A Look at Golf – Page 32 – Alookatgolf provides information for the professional golf fan, fantasy golf enthusiast, and daily fantasy sports golf participant. We provide true odds on U.S. and European professional golf events and accurate rankings of U.S. and European pro golfers.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Rankings (Feb. 6, 2023)

February 6, 2023 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Patrick Cantlay has been no. 1 since mid-summer, although now with a diminishing lead.

#	Thru Feb. 6, 2023	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Patrick Cantlay	41	1887	1
2	Jon Rahm	46	1834	2
3	Rory McIlroy	45	1833	3
4	Xander Schauffele	47	1661	4
5	Scottie Scheffler	54	1619	5
6	Dustin Johnson	39	1555	6
7	Cameron Smith	45	1392	7
8	Justin Thomas	46	1382	8
9	Taylor Montgomery	18	1379	9
10	Will Zalatoris	46	1350	10
11	Sungjae Im	58	1305	12
12	Tom Kim	26	1299	11
13	Max Homa	51	1277	14
14	Collin Morikawa	49	1276	13
15	Viktor Hovland	54	1264	16
16	Tony Finau	54	1231	17
17	Matthew Fitzpatrick	51	1223	15
18	Joaquin Niemann	52	1199	18
19	Sam Burns	51	1199	19
20	Daniel Berger	29	1174	20
21	Cameron Young	38	1167	22
22	Talor Gooch	51	1149	21
23	Paul Casey	36	1074	26
24	Shane Lowry	51	1067	24
25	Tyrrell Hatton	51	1062	25
26	Jordan Spieth	46	1047	23
27	Brian Harman	52	1040	27
28	Adam Scott	42	1027	28
29	Aaron Wise	46	1022	29
30	Keegan Bradley	54	1013	30
31	Corey Conners	55	1004	31
32	Seamus Power	48	989	32
33	Abraham Ancer	52	949	36
34	Tommy Fleetwood	54	929	34
35	Russell Henley	44	925	35
36	Keith Mitchell	52	920	44
37	Maverick McNealy	53	917	33
38	Hideki Matsuyama	47	908	37
39	Mito Pereira	42	907	42
40	Sahith Theegala	50	897	38
41	Alex Noren	51	888	40
42	Billy Horschel	53	887	41
43	Justin Rose	40	875	56
44	Patrick Reed	55	860	39
45	Adam Hadwin	52	859	46
46	Si Woo Kim	57	858	45
47	Jason Day	40	843	49
48	Tom Hoge	64	836	47
49	Chris Kirk	50	814	53
50	Brooks Koepka	40	801	43
51	Louis Oosthuizen	40	801	48
52	Harold Varner	51	793	50
53	Sergio Garcia	46	782	52
54	Ben Griffin	15	772	51
55	Joel Dahmen	50	763	58
56	Denny McCarthy	58	763	65
57	Taylor Moore	40	761	60
58	Andrew Putnam	60	759	57
59	Taylor Pendrith	36	759	69
60	Kevin Na	44	735	54
61	Matt Kuchar	45	733	59
62	KH Lee	57	730	61
63	Marc Leishman	51	727	73
64	Matthew Wolff	38	725	71
65	Jason Kokrak	46	708	63
66	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	53	705	64
67	Brendan Steele	45	705	67
68	JT Poston	56	703	66
69	Lucas Herbert	49	703	79
70	Bryson DeChambeau	38	703	55
71	Brendon Todd	52	701	83
72	Scott Stallings	56	701	75
73	Cameron Tringale	53	685	62
74	Kevin Kisner	50	677	74
75	Davis Riley	44	672	70
76	Cameron Davis	52	656	76
77	Mac Hughes	54	652	78
78	Pat Perez	46	646	68
79	JJ Spaun	58	642	82
80	Charles Howell	35	640	81
81	Alex Smalley	47	630	77
82	Rickie Fowler	42	620	85
83	Davis Thompson	20	618	84
84	Sebastian Munoz	56	613	80
85	Anirban Lahiri	47	602	96
86	SH Kim	21	594	87
87	Erik van Rooyen	47	589	86
88	Gary Woodland	47	586	88
89	Bubba Watson	29	584	72
90	Sepp Straka	65	583	89
91	Jhonattan Vegas	43	581	92
92	Emiliano Grillo	55	572	93
93	Hayden Buckley	42	571	95
94	Thomas Pieters	42	569	97
95	Matthew NeSmith	55	567	90
96	Wyndham Clark	57	558	102
97	Charl Schwartzel	48	555	109
98	Thomas Detry	55	555	101
99	Sadom Kaewkanjana	17	547	150
100	Troy Merritt	57	545	99
101	Trey Mullinax	40	540	98
102	Ian Poulter	55	540	100
103	David Lipsky	46	535	103
104	Branden Grace	53	533	110
105	Kurt Kitayama	51	532	108
106	Robby Shelton	37	531	118
107	Beau Hossler	53	530	122
108	Lee Westwood	45	527	94
109	Richard Bland	52	511	111
110	Webb Simpson	39	511	104
111	Harris English	42	506	112
112	Kevin Yu	19	506	152
113	Ben Taylor	28	500	107
114	Min Woo Lee	46	496	115
115	Matt Jones	50	494	105
116	Lanto Griffin	44	491	113
117	Patrick Rodgers	62	490	117
118	Lee Hodges	45	490	116
119	Ryan Palmer	47	486	114
120	Peter Uihlein	37	486	127
121	Aaron Rai	59	480	121
122	Robert MacIntyre	52	475	123
123	Nick Taylor	55	473	136
124	Rasmus Hojgaard	52	471	133
125	Francesco Molinari	39	471	124
126	Kyong-jun Moon	8	469
127	Luke List	56	468	126
128	Russell Knox	59	467	125
129	Callum Tarren	39	465	119
130	Kevin Streelman	55	465	120
131	Chase Koepka	15	460	91
132	Stephan Jaeger	48	458	128
133	Adam Svensson	44	458	129
134	Patton Kizzire	55	456	130
135	Adam Schenk	63	455	132
136	Sam Ryder	60	452	135
137	Nick Hardy	36	450	131
138	Brandon Wu	43	447	164
139	Dean Burmester	53	444	134
140	Martin Laird	47	439	138
141	Mark Hubbard	54	434	144
142	Stewart Cink	48	433	139
143	Bernd Wiesberger	48	416	151
144	Will Gordon	35	412	140
145	Eugenio Chacarra	12	411	106
146	CT Pan	46	408	147
147	Adrian Meronk	54	402	161
148	Danny Willett	53	400	148
149	Carlos Ortiz	47	398	137
150	Lucas Glover	55	398	141
151	Cameron Champ	45	397	143
152	Dylan Frittelli	61	394	145
153	Scott Piercy	55	393	146
154	Justin Lower	39	393	142
155	Greyson Sigg	48	391	149
156	Peter Malnati	59	384	184
157	Byeong Hun An	39	381	159
158	Chez Reavie	56	381	156
159	John Huh	50	379	157
160	Adam Long	58	379	153
161	Padraig Harrington	36	374	155
162	Ryan Fox	48	374	168
163	Jordan Smith	50	371	162
164	Alexander Bjork	43	371	180
165	Garrick Higgo	56	370	171
166	Nate Lashley	47	361	160
167	Adri Arnaus	51	361	179
168	Doug Ghim	52	356	167
169	Michael Thompson	48	356	169
170	Matt Wallace	59	354	166
171	Joseph Bramlett	63	350	193
172	Travis Smyth	13	348	396
173	Harry Hall	20	348	176
174	Sam Horsfield	46	348	158
175	Harry Higgs	60	348	170
176	Victor Perez	49	347	177
177	Danny Lee	48	339	175
178	Erik Barnes	18	337	165
179	Harrison Endycott	15	337	163
180	Eric Cole	17	334	240
181	Christopher Gotterup	17	331	154
182	Adrian Otaegui	59	330	174
183	Thorbjorn Olesen	45	326	209
184	James Piot	16	326	173
185	Ryan Moore	35	315	263
186	Graeme McDowell	41	313	199
187	Henrik Stenson	45	311	191
188	Aaron Baddeley	39	307	194
189	Charley Hoffman	50	302	185
190	Ryan Armour	51	300	187
191	Chesson Hadley	55	300	186
192	Phil Mickelson	32	298	172
193	Vincent Whaley	52	295	196
194	Justin Harding	48	294	182
195	Matthias Schwab	53	294	189
196	Laurie Canter	47	293	188
197	Hudson Swafford	50	291	183
198	Zach Johnson	42	291	202
199	Doc Redman	53	291	206
200	Jason Scrivener	42	288	205
201	Andrew Novak	38	287	231
202	Robert Streb	59	285	210
203	Thriston Lawrence	41	284	192
204	Hennie du Plessis	30	284	222
205	Tyson Alexander	16	284	201
206	Martin Kaymer	30	282	211
207	Justin Suh	24	282	213
208	James Hahn	47	281	200
209	Jimmy Walker	38	276	203
210	Fabrizio Zanotti	41	276	190
211	Guido Migliozzi	56	274	197
212	Hank Lebioda	51	274	246
213	Cole Hammer	16	273	178
214	Pablo Larrazabal	44	270	207
215	David Lingmerth	41	270	214
216	Nicolas Echavarria	12	263	204
217	Tyler Duncan	57	263	220
218	Johannes Veerman	51	263	230
219	Antoine Rozner	53	262	219
220	Zac Blair	10	262	195
221	Samuel Stevens	15	261	241
222	Shubhankar Sharma	54	261	269
223	Yannik Paul	34	261	208
224	Callum Shinkwin	46	260	212
225	Nicolai Hojgaard	54	260	235
226	Oliver Bekker	39	257	215
227	Cameron Percy	42	257	216
228	Matthieu Pavon	54	256	248
229	Phachara Khongwatmai	14	255	181
230	Brandt Snedeker	41	252	224
231	Jamie Donaldson	45	251	226
232	Satoshi Kodaira	53	251	244
233	Alex Fitzpatrick	8	250	228
234	Andrew Johnston	17	250	229
235	Nathan Kimsey	9	249
236	Brian Stuard	67	248	223
237	Marcel Schneider	44	246	247
238	Julien Brun	32	245	217
239	Richard Mansell	46	243	237
240	Austin Smotherman	39	243	227
241	Carl Yuan	13	243	218
242	Austin Eckroat	23	239	225
243	Sang-hyun Park	10	239	409
244	Matthias Schmid	47	237	232
245	Wade Ormsby	40	235	233
246	Ben Martin	47	232	302
247	Jinichiro Kozuma	26	230	317
248	Henrik Norlander	57	230	236
249	Brice Garnett	59	228	242
250	Rafa Cabrera Bello	57	227	281
251	Matthew Jordan	56	227	266
252	Marcus Armitage	52	226	250
253	Chris Stroud	21	226	234
254	Keita Nakajima	18	223	253
255	Marcus Helligkilde	30	222	295
256	Mikko Korhonen	39	222	257
257	Ashun Wu	45	221	243
258	Richie Ramsay	53	221	239
259	Takumi Kanaya	37	220	268
260	Paul Haley	16	220	245
261	Ryo Hisatsune	22	218	265
262	John Augenstein	14	218	198
263	Brent Grant	19	217	336
264	Edoardo Molinari	55	217	252
265	Michael Kim	35	217	356
266	Angel Hidalgo	28	217	271
267	Max McGreevy	41	215	251
268	Dale Whitnell	61	214	272
269	Tyler McCumber	26	213	267
270	Romain Langasque	56	212	256
271	Ewen Ferguson	40	211	255
272	Connor Syme	53	211	259
273	Masahiro Kawamura	54	210	273
274	Scott Jamieson	50	210	254
275	Rory Sabbatini	47	208	262
276	Hurly Long	38	208	249
277	Sean O’Hair	37	207	261
278	Ian Snyman	9	206
279	Turk Pettit	13	205	221
280	Kramer Hickok	54	205	278
281	Jorge Campillo	61	205	264
282	George Coetzee	45	204	276
283	Kevin Tway	54	203	274
284	Patrick Flavin	14	200	238
285	Grant Forrest	55	200	270
286	Jeff Winther	45	200	285
287	Chad Ramey	42	198	282
288	Sihwan Kim	41	198	260
289	Richy Werenski	57	197	315
290	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	53	197	298
291	Austin Cook	61	196	284
292	Haotong Li	35	194	289
293	Maximilian Kieffer	50	194	275
294	Dylan Wu	40	194	310
295	Calum Hill	30	193	258
296	Scott Vincent	29	192	287
297	Luke Donald	47	190	286
298	Andy Sullivan	51	190	279
299	Roger Sloan	51	188	280
300	Dan Bradbury	9	187
301	David Law	56	187	321
302	Sebastian Soderberg	53	187	294
303	William McGirt	34	186	288
304	Daniel Gavins	49	186	350
305	Jed Morgan	18	185	277
306	Kelly Kraft	46	181	293
307	Estanislao Goya	13	180	291
308	Marcus Kinhult	39	179	301
309	Ross Fisher	53	177	340
310	Joakim Lagergren	52	176	308
311	Rikuya Hoshino	33	176	382
312	Eddie Pepperell	50	175	292
313	Jazz Janewattananond	55	174	296
314	Nick Watney	54	172	303
315	Lukas Nemecz	33	171	319
316	Michael Gligic	59	170	304
317	Tapio Pulkkanen	52	170	297
318	Marcel Siem	42	169	305
319	Mikumu Horikawa	23	168	314
320	Niklas Norgaard Moller	33	166	307
321	Steve Lewton	8	165
322	Seung-yul Noh	38	164	313
323	Louis de Jager	39	164	325
324	Zecheng Dou	17	162	306
325	Sami Valimaki	48	161	309
326	Matthew Southgate	57	160	311
327	MJ Daffue	24	158	323
328	Paul Barjon	39	157	312
329	Anthony Quayle	19	157	320
330	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	12	156	283
331	Francesco Laporta	54	155	324
332	Martin Trainer	56	155	371
333	Paul Waring	37	154	327
334	Joost Luiten	46	153	316
335	Wil Besseling	51	152	364
336	Matthew Baldwin	19	152	388
337	Zander Lombard	60	152	391
338	Jbe Kruger	25	150	511
339	Kyle Westmoreland	16	148	405
340	Vaughn Taylor	45	148	332
341	Jayden Schaper	13	148	335
342	Oliver Hundebol Jorgensen	9	147
343	Tom Lewis	43	146	318
344	Andrew Landry	36	144	329
345	Chase Seiffert	42	144	339
346	John Catlin	53	143	326
347	Julien Guerrier	54	143	378
348	Jonathan Byrd	37	143	333
349	Ricardo Gouveia	30	142	342
350	Bronson Burgoon	31	142	341
351	Justin Walters	53	142	328
352	Sung Kang	58	140	369
353	Sean Crocker	56	139	331
354	Gavin Green	51	138	345
355	Bi-o Kim	10	137	290
356	Shaun Norris	38	136	343
357	Joachim B Hansen	53	135	349
358	Bo Hoag	48	135	330
359	Ryosuke Kinoshita	30	133	334
360	Michael Gellerman	13	133	300
361	Stephen Stallings	10	133	355
362	JC Ritchie	30	132	357
363	Brandon Hagy	55	131	338
364	Jack Senior	50	131	346
365	Rick Lamb	10	130	299
366	Kalle Samooja	46	130	353
367	Jacques Kruyswijk	32	129	352
368	Daniel van Tonder	54	127	348
369	Ockie Strydom	13	125	322
370	Alfredo Garcia-Heredia	35	124	347
371	Tom McKibbin	15	123	376
372	Espen Kofstad	31	123	359
373	Wilco Nienaber	42	121	367
374	Fabian Gomez	27	119	354
375	Bill Haas	52	119	361
376	Scott Gutschewski	33	119	351
377	David Horsey	50	115	375
378	Kevin Chappell	33	115	365
379	Kazuki Higa	30	115	385
380	James Morrison	57	114	362
381	Scott Brown	43	114	366
382	Vincent Norman	20	113	360
383	Renato Paratore	55	113	377
384	Soren Kjeldsen	46	113	379
385	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	46	112	368
386	Augusto Nunez	14	112	398
387	Bo Van Pelt	41	111	373
388	Jens Dantorp	20	109	358
389	Akshay Bhatia	16	109	344
390	Ben Kohles	32	109	372
391	Darius van Driel	53	109	387
392	Andrew Wilson	29	107	370
393	Chris Naegel	10	106	337
394	Oliver Wilson	53	106	380
395	Brian Gay	40	106	381
396	Jaco Prinsloo	9	105	392
397	Jonas Blixt	34	104	512
398	Todd Sinnott	15	104	363
399	Alejandro Canizares	57	103	401
400	Santiago Tarrio Ben	45	102	384
More \| Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A look at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

