Sony Open in Hawaii

January 10, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,

Hideki Matsuyama
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual finish
1 Hideki Matsuyama 23.1 27
2 Paul Casey 26.8 110
3 Jordan Spieth 27.4 3
4 Ryan Palmer 34.6 143
5 Jimmy Walker 35.4 83
6 Justin Thomas 37.9 1
7 Justin Rose 38.7 2
8 Scott Piercy 40.4 57
9 Charles Howell 40.6 8
10 Bill Haas 42.6 13
11 Kevin Na 42.9 36
12 Gary Woodland 44.1 6
13 Keegan Bradley 45.5 117
14 Chris Kirk 45.5 117
15 Billy Horschel 46.1 68
16 Daniel Berger 46.7 45
17 Soren Kjeldsen 46.8 96
18 Russell Knox 46.8 11
19 Marc Leishman 46.8 20
20 Zach Johnson 47.1 6
21 Pat Perez 47.4 69
22 Branden Grace 47.6 13
23 Harris English 49.1 83
24 Brandt Snedeker 49.8 96
25 Webb Simpson 50.8 13
26 Russell Henley 51.2 13
27 William McGirt 51.6 49
28 Jason Dufner 52.3 139
29 Luke List 52.4 13
30 Tony Finau 53.5 20
31 Kevin Kisner 54.4 4
32 Stewart Cink 54.5 36
33 David Lingmerth 55.1 49
34 Chez Reavie 55.2 8
35 James Hahn 55.8 36
36 Brian Harman 55.9 20
37 Anirban Lahiri 55.9 127
38 Si-woo Kim 56.7 DNP
39 Daniel Summerhays 56.9 36
40 Jamie Lovemark 57.1 4
41 Jerry Kelly 57.1 83
42 Sean O’Hair 57.7 11
43 Chad Campbell 57.9 74
44 Robert Streb 59.2 49
45 Kyle Stanley 59.7 36
46 Jim Herman 59.8 10
47 John Senden 59.8 110
48 Derek Fathauer 59.9 117
49 David Hearn 60.3 96
50 Patrick Rodgers 60.6 83
51 Hudson Swafford 60.8 13
52 Johnson Wagner 61.3 117
53 Colt Knost 62.4 83
54 Fabian Gomez 62.9 72
55 Ryan Blaum 63.0 74
56 Michael Kim 63.2 20
57 Bryce Molder 63.4 49
58 Harold Varner 63.4 83
59 Cameron Smith 63.5 27
60 Ben Martin 63.6 36
61 John Huh 63.6 27
62 Smylie Kaufman 63.9 83
63 Scott Brown 64.1 64
64 Billy Hurley 64.3 20
65 Mackenzie Hughes 64.5 27
66 Camilo Villegas 64.6 96
67 Shawn Stefani 64.7 36
68 Troy Merritt 64.8 127
69 Kyle Reifers 65.1 127
70 Jason Bohn 65.4 62
71 Bud Cauley 66.1 127
72 Ben Crane 66.4 127
73 Cody Gribble 66.4 96
74 Brian Stuard 66.5 45
75 John Peterson 66.6 83
76 Vaughn Taylor 66.6 57
77 Ricky Barnes 66.7 142
78 Henrik Norlander 66.8 20
79 KJ Choi 66.9 127
80 Zac Blair 67.0 57
81 Rod Pampling 67.0 64
82 David Toms 67.1 110
83 Boo Weekley 67.1 141
84 Vijay Singh 67.2 57
85 Tyrone van Aswegen 67.2 117
86 Jon Curran 67.3 69
87 Nick Taylor 67.6 96
88 Cameron Percy 67.9 80
89 Jonas Blixt 67.9 83
90 Ollie Schniederjans 68.0 27
91 Spencer Levin 68.0 127
92 Seung-yul Noh 68.4 96
93 Michael Thompson 68.7 20
94 Tim Wilkinson 68.8 36
95 Xander Schauffele 69.1 96
96 Wesley Bryan 69.2 110
97 Morgan Hoffmann 69.6 117
98 Steve Marino 69.7 140
99 Hiroshi Iwata 70.0 135
100 Rory Sabbatini 70.0 45
101 Andres Gonzales 70.0 36
102 Ken Duke 70.1 73
103 Seamus Power 70.1 49
104 Chad Collins 70.4 83
105 Bryson DeChambeau 70.5 49
106 Ryan Brehm 70.5 45
