John Deere Classic

June 27, 2022 Thomas Hawley ,
Daniel Berger
Webb Simpson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Webb Simpson 43.0 81
2 Denny McCarthy 43.3 6
3 Adam Hadwin 44.8 96
4 Sahith Theegala 45.3 16
5 Scott Stallings 46.1 4
6 Adam Schenk 48.0 WD
7 Charles Howell 48.5 13
8 Lucas Glover 50.6 70
9 Nick Hardy 51.4 30
10 Chez Reavie 53.0 96
11 John Huh 53.6 70
12 Taylor Pendrith 54.2 DNP
13 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 54.3 2
14 Brendon Todd 54.5 43
15 Patrick Rodgers 57.1 30
16 Kevin Streelman 57.2 41
17 JT Poston 57.5 1
18 Cameron Davis 57.8 8
19 Adam Long 58.0 13
20 Zach Johnson 58.3 60
21 Maverick McNealy 59.1 8
22 Jason Day 59.5 DNP
23 James Hahn 59.8 67
24 Patton Kizzire 59.9 16
25 Adam Svensson 60.7 24
26 Andrew Putnam 60.7 41
27 Martin Laird 61.2 30
28 Nate Lashley 61.4 70
29 Sam Ryder 61.4 60
30 CT Pan 61.9 24
31 Anirban Lahiri 62.1 51
32 Nick Taylor 62.1 70
33 Taylor Moore 62.8 24
34 David Lipsky 62.8 24
35 Alex Smalley 62.8 16
36 Lanto Griffin 62.9 105
37 Tyler Duncan 63.2 WD
38 Doug Ghim 63.7 105
39 Ryan Armour 63.8 114
40 Hayden Buckley 64.0 30
41 Emiliano Grillo 64.0 2
42 Lee Hodges 64.1 43
43 Scott Brown 64.3 70
44 Michael Thompson 64.3 59
45 Matt Wallace 65.1 81
46 Chesson Hadley 65.4 10
47 Ryan Moore 65.4 24
48 Cameron Percy 65.7 105
49 Vaughn Taylor 65.7 30
50 Charley Hoffman 65.9 134
51 Dylan Frittelli 66.3 30
52 Rory Sabbatini 66.9 63
53 Mark Hubbard 66.9 13
54 Peter Malnati 67.1 30
55 Austin Smotherman 67.1 81
56 Hank Lebioda 67.7 43
57 Scott Piercy 67.9 128
58 Cameron Champ 67.9 96
59 Vincent Whaley 68.0 43
60 Chad Ramey 68.2 70
61 Robert Streb 68.3 105
62 Bill Haas 68.4 96
63 Richy Werenski 68.5 134
64 Matthias Schwab 68.8 16
65 Kevin Tway 68.8 70
66 Chris Stroud 68.9 81
67 William McGirt 68.9 114
68 Doc Redman 69.0 96
69 Kelly Kraft 69.1 24
70 Brice Garnett 69.2 81
71 Harry Higgs 69.3 96
72 Brandt Snedeker 69.4 131
73 Justin Lower 69.7 51
74 Brian Stuard 69.9 145
75 Stephan Jaeger 70.1 30
76 Kevin Chappell 70.2 134
77 Chase Seiffert 70.2 70
78 Andrew Landry 70.7 WD
79 Joseph Bramlett 70.7 105
80 Trey Mullinax 70.8 105
81 Roger Sloan 70.9 WD
82 Andrew Novak 70.9 30
83 Kramer Hickok 71.0 62
84 Sean O’Hair 71.1 81
85 Callum Tarren 71.2 6
86 Camilo Villegas 71.3 114
87 Brandon Wu 71.4 30
88 Jonathan Byrd 71.4 43
89 Nick Watney 71.6 105
90 Austin Cook 71.7 16
91 Greyson Sigg 71.8 16
92 Dylan Wu 71.8 43
93 Henrik Norlander 71.9 96
94 Michael Gligic 71.9 10
95 Brandon Hagy 72.3 63
96 Satoshi Kodaira 72.3 30
97 David Lingmerth 72.4 70
98 Wesley Bryan 72.7 81
99 Paul Barjon 73.2 134
100 Aaron Baddeley 73.5 51
101 Jim Knous 73.7 81
102 Ben Martin 73.7 128
103 Max McGreevy 73.8 114
104 Bo Hoag 73.9 16
105 Robert Garrigus 74.1 81
106 Martin Trainer 74.2 63
107 Grayson Murray 74.3 81
108 Bo Van Pelt 74.4 114
109 Scott Gutschewski 74.5 114
110 Sung Kang 74.6 131
111 Christopher Gotterup 74.7 4
112 Curtis Thompson 74.7 51
113 Ben Kohles 74.7 70
114 Mark Hensby 74.9 134
115 Jason Dufner 74.9 81
116 David Skinns 75.0 81
117 Jared Wolfe 75.1 114
118 Dawie van der Walt 75.1 114
119 Brian Gay 75.2 105
120 Jonas Blixt 75.2 96
121 Seung-yul Noh 75.3 43
122 Greg Chalmers 75.3 134
123 Ryan Brehm 75.4 81
124 Seth Reeves 75.4 66
125 Patrick Flavin 75.4 10
126 David Hearn 75.8 70
127 Johnson Wagner 75.9 145
128 John Senden 76.0 145
129 Shawn Stefani 76.1 131
130 Fabian Gomez 76.3 43
131 Ricky Barnes 76.3 69
132 Tommy Gainey 76.4 51
133 Boo Weekley 76.5 114
134 DJ Trahan 76.8 134
135 Brett Drewitt 76.9 105
136 Joshua Creel 77.1 96
137 Chris Naegel 77.5 16
138 John Merrick 77.6 81
139 Derek Ernst 77.8 51
140 Richard S Johnson 78.3 134
141 DA Points 78.3 114
142 Brian Davis 78.3 134
143 Kevin Stadler 78.3 145
144 Ben Crane 78.3 128
145 Arjun Atwal 78.4 114
146 Matt Every 78.4 152
147 Charles Jahn 78.4 145
148 Luke Gannon 78.4 151
149 Morgan Hoffmann 78.4 51
150 Nathan Petronzio 78.4 114
151 Omar Uresti 78.4 67
152 Parker McLachlin 78.4 143
153 Preston Stanley 78.4 51
154 Quinn Riley 78.4 143
155 Ryuji Imada 78.4 114
156 Sean McCarty 78.4 114
KJ Choi late entry 88
Ted Potter late entry 149
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Horizon Irish Open

