Up and Coming

December 29, 2021 Thomas Hawley

Here’s a look at the “up” and the “coming” as the PGA Tour embarks on the bulk of its 2021-’22 season on Jan. 6.

  • The “up” players are those who have bumped up their Hawley Rating number by the largest amount during 2021. We’ll look at all players in one set, and then a subset of those who were 200th or higher at the end of 2020.
  • The “coming” players are those who qualified for this year’s tour via PGA Tour priority ranking numbers 23 and 26. Priority ranking number 23 is Korn Ferry Tour leading points-winners from the last two seasons. Priority ranking number 26 is 2020-’21 top finishers in the Korn Ferry Tour finals.

“UP” PLAYERS

Here are the “up” players — those who bumped up their Hawley Rating number by the largest amount during 2021:

Player Dec. 14, 2021 rating Dec. 15, 2020 rating Up
Taylor Moore 595.9 0.0 595.9
Mito Pereira 526.9 0.0 526.9
Hayden Buckley 458.7 0.0 458.7
Alex Smalley 411.8 0.0 411.8
Seamus Power 683.7 282.8 400.9
Sam Burns 931.9 531.5 400.4
Harry Hall 384.3 0.0 384.3
Austin Eckroat 383.9 0.0 383.9
Cameron Smith 994.4 648.2 346.2
Cameron Young 339.5 0.0 339.5
Aaron Wise 681.1 348.3 332.8
John Augenstein 326.1 0.0 326.1
Taylor Pendrith 323.6 0.0 323.6
Max McGreevy 315.0 0.0 315.0
Chad Ramey 298.2 0.0 298.2
Talor Gooch 780.4 530.6 249.8
Chris Kirk 427.1 183.0 244.1
Sahith Theegala 242.4 0.0 242.4
Nick Hardy 208.2 0.0 208.2
Greyson Sigg 200.3 0.0 200.3

“UP” PLAYERS (top 200 only)

Clearly the list above contains mostly players who were establishing themselves for the first time. Narrowing it somewhat, here are the “up” players when the list is limited to those who were already ranked 200th or higher at the end of 2020:

Player Dec. 14, 2021 rating Dec. 15, 2020 rating Up
Seamus Power 683.7 282.8 400.9
Sam Burns 931.9 531.5 400.4
Cameron Smith 994.4 648.2 346.2
Aaron Wise 681.1 348.3 332.8
Talor Gooch 780.4 530.6 249.8
Jordan Spieth 817.5 631.0 186.4
Scottie Scheffler 962.1 792.2 169.9
Keith Mitchell 476.1 306.6 169.5
Collin Morikawa 1076.5 909.3 167.2
Russell Henley 784.2 617.6 166.6
Will Zalatoris 675.7 511.4 164.4
Daniel Berger 1085.1 924.6 160.6
Maverick McNealy 595.2 447.7 147.5
KH Lee 416.0 273.4 142.6
Corey Conners 793.3 656.6 136.7
Charley Hoffman 591.1 455.5 135.6
Charl Schwartzel 446.3 313.9 132.3
Si Woo Kim 601.0 470.4 130.6
Jhonattan Vegas 494.8 367.0 127.8
Branden Grace 394.8 268.6 126.2

“COMING” PLAYERS

Taking this from a different perspective, here are the Hawley Ratings of all players who are coming into the 2020-’21 PGA Tour season with eligibility based on their performance in the Korn Ferry Tour championship series at the end of last summer. This reflects performance in the recent fall 2021 events. Ages are as of Dec. 31, 2021.

Player Dec. 14, 2021 rating Age
Taylor Moore 595.9 24.6

Christiaan Bezuidenhout 468.0 27.6

Hayden Buckley 458.7 25.8

Alex Smalley 411.8 25.2

Aaron Rai 351.8 26.8

Cameron Young 339.5 24.7

John Huh 330.8 31.6

Taylor Pendrith 323.6 30.6

Max McGreevy 315.0 26.7

Patrick Rodgers 307.8 29.5

Chad Ramey 298.2 29.4

Trey Mullinax 294.9 29.5

Vincent Whaley 262.3 26.8

Matthias Schwab 245.7 27.1

Sahith Theegala 242.4 24.1

Andrew Novak 238.5 26.8

JJ Spaun 224.9 31.4

Stephan Jaeger 211.2 32.6

Nick Hardy 208.2 25.9

Greyson Sigg 200.3 26.9

Lee Hodges 198.7 26.5

David Lipsky 197.8 33.5

Seth Reeves 189.6 30.8

Dawie van der Walt 184.0
Peter Uihlein 170.5 32.3

Bronson Burgoon 169.9 34.6

Joseph Bramlett 168.2 33.7

Michael Gligic 162.7 32.3

Austin Cook 161.4 30.8

Curtis Thompson 151.4 29.0

David Skinns 150.0 39.9

Joshua Creel 149.7 31.9

Dylan Wu 149.0 25.4

Justin Lower 147.6 32.7

Adam Svensson 145.3 28.0

Davis Riley 138.9 25.0

Kiradech Aphibarnrat 137.9 32.4

Chris Stroud 112.8 39.9

Kurt Kitayama 110.6 29.0

Scott Gutschewski 101.1 45.2

Tim Wilkinson 98.1 43.4

Paul Barjon 89.6
Ben Kohles 84.4 31.8

Brandon Wu 69.8 24.9

Austin Smotherman 67.6 27.6

Callum Tarren 65.0 31.9

Grayson Murray 45.3 28.2

Brett Drewitt 42.5 31.1

Jared Wolfe 5.2 33.7

Chad Collins unrated 43.3

Vince Covello unrated 39.1

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Dec. 13,2021 — FINAL 2021)

