 82.8 18
87 Mike Weir 83.7 81
88 Sandy Lyle 83.9 92
89 Ian Woosnam 84.1 78
90 Jose Maria Olazabal 84.1 71
91 Brad Dalke 84.3 71
92 Toto Gana 84.3 93
93 Scott Gregory 84.3 88
94 Stewart Hagestad 84.3 36
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 131. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Apr. 2, 2017)

April 2, 2017 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson’s lead is changed only slightly in his third week on top.
# Thru Apr. 2, 2017 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 49 1843 1
2 Rory McIlroy 42 1714 2
3 Jason Day 40 1682 3
4 Jon Rahm 21 1512 5
5 Jordan Spieth 51 1509 4
6 Justin Rose 49 1401 6
7 Rickie Fowler 54 1361 9
8 Adam Scott 43 1325 7
9 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1299 10
10 Henrik Stenson 48 1289 8
11 Phil Mickelson 46 1255 11
12 Sergio Garcia 42 1224 12
13 Paul Casey 50 1183 13
14 Matt Kuchar 59 1106 14
15 Francesco Molinari 47 1066 15
16 Tyrrell Hatton 51 1043 18
17 Bill Haas 52 1041 17
18 Patrick Reed 67 1026 16
19 Gary Woodland 53 1012 19
20 Kevin Na 53 998 20
21 Brooks Koepka 53 994 23
22 Brandt Snedeker 58 992 25
23 Kevin Kisner 55 991 22
24 Justin Thomas 55 986 24
25 Charles Howell 56 983 21
26 Louis Oosthuizen 52 982 26
27 Charl Schwartzel 50 959 27
28 Brendan Steele 49 954 28
29 Ryan Moore 47 947 29
30 Daniel Berger 55 940 37
31 Bubba Watson 46 939 30
32 Branden Grace 53 936 31
33 Marc Leishman 52 930 32
34 Zach Johnson 53 893 36
35 Jim Furyk 35 891 35
36 Jason Dufner 50 884 39
37 JB Holmes 50 880 33
38 Billy Horschel 50 878 34
39 Martin Kaymer 54 850 38
40 Russell Henley 50 844 49
41 Adam Hadwin 54 839 41
42 Tony Finau 56 830 40
43 Emiliano Grillo 57 813 43
44 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 59 809 42
45 Russell Knox 59 807 44
46 Pat Perez 36 800 45
47 Charley Hoffman 54 781 47
48 Jimmy Walker 55 779 46
49 William McGirt 54 769 48
50 Jhonattan Vegas 59 740 56
51 Webb Simpson 48 728 51
52 Soren Kjeldsen 61 721 53
53 Shane Lowry 48 712 54
54 Ryan Palmer 45 705 50
55 Hideto Tanihara 10 704 57
56 Lucas Glover 50 698 52
57 Scott Piercy 55 688 59
58 Brian Harman 62 686 55
59 Steve Stricker 30 684 60
60 Kevin Chappell 54 683 58
61 Keegan Bradley 55 682 71
62 Martin Laird 49 679 61
63 Bernd Wiesberger 59 677 67
64 Byeong Hun An 53 674 63
65 Wesley Bryan 19 671 64
66 Alex Noren 40 665 65
67 Thomas Pieters 51 661 68
68 Jamie Lovemark 47 655 62
69 Matthew Fitzpatrick 58 651 69
70 Daniel Summerhays 54 650 72
71 Danny Willett 50 650 70
72 Graham DeLaet 43 645 73
73 Ross Fisher 47 636 74
74 Graeme McDowell 59 634 78
75 Hudson Swafford 57 630 88
76 Chris Kirk 52 630 75
77 Luke List 47 629 93
78 Nick Watney 29 625 66
79 Sean O’Hair 56 617 76
80 Chez Reavie 52 609 79
81 Lee Westwood 47 608 77
82 Stewart Cink 47 600 84
83 Andy Sullivan 58 600 91
84 Jason Kokrak 53 589 80
85 Kyle Stanley 50 588 96
86 Jim Herman 54 586 81
87 Harris English 57 584 82
88 Tommy Fleetwood 57 577 83
89 Chad Campbell 57 564 90
90 Kevin Streelman 53 562 86
91 David Lingmerth 58 557 85
92 Robert Streb 57 553 92
93 Mackenzie Hughes 18 548 102
94 Luke Donald 54 545 89
95 Anirban Lahiri 56 544 94
96 Ollie Schniederjans 31 539 87
97 Danny Lee 68 531 101
98 Si-woo Kim 51 523 95
99 Patrick Rodgers 53 522 97
100 Colt Knost 45 520 99
101 Joost Luiten 51 515 100
102 JJ Spaun 20 511 98
103 Victor Dubuisson 38 496 106
104 Robert Garrigus 51 494 114
105 David Hearn 60 493 107
106 Michael Kim 45 491 118
107 Roberto Castro 50 489 103
108 James Hahn 54 485 105
109 Jerry Kelly 42 485 109
110 Scott Brown 55 484 104
111 Chris Wood 57 483 108
112 Sung Kang 49 480 129
113 Alex Cejka 55 472 110
114 John Huh 57 465 113
115 Dominic Bozzelli 14 465 112
116 JT Poston 17 456 111
117 Thongchai Jaidee 58 451 116
118 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 56 439 120
119 Bud Cauley 30 432 115
120 Freddie Jacobson 35 428 117
121 Aaron Wise 8 424 122
122 Cameron Tringale 56 422 119
123 Sangmoon Bae 17 421 125
124 Bryce Molder 54 420 121
125 Haotong Li 31 417 126
126 Harold Varner 48 413 136
127 Matt Jones 51 410 124
128 Patton Kizzire 44 406 123
129 Smylie Kaufman 46 403 127
130 Aaron Baddeley 58 397 156
131 Michael Thompson 56 393 164
132 Geoff Ogilvy 45 392 145
133 Richard Bland 51 392 134
134 Johnson Wagner 52 391 130
135 Fabian Gomez 53 388 128
136 Cameron Smith 53 382 131
137 Scott Stallings 48 381 133
138 Will Wilcox 38 379 137
139 Billy Hurley 48 379 139
140 Retief Goosen 42 378 132
141 John Senden 59 377 135
142 Fabrizio Zanotti 46 375 141
143 Peter Uihlein 44 374 162
144 Kyle Reifers 65 372 138
145 Peter Hanson 37 371 143
146 Jamie Donaldson 47 366 144
147 Jonas Blixt 56 366 140
148 Ryan Blaum 22 364 155
149 Bradley Dredge 44 358 151
150 Andrew Loupe 48 358 207
151 David Toms 33 357 150
152 Vaughn Taylor 47 356 171
153 CT Pan 25 354 142
154 Seung-yul Noh 55 353 146
155 Ian Poulter 45 351 152
156 KJ Choi 44 351 148
157 John Peterson 24 349 154
158 Ben Martin 56 349 147
159 Romain Langasque 14 344 158
160 Jon Curran 54 342 161
161 Andrew Johnston 50 342 153
162 Alejandro Canizares 47 340 159
163 Jorge Campillo 54 339 163
164 Jason Bohn 48 338 149
165 Thorbjorn Olesen 55 336 165
166 Jaco van Zyl 48 332 168
167 Chris Stroud 53 332 157
168 Derek Fathauer 60 330 160
169 Jeunghun Wang 39 329 169
170 Brian Stuard 54 329 172
171 Tyrone van Aswegen 61 329 167
172 Tim Wilkinson 54 327 174
173 Morgan Hoffmann 56 326 175
174 Kyung-tae Kim 18 325 176
175 Alexander Bjork 8 325 173
176 Justin Leonard 24 324 177
177 Martin Flores 36 320 166
178 Zac Blair 65 319 223
179 Richard Sterne 37 318 180
180 Cameron Percy 42 318 178
181 Padraig Harrington 51 317 181
182 Nick Taylor 54 312 185
183 Sam Saunders 52 312 221
184 Ryo Ishikawa 35 309 170
185 Spencer Levin 65 308 211
186 George Coetzee 49 308 186
187 Rikard Karlberg 46 307 187
188 Oscar Fraustro 17 307 192
189 Gregory Bourdy 56 307 189
190 Whee Kim 47 306 188
191 Troy Merritt 58 306 183
192 Ricky Barnes 59 306 182
193 Pablo Larrazabal 49 304 191
194 Henrik Norlander 34 304 190
195 Blayne Barber 50 300 193
196 Shawn Stefani 52 300 184
197 Brandon Hagy 19 297 199
198 Camilo Villegas 59 296 195
199 David Horsey 52 295 198
200 Rob Oppenheim 33 294 203
201 Alexander Levy 48 293 201
202 James Morrison 54 292 202
203 Joakim Lagergren 47 290 206
204 Kelly Kraft 42 289 196
205 Seamus Power 19 288 208
206 Boo Weekley 54 287 197
207 Bronson Burgoon 32 286 209
208 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 43 285 210
209 Grayson Murray 15 281 194
210 Bryson DeChambeau 38 281 214
211 Nicolas Colsaerts 57 280 213
212 Brett Stegmaier 47 280 204
213 Tom Hoge 51 280 205
214 Meen-whee Kim 9 278 179
215 Greg Owen 49 277 212
216 Scott Hend 61 277 215
217 Mikko Ilonen 45 276 219
218 Dean Burmester 22 276 216
219 Thomas Aiken 60 275 217
220 Vijay Singh 47 274 220
221 Julien Quesne 48 274 218
222 Richy Werenski 17 274 200
223 Andres Gonzales 58 273 240
224 Lee McCoy 13 262 226
225 David Lipsky 59 261 225
226 Tiger Woods 12 258 222
227 Anthony Wall 44 256 227
228 Florian Fritsch 29 254 231
229 Ashun Wu 27 254 229
230 Ben Crane 53 253 224
231 Benjamin Hebert 53 251 236
232 Rory Sabbatini 48 251 228
233 Andres Romero 34 246 237
234 Chad Collins 51 245 232
235 Ken Duke 49 245 233
236 Yuta Ikeda 8 242 241
237 Austin Cook 15 240 238
238 Trey Mullinax 22 238 235
239 Cody Gribble 23 238 230
240 Lucas Bjerregaard 58 234 242
241 Joe Affrunti 8 234 247
242 Paul Dunne 38 233 243
243 Martin Piller 29 233 248
244 Mikko Korhonen 43 232 244
245 Jason Gore 49 231 239
246 DA Points 46 231 283
247 Maximilian Kieffer 51 231 245
248 David Howell 46 230 246
249 Scott Langley 47 228 249
250 Bill Lunde 18 225 234
251 Luke Guthrie 40 224 250
252 Raphael Jacquelin 52 223 251
253 Hiroshi Iwata 44 223 252
254 Nacho Elvira 42 222 253
255 Steve Wheatcroft 50 221 254
256 Ricardo Gouveia 36 219 256
257 Marc Warren 53 217 255
258 Brian Gay 25 215 258
259 Brice Garnett 37 215 257
260 Will MacKenzie 47 215 259
261 Richie Ramsay 45 212 260
262 Stephen Gallacher 43 212 261
263 Tim Clark 14 211 264
264 Mark Wilson 46 207 263
265 Tyler Aldridge 40 205 268
266 Brandon Stone 29 205 269
267 Marcus Fraser 51 204 270
268 Chesson Hadley 48 204 265
269 George McNeill 48 204 262
270 YE Yang 33 203 267
271 Jonathan Byrd 30 203 273
272 Kristoffer Broberg 46 202 274
273 Miguel Angel Jimenez 33 201 271
274 Matteo Manassero 48 200 276
275 JJ Henry 55 198 272
276 Matthew Southgate 36 196 277
277 Ernie Els 52 195 275
278 Graeme Storm 56 195 278
279 Jordan Niebrugge 8 194 266
280 Magnus A Carlsson 50 192 279
281 Pep Angles 10 192 280
282 Rod Pampling 44 189 282
283 Callum Shinkwin 30 188 284
284 Anders Hansen 21 188 285
285 Andrew Landry 24 187 286
286 Wes Roach 27 185 289
287 Stuart Appleby 37 184 281
288 Chris Paisley 53 182 290
289 Hunter Stewart 8 182 292
290 Romain Wattel 51 180 293
291 Mark Hubbard 60 179 287
292 Lee Slattery 53 177 296
293 David Drysdale 59 177 298
294 Steven Alker 31 176 295
295 Chris Hanson 29 175 299
296 Ryan Ruffels 14 175 301
297 Gavin Green 8 175 302
298 Steve Marino 40 174 291
299 Peter Malnati 52 174 294
300 Renato Paratore 58 174 300
301 Scott Pinckney 45 174 297
302 Brendon de Jonge 56 173 288
303 Robert Rock 45 173 304
304 Johan Carlsson 51 173 306
305 Brian Campbell 13 172 303
306 Lasse Jensen 47 169 308
307 Jeff Overton 42 167 310
308 Nathan Kimsey 8 166 311
309 Darren Fichardt 45 165 309
310 Trevor Fisher 42 164 313
311 Thomas Detry 10 164 312
312 Jason Scrivener 49 162 315
313 Steven Bowditch 64 160 307
314 Shubhankar Sharma 9 159 317
315 Erik Compton 43 158 316
316 Felipe Aguilar 48 157 320
317 Brett Drewitt 12 157 321
318 Sam Brazel 25 157 322
319 Xander Schauffele 16 156 319
320 Mark Anderson 15 155 305
321 Matthew Griffin 8 154 325
322 Carlos Ortiz 49 154 324
323 Gregory Havret 54 153 326
324 Tag Ridings 16 153 328
325 Davis Love 27 152 314
326 Rashid Khan 16 151 332
327 Greg Chalmers 43 150 323
328 Brendon Todd 49 150 318
329 Eddie Pepperell 44 149 330
330 Julian Etulain 16 149 336
331 Richard Green 42 149 331
332 Ashley Hall 8 148 333
333 Prayad Marksaeng 9 148 335
334 Ze-cheng Dou 8 147 339
335 Ryan Brehm 14 146 337
336 Paul Lawrie 36 146 334
337 Robert Karlsson 43 146 338
338 Thomas Bjorn 35 145 341
339 Nick Cullen 16 144 342
340 Ryan Fox 26 144 340
341 Justin Walters 44 143 344
342 Oliver Fisher 55 143 343
343 Bo Van Pelt 20 143 327
344 Bobby Wyatt 18 141 345
345 Hunter Mahan 51 141 329
346 Phachara Khongwatmai 13 139 347
347 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 35 138 346
348 Brett Rumford 34 137 348
349 Prom Meesawat 43 136 349
350 Scott Jamieson 54 133 350
351 Steve Allan 8 133 351
352 Tim Herron 27 132 353
353 Derek Ernst 41 129 354
354 Brian Davis 27 129 352
355 Miguel Angel Carballo 35 128 355
356 Zander Lombard 17 128 357
357 Dawie van der Walt 38 128 356
358 Paul Waring 13 127 358
359 Nicholas Lindheim 17 126 359
360 Wade Ormsby 37 126 360
361 Justin Hicks 21 126 362
362 Pelle Edberg 53 126 361
363 Nino Bertasio 34 126 363
364 Marcel Siem 49 125 364
365 Joel Stalter 11 124 365
366 Alex Prugh 32 123 368
367 Ryan Armour 23 122 369
368 Robby Shelton 8 121 366
369 Kevin Tway 19 121 371
370 Angel Cabrera 37 120 419
371 Eduardo de la Riva 45 120 370
372 Simon Wakefield 10 119 372
373 Dylan Frittelli 20 119 373
374 Adilson da Silva 28 118 374
375 Jbe Kruger 46 118 375
376 Curtis Luck 8 117 376
377 Alexander Knappe 8 116 379
378 Panuphol Pittayarat 18 116 377
379 Stephan Jaeger 8 116 380
380 Thanyakorn Khrongpha 13 115 385
381 Adrian Otaegui 50 114 382
382 Josh Teater 13 114 383
383 Carlos Pigem 30 114 384
384 Sebastian Soderberg 10 114 378
385 Carl Pettersson 51 114 367
386 Ben Evans 45 113 381
387 Thomas Linard 25 113 386
388 Robert Dinwiddie 48 112 389
389 Rhein Gibson 33 112 388
390 Angelo Que 13 111 390
391 Michael Putnam 31 110 387
392 Jacques Blaauw 15 110 391
393 Simon Khan 28 109 392
394 John Merrick 37 109 393
395 Brad Fritsch 17 107 396
396 Michael Jonzon 15 107 394
397 Craig Lee 43 107 397
398 Tom Gillis 25 105 395
399 Rahil Gangjee 20 105 399
400 Jaco Ahlers 15 105 398
More | Less