June 27, 2022 Thomas Hawley ,

Shane Lowry
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Shane Lowry 32.8 9
2 Seamus Power 34.9 30
3 Tyrrell Hatton 47.6 108
4 Aaron Rai 53.4 9
5 Thomas Pieters 56.8 37
6 Lucas Herbert 57.1 9
7 Andy Sullivan 62.5 76
8 Jorge Campillo 63.5 7
9 Troy Merritt 63.8 108
10 Jordan Smith 65.3 24
11 Adri Arnaus 65.3 89
12 Pablo Larrazabal 65.4 46
13 Robert MacIntyre 66.2 13
14 Oliver Bekker 66.3 16
15 Ryan Fox 66.3 2
16 Guido Migliozzi 66.4 151
17 Min Woo Lee 68.0 58
18 Alexander Bjork 68.1 20
19 Mikko Korhonen 68.4 37
20 Adrian Meronk 68.5 1
21 Jason Scrivener 68.6 79
22 Richie Ramsay 68.6 37
23 Joakim Lagergren 69.0 46
24 Padraig Harrington 69.1 30
25 Marcel Schneider 69.2 20
26 Zander Lombard 69.2 76
27 Fabrizio Zanotti 69.3 4
28 Grant Forrest 69.4 89
29 Edoardo Molinari 69.7 24
30 Romain Langasque 69.7 30
31 Kurt Kitayama 69.8 89
32 Thorbjorn Olesen 70.0 8
33 Rasmus Hojgaard 70.0 127
34 Antoine Rozner 70.2 13
35 Thomas Detry 70.3 58
36 Marcus Armitage 70.4 37
37 Masahiro Kawamura 70.6 108
38 George Coetzee 70.7 108
39 Brandon Stone 70.8 46
40 Kalle Samooja 71.0 142
41 Victor Dubuisson 71.1 WD
42 Dean Burmester 71.1 79
43 Wil Besseling 71.3 58
44 Hurly Long 71.3 37
45 Yannik Paul 71.4 58
46 Thriston Lawrence 71.5 3
47 Lukas Nemecz 71.6 89
48 Johannes Veerman 71.7 24
49 JC Ritchie 71.8 DNP
50 Maximilian Kieffer 72.0 30
51 Niklas Norgaard Moller 72.1 58
52 John Catlin 72.3 4
53 Sean Crocker 72.4 46
54 Julien Brun 72.4 30
55 Scott Jamieson 72.5 142
56 Julien Guerrier 72.9 46
57 Ashun Wu 72.9 120
58 Justin Walters 73.0 20
59 Frederic LaCroix 73.0 37
60 Robert Rock 73.0 108
61 Niall Kearney 73.1 58
62 Shubhankar Sharma 73.1 89
63 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 73.2 89
64 Matthieu Pavon 73.2 67
65 Marcel Siem 73.3 37
66 Jamie Donaldson 73.3 20
67 Richard Sterne 73.4 108
68 Darren Fichardt 73.4 134
69 Ewen Ferguson 73.4 79
70 Darius van Driel 73.6 89
71 Matthew Jordan 73.6 24
72 Callum Shinkwin 73.6 24
73 James Morrison 73.6 13
74 Dale Whitnell 73.7 16
75 Kazuki Higa 73.7 78
76 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 73.8 24
77 Sebastian Soderberg 73.8 46
78 Kristoffer Broberg 73.8 117
79 Jazz Janewattananond 73.8 139
80 Jack Senior 73.9 37
81 Nicolai Hojgaard 73.9 74
82 Jeff Winther 74.0 149
83 Ross Fisher 74.1 89
84 Tapio Pulkkanen 74.1 73
85 Rafa Cabrera Bello 74.1 89
86 Sami Valimaki 74.2 30
87 Francesco Laporta 74.2 79
88 Daniel van Tonder 74.3 108
89 Jacques Kruyswijk 74.3 139
90 Matthias Schmid 74.4 30
91 Joachim B Hansen 74.4 89
92 Connor Syme 74.4 127
93 Matthew Southgate 74.5 16
94 Paul Waring 74.5 89
95 David Horsey 74.5 117
96 Chase Hanna 74.6 79
97 Craig Howie 74.8 89
98 Daniel Gavins 74.8 WD
99 Eddie Pepperell 74.9 89
100 Santiago Tarrio Ben 74.9 16
101 Ashley Chesters 75.0 89
102 David Law 75.0 4
103 Nacho Elvira 75.0 134
104 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 75.0 120
105 Marc Warren 75.0 74
106 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 75.1 120
107 Ricardo Gouveia 75.1 70
108 Benjamin Hebert 75.1 108
109 Marcus Kinhult 75.2 127
110 Maverick Antcliff 75.4 67
111 Daan Huizing 75.4 127
112 Espen Kofstad 75.6 9
113 Marcus Helligkilde 75.7 46
114 Oliver Farr 75.8 46
115 Gavin Green 76.0 89
116 Stephen Gallacher 76.1 58
117 Chris Paisley 76.1 117
118 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 76.1 37
119 Sihwan Kim 76.1 DNP
120 Oliver Fisher 76.2 127
121 Nino Bertasio 76.2 46
122 Richard McEvoy 76.4 79
123 Scott Hend 76.4 58
124 Lorenzo Gagli 76.4 46
125 Alejandro Canizares 76.5 142
126 Oliver Wilson 76.6 70
127 Andrew Wilson 76.6 120
128 Soren Kjeldsen 76.6 46
129 Steven Brown 76.6 79
130 Renato Paratore 76.7 58
131 Dave Coupland 76.7 DNP
132 Pep Angles 76.8 DNP
133 Jack Singh Brar 76.8 WD
134 Andrea Pavan 76.8 152
135 Alvaro Quiros 76.9 67
136 David Drysdale 76.9 145
137 Raphael Jacquelin 77.0 89
138 Ross McGowan 77.1 DNP
139 Ricardo Santos 77.1 120
140 Cormac Sharvin 77.3 127
141 Rikard Karlberg 77.4 70
142 Jonathan Caldwell 77.4 134
143 Sebastian Heisele 77.4 108
144 Hugo Leon 77.4 46
145 Thomas Bjorn 77.5 DNP
146 Julian Suri 77.5 89
147 Lucas Bjerregaard 77.5 89
148 Zach Murray 77.7 79
149 Chris Wood 77.7 134
150 Robin Roussel 77.8 79
151 Joel Stalter 78.0 120
152 Graeme Storm 78.3 DNP
153 Alex Fitzpatrick 78.4 145
154 Mark Power 78.4 89
155 Colm Campbell 78.4 145
156 David Higgins 78.4 153
157 Greig Hutcheon 78.4 127
158 Hui-lin Zhang 78.4 DNP
159 Haydn Porteous 78.4 134
160 David Howell 78.7 139
Aaron Cockerill late entry 81
Niklas Lemke late entry 121
Paul Dunne late entry 147
John Murphy late entry 150
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LIV Portland

June 27, 2022 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Dustin Johnson 39.6 4
2 Talor Gooch 44.1 7
3 Kevin Na 45.6 11
4 Abraham Ancer 46.6 11
5 Louis Oosthuizen 47.8 4
6 Brooks Koepka 49.6 16
7 Patrick Reed 51.5 3
8 Charl Schwartzel 55.4 40
9 Sergio Garcia 56.8 27
10 Pat Perez 56.9 35
11 Bryson DeChambeau 57.1 10
12 Ian Poulter 59.8 40
13 Matt Jones 61.2 16
14 Branden Grace 61.9 1
15 Matthew Wolff 64.0 8
16 Hennie du Plessis 64.1 29
17 Sam Horsfield 64.6 11
18 Lee Westwood 65.0 21
19 Graeme McDowell 65.4 35
20 Justin Harding 65.9 8
21 Richard Bland 66.1 29
22 Bernd Wiesberger 66.6 37
23 Phil Mickelson 68.8 44
24 Laurie Canter 68.9 37
25 Hudson Swafford 69.1 29
26 Adrian Otaegui 69.5 22
27 Phachara Khongwatmai 69.8 29
28 Martin Kaymer 70.5 16
29 Peter Uihlein 71.6 40
30 Ryosuke Kinoshita 71.9 23
31 Wade Ormsby 72.7 37
32 Shaun Norris 72.8 48
33 Scott Vincent 74.0 26
34 Jinichiro Kozuma 74.4 6
35 Chase Koepka 75.1 23
36 Yuki Inamori 75.7 11
37 Sihwan Kim 76.0 11
38 Jed Morgan 76.1 49
39 Itthipat Buranatanyarat 76.1 44
40 James Piot 76.4 23
41 Travis Smyth 76.4 29
42 Hideto Tanihara 76.7 16
43 Sadom Kaewkanjana 77.1 40
44 Ian Snyman 77.2 29
45 Turk Pettit 77.3 47
46 Blake Windred 77.9 46
47 Eugenio Chacarra 78.2 27
Carlos Ortiz late entry 2
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Perspectives on the Travelers Championship

June 20, 2022 Thomas Hawley

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the Travelers Championship. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player History
Patrick Cantlay 0.635
Brian Harman 0.610
Jason Day 0.556
Marc Leishman 0.546
Kevin Streelman 0.517
Zach Johnson 0.493
Russell Henley 0.482
Brendan Steele 0.482

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player Rank Rating
Rory McIlroy 2 1521.9
Patrick Cantlay 3 1499.2
Justin Thomas 4 1478.0
Scottie Scheffler 5 1463.7
Xander Schauffele 6 1417.6
Sam Burns 10 1195.0
Jordan Spieth 13 1125.6
Joaquin Niemann 20 1024.1

Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player Rank Rating
Jon Rahm 1 1609.6
Will Zalatoris 7 1359.2
Cameron Smith 8 1301.2
Matthew Fitzpatrick 9 1237.8

Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player Upward change
Brendan Steele 1782.5
Davis Riley 1611.4
Rory McIlroy 1543.5
Denny McCarthy 1517.9
Mito Pereira 1490.7
Patrick Cantlay 1315.1
Xander Schauffele 1265.3
Seamus Power 1212.5

Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player Downward change
Keegan Bradley -895.4
Russell Henley -771.2
Kevin Kisner -625.5
Erik van Rooyen -580.5
Harris English -554.4
Maverick McNealy -548.2
Sepp Straka -501.0
Kevin Streelman -476.2

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on the TPC River Highlands course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value Statistic
0.29 Shots gained off the tee
0.14 Shots gained in approach
0.06 Shots gained around the green
0.04 Putts per GIR

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit Player
Rory McIlroy 68.02
Justin Thomas 68.15
Joaquin Niemann 68.28
Luke List 68.35
Xander Schauffele 68.39
Mito Pereira 68.42
Sungjae Im 68.50
Jordan Spieth 68.51

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit Player
Martin Trainer 70.9
Chesson Hadley 70.9
Richy Werenski 70.7
Joshua Creel 70.7
Kelly Kraft 70.6
Austin Cook 70.5
Ben Kohles 70.5
Brett Drewitt 70.5

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and Cromwell CT, the event venue.