December 28, 2021 Thomas Hawley

Jon Rahm, idle since Oct. 17, has been no. 1 for over three-quarters of a year.
# Thru Dec. 13, 2021 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Jon Rahm 42 1393 1
2 Justin Thomas 45 1213 2
3 Xander Schauffele 44 1193 3
4 Patrick Cantlay 36 1170 4
5 Dustin Johnson 39 1155 5
6 Bryson DeChambeau 41 1140 6
7 Daniel Berger 39 1085 7
8 Collin Morikawa 49 1076 8
9 Webb Simpson 38 1034 10
10 Rory McIlroy 42 1031 9
11 Cameron Smith 43 994 11
12 Louis Oosthuizen 40 976 12
13 Scottie Scheffler 53 962 13
14 Sam Burns 48 932 14
15 Viktor Hovland 52 924 16
16 Abraham Ancer 51 920 15
17 Tony Finau 51 888 17
18 Paul Casey 42 844 18
19 Jordan Spieth 42 817 19
20 Sungjae Im 61 802 22
21 Harris English 47 797 20
22 Corey Conners 52 793 21
23 Russell Henley 44 784 23
24 Talor Gooch 52 780 24
25 Brooks Koepka 39 770 25
26 Patrick Reed 53 766 26
27 Matthew Wolff 43 765 28
28 Hideki Matsuyama 47 763 27
29 Jason Kokrak 48 747 29
30 Kevin Na 47 732 30
31 Tyrrell Hatton 42 721 31
32 Adam Scott 30 717 32
33 Matthew Fitzpatrick 49 712 33
34 Sergio Garcia 44 706 34
35 Cameron Tringale 46 697 36
36 Seamus Power 29 684 37
37 Aaron Wise 42 681 38
38 Alex Noren 47 677 39
39 Will Zalatoris 36 676 35
40 Shane Lowry 50 667 40
41 Joaquin Niemann 52 664 41
42 Justin Rose 39 654 42
43 Mac Hughes 51 654 43
44 Billy Horschel 49 637 45
45 Ryan Palmer 46 614 44
46 Marc Leishman 45 607 48
47 Ian Poulter 49 605 46
48 Si Woo Kim 53 601 49
49 Brian Harman 50 600 47
50 Taylor Moore 9 596 52
51 Maverick McNealy 47 595 50
52 Charley Hoffman 50 591 53
53 Bubba Watson 40 572 51
54 Tommy Fleetwood 46 564 54
55 Harold Varner 51 538 57
56 Kevin Kisner 47 537 55
57 Keegan Bradley 46 535 58
58 Kevin Streelman 51 534 56
59 Jason Day 40 533 59
60 Mito Pereira 18 527 61
61 Joel Dahmen 47 527 60
62 Sebastian Munoz 60 525 63
63 Erik van Rooyen 48 522 64
64 Max Homa 50 516 62
65 Jhonattan Vegas 46 495 65
66 Brendon Todd 51 487 66
67 Lanto Griffin 55 484 68
68 Rickie Fowler 42 482 67
69 Keith Mitchell 50 476 69
70 Brendan Steele 44 472 70
71 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 46 468 71
72 Lee Westwood 41 463 72
73 Hayden Buckley 13 459 74
74 Gary Woodland 43 458 73
75 Adam Long 55 450 75
76 Charl Schwartzel 44 446 76
77 Carlos Ortiz 50 432 78
78 Tom Hoge 60 431 77
79 Luke List 53 427 79
80 Chris Kirk 42 427 80
81 Harry Higgs 51 424 81
82 Cameron Davis 45 421 82
83 KH Lee 54 416 84
84 Adam Hadwin 47 416 83
85 Cameron Champ 43 414 85
86 Alex Smalley 14 412 86
87 Matt Wallace 53 409 87
88 Zach Johnson 42 407 88
89 Rory Sabbatini 49 404 89
90 Emiliano Grillo 54 403 90
91 Troy Merritt 56 400 91
92 Matt Kuchar 46 399 94
93 Bud Cauley 17 395 92
94 Denny McCarthy 53 395 95
95 Branden Grace 50 395 93
96 Harry Hall 9 384 101
97 Austin Eckroat 8 384 97
98 Robert MacIntyre 43 382 98
99 Stewart Cink 41 382 100
100 Charles Howell 39 381 96
101 Henrik Norlander 51 380 99
102 Patton Kizzire 47 377 102
103 Robert Streb 46 372 103
104 Thomas Pieters 35 369 104
105 Chez Reavie 52 366 105
106 Lucas Herbert 34 364 106
107 Doug Ghim 44 363 107
108 Dylan Frittelli 55 361 108
109 Adam Schenk 55 353 109
110 Aaron Rai 45 352 110
111 Lucas Glover 49 344 112
112 CT Pan 47 344 113
113 Phil Mickelson 38 341 114
114 Cameron Young 12 339 115
115 Hank Lebioda 42 337 117
116 Scott Piercy 45 337 116
117 Scott Stallings 47 336 118
118 Matt Jones 52 336 111
119 John Huh 32 331 120
120 John Augenstein 12 326 119
121 Taylor Pendrith 18 324 121
122 Max McGreevy 11 315 123
123 James Hahn 38 315 125
124 Wesley Bryan 16 312 124
125 Steve Stricker 22 311 128
126 Martin Laird 36 311 127
127 Francesco Molinari 26 310 129
128 Patrick Rodgers 61 308 126
129 Michael Thompson 44 308 131
130 Danny Willett 49 307 130
131 Hudson Swafford 45 304 122
132 Sepp Straka 57 300 132
133 Mark Hubbard 54 299 133
134 Chad Ramey 12 298 134
135 Matthew NeSmith 52 297 136
136 Trey Mullinax 11 295 135
137 JT Poston 52 293 138
138 Kramer Hickok 42 293 137
139 Pat Perez 48 293 139
140 Victor Perez 41 290 140
141 Bernd Wiesberger 44 289 141
142 Andrew Putnam 51 285 142
143 Richy Werenski 50 284 143
144 Andrew Landry 44 282 144
145 Roger Sloan 48 280 145
146 Doc Redman 50 275 147
147 Wyndham Clark 50 272 148
148 Thomas Detry 46 268 150
149 Brandt Snedeker 48 266 146
150 Vincent Whaley 46 262 151
151 Danny Lee 47 259 149
152 Guido Migliozzi 42 254 152
153 Brian Stuard 59 253 153
154 Tyler McCumber 44 252 155
155 Richard Bland 42 251 154
156 Ryan Armour 48 249 156
157 Kyle Stanley 49 248 157
158 Matthias Schwab 45 246 158
159 Padraig Harrington 35 243 161
160 Martin Kaymer 36 243 160
161 Sahith Theegala 20 242 162
162 Dean Burmester 47 240 163
163 Russell Knox 55 239 164
164 Nate Lashley 46 239 165
165 Andrew Novak 11 238 167
166 Chesson Hadley 47 238 166
167 Jeunghun Wang 8 237 172
168 Tiger Woods 9 237 159
169 Nick Taylor 47 234 168
170 Peter Malnati 52 233 170
171 Byeong Hun An 48 232 169
172 Min Woo Lee 37 231 171
173 Adri Arnaus 43 226 174
174 Alexander Bjork 39 225 175
175 Andy Sullivan 44 225 173
176 JJ Spaun 48 225 176
177 Sam Ryder 56 222 177
178 Laurie Canter 37 222 179
179 Brandon Hagy 46 220 178
180 Bo Hoag 52 219 180
181 Tyler Duncan 56 217 182
182 Brice Garnett 50 217 181
183 Kevin Tway 45 215 183
184 Hennie du Plessis 10 215 184
185 Andrew Johnston 26 212 186
186 Stephan Jaeger 18 211 185
187 Nicolai Hojgaard 39 211 187
188 Antoine Rozner 43 209 189
189 Sean Crocker 49 209 191
190 Nick Hardy 12 208 190
191 Ryan Moore 32 207 188
192 Tom Lewis 48 207 192
193 Jim Herman 41 205 193
194 Justin Suh 20 204 196
195 Takumi Kanaya 23 203 194
196 Greyson Sigg 20 200 195
197 Jason Scrivener 36 200 199
198 Lee Hodges 16 199 200
199 Sam Horsfield 40 198 202
200 Chase Seiffert 44 198 201
201 David Lipsky 21 198 198
202 Beau Hossler 50 198 197
203 Camilo Villegas 37 194 204
204 Joachim B Hansen 47 194 205
205 Rasmus Hojgaard 42 193 206
206 Rafa Cabrera Bello 54 192 203
207 Johannes Veerman 40 190 208
208 Seth Reeves 11 190 207
209 Fabrizio Zanotti 30 187 210
210 Matthias Schmid 13 186 209
211 Dawie van der Walt 12 184 211
212 Chan Kim 19 184 212
213 Jimmy Walker 45 182 213
214 Sean O’Hair 29 181 214
215 Jamie Donaldson 41 180 216
216 Marcel Siem 24 179 215
217 Justin Harding 50 177 217
218 Mikko Korhonen 33 176 218
219 Robby Shelton 51 174 219
220 Cameron Percy 41 173 220
221 Anirban Lahiri 36 172 224
222 Marcus Armitage 46 172 221
223 Nick Watney 43 171 222
224 Jason Dufner 46 171 223
225 Peter Uihlein 29 170 225
226 Bronson Burgoon 45 170 228
227 Matthew Jordan 44 170 229
228 Joseph Bramlett 50 168 230
229 Shaun Norris 26 168 227
230 Sung Kang 56 167 226
231 Francesco Laporta 43 166 231
232 Grant Forrest 44 164 232
233 Michael Gligic 46 163 235
234 Calum Hill 44 163 233
235 Victor Dubuisson 26 162 234
236 Austin Cook 49 161 237
237 Masahiro Kawamura 53 161 238
238 Will Gordon 42 159 236
239 Satoshi Kodaira 41 159 239
240 Henrik Stenson 38 156 240
241 Jim Knous 11 154 241
242 Ryan Fox 37 152 243
243 Wade Ormsby 32 152 244
244 Curtis Thompson 13 151 242
245 David Skinns 8 150 248
246 Kalle Samooja 40 150 245
247 Joshua Creel 8 150 249
248 Adrian Meronk 43 149 247
249 Dylan Wu 11 149 246
250 Garrick Higgo 41 148 253
251 Xinjun Zhang 46 148 250
252 John Catlin 43 148 256
253 MJ Daffue 17 148 254
254 Justin Lower 9 148 252
255 Vaughn Taylor 46 147 251
256 Jonathan Byrd 24 147 255
257 Joakim Lagergren 39 146 258
258 Adam Svensson 13 145 259
259 Matthieu Pavon 46 145 257
260 David Horsey 45 145 260
261 Jim Furyk 17 142 261
262 Neil Schietekat 8 141 264
263 Shugo Imahira 20 140 263
264 Davis Riley 19 139 262
265 Shubhankar Sharma 49 139 265
266 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 39 138 266
267 Wil Besseling 41 137 268
268 Edoardo Molinari 40 136 267
269 Jordan Smith 47 135 269
270 George Coetzee 34 135 270
271 Renato Paratore 47 135 271
272 Keita Nakajima 9 134 272
273 Daniel van Tonder 28 134 273
274 Adrian Otaegui 48 133 274
275 Rob Oppenheim 43 131 275
276 Jeff Winther 41 131 276
277 Seonghyeon Kim 9 131 277
278 Brandon Stone 41 131 278
279 Wilco Nienaber 40 129 280
280 Richie Ramsay 45 128 279
281 Kevin Chappell 23 128 281
282 Scott Jamieson 41 126 282
283 Kristoffer Broberg 25 125 283
284 Callum Shinkwin 40 124 284
285 Sami Valimaki 40 123 286
286 Rikuya Hoshino 21 122 285
287 Pablo Larrazabal 40 122 287
288 Jack Senior 48 122 288
289 Hiroshi Iwata 16 121 289
290 Graeme McDowell 46 120 295
291 Haotong Li 35 119 291
292 Joost Luiten 46 119 290
293 Alexander Levy 45 118 292
294 Kristoffer Ventura 42 118 293
295 Bo Van Pelt 46 116 294
296 Jazz Janewattananond 44 114 296
297 Chris Stroud 21 113 298
298 Ashun Wu 30 112 297
299 Jacques Kruyswijk 24 111 304
300 Davis Thompson 11 111 303
301 Kurt Kitayama 37 111 300
302 Mark Anderson 34 111 301
303 Ben Martin 35 110 299
304 Scott Brown 50 110 302
305 Eddie Pepperell 38 110 305
306 Joohyung Kim 9 109 306
307 Thriston Lawrence 9 109 309
308 Darren Fichardt 21 109 310
309 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 108 308
310 Luke Donald 39 108 307
311 Seung-yul Noh 22 107 311
312 Jorge Campillo 49 106 314
313 Marc Warren 34 106 317
314 Ben Taylor 31 106 315
315 Ross Fisher 43 105 312
316 Benjamin Hebert 43 104 316
317 Matthew Southgate 45 103 319
318 Chris Baker 35 102 320
319 Fabian Gomez 39 102 321
320 Scott Gutschewski 11 101 323
321 Akshay Bhatia 17 100 325
322 Connor Syme 44 100 324
323 Jack Singh Brar 9 99 313
324 Tim Wilkinson 28 98 322
325 Bryce Easton 30 98 328
326 David Lingmerth 20 98 326
327 Nicolas Colsaerts 33 98 327
328 Maximilian Kieffer 44 98 329
329 Tapio Pulkkanen 46 97 330
330 Marcus Kinhult 35 96 331
331 Daniel Gavins 22 95 332
332 Louis de Jager 29 95 334
333 Romain Langasque 43 94 333
334 Ollie Schniederjans 10 93 336
335 Michael Gellerman 28 93 335
336 Chase Hanna 13 93 337
337 Scott Vincent 31 92 338
338 Kelly Kraft 26 91 339
339 Aaron Baddeley 38 90 340
340 Brian Gay 49 90 343
341 Tomoharu Otsuki 17 90 342
342 Paul Barjon 15 90 344
343 Justin Walters 48 89 345
344 Jayden Trey Schaper 13 89 346
345 Thorbjorn Olesen 29 88 347
346 Santiago Tarrio Ben 12 88 349
347 William McGirt 19 87 348
348 Ewen Ferguson 24 87 350
349 Roberto Castro 12 87 351
350 Chris Paisley 41 85 353
351 JB Holmes 26 85 341
352 Stephen Gallacher 33 84 354
353 Ben Kohles 10 84 355
354 Martin Trainer 51 84 356
355 Hugo Leon 11 83 358
356 Niall Kearney 21 83 357
357 David Law 48 82 360
358 Craig Howie 17 82 361
359 Robert Rock 32 82 363
360 Alejandro Canizares 41 82 359
361 Dale Whitnell 43 81 364
362 James Morrison 48 81 362
363 Scott Harrington 48 81 366
364 Zac Blair 19 80 352
365 Adrien Saddier 37 80 365
366 Darius van Driel 42 79 367
367 Jinichiro Kozuma 15 79 369
368 Yuki Inamori 18 79 368
369 Oscar Lengden 12 78 370
370 Naoto Nakanishi 15 78 371
371 Julien Guerrier 44 76 372
372 David Hearn 42 76 373
373 Richard Sterne 12 76 379
374 Andy Ogletree 10 76 377
375 Nino Bertasio 39 75 374
376 Hideto Tanihara 12 75 378
377 Niklas Lemke 37 75 376
378 Gavin Green 45 74 375
379 Mikumu Horikawa 15 73 381
380 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 31 73 380
381 Bill Haas 38 72 382
382 Ashley Chesters 47 72 383
383 Ryan Brehm 33 72 384
384 Ben Stow 16 71 385
385 Sebastian Soderberg 42 71 386
386 Aaron Cockerill 41 70 387
387 Lucas Bjerregaard 45 70 390
388 Brandon Wu 19 70 388
389 Brad Kennedy 9 69 389
390 Maverick Antcliff 42 68 391
391 Austin Smotherman 8 68 392
392 Sebastian Heisele 31 66 394
393 JC Ritchie 19 66 393
394 Rhein Gibson 35 65 396
395 Paul Waring 31 65 395
396 Oliver Farr 43 65 397
397 Callum Tarren 10 65 399
398 Ryosuke Kinoshita 17 64 400
399 Ted Potter 44 64 398
400 Paul Peterson 14 63 401
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