107 Tag Ridings 71.0 74
108 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 71.3 63
109 Will MacKenzie 71.4 117
110 Brandon Hagy 71.5 80
111 Kelly Kraft 71.5 27
112 Steven Bowditch 71.5 DNP
113 Bob Estes 71.6 143
114 Brian Gay 71.8 13
115 Carl Pettersson 72.1 82
116 Mark Hubbard 72.2 96
117 Steven Alker 72.3 110
118 Nicholas Lindheim 72.3 137
119 YE Yang 72.4 27
120 DA Points 72.7 DNP
121 Trey Mullinax 72.8 57
122 Miguel Angel Carballo 72.9 127
123 Peter Malnati 73.1 27
124 Greg Chalmers 73.3 96
125 JJ Spaun 73.6 117
126 JT Poston 73.9 64
127 Ryan Armour 73.9 DNP
128 JJ Henry 74.2 83
129 Hideto Tanihara 74.4 27
130 Kevin Tway 74.5 117
131 Zack Sucher 74.6 DNP
132 Brad Fritsch 75.0 DNP
133 Miguel Tabuena 75.0 64
134 Matt Every 75.1 117
135 Brian Campbell 75.2 DNP
136 Richy Werenski 75.3 49
137 Brett Drewitt 75.8 DNP
138 Dominic Bozzelli 76.1 DNP
139 Cheng-tsung Pan 76.7 96
140 Sebastian Munoz 77.3 DNP
141 Meen-whee Kim 77.5 79
142 Sung-hoon Kang 77.5 83
143 Yusaku Miyazato 81.2 96
144 Daisuke Kataoka 81.9 96
145 Hyung-sung Kim 82.6 74
146 Fred Funk 83.5 74
147 Satoshi Kodaira 83.7 49
148 Parker McLachlin 84.1 83
149 Brent Grant 84.1 110
150 Kevin Hayashi 84.1 137
Jared Sawada late entry 69
John Oda late entry 96
John Chin late entry 110
Tadd Fujikawa late entry 135
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 246. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.

 

BMW SA Open hosted by City of Ekurhuleni

January 10, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy -14.7 2
2 Andy Sullivan 48.7 109
3 Romain Langasque 50.3 21
4 Retief Goosen 57.7 135
5 David Horsey 58.2 102
6 Richard Bland 58.8 109
7 Hennie Otto 59.6 78
8 Jaco van Zyl 60.2 18
9 George Coetzee 61.5 90
10 Thomas Aiken 63.1 5
11 Richard Sterne 63.1 DNP
12 Jamie Donaldson 63.6 69
13 James Morrison 67.7 13
14 Matthew Southgate 68.2 135
15 Lucas Bjerregaard 68.4 57
16 Trevor Fisher 69.3 5
17 Mikko Korhonen 70.5 7
18 David Drysdale 70.8 7
19 Peter Uihlein 71.8 7
20 Lee Slattery 71.8 135
21 Graeme Storm 71.8 1
22 Paul Waring 73.5 37
23 Justin Walters 73.9 21
24 Chris Paisley 74.0 142
25 Darren Fichardt 74.1 26
26 Ernie Els 74.1 69
27 Dean Burmester 74.1 4
28 Eddie Pepperell 74.5 121
29 Marcel Siem 74.7 109
30 Jbe Kruger 75.2 21
31 Brett Rumford 75.3 68
32 Matthew Nixon 75.5 78
33 Adrian Otaegui 75.6 55
34 Bernd Ritthammer 75.7 90
35 Jaco Ahlers 75.7 102
36 Chris Hanson 75.7 26
37 Keith Horne 75.8 21
38 Brandon Stone 75.9 31
39 Carlos Pigem 75.9 146
40 Thomas Linard 76.1 DNP
41 Oliver Fisher 76.1 26
42 Zander Lombard 76.6 90
43 Rhys West 76.8 146
44 Nino Bertasio 76.8 142
45 Erik Van Rooyen 76.9 90
46 Tjaart van der Walt 76.9 69
47 Garth Mulroy 76.9 52
48 Richard McEvoy 77.0 DNP
49 Sebastian Soderberg 77.1 26
