Investec South African Open Championship Power Ratings

February 25, 2025 Thomas Hawley ,

Dates: Feb. 27-Mar. 2, 2025. Venue: Durban CC; Durban, South Africa.
Purse: $1.5 million.

Dean Burmester
Dean Burmester
Pick Player Power Number Observed Odds
1 Dean Burmester 56.0 11-1
2 Laurie Canter 65.7 35-1
3 Shaun Norris 67.1 40-1
4 Charl Schwartzel 69.2 60-1
5 Romain Langasque 70.7 75-1
6 Jordan Smith 72.0 95-1
7 Branden Grace 72.3 100-1
8 Callum Tarren 72.3 100-1
9 Martin Couvra 72.6 100-1
10 Nathan Kimsey 74.3 100-1
11 Adrien Saddier 74.4 100-1
12 Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 74.5 100-1
13 Andy Sullivan 74.7 100-1
14 Joost Luiten 74.7 100-1
15 Jorge Campillo 75.6 150-1
16 Haotong Li 75.7 150-1
17 Jonathan Broomhead 76.1 150-1
18 Francesco Laporta 76.1 150-1
19 Maximilian Steinlechner 76.2 150-1
20 Brandon Robinson Thompson 76.3 150-1
21 Johannes Veerman 76.3 150-1
22 Zander Lombard 76.4 150-1
23 Brandon Stone 76.5 150-1
24 Alejandro Del Rey 76.5 150-1
25 Angel Ayora 76.6 150-1
26 Christian Maas 76.7 150-1
27 Gregorio De Leo 76.8 150-1
28 CJ du Plessis 76.9 150-1
29 Keith Horne 77.0 150-1
30 Martin Rohwer 77.0 150-1
31 Luke Jerling 77.0 150-1
32 Troy Merritt 77.1 150-1
33 Steven Ferreira 77.1 150-1
34 Ulrich van den Berg 77.1 150-1
35 Michael Hollick 77.1 150-1
36 Chris Paisley 77.1 150-1
37 Tristin Galant 77.1 150-1
38 Jordan Burnand 77.1 150-1
39 Astin Arthur 77.1 150-1
40 Bryan Newman 77.1 150-1
41 Charl Barnard 77.1 150-1
42 Robson Chinhoi 77.1 150-1
43 Combrinck Smit 77.1 150-1
44 Gerhard Pepler 77.1 150-1
45 Jacques P De Villiers 77.1 150-1
46 Jean-Paul Strydom 77.1 150-1
47 Matthew Spacey 77.1 150-1
48 Shubhankar Sharma 77.5 150-1
49 Richie Ramsay 77.6 150-1
50 John Parry 77.7 150-1
51 Connor Syme 77.9 150-1
52 Scott Jamieson 78.1 150-1
53 Jacques Kruyswijk 78.2 150-1
54 Ricardo Gouveia 78.2 150-1
55 Jayden Schaper 78.3 150-1
56 Freddy Schott 78.5 150-1
57 Sam Bairstow 78.5 150-1
58 Andrea Pavan 78.6 150-1
59 Brandon Wu 79.1 150-1
60 Keenan Davidse 79.4 150-1
61 Kieran Vincent 79.7 150-1
62 Oliver Lindell 79.9 150-1
63 Tapio Pulkkanen 80.5 150-1
64 Ugo Coussaud 80.7 150-1
65 Kazuma Kobori 80.7 150-1
66 Dylan Naidoo 80.9 150-1
67 Nikhil Rama 81.0 150-1
68 Casey Jarvis 81.2 150-1
69 Jovan Rebula 81.2 150-1
70 Marco Penge 81.3 150-1
71 Kristoffer Reitan 81.4 150-1
72 Wilco Nienaber 81.5 150-1
73 Darren Fichardt 81.6 150-1
74 Jaco Ahlers 81.7 150-1
75 Thomas Aiken 81.7 150-1
76 JC Ritchie 82.1 150-1
77 Joel Moscatel 82.3 150-1
78 Jamie Donaldson 82.4 150-1
79 Yurav Premlall 82.5 150-1
80 Richard Mansell 82.6 150-1
81 Justin Harding 82.6 150-1
82 Ryggs Johnston 82.9 150-1
83 Ryan Van Velzen 83.1 150-1
84 Tom Vaillant 83.1 150-1
85 Zihao Jin 83.1 150-1
86 Joshua Berry 83.1 150-1
87 Deon Germishuys 83.2 150-1
88 Daniel van Tonder 83.3 150-1
89 Dan Bradbury 83.3 150-1
90 Adrian Otaegui 83.4 150-1
91 Dylan Frittelli 83.4 150-1
92 Rhys Enoch 83.4 150-1
93 Jens Dantorp 83.5 150-1
94 Oliver Bekker 83.6 150-1
95 Jaco van Zyl 83.7 150-1
96 Manuel Elvira 83.8 150-1
97 Lyle Rowe 83.8 150-1
98 Pieter Moolman 84.0 150-1
99 Sean Crocker 84.1 150-1
100 David Ravetto 84.3 150-1
101 Benjamin Follet-Smith 84.4 150-1
102 Rupert Kaminski 84.4 150-1
103 Calum Hill 84.5 150-1
104 Neil Schietekat 84.5 150-1
105 Malcolm Mitchell 84.6 150-1
106 Rafa Cabrera Bello 84.6 150-1
107 JJ Senekal 84.7 150-1
108 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 84.8 150-1
109 Jacques Blaauw 84.9 150-1
110 Jeong Weon Ko 84.9 150-1
111 Gavin Green 85.0 150-1
112 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 85.1 150-1
113 Joel Girrbach 85.1 150-1
114 Richard Sterne 85.2 150-1
115 MJ Viljoen 85.3 150-1
116 Albert Venter 85.3 150-1
117 Kyle Barker 85.4 150-1
118 Matthias Schwab 85.4 150-1
119 Jean Hugo 85.4 150-1
120 Aaron Cockerill 85.4 150-1
121 Dylan Mostert 85.5 150-1
122 Trevor Fisher 85.5 150-1
123 Ruan Korb 85.6 150-1
124 Heinrich Bruiners 85.6 150-1
125 Hennie Otto 85.7 150-1
126 Peter Karmis 85.7 150-1
127 Marcel Siem 85.7 150-1
128 Stefan Wears-Taylor 85.7 150-1
129 Martin Vorster 85.7 150-1
130 Louis de Jager 85.7 150-1
131 Todd Clements 86.2 150-1
132 Nicolas Colsaerts 86.4 150-1
133 Dale Whitnell 86.5 150-1
134 Jordan Gumberg 87.5 150-1
135 Robin Williams 87.6 150-1
136 Lucas Bjerregaard 87.7 150-1
137 Ross Fisher 88.1 150-1
138 Simon Forsstrom 89.1 150-1
139 Louis Albertse 89.6 150-1
140 George Coetzee 89.9 150-1
141 Mikael Lindberg 90.1 150-1
142 Pierre Pineau 90.5 150-1
143 Alexander Levy 91.8 150-1
144 Bjorn Akesson 91.8 150-1
145 Matthew Baldwin 92.0 150-1
More | Less