QBE Shootout

December 10, 2021 Thomas Hawley ,

Sam Burns
Pick Player Finish Estimate Observed Odds Course fit
1 Sam Burns & Billy Horschel 41.8 3-1 63.9
2 Jason Kokrak & Kevin Na 48.6 5-1 64.3
3 Harris English & Matt Kuchar 55.8 10-1 64.2
4 Corey Conners & Graeme McDowell 56.6 11-1 64.6
5 Jason Day & Marc Leishman 56.6 11-1 64.4
6 Max Homa & Kevin Kisner 58.6 13-1 64.5
7 Charles Howell & Ian Poulter 58.8 14-1 64.8
8 Brian Harman & Hudson Swafford 59.6 15-1 64.4
9 Matt Jones & Ryan Palmer 60.5 16-1 64.1
10 Sean O’Hair & Will Zalatoris 61.0 18-1 64.4
11 KH Lee & Brandt Snedeker 65.2 30-1 64.8
12 Lexi Thompson & Bubba Watson 65.3 30-1 64.8
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 489. The average is 142. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro ratings (Dec. 5, 2021)

December 10, 2021 Thomas Hawley

Jon Rahm, idle since Oct. 17, has been no. 1 for over three-quarters of a year.
# Thru Dec. 5, 2021 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Jon Rahm 42 1394 1
2 Justin Thomas 45 1212 2
3 Xander Schauffele 44 1194 3
4 Patrick Cantlay 36 1173 5
5 Dustin Johnson 39 1152 6
6 Bryson DeChambeau 41 1144 4
7 Daniel Berger 39 1089 7
8 Collin Morikawa 49 1080 8
9 Rory McIlroy 42 1036 9
10 Webb Simpson 38 1035 10
11 Cameron Smith 44 990 11
12 Louis Oosthuizen 40 975 12
13 Scottie Scheffler 53 962 13
14 Sam Burns 47 941 15
15 Abraham Ancer 51 924 14
16 Viktor Hovland 52 922 16
17 Tony Finau 51 889 17
18 Paul Casey 42 846 19
19 Jordan Spieth 42 819 18
20 Harris English 46 809 20
21 Corey Conners 51 808 22
22 Sungjae Im 61 802 21
23 Russell Henley 44 784 24
24 Talor Gooch 52 780 25
25 Brooks Koepka 39 771 23
26 Patrick Reed 53 769 26
27 Hideki Matsuyama 47 764 27
28 Matthew Wolff 43 761 28
29 Jason Kokrak 47 742 30
30 Kevin Na 46 730 32
31 Tyrrell Hatton 42 725 29
32 Adam Scott 31 720 33
33 Matthew Fitzpatrick 49 712 31
34 Sergio Garcia 44 706 34
35 Will Zalatoris 35 698 35
36 Cameron Tringale 46 695 36
37 Seamus Power 29 684 37
38 Aaron Wise 42 679 38
39 Alex Noren 47 676 39
40 Shane Lowry 50 668 41
41 Joaquin Niemann 52 662 42
42 Justin Rose 39 654 40
43 Mac Hughes 51 653 43
44 Ryan Palmer 45 639 44
45 Billy Horschel 48 636 45
46 Ian Poulter 48 625 46
47 Brian Harman 49 618 47
48 Marc Leishman 44 612 48
49 Si Woo Kim 53 599 52
50 Maverick McNealy 47 598 49
51 Bubba Watson 39 597 50
52 Taylor Moore 9 594 51
53 Charley Hoffman 50 592 53
54 Tommy Fleetwood 46 566 54
55 Kevin Kisner 46 546 55
56 Kevin Streelman 51 538 56
57 Harold Varner 51 537 58
58 Keegan Bradley 46 535 57
59 Jason Day 39 534 60
60 Joel Dahmen 47 531 59
61 Mito Pereira 18 529 61
62 Max Homa 49 526 62
63 Sebastian Munoz 60 523 63
64 Erik van Rooyen 48 522 64
65 Jhonattan Vegas 46 498 65
66 Brendon Todd 51 487 67
67 Rickie Fowler 42 486 66
68 Lanto Griffin 55 483 68
69 Keith Mitchell 50 479 69
70 Brendan Steele 44 473 70
71 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 46 469 73
72 Lee Westwood 41 465 72
73 Gary Woodland 43 463 71
74 Hayden Buckley 13 458 74
75 Adam Long 55 450 75
76 Charl Schwartzel 44 447 76
77 Tom Hoge 60 432 77
78 Carlos Ortiz 50 431 78
79 Luke List 53 428 79
80 Chris Kirk 42 426 81
81 Harry Higgs 51 425 80
82 Cameron Davis 46 421 82
83 Adam Hadwin 47 416 83
84 KH Lee 54 416 84
85 Cameron Champ 44 415 85
86 Alex Smalley 14 412 86
87 Matt Wallace 53 408 87
88 Zach Johnson 42 405 89
89 Rory Sabbatini 49 404 88
90 Emiliano Grillo 54 403 91
91 Troy Merritt 56 401 90
92 Bud Cauley 17 397 93
93 Branden Grace 50 397 92
94 Matt Kuchar 45 395 94
95 Denny McCarthy 53 392 95
96 Charles Howell 38 390 96
97 Austin Eckroat 8 383 99
98 Robert MacIntyre 43 383 97
99 Henrik Norlander 51 381 100
100 Stewart Cink 42 380 101
101 Harry Hall 9 380 98
102 Patton Kizzire 47 377 102
103 Robert Streb 46 372 104
104 Thomas Pieters 35 369 103
105 Chez Reavie 52 367 105
106 Lucas Herbert 35 366 106
107 Doug Ghim 44 361 108
108 Dylan Frittelli 55 361 107
109 Adam Schenk 55 352 109
110 Aaron Rai 45 350 110
111 Matt Jones 51 347 111
112 Lucas Glover 49 345 112
113 CT Pan 47 344 114
114 Phil Mickelson 38 343 113
115 Cameron Young 12 341 117
116 Scott Piercy 45 340 115
117 Hank Lebioda 42 339 116
118 Scott Stallings 47 337 118
119 John Augenstein 12 330 119
120 John Huh 32 327 120
121 Taylor Pendrith 18 324 121
122 Hudson Swafford 44 315 123
123 Max McGreevy 11 314 122
124 Wesley Bryan 16 314 124
125 James Hahn 38 313 126
126 Patrick Rodgers 61 312 125
127 Martin Laird 36 309 127
128 Steve Stricker 22 309 130
129 Francesco Molinari 26 308 129
130 Danny Willett 49 308 128
131 Michael Thompson 44 306 131
132 Sepp Straka 57 302 132
133 Mark Hubbard 54 301 133
134 Chad Ramey 12 297 134
135 Trey Mullinax 11 296 139
136 Matthew NeSmith 52 296 135
137 Kramer Hickok 42 295 138
138 JT Poston 52 294 136
139 Pat Perez 48 294 137
140 Victor Perez 41 289 141
141 Bernd Wiesberger 44 289 140
142 Andrew Putnam 51 284 142
143 Richy Werenski 50 283 144
144 Andrew Landry 44 283 143
145 Roger Sloan 48 281 146
146 Brandt Snedeker 47 278 145
147 Doc Redman 50 276 147
148 Wyndham Clark 50 272 148
149 Danny Lee 46 269 149
150 Thomas Detry 46 268 150
151 Vincent Whaley 46 263 151
152 Guido Migliozzi 42 256 153
153 Brian Stuard 59 254 154
154 Richard Bland 42 253 155
155 Tyler McCumber 44 250 157
156 Ryan Armour 48 250 156
157 Kyle Stanley 49 248 158
158 Matthias Schwab 45 245 159
159 Tiger Woods 9 244 152
160 Martin Kaymer 36 244 160
161 Padraig Harrington 35 243 161
162 Sahith Theegala 20 242 162
163 Dean Burmester 47 241 171
164 Russell Knox 55 240 163
165 Nate Lashley 46 239 166
166 Chesson Hadley 47 238 165
167 Andrew Novak 11 237 164
168 Nick Taylor 47 235 167
169 Byeong Hun An 48 233 168
170 Peter Malnati 52 233 169
171 Min Woo Lee 38 231 170
172 Jeunghun Wang 8 231 174
173 Andy Sullivan 44 226 172
174 Adri Arnaus 43 225 175
175 Alexander Bjork 39 225 173
176 JJ Spaun 48 225 176
177 Sam Ryder 56 222 178
178 Brandon Hagy 46 221 177
179 Laurie Canter 37 220 180
180 Bo Hoag 52 219 181
181 Brice Garnett 50 218 179
182 Tyler Duncan 56 217 183
183 Kevin Tway 45 216 182
184 Hennie du Plessis 10 214 294
185 Stephan Jaeger 18 212 185
186 Andrew Johnston 26 211 184
187 Nicolai Hojgaard 40 210 187
188 Ryan Moore 32 209 186
189 Antoine Rozner 43 209 189
190 Nick Hardy 12 209 191