January 30, 2023 Thomas Hawley Analytics

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Jordan Spieth	0.826
Kevin Streelman	0.662
Nick Taylor	0.628
Troy Merritt	0.609
Russell Knox	0.517
Maverick McNealy	0.503
Tom Hoge	0.484
Joel Dahmen	0.425

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Matthew Fitzpatrick	15	1266.0
Viktor Hovland	16	1246.5
Jordan Spieth	23	1097.1
Seamus Power	32	964.5
Maverick McNealy	33	945.9
Keith Mitchell	44	860.7
Tom Hoge	47	851.4
Ben Griffin	51	838.6

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

January 30, 2023 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Mostly by virtue of being the highest-ranked player in the field, Matthew Fitzpatrick (15th in the current Hawley Ratings) shows up first in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am power ratings. Fitzpatrick’s only January appearance was at the Champions, where he finished seventh. He was sixth in this event last year, easily the best result of his three visits to the peninsula.

Viktor Hovland, also with only the Champions (where he made the top 20) on his 2023 resume, is in this event for the second time after making the cut in 2020. Jordan Spieth offers contrasts as the third-ranked choice. Compared to the rest of the field, he has the best record in this event over the last eight years, including the 2017 win, a third last year, and two other top-10s and a top 20 since 2015. The bad news on Spieth is that he hasn’t been playing well. He missed the cut at the Sony, was in the middle of the pack at the Champions, and was far back at the World Challenge and CJ Cup in late 2022.

Course-fit statistics are not very meaningful in this event that is played over three courses and thus produces a very vanilla, blended set of stats. The stat that is most highly correlated with success on the three courses is putts per GIR, but the mathematical strength is by far the lowest of any leading stat on the PGA Tour.

Matthew Fitzpatrick

Pick	Player	Power Number	Actual Finish
1	Matthew Fitzpatrick	28.1	105
2	Viktor Hovland	31.5	13
3	Jordan Spieth	32.4	63
4	Joel Dahmen	38.5	41
5	Maverick McNealy	39.2	WD
6	Tom Hoge	39.7	48
7	Seamus Power	42.1	15
8	Justin Rose	44.0	1
9	Ben Griffin	45.8	95
10	Andrew Putnam	45.8	122
11	Keith Mitchell	48.1	4
12	Matt Kuchar	48.8	95
13	Alex Smalley	51.1	65
14	Scott Stallings	53.1	15
15	Denny McCarthy	53.3	4
16	Taylor Moore	53.4	15
17	Kevin Kisner	54.3	34
18	SH Kim	54.4	41
19	Taylor Pendrith	55.0	7
20	Davis Riley	55.2	105
21	Davis Thompson	55.7	DNP
22	Robby Shelton	56.1	20
23	Callum Tarren	56.4	65
24	David Lipsky	56.4	115
25	Troy Merritt	56.4	131
26	Erik van Rooyen	56.6	105
27	Brendon Todd	56.7	2
28	Thomas Detry	57.0	37
29	Ben Taylor	57.1	105
30	Nick Taylor	57.3	20
31	Trey Mullinax	57.8	WD
32	Kevin Streelman	57.9	63
33	Kurt Kitayama	59.0	29
34	Matthew NeSmith	59.0	55
35	Russell Knox	59.1	41
36	Beau Hossler	60.1	11
37	Ryan Palmer	60.2	83
38	Lanto Griffin	61.0	58
39	Erik Barnes	61.1	105
40	Webb Simpson	61.3	131
41	Nick Hardy	61.7	41
42	Will Gordon	61.9	WD
43	Dean Burmester	62.4	41
44	Harry Higgs	62.6	48
45	Scott Piercy	63.0	122
46	Adam Schenk	63.1	37
47	Greyson Sigg	63.4	55
48	Nate Lashley	64.0	WD
49	Lucas Glover	64.1	83
50	Byeong Hun An	64.3	37
51	Dylan Frittelli	64.3	WD
52	Kevin Yu	64.5	7
53	Danny Willett	65.0	41
54	Justin Lower	65.3	105
55	Mark Hubbard	65.4	20
56	Garrick Higgo	65.6	20
57	Harrison Endycott	65.9	122
58	Aaron Baddeley	66.1	37
59	Adam Long	66.4	48
60	Harry Hall	66.4	34
61	Jimmy Walker	66.8	146
62	Peter Malnati	67.0	4
63	Brandon Wu	67.0	2
64	Joseph Bramlett	67.2	7
65	Doug Ghim	67.4	DNP
66	Charley Hoffman	67.5	48
67	Justin Suh	67.7	DNP
68	Matthias Schmid	67.8	140
69	Zac Blair	68.0	115
70	Chesson Hadley	68.1	122
71	Nicolas Echavarria	68.2	137
72	Matthias Schwab	68.2	122
73	Ryan Armour	68.3	58
74	Carl Yuan	68.5	122
75	David Lingmerth	68.5	58
76	Chris Stroud	68.6	95
77	Henrik Norlander	68.7	95
78	James Hahn	68.9	105
79	Tyson Alexander	69.0	48
80	Cameron Percy	69.0	WD
81	Doc Redman	69.2	41
82	Austin Eckroat	69.4	105
83	Andrew Novak	69.5	20
84	Vaughn Taylor	69.6	DNP
85	Eric Cole	69.8	15
86	Samuel Stevens	69.8	34
87	Brice Garnett	69.9	142
88	Brian Stuard	70.1	70
89	Luke Donald	70.2	83
90	Kevin Tway	70.4	83
91	Sean O’Hair	70.5	65
92	Kelly Kraft	70.6	115
93	Nick Watney	70.8	83
94	Paul Haley	70.8	58
95	Austin Smotherman	70.8	146
96	Seung-yul Noh	70.8	65
97	Satoshi Kodaira	70.9	29
98	Ben Martin	70.9	13
99	Ryan Moore	70.9	7
100	Hank Lebioda	71.5	15
101	Estanislao Goya	71.7	55
102	Austin Cook	71.7	115
103	Max McGreevy	71.8	83
104	William McGirt	72.0	135
105	Rory Sabbatini	72.0	135
106	Marcel Siem	72.2	83
107	Dylan Wu	72.2	29
108	Chad Ramey	72.3	70
109	Brent Grant	73.2	20
110	Brian Gay	73.2	WD
111	Fabian Gomez	73.2	65
112	Zecheng Dou	73.3	115
113	Jonathan Byrd	73.3	95
114	Michael Gligic	73.3	83
115	MJ Daffue	73.3	48
116	Richy Werenski	73.6	20
117	Michael Kim	73.7	11
118	Ted Potter	74.1	122
119	Kevin Chappell	74.1	83
120	Andrew Landry	74.2	WD
121	Augusto Nunez	74.3	48
122	Cody Gribble	74.4	70
123	Vincent Norman	74.5	131
124	Bill Haas	74.5	WD
125	Bo Van Pelt	74.7	122
126	Sung Kang	74.7	29
127	Martin Trainer	75.1	20
128	Scott Brown	75.2	83
129	Grayson Murray	75.2	140
130	Camilo Villegas	75.3	105
131	Robert Garrigus	75.4	115
132	JB Holmes	75.7	131
133	Kyle Stanley	75.7	WD
134	Kyle Westmoreland	75.8	29
135	Ryan Brehm	76.0	148
136	Jonas Blixt	76.1	20
137	Tommy Gainey	76.2	148
138	Scott Harrington	76.3	122
139	Philip Knowles	76.3	DNP
140	Wesley Bryan	76.3	95
141	Jason Dufner	76.5	WD
142	Trevor Werbylo	76.6	58
143	David Hearn	77.1	DNP
144	Greg Chalmers	77.2	70
145	Carson Young	77.3	WD
146	Ricky Barnes	77.4	DNP
147	John Pak	77.4	115
148	Kevin Roy	77.5	83
149	Brandon Matthews	77.7	137
150	Johnson Wagner	77.7	DNP
151	Trevor Cone	77.7	83
152	Arjun Atwal	78.0	95
153	Ben Crane	78.0	95
154	Anders Albertson	78.2	105
155	Geoff Ogilvy	78.2	74
156	Benjamin Silverman	78.2	95
157	DJ Trahan	78.3	DNP
158	JJ Henry	78.3	DNP
159	Sangmoon Bae	78.4	DNP
160	DA Points	78.4	137
161	Tom Johnson	78.5	142
162	RJ Manke	78.5	95
163	Paul O’Hara	78.5	75
164	Charles Porter	78.5	142
165	Garett Reband	78.5	142
166	Mark Hensby	78.5	DNP
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 76. The average is 165. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Ras Al Khaimah Championship Power Ratings

January 30, 2023 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

We’ll go with defending champion Nicolai Hojgaard as favorite over his higher-ranked twin brother Rasmus in this week’s Ras Al Khaimah Championship in the United Arab Emirates. With the purse down from the $9 million range at last week’s Dubai Desert Classic to the $2 million range this week, the big names have cleared out. Nicolai, who won by four strokes in the 2022 inaugural playing of this event, has top-10s in two of his last three appearances. Going bck a little further, Rasmus has November top-10s in both the DP World Tour Championship and the Nedbank. Both are still only 21; Rasmus is 133rd in the current Hawley Ratings and Nicolai is 235th.

