Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (Jan. 19, 2025)

January 20, 2025 Thomas Hawley

Scottie Scheffler is waiting for his injured hand to heal during his 88th straight week at no. 1.
# Thru Jan. 19, 2025 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Scottie Scheffler 43 2990 1
2 Xander Schauffele 46 2484 2
3 Rory McIlroy 48 2211 3
4 Collin Morikawa 48 1917 4
5 Patrick Cantlay 43 1906 5
6 Ludvig Aberg 42 1751 6
7 Russell Henley 44 1703 7
8 Tommy Fleetwood 52 1626 9
9 Hideki Matsuyama 46 1616 10
10 Viktor Hovland 43 1598 8
11 Sam Burns 49 1521 12
12 Sungjae Im 55 1482 11
13 Corey Conners 50 1481 14
14 Justin Thomas 45 1447 21
15 Adam Scott 47 1441 13
16 Wyndham Clark 50 1405 15
17 Luke Clanton 9 1395 17
18 Tyrrell Hatton 51 1355 20
19 Jon Rahm 40 1346 16
20 Shane Lowry 51 1333 19
21 Tony Finau 47 1293 18
22 Denny McCarthy 48 1272 22
23 Keegan Bradley 46 1251 23
24 JT Poston 52 1216 29
25 Sahith Theegala 56 1207 24
26 Alex Noren 48 1204 26
27 Max Homa 48 1192 25
28 Bryson DeChambeau 36 1188 27
29 Jason Day 44 1175 38
30 Sepp Straka 57 1165 39
31 Byeong Hun An 49 1153 30
32 Brian Harman 53 1136 28
33 Cam Davis 51 1100 36
34 Eric Cole 65 1093 31
35 Aaron Rai 57 1071 34
36 Matt Fitzpatrick 53 1069 35
37 Si Woo Kim 53 1066 33
38 Cameron Young 50 1057 32
39 Maverick McNealy 43 1055 40
40 Tom Kim 56 1030 37
41 Taylor Pendrith 56 1016 41
42 Stephan Jaeger 51 997 42
43 Billy Horschel 55 985 45
44 Will Zalatoris 31 978 60
45 Harris English 49 972 43
46 Beau Hossler 55 959 56
47 Min Woo Lee 48 949 48
48 Jordan Spieth 43 945 46
49 Kurt Kitayama 45 930 44
50 Taylor Moore 52 928 63
51 Lucas Glover 55 921 47
52 Rickie Fowler 48 921 54
53 Thomas Detry 56 918 50
54 Tom Hoge 61 911 55
55 Austin Eckroat 52 910 53
56 Cameron Smith 40 909 51
57 Mac Hughes 53 895 49
58 Ben Griffin 63 892 68
59 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 57 882 52
60 Max Greyserman 51 880 71
61 Brooks Koepka 39 869 59
62 Akshay Bhatia 58 864 58
63 Lee Hodges 56 852 61
64 Emiliano Grillo 50 844 57
65 Joaquin Niemann 45 836 64
66 Davis Thompson 52 829 62
67 JJ Spaun 53 826 67
68 Nick Dunlap 30 824 66
69 Keith Mitchell 53 818 70
70 Nick Taylor 54 815 76
71 Robert MacIntyre 63 813 69
72 Adam Hadwin 50 802 65
73 Mark Hubbard 63 787 81
74 Chris Kirk 48 775 73
75 Justin Rose 46 763 72
76 Patrick Rodgers 56 743 74
77 Harry Hall 55 742 85
78 Adam Schenk 59 733 75
79 Sergio Garcia 36 722 82
80 Patrick Reed 44 721 89
81 Doug Ghim 55 719 91
82 Seamus Power 48 719 83
83 Andrew Putnam 53 715 77
84 Brendon Todd 53 701 80
85 Jhonattan Vegas 32 696 78
86 Ryan Fox 53 685 93
87 Matt Kuchar 53 684 87
88 Adam Svensson 59 681 84
89 Michael Thorbjornsen 17 677 79
90 Dean Burmester 44 673 86
91 Nico Echavarria 57 661 92
92 Victor Perez 49 648 94
93 Alex Smalley 55 641 110
94 Matthieu Pavon 56 638 95
95 Vince Whaley 17 637 90
96 Justin Lower 61 630 122
97 Charley Hoffman 49 620 129
98 Michael Kim 53 612 97
99 Louis Oosthuizen 39 612 100
100 Abraham Ancer 34 606 102
101 Neal Shipley 11 606 88
102 Nicolai Hojgaard 57 601 96
103 Patrick Fishburn 53 598 99
104 Andrew Novak 53 596 98
105 Erik van Rooyen 59 590 101
106 Daniel Berger 30 582 118
107 Thorbjorn Olesen 54 580 105
108 Cameron Tringale 29 575 106
109 Dustin Johnson 36 574 107
110 Gary Woodland 44 574 108
111 Matt Wallace 62 571 104
112 Kevin Yu 44 567 103
113 CT Pan 39 563 111
114 Sam Stevens 59 559 109
115 Richard Bland 34 557 112
116 Talor Gooch 35 551 113
117 Paul Casey 30 551 114
118 Rasmus Hojgaard 48 542 125
119 Carson Young 55 541 119
120 Sam Ryder 56 525 115
121 Marc Leishman 32 518 121
122 Ryo Hisatsune 66 517 123
123 Mac Meissner 49 512 116
124 Jordan Smith 54 509 117
125 KH Lee 58 506 120
126 Sebastian Munoz 33 500 127
127 Greyson Sigg 57 499 124
128 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 18 496 168
129 Lucas Herbert 42 495 128
130 Carlos Ortiz 35 493 130
131 Matti Schmid 63 491 126
132 Matthew Jordan 52 490 131
133 Kevin Na 30 483 132
134 Jacob Bridgeman 53 481 149
135 Charles Howell 23 476 133
136 Webb Simpson 32 473 135
137 Laurie Canter 43 472 169
138 Bud Cauley 20 470 136
139 Romain Langasque 59 457 138
140 Niklas Norgaard 55 456 167
141 Jesper Svensson 31 455 134
142 Tom McKibbin 55 454 162
143 Chad Ramey 57 451 137
144 Rico Hoey 55 449 139
145 Thriston Lawrence 58 446 140
146 Chandler Phillips 51 444 141
147 Nate Lashley 54 436 143
148 Adrian Meronk 51 435 142
149 David Puig 47 433 148
150 Dylan Wu 54 433 147
151 Antoine Rozner 52 432 144
152 Henrik Norlander 54 432 145
153 Luke List 55 430 146
154 Ewen Ferguson 55 430 164
155 Matteo Manassero 34 428 153
156 Michael Thompson 8 424 154
157 Jason Kokrak 34 422 155
158 Taylor Montgomery 45 419 151
159 Joe Highsmith 47 417 150
160 David Lipsky 56 415 152
161 Jake Knapp 48 413 156
162 Chesson Hadley 51 406 157
163 Brendan Steele 32 404 160
164 Garrick Higgo 55 400 158
165 Jorge Campillo 64 398 161
166 Anirban Lahiri 38 394 170
167 Zac Blair 49 393 159
168 Patton Kizzire 54 392 163
169 Chan Kim 52 391 165
170 Ben Silverman 46 386 166
171 Branden Grace 40 383 173
172 Mito Pereira 36 381 172
173 Ben Kohles 53 379 204
174 Henrik Stenson 32 378 174
175 Kelly Kraft 43 376 178
176 Julien Guerrier 51 376 185
177 Matthew Wolff 29 375 175
178 Alexander Bjork 43 372 182
179 Zach Johnson 38 371 171
180 Daniel Hillier 53 368 226
181 Sam Horsfield 22 365 181
182 Guido Migliozzi 52 363 214
183 Harold Varner 33 360 180
184 Vincent Whaley 28 359 184
185 Thomas Pieters 38 356 176
186 Nick Hardy 61 355 179
187 Johannes Veerman 50 354 186
188 Justin Suh 56 353 177
189 Hayden Springer 34 349 190
190 Charl Schwartzel 41 348 191
191 Yannik Paul 55 345 183
192 Joel Dahmen 57 342 188
193 Martin Laird 50 342 192
194 Stewart Cink 36 341 196
195 Sebastian Soderberg 46 339 201
196 Wesley Bryan 38 338 187
197 Keita Nakajima 35 337 224
198 Joe Dean 8 336 197
199 Robby Shelton 54 334 195
200 Carl Yuan 52 331 194
201 Alex Fitzpatrick 47 328 193
202 Paul Waring 50 326 199
203 Kramer Hickok 27 326 206
204 SH Kim 61 325 212
205 Brice Garnett 45 325 227
206 Scott Stallings 32 321 207
207 Nathan Kimsey 21 321 189
208 Joost Luiten 51 319 222
209 Matt Jones 37 319 209
210 Davis Riley 54 319 200
211 David Lingmerth 24 317 203
212 Eugenio Chacarra 43 316 213
213 Peter Uihlein 43 316 210
214 Matthew NeSmith 55 314 215
215 Ryan Moore 52 312 220
216 Joseph Bramlett 46 312 202
217 Kevin Streelman 49 311 205
218 Vincent Norrman 49 311 238
219 David Micheluzzi 37 309 264
220 Caleb Surratt 20 308 221
221 Kevin Tway 53 308 211
222 Padraig Harrington 27 307 198
223 Shubhankar Sharma 51 307 208
224 Troy Merritt 55 305 225
225 Peter Malnati 60 301 218
226 David Skinns 48 298 223
227 Brandon Stone 36 297 219
228 Chez Reavie 53 297 217
229 Ben Martin 41 296 216
230 Shaun Norris 26 293 340
231 Brandon Wu 56 293 228
232 Peter Kuest 40 291 230
233 Connor Syme 55 290 239
234 Andy Ogletree 28 289 229
235 Francesco Laporta 38 288 233
236 Richard Mansell 52 281 232
237 Yuta Sugiura 15 281 237
238 Jeff Winther 49 279 231
239 Rikuya Hoshino 51 279 242
240 Ugo Coussaud 36 274 234
241 Sam Bairstow 35 274 235
242 Grant Forrest 49 273 236
243 Bernd Wiesberger 40 268 243
244 Tyler Duncan 53 267 240
245 Alejandro Tosti 55 266 244
246 Trey Mullinax 31 265 375
247 Kensei Hirata 24 265 250
248 Adrien Saddier 49 261 241
249 Hennie du Plessis 30 261 253
250 Lanto Griffin 48 260 268
251 Andy Sullivan 60 260 246
252 Ian Poulter 31 259 249
253 Zander Lombard 43 258 255
254 Graeme McDowell 33 257 254
255 Hayden Buckley 51 255 245
256 Kevin Roy 54 255 308
257 Trace Crowe 51 255 260
258 Sean Crocker 50 254 248
259 Sami Valimaki 51 254 251
260 Pierceson Coody 56 254 263
261 Phil Mickelson 36 252 256
262 Aaron Baddeley 47 250 252
263 Kevin Chappell 43 249 257
264 Jayden Schaper 44 248 282
265 Adrian Otaegui 58 247 258
266 Robin Williams 19 247 261
267 Frederic LaCroix 37 240 259
268 Calum Hill 52 239 295
269 Tom Vaillant 28 238 265
270 Alejandro Del Rey 52 238 262
271 Rafael Campos 56 238 266
272 Scott Vincent 41 235 267
273 Martin Kaymer 30 235 269
274 Elvis Smylie 10 233 247
275 Ryan Palmer 44 232 298
276 Lee Westwood 28 231 272
277 Austin Smotherman 56 231 279
278 Brandon Robinson Thompson 12 225 275
279 Marcel Siem 48 224 273
280 Richie Ramsay 49 224 276
281 Fabrizio Zanotti 46 224 270
282 Frankie Capan 49 223 396
283 Ryutaro Nagano 15 221 278
284 Dan Bradbury 55 221 277
285 Andrew Johnston 15 220 280
286 Callum Tarren 57 220 274
287 Adrien Dumont de Chassart 41 220 283
288 Jimmy Stanger 36 219 285
289 Pat Perez 33 217 281
290 Camilo Villegas 56 217 435
291 Max Schmitt 10 216 286
292 Danny Lee 36 213 288
293 John Catlin 52 212 290
294 Haotong Li 45 212 289
295 Jimmy Walker 34 209 271
296 Cameron Champ 52 209 284
297 Michael Block 10 208 287
298 Jackson Suber 48 204 292
299 Ryan Gerard 55 202 299
300 Shimizu Taisei 16 202 301
301 Taiga Semikawa 26 200 291
302 Will Gordon 45 199 293
303 Daniel Brown 56 199 294
304 Jim Knous 10 199 307
305 Jason Scrivener 48 197 335
306 John Parry 34 196 296
307 Gavin Green 56 196 297
308 Julien Brun 33 196 302
309 Angel Ayora 11 195 303
310 Brett White 9 194 306
311 Marcus Kinhult 45 193 300
312 Marcus Armitage 53 189 324
313 Chris Gotterup 53 189 305
314 Jacques Kruyswijk 32 187 368
315 Andrew Wilson 38 186 304
316 Casey Jarvis 42 185 325
317 Estanislao Goya 25 184 315
318 Ben Campbell 26 184 313
319 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 35 184 348
320 Marcus Helligkilde 32 184 310
321 Matthew Southgate 61 184 312
322 Paul Peterson 55 183 309
323 Todd Clements 55 182 328
324 Bubba Watson 31 182 314
325 Maximilian Kieffer 50 179 318
326 Ratchanon Chantananuwat 13 179 320
327 Yuto Katsuragawa 41 177 311
328 Ren Yonezawa 12 176 323
329 Pablo Larrazabal 44 174 316
330 Max McGreevy 62 174 319
331 Darius van Driel 54 173 321
332 Scott Piercy 51 173 317
333 Lucas Bjerregaard 11 172 334
334 Joshua Grenville-Wood 8 172 333
335 Jinichiro Kozuma 36 172 331
336 Nacho Elvira 56 170 332
337 Matt McCarty 56 170 327
338 Ding Wenyi 13 170 337
339 Callum Shinkwin 41 169 322
340 Seung-yul Noh 51 168 342
341 Andrea Pavan 35 168 326
342 Aaron Cockerill 51 167 329
343 Matthew Baldwin 60 167 330
344 David Law 52 167 338
345 Marcel Schneider 54 166 336
346 Nicholas Lindheim 27 166 357
347 Ryo Ishikawa 21 164 344
348 Kieran Vincent 39 162 346
349 Tom Whitney 50 162 339
350 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 34 161 341
351 Jens Fahrbring 15 161 351
352 Kalle Samooja 45 161 347
353 Ryan McCormick 53 159 345
354 Ryosuke Kinoshita 24 159 355
355 Keenan Davidse 13 158 356
356 Angel Hidalgo 57 157 343
357 Tyson Alexander 57 157 349
358 Nick Bachem 51 156 358
359 Scott Jamieson 49 156 350
360 Eddie Pepperell 47 154 359
361 Ricardo Gouveia 37 153 454
362 Takumi Kanaya 34 151 353
363 Tapio Pulkkanen 29 149 362
364 Nicolas Colsaerts 39 148 360
365 Jason Dufner 33 147 352
366 Harry Higgs 51 147 400
367 James Hahn 35 147 363
368 Ryan Brehm 53 147 361
369 Jannik De Bruyn 16 144 354
370 Kazuma Kobori 16 144 365
371 MJ Maguire 11 144 366
372 Roger Sloan 48 143 367
373 Brandt Snedeker 39 143 372
374 Max Rottluff 31 143 369
375 John Axelsen 33 139 373
376 Isaiah Salinda 49 138 370
377 Luke Donald 35 138 364
378 Daan Huizing 48 137 377
379 Freddy Schott 56 134 381
380 Ross Fisher 50 134 374
381 Satoshi Kodaira 36 132 383
382 Thomas Aiken 43 132 376
383 Sam Bennett 39 132 371
384 Zecheng Dou 50 131 380
385 Doc Redman 53 131 378
386 Yuki Inamori 20 129 386
387 Dylan Naidoo 11 128 387
388 Parker Coody 43 128 392
389 Lukas Nemecz 51 128 388
390 Ryan Van Velzen 20 127 379
391 Quade Cummins 52 126 457
392 Karl Vilips 12 126 394
393 Jens Dantorp 56 126 384
394 Masahiro Kawamura 40 126 393
395 Francesco Molinari 41 126 382
396 Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 33 125 437
397 Travis Smyth 27 125 391
398 Wil Besseling 25 125 398
399 Adam Long 54 124 415
400 Dylan Frittelli 61 124 512
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Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