Player Residence Distance
Brandon Wu Scarsdale NY 75
Keegan Bradley Woodstock VT 150
Marc Leishman Virginia Beach VA 375
Michael Gligic Kitchener ON 425
Ryan Armour Silver Lake OH 450
Justin Lower Uniontown OH 450
Jason Kokrak Cleveland Oh 475
Cameron Percy Raleigh NC 525
Chesson Hadley Raleigh NC 525

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic Correlation to results
Top of the heap 0.328
I love this place 0.177
Ooh, that’s hot 0.151
Location, location, location 0.032

Travelers Championship

June 20, 2022 Thomas Hawley ,
Patrick Cantlay
Patrick Cantlay
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Patrick Cantlay 5.1 13
2 Rory McIlroy 5.9 19
3 Xander Schauffele 16.5 1
4 Scottie Scheffler 18.3 13
5 Justin Thomas 21.0 DNP
6 Sam Burns 23.7 90
7 Mito Pereira 30.0 73
8 Seamus Power 32.3 25
9 Davis Riley 33.1 64
10 Jordan Spieth 33.4 101
11 Joaquin Niemann 34.5 127
12 Brendan Steele 34.7 25
13 Brian Harman 35.0 8
14 Sungjae Im 38.0 DNP
15 Tony Finau 38.9 13
16 Aaron Wise 39.5 101
17 Denny McCarthy 42.3 101
18 Jason Day 44.9 141
19 Keith Mitchell 45.1 6
20 Harold Varner 45.9 43
21 Tommy Fleetwood 46.9 46
22 Brooks Koepka 47.5 DNP
23 Russell Henley 48.6 DNP
24 Marc Leishman 49.2 90
25 Cameron Tringale 49.3 73
26 Keegan Bradley 50.8 19
27 Webb Simpson 50.8 13
28 Brendon Todd 52.8 73
29 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 53.8 135
30 Si Woo Kim 54.0 73
31 Beau Hossler 54.9 73
32 Jason Kokrak 55.7 DNP
33 Kevin Kisner 56.3 6
34 Joel Dahmen 56.4 69
35 Kevin Streelman 56.5 25
36 Mac Hughes 56.6 25
37 Chez Reavie 56.6 8
38 Tom Hoge 56.6 146
39 Ryan Palmer 57.3 90
40 Aaron Rai 58.5 40
41 Cameron Davis 58.6 56
42 Anirban Lahiri 58.6 127
43 Maverick McNealy 58.7 118
44 Sahith Theegala 58.8 2
45 James Hahn 59.6 146
46 Harris English 59.7 19
47 Charles Howell 59.9 35
48 David Lipsky 60.2 90
49 KH Lee 60.3 19
50 CT Pan 60.4 101
51 Lanto Griffin 60.4 101
52 Adam Schenk 60.4 90
53 Russell Knox 60.6 135
54 Matthew NeSmith 60.6 19
55 Rickie Fowler 60.7 127
56 Adam Long 61.0 25
57 Erik van Rooyen 61.3 DNP
58 Troy Merritt 61.3 73
59 Andrew Putnam 61.4 46
60 Stewart Cink 61.5 53
61 Scott Stallings 61.6 8
62 Zach Johnson 61.7 135
63 Jhonattan Vegas 61.8 135
64 Luke List 61.9 19
65 Emiliano Grillo 62.0 101
66 Sepp Straka 62.0 127
67 Garrick Higgo 62.1 90
68 Patrick Rodgers 62.3 DNP
69 Alex Smalley 62.5 127
70 Lucas Glover 62.7 70
71 JT Poston 62.8 2
72 Taylor Moore 62.9 56
73 John Huh 63.1 13
74 Nick Hardy 63.2 8
75 Charley Hoffman 63.3 90
76 Doug Ghim 63.5 101
77 Austin Smotherman 63.8 101
78 Matthew Wolff 64.1 40
79 Adam Svensson 64.4 25
80 Wyndham Clark 64.5 35
81 Peter Malnati 64.7 64
82 Danny Lee 64.9 WD
83 Chad Ramey 64.9 118
84 Patton Kizzire 65.0 64
85 Hank Lebioda 65.1 56
86 Dylan Frittelli 65.4 141
87 Tyler Duncan 65.4 46
88 Doc Redman 65.4 73
89 Hayden Buckley 65.5 43
90 Matt Wallace 65.7 46
91 Rory Sabbatini 65.8 90
92 Kevin Tway 65.9 67
93 JJ Spaun 65.9 135
94 Nate Lashley 66.0 25
95 Scott Piercy 66.3 118
96 Danny Willett 66.5 73
97 Mark Hubbard 66.6 46
98 Stephan Jaeger 66.8 73
99 Ryan Armour 67.0 25
100 Cameron Champ 67.1 143
101 Robert Streb 67.6 35
102 Sam Ryder 67.6 35
103 Lee Hodges 67.9 25
104 Martin Laird 67.9 13
105 Justin Lower 68.1 118
106 Vincent Whaley 68.1 73
107 Brice Garnett 68.1 73
108 Kelly Kraft 68.2 56
109 Carlos Ortiz 68.2 153
110 Brandt Snedeker 68.8 101
111 Brian Stuard 69.3 90
112 Harry Higgs 69.3 70
113 Matthias Schwab 69.4 53
114 Chase Seiffert 70.4 DNP
115 Kramer Hickok 70.4 73
116 Trey Mullinax 70.5 118
117 Callum Tarren 70.9 73
118 Joseph Bramlett 71.2 56
119 Richy Werenski 71.2 153
120 Brandon Wu 71.3 135
121 Henrik Norlander 71.4 101
122 Greyson Sigg 71.8 73
123 Dylan Wu 71.8 127
124 Roger Sloan 71.9 73
125 Satoshi Kodaira 72.1 101
126 Michael Gligic 72.2 40
127 Andrew Novak 72.3 46
128 Vaughn Taylor 72.3 DNP
129 Andrew Landry 72.4 101
130 Luke Donald 72.4 56
131 Austin Cook 72.8 63
132 Martin Trainer 73.0 151
133 Cameron Percy 73.2 DNP
134 Camilo Villegas 73.2 DNP
135 Brandon Hagy 73.4 143
136 Paul Barjon 73.4 53
137 Nick Watney 73.7 146
138 Bill Haas 73.8 25
139 Jim Herman 73.9 101
140 Max McGreevy 73.9 146
141 Sung Kang 74.4 146
142 Scott Gutschewski 74.6 90
143 Ben Kohles 74.6 127
144 Chesson Hadley 74.7 5
145 Curtis Thompson 74.7 101
146 David Skinns 74.9 73
147 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 75.0 118
148 Dawie van der Walt 75.2 118
149 Ryan Brehm 75.3 118
150 Jared Wolfe 75.3 118
151 Seth Reeves 75.6 152
152 Jonas Blixt 75.6 56
153 Christopher Gotterup 75.9 35
154 William McGirt 76.4 8
155 Joshua Creel 77.2 101
156 Brett Drewitt 77.2 101
157 JJ Henry 78.2 73
158 Adam D’Amario 78.4 155
159 Cole Hammer 78.4 127
160 Morgan Hoffmann 78.4 68
161 Benjamin James 78.4 101
162 Michael Thorbjornsen 78.4 4
163 Alternates 78.4 DNP
Conrad Shindler late entry 44
Benjamin Silverman late entry 48
Patrick Flavin late entry 94
Bo Hoag late entry 143
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BMW International Open

