Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Rankings (July 23, 2023)

July 24, 2023 Thomas Hawley

After finishing 23rd in the Open Championship, Scottie Scheffler’s rating number decreased for the first time in 10 weeks.
# Thru July 23, 2023 Events Hawley Rating Last Week
1 Scottie Scheffler 53 2707 1
2 Rory McIlroy 45 2462 2
3 Patrick Cantlay 44 2304 3
4 Xander Schauffele 49 2179 4
5 Jon Rahm 46 2086 5
6 Viktor Hovland 54 1831 6
7 Tyrrell Hatton 55 1767 7
8 Max Homa 52 1640 9
9 Cameron Smith 44 1606 8
10 Sungjae Im 58 1517 10
11 Will Zalatoris 36 1509 11
12 Rickie Fowler 45 1480 12
13 Tommy Fleetwood 56 1467 16
14 Jordan Spieth 49 1462 13
15 Matt Fitzpatrick 54 1409 15
16 Justin Thomas 47 1373 14
17 Dustin Johnson 39 1334 17
18 Tom Kim 42 1332 29
19 Sam Burns 54 1324 18
20 Jason Day 42 1308 33
21 Shane Lowry 53 1291 19
22 Collin Morikawa 51 1281 20
23 Cameron Young 52 1280 30
24 Hideki Matsuyama 48 1280 27
25 Brian Harman 57 1272 34
26 Denny McCarthy 58 1271 22
27 Tony Finau 54 1270 21
28 Daniel Berger 18 1250 25
29 Corey Conners 55 1231 23
30 Adam Scott 46 1213 26
31 Russell Henley 45 1206 24
32 Wyndham Clark 58 1189 31
33 Keegan Bradley 54 1176 28
34 Brooks Koepka 44 1144 32
35 Justin Rose 43 1091 35
36 Joaquin Niemann 49 1075 36
37 Talor Gooch 48 1044 37
38 Sahith Theegala 62 1033 38
39 Adam Hadwin 52 1028 39
40 Patrick Reed 51 1015 40
41 Cam Davis 53 942 44
42 Harold Varner 44 934 45
43 Si Woo Kim 59 927 41
44 Mito Pereira 48 920 48
45 Keith Mitchell 54 918 42
46 Seamus Power 54 912 43
47 Sepp Straka 64 912 59
48 Matt Kuchar 46 907 49
49 Taylor Moore 56 895 46
50 Min Woo Lee 52 887 52
51 Bryson DeChambeau 36 885 47
52 Emiliano Grillo 56 875 64
53 Chris Kirk 52 869 50
54 Harris English 46 867 51
55 Gary Woodland 48 831 53
56 JT Poston 57 825 56
57 Byeong Hun An 37 824 62
58 Tom Hoge 64 814 54
59 Kurt Kitayama 54 810 55
60 Ludvig Aberg 11 809 57
61 Taylor Montgomery 32 802 60
62 Cameron Tringale 46 799 61
63 Andrew Putnam 60 791 58
64 Paul Casey 32 775 65
65 Aaron Wise 44 774 67
66 Nick Taylor 55 754 63
67 Ryan Fox 52 751 68
68 Billy Horschel 56 750 66
69 Davis Riley 60 746 69
70 Sergio Garcia 44 745 71
71 Justin Suh 35 733 70
72 Eric Cole 32 731 72
73 Pat Perez 38 730 74
74 Alex Smalley 61 730 75
75 Louis Oosthuizen 38 726 85
76 Brendan Steele 44 724 77
77 Sebastian Munoz 46 715 78
78 Brendon Todd 52 714 76
79 Adam Schenk 64 712 73
80 Charles Howell 32 702 80
81 Alex Noren 53 701 90
82 Kevin Na 40 695 81
83 Beau Hossler 54 693 89
84 JJ Spaun 58 692 86
85 Aaron Rai 64 692 83
86 Mark Hubbard 56 689 87
87 Abraham Ancer 48 689 79
88 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 58 677 84
89 Lucas Herbert 51 674 82
90 Maverick McNealy 50 673 88
91 Jason Kokrak 43 662 92
92 Anirban Lahiri 42 658 93
93 KH Lee 59 651 91
94 Thomas Detry 58 645 109
95 Marc Leishman 45 645 95
96 Patrick Rodgers 60 645 102
97 Stephan Jaeger 60 644 94
98 Taylor Pendrith 50 621 97
99 Matthew NeSmith 55 620 100
100 Lee Hodges 61 619 98
101 Michael Thorbjornsen 8 616 101
102 Ben Griffin 32 614 96
103 Adam Svensson 60 612 103
104 Chez Reavie 57 607 99
105 Peter Uihlein 38 596 105
106 Hayden Buckley 55 589 106
107 Branden Grace 50 573 104
108 Scott Stallings 59 570 107
109 Austin Eckroat 34 564 110
110 Dean Burmester 50 558 113
111 Matthew Wolff 37 555 111
112 Kevin Kisner 45 554 115
113 Zac Blair 20 554 114
114 Richard Bland 48 540 122
115 Henrik Stenson 41 536 156
116 Thomas Pieters 45 535 112
117 Kevin Yu 23 534 116
118 Jhonattan Vegas 33 534 117
119 Mac Hughes 52 532 119
120 Adrian Meronk 54 532 136
121 Brandon Wu 56 531 120
122 Matt Jones 45 524 123
123 Jordan Smith 52 523 126
124 Doug Ghim 53 516 128
125 Sam Ryder 59 515 125
126 David Lipsky 60 514 127
127 Robert MacIntyre 54 513 121
128 Sam Bennett 10 510 108
129 Bubba Watson 24 509 130
130 Victor Perez 49 506 131
131 Joel Dahmen 54 503 140
132 Padraig Harrington 28 502 118
133 Nick Hardy 54 501 129
134 Michael Kim 35 499 124
135 Lucas Glover 55 498 134
136 Carlos Ortiz 42 497 132
137 Vincent Norrman 19 496 137
138 Nate Lashley 51 492 135
139 CT Pan 38 490 133
140 Ian Poulter 48 481 139
141 Ryan Palmer 48 470 138
142 Alexander Bjork 43 464 145
143 Sam Horsfield 35 463 144
144 David Lingmerth 49 461 141
145 Carson Young 30 458 142
146 John Huh 39 457 146
147 Kevin Streelman 55 455 147
148 Nicolai Hojgaard 55 453 163
149 Eugenio Chacarra 21 450 148
150 SH Kim 34 450 143
151 Robby Shelton 34 448 150
152 Luke List 56 445 151
153 Troy Merritt 56 439 152
154 Lee Westwood 40 436 157
155 Garrick Higgo 58 435 159
156 Francesco Molinari 44 433 149
157 Andy Ogletree 9 429 160
158 Peter Malnati 60 428 155
159 Rasmus Hojgaard 48 427 153
160 Trey Mullinax 56 422 158
161 Harry Hall 35 420 154
162 Laurie Canter 46 416 195
163 Michael Thompson 43 403 165
164 Davis Thompson 31 403 167
165 Erik van Rooyen 51 402 175
166 Charl Schwartzel 45 402 161
167 Danny Willett 54 400 162
168 Webb Simpson 40 398 166
169 Samuel Stevens 21 397 168
170 Phil Mickelson 32 392 164
171 Alex Fitzpatrick 14 390 321
172 Joseph Bramlett 63 388 169
173 Jimmy Walker 37 385 170
174 Will Gordon 35 384 173
175 Chesson Hadley 57 383 183
176 Callum Tarren 56 378 174
177 Chad Ramey 61 376 179
178 Patton Kizzire 57 372 176
179 Greyson Sigg 61 372 172
180 Nathan Kimsey 12 370 188
181 Thorbjorn Olesen 47 369 171
182 Ben Taylor 35 364 177
183 Sadom Kaewkanjana 21 363 178
184 David Puig 16 360 181
185 Romain Langasque 57 358 196
186 Stewart Cink 49 358 208
187 Lanto Griffin 38 357 180
188 Dylan Wu 56 356 182
189 Akshay Bhatia 28 356 217
190 Danny Lee 46 347 185
191 Bernd Wiesberger 42 346 189
192 Russell Knox 60 343 186
193 Scott Vincent 32 340 192
194 Dylan Frittelli 61 338 187
195 Justin Lower 57 337 191
196 Zach Johnson 44 336 190
197 MJ Daffue 36 336 197
198 Aaron Baddeley 42 334 184
199 Graeme McDowell 39 331 198
200 Yannik Paul 46 328 194
201 Antoine Rozner 55 327 225
202 Andrew Novak 54 327 193
203 Martin Laird 48 324 205
204 Grant Forrest 54 320 202
205 Adam Long 60 320 199
206 Ryan Gerard 19 316 238
207 Adrian Otaegui 55 315 203
208 Ben Martin 50 315 204
209 Ewen Ferguson 47 313 200
210 Matthew Jordan 56 312 259
211 Matt Wallace 61 310 201
212 Chase Koepka 21 309 206
213 James Hahn 49 305 227
214 Calum Hill 28 303 209
215 Cameron Champ 45 302 216
216 Scott Piercy 59 297 207
217 Cameron Percy 37 296 210
218 Tyler Duncan 56 293 212
219 Shubhankar Sharma 52 292 310
220 Sam Stevens 11 288 211
221 Austin Smotherman 56 281 213
222 Maximilian Kieffer 49 277 215
223 Justin Harding 37 276 220
224 Pablo Larrazabal 45 275 214
225 Erik Barnes 22 274 224
226 Zecheng Dou 32 273 223
227 Carl Yuan 26 269 228
228 Marcel Schneider 45 268 219
229 Adri Arnaus 50 268 218
230 Doc Redman 55 266 222
231 Jorge Campillo 61 264 226
232 Harry Higgs 59 262 221
233 Ryo Hisatsune 40 256 251
234 Andrew Johnston 9 255 231
235 Charley Hoffman 50 254 235
236 Matthieu Pavon 54 254 229
237 Joost Luiten 47 250 230
238 Matthew Southgate 58 250 268
239 William Mouw 8 248
240 Hudson Swafford 35 247 232
241 Thriston Lawrence 51 245 234
242 Hennie du Plessis 36 243 240
243 Sean O’Hair 39 242 233
244 Harrison Endycott 30 240 236
245 Richard Mansell 44 239 246
246 Fabrizio Zanotti 43 238 237
247 Vincent Whaley 44 238 245
248 Matthias Schwab 59 237 239
249 Richie Ramsay 52 236 241
250 Sebastian Soderberg 53 235 267
251 Kramer Hickok 59 235 242
252 Julien Brun 42 233 247
253 Jason Scrivener 43 231 253
254 Paul Haley 31 230 243
255 Ryan Moore 40 230 244
256 Martin Kaymer 27 228 249
257 Julien Guerrier 53 226 306
258 Marcel Siem 53 224 264
259 Phachara Khongwatmai 17 223 252
260 Jayden Schaper 17 223 250
261 Ryutaro Nagano 24 221 255
262 Callum Shinkwin 45 221 248
263 Marcus Armitage 53 217 281
264 Ryan Armour 51 216 258
265 Guido Migliozzi 54 214 254
266 Luke Donald 50 212 263
267 Marcus Kinhult 46 212 291
268 Jamie Donaldson 44 209 265
269 Johannes Veerman 49 208 292
270 Cody Gribble 21 206 256
271 Scott Jamieson 49 205 261
272 Satoshi Kodaira 49 204 262
273 Tom McKibbin 24 204 270
274 Sean Crocker 56 204 316
275 Daniel Hillier 25 204 257
276 Takumi Kanaya 38 203 260
277 Robert Streb 59 202 271
278 Sang-hyun Park 13 201 269
279 Mikko Korhonen 38 200 277
280 Gavin Green 55 199 279
281 Tyler McCumber 14 197 273
282 Daniel Brown 18 196 286
283 James Piot 25 196 287
284 Connor Syme 52 196 274
285 Brice Garnett 56 194 276
286 Eddie Pepperell 49 194 289
287 Dale Whitnell 58 193 278
288 Wade Ormsby 34 193 290
289 Niklas Norgaard Moller 46 192 280
290 Richy Werenski 58 191 285
291 Edoardo Molinari 54 190 296
292 Kevin Tway 62 190 282
293 David Law 53 190 295
294 Sami Valimaki 46 190 283
295 Grayson Murray 32 188 284
296 Jonathan Byrd 40 188 298
297 Jeff Winther 45 188 300
298 Oliver Bekker 50 187 301
299 Dan Bradbury 20 187 275
300 Travis Smyth 17 186 266
301 Hurly Long 48 186 320
302 George Coetzee 42 185 304
303 Martin Trainer 53 184 312
304 Ashun Wu 46 183 293
305 Christopher Gotterup 30 182 294
306 Alejandro Tosti 18 181 288
307 Rory Sabbatini 38 180 302
308 Rafa Cabrera Bello 53 179 309
309 Adrien Saddier 27 179 297
310 Masahiro Kawamura 52 178 303
311 Henrik Norlander 55 178 305
312 Turk Pettit 17 177 314
313 Matthias Schmid 55 175 308
314 Marcus Helligkilde 40 175 307
315 Andy Sullivan 54 174 315
316 Keita Nakajima 21 174 299
317 Jens Dantorp 33 174 400
318 JC Ritchie 35 173 377
319 Kelly Kraft 57 172 313
320 Steve Lewton 12 171 319
321 Kyle Reifers 10 169 272
322 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 54 168 324
323 Tapio Pulkkanen 52 168 317
324 Jinichiro Kozuma 30 168 328
325 Michael Gligic 57 168 325
326 Kevin Chappell 39 168 326
327 Kalle Samooja 50 167 318
328 Clement Sordet 23 166 311
329 Brian Stuard 61 165 323
330 Paul Waring 43 165 330
331 William McGirt 38 164 331
332 Seung-yul Noh 47 164 341
333 Estanislao Goya 27 162 327
334 Brandt Snedeker 32 161 322
335 John Axelsen 20 156 336
336 Jed Morgan 27 153 339
337 Kristian Krogh Johannessen 21 153 340
338 Jazz Janewattananond 58 153 334
339 Pierceson Coody 23 152 338
340 Austin Cook 58 152 335
341 Angel Hidalgo 41 152 333
342 Kyong-jun Moon 9 150 343
343 Louis de Jager 47 150 337
344 Oliver Wilson 55 149 391
345 Vaughn Taylor 27 149 346
346 David Micheluzzi 12 148 329
347 Jeunghun Wang 17 148 345
348 David Ravetto 21 147 347
349 Aaron Cockerill 48 147 342
350 Lars van Meijel 15 144 350
351 Justin Walters 54 144 349
352 Ross Fisher 52 144 348
353 Bi-o Kim 16 143 332
354 Kevin Roy 31 143 397
355 Zander Lombard 59 143 351
356 Frederic LaCroix 35 142 353
357 Ryosuke Kinoshita 32 142 352
358 Hank Lebioda 53 141 354
359 Ricardo Gouveia 34 141 357
360 Nico Echavarria 27 141 344
361 Brent Grant 34 141 356
362 Anthony Quayle 24 141 358
363 Espen Kofstad 30 139 360
364 Daniel Gavins 56 137 361
365 Joakim Lagergren 51 137 355
366 Rikuya Hoshino 37 136 359
367 Sihwan Kim 37 135 365
368 David Dixon 8 133 376
369 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 39 132 367
370 Bill Haas 49 132 369
371 Chris Stroud 32 132 362
372 Daniel van Tonder 54 132 368
373 Matthew Baldwin 28 132 371
374 Haotong Li 40 131 370
375 Daan Huizing 45 131 364
376 Keenan Davidse 11 131 373
377 Mikumu Horikawa 25 130 378
378 James Morrison 56 129 398
379 Simon Forsstrom 20 129 363
380 Tyson Alexander 32 128 366
381 John Catlin 53 127 372
382 Lukas Nemecz 45 126 374
383 Filippo Celli 14 126 381
384 Tom Lewis 28 125 385
385 Francesco Laporta 46 125 382
386 Shaun Norris 37 124 383
387 Sung Kang 55 124 375
388 Wilco Nienaber 42 123 386
389 Pierre Pineau 8 122 387
390 Ian Snyman 13 122 390
391 Jonas Blixt 39 121 380
392 Nicholas Lindheim 13 121 393
393 Craig Howie 31 120 392
394 Yuki Inamori 28 120 394
395 Trace Crowe 13 120 379
396 Trevor Cone 27 119 384
397 Max McGreevy 61 119 388
398 Darius van Driel 53 118 389
399 Alejandro Del Rey 21 116 396
400 Jacques Kruyswijk 32 114 401
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