50 Adilson da Silva 77.2 40
51 Ben Evans 77.2 DNP
52 Alex Haindl 77.5 102
53 Dawie van der Walt 77.6 31
54 Jean Hugo 77.7 69
55 Simon Khan 77.8 DNP
56 Robert Dinwiddie 77.9 DNP
57 Dylan Frittelli 78.0 78
58 Jeff Winther 78.1 14
59 Paul Maddy 78.1 62
60 Seve Benson 78.2 DNP
61 Niclas Fasth 78.4 66
62 Tom Lewis 79.0 18
63 Jens Fahrbring 79.1 18
64 Haydn Porteous 79.1 69
65 Daniel Brooks 79.1 52
66 Merrick Bremner 79.2 78
67 Gary Boyd 79.4 DNP
68 Colin Nel 79.4 90
69 John Parry 79.7 40
70 Shaun Norris 79.7 52
71 Ashley Chesters 79.8 135
72 Neil Schietekat 79.9 121
73 Scott Henry 79.9 78
74 Darren Clarke 79.9 109
75 Edoardo Molinari 80.2 7
76 Matt Ford 80.2 DNP
77 Adrien Saddier 80.4 DNP
78 Espen Kofstad 80.5 31
79 Ryan Evans 80.5 DNP
80 Mark Foster 80.5 31
81 Vaughn Groenewald 80.7 142
82 Ulrich van den Berg 80.8 40
83 Doug McGuigan 80.9 109
84 Johan Edfors 81.1 DNP
85 Ricardo Gonzalez 81.2 90
86 Bryce Easton 81.4 128
87 Jacques Blaauw 81.4 21
88 Borja Virto Astudillo 81.5 DNP
89 Chris Swanepoel 81.6 102
90 Pep Angles 81.7 60
91 Max Orrin 81.7 90
92 Morten Orum Madsen 81.7 49
93 Thomas Detry 81.7 40
94 Louis de Jager 82.0 40
95 Duncan Stewart 82.0 152
96 Andrew Curlewis 82.4 121
97 Oliver Bekker 82.4 121
98 Laurie Canter 82.6 14
99 Alexander Bjork 82.7 7
100 Tyrone Ferreira 82.9 78
101 Joel Stalter 82.9 7
102 Anthony Michael 82.9 128
103 Ross McGowan 82.9 49
104 Danie van Tonder 83.1 55
105 Curtis Luck 83.2 DNP
106 Lyle Rowe 83.2 WD
107 Oscar Stark 83.2 DNP
108 Justin Harding 83.3 31
109 Scott Vincent 83.3 109
110 Jacques Kruyswijk 83.4 57
111 Nathan Kimsey 83.4 142
112 James Heath 83.4 DNP
113 JC Ritchie 83.4 121
114 Daniel Greene 83.5 109
115 Julien Guerrier 83.5 DNP
116 Steven Tiley 83.5 57
117 Simon Dyson 83.6 49
118 Christiaan Basson 83.6 69
119 Jordan L Smith 83.6 3
120 Reinier Saxton 83.6 DNP
121 Pontus Widegren 83.6 37
122 Matthieu Pavon 83.7 69
123 Sebastian Heisele 83.7 78
124 Steven Ferreira 83.7 109
125 Toby Tree 83.7 109
126 Damien Perrier 83.7 78
127 Sam Walker 83.8 135
128 Aaron Rai 83.8 DNP
129 Richard S Johnson 83.8 14
130 Madalisto Muthiya 83.9 102
131 Jean-Paul Strydom 83.9 121
132 Jamie Rutherford 84.0 90
133 Gary King 84.0 14
134 Jens Dantorp 84.0 DNP
135 Ben Stow 84.0 DNP
136 Niclas Johansson 84.0 WD
137 Christofer Blomstrand 84.0 109
138 Garrick Porteous 84.0 DNP
139 Marcus Armitage 84.0 78
140 Rafa Echenique 84.1 40
141 Rourke van der Spuy 84.1 40
142 Hennie du Plessis 84.1 90
143 Trevor Dodds 84.1 121
144 Charles Bolling 84.1 146
145 Nick Faldo 84.1 78
146 Jovan Rebula 84.1 102
147 Kyle McClatchie 84.1 69
148 Marco Steyn 84.1 69
149 Craig Ross 84.1 128
150 Dylan Naidoo 84.1 152
151 Marc Cayeux 84.1 149
152 CJ du Plessis 84.1 90
153 Jonathan Agren 84.1 40
154 Alexander Knappe 84.1 31