June 20, 2022 Thomas Hawley ,
Billy Horschel
Billy Horschel
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Billy Horschel 46.5 26
2 Louis Oosthuizen 51.5 8
3 Sergio Garcia 51.7 48
4 Martin Kaymer 56.5 36
5 Thomas Pieters 58.9 2
6 Bernd Wiesberger 62.5 61
7 Oliver Bekker 63.8 98
8 Ryan Fox 65.4 3
9 Robert MacIntyre 65.7 69
10 Victor Perez 66.0 53
11 Pablo Larrazabal 66.3 5
12 Jordan Smith 66.7 8
13 Edoardo Molinari 67.5 21
14 Adrian Otaegui 67.5 58
15 Laurie Canter 67.8 32
16 Rasmus Hojgaard 69.0 36
17 Mikko Korhonen 69.3 26
18 Thorbjorn Olesen 69.3 WD
19 Richard Mansell 69.4 63
20 Andy Sullivan 69.6 98
21 Marcel Schneider 69.6 15
22 Thomas Detry 69.9 15
23 Hurly Long 69.9 36
24 Victor Dubuisson 70.0 DNP
25 Justin Walters 70.1 134
26 Romain Langasque 70.6 5
27 Takumi Kanaya 70.8 98
28 Yannik Paul 70.9 32
29 Haotong Li 71.1 1
30 Jorge Campillo 71.1 15
31 Masahiro Kawamura 71.1 89
32 Marcus Armitage 71.2 DNP
33 Nacho Elvira 71.2 61
34 Julien Brun 71.3 89
35 Fabrizio Zanotti 71.4 32
36 Richie Ramsay 71.7 13
37 Wade Ormsby 72.0 67
38 Niklas Norgaard Moller 72.1 53
39 Thriston Lawrence 72.1 36
40 Wil Besseling 72.1 26
41 Dean Burmester 72.2 21
42 Maximilian Kieffer 72.3 26
43 Joakim Lagergren 72.4 57
44 Antoine Rozner 72.7 15
45 Ashun Wu 72.7 98
46 Kalle Samooja 72.9 21
47 David Horsey 73.1 81
48 Brandon Stone 73.2 15
49 Matthieu Pavon 73.2 127
50 George Coetzee 73.4 36
51 Tapio Pulkkanen 73.4 107
52 Marcel Siem 73.5 53
53 Angel Hidalgo 73.6 98
54 Ross Fisher 73.6 69
55 Jazz Janewattananond 73.7 118
56 Connor Syme 73.7 69
57 Matthew Jordan 73.7 134
58 Ashley Chesters 73.8 118
59 Sean Crocker 73.8 36
60 Lukas Nemecz 73.8 13
61 Shubhankar Sharma 74.0 DNP
62 Jeff Winther 74.0 107
63 Chase Hanna 74.1 98
64 Jamie Donaldson 74.1 63
65 Matthias Schmid 74.4 81
66 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 74.4 5
67 Kristoffer Broberg 74.4 48
68 James Morrison 74.4 66
69 Jacques Kruyswijk 74.4 48
70 Daniel van Tonder 74.5 36
71 Dale Whitnell 74.6 36
72 Rafa Cabrera Bello 74.6 69
73 Francesco Laporta 74.8 36
74 Frederic LaCroix 74.9 10
75 Jack Senior 74.9 89
76 Wilco Nienaber 74.9 21
77 Darren Fichardt 75.0 81
78 Craig Howie 75.0 67
79 Santiago Tarrio Ben 75.1 81
80 Ewen Ferguson 75.3 21
81 Eddie Pepperell 75.3 81
82 Niall Kearney 75.3 15
83 Ricardo Gouveia 75.4 127
84 Aaron Cockerill 75.4 89
85 Richard Sterne 75.5 134
86 Marcus Kinhult 75.5 98
87 Andres Romero 75.5 69
88 Matthew Southgate 75.6 98
89 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 75.6 26
90 Kazuki Higa 76.0 10
91 Scott Hend 76.0 149
92 Sami Valimaki 76.2 4
93 Paul Waring 76.2 26
94 Richard McEvoy 76.3 146
95 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 76.3 32
96 Max Schmitt 76.3 143
97 Darius van Driel 76.3 10
98 Espen Kofstad 76.4 48
99 Daan Huizing 76.5 36
100 Nino Bertasio 76.6 89
101 Lorenzo Gagli 76.6 139
102 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 76.6 130
103 Zander Lombard 76.7 36
104 Ricardo Santos 76.7 69
105 Andrea Pavan 76.8 107
106 Niklas Lemke 76.9 WD
107 Oliver Farr 76.9 107
108 Pep Angles 76.9 107
109 Oliver Wilson 77.0 69
110 Andrew Wilson 77.0 WD
111 Benjamin Hebert 77.2 107
112 Steven Brown 77.2 58
113 Stephen Gallacher 77.2 69
114 Alvaro Quiros 77.2 98
115 Garrick Porteous 77.3 48
116 Soren Kjeldsen 77.3 81
117 Renato Paratore 77.3 143
118 Marc Warren 77.3 81
119 Julian Suri 77.4 130
120 Jack Singh Brar 77.5 139
121 Maverick Antcliff 77.5 WD
122 David Drysdale 77.6 WD
123 Daniel Hillier 77.6 DNP
124 Zach Murray 77.6 81
125 Sebastian Heisele 77.6 118
126 Lucas Bjerregaard 77.7 69
127 Alejandro Canizares 77.8 107
128 Dave Coupland 77.8 127
129 Thomas Bjorn 77.8 118
130 Toby Tree 77.8 118
131 Joel Sjoholm 77.9 89
132 Hugo Leon 78.0 69
133 Raphael Jacquelin 78.0 118
134 Ross McGowan 78.0 DNP
135 Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 78.0 107
136 Joel Stalter 78.1 134
137 Chris Paisley 78.3 118
138 Kristian Krogh Johannessen 78.3 DNP
139 Elvis Smylie 78.3 107
140 Ugo Coussaud 78.4 DNP
141 Laird Shepherd 78.4 69
142 Anton Albers 78.4 139
143 Jonas Baumgartner 78.4 118
144 Jannik De Bruyn 78.4 89
145 Timo Vahlenkamp 78.4 36
146 Michael Hirmer 78.4 DNP
147 Maximilian Herrmann 78.4 143
148 Philipp Mejow 78.4 107
149 Hui-lin Zhang 78.4 130
150 Robin Roussel 78.4 150
151 Jonathan Caldwell 78.7 134
152 David Howell 79.0 89
153 Haydn Porteous 79.1 130
154 Chris Wood 79.1 89
155 Rikard Karlberg 79.2 58
156 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 79.2 107
157 Oliver Fisher 79.3 118
158 Carlos Pigem 79.3 139
159 Cormac Sharvin 79.6 146
160 Matt Ford 79.6 69
161 Jesper Kennegard 79.9 DNP
Louis de Jager late entry 53
Rafa Echenique late entry 65
Max Rottluff late entry 147
More | Less

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (June 19, 2022)