151st Open Championship Power Ratings

July 17, 2023 Thomas Hawley , ,

Two great choices sit at the top of the list of contenders in the 151st Open Championship this week a bit outside of Liverpool, England. They are Scottie Scheffler, still riding his amazing streak of seven straight finishes in the top five in events featuring the world’s best players, and Rory McIlroy, always a favorite in this event and coming off a win last week in the Genesis Scottish Open. Scheffler’s Hawley Ratings number of 2730 is the highest since Tiger Woods’ heyday of the late ’00s, and his statistical profile marks him as one of the best fits in the field for the typical Open course, demanding precision. McIlroy comes close to matching Scheffler’s recent performance, with six straight top-10s, including the win last week and a runner-up finish in the U.S. Open.

The Royal Liverpool course is only about six miles west of downtown Liverpool, on the banks of the Irish Sea. The typical Open course displays correlations between success and statistical performance in shots gained in approach, sand saves, and shots gained around the green. Players who are the best matches include Spaniard Adrian Otaegui, who is in the top 5 percent of all PGA Tour/ DP World Tour players in shots gained in approach and in the top 1 percent in shots gained around the green. Jordan Smith, from southern England, is in the top 10 to 20 percent in those stats. Then there is Scheffler, not a great sand player but in the top 1 percent in shots gained in approach and top 5 percent in shots gained around the green. Also appearing well-suited to the course are Collin Morikawa, Tony Finau, and Tommy Fleetwood.

Players who are in-step with Scheffler and McIlroy as measured by recent performance include Rickie Fowler, Denny McCarthy, Min Woo Lee, and Wyndham Clark. Players from a little farther down the rankings who stand out from the course-sit or recent-performance view include Alexander Bjork, Alejandro Canizares, Ryan Fox, Romain Langasque, and Andrew Putnam.

Scottie Scheffler
Scottie Scheffler
Pick Player Power Number Actual Finish
1 Scottie Scheffler -28.6 23
2 Rory McIlroy -27.8 6
3 Patrick Cantlay -13.8 33
4 Xander Schauffele -6.2 17
5 Jon Rahm 4.7 2
6 Tyrrell Hatton 8.5 20
7 Viktor Hovland 9.1 13
8 Cameron Smith 10.1 33
9 Rickie Fowler 11.7 23
10 Jordan Spieth 16.3 23
11 Tommy Fleetwood 17.4 10
12 Dustin Johnson 17.9 146
13 Shane Lowry 23.0 108
14 Denny McCarthy 23.6 140
15 Brooks Koepka 23.8 64
16 Max Homa 25.9 10
17 Collin Morikawa 27.8 77
18 Matt Fitzpatrick 27.9 41
19 Tony Finau 28.5 92
20 Sungjae Im 28.7 20
21 Sam Burns 29.0 92
22 Adam Scott 29.7 33
23 Wyndham Clark 30.5 33
24 Russell Henley 30.6 108
25 Justin Thomas 32.3 135
26 Hideki Matsuyama 33.2 13
27 Brian Harman 33.8 1
28 Justin Rose 33.8 92
29 Corey Conners 34.7 52
30 Joaquin Niemann 35.5 85
31 Talor Gooch 36.2 108
32 Keegan Bradley 36.6 77
33 Patrick Reed 37.8 33
34 Min Woo Lee 38.6 41
35 Bryson DeChambeau 39.2 60
36 Tom Kim 39.4 2
37 Jason Day 40.0 2
38 Si Woo Kim 42.9 108
39 Sahith Theegala 43.9 85
40 Harris English 45.2 85
41 Ryan Fox 45.7 52
42 Andrew Putnam 48.3 55
43 Seamus Power 48.6 77
44 Taylor Moore 48.7 77
45 Chris Kirk 48.9 92
46 Louis Oosthuizen 49.2 23
47 Gary Woodland 49.8 55
48 Adam Schenk 50.9 140
49 JT Poston 51.6 41
50 Abraham Ancer 52.1 49
51 Emiliano Grillo 52.4 6
52 Sepp Straka 52.7 2
53 Nick Taylor 52.9 92
54 Kurt Kitayama 53.6 60
55 Tom Hoge 53.7 85
56 Brendon Todd 54.1 49
57 Alex Noren 54.2 23
58 Branden Grace 54.5 129
59 Billy Horschel 54.7 92
60 Davis Riley 55.2 92
61 Lucas Herbert 56.1 85
62 Thomas Pieters 56.5 71
63 Robert MacIntyre 56.8 71
64 Padraig Harrington 57.1 64
65 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 57.1 49
66 Lee Hodges 57.2 135
67 Ben Griffin 57.9 77
68 Francesco Molinari 57.9 92
69 KH Lee 58.8 92
70 Richard Bland 59.1 33
71 Thomas Detry 59.2 13
72 Henrik Stenson 60.1 13
73 Jordan Smith 60.2 41
74 Alexander Bjork 60.7 41
75 Adrian Meronk 61.4 23
76 Scott Stallings 62.0 60
77 Michael Kim 62.2 92
78 Rasmus Hojgaard 62.8 108
79 Danny Willett 63.3 68
80 Victor Perez 63.7 41
81 Zach Johnson 64.1 55
82 Charl Schwartzel 64.5 108
83 Phil Mickelson 65.0 125
84 Thorbjorn Olesen 65.4 120
85 Laurie Canter 66.1 17
86 Romain Langasque 66.2 33
87 Yannik Paul 66.3 85
88 Trey Mullinax 66.5 92
89 Adrian Otaegui 67.0 55
90 Ewen Ferguson 67.6 108
91 Joost Luiten 67.7 71
92 Stewart Cink 68.4 23
93 Matt Wallace 68.7 92
94 Antoine Rozner 69.4 20
95 Daniel Hillier 69.4 125
96 Pablo Larrazabal 69.5 77
97 Richie Ramsay 69.8 64
98 Marcel Siem 69.9 41
99 Jorge Campillo 70.1 148
100 Matthew Jordan 70.4 10
101 Matthew Southgate 70.6 23
102 Thriston Lawrence 70.7 74
103 Adri Arnaus 71.0 155
104 Guido Migliozzi 71.6 64
105 Connor Syme 71.6 108
106 Dan Bradbury 71.8 108
107 Callum Shinkwin 72.3 129
108 Takumi Kanaya 72.4 135
109 Kalle Samooja 72.4 92
110 Travis Smyth 72.6 120
111 Shubhankar Sharma 73.1 8
112 Sami Valimaki 73.3 68
113 Keita Nakajima 73.3 92
114 Rikuya Hoshino 73.4 60
115 Hurly Long 73.6 41
116 Jazz Janewattananond 73.7 156
117 Oliver Wilson 74.3 33
118 Alex Fitzpatrick 74.4 17
119 Bi-o Kim 74.4 92
120 David Micheluzzi 74.4 129
121 Alejandro Canizares 74.6 140
122 Nacho Elvira 75.1 108
123 Ockie Strydom 75.5 108
124 Gunner Wiebe 75.9 153
125 Marc Warren 75.9 135
126 Hiroshi Iwata 76.6 148
127 Kazuki Higa 76.8 92
128 Oliver Farr 78.8 140
129 Seung-su Han 79.2 120
130 Taiga Semikawa 79.5 129
131 Kensei Hirata 79.9 148
132 Martin Rohwer 80.1 146
133 Zack Fischer 80.2 76
134 Kyung-nam Kang 80.4 77
135 Ernie Els 80.6 129
136 Connor McKinney 80.6 135
137 Haydn Barron 80.7 125
138 Brandon Robinson Thompson 80.8 59
139 Darren Clarke 80.9 120
140 Taichi Kho 80.9 154
141 Kazuki Yasumori 80.9 77
142 Marco Penge 80.9 120
143 Kyle Barker 80.9 148
144 Harrison Crowe 80.9 148
145 Jose Luis Ballester Barrio 81.0 85
146 Tiger Christensen 81.0 125
147 John Daly 81.0 140
148 Mateo Fernandez de Oliveira 81.0 108
149 Christo Lamprecht 81.0 74
150 Alex Maguire 81.0 129
151 Graeme Robertson 81.0 140
152 Michael Stewart 81.0 52
Cameron Young late entry 8
Nicolai Hojgaard late entry 24
Byeong Hun An late entry 28
David Lingmerth late entry 70
More | Less
July 24, 2023. The accuracy number for these picks is 104. The average is 165. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A look at the Open Championship