Nicolai Hojgaard

Pick	Player	Power Number	Actual Finish
1	Nicolai Hojgaard	58.5	13
2	Rasmus Hojgaard	60.7	6
3	Adrian Otaegui	61.8	36
4	Padraig Harrington	62.3	25
5	Victor Perez	63.1	13
6	Adrian Meronk	63.7	4
7	Adri Arnaus	64.7	6
8	Alexander Bjork	64.9	2
9	Thorbjorn Olesen	66.1	4
10	Ryan Fox	66.2	11
11	Callum Shinkwin	66.6	71
12	Julien Brun	66.7	108
13	Guido Migliozzi	66.9	100
14	Johannes Veerman	67.1	19
15	Fabrizio Zanotti	67.2	72
16	Oliver Bekker	67.2	56
17	Pablo Larrazabal	67.3	56
18	Richie Ramsay	67.4	72
19	Ashun Wu	67.7	56
20	Yannik Paul	68.0	72
21	Matthieu Pavon	68.0	9
22	Thriston Lawrence	68.1	42
23	Maximilian Kieffer	68.2	72
24	Andy Sullivan	68.3	121
25	Connor Syme	68.3	48
26	Romain Langasque	68.7	88
27	Matthew Jordan	69.0	19
28	Ewen Ferguson	69.3	51
29	Andrew Johnston	69.4	DNP
30	Edoardo Molinari	69.4	42
31	Scott Jamieson	69.4	72
32	Richard Mansell	69.4	25
33	Dale Whitnell	69.5	28
34	Grant Forrest	70.2	56
35	Rafa Cabrera Bello	70.2	13
36	David Law	70.3	11
37	George Coetzee	70.4	36
38	Calum Hill	70.4	88
39	Ryo Hisatsune	70.4	28
40	Marcel Schneider	70.5	19
41	Hurly Long	70.5	121
42	Angel Hidalgo	70.5	28
43	Lukas Nemecz	70.6	28
44	Jorge Campillo	70.9	61
45	Nathan Kimsey	70.9	19
46	Tapio Pulkkanen	71.1	100
47	Dan Bradbury	71.1	42
48	Sami Valimaki	71.2	88
49	Joost Luiten	71.3	88
50	Marcus Helligkilde	71.5	13
51	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	71.6	72
52	Matthew Southgate	71.7	65
53	Eddie Pepperell	71.8	114
54	Niklas Norgaard Moller	71.9	48
55	Shaun Norris	72.5	42
56	Ross Fisher	72.6	9
57	John Catlin	72.6	72
58	Louis de Jager	72.7	28
59	Daniel van Tonder	72.7	88
60	Alfredo Garcia-Heredia	72.8	114
61	Ockie Strydom	72.9	129
62	Justin Walters	73.0	68
63	Gunner Wiebe	73.1	72
64	Chase Hanna	73.7	72
65	Jack Senior	73.7	51
66	Matthew Baldwin	73.7	23
67	Jens Dantorp	73.7	121
68	Daniel Gavins	73.7	1
69	Julien Guerrier	73.8	13
70	Renato Paratore	73.9	DNP
71	Andrew Wilson	73.9	61
72	JC Ritchie	73.9	36
73	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	74.0	72
74	David Horsey	74.0	DNP
75	Oliver Wilson	74.2	88
76	Rikuya Hoshino	74.2	6
77	Wil Besseling	74.2	13
78	James Morrison	74.2	125
79	Tom McKibbin	74.4	36
80	Nacho Elvira	74.5	108
81	Santiago Tarrio Ben	74.6	72
82	Kazuki Higa	74.6	36
83	Bryce Easton	74.7	72
84	Oliver Hundebol Jorgensen	74.8	28
85	Zander Lombard	74.9	2
86	Daan Huizing	74.9	51
87	Victor Dubuisson	74.9	69
88	Alexander Levy	75.0	114
89	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	75.2	72
90	Aguri Iwasaki	75.3	61
91	John Murphy	75.3	114
92	Jens Fahrbring	75.5	72
93	Daniel Hillier	75.6	42
94	Adrien Saddier	75.6	65
95	Alexander Knappe	75.7	114
96	Clement Sordet	75.9	108
97	Niklas Lemke	76.0	127
98	Julian Suri	76.3	100
99	Nicolas Colsaerts	76.3	48
100	Alejandro Del Rey	76.5	28
101	Martin Simonsen	76.6	88
102	Todd Clements	76.6	61
103	Garrick Porteous	76.8	88
104	Deon Germishuys	76.8	72
105	Marc Warren	76.9	25
106	Ricardo Santos	76.9	42
107	Thomas Aiken	77.0	DNP
108	Thomas Bjorn	77.0	56
109	Max Schmitt	77.0	DNP
110	Robin Sciot-Siegrist	77.1	121
111	Joel Stalter	77.5	23
112	John Parry	77.5	88
113	Simon Forsstrom	77.5	108
114	Daniel Brown	77.6	36
115	Pedro Figueiredo	77.6	127
116	Christoffer Bring	77.7	100
117	Jeremy Freiburghaus	77.7	100
118	Blake Windred	77.7	DNP
119	Gary Hurley	77.8	114
120	David Ravetto	77.8	51
121	Jeunghun Wang	77.9	108
122	Jeong Weon Ko	78.0	28
123	David Howell	78.0	DNP
124	Freddy Schott	78.1	69
125	Joshua Lee	78.1	88
126	John Axelsen	78.2	100
127	Tobias Eden	78.4	108
128	Nick Bachem	78.4	72
129	Gary Stal	78.4	88
130	Mikael Lundberg	78.4	67
131	Mateusz Gradecki	78.5	DNP
132	Asaf Cohen	78.5	100
133	Hassin Al Musharrekh	78.5	131
134	Elyes Barhoumi	78.5	125
135	Hugo Mazen Trommetter	78.5	100
136	Manu Gandas	78.5	114
137	Chengyao Ma	78.5	130
138	Sam Hutsby	78.5	51
139	Gumundur Kristjansson	78.5	88
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 181. The average is 165. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Rankings (Jan. 30, 2023)

January 30, 2023 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Patrick Cantlay has been no. 1 since mid-summer, although now with a diminishing lead.