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

WM Phoenix Open Power Ratings

February 3, 2025 Thomas Hawley ,

Dates: Feb. 6-9, 2025. Venue: TPC Scottsdale; Scottsdale AZ.
Purse: $9.2 million

Scottie Scheffler
Scottie Scheffler
Pick Player Power Number Observed Odds Course fit
1 Scottie Scheffler -15.7 7-1 70.3
2 Luke Clanton 27.4 25-1 70.2
3 Sam Burns 29.2 25-1 70.4
4 Sungjae Im 31.6 30-1 70.1
5 Justin Thomas 34.5 35-1 69.5
6 Sepp Straka 35.6 35-1 70.3
7 Hideki Matsuyama 35.9 35-1 70.6
8 Corey Conners 40.1 45-1 70.2
9 JT Poston 41.3 50-1 69.9
10 Eric Cole 41.8 50-1 70.5
11 Wyndham Clark 41.8 50-1 70
12 Denny McCarthy 42.9 55-1 70.1
13 Byeong Hun An 43.0 55-1 70.1
14 Tom Hoge 43.2 55-1 70.7
15 Tom Kim 44.0 60-1 70.3
16 Lee Hodges 44.3 60-1 70.3
17 Billy Horschel 44.3 60-1 70.3
18 Lucas Glover 44.9 65-1 70.3
19 Beau Hossler 45.2 65-1 70.1
20 Sahith Theegala 46.0 65-1 70.3
21 Maverick McNealy 46.5 70-1 70.4
22 Nick Taylor 46.6 70-1 70.2
23 Max Homa 46.7 70-1 70.4
24 JJ Spaun 47.1 70-1 70.4
25 Keith Mitchell 48.3 80-1 70.4
26 Si Woo Kim 49.3 85-1 70.3
27 Matt Fitzpatrick 49.4 85-1 70.3
28 Harry Hall 49.4 85-1 70.4
29 Austin Eckroat 49.5 85-1 70.5
30 Thomas Detry 49.7 85-1 70.4
31 Rickie Fowler 50.1 90-1 70.2
32 Brian Harman 50.2 90-1 70.9
33 Taylor Moore 50.6 90-1 70.1
34 Cameron Young 51.1 95-1 70.1
35 Min Woo Lee 51.5 100-1 70.2
36 Akshay Bhatia 52.2 100-1 70.8
37 Nick Dunlap 52.5 100-1 70.7
38 Andrew Novak 52.9 100-1 70.3
39 Gary Woodland 53.9 100-1 70
40 Kurt Kitayama 54.1 100-1 70.3
41 Adam Schenk 54.3 100-1 70.6
42 CT Pan 54.5 100-1 70.7
43 Robert MacIntyre 54.6 100-1 70.2
44 Matt Kuchar 55.3 100-1 70
45 Alex Smalley 55.4 100-1 70.1
46 Ben Griffin 55.4 100-1 70
47 Davis Thompson 55.8 100-1 70.3
48 Max Greyserman 55.9 100-1 70.1
49 Sam Stevens 56.3 150-1 70.7
50 Adam Hadwin 56.5 150-1 70.4
51 Vince Whaley 56.5 150-1 70.5
52 Bud Cauley 56.6 150-1 70.8
53 Mac Hughes 57.1 150-1 70.1
54 Rasmus Hojgaard 57.2 150-1 69.9
55 Charley Hoffman 57.3 150-1 70.1
56 Andrew Putnam 57.4 150-1 70.8
57 Chris Kirk 58.3 150-1 70.3
58 Mark Hubbard 58.7 150-1 70.6
59 Sam Ryder 58.9 150-1 70.6
60 Michael Thorbjornsen 59.2 200-1 70.4
61 Seamus Power 59.4 200-1 70.5
62 Webb Simpson 59.5 200-1 70.1
63 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 59.6 200-1 70.3
64 Doug Ghim 59.7 200-1 70.3
65 Emiliano Grillo 60.1 200-1 70.7
66 Nico Echavarria 60.4 200-1 70.5
67 Ryan Fox 60.4 200-1 69.9
68 Jordan Spieth 60.8 200-1 70.5
69 Adam Svensson 60.9 200-1 70.4
70 Patrick Rodgers 60.9 200-1 70.3
71 Patrick Fishburn 61.1 200-1 70.6
72 Erik van Rooyen 62.6 250-1 70.1
73 Greyson Sigg 62.9 300-1 70.5
74 Victor Perez 63.4 300-1 70.6
75 Michael Kim 63.7 300-1 70.4
76 Daniel Berger 64.0 300-1 70.1
77 KH Lee 64.0 300-1 70.2
78 Matti Schmid 64.5 350-1 70.4
79 Jesper Svensson 64.6 350-1 70.2
80 Matt Wallace 64.7 350-1
81 Ben Kohles 65.1 400-1 70
82 Carson Young 65.3 400-1 70.7
83 Nicolai Hojgaard 65.5 400-1 70.8
84 Nate Lashley 65.7 400-1 70.6
85 Kevin Yu 65.9 400-1 70.2
86 Mac Meissner 66.4 400-1 70.5
87 Ryo Hisatsune 66.7 500-1 70.2
88 Hayden Springer 66.7 500-1 70.4
89 Joel Dahmen 66.8 500-1 70.5
90 Patton Kizzire 67.4 500-1 70.3
91 Rico Hoey 67.7 500-1 70.5
92 Brice Garnett 68.0 600-1 70.4
93 Jacob Bridgeman 68.1 600-1 70.8
94 Lanto Griffin 68.1 600-1 70.8
95 Vincent Norrman 68.2 600-1 70.6
96 Matthieu Pavon 68.2 600-1 71.1
97 David Lipsky 68.2 600-1 70.7
98 Brendon Todd 68.4 600-1 70.9
99 Jake Knapp 68.8 600-1 70.7
100 Henrik Norlander 69.3 600-1 70.6
101 Luke List 69.6 800-1 70.7
102 Taylor Montgomery 69.7 800-1 70.4
103 Chan Kim 70.0 800-1 70.7
104 Joe Highsmith 70.1 800-1 70
105 Niklas Norgaard 70.2 800-1 71
106 Kevin Streelman 70.5 800-1 70.6
107 Chad Ramey 70.6 800-1 70.9
108 Ben Martin 70.7 800-1 70.4
109 Will Gordon 70.9 1000-1 70.8
110 Camilo Villegas 72.4 1000-1 69.8
111 Thriston Lawrence 72.7 1000-1 70.3
112 Ben Silverman 72.7 1000-1 70.4
113 Frankie Capan 72.8 1000-1 70.4
114 Trey Mullinax 72.9 1000-1 69.6
115 Rikuya Hoshino 73.2 1000-1 70.3
116 Kris Ventura 73.3 1000-1 70
117 Paul Waring 73.5 1000-1
118 Antoine Rozner 74.1 1000-1 70.5
119 Chez Reavie 74.1 1000-1 69.8
120 Sami Valimaki 74.4 1000-1 70.9
121 Nick Hardy 75.0 1000-1 70.9
122 Brandt Snedeker 75.1 1000-1 70.6
123 Chandler Phillips 75.7 1000-1 70.6
124 Chris Gotterup 75.7 2000-1 71.1
125 Max McGreevy 75.9 2000-1 70.7
126 Peter Malnati 76.0 2000-1 70.2
127 Ryan Palmer 76.1 2000-1 70.6
128 Jose Luis Ballester Barrio 77.1 2000-1
129 Jesse Mueller 77.1 2000-1
130 Matt McCarty 77.1 2000-1 70.8
131 David Skinns 78.0 2000-1 70.2
132 Rafael Campos 79.5 2000-1 70.8
133 Davis Riley 82.4 2000-1 70.5
134 Kevin Kisner 83.3 2000-1
135 Steven Fisk 83.4 2000-1 70.3
136 Taylor Dickson 83.7 2000-1 70.8
137 Tim Widing 85.0 2000-1 69.8
More | Less

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A look at the WM Phoenix Open

February 3, 2025 Thomas Hawley

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .590 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player History
Justin Thomas 0.861
Scottie Scheffler 0.702
Hideki Matsuyama 0.635
Jordan Spieth 0.554
Billy Horschel 0.531
Charley Hoffman 0.527
Sam Burns 0.488
Keith Mitchell 0.465

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player Rank Rating
Scottie Scheffler 1 3014.0
Hideki Matsuyama 10 1547.1
Sam Burns 11 1539.7
Sungjae Im 12 1531.2
Luke Clanton 13 1505.9
Corey Conners 16 1425.4
Justin Thomas 17 1406.4
Wyndham Clark 19 1334.5

Read more

LIV Riyadh Power Ratings

February 3, 2025 Thomas Hawley

Dates: Feb. 6-8, 2025. Venue: Riyadh GC; Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Purse: $20 million (individuals), $5 million (teams).

Tyrrell Hatton
Tyrrell Hatton
Pick Player Power Number Observed Odds
1 Tyrrell Hatton 32.3 5-1
2 Jon Rahm 33.5 5-1
3 Bryson DeChambeau 44.7 10-1
4 Joaquin Niemann 49.6 15-1
5 Cameron Smith 49.6 15-1
6 Brooks Koepka 50.3 16-1
7 Patrick Reed 50.3 16-1
8 Sergio Garcia 56.5 25-1
9 Dean Burmester 60.8 40-1
10 Abraham Ancer 61.2 40-1
11 Lucas Herbert 61.3 40-1
12 Louis Oosthuizen 62.7 50-1
13 Paul Casey 64.6 65-1
14 Dustin Johnson 64.6 65-1
15 Marc Leishman 64.7 65-1
16 Cameron Tringale 64.9 70-1
17 Richard Bland 65.1 70-1
18 Talor Gooch 65.9 80-1
19 Sebastian Munoz 66.0 80-1
20 David Puig 66.0 80-1
21 Kevin Na 66.1 80-1
22 Jason Kokrak 68.3 100-1
23 Charles Howell 68.4 100-1
24 Carlos Ortiz 68.6 100-1
25 Charl Schwartzel 70.1 150-1
26 Brendan Steele 70.4 150-1
27 Adrian Meronk 70.8 150-1
28 Branden Grace 70.9 150-1
29 Sam Horsfield 71.0 150-1
30 Anirban Lahiri 71.1 150-1
31 Matthew Wolff 71.9 200-1
32 Henrik Stenson 72.3 200-1
33 Mito Pereira 72.4 200-1
34 Thomas Pieters 72.5 200-1
35 Matt Jones 73.4 250-1
36 Peter Uihlein 73.9 250-1
37 Harold Varner 74.1 300-1
38 Caleb Surratt 74.4 300-1
39 Tom McKibbin 75.4 350-1
40 Graeme McDowell 75.6 350-1
41 Andy Ogletree 75.7 350-1
42 Ian Poulter 76.0 350-1
43 Martin Kaymer 76.6 350-1
44 Phil Mickelson 77.0 350-1
45 Yubin Jang 77.1 350-1
46 Max Lee 77.1 350-1
47 Lee Westwood 77.2 350-1
48 Ben Campbell 77.6 350-1
49 Danny Lee 77.6 350-1
50 Bubba Watson 79.2 350-1
51 Jinichiro Kozuma 79.7 350-1
52 Luis Masaveu 81.3 350-1
53 Frederik Kjettrup 83.2 350-1
54 Anthony Kim 84.3 350-1
More | Less

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Commercial Bank Qatar Masters Power Ratings

February 3, 2025 Thomas Hawley ,

Dates: Feb. 6-9, 2025. Venue: Doha GC; Doha, Qatar.
Purse: $2.5 million.