155 Anton Karlsson 84.1 128
156 Gareth Maybin 84.1 DNP
157 Titch Moore 84.1 61
158 Ruan de Smidt 84.2 78
159 Peter Karmis 84.3 78
160 James Kingston 84.4 26
161 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 84.4 37
162 Ockie Strydom 84.5 67
Michael Hollick late entry 40
James Kamte late entry 62
Stefan Andersen late entry 64
Andrew Georgiou late entry 64
Andrew McLardy late entry 90
Lindani Ndwandwe late entry 90
Makhetha Mazibuko late entry 102
Heinrich Bruiners late entry 109
Philip Geerts late entry 109
Sipho Bujela late entry 128
Juran Dreyer late entry 128
Johan Van der Wath late entry 128
Theunis Bezuidenhout late entry 135
Callum Mowat late entry 135
Darin De Smidt late entry 149
Derick Petersen late entry 149
Joubert Van Eeden late entry 154
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 220. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.

 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Jan. 8, 2017)

January 10, 2017 Thomas Hawley

Jason Day starts 2017 on top in the ratings, where he has been for the last 35 straight weeks.
# Thru January 8, 2017 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Jason Day 41 1930 1
2 Rory McIlroy 43 1722 2
3 Dustin Johnson 49 1675 3
4 Jordan Spieth 52 1554 4
5 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1459 5
6 Henrik Stenson 48 1451 6
7 Adam Scott 42 1340 7
8 Paul Casey 50 1286 8
9 Justin Rose 49 1254 9
10 Rickie Fowler 54 1206 11
11 Sergio Garcia 43 1203 10
12 Patrick Reed 67 1192 12
13 Phil Mickelson 45 1186 13
14 Brooks Koepka 51 1159 14
15 Jim Furyk 35 1147 15
16 Bubba Watson 44 1115 16
17 Matt Kuchar 60 1109 17
18 Kevin Na 54 1051 18
19 Ryan Moore 48 1020 20
20 Justin Thomas 58 1018 19
21 Branden Grace 52 992 21
22 Louis Oosthuizen 49 979 22
23 Francesco Molinari 48 978 23
24 Ryan Palmer 45 938 26
25 Charl Schwartzel 50 936 28
26 Zach Johnson 54 927 24
27 Billy Horschel 51 924 29
28 Bill Haas 52 914 25
29 Russell Knox 61 910 27
30 Gary Woodland 53 904 31
31 Daniel Berger 57 896 32
32 Brandt Snedeker 59 891 33
33 JB Holmes 52 886 30
34 Brendan Steele 50 871 36
35 Jon Rahm 15 868 35
36 Emiliano Grillo 58 863 34
37 Scott Piercy 55 822 37
38 Kevin Chappell 54 817 40
39 Jimmy Walker 54 807 38
40 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 58 806 41
41 Kevin Kisner 58 795 39
42 Charles Howell 57 794 42
43 William McGirt 55 769 47
44 Marc Leishman 51 769 43
45 Tyrrell Hatton 51 763 46
46 Jason Dufner 49 761 44
47 Daniel Summerhays 55 758 48
48 Tony Finau 58 752 49
49 Chris Kirk 54 740 45
50 Danny Willett 50 739 51
51 Webb Simpson 45 728 50
52 Soren Kjeldsen 60 725 54
53 Martin Kaymer 53 720 52
54 Russell Henley 51 711 53
55 Steve Stricker 27 709 56
56 Si-woo Kim 41 706 59
57 Charley Hoffman 55 705 55