Shell Houston Open

March 29, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,
Jordan Spieth
Jordan Spieth
Pick Player Hawley Number Actual Finish
1 Jordan Spieth 15.2 99
2 Henrik Stenson 17.0 122
3 Rickie Fowler 19.8 3
4 Jon Rahm 20.3 10
5 Phil Mickelson 21.3 55
6 Adam Scott 25.5 82
7 Justin Rose 28.6 15
8 Charles Howell 35.5 39
9 Matt Kuchar 36.7 131
10 Russell Henley 37.6 1
11 JB Holmes 40.2 110
12 Billy Horschel 44.1 55
13 Jason Dufner 44.1 12
14 Charley Hoffman 44.5 23
15 Jhonattan Vegas 45.0 15
16 Tony Finau 45.5 34
17 Jimmy Walker 46.1 71
18 Patrick Reed 46.8 99
19 Lucas Glover 47.3 82
20 Nick Watney 48.5 137
21 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 49.0 122
22 Daniel Berger 49.3 5
23 Lee Westwood 50.0 134
24 Keegan Bradley 50.3 15
25 Stewart Cink 51.5 23
26 Jim Herman 52.0 82
27 Brian Harman 52.0 116
28 Bernd Wiesberger 52.2 23
29 Graham DeLaet 53.9 DNP
30 Wesley Bryan 54.0 DNP
31 Jason Kokrak 55.4 71
32 Jamie Lovemark 56.0 71
33 Cameron Tringale 56.2 78
34 Ryan Palmer 56.3 82
35 Kyle Stanley 56.7 8
36 Luke Donald 57.3 69
37 Luke List 57.4 3
38 Kevin Chappell 58.0 44
39 Chez Reavie 58.1 82
40 Hudson Swafford 58.3 6
41 JT Poston 58.5 55
42 Kevin Streelman 58.9 49
43 Sean O’Hair 59.0 49
44 David Hearn 59.7 DNP
45 Ollie Schniederjans 60.4 82
46 Chris Wood 60.8 49
47 Harris English 61.6 61
48 James Hahn 61.6 49
49 Andy Sullivan 61.9 15
50 Chad Campbell 61.9 34
51 JJ Spaun 62.0 44
52 Danny Lee 62.2 20
53 Alex Cejka 62.3 DQ
54 Robert Garrigus 62.3 20
55 Chris Stroud 62.7 82
56 John Huh 62.7 39
57 Matt Jones 63.0 49
58 Cameron Smith 63.2 99
59 Johnson Wagner 63.2 49
60 Roberto Castro 63.6 82
61 Si-woo Kim 63.7 WD
62 Scott Stallings 64.0 131
63 David Lingmerth 64.2 82
64 Michael Kim 64.6 12
65 Robert Streb 64.9 34
66 Bud Cauley 65.0 99
67 Scott Brown 65.0 71
68 Kyle Reifers 65.4 61
69 Martin Flores 65.5 134
70 JJ Henry 65.5 61
71 Peter Uihlein 65.6 23
72 Geoff Ogilvy 65.9 23
73 Dominic Bozzelli 66.0 DNP
74 Mackenzie Hughes 66.0 23
75 Cameron Percy 66.1 DNP
76 Ryan Blaum 66.3 34
77 Tyrone van Aswegen 66.5 55
78 Sung Kang 66.6 2
79 Retief Goosen 66.7 110
80 Harold Varner 66.8 23
81 John Peterson 66.8 DNP
82 Vaughn Taylor 67.0 23
83 Tim Wilkinson 67.4 DNP
84 Morgan Hoffmann 67.4 39
85 Andrew Johnston 67.5 82
86 Shawn Stefani 67.6 82
87 Bryce Molder 67.7 69
88 Fabian Gomez 67.8 82
89 DA Points 67.8 23
90 Freddie Jacobson 67.9 116
91 CT Pan 68.1 82
92 Jonas Blixt 68.4 140
93 KJ Choi 68.4 99
94 Bryson DeChambeau 68.4 44
95 Nick Taylor 68.5 44
96 Bill Lunde 68.5 141
97 Patton Kizzire 68.8 82
98 Michael Thompson 68.8 12
99 Seung-yul Noh 68.9 78
100 John Senden 68.9 122
101 Ben Martin 68.9 99
102 Seamus Power 68.9 DNP
103 Aaron Baddeley 69.2 15
104 Brendon de Jonge 69.2 71
105 Rory Sabbatini 69.2 DNP
106 Smylie Kaufman 69.3 122
107 Meen-whee Kim 69.5 110
108 Andres Gonzales 69.5 23
109 Chad Collins 69.5 99
110 Ben Crane 69.5 68
111 Derek Fathauer 69.6 71
112 Ryo Ishikawa 69.8 82
113 Sam Saunders 69.9 20
114 Trey Mullinax 69.9 99
115 Jon Curran 70.0 DNP
116 Blayne Barber 70.0 44
117 Tom Hoge 70.0 65
118 Jason Bohn 70.1 116
119 Boo Weekley 70.5 116
120 Brett Stegmaier 70.5 143
121 Kelly Kraft 70.7 136
122 Troy Merritt 70.9 55
123 Ricky Barnes 70.9 71
124 Grayson Murray 71.1 55
125 Richy Werenski 71.1 81
126 Hunter Mahan 71.3 122
127 Will MacKenzie 71.4 DNP
128 Cody Gribble 71.6 65
129 Zac Blair 71.6 8
130 Ernie Els 71.9 99
131 Greg Chalmers 72.1 82
132 Andrew Loupe 72.1 10
133 Ken Duke 72.4 116
134 Spencer Levin 72.5 23
135 Mark Anderson 72.9 99
136 Steve Marino 73.4 82
137 Steven Alker 73.6 DNP
138 Stuart Appleby 73.7 137
139 Xander Schauffele 74.0 DNP
140 Carl Pettersson 74.1 122
141 Peter Malnati 74.2 110
142 Ryan Brehm 74.4 DNP
143 Mark Hubbard 74.5 110
144 Angel Cabrera 74.7 34
145 Steven Bowditch 75.1 122
146 Davis Love 75.6 61
147 Bob Estes 76.2 116
148 Robert Allenby 76.5 137
149 Rafael Campos 77.1 7
150 Matt Every 77.5 65
151 Patrick Cantlay 81.0 39
152 Charlie Beljan 81.8 122
153 Beau Hossler 83.7 39
154 Rich Berberian 84.3 142
155 Ben Willman 84.3 131
Wesley McClain late entry 80
Riley Arp late entry 109
Jason Gore late entry 123
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 167. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Mar. 26, 2017)