July 17, 2023 Thomas Hawley

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player History
Jordan Spieth 0.899
Tony Finau 0.748
Tommy Fleetwood 0.729
Rory McIlroy 0.638
Xander Schauffele 0.636
Dustin Johnson 0.594
Brooks Koepka 0.568
Shane Lowry 0.562

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player Rank Rating
Scottie Scheffler 1 2730.8
Rory McIlroy 2 2393.3
Patrick Cantlay 3 2353.2
Xander Schauffele 4 2162.0
Jon Rahm 5 1984.5
Viktor Hovland 6 1787.4
Tyrrell Hatton 7 1750.7
Cameron Smith 8 1623.9

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Barracuda Championship Power Ratings

July 17, 2023 Thomas Hawley , ,

It’s about 15 hours by air from Edinburgh to Reno, and then another half-hour by car to Truckee CA, so assuming Keith Mitchell can handle that amount of travel, he is a decent choice as favorite in this week’s Barracuda Championship. He did get an extra couple of days to recover from the travel when he missed the cut at last week’s Genesis Scottish Open. He had top-20s at the U.S. Open and Zurich and has missed only three cuts in a busy calendar going back to January. At no. 42 in the Hawley Ratings, he is the highest-ranked player in the field, and one of eight from the top 100.

The Barracuda is the Tour’s annual Stapleford scoring event. Stephan Jaeger, Greyson Sigg, and Chez Reavie come in playing fairly well. Jaeger was 13th in the Deere and ninth in the Rocket his last two times out. Sigg has top-20s in two of his last three, including a tie with Jaeger in the Deere. Reavie has a nice string of seven straight made cuts, with a fourth in the Travelers.


Keith Mitchell
Pick Player Power Number Actual Finish
1 Keith Mitchell 32.1 81
2 Troy Merritt 32.7 50
3 Chez Reavie 34.3 55
4 Stephan Jaeger 35.3 34
5 Patrick Rodgers 36.3 2
6 Mark Hubbard 36.6 10
7 JJ Spaun 38.0 10
8 Justin Suh 38.3 34
9 Taylor Pendrith 39.0 101
10 Beau Hossler 39.6 6
11 Nick Hardy 42.1 63
12 Matthew NeSmith 44.6 28
13 Ryan Palmer 45.4 75
14 Greyson Sigg 45.5 67
15 Nate Lashley 45.8 DNP
16 Vincent Norrman 46.1 25
17 Luke List 46.6 DNP
18 Harry Hall 46.7 141
19 Joseph Bramlett 47.0 DNP
20 Carson Young 47.4 43
21 David Lipsky 48.0 34
22 Joel Dahmen 48.1 10
23 SH Kim 48.2 75
24 Martin Laird 48.2 20
25 Peter Malnati 48.8 104
26 Chesson Hadley 48.9 6
27 Nicolai Hojgaard 49.2 DNP
28 Callum Tarren 49.2 DNP
29 Chad Ramey 49.5 17
30 Dylan Wu 49.6 DNP
31 MJ Daffue 49.9 34
32 Aaron Baddeley 50.0 67
33 Richy Werenski 50.1 128
34 Justin Lower 50.1 93
35 Jimmy Walker 50.6 DNP
36 Robert Streb 51.3 39
37 Nathan Kimsey 51.6 25
38 Andrew Novak 52.2 67
39 Erik van Rooyen 52.2 6
40 Maximilian Kieffer 52.4 60
41 Scott Piercy 52.4 134
42 Russell Knox 52.4 47
43 Calum Hill 52.6 DNP
44 Matthieu Pavon 52.9 81
45 Harry Higgs 53.0 81
46 Dylan Frittelli 53.0 149
47 Zecheng Dou 53.3 39
48 Akshay Bhatia 53.4 1
49 Adam Long 53.6 93
50 Austin Smotherman 53.8 81
51 Marcel Schneider 53.9 104
52 Chris Stroud 53.9 93
53 Carl Yuan 54.0 34
54 Tyler Duncan 54.2 DNP
55 Kevin Tway 54.3 67
56 Cameron Champ 54.3 17
57 Sam Stevens 54.4 39
58 Charley Hoffman 54.5 31
59 Matthias Schwab 54.6 113
60 Harrison Endycott 54.7 102
61 Doc Redman 54.7 113
62 James Hahn 54.9 6
63 Fabrizio Zanotti 54.9 128
64 Niklas Norgaard Moller 55.1 104
65 Sean O’Hair 55.1 141
66 Ryan Gerard 55.3 5
67 Kramer Hickok 55.6 141
68 Cody Gribble 55.7 128
69 Brice Garnett 55.8 124
70 Ryan Moore 55.8 134
71 Scott Jamieson 56.0 81
72 Dale Whitnell 56.2 104
73 Jason Scrivener 56.2 28
74 Andy Sullivan 56.3 47
75 Sam Bennett 56.5 141
76 Sebastian Soderberg 56.5 10
77 Johannes Veerman 56.5 20
78 Sean Crocker 56.6 10
79 Marcus Kinhult 56.6 20
80 Louis de Jager 56.7 134
81 Marcus Helligkilde 56.7 104
82 Ashun Wu 56.8 75
83 Kelly Kraft 56.8 81
84 Marcus Armitage 56.8 17
85 Masahiro Kawamura 56.8 113
86 Julien Guerrier 56.8 3
87 Edoardo Molinari 56.9 39
88 Matthias Schmid 56.9 124
89 Estanislao Goya 57.1 55
90 Tapio Pulkkanen 57.2 124
91 Rafa Cabrera Bello 57.2 DNP
92 Henrik Norlander 57.3 67
93 Michael Gligic 57.3 50
94 Daan Huizing 57.5 149
95 Austin Cook 57.5 60
96 Martin Trainer 57.7 31
97 Trevor Cone 57.7 65
98 Angel Hidalgo 57.9 93
99 Darius van Driel 58.0 146
100 Kevin Chappell 58.0 44
101 Seung-yul Noh 58.1 28
102 Brian Stuard 58.1 155
103 Simon Forsstrom 58.3 81
104 Daniel Gavins 58.4 DNP
105 Aaron Cockerill 58.4 64
106 Nico Echavarria 58.4 93
107 Brent Grant 58.5 44
108 Joakim Lagergren 58.5 60
109 John Catlin 58.8 75
110 Hank Lebioda 58.8 DNP
111 Tyson Alexander 58.8 104
112 Lukas Nemecz 59.0 75
113 Kevin Roy 59.1 20
114 Brandon Matthews 59.1 102
115 Alexander Levy 59.4 50
116 Augusto Nunez 59.5 50
117 Ryan Brehm 59.5 140
118 Nick Watney 59.6 128
119 Wil Besseling 59.6 81
120 James Morrison 59.7 25
121 Santiago Tarrio Ben 59.8 128
122 Kyle Westmoreland 59.8 47
123 Alexander Knappe 59.8 134
124 Max McGreevy 59.8 75
125 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 60.0 113
126 Scott Harrington 60.1 113
127 Trevor Werbylo 60.1 55
128 Chase Hanna 60.4 55
129 Jeremy Freiburghaus 62.0 104
130 Grayson Murray 71.3 81
131 Paul Haley 71.8 104
132 Satoshi Kodaira 72.2 146
133 Brandt Snedeker 74.2 67
134 William McGirt 74.6 44
135 Jonas Blixt 75.5 81
136 JC Ritchie 75.6 10
137 Nicholas Lindheim 76.0 DNP
138 Sung Kang 76.0 113
139 Geoff Ogilvy 77.5 104
140 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 77.7 50
141 Wesley Bryan 78.1 31
142 Rico Hoey 78.4 20
143 Ricky Barnes 78.4 113
144 Fabian Gomez 78.4 DNP
145 Greg Chalmers 79.9 134
146 Derek Ernst 80.0 152
147 Derek Lamely 80.2 DNP
148 Ben Carr 80.9 DNP
149 Matt Ryan 81.0 149
150 Bastien Amat 81.0 66
151 Ethan Cairns 81.0 113
152 Michael Duncan 81.0 154
153 Jesse Mueller 81.0 113
Jens Dantorp late entry 4
Ryo Hisatsune late entry 12
Peter Kuest late entry 59
Freddy Schott late entry 72
Eddy Lai late entry 73
Robin Sciot-Siegrist late entry 83
Kyle Reifers late entry 85
Martin Simonsen late entry 93
Jeong Weon Ko late entry 96
Mikael Lundberg late entry 97
JJ Henry late entry 116
Adrien Saddier late entry 121
Oliver Hundebol Jorgensen late entry 125
Charles Porter late entry 131
Corey Pereira late entry 134
Tommy Gainey late entry 143
Ted Potter late entry 146
Clement Sordet late entry 153
Grant Booth late entry 156
More | Less
July 24 dd, 2023. The accuracy number for these picks is 106. The average is 165. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A look at the Barracuda Championship

July 17, 2023 Thomas Hawley

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player History
Martin Laird 0.478
Kevin Tway 0.443
Richy Werenski 0.393
Mark Hubbard 0.379
Patrick Rodgers 0.372
Joseph Bramlett 0.365
Taylor Pendrith 0.345
Troy Merritt 0.343

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player Rank Rating
Keith Mitchell 42 949.3
Justin Suh 70 752.3
JJ Spaun 86 676.0
Mark Hubbard 87 675.4
Beau Hossler 89 669.5
Stephan Jaeger 94 649.3
Taylor Pendrith 97 636.4
Chez Reavie 99 624.1

Read more

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Rankings (July 16, 2023)