58 Keegan Bradley 54 696 58
59 Shane Lowry 48 685 60
60 Pat Perez 37 680 57
61 Jamie Lovemark 39 677 63
62 Robert Streb 57 665 61
63 Byeong-Hun An 52 661 65
64 Jason Kokrak 56 661 64
65 David Lingmerth 59 655 62
66 Harris English 58 647 66
67 Alexander Noren 40 647 67
68 Bernd Wiesberger 59 620 69
69 Sean O’Hair 55 618 68
70 Andy Sullivan 59 596 71
71 Brian Harman 63 591 70
72 Chez Reavie 52 588 76
73 Jerry Kelly 46 586 72
74 Danny Lee 69 580 73
75 Kevin Streelman 54 578 75
76 Mackenzie Hughes 9 564 77
77 James Hahn 53 561 74
78 Chad Campbell 58 561 79
79 Lucas Glover 52 558 85
80 Adam Hadwin 57 558 80
81 Lee Westwood 47 554 78
82 Jim Herman 55 553 82
83 Luke List 37 551 83
84 Luke Donald 55 551 81
85 Roberto Castro 47 547 86
86 Graeme McDowell 58 541 84
87 David Hearn 61 535 88
88 Martin Laird 48 532 87
89 Stewart Cink 46 531 90
90 Victor Dubuisson 40 527 91
91 Alex Cejka 55 522 89
92 Matthew Fitzpatrick 59 518 101
93 Patton Kizzire 36 516 102
94 Anirban Lahiri 54 513 99
95 Patrick Rodgers 48 513 95
96 Johnson Wagner 50 513 93
97 Jhonattan Vegas 61 512 98
98 John Senden 58 512 92
99 Smylie Kaufman 39 511 94
100 Thomas Pieters 50 510 100
101 Colt Knost 54 509 96
102 Bryce Molder 54 507 104
103 Joost Luiten 51 504 97
104 Jason Bohn 48 500 103
105 Scott Brown 54 500 106
106 Graham DeLaet 44 494 105
107 Romain Langasque 8 492 107
108 Ross Fisher 48 486 108
109 Freddie Jacobson 39 484 113
110 Chris Wood 53 480 111
111 Cameron Tringale 56 479 112
112 Will Wilcox 37 479 109
113 Fabian Gomez 54 478 121
114 Harold Varner 38 469 114
115 Ben Martin 55 468 110
116 Tiger Woods 12 462 120
117 Thongchai Jaidee 58 457 116
118 Matt Jones 56 448 115
119 Tommy Fleetwood 56 446 119
120 Retief Goosen 42 444 126
121 Kyle Reifers 66 441 123
122 Kyle Stanley 45 441 125
123 Bud Cauley 21 440 118
124 Hudson Swafford 59 437 127
125 Robert Garrigus 51 433 129
126 Cody Gribble 16 431 130
127 Ian Poulter 45 429 117
128 Nick Watney 31 428 122
129 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 57 426 132
130 Jamie Donaldson 50 425 128
131 Ryan Blaum 13 422 131
132 John Huh 59 422 133
133 Shawn Stefani 53 414 124
134 Richard Bland 56 412 137
135 Haotong Li 31 412 135
136 Cameron Smith 46 410 136
137 Geoff Ogilvy 43 401 134
138 Sung Kang 41 394 138
139 Sangmoon Bae 27 390 143
140 Billy Hurley 51 389 139
141 KJ Choi 44 388 141
142 Jon Curran 58 383 140
143 Derek Fathauer 61 382 144
144 Ricky Barnes 60 380 145
145 Aaron Baddeley 57 378 146
146 Boo Weekley 53 371 142
147 Jonas Blixt 54 369 156
148 Brett Stegmaier 38 368 147
149 Blayne Barber 53 368 148
150 David Toms 39 366 150
151 Rikard Karlberg 45 365 153
152 Alejandro Canizares 51 364 152
153 Thorbjorn Olesen 52 362 161
154 Vaughn Taylor 42 362 149
155 Ryo Ishikawa 36 360 157