March 29, 2017 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson has a solid lead in his second week on top.
# Thru Mar. 26, 2017 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 49 1838 1
2 Rory McIlroy 42 1716 3
3 Jason Day 40 1682 2
4 Jordan Spieth 51 1570 4
5 Jon Rahm 20 1461 8
6 Justin Rose 49 1390 5
7 Adam Scott 42 1380 6
8 Henrik Stenson 47 1338 9
9 Rickie Fowler 54 1308 10
10 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1302 7
11 Phil Mickelson 46 1298 12
12 Sergio Garcia 43 1222 11
13 Paul Casey 51 1185 13
14 Matt Kuchar 59 1138 14
15 Francesco Molinari 48 1066 15
16 Patrick Reed 67 1055 16
17 Bill Haas 53 1039 21
18 Tyrrell Hatton 51 1038 19
19 Gary Woodland 53 1009 17
20 Kevin Na 53 999 20
21 Charles Howell 56 994 28
22 Kevin Kisner 56 993 22
23 Brooks Koepka 53 992 29
24 Justin Thomas 56 990 18
25 Brandt Snedeker 58 989 23
26 Louis Oosthuizen 53 984 25
27 Charl Schwartzel 51 954 31
28 Brendan Steele 50 953 24
29 Ryan Moore 48 945 27
30 Bubba Watson 46 942 34
31 Branden Grace 53 936 26
32 Marc Leishman 52 930 35
33 JB Holmes 50 911 30
34 Billy Horschel 49 908 33
35 Jim Furyk 35 897 32
36 Zach Johnson 53 896 37
37 Daniel Berger 55 878 36
38 Martin Kaymer 55 846 43
39 Jason Dufner 49 839 38
40 Tony Finau 56 839 39
41 Adam Hadwin 55 836 41
42 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 58 830 45
43 Emiliano Grillo 57 812 40
44 Russell Knox 59 807 42
45 Pat Perez 37 802 48
46 Jimmy Walker 54 801 44
47 Charley Hoffman 54 772 46
48 William McGirt 54 765 56
49 Russell Henley 50 758 47
50 Ryan Palmer 44 737 50
51 Webb Simpson 48 726 49
52 Lucas Glover 49 721 52
53 Soren Kjeldsen 61 720 64
54 Shane Lowry 48 713 51
55 Brian Harman 62 709 55
56 Jhonattan Vegas 59 703 63
57 Hideto Tanihara 10 700 137
58 Kevin Chappell 54 695 57
59 Scott Piercy 56 688 54
60 Steve Stricker 30 682 59
61 Martin Laird 49 677 61
62 Jamie Lovemark 46 677 60
63 Byeong Hun An 53 673 58
64 Wesley Bryan 19 668 53
65 Alex Noren 40 664 82
66 Nick Watney 29 664 65
67 Bernd Wiesberger 58 661 74
68 Thomas Pieters 51 659 69
69 Matthew Fitzpatrick 58 651 75
70 Danny Willett 51 650 66
71 Keegan Bradley 55 650 68
72 Daniel Summerhays 54 649 70
73 Graham DeLaet 44 643 62
74 Ross Fisher 47 635 91
75 Chris Kirk 52 632 67
76 Sean O’Hair 55 632 72
77 Lee Westwood 47 630 81
78 Graeme McDowell 59 629 71
79 Chez Reavie 52 629 73
80 Jason Kokrak 53 609 77
81 Jim Herman 54 606 76
82 Harris English 56 601 78
83 Tommy Fleetwood 57 581 79
84 Stewart Cink 47 580 80
85 David Lingmerth 58 575 84
86 Kevin Streelman 53 572 85
87 Ollie Schniederjans 30 567 88
88 Hudson Swafford 57 566 89
89 Luke Donald 53 566 86
90 Chad Campbell 57 563 90
91 Andy Sullivan 57 562 83
92 Robert Streb 57 555 92
93 Luke List 46 555 87
94 Anirban Lahiri 57 544 93
95 Si-woo Kim 50 538 94
96 Kyle Stanley 49 527 95
97 Patrick Rodgers 53 523 97
98 JJ Spaun 19 522 100
99 Colt Knost 46 516 99
100 Joost Luiten 52 515 98
101 Danny Lee 68 512 96
102 Mackenzie Hughes 17 505 101
103 Roberto Castro 49 504 102
104 Scott Brown 55 500 107
105 James Hahn 53 498 104
106 Victor Dubuisson 39 497 106
107 David Hearn 61 494 109
108 Chris Wood 56 491 108
109 Jerry Kelly 43 488 110
110 Alex Cejka 55 486 105
111 JT Poston 16 480 117
112 Dominic Bozzelli 14 463 103
113 John Huh 57 463 113
114 Robert Garrigus 51 458 111
115 Bud Cauley 29 451 116
116 Thongchai Jaidee 58 451 115
117 Freddie Jacobson 35 449 112
118 Michael Kim 44 440 118
119 Cameron Tringale 56 440 114
120 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 56 439 121
121 Bryce Molder 54 434 119
122 Aaron Wise 8 425 122
123 Patton Kizzire 43 420 123
124 Matt Jones 51 420 120
125 Sangmoon Bae 17 418 126
126 Haotong Li 31 418 124
127 Smylie Kaufman 46 416 125
128 Fabian Gomez 53 402 130
129 Sung Kang 48 400 127
130 Johnson Wagner 52 400 129
131 Cameron Smith 52 397 131
132 Retief Goosen 41 394 153
133 Scott Stallings 48 394 128
134 Richard Bland 51 392 133
135 John Senden 58 391 132
136 Harold Varner 47 388 136
137 Will Wilcox 38 383 138
138 Kyle Reifers 65 380 144
139 Billy Hurley 49 378 139
140 Jonas Blixt 56 376 135
141 Fabrizio Zanotti 46 376 134
142 CT Pan 24 373 142
143 Peter Hanson 37 370 146
144 Jamie Donaldson 48 369 145
145 Geoff Ogilvy 44 365 147
146 Seung-yul Noh 54 364 143
147 Ben Martin 55 363 149
148 KJ Choi 44 363 140
149 Jason Bohn 48 360 148
150 David Toms 34 358 150
151 Bradley Dredge 44 357 151
152 Ian Poulter 45 356 141
153 Andrew Johnston 49 353 166
154 John Peterson 24 351 160
155 Ryan Blaum 21 349 152
156 Aaron Baddeley 58 349 156
157 Chris Stroud 53 348 169
158 Romain Langasque 14 345 155
159 Alejandro Canizares 47 341 161
160 Derek Fathauer 60 340 162
161 Jon Curran 55 340 163
162 Peter Uihlein 43 339 190
163 Jorge Campillo 54 338 164
164 Michael Thompson 56 337 176
165 Thorbjorn Olesen 55 335 157
166 Martin Flores 36 334 194
167 Tyrone van Aswegen 60 334 158
168 Jaco van Zyl 48 332 165
169 Jeunghun Wang 39 330 159
170 Ryo Ishikawa 35 328 154
171 Vaughn Taylor 46 327 167
172 Brian Stuard 54 327 170
173 Alexander Bjork 8 326 171
174 Tim Wilkinson 55 325 183
175 Morgan Hoffmann 55 324 168
176 Kyung-tae Kim 18 324 276
177 Justin Leonard 25 321 175
178 Cameron Percy 43 317 180
179 Meen-whee Kim 8 316
180 Richard Sterne 37 316 179
181 Padraig Harrington 52 315 182
182 Ricky Barnes 59 314 172
183 Troy Merritt 58 313 181
184 Shawn Stefani 52 312 178
185 Nick Taylor 54 311 173
186 George Coetzee 49 310 184
187 Rikard Karlberg 46 308 186
188 Whee Kim 48 308 185
189 Gregory Bourdy 56 305 191
190 Henrik Norlander 34 304 189
191 Pablo Larrazabal 49 303 192
192 Oscar Fraustro 18 300 202
193 Blayne Barber 50 299 195
194 Grayson Murray 14 298 199
195 Camilo Villegas 59 298 187
196 Kelly Kraft 41 297 197
197 Boo Weekley 53 297 193
198 David Horsey 52 296 198
199 Brandon Hagy 19 296 174
200 Richy Werenski 16 295 177
201 Alexander Levy 48 294 200
202 James Morrison 54 293 201
203 Rob Oppenheim 33 292 204
204 Brett Stegmaier 46 291 196
205 Tom Hoge 51 290 221
206 Joakim Lagergren 47 290 206
207 Andrew Loupe 47 288 207
208 Seamus Power 19 287 188
209 Bronson Burgoon 32 285 209
210 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 43 285 208
211 Spencer Levin 64 284 205
212 Greg Owen 50 280 203
213 Nicolas Colsaerts 57 279 210
214 Bryson DeChambeau 37 277 237
215 Scott Hend 61 277 212
216 Dean Burmester 22 276 213
217 Thomas Aiken 60 275 214
218 Julien Quesne 48 275 211
219 Mikko Ilonen 46 275 216
220 Vijay Singh 47 274 217
221 Sam Saunders 52 271 236
222 Tiger Woods 12 266 215
223 Zac Blair 65 261 220
224 Ben Crane 53 260 219
225 David Lipsky 59 260 226
226 Lee McCoy 13 260 229
227 Anthony Wall 44 259 225
228 Rory Sabbatini 48 256 222
229 Ashun Wu 27 255 228
230 Cody Gribble 23 255 231
231 Florian Fritsch 29 254 232
232 Chad Collins 51 254 223
233 Ken Duke 49 253 224
234 Bill Lunde 17 253 466
235 Trey Mullinax 21 252 227
236 Benjamin Hebert 53 251 233
237 Andres Romero 35 250 218
238 Austin Cook 16 248 230
239 Jason Gore 48 244 234
240 Andres Gonzales 57 244 235
241 Yuta Ikeda 8 240
242 Lucas Bjerregaard 58 234 238
243 Paul Dunne 38 233 240
244 Mikko Korhonen 43 233 241
245 Maximilian Kieffer 51 232 242
246 David Howell 46 232 239
247 Joe Affrunti 8 231 247
248 Martin Piller 29 231 244
249 Scott Langley 48 227 246
250 Luke Guthrie 41 225 249
251 Raphael Jacquelin 52 224 250
252 Hiroshi Iwata 44 223 243
253 Nacho Elvira 42 222 252
254 Steve Wheatcroft 51 222 248
255 Marc Warren 53 220 251
256 Ricardo Gouveia 36 220 253
257 Brice Garnett 38 216 259
258 Brian Gay 25 215 261
259 Will MacKenzie 48 214 257
260 Richie Ramsay 45 213 262
261 Stephen Gallacher 43 212 263
262 George McNeill 48 212 245
263 Mark Wilson 47 209 255
264 Tim Clark 14 206 269
265 Chesson Hadley 49 206 258
266 Jordan Niebrugge 8 206 260
267 YE Yang 33 205 254
268 Tyler Aldridge 40 205 267
269 Brandon Stone 29 205 266
270 Marcus Fraser 51 205 265
271 Miguel Angel Jimenez 33 204 264
272 JJ Henry 55 203 294
273 Jonathan Byrd 31 203 256
274 Kristoffer Broberg 46 202 268
275 Ernie Els 52 202 270
276 Matteo Manassero 48 199 272
277 Matthew Southgate 36 196 273
278 Graeme Storm 56 195 274
279 Magnus A Carlsson 50 193 277
280 Pep Angles 10 191 280
281 Stuart Appleby 36 191 271
282 Rod Pampling 44 190 278
283 DA Points 46 189 342
284 Callum Shinkwin 30 188 282
285 Anders Hansen 21 186 284
286 Andrew Landry 25 185 283
287 Mark Hubbard 60 184 281
288 Brendon de Jonge 56 184 275
289 Wes Roach 27 183 286
290 Chris Paisley 53 182 285
291 Steve Marino 39 181 290
292 Hunter Stewart 8 180 291
293 Romain Wattel 51 180 289
294 Peter Malnati 51 180 293
295 Steven Alker 31 178 288
296 Lee Slattery 53 177 295
297 Scott Pinckney 46 177 287
298 David Drysdale 59 176 297
299 Chris Hanson 29 176 296
300 Renato Paratore 58 175 298
301 Ryan Ruffels 14 174 302
302 Gavin Green 8 174 301
303 Brian Campbell 13 173 279
304 Robert Rock 45 173 300
305 Mark Anderson 14 173 446
306 Johan Carlsson 51 171 303
307 Steven Bowditch 64 170 292
308 Lasse Jensen 47 169 304
309 Darren Fichardt 45 165 307
310 Jeff Overton 43 165 311
311 Nathan Kimsey 8 164 308
312 Thomas Detry 10 164 312
313 Trevor Fisher 42 163 315
314 Davis Love 26 162 310
315 Jason Scrivener 49 162 316
316 Erik Compton 44 162 309
317 Shubhankar Sharma 9 158 318
318 Brendon Todd 49 158 306
319 Xander Schauffele 16 157 338
320 Felipe Aguilar 48 157 319
321 Brett Drewitt 12 157 299
322 Sam Brazel 25 157 321
323 Greg Chalmers 42 156 322
324 Carlos Ortiz 50 155 320
325 Matthew Griffin 8 154 324
326 Gregory Havret 54 154 323
327 Bo Van Pelt 21 153 313
328 Tag Ridings 16 152 305
329 Hunter Mahan 51 151 314
330 Eddie Pepperell 44 151 326
331 Richard Green 42 151 325
332 Rashid Khan 16 149 329
333 Ashley Hall 8 149 328
334 Paul Lawrie 36 148 330
335 Prayad Marksaeng 9 147 334
336 Julian Etulain 16 147 404
337 Ryan Brehm 14 147 317
338 Robert Karlsson 43 146 332
339 Ze-cheng Dou 8 146 336
340 Ryan Fox 26 145 335
341 Thomas Bjorn 35 145 337
342 Nick Cullen 16 144 339
343 Oliver Fisher 55 143 340
344 Justin Walters 44 143 341
345 Bobby Wyatt 18 140 327
346 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 36 140 331
347 Phachara Khongwatmai 13 139 343
348 Brett Rumford 34 136 344
349 Prom Meesawat 43 135 346
350 Scott Jamieson 54 134 345
351 Steve Allan 8 133 347
352 Brian Davis 28 131 348
353 Tim Herron 27 130 351
354 Derek Ernst 42 130 350
355 Miguel Angel Carballo 35 128 365
356 Dawie van der Walt 38 128 354
357 Zander Lombard 17 127 355
358 Paul Waring 13 127 356
359 Nicholas Lindheim 17 127 379
360 Wade Ormsby 37 127 353
361 Pelle Edberg 53 127 352
362 Justin Hicks 21 125 357
363 Nino Bertasio 34 125 358
364 Marcel Siem 49 124 360
365 Joel Stalter 11 124 361
366 Robby Shelton 8 123
367 Carl Pettersson 51 123 349
368 Alex Prugh 33 122 362
369 Ryan Armour 23 122 359
370 Eduardo de la Riva 45 121 363
371 Kevin Tway 19 120 389
372 Simon Wakefield 10 119 364
373 Dylan Frittelli 20 118 366
374 Adilson da Silva 28 118 368
375 Jbe Kruger 46 118 367
376 Curtis Luck 8 117 370
377 Panuphol Pittayarat 18 115 373
378 Sebastian Soderberg 10 115 369
379 Alexander Knappe 8 115 372
380 Stephan Jaeger 8 115 376
381 Ben Evans 45 115 371
382 Adrian Otaegui 50 114 375
383 Josh Teater 13 114 377
384 Carlos Pigem 30 113 381
385 Thanyakorn Khrongpha 13 113 384
386 Thomas Linard 25 113 378
387 Michael Putnam 32 113 374
388 Rhein Gibson 33 113 380
389 Robert Dinwiddie 48 113 383
390 Angelo Que 13 111 385
391 Jacques Blaauw 15 110 388
392 Simon Khan 28 109 386
393 John Merrick 38 109 382
394 Michael Jonzon 15 107 390
395 Tom Gillis 25 107 387
396 Brad Fritsch 17 107 393
397 Craig Lee 43 107 391
398 Jaco Ahlers 15 106 392
399 Rahil Gangjee 20 105 395
400 Paul Peterson 40 104 394
More | Less