June 20, 2022 Thomas Hawley

Jon Rahm increased his rating with a 12th-place finish in the U.S. Open.
# Thru June 19, 2022 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Jon Rahm 47 1610 1
2 Rory McIlroy 47 1522 4
3 Patrick Cantlay 44 1499 3
4 Justin Thomas 51 1478 2
5 Scottie Scheffler 59 1464 6
6 Xander Schauffele 49 1418 5
7 Will Zalatoris 49 1359 8
8 Cameron Smith 47 1301 7
9 Matthew Fitzpatrick 53 1238 15
10 Sam Burns 53 1195 10
11 Collin Morikawa 53 1150 19
12 Cameron Young 27 1136 9
13 Jordan Spieth 49 1126 14
14 Daniel Berger 44 1117 11
15 Shane Lowry 55 1117 12
16 Dustin Johnson 43 1111 17
17 Viktor Hovland 57 1102 13
18 Corey Conners 58 1074 16
19 Paul Casey 43 1061 18
20 Joaquin Niemann 56 1024 20
21 Max Homa 54 1022 22
22 Hideki Matsuyama 52 1020 27
23 Mito Pereira 33 999 21
24 Billy Horschel 55 976 23
25 Sungjae Im 65 975 24
26 Seamus Power 43 958 32
27 Tyrrell Hatton 53 916 25
28 Keegan Bradley 59 911 39
29 Louis Oosthuizen 41 903 26
30 Davis Riley 35 894 30
31 Tony Finau 58 880 28
32 Adam Scott 39 870 43
33 Aaron Wise 47 867 36
34 Talor Gooch 58 865 29
35 Harold Varner 55 856 31
36 Russell Henley 49 845 33
37 Abraham Ancer 57 844 37
38 Brooks Koepka 43 838 34
39 Kevin Na 51 814 35
40 Tommy Fleetwood 57 814 38
41 Cameron Tringale 54 809 48
42 Brian Harman 56 798 41
43 Chris Kirk 52 798 42
44 Keith Mitchell 54 789 44
45 Adam Hadwin 57 785 54
46 Justin Rose 43 776 46
47 Webb Simpson 43 774 40
48 Alex Noren 54 759 45
49 Brendan Steele 48 753 47
50 Sebastian Munoz 62 723 56
51 Jason Kokrak 53 712 49
52 Sergio Garcia 48 707 50
53 Marc Leishman 53 707 61
54 Bryson DeChambeau 40 694 51
55 Patrick Reed 59 685 53
56 Si Woo Kim 61 684 52
57 Bubba Watson 42 673 55
58 Gary Woodland 50 664 66
59 Denny McCarthy 60 656 69
60 Matt Kuchar 49 654 59
61 Maverick McNealy 52 643 60
62 Kevin Kisner 53 625 58
63 Harris English 44 621 57
64 Jason Day 43 598 63
65 Tom Hoge 67 591 62
66 Erik van Rooyen 53 581 64
67 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 52 578 65
68 Ryan Palmer 50 572 67
69 Brendon Todd 57 571 68
70 Mac Hughes 57 563 76
71 Taylor Pendrith 26 558 71
72 Kevin Streelman 57 550 72
73 Sepp Straka 64 547 70
74 Ian Poulter 55 543 74
75 Cameron Davis 50 533 78
76 Sahith Theegala 37 532 77
77 Joel Dahmen 54 528 104
78 Lanto Griffin 59 524 75
79 Charles Howell 42 519 80
80 Jhonattan Vegas 51 514 81
81 Lucas Herbert 43 509 79
82 Charl Schwartzel 51 505 84
83 Taylor Moore 24 504 83
84 Troy Merritt 62 499 82
85 KH Lee 60 494 87
86 David Lipsky 36 492 85
87 Matthew NeSmith 58 490 88
88 Pat Perez 55 479 89
89 CT Pan 52 478 91
90 Anirban Lahiri 43 478 90
91 Aaron Rai 56 473 92
92 Stewart Cink 48 468 86
93 Thomas Pieters 42 468 105
94 Matt Jones 58 463 97
95 Matthew Wolff 45 460 96
96 Doug Ghim 52 458 99
97 Patton Kizzire 55 455 93
98 Francesco Molinari 34 450 94
99 Russell Knox 60 447 101
100 Luke List 60 445 98
101 Robert MacIntyre 51 444 103
102 Branden Grace 56 441 100
103 Scott Stallings 57 434 102
104 Lee Westwood 48 430 107
105 Taylor Montgomery 9 429 73
106 Beau Hossler 58 427 106
107 Adam Long 60 426 108
108 Joohyung Kim 15 420 169
109 Charley Hoffman 52 419 109
110 Lucas Glover 56 416 110
111 Rickie Fowler 46 412 111
112 Alex Smalley 30 399 112
113 JT Poston 58 394 113
114 Oliver Bekker 20 394 115
115 Andrew Putnam 60 393 120
116 Dylan Frittelli 59 391 114
117 Emiliano Grillo 59 386 116
118 Adam Schenk 65 382 130
119 Hennie du Plessis 18 379 119
120 Chez Reavie 57 378 117
121 Zach Johnson 47 375 118
122 John Huh 41 362 121
123 Cameron Champ 49 359 122
124 Steve Stricker 16 359 124
125 Nate Lashley 52 359 127
126 JJ Spaun 56 357 125
127 Adam Svensson 30 357 126
128 Sam Horsfield 42 344 123
129 Wyndham Clark 57 344 129
130 Nick Taylor 57 344 128
131 Hayden Buckley 30 343 184
132 James Hahn 44 340 131
133 Nick Hardy 23 337 236
134 Carlos Ortiz 54 337 132
135 Rory Sabbatini 50 337 134
136 Michael Thompson 50 334 135
137 Richard Bland 51 334 137
138 Bernd Wiesberger 51 331 136
139 Danny Willett 55 327 139
140 Scott Piercy 52 326 143
141 Matt Wallace 59 325 141
142 Sam Ryder 61 325 140
143 Austin Smotherman 23 324 142
144 Adri Arnaus 51 324 133
145 Doc Redman 54 322 138
146 Patrick Rodgers 66 319 150
147 Peter Malnati 60 317 144
148 Chad Ramey 28 316 145
149 Min Woo Lee 44 315 167
150 Harry Higgs 58 314 147
151 Lee Hodges 32 313 146
152 Martin Laird 43 303 149
153 Victor Perez 47 296 148
154 Hudson Swafford 55 295 152
155 Matthias Schwab 54 295 151
156 John Augenstein 12 291 159
157 Tyler Duncan 60 291 156
158 Mark Hubbard 57 291 155
159 Hank Lebioda 50 291 158
160 Padraig Harrington 37 289 157
161 Robert Streb 55 287 160
162 Kurt Kitayama 47 283 154
163 Brandt Snedeker 55 282 163
164 Justin Harding 54 282 161
165 Harry Hall 8 281
166 Garrick Higgo 54 278 164
167 Phil Mickelson 36 278 153
168 Guido Migliozzi 52 274 220
169 Pablo Larrazabal 46 273 166
170 Danny Lee 53 273 162
171 Ryan Fox 43 267 165
172 Stephan Jaeger 34 267 168
173 Vincent Whaley 56 265 170
174 Ryan Armour 50 261 171
175 Jason Scrivener 44 258 173
176 Adrian Meronk 51 257 174
177 Brian Stuard 69 257 172
178 Rasmus Hojgaard 48 255 175
179 Justin Lower 23 255 177
180 Jordan Smith 53 254 176
181 Takumi Kanaya 34 250 178
182 Graeme McDowell 49 249 180
183 Kramer Hickok 52 246 179
184 Laurie Canter 46 242 181
185 Brice Garnett 57 242 182
186 Austin Eckroat 11 239 183
187 Trey Mullinax 24 230 187
188 Brandon Wu 30 228 189
189 Thomas Detry 51 227 188
190 MJ Daffue 17 224 348
191 Dylan Wu 25 222 192
192 Martin Kaymer 36 222 193
193 Satoshi Kodaira 45 221 185
194 Chase Seiffert 49 219 186
195 Greyson Sigg 35 219 194
196 Roger Sloan 54 219 190
197 Adrian Otaegui 56 216 196
198 Mikko Korhonen 39 216 199
199 Marcus Armitage 54 215 198
200 Henrik Norlander 56 215 195
201 Alexander Bjork 45 214 200
202 Kevin Chappell 27 212 191
203 Henrik Stenson 48 211 204
204 Richy Werenski 57 211 202
205 Kyle Stanley 52 211 203
206 Andrew Landry 41 211 205
207 Byeong Hun An 40 209 201
208 Sean O’Hair 33 207 206
209 Dean Burmester 52 207 207
210 Andrew Johnston 24 205 210
211 Hurly Long 26 205 213
212 Julien Brun 17 205 209
213 Fabrizio Zanotti 34 204 211
214 Victor Dubuisson 24 203 208
215 Tyler McCumber 41 203 214
216 Thriston Lawrence 22 199 217
217 Yannik Paul 14 198 197
218 Haotong Li 40 197 216
219 Antoine Rozner 52 196 218
220 Edoardo Molinari 48 193 221
221 Andrew Novak 26 192 215
222 Richard Mansell 28 192 212
223 Jonathan Byrd 33 190 222
224 Justin Suh 16 190 219
225 Joseph Bramlett 58 188 240
226 Luke Donald 49 186 225
227 Romain Langasque 51 184 224
228 Johannes Veerman 47 182 227
229 Cameron Percy 44 180 230
230 Wesley Bryan 26 180 226
231 Wade Ormsby 39 179 229
232 Ryosuke Kinoshita 22 179 234
233 Ryan Moore 31 177 233
234 Scott Jamieson 47 177 231
235 Callum Tarren 24 176 310
236 Ashun Wu 39 175 235
237 Peter Uihlein 37 174 237
238 Kalle Samooja 48 174 228
239 Todd Sinnott 10 173 548
240 Masahiro Kawamura 58 171 239
241 Kelly Kraft 40 171 241
242 Marcel Siem 31 171 242
243 Vaughn Taylor 47 170 243
244 Tom Lewis 45 170 238
245 Brandon Hagy 56 169 245
246 Calum Hill 41 169 244
247 Shaun Norris 31 169 232
248 Nicolai Hojgaard 49 168 247
249 JC Ritchie 26 167 248
250 Davis Thompson 11 164 250
251 Jim Furyk 14 163 223
252 Richie Ramsay 51 163 249
253 Bo Hoag 56 162 246
254 Jimmy Walker 44 161 253
255 Matthew Jordan 52 159 252
256 Matthieu Pavon 52 158 256
257 Andy Sullivan 50 158 254
258 Wil Besseling 52 158 257
259 Nick Watney 51 158 258
260 George Coetzee 39 157 255
261 Shubhankar Sharma 57 157 259
262 Sean Crocker 54 155 251
263 Niklas Norgaard Moller 18 154 264
264 Brandon Stone 47 153 261
265 Camilo Villegas 51 153 262
266 Rafa Cabrera Bello 57 152 263
267 Tiger Woods 9 149 265
268 Max McGreevy 26 148 266
269 Thorbjorn Olesen 40 148 260
270 Lukas Nemecz 17 147 268
271 Jamie Donaldson 47 147 269
272 David Lingmerth 25 146 286
273 Trevor Fisher 8 145 270
274 Justin Walters 55 145 272
275 Kevin Tway 52 145 271
276 Ben Martin 38 145 273
277 Austin Cook 55 144 274
278 Bronson Burgoon 46 143 275
279 Marcel Schneider 38 142 267
280 Robert Garrigus 19 141 276
281 Tapio Pulkkanen 51 141 278
282 Chase Hanna 26 140 277
283 Ross Fisher 50 138 280
284 Angel Hidalgo 9 138 282
285 Joachim B Hansen 54 137 281
286 Bo Van Pelt 46 135 289
287 Paul Barjon 30 135 284
288 Jim Herman 44 135 283
289 Joakim Lagergren 47 134 285
290 Callum Shinkwin 46 133 287
291 Chesson Hadley 53 133 291
292 Chan Kim 28 132 279
293 Bryson Nimmer 8 132 290
294 Michael Gligic 53 131 292
295 Robby Shelton 42 131 288
296 Aaron Baddeley 37 130 297
297 Matthias Schmid 27 130 296
298 Daniel van Tonder 40 130 293
299 Connor Syme 52 129 294
300 Francesco Laporta 53 129 299
301 Martin Trainer 56 129 295
302 Jeff Winther 45 128 300
303 Brad Kennedy 13 127 298
304 Grant Forrest 52 127 302
305 Jazz Janewattananond 51 126 303
306 David Horsey 51 126 301
307 Wilco Nienaber 44 124 304
308 Bill Haas 49 123 306
309 Jacques Kruyswijk 32 120 307
310 Shugo Imahira 21 120 308
311 Curtis Thompson 27 119 309
312 Jim Knous 22 118 312
313 Sung Kang 61 118 311
314 Maximilian Kieffer 49 117 313
315 Ben Kohles 23 117 314
316 Daniel Gavins 35 117 316
317 Rikuya Hoshino 27 117 305
318 Scott Gutschewski 23 116 321
319 Jack Senior 50 116 317
320 Rob Oppenheim 35 116 315
321 Seonghyeon Kim 8 116 320
322 Craig Howie 26 115 319
323 Scott Vincent 33 115 325
324 John Catlin 52 115 318
325 Darren Fichardt 31 115 323
326 Julien Guerrier 51 114 322
327 Kristoffer Broberg 34 113 327
328 Jorge Campillo 57 113 328
329 Sebastian Soderberg 52 112 332
330 Aaron Cockerill 47 112 329
331 Ewen Ferguson 35 111 331
332 Ryan Brehm 38 110 330
333 Ben Taylor 26 110 334
334 Will Gordon 38 109 326
335 Mark Anderson 29 108 335
336 Jinichiro Kozuma 21 107 324
337 Joost Luiten 52 107 336
338 Jason Dufner 53 107 337
339 Alexander Levy 44 106 339
340 James Morrison 53 106 338
341 Louis de Jager 31 105 340
342 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 46 104 343
343 Chase Koepka 8 104 342
344 Ockie Strydom 8 103 344
345 Grayson Murray 31 101 341
346 Jacques Blaauw 9 100 346
347 Marcus Kinhult 41 100 345
348 Eddie Pepperell 44 100 347
349 Santiago Tarrio Ben 26 98 349
350 Niall Kearney 26 98 350
351 Keita Nakajima 14 97 333
352 Alexander Knappe 8 96 351
353 Keenan Davidse 8 96 352
354 Matthew Southgate 52 95 353
355 Jared Wolfe 23 95 355
356 Scott Brown 46 95 354
357 Dawie van der Walt 25 92 356
358 Frederic LaCroix 16 92 357
359 Dale Whitnell 54 92 358
360 Nacho Elvira 56 91 359
361 Ricardo Gouveia 19 91 363
362 David Skinns 21 91 361
363 Michael Gellerman 23 90 365
364 David Law 54 90 364
365 CJ du Plessis 8 90 362
366 Sami Valimaki 49 90 360
367 Richard Sterne 21 89 366
368 Seth Reeves 25 87 368
369 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 16 86 369
370 Ollie Schniederjans 10 86 367
371 Adrien Saddier 38 84 372
372 Chris Baker 29 83 370
373 Josh Teater 25 83 374
374 Hiroshi Iwata 20 82 377
375 Marc Warren 45 82 373
376 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 50 82 376
377 Seung-yul Noh 30 81 371
378 Rafael Campos 31 80 378
379 Akshay Bhatia 15 80 375
380 Renato Paratore 54 78 380
381 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 36 78 383
382 Oscar Lengden 12 77 382
383 Nino Bertasio 46 77 384
384 Marcus Helligkilde 14 77 385
385 Xinjun Zhang 36 76 379
386 Brian Gay 47 75 386
387 Scott Harrington 39 75 389
388 Nicolas Colsaerts 32 75 390
389 Neil Schietekat 11 75 387
390 Jayden Schaper 14 75 388
391 Bryce Easton 33 75 391
392 Jonas Blixt 23 74 381
393 Gavin Green 51 73 392
394 Espen Kofstad 17 73 396
395 Niklas Lemke 42 73 395
396 Fabian Gomez 36 73 393
397 Jaco Ahlers 12 72 399
398 Benjamin Hebert 44 72 394
399 Yuto Katsuragawa 11 72 398
400 Darius van Driel 51 72 400
More | Less