The American Express Power Ratings

January 14, 2025 Thomas Hawley ,

Dates: Jan. 16-19 2025. Venues: Pete Dye Stadium Course (par 72, 7210 yards), La Quinta CC (par 72, 7060 yards), and Nicklaus Tournament Course (par 72, 7147 yards); La Quinta, CA.
Purse: $8.8 million.

Patrick Cantlay
Patrick Cantlay
Pick Player Power Number Observed Odds Course fit
1 Patrick Cantlay 18.2 16-1 69.5
2 Sungjae Im 28.5 24-1 69.3
3 Sam Burns 29.3 25-1 68.7
4 Wyndham Clark 32.2 25-1 68.8
5 Eric Cole 34.4 30-1 69.3
6 Justin Thomas 36.6 35-1 69.4
7 Tony Finau 37.6 35-1 69.5
8 Denny McCarthy 39.1 40-1 69.2
9 JT Poston 40.7 40-1 69.4
10 Brian Harman 42.9 45-1 69.3
11 Cameron Young 43.7 50-1 69.5
12 Beau Hossler 45.2 55-1 69.4
13 Kurt Kitayama 45.3 55-1 69.7
14 Tom Kim 45.4 55-1 69.4
15 Billy Horschel 47.1 60-1 69.4
16 Jason Day 47.6 65-1 69.1
17 Cam Davis 47.8 65-1 69.5
18 Si Woo Kim 48.3 65-1 69.4
19 JJ Spaun 48.4 70-1 69.6
20 Harris English 48.6 70-1 69.4
21 Davis Thompson 48.7 70-1 69.4
22 Rickie Fowler 48.9 70-1 69.6
23 Ben Griffin 49.2 70-1 69.5
24 Harry Hall 49.4 75-1 69.1
25 Lee Hodges 49.6 75-1 69.9
26 Mac Hughes 50.2 75-1 69.3
27 Tom Hoge 50.4 80-1 69.3
28 Lucas Glover 50.6 80-1 69.5
29 Max Greyserman 50.7 80-1 69
30 Sepp Straka 50.8 80-1 69.5
31 Patrick Rodgers 51.5 85-1 69.5
32 Jhonattan Vegas 52.2 90-1 69.4
33 Keith Mitchell 52.5 90-1 69.6
34 Nico Echavarria 53.1 95-1 69.3
35 Will Zalatoris 53.2 95-1 70.1
36 Nick Dunlap 53.6 100-1 69.2
37 Emiliano Grillo 53.9 100-1 69.6
38 Mark Hubbard 53.9 100-1 69.4
39 Adam Hadwin 54.1 100-1 69.5
40 Patrick Fishburn 54.2 100-1 69.7
41 Nick Taylor 54.4 100-1 69.7
42 Michael Thorbjornsen 54.6 100-1
43 Taylor Moore 55.4 100-1 69.5
44 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 55.7 100-1 69.2
45 Michael Kim 55.9 100-1 69.3
46 Kevin Yu 55.9 100-1 69.9
47 Doug Ghim 56.1 100-1 69.7
48 Vince Whaley 56.8 100-1
49 Andrew Putnam 56.9 100-1 69.7
50 Andrew Novak 56.9 100-1 69.4
51 Adam Schenk 57.1 100-1 69.8
52 Matt Kuchar 57.1 100-1 69.6
53 Adam Svensson 57.2 100-1 69.9
54 Chris Kirk 57.8 100-1 69.4
55 Justin Lower 58.2 150-1 69.4
56 Brendon Todd 58.5 150-1 69.5
57 Matti Schmid 59.1 150-1
58 Erik van Rooyen 59.5 150-1 69.4
59 Victor Perez 59.5 150-1 69.6
60 Joe Highsmith 59.7 150-1 69.4
61 Carson Young 59.8 150-1 69.6
62 Alex Smalley 59.9 150-1 69.6
63 Mac Meissner 60.3 150-1 69.6
64 Sam Stevens 60.7 200-1 69.5
65 Greyson Sigg 60.8 200-1 70.2
66 Sam Ryder 60.9 200-1 69.4
67 Rico Hoey 61.0 200-1 69.5
68 Bud Cauley 61.4 200-1 69.9
69 KH Lee 62.0 200-1 69.5
70 Daniel Berger 62.0 200-1 69.6
71 Ryo Hisatsune 62.6 200-1 69.6
72 David Lipsky 63.0 250-1 69.8
73 Chandler Phillips 63.0 250-1 69.2
74 Jesper Svensson 63.9 250-1
75 Henrik Norlander 64.2 300-1 69.7
76 Charley Hoffman 64.3 300-1 69.4
77 Antoine Rozner 64.5 300-1
78 Wesley Bryan 65.2 300-1 69.2
79 Hayden Springer 65.6 350-1 69.5
80 Patton Kizzire 65.8 350-1 69.5
81 Jacob Bridgeman 65.8 350-1 69.2
82 Chan Kim 65.8 350-1 69.6
83 Nate Lashley 66.2 400-1 69.9
84 Chesson Hadley 66.6 400-1 69.7
85 Luke List 66.8 400-1 69.7
86 Chad Ramey 67.3 400-1 69.6
87 Zac Blair 67.6 400-1 69.8
88 Zach Johnson 67.7 500-1 69.8
89 Joel Dahmen 68.2 500-1 69.8
90 Matteo Manassero 68.5 500-1
91 Nick Hardy 68.8 600-1 69.9
92 Ben Silverman 69.1 600-1
93 Jake Knapp 69.2 600-1 69.6
94 Kevin Streelman 69.9 600-1 69.6
95 Taylor Montgomery 70.0 600-1 69.4
96 Brice Garnett 71.1 800-1 69.8
97 Ben Kohles 71.1 800-1 69.7
98 SH Kim 71.1 800-1 69.3
99 Chez Reavie 71.2 800-1 69.9
100 Davis Riley 71.2 800-1 69.6
101 David Skinns 71.6 800-1 69.8
102 Lanto Griffin 71.8 1000-1 69.9
103 Peter Malnati 72.7 1000-1 69.8
104 Hayden Buckley 73.2 1000-1 69.9
105 Rafael Campos 73.2 1000-1 69.9
106 Sami Valimaki 73.5 1000-1 69.5
107 Alejandro Tosti 73.8 1000-1 69.6
108 Ben Martin 74.5 1000-1
109 Paul Peterson 74.5 1000-1
110 Rikuya Hoshino 75.0 1000-1
111 Aaron Baddeley 75.2 1000-1 69.6
112 Vincent Norrman 75.4 1000-1 70.7
113 Blades Brown 75.4 1000-1
114 Jackson Suber 75.8 1000-1
115 Chris Gotterup 75.9 1000-1 69.7
116 Ryan Gerard 76.1 1000-1
117 Thomas Rosenmueller 76.9 1000-1
118 Kyle Mendoza 77.1 1000-1
119 Kris Ventura 77.1 1000-1
120 Max McGreevy 77.1 1000-1
121 Ryan Palmer 77.5 1000-1 70.2
122 Kevin Roy 78.1 1000-1
123 Will Gordon 78.5 1000-1
124 Matt McCarty 79.0 1000-1
125 Frankie Capan 79.4 1000-1
126 Takumi Kanaya 79.8 1000-1
127 Aldrich Potgieter 79.9 1000-1
128 Brandt Snedeker 80.1 1000-1 70
129 Harry Higgs 80.2 1000-1
130 Jason Dufner 80.3 1000-1
131 Isaiah Salinda 80.6 1000-1
132 William Mouw 80.8 1000-1
133 Francesco Molinari 80.9 1000-1
134 Brian Campbell 80.9 1000-1
135 Danny Willett 81.0 1000-1
136 Trey Mullinax 81.1 1000-1
137 Bronson Burgoon 81.3 1000-1
138 Steven Fisk 81.4 1000-1
139 Camilo Villegas 81.6 1000-1 70.3
140 Trevor Cone 81.7 1000-1
141 Will Chandler 81.7 1000-1
142 Braden Thornberry 81.9 1000-1
143 Quade Cummins 82.0 1000-1
144 Jeremy Paul 82.0 1000-1
145 Danny Walker 82.2 1000-1
146 John Pak 82.3 1000-1
147 Taylor Dickson 82.5 1000-1
148 Matthew Riedel 82.6 1000-1
149 Tim Widing 82.7 1000-1
150 Noah Goodwin 82.8 1000-1
151 Ricky Castillo 83.1 1000-1
152 Bill Haas 83.1 1000-1
153 Kevin Kisner 83.1 1000-1 70.3
154 Cristobal Del Solar 83.2 1000-1
155 Kevin Velo 83.3 1000-1
156 Norman Xiong 83.4 1000-1
157 Philip Knowles 83.6 1000-1
158 Mason Andersen 84.0 1000-1
159 Kaito Onishi 84.4 1000-1
160 Anders Albertson 85.2 1000-1
161 Scott Gutschewski 85.4 1000-1
More | Less

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A look at the American Express

January 14, 2025 Thomas Hawley

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .590 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player History
Sungjae Im 0.702
Adam Hadwin 0.687
JT Poston 0.609
Si Woo Kim 0.582
Tony Finau 0.574
Andrew Putnam 0.556
Tom Hoge 0.540
Sam Burns 0.533

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player Rank Rating
Patrick Cantlay 5 1835.6
Sungjae Im 11 1539.1
Sam Burns 12 1537.3
Wyndham Clark 15 1468.4
Tony Finau 18 1349.6
Justin Thomas 21 1321.0
Denny McCarthy 22 1276.1
Brian Harman 28 1175.8

Read more

Hero Dubai Desert Classic

January 14, 2025 Thomas Hawley ,

Dates: Jan. 16-19, 2025. Venue: Emirates GC, Dubai, UAE.
Purse: $9 million.

Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Power Number Observed Odds Course fit
1 Rory McIlroy 7.8 9-2 71.2
2 Viktor Hovland 26.3 9-1 71.7
3 Tommy Fleetwood 28.5 10-1 71
4 Jon Rahm 32.5 12-1
5 Tyrrell Hatton 32.6 12-1
6 Adam Scott 34.9 14-1 71.3
7 Min Woo Lee 50.8 35-1 71.7
8 Robert MacIntyre 52.5 40-1 71.1
9 Akshay Bhatia 54.4 50-1 71.3
10 Ryan Fox 57.9 65-1 71.7
11 Dean Burmester 59.6 80-1 71.9
12 Patrick Reed 60.0 85-1
13 Nicolai Hojgaard 60.6 90-1 71.8
14 Jordan Smith 61.3 95-1 70.9
15 Matt Wallace 61.4 100-1 71.2
16 Thorbjorn Olesen 61.6 100-1 71.7
17 Rasmus Hojgaard 62.6 100-1
18 Romain Langasque 62.7 100-1 70.8
19 Thriston Lawrence 63.5 100-1 73
20 Matthew Jordan 64.2 100-1 70.9
21 Paul Waring 64.5 100-1 72.5
22 Julien Guerrier 64.7 150-1 71.4
23 Laurie Canter 65.1 150-1 71.6
24 Francesco Laporta 65.1 150-1 71.3
25 Andy Sullivan 65.2 150-1 71.7
26 Tom McKibbin 65.6 150-1 72.5
27 Elvis Smylie 66.0 150-1 71.1
28 Brandon Stone 66.3 150-1 71.5
29 Jorge Campillo 66.5 150-1 71.4
30 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 66.6 150-1 70.7
31 Ewen Ferguson 66.7 150-1 72.1
32 John Parry 66.8 200-1 70.5
33 Alex Fitzpatrick 66.8 200-1 71.5
34 Adrien Saddier 67.0 200-1 71.7
35 Ugo Coussaud 67.5 200-1 71.9
36 Johannes Veerman 67.6 200-1 72
37 Marcus Kinhult 67.7 200-1 70.6
38 Ryggs Johnston 68.2 250-1 72.1
39 Guido Migliozzi 68.3 250-1 72.5
40 Frederic LaCroix 68.4 250-1 72.5
41 Adrian Otaegui 68.9 250-1 71.6
42 Niklas Norgaard 69.1 250-1
43 Daniel Hillier 69.4 300-1 71.5
44 Marcel Schneider 69.5 300-1 72.3
45 Padraig Harrington 69.6 300-1
46 Casey Jarvis 69.7 300-1 71.9
47 Brandon Wu 70.1 300-1 71.4
48 David Micheluzzi 70.3 350-1 71.7
49 Joost Luiten 70.3 350-1 72.2
50 Nathan Kimsey 70.4 350-1 71.1
51 Sean Crocker 70.5 350-1 71.7
52 Adrian Meronk 70.7 350-1
53 Nacho Elvira 71.0 400-1 72.6
54 Scott Jamieson 71.0 400-1 71.9
55 Thomas Pieters 71.1 400-1
56 Richard Mansell 71.2 400-1 71.4
57 Andrea Pavan 71.3 400-1 71.1
58 Oliver Lindell 71.4 400-1 71
59 Sam Bairstow 71.5 400-1 72.3
60 Troy Merritt 71.5 400-1 71.6
61 Darius van Driel 71.6 400-1 71.8
62 Keita Nakajima 71.6 400-1
63 Dan Bradbury 72.1 400-1 72.7
64 Adrien Dumont de Chassart 72.1 400-1 71.7
65 joe Dean 72.5 500-1
66 Marcel Siem 72.6 500-1 72.8
67 Yuto Katsuragawa 72.7 500-1 72
68 Ryan Van Velzen 72.8 500-1 71.7
69 Jayden Schaper 72.8 500-1 71.5
70 Trace Crowe 72.8 500-1 71.6
71 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 73.0 500-1 71.2
72 Simon Forsstrom 73.3 500-1 73.1
73 Kevin Chappell 73.3 500-1 71.4
74 Richard Sterne 73.5 600-1 71.2
75 Richie Ramsay 73.6 600-1 71.6
76 Dale Whitnell 73.7 600-1 72
77 Bernd Wiesberger 73.8 600-1 72.2
78 Ockie Strydom 73.8 600-1 71.3
79 Sebastian Soderberg 73.9 600-1
80 Angel Hidalgo 74.1 600-1 71.9
81 Yannik Paul 74.1 600-1
82 Fabrizio Zanotti 74.2 600-1
83 Aaron Cockerill 74.3 600-1 72.5
84 Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 74.3 600-1 70.9
85 Joel Girrbach 74.4 600-1 72.7
86 Alexander Bjork 74.4 600-1
87 Robin Williams 74.5 600-1 72.2
88 Daniel Brown 74.6 600-1 72.3
89 Shubhankar Sharma 74.7 600-1
90 Thomas Aiken 74.7 600-1 72
91 Jeff Winther 74.8 600-1
92 Pablo Larrazabal 75.3 600-1 72.4
93 Ashun Wu 75.4 600-1 71.5
94 Manuel Elvira 75.4 600-1 71.2
95 Tom Vaillant 75.5 600-1
96 Dylan Frittelli 75.5 600-1 72.2
97 Todd Clements 75.7 600-1 72.3
98 David Ravetto 75.8 600-1 72.8
99 Ricardo Gouveia 75.8 800-1 71.8
100 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 75.9 800-1 71.9
101 Gavin Green 76.1 800-1 71.9
102 Connor Syme 76.2 800-1 72.8
103 Grant Forrest 76.4 800-1
104 Louis de Jager 76.4 800-1 72.3
105 Alejandro Del Rey 76.5 800-1
106 Jannik De Bruyn 76.6 800-1
107 Nicolas Colsaerts 76.6 800-1 73.3
108 Adam Bresnu 76.7 800-1
109 Haotong Li 76.8 800-1
110 Preston Summerhays 77.1 800-1
111 David Ford 77.1 800-1
112 Jeong Weon Ko 77.3 800-1 71.2
113 Jimmy Walker 77.8 800-1
114 Andrew Wilson 78.0 800-1
115 Rafa Cabrera Bello 78.5 800-1 71.3
116 Shaun Norris 78.6 800-1
117 Calum Hill 79.2 800-1
118 Maximilian Kieffer 79.3 800-1
119 Callum Shinkwin 79.6 800-1
120 Matthew Baldwin 79.9 800-1
121 Marcus Armitage 79.9 800-1
122 Jason Scrivener 80.0 800-1
123 Jordan Gumberg 80.2 800-1 71.9
124 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 80.4 800-1
125 Jacques Kruyswijk 80.5 800-1
126 Ross Fisher 80.9 800-1
127 Luke Donald 81.0 800-1
128 Darren Fichardt 81.1 800-1
129 Matthias Schwab 81.5 800-1
130 Jens Dantorp 81.7 800-1
131 Veer Ahlawat 83.0 800-1
132 Alexander Knappe 84.9 800-1
133 Daniel Gavins 85.5 800-1
134 George Coetzee 85.8 800-1
More | Less

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (Jan. 12, 2025)