World Golf Championships — Dell Technologies Match Play

March 20, 2017 Thomas Hawley , ,
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Predicted Wins Actual finish
1 Rory McIlroy 3.6 34
2 Jason Day 3.0 58
3 Matt Kuchar 2.2 32
4 Sergio Garcia 2.0 38
5 Dustin Johnson 1.9 1
6 Louis Oosthuizen 1.8 14
7 Jordan Spieth 1.8 36
8 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 1.8 14
9 Phil Mickelson 1.8 5
10 Martin Kaymer 1.8 14
11 Tyrrell Hatton 1.7 14
12 Jon Rahm 1.7 2
13 Paul Casey 1.7 8
14 Patrick Reed 1.7 57
15 Gary Woodland 1.6 39
16 Hideki Matsuyama 1.6 53
17 Charl Schwartzel 1.4 14
18 Zach Johnson 1.4 14
19 Marc Leishman 1.4 14
20 Joost Luiten 1.4 39
21 Brooks Koepka 1.3 8
22 Brendan Steele 1.3 33
23 Kevin Kisner 1.3 14
24 Charles Howell 1.3 8
25 Danny Willett 1.3 39
26 Ross Fisher 1.3 8
27 Francesco Molinari 1.2 58
28 Branden Grace 1.2 39
29 JB Holmes 1.2 51
30 Pat Perez 1.2 14
31 Webb Simpson 1.2 58
32 Bill Haas 1.1 3
33 Tommy Fleetwood 1.1 39
34 Jason Dufner 1.1 56
35 Thomas Pieters 1.1 14
36 Bubba Watson 1.1 13
37 Kevin Na 1.0 14
38 Brandt Snedeker 1.0 14
39 Jhonattan Vegas 1.0 14
40 Byeong Hun An 1.0 58
41 Thongchai Jaidee 1.0 39
42 Scott Piercy 1.0 58
43 Emiliano Grillo 0.9 52
44 Alex Noren 0.9 5
45 Russell Knox 0.9 39
46 William McGirt 0.9 8
47 Jim Furyk 0.9 35
48 Ryan Moore 0.9 37
49 Lee Westwood 0.8 14
50 Kevin Chappell 0.8 39
51 Justin Thomas 0.8 39
52 Jeunghun Wang 0.8 58
53 Andy Sullivan 0.8 58
54 Daniel Berger 0.8 39
55 Si-woo Kim 0.7 31
56 Matthew Fitzpatrick 0.7 14
57 Shane Lowry 0.6 55
58 Jimmy Walker 0.5 39
59 Bernd Wiesberger 0.5 14
60 Soren Kjeldsen 0.5 5
61 Chris Wood 0.3 39
62 Yuta Ikeda 0.0 54
63 Hideto Tanihara 0.0 4
64 Kyung-tae Kim 0.0 14
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 86. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Puerto Rico Open

March 20, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,

Wesley Bryan
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual finish
1 Wesley Bryan 17.7 62
2 Graham DeLaet 30.1 93
3 Scott Brown 31.1 17
4 Graeme McDowell 42.0 82
5 JT Poston 44.9 10
6 Alex Cejka 47.4 49
7 Luke List 49.1 37
8 Danny Lee 51.3 56
9 Andres Romero 52.1 115
10 Dominic Bozzelli 52.3 82
11 JJ Spaun 52.7 17
12 David Hearn 52.9 17
13 Boo Weekley 53.5 37
14 Chris Kirk 53.7 62
15 Matt Jones 53.7 82
16 Scott Stallings 56.6 WD
17 Martin Flores 56.6 10
18 Chris Stroud 57.6 8
19 Brandon Hagy 58.1 128
20 Cameron Tringale 58.3 44
21 Fabrizio Zanotti 59.7 80
22 Will MacKenzie 59.8 49
23 Robert Garrigus 60.9 82
24 Tyrone van Aswegen 61.0 76
25 Seung-yul Noh 61.2 56
26 Sung Kang 61.8 49
27 Ian Poulter 62.1 82
28 Jonas Blixt 62.2 76
29 Freddie Jacobson 62.5 56
30 Cameron Percy 63.4 24
31 Brendon de Jonge 63.5 126
32 KJ Choi 63.7 82
33 Bryce Molder 63.7 37
34 Jonathan Byrd 63.8 76
35 Seamus Power 64.0 107
36 Will Wilcox 64.2 24
37 Richy Werenski 64.4 72
38 Ryo Ishikawa 64.5 100
39 Fabian Gomez 64.6 24
40 Ryan Blaum 64.7 32
41 John Peterson 64.9 24
42 John Senden 65.2 37
43 Nick Taylor 65.4 93
44 Greg Owen 65.5 72
45 Harold Varner 65.5 24
46 Michael Thompson 65.6 10
47 Kyle Reifers 66.0 17
48 Trey Mullinax 66.5 44
49 Thorbjorn Olesen 66.9 115
50 Ricky Barnes 66.9 56
51 JJ Henry 67.0 8
52 Rory Sabbatini 67.1 37
53 Camilo Villegas 67.1 107
54 Chad Collins 67.3 82
55 Tim Wilkinson 67.4 17
56 Peter Uihlein 68.2 5
57 Retief Goosen 68.2 2
58 Zac Blair 68.9 62
59 Chesson Hadley 69.0 76
60 Brett Stegmaier 69.0 44
61 YE Yang 69.0 93
62 Spencer Levin 69.7 68
63 Shawn Stefani 69.9 32
64 Andrew Johnston 70.1 10
65 Ken Duke 70.6 128
66 Brian Campbell 70.8 60
67 Tom Hoge 70.9 10
68 Ben Crane 71.1 82
69 Bryson DeChambeau 71.5 2
70 Hiroshi Iwata 71.8 120
71 Sam Saunders 71.9 5
72 Andres Gonzales 72.0 32
73 Mark Wilson 72.1 100
74 Mark Hubbard 72.3 93
75 George McNeill 73.0 93
76 Meen-whee Kim 73.7 5
77 Brett Drewitt 73.8 62
78 Steven Alker 74.2 44
79 Tyler Aldridge 74.3 37
80 Ryan Brehm 74.8 82
81 Tag Ridings 74.8 72
82 Steve Wheatcroft 74.8 49
83 Steven Bowditch 74.9 125
84 Robby Shelton 75.2 115
85 Stuart Appleby 75.3 100
86 Hunter Mahan 75.5 70
87 Rafael Campos 75.6 10
88 Bobby Wyatt 76.1 62
89 Xander Schauffele 76.3 30
90 Steve Marino 76.3 37
91 DA Points 76.5 1
92 Dicky Pride 76.9 68
93 Carl Pettersson 77.4 107
94 Brad Fritsch 77.7 44
95 Nicholas Lindheim 77.8 32
96 Kevin Tway 77.8 32
97 Julian Etulain 77.9 17
98 Ryan Armour 77.9 49
99 Michael Bradley 78.2 107
100 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 78.4 62
101 Miguel Angel Carballo 78.7 30
102 John Merrick 79.0 49
103 Angel Cabrera 79.8 93
104 Zack Sucher 79.9 49
105 Bill Lunde 80.4 2
106 Mark Anderson 80.7 10
107 Jonathan Randolph 81.7 24
108 Sebastian Munoz 81.7 82
109 Joel Dahmen 82.0 80
110 Rick Lamb 82.1 60
111 Trevor Immelman 82.3 100
112 Matt Every 82.3 107
113 Sung-joon Park 82.4 107
114 Jay McLuen 82.8 130
115 Max Homa 82.8 82
116 Ben Curtis 83.5 107
117 Marcelo Rozo 84.3 93
118 Wade Binfield 84.3 115
119 William Cannon 84.3 107
120 Neil Johnson 84.3 120
121 Kurt Kitayama 84.3 17
122 Peter Williamson 84.3 120
123 Robert Calvesbert 84.3 131
124 Edward Figueroa 84.3 100
125 Hugo Leon 84.3 120
126 Chris Nido 84.3 120
127 Rich Berberian 84.3 71
128 Alan Morin 84.3 100
Cyril Bouniol late entry 72
Martin Ureta late entry 104
Ryan McCormick late entry 119
Colin Monagle late entry 126
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 9. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Mar. 19, 2017)