July 17, 2023 Thomas Hawley

Scottie Scheffler has increased his rating number for an amazing nine weeks in a row as the highest number in the Hawley Ratings in 13 years.
# Thru July 16, 2023 Events Hawley Rating Last Week
1 Scottie Scheffler 52 2731 1
2 Rory McIlroy 45 2393 3
3 Patrick Cantlay 43 2353 2
4 Xander Schauffele 49 2162 4
5 Jon Rahm 45 1985 5
6 Viktor Hovland 54 1787 6
7 Tyrrell Hatton 54 1751 7
8 Cameron Smith 44 1624 8
9 Max Homa 51 1582 10
10 Sungjae Im 58 1500 9
11 Will Zalatoris 36 1499 13
12 Rickie Fowler 44 1468 11
13 Jordan Spieth 48 1447 12
14 Justin Thomas 47 1428 14
15 Matt Fitzpatrick 53 1427 15
16 Tommy Fleetwood 56 1398 18
17 Dustin Johnson 38 1387 16
18 Sam Burns 53 1367 17
19 Shane Lowry 53 1326 22
20 Collin Morikawa 51 1325 19
21 Tony Finau 53 1308 21
22 Denny McCarthy 57 1307 20
23 Corey Conners 55 1258 26
24 Russell Henley 44 1250 24
25 Daniel Berger 18 1244 25
26 Adam Scott 45 1219 23
27 Hideki Matsuyama 48 1218 27
28 Keegan Bradley 53 1210 28
29 Tom Kim 41 1206 34
30 Cameron Young 51 1201 29
31 Wyndham Clark 57 1189 32
32 Brooks Koepka 43 1181 33
33 Jason Day 41 1180 31
34 Brian Harman 56 1156 36
35 Justin Rose 42 1136 30
36 Joaquin Niemann 49 1109 35
37 Talor Gooch 47 1081 38
38 Sahith Theegala 61 1060 37
39 Adam Hadwin 52 1024 39
40 Patrick Reed 51 1007 40
41 Si Woo Kim 59 954 43
42 Keith Mitchell 53 949 41
43 Seamus Power 53 941 44
44 Cam Davis 53 938 42
45 Harold Varner 44 932 45
46 Taylor Moore 55 921 46
47 Bryson DeChambeau 35 921 47
48 Mito Pereira 49 918 48
49 Matt Kuchar 46 906 50
50 Chris Kirk 51 898 53
51 Harris English 45 897 52
52 Min Woo Lee 51 894 51
53 Gary Woodland 47 851 56
54 Tom Hoge 63 838 58
55 Kurt Kitayama 53 830 54
56 JT Poston 56 827 70
57 Ludvig Aberg 11 810 49
58 Andrew Putnam 59 807 57
59 Sepp Straka 64 807 60
60 Taylor Montgomery 32 802 55
61 Cameron Tringale 46 801 59
62 Byeong Hun An 36 780 95
63 Nick Taylor 54 779 69
64 Emiliano Grillo 55 775 64
65 Paul Casey 33 773 62
66 Billy Horschel 55 772 61
67 Aaron Wise 44 772 63
68 Ryan Fox 52 764 83
69 Davis Riley 59 761 66
70 Justin Suh 34 752 67
71 Sergio Garcia 44 745 68
72 Eric Cole 32 732 65
73 Adam Schenk 63 730 72
74 Pat Perez 38 728 73
75 Alex Smalley 61 726 71
76 Brendon Todd 51 726 74
77 Brendan Steele 44 720 75
78 Sebastian Munoz 47 715 76
79 Abraham Ancer 48 703 80
80 Charles Howell 32 700 82
81 Kevin Na 40 698 81
82 Lucas Herbert 50 695 77
83 Aaron Rai 64 691 78
84 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 58 688 79
85 Louis Oosthuizen 37 678 86
86 JJ Spaun 57 676 88
87 Mark Hubbard 55 675 89
88 Maverick McNealy 50 674 87
89 Beau Hossler 53 669 90
90 Alex Noren 53 668 84
91 KH Lee 58 668 85
92 Jason Kokrak 43 662 91
93 Anirban Lahiri 43 651 94
94 Stephan Jaeger 59 649 93
95 Marc Leishman 46 648 92
96 Ben Griffin 31 641 102
97 Taylor Pendrith 49 636 97
98 Lee Hodges 60 635 110
99 Chez Reavie 56 624 98
100 Matthew NeSmith 54 619 99
101 Michael Thorbjornsen 8 616 100
102 Patrick Rodgers 59 615 96
103 Adam Svensson 60 612 101
104 Branden Grace 49 593 104
105 Peter Uihlein 38 592 107
106 Hayden Buckley 55 590 106
107 Scott Stallings 58 581 103
108 Sam Bennett 9 578 109
109 Thomas Detry 58 575 112
110 Austin Eckroat 34 563 108
111 Matthew Wolff 37 559 113
112 Thomas Pieters 45 556 114
113 Dean Burmester 50 556 115
114 Zac Blair 20 556 105
115 Kevin Kisner 45 552 117
116 Kevin Yu 23 537 111
117 Jhonattan Vegas 34 536 120
118 Padraig Harrington 27 534 121
119 Mac Hughes 53 533 116
120 Brandon Wu 56 530 118
121 Robert MacIntyre 53 527 161
122 Richard Bland 47 522 124
123 Matt Jones 45 521 126
124 Michael Kim 34 520 119
125 Sam Ryder 59 517 122
126 Jordan Smith 52 516 152
127 David Lipsky 59 515 127
128 Doug Ghim 53 514 123
129 Nick Hardy 53 512 128
130 Bubba Watson 24 508 130
131 Victor Perez 48 500 134
132 Carlos Ortiz 43 498 131
133 CT Pan 39 496 125
134 Lucas Glover 55 496 137
135 Nate Lashley 51 492 132
136 Adrian Meronk 54 492 129
137 Vincent Norrman 18 490 149
138 Ryan Palmer 47 486 135
139 Ian Poulter 48 481 136
140 Joel Dahmen 53 481 138
141 David Lingmerth 48 475 180
142 Carson Young 29 473 139
143 SH Kim 33 470 133
144 Sam Horsfield 35 462 144
145 Alexander Bjork 42 457 151
146 John Huh 39 457 147
147 Kevin Streelman 55 453 142
148 Eugenio Chacarra 21 450 150
149 Francesco Molinari 43 450 141
150 Robby Shelton 34 448 140
151 Luke List 56 447 153
152 Troy Merritt 55 447 143
153 Rasmus Hojgaard 48 442 146
154 Harry Hall 34 441 145
155 Peter Malnati 59 439 148
156 Henrik Stenson 40 435 154
157 Lee Westwood 40 434 155
158 Trey Mullinax 55 433 156
159 Garrick Higgo 59 433 169
160 Andy Ogletree 9 429 157
161 Charl Schwartzel 44 414 159
162 Danny Willett 53 413 158
163 Nicolai Hojgaard 55 411 199
164 Phil Mickelson 31 410 160
165 Michael Thompson 43 405 163
166 Webb Simpson 40 403 162
167 Davis Thompson 31 403 164
168 Samuel Stevens 21 400 165
169 Joseph Bramlett 63 387 167
170 Jimmy Walker 37 385 166
171 Thorbjorn Olesen 46 382 189
172 Greyson Sigg 60 382 173
173 Will Gordon 35 381 192
174 Callum Tarren 56 375 170
175 Erik van Rooyen 50 374 168
176 Patton Kizzire 57 372 171
177 Ben Taylor 35 365 172
178 Sadom Kaewkanjana 21 363 177
179 Chad Ramey 60 363 174
180 Lanto Griffin 38 361 176
181 David Puig 16 359 179
182 Dylan Wu 56 356 175
183 Chesson Hadley 56 351 184
184 Aaron Baddeley 41 349 178
185 Danny Lee 46 348 182
186 Russell Knox 59 347 183
187 Dylan Frittelli 60 347 181
188 Nathan Kimsey 11 347 233
189 Bernd Wiesberger 42 347 186
190 Zach Johnson 43 344 187
191 Justin Lower 56 343 185
192 Scott Vincent 33 341 190
193 Andrew Novak 53 338 188
194 Yannik Paul 45 338 205
195 Laurie Canter 46 337 191
196 Romain Langasque 57 336 204
197 MJ Daffue 35 336 194
198 Graeme McDowell 39 329 193
199 Adam Long 59 328 196
200 Ewen Ferguson 46 323 239
201 Matt Wallace 60 319 197
202 Grant Forrest 55 319 243
203 Adrian Otaegui 55 318 195
204 Ben Martin 50 315 201
205 Martin Laird 47 310 200
206 Chase Koepka 21 306 202
207 Scott Piercy 58 305 198
208 Stewart Cink 48 305 203
209 Calum Hill 29 300 248
210 Cameron Percy 37 295 212
211 Sam Stevens 10 294 209
212 Tyler Duncan 56 292 206
213 Austin Smotherman 55 289 208
214 Pablo Larrazabal 44 287 207
215 Maximilian Kieffer 49 284 217
216 Cameron Champ 44 282 213
217 Akshay Bhatia 27 281 235
218 Adri Arnaus 50 279 210
219 Marcel Schneider 44 277 245
220 Justin Harding 38 274 219
221 Harry Higgs 58 273 211
222 Doc Redman 54 273 232
223 Zecheng Dou 31 273 215
224 Erik Barnes 22 272 220
225 Antoine Rozner 55 271 216
226 Jorge Campillo 61 270 224
227 James Hahn 48 267 218
228 Carl Yuan 25 265 214
229 Matthieu Pavon 53 262 221
230 Joost Luiten 46 259 227
231 Andrew Johnston 9 256 231
232 Hudson Swafford 35 253 228
233 Sean O’Hair 38 252 222
234 Thriston Lawrence 50 252 229
235 Charley Hoffman 49 251 226
236 Harrison Endycott 29 251 223
237 Fabrizio Zanotti 43 247 230
238 Ryan Gerard 18 245 225
239 Matthias Schwab 59 244 234
240 Hennie du Plessis 37 243 240
241 Richie Ramsay 51 243 246
242 Kramer Hickok 58 242 241
243 Paul Haley 30 241 236
244 Ryan Moore 39 239 252
245 Vincent Whaley 44 239 237
246 Richard Mansell 45 238 238
247 Julien Brun 42 234 244
248 Callum Shinkwin 45 229 242
249 Martin Kaymer 27 227 250
250 Jayden Schaper 18 222 293
251 Ryo Hisatsune 39 222 249
252 Phachara Khongwatmai 17 222 257
253 Jason Scrivener 42 221 251
254 Guido Migliozzi 54 220 254
255 Ryutaro Nagano 24 220 253
256 Cody Gribble 20 220 247
257 Daniel Hillier 25 215 261
258 Ryan Armour 51 215 271
259 Matthew Jordan 56 214 255
260 Takumi Kanaya 37 213 262
261 Scott Jamieson 49 212 256
262 Satoshi Kodaira 48 212 258
263 Luke Donald 50 212 259
264 Marcel Siem 52 211 274
265 Jamie Donaldson 44 208 260
266 Travis Smyth 16 205 267
267 Sebastian Soderberg 52 204 291
268 Matthew Southgate 57 203 265
269 Sang-hyun Park 13 203 273
270 Tom McKibbin 25 202 324
271 Robert Streb 58 202 264
272 Kyle Reifers 9 202 277
273 Tyler McCumber 14 201 269
274 Connor Syme 52 201 266
275 Dan Bradbury 19 199 263
276 Brice Garnett 55 199 279
277 Mikko Korhonen 38 199 282
278 Dale Whitnell 58 199 275
279 Gavin Green 56 198 272
280 Niklas Norgaard Moller 45 197 284
281 Marcus Armitage 53 197 268
282 Kevin Tway 61 197 276
283 Sami Valimaki 46 197 270
284 Grayson Murray 31 196 326
285 Richy Werenski 57 196 278
286 Daniel Brown 18 196 341
287 James Piot 25 195 290
288 Alejandro Tosti 18 194 286
289 Eddie Pepperell 50 192 283
290 Wade Ormsby 34 192 294
291 Marcus Kinhult 45 191 318
292 Johannes Veerman 48 191 281
293 Ashun Wu 46 190 280
294 Christopher Gotterup 29 190 288
295 David Law 54 189 287
296 Edoardo Molinari 53 189 289
297 Adrien Saddier 27 189 366
298 Jonathan Byrd 40 189 285
299 Keita Nakajima 20 188 299
300 Jeff Winther 45 188 297
301 Oliver Bekker 50 187 292
302 Rory Sabbatini 39 185 295
303 Masahiro Kawamura 52 184 328
304 George Coetzee 42 184 306
305 Henrik Norlander 55 183 308
306 Julien Guerrier 53 182 298
307 Marcus Helligkilde 39 181 296
308 Matthias Schmid 55 181 303
309 Rafa Cabrera Bello 53 180 300
310 Shubhankar Sharma 52 178 302
311 Clement Sordet 23 177 301
312 Martin Trainer 52 177 304
313 Kelly Kraft 56 176 311
314 Turk Pettit 17 175 317
315 Andy Sullivan 54 175 307
316 Sean Crocker 55 174 397
317 Tapio Pulkkanen 51 173 337
318 Kalle Samooja 50 173 309
319 Steve Lewton 12 172 316
320 Hurly Long 48 172 310
321 Alex Fitzpatrick 13 172 320
322 Brandt Snedeker 31 171 315
323 Brian Stuard 60 170 323
324 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 54 169 314
325 Michael Gligic 56 168 319
326 Kevin Chappell 38 168 312
327 Estanislao Goya 26 168 321
328 Jinichiro Kozuma 30 168 325
329 David Micheluzzi 11 166 327
330 Paul Waring 43 164 322
331 William McGirt 37 163 332
332 Bi-o Kim 15 158 313
333 Angel Hidalgo 40 158 335
334 Jazz Janewattananond 58 158 330
335 Austin Cook 57 156 331
336 John Axelsen 20 156 340
337 Louis de Jager 46 154 360
338 Pierceson Coody 22 154 329
339 Jed Morgan 27 153 338
340 Kristian Krogh Johannessen 22 153 336
341 Seung-yul Noh 46 152 333
342 Aaron Cockerill 47 151 334
343 Kyong-jun Moon 9 150 339
344 Nico Echavarria 26 150 342
345 Jeunghun Wang 17 149 343
346 Vaughn Taylor 27 149 344
347 David Ravetto 21 147 413
348 Ross Fisher 52 144 345
349 Justin Walters 54 143 347
350 Lars van Meijel 16 143 356
351 Zander Lombard 59 143 346
352 Ryosuke Kinoshita 32 142 352
353 Frederic LaCroix 35 142 353
354 Hank Lebioda 53 142 349
355 Joakim Lagergren 50 141 357
356 Brent Grant 33 141 355
357 Ricardo Gouveia 34 140 358
358 Anthony Quayle 24 139 362
359 Rikuya Hoshino 37 139 359
360 Espen Kofstad 30 139 364
361 Daniel Gavins 57 138 351
362 Chris Stroud 31 138 350
363 Simon Forsstrom 19 138 348
364 Daan Huizing 44 135 361
365 Sihwan Kim 38 134 369
366 Tyson Alexander 31 133 377
367 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 39 132 372
368 Daniel van Tonder 54 132 370
369 Bill Haas 49 132 373
370 Haotong Li 40 132 365
371 Matthew Baldwin 29 131 363
372 John Catlin 53 131 367
373 Keenan Davidse 11 131 374
374 Lukas Nemecz 44 130 375
375 Sung Kang 54 130 368
376 David Dixon 9 129 379
377 JC Ritchie 34 129 398
378 Mikumu Horikawa 25 129 376
379 Trace Crowe 12 128 354
380 Jonas Blixt 38 127 371
381 Filippo Celli 14 126 381
382 Francesco Laporta 47 126 378
383 Shaun Norris 37 125 382
384 Trevor Cone 26 124 471
385 Tom Lewis 28 124 387
386 Wilco Nienaber 42 123 388
387 Pierre Pineau 8 122 386
388 Max McGreevy 60 122 385
389 Darius van Driel 53 121 383
390 Ian Snyman 13 121 390
391 Oliver Wilson 54 121 384
392 Craig Howie 31 121 389
393 Nicholas Lindheim 13 120 404
394 Yuki Inamori 28 120 393
395 Ockie Strydom 22 117 380
396 Alejandro Del Rey 22 116 399
397 Kevin Roy 30 116 391
398 James Morrison 56 116 395
399 Nick Watney 55 115 394
400 Jens Dantorp 32 114 396
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Genesis Scottish Open Power Ratings