Perspectives on the U.S. Open

June 13, 2022 Thomas Hawley

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .605 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .295 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player History
Louis Oosthuizen 0.877
Xander Schauffele 0.833
Brooks Koepka 0.748
Dustin Johnson 0.710
Patrick Reed 0.701
Hideki Matsuyama 0.681
Jon Rahm 0.610
Rory McIlroy 0.605

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player Rank Rating
Jon Rahm 1 1557.4
Justin Thomas 2 1503.2
Patrick Cantlay 3 1448.5
Rory McIlroy 4 1429.5
Xander Schauffele 5 1372.9
Scottie Scheffler 6 1365.4
Cameron Smith 7 1348.8
Will Zalatoris 8 1253.7

Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player Rank Rating
Paul Casey 18 1057.2
Chris Kirk 42 795.9
Keith Mitchell 44 787.1
Brendan Steele 47 754.9

Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player Upward change
Davis Riley 1814.6
Max Homa 1774.6
Cameron Young 1678.9
Mito Pereira 1660.4
Patrick Cantlay 1624.7
Xander Schauffele 1495.2
Rory McIlroy 1213.4
Matthew Fitzpatrick 1166.3

Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player Downward change
Dustin Johnson -925.4
Collin Morikawa -895.2
Keegan Bradley -810.8
Bryson DeChambeau -713.2
Kevin Kisner -651.5
Viktor Hovland -645.0
Russell Henley -602.6
Adam Scott -600.4

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events in U.S. Opens within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value Statistic
0.31 Shots gained putting
0.13 Shots gained off the tee
0.11 Greens in regulation
0.11 Shots gained around the green

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit Player
Shaun Norris 70.84
Billy Horschel 71.40
Thomas Pieters 71.64
Jon Rahm 71.72
Rory McIlroy 71.72
Tyrrell Hatton 71.74
Cameron Smith 71.74
Scottie Scheffler 71.74

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit Player
Sean Crocker 74.8
Guido Migliozzi 74.4
Joseph Bramlett 74.4
Danny Lee 74.3
Branden Grace 74.3
Brian Stuard 74.3
Erik van Rooyen 74.2
Chase Seiffert 74.2

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and Brookline MA, the event venue.

Player Residence Distance
Keegan Bradley Woodstock VT 125
Marc Leishman Virginia Beach VA 450
Corey Conners Listowel ON 500
Jason Kokrak Cleveland Oh 550
Grayson Murray Raleigh NC 600
Bo Hoag Columbus Oh 650
Harold Varner Charlotte NC 725
Mac Hughes Charlotte NC 725
Webb Simpson Charlotte NC 725

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic Correlation to results
Top of the heap 0.324
I love this place 0.171
Ooh, that’s hot 0.155
Location, location, location 0.028