January 14, 2025 Thomas Hawley

Scottie Scheffler is waiting for his injured hand to heal during his 87th straight week at no. 1.
# Thru Jan. 12, 2025 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Scottie Scheffler 44 2993 1
2 Xander Schauffele 47 2486 2
3 Rory McIlroy 49 2223 3
4 Collin Morikawa 49 1912 4
5 Patrick Cantlay 43 1836 5
6 Ludvig Aberg 43 1746 6
7 Russell Henley 45 1702 9
8 Viktor Hovland 43 1689 7
9 Tommy Fleetwood 53 1653 8
10 Hideki Matsuyama 47 1616 11
11 Sungjae Im 55 1539 12
12 Sam Burns 49 1537 13
13 Adam Scott 46 1486 15
14 Corey Conners 51 1483 14
15 Wyndham Clark 50 1468 16
16 Jon Rahm 40 1424 17
17 Luke Clanton 9 1399 10
18 Tony Finau 47 1350 18
19 Shane Lowry 52 1331 20
20 Tyrrell Hatton 52 1323 19
21 Justin Thomas 45 1321 21
22 Denny McCarthy 48 1276 22
23 Keegan Bradley 47 1249 30
24 Sahith Theegala 57 1209 23
25 Max Homa 49 1196 24
26 Alex Noren 48 1195 27
27 Bryson DeChambeau 36 1185 28
28 Brian Harman 53 1176 29
29 JT Poston 51 1153 25
30 Byeong Hun An 50 1147 26
31 Eric Cole 65 1124 39
32 Cameron Young 49 1103 34
33 Si Woo Kim 53 1094 31
34 Aaron Rai 58 1072 35
35 Matt Fitzpatrick 55 1069 36
36 Cam Davis 51 1069 32
37 Tom Kim 56 1068 33
38 Jason Day 44 1052 38
39 Sepp Straka 58 1052 40
40 Maverick McNealy 44 1050 37
41 Taylor Pendrith 57 1010 42
42 Stephan Jaeger 52 994 58
43 Harris English 49 993 41
44 Kurt Kitayama 45 967 44
45 Billy Horschel 54 957 43
46 Jordan Spieth 44 955 45
47 Lucas Glover 55 950 51
48 Min Woo Lee 48 945 46
49 Mac Hughes 52 919 47
50 Thomas Detry 57 916 48
51 Cameron Smith 40 915 50
52 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 56 908 55
53 Austin Eckroat 53 907 49
54 Rickie Fowler 48 903 52
55 Tom Hoge 60 902 54
56 Beau Hossler 55 890 56
57 Emiliano Grillo 50 879 53
58 Akshay Bhatia 57 877 60
59 Brooks Koepka 39 874 59
60 Will Zalatoris 31 871 62
61 Lee Hodges 56 850 72
62 Davis Thompson 52 847 57
63 Taylor Moore 52 836 61
64 Joaquin Niemann 45 835 64
65 Adam Hadwin 50 833 63
66 Nick Dunlap 29 821 81
67 JJ Spaun 53 815 82
68 Ben Griffin 63 814 65
69 Robert MacIntyre 63 802 66
70 Keith Mitchell 52 785 71
71 Max Greyserman 50 784 70
72 Justin Rose 47 773 69
73 Chris Kirk 47 772 67
74 Patrick Rodgers 56 769 68
75 Adam Schenk 59 759 89
76 Nick Taylor 54 746 98
77 Andrew Putnam 52 740 78
78 Jhonattan Vegas 32 740 76
79 Michael Thorbjornsen 17 738 77
80 Brendon Todd 52 728 73
81 Mark Hubbard 62 724 87
82 Sergio Garcia 36 723 80
83 Seamus Power 48 722 74
84 Adam Svensson 59 706 84
85 Harry Hall 55 706 96
86 Dean Burmester 44 700 86
87 Matt Kuchar 52 696 90
88 Neal Shipley 10 694 85
89 Patrick Reed 44 688 88
90 Vince Whaley 16 686 75
91 Doug Ghim 55 681 83
92 Nico Echavarria 57 678 109
93 Ryan Fox 53 653 91
94 Victor Perez 49 641 92
95 Matthieu Pavon 57 635 95
96 Nicolai Hojgaard 57 621 97
97 Michael Kim 53 618 93
98 Andrew Novak 53 616 94
99 Patrick Fishburn 52 616 123
100 Louis Oosthuizen 39 614 99
101 Erik van Rooyen 59 604 102
102 Abraham Ancer 35 603 100
103 Kevin Yu 44 589 101
104 Matt Wallace 62 580 106
105 Thorbjorn Olesen 54 580 107
106 Cameron Tringale 29 579 103
107 Dustin Johnson 36 577 104
108 Gary Woodland 45 577 122
109 Sam Stevens 59 571 105
110 Alex Smalley 55 565 124
111 CT Pan 39 564 120
112 Richard Bland 35 560 108
113 Talor Gooch 35 555 110
114 Paul Casey 30 549 112
115 Sam Ryder 56 530 130
116 Mac Meissner 48 527 135
117 Jordan Smith 54 527 117
118 Daniel Berger 29 525 111
119 Carson Young 55 521 114
120 KH Lee 57 521 113
121 Marc Leishman 32 519 118
122 Justin Lower 61 519 125
123 Ryo Hisatsune 66 517 115
124 Greyson Sigg 56 512 116
125 Rasmus Hojgaard 48 511 126
126 Matti Schmid 64 502 119
127 Sebastian Munoz 34 502 127
128 Lucas Herbert 43 499 128
129 Charley Hoffman 49 496 121
130 Carlos Ortiz 35 494 129
131 Matthew Jordan 52 484 131
132 Kevin Na 30 483 132
133 Charles Howell 23 479 134
134 Jesper Svensson 30 476 183
135 Webb Simpson 32 473 181
136 Bud Cauley 20 468 153
137 Chad Ramey 56 466 133
138 Romain Langasque 59 464 138
139 Rico Hoey 54 460 136
140 Thriston Lawrence 58 460 139
141 Chandler Phillips 50 456 137
142 Adrian Meronk 51 452 141
143 Nate Lashley 53 452 146
144 Antoine Rozner 52 448 143
145 Henrik Norlander 54 445 149
146 Luke List 55 444 140
147 Dylan Wu 54 439 147
148 David Puig 47 433 148
149 Jacob Bridgeman 52 433 144
150 Joe Highsmith 46 432 145
151 Taylor Montgomery 45 431 142
152 David Lipsky 55 430 151
153 Matteo Manassero 33 428 150
154 Michael Thompson 9 426 157
155 Jason Kokrak 34 424 152
156 Jake Knapp 47 424 156
157 Chesson Hadley 50 421 155
158 Garrick Higgo 55 414 159
159 Zac Blair 49 410 160
160 Brendan Steele 33 409 161
161 Jorge Campillo 64 408 163
162 Tom McKibbin 55 405 165
163 Patton Kizzire 54 405 154
164 Ewen Ferguson 55 403 164
165 Chan Kim 51 402 162
166 Ben Silverman 45 401 158
167 Niklas Norgaard 55 400 166
168 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 17 399 169
169 Laurie Canter 42 398 168
170 Anirban Lahiri 38 396 167
171 Zach Johnson 37 390 217
172 Mito Pereira 36 388 170
173 Branden Grace 40 387 171
174 Henrik Stenson 33 384 172
175 Matthew Wolff 29 378 174
176 Thomas Pieters 38 376 176
177 Justin Suh 57 372 175
178 Kelly Kraft 44 370 180
179 Nick Hardy 61 369 173
180 Harold Varner 33 366 177
181 Sam Horsfield 23 366 178
182 Alexander Bjork 43 361 179
183 Yannik Paul 55 357 184
184 Vincent Whaley 28 356 186
185 Julien Guerrier 51 354 185
186 Johannes Veerman 50 353 188
187 Wesley Bryan 37 353 191
188 Joel Dahmen 56 352 182
189 Nathan Kimsey 21 352 187
190 Hayden Springer 34 350 189
191 Charl Schwartzel 41 348 190
192 Martin Laird 51 341 195
193 Alex Fitzpatrick 47 341 193
194 Carl Yuan 52 340 197
195 Robby Shelton 54 339 194
196 Stewart Cink 36 338 200
197 Joe Dean 8 337 196
198 Padraig Harrington 27 336 192
199 Paul Waring 50 335 201
200 Davis Riley 54 333 199
201 Sebastian Soderberg 46 329 204
202 Joseph Bramlett 46 329 203
203 David Lingmerth 25 327 198
204 Ben Kohles 52 327 205
205 Kevin Streelman 49 326 202
206 Kramer Hickok 27 326 207
207 Scott Stallings 33 320 212
208 Shubhankar Sharma 51 320 209
209 Matt Jones 37 320 211
210 Peter Uihlein 43 319 208
211 Kevin Tway 53 319 216
212 SH Kim 61 318 213
213 Eugenio Chacarra 43 317 214
214 Guido Migliozzi 52 316 219
215 Matthew NeSmith 56 315 218
216 Ben Martin 41 314 206
217 Chez Reavie 52 313 215
218 Peter Malnati 60 311 210
219 Brandon Stone 35 311 221
220 Ryan Moore 52 310 223
221 Caleb Surratt 21 307 225
222 Joost Luiten 51 307 224
223 David Skinns 47 306 220
224 Keita Nakajima 35 304 226
225 Troy Merritt 55 303 227
226 Daniel Hillier 53 301 229
227 Brice Garnett 45 299 248
228 Brandon Wu 56 297 228
229 Andy Ogletree 28 291 230
230 Peter Kuest 39 290 231
231 Jeff Winther 49 289 232
232 Richard Mansell 52 288 233
233 Francesco Laporta 38 288 235
234 Ugo Coussaud 35 286 236
235 Sam Bairstow 34 286 237
236 Grant Forrest 49 284 234
237 Yuta Sugiura 15 282 222
238 Vincent Norrman 49 277 252
239 Connor Syme 55 277 240
240 Tyler Duncan 53 276 241
241 Adrien Saddier 49 272 242
242 Rikuya Hoshino 51 271 238
243 Bernd Wiesberger 40 271 245
244 Alejandro Tosti 54 270 239
245 Hayden Buckley 51 268 243
246 Andy Sullivan 60 265 247
247 Elvis Smylie 9 264 250
248 Sean Crocker 50 264 249
249 Ian Poulter 32 264 246
250 Kensei Hirata 24 263 334
251 Sami Valimaki 52 262 251
252 Aaron Baddeley 47 261 244
253 Hennie du Plessis 31 259 254
254 Graeme McDowell 33 258 253
255 Zander Lombard 44 256 256
256 Phil Mickelson 36 254 255
257 Kevin Chappell 42 252 257
258 Adrian Otaegui 58 252 258
259 Frederic LaCroix 36 251 259
260 Trace Crowe 50 248 261
261 Robin Williams 18 247 262
262 Alejandro Del Rey 52 247 264
263 Pierceson Coody 55 245 265
264 David Micheluzzi 36 244 267
265 Tom Vaillant 27 244 266
266 Rafael Campos 55 243 260
267 Scott Vincent 41 238 268
268 Lanto Griffin 48 237 263
269 Martin Kaymer 30 233 270
270 Fabrizio Zanotti 46 233 271
271 Jimmy Walker 34 232 269
272 Lee Westwood 29 231 272
273 Marcel Siem 48 231 273
274 Callum Tarren 57 229 274
275 Brandon Robinson Thompson 12 225 277
276 Richie Ramsay 49 224 278
277 Dan Bradbury 55 223 281
278 Ryutaro Nagano 15 223 276
279 Austin Smotherman 56 222 279
280 Andrew Johnston 16 222 280
281 Pat Perez 33 221 275
282 Jayden Schaper 44 219 283
283 Adrien Dumont de Chassart 41 219 285
284 Cameron Champ 52 216 286
285 Jimmy Stanger 36 216 289
286 Max Schmitt 11 215 292
287 Michael Block 11 214 282
288 Danny Lee 37 214 284
289 Haotong Li 45 213 291
290 John Catlin 53 213 290
291 Taiga Semikawa 26 212 293
292 Jackson Suber 47 209 519
293 Will Gordon 45 207 287
294 Daniel Brown 55 206 294
295 Calum Hill 52 206 295
296 John Parry 34 205 298
297 Gavin Green 56 204 296
298 Ryan Palmer 44 204 288
299 Ryan Gerard 54 202 304
300 Marcus Kinhult 45 202 297
301 Shimizu Taisei 16 201 301
302 Julien Brun 34 199 299
303 Angel Ayora 11 195 302
304 Andrew Wilson 37 194 303
305 Chris Gotterup 52 194 300
306 Brett White 9 190 306
307 Jim Knous 10 189 313
308 Kevin Roy 54 188 318
309 Paul Peterson 54 187 470
310 Marcus Helligkilde 33 185 305
311 Yuto Katsuragawa 40 184 311
312 Matthew Southgate 62 184 308
313 Ben Campbell 26 184 310
314 Bubba Watson 31 183 307
315 Estanislao Goya 26 182 309
316 Pablo Larrazabal 44 181 316
317 Scott Piercy 51 179 317
318 Maximilian Kieffer 50 179 314
319 Max McGreevy 61 179 312
320 Ratchanon Chantananuwat 13 179 324
321 Darius van Driel 54 178 319
322 Callum Shinkwin 41 177 322
323 Ren Yonezawa 12 177 325
324 Marcus Armitage 53 176 323
325 Casey Jarvis 41 176 321
326 Andrea Pavan 34 176 320
327 Matt McCarty 55 176 315
328 Todd Clements 55 175 326
329 Aaron Cockerill 51 173 328
330 Matthew Baldwin 59 173 327
331 Jinichiro Kozuma 36 172 329
332 Nacho Elvira 56 172 331
333 Joshua Grenville-Wood 8 172 330
334 Lucas Bjerregaard 11 171 332
335 Jason Scrivener 48 168 333
336 Marcel Schneider 54 168 335
337 Ding Wenyi 13 168 338
338 David Law 53 167 339
339 Tom Whitney 49 166 341
340 Shaun Norris 26 166 340
341 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 33 165 343
342 Seung-yul Noh 51 164 344
343 Angel Hidalgo 57 164 342
344 Ryo Ishikawa 21 163 345
345 Ryan McCormick 52 162 348
346 Kieran Vincent 39 162 346
347 Kalle Samooja 46 161 347
348 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 35 161 349
349 Tyson Alexander 57 161 353
350 Scott Jamieson 49 160 350
351 Jens Fahrbring 15 160 355
352 Jason Dufner 33 159 351
353 Takumi Kanaya 33 159 336
354 Jannik De Bruyn 15 158 354
355 Ryosuke Kinoshita 24 158 356
356 Keenan Davidse 13 158 352
357 Nicholas Lindheim 28 157 337
358 Nick Bachem 52 156 358
359 Eddie Pepperell 48 155 357
360 Nicolas Colsaerts 39 152 359
361 Ryan Brehm 53 151 360
362 Tapio Pulkkanen 30 149 362
363 James Hahn 36 148 414
364 Luke Donald 35 147 361
365 Kazuma Kobori 16 143 364
366 MJ Maguire 11 143 367
367 Roger Sloan 48 143 365
368 Jacques Kruyswijk 32 143 368
369 Max Rottluff 31 143 366
370 Isaiah Salinda 48 142 363
371 Sam Bennett 38 140 369
372 Brandt Snedeker 38 139 373
373 John Axelsen 34 139 371
374 Ross Fisher 50 139 372
375 Trey Mullinax 31 138 370
376 Thomas Aiken 43 138 375
377 Daan Huizing 49 137 377
378 Doc Redman 53 136 376
379 Ryan Van Velzen 19 135 380
380 Zecheng Dou 50 135 378
381 Freddy Schott 57 134 381
382 Francesco Molinari 41 133 374
383 Satoshi Kodaira 37 132 382
384 Jens Dantorp 56 130 383
385 William Mouw 37 129 379
386 Yuki Inamori 20 129 388
387 Dylan Naidoo 11 128 391
388 Lukas Nemecz 52 128 389
389 Bronson Burgoon 20 128 394
390 Danny Willett 33 127 384
391 Travis Smyth 27 127 390
392 Parker Coody 43 126 396
393 Masahiro Kawamura 41 126 392
394 Karl Vilips 12 126 393
395 MJ Daffue 49 126 386
396 Frankie Capan 48 126 415
397 Matthias Schwab 59 124 395
398 Wil Besseling 26 124 401
399 Martin Trainer 51 124 397
400 Harry Higgs 51 122 385
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Sony Open in Hawaii Power Ratings

January 7, 2025 Thomas Hawley ,

Dates: Jan. 9-12, 2025. Venue: Waialae Country Club, Honolulu HI. Purse: $8.7 million.