191 Sean Crocker 49 208 190
192 Tom Lewis 48 207 192
193 Jim Herman 41 205 193
194 Takumi Kanaya 23 203 188
195 Greyson Sigg 20 201 196
196 Justin Suh 20 200 202
197 Beau Hossler 50 200 194
198 David Lipsky 21 200 195
199 Jason Scrivener 37 200 198
200 Lee Hodges 16 199 197
201 Chase Seiffert 44 199 199
202 Sam Horsfield 40 198 201
203 Rafa Cabrera Bello 54 194 203
204 Camilo Villegas 37 192 204
205 Joachim B Hansen 47 192 205
206 Rasmus Hojgaard 42 192 206
207 Seth Reeves 11 192 208
208 Johannes Veerman 41 191 207
209 Matthias Schmid 13 187 211
210 Fabrizio Zanotti 30 186 209
211 Dawie van der Walt 12 184 212
212 Chan Kim 19 184 200
213 Jimmy Walker 45 184 210
214 Sean O’Hair 28 183 213
215 Marcel Siem 24 179 214
216 Jamie Donaldson 41 178 215
217 Justin Harding 50 178 230
218 Mikko Korhonen 33 177 216
219 Robby Shelton 51 173 218
220 Cameron Percy 41 173 220
221 Marcus Armitage 47 172 219
222 Nick Watney 43 172 222
223 Jason Dufner 46 171 221
224 Anirban Lahiri 36 171 224
225 Peter Uihlein 29 171 223
226 Sung Kang 56 170 217
227 Shaun Norris 26 170 239
228 Bronson Burgoon 45 170 227
229 Matthew Jordan 44 170 226
230 Joseph Bramlett 50 169 225
231 Francesco Laporta 43 166 228
232 Grant Forrest 44 165 229
233 Calum Hill 45 162 233
234 Victor Dubuisson 26 162 232
235 Michael Gligic 46 162 234
236 Will Gordon 42 161 231
237 Austin Cook 49 161 238
238 Masahiro Kawamura 53 161 237
239 Satoshi Kodaira 41 160 236
240 Henrik Stenson 38 156 235
241 Jim Knous 11 155 240
242 Curtis Thompson 13 153 243
243 Ryan Fox 38 153 242
244 Wade Ormsby 33 153 244
245 Kalle Samooja 40 150 248
246 Dylan Wu 11 150 247
247 Adrian Meronk 43 149 252
248 David Skinns 8 149 249
249 Joshua Creel 8 149 250
250 Xinjun Zhang 46 149 253
251 Vaughn Taylor 46 149 246
252 Justin Lower 9 149 257
253 Garrick Higgo 41 148 241
254 MJ Daffue 17 148 254
255 Jonathan Byrd 24 147 256
256 John Catlin 43 147 258
257 Matthieu Pavon 46 147 255
258 Joakim Lagergren 39 146 259
259 Adam Svensson 13 145 260
260 David Horsey 45 144 261
261 Jim Furyk 17 141 262
262 Davis Riley 19 140 263
263 Shugo Imahira 20 139 251
264 Neil Schietekat 8 139
265 Shubhankar Sharma 49 138 264
266 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 39 137 266
267 Edoardo Molinari 40 137 265
268 Wil Besseling 41 137 268
269 Jordan Smith 47 136 267
270 George Coetzee 34 135 270
271 Renato Paratore 47 134 269
272 Keita Nakajima 9 134 245
273 Daniel van Tonder 28 133 319
274 Adrian Otaegui 48 133 271
275 Rob Oppenheim 43 132 272
276 Jeff Winther 41 131 273
277 Seonghyeon Kim 9 131 274
278 Brandon Stone 41 130 290
279 Richie Ramsay 45 129 275
280 Wilco Nienaber 40 129 276
281 Kevin Chappell 23 128 277
282 Scott Jamieson 41 127 278
283 Kristoffer Broberg 25 125 281
284 Callum Shinkwin 40 123 284
285 Rikuya Hoshino 21 123 279
286 Sami Valimaki 41 123 285
287 Pablo Larrazabal 40 123 283
288 Jack Senior 49 122 282
289 Hiroshi Iwata 16 121 280
290 Joost Luiten 46 119 286
291 Haotong Li 35 119 287
292 Alexander Levy 45 118 288
293 Kristoffer Ventura 42 117 291
294 Bo Van Pelt 46 116 292
295 Graeme McDowell 45 115 289
296 Jazz Janewattananond 44 115 296
297 Ashun Wu 30 114 293
298 Chris Stroud 21 114 300
299 Ben Martin 35 113 295
300 Kurt Kitayama 37 113 299
301 Mark Anderson 34 112 297
302 Scott Brown 50 112 302
303 Davis Thompson 11 111 306
304 Jacques Kruyswijk 24 111 301
305 Eddie Pepperell 38 111 307
306 Joohyung Kim 9 110 305
307 Luke Donald 39 110 304
308 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 109 303
309 Thriston Lawrence 9 109 410
310 Darren Fichardt 21 108 310
311 Seung-yul Noh 22 108 309
312 Ross Fisher 43 107 308
313 Jack Singh Brar 9 107 298
314 Jorge Campillo 49 107 311
315 Ben Taylor 31 106 312
316 Benjamin Hebert 43 106 313
317 Marc Warren 34 105 314
318 Sebi Garcia 8 104 321
319 Matthew Southgate 45 103 317
320 Chris Baker 35 103 316
321 Fabian Gomez 39 102 318
322 Tim Wilkinson 28 101 315
323 Scott Gutschewski 11 101 320
324 Connor Syme 44 100 322
325 Akshay Bhatia 17 99 325
326 David Lingmerth 20 98 323
327 Nicolas Colsaerts 33 98 326
328 Bryce Easton 31 98 373
329 Maximilian Kieffer 44 97 328
330 Tapio Pulkkanen 46 97 327
331 Marcus Kinhult 35 96 330
332 Daniel Gavins 23 95 332
333 Romain Langasque 43 94 333
334 Louis de Jager 30 94 376
335 Michael Gellerman 28 94 331
336 Ollie Schniederjans 10 93 336
337 Chase Hanna 14 92 335
338 Scott Vincent 31 92 334
339 Kelly Kraft 26 92 338
340 Aaron Baddeley 38 91 337
341 JB Holmes 26 91 329
342 Tomoharu Otsuki 17 90 324
343 Brian Gay 49 90 341
344 Paul Barjon 15 90 340
345 Justin Walters 48 89 342
346 Jayden Trey Schaper 13 89 377
347 Thorbjorn Olesen 29 88 345
348 William McGirt 19 88 347
349 Santiago Tarrio Ben 12 88 343
350 Ewen Ferguson 24 87 348
351 Roberto Castro 12 87 346
352 Zac Blair 19 85 339
353 Chris Paisley 41 85 350
354 Stephen Gallacher 33 84 351
355 Ben Kohles 10 84 352
356 Martin Trainer 51 84 355
357 Niall Kearney 21 83 354
358 Hugo Leon 12 83 357
359 Alejandro Canizares 42 83 353
360 David Law 48 82 356
361 Craig Howie 17 82 358
362 James Morrison 48 81 360
363 Robert Rock 32 81 362
364 Dale Whitnell 44 81 361
365 Adrien Saddier 37 81 359
366 Scott Harrington 48 80 363
367 Darius van Driel 42 80 365
368 Yuki Inamori 18 79 364
369 Jinichiro Kozuma 15 79 349
370 Oscar Lengden 12 78 366
371 Naoto Nakanishi 15 77 367
372 Julien Guerrier 44 76 369
373 David Hearn 42 76 372
374 Nino Bertasio 39 75 370
375 Gavin Green 45 75 368
376 Niklas Lemke 37 75 371
377 Andy Ogletree 10 75 375
378 Hideto Tanihara 12 75 395
379 Richard Sterne 12 75 344
380 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 31 74 374
381 Mikumu Horikawa 16 73 387
382 Bill Haas 38 72 379
383 Ashley Chesters 47 72 380
384 Ryan Brehm 33 71 381
385 Ben Stow 16 71 382
386 Sebastian Soderberg 42 71 384
387 Aaron Cockerill 42 70 386
388 Brandon Wu 19 70 385
389 Brad Kennedy 10 69 389
390 Lucas Bjerregaard 45 69 388
391 Maverick Antcliff 43 68 390
392 Austin Smotherman 8 67 391
393 JC Ritchie 19 67 378
394 Sebastian Heisele 31 66 393
395 Paul Waring 31 66 392
396 Rhein Gibson 36 66 396
397 Oliver Farr 43 65 398
398 Ted Potter 44 65 394
399 Callum Tarren 10 65 397
400 Ryosuke Kinoshita 17 65 383
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Hero World Challenge