U.S. Open

June 13, 2022 Thomas Hawley ,
Xander Schauffele
Xander Schauffele
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Xander Schauffele 11.3 14
2 Patrick Cantlay 12.9 14
3 Rory McIlroy 13.3 5
4 Justin Thomas 14.4 37
5 Jon Rahm 17.0 12
6 Cameron Young 22.9 65
7 Matthew Fitzpatrick 27.5 1
8 Scottie Scheffler 27.7 2
9 Max Homa 27.8 47
10 Mito Pereira 28.7 65
11 Cameron Smith 28.9 98
12 Will Zalatoris 29.0 2
13 Sam Burns 29.2 27
14 Jordan Spieth 29.4 37
15 Daniel Berger 32.2 82
16 Brooks Koepka 32.4 55
17 Davis Riley 33.4 31
18 Shane Lowry 34.8 65
19 Corey Conners 35.6 65
20 Billy Horschel 36.2 65
21 Sungjae Im 36.7 65
22 Joaquin Niemann 36.8 47
23 Tony Finau 37.4 82
24 Louis Oosthuizen 40.0 98
25 Aaron Wise 41.2 27
26 Hideki Matsuyama 42.2 4
27 Dustin Johnson 42.5 24
28 Justin Rose 42.7 37
29 Viktor Hovland 43.0 109
30 Harold Varner 43.7 82
31 Brian Harman 45.2 43
32 Tyrrell Hatton 45.6 56
33 Seamus Power 45.6 12
34 Talor Gooch 45.7 82
35 Kevin Na 47.0 82
36 Tommy Fleetwood 47.1 109
37 Collin Morikawa 47.6 5
38 Webb Simpson 47.7 65
39 Abraham Ancer 49.0 DNP
40 Patrick Reed 51.2 49
41 Russell Henley 51.4 98
42 Alex Noren 53.3 98
43 Denny McCarthy 53.4 7
44 Tom Hoge 53.6 82
45 Sebastian Munoz 54.0 14
46 Harris English 54.3 61
47 Adam Scott 54.4 14
48 Jason Kokrak 54.7 65
49 Cameron Tringale 55.3 14
50 Si Woo Kim 55.3 82
51 Sergio Garcia 55.3 65
52 Keegan Bradley 55.4 7
53 Adam Hadwin 55.9 7
54 Bryson DeChambeau 56.5 56
55 Francesco Molinari 58.4 98
56 Beau Hossler 58.5 53
57 Stewart Cink 58.7 65
58 Marc Leishman 58.9 14
59 Taylor Montgomery 59.7 82
60 Lucas Herbert 59.7 144
61 Lanto Griffin 59.9 109
62 KH Lee 60.1 37
63 Kevin Kisner 60.1 65
64 Erik van Rooyen 60.3 131
65 Scott Stallings 60.4 98
66 Mac Hughes 61.3 24
67 Gary Woodland 61.3 10
68 Luke List 61.4 82
69 Troy Merritt 61.7 98
70 Matthew NeSmith 62.6 37
71 Sepp Straka 62.8 125
72 Branden Grace 63.3 82
73 Sam Horsfield 64.1 98
74 Adri Arnaus 64.3 109
75 Thomas Pieters 64.4 27
76 Nick Taylor 65.1 82
77 Patrick Rodgers 65.2 31
78 Joel Dahmen 65.4 10
79 Wyndham Clark 65.5 65
80 Victor Perez 65.9 109
81 Ryan Fox 66.0 82
82 Danny Lee 66.5 134
83 Adam Schenk 66.8 24
84 Andrew Putnam 67.0 31
85 Richard Mansell 68.2 134
86 Kurt Kitayama 68.3 109
87 Phil Mickelson 68.5 134
88 Min Woo Lee 68.7 27
89 Joohyung Kim 69.0 23
90 Richard Bland 69.4 43
91 Yannik Paul 69.9 131
92 Kevin Chappell 70.1 125
93 Marcel Schneider 70.3 152
94 Satoshi Kodaira 70.7 82
95 Chase Seiffert 71.8 125
96 Andrew Novak 71.9 109
97 Brian Stuard 72.2 82
98 Jim Furyk 72.5 65
99 Shaun Norris 72.7 121
100 Nick Hardy 73.0 14
101 Hayden Buckley 73.0 14
102 Wil Besseling 73.1 56
103 Thorbjorn Olesen 73.1 134
104 Kalle Samooja 73.2 65
105 Roger Sloan 73.2 98
106 Sebastian Soderberg 73.5 53
107 David Lingmerth 73.6 49
108 Bo Hoag 73.6 109
109 Guido Migliozzi 73.7 14
110 Rikuya Hoshino 74.1 121
111 Jinichiro Kozuma 74.2 144
112 Grayson Murray 74.2 63
113 Chan Kim 74.4 82
114 Keita Nakajima 74.7 121
115 MJ Daffue 74.7 31
116 Joseph Bramlett 74.8 37
117 Sean Crocker 74.8 154
118 Jonas Blixt 75.5 109
119 Callum Tarren 75.7 31
120 Harry Hall 76.0 134
121 James Piot 76.2 65
122 Christopher Gotterup 76.4 43
123 Daijiro Izumida 76.7 131
124 Erik Barnes 76.9 65
125 Tomoyasu Sugiyama 77.3 141
126 Todd Sinnott 77.3 31
127 Chris Naegel 77.6 56
128 Samuel Stevens 77.7 49
129 Jed Morgan 77.9 150
130 Isaiah Salinda 78.2 148
131 Andrew Beckler 78.4 125
132 Sam Bennett 78.4 49
133 Fred Biondi 78.4 141
134 Brady Calkins 78.4 125
135 Adrien Dumont De Chassart 78.4 109
136 Nick Dunlap 78.4 141
137 Luke Gannon 78.4 150
138 Ryan Gerard 78.4 109
139 Austin Greaser 78.4 61
140 Keith Greene 78.4 156
141 Stewart Hagestad 78.4 64
142 Sean Jacklin 78.4 154
143 Ben Lorenz 78.4 144
144 Caleb Manuel 78.4 152
145 Brandon Matthews 78.4 60
146 Matt McCarty 78.4 65
147 Maxwell Moldovan 78.4 109
148 William Mouw 78.4 125
149 Jesse Mueller 78.4 148
150 Fran Quinn 78.4 144
151 Charles Reiter 78.4 134
152 Laird Shepherd 78.4 134
153 Davis Shore 78.4 98
154 Benjamin Silverman 78.4 82
155 Michael Thorbjornsen 78.4 98
156 Travis Vick 78.4 43
Patton Kizzire late entry 121
More | Less

Perspectives on the RBC Canadian Open

June 6, 2022 Thomas Hawley

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player History
Brandt Snedeker 0.850
Danny Lee 0.818
Mackenzie Hughes 0.758
Shane Lowry 0.686
Jhonattan Vegas 0.626
Harold Varner 0.609
Ricky Barnes 0.566
Charley Hoffman 0.513

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this week’s entries.

Player Rank Rating
Justin Thomas 2 1472.6
Cameron Smith 4 1383.3
Rory McIlroy 5 1379.2
Scottie Scheffler 7 1369.9
Sam Burns 11 1140.0
Shane Lowry 14 1119.1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 16 1094.8
Corey Conners 17 1064.4

Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this week.

Player Rank Rating
Jon Rahm 1 1557.1
Patrick Cantlay 3 1447.0
Xander Schauffele 6 1372.9
Will Zalatoris 8 1248.0

Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player Upward change
Rory McIlroy 1567.7
Sam Burns 1307.6
Harold Varner 1024.9
Tony Finau 792.2
Stephan Jaeger 658.8
Chris Kirk 543.2
Christopher Gotterup 528.6
Matthew Fitzpatrick 520.5

Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player Downward change
Adam Hadwin -459.9
Charley Hoffman -415.3
Doug Ghim -355.9
Harry Higgs -320.8
JJ Spaun -303.0
Robert Streb -291.9
Carlos Ortiz -276.3
Matthias Schwab -262.8

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the St. George’s Golf and Country Club course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. (The only prior Canadian Open on the course was in 2010.) In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value Statistic
0.17 Scrambling
0.15 Putts per GIR
0.11 Driving distance
0.09 Greens in regulation

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit Player
Justin Thomas 72.29
Rory McIlroy 72.36
Taylor Pendrith 72.42
Rasmus Hojgaard 72.43
Sam Burns 72.44
Scottie Scheffler 72.45
Luke List 72.47
Trey Mullinax 72.51

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit Player
Wesley Bryan 73.8
Joshua Creel 73.7
Ted Potter 73.6
David Hearn 73.6
Max McGreevy 73.6
Kelly Kraft 73.6
Fabian Gomez 73.6
Dawie van der Walt 73.5

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and Toronto, home of the event venue.