Laurie Canter
Laurie Canter
Pick Player Power Number Observed Odds
1 Laurie Canter 65.7 30-1
2 Jorge Campillo 66.3 35-1
3 Jordan Smith 68.3 50-1
4 Callum Tarren 71.7 85-1
5 Daniel Hillier 72.1 95-1
6 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 72.5 100-1
7 Matthew Jordan 73.9 100-1
8 Julien Guerrier 74.0 100-1
9 Nathan Kimsey 74.2 100-1
10 Martin Couvra 74.2 100-1
11 Scott Jamieson 74.2 100-1
12 Johannes Veerman 74.5 100-1
13 David Micheluzzi 74.7 100-1
14 Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 75.1 100-1
15 Marcus Armitage 75.5 150-1
16 Troy Merritt 75.5 150-1
17 Hamish Brown 75.6 150-1
18 Alejandro Del Rey 75.6 150-1
19 Adrien Dumont de Chassart 76.2 150-1
20 Guido Migliozzi 76.3 150-1
21 Shubhankar Sharma 76.3 150-1
22 Gregorio De Leo 76.4 150-1
23 joe Dean 76.4 150-1
24 Antoine Rozner 76.4 150-1
25 Adrien Saddier 76.5 150-1
26 Alvaro Quiros 76.6 150-1
27 Adam Bresnu 76.6 150-1
28 Francesco Laporta 76.7 150-1
29 Ugo Coussaud 76.9 150-1
30 Davis Bryant 77.0 150-1
31 Shergo Al Kurdi 77.0 150-1
32 Tadea Tetak 77.1 150-1
33 Dan Erickson 77.1 150-1
34 Jean Bekirian 77.1 150-1
35 Saleh Al Kaabi 77.1 150-1
36 Daniil Sokolov 77.1 150-1
37 Dominic McGlinchey 77.1 150-1
38 Calum Fitzgerald 77.1 150-1
39 Albert Boneta 77.1 150-1
40 Bastien Amat 77.1 150-1
41 Danny List 77.1 150-1
42 Inhoi Hur 77.1 150-1
43 Ricardo Gouveia 77.2 150-1
44 Jason Scrivener 77.2 150-1
45 Richie Ramsay 77.9 150-1
46 Haotong Li 78.0 150-1
47 Elvis Smylie 78.2 150-1
48 Keita Nakajima 78.3 150-1
49 Angel Ayora 78.5 150-1
50 Andrew Wilson 78.7 150-1
51 Ewen Ferguson 78.8 150-1
52 Brandon Wu 78.8 150-1
53 Andy Sullivan 79.0 150-1
54 Frederic LaCroix 79.5 150-1
55 Corey Shaun 79.7 150-1
56 Kazuma Kobori 79.8 150-1
57 Alexander George Frances 79.9 150-1
58 Brandon Robinson Thompson 80.0 150-1
59 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 80.1 150-1
60 Eddie Pepperell 80.1 150-1
61 Wil Besseling 80.1 150-1
62 Andrea Pavan 80.1 150-1
63 Daniel Brown 80.2 150-1
64 Marcus Kinhult 80.3 150-1
65 John Parry 80.4 150-1
66 Callum Shinkwin 80.6 150-1
67 Mk Kim 80.6 150-1
68 Jayden Schaper 80.6 150-1
69 Casey Jarvis 80.8 150-1
70 Marcel Schneider 80.8 150-1
71 Sam Bairstow 80.9 150-1
72 Joshua Grenville-Wood 81.0 150-1
73 Oliver Lindell 81.3 150-1
74 Wilco Nienaber 81.4 150-1
75 Darius van Driel 81.5 150-1
76 Ryggs Johnston 81.5 150-1
77 Takumi Kanaya 81.5 150-1
78 Jacob Skov Olesen 81.6 150-1
79 Adrian Otaegui 81.6 150-1
80 Richard Mansell 81.8 150-1
81 Brandon Stone 81.9 150-1
82 Niklas Lemke 81.9 150-1
83 Alex Fitzpatrick 81.9 150-1
84 Joel Moscatel 82.0 150-1
85 Tapio Pulkkanen 82.2 150-1
86 Ding Wenyi 82.3 150-1
87 Yannik Paul 82.3 150-1
88 Justin Harding 82.4 150-1
89 Darren Fichardt 82.4 150-1
90 Maximilian Kieffer 82.6 150-1
91 Jacques Kruyswijk 82.6 150-1
92 Clement Sordet 82.6 150-1
93 Tom Vaillant 82.9 150-1
94 Hiroshi Iwata 82.9 150-1
95 Bernd Wiesberger 83.0 150-1
96 Dan Bradbury 83.0 150-1
97 Jens Dantorp 83.6 150-1
98 Dylan Frittelli 83.8 150-1
99 Kristoffer Reitan 83.8 150-1
100 Alexander Knappe 83.9 150-1
101 Wooyoung Cho 84.1 150-1
102 Joakim Lagergren 84.2 150-1
103 Sean Crocker 84.2 150-1
104 Benjamin Follet-Smith 84.3 150-1
105 Manuel Elvira 84.4 150-1
106 Rafa Cabrera Bello 84.5 150-1
107 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 84.6 150-1
108 Fabrizio Zanotti 84.7 150-1
109 Nacho Elvira 84.8 150-1
110 Deon Germishuys 84.8 150-1
111 Pablo Larrazabal 84.9 150-1
112 Joshua Berry 84.9 150-1
113 Veer Ahlawat 85.0 150-1
114 Jannik De Bruyn 85.0 150-1
115 David Ravetto 85.1 150-1
116 Jeff Winther 85.1 150-1
117 Joel Girrbach 85.2 150-1
118 Jeong Weon Ko 85.3 150-1
119 Chris Wood 85.3 150-1
120 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 85.3 150-1
121 Zihao Jin 85.5 150-1
122 Matthias Schwab 85.6 150-1
123 Todd Clements 85.7 150-1
124 Dale Whitnell 85.9 150-1
125 Gavin Green 85.9 150-1
126 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 85.9 150-1
127 Grant Forrest 86.3 150-1
128 Lucas Bjerregaard 86.4 150-1
129 Yuto Katsuragawa 86.4 150-1
130 Daniel Gale 86.4 150-1
131 Jordan Gumberg 86.5 150-1
132 Robin Williams 86.5 150-1
133 Marcel Siem 86.5 150-1
134 Ryan Van Velzen 86.7 150-1
135 Ben Schmidt 86.7 150-1
136 Jack Senior 87.0 150-1
137 Thomas Aiken 87.0 150-1
138 Aaron Cockerill 87.1 150-1
139 Nicolas Colsaerts 87.4 150-1
140 Angel Hidalgo 87.7 150-1
141 Louis de Jager 87.8 150-1
142 Benjamin Hebert 88.1 150-1
143 Ross Fisher 88.3 150-1
144 Simon Forsstrom 88.5 150-1
145 Louis Albertse 89.6 150-1
146 Mikael Lindberg 89.9 150-1
147 Alexander Levy 91.5 150-1
148 George Coetzee 91.5 150-1
149 Conor Purcell 91.5 150-1
150 Pierre Pineau 91.9 150-1
151 Matthew Baldwin 92.9 150-1
152 Daniel Gavins 93.4 150-1
More | Less

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (Feb. 2, 2025)