November 29, 2021 Thomas Hawley

Justin Thomas
Pick Player Finish Estimate Observed Odds Course fit
1 Justin Thomas 22.4 8-1 69.4
2 Patrick Cantlay 23.0 8-1 69.5
3 Bryson DeChambeau 28.2 11-1 70.0
4 Xander Schauffele 28.5 11-1 69.5
5 Collin Morikawa 31.5 12-1 69.0
6 Rory McIlroy 36.3 16-1 70.1
7 Webb Simpson 36.3 16-1 69.9
8 Daniel Berger 37.3 16-1 69.7
9 Scottie Scheffler 38.3 18-1 69.5
10 Abraham Ancer 41.1 20-1 69.8
11 Jordan Spieth 42.3 22-1 69.9
12 Viktor Hovland 42.9 22-1 69.8
13 Justin Rose 45.7 25-1 70.7
14 Tony Finau 45.9 25-1 69.7
15 Hideki Matsuyama 46.2 25-1 70.0
16 Patrick Reed 46.7 25-1 70.0
17 Brooks Koepka 51.0 40-1 69.5
18 Tyrrell Hatton 51.7 40-1 70.0
19 Harris English 51.9 40-1 69.9
20 Henrik Stenson 62.0 100-1 72.6
More | Less

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro ratings (Nov. 28, 2021)