Luke Clanton
Luke Clanton
Pick Player Power Number Actual Finish
1 Luke Clanton 24.0 93
2 Russell Henley 26.4 10
3 Hideki Matsuyama 31.1 16
4 Corey Conners 32.1 93
5 Maverick McNealy 35.5 45
6 JT Poston 37.1 77
7 Sahith Theegala 39.2 37
8 Denny McCarthy 39.9 16
9 Eric Cole 39.9 5
10 Brian Harman 42.0 21
11 Tom Kim 42.3 65
12 Byeong Hun An 42.8 77
13 Keegan Bradley 43.4 6
14 Taylor Pendrith 44.2 45
15 Kurt Kitayama 45.4 37
16 Harris English 45.5 119
17 Si Woo Kim 46.0 77
18 Mac Hughes 47.2 138
19 Cam Davis 47.3 93
20 Sepp Straka 47.9 30
21 Billy Horschel 47.9 77
22 Davis Thompson 48.8 93
23 Ben Griffin 49.5 45
24 Austin Eckroat 49.6 77
25 Tom Hoge 50.1 45
26 Thomas Detry 50.2 53
27 Lucas Glover 50.8 21
28 Lee Hodges 51.8 10
29 Stephan Jaeger 51.8 3
30 Robert MacIntyre 51.9 53
31 Adam Hadwin 52.0 59
32 Patrick Rodgers 52.1 93
33 Emiliano Grillo 52.3 93
34 Harry Hall 52.5 10
35 JJ Spaun 52.8 3
36 Keith Mitchell 53.3 30
37 Vince Whaley 53.4 72
38 Michael Kim 53.5 77
39 Taylor Moore 54.4 130
40 Doug Ghim 54.7 72
41 Michael Thorbjornsen 54.7 DNP
42 Mark Hubbard 55.1 21
43 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 55.4 DNP
44 Andrew Novak 56.2 77
45 Andrew Putnam 56.2 30
46 Chris Kirk 57.5 105
47 Nico Echavarria 57.5 2
48 Nick Dunlap 57.6 10
49 Seamus Power 58.0 134
50 Adam Svensson 58.0 30
51 Joe Highsmith 58.2 124
52 Greyson Sigg 58.3 70
53 Justin Lower 58.6 37
54 Matt Kuchar 58.9 21
55 Rico Hoey 58.9 59
56 Brendon Todd 59.0 77
57 Patrick Fishburn 59.0 6
58 Carson Young 59.2 77
59 Sam Stevens 59.3 59
60 Daniel Berger 60.2 77
61 Erik van Rooyen 60.4 30
62 Nick Taylor 60.8 1
63 Adam Schenk 61.0 6
64 KH Lee 61.4 134
65 CT Pan 61.6 21
66 Bud Cauley 61.7 30
67 Ryo Hisatsune 61.8 65
68 Gary Woodland 61.8 16
69 Alex Smalley 62.5 16
70 Charley Hoffman 62.7 59
71 Mac Meissner 62.8 21
72 David Lipsky 62.9 45
73 Chandler Phillips 62.9 134
74 Sam Ryder 64.2 21
75 Henrik Norlander 64.9 37
76 Chan Kim 65.2 53
77 Patton Kizzire 65.4 77
78 Jacob Bridgeman 65.5 77
79 Luke List 65.8 72
80 Nate Lashley 66.1 37
81 Chad Ramey 66.4 77
82 Nick Hardy 68.5 105
83 Ben Silverman 68.6 69
84 Joel Dahmen 68.7 105
85 Jake Knapp 69.3 DNP
86 Taylor Montgomery 69.6 65
87 Zach Johnson 70.9 21
88 Ben Kohles 70.9 53
89 Jesper Svensson 71.7 10
90 Lanto Griffin 71.8 130
91 Webb Simpson 71.9 16
92 David Skinns 72.1 77
93 Brice Garnett 72.7 30
94 Rafael Campos 73.0 93
95 Peter Malnati 73.0 140
96 Alejandro Tosti 73.3 93
97 Hayden Buckley 73.7 DNP
98 Ben Martin 73.8 59
99 Rikuya Hoshino 74.6 119
100 Aaron Baddeley 74.9 76
101 Yuta Sugiura 75.2 124
102 Chris Gotterup 75.5 105
103 Vincent Norrman 76.2 37
104 Max McGreevy 76.8 77
105 Mao Matsuyama 77.1 138
106 Matt McCarty 77.1 65
107 Tyler Loree 77.1 124
108 Ben Polland 77.1 130
109 Thomas Rosenmueller 77.1 59
110 Kelly Welsh 77.1 141
111 Ryan Palmer 77.1 105
112 Ryan Gerard 77.3 37
113 Mattias Schmid 78.0 DNP
114 Will Gordon 78.3 127
115 Kevin Roy 78.4 45
116 Brandt Snedeker 79.3 53
117 Takumi Kanaya 79.4 93
118 Kensei Hirata 79.7 21
119 William Mouw 79.8 105
120 Aldrich Potgieter 79.8 127
121 Harry Higgs 79.9 134
122 Isaiah Salinda 80.1 105
123 Frankie Capan 80.2 45
124 Brian Campbell 80.3 WD
125 Nicholas Lindheim 80.6 DNP
126 Braden Thornberry 81.0 93
127 Trevor Cone 81.0 119
128 Paul Peterson 81.2 10
129 Steven Fisk 81.3 93
130 Will Chandler 81.3 DNP
131 Quade Cummins 81.3 127
132 Camilo Villegas 81.4 119
133 Danny Walker 81.5 105
134 John Pak 81.9 130
135 James Hahn 82.2 37
136 Taylor Dickson 82.2 72
137 Matthew Riedel 82.3 DNP
138 Kristoffer Ventura 82.3 DNP
139 Tim Widing 82.5 WD
140 Noah Goodwin 82.7 105
141 Ricky Castillo 82.8 105
142 Jeremy Paul 83.0 45
143 Jackson Suber 83.1 6
144 Cristobal Del Solar 83.2 70
145 Kevin Velo 83.3 105
146 Mason Andersen 84.0 105
147 Kaito Onishi 84.2 93
148 Anders Albertson 85.1 DNP
Kevin Streelman late entry 58
RJ Manke late entry 88
Kris Ventura late entry 112
Matti Schmid late entry 117
Gavin Cohen late entry 123
More | Less
Jan. 14, 2025. The accuracy number for these picks is 73. The average is 183. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A look at the Sony Open in Hawaii

January 7, 2025 Thomas Hawley

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .595 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player History
Chris Kirk 0.635
Russell Henley 0.616
Andrew Putnam 0.571
Hideki Matsuyama 0.566
Nick Taylor 0.552
Corey Conners 0.525
Keegan Bradley 0.518
Patton Kizzire 0.490

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player Rank Rating
Russell Henley 9 1651.5
Luke Clanton 10 1634.2
Hideki Matsuyama 11 1591.7
Corey Conners 14 1540.2
Denny McCarthy 22 1241.6
Sahith Theegala 23 1227.4
JT Poston 25 1194.0
Byeong Hun An 26 1187.2

Read more

Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (Jan. 5, 2025)