July 10, 2023 Thomas Hawley , ,
Scottie Scheffler
Scottie Scheffler
Pick Player Power Number Actual Finish
1 Scottie Scheffler -27.7 3
2 Patrick Cantlay -16.7 78
3 Xander Schauffele -14.9 42
4 Rory McIlroy -12.7 1
5 Tyrrell Hatton 5.5 6
6 Rickie Fowler 5.9 42
7 Viktor Hovland 10.9 25
8 Tommy Fleetwood 16.6 6
9 Max Homa 26.1 12
10 Matt Fitzpatrick 26.2 106
11 Jordan Spieth 26.5 106
12 Sungjae Im 27.2 93
13 Justin Thomas 28.2 60
14 Sam Burns 28.4 19
15 Wyndham Clark 29.1 25
16 Adam Scott 30.6 78
17 Shane Lowry 30.9 12
18 Min Woo Lee 31.2 35
19 Justin Rose 34.6 93
20 Corey Conners 36.1 19
21 Brian Harman 36.9 12
22 Aaron Rai 40.4 78
23 Tom Kim 41.2 6
24 Ludvig Aberg 41.4 78
25 Sahith Theegala 42.6 93
26 Alex Smalley 45.7 133
27 Andrew Putnam 46.1 42
28 Lucas Herbert 46.4 60
29 Ryan Fox 46.4 12
30 Keith Mitchell 46.9 78
31 Kurt Kitayama 47.5 54
32 Cam Davis 47.6 106
33 Seamus Power 48.1 DNP
34 Eric Cole 48.7 60
35 Thomas Detry 49.7 42
36 Gary Woodland 50.0 25
37 Taylor Montgomery 52.2 114
38 Nick Taylor 53.1 19
39 Padraig Harrington 53.1 42
40 JT Poston 53.4 6
41 Mark Hubbard 53.6 DNP
42 Austin Eckroat 53.8 65
43 Tom Hoge 54.1 19
44 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 54.1 78
45 Billy Horschel 54.6 65
46 Patrick Rodgers 54.8 93
47 Davis Riley 54.8 35
48 Alex Noren 55.4 133
49 Kevin Yu 55.9 114
50 Alexander Bjork 56.7 35
51 CT Pan 56.7 114
52 Doug Ghim 56.7 137
53 Byeong Hun An 58.1 3
54 KH Lee 58.1 72
55 Lee Hodges 58.2 12
56 Ben Griffin 58.3 25
57 Zac Blair 58.8 114
58 Rasmus Hojgaard 60.0 142
59 Jordan Smith 60.0 12
60 Brandon Wu 60.1 114
61 Adrian Meronk 60.2 78
62 Luke List 60.4 35
63 Victor Perez 60.5 35
64 Michael Kim 61.3 93
65 Harry Hall 61.5 60
66 Scott Stallings 61.5 114
67 Sam Ryder 61.6 114
68 Robert MacIntyre 61.6 2
69 Mac Hughes 62.3 78
70 Adrian Otaegui 63.1 114
71 SH Kim 63.4 93
72 Matthieu Pavon 63.5 106
73 Eddie Pepperell 63.7 114
74 Romain Langasque 63.7 25
75 Erik van Rooyen 64.1 68
76 Dylan Wu 64.3 114
77 Callum Tarren 64.4 137
78 Garrick Higgo 64.4 19
79 Joseph Bramlett 64.5 93
80 Chad Ramey 64.7 DNP
81 Francesco Molinari 64.7 106
82 Robby Shelton 64.8 137
83 Vincent Norrman 65.0 DNP
84 Aaron Baddeley 65.3 114
85 Matt Wallace 65.6 42
86 Danny Willett 65.7 149
87 Thorbjorn Olesen 65.8 25
88 Jimmy Walker 65.9 142
89 MJ Daffue 66.3 DNP
90 Yannik Paul 66.4 25
91 Andrew Novak 66.4 DNP
92 Richie Ramsay 66.7 42
93 Callum Shinkwin 67.0 114
94 Nicolai Hojgaard 67.1 6
95 Ben Taylor 67.1 73
96 Will Gordon 67.3 25
97 Maximilian Kieffer 67.4 42
98 Matthew Southgate 67.7 93
99 David Lingmerth 67.8 3
100 Fabrizio Zanotti 68.0 78
101 Daniel Hillier 68.2 54
102 Jorge Campillo 68.3 42
103 Antoine Rozner 68.5 68
104 Pablo Larrazabal 68.5 114
105 Connor Syme 68.6 74
106 Ewen Ferguson 68.7 12
107 Ben Martin 68.9 42
108 Zecheng Dou 69.0 DNP
109 Harry Higgs 69.1 DNP
110 Calum Hill 69.1 25
111 Luke Donald 69.1 93
112 Marcel Siem 69.2 42
113 Kalle Samooja 69.3 78
114 Matthew Jordan 69.4 77
115 Guido Migliozzi 69.4 54
116 David Law 69.4 114
117 Adri Arnaus 69.5 68
118 Grant Forrest 69.5 11
119 Austin Smotherman 69.5 DNP
120 Richard Mansell 69.5 114
121 Edoardo Molinari 69.7 137
122 Harrison Endycott 69.8 93
123 Thriston Lawrence 70.0 93
124 Gavin Green 70.0 68
125 Charley Hoffman 70.3 106
126 Marcel Schneider 70.3 25
127 Scott Jamieson 70.4 137
128 Rafa Cabrera Bello 70.8 78
129 Dan Bradbury 70.8 75
130 Dale Whitnell 71.2 60
131 Ashun Wu 71.3 65
132 Shubhankar Sharma 71.3 114
133 Justin Walters 71.5 WD
134 Marcus Armitage 71.8 93
135 Paul Haley 71.9 DNP
136 Ross Fisher 72.0 114
137 Sebastian Soderberg 72.1 42
138 Tom McKibbin 72.2 35
139 Sean Crocker 72.5 19
140 Paul Waring 72.6 WD
141 Oliver Bekker 72.8 78
142 Sami Valimaki 72.8 76
143 Hurly Long 73.0 147
144 Joakim Lagergren 73.0 54
145 Haotong Li 73.3 142
146 Simon Forsstrom 73.5 93
147 Tapio Pulkkanen 73.5 35
148 Zander Lombard 73.7 114
149 Daniel Gavins 73.7 146
150 Matthew Baldwin 73.8 106
151 Oliver Wilson 73.9 78
152 Bi-o Kim 74.1 106
153 Ockie Strydom 74.9 133
154 Nicolas Colsaerts 75.4 78
155 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 75.4 78
156 Wil Besseling 75.5 114
157 Chase Hanna 76.2 142
158 Nick Bachem 76.2 149
159 Yeongsu Kim 76.9 149
160 Thomas Bjorn 77.4 DNP
161 Yoseop Seo 78.2 152
Julien Brun late entry 54
Joost Luiten late entry 58
Troy Merritt late entry 133
Jamie Donaldson late entry 147
Dylan Frittelli late entry 152
More | Less
July 17, 2023. The accuracy number for these picks is 157. The average is 165. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Barbasol Championship Power Ratings