#	Thru Jan. 30, 2023	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Patrick Cantlay	42	1880	1
2	Jon Rahm	46	1834	3
3	Rory McIlroy	45	1822	2
4	Xander Schauffele	47	1658	4
5	Scottie Scheffler	54	1612	5
6	Dustin Johnson	39	1551	6
7	Cameron Smith	43	1515	7
8	Justin Thomas	46	1375	10
9	Taylor Montgomery	18	1374	8
10	Will Zalatoris	47	1342	9
11	Tom Kim	26	1307	11
12	Sungjae Im	58	1300	14
13	Collin Morikawa	49	1273	16
14	Max Homa	52	1270	19
15	Matthew Fitzpatrick	50	1266	12
16	Viktor Hovland	53	1246	13
17	Tony Finau	54	1234	17
18	Joaquin Niemann	50	1208	15
19	Sam Burns	52	1191	18
20	Daniel Berger	30	1174	20
21	Talor Gooch	49	1161	21
22	Cameron Young	36	1139	22
23	Jordan Spieth	46	1097	23
24	Shane Lowry	51	1067	25
25	Tyrrell Hatton	51	1059	24
26	Paul Casey	35	1052	26
27	Brian Harman	53	1040	27
28	Adam Scott	42	1025	28
29	Aaron Wise	46	1018	29
30	Keegan Bradley	54	1010	35
31	Corey Conners	55	1003	30
32	Seamus Power	48	965	31
33	Maverick McNealy	53	946	32
34	Tommy Fleetwood	54	927	34
35	Russell Henley	44	920	36
36	Abraham Ancer	50	908	33
37	Hideki Matsuyama	47	901	48
38	Sahith Theegala	50	896	49
39	Patrick Reed	53	890	50
40	Alex Noren	52	887	37
41	Billy Horschel	53	884	38
42	Mito Pereira	40	875	40
43	Brooks Koepka	38	872	39
44	Keith Mitchell	52	861	42
45	Si Woo Kim	58	855	45
46	Adam Hadwin	52	854	41
47	Tom Hoge	64	851	44
48	Louis Oosthuizen	38	845	43
49	Jason Day	41	840	57
50	Harold Varner	50	840	47
51	Ben Griffin	14	839	46
52	Sergio Garcia	44	815	51
53	Chris Kirk	51	810	53
54	Kevin Na	42	806	52
55	Bryson DeChambeau	36	795	54
56	Justin Rose	39	784	59
57	Andrew Putnam	60	781	55
58	Joel Dahmen	50	773	56
59	Matt Kuchar	44	759	58
60	Taylor Moore	39	733	75
61	KH Lee	57	726	60
62	Cameron Tringale	52	723	62
63	Jason Kokrak	44	709	64
64	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	53	706	65
65	Denny McCarthy	58	704	67
66	JT Poston	56	702	66
67	Brendan Steele	46	698	76
68	Pat Perez	45	698	69
69	Taylor Pendrith	35	693	61
70	Davis Riley	44	693	63
71	Matthew Wolff	36	690	70
72	Bubba Watson	27	690	71
73	Marc Leishman	49	684	72
74	Kevin Kisner	49	680	74
75	Scott Stallings	56	674	68
76	Cameron Davis	53	656	73
77	Alex Smalley	46	653	79
78	Mac Hughes	54	649	81
79	Lucas Herbert	47	649	86
80	Sebastian Munoz	54	641	78
81	Charles Howell	35	639	82
82	JJ Spaun	59	637	80
83	Brendon Todd	51	624	83
84	Davis Thompson	20	619	77
85	Rickie Fowler	43	619	103
86	Erik van Rooyen	46	613	84
87	SH Kim	20	609	101
88	Gary Woodland	47	584	85
89	Sepp Straka	65	582	90
90	Matthew NeSmith	55	581	87
91	Chase Koepka	13	579	91
92	Jhonattan Vegas	44	579	100
93	Emiliano Grillo	55	577	89
94	Lee Westwood	43	575	92
95	Hayden Buckley	42	571	88
96	Anirban Lahiri	45	569	93
97	Thomas Pieters	42	568	120
98	Trey Mullinax	39	567	94
99	Troy Merritt	57	562	96
100	Ian Poulter	53	559	116
101	Thomas Detry	54	559	95
102	Wyndham Clark	57	557	97
103	David Lipsky	45	552	98
104	Webb Simpson	38	538	104
105	Matt Jones	49	531	108
106	Eugenio Chacarra	10	529	107
107	Ben Taylor	28	524	99
108	Kurt Kitayama	50	524	102
109	Charl Schwartzel	46	523	111
110	Branden Grace	52	522	110
111	Richard Bland	50	516	114
112	Harris English	42	510	106
113	Lanto Griffin	43	509	117
114	Ryan Palmer	46	508	109
115	Min Woo Lee	47	495	112
116	Lee Hodges	45	490	113
117	Patrick Rodgers	63	487	119
118	Robby Shelton	36	487	115
119	Callum Tarren	38	485	129
120	Kevin Streelman	55	483	118
121	Aaron Rai	59	479	123
122	Beau Hossler	53	478	122
123	Robert MacIntyre	52	476	121
124	Francesco Molinari	40	471	105
125	Russell Knox	59	469	128
126	Luke List	56	464	136
127	Peter Uihlein	36	463	130
128	Stephan Jaeger	48	459	126
129	Adam Svensson	44	457	125
130	Patton Kizzire	56	456	127
131	Nick Hardy	35	455	131
132	Adam Schenk	63	454	141
133	Rasmus Hojgaard	50	449	139
134	Dean Burmester	52	448	134
135	Sam Ryder	61	447	163
136	Nick Taylor	55	445	135
137	Carlos Ortiz	45	435	137
138	Martin Laird	47	435	132
139	Stewart Cink	49	434	138
140	Will Gordon	35	428	133
141	Lucas Glover	54	413	143
142	Justin Lower	38	411	140
143	Cameron Champ	43	409	142
144	Mark Hubbard	54	406	145
145	Dylan Frittelli	60	406	149
146	Scott Piercy	55	406	153
147	CT Pan	47	406	146
148	Danny Willett	52	402	147
149	Greyson Sigg	47	402	148
150	Sadom Kaewkanjana	15	392	150
151	Bernd Wiesberger	46	389	166
152	Kevin Yu	18	386	154
153	Adam Long	58	383	152
154	Christopher Gotterup	15	382	156
155	Padraig Harrington	34	381	124
156	Chez Reavie	57	379	158
157	John Huh	50	376	159
158	Sam Horsfield	44	375	160
159	Byeong Hun An	38	374	155
160	Nate Lashley	47	372	161
161	Adrian Meronk	52	371	144
162	Jordan Smith	50	370	176
163	Harrison Endycott	14	367	151
164	Brandon Wu	42	364	164
165	Erik Barnes	17	359	256
166	Matt Wallace	59	356	169
167	Doug Ghim	53	356	162
168	Ryan Fox	46	355	180
169	Michael Thompson	49	354	172
170	Harry Higgs	60	353	168
171	Garrick Higgo	55	343	170
172	Phil Mickelson	31	340	174
173	James Piot	14	339	175
174	Adrian Otaegui	57	339	178
175	Danny Lee	48	337	171
176	Harry Hall	19	335	167
177	Victor Perez	47	332	157
178	Cole Hammer	14	327	165
179	Adri Arnaus	49	327	208
180	Alexander Bjork	41	321	195
181	Phachara Khongwatmai	12	318	183
182	Justin Harding	46	318	185
183	Hudson Swafford	48	315	186
184	Peter Malnati	59	314	210
185	Charley Hoffman	50	314	179
186	Chesson Hadley	55	311	187
187	Ryan Armour	51	308	184
188	Laurie Canter	45	305	190
189	Matthias Schwab	52	302	192
190	Fabrizio Zanotti	39	300	202
191	Henrik Stenson	43	299	217
192	Thriston Lawrence	39	299	193
193	Joseph Bramlett	63	298	231
194	Aaron Baddeley	39	297	189
195	Zac Blair	9	295	177
196	Vincent Whaley	53	295	198
197	Guido Migliozzi	54	294	182
198	John Augenstein	12	293	203
199	Graeme McDowell	39	292	201
200	James Hahn	47	291	191
201	Tyson Alexander	15	291	188
202	Zach Johnson	42	291	200
203	Jimmy Walker	38	290	288
204	Nicolas Echavarria	11	289	181
205	Jason Scrivener	42	289	173
206	Doc Redman	52	288	194
207	Pablo Larrazabal	42	287	197
208	Yannik Paul	32	285	205
209	Thorbjorn Olesen	43	285	209
210	Robert Streb	59	284	199
211	Martin Kaymer	30	283	207
212	Callum Shinkwin	44	279	268
213	Justin Suh	24	279	282
214	David Lingmerth	40	275	206
215	Oliver Bekker	37	274	213
216	Cameron Percy	42	271	204
217	Julien Brun	30	269	294
218	Carl Yuan	12	266	196
219	Antoine Rozner	53	264	212
220	Tyler Duncan	58	261	215
221	Turk Pettit	11	260	219
222	Hennie du Plessis	28	259	238
223	Brian Stuard	67	257	216
224	Brandt Snedeker	42	255	222
225	Austin Eckroat	22	253	211
226	Jamie Donaldson	45	253	227
227	Austin Smotherman	38	253	218
228	Alex Fitzpatrick	8	251	228
229	Andrew Johnston	17	250	242
230	Johannes Veerman	49	249	286
231	Andrew Novak	37	249	220
232	Matthias Schmid	46	246	225
233	Wade Ormsby	38	245	237
234	Chris Stroud	20	240	241
235	Nicolai Hojgaard	52	239	214
236	Henrik Norlander	57	237	232
237	Richard Mansell	44	237	247
238	Patrick Flavin	12	236	243
239	Richie Ramsay	51	236	246
240	Eric Cole	16	236	223
241	Samuel Stevens	14	235	460
242	Brice Garnett	59	235	234
243	Ashun Wu	43	235	249
244	Satoshi Kodaira	53	235	245
245	Paul Haley	15	234	224
246	Hank Lebioda	51	231	240
247	Marcel Schneider	42	229	250
248	Matthieu Pavon	52	227	235
249	Hurly Long	36	226	254
250	Marcus Armitage	52	225	275
251	Max McGreevy	40	224	257
252	Edoardo Molinari	53	224	226
253	Keita Nakajima	18	224	236
254	Scott Jamieson	48	224	251
255	Ewen Ferguson	38	224	279
256	Romain Langasque	54	223	285
257	Mikko Korhonen	39	222	259
258	Calum Hill	28	221	346
259	Connor Syme	51	221	252
260	Sihwan Kim	39	218	263
261	Sean O’Hair	37	216	255
262	Rory Sabbatini	47	216	258
263	Ryan Moore	35	216	264
264	Jorge Campillo	59	215	281
265	Ryo Hisatsune	20	214	266
266	Matthew Jordan	54	213	283
267	Tyler McCumber	27	213	265
268	Takumi Kanaya	35	213	267
269	Shubhankar Sharma	52	212	221
270	Grant Forrest	53	211	230
271	Angel Hidalgo	26	211	347
272	Dale Whitnell	59	211	229
273	Masahiro Kawamura	54	210	260
274	Kevin Tway	53	209	312
275	Maximilian Kieffer	48	208	269
276	George Coetzee	43	207	262
277	Jed Morgan	16	207	270
278	Kramer Hickok	55	205	273
279	Andy Sullivan	49	205	244
280	Roger Sloan	50	204	272
281	Rafa Cabrera Bello	56	204	233
282	Chad Ramey	41	204	276
283	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	10	202	277
284	Austin Cook	61	200	278
285	Jeff Winther	45	199	248
286	Luke Donald	47	196	271
287	Scott Vincent	27	195	284
288	William McGirt	33	194	274
289	Haotong Li	35	191	300
290	Bi-o Kim	8	189	290
291	Estanislao Goya	12	188	289
292	Eddie Pepperell	48	188	291
293	Kelly Kraft	46	188	287
294	Sebastian Soderberg	53	186	239
295	Marcus Helligkilde	28	185	280
296	Jazz Janewattananond	53	185	318
297	Tapio Pulkkanen	50	182	297
298	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	52	182	298
299	Rick Lamb	8	179	303
300	Michael Gellerman	12	179	304
301	Marcus Kinhult	39	178	358
302	Ben Martin	47	177	293
303	Nick Watney	54	176	299
304	Michael Gligic	59	176	295
305	Marcel Siem	41	176	302
306	Zecheng Dou	16	176	292
307	Niklas Norgaard Moller	31	176	308
308	Joakim Lagergren	52	175	306
309	Sami Valimaki	46	174	261
310	Dylan Wu	39	173	301
311	Matthew Southgate	55	171	307
312	Paul Barjon	37	170	309
313	Seung-yul Noh	38	170	315
314	Mikumu Horikawa	23	169	310
315	Richy Werenski	56	167	305
316	Joost Luiten	44	166	296
317	Jinichiro Kozuma	24	165	311
318	Tom Lewis	42	162	314
319	Lukas Nemecz	31	161	316
320	Anthony Quayle	19	159	317
321	David Law	54	158	320
322	Ockie Strydom	11	156	321
323	MJ Daffue	23	155	313
324	Francesco Laporta	54	155	322
325	Louis de Jager	37	154	328
326	John Catlin	51	154	324
327	Paul Waring	37	153	325
328	Justin Walters	51	152	333
329	Andrew Landry	36	150	330
330	Bo Hoag	47	150	326
331	Sean Crocker	54	149	319
332	Vaughn Taylor	46	149	327
333	Jonathan Byrd	37	148	323
334	Ryosuke Kinoshita	28	148	329
335	Jayden Schaper	13	147	332
336	Brent Grant	18	147	447
337	Chris Naegel	8	147	331
338	Brandon Hagy	54	144	334
339	Chase Seiffert	43	143	337
340	Ross Fisher	51	143	340
341	Bronson Burgoon	32	143	336
342	Ricardo Gouveia	30	142	338
343	Shaun Norris	36	138	335
344	Akshay Bhatia	15	137	344
345	Gavin Green	51	137	341
346	Jack Senior	48	137	339
347	Alfredo Garcia-Heredia	33	136	342
348	Daniel van Tonder	52	135	343
349	Joachim B Hansen	53	135	345
350	Daniel Gavins	47	133	356
351	Scott Gutschewski	31	131	348
352	Jacques Kruyswijk	32	129	405
353	Kalle Samooja	46	129	368
354	Fabian Gomez	27	128	349
355	Stephen Stallings	10	128	355
356	Michael Kim	35	128	369
357	JC Ritchie	28	128	351
358	Jens Dantorp	18	126	432
359	Espen Kofstad	31	124	354
360	Vincent Norman	19	122	390
361	Bill Haas	52	122	353
362	James Morrison	55	122	350
363	Todd Sinnott	13	122	362
364	Wil Besseling	49	121	357
365	Kevin Chappell	33	121	359
366	Scott Brown	43	120	352
367	Wilco Nienaber	42	120	361
368	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	44	120	360
369	Sung Kang	58	119	366
370	Andrew Wilson	27	119	365
371	Martin Trainer	56	118	363
372	Ben Kohles	30	118	367
373	Bo Van Pelt	41	117	364
374	Bryson Nimmer	9	115	371
375	David Horsey	50	115	370
376	Tom McKibbin	13	115	372
377	Renato Paratore	55	114	374
378	Julien Guerrier	52	113	377
379	Soren Kjeldsen	46	113	373
380	Oliver Wilson	51	113	376
381	Brian Gay	40	111	386
382	Rikuya Hoshino	31	110	381
383	Victor Dubuisson	34	110	383
384	Santiago Tarrio Ben	43	110	375
385	Kazuki Higa	28	109	385
386	Chase Hanna	41	109	404
387	Darius van Driel	53	109	379
388	Matthew Baldwin	17	108	389
389	Mark Anderson	18	108	388
390	Camilo Villegas	50	106	378
391	Zander Lombard	58	105	393
392	Jaco Prinsloo	9	105	391
393	Nacho Elvira	54	104	397
394	Daan Huizing	37	104	394
395	Yuki Inamori	29	104	396
396	Travis Smyth	11	104	392
397	Kyle Stanley	43	103	380
398	Augusto Nunez	13	103	546
399	Jim Herman	42	103	387
400	Chan Kim	32	103	399
More \| Less

A look at the Farmers Insurance Open

January 23, 2023 Thomas Hawley Analytics

I love this place!