156 Troy Merritt 58 359 154
157 Spencer Levin 66 358 159
158 Michael Kim 36 357 155
159 Padraig Harrington 54 353 170
160 George Coetzee 48 350 163
161 Andrew Johnston 52 347 165
162 Andrew Loupe 44 346 172
163 Gregory Bourdy 59 346 158
164 Camilo Villegas 59 345 166
165 David Horsey 51 344 168
166 Vijay Singh 48 343 160
167 Chris Stroud 60 343 164
168 John Peterson 26 340 151
169 Fabrizio Zanotti 46 334 173
170 Jaco van Zyl 47 329 174
171 Ollie Schniederjans 24 328 167
172 Whee Kim 52 327 171
173 Peter Hanson 34 327 179
174 Ashun Wu 22 326 175
175 Morgan Hoffmann 55 325 169
176 Tyrone van Aswegen 55 324 178
177 Austin Cook 16 323 162
178 Bradley Dredge 45 322 183
179 Jorge Campillo 57 321 182
180 Julien Quesne 52 321 177
181 Richard Sterne 42 318 185
182 Anthony Wall 45 318 180
183 CT Pan 16 317 181
184 Mikko Ilonen 46 308 187
185 George McNeill 54 306 176
186 Ben Crane 52 306 193
187 Cameron Percy 42 305 184
188 Nicolas Colsaerts 56 305 186
189 Scott Hend 62 304 194
190 Alexander Levy 51 302 189
191 Seung-yul Noh 53 300 191
192 Greg Owen 50 300 188
193 David Howell 50 295 192
194 Henrik Norlander 30 287 198
195 Pablo Larrazabal 49 287 200
196 Steve Wheatcroft 54 282 195
197 Andres Romero 41 281 202
198 James Morrison 56 280 201
199 Marc Warren 54 280 196
200 Jeunghun Wang 34 279 204
201 Rory Sabbatini 50 279 190
202 Brian Stuard 55 278 203
203 Sam Saunders 53 278 205
204 Joakim Lagergren 48 276 210
205 Jordan Niebrugge 8 276 199
206 Kenny Perry 11 276 213
207 Zac Blair 66 275 207
208 Nick Taylor 54 273 212
209 Michael Thompson 56 272 206
210 Justin Leonard 32 271 227
211 Bronson Burgoon 32 269 211
212 Scott Stallings 51 268 216
213 Steven Bowditch 64 268 219
214 Wesley Bryan 10 266 208
215 Brendon Todd 55 266 197
216 Tim Wilkinson 56 264 222
217 Ken Duke 49 264 218
218 Ricardo Gouveia 30 263 217
219 Peter Uihlein 41 261 220
220 Matthew Southgate 29 260 214
221 Jason Gore 54 259 225
222 Thomas Aiken 59 259 215
223 Miguel Angel Jimenez 36 257 209
224 Tom Hoge 56 256 224
225 Benjamin Hebert 56 255 231
226 Richie Ramsay 45 253 223
227 Bryson DeChambeau 29 251 226
228 Paul Dunne 31 249 229
229 Hiroshi Iwata 42 249 234
230 Florian Fritsch 30 248 237
231 Chesson Hadley 58 248 221
232 Lee McCoy 12 247 249
233 Steve Marino 31 247 230
234 Xander Schauffele 10 246 233
235 Scott Langley 56 245 232
236 David Lipsky 61 245 241
237 Marcus Fraser 52 240 239
238 Oscar Fraustro 24 239 256
239 Andres Gonzales 59 239 235
240 Chad Collins 50 238 228
241 Lucas Bjerregaard 60 237 247
242 Hunter Mahan 50 237 236
243 Luke Guthrie 49 235 240
244 Rod Pampling 42 234 243
245 Brendon de Jonge 63 232 238
246 Raphael Jacquelin 55 230 242
247 Maximilian Kieffer 52 229 244
248 Ernie Els 54 228 246
249 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 46 224 250