November 29, 2021 Thomas Hawley

Jon Rahm, idle since Oct. 17, has been no. 1 for over three-quarters of a year.
# Thru Nov. 28, 2021 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Jon Rahm 42 1393 1
2 Justin Thomas 45 1233 2
3 Xander Schauffele 44 1231 3
4 Bryson DeChambeau 41 1192 4
5 Patrick Cantlay 37 1175 5
6 Dustin Johnson 40 1151 6
7 Daniel Berger 38 1124 7
8 Collin Morikawa 48 1101 8
9 Rory McIlroy 41 1081 9
10 Webb Simpson 38 1078 10
11 Cameron Smith 45 985 11
12 Louis Oosthuizen 41 975 12
13 Scottie Scheffler 52 962 13
14 Abraham Ancer 51 957 14
15 Sam Burns 46 943 15
16 Viktor Hovland 52 915 16
17 Tony Finau 51 901 17
18 Jordan Spieth 41 855 18
19 Paul Casey 42 848 19
20 Harris English 45 836 20
21 Sungjae Im 62 804 21
22 Corey Conners 52 804 22
23 Brooks Koepka 38 792 23
24 Russell Henley 44 783 24
25 Talor Gooch 52 780 25
26 Patrick Reed 53 767 27
27 Hideki Matsuyama 48 767 26
28 Matthew Wolff 44 758 28
29 Tyrrell Hatton 41 744 29
30 Jason Kokrak 48 741 30
31 Matthew Fitzpatrick 48 731 32
32 Kevin Na 46 731 31
33 Adam Scott 32 723 33
34 Sergio Garcia 44 710 34
35 Will Zalatoris 35 695 35
36 Cameron Tringale 46 693 36
37 Seamus Power 29 688 37
38 Aaron Wise 42 677 38
39 Alex Noren 47 675 39
40 Justin Rose 38 669 41
41 Shane Lowry 50 669 40
42 Joaquin Niemann 53 662 42
43 Mac Hughes 51 652 43
44 Ryan Palmer 46 637 44
45 Billy Horschel 49 635 45
46 Ian Poulter 49 626 46
47 Brian Harman 50 616 48
48 Marc Leishman 45 613 47
49 Maverick McNealy 47 600 49
50 Bubba Watson 40 599 50
51 Taylor Moore 9 597 51
52 Si Woo Kim 53 596 52
53 Charley Hoffman 51 592 53
54 Tommy Fleetwood 46 568 54
55 Kevin Kisner 47 547 55
56 Kevin Streelman 51 541 56
57 Keegan Bradley 46 536 58
58 Harold Varner 52 535 59
59 Joel Dahmen 47 534 57
60 Jason Day 39 534 60
61 Mito Pereira 18 529 62
62 Max Homa 49 529 61
63 Sebastian Munoz 60 524 63
64 Erik van Rooyen 48 521 64
65 Jhonattan Vegas 46 501 65
66 Rickie Fowler 43 488 66
67 Brendon Todd 52 488 67
68 Lanto Griffin 55 484 68
69 Keith Mitchell 50 478 69
70 Brendan Steele 44 473 70
71 Gary Woodland 44 467 71
72 Lee Westwood 41 465 72
73 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 45 464 73
74 Hayden Buckley 13 458 74
75 Adam Long 55 449 76
76 Charl Schwartzel 44 449 75
77 Tom Hoge 60 434 77
78 Carlos Ortiz 50 431 78
79 Luke List 53 429 79
80 Harry Higgs 51 425 80
81 Chris Kirk 42 423 82
82 Cameron Davis 46 422 81
83 Adam Hadwin 48 418 83
84 KH Lee 54 418 85
85 Cameron Champ 44 416 84
86 Alex Smalley 14 410 86
87 Matt Wallace 53 408 87
88 Rory Sabbatini 50 406 88
89 Zach Johnson 42 405 90
90 Troy Merritt 56 403 89
91 Emiliano Grillo 54 401 93
92 Branden Grace 50 401 92
93 Bud Cauley 17 400 91
94 Matt Kuchar 46 397 94
95 Denny McCarthy 53 390 95
96 Charles Howell 39 389 96
97 Robert MacIntyre 43 384 97
98 Harry Hall 9 383 100
99 Austin Eckroat 8 382 98
100 Henrik Norlander 51 381 99
101 Stewart Cink 42 378 101
102 Patton Kizzire 48 376 102
103 Thomas Pieters 35 370 103
104 Robert Streb 46 369 104
105 Chez Reavie 53 368 105
106 Lucas Herbert 35 367 106
107 Dylan Frittelli 54 361 107
108 Doug Ghim 44 359 108
109 Adam Schenk 55 353 109
110 Aaron Rai 45 351 110
111 Matt Jones 51 346 113
112 Lucas Glover 49 346 112
113 Phil Mickelson 38 346 111
114 CT Pan 48 343 116
115 Scott Piercy 45 342 114
116 Hank Lebioda 42 341 115
117 Cameron Young 12 340 117
118 Scott Stallings 47 337 118
119 John Augenstein 12 331 119
120 John Huh 32 327 121
121 Taylor Pendrith 18 324 120
122 Max McGreevy 11 316 125
123 Hudson Swafford 44 316 122
124 Wesley Bryan 16 315 123
125 Patrick Rodgers 61 313 124
126 James Hahn 38 312 126
127 Martin Laird 36 310 128
128 Danny Willett 49 309 127
129 Francesco Molinari 26 306 130
130 Steve Stricker 22 305 133
131 Michael Thompson 44 305 132
132 Sepp Straka 57 304 131
133 Mark Hubbard 54 303 129
134 Chad Ramey 12 299 134
135 Matthew NeSmith 52 298 135
136 JT Poston 53 296 136
137 Pat Perez 48 294 137
138 Kramer Hickok 42 294 138
139 Trey Mullinax 11 293 139
140 Bernd Wiesberger 44 289 140
141 Victor Perez 41 289 141
142 Andrew Putnam 52 284 144
143 Andrew Landry 44 284 143
144 Richy Werenski 50 282 145
145 Brandt Snedeker 47 281 142
146 Roger Sloan 48 280 146
147 Doc Redman 50 277 147
148 Wyndham Clark 50 273 149
149 Danny Lee 46 271 150
150 Thomas Detry 46 269 151
151 Vincent Whaley 46 263 152
152 Tiger Woods 10 261 148
153 Guido Migliozzi 42 258 153
154 Brian Stuard 59 255 154
155 Richard Bland 42 253 155
156 Ryan Armour 48 252 156
157 Tyler McCumber 44 251 157
158 Kyle Stanley 49 247 159
159 Matthias Schwab 45 246 160
160 Martin Kaymer 36 246 158
161 Padraig Harrington 35 243 161
162 Sahith Theegala 20 241 162
163 Russell Knox 55 240 163
164 Andrew Novak 11 239 167
165 Chesson Hadley 47 239 165
166 Nate Lashley 46 238 164
167 Nick Taylor 47 237 166
168 Byeong Hun An 49 235 168
169 Peter Malnati 52 232 170
170 Min Woo Lee 38 232 171
171 Dean Burmester 46 226 169
172 Andy Sullivan 44 226 172
173 Alexander Bjork 39 226 174
174 Jeunghun Wang 8 226 179
175 Adri Arnaus 43 226 173
176 JJ Spaun 48 225 176
177 Brandon Hagy 46 223 175
178 Sam Ryder 56 223 177
179 Brice Garnett 50 219 178
180 Laurie Canter 37 219 181
181 Bo Hoag 52 219 180
182 Kevin Tway 46 216 182
183 Tyler Duncan 56 215 183
184 Andrew Johnston 26 212 188
185 Stephan Jaeger 18 211 187
186 Ryan Moore 32 211 185
187 Nicolai Hojgaard 40 210 189
188 Takumi Kanaya 22 209 186
189 Antoine Rozner 43 209 190
190 Sean Crocker 49 208 192
191 Nick Hardy 12 208 191
192 Tom Lewis 48 207 193
193 Jim Herman 41 205 195
194 Beau Hossler 50 203 194
195 David Lipsky 21 202 196
196 Greyson Sigg 20 201 197
197 Lee Hodges 16 200 198
198 Jason Scrivener 37 200 199
199 Chase Seiffert 44 199 200
200 Chan Kim 18 199 184
201 Sam Horsfield 40 198 201
202 Justin Suh 20 198 203
203 Rafa Cabrera Bello 54 196 202
204 Camilo Villegas 37 192 206
205 Joachim B Hansen 47 192 209
206 Rasmus Hojgaard 42 191 210
207 Johannes Veerman 41 191 207
208 Seth Reeves 11 190 205
209 Fabrizio Zanotti 30 186 212
210 Jimmy Walker 45 186 211
211 Matthias Schmid 13 185 204
212 Dawie van der Walt 12 184 213
213 Sean O’Hair 29 183 214
214 Marcel Siem 24 180 208
215 Jamie Donaldson 41 178 216
216 Mikko Korhonen 33 177 215
217 Sung Kang 56 173 217
218 Robby Shelton 51 173 221
219 Marcus Armitage 47 173 220
220 Cameron Percy 41 172 225
221 Jason Dufner 46 172 222
222 Nick Watney 43 171 219
223 Peter Uihlein 29 171 223
224 Anirban Lahiri 36 171 227
225 Joseph Bramlett 50 170 224
226 Matthew Jordan 44 170 218
227 Bronson Burgoon 45 169 226
228 Francesco Laporta 43 167 228
229 Grant Forrest 44 166 229
230 Justin Harding 49 164 230
231 Will Gordon 42 163 232
232 Victor Dubuisson 26 162 234
233 Calum Hill 45 162 235
234 Michael Gligic 46 162 236
235 Henrik Stenson 37 161 233
236 Satoshi Kodaira 41 161 231
237 Masahiro Kawamura 53 161 237
238 Austin Cook 49 160 238
239 Shaun Norris 25 160 244
240 Jim Knous 11 155 239
241 Garrick Higgo 40 154 241
242 Ryan Fox 38 154 243
243 Curtis Thompson 13 153 240
244 Wade Ormsby 33 153 245
245 Keita Nakajima 8 153
246 Vaughn Taylor 46 152 242
247 Dylan Wu 11 151 246
248 Kalle Samooja 40 151 247
249 David Skinns 8 150 251
250 Joshua Creel 8 150 249
251 Shugo Imahira 19 149 256
252 Adrian Meronk 43 149 250
253 Xinjun Zhang 46 149 254
254 MJ Daffue 17 149 255
255 Matthieu Pavon 46 148 248
256 Jonathan Byrd 24 148 253
257 Justin Lower 9 148 252
258 John Catlin 43 147 257
259 Joakim Lagergren 39 146 258
260 Adam Svensson 13 146 259
261 David Horsey 45 143 260
262 Jim Furyk 17 139 266
263 Davis Riley 19 139 262
264 Shubhankar Sharma 49 138 267
265 Edoardo Molinari 40 138 263
266 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 39 138 269
267 Jordan Smith 47 137 265
268 Wil Besseling 41 137 270
269 Renato Paratore 47 135 268
270 George Coetzee 33 134 261
271 Adrian Otaegui 48 133 274
272 Rob Oppenheim 43 132 273
273 Jeff Winther 41 132 276
274 Seonghyeon Kim 9 130 277
275 Richie Ramsay 45 130 271
276 Wilco Nienaber 40 129 275
277 Kevin Chappell 24 128 279
278 Scott Jamieson 41 127 278
279 Rikuya Hoshino 20 127 272
280 Hiroshi Iwata 15 126 264
281 Kristoffer Broberg 25 124 282
282 Jack Senior 49 124 281
283 Pablo Larrazabal 40 123 280
284 Callum Shinkwin 40 123 284
285 Sami Valimaki 41 123 283
286 Joost Luiten 46 119 288
287 Haotong Li 36 118 289
288 Alexander Levy 45 118 291
289 Graeme McDowell 46 118 287
290 Brandon Stone 40 118 285
291 Kristoffer Ventura 42 117 295
292 Bo Van Pelt 46 116 294
293 Ashun Wu 30 116 290
294 Hennie du Plessis 9 115 348
295 Ben Martin 35 115 293
296 Jazz Janewattananond 44 115 300
297 Mark Anderson 34 114 296
298 Jack Singh Brar 9 114 286
299 Kurt Kitayama 37 114 298
300 Chris Stroud 21 114 301
301 Jacques Kruyswijk 23 114 292
302 Scott Brown 50 113 299
303 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 112 304
304 Luke Donald 39 111 303
305 Joohyung Kim 9 111 305
306 Davis Thompson 11 111 306
307 Eddie Pepperell 38 111 307
308 Ross Fisher 43 110 302
309 Seung-yul Noh 22 109 308
310 Darren Fichardt 21 109 297
311 Jorge Campillo 49 107 311
312 Ben Taylor 31 107 314
313 Benjamin Hebert 43 107 310
314 Marc Warren 34 105 316
315 Tim Wilkinson 28 104 313
316 Chris Baker 35 103 317
317 Matthew Southgate 45 103 318
318 Fabian Gomez 39 102 319
319 Daniel van Tonder 27 102 312
320 Scott Gutschewski 11 101 320
321 Sebi Garcia 8 100 331
322 Connor Syme 44 100 321
323 David Lingmerth 20 98 325
324 Tomoharu Otsuki 16 98 309
325 Akshay Bhatia 17 98 329
326 Nicolas Colsaerts 33 98 326
327 Tapio Pulkkanen 46 98 327
328 Maximilian Kieffer 44 97 330
329 JB Holmes 26 96 322
330 Marcus Kinhult 35 95 334
331 Michael Gellerman 28 95 332
332 Daniel Gavins 23 95 323
333 Romain Langasque 43 94 328
334 Scott Vincent 30 93 324
335 Chase Hanna 14 93 362
336 Ollie Schniederjans 10 92 337
337 Aaron Baddeley 38 91 338
338 Kelly Kraft 26 91 339
339 Zac Blair 19 91 333
340 Paul Barjon 15 90 341
341 Brian Gay 49 90 343
342 Justin Walters 48 89 336
343 Santiago Tarrio Ben 12 88 351
344 Richard Sterne 11 88 315
345 Thorbjorn Olesen 29 87 344
346 Roberto Castro 12 87 346
347 William McGirt 19 87 345
348 Ewen Ferguson 24 87 349
349 Jinichiro Kozuma 14 86 370
350 Chris Paisley 41 85 352
351 Stephen Gallacher 33 85 353
352 Ben Kohles 10 85 355
353 Alejandro Canizares 42 83 356
354 Niall Kearney 21 83 342
355 Martin Trainer 51 83 357
356 David Law 48 83 358
357 Hugo Leon 12 82 354
358 Craig Howie 17 82 340
359 Adrien Saddier 37 82 359
360 James Morrison 48 82 361
361 Dale Whitnell 44 81 363
362 Robert Rock 32 80 366
363 Scott Harrington 48 80 365
364 Yuki Inamori 17 80 350
365 Darius van Driel 41 78 360
366 Oscar Lengden 12 78 369
367 Naoto Nakanishi 15 77 364
368 Gavin Green 45 77 367
369 Julien Guerrier 44 76 371
370 Nino Bertasio 39 76 372
371 Niklas Lemke 37 76 373
372 David Hearn 42 75 376
373 Bryce Easton 30 75 378
374 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 31 75 375
375 Andy Ogletree 10 75 377
376 Louis de Jager 29 74 374
377 Jayden Trey Schaper 12 74 347
378 JC Ritchie 18 74 409
379 Bill Haas 38 73 379
380 Ashley Chesters 47 72 395
381 Ryan Brehm 33 71 380
382 Ben Stow 16 71 381
383 Ryosuke Kinoshita 16 71 368
384 Sebastian Soderberg 42 71 383
385 Brandon Wu 19 70 382
386 Aaron Cockerill 42 70 396
387 Mikumu Horikawa 15 69 416
388 Lucas Bjerregaard 45 69 387
389 Brad Kennedy 10 69 385
390 Maverick Antcliff 43 68 386
391 Austin Smotherman 8 68 392
392 Paul Waring 31 67 389
393 Sebastian Heisele 31 67 391
394 Ted Potter 44 67 388
395 Hideto Tanihara 11 66 394
396 Rhein Gibson 36 66 393
397 Callum Tarren 10 65 397
398 Oliver Farr 43 65 390
399 Kazuki Higa 15 65 384
400 Paul Peterson 14 63 401
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