March 20, 2017 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson appears in the Hawley Ratings no. 1 spot for the first time this week.
# Thru March 19, 2017 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 49 1781 2
2 Jason Day 39 1764 1
3 Rory McIlroy 41 1759 3
4 Jordan Spieth 51 1606 4
5 Justin Rose 49 1393 8
6 Adam Scott 42 1378 7
7 Hideki Matsuyama 48 1347 6
8 Jon Rahm 19 1340 9
9 Henrik Stenson 47 1338 5
10 Rickie Fowler 54 1309 10
11 Sergio Garcia 42 1241 11
12 Phil Mickelson 46 1237 12
13 Paul Casey 50 1146 13
14 Matt Kuchar 59 1146 14
15 Francesco Molinari 48 1105 16
16 Patrick Reed 66 1080 15
17 Gary Woodland 53 1029 17
18 Justin Thomas 56 1011 18
19 Tyrrell Hatton 51 1003 31
20 Kevin Na 53 974 19
21 Bill Haas 52 970 22
22 Kevin Kisner 56 968 34
23 Brandt Snedeker 57 964 24
24 Brendan Steele 50 959 27
25 Louis Oosthuizen 52 957 26
26 Branden Grace 53 953 20
27 Ryan Moore 47 952 25
28 Charles Howell 56 944 23
29 Brooks Koepka 52 943 21
30 JB Holmes 49 936 29
31 Charl Schwartzel 50 920 28
32 Jim Furyk 35 911 32
33 Billy Horschel 50 910 36
34 Bubba Watson 45 909 30
35 Marc Leishman 51 898 41
36 Daniel Berger 55 889 35
37 Zach Johnson 53 871 33
38 Jason Dufner 49 862 37
39 Tony Finau 57 844 38
40 Emiliano Grillo 57 832 46
41 Adam Hadwin 56 831 47
42 Russell Knox 59 819 39
43 Martin Kaymer 55 811 42
44 Jimmy Walker 54 809 40
45 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 58 795 43
46 Charley Hoffman 55 773 57
47 Russell Henley 50 761 44
48 Pat Perez 37 757 53
49 Webb Simpson 47 750 45
50 Ryan Palmer 45 739 49
51 Shane Lowry 48 735 50
52 Lucas Glover 50 717 72
53 Wesley Bryan 18 711 48
54 Scott Piercy 56 711 54
55 Brian Harman 63 709 62
56 William McGirt 54 706 51
57 Kevin Chappell 54 703 52
58 Byeong Hun An 53 692 55
59 Steve Stricker 30 679 60
60 Jamie Lovemark 46 678 65
61 Martin Laird 50 670 58
62 Graham DeLaet 44 666 56
63 Jhonattan Vegas 59 663 66
64 Soren Kjeldsen 61 661 64
65 Nick Watney 30 661 70
66 Danny Willett 50 658 67
67 Chris Kirk 52 656 59
68 Keegan Bradley 55 653 68
69 Thomas Pieters 51 650 61
70 Daniel Summerhays 55 648 63
71 Graeme McDowell 59 646 73
72 Sean O’Hair 56 634 69
73 Chez Reavie 53 628 71
74 Bernd Wiesberger 57 624 75
75 Matthew Fitzpatrick 58 614 86
76 Jim Herman 55 609 77
77 Jason Kokrak 54 608 74
78 Harris English 57 601 76
79 Tommy Fleetwood 57 585 94
80 Stewart Cink 47 582 85
81 Lee Westwood 46 580 82
82 Alex Noren 39 578 80
83 Andy Sullivan 57 577 83
84 David Lingmerth 59 576 78
85 Kevin Streelman 53 572 79
86 Luke Donald 53 568 84
87 Luke List 45 567 96
88 Ollie Schniederjans 30 566 90
89 Hudson Swafford 58 564 102
90 Chad Campbell 58 563 81
91 Ross Fisher 47 563 89
92 Robert Streb 57 559 88
93 Anirban Lahiri 57 546 87
94 Si-woo Kim 49 531 93
95 Kyle Stanley 49 529 109
96 Danny Lee 68 526 105
97 Patrick Rodgers 53 524 92
98 Joost Luiten 51 517 98
99 Colt Knost 47 512 101
100 JJ Spaun 18 511 95
101 Mackenzie Hughes 17 507 91
102 Roberto Castro 49 503 97
103 Dominic Bozzelli 13 503 103
104 James Hahn 54 499 100
105 Alex Cejka 54 499 106
106 Victor Dubuisson 39 499 104
107 Scott Brown 55 494 99
108 Chris Wood 56 493 108
109 David Hearn 61 490 110
110 Jerry Kelly 44 490 107
111 Robert Garrigus 51 470 113
112 Freddie Jacobson 35 468 114
113 John Huh 58 461 112
114 Cameron Tringale 56 452 115
115 Thongchai Jaidee 57 451 116
116 Bud Cauley 29 450 111
117 JT Poston 15 445 118
118 Michael Kim 44 440 132
119 Bryce Molder 54 440 120
120 Matt Jones 51 438 119
121 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 57 438 121
122 Aaron Wise 8 424 124
123 Patton Kizzire 43 420 122
124 Haotong Li 31 418 125
125 Smylie Kaufman 46 416 123
126 Sangmoon Bae 18 414 127
127 Sung Kang 47 409 117
128 Scott Stallings 48 406 129
129 Johnson Wagner 53 402 128
130 Fabian Gomez 53 401 126
131 Cameron Smith 52 400 133
132 John Senden 58 399 130
133 Richard Bland 52 391 135
134 Fabrizio Zanotti 45 390 134
135 Jonas Blixt 55 389 138
136 Harold Varner 46 385 147
137 Hideto Tanihara 9 383 142
138 Will Wilcox 37 383 139
139 Billy Hurley 50 377 136
140 KJ Choi 44 376 146
141 Ian Poulter 44 374 144
142 CT Pan 24 374 137
143 Seung-yul Noh 54 374 141
144 Kyle Reifers 65 372 143
145 Jamie Donaldson 48 371 148
146 Peter Hanson 37 369 150
147 Geoff Ogilvy 45 368 140
148 Jason Bohn 48 367 145
149 Ben Martin 55 366 149
150 David Toms 34 358 152
151 Bradley Dredge 45 355 154
152 Ryan Blaum 20 352 155
153 Retief Goosen 41 352 151
154 Ryo Ishikawa 34 350 156
155 Romain Langasque 14 345 159
156 Aaron Baddeley 59 345 163
157 Thorbjorn Olesen 54 345 153
158 Tyrone van Aswegen 59 344 160
159 Jeunghun Wang 38 344 191
160 John Peterson 24 343 158
161 Alejandro Canizares 48 340 162
162 Derek Fathauer 61 340 157
163 Jon Curran 56 338 164
164 Jorge Campillo 55 337 165
165 Jaco van Zyl 49 332 167
166 Andrew Johnston 49 330 169
167 Vaughn Taylor 46 327 203
168 Morgan Hoffmann 55 326 161
169 Chris Stroud 53 326 168
170 Brian Stuard 55 325 166
171 Alexander Bjork 8 325 170
172 Ricky Barnes 59 321 172
173 Nick Taylor 53 320 176
174 Brandon Hagy 19 317 227
175 Justin Leonard 26 317 181
176 Michael Thompson 56 317 178
177 Richy Werenski 15 316 177
178 Shawn Stefani 52 316 174
179 Richard Sterne 37 314 183
180 Cameron Percy 43 313 179
181 Troy Merritt 59 313 175
182 Padraig Harrington 52 312 184
183 Tim Wilkinson 55 311 186
184 George Coetzee 50 311 180
185 Whee Kim 48 309 182
186 Rikard Karlberg 46 309 187
187 Camilo Villegas 59 308 173
188 Seamus Power 18 306 193
189 Henrik Norlander 34 305 192
190 Peter Uihlein 42 305 195
191 Gregory Bourdy 57 303 196
192 Pablo Larrazabal 50 302 197
193 Boo Weekley 53 300 185
194 Martin Flores 36 299 201
195 Blayne Barber 51 299 188
196 Brett Stegmaier 45 298 198
197 Kelly Kraft 41 298 190
198 David Horsey 53 297 199
199 Grayson Murray 14 297 171
200 Alexander Levy 49 295 202
201 James Morrison 55 295 200
202 Oscar Fraustro 18 294 206
203 Greg Owen 49 293 189
204 Rob Oppenheim 33 292 194
205 Spencer Levin 64 291 205
206 Joakim Lagergren 48 291 204
207 Andrew Loupe 48 286 208
208 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 44 286 207
209 Bronson Burgoon 32 284 211
210 Nicolas Colsaerts 57 278 213
211 Julien Quesne 49 276 212
212 Scott Hend 62 276 216
213 Dean Burmester 22 276 214
214 Thomas Aiken 60 276 215
215 Tiger Woods 12 274 210
216 Mikko Ilonen 46 274 218
217 Vijay Singh 47 273 209
218 Andres Romero 35 269 219
219 Ben Crane 52 268 222
220 Zac Blair 65 268 221
221 Tom Hoge 51 266 223
222 Rory Sabbatini 47 264 220
223 Chad Collins 51 264 226
224 Ken Duke 49 263 228
225 Anthony Wall 45 262 224
226 David Lipsky 60 261 229
227 Trey Mullinax 20 260 230
228 Ashun Wu 27 257 231
229 Lee McCoy 13 257 232
230 Austin Cook 16 256 225
231 Cody Gribble 23 255 217
232 Florian Fritsch 30 254 233
233 Benjamin Hebert 54 251 234
234 Jason Gore 48 246 235
235 Andres Gonzales 57 241 237
236 Sam Saunders 51 237 236
237 Bryson DeChambeau 36 236 242
238 Lucas Bjerregaard 59 235 241
239 David Howell 47 234 239
240 Paul Dunne 38 234 240
241 Mikko Korhonen 44 234 243
242 Maximilian Kieffer 52 233 244
243 Hiroshi Iwata 43 232 246
244 Martin Piller 29 229 249
245 George McNeill 48 229 238
246 Scott Langley 49 228 247
247 Joe Affrunti 8 228 252
248 Steve Wheatcroft 51 228 245
249 Luke Guthrie 42 226 248
250 Raphael Jacquelin 53 224 253
251 Marc Warren 54 223 250
252 Nacho Elvira 43 223 254
253 Ricardo Gouveia 36 220 256
254 YE Yang 32 220 255
255 Mark Wilson 47 219 258
256 Jonathan Byrd 30 219 259
257 Will MacKenzie 48 218 261
258 Chesson Hadley 49 218 257
259 Brice Garnett 39 217 260
260 Jordan Niebrugge 8 216 251
261 Brian Gay 25 215 263
262 Richie Ramsay 46 213 262
263 Stephen Gallacher 43 212 264
264 Miguel Angel Jimenez 33 207 265
265 Marcus Fraser 51 205 267
266 Brandon Stone 29 204 268
267 Tyler Aldridge 39 203 270
268 Kristoffer Broberg 47 203 269
269 Tim Clark 14 201 273
270 Ernie Els 52 201 266
271 Stuart Appleby 35 198 274
272 Matteo Manassero 49 197 275
273 Matthew Southgate 36 195 277
274 Graeme Storm 57 195 276
275 Brendon de Jonge 56 194 272
276 Kyung-tae Kim 17 194 279
277 Magnus A Carlsson 51 193 278
278 Rod Pampling 44 192 271
279 Brian Campbell 12 191 280
280 Pep Angles 10 190 281
281 Mark Hubbard 60 188 284
282 Callum Shinkwin 30 187 283
283 Andrew Landry 25 184 286
284 Anders Hansen 21 184 290
285 Chris Paisley 54 182 287
286 Wes Roach 27 182 292
287 Scott Pinckney 47 181 285
288 Steven Alker 30 181 288
289 Romain Wattel 52 180 293
290 Steve Marino 38 179 291
291 Hunter Stewart 8 179 294
292 Steven Bowditch 64 179 282
293 Peter Malnati 51 179 295
294 JJ Henry 55 178 296
295 Lee Slattery 54 178 297
296 Chris Hanson 29 176 298
297 David Drysdale 60 176 300
298 Renato Paratore 59 176 299
299 Brett Drewitt 11 174 303
300 Robert Rock 46 174 302
301 Gavin Green 8 174 304
302 Ryan Ruffels 14 173 289
303 Johan Carlsson 51 169 308
304 Lasse Jensen 48 169 306
305 Tag Ridings 15 167 310
306 Brendon Todd 50 166 301
307 Darren Fichardt 45 166 309
308 Nathan Kimsey 8 166 313
309 Erik Compton 44 165 307
310 Davis Love 27 165 311
311 Jeff Overton 44 164 315
312 Thomas Detry 10 164 314
313 Bo Van Pelt 22 162 305
314 Hunter Mahan 50 162 312
315 Trevor Fisher 42 162 318
316 Jason Scrivener 50 161 316
317 Ryan Brehm 13 161 317
318 Shubhankar Sharma 9 159 320
319 Felipe Aguilar 48 158 321
320 Carlos Ortiz 51 157 319
321 Sam Brazel 25 157 322
322 Greg Chalmers 42 155 417
323 Gregory Havret 54 155 323
324 Matthew Griffin 8 155 326
325 Richard Green 43 153 324
326 Eddie Pepperell 45 153 325
327 Bobby Wyatt 17 150 329
328 Ashley Hall 8 150 328
329 Rashid Khan 16 149 333
330 Paul Lawrie 36 149 327
331 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 36 148 331
332 Robert Karlsson 44 147 332
333 Marcel Schneider 8 146 330
334 Prayad Marksaeng 9 146 334
335 Ryan Fox 26 146 335
336 Ze-cheng Dou 8 146 338
337 Thomas Bjorn 35 145 337
338 Xander Schauffele 15 144 336
339 Nick Cullen 16 143 339
340 Oliver Fisher 56 143 340
341 Justin Walters 45 142 341
342 DA Points 46 140 342
343 Phachara Khongwatmai 13 139 343
344 Brett Rumford 34 136 346
345 Scott Jamieson 55 135 345
346 Prom Meesawat 43 135 349
347 Steve Allan 8 134 348
348 Brian Davis 29 133 347
349 Carl Pettersson 51 133 344
350 Derek Ernst 43 130 351
351 Tim Herron 27 128 350
352 Pelle Edberg 54 128 352
353 Wade Ormsby 38 127 353
354 Dawie van der Walt 38 127 354
355 Zander Lombard 17 127 355
356 Paul Waring 14 127 356
357 Justin Hicks 22 125 358
358 Nino Bertasio 34 125 357
359 Ryan Armour 22 124 359
360 Marcel Siem 50 124 361
361 Joel Stalter 11 123 360
362 Alex Prugh 34 122 363
363 Eduardo de la Riva 46 122 362
364 Simon Wakefield 10 119 365
365 Miguel Angel Carballo 34 119 364
366 Dylan Frittelli 20 118 367
367 Jbe Kruger 46 118 370
368 Adilson da Silva 28 118 368
369 Sebastian Soderberg 10 117 366
370 Curtis Luck 8 117
371 Ben Evans 46 116 369
372 Alexander Knappe 8 115 375
373 Panuphol Pittayarat 18 115 373
374 Michael Putnam 33 114 371
375 Adrian Otaegui 51 114 376
376 Stephan Jaeger 8 114 380
377 Josh Teater 13 113 379
378 Thomas Linard 25 113 378
379 Nicholas Lindheim 16 113 374
380 Rhein Gibson 33 113 377
381 Carlos Pigem 30 113 381
382 John Merrick 38 113 372
383 Robert Dinwiddie 49 113 382
384 Thanyakorn Khrongpha 13 112 384
385 Angelo Que 13 111 385
386 Simon Khan 28 109 386
387 Tom Gillis 25 109 383
388 Jacques Blaauw 15 109 387
389 Kevin Tway 18 108 388
390 Michael Jonzon 15 108 389
391 Craig Lee 44 107 390
392 Jaco Ahlers 15 106 391
393 Brad Fritsch 16 105 392
394 Paul Peterson 40 105 393
395 Rahil Gangjee 20 104 394
396 Richard McEvoy 42 104 395
397 Shiv Kapur 43 103 397
398 Masahiro Kawamura 19 103 396
399 David Bransdon 9 101 399
400 Haydn Porteous 37 101 403
More | Less

Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard

March 13, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy 15.0 4
2 Jason Day 18.3 23
3 Henrik Stenson 20.2 83
4 Justin Rose 24.7 13
5 Hideki Matsuyama 27.7 45
6 Rickie Fowler 27.9 12
7 Francesco Molinari 30.6 7
8 Paul Casey 31.0 41
9 Brandt Snedeker 35.5 28
10 Tyrrell Hatton 35.7 4
11 Kevin Na 40.1 73
12 Louis Oosthuizen 41.4 28
13 Charles Howell 41.7 56
14 Wesley Bryan 43.3 69
15 Ryan Moore 43.9 34
16 Kevin Kisner 44.5 2
17 Adam Hadwin 45.7 6
18 Zach Johnson 45.8 66
19 Martin Laird 46.7 49
20 Thomas Pieters 47.1 105
21 Charl Schwartzel 47.5 45
22 Graham DeLaet 47.5 83
23 Branden Grace 47.6 91
24 Martin Kaymer 47.8 23
25 Tony Finau 48.3 28
26 Marc Leishman 48.3 1
27 Billy Horschel 49.4 13
28 Russell Henley 49.6 45
29 Brooks Koepka 49.7 73
30 Graeme McDowell 50.6 28
31 Emiliano Grillo 51.8 7
32 Webb Simpson 51.8 103
33 Lucas Glover 51.9 7
34 Jason Kokrak 52.0 56
35 Keegan Bradley 52.3 34
36 Chris Kirk 52.9 96
37 Bubba Watson 53.0 34
38 Pat Perez 54.4 17
39 Brian Harman 55.0 13
40 William McGirt 55.1 73
41 Stewart Cink 55.4 28
42 Charley Hoffman 55.7 2
43 Jim Herman 55.8 45
44 Sean O’Hair 56.2 109
45 Byeong-Hun An 56.9 DNP
46 Tommy Fleetwood 57.1 10
47 Kevin Chappell 57.5 49
48 Anirban Lahiri 57.5 96
49 Kevin Streelman 57.9 70
50 Matthew Fitzpatrick 58.6 13
51 Jamie Lovemark 59.2 23
52 Chez Reavie 59.4 73
53 Ollie Schniederjans 59.5 34
54 Kyle Stanley 60.2 17
55 Seung-yul Noh 60.4 113
56 David Lingmerth 60.4 72
57 Harris English 60.5 109
58 Robert Garrigus 60.6 DNP
59 JJ Spaun 60.9 49
60 Daniel Summerhays 61.3 83
61 Matt Every 61.4 62
62 Chad Campbell 61.5 73
63 Scott Brown 61.6 105
64 Roberto Castro 61.8 73
65 John Huh 61.9 66
66 Hudson Swafford 62.1 10
67 Danny Willett 62.3 DNP
68 Mackenzie Hughes 62.4 96
69 James Hahn 62.8 49
70 Patrick Rodgers 62.8 116
71 Luke List 63.0 17
72 Scott Stallings 63.6 DNP
73 David Hearn 63.7 34
74 Ian Poulter 63.9 41
75 Bud Cauley 64.0 96
76 Cameron Smith 64.5 34
77 Cameron Tringale 64.7 DNP
78 Si-woo Kim 64.9 49
79 Geoff Ogilvy 65.2 109
80 Billy Hurley 65.9 83
81 Danny Lee 66.0 17
82 Brian Stuard 66.0 91
83 Michael Kim 66.1 17
84 Morgan Hoffmann 66.2 96
85 Tyrone van Aswegen 66.6 DNP
86 Ryan Blaum 66.7 DNP
87 Sung-hoon Kang 67.0 DNP
88 Ben Martin 67.6 41
89 Camilo Villegas 67.8 83
90 Retief Goosen 67.8 73
91 Kelly Kraft 67.9 WD
92 Rob Oppenheim 67.9 105
93 Fabian Gomez 68.2 62
94 CT Pan 68.4 56
95 Patton Kizzire 68.4 91
96 Nick Taylor 68.5 DNP
97 Derek Fathauer 68.6 71
98 Thorbjorn Olesen 68.8 105
99 Smylie Kaufman 69.0 109
100 Harold Varner 69.2 34
101 Richy Werenski 69.3 DNP
102 Troy Merritt 69.4 56
103 Brandon Hagy 69.5 28
104 Jeunghun Wang 69.7 23
105 Blayne Barber 69.7 62
106 Kyle Reifers 69.8 83
107 Greg Owen 69.8 73
108 Vaughn Taylor 70.1 23
109 Aaron Baddeley 70.2 41
110 Grayson Murray 70.3 113
111 Ryan Ruffels 70.3 56
112 Vijay Singh 70.6 73
113 Ernie Els 70.6 96
114 Boo Weekley 70.9 66
115 Steve Wheatcroft 71.1 56
116 Cody Gribble 71.3 91
117 Sam Saunders 71.7 73
118 Rod Pampling 72.2 83
119 Meen-whee Kim 73.5 DNP
120 Steven Bowditch 74.7 117
121 Curtis Luck 75.6 DQ
122 Greg Chalmers 75.9 17
123 Tim Herron 77.1 62
124 Alex Noren 77.4 49
125 Trevor Immelman 77.4 83
126 Matthias Schwab 82.8 91
127 Robby Shelton 83.0 103
128 John Daly 83.3 96
129 Robert Gamez 84.3 118
130 David Hronek 84.3 113
Byeong Hun An late entry 52
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 148. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Mar. 12, 2017)