February 3, 2025 Thomas Hawley

Scottie Scheffler, in action for the second week in a row this week, is in his 90th straight week at no. 1.
# Thru Feb. 2, 2025 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Scottie Scheffler 43 3014 1
2 Xander Schauffele 45 2478 2
3 Rory McIlroy 48 2327 3
4 Collin Morikawa 48 1959 4
5 Patrick Cantlay 43 1849 5
6 Russell Henley 44 1829 7
7 Ludvig Aberg 44 1646 6
8 Tommy Fleetwood 52 1636 8
9 Viktor Hovland 42 1596 10
10 Hideki Matsuyama 47 1547 9
11 Sam Burns 49 1540 12
12 Sungjae Im 56 1531 11
13 Luke Clanton 10 1506 13
14 Adam Scott 48 1460 16
15 Shane Lowry 52 1427 21
16 Corey Conners 50 1425 14
17 Justin Thomas 45 1406 15
18 Tyrrell Hatton 50 1336 18
19 Wyndham Clark 50 1334 17
20 Tony Finau 48 1319 23
21 Jon Rahm 39 1316 19
22 Sepp Straka 58 1273 28
23 Keegan Bradley 47 1241 20
24 Jason Day 45 1232 29
25 Alex Noren 47 1222 25
26 Cam Davis 52 1217 34
27 Denny McCarthy 47 1213 22
28 Taylor Pendrith 56 1198 33
29 Byeong Hun An 49 1195 30
30 JT Poston 52 1194 24
31 Bryson DeChambeau 36 1161 26
32 Sahith Theegala 57 1145 27
33 Tom Kim 56 1130 42
34 Si Woo Kim 54 1113 41
35 Brian Harman 53 1104 32
36 Max Homa 49 1098 31
37 Eric Cole 66 1089 37
38 Billy Horschel 55 1084 44
39 Lucas Glover 54 1065 51
40 Harris English 50 1052 35
41 Matt Fitzpatrick 52 1043 36
42 Maverick McNealy 43 1024 40
43 Aaron Rai 58 1022 39
44 Cameron Young 49 1010 38
45 Min Woo Lee 49 1007 48
46 Tom Hoge 60 970 52
47 Beau Hossler 55 970 43
48 Austin Eckroat 53 963 59
49 Stephan Jaeger 52 955 47
50 Thomas Detry 57 952 46
51 Will Zalatoris 32 948 45
52 Lee Hodges 57 935 50
53 Taylor Moore 52 934 56
54 Akshay Bhatia 57 914 62
55 Mac Hughes 53 897 55
56 Cameron Smith 39 896 54
57 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 57 887 58
58 Kurt Kitayama 44 886 57
59 Justin Rose 47 881 80
60 JJ Spaun 54 880 60
61 Jordan Spieth 42 870 49
62 Brooks Koepka 37 860 64
63 Rickie Fowler 48 858 53
64 Ben Griffin 64 846 61
65 Max Greyserman 51 839 63
66 Joaquin Niemann 44 825 65
67 Keith Mitchell 52 824 68
68 Nick Taylor 53 820 70
69 Robert MacIntyre 63 812 69
70 Davis Thompson 52 812 66
71 Emiliano Grillo 50 805 71
72 Andrew Novak 54 796 83
73 Seamus Power 47 788 82
74 Nick Dunlap 31 788 67
75 Adam Hadwin 50 770 72
76 Patrick Rodgers 57 765 79
77 Adam Schenk 58 748 75
78 Chris Kirk 48 747 73
79 Mark Hubbard 63 746 74
80 Sam Stevens 60 728 91
81 Sergio Garcia 34 726 78
82 Andrew Putnam 52 722 81
83 Harry Hall 55 722 76
84 Patrick Reed 45 695 77
85 Jhonattan Vegas 33 679 86
86 Doug Ghim 56 677 84
87 Matt Kuchar 51 674 87
88 Dean Burmester 43 673 88
89 Brendon Todd 52 672 85
90 Ryan Fox 52 668 89
91 Vince Whaley 18 658 92
92 Adam Svensson 59 653 93
93 Nico Echavarria 57 650 90
94 Charley Hoffman 48 648 94
95 Gary Woodland 44 627 111
96 Michael Thorbjornsen 18 624 96
97 Victor Perez 49 622 95
98 Alex Smalley 55 618 98
99 Louis Oosthuizen 37 610 100
100 Matthieu Pavon 56 610 97
101 Abraham Ancer 34 601 101
102 Justin Lower 61 600 99
103 Nicolai Hojgaard 56 600 102
104 Rasmus Hojgaard 48 599 120
105 Michael Kim 53 590 103
106 Greyson Sigg 56 589 104
107 KH Lee 58 586 105
108 Erik van Rooyen 59 585 107
109 Patrick Fishburn 52 585 106
110 Dustin Johnson 36 566 110
111 CT Pan 39 561 112
112 Thorbjorn Olesen 55 559 108
113 Matt Wallace 62 559 114
114 Daniel Berger 31 557 113
115 Richard Bland 33 556 115
116 Sam Ryder 56 549 117
117 Talor Gooch 34 545 118
118 Cameron Tringale 29 544 109
119 Kevin Yu 45 525 119
120 Carson Young 55 523 122
121 Paul Casey 30 521 116
122 Matti Schmid 63 520 123
123 Marc Leishman 31 515 124
124 Neal Shipley 13 514 121
125 Ryo Hisatsune 65 509 125
126 Mac Meissner 48 508 127
127 Laurie Canter 42 504 133
128 Jordan Smith 55 501 126
129 Lucas Herbert 40 493 129
130 Sebastian Munoz 33 490 128
131 Kevin Na 29 484 131
132 David Puig 48 483 140
133 Hayden Springer 35 482 132
134 Webb Simpson 30 471 136
135 Jacob Bridgeman 52 471 137
136 Charles Howell 23 470 135
137 Jake Knapp 48 468 146
138 Bud Cauley 20 468 138
139 Carlos Ortiz 34 462 130
140 Matteo Manassero 35 461 139
141 Matthew Jordan 52 457 134
142 Chad Ramey 56 446 142
143 Tom McKibbin 54 444 145
144 Niklas Norgaard 54 442 143
145 Chandler Phillips 50 439 149
146 Nate Lashley 52 437 147
147 Rico Hoey 54 436 148
148 Jesper Svensson 32 435 152
149 Adrian Meronk 50 434 150
150 Romain Langasque 59 434 144
151 Thriston Lawrence 57 433 151
152 Joel Dahmen 56 433 153
153 Antoine Rozner 52 427 154
154 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 20 426 141
155 Luke List 55 426 156
156 Henrik Norlander 54 421 157
157 Jason Kokrak 32 417 158
158 Dylan Wu 55 414 160
159 Joe Highsmith 46 408 162
160 Taylor Montgomery 45 407 164
161 Zac Blair 49 407 161
162 Ewen Ferguson 55 404 159
163 David Lipsky 55 402 166
164 Brendan Steele 31 400 165
165 Chan Kim 51 399 167
166 Jorge Campillo 64 398 173
167 Alexander Bjork 42 395 168
168 Wesley Bryan 37 393 171
169 Patton Kizzire 53 392 169
170 Chesson Hadley 50 391 163
171 Kelly Kraft 41 389 174
172 Garrick Higgo 55 389 172
173 Anirban Lahiri 38 387 170
174 Ben Kohles 51 384 176
175 Kevin Streelman 48 380 175
176 Branden Grace 38 376 177
177 Ben Silverman 45 374 179
178 Sebastian Soderberg 47 373 182
179 Julien Guerrier 51 370 185
180 Henrik Stenson 31 370 178
181 Matthew Wolff 28 369 181
182 Zach Johnson 38 367 184
183 Mito Pereira 34 365 180
184 Vincent Whaley 28 365 187
185 Sam Horsfield 21 363 186
186 Lanto Griffin 48 360 189
187 Daniel Hillier 53 358 188
188 Johannes Veerman 50 357 183
189 Stewart Cink 35 349 194
190 Charl Schwartzel 39 348 193
191 Guido Migliozzi 53 342 191
192 Nick Hardy 61 340 195
193 Robby Shelton 54 339 197
194 Thomas Pieters 39 339 196
195 Joe Dean 8 336 198
196 Justin Suh 58 334 192
197 Martin Laird 50 332 200
198 Brice Garnett 44 330 201
199 Harold Varner 33 328 190
200 Will Gordon 45 326 203
201 Kramer Hickok 26 325 202
202 Yannik Paul 55 324 199
203 Joost Luiten 52 323 215
204 Sami Valimaki 50 323 205
205 Shaun Norris 26 323 206
206 Eugenio Chacarra 42 320 213
207 Scott Stallings 30 320 207
208 Nathan Kimsey 19 320 209
209 Matt Jones 35 318 208
210 Paul Waring 50 317 212
211 Vincent Norrman 49 317 210
212 Ryan Moore 50 316 218
213 SH Kim 62 312 214
214 Matthew NeSmith 53 311 216
215 Keita Nakajima 37 310 204
216 Peter Uihlein 41 309 217
217 Kevin Tway 52 308 222
218 Alex Fitzpatrick 49 306 211
219 Carl Yuan 54 303 219
220 Davis Riley 53 302 224
221 David Micheluzzi 39 297 221
222 Connor Syme 55 295 226
223 Francesco Laporta 40 294 241
224 Peter Malnati 59 292 231
225 Joseph Bramlett 47 292 225
226 David Skinns 47 292 234
227 David Lingmerth 23 291 223
228 joe Dean 10 291 271
229 Sam Bairstow 37 289 233
230 Caleb Surratt 21 288 220
231 Troy Merritt 55 288 227
232 Chez Reavie 52 287 230
233 Shubhankar Sharma 52 284 228
234 Yuta Sugiura 15 283 238
235 Ben Martin 41 279 229
236 Adrien Saddier 49 279 240
237 Ugo Coussaud 38 279 232
238 Kensei Hirata 26 276 243
239 Padraig Harrington 28 276 235
240 Brandon Stone 38 274 236
241 Aaron Baddeley 47 274 246
242 Danny Willett 33 271 247
243 Brandon Wu 56 271 239
244 Rikuya Hoshino 50 271 250
245 Ryan Gerard 54 270 249
246 Brandon Robinson Thompson 14 267 309
247 Richard Mansell 52 266 244
248 Alejandro Del Rey 52 266 245
249 Peter Kuest 42 266 242
250 Andy Ogletree 27 265 237
251 Hennie du Plessis 28 264 254
252 Tyler Duncan 54 263 253
253 Jeff Winther 50 263 248
254 Andy Sullivan 60 263 252
255 Alejandro Tosti 54 262 255
256 Zander Lombard 41 260 256
257 Grant Forrest 49 260 251
258 Graeme McDowell 31 256 258
259 Ian Poulter 30 255 257
260 Bernd Wiesberger 41 253 259
261 Frederic LaCroix 38 252 260
262 Pierceson Coody 56 250 265
263 Kevin Roy 54 249 263
264 Trey Mullinax 30 249 261
265 Richie Ramsay 49 246 289
266 Phil Mickelson 35 245 262
267 Kevin Chappell 43 244 266
268 Trace Crowe 53 239 264
269 Hayden Buckley 51 238 268
270 Martin Kaymer 30 238 272
271 Adrian Otaegui 58 237 269
272 Sean Crocker 50 236 267
273 Scott Vincent 40 235 274
274 Callum Tarren 57 235 295
275 Rafael Campos 55 235 275
276 Chris Gotterup 52 232 279
277 Haotong Li 46 232 283
278 Calum Hill 51 232 276
279 Daniel Brown 56 232 304
280 Lee Westwood 27 231 278
281 Austin Smotherman 56 230 281
282 Jayden Schaper 45 230 270
283 Jason Scrivener 50 226 277
284 Frankie Capan 48 224 285
285 Tom Vaillant 30 221 273
286 Ryan Palmer 43 221 284
287 Adrien Dumont de Chassart 43 220 300
288 Marcus Armitage 54 219 282
289 Andrew Johnston 15 218 286
290 Max Schmitt 10 217 288
291 Ryutaro Nagano 15 217 287
292 Dan Bradbury 55 216 293
293 Camilo Villegas 55 216 294
294 Kris Ventura 47 216 296
295 Marcel Siem 48 215 290
296 Jimmy Stanger 35 214 301
297 Robin Williams 21 212 280
298 Fabrizio Zanotti 46 210 292
299 Danny Lee 35 210 299
300 Pat Perez 32 209 297
301 Pablo Larrazabal 45 208 339
302 John Catlin 51 206 298
303 Brett White 8 204 310
304 Shimizu Taisei 16 204 303
305 Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 35 204 341
306 Jackson Suber 48 204 306
307 Elvis Smylie 11 202 305
308 Scott Jamieson 49 198 324
309 Cameron Champ 52 198 302
310 Angel Ayora 13 194 291
311 Julien Brun 31 194 311
312 Andrew Wilson 39 193 307
313 Aldrich Potgieter 38 192 316
314 Michael Block 10 192 308
315 Gavin Green 57 190 318
316 Jacques Kruyswijk 33 189 319
317 Casey Jarvis 44 189 329
318 Estanislao Goya 24 188 321
319 Darius van Driel 55 188 314
320 Maximilian Kieffer 50 187 312
321 Ben Campbell 25 186 322
322 Andrea Pavan 37 184 350
323 Taiga Semikawa 27 184 313
324 Ratchanon Chantananuwat 11 184 325
325 Marcus Helligkilde 30 183 326
326 Marcus Kinhult 46 183 317
327 Marcel Schneider 54 183 358
328 John Parry 34 180 320
329 Paul Peterson 54 179 331
330 Tapio Pulkkanen 29 179 385
331 Bubba Watson 30 178 328
332 Ren Yonezawa 12 178 330
333 Matthew Southgate 60 176 327
334 Ricky Castillo 41 176 334
335 Jimmy Walker 34 175 315
336 Todd Clements 55 172 332
337 Max McGreevy 61 172 338
338 Jinichiro Kozuma 34 171 336
339 Brandt Snedeker 40 171 335
340 Ricardo Gouveia 39 170 363
341 Joel Moscatel 10 169 323
342 David Law 51 168 342
343 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 35 167 333
344 Scott Piercy 50 167 344
345 Ryo Ishikawa 21 166 347
346 Jim Knous 10 166 359
347 Matt McCarty 55 166 345
348 Nicholas Lindheim 27 165 346
349 Yuto Katsuragawa 41 164 337
350 Seung-yul Noh 51 164 340
351 Nacho Elvira 56 163 343
352 Jens Fahrbring 13 163 354
353 Aaron Cockerill 53 163 352
354 Ryosuke Kinoshita 22 160 357
355 Tom Whitney 50 159 356
356 Callum Shinkwin 42 158 349
357 Keenan Davidse 13 157 361
358 Matthew Baldwin 60 157 353
359 Kieran Vincent 39 157 351
360 Nick Bachem 49 156 362
361 Tyson Alexander 58 155 360
362 Kalle Samooja 45 154 355
363 Isaiah Salinda 49 154 368
364 Eddie Pepperell 45 153 366
365 Ding Wenyi 13 152 348
366 Kazuma Kobori 18 152 392
367 Ryan McCormick 53 151 364
368 MJ Maguire 11 148 374
369 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 35 148 365
370 Angel Hidalgo 58 147 367
371 Joshua Grenville-Wood 9 146 373
372 Jens Dantorp 56 144 411
373 Jason Dufner 31 144 371
374 Max Rottluff 32 144 380
375 Nicolas Colsaerts 39 144 381
376 James Hahn 33 144 372
377 Ross Fisher 50 143 397
378 Takumi Kanaya 33 142 377
379 Thomas Aiken 45 142 370
380 Harry Higgs 51 141 378
381 Daan Huizing 47 139 384
382 Roger Sloan 47 139 376
383 Ryan Brehm 53 139 375
384 John Axelsen 31 139 383
385 David Ravetto 55 137 379
386 Travis Smyth 26 136 408
387 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 53 136 382
388 Alistair Docherty 49 134 404
389 Luke Donald 34 134 386
390 Dylan Naidoo 12 133 389
391 Satoshi Kodaira 35 133 391
392 Parker Coody 42 132 395
393 Richard T Lee 18 131 434
394 Yuki Inamori 18 131 394
395 Freddy Schott 55 131 393
396 Zecheng Dou 51 130 401
397 Russell Knox 49 130 388
398 Lukas Nemecz 50 128 398
399 Christo Lamprecht 22 128 387
400 Lucas Bjerregaard 13 128 369
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Power Ratings