Player Residence Distance
Michael Gligic Kitchener ON 50
Corey Conners Listowel ON 75
Ryan Armour Silver Lake OH 200
Justin Lower Uniontown OH 225
Bo Hoag Columbus Oh 325
Brandon Wu Scarsdale NY 350
Nick Hardy Northbrook IL 450
Alex Smalley Greensboro NC 525

RBC Canadian Open

June 6, 2022 Thomas Hawley ,
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy 17.2 1
2 Justin Thomas 22.1 3
3 Sam Burns 27.9 4
4 Cameron Smith 28.7 48
5 Scottie Scheffler 29.4 18
6 Shane Lowry 35.0 10
7 Matthew Fitzpatrick 35.8 10
8 Corey Conners 36.7 6
9 Harold Varner 40.5 13
10 Tony Finau 42.3 2
11 Tyrrell Hatton 43.7 124
12 Chris Kirk 47.9 7
13 Justin Rose 53.3 4
14 Keith Mitchell 53.5 7
15 Patrick Reed 53.7 DNP
16 Sebastian Munoz 55.0 25
17 Taylor Pendrith 55.9 DNP
18 Adam Hadwin 56.6 35
19 Sahith Theegala 57.9 53
20 Pat Perez 57.9 DNP
21 Sean O’Hair 58.3 64
22 Brendon Todd 59.6 13
23 Mac Hughes 60.2 28
24 Jhonattan Vegas 60.5 53
25 David Lipsky 61.1 71
26 Luke List 61.1 DNP
27 CT Pan 61.9 DNP
28 JT Poston 63.8 87
29 Alex Smalley 64.0 21
30 Stephan Jaeger 64.3 118
31 Aaron Rai 64.7 13
32 Adam Long 64.7 21
33 Cameron Champ 65.4 87
34 Charley Hoffman 65.5 35
35 Emiliano Grillo 65.6 28
36 Austin Smotherman 65.9 44
37 Luke Donald 66.0 87
38 Patrick Rodgers 66.1 18
39 Doug Ghim 66.3 18
40 Dylan Frittelli 66.3 61
41 Adam Schenk 66.5 DNP
42 John Huh 66.7 25
43 Rory Sabbatini 66.8 71
44 Sam Ryder 66.9 87
45 Peter Malnati 67.2 131
46 Nick Taylor 67.2 28
47 Martin Laird 67.2 81
48 Nate Lashley 67.6 DNP
49 Scott Piercy 68.1 21
50 Hank Lebioda 68.2 28
51 Matt Wallace 68.4 35
52 JJ Spaun 68.4 87
53 Adam Svensson 68.7 21
54 Danny Willett 68.8 28
55 Tyler Duncan 68.8 71
56 Carlos Ortiz 68.9 46
57 Rasmus Hojgaard 69.2 87
58 Lee Hodges 69.2 48
59 Brice Garnett 69.2 99
60 Trey Mullinax 69.4 69
61 Mark Hubbard 69.5 44
62 Kevin Chappell 69.7 DNP
63 Wyndham Clark 69.9 7
64 Harry Higgs 70.1 145
65 Matthias Schwab 70.3 108
66 Vincent Whaley 70.8 35
67 Robert Streb 71.0 53
68 Dylan Wu 71.0 131
69 Ryan Armour 71.1 35
70 Brandt Snedeker 71.1 48
71 Justin Lower 71.1 35
72 Andrew Novak 71.3 64
73 Danny Lee 71.5 10
74 Satoshi Kodaira 71.5 WD
75 Brian Stuard 71.6 124
76 Chase Seiffert 72.0 28
77 Kramer Hickok 72.1 61
78 Greyson Sigg 72.3 99
79 Hayden Buckley 72.3 71
80 Jonathan Byrd 72.4 81
81 Roger Sloan 72.6 71
82 Brandon Wu 72.8 DNP
83 Henrik Norlander 72.9 87
84 David Lingmerth 73.0 71
85 Dean Burmester 73.1 99
86 Robert Garrigus 73.2 139
87 Cameron Percy 73.2 59
88 Camilo Villegas 73.3 81
89 Michael Gligic 73.4 WD
90 Wesley Bryan 73.6 99
91 Greg Chalmers 73.8 DNP
92 Martin Trainer 73.8 99
93 Ryan Moore 73.9 35
94 Nick Hardy 73.9 35
95 Joseph Bramlett 74.0 124
96 Brandon Hagy 74.2 64
97 Bo Hoag 74.4 134
98 Christopher Gotterup 74.4 87
99 Kelly Kraft 74.5 13
100 Bill Haas 74.6 71
101 Vaughn Taylor 74.7 48
102 Nick Watney 74.7 143
103 Max McGreevy 74.8 124
104 Ben Martin 74.9 53
105 Rafa Cabrera Bello 75.0 64
106 Bo Van Pelt 75.2 53
107 Callum Tarren 75.2 108
108 Paul Barjon 75.3 46
109 Jim Herman 75.3 108
110 Curtis Thompson 75.4 118
111 Aaron Cockerill 75.4 48
112 Ben Kohles 75.5 87
113 Jason Dufner 75.7 118
114 Mike Weir 75.7 71
115 Scott Gutschewski 75.7 81
116 David Skinns 75.9 64
117 Sung Kang 75.9 118
118 Scott Brown 76.0 139
119 Tommy Gainey 76.3 108
120 Dawie van der Walt 76.4 70
121 Jared Wolfe 76.4 DNP
122 Austin Cook 76.6 13
123 Seth Reeves 76.7 71
124 Ricky Barnes 77.1 108
125 David Hearn 77.4 87
126 Fabian Gomez 77.4 DNP
127 Jim Knous 77.4 25
128 Johnson Wagner 77.5 149
129 Seung-yul Noh 77.6 35
130 Andres Romero 77.6 DNP
131 Ted Potter 77.7 DNP
132 Kevin Stadler 77.7 DQ
133 Mark Hensby 77.8 118
134 Sangmoon Bae 78.0 81
135 Stuart MacDonald 78.1 71
136 George McNeill 78.2 145
137 DA Points 78.2 118
138 Joshua Creel 78.2 81
139 Richard S Johnson 78.2 131
140 Arjun Atwal 78.3 DNP
141 JJ Henry 78.4 59
142 John Merrick 78.4 108
143 Matt Every 78.4 145
144 Brian Davis 78.4 134
145 William Buhl 78.4 152
146 Cao Yi 78.4 87
147 Albin Choi 78.4 145
148 Ben Crane 78.4 63
149 Myles Creighton 78.4 108
150 Callum Davison 78.4 142
151 Joe Deraney 78.4 DNP
152 Jared du Toit 78.4 99
153 AJ Ewart 78.4 99
154 Wes Heffernan 78.4 108
155 Brendan Leonard 78.4 134
156 Max Sekulic 78.4 134
157 Johnny Travale 78.4 139
158 Trevor Werbylo 78.4 99
159 Alternates 78.4 DNP
160 Jonas Blixt 78.5 28
161 DJ Trahan 78.5 DNP
162 Brett Drewitt 78.6 53
Braden Thornberry late entry 98
Parker McLachlin late entry 103
Joseph Deraney late entry 110
Jeffrey Kang late entry 117
John Huston late entry 127
Jason Bohn late entry 128
John Rollins late entry 129
Patrick Flavin late entry 138
Brad Adamonis late entry 144
Jonathan Kaye late entry 150
Ted Purdy late entry 151
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LIV London

June 6, 2022 Thomas Hawley

Kevin Na
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Kevin Na 41.6 33
2 Dustin Johnson 42.6 8
3 Talor Gooch 45.8 9
4 Louis Oosthuizen 49.2 10
5 Sergio Garcia 51.2 22
6 Ian Poulter 59.3 20
7 Charl Schwartzel 61.9 1
8 Branden Grace 61.9 3
9 Matt Jones 62.2 25
10 Lee Westwood 63.3 29
11 Bernd Wiesberger 64.2 43
12 Sam Horsfield 65.4 5
13 Oliver Bekker 67.0 6
14 Hennie du Plessis 68.2 2
15 Phil Mickelson 68.3 33
16 Justin Harding 68.7 10
17 Hudson Swafford 68.7 30
18 Pablo Larrazabal 68.7 13
19 Richard Bland 68.8 17
20 Graeme McDowell 69.3 10
21 Laurie Canter 69.4 17
22 Adrian Otaegui 70.7 6
23 Martin Kaymer 72.3 15
24 JC Ritchie 72.9 17
25 Shaun Norris 73.1 22
26 Wade Ormsby 73.3 22
27 Ryosuke Kinoshita 74.2 13
28 Peter Uihlein 75.2 3
29 Scott Vincent 75.5 20
30 Sihwan Kim 76.0 43
31 Andy Ogletree 76.0 48
32 Jinichiro Kozuma 76.5 15
33 Turk Pettit 76.6 45
34 Sadom Kaewkanjana 76.9 46
35 Hideto Tanihara 76.9 38
36 Phachara Khongwatmai 77.3 25
37 David Puig 77.4 38
38 Ian Snyman 77.7 25
39 Blake Windred 77.9 38
40 Ratchanon Chantananuwat 77.9 38
41 Itthipat Buranatanyarat 77.9 47
42 Jed Morgan 77.9 30
43 Oliver Fisher 77.9 38
44 Viraj Madappa 78.2 30
45 Travis Smyth 78.3 33
46 Kevin Yuan 78.3 33
47 Chase Koepka 78.4 33
48 James Piot 78.4 25
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