March 13, 2017 Thomas Hawley
Jason Day remains on top in the ratings for the 43rd week in a row, with his lead having diminished five straight weeks.
# Thru March 12, 2017 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Jason Day 39 1788 1
2 Dustin Johnson 49 1778 2
3 Rory McIlroy 41 1701 3
4 Jordan Spieth 51 1611 4
5 Henrik Stenson 47 1392 8
6 Hideki Matsuyama 48 1389 5
7 Adam Scott 43 1375 7
8 Justin Rose 48 1369 6
9 Jon Rahm 19 1334 9
10 Rickie Fowler 54 1281 10
11 Sergio Garcia 42 1239 11
12 Phil Mickelson 46 1235 12
13 Paul Casey 50 1176 13
14 Matt Kuchar 59 1144 14
15 Patrick Reed 66 1079 15
16 Francesco Molinari 48 1041 19
17 Gary Woodland 54 1025 16
18 Justin Thomas 57 1013 17
19 Kevin Na 53 1011 18
20 Branden Grace 53 985 22
21 Brooks Koepka 52 976 23
22 Bill Haas 52 970 20
23 Charles Howell 56 966 21
24 Brandt Snedeker 57 964 25
25 Ryan Moore 46 961 29
26 Louis Oosthuizen 52 961 26
27 Brendan Steele 51 958 27
28 Charl Schwartzel 49 940 36
29 JB Holmes 50 934 30
30 Bubba Watson 44 923 24
31 Tyrrell Hatton 50 921 31
32 Jim Furyk 35 917 28
33 Zach Johnson 53 908 33
34 Kevin Kisner 56 891 35
35 Daniel Berger 56 888 32
36 Billy Horschel 50 870 34
37 Jason Dufner 49 858 38
38 Tony Finau 57 840 44
39 Russell Knox 60 818 37
40 Jimmy Walker 54 807 40
41 Marc Leishman 51 804 39
42 Martin Kaymer 54 793 42
43 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 58 792 41
44 Russell Henley 50 779 49
45 Webb Simpson 47 777 43
46 Emiliano Grillo 56 772 45
47 Adam Hadwin 55 761 62
48 Wesley Bryan 17 760 71
49 Ryan Palmer 45 740 46
50 Shane Lowry 49 735 47
51 William McGirt 54 727 50
52 Kevin Chappell 54 719 54
53 Pat Perez 37 711 51
54 Scott Piercy 56 709 48
55 Byeong-Hun An 52 705 53
56 Graham DeLaet 44 691 64
57 Charley Hoffman 54 690 55
58 Martin Laird 50 685 57
59 Chris Kirk 52 681 56
60 Steve Stricker 30 676 52
61 Thomas Pieters 50 671 63
62 Brian Harman 63 669 59
63 Daniel Summerhays 55 668 58
64 Soren Kjeldsen 61 661 66
65 Jamie Lovemark 45 658 68
66 Jhonattan Vegas 59 657 67
67 Danny Willett 51 657 65
68 Keegan Bradley 55 656 60
69 Sean O’Hair 56 655 61
70 Nick Watney 30 655 82
71 Chez Reavie 52 647 70
72 Lucas Glover 50 637 74
73 Graeme McDowell 59 632 75
74 Jason Kokrak 54 627 69
75 Bernd Wiesberger 58 625 72
76 Harris English 57 619 73
77 Jim Herman 55 619 93
78 David Lingmerth 59 595 79
79 Kevin Streelman 53 590 90
80 Alexander Noren 36 589 77
81 Chad Campbell 58 581 94
82 Lee Westwood 46 578 81
83 Andy Sullivan 57 575 83
84 Luke Donald 53 570 76
85 Stewart Cink 47 569 91
86 Matthew Fitzpatrick 57 568 85
87 Anirban Lahiri 56 563 86
88 Robert Streb 58 563 80
89 Ross Fisher 47 562 89
90 Ollie Schniederjans 29 561 78
91 Mackenzie Hughes 16 544 92
92 Patrick Rodgers 52 543 87
93 Si-woo Kim 48 542 88
94 Tommy Fleetwood 56 531 95
95 JJ Spaun 17 530 84
96 Luke List 44 528 100
97 Roberto Castro 48 519 97
98 Joost Luiten 51 517 98
99 Scott Brown 54 512 96
100 James Hahn 53 510 99
101 Colt Knost 48 508 102
102 Hudson Swafford 58 506 101
103 Dominic Bozzelli 13 500 228
104 Victor Dubuisson 39 498 103
105 Danny Lee 68 497 108
106 Alex Cejka 54 497 113
107 Jerry Kelly 44 493 104
108 Chris Wood 56 492 106
109 Kyle Stanley 48 490 109
110 David Hearn 61 485 112
111 Bud Cauley 28 474 105
112 John Huh 58 472 127
113 Robert Garrigus 51 467 110
114 Freddie Jacobson 36 465 107
115 Cameron Tringale 56 455 111
116 Thongchai Jaidee 57 450 115
117 Sung-hoon Kang 8 450
118 JT Poston 15 443 167
119 Matt Jones 52 442 118
120 Bryce Molder 54 439 114
121 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 58 438 117
122 Patton Kizzire 42 435 116
123 Smylie Kaufman 45 430 119
124 Aaron Wise 8 427 120
125 Haotong Li 31 417 124
126 Fabian Gomez 52 416 123
127 Sangmoon Bae 19 409 133
128 Johnson Wagner 53 405 121
129 Scott Stallings 49 405 122
130 John Senden 59 401 125
131 Sung Kang 39 397 134
132 Michael Kim 43 396 130
133 Cameron Smith 51 394 132
134 Fabrizio Zanotti 45 391 138
135 Richard Bland 52 390 139
136 Billy Hurley 50 390 131
137 CT Pan 23 389 126
138 Jonas Blixt 55 387 151
139 Will Wilcox 37 387 128
140 Geoff Ogilvy 44 386 129
141 Seung-yul Noh 54 385 135
142 Hideto Tanihara 9 383 142
143 Kyle Reifers 65 382 137
144 Ian Poulter 44 377 143
145 Jason Bohn 49 375 136
146 KJ Choi 45 374 140
147 Harold Varner 45 374 141
148 Jamie Donaldson 48 372 146
149 Ben Martin 55 369 145
150 Peter Hanson 37 369 149
151 Retief Goosen 41 367 144
152 David Toms 34 358 152
153 Thorbjorn Olesen 53 354 154
154 Bradley Dredge 45 353 155
155 Ryan Blaum 20 353 157
156 Ryo Ishikawa 35 350 147
157 Derek Fathauer 60 349 150
158 John Peterson 25 348 158
159 Romain Langasque 14 347 148
160 Tyrone van Aswegen 59 343 169
161 Morgan Hoffmann 55 341 156
162 Alejandro Canizares 48 340 161
163 Aaron Baddeley 58 339 159
164 Jon Curran 56 336 164
165 Jorge Campillo 55 336 160
166 Brian Stuard 55 335 170
167 Jaco van Zyl 49 331 166
168 Chris Stroud 54 329 165
169 Andrew Johnston 49 327 174
170 Alexander Bjork 8 326 173
171 Grayson Murray 13 326 153
172 Ricky Barnes 59 320 171
173 Camilo Villegas 59 320 178
174 Shawn Stefani 53 320 163
175 Troy Merritt 58 319 168
176 Nick Taylor 54 318 172
177 Richy Werenski 15 316 162
178 Michael Thompson 56 315 175
179 Cameron Percy 43 313 179
180 George Coetzee 50 313 184
181 Justin Leonard 26 313 188
182 Whee Kim 48 312 181
183 Richard Sterne 38 311 187
184 Padraig Harrington 53 310 191
185 Boo Weekley 53 310 177
186 Tim Wilkinson 55 309 180
187 Rikard Karlberg 46 309 183
188 Blayne Barber 51 309 192
189 Greg Owen 48 308 186
190 Kelly Kraft 40 307 176
191 Jeunghun Wang 37 307 190
192 Henrik Norlander 34 306 189
193 Seamus Power 18 305 231
194 Rob Oppenheim 32 305 193
195 Peter Uihlein 42 305 194
196 Gregory Bourdy 57 301 196
197 Pablo Larrazabal 50 301 195
198 Brett Stegmaier 45 300 185
199 David Horsey 53 298 202
200 James Morrison 55 296 198
201 Martin Flores 36 296 182
202 Alexander Levy 50 296 200
203 Vaughn Taylor 45 293 204
204 Joakim Lagergren 48 291 205
205 Spencer Levin 65 290 197
206 Oscar Fraustro 18 288 210
207 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 44 286 208
208 Andrew Loupe 48 285 201
209 Vijay Singh 47 284 199
210 Tiger Woods 12 283 206
211 Bronson Burgoon 32 282 212
212 Julien Quesne 49 277 214
213 Nicolas Colsaerts 57 277 209
214 Dean Burmester 22 276 217
215 Thomas Aiken 60 276 215
216 Scott Hend 62 275 211
217 Cody Gribble 22 274 203
218 Mikko Ilonen 46 273 223
219 Andres Romero 35 271 219
220 Rory Sabbatini 48 269 221
221 Zac Blair 66 268 218
222 Ben Crane 53 266 222
223 Tom Hoge 51 266 226
224 Anthony Wall 45 265 213
225 Austin Cook 16 264 224
226 Chad Collins 52 263 220
227 Brandon Hagy 19 262 227
228 Ken Duke 50 261 225
229 David Lipsky 60 260 229
230 Trey Mullinax 20 259 216
231 Ashun Wu 27 259 230
232 Lee McCoy 13 254 207
233 Florian Fritsch 30 253 234
234 Benjamin Hebert 54 251 236
235 Jason Gore 48 249 235
236 Sam Saunders 51 245 233
237 Andres Gonzales 58 240 240
238 George McNeill 49 236 232
239 David Howell 47 236 241
240 Paul Dunne 38 235 237
241 Lucas Bjerregaard 59 234 243
242 Bryson DeChambeau 36 234 266
243 Mikko Korhonen 44 234 242
244 Maximilian Kieffer 52 234 239
245 Steve Wheatcroft 51 233 238
246 Hiroshi Iwata 43 233 245
247 Scott Langley 49 229 248
248 Luke Guthrie 42 227 249
249 Martin Piller 29 227 252
250 Marc Warren 54 226 250
251 Jordan Niebrugge 8 226 244
252 Joe Affrunti 8 225 256
253 Raphael Jacquelin 53 225 253
254 Nacho Elvira 43 223 246
255 YE Yang 32 221 257
256 Ricardo Gouveia 36 221 247
257 Chesson Hadley 50 220 255
258 Mark Wilson 47 220 258
259 Jonathan Byrd 30 219 260
260 Brice Garnett 39 219 259
261 Will MacKenzie 48 217 262
262 Richie Ramsay 46 214 254
263 Brian Gay 25 214 251
264 Stephen Gallacher 43 212 264
265 Miguel Angel Jimenez 33 210 265
266 Ernie Els 52 209 261
267 Marcus Fraser 51 206 263
268 Brandon Stone 29 204 268
269 Kristoffer Broberg 47 204 267
270 Tyler Aldridge 39 202 269
271 Rod Pampling 44 201 272
272 Brendon de Jonge 56 197 270
273 Tim Clark 14 197 277
274 Stuart Appleby 35 196 275
275 Matteo Manassero 49 196 292
276 Graeme Storm 57 195 273
277 Matthew Southgate 36 195 276
278 Magnus A Carlsson 51 194 274
279 Kyung-tae Kim 17 193 278
280 Brian Campbell 12 191 279
281 Pep Angles 10 190 316
282 Steven Bowditch 64 189 271
283 Callum Shinkwin 30 186 284
284 Mark Hubbard 60 186 281
285 Scott Pinckney 47 186 282
286 Andrew Landry 25 184 286
287 Chris Paisley 54 182 289
288 Steven Alker 30 182 290
289 Ryan Ruffels 13 182 293
290 Anders Hansen 21 182 294
291 Steve Marino 38 180 283
292 Wes Roach 27 180 296
293 Romain Wattel 52 179 285
294 Hunter Stewart 8 179 295
295 Peter Malnati 51 179 287
296 JJ Henry 55 179 336
297 Lee Slattery 54 177 298
298 Chris Hanson 29 177 301
299 Renato Paratore 59 176 288
300 David Drysdale 60 175 300
301 Brendon Todd 50 174 280
302 Robert Rock 46 174 291
303 Brett Drewitt 11 174 302
304 Gavin Green 8 173
305 Bo Van Pelt 22 171 297
306 Lasse Jensen 48 169 312
307 Erik Compton 45 168 304
308 Johan Carlsson 51 167 309
309 Darren Fichardt 45 167 306
310 Tag Ridings 15 166 308
311 Davis Love 28 166 305
312 Hunter Mahan 51 166 303
313 Nathan Kimsey 8 164
314 Thomas Detry 10 163 314
315 Jeff Overton 44 163 317
316 Jason Scrivener 50 162 307
317 Ryan Brehm 13 161 318
318 Trevor Fisher 42 160 319
319 Carlos Ortiz 52 160 313
320 Shubhankar Sharma 9 159 299
321 Felipe Aguilar 48 158 311
322 Sam Brazel 25 157 322
323 Gregory Havret 54 156 320
324 Richard Green 43 155 321
325 Eddie Pepperell 45 154 325
326 Matthew Griffin 8 154 324
327 Paul Lawrie 36 150 326
328 Ashley Hall 8 150 328
329 Bobby Wyatt 17 149 332
330 Marcel Schneider 8 149 327
331 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 37 149 331
332 Robert Karlsson 44 148 330
333 Rashid Khan 16 148 310
334 Prayad Marksaeng 9 146 315
335 Ryan Fox 26 146 334
336 Xander Schauffele 15 146 333
337 Thomas Bjorn 35 145 335
338 Ze-cheng Dou 8 144 337
339 Nick Cullen 16 143 340
340 Oliver Fisher 56 143 339
341 Justin Walters 45 142 341
342 DA Points 47 142 338
343 Phachara Khongwatmai 13 139 323
344 Carl Pettersson 52 139 329
345 Scott Jamieson 55 136 360
346 Brett Rumford 34 135 342
347 Brian Davis 30 135 343
348 Steve Allan 8 135 345
349 Prom Meesawat 43 134 356
350 Tim Herron 27 134 347
351 Derek Ernst 43 131 346
352 Pelle Edberg 54 128 349
353 Wade Ormsby 38 128 359
354 Dawie van der Walt 38 127 351
355 Zander Lombard 17 126 354
356 Paul Waring 14 126 352
357 Nino Bertasio 34 124 348
358 Justin Hicks 22 124 357
359 Ryan Armour 22 124 358
360 Joel Stalter 11 123 344
361 Marcel Siem 50 123 363
362 Eduardo de la Riva 46 122 350
363 Alex Prugh 35 122 361
364 Miguel Angel Carballo 34 120 364
365 Simon Wakefield 10 119 366
366 Sebastian Soderberg 10 119 365
367 Dylan Frittelli 20 118 370
368 Adilson da Silva 28 118 381
369 Ben Evans 46 118 367
370 Jbe Kruger 46 118 362
371 Michael Putnam 33 116 369
372 John Merrick 38 115 368
373 Panuphol Pittayarat 18 114 355
374 Nicholas Lindheim 16 114 371
375 Alexander Knappe 8 114
376 Adrian Otaegui 51 114 373
377 Rhein Gibson 33 114 372
378 Thomas Linard 25 114 374
379 Josh Teater 13 113 376
380 Stephan Jaeger 8 113 380
381 Carlos Pigem 30 113 418
382 Robert Dinwiddie 49 113 377
383 Tom Gillis 25 111 375
384 Thanyakorn Khrongpha 13 111 353
385 Angelo Que 13 110 392
386 Simon Khan 28 109 382
387 Jacques Blaauw 15 108 385
388 Kevin Tway 18 108 383
389 Michael Jonzon 15 108 386
390 Craig Lee 44 107 387
391 Jaco Ahlers 15 106 388
392 Brad Fritsch 16 104 391
393 Paul Peterson 40 104 384
394 Rahil Gangjee 20 104 378
395 Richard McEvoy 42 104 393
396 Masahiro Kawamura 19 103 379
397 Shiv Kapur 43 102 390
398 Matthew Nixon 31 102 389
399 David Bransdon 9 101 401
400 Pablo Martin Benavides 12 101 399
More | Less

Tryin’ to Make a Buck (March)

March 9, 2017 Thomas Hawley

This is the first time out in what I hope will be a monthly look at what would happen if I tried to make a little money on these picks. The odds on every golfer are easily found at various places on the Internet (click on "LINKS” above), and the event-by-event picks are right here to see.

I’m looking at this from three perspectives:

  • First, what would happen if a bet was placed on the first pick from each event’s Hawley rankings.

  • Second, what would happen if a bet was placed on each of the first four picks from each event’s Hawley rankings.