January 27, 2025 Thomas Hawley ,

Dates: Jan. 30-Feb. 2, 2025. Venues: Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill GC; Pebble Beach CA.
Purse: $20 million

Scottie Scheffler
Scottie Scheffler
Pick Player Power Number Actual Finish
1 Scottie Scheffler -18.9 9
2 Collin Morikawa 7.0 17
3 Rory McIlroy 8.0 1
4 Ludvig Aberg 14.7 WD
5 Patrick Cantlay 16.4 33
6 Sungjae Im 19.6 33
7 Justin Thomas 21.8 48
8 Russell Henley 23.6 5
9 Sam Burns 23.9 22
10 Hideki Matsuyama 24.4 48
11 Tommy Fleetwood 27.1 22
12 Wyndham Clark 28.0 73
13 Keegan Bradley 31.2 65
14 Corey Conners 31.6 65
15 Adam Scott 31.7 22
16 Maverick McNealy 33.9 40
17 Taylor Pendrith 35.4 9
18 Shane Lowry 35.8 2
19 Viktor Hovland 36.1 22
20 Sepp Straka 37.2 7
21 Beau Hossler 37.9 69
22 Lee Hodges 39.0 33
23 Denny McCarthy 40.1 58
24 JT Poston 40.1 53
25 Sahith Theegala 40.4 53
26 Thomas Detry 41.0 48
27 Tom Hoge 41.6 17
28 Jason Day 42.2 13
29 Tony Finau 42.3 13
30 JJ Spaun 42.5 33
31 Harry Hall 43.6 58
32 Nick Taylor 43.9 33
33 Ben Griffin 44.1 69
34 Max Greyserman 44.6 WD
35 Byeong Hun An 44.9 22
36 Cam Davis 45.0 5
37 Eric Cole 45.1 22
38 Harris English 45.3 73
39 Nico Echavarria 45.8 77
40 Aaron Rai 46.4 40
41 Cameron Young 46.8 72
42 Mac Hughes 47.1 40
43 Billy Horschel 47.6 9
44 Mark Hubbard 48.0 73
45 Max Homa 48.1 53
46 Will Zalatoris 48.1 48
47 Robert MacIntyre 48.1 40
48 Brian Harman 49.4 53
49 Jordan Spieth 49.5 69
50 Stephan Jaeger 49.5 40
51 Rickie Fowler 50.0 53
52 Matt Fitzpatrick 50.2 48
53 Keith Mitchell 50.8 33
54 Tom Kim 51.0 7
55 Kurt Kitayama 51.4 DNP
56 Patrick Fishburn 51.7 DNP
57 Austin Eckroat 51.7 13
58 Lucas Glover 51.9 3
59 Andrew Novak 52.4 13
60 Akshay Bhatia 52.8 22
61 Si Woo Kim 53.1 12
62 Nick Dunlap 53.2 58
63 Charley Hoffman 53.4 DNP
64 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 53.5 40
65 Min Woo Lee 53.5 17
66 Davis Thompson 53.9 58
67 Taylor Moore 54.4 22
68 Justin Lower 55.2 62
69 Patrick Rodgers 55.3 22
70 Alex Smalley 55.9 DNP
71 Adam Hadwin 56.9 65
72 Jhonattan Vegas 57.5 40
73 Seamus Power 57.9 17
74 Doug Ghim 58.0 68
75 Emiliano Grillo 58.4 DNP
76 Gary Woodland 58.5 22
77 Chris Kirk 58.8 62
78 Kevin Yu 59.1 64
79 Rasmus Hojgaard 60.1 22
80 Matthieu Pavon 60.3 73
81 Brendon Todd 60.9 78
82 Erik van Rooyen 61.4 40
83 Victor Perez 61.9 DNP
84 Justin Rose 62.0 3
85 Jake Knapp 66.5 33
86 Patton Kizzire 68.4 DNP
87 Peter Malnati 73.8 DNP
88 Rafael Campos 75.3 DNP
Sam Stevens late entry 21
More | Less
Feb. 3, 2025. The accuracy number for these picks is 153. The average is 181. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A look at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

January 27, 2025 Thomas Hawley

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .590 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player History
Jason Day 0.704
Patrick Cantlay 0.608
Beau Hossler 0.608
Jordan Spieth 0.585
Tom Hoge 0.558
Peter Malnati 0.542
Nick Taylor 0.509
Seamus Power 0.474

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player Rank Rating
Scottie Scheffler 1 2981.8
Rory McIlroy 3 2206.5
Collin Morikawa 4 1922.0
Patrick Cantlay 5 1894.1
Ludvig Aberg 6 1707.4
Russell Henley 7 1702.0
Tommy Fleetwood 8 1622.3
Hideki Matsuyama 9 1591.8

Read more

Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (Jan. 26, 2025)