RSM Classic

November 15, 2021 Thomas Hawley ,
Webb Simpson
Webb Simpson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Observed Odds Course fit
1 Webb Simpson 24.7 10-1 68.6
2 Scottie Scheffler 37.3 18-1 68.6
3 Louis Oosthuizen 41.6 22-1 69.2
4 Cameron Smith 42.1 22-1 69.1
5 Talor Gooch 45.4 25-1 69.4
6 Corey Conners 46.9 30-1 69.0
7 Russell Henley 47.6 30-1 69.3
8 Kevin Kisner 49.3 35-1 69.3
9 Adam Scott 49.8 35-1 70.1
10 Harris English 50.3 40-1 68.7
11 Alex Noren 51.3 40-1 69.8
12 Joaquin Niemann 53.4 50-1 69.0
13 Justin Rose 54.1 55-1 69.9
14 Seamus Power 54.3 55-1 69.7
15 Brian Harman 55.1 60-1 68.7
16 Mac Hughes 55.4 60-1 70.1
17 Joel Dahmen 57.1 70-1 69.2
18 Hayden Buckley 57.6 75-1
19 Andrew Landry 57.9 75-1 69.6
20 Zach Johnson 58.9 85-1 70.0
21 Robert Streb 59.0 85-1 70.0
22 Lanto Griffin 59.0 85-1 70.0
23 Keegan Bradley 59.3 85-1 69.4
24 Max Homa 59.4 90-1 69.2
25 Brendon Todd 59.5 90-1 69.0
26 Brendan Steele 60.5 100-1 69.7
27 Kevin Streelman 60.7 100-1 69.4
28 Adam Long 60.8 100-1 69.5
29 Chris Kirk 61.0 100-1 69.4
30 Mito Pereira 61.3 100-1
31 Alex Smalley 61.8 100-1
32 Matt Wallace 61.8 100-1 69.9
33 Harry Higgs 61.9 100-1 70.0
34 Jason Day 62.1 100-1 69.4
35 Jhonattan Vegas 62.1 100-1 69.9
36 Keith Mitchell 62.2 100-1 70.2
37 Luke List 62.9 100-1 69.9
38 Troy Merritt 63.4 100-1 69.9
39 Sebastian Munoz 63.5 100-1 69.6
40 Denny McCarthy 64.1 150-1 69.5
41 Matt Kuchar 64.2 150-1 69.4
42 Adam Hadwin 64.2 150-1 69.7
43 Adam Schenk 64.5 150-1 69.9
44 Rory Sabbatini 64.5 150-1 70.1
45 Tom Hoge 64.9 150-1 69.5
46 Taylor Moore 65.0 150-1
47 Patton Kizzire 65.1 150-1 69.5
48 Branden Grace 65.1 150-1 70.1
49 Matt Jones 65.3 150-1 69.5
50 Cameron Davis 65.8 150-1 69.9
51 Emiliano Grillo 65.8 150-1 69.2
52 Henrik Norlander 66.1 200-1 70.1
53 Patrick Rodgers 66.7 200-1 70.4
54 Lucas Glover 66.7 200-1 69.7
55 Dylan Frittelli 66.7 200-1 70.6
56 Matthew NeSmith 66.8 200-1 70.0
57 Aaron Rai 67.0 200-1 70.3
58 Hudson Swafford 67.0 200-1 70.1
59 Hank Lebioda 67.3 200-1 69.7
60 Charles Howell 67.4 200-1 69.7
61 Stewart Cink 67.4 200-1 69.7
62 Doug Ghim 67.4 250-1 69.2
63 Chad Ramey 67.6 250-1
64 Danny Lee 67.6 250-1 70.2
65 Scott Piercy 67.6 250-1 69.7
66 Trey Mullinax 68.4 250-1
67 Chez Reavie 68.4 250-1 69.9
68 Kramer Hickok 68.6 300-1 69.7
69 Mark Hubbard 68.7 300-1 69.7
70 Andrew Putnam 68.9 300-1 69.8
71 Scott Stallings 68.9 300-1 69.8
72 Michael Thompson 69.1 300-1 69.7
73 Vincent Whaley 69.1 300-1 69.9
74 Tyler Duncan 69.5 300-1 70.0
75 Brian Stuard 69.9 350-1 69.4
76 Cameron Young 69.9 350-1
77 Ryan Armour 70.3 400-1 69.2
78 Austin Cook 70.3 400-1 69.4
79 JJ Spaun 70.4 400-1 70.2
80 Sepp Straka 70.5 400-1 69.6
81 Taylor Pendrith 70.7 400-1
82 Nate Lashley 70.7 400-1 69.8
83 Vaughn Taylor 70.9 400-1 69.6
84 Chesson Hadley 71.1 400-1 70.1
85 Wyndham Clark 71.1 400-1 69.7
86 John Huh 71.2 400-1 69.7
87 JT Poston 71.3 400-1 70.0
88 Richy Werenski 71.4 400-1 69.9
89 Roger Sloan 71.7 500-1 69.9
90 Kyle Stanley 71.7 500-1 69.7
91 Sahith Theegala 71.8 500-1
92 Brandt Snedeker 71.8 500-1 69.7
93 Doc Redman 71.8 500-1 69.5
94 Kevin Tway 72.1 500-1 70.5
95 Nick Hardy 72.4 500-1
96 Russell Knox 72.5 500-1 69.6
97 Greyson Sigg 72.6 500-1
98 Stephan Jaeger 72.7 600-1
99 Sam Ryder 72.9 600-1 70.2
100 Brice Garnett 73.1 600-1 69.1
101 Lee Hodges 73.1 600-1
102 Seth Reeves 73.3 600-1
103 Jim Herman 73.4 600-1 70.5
104 Peter Malnati 73.5 600-1 70.0
105 Brandon Hagy 73.6 600-1 70.3
106 Bronson Burgoon 73.7 600-1 69.9
107 Matthias Schwab 74.0 600-1 69.9
108 Jimmy Walker 74.0 600-1 71.2
109 Beau Hossler 74.1 600-1 69.9
110 Bo Hoag 74.1 600-1 69.9
111 Nick Watney 74.3 600-1 71.4
112 Camilo Villegas 74.3 600-1 70.2
113 Dawie van der Walt 74.4 600-1
114 Davis Riley 74.4 600-1
115 David Lipsky 74.5 600-1 69.5
116 Chase Seiffert 74.6 600-1 69.7
117 Max McGreevy 74.8 600-1
118 Peter Uihlein 74.8 600-1 70.3
119 Sung Kang 75.0 600-1 71.1
120 Justin Lower 75.1 600-1
121 Andrew Novak 75.4 600-1
122 Curtis Thompson 75.5 600-1
123 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 75.6 600-1 69.9
124 Jim Knous 75.7 600-1
125 Adam Svensson 75.7 600-1
126 Anirban Lahiri 75.8 600-1 69.6
127 David Hearn 75.9 600-1 69.9
128 Cameron Percy 76.0 600-1 70.5
129 Joseph Bramlett 76.1 600-1 70.1
130 Tyler McCumber 76.4 600-1 70.0
131 Jonathan Byrd 76.5 600-1
132 Dylan Wu 76.5 600-1
133 Michael Gligic 76.6 600-1 70.2
134 Davis Thompson 76.9 600-1
135 Graeme McDowell 76.9 600-1 70.5
136 Paul Barjon 77.2 600-1
137 Luke Donald 77.6 600-1 70.7
138 Brian Gay 77.6 600-1 70.6
139 Chris Stroud 77.6 600-1
140 Martin Trainer 77.7 600-1 70.7
141 Scott Gutschewski 77.9 600-1
142 Kurt Kitayama 77.9 600-1 70.1
143 Bo Van Pelt 78.1 600-1 70.2
144 Seung-yul Noh 78.2 600-1
145 Ben Kohles 78.4 600-1
146 Kelly Kraft 78.5 600-1 70.3
147 William McGirt 78.6 600-1
148 Brandon Wu 79.5 600-1
149 Bill Haas 79.7 600-1 70.2
150 Callum Tarren 79.8 600-1
151 David Skinns 80.3 600-1
152 Brett Drewitt 80.6 600-1
153 DJ Trahan 81.1 600-1 70.6
154 Jonas Blixt 81.1 600-1
155 Joshua Creel 81.4 600-1
156 Austin Smotherman 81.9 600-1
157 Ludvig Aberg 82.0 600-1
158 Ben Crane 82.1 600-1
159 Davis Love 82.1 600-1
160 Jared Wolfe 82.4 600-1
161 JP Griffin 82.6 600-1
More | Less