January 7, 2025 Thomas Hawley

Scottie Scheffler starts the year on a run of 86 straight weeks at no. 1.
# Thru Jan. 5, 2025 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Scottie Scheffler 45 3000 1
2 Xander Schauffele 48 2492 2
3 Rory McIlroy 49 2228 3
4 Collin Morikawa 49 1909 5
5 Patrick Cantlay 44 1848 4
6 Ludvig Aberg 43 1743 8
7 Viktor Hovland 43 1698 6
8 Tommy Fleetwood 54 1654 9
9 Russell Henley 44 1652 7
10 Luke Clanton 8 1634 10
11 Hideki Matsuyama 46 1592 12
12 Sungjae Im 56 1545 13
13 Sam Burns 50 1540 11
14 Corey Conners 50 1540 16
15 Adam Scott 46 1489 15
16 Wyndham Clark 51 1472 17
17 Jon Rahm 41 1438 14
18 Tony Finau 48 1353 19
19 Tyrrell Hatton 53 1331 18
20 Shane Lowry 53 1329 20
21 Justin Thomas 45 1318 21
22 Denny McCarthy 48 1242 22
23 Sahith Theegala 57 1227 23
24 Max Homa 49 1202 25
25 JT Poston 51 1194 24
26 Byeong Hun An 50 1187 27
27 Alex Noren 49 1187 29
28 Bryson DeChambeau 36 1182 28
29 Brian Harman 53 1158 26
30 Keegan Bradley 46 1157 32
31 Si Woo Kim 53 1133 30
32 Cam Davis 51 1111 35
33 Tom Kim 56 1110 31
34 Cameron Young 50 1104 39
35 Aaron Rai 59 1073 37
36 Matt Fitzpatrick 55 1070 36
37 Maverick McNealy 43 1068 44
38 Jason Day 45 1060 33
39 Eric Cole 65 1049 34
40 Sepp Straka 58 1049 41
41 Harris English 49 1031 38
42 Taylor Pendrith 57 1025 45
43 Billy Horschel 53 991 40
44 Kurt Kitayama 44 979 43
45 Jordan Spieth 44 965 42
46 Min Woo Lee 49 951 46
47 Mac Hughes 51 946 48
48 Thomas Detry 57 936 62
49 Austin Eckroat 53 934 57
50 Cameron Smith 40 920 49
51 Lucas Glover 55 918 52
52 Rickie Fowler 49 916 47
53 Emiliano Grillo 50 916 51
54 Tom Hoge 60 915 63
55 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 57 906 50
56 Beau Hossler 56 888 56
57 Davis Thompson 52 881 54
58 Stephan Jaeger 52 881 55
59 Brooks Koepka 39 879 53
60 Akshay Bhatia 57 874 59
61 Taylor Moore 52 869 58
62 Will Zalatoris 32 868 61
63 Adam Hadwin 50 865 60
64 Joaquin Niemann 45 833 65
65 Ben Griffin 63 824 66
66 Robert MacIntyre 63 819 70
67 Chris Kirk 47 809 64
68 Patrick Rodgers 56 793 68
69 Justin Rose 48 783 67
70 Max Greyserman 50 780 74
71 Keith Mitchell 52 780 69
72 Lee Hodges 56 773 71
73 Brendon Todd 52 755 72
74 Seamus Power 48 752 73
75 Vince Whaley 15 745 76
76 Jhonattan Vegas 33 739 104
77 Michael Thorbjornsen 17 734 79
78 Andrew Putnam 52 729 78
79 Samuel Stevens 9 727 84
80 Sergio Garcia 36 726 77
81 Nick Dunlap 28 713 75
82 JJ Spaun 52 705 80
83 Doug Ghim 55 702 85
84 Adam Svensson 58 699 81
85 Neal Shipley 10 698 82
86 Dean Burmester 45 697 86
87 Mark Hubbard 62 693 87
88 Patrick Reed 45 692 83
89 Adam Schenk 59 669 89
90 Matt Kuchar 51 664 88
91 Ryan Fox 54 656 90
92 Victor Perez 50 646 91
93 Michael Kim 53 640 93
94 Andrew Novak 53 637 95
95 Matthieu Pavon 58 632 94
96 Harry Hall 55 630 111
97 Nicolai Hojgaard 58 622 96
98 Nick Taylor 54 621 92
99 Louis Oosthuizen 39 614 97
100 Abraham Ancer 35 601 99
101 Kevin Yu 45 588 98
102 Erik van Rooyen 59 588 102
103 Cameron Tringale 29 583 100
104 Dustin Johnson 36 581 101
105 Sam Stevens 50 579 103
106 Matt Wallace 63 578 106
107 Thorbjorn Olesen 55 578 105
108 Richard Bland 36 563 107
109 Nico Echavarria 57 559 112
110 Talor Gooch 35 558 108
111 Daniel Berger 28 550 109
112 Paul Casey 30 549 110
113 KH Lee 57 537 114
114 Carson Young 55 537 113
115 Ryo Hisatsune 65 528 117
116 Greyson Sigg 56 527 120
117 Jordan Smith 55 526 115
118 Marc Leishman 32 521 116
119 Matti Schmid 64 518 122
120 CT Pan 38 513 119
121 Charley Hoffman 49 512 123
122 Gary Woodland 44 512 118
123 Patrick Fishburn 51 512 126
124 Alex Smalley 55 511 121
125 Justin Lower 61 511 128
126 Rasmus Hojgaard 48 510 125
127 Sebastian Munoz 35 505 124
128 Lucas Herbert 43 501 127
129 Carlos Ortiz 35 497 129
130 Sam Ryder 56 492 130
131 Matthew Jordan 53 484 132
132 Kevin Na 30 483 134
133 Chad Ramey 55 483 133
134 Charles Howell 23 482 131
135 Mac Meissner 47 476 135
136 Rico Hoey 53 473 136
137 Chandler Phillips 49 467 138
138 Romain Langasque 59 465 137
139 Thriston Lawrence 59 458 140
140 Luke List 55 456 142
141 Adrian Meronk 52 454 139
142 Taylor Montgomery 45 453 141
143 Antoine Rozner 53 448 143
144 Jacob Bridgeman 51 446 146
145 Joe Highsmith 45 444 147
146 Nate Lashley 53 443 144
147 Dylan Wu 55 441 145
148 David Puig 47 434 149
149 Henrik Norlander 53 433 152
150 Matteo Manassero 33 432 148
151 David Lipsky 55 430 150
152 Jason Kokrak 34 427 151
153 Bud Cauley 19 425 153
154 Patton Kizzire 54 421 155
155 Chesson Hadley 51 419 160
156 Jake Knapp 47 418 154
157 Michael Thompson 10 417 158
158 Ben Silverman 44 416 161
159 Garrick Higgo 56 416 157
160 Zac Blair 50 413 159
161 Brendan Steele 34 413 156
162 Chan Kim 50 408 167
163 Jorge Campillo 65 407 163
164 Ewen Ferguson 56 403 166
165 Tom McKibbin 56 403 169
166 Niklas Norgaard 56 399 164
167 Anirban Lahiri 38 399 165
168 Laurie Canter 42 398 168
169 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 17 398 171
170 Mito Pereira 36 395 162
171 Branden Grace 40 390 172
172 Henrik Stenson 34 390 170
173 Nick Hardy 60 382 175
174 Matthew Wolff 29 381 174
175 Justin Suh 58 378 173
176 Thomas Pieters 39 376 177
177 Harold Varner 33 371 176
178 Sam Horsfield 24 366 179
179 Alexander Bjork 44 364 178
180 Kelly Kraft 44 364 187
181 Webb Simpson 31 362 180
182 Joel Dahmen 55 360 182
183 Jesper Svensson 29 356 183
184 Yannik Paul 56 356 184
185 Julien Guerrier 52 353 188
186 Vincent Whaley 28 353 193
187 Nathan Kimsey 22 353 185
188 Johannes Veerman 51 351 191
189 Hayden Springer 34 351 189
190 Charl Schwartzel 41 349 192
191 Wesley Bryan 38 349 196
192 Padraig Harrington 28 345 181
193 Alex Fitzpatrick 47 342 194
194 Robby Shelton 55 341 195
195 Martin Laird 52 339 199
196 Joe Dean 8 338 197
197 Carl Yuan 53 338 201
198 David Lingmerth 26 336 190
199 Davis Riley 55 335 186
200 Stewart Cink 37 335 202
201 Paul Waring 51 333 205
202 Kevin Streelman 48 333 198
203 Joseph Bramlett 47 331 200
204 Sebastian Soderberg 47 330 204
205 Ben Kohles 51 330 209
206 Ben Martin 41 328 203
207 Kramer Hickok 28 325 211
208 Peter Uihlein 43 323 206
209 Shubhankar Sharma 52 323 208
210 Peter Malnati 60 321 207
211 Matt Jones 37 319 214
212 Scott Stallings 33 319 217
213 SH Kim 62 318 212
214 Eugenio Chacarra 43 317 215
215 Chez Reavie 53 317 210
216 Kevin Tway 54 317 219
217 Zach Johnson 37 317 218
218 Matthew NeSmith 57 317 213
219 Guido Migliozzi 53 316 216
220 David Skinns 46 316 220
221 Brandon Stone 35 310 222
222 Yuta Sugiura 14 309 224
223 Ryan Moore 53 308 225
224 Joost Luiten 52 307 221
225 Caleb Surratt 22 304 227
226 Keita Nakajima 35 303 226
227 Troy Merritt 56 302 229
228 Brandon Wu 57 301 223
229 Daniel Hillier 54 301 228
230 Andy Ogletree 28 293 230
231 Peter Kuest 39 291 231
232 Jeff Winther 50 288 235
233 Richard Mansell 53 287 233
234 Grant Forrest 50 287 232
235 Francesco Laporta 38 286 238
236 Ugo Coussaud 35 286 237
237 Sam Bairstow 34 285 236
238 Rikuya Hoshino 50 280 239
239 Alejandro Tosti 53 278 242
240 Connor Syme 56 277 240
241 Tyler Duncan 54 276 243
242 Adrien Saddier 49 273 244
243 Hayden Buckley 51 272 234
244 Aaron Baddeley 47 272 241
245 Bernd Wiesberger 41 271 245
246 Ian Poulter 33 266 246
247 Andy Sullivan 61 265 248
248 Brice Garnett 45 264 249
249 Sean Crocker 51 264 247
250 Elvis Smylie 9 263 253
251 Sami Valimaki 53 262 251
252 Vincent Norrman 49 262 250
253 Graeme McDowell 33 259 252
254 Hennie du Plessis 32 257 255
255 Phil Mickelson 36 257 254
256 Zander Lombard 45 254 256
257 Kevin Chappell 43 252 257
258 Adrian Otaegui 59 252 259
259 Frederic LaCroix 36 250 261
260 Rafael Campos 54 249 258
261 Trace Crowe 50 248 260
262 Robin Williams 18 248 262
263 Lanto Griffin 47 246 265
264 Alejandro Del Rey 52 246 267
265 Pierceson Coody 55 245 264
266 Tom Vaillant 27 244 268
267 David Micheluzzi 36 244 269
268 Scott Vincent 41 240 266
269 Jimmy Walker 35 237 263
270 Martin Kaymer 30 232 274
271 Fabrizio Zanotti 47 232 275
272 Lee Westwood 30 231 271
273 Marcel Siem 48 231 272
274 Callum Tarren 58 229 276
275 Pat Perez 33 226 270
276 Ryutaro Nagano 15 225 277
277 Brandon Robinson Thompson 12 224 278
278 Richie Ramsay 50 223 282
279 Austin Smotherman 56 223 281
280 Andrew Johnston 16 223 280
281 Dan Bradbury 56 222 283
282 Michael Block 12 220 273
283 Jayden Schaper 44 219 284
284 Danny Lee 38 219 279
285 Adrien Dumont de Chassart 41 219 285
286 Cameron Champ 52 216 287
287 Will Gordon 45 215 288
288 Ryan Palmer 43 214 286
289 Jimmy Stanger 36 213 293
290 John Catlin 54 213 289
291 Haotong Li 46 212 291
292 Max Schmitt 11 211 295
293 Taiga Semikawa 27 209 298
294 Daniel Brown 55 207 290
295 Calum Hill 53 206 292
296 Gavin Green 57 205 294
297 Marcus Kinhult 46 203 296
298 John Parry 34 202 299
299 Julien Brun 35 201 297
300 Chris Gotterup 51 199 303
301 Shimizu Taisei 16 199 300
302 Angel Ayora 11 195 301
303 Andrew Wilson 37 194 302
304 Ryan Gerard 53 187 304
305 Marcus Helligkilde 34 186 306
306 Brett White 9 185 318
307 Bubba Watson 31 185 305
308 Matthew Southgate 63 185 307
309 Estanislao Goya 27 184 309
310 Ben Campbell 26 183 310
311 Yuto Katsuragawa 40 182 315
312 Max McGreevy 61 182 316
313 Jim Knous 10 181 336
314 Maximilian Kieffer 51 181 308
315 Matt McCarty 54 180 311
316 Pablo Larrazabal 45 180 313
317 Scott Piercy 52 180 314
318 Kevin Roy 54 180 317
319 Darius van Driel 55 178 319
320 Andrea Pavan 34 178 312
321 Casey Jarvis 41 176 320
322 Callum Shinkwin 42 176 322
323 Marcus Armitage 54 176 321
324 Ratchanon Chantananuwat 13 176 323
325 Ren Yonezawa 12 175 324
326 Todd Clements 55 173 328
327 Matthew Baldwin 59 173 325
328 Aaron Cockerill 52 173 326
329 Jinichiro Kozuma 36 172 327
330 Joshua Grenville-Wood 8 171 329
331 Nacho Elvira 57 170 335
332 Lucas Bjerregaard 11 170 333
333 Jason Scrivener 49 169 330
334 Kensei Hirata 23 169 337
335 Marcel Schneider 55 168 332
336 Takumi Kanaya 32 168 334
337 Nicholas Lindheim 27 167 331
338 Ding Wenyi 13 167 340
339 David Law 54 166 338
340 Shaun Norris 26 165 342
341 Tom Whitney 49 164 346
342 Angel Hidalgo 58 164 339
343 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 33 164 343
344 Seung-yul Noh 52 164 341
345 Ryo Ishikawa 21 162 352
346 Kieran Vincent 39 162 344
347 Kalle Samooja 47 161 345
348 Ryan McCormick 52 161 353
349 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 35 161 347
350 Scott Jamieson 50 160 351
351 Jason Dufner 34 160 349
352 Keenan Davidse 13 159 348
353 Tyson Alexander 58 159 354
354 Jannik De Bruyn 15 158 350
355 Jens Fahrbring 15 157 357
356 Ryosuke Kinoshita 24 156 356
357 Eddie Pepperell 49 156 355
358 Nick Bachem 52 155 358
359 Nicolas Colsaerts 40 152 360
360 Ryan Brehm 54 150 361
361 Luke Donald 36 149 359
362 Tapio Pulkkanen 31 148 362
363 Isaiah Salinda 47 147 365
364 Kazuma Kobori 16 144 368
365 Roger Sloan 48 144 367
366 Max Rottluff 31 144 366
367 MJ Maguire 11 143 370
368 Jacques Kruyswijk 33 143 371
369 Sam Bennett 38 142 363
370 Trey Mullinax 31 141 364
371 John Axelsen 34 139 372
372 Ross Fisher 51 139 373
373 Brandt Snedeker 37 138 375
374 Francesco Molinari 42 138 369
375 Thomas Aiken 43 138 376
376 Doc Redman 53 137 374
377 Daan Huizing 50 136 382
378 Zecheng Dou 51 136 379
379 William Mouw 36 136 378
380 Ryan Van Velzen 19 135 381
381 Freddy Schott 58 133 386
382 Satoshi Kodaira 38 132 387
383 Jens Dantorp 57 131 384
384 Danny Willett 34 130 377
385 Harry Higgs 51 130 383
386 MJ Daffue 50 129 380
387 Will Chandler 11 128 389
388 Yuki Inamori 20 128 395
389 Lukas Nemecz 53 128 390
390 Travis Smyth 27 128 388
391 Dylan Naidoo 11 127 394
392 Masahiro Kawamura 42 127 392
393 Karl Vilips 12 126 391
394 Bronson Burgoon 20 126 401
395 Matthias Schwab 60 126 393
396 Parker Coody 43 125 402
397 Martin Trainer 52 124 397
398 Cameron Percy 20 124 385
399 Harrison Endycott 44 124 396
400 James Piot 21 123 398
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

The Sentry Power Ratings

December 31, 2024 Thomas Hawley ,

Dates: Jan. 2-5, 2025. Venue: Plantation Course at Kapalua; Kapalua HI.
Purse: $20 million