250 Mikko Korhonen 43 223 253
251 Brice Garnett 47 223 252
252 Mark Wilson 50 223 248
253 Martin Flores 39 219 255
254 Scott Pinckney 54 219 245
255 Kristoffer Broberg 52 219 261
256 Carl Pettersson 53 218 251
257 Jonathan Byrd 34 218 260
258 Seamus Power 12 216 254
259 Robert Rock 45 215 259
260 Rob Oppenheim 30 214 257
261 Martin Piller 29 210 262
262 Tyler Aldridge 37 209 264
263 Stuart Appleby 37 209 263
264 Bo Van Pelt 29 207 258
265 Joe Affrunti 8 205 274
266 Mark Hubbard 59 203 271
267 Romain Wattel 54 202 269
268 Kyung-tae Kim 15 202 268
269 Kelly Kraft 33 201 265
270 Trey Mullinax 15 201 270
271 Prayad Marksaeng 10 198 273
272 Callum Shinkwin 27 198 267
273 YE Yang 37 197 266
274 Brandon Hagy 16 194 279
275 Nacho Elvira 39 194 278
276 Renato Paratore 60 194 277
277 Stephen Gallacher 44 191 280
278 Carlos Ortiz 59 190 272
279 Peter Malnati 44 190 318
280 Will MacKenzie 46 188 281
281 Lee Slattery 53 188 288
282 Andrew Landry 25 187 275
283 Steven Alker 30 186 284
284 Felipe Aguilar 49 186 282
285 Erik Compton 51 185 276
286 Graeme Storm 57 185 293
287 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 40 184 291
288 Ryan Brehm 8 183 286
289 Bobby Wyatt 15 182 301
290 Richard Green 45 182 283
291 Paul Lawrie 36 181 289
292 Johan Carlsson 54 180 292
293 Magnus A Carlsson 52 179 290
294 David Drysdale 60 177 307
295 Davis Love 32 177 297
296 Brandon Stone 26 177 298
297 Matteo Manassero 49 177 295
298 Paul Waring 14 177 300
299 Eddie Pepperell 46 176 287
300 Hunter Stewart 8 176 304
301 Tim Clark 16 175 306
302 Jeff Overton 50 174 296
303 Dean Burmester 20 174 299
304 Ryan Ruffels 13 174 303
305 Anders Hansen 26 172 302
306 Wes Roach 27 171 294
307 Tag Ridings 11 171 309
308 Darren Fichardt 45 171 308
309 Brian Davis 38 168 285
310 Marcel Schneider 8 167 305
311 Chris Hanson 22 165 312
312 Chris Paisley 49 164 311
313 Robert Karlsson 45 162 313
314 Nino Bertasio 26 158 314
315 DA Points 49 158 310
316 Gregory Havret 55 157 316
317 Ryan Fox 20 156 319
318 Brian Gay 19 155 315
319 Jason Scrivener 47 154 325
320 Eduardo de la Riva 46 151 322
321 Miguel Angel Carballo 30 151 320
322 Nicholas Lindheim 12 149 323
323 Alex Prugh 42 144 317
324 Adrian Otaegui 50 143 326
325 Trevor Fisher 41 143 328
326 Marcel Siem 47 143 327
327 Derek Ernst 51 142 329
328 Michael Putnam 39 141 321
329 John Merrick 44 141 324
330 JJ Spaun 10 139 330
331 Steve Allan 8 139 331
332 Lasse Jensen 44 138 334
333 Justin Walters 42 138 333
334 Sam Brazel 22 137 332
335 Zander Lombard 15 137 336
336 Ze-cheng Dou 8 136 341
337 Pelle Edberg 51 135 338
338 Scott Jamieson 56 133 339
339 Ryan Armour 23 132 335
340 Thomas Bjorn 36 132 346
341 Brett Rumford 36 132 351
342 JT Poston 8 132 342
343 Wade Ormsby 39 131 337