January 27, 2025 Thomas Hawley

Scottie Scheffler, back in action this week, is in his 89th straight week at no. 1.
# Thru Jan. 26, 2025 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Scottie Scheffler 43 2982 1
2 Xander Schauffele 46 2480 2
3 Rory McIlroy 48 2207 3
4 Collin Morikawa 48 1922 4
5 Patrick Cantlay 43 1894 5
6 Ludvig Aberg 43 1707 6
7 Russell Henley 44 1702 7
8 Tommy Fleetwood 52 1622 8
9 Hideki Matsuyama 47 1592 9
10 Viktor Hovland 42 1584 10
11 Sungjae Im 56 1551 12
12 Sam Burns 49 1521 11
13 Luke Clanton 10 1510 17
14 Corey Conners 50 1482 13
15 Justin Thomas 45 1451 14
16 Adam Scott 47 1438 15
17 Wyndham Clark 50 1396 16
18 Tyrrell Hatton 51 1347 18
19 Jon Rahm 40 1332 19
20 Keegan Bradley 47 1291 23
21 Shane Lowry 52 1285 20
22 Denny McCarthy 47 1264 22
23 Tony Finau 48 1241 21
24 JT Poston 52 1224 24
25 Alex Noren 48 1212 26
26 Bryson DeChambeau 35 1196 28
27 Sahith Theegala 57 1175 25
28 Sepp Straka 57 1170 30
29 Jason Day 45 1159 29
30 Byeong Hun An 48 1157 31
31 Max Homa 49 1139 27
32 Brian Harman 53 1133 32
33 Taylor Pendrith 56 1097 41
34 Cam Davis 51 1097 33
35 Harris English 50 1091 45
36 Matt Fitzpatrick 52 1070 36
37 Eric Cole 65 1061 34
38 Cameron Young 49 1053 38
39 Aaron Rai 58 1034 35
40 Maverick McNealy 43 1032 39
41 Si Woo Kim 54 1031 37
42 Tom Kim 56 1027 40
43 Beau Hossler 55 1004 46
44 Billy Horschel 55 986 43
45 Will Zalatoris 31 980 44
46 Thomas Detry 56 966 53
47 Stephan Jaeger 52 962 42
48 Min Woo Lee 48 947 47
49 Jordan Spieth 42 934 48
50 Lee Hodges 57 925 63
51 Lucas Glover 54 923 51
52 Tom Hoge 60 913 54
53 Rickie Fowler 48 905 52
54 Cameron Smith 39 904 56
55 Mac Hughes 53 900 57
56 Taylor Moore 52 898 50
57 Kurt Kitayama 45 889 49
58 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 57 887 59
59 Austin Eckroat 52 881 55
60 JJ Spaun 54 871 67
61 Ben Griffin 63 870 58
62 Akshay Bhatia 57 869 62
63 Max Greyserman 51 867 60
64 Brooks Koepka 38 865 61
65 Joaquin Niemann 44 838 65
66 Davis Thompson 52 832 66
67 Nick Dunlap 30 822 68
68 Keith Mitchell 52 814 69
69 Robert MacIntyre 63 814 71
70 Nick Taylor 53 813 70
71 Emiliano Grillo 51 808 64
72 Adam Hadwin 50 802 72
73 Chris Kirk 48 776 74
74 Mark Hubbard 63 765 73
75 Adam Schenk 59 750 78
76 Harry Hall 54 742 77
77 Patrick Reed 44 728 80
78 Sergio Garcia 35 724 79
79 Patrick Rodgers 57 723 76
80 Justin Rose 46 722 75
81 Andrew Putnam 53 722 83
82 Seamus Power 47 716 82
83 Andrew Novak 53 708 104
84 Doug Ghim 56 698 81
85 Brendon Todd 52 697 84
86 Jhonattan Vegas 33 684 85
87 Matt Kuchar 52 679 87
88 Dean Burmester 43 673 90
89 Ryan Fox 53 671 86
90 Nico Echavarria 56 667 91
91 Sam Stevens 59 665 114
92 Vince Whaley 18 656 95
93 Adam Svensson 60 656 88
94 Charley Hoffman 49 650 97
95 Victor Perez 49 624 92
96 Michael Thorbjornsen 18 623 89
97 Matthieu Pavon 56 623 94
98 Alex Smalley 55 620 93
99 Justin Lower 61 615 96
100 Louis Oosthuizen 38 611 99
101 Abraham Ancer 33 607 100
102 Nicolai Hojgaard 56 600 102
103 Michael Kim 53 590 98
104 Greyson Sigg 57 583 127
105 KH Lee 59 583 125
106 Patrick Fishburn 53 581 103
107 Erik van Rooyen 59 577 105
108 Thorbjorn Olesen 54 576 107
109 Cameron Tringale 28 572 108
110 Dustin Johnson 36 570 109
111 Gary Woodland 44 566 110
112 CT Pan 39 561 113
113 Daniel Berger 31 559 106
114 Matt Wallace 63 557 111
115 Richard Bland 33 556 115
116 Paul Casey 29 552 117
117 Sam Ryder 57 550 120
118 Talor Gooch 34 548 116
119 Kevin Yu 44 546 112
120 Rasmus Hojgaard 47 543 118
121 Neal Shipley 12 537 101
122 Carson Young 55 525 119
123 Matti Schmid 63 517 131
124 Marc Leishman 31 515 121
125 Ryo Hisatsune 66 506 122
126 Jordan Smith 55 505 124
127 Mac Meissner 49 504 123
128 Sebastian Munoz 32 497 126
129 Lucas Herbert 41 494 129
130 Carlos Ortiz 34 491 130
131 Kevin Na 29 484 133
132 Hayden Springer 35 483 189
133 Laurie Canter 42 474 137
134 Matthew Jordan 52 474 132
135 Charles Howell 23 474 135
136 Webb Simpson 31 472 136
137 Jacob Bridgeman 53 469 134
138 Bud Cauley 20 468 138
139 Matteo Manassero 35 462 155
140 David Puig 47 461 149
141 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 19 461 128
142 Chad Ramey 57 446 143
143 Niklas Norgaard 55 443 140
144 Romain Langasque 59 442 139
145 Tom McKibbin 55 442 142
146 Jake Knapp 48 437 161
147 Nate Lashley 53 436 147
148 Rico Hoey 55 435 144
149 Chandler Phillips 51 435 146
150 Adrian Meronk 50 434 148
151 Thriston Lawrence 58 434 145
152 Jesper Svensson 32 434 141
153 Joel Dahmen 57 429 192
154 Antoine Rozner 53 427 151
155 Michael Thompson 8 425 156
156 Luke List 56 423 153
157 Henrik Norlander 54 421 152
158 Jason Kokrak 33 419 157
159 Ewen Ferguson 55 417 154
160 Dylan Wu 54 415 150
161 Zac Blair 49 409 167
162 Joe Highsmith 47 407 159
163 Chesson Hadley 50 407 162
164 Taylor Montgomery 46 404 158
165 Brendan Steele 32 402 163
166 David Lipsky 56 402 160
167 Chan Kim 52 396 169
168 Alexander Bjork 43 395 178
169 Patton Kizzire 54 392 168
170 Anirban Lahiri 37 391 166
171 Wesley Bryan 38 389 196
172 Garrick Higgo 56 389 164
173 Jorge Campillo 64 388 165
174 Kelly Kraft 42 383 175
175 Kevin Streelman 49 382 217
176 Ben Kohles 52 382 173
177 Branden Grace 39 380 171
178 Henrik Stenson 31 374 174
179 Ben Silverman 46 373 170
180 Mito Pereira 35 373 172
181 Matthew Wolff 28 371 177
182 Sebastian Soderberg 47 369 195
183 Johannes Veerman 50 367 187
184 Zach Johnson 39 366 179
185 Julien Guerrier 51 366 176
186 Sam Horsfield 21 364 181
187 Vincent Whaley 28 362 184
188 Daniel Hillier 53 357 180
189 Lanto Griffin 48 357 250
190 Harold Varner 32 355 183
191 Guido Migliozzi 52 353 182
192 Justin Suh 57 348 188
193 Charl Schwartzel 40 347 190
194 Stewart Cink 36 346 194
195 Nick Hardy 61 343 186
196 Thomas Pieters 39 339 185
197 Robby Shelton 54 338 199
198 Joe Dean 8 335 198
199 Yannik Paul 55 335 191
200 Martin Laird 51 332 193
201 Brice Garnett 44 327 205
202 Kramer Hickok 27 325 203
203 Will Gordon 45 323 302
204 Keita Nakajima 36 323 197
205 Sami Valimaki 51 322 259
206 Shaun Norris 26 321 230
207 Scott Stallings 31 320 206
208 Matt Jones 36 319 209
209 Nathan Kimsey 20 319 207
210 Vincent Norrman 49 319 218
211 Alex Fitzpatrick 48 317 201
212 Paul Waring 51 316 202
213 Eugenio Chacarra 42 316 212
214 SH Kim 61 316 204
215 Joost Luiten 51 316 208
216 Matthew NeSmith 54 312 214
217 Peter Uihlein 42 312 213
218 Ryan Moore 51 312 215
219 Carl Yuan 53 312 200
220 Caleb Surratt 20 310 220
221 David Micheluzzi 38 307 219
222 Kevin Tway 53 307 221
223 David Lingmerth 23 305 211
224 Davis Riley 54 304 210
225 Joseph Bramlett 46 297 216
226 Connor Syme 55 297 233
227 Troy Merritt 55 296 224
228 Shubhankar Sharma 51 294 223
229 Ben Martin 40 292 229
230 Chez Reavie 53 292 228
231 Peter Malnati 60 291 225
232 Ugo Coussaud 37 290 240
233 Sam Bairstow 36 290 241
234 David Skinns 48 289 226
235 Padraig Harrington 27 287 222
236 Brandon Stone 37 286 227
237 Andy Ogletree 27 285 234
238 Yuta Sugiura 15 283 237
239 Brandon Wu 56 282 231
240 Adrien Saddier 49 279 248
241 Francesco Laporta 39 278 235
242 Peter Kuest 41 278 232
243 Kensei Hirata 25 277 247
244 Richard Mansell 52 275 236
245 Alejandro Del Rey 52 275 270
246 Aaron Baddeley 47 274 262
247 Danny Willett 33 271 422
248 Jeff Winther 50 271 238
249 Ryan Gerard 55 270 299
250 Rikuya Hoshino 51 270 239
251 Grant Forrest 49 266 242
252 Andy Sullivan 60 264 251
253 Tyler Duncan 54 264 244
254 Hennie du Plessis 29 262 249
255 Alejandro Tosti 55 259 245
256 Zander Lombard 42 258 253
257 Ian Poulter 30 257 252
258 Graeme McDowell 32 256 254
259 Bernd Wiesberger 40 256 243
260 Frederic LaCroix 38 251 267
261 Trey Mullinax 31 250 246
262 Phil Mickelson 35 249 261
263 Kevin Roy 54 249 256
264 Trace Crowe 52 246 257
265 Pierceson Coody 56 245 260
266 Kevin Chappell 43 245 263
267 Sean Crocker 50 245 258
268 Hayden Buckley 52 242 255
269 Adrian Otaegui 58 240 265
270 Jayden Schaper 45 240 264
271 joe Dean 9 237 419
272 Martin Kaymer 30 236 273
273 Tom Vaillant 29 234 269
274 Scott Vincent 40 233 272
275 Rafael Campos 56 232 271
276 Calum Hill 52 232 268
277 Jason Scrivener 49 231 305
278 Lee Westwood 27 231 276
279 Chris Gotterup 53 230 313
280 Robin Williams 20 228 266
281 Austin Smotherman 56 227 277
282 Marcus Armitage 54 225 312
283 Haotong Li 46 224 294
284 Ryan Palmer 44 223 275
285 Frankie Capan 49 222 282
286 Andrew Johnston 15 220 285
287 Ryutaro Nagano 15 219 283
288 Max Schmitt 10 217 291
289 Richie Ramsay 49 216 280
290 Marcel Siem 48 216 279
291 Angel Ayora 12 215 309
292 Fabrizio Zanotti 46 215 281
293 Dan Bradbury 55 215 284
294 Camilo Villegas 56 214 290
295 Callum Tarren 57 213 286
296 Kris Ventura 48 213 507
297 Pat Perez 32 213 289
298 John Catlin 51 212 293
299 Danny Lee 36 212 292
300 Adrien Dumont de Chassart 42 212 287
301 Jimmy Stanger 36 211 288
302 Cameron Champ 52 204 296
303 Shimizu Taisei 16 204 300
304 Daniel Brown 56 203 303
305 Elvis Smylie 11 202 274
306 Jackson Suber 48 201 298
307 Andrew Wilson 38 200 315
308 Michael Block 10 200 297
309 Brandon Robinson Thompson 13 199 278
310 Brett White 9 199 310
311 Julien Brun 32 196 308
312 Maximilian Kieffer 50 195 325
313 Taiga Semikawa 27 193 301
314 Darius van Driel 55 192 331
315 Jimmy Walker 34 192 295
316 Aldrich Potgieter 38 191 451
317 Marcus Kinhult 46 190 311
318 Gavin Green 57 189 307
319 Jacques Kruyswijk 32 188 314
320 John Parry 34 187 306
321 Estanislao Goya 24 186 317
322 Ben Campbell 26 185 318
323 Joel Moscatel 9 185 441
324 Scott Jamieson 49 184 359
325 Ratchanon Chantananuwat 12 183 326
326 Marcus Helligkilde 31 183 320
327 Matthew Southgate 60 183 321
328 Bubba Watson 30 180 324
329 Casey Jarvis 43 178 316
330 Ren Yonezawa 12 178 328
331 Paul Peterson 55 178 322
332 Todd Clements 55 177 323
333 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 35 176 319
334 Ricky Castillo 41 175 480
335 Brandt Snedeker 40 172 373
336 Jinichiro Kozuma 35 171 335
337 Yuto Katsuragawa 41 171 327
338 Max McGreevy 62 171 330
339 Pablo Larrazabal 44 170 329
340 Seung-yul Noh 51 167 340
341 Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 34 167 396
342 David Law 51 167 344
343 Nacho Elvira 56 167 336
344 Scott Piercy 51 166 332
345 Matt McCarty 56 166 337
346 Nicholas Lindheim 27 165 346
347 Ryo Ishikawa 21 165 347
348 Ding Wenyi 13 165 338
349 Callum Shinkwin 41 164 339
350 Andrea Pavan 36 163 341
351 Kieran Vincent 39 162 348
352 Aaron Cockerill 52 162 342
353 Matthew Baldwin 60 162 343
354 Jens Fahrbring 14 162 351
355 Kalle Samooja 45 161 352
356 Tom Whitney 50 160 349
357 Ryosuke Kinoshita 23 160 354
358 Marcel Schneider 54 160 345
359 Jim Knous 11 159 304
360 Tyson Alexander 57 157 357
361 Keenan Davidse 13 157 355
362 Nick Bachem 50 157 358
363 Ricardo Gouveia 38 157 361
364 Ryan McCormick 53 155 353
365 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 34 154 350
366 Eddie Pepperell 46 153 360
367 Angel Hidalgo 57 152 356
368 Isaiah Salinda 50 152 376
369 Lucas Bjerregaard 12 147 333
370 Thomas Aiken 44 147 382
371 Jason Dufner 32 146 365
372 James Hahn 34 146 367
373 Joshua Grenville-Wood 9 146 334
374 MJ Maguire 11 144 371
375 Ryan Brehm 53 143 368
376 Roger Sloan 47 143 372
377 Takumi Kanaya 34 143 362
378 Harry Higgs 51 142 366
379 David Ravetto 55 142 407
380 Max Rottluff 31 142 374
381 Nicolas Colsaerts 39 141 364
382 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 53 139 431
383 John Axelsen 32 139 375
384 Daan Huizing 47 138 378
385 Tapio Pulkkanen 29 138 363
386 Luke Donald 34 136 377
387 Christo Lamprecht 21 135 425
388 Russell Knox 49 134 414
389 Dylan Naidoo 12 133 387
390 Jannik De Bruyn 17 133 369
391 Satoshi Kodaira 35 132 381
392 Kazuma Kobori 17 131 370
393 Freddy Schott 56 130 379
394 Yuki Inamori 19 130 386
395 Parker Coody 42 130 388
396 Doc Redman 52 130 385
397 Ross Fisher 50 129 380
398 Lukas Nemecz 50 128 389
399 Masahiro Kawamura 40 126 394
400 Karl Vilips 12 126 392
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Farmers Insurance Open Power Ratings