July 10, 2023 Thomas Hawley ,
Taylor Pendrith
Taylor Pendrith
Pick Player Power Number Actual Finish
1 Taylor Pendrith 54.4 6
2 Troy Merritt 55.1 DNP
3 Lucas Glover 56.0 5
4 Kevin Streelman 60.3 86
5 Peter Malnati 62.4 52
6 Scott Piercy 62.5 68
7 Justin Lower 64.2 44
8 Chad Ramey 64.4 44
9 Vincent Norrman 64.6 1
10 MJ Daffue 65.8 16
11 Cameron Percy 66.2 16
12 Andrew Novak 66.3 33
13 Jim Herman 66.5 125
14 Carl Yuan 66.7 127
15 Grayson Murray 66.9 7
16 Patton Kizzire 67.0 62
17 James Hahn 67.1 97
18 Richy Werenski 67.2 58
19 Erik van Rooyen 67.3 DNP
20 Kelly Kraft 67.7 40
21 Russell Knox 68.0 33
22 Vincent Whaley 68.4 127
23 Kramer Hickok 68.5 28
24 Zecheng Dou 68.6 44
25 Harry Higgs 68.7 127
26 Ryo Hisatsune 68.7 58
27 Jonathan Byrd 68.7 86
28 Austin Cook 68.8 68
29 Tyler Duncan 68.8 68
30 Adam Long 69.3 16
31 Austin Smotherman 69.3 86
32 Sean O’Hair 69.4 68
33 Nathan Kimsey 69.6 2
34 Cameron Champ 69.7 DNP
35 Ryan Armour 69.9 16
36 Ryan Gerard 69.9 86
37 Niklas Norgaard Moller 70.3 33
38 Michael Gligic 70.3 62
39 Akshay Bhatia 70.5 9
40 Satoshi Kodaira 70.6 125
41 Cody Gribble 70.6 52
42 Henrik Norlander 70.9 28
43 Doc Redman 70.9 9
44 Marcus Helligkilde 71.0 68
45 Andy Sullivan 71.0 97
46 Matthias Schwab 71.0 68
47 Julien Guerrier 71.0 105
48 Brian Stuard 71.0 33
49 Robert Streb 71.1 137
50 Kevin Tway 71.1 44
51 Ryan Moore 71.1 14
52 Jamie Donaldson 71.3 DNP
53 Jason Dufner 71.4 24
54 Jason Scrivener 71.4 40
55 Matthias Schmid 71.4 44
56 Johannes Veerman 71.6 62
57 Brice Garnett 71.8 33
58 Paul Haley 71.9 105
59 Marcus Kinhult 72.4 14
60 Daan Huizing 72.5 68
61 Estanislao Goya 72.5 40
62 Kevin Chappell 72.7 105
63 Darius van Driel 72.9 117
64 Jazz Janewattananond 73.0 154
65 Masahiro Kawamura 73.1 9
66 Martin Trainer 73.1 62
67 Josh Teater 73.1 105
68 Louis de Jager 73.3 16
69 Seung-yul Noh 73.3 WD
70 Aaron Cockerill 73.4 58
71 Angel Hidalgo 73.5 30
72 Clement Sordet 73.5 52
73 Daniel Brown 73.6 7
74 John Catlin 73.7 68
75 Hank Lebioda 73.8 68
76 Chris Stroud 73.8 86
77 Soren Kjeldsen 73.8 117
78 William McGirt 74.0 30
79 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 74.0 DNP
80 Lukas Nemecz 74.2 DNP
81 Kevin Roy 74.2 68
82 Bryce Easton 74.3 137
83 Freddy Schott 74.3 144
84 Ricky Barnes 74.4 86
85 Jeong Weon Ko 74.4 144
86 Nacho Elvira 74.5 DNP
87 Jens Dantorp 74.5 127
88 Alejandro Del Rey 74.5 44
89 Tyson Alexander 74.5 33
90 James Morrison 74.5 117
91 Mikael Lundberg 74.6 52
92 Brandon Matthews 74.6 105
93 Augusto Nunez 74.7 105
94 Santiago Tarrio Ben 74.8 68
95 Alexander Knappe 74.8 97
96 Deon Germishuys 74.9 68
97 Max McGreevy 74.9 52
98 Kyle Westmoreland 75.0 127
99 Marc Warren 75.0 DNP
100 Nick Watney 75.2 144
101 Ryan Brehm 75.3 24
102 Trevor Cone 75.3 3
103 Trevor Werbylo 75.4 127
104 Scott Harrington 75.5 44
105 Jonas Blixt 75.5 86
106 Alexander Levy 76.0 9
107 Robert Garrigus 76.1 144
108 Andrew Landry 76.1 105
109 Sung Kang 76.1 67
110 Todd Clements 76.3 127
111 Oliver Hundebol Jorgensen 76.4 105
112 Martin Simonsen 76.5 68
113 JC Ritchie 76.7 24
114 John Parry 76.7 97
115 Ted Potter 77.0 52
116 Geoff Ogilvy 77.1 139
117 Manu Gandas 77.1 117
118 Sangmoon Bae 77.7 139
119 Jeremy Freiburghaus 77.9 117
120 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 77.9 127
121 Bo Hoag 78.0 40
122 Scott Brown 78.3 68
123 DJ Trahan 78.4 127
124 David Hearn 78.5 127
125 Bo Van Pelt 78.8 44
126 Robin Sciot-Siegrist 79.0 86
127 Wesley Bryan 79.0 24
128 Tommy Gainey 79.0 16
129 JJ Henry 79.3 105
130 Johnson Wagner 79.3 DNP
131 Greg Chalmers 79.6 66
132 DA Points 80.1 86
133 Kyle Stanley 80.1 139
134 Derek Ernst 80.2 117
135 Derek Lamely 80.3 105
136 Ben Crane 80.4 105
137 Stephen Stallings 80.5 97
138 Steve Stricker 80.8 DNP
139 Omar Uresti 80.8 153
140 Kevin Stadler 81.2 144
141 Brian Davis 81.2 97
142 Trey Cox 81.2 152
143 David Ford 81.2 58
144 Wes Homan 81.2 68
145 Ryuji Imada 81.2 144
146 Richard Johnson 81.2 139
147 Jesse Massie 81.2 139
148 Jesse Mueller 81.2 68
149 Matt Every 81.2 150
150 Jeff Overton 81.2 151
151 Daniel Chopra 81.2 155
152 KJ Choi 81.2 DNP
153 Chad Campbell 81.2 DNP
Adrien Saddier late entry 4
David Ravetto late entry 11
Jayden Schaper late entry 19
Christoffer Bring late entry 20
Chris Nido late entry 30
John Axelsen late entry 33
Thomas Aiken late entry 74
Joshua Lee late entry 76
Pedro Figueiredo late entry 92
Peter Kuest late entry 93
Maxwell Moldovan late entry 101
Kiradech Aphibarnrat late entry 103
Andrew Wilson late entry 114
Chip McDaniel late entry 119
Matthew Sharpstene late entry 121
More | Less
July 17, 2023. The accuracy number for these picks is 81. The average is 165. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Rankings (July 9, 2023)