Player	History
Jon Rahm	0.878
Ryan Palmer	0.748
Tony Finau	0.685
Luke List	0.660
Jason Day	0.620
Justin Rose	0.537
Hideki Matsuyama	0.496
Sungjae Im	0.451

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Jon Rahm	3	1798.6
Xander Schauffele	4	1641.1
Taylor Montgomery	8	1416.9
Will Zalatoris	9	1394.0
Justin Thomas	10	1379.2
Sungjae Im	14	1239.2
Collin Morikawa	16	1198.6
Tony Finau	17	1193.6

Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Patrick Cantlay	1	1875.2
Rory McIlroy	2	1803.1
Scottie Scheffler	5	1604.5
Dustin Johnson	6	1543.4

Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Ben Taylor	1225.8
Alex Smalley	1163.2
Hayden Buckley	904.5
JJ Spaun	898.5
Patton Kizzire	823.3
Robby Shelton	703.9
Wyndham Clark	658.0
Patrick Rodgers	650.8

Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Keegan Bradley	-917.0
Justin Thomas	-663.9
Cameron Davis	-568.2
Taylor Moore	-504.5
Hideki Matsuyama	-477.0
Lanto Griffin	-475.7
Scott Stallings	-471.2
Lee Hodges	-452.6

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on the Torrey Pines courses within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.18	Greens in regulation
0.15	Driving distance
0.13	Putts per GIR
0.01	Shots gained in approach

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Patrick Welch	71.37
Dean Burmester	71.96
Kevin Yu	72.11
Will Zalatoris	72.23
Jon Rahm	72.26
Taylor Montgomery	72.27
Will Gordon	72.32
Xander Schauffele	72.36

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Anders Albertson	74.7
Greg Chalmers	74.2
Ryan Brehm	73.9
Scott Brown	73.9
Brian Stuard	73.9
Arjun Atwal	73.9
Kyle Stanley	73.8
Max McGreevy	73.8

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and La Jolla CA, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Brendan Steele	Irvine Ca	75
Sahith Theegala	Chino Hills CA	75
JJ Spaun	San Dimas CA	100
Justin Suh	Los Angeles Ca	100
Kurt Kitayama	Henderson Nevada	250
Maverick McNealy	Las Vegas NV	250
Nick Watney	Las Vegas NV	250
Scott Piercy	Las Vegas NV	250
Collin Morikawa	Las Vegas NV	250
Harry Hall	Las Vegas NV	250
Taylor Montgomery	Las Vegas NV	250
Joseph Bramlett	Las Vegas NV	250
Xander Schauffele	Las Vegas NV	250
Doug Ghim	Las Vegas NV	250
Charley Hoffman	Las Vegas NV	250

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.368
I love this place	0.164
Ooh, that’s hot	0.138
Location, location, location	0.022

Xander Schauffele

Farmers Insurance Open Power Ratings

January 23, 2023 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

REMINDER: This event starts Wednesday,Jan. 25.

Becausee it’s pretty hard to argue with 54 under par in eight competitive rounds in 2023, it’s also pretty hard to dispute the recognition of Jon Rahm as favorite in this week’s Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines, just north of San Diego. And if it weren’t for the 54-under, Rahm might still be the favorite. He’s a great fit for the Torrey Pines courses and has the best record in this event of anyone on Tour who regularly plays it. Greens in regulation and driving distance are the two stats that have correlated most closely with success in this event over the past eight years; Rahm leads the tour in GIR and is in the top five percent in driving distance. And Rahm has been in the top 10 in this event in the last four years, after winning it in 2017.

Four others from the Hawley Ratings top 10 — Xander Schauffele, Taylor Montgomery, Will Zalatoris, and Justin Thomas — are in the field. All have good statistical profiles for success at Torrey Pines. Montgomery probably is the hottest of that bunch, having been fifth and 12th his last two appearances. Rookie Davis Thompson, who led for a while last week at La Quinta and who hung in with Rahm until the 71st hole, is in the field.

Jon Rahm

Pick	Player	Power Number	Actual Finish
1	Jon Rahm	-1.0	7
2	Xander Schauffele	14.1	13
3	Will Zalatoris	21.7	74
4	Taylor Montgomery	21.8	31
5	Tony Finau	24.9	9
6	Justin Thomas	29.7	25
7	Collin Morikawa	31.7	3
8	Sungjae Im	32.9	4
9	Max Homa	33.8	1
10	Maverick McNealy	39.1	31
11	Jason Day	40.6	7
12	Adam Hadwin	43.1	44
13	Justin Rose	43.4	18
14	Si Woo Kim	44.2	25
15	Ben Griffin	44.4	31
16	Alex Smalley	46.8	37
17	Keegan Bradley	46.9	2
18	Sahith Theegala	47.2	4
19	JJ Spaun	47.7	112
20	Hideki Matsuyama	48.0	9
21	Ben Taylor	50.5	128
22	Hayden Buckley	50.9	87
23	Davis Riley	52.6	99
24	Taylor Pendrith	53.2	60
25	Brendan Steele	53.6	20
26	Scott Stallings	53.6	74
27	Wyndham Clark	53.8	37
28	Davis Thompson	53.9	69
29	Patrick Rodgers	54.8	87
30	Robby Shelton	55.2	67
31	Patton Kizzire	55.7	74
32	Ryan Palmer	56.1	62
33	Cameron Davis	56.1	151
34	Sebastian Munoz	56.3	99
35	Taylor Moore	56.3	11
36	Gary Woodland	56.7	62
37	Kurt Kitayama	56.9	133
38	Thomas Detry	57.0	37
39	Harris English	57.4	133
40	Rickie Fowler	57.5	11
41	Trey Mullinax	57.7	31
42	Matthew NeSmith	57.9	74
43	Emiliano Grillo	58.6	44
44	Luke List	58.6	25
45	Stephan Jaeger	59.0	53
46	Martin Laird	59.1	99
47	Jhonattan Vegas	59.4	25
48	SH Kim	59.6	20
49	Adam Svensson	59.9	87
50	Callum Tarren	60.0	25
51	Beau Hossler	60.3	87
52	Will Gordon	60.8	112
53	Kevin Streelman	61.0	60
54	Aaron Rai	61.1	52
55	Nick Hardy	61.2	44
56	Lanto Griffin	61.7	37
57	Harry Higgs	61.9	44
58	Lee Hodges	62.5	87
59	Dean Burmester	63.1	37
60	Danny Lee	63.5	99
61	Cameron Champ	63.6	53
62	Cole Hammer	63.8	99
63	Byeong Hun An	64.0	62
64	Scott Piercy	64.6	31
65	Harrison Endycott	64.7	128
66	Justin Lower	64.9	74
67	Harry Hall	65.2	87
68	Sam Ryder	65.3	4
69	Kevin Yu	65.3	44
70	Aaron Baddeley	65.5	74
71	Tyson Alexander	65.6	99
72	Adam Schenk	65.7	20
73	John Huh	65.7	DNP
74	Michael Thompson	66.0	37
75	Dylan Frittelli	66.1	37
76	Garrick Higgo	66.3	53
77	Adam Long	66.5	73
78	Carl Yuan	66.7	87
79	Zac Blair	66.8	122
80	Doug Ghim	67.0	74
81	Charley Hoffman	67.3	112
82	Nicolas Echavarria	67.6	87
83	Andrew Novak	67.8	69
84	Henrik Norlander	68.0	74
85	Matthias Schmid	68.0	122
86	Ryan Armour	68.0	133
87	Austin Eckroat	68.2	87
88	Eric Cole	68.5	87
89	Cameron Percy	68.6	99
90	David Lingmerth	68.6	153
91	James Hahn	69.0	112
92	Robert Streb	69.1	74
93	Joseph Bramlett	69.2	13
94	Doc Redman	69.3	128
95	Keita Nakajima	69.6	99
96	Erik Barnes	69.8	13
97	Peter Malnati	69.9	20
98	Brice Garnett	70.2	139
99	Austin Smotherman	70.4	74
100	Tyler Duncan	70.5	99
101	Paul Haley	70.7	62
102	Ben Martin	71.0	112
103	Brian Stuard	71.0	112
104	Austin Cook	71.0	53
105	Sean O’Hair	71.1	74
106	Satoshi Kodaira	71.2	53
107	Rory Sabbatini	71.2	144
108	William McGirt	71.4	122
109	Jimmy Walker	71.6	13
110	Hank Lebioda	71.7	87
111	Justin Suh	71.9	20
112	Nick Watney	71.9	122
113	Dylan Wu	72.3	87
114	Seung-yul Noh	72.3	44
115	Max McGreevy	72.4	DNP
116	Estanislao Goya	72.4	53
117	Kevin Tway	72.9	18
118	JB Holmes	72.9	144
119	MJ Daffue	73.0	147
120	Kelly Kraft	73.3	153
121	Zecheng Dou	73.5	62
122	Michael Gligic	73.6	133
123	Richy Werenski	73.9	133
124	Jonathan Byrd	74.3	74
125	Vaughn Taylor	74.5	DNP
126	Scott Brown	74.9	72
127	Michael Kim	75.0	44
128	Bill Haas	75.0	112
129	Sung Kang	75.1	DNP
130	Kyle Westmoreland	75.2	74
131	Kyle Stanley	75.3	147
132	Kevin Chappell	75.6	DNP
133	Martin Trainer	75.6	112
134	Camilo Villegas	75.7	139
135	Grayson Murray	75.8	DNP
136	Vincent Norman	75.8	44
137	Jim Herman	75.9	139
138	Tommy Gainey	76.2	DNP
139	Philip Knowles	76.3	139
140	Ryan Brehm	76.5	147
141	Scott Harrington	76.6	69
142	Jason Dufner	76.9	128
143	Brent Grant	77.0	25
144	Taiga Semikawa	77.2	67
145	Samuel Stevens	77.3	13
146	Carson Young	77.7	128
147	Trevor Werbylo	77.9	53
148	Kevin Roy	77.9	112
149	Trevor Cone	77.9	99
150	Brandon Matthews	78.0	99
151	Patrick Welch	78.1	122
152	Augusto Nunez	78.1	31
153	Michael Block	78.5	99
154	Michael Herrera	78.5	99
155	Joey Vrzich	78.5	122
156	Greg Chalmers	78.6	DNP
157	Anders Albertson	78.9	139
158	Ben Crane	78.9	151
159	Cody Gribble	78.9	112
160	Arjun Atwal	79.2	153
	Caleb Surratt	late entry	134
	Harrison Kingsley	late entry	146
	Robert Garrigus	late entry	149
	Spencer Levin	late entry	156
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 124. The average is 165. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Hero Dubai Desert Classic Power Ratings

January 23, 2023 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Rory McIlroy makes his first appearance this week since finishing fourth in the DP World Tour Championship in mid-November. He’s the clear favorite as the DP World Tour plays its third straight event (out of what will be four) in the United Arab Emirates, the Dubai Desert Classic. McIlroy missed by one stroke in this event last year. The event include eight others from the Hawley Ratings top 100, led by Tyrrell Hatton and Shane Lowry. LIV player Patrick Reed missed the cut last week but ended the 2022 LIV season playing very well.