  • Finally, what would happen if a bet was placed on each of the first four "value” picks from each event’s Hawley rankings. A "value” pick is one where there is a favorable difference in the odds found on-line and the "Observed Odds” from the rankings (i.e. the on-line odds Read more

Valspar Championship

March 6, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,

Charles Howell
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual finish
1 Charles Howell 23.8 49
2 Henrik Stenson 24.6 7
3 Kevin Na 29.6 93
4 Matt Kuchar 30.0 22
5 Bill Haas 30.8 41
6 Gary Woodland 31.6 58
7 Ryan Moore 32.7 18
8 Patrick Reed 34.6 38
9 Graham DeLaet 37.5 22
10 Justin Thomas 37.8 93
11 Luke Donald 39.4 80
12 Jason Dufner 40.6 11
13 Jim Furyk 41.0 41
14 Daniel Berger 45.6 70
15 Martin Laird 46.3 99
16 Billy Horschel 47.6 121
17 Charl Schwartzel 48.4 6
18 Brian Harman 49.0 109
19 Jason Kokrak 49.5 58
20 Webb Simpson 49.7 41
21 Steve Stricker 50.0 80
22 Russell Knox 50.1 80
23 Tony Finau 50.7 5
24 Charley Hoffman 50.9 109
25 Bubba Watson 51.2 80
26 Russell Henley 51.3 9
27 Nick Watney 52.4 14
28 Wesley Bryan 52.5 7
29 Keegan Bradley 53.0 58
30 Ollie Schniederjans 53.1 70
31 Harris English 53.2 27
32 Chris Kirk 53.7 109
33 Adam Hadwin 53.7 1
34 Lucas Glover 53.9 18
35 JJ Spaun 54.1 121
36 Sean O’Hair 54.8 142
37 Daniel Summerhays 55.5 121
38 Stewart Cink 55.8 27
39 Byeong-Hun An 56.4 49
40 Scott Piercy 57.1 80
41 Scott Stallings 57.3 68
42 Patrick Rodgers 57.7 136
43 Graeme McDowell 57.7 14
44 Robert Garrigus 57.7 52
45 Cameron Tringale 58.0 93
46 Soren Kjeldsen 58.2 27
47 Kevin Streelman 58.2 18
48 Scott Brown 58.9 139
49 Chez Reavie 59.2 27
50 Seung-yul Noh 59.8 80
51 Kyle Stanley 59.9 27
52 Jamie Lovemark 61.1 27
53 Sung-hoon Kang 61.3 93
54 David Lingmerth 61.4 27
55 Hudson Swafford 61.4 38
56 Jim Herman 62.3 3
57 Cameron Smith 63.3 49
58 Retief Goosen 63.6 131
59 James Hahn 63.8 41
60 Shawn Stefani 63.9 109
61 Bud Cauley 64.0 58
62 Geoff Ogilvy 64.1 121
63 Si-woo Kim 64.1 WD
64 CT Pan 64.1 109
65 Robert Streb 64.3 121
66 George McNeill 64.4 99
67 KJ Choi 64.6 109
68 Richy Werenski 64.6 109
69 Brian Stuard 64.6 38
70 Luke List 64.9 27
71 Chad Campbell 65.0 11
72 Kelly Kraft 65.3 65
73 Alex Cejka 65.3 14
74 John Senden 65.5 99
75 Billy Hurley 65.5 70
76 Morgan Hoffmann 65.5 52
77 Freddie Jacobson 65.6 109
78 David Hearn 65.7 18
79 Michael Kim 65.8 52
80 John Huh 65.9 9
81 Ian Poulter 66.1 41
82 Martin Flores 66.2 80
83 Ryo Ishikawa 66.8 69
84 JT Poston 67.1 14
85 Johnson Wagner 67.2 80
86 Tim Wilkinson 67.3 56
87 Danny Lee 67.3 22
88 Jonas Blixt 67.5 22
89 Bryce Molder 67.7 136
90 Lee McCoy 67.8 65
91 Nick Taylor 67.8 62
92 Rory Sabbatini 67.9 DNP
93 Ryan Blaum 67.9 41
94 Will Wilcox 68.0 80
95 Patton Kizzire 68.0 93
96 Michael Thompson 68.2 135
97 Vijay Singh 68.2 99
98 Smylie Kaufman 68.4 99
99 Boo Weekley 68.4 121
100 Derek Fathauer 68.4 121
101 Will MacKenzie 68.5 DNP
102 Trey Mullinax 68.9 109
103 Tyrone van Aswegen 68.9 27
104 Harold Varner 68.9 93
105 Kyle Reifers 68.9 67
106 Grayson Murray 69.1 131
107 Troy Merritt 69.2 121
108 Chad Collins 69.2 99
109 Jason Bohn 69.2 99
110 Sam Saunders 69.2 99
111 Ken Duke 69.4 80
112 Andres Gonzales 69.4 DNP
113 Brandon Hagy 69.5 DNP
114 Ben Martin 69.5 52
115 Aaron Baddeley 69.5 70
116 Ricky Barnes 69.6 80
117 Seamus Power 69.7 27
118 Blayne Barber 70.1 41
119 Jon Curran 70.4 DNP
120 Brett Stegmaier 70.4 109
121 Zac Blair 70.8 70
122 Cody Gribble 70.8 70
123 Ben Crane 71.0 62
124 Dominic Bozzelli 71.4 3
125 Brian Campbell 71.6 DNP
126 Ernie Els 71.9 80
127 Spencer Levin 71.9 80
128 Andrew Loupe 71.9 109
129 Brian Gay 72.3 70
130 Meen-whee Kim 72.7 143
131 Rod Pampling 72.8 41
132 Steven Alker 72.9 DNP
133 JJ Henry 73.1 22
134 Greg Chalmers 73.4 70
135 Bryson DeChambeau 73.4 27
136 Steve Marino 73.6 121
137 Mark Hubbard 73.8 131
138 Tag Ridings 73.8 DNP
139 Ryan Brehm 74.0 DNP
140 Peter Malnati 74.1 70
141 Carl Pettersson 74.1 121
142 Steven Bowditch 74.4 99
143 Xander Schauffele 74.7 DNP
144 Hunter Mahan 74.9 56
145 Matt Every 75.9 139
146 Beau Hossler 83.3 70
147 Patrick Cantlay 83.4 2
148 Rod Perry 84.3 141
149 Jimmy Stanger 84.3 131
150 Zach Wright 84.3 109
Keith Mitchell late entry 12
Charlie Danielson late entry 64
Steve Wheatcroft late entry 99
Brendon Todd late entry 136
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 36. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.

 

Hero Indian Open

March 6, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,

Anirban Lahiri
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual finish
1 Anirban Lahiri 41.8 5
2 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 50.8 5
3 Romain Langasque 60.8 34
4 Jordan Smith 60.9 17
5 Jorge Campillo 63.1 70
6 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 63.6 22
7 Johannes Veerman 66.5 86
8 Peter Uihlein 66.7 17
9 Rashid Khan 67.2 67
10 George Coetzee 67.7 8
11 Nacho Elvira 67.8 70
12 Nicolas Colsaerts 69.0 60
13 Scott Hend 69.4 98
14 David Horsey 69.4 8
15 Anthony Wall 70.3 55
16 Paul Dunne 70.3 98
17 Maximilian Kieffer 70.7 79
18 Stephen Gallacher 70.8 29
19 Marcus Fraser 71.2 98
20 Shubhankar Sharma 71.4 40
21 Renato Paratore 71.5 86
22 Matteo Manassero 71.8 3
23 Jason Scrivener 72.0 WD
24 Richie Ramsay 72.0 92
25 Ricardo Gouveia 72.4 WD
26 Gregory Havret 72.4 34
27 David Howell 72.5 DNP
28 Phachara Khongwatmai 72.8 121
29 Lasse Jensen 72.8 17
30 Robert Rock 72.9 70
31 Shiv Kapur 73.1 70
32 Angelo Que 73.1 29
33 Paul Peterson 73.1 55
34 Chris Hanson 73.2 22
35 Romain Wattel 73.2 51
36 Prom Meesawat 73.2 13
37 Felipe Aguilar 73.2 79
38 Pep Angles 73.4 11
39 Wade Ormsby 73.7 22
40 Jbe Kruger 73.7 70
41 Carlos Pigem 73.7 5
42 Dylan Frittelli 73.8 29
43 Brett Rumford 73.9 106
44 Prayad Marksaeng 74.3 43
45 Nino Bertasio 74.4 66
46 Scott Jamieson 74.4 3
47 Daniel Im 74.9 40
48 Eddie Pepperell 74.9 22
49 Matthew Nixon 75.1 49
50 Eduardo de la Riva 75.1 WD
51 Adilson da Silva 75.2 21
52 Jeev Milkha Singh 75.3 126
53 Marcel Siem 75.3 29
54 Soo-min Lee 75.4 70
55 Joel Stalter 75.5 98
56 Panuphol Pittayarat 75.5 106
57 Siddikur Rahman 75.5 98
58 Sam Walker 75.7 43
59 Nathan Kimsey 75.8 13
60 Miguel Tabuena 75.8 51
61 Terry Pilkadaris 76.0 40
62 Thanyakorn Khrongpha 76.0 60
63 Daniel Brooks 76.3 43
64 Sebastien Gros 76.3 51
65 Jens Fahrbring 76.3 13
66 Shaun Norris 76.4 55
67 Natipong Srithong 76.5 119
68 Sebastian Soderberg 76.5 DNP
69 John Parry 76.6 113
70 Rahil Gangjee 76.7 106
71 Edoardo Molinari 76.7 11
72 Michael Hoey 76.9 8
73 Scott Henry 77.2 WD
74 WC Liang 77.2 79
75 Casey O’Toole 77.7 92
76 Gaganjeet Bhullar 77.8 43
77 Chapchai Nirat 78.2 WD
78 Todd Sinnott 78.2 86
79 Piya Swangarunporn 78.5 WD
80 Masahiro Kawamura 78.7 121
81 Austin Connelly 78.8 79
82 Gavin Green 78.8 2
83 Chiragh Kumar 78.9 22
84 Danny Chia 79.0 29
85 S Chikarangappa 79.2 34
86 Alexander Knappe 79.2 17
87 Antonio Lascuna 79.8 39
88 Shih-chang Chan 79.8 43
89 Arjun Atwal 80.0 55
90 Duncan Stewart 80.0 70
91 Paul Maddy 80.1 DNP
92 Jose-Filipe Lima 80.2 106
93 Jyoti Randhawa 80.4 64
94 Thitiphun Chauyprakong 80.5 WD
95 Jazz Janewattananond 80.6 34
96 Poom Saksansin 80.8 22
97 SSP Chawrasia 80.8 1
98 Mardan Mamat 81.1 86
99 Chien-yao Hung 81.1 WD
100 N Thangaraja 81.2 92
101 Sanjay Kumar 81.2 WD
102 Nicholas Fung 81.4 51
103 Damien Perrier 81.7 70
104 Matthieu Pavon 81.7 98
105 Pavit Tangkamolprasert 81.8 121
106 Lionel Weber 81.9 65
107 Richard T Lee 82.1 WD
108 Danthai Boonma 82.2 13
109 Daniel Chopra 82.3 106
110 Sam Chien 82.4 126
111 Thaworn Wiratchant 82.4 WD
112 Ricardo Gonzalez 82.4 49
113 Scott Vincent 82.8 34
114 Mukesh Kumar 83.1 79
115 Rafa Echenique 83.2 DNP
116 Shamim Khan 83.2 43
117 Shankar Das 83.4 113
118 Kapil Kumar 83.4 92
119 Amardip Sinh Malik 83.4 113
120 Marcus Armitage 83.6 WD
121 Wei-chih Lu 83.6 130
122 Honney Baisoya 83.7 WD
123 Om Prakash Chouhan 83.8 121
124 Feroz Ali Mollah 83.9 111
125 Steven Tiley 84.0 22
126 Ajeetesh Sandhu 84.0 55
127 Sujjan Singh 84.1 86
128 Vikrant Chopra 84.2 119
129 Rayhan Thomas 84.2 86
130 M Dharma 84.3 116
131 Ashok Kumar 84.3 79
132 Abhijit Singh Chadra 84.3 69
133 Khalin Joshi 84.3 70
134 Yuvraj Sandhu 84.3 118
135 Rigel Fernandes 84.3 68
136 Yashas Chandra 84.3 92
137 David Gleeson 84.3 DNP
138 C Muniyappa 84.3 126
139 Udayan Mane 84.3 129
140 Karandeep Kochhar 84.3 125
141 Harendra P Gupta 84.3 116
142 Gaurav Pratap Singh 84.3 79
143 Deepinder Singh Kullar 84.3 60
144 Digvijay Singh 84.3 60
145 Ranjit Singh 84.3 DNP
Sutijet Kooratanapisan late entry 94
Chase Koepka late entry 102
Anura Rohana late entry 104
Aman Raj late entry 112
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 150. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.