Xander Schauffele
Pick Player Power Number Actual Finish
1 Xander Schauffele -4.6 30
2 Patrick Cantlay 18.9 15
3 Viktor Hovland 21.6 36
4 Collin Morikawa 22.4 2
5 Russell Henley 24.2 30
6 Ludvig Aberg 27.0 5
7 Sam Burns 30.1 8
8 Sungjae Im 30.3 3
9 Wyndham Clark 34.1 15
10 Corey Conners 35.0 5
11 Hideki Matsuyama 35.8 1
12 Tony Finau 36.1 15
13 Denny McCarthy 37.9 46
14 Adam Scott 38.6 15
15 Sahith Theegala 39.7 36
16 JT Poston 39.9 40
17 Eric Cole 40.0 52
18 Justin Thomas 40.2 26
19 Byeong Hun An 43.2 32
20 Maverick McNealy 43.3 8
21 Alex Noren 43.3 DNP
22 Brian Harman 43.5 58
23 Keegan Bradley 43.6 15
24 Max Homa 43.9 26
25 Aaron Rai 46.0 15
26 Billy Horschel 46.6 51
27 Jason Day 46.7 40
28 Taylor Pendrith 47.1 13
29 Si Woo Kim 47.3 32
30 Cam Davis 47.5 13
31 Matt Fitzpatrick 47.8 24
32 Cameron Young 48.1 8
33 Sepp Straka 50.2 15
34 Davis Thompson 50.3 36
35 Stephan Jaeger 51.8 36
36 Adam Hadwin 52.9 29
37 Will Zalatoris 53.3 26
38 Robert MacIntyre 53.6 15
39 Thomas Detry 53.9 5
40 Max Greyserman 54.1 24
41 Tom Hoge 54.4 8
42 Akshay Bhatia 54.4 32
43 Austin Eckroat 54.5 15
44 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 55.3 40
45 Chris Kirk 55.5 44
46 Nick Dunlap 56.5 55
47 Kevin Yu 57.4 44
48 Harry Hall 58.6 8
49 Nico Echavarria 59.5 32
50 Jhonattan Vegas 59.6 4
51 Nick Taylor 60.8 48
52 Matthieu Pavon 63.6 48
53 Patton Kizzire 66.3 40
54 Jake Knapp 69.8 56
55 Davis Riley 70.6 WD
56 Peter Malnati 72.8 53
57 Christopher Gotterup 75.4 DNP
58 Rafael Campos 76.0 57
59 Brice Garnett 76.4 48
60 Matt McCarty 77.4 53
Chris Gotterup late entry 46
More | Less
Jan. 7, 2025. The accuracy number for these picks is 223. The average is 182. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Most improved in 2024

December 25, 2024 Thomas Hawley

Let’s take a look at some of the players whose performance improved by the largest margins in 2024, and who therefore might be on the way farther forward in 2025. Based on difference between final Hawley rating numbers in 2023 and 2024, the largest increase was posted by amateur Luke Clanton, who was at zero a year ago and 1631 now.

Clanton, a junior at Florida State who is the world no. 1 amateur, posted four top-10s in eight PGA Tour events in 2024. He finished as co-runner-up in both the John Deere and RSM Classic. He has made no statement about turning pro but such a career move might be likely by June.

Nick Dunlap, who won the AmEx as an amateur in January, finished second on the list, also starting from zero. Among previously-rated players who rose strongly, Max Greyserman led the way, upping his rating by 702 points while rising from 572nd to 74th. Also within the top 10 were two well-established stars, Collin Morikawa and Scottie Scheffler, who started the year in the top 10 and still managed to increase their ratings by 550+ and 450+ points, respectively.

There are 26 rookies on the Tour for 2025. Tops among them in current rating is Matt McCarty, who gained his Tour card via the Korn Ferry Tour three-victory promotion rule, granting him immediate eligibility. He won in his second subsequent start, the Black Desert in October. Second on that list is Takumi Kanaya, a 26-year-old established Japanese pro who was Japan Tour money leader in 2024. He qualified earlier this month via the PGA Q School.

On the other end of the spectrum are pros whose ratings dropped the farthest in 2024. Daniel Berger, the 2015 rookie of the year, suffered through an abysmal start to the 2024 season, failing to finish in the top 20 in his first nine starts and likewise failing to post a top-10 thru 21 events. Eventually he was seventh in the Sanderson and runner-up in the RSM. It ended up as a 712-point drop, from 21st to 109th.

A note regarding the ratings: A player must have a minimum of eight appearances within the last two years in million-dollar or better events on major world tours to be eligible for the rankings. The ratings number reflects the player’s finish and the strength of field in each event. The strength of field is measured as the sum of the player ratings in the field. In other words, beating this writer and maybe two other guys from the club by 10 strokes is worth nothing. Finishing 20th against a full field of top pros in an event such as the PGA Championship would be worth 2000+ rating points. Finishing 20th in an average LIV event of 50 or so players would be worth 500+ points.

   

Biggest change during 2024


Luke Clanton
Player Events Rating 12/19/23 Rating 12/24/24 Change
Luke Clanton (a) 8 0 1632 1632
Nick Dunlap 27 0 753 753
Vince Whaley 15 0 740 740
Max Greyserman 49 52 755 703
Neal Shipley 10 0 701 701
Collin Morikawa 49 1259 1816 557
Scottie Scheffler 46 2547 3011 464
Patrick Fishburn 51 58 506 449
Akshay Bhatia 56 426 869 443
Mac Meissner 47 43 472 429
   

Top rookies entering 2024


Matt McCarty
Player Rating 12/22/24 Age How qualified
Matt McCarty 182 27 Korn Ferry Tour
Takumi Kanaya 168 26 Qualifying School
Isaiah Salinda 145 27 Korn Ferry Tour
William Mouw 137 24 Korn Ferry Tour
Will Chandler 128 27 Qualifying School
Karl Vilips 127 23 Korn Ferry Tour
Frankie Capan 115 25 Korn Ferry Tour
Aldrich Potgieter 109 20 Korn Ferry Tour
Quade Cummins 101 28 Korn Ferry Tour
Steven Fisk 96 27 Korn Ferry Tour
   

Biggest drop during 2024


Daniel Berger
Player Events Rating 12/19/23 Rating 12/24/24 Change
Daniel Berger 28 1262 549 -712
Aaron Wise 12 820 118 -702
Dustin Johnson 36 1223 586 -637
Will Zalatoris 32 1464 844 -620
Max Homa 49 1698 1209 -489
Patrick Cantlay 44 2327 1852 -475
Jordan Spieth 46 1436 980 -455
Mito Pereira 36 846 407 -439
Jon Rahm 42 1898 1465 -433
Taylor Montgomery 46 844 455 -389

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Dec. 22, 2024)