Rory McIlroy

Pick	Player	Power Number	Actual Finish
1	Rory McIlroy	-1.2	1
2	Tyrrell Hatton	27.7	38
3	Shane Lowry	38.1	110
4	Patrick Reed	38.5	2
5	Abraham Ancer	39.0	88
6	Tommy Fleetwood	41.3	59
7	Lucas Herbert	51.5	3
8	Lee Westwood	51.8	51
9	Richard Bland	52.0	8
10	Min Woo Lee	55.7	13
11	Ian Poulter	56.0	6
12	Francesco Molinari	57.6	116
13	Sepp Straka	57.7	116
14	Padraig Harrington	57.9	113
15	Thomas Pieters	58.6	6
16	Robert MacIntyre	58.9	38
17	Adrian Meronk	59.5	104
18	Rasmus Hojgaard	60.2	20
19	Victor Perez	61.9	28
20	Sam Horsfield	62.0	59
21	Adrian Otaegui	62.2	28
22	Bernd Wiesberger	62.3	20
23	Jason Scrivener	62.4	59
24	Matt Wallace	62.5	16
25	Justin Harding	63.3	59
26	Henrik Stenson	64.3	8
27	Andy Sullivan	64.4	75
28	Jordan Smith	64.9	20
29	Ryan Fox	65.5	20
30	Thorbjorn Olesen	65.8	16
31	Alexander Bjork	65.8	16
32	Ashun Wu	65.8	20
33	Nicolai Hojgaard	66.0	38
34	Guido Migliozzi	66.0	88
35	Edoardo Molinari	66.2	88
36	Richie Ramsay	66.3	DNP
37	Shubhankar Sharma	66.4	88
38	Scott Jamieson	66.5	70
39	Thriston Lawrence	66.7	88
40	Fabrizio Zanotti	66.9	38
41	Yannik Paul	66.9	70
42	Sebastian Soderberg	66.9	130
43	Dale Whitnell	66.9	78
44	Adri Arnaus	67.0	13
45	Pablo Larrazabal	67.4	28
46	Antoine Rozner	67.5	78
47	Oliver Bekker	67.6	51
48	Grant Forrest	67.7	51
49	Nathan Kimsey	67.8	78
50	Romain Langasque	68.0	16
51	George Coetzee	68.1	128
52	Rafa Cabrera Bello	68.1	128
53	Matthieu Pavon	68.2	104
54	Jeff Winther	68.2	130
55	Haotong Li	68.4	DNP
56	Maximilian Kieffer	68.5	38
57	Sami Valimaki	68.5	104
58	Connor Syme	68.6	38
59	Joakim Lagergren	68.6	88
60	Joost Luiten	68.6	51
61	Luke Donald	69.0	85
62	Hennie du Plessis	69.0	38
63	Masahiro Kawamura	69.1	88
64	Jorge Campillo	69.3	28
65	Jamie Donaldson	69.5	38
66	Marcel Schneider	69.8	75
67	Andrew Johnston	69.8	38
68	Ewen Ferguson	69.8	28
69	Richard Mansell	69.9	51
70	Paul Waring	70.2	65
71	Marcus Armitage	70.2	28
72	Ross Fisher	70.3	88
73	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	70.3	DNP
74	Eddie Pepperell	70.3	120
75	Hurly Long	70.6	104
76	Julien Brun	70.7	5
77	Matthew Southgate	70.9	65
78	Jazz Janewattananond	70.9	20
79	Gavin Green	71.0	120
80	Niklas Norgaard Moller	71.1	51
81	Tapio Pulkkanen	71.1	82
82	Ockie Strydom	71.3	88
83	Marcus Helligkilde	71.3	51
84	Mikko Korhonen	71.3	88
85	Matthew Jordan	71.4	20
86	Callum Shinkwin	71.4	4
87	Lukas Nemecz	71.5	70
88	Johannes Veerman	71.6	8
89	Justin Walters	71.8	38
90	Louis de Jager	71.8	51
91	David Law	71.9	59
92	Shaun Norris	72.1	65
93	Kalle Samooja	72.4	38
94	Julien Guerrier	72.5	65
95	Tom McKibbin	72.7	110
96	Sean Crocker	72.7	88
97	Jack Senior	72.7	88
98	John Catlin	72.9	59
99	JC Ritchie	72.9	104
100	Dan Bradbury	73.0	28
101	Alexander Levy	73.1	88
102	Oliver Hundebol Jorgensen	73.3	110
103	Santiago Tarrio Ben	73.3	120
104	Chase Hanna	73.4	38
105	Wil Besseling	73.4	116
106	Marcus Kinhult	73.4	8
107	Darius van Driel	73.6	86
108	Zander Lombard	73.7	116
109	Nacho Elvira	73.7	88
110	Aaron Cockerill	73.8	88
111	Daniel Gavins	73.8	38
112	Stephen Gallacher	73.9	130
113	Soren Kjeldsen	74.0	120
114	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	74.0	75
115	Daniel Hillier	74.1	83
116	Calum Hill	74.2	13
117	Angel Hidalgo	74.2	8
118	Espen Kofstad	74.2	120
119	Jacques Kruyswijk	74.3	28
120	James Morrison	74.3	113
121	Jens Dantorp	74.4	28
122	Clement Sordet	74.5	DNP
123	Alexander Knappe	74.6	120
124	Oliver Wilson	74.6	88
125	Daan Huizing	74.9	81
126	Victor Dubuisson	74.9	113
127	Miguel Angel Jimenez	75.3	65
128	Martin Simonsen	75.5	DNP
129	Nicolas Colsaerts	75.7	87
130	Thomas Bjorn	75.8	104
131	Michael Thorbjornsen	75.8	20
132	Marc Warren	76.1	83
133	Robin Sciot-Siegrist	76.2	DNP
134	Jeremy Freiburghaus	76.6	120
135	Jeong Weon Ko	76.8	DNP
136	Jeunghun Wang	77.1	28
137	Freddy Schott	77.2	DNP
138	Ludvig Aberg	78.2	70
139	Mikael Lundberg	78.4	70
140	Issa Abou El Ela	78.5	120
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 395. The average is 165. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Rankings, Jan. 22, 2023

January 23, 2023 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Patrick Cantlay has been no. 1 since mid-summer, now 29 straight weeks.

#	Thru Jan. 22, 2023	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Patrick Cantlay	42	1875	1
2	Rory McIlroy	45	1803	2
3	Jon Rahm	46	1799	3
4	Xander Schauffele	47	1641	5
5	Scottie Scheffler	55	1605	4
6	Dustin Johnson	40	1543	6
7	Cameron Smith	43	1513	7
8	Taylor Montgomery	17	1417	11
9	Will Zalatoris	47	1394	8
10	Justin Thomas	46	1379	9
11	Tom Kim	26	1310	14
12	Matthew Fitzpatrick	50	1264	10
13	Viktor Hovland	54	1243	12
14	Sungjae Im	58	1239	13
15	Joaquin Niemann	50	1203	15
16	Collin Morikawa	48	1199	16
17	Tony Finau	54	1194	18
18	Sam Burns	53	1185	22
19	Max Homa	52	1183	17
20	Daniel Berger	31	1170	19
21	Talor Gooch	50	1153	20
22	Cameron Young	36	1139	21
23	Jordan Spieth	47	1101	23
24	Tyrrell Hatton	52	1096	27
25	Shane Lowry	52	1084	24
26	Paul Casey	36	1053	26
27	Brian Harman	54	1045	25
28	Adam Scott	42	1024	29
29	Aaron Wise	47	1014	28
30	Corey Conners	56	1002	30
31	Seamus Power	49	955	34
32	Maverick McNealy	52	949	33
33	Abraham Ancer	50	947	32
34	Tommy Fleetwood	55	933	31
35	Keegan Bradley	54	927	35
36	Russell Henley	45	917	36
37	Alex Noren	53	908	45
38	Billy Horschel	54	880	39
39	Brooks Koepka	39	877	38
40	Mito Pereira	40	871	40
41	Adam Hadwin	52	866	48
42	Keith Mitchell	53	855	47
43	Louis Oosthuizen	39	854	41
44	Tom Hoge	65	845	44
45	Si Woo Kim	58	844	50
46	Ben Griffin	13	842	43
47	Harold Varner	51	834	49
48	Hideki Matsuyama	47	834	46
49	Sahith Theegala	49	829	42
50	Patrick Reed	54	823	37
51	Sergio Garcia	45	813	51
52	Kevin Na	43	805	53
53	Chris Kirk	52	803	67
54	Bryson DeChambeau	37	803	52
55	Andrew Putnam	61	780	54
56	Joel Dahmen	51	766	56
57	Jason Day	41	754	66
58	Matt Kuchar	45	754	57
59	Justin Rose	39	741	61
60	KH Lee	58	726	58
61	Taylor Pendrith	34	725	55
62	Cameron Tringale	53	722	60
63	Davis Riley	44	714	59
64	Jason Kokrak	45	709	62
65	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	54	703	78
66	JT Poston	57	702	83
67	Denny McCarthy	59	698	63
68	Scott Stallings	56	696	68
69	Pat Perez	46	691	69
70	Matthew Wolff	37	687	70
71	Bubba Watson	28	687	71
72	Marc Leishman	49	681	72
73	Cameron Davis	52	680	65
74	Kevin Kisner	49	678	73
75	Taylor Moore	38	675	64
76	Brendan Steele	46	663	75
77	Davis Thompson	19	662	145
78	Sebastian Munoz	54	660	74
79	Alex Smalley	45	657	81
80	JJ Spaun	58	654	76
81	Mac Hughes	54	645	77
82	Charles Howell	35	638	80
83	Brendon Todd	52	621	79
84	Erik van Rooyen	47	610	113
85	Gary Woodland	47	602	86
86	Lucas Herbert	47	601	87
87	Matthew NeSmith	55	599	84
88	Hayden Buckley	41	593	88
89	Emiliano Grillo	55	588	85
90	Sepp Straka	66	580	89
91	Chase Koepka	13	577	92
92	Lee Westwood	44	576	82
93	Anirban Lahiri	45	565	99
94	Trey Mullinax	38	560	96
95	Thomas Detry	54	560	101
96	Troy Merritt	58	559	94
97	Wyndham Clark	57	555	97
98	David Lipsky	46	551	95
99	Ben Taylor	27	551	91
100	Jhonattan Vegas	44	550	93
101	SH Kim	19	548	90
102	Kurt Kitayama	50	542	103
103	Rickie Fowler	43	542	100
104	Webb Simpson	39	540	102
105	Francesco Molinari	40	540	135
106	Harris English	42	536	98
107	Eugenio Chacarra	10	533	106
108	Matt Jones	50	529	108
109	Ryan Palmer	46	528	105
110	Branden Grace	52	524	109
111	Charl Schwartzel	47	524	110
112	Min Woo Lee	48	513	142
113	Lee Hodges	44	509	107
114	Richard Bland	50	506	130
115	Robby Shelton	36	504	168
116	Ian Poulter	54	504	104
117	Lanto Griffin	42	503	115
118	Kevin Streelman	55	501	114
119	Patrick Rodgers	63	498	112
120	Thomas Pieters	43	497	111
121	Robert MacIntyre	53	493	121
122	Beau Hossler	53	490	117
123	Aaron Rai	59	485	116
124	Padraig Harrington	35	477	182
125	Adam Svensson	43	476	119
126	Stephan Jaeger	47	470	123
127	Patton Kizzire	56	470	150
128	Russell Knox	60	466	120
129	Callum Tarren	37	463	118
130	Peter Uihlein	36	462	125
131	Nick Hardy	35	461	126
132	Martin Laird	47	450	124
133	Will Gordon	35	448	122
134	Dean Burmester	52	445	128
135	Nick Taylor	56	443	127
136	Luke List	56	438	129
137	Carlos Ortiz	46	437	131
138	Stewart Cink	50	434	133
139	Rasmus Hojgaard	50	433	134
140	Justin Lower	37	428	136
141	Adam Schenk	63	422	132
142	Cameron Champ	43	418	140
143	Lucas Glover	55	413	137
144	Adrian Meronk	52	412	167
145	Mark Hubbard	55	406	139
146	CT Pan	48	403	149
147	Danny Willett	53	402	143
148	Greyson Sigg	47	402	141
149	Dylan Frittelli	60	401	144
150	Sadom Kaewkanjana	15	397	148
151	Harrison Endycott	13	397	191
152	Adam Long	58	393	146
153	Scott Piercy	54	392	152
154	Kevin Yu	17	390	138
155	Byeong Hun An	38	387	157
156	Christopher Gotterup	15	382	154
157	Victor Perez	48	381	216
158	Chez Reavie	58	378	151
159	John Huh	51	374	160
160	Sam Horsfield	44	372	147
161	Nate Lashley	48	371	153
162	Doug Ghim	52	369	155
163	Sam Ryder	61	366	159
164	Brandon Wu	42	366	156
165	Cole Hammer	13	362	163
166	Bernd Wiesberger	47	357	158
167	Harry Hall	19	357	169
168	Harry Higgs	60	353	187
169	Matt Wallace	60	350	185
170	Garrick Higgo	55	347	207
171	Danny Lee	48	346	205
172	Michael Thompson	49	345	162
173	Jason Scrivener	43	343	223
174	Phil Mickelson	32	342	172
175	James Piot	14	342	173
176	Jordan Smith	51	338	165
177	Zac Blair	8	338
178	Adrian Otaegui	58	335	178
179	Charley Hoffman	50	332	164
180	Ryan Fox	47	326	166
181	Nicolas Echavarria	10	323	161
182	Guido Migliozzi	55	321	196
183	Phachara Khongwatmai	12	320	179
184	Ryan Armour	51	318	175
185	Justin Harding	47	316	170
186	Hudson Swafford	49	315	181
187	Chesson Hadley	55	314	176
188	Tyson Alexander	14	313	171
189	Aaron Baddeley	38	308	186
190	Laurie Canter	46	304	188
191	James Hahn	47	303	180
192	Matthias Schwab	53	300	212
193	Thriston Lawrence	39	299	177
194	Doc Redman	52	298	192
195	Alexander Bjork	42	297	206
196	Carl Yuan	11	295	174
197	Pablo Larrazabal	43	294	224
198	Vincent Whaley	54	294	194
199	Robert Streb	59	292	189
200	Zach Johnson	43	289	203
201	Graeme McDowell	40	288	199
202	Fabrizio Zanotti	40	287	183
203	John Augenstein	13	287	201
204	Cameron Percy	41	286	198
205	Yannik Paul	32	286	184
206	David Lingmerth	39	285	193
207	Martin Kaymer	31	284	200
208	Adri Arnaus	50	282	190
209	Thorbjorn Olesen	43	274	242
210	Peter Malnati	58	274	202
211	Austin Eckroat	21	272	195
212	Antoine Rozner	54	269	209
213	Oliver Bekker	37	269	197
214	Nicolai Hojgaard	52	269	267
215	Tyler Duncan	58	266	217
216	Brian Stuard	67	265	208
217	Henrik Stenson	44	265	254
218	Austin Smotherman	37	262	213
219	Turk Pettit	11	261	214
220	Andrew Novak	36	259	210
221	Shubhankar Sharma	53	259	304
222	Brandt Snedeker	42	258	215
223	Eric Cole	15	256	249
224	Paul Haley	14	253	204
225	Matthias Schmid	45	253	326
226	Edoardo Molinari	54	253	264
227	Jamie Donaldson	46	252	222
228	Alex Fitzpatrick	8	251	219
229	Dale Whitnell	59	248	292
230	Grant Forrest	54	247	297
231	Joseph Bramlett	62	247	220
232	Henrik Norlander	57	245	227
233	Rafa Cabrera Bello	57	245	302
234	Brice Garnett	59	243	221
235	Matthieu Pavon	53	243	246
236	Keita Nakajima	17	243	230
237	Wade Ormsby	39	243	232
238	Hennie du Plessis	28	242	211
239	Sebastian Soderberg	54	242	348
240	Hank Lebioda	50	242	218
241	Chris Stroud	20	241	235
242	Andrew Johnston	17	240	237
243	Patrick Flavin	12	238	234
244	Andy Sullivan	50	237	286
245	Satoshi Kodaira	53	237	228
246	Richie Ramsay	53	237	241
247	Richard Mansell	44	235	233
248	Jeff Winther	46	233	299
249	Ashun Wu	44	231	288
250	Marcel Schneider	42	229	225
251	Scott Jamieson	49	228	243
252	Connor Syme	51	228	262
253	Steve Stricker	8	227	238
254	Hurly Long	36	227	226
255	Sean O’Hair	36	226	245
256	Erik Barnes	16	225	229
257	Max McGreevy	40	224	239
258	Rory Sabbatini	47	224	240
259	Mikko Korhonen	40	222	231
260	Masahiro Kawamura	55	221	256
261	Sami Valimaki	47	220	343
262	George Coetzee	44	219	251
263	Sihwan Kim	39	217	250
264	Ryan Moore	36	216	244
265	Tyler McCumber	27	213	253
266	Ryo Hisatsune	20	212	252
267	Takumi Kanaya	36	211	259
268	Callum Shinkwin	44	211	247
269	Maximilian Kieffer	49	207	274
270	Jed Morgan	16	206	261
271	Luke Donald	48	206	275
272	Roger Sloan	50	206	260
273	Kramer Hickok	55	205	255
274	William McGirt	33	205	265
275	Marcus Armitage	52	205	248
276	Chad Ramey	41	203	272
277	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	10	202	269
278	Austin Cook	61	200	289
279	Ewen Ferguson	38	200	236
280	Marcus Helligkilde	28	199	294
281	Jorge Campillo	60	199	257
282	Justin Suh	23	199	273
283	Matthew Jordan	54	198	285
284	Scott Vincent	27	196	276
285	Romain Langasque	54	195	279
286	Johannes Veerman	49	195	258
287	Kelly Kraft	46	194	280
288	Jimmy Walker	38	194	263
289	Estanislao Goya	11	191	443
290	Bi-o Kim	8	190	284
291	Eddie Pepperell	48	188	271
292	Zecheng Dou	15	188	266
293	Ben Martin	46	185	281
294	Julien Brun	30	184	270
295	Michael Gligic	58	182	283
296	Joost Luiten	45	182	321
297	Tapio Pulkkanen	51	182	278
298	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	53	181	295
299	Nick Watney	53	181	287
300	Haotong Li	37	179	277
301	Dylan Wu	38	179	323
302	Marcel Siem	41	177	298
303	Rick Lamb	8	176	301
304	Michael Gellerman	12	176	303
305	Richy Werenski	56	176	290
306	Joakim Lagergren	52	173	291
307	Matthew Southgate	56	172	293
308	Niklas Norgaard Moller	31	171	282
309	Paul Barjon	37	170	305
310	Mikumu Horikawa	23	167	307
311	Jinichiro Kozuma	24	166	309
312	Kevin Tway	53	164	311
313	MJ Daffue	22	164	300
314	Tom Lewis	43	162	312
315	Seung-yul Noh	37	162	306
316	Lukas Nemecz	31	161	296
317	Anthony Quayle	19	160	315
318	Jazz Janewattananond	54	159	316
319	Sean Crocker	55	159	325
320	David Law	55	157	308
321	Ockie Strydom	11	156	268
322	Francesco Laporta	55	154	322
323	Jonathan Byrd	36	154	317
324	John Catlin	52	153	314
325	Paul Waring	38	152	310
326	Bo Hoag	48	152	319
327	Vaughn Taylor	47	149	327
328	Louis de Jager	37	149	313
329	Ryosuke Kinoshita	28	148	331
330	Andrew Landry	36	148	320
331	Chris Naegel	8	147	329
332	Jayden Schaper	14	146	334
333	Justin Walters	51	146	333
334	Brandon Hagy	54	146	328
335	Shaun Norris	35	144	337
336	Bronson Burgoon	32	143	336
337	Chase Seiffert	43	142	340
338	Ricardo Gouveia	30	142	338
339	Jack Senior	47	142	341
340	Ross Fisher	52	142	324
341	Gavin Green	52	136	335
342	Alfredo Garcia-Heredia	33	136	344
343	Daniel van Tonder	52	135	345
344	Akshay Bhatia	15	135	346
345	Joachim B Hansen	54	134	347
346	Calum Hill	29	133	318
347	Angel Hidalgo	26	132	330
348	Scott Gutschewski	31	132	349
349	Fabian Gomez	27	128	354
350	James Morrison	56	127	358
351	JC Ritchie	28	127	339
352	Scott Brown	43	127	356
353	Bill Haas	51	126	351
354	Espen Kofstad	31	126	342
355	Stephen Stallings	10	125	364
356	Daniel Gavins	47	123	350
357	Wil Besseling	49	121	352
358	Marcus Kinhult	40	121	373
359	Kevin Chappell	33	121	355
360	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	44	121	353
361	Wilco Nienaber	43	120	367
362	Todd Sinnott	13	120	362
363	Martin Trainer	56	120	360
364	Bo Van Pelt	42	119	368
365	Andrew Wilson	27	119	371
366	Sung Kang	59	118	361
367	Ben Kohles	30	118	372
368	Kalle Samooja	47	117	357
369	Michael Kim	35	116	363
370	David Horsey	51	115	376
371	Bryson Nimmer	9	115	375
372	Tom McKibbin	13	114	332
373	Soren Kjeldsen	47	114	359
374	Renato Paratore	56	114	380
375	Santiago Tarrio Ben	43	114	378
376	Oliver Wilson	52	113	366
377	Julien Guerrier	53	113	370
378	Camilo Villegas	50	111	381
379	Darius van Driel	53	111	377
380	Kyle Stanley	43	111	374
381	Rikuya Hoshino	31	110	385
382	Alexander Levy	31	109	386
383	Victor Dubuisson	35	109	369
384	Kyle Westmoreland	14	109	365
385	Kazuki Higa	28	109	387
386	Brian Gay	41	109	392
387	Jim Herman	41	108	388
388	Mark Anderson	18	108	391
389	Matthew Baldwin	17	108	393
390	Vincent Norman	18	106	398
391	Jaco Prinsloo	9	105	396
392	Travis Smyth	11	105	394
393	Zander Lombard	59	105	383
394	Daan Huizing	37	105	379
395	Daniel Hillier	13	105	421
396	Yuki Inamori	29	104	395
397	Nacho Elvira	55	104	384
398	Jim Furyk	8	103	389
399	Chan Kim	32	103	397
400	Alejandro Canizares	57	102	399
More \| Less