January 20, 2025 Thomas Hawley ,

Dates: Jan. 22-25, 2025 (NOTE: Wednesday thru Saturday). Venue: Torrey Pines (North, South); La Jolla CA.
Purse: $9.3 million


Ludvig Aberg
Pick Player Power Number Observed Odds Course fit
1 Ludvig Aberg 23.9 18-1 72.3
2 Sungjae Im 30.5 22-1 72.3
3 Luke Clanton 31.8 25-1
4 Hideki Matsuyama 32.0 25-1 72.3
5 Keegan Bradley 37.6 30-1 72.3
6 Eric Cole 38.0 30-1 72.4
7 Maverick McNealy 38.2 30-1 72.4
8 Shane Lowry 38.7 35-1 72.2
9 Sahith Theegala 38.8 35-1 72.4
10 Aaron Rai 41.5 40-1 72.1
11 Jason Day 42.8 40-1 72.5
12 Tony Finau 42.8 40-1 72.3
13 Beau Hossler 42.8 40-1 72.5
14 Max Homa 43.4 45-1 72.4
15 Stephan Jaeger 45.7 50-1 72.4
16 Ben Griffin 45.8 50-1 72.4
17 Taylor Pendrith 46.5 55-1 72.5
18 Kurt Kitayama 47.0 55-1 72.2
19 Max Greyserman 47.2 55-1 72.5
20 Lee Hodges 49.3 65-1 72.2
21 JJ Spaun 49.4 65-1 72.3
22 Harry Hall 49.8 65-1 72.4
23 Si Woo Kim 49.9 65-1 72.2
24 Mark Hubbard 50.1 70-1 72.2
25 Will Zalatoris 50.1 70-1 72.3
26 Austin Eckroat 50.7 70-1 72.2
27 Harris English 51.0 75-1 72.4
28 Thomas Detry 51.1 75-1 72.5
29 Taylor Moore 51.8 80-1 72.4
30 Mac Hughes 52.2 80-1 72.6
31 Patrick Rodgers 52.9 85-1 72.4
32 Doug Ghim 54.1 95-1 72.1
33 Alex Smalley 54.9 100-1 72.3
34 Akshay Bhatia 54.9 100-1 72.3
35 Patrick Fishburn 55.1 100-1 72.3
36 Emiliano Grillo 55.4 100-1 72.3
37 Justin Lower 55.8 100-1 72.4
38 Jhonattan Vegas 55.9 100-1 72.3
39 Michael Thorbjornsen 56.9 100-1
40 Michael Kim 57.1 100-1 72.4
41 Justin Rose 57.4 100-1 72.4
42 Andrew Putnam 57.9 100-1 72.3
43 Andrew Novak 58.0 100-1 72.3
44 Adam Schenk 58.2 100-1 72.4
45 Vince Whaley 58.5 100-1
46 Daniel Berger 58.7 100-1 72.1
47 Adam Svensson 58.8 100-1 72.2
48 Charley Hoffman 59.0 150-1 72.3
49 Kevin Yu 59.0 150-1 72.3
50 Victor Perez 59.0 150-1 72.3
51 Gary Woodland 59.5 150-1 72.4
52 Erik van Rooyen 60.0 150-1 72.4
53 Carson Young 60.1 150-1 72.2
54 Sam Ryder 60.4 150-1 72.2
55 Mac Meissner 61.2 150-1 72.3
56 Matthieu Pavon 61.7 200-1 72.3
57 KH Lee 62.0 200-1 72.4
58 Matti Schmid 62.2 200-1
59 Matt Wallace 62.2 200-1 72.4
60 Joe Highsmith 62.2 200-1 72.3
61 Sam Stevens 62.4 200-1 72.5
62 Rico Hoey 62.5 200-1 72.3
63 Greyson Sigg 62.5 200-1 72.2
64 Ryo Hisatsune 62.7 200-1 72.3
65 David Lipsky 63.5 250-1 72.2
66 Chandler Phillips 64.3 250-1 72.3
67 Niklas Norgaard 64.4 250-1
68 Jesper Svensson 64.9 300-1
69 Jacob Bridgeman 65.4 300-1 72.5
70 Henrik Norlander 65.4 300-1 72.2
71 Hayden Springer 65.8 300-1 72.4
72 Chan Kim 66.0 350-1 72.2
73 Dylan Wu 66.6 350-1 72.3
74 Thriston Lawrence 66.6 350-1 72.2
75 Antoine Rozner 66.8 350-1
76 Wesley Bryan 66.9 400-1 72.3
77 Nate Lashley 67.0 400-1 72.2
78 Chesson Hadley 67.4 400-1 72.4
79 Luke List 67.7 400-1 72.4
80 Garrick Higgo 68.0 400-1 72.5
81 Chad Ramey 68.3 500-1 72.4
82 Zac Blair 68.7 500-1 72.2
83 Matteo Manassero 68.9 500-1
84 Zach Johnson 69.3 500-1 72.3
85 Nick Hardy 69.7 600-1 72.3
86 Jake Knapp 69.8 600-1 72.4
87 Joel Dahmen 69.9 600-1 72.1
88 SH Kim 70.2 600-1 72.6
89 Kevin Tway 70.8 600-1 72.4
90 Joseph Bramlett 71.0 600-1 72.3
91 Pierceson Coody 71.1 800-1 72.5
92 Kevin Streelman 71.2 800-1 72.3
93 Taylor Montgomery 71.3 800-1 72.7
94 Ben Silverman 71.4 800-1
95 Troy Merritt 71.5 800-1 72.2
96 Lanto Griffin 71.6 800-1 72.3
97 Carl Yuan 71.9 800-1 72.3
98 Davis Riley 72.1 800-1 72.5
99 David Skinns 72.1 800-1 72.4
100 Peter Malnati 73.2 1000-1 72.6
101 Alejandro Tosti 73.4 1000-1 72.5
102 Vincent Norrman 73.5 1000-1 72.3
103 Sami Valimaki 73.8 1000-1 72.4
104 Kevin Roy 73.9 1000-1
105 Frankie Capan 74.1 1000-1
106 Hayden Buckley 74.2 1000-1 72.3
107 Rafael Campos 74.4 1000-1 72.3
108 Paul Peterson 74.8 1000-1
109 Rikuya Hoshino 74.9 1000-1
110 Aaron Baddeley 75.7 1000-1 72.5
111 Trey Mullinax 75.9 1000-1
112 Ryan Gerard 76.0 1000-1
113 Jackson Suber 76.1 1000-1
114 Chris Gotterup 76.4 1000-1 72.6
115 Ryan Palmer 76.7 1000-1 72.3
116 Koivun Jackson 76.8 1000-1
117 Camilo Villegas 76.9 1000-1 72.3
118 Thomas Rosenmueller 77.0 1000-1
119 Kris Ventura 77.0 1000-1
120 Cavin McCall 77.1 1000-1
121 Max McGreevy 77.8 1000-1
122 Will Gordon 78.8 1000-1
123 Harry Higgs 79.1 1000-1
124 Matt McCarty 79.2 1000-1
125 Quade Cummins 80.3 1000-1
126 Takumi Kanaya 80.6 1000-1
127 Brandt Snedeker 80.6 1000-1 72.4
128 Brian Campbell 80.8 1000-1
129 Isaiah Salinda 80.9 1000-1
130 Aldrich Potgieter 81.0 1000-1
131 Francesco Molinari 81.1 1000-1
132 William Mouw 81.1 1000-1
133 Matthew Riedel 81.2 1000-1
134 Danny Willett 81.4 1000-1
135 Bronson Burgoon 81.6 1000-1
136 Will Chandler 81.7 1000-1
137 Steven Fisk 81.8 1000-1
138 Jeremy Paul 82.1 1000-1
139 Trevor Cone 82.1 1000-1
140 Ricky Castillo 82.3 1000-1
141 Braden Thornberry 82.6 1000-1
142 Danny Walker 82.6 1000-1
143 Taylor Dickson 82.7 1000-1
144 Tim Widing 82.9 1000-1
145 Noah Goodwin 82.9 1000-1
146 John Pak 83.0 1000-1
147 Cristobal Del Solar 83.4 1000-1
148 Kevin Velo 83.4 1000-1
149 Norman Xiong 83.7 1000-1
150 Philip Knowles 83.7 1000-1
151 Mason Andersen 84.1 1000-1
152 Kaito Onishi 84.4 1000-1
153 Anders Albertson 85.2 1000-1
154 Scott Gutschewski 85.5 1000-1
155 Willie Mack 85.6 1000-1
More | Less