December 25, 2024 Thomas Hawley

Scottie Scheffler ends the year on a run of 84 straight weeks at no. 1.
# Thru Dec. 22, 2024 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Scottie Scheffler 46 3011 1
2 Xander Schauffele 48 2562 2
3 Rory McIlroy 49 2238 3
4 Patrick Cantlay 44 1852 4
5 Collin Morikawa 49 1816 5
6 Viktor Hovland 43 1761 6
7 Russell Henley 45 1680 7
8 Ludvig Aberg 42 1661 8
9 Tommy Fleetwood 55 1655 9
10 Luke Clanton 8 1632 10
11 Sam Burns 50 1480 11
12 Hideki Matsuyama 47 1477 12
13 Sungjae Im 57 1468 14
14 Jon Rahm 42 1465 13
15 Adam Scott 47 1463 16
16 Corey Conners 51 1463 15
17 Wyndham Clark 50 1454 17
18 Tyrrell Hatton 54 1347 18
19 Tony Finau 48 1327 19
20 Shane Lowry 54 1325 20
21 Justin Thomas 45 1317 21
22 Denny McCarthy 48 1290 22
23 Sahith Theegala 57 1245 23
24 JT Poston 52 1213 25
25 Max Homa 49 1209 24
26 Brian Harman 54 1198 26
27 Byeong Hun An 50 1195 27
28 Bryson DeChambeau 36 1179 28
29 Alex Noren 50 1168 29
30 Si Woo Kim 53 1145 30
31 Tom Kim 58 1117 31
32 Keegan Bradley 47 1111 32
33 Jason Day 44 1103 33
34 Eric Cole 65 1072 34
35 Cam Davis 51 1062 36
36 Matt Fitzpatrick 55 1061 35
37 Aaron Rai 59 1038 37
38 Harris English 50 1025 39
39 Cameron Young 50 1024 38
40 Billy Horschel 54 1016 40
41 Sepp Straka 59 1005 41
42 Jordan Spieth 46 980 42
43 Kurt Kitayama 45 975 43
44 Maverick McNealy 43 971 44
45 Taylor Pendrith 56 964 46
46 Min Woo Lee 49 960 45
47 Rickie Fowler 49 945 47
48 Mac Hughes 53 934 49
49 Cameron Smith 40 930 48
50 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 57 916 51
51 Emiliano Grillo 51 916 50
52 Lucas Glover 56 907 52
53 Brooks Koepka 39 890 53
54 Davis Thompson 52 888 54
55 Stephan Jaeger 52 888 55
56 Beau Hossler 56 885 56
57 Austin Eckroat 53 880 57
58 Taylor Moore 52 870 58
59 Akshay Bhatia 56 869 59
60 Adam Hadwin 49 862 60
61 Will Zalatoris 32 844 62
62 Thomas Detry 57 841 61
63 Tom Hoge 61 840 63
64 Chris Kirk 47 835 64
65 Joaquin Niemann 45 829 65
66 Ben Griffin 64 823 66
67 Justin Rose 48 799 67
68 Patrick Rodgers 56 792 68
69 Keith Mitchell 53 785 69
70 Robert MacIntyre 63 780 70
71 Lee Hodges 56 771 71
72 Brendon Todd 53 758 73
73 Seamus Power 50 755 72
74 Max Greyserman 49 755 74
75 Nick Dunlap 27 753 75
76 Vince Whaley 15 740 76
77 Sergio Garcia 36 731 77
78 Andrew Putnam 53 728 78
79 Michael Thorbjornsen 17 726 79
80 JJ Spaun 54 712 80
81 Adam Svensson 60 703 82
82 Neal Shipley 10 701 83
83 Patrick Reed 45 701 81
84 Samuel Stevens 10 700 86
85 Doug Ghim 55 697 85
86 Dean Burmester 45 695 84
87 Mark Hubbard 63 689 87
88 Matt Kuchar 52 676 88
89 Adam Schenk 60 669 89
90 Ryan Fox 54 663 90
91 Victor Perez 51 654 91
92 Nick Taylor 54 644 92
93 Michael Kim 54 640 93
94 Matthieu Pavon 57 640 94
95 Andrew Novak 54 637 95
96 Nicolai Hojgaard 59 624 96
97 Louis Oosthuizen 39 616 97
98 Kevin Yu 45 599 98
99 Abraham Ancer 35 596 100
100 Cameron Tringale 29 591 99
101 Dustin Johnson 36 586 101
102 Erik van Rooyen 59 581 104
103 Sam Stevens 50 578 103
104 Jhonattan Vegas 32 577 102
105 Thorbjorn Olesen 55 576 105
106 Matt Wallace 64 574 106
107 Richard Bland 36 568 107
108 Talor Gooch 35 565 108
109 Daniel Berger 28 549 109
110 Paul Casey 30 548 110
111 Harry Hall 55 543 111
112 Nico Echavarria 57 543 112
113 Carson Young 56 537 113
114 KH Lee 59 535 114
115 Jordan Smith 56 525 116
116 Marc Leishman 32 524 115
117 Ryo Hisatsune 65 523 118
118 Gary Woodland 45 521 117
119 CT Pan 38 517 119
120 Greyson Sigg 57 516 122
121 Alex Smalley 56 516 120
122 Matthias Schmid 65 514 123
123 Charley Hoffman 49 510 124
124 Sebastian Munoz 35 510 121
125 Rasmus Hojgaard 48 508 126
126 Patrick Fishburn 51 506 127
127 Lucas Herbert 43 506 125
128 Justin Lower 61 504 129
129 Carlos Ortiz 35 503 128
130 Sam Ryder 57 495 130
131 Charles Howell 23 487 131
132 Matthew Jordan 53 486 132
133 Chad Ramey 57 482 133
134 Kevin Na 30 482 134
135 Mac Meissner 47 472 136
136 Rico Hoey 53 471 135
137 Romain Langasque 59 466 137
138 Chandler Phillips 49 461 138
139 Adrian Meronk 53 458 140
140 Thriston Lawrence 59 457 141
141 Taylor Montgomery 46 455 142
142 Luke List 56 451 143
143 Antoine Rozner 54 446 139
144 Nate Lashley 54 446 145
145 Dylan Wu 56 445 144
146 Jacob Bridgeman 51 443 146
147 Joe Highsmith 45 438 148
148 Matteo Manassero 33 438 147
149 David Puig 47 437 149
150 David Lipsky 56 433 150
151 Jason Kokrak 34 432 151
152 Henrik Norlander 53 428 152
153 Bud Cauley 19 423 153
154 Jake Knapp 46 422 158
155 Patton Kizzire 54 419 157
156 Brendan Steele 35 418 155
157 Garrick Higgo 56 418 156
158 Michael Thompson 11 417 159
159 Zac Blair 51 417 154
160 Chesson Hadley 52 415 160
161 Ben Silverman 44 412 162
162 Mito Pereira 36 407 161
163 Jorge Campillo 65 405 166
164 Niklas Norgaard 55 405 165
165 Anirban Lahiri 38 404 164
166 Ewen Ferguson 57 403 168
167 Chan Kim 50 402 169
168 Laurie Canter 42 401 167
169 Tom McKibbin 56 401 170
170 Henrik Stenson 34 401 163
171 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 17 396 173
172 Branden Grace 40 395 171
173 Justin Suh 59 390 172
174 Matthew Wolff 29 389 174
175 Nick Hardy 61 385 175
176 Harold Varner 33 382 176
177 Thomas Pieters 40 377 177
178 Alexander Bjork 44 369 178
179 Sam Horsfield 24 366 179
180 Webb Simpson 32 364 181
181 Padraig Harrington 28 358 180
182 Joel Dahmen 55 356 185
183 Jesper Svensson 29 356 184
184 Yannik Paul 56 355 186
185 Nathan Kimsey 22 354 187
186 Davis Riley 54 354 183
187 Kelly Kraft 45 353 192
188 Julien Guerrier 52 353 188
189 Hayden Springer 34 352 189
190 David Lingmerth 27 352 182
191 Johannes Veerman 51 350 190
192 Charl Schwartzel 41 349 191
193 Vincent Whaley 28 348 193
194 Alex Fitzpatrick 47 343 195
195 Robby Shelton 56 342 194
196 Wesley Bryan 38 341 198
197 Joe Dean 8 339 196
198 Kevin Streelman 49 336 197
199 Martin Laird 52 336 200
200 Joseph Bramlett 48 335 199
201 Carl Yuan 54 335 202
202 Stewart Cink 38 332 203
203 Ben Martin 42 332 201
204 Sebastian Soderberg 47 331 205
205 Paul Waring 51 330 206
206 Peter Uihlein 43 329 204
207 Peter Malnati 60 328 207
208 Shubhankar Sharma 52 326 208
209 Ben Kohles 51 326 210
210 Chez Reavie 55 325 209
211 Kramer Hickok 29 324 211
212 SH Kim 63 320 213
213 Matthew NeSmith 57 320 212
214 Matt Jones 37 319 214
215 Eugenio Chacarra 43 318 215
216 Guido Migliozzi 54 318 216
217 Scott Stallings 34 317 218
218 Zach Johnson 38 317 217
219 Kevin Tway 55 313 219
220 David Skinns 46 313 220
221 Joost Luiten 52 309 222
222 Brandon Stone 35 309 223
223 Brandon Wu 58 307 221
224 Yuta Sugiura 14 307 224
225 Ryan Moore 54 304 225
226 Keita Nakajima 36 301 227
227 Caleb Surratt 22 301 226
228 Daniel Hillier 54 300 228
229 Troy Merritt 57 298 231
230 Andy Ogletree 28 295 229
231 Peter Kuest 39 291 233
232 Grant Forrest 50 290 234
233 Richard Mansell 54 287 230
234 Hayden Buckley 52 286 232
235 Jeff Winther 50 285 238
236 Sam Bairstow 34 285 235
237 Ugo Coussaud 35 285 236
238 Francesco Laporta 38 285 237
239 Rikuya Hoshino 50 279 240
240 Connor Syme 56 276 241
241 Aaron Baddeley 48 276 239
242 Alejandro Tosti 53 276 244
243 Tyler Duncan 55 276 242
244 Adrien Saddier 49 274 243
245 Bernd Wiesberger 41 274 245
246 Ian Poulter 33 271 246
247 Sean Crocker 51 265 247
248 Andy Sullivan 61 264 250
249 Brice Garnett 45 264 251
250 Vincent Norrman 50 264 249
251 Sami Valimaki 53 262 254
252 Graeme McDowell 33 261 253
253 Elvis Smylie 9 261 255
254 Phil Mickelson 36 261 252
255 Hennie du Plessis 32 253 256
256 Zander Lombard 45 251 259
257 Kevin Chappell 43 251 258
258 Rafael Campos 53 251 265
259 Adrian Otaegui 59 250 263
260 Trace Crowe 50 249 260
261 Frederic LaCroix 36 249 261
262 Robin Williams 18 248 248
263 Jimmy Walker 36 247 257
264 Pierceson Coody 55 247 264
265 Lanto Griffin 47 245 267
266 Scott Vincent 41 245 266
267 Alejandro Del Rey 52 245 268
268 Tom Vaillant 27 244 269
269 David Micheluzzi 36 243 270
270 Pat Perez 33 234 272
271 Lee Westwood 30 233 274
272 Marcel Siem 48 231 271
273 Michael Block 12 231 273
274 Martin Kaymer 30 230 276
275 Fabrizio Zanotti 47 230 278
276 Callum Tarren 58 229 277
277 Ryutaro Nagano 15 228 275
278 Brandon Robinson Thompson 12 225 262
279 Danny Lee 39 224 279
280 Andrew Johnston 16 224 281
281 Austin Smotherman 57 223 280
282 Richie Ramsay 50 223 282
283 Dan Bradbury 56 220 283
284 Jayden Schaper 44 219 284
285 Adrien Dumont de Chassart 41 218 286
286 Ryan Palmer 44 217 285
287 Cameron Champ 52 215 287
288 Will Gordon 46 214 290
289 John Catlin 54 213 291
290 Daniel Brown 55 208 288
291 Haotong Li 46 208 294
292 Calum Hill 53 207 293
293 Jimmy Stanger 36 207 296
294 Gavin Green 57 207 289
295 Max Schmitt 11 204 298
296 Marcus Kinhult 46 204 297
297 Julien Brun 35 204 295
298 Taiga Semikawa 28 203 299
299 John Parry 34 197 310
300 Shimizu Taisei 16 196 301
301 Angel Ayora 11 195 292
302 Andrew Wilson 37 194 302
303 Christopher Gotterup 50 194 303
304 Ryan Gerard 53 190 304
305 Bubba Watson 31 187 305
306 Marcus Helligkilde 34 187 306
307 Matthew Southgate 63 185 307
308 Maximilian Kieffer 51 184 308
309 Estanislao Goya 28 183 309
310 Ben Campbell 26 182 311
311 Matt McCarty 53 182 312
312 Andrea Pavan 34 180 313
313 Pablo Larrazabal 45 180 315
314 Scott Piercy 53 180 317
315 Yuto Katsuragawa 41 180 318
316 Max McGreevy 62 178 319
317 Kevin Roy 55 178 320
318 Brett White 9 177 328
319 Darius van Driel 55 177 321
320 Casey Jarvis 41 177 316
321 Marcus Armitage 54 175 324
322 Callum Shinkwin 43 175 325
323 Ratchanon Chantananuwat 13 173 327
324 Ren Yonezawa 12 173 326
325 Matthew Baldwin 59 173 330
326 Aaron Cockerill 52 172 329
327 Jinichiro Kozuma 36 172 331
328 Todd Clements 55 172 332
329 Joshua Grenville-Wood 8 170 334
330 Jason Scrivener 49 169 335
331 Nicholas Lindheim 27 169 337
332 Marcel Schneider 55 169 323
333 Lucas Bjerregaard 11 168 300
334 Takumi Kanaya 32 168 338
335 Nacho Elvira 57 168 340
336 Jim Knous 10 168 344
337 Kensei Hirata 23 167 342
338 David Law 54 166 339
339 Angel Hidalgo 58 165 341
340 Ding Wenyi 13 165 314
341 Seung-yul Noh 52 165 343
342 Shaun Norris 26 163 346
343 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 33 162 348
344 Kieran Vincent 39 162 336
345 Kalle Samooja 47 162 345
346 Tom Whitney 49 161 351
347 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 35 161 347
348 Keenan Davidse 13 160 322
349 Jason Dufner 34 160 349
350 Jannik De Bruyn 15 160 350
351 Scott Jamieson 50 159 355
352 Ryo Ishikawa 21 159 352
353 Ryan McCormick 52 159 353
354 Tyson Alexander 59 156 354
355 Eddie Pepperell 49 156 361
356 Ryosuke Kinoshita 24 154 357
357 Jens Fahrbring 15 153 333
358 Nick Bachem 52 153 359
359 Luke Donald 36 153 358
360 Nicolas Colsaerts 40 149 356
361 Ryan Brehm 56 149 366
362 Tapio Pulkkanen 31 147 365
363 Sam Bennett 38 147 363
364 Trey Mullinax 32 147 362
365 Isaiah Salinda 47 145 370
366 Max Rottluff 31 145 360
367 Roger Sloan 48 145 368
368 Kazuma Kobori 16 144 372
369 Francesco Molinari 43 144 367
370 MJ Maguire 11 143 373
371 Jacques Kruyswijk 33 142 364
372 John Axelsen 34 140 376
373 Ross Fisher 51 139 369
374 Doc Redman 54 139 377
375 Brandt Snedeker 37 139 378
376 Thomas Aiken 43 138 374
377 Danny Willett 34 137 375
378 William Mouw 36 137 379
379 Zecheng Dou 52 137 380
380 MJ Daffue 51 135 381
381 Ryan Van Velzen 19 134 371
382 Daan Huizing 50 134 384
383 Harry Higgs 52 134 382
384 Jens Dantorp 57 132 385
385 Cameron Percy 20 132 383
386 Freddy Schott 58 131 401
387 Satoshi Kodaira 38 131 387
388 Travis Smyth 27 130 386
389 Will Chandler 11 128 392
390 Lukas Nemecz 53 128 390
391 Karl Vilips 12 127 391
392 Masahiro Kawamura 42 127 394
393 Matthias Schwab 61 127 393
394 Dylan Naidoo 11 127 511
395 Yuki Inamori 20 126 396
396 Harrison Endycott 45 126 395
397 Martin Trainer 52 125 397
398 James Piot 21 125 400
399 Filippo Celli 30 124 398
400 Sadom Kaewkanjana 29 123 399
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Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Hero World Challenge

December 3, 2024 Thomas Hawley ,

Dates: Dec. 5-8, 2024. Venue: Albany GC; Albany, Bahamas.
Purse: $5 million

Scottie Scheffler
Scottie Scheffler
Pick Player Power Number Observed Odds Course fit
1 Scottie Scheffler -28.4 5-2 68.9
2 Patrick Cantlay 17.3 10-1 70.9
3 Russell Henley 21.7 12-1 70.7
4 Sam Burns 24.2 13-1 70.5
5 Ludvig Aberg 24.3 13-1 70.1
6 Sungjae Im 25.3 14-1 70.7
7 Wyndham Clark 28.7 16-1 70.3
8 Sahith Theegala 36.5 22-1 70.3
9 Justin Thomas 39.4 25-1 70.5
10 Aaron Rai 42.3 30-1 69.9
11 Jason Day 42.6 30-1 70.8
12 Keegan Bradley 42.6 30-1 70.5
13 Brian Harman 42.7 30-1 70.8
14 Tom Kim 44.8 35-1 70.7
15 Cameron Young 45.4 35-1 70.5
16 Sepp Straka 49.7 50-1 70.7
17 Nick Dunlap 49.7 50-1 71
18 Robert MacIntyre 51.3 55-1 70.4
19 Akshay Bhatia 53.1 65-1 70.6
20 Matthieu Pavon 63.0 150-1 71
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Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.