A look at the American Express

January 16, 2023 Thomas Hawley Analytics

I love this place!

Player	History
Adam Hadwin	0.653
Brian Harman	0.645
Brendan Steele	0.513
Andrew Putnam	0.472
Lucas Glover	0.460
Sungjae Im	0.449
Jon Rahm	0.409
John Huh	0.380

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Patrick Cantlay	1	1901.4
Jon Rahm	3	1715.8
Scottie Scheffler	4	1567.7
Xander Schauffele	5	1563.5
Will Zalatoris	8	1422.1
Taylor Montgomery	11	1256.5
Sungjae Im	13	1215.6
Tom Kim	14	1213.1

Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Rory McIlroy	2	1794.2
Dustin Johnson	6	1540.4
Cameron Smith	7	1509.9
Justin Thomas	9	1371.7

Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Joel Dahmen	1515.9
Ben Taylor	1204.3
Alex Smalley	1051.9
Rickie Fowler	996.4
Patrick Rodgers	994.9
Wyndham Clark	968.2
David Lipsky	954.4
Will Gordon	840.3

Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Tom Kim	-728.5
Sam Burns	-633.8
Sungjae Im	-629.7
Erik van Rooyen	-465.4
Taylor Pendrith	-439.5
Mark Hubbard	-418.9
Keith Mitchell	-413.9
Jhonattan Vegas	-401.3

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.16	Scrambling
0.13	Driving distance
0.09	Driving accuracy
0.05	Greens in regulation

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Tom Kim	69.60
Sungjae Im	70.09
Jon Rahm	70.11
Kevin Yu	70.14
Patrick Cantlay	70.14
Taylor Montgomery	70.15
Keith Mitchell	70.16
Will Gordon	70.18

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Anders Albertson	72.0
Kyle Stanley	71.7
Gunner Wiebe	71.7
Ryan Brehm	71.6
Jimmy Walker	71.5
Trevor Werbylo	71.5
Richy Werenski	71.4
Garrick Higgo	71.3

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and the event venue.

Player	Residence	Distance
Sahith Theegala	Chino Hills CA	75
Brendan Steele	Irvine CA	100
Patrick Cantlay	Long Beach CA	100
Justin Suh	Los Angeles CA	125
Scott Piercy	Las Vegas NV	175
Nick Watney	Las Vegas NV	175
Harry Hall	Las Vegas NV	175
Xander Schauffele	Las Vegas NV	175
Joseph Bramlett	Las Vegas NV	175
Doug Ghim	Las Vegas NV	175
Charley Hoffman	Las Vegas NV	175
David Lipsky	Las Vegas NV	175
Taylor Montgomery	Las Vegas NV	175

Mathematically speaking

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.364
I love this place	0.164
Ooh, that’s hot	0.142
Location, location, location	0.024

Patrick Cantlay

The American Express Power Ratings

January 16, 2023 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

The American Express has attracted a very strong field. Four of the top five players in the Hawley Rankings – Patrick Cantlay, Joh Rahm, Scottie Scheffler, and Xander Schauffele – will play the Pete Dye Stadium Course, final-round venue for this three-course event, this week. The courses are located amid the PGA West complex of courses in beautiful La Quinta CA, near Palm Springs and about 130 miles southeast of downtown Los Angeles.

Also in the field are five others from the world top 20 and, overall, 45 of the top 100. From the latter group, Ben Taylor, Alex Smalley, Rickie Fowler, and Patrick Rodgers come in off of strong performances spanning late fall and early 2023. Among the big guys, Cantlay gets the nod based on his record in the event – top-10 finishes in all three of his appearances in the event over the past four years. He was 16th in the year-opening Champions event in Hawaii after a long layoff.