344 Oliver Fisher 56 128 348
345 Ben Evans 47 128 350
346 Dawie van der Walt 42 127 353
347 Tom Gillis 28 127 344
348 Bernd Ritthammer 23 127 345
349 Greg Chalmers 38 127 343
350 Rahil Gangjee 20 125 360
351 Robert Dinwiddie 50 125 355
352 Masahiro Kawamura 19 124 365
353 Tim Herron 29 124 354
354 Jbe Kruger 50 124 363
355 Nick Cullen 15 124 357
356 JJ Henry 54 123 340
357 Justin Hicks 28 123 358
358 Jaco Ahlers 15 122 349
359 Rhys West 10 122 356
360 Michael Jonzon 14 121 361
361 Thanyakorn Khrongpha 15 120 364
362 Matthew Nixon 36 119 367
363 Rhein Gibson 33 119 362
364 Sebastian Soderberg 8 118 359
365 Thomas Linard 24 117 368
366 Jordan Zunic 13 116 369
367 Zack Sucher 21 116 373
368 Nicholas Thompson 39 116 352
369 Simon Wakefield 11 114 371
370 Todd Sinnott 13 113 377
371 Chris Smith 18 112 366
372 Simon Khan 31 111 376
373 Josh Teater 15 111 374
374 Angel Cabrera 42 109 370
375 Adilson da Silva 29 109 380
376 Prom Meesawat 43 108 375
377 Daniel Im 29 107 385
378 Juvic Pagunsan 9 107 379
379 Angelo Que 14 106 396
380 Dylan Frittelli 17 106 384
381 Mark Anderson 11 106 372
382 Haydn Porteous 33 105 388
383 Richard McEvoy 45 105 386
384 Aron Price 9 105 391
385 Soo-min Lee 30 105 392
386 Kevin Tway 13 104 389
387 Craig Lee 51 104 397
388 Nathan Holman 40 104 390
389 Stephan Jaeger 8 103 394
390 Seve Benson 42 102 383
391 Gary Stal 48 101 382
392 Sung-joon Park 25 101 347
393 Marcus Kinhult 12 98 387
394 Rashid Khan 17 98 405
395 Wen-tang Lin 10 97 402
396 Daniel Brooks 59 97 399
397 Richard Lee 19 97 393
398 Mikael Lundberg 42 96 400
399 Shih-chang Chan 10 96 401
400 Gary Boyd 23 96 404
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

SBS Tournament of Champions

January 10, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,

Jason Day
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Jason Day 4.3 12
2 Dustin Johnson 8.5 6
3 Jordan Spieth 15.1 3
4 Hideki Matsuyama 20.4 2
5 Patrick Reed 23.5 6
6 Ryan Moore 35.6 3
7 Bubba Watson 36.6 25
8 Justin Thomas 38.1 1
9 Brandt Snedeker 40.8 14
10 Brendan Steele 44.8 6
11 Russell Knox 45.0 17
12 Branden Grace 45.2 32
13 Daniel Berger 45.7 14
14 Jimmy Walker 48.5 9
15 Jason Dufner 48.7 21
16 Pat Perez 50.7 3
17 William McGirt 51.6 9
18 Tony Finau 53.3 9
19 James Hahn 53.7 22
20 Si-woo Kim 55.1 30
21 Charley Hoffman 57.4 17
22 Jhonattan Vegas 59.2 30
23 Jim Herman 60.8 12
24 Cody Gribble 61.1 14
25 Mackenzie Hughes 61.4 25
26 Billy Hurley 63.5 29
27 Fabian Gomez 64.4 20
28 Aaron Baddeley 64.7 25
29 Vaughn Taylor 65.9 24
30 Rod Pampling 67.6 17
31 Brian Stuard 70.2 22
32 Greg Chalmers 73.1 28
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The accuracy number for these picks is 427. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.