July 10, 2023 Thomas Hawley

Scottie Scheffler again has the highest rating number in the Hawley Ratings in 13 years.
# Thru July 9, 2023 Events Hawley Rating Last Week
1 Scottie Scheffler 51 2685 1
2 Patrick Cantlay 42 2440 2
3 Rory McIlroy 44 2312 3
4 Xander Schauffele 48 2214 4
5 Jon Rahm 45 1986 5
6 Viktor Hovland 53 1799 6
7 Tyrrell Hatton 53 1693 7
8 Cameron Smith 44 1623 8
9 Sungjae Im 57 1544 9
10 Max Homa 50 1544 10
11 Rickie Fowler 44 1502 11
12 Jordan Spieth 47 1494 12
13 Will Zalatoris 36 1489 14
14 Justin Thomas 46 1478 13
15 Matt Fitzpatrick 52 1465 15
16 Dustin Johnson 39 1380 16
17 Sam Burns 52 1349 17
18 Tommy Fleetwood 55 1329 19
19 Collin Morikawa 51 1328 18
20 Denny McCarthy 58 1305 21
21 Tony Finau 54 1304 20
22 Shane Lowry 52 1277 23
23 Adam Scott 44 1264 24
24 Russell Henley 44 1249 22
25 Daniel Berger 18 1236 25
26 Corey Conners 54 1233 26
27 Hideki Matsuyama 48 1217 27
28 Keegan Bradley 54 1202 28
29 Cameron Young 51 1198 33
30 Justin Rose 41 1183 31
31 Jason Day 41 1181 30
32 Wyndham Clark 57 1181 32
33 Brooks Koepka 43 1177 29
34 Tom Kim 40 1121 35
35 Joaquin Niemann 49 1107 34
36 Brian Harman 55 1099 37
37 Sahith Theegala 60 1087 38
38 Talor Gooch 47 1081 36
39 Adam Hadwin 53 1023 39
40 Patrick Reed 52 1001 41
41 Keith Mitchell 53 982 40
42 Cam Davis 53 964 42
43 Si Woo Kim 59 955 43
44 Seamus Power 53 940 49
45 Harold Varner 44 929 47
46 Taylor Moore 55 923 44
47 Bryson DeChambeau 35 923 48
48 Mito Pereira 50 917 45
49 Ludvig Aberg 10 911 84
50 Matt Kuchar 47 902 46
51 Min Woo Lee 50 897 50
52 Harris English 45 896 51
53 Chris Kirk 52 896 52
54 Kurt Kitayama 52 848 54
55 Taylor Montgomery 31 838 53
56 Gary Woodland 47 830 55
57 Andrew Putnam 59 815 58
58 Tom Hoge 63 810 57
59 Cameron Tringale 47 804 61
60 Sepp Straka 65 802 68
61 Billy Horschel 54 795 59
62 Paul Casey 33 773 56
63 Aaron Wise 44 769 64
64 Emiliano Grillo 56 766 60
65 Eric Cole 31 761 62
66 Davis Riley 58 757 67
67 Justin Suh 34 753 66
68 Sergio Garcia 45 746 65
69 Nick Taylor 53 745 63
70 JT Poston 56 744 77
71 Alex Smalley 60 743 82
72 Adam Schenk 64 729 83
73 Pat Perez 39 728 76
74 Brendon Todd 52 726 88
75 Brendan Steele 44 716 70
76 Sebastian Munoz 47 715 72
77 Lucas Herbert 50 713 73
78 Aaron Rai 64 707 74
79 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 57 706 71
80 Abraham Ancer 48 703 78
81 Kevin Na 40 700 79
82 Charles Howell 33 699 69
83 Ryan Fox 51 695 80
84 Alex Noren 52 689 81
85 KH Lee 58 688 75
86 Louis Oosthuizen 38 680 91
87 Maverick McNealy 51 675 86
88 JJ Spaun 58 674 87
89 Mark Hubbard 56 671 95
90 Beau Hossler 54 667 90
91 Jason Kokrak 43 662 85
92 Marc Leishman 46 652 99
93 Stephan Jaeger 59 648 98
94 Anirban Lahiri 43 645 94
95 Byeong Hun An 36 640 89
96 Patrick Rodgers 59 629 92
97 Taylor Pendrith 48 625 97
98 Chez Reavie 57 621 96
99 Matthew NeSmith 55 615 100
100 Michael Thorbjornsen 8 615
101 Adam Svensson 60 612 102
102 Ben Griffin 30 609 101
103 Scott Stallings 58 595 105
104 Branden Grace 49 591 103
105 Zac Blair 19 591 93
106 Hayden Buckley 55 589 106
107 Peter Uihlein 38 589 108
108 Austin Eckroat 34 587 107
109 Sam Bennett 9 579 109
110 Lee Hodges 59 577 110
111 Kevin Yu 22 576 147
112 Thomas Detry 57 576 111
113 Matthew Wolff 38 563 104
114 Thomas Pieters 45 555 122
115 Dean Burmester 50 554 114
116 Mac Hughes 52 551 113
117 Kevin Kisner 45 549 116
118 Brandon Wu 55 543 118
119 Michael Kim 34 542 112
120 Jhonattan Vegas 35 541 117
121 Padraig Harrington 26 535 119
122 Sam Ryder 59 532 115
123 Doug Ghim 53 527 125
124 Richard Bland 47 522 131
125 CT Pan 38 521 124
126 Matt Jones 45 520 121
127 David Lipsky 59 514 123
128 Nick Hardy 53 509 133
129 Adrian Meronk 53 507 128
130 Bubba Watson 25 506 120
131 Carlos Ortiz 43 498 127
132 Nate Lashley 52 491 137
133 SH Kim 32 490 126
134 Victor Perez 47 489 135
135 Ryan Palmer 47 485 129
136 Ian Poulter 48 482 138
137 Lucas Glover 54 482 157
138 Joel Dahmen 54 479 132
139 Carson Young 29 470 130
140 Robby Shelton 34 466 134
141 Francesco Molinari 42 466 139
142 Kevin Streelman 54 465 136
143 Troy Merritt 55 460 152
144 Sam Horsfield 36 460 142
145 Harry Hall 33 457 141
146 Rasmus Hojgaard 47 456 151
147 John Huh 40 455 144
148 Peter Malnati 59 450 140
149 Vincent Norrman 17 449 146
150 Eugenio Chacarra 21 447 143
151 Alexander Bjork 41 444 153
152 Jordan Smith 52 442 145
153 Luke List 56 440 150
154 Henrik Stenson 40 434 165
155 Lee Westwood 40 432 149
156 Trey Mullinax 55 432 148
157 Andy Ogletree 9 429 154
158 Danny Willett 52 426 155
159 Charl Schwartzel 45 414 158
160 Phil Mickelson 31 411 156
161 Robert MacIntyre 53 408 167
162 Webb Simpson 40 407 159
163 Michael Thompson 44 405 162
164 Davis Thompson 31 403 170
165 Samuel Stevens 21 401 164
166 Jimmy Walker 37 401 163
167 Joseph Bramlett 63 398 161
168 Erik van Rooyen 50 392 160
169 Garrick Higgo 58 390 176
170 Callum Tarren 55 383 169
171 Patton Kizzire 57 383 168
172 Ben Taylor 35 380 166
173 Greyson Sigg 60 379 189
174 Chad Ramey 59 370 175
175 Dylan Wu 55 367 172
176 Lanto Griffin 39 363 173
177 Sadom Kaewkanjana 21 362 178
178 Aaron Baddeley 41 362 184
179 David Puig 16 360 171
180 David Lingmerth 48 359 174
181 Dylan Frittelli 60 356 177
182 Danny Lee 46 350 180
183 Russell Knox 59 350 182
184 Chesson Hadley 57 349 179
185 Justin Lower 55 348 186
186 Bernd Wiesberger 42 347 181
187 Zach Johnson 43 344 190
188 Andrew Novak 52 341 188
189 Thorbjorn Olesen 45 341 183
190 Scott Vincent 33 339 185
191 Laurie Canter 47 335 197
192 Will Gordon 35 332 187
193 Graeme McDowell 39 328 193
194 MJ Daffue 35 327 200
195 Adrian Otaegui 55 326 191
196 Adam Long 59 321 192
197 Matt Wallace 60 315 201
198 Scott Piercy 58 314 196
199 Nicolai Hojgaard 55 313 195
200 Martin Laird 47 311 198
201 Ben Martin 50 310 199
202 Chase Koepka 21 304 207
203 Stewart Cink 49 304 205
204 Romain Langasque 56 303 208
205 Yannik Paul 44 301 203
206 Tyler Duncan 56 301 204
207 Pablo Larrazabal 43 299 202
208 Austin Smotherman 54 297 206
209 Sam Stevens 10 294 194
210 Adri Arnaus 49 290 212
211 Harry Higgs 58 283 211
212 Cameron Percy 37 283 210
213 Cameron Champ 45 282 214
214 Carl Yuan 24 280 209
215 Zecheng Dou 30 279 213
216 Antoine Rozner 54 278 215
217 Maximilian Kieffer 48 275 218
218 James Hahn 48 275 221
219 Justin Harding 39 272 219
220 Erik Barnes 22 271 220
221 Matthieu Pavon 53 270 223
222 Sean O’Hair 38 265 216
223 Harrison Endycott 28 263 217
224 Jorge Campillo 60 262 230
225 Ryan Gerard 17 262 251
226 Charley Hoffman 48 262 224
227 Joost Luiten 45 262 229
228 Hudson Swafford 35 258 226
229 Thriston Lawrence 49 258 232
230 Fabrizio Zanotti 42 257 222
231 Andrew Johnston 9 256 233
232 Doc Redman 53 256 225
233 Nathan Kimsey 10 252 286
234 Matthias Schwab 58 252 231
235 Akshay Bhatia 26 251 244
236 Paul Haley 29 250 227
237 Vincent Whaley 44 250 228
238 Richard Mansell 45 246 234
239 Ewen Ferguson 45 245 237
240 Hennie du Plessis 37 242 241
241 Kramer Hickok 57 242 235
242 Callum Shinkwin 45 239 243
243 Grant Forrest 54 239 239
244 Julien Brun 41 237 242
245 Marcel Schneider 44 236 238
246 Richie Ramsay 51 232 263
247 Cody Gribble 19 232 248
248 Calum Hill 29 232 236
249 Ryo Hisatsune 38 229 262
250 Martin Kaymer 27 227 240
251 Jason Scrivener 41 224 245
252 Ryan Moore 39 222 246
253 Ryutaro Nagano 24 221 252
254 Guido Migliozzi 53 221 249
255 Matthew Jordan 56 220 258
256 Scott Jamieson 48 220 247
257 Phachara Khongwatmai 17 220 253
258 Satoshi Kodaira 48 220 250
259 Luke Donald 50 219 254
260 Jamie Donaldson 43 217 255
261 Daniel Hillier 24 217 257
262 Takumi Kanaya 37 215 256
263 Dan Bradbury 18 213 259
264 Robert Streb 58 210 266
265 Matthew Southgate 57 208 287
266 Connor Syme 52 207 270
267 Travis Smyth 16 205 271
268 Marcus Armitage 52 204 260
269 Tyler McCumber 15 204 267
270 Sami Valimaki 45 204 276
271 Ryan Armour 51 204 261
272 Gavin Green 55 203 268
273 Sang-hyun Park 13 203 273
274 Marcel Siem 51 202 295
275 Dale Whitnell 58 202 265
276 Kevin Tway 61 201 264
277 Kyle Reifers 9 201 280
278 Richy Werenski 57 200 285
279 Brice Garnett 55 198 274
280 Ashun Wu 45 198 269
281 Johannes Veerman 47 198 304
282 Mikko Korhonen 39 198 283
283 Eddie Pepperell 49 198 275
284 Niklas Norgaard Moller 44 197 282
285 Jonathan Byrd 40 197 272
286 Alejandro Tosti 17 196 284
287 David Law 54 196 278
288 Christopher Gotterup 28 196 289
289 Edoardo Molinari 52 195 277
290 James Piot 25 195 279
291 Sebastian Soderberg 51 194 288
292 Oliver Bekker 49 192 281
293 Jayden Schaper 17 191 292
294 Wade Ormsby 35 191 294
295 Rory Sabbatini 39 189 291
296 Marcus Helligkilde 38 188 297
297 Jeff Winther 45 188 305
298 Julien Guerrier 53 188 302
299 Keita Nakajima 20 188 300
300 Rafa Cabrera Bello 53 186 290
301 Clement Sordet 23 186 303
302 Shubhankar Sharma 52 186 299
303 Matthias Schmid 55 184 293
304 Martin Trainer 52 184 296
305 Daniel Young 8 183 317
306 George Coetzee 42 182 308
307 Andy Sullivan 53 180 315
308 Henrik Norlander 54 180 301
309 Kalle Samooja 49 179 334
310 Hurly Long 47 177 307
311 Kelly Kraft 55 176 309
312 Kevin Chappell 37 175 306
313 Bi-o Kim 14 175 313
314 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 54 174 310
315 Brandt Snedeker 32 174 298
316 Steve Lewton 12 174 314
317 Turk Pettit 17 174 316
318 Marcus Kinhult 44 173 318
319 Michael Gligic 56 172 311
320 Alex Fitzpatrick 14 172 320
321 Estanislao Goya 25 170 367
322 Paul Waring 42 170 312
323 Brian Stuard 60 169 321
324 Tom McKibbin 24 168 322
325 Jinichiro Kozuma 30 168 323
326 Grayson Murray 31 167 485
327 David Micheluzzi 11 164 375
328 Masahiro Kawamura 52 164 319
329 Pierceson Coody 21 163 326
330 Jazz Janewattananond 57 163 327
331 Austin Cook 57 161 324
332 William McGirt 36 158 325
333 Seung-yul Noh 45 157 329
334 Aaron Cockerill 46 156 330
335 Angel Hidalgo 39 154 331
336 Kristian Krogh Johannessen 22 153 328
337 Tapio Pulkkanen 51 152 333
338 Jed Morgan 27 152 335
339 Kyong-jun Moon 9 151 339
340 John Axelsen 19 151 369
341 Daniel Brown 17 151 374
342 Nico Echavarria 26 150 332
343 Jeunghun Wang 17 150 340
344 Vaughn Taylor 28 148 343
345 Ross Fisher 52 148 371
346 Zander Lombard 59 148 336
347 Justin Walters 54 147 342
348 Simon Forsstrom 18 146 354
349 Hank Lebioda 52 146 338
350 Chris Stroud 30 145 337
351 Daniel Gavins 56 142 345
352 Ryosuke Kinoshita 32 142 351
353 Frederic LaCroix 35 142 353
354 Trace Crowe 11 142 356
355 Brent Grant 33 141 344
356 Lars van Meijel 17 141 358
357 Joakim Lagergren 49 141 355
358 Ricardo Gouveia 34 140 359
359 Rikuya Hoshino 37 140 347
360 Louis de Jager 45 139 350
361 Daan Huizing 43 139 395
362 Anthony Quayle 24 138 361
363 Matthew Baldwin 29 138 348
364 Espen Kofstad 30 138 360
365 Haotong Li 40 138 349
366 Adrien Saddier 27 137 364
367 John Catlin 53 136 357
368 Sung Kang 54 135 352
369 Sihwan Kim 39 132 362
370 Daniel van Tonder 55 132 373
371 Jonas Blixt 37 132 470
372 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 39 131 370
373 Bill Haas 50 131 372
374 Keenan Davidse 11 131 341
375 Lukas Nemecz 44 130 365
376 Mikumu Horikawa 25 128 376
377 Tyson Alexander 30 128 368
378 Francesco Laporta 47 128 366
379 David Dixon 10 126 387
380 Ockie Strydom 21 126 363
381 Filippo Celli 14 125 379
382 Shaun Norris 37 125 382
383 Darius van Driel 52 125 384
384 Oliver Wilson 54 124 377
385 Max McGreevy 59 124 378
386 Pierre Pineau 8 123 386
387 Tom Lewis 29 122 393
388 Wilco Nienaber 42 122 391
389 Craig Howie 31 121 392
390 Ian Snyman 13 121 397
391 Kevin Roy 29 121 438
392 Brandon Matthews 29 120 380
393 Yuki Inamori 28 120 398
394 Nick Watney 55 119 388
395 James Morrison 56 119 389
396 Jens Dantorp 31 119 394
397 Sean Crocker 54 119 385
398 JC Ritchie 33 119 383
399 Alejandro Del Rey 21 118 381
400 Soren Kjeldsen 48 116 411
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

John Deere Classic Power Ratings

July 3, 2023 Thomas Hawley ,

Russell Henley and Denny McCarthy stand out among entries in this week’s John Deere Classic in Silvis IL. They are the two highest-ranked players in the field, they are both coming in with some good momentum in recent months, and both have one career top-10 in the event, McCarthy sixth last year and Henley as runner-up in 2019.

Henley gets the edge on performance in this event, since McCarthy has missed the cut here in 2021 and 2019. Henley is having a strong season, steadily picking up pieces of purses. Other than a missed cut at the PGA, he has not been out of the top 20 since the Palmer in early March, stacking up a fourth-place finish in the Masters and seven other top-20s. He’s also a pretty good fit for the course. McCarthy also has one clunker in there during the first half of 2023, a missed cut at the Schwab, but he boasts two top-10s in his last three appearances and four top-20s since March.

Players with strong games tee-to-green have been most successful here over the past eight years. By that measure, Kevin Yu and Cameron Young look like good fits for the TPC Deere Run course. Yu is in the top 2 percent of players in shots gained off the tee and top quarter in shots gained in approach. Young is in the top 10 percent of players in shots gained off the tee and top quarter in shots gained in approach. Among those showing improved results in recent events are Doug Ghim (three straight top-20s), Emiliano Grillo (won Schwab), and Eric Cole (top 10 in the Canadian and two other top-25s in the last month).