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A look at the Farmers Insurance Open

January 20, 2025 Thomas Hawley

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .590 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player History
Tony Finau 0.760
Hideki Matsuyama 0.643
Luke List 0.589
Max Homa 0.574
Jason Day 0.556
Justin Rose 0.487
Sungjae Im 0.478
Ryan Palmer 0.472

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player Rank Rating
Ludvig Aberg 6 1751.5
Hideki Matsuyama 9 1615.7
Sungjae Im 12 1482.0
Luke Clanton 17 1394.8
Shane Lowry 20 1332.8
Tony Finau 21 1293.1
Keegan Bradley 23 1250.8
Sahith Theegala 25 1207.1

Read more

Ras Al Khaimah Championship Power Ratings

January 20, 2025 Thomas Hawley ,

Dates: Jan. 23-26, 2025. Venue: Al Hamra GC, Ras Al Khaimah, UAE.
Purse: $2.5 million.


Ryan Fox
Pick Player Power Number Observed Odds Course fit
1 Ryan Fox 56.9 20-1 71.1
2 Patrick Reed 57.8 22-1
3 Romain Langasque 61.7 35-1 71.2
4 Thorbjorn Olesen 62.7 40-1 71.4
5 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 62.8 40-1 70.7
6 Jordan Smith 62.8 40-1 70.8
7 Julien Guerrier 62.9 40-1 70.9
8 Matthew Jordan 63.5 40-1
9 Francesco Laporta 65.2 55-1 71.3
10 Tom McKibbin 65.2 55-1 71.3
11 Andy Sullivan 66.4 65-1 71
12 Daniel Hillier 66.8 65-1 71
13 Elvis Smylie 67.0 70-1 70.8
14 David Puig 67.1 70-1
15 Ewen Ferguson 67.2 70-1
16 Ryggs Johnston 67.2 70-1 71
17 John Parry 67.4 75-1 71
18 Brandon Stone 67.7 80-1 70.9
19 Jorge Campillo 67.7 80-1 71.3
20 Marcus Kinhult 67.8 80-1 70.9
21 David Micheluzzi 68.1 85-1 71
22 Adrien Saddier 68.1 85-1 70.7
23 Alex Fitzpatrick 68.4 90-1 71.2
24 Johannes Veerman 68.8 95-1
25 Keita Nakajima 69.0 95-1
26 Adrian Otaegui 69.2 100-1 71.1
27 Angel Ayora 69.4 100-1 70.7
28 Guido Migliozzi 69.5 100-1
29 Ugo Coussaud 69.8 100-1 71.3
30 Frederic LaCroix 70.1 100-1 71.1
31 Freddy Schott 70.2 100-1 70.9
32 Brandon Wu 70.2 100-1 71.3
33 Paul Waring 70.4 100-1
34 Martin Couvra 70.5 100-1 71.2
35 Casey Jarvis 70.7 100-1 70.9
36 Oliver Lindell 71.0 100-1 71.3
37 Benjamin Hebert 71.0 100-1 71.3
38 Andreas Halvorsen 71.3 100-1 71.7
39 Jayden Schaper 71.3 100-1 71.6
40 Richard Mansell 71.6 150-1 71.2
41 Sean Crocker 71.6 150-1 70.8
42 Corey Shaun 71.7 150-1 70.9
43 Thomas Pieters 71.7 150-1
44 Andrea Pavan 71.7 150-1 70.9
45 Marcel Schneider 71.8 150-1 70.9
46 Hamish Brown 71.8 150-1 70.9
47 Ben Schmidt 71.9 150-1 71.8
48 Adrien Dumont de Chassart 72.0 150-1 71.3
49 Nacho Elvira 72.1 150-1 71.1
50 Ding Wenyi 72.2 150-1 71.5
51 Shaun Norris 72.2 150-1
52 Sam Bairstow 72.3 150-1 71.7
53 joe Dean 72.6 150-1
54 Scott Jamieson 72.6 150-1 70.4
55 Sebastian Soderberg 72.7 150-1
56 Darius van Driel 72.8 150-1 71.2
57 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 72.9 150-1 70.8
58 Jacob Skov Olesen 73.2 200-1 71.1
59 Alexander Bjork 73.3 200-1
60 Joost Luiten 73.4 200-1
61 Padraig Harrington 73.5 200-1
62 Mk Kim 73.6 200-1 72
63 Kazuma Kobori 73.6 200-1 71.3
64 Dylan Frittelli 73.7 200-1 71.5
65 Bernd Wiesberger 73.9 200-1 71.3
66 Brandon Robinson Thompson 74.0 200-1 71.3
67 Ryan Van Velzen 74.0 200-1 71
68 Dale Whitnell 74.0 200-1 71.4
69 Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 74.1 200-1 70.8
70 Dan Bradbury 74.1 200-1 70.6
71 Wilco Nienaber 74.4 200-1 71.6
72 Yannik Paul 74.6 200-1
73 Joel Girrbach 74.9 250-1 71.2
74 Robin Williams 74.9 250-1 71.3
75 Lucas Bjerregaard 75.1 250-1 71.9
76 Jeff Winther 75.1 250-1
77 Shubhankar Sharma 75.1 250-1
78 Thomas Aiken 75.1 250-1 71.6
79 Kristoffer Reitan 75.2 250-1 71.1
80 Fabrizio Zanotti 75.2 250-1
81 Daniel Brown 75.6 250-1 71.4
82 Pablo Larrazabal 75.7 250-1 72.2
83 Connor Syme 75.9 250-1 72.2
84 Manuel Elvira 75.9 250-1 71.2
85 Simon Forsstrom 75.9 250-1 71.7
86 Bjorn Akesson 76.1 250-1 71.2
87 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 76.1 250-1 71
88 Aaron Cockerill 76.2 250-1 71.1
89 Richard Sterne 76.3 250-1
90 Todd Clements 76.3 250-1 71.6
91 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 76.5 250-1 71.2
92 Callum Tarren 76.7 250-1 71.3
93 David Ravetto 76.7 250-1 71.3
94 Alejandro Del Rey 76.8 250-1
95 Haotong Li 76.8 250-1
96 Tom Vaillant 76.9 250-1
97 Daniel Gale 76.9 250-1 70.9
98 Louis de Jager 76.9 250-1 71.5
99 Zihao Jin 76.9 250-1
100 Davis Bryant 77.0 250-1
101 Mikael Lindberg 77.0 250-1
102 Jannik De Bruyn 77.0 250-1
103 Gavin Green 77.1 250-1 71.5
104 Grant Forrest 77.1 250-1
105 Joel Moscatel 77.1 250-1 71.1
106 Robert Karlsson 77.1 250-1
107 ahmad Skaik 77.1 250-1
108 Sam Mullane 77.1 250-1
109 Jonathan Selvaraj 77.1 250-1
110 Deon Germishuys 77.1 250-1 71.1
111 Jeong Weon Ko 77.2 250-1 71.4
112 Calum Hill 77.2 250-1
113 Jack Senior 77.4 250-1 71.4
114 Tapio Pulkkanen 77.5 250-1 71.6
115 Jason Scrivener 77.7 250-1
116 Ricardo Gouveia 77.8 250-1
117 Yuto Katsuragawa 77.9 250-1
118 Richie Ramsay 77.9 250-1
119 Marcel Siem 78.2 250-1
120 Andrew Wilson 78.5 250-1
121 Nicolas Colsaerts 78.5 250-1 71
122 Jimmy Walker 78.5 250-1
123 Jordan Gumberg 78.6 250-1 71.1
124 Marcus Armitage 78.8 250-1
125 Maximilian Kieffer 78.9 250-1
126 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 79.1 250-1
127 Joakim Lagergren 79.3 250-1 71.7
128 Angel Hidalgo 79.6 250-1
129 Alexander Levy 79.9 250-1 71.7
130 Matthew Baldwin 80.1 250-1
131 Joshua Grenville-Wood 80.2 250-1
132 Daniel Gavins 80.4 250-1
133 Callum Shinkwin 80.5 250-1
134 Martin Trainer 81.2 250-1 71.6
135 Dylan Naidoo 81.2 250-1
136 Ross Fisher 81.4 250-1
137 Matthias Schwab 81.6 250-1
138 Pierre Pineau 81.7 250-1 71.8
139 Jens Dantorp 81.9 250-1
140 Niklas Lemke 82.0 250-1
141 Darren Fichardt 82.2 250-1
142 Veer Ahlawat 83.2 250-1
143 Rafa Cabrera Bello 83.5 250-1
144 Alexander Knappe 84.1 250-1
145 Conor Purcell 85.3 250-1
146 George Coetzee 85.8 250-1
More | Less

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.