Patrick Cantlay

Pick	Player	Power Number	Actual Finish
1	Patrick Cantlay	2.7	26
2	Jon Rahm	4.9	1
3	Scottie Scheffler	13.7	11
4	Xander Schauffele	20.2	3
5	Will Zalatoris	21.0	36
6	Taylor Montgomery	27.9	5
7	Tony Finau	31.2	16
8	Sungjae Im	33.1	18
9	Brian Harman	33.3	79
10	Cameron Young	35.6	26
11	Tom Kim	35.9	6
12	Adam Hadwin	36.8	18
13	Sam Burns	37.7	11
14	Aaron Wise	39.0	79
15	Joel Dahmen	40.0	DNP
16	Tom Hoge	42.3	32
17	Si Woo Kim	42.6	22
18	Sahith Theegala	43.6	54
19	Ben Griffin	44.5	32
20	Andrew Putnam	45.4	36
21	Alex Smalley	47.9	22
22	Ben Taylor	48.9	106
23	Keith Mitchell	49.0	22
24	Wyndham Clark	50.1	50
25	Rickie Fowler	50.2	54
26	KH Lee	50.3	70
27	Cameron Davis	50.5	120
28	David Lipsky	51.0	94
29	Matthew NeSmith	51.0	79
30	Davis Riley	51.1	65
31	Taylor Moore	51.2	79
32	Jason Day	51.8	18
33	Taylor Pendrith	51.9	79
34	Justin Rose	52.1	26
35	Brendan Steele	52.1	32
36	JT Poston	52.5	6
37	Denny McCarthy	52.5	50
38	Brendon Todd	52.6	79
39	Chris Kirk	52.7	3
40	Patrick Rodgers	53.0	134
41	Emiliano Grillo	55.1	70
42	Sebastian Munoz	55.4	41
43	Will Gordon	55.6	79
44	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	55.8	11
45	Thomas Detry	56.5	26
46	Harris English	56.7	70
47	Lee Hodges	56.8	115
48	Martin Laird	57.4	62
49	SH Kim	57.7	106
50	Beau Hossler	57.8	50
51	Troy Merritt	58.0	120
52	Jhonattan Vegas	58.3	79
53	Callum Tarren	58.8	79
54	Russell Knox	59.2	54
55	Stephan Jaeger	59.7	36
56	Nick Taylor	60.0	100
57	David Lingmerth	60.3	94
58	Greyson Sigg	60.5	79
59	Kevin Yu	60.7	106
60	Aaron Rai	60.8	100
61	Luke List	61.5	79
62	Adam Long	61.5	70
63	Erik van Rooyen	62.3	6
64	Dean Burmester	62.4	54
65	Patton Kizzire	62.5	11
66	Scott Piercy	62.5	41
67	Davis Thompson	62.9	2
68	Stewart Cink	63.0	41
69	Lucas Glover	63.0	129
70	Aaron Baddeley	63.1	50
71	Danny Willett	63.2	134
72	Nate Lashley	63.3	120
73	Tyson Alexander	63.7	134
74	Justin Lower	63.8	41
75	Adam Schenk	63.8	155
76	Byeong Hun An	64.1	41
77	John Huh	64.4	DNP
78	Nicolas Echavarria	64.4	70
79	Ryan Armour	64.7	65
80	Charley Hoffman	64.7	100
81	Mark Hubbard	64.7	70
82	Chez Reavie	64.8	145
83	Michael Thompson	64.9	134
84	Sam Ryder	64.9	100
85	Zac Blair	65.0	115
86	Dylan Frittelli	65.1	145
87	Carl Yuan	65.2	134
88	Doug Ghim	65.3	70
89	Brandon Wu	65.6	70
90	Robby Shelton	65.8	6
91	Harry Hall	66.2	41
92	Andrew Novak	66.3	150
93	Harry Higgs	66.5	18
94	Andrew Landry	66.9	68
95	Austin Eckroat	67.0	129
96	James Hahn	67.0	145
97	Chesson Hadley	67.6	79
98	Zach Johnson	68.4	41
99	Danny Lee	68.5	16
100	Erik Barnes	68.7	79
101	Joseph Bramlett	68.8	54
102	Robert Streb	68.8	144
103	Brice Garnett	68.9	134
104	Harrison Endycott	68.9	22
105	Eric Cole	69.1	36
106	Sean O’Hair	69.1	DNP
107	Matthias Schwab	69.2	26
108	Paul Haley	69.2	69
109	Chris Stroud	69.3	DNP
110	Ryan Moore	69.5	129
111	Peter Malnati	69.8	106
112	Austin Cook	69.8	36
113	Garrick Higgo	69.8	11
114	Bill Haas	69.8	134
115	Brian Stuard	69.9	152
116	Hank Lebioda	70.2	150
117	Satoshi Kodaira	70.2	129
118	Ben Martin	70.3	94
119	Tyler Duncan	70.5	41
120	Rory Sabbatini	70.5	145
121	William McGirt	70.6	DNP
122	Justin Suh	71.1	54
123	Nick Watney	71.2	129
124	Max McGreevy	71.4	120
125	Seung-yul Noh	71.6	115
126	Jason Dufner	71.8	106
127	MJ Daffue	72.0	100
128	Kramer Hickok	72.0	79
129	Richy Werenski	72.1	106
130	Zecheng Dou	72.3	62
131	Chad Ramey	72.3	DNP
132	Jimmy Walker	72.4	100
133	Michael Gligic	72.8	134
134	Kevin Tway	73.1	54
135	Jonathan Byrd	73.4	120
136	Dylan Wu	73.6	32
137	Fabian Gomez	73.6	DNP
138	Matthias Schmid	73.7	6
139	Michael Kim	74.1	115
140	Kyle Westmoreland	74.4	106
141	Martin Trainer	74.6	134
142	Brian Gay	74.7	DNP
143	Sung Kang	75.0	120
144	Philip Knowles	75.2	115
145	Vincent Norman	75.4	54
146	Kyle Stanley	75.4	DNP
147	Scott Harrington	75.5	120
148	Ryan Brehm	75.8	79
149	Brent Grant	76.3	156
150	Samuel Stevens	76.4	67
151	Estanislao Goya	76.4	26
152	Trevor Cone	76.8	120
153	Carson Young	76.8	94
154	Taiga Semikawa	76.8	106
155	Kevin Roy	77.2	70
156	John Pak	77.3	106
157	Augusto Nunez	77.3	120
158	Brandon Matthews	77.4	134
159	Gunner Wiebe	78.1	152
160	Anders Albertson	78.2	62
161	Michael Block	78.5	94
163	Trevor Werbylo	79.0	41
164	Caleb Surratt	79.0	94
	Kevin Chappell	late entry	146
	Wesley Bryan	late entry	154
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 254. The average is 165. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship Power Ratings

January 16, 2023 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

This event attracts an eclectic field that includes over half the players from last week’s nearby, Ryder-Cup-style Hero Cup competition, nearly 10 players from the LIV lineup, and eight of the world top 100 (per the Hawley Rankings). Ewen Ferguson, Tommy Fleetwood, and Tyrrell Hatton led the way in the Hero Cup with 3-0-1 records. Patrick Reed is highest-ranked of the LIV representatives. Shane Lowry has the best world ranking, 24th. Hatton is the pick, mostly based on strong recent performance.

Tyrrell Hatton

Pick	Player	Power Number	Actual Finish
1	Tyrrell Hatton	31.7	7
2	Shane Lowry	35.0	28
3	Tommy Fleetwood	35.5	38
4	Patrick Reed	38.5	103
5	Seamus Power	40.3	20
6	Lee Westwood	44.6	56
7	Alex Noren	46.3	5
8	Thomas Pieters	48.2	84
9	Ian Poulter	56.1	60
10	Sepp Straka	58.7	103
11	Richard Bland	59.3	10
12	Bernd Wiesberger	59.6	50
13	Robert MacIntyre	61.1	20
14	Min Woo Lee	61.6	2
15	Sam Horsfield	61.6	75
16	Rasmus Hojgaard	61.7	DNP
17	Jordan Smith	62.8	84
18	Justin Harding	64.6	120
19	Francesco Molinari	64.7	5
20	Adrian Otaegui	65.0	28
21	Adrian Meronk	65.2	10
22	Yannik Paul	65.4	117
23	Fabrizio Zanotti	65.6	100
24	Ryan Fox	65.7	65
25	Victor Perez	66.0	1
26	Jason Scrivener	66.2	7
27	Padraig Harrington	66.2	4
28	Rafa Cabrera Bello	66.5	10
29	Richie Ramsay	66.6	38
30	Alexander Bjork	66.7	28
31	Adri Arnaus	66.7	111
32	Ewen Ferguson	67.3	64
33	Scott Jamieson	67.5	46
34	Thriston Lawrence	67.6	126
35	Pablo Larrazabal	67.9	20
36	Guido Migliozzi	68.1	20
37	Matt Wallace	68.1	20
38	Joakim Lagergren	68.4	84
39	Marcel Schneider	68.4	103
40	Jamie Donaldson	68.4	38
41	Maximilian Kieffer	68.4	38
42	Oliver Bekker	68.5	84
43	Shubhankar Sharma	68.7	7
44	Henrik Stenson	68.8	20
45	Jeff Winther	69.0	17
46	Mikko Korhonen	69.0	84
47	Richard Mansell	69.1	50
48	Paul Waring	69.3	69
49	Ross Fisher	69.4	123
50	Thorbjorn Olesen	69.4	20
51	Marcus Armitage	69.4	67
52	Andy Sullivan	69.5	17
53	George Coetzee	69.7	38
54	Joost Luiten	69.8	28
55	Connor Syme	69.8	28
56	Hurly Long	69.9	117
57	Callum Shinkwin	69.9	100
58	Antoine Rozner	70.1	50
59	Gavin Green	70.2	75
60	Jorge Campillo	70.2	75
61	Hennie du Plessis	70.4	75
62	Ashun Wu	70.6	20
63	Masahiro Kawamura	70.6	34
64	Johannes Veerman	70.9	103
65	Edoardo Molinari	71.1	17
66	Jazz Janewattananond	71.1	50
67	Dale Whitnell	71.4	10
68	Nicolai Hojgaard	71.5	10
69	Eddie Pepperell	71.5	103
70	Lukas Nemecz	71.6	120
71	David Law	71.6	96
72	Luke Donald	72.0	38
73	Haotong Li	72.0	124
74	Victor Dubuisson	72.0	120
75	Matthew Southgate	72.1	84
76	Matthieu Pavon	72.1	28
77	Matthew Jordan	72.2	34
78	Julien Brun	72.2	69
79	Tapio Pulkkanen	72.3	96
80	Ockie Strydom	72.3	63
81	Niklas Norgaard Moller	72.4	96
82	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	72.5	DNP
83	Marcus Helligkilde	72.5	34
84	Soren Kjeldsen	72.6	96
85	John Catlin	72.6	60
86	James Morrison	72.7	46
87	Sebastian Soderberg	73.3	2
88	Calum Hill	73.4	69
89	Sean Crocker	73.5	38
90	Louis de Jager	73.6	75
91	Nacho Elvira	73.6	67
92	Tom McKibbin	73.6	69
93	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	73.7	75
94	Angel Hidalgo	73.7	69
95	Espen Kofstad	73.8	111
96	Oliver Wilson	73.9	75
97	Marcus Kinhult	73.9	46
98	Alexander Levy	74.1	50
99	Sami Valimaki	74.2	10
100	Grant Forrest	74.2	10
101	Kalle Samooja	74.4	84
102	Daan Huizing	74.4	84
103	JC Ritchie	74.5	103
104	Daniel Gavins	74.8	84
105	Nicolas Colsaerts	74.8	103
106	Chase Hanna	74.8	56
107	Darius van Driel	75.2	56
108	Jacques Kruyswijk	75.3	111
109	Wil Besseling	75.5	84
110	Aaron Cockerill	75.6	84
111	Santiago Tarrio Ben	75.8	50
112	Julien Guerrier	75.9	111
113	Alexander Knappe	76.0	69
114	Daniel Hillier	76.1	46
115	Jens Dantorp	76.3	103
116	Zander Lombard	76.3	100
117	Marc Warren	76.5	65
118	Thomas Bjorn	77.3	56
119	Clement Sordet	77.3	DNP
120	Martin Simonsen	77.6	DNP
121	Nathan Kimsey	77.9	34
122	Jeunghun Wang	78.1	111
123	Dan Bradbury	78.5	60
124	Mikael Lundberg	78.5	84
125	Issa Abou El Ela	78.5	125
126	Fakori El Mehdi	78.5	117
127	Oliver Hundebol Jorgensen	78.5	38
128	Robin Sciot-Siegrist	78.5	DNP
129	Yan-wei Liu	79.2	75
130	Jeong Weon Ko	79.4	DNP
131	Freddy Schott	79.4	75
132	Jeremy Freiburghaus	79.8	111
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 83. The average is 165. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

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