Russell Henley
Russell Henley
Pick Player Power Number Observed Odds Course fit
1 Russell Henley 19.4 12-1 69.0
2 Denny McCarthy 22.5 13-1 69.3
3 Adam Schenk 39.5 30-1 69.3
4 Adam Hadwin 40.6 30-1 69.1
5 Cameron Young 43.1 35-1 68.6
6 Emiliano Grillo 43.1 35-1 68.9
7 Seamus Power 45.0 40-1 69.5
8 Keith Mitchell 45.2 40-1 68.8
9 Eric Cole 46.2 45-1 69.4
10 Taylor Moore 46.7 45-1 69.2
11 Patrick Rodgers 48.0 50-1 69.2
12 Matt Kuchar 48.7 50-1 69.2
13 Nick Taylor 49.5 55-1 69.2
14 JT Poston 50.2 55-1 69.2
15 Lucas Glover 50.4 55-1 69.1
16 Taylor Montgomery 50.4 55-1 69.7
17 Chris Kirk 50.5 60-1 69.2
18 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 51.2 60-1 69.5
19 Alex Smalley 51.5 60-1 69.0
20 Ludvig Aberg 52.5 70-1
21 Michael Kim 52.9 70-1 69.2
22 Chez Reavie 53.6 75-1 69.4
23 Sepp Straka 53.9 75-1 68.9
24 Byeong Hun An 54.1 75-1 69.1
25 Stephan Jaeger 54.1 75-1 69.1
26 Mark Hubbard 54.6 80-1 69.1
27 Sam Ryder 55.0 85-1 69.5
28 CT Pan 55.5 90-1
29 Doug Ghim 56.2 95-1 69.4
30 Adam Svensson 56.4 95-1 69.1
31 Zac Blair 56.5 95-1 69.7
32 Brendon Todd 56.9 100-1 69.6
33 KH Lee 56.9 100-1 69.1
34 Beau Hossler 57.3 100-1 69.6
35 Ryan Moore 57.4 100-1 69.2
36 Ryan Palmer 58.5 100-1 69.0
37 Patton Kizzire 58.7 100-1 69.6
38 Nick Hardy 59.6 100-1 69.0
39 Matthew NeSmith 59.8 100-1 69.2
40 Zach Johnson 60.0 100-1 69.6
41 Kevin Streelman 60.1 100-1 69.4
42 Luke List 60.5 100-1 68.7
43 David Lipsky 60.6 100-1 69.2
44 Brandon Wu 60.8 150-1 69.2
45 SH Kim 60.9 150-1 69.3
46 Dylan Frittelli 61.1 150-1 70.1
47 Peter Malnati 61.2 150-1 70.0
48 Carson Young 61.3 150-1 69.3
49 Chesson Hadley 61.7 150-1 69.3
50 Joel Dahmen 61.8 150-1 69.1
51 Kevin Yu 62.3 150-1 68.3
52 Dylan Wu 62.3 150-1 69.1
53 Michael Thorbjornsen 62.6 150-1
54 Callum Tarren 62.8 150-1 69.4
55 Nate Lashley 63.2 200-1 69.3
56 Robby Shelton 63.5 200-1 69.4
57 Joseph Bramlett 63.7 200-1 69.0
58 Vincent Norrman 64.4 200-1 69.1
59 Trey Mullinax 64.7 200-1 69.5
60 Garrick Higgo 64.7 200-1 69.2
61 Chad Ramey 64.8 200-1 69.8
62 Adam Long 64.9 250-1 69.9
63 Aaron Baddeley 64.9 250-1 69.7
64 Troy Merritt 64.9 250-1 69.8
65 Justin Lower 65.1 250-1 69.6
66 Greyson Sigg 65.3 250-1 69.3
67 Davis Thompson 65.4 250-1 69.2
68 Ben Martin 65.6 250-1 68.9
69 Martin Laird 65.7 250-1 69.7
70 Andrew Novak 65.8 250-1 69.4
71 Webb Simpson 65.9 250-1 69.5
72 Jimmy Walker 66.0 250-1 69.6
73 Carl Yuan 66.2 300-1 69.3
74 Ben Taylor 66.3 300-1 69.5
75 Will Gordon 66.3 300-1 68.8
76 Erik van Rooyen 66.4 300-1 69.2
77 Tyler Duncan 66.4 300-1 69.1
78 David Lingmerth 66.9 300-1 69.7
79 Lanto Griffin 66.9 300-1
80 Scott Piercy 67.0 300-1 69.4
81 MJ Daffue 67.0 300-1 69.2
82 Russell Knox 67.4 350-1 69.6
83 Sam Stevens 67.8 350-1 68.9
84 Zecheng Dou 68.0 350-1 69.3
85 Austin Smotherman 68.1 400-1 69.4
86 Cameron Percy 68.1 400-1 69.4
87 Harry Higgs 68.5 400-1 70.8
88 Harrison Endycott 68.7 400-1 69.8
89 Sean O’Hair 68.7 400-1 69.3
90 Cameron Champ 69.0 400-1 69.2
91 Chris Stroud 69.3 400-1 69.2
92 Kelly Kraft 69.6 500-1 70.3
93 Kramer Hickok 69.7 500-1 69.3
94 Charley Hoffman 69.7 500-1 69.1
95 Kevin Tway 69.8 500-1 69.6
96 Jonathan Byrd 69.8 500-1 70.1
97 James Hahn 69.9 500-1 69.1
98 Doc Redman 70.1 500-1 69.6
99 Matthias Schwab 70.6 600-1 69.9
100 Scott Brown 70.8 600-1
101 Austin Cook 70.8 600-1 69.8
102 Vincent Whaley 70.9 600-1
103 Akshay Bhatia 70.9 600-1 68.8
104 Cody Gribble 71.1 600-1 69.4
105 Paul Haley 71.2 600-1
106 Brice Garnett 71.2 600-1 69.6
107 Robert Streb 71.7 600-1 69.8
108 Kevin Chappell 71.7 600-1 69.4
109 Ryan Armour 71.7 600-1 69.4
110 Richy Werenski 71.7 600-1 69.9
111 Hank Lebioda 71.8 600-1 69.7
112 Ryan Gerard 71.8 600-1 70.9
113 Brian Stuard 71.8 600-1 70.4
114 Satoshi Kodaira 71.8 600-1
115 Henrik Norlander 71.8 600-1 69.6
116 Michael Gligic 72.0 600-1 69.5
117 Matthias Schmid 72.1 600-1 69.3
118 Nick Watney 72.4 800-1 70.6
119 Seung-yul Noh 72.4 800-1 70.2
120 Andrew Landry 72.5 800-1 70.1
121 Martin Trainer 72.7 800-1 70.0
122 Brent Grant 73.3 800-1 69.3
123 Nico Echavarria 73.4 800-1 69.8
124 Brandt Snedeker 73.6 1000-1
125 Estanislao Goya 73.9 1000-1 69.6
126 Tyson Alexander 74.1 1000-1 70.0
127 Brandon Matthews 74.2 1000-1 69.3
128 Augusto Nunez 74.3 1000-1 69.3
129 Kyle Westmoreland 74.6 1000-1 69.4
130 Max McGreevy 74.7 1000-1 70.7
131 Trevor Werbylo 74.8 1000-1 70.1
132 William McGirt 74.9 1000-1
133 Kevin Roy 75.0 1000-1 69.1
134 Scott Harrington 75.1 1000-1 69.6
135 Trevor Cone 75.2 1000-1 69.4
136 Ryan Brehm 75.3 1000-1 70.0
137 Jim Herman 75.5 1000-1 69.6
138 Sung Kang 75.7 1000-1
139 Jason Dufner 75.7 1000-1 69.5
140 Ricky Barnes 76.7 1000-1
141 Wesley Bryan 76.8 1000-1
142 Brian Gay 77.6 1000-1
143 Kyle Stanley 78.1 1000-1
144 Geoff Ogilvy 78.3 1000-1
145 Jonas Blixt 78.3 1000-1
146 Tommy Gainey 78.3 1000-1
147 Grayson Murray 78.4 1000-1
148 Camilo Villegas 79.2 1000-1
149 William Mouw 79.4 1000-1
150 Greg Chalmers 79.9 1000-1
151 Derek Ernst 80.0 1000-1
152 Derek Lamely 80.1 1000-1
153 Gordon Sargent 80.4 1000-1
154 Ross Steelman 81.2 1000-1
155 Marcus Byrd 81.2 1000-1
156 Chad Collins 81.2 1000-1
157 Jay Giannetto 81.2 1000-1
158 Tommy Kuhl 81.2 1000-1
More | Less

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A look at the John Deere Classic

July 3, 2023 Thomas Hawley

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player History
Ryan Moore 0.654
Patton Kizzire 0.555
Patrick Rodgers 0.499
Zach Johnson 0.483
Scott Brown 0.462
Lucas Glover 0.454
Chesson Hadley 0.419
Adam Long 0.415

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player Rank Rating
Denny McCarthy 21 1274.8
Russell Henley 22 1273.8
Cameron Young 33 1160.2
Adam Hadwin 39 1051.6
Keith Mitchell 40 1004.5
Taylor Moore 44 950.7
Matt Kuchar 46 931.9
Seamus Power 49 918.8

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LIV Golf Invitational London Power Ratings

July 3, 2023 Thomas Hawley

Cameron Smith, the last remaining LIV player in the top 10 of the Hawley Ratings, is the top pick in this week’s LIV London event. Smith has finished in the top 10 his last six times out, including four LIV events, the U.S. Open, and the PGA. This event marks the first repeat event in the LIV Tour’s two-year history; London was the site of the first LIV event last June.


Cameron Smith
Pick Player Power Number Observed Odds
1 Cameron Smith 8.3 6-1
2 Dustin Johnson 21.8 10-1
3 Brooks Koepka 26.4 12-1
4 Talor Gooch 35.3 18-1
5 Joaquin Niemann 35.7 18-1
6 Bryson DeChambeau 37.4 20-1
7 Harold Varner 39.7 24-1
8 Patrick Reed 40.8 25-1
9 Mito Pereira 41.0 25-1
10 Cameron Tringale 46.8 35-1
11 Sergio Garcia 47.7 35-1
12 Paul Casey 49.3 40-1
13 Charles Howell 50.1 45-1
14 Branden Grace 50.9 45-1
15 Kevin Na 51.1 50-1
16 Louis Oosthuizen 51.2 50-1
17 Peter Uihlein 51.4 50-1
18 Brendan Steele 51.5 50-1
19 Pat Perez 51.5 50-1
20 Jason Kokrak 51.6 50-1
21 Charl Schwartzel 51.6 50-1
22 Sebastian Munoz 51.6 50-1
23 Abraham Ancer 53.9 60-1
24 Anirban Lahiri 55.2 70-1
25 Marc Leishman 56.1 75-1
26 Dean Burmester 57.7 85-1
27 Bubba Watson 57.9 85-1
28 Matthew Wolff 57.9 85-1
29 Matt Jones 59.2 100-1
30 Thomas Pieters 59.2 100-1
31 Carlos Ortiz 59.7 100-1
32 Richard Bland 60.1 100-1
33 Eugenio Chacarra 60.4 100-1
34 Ian Poulter 60.9 100-1
35 Henrik Stenson 62.3 100-1
36 Lee Westwood 62.9 150-1
37 David Puig 63.8 150-1
38 Phil Mickelson 63.9 150-1
39 Scott Vincent 64.0 150-1
40 Laurie Canter 65.5 200-1
41 Bernd Wiesberger 65.7 200-1
42 Graeme McDowell 65.9 200-1
43 Danny Lee 66.1 200-1
44 Chase Koepka 67.9 300-1
45 Martin Kaymer 70.3 400-1
46 James Piot 72.0 600-1
47 Jed Morgan 73.6 800-1
48 Sihwan Kim 74.8 800-1
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Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.