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

DP World Tour Championship, Dubai

November 15, 2021 Thomas Hawley ,
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Observed Odds Course fit
1 Rory McIlroy 32.2 6-1 69.9
2 Collin Morikawa 33.7 6-1 70.2
3 Abraham Ancer 38.8 8-1 71.0
4 Patrick Reed 48.0 15-1 70.2
5 Sergio Garcia 48.2 15-1 70.0
6 Tyrrell Hatton 48.4 16-1 70.1
7 Paul Casey 50.6 18-1 70.2
8 Billy Horschel 53.7 24-1 71.6
9 Matthew Fitzpatrick 54.5 25-1 70.5
10 Tommy Fleetwood 54.7 25-1 71.1
11 Will Zalatoris 55.2 25-1 70.8
12 Shane Lowry 56.0 25-1 70.9
13 Ian Poulter 58.8 35-1 71.1
14 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 59.9 40-1 71.0
15 Danny Willett 65.7 85-1 71.0
16 Thomas Pieters 66.9 100-1 69.7
17 Lucas Herbert 68.3 100-1
18 Robert MacIntyre 69.2 150-1 69.5
19 Bernd Wiesberger 69.3 150-1 69.8
20 Richard Bland 69.7 150-1 71.5
21 Victor Perez 70.2 150-1 71.1
22 Thomas Detry 70.3 150-1 70.6
23 Dean Burmester 70.3 150-1 70.9
24 Martin Kaymer 71.8 200-1 71.2
25 Andy Sullivan 72.2 250-1 70.7
26 Padraig Harrington 72.3 250-1 71.7
27 Laurie Canter 72.6 250-1 69.8
28 Guido Migliozzi 72.7 250-1 71.1
29 Min Woo Lee 72.9 250-1 69.1
30 Adri Arnaus 73.3 300-1 71.5
31 Sean Crocker 73.6 300-1 71.0
32 Antoine Rozner 74.0 300-1 70.7
33 Rafa Cabrera Bello 74.1 300-1 72.0
34 Francesco Laporta 74.2 350-1 71.9
35 Joachim B Hansen 74.4 350-1 71.1
36 Nicolai Hojgaard 74.5 350-1 71.4
37 Alexander Bjork 74.8 350-1 73.0
38 Mikko Korhonen 74.9 350-1 71.9
39 Jason Scrivener 75.6 400-1 71.6
40 Jamie Donaldson 75.7 400-1 71.5
41 Rasmus Hojgaard 75.8 400-1 71.4
42 Johannes Veerman 75.8 400-1 70.5
43 Calum Hill 75.8 400-1 71.0
44 Grant Forrest 75.9 400-1 71.7
45 Justin Harding 76.0 400-1 70.6
46 Adrian Meronk 76.0 400-1 70.1
47 Sam Horsfield 76.0 400-1 69.5
48 Marcus Armitage 76.2 400-1 71.7
49 Joakim Lagergren 76.3 400-1 75.0
50 Edoardo Molinari 76.3 400-1 70.8
51 Masahiro Kawamura 76.5 400-1 70.5
52 Adrian Otaegui 76.7 400-1 70.5
53 Alexander Levy 77.2 400-1 70.6
54 Garrick Higgo 77.2 400-1 71.2
55 John Catlin 77.3 400-1 70.5
56 Jeff Winther 77.9 400-1 72.3
57 Tapio Pulkkanen 78.4 400-1 72.2
58 Maximilian Kieffer 78.4 400-1 71.1
59 Sebastian Soderberg 79.2 400-1 71.2
60 James Morrison 79.5 400-1 71.9
More | Less

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Nov. 14, 2021)

November 15, 2021 Thomas Hawley ,

Jon Rahm has been no. 1 for the last three-quarters of a year.
# Thru Nov. 7, 2021 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
5 Jon Rahm 43 1392 1
6 Justin Thomas 46 1228 2
7 Xander Schauffele 45 1227 3
8 Bryson DeChambeau 42 1195 4
9 Patrick Cantlay 38 1174 5
10 Dustin Johnson 40 1147 6
11 Daniel Berger 38 1133 7
12 Collin Morikawa 47 1089 8
13 Rory McIlroy 40 1084 9
14 Webb Simpson 38 1037 10
15 Louis Oosthuizen 41 1019 11
16 Scottie Scheffler 51 991 13
17 Abraham Ancer 51 985 12
18 Sam Burns 46 941 17
19 Cameron Smith 45 922 16
20 Viktor Hovland 52 911 15
21 Tony Finau 52 898 14
22 Harris English 44 869 18
23 Jordan Spieth 42 855 20
24 Paul Casey 42 841 19
25 Sungjae Im 62 807 23
26 Brooks Koepka 38 796 21
27 Corey Conners 51 792 24
28 Patrick Reed 53 787 22
29 Russell Henley 43 771 30
30 Hideki Matsuyama 48 771 27
31 Tyrrell Hatton 40 753 25
32 Matthew Wolff 44 751 33
33 Adam Scott 32 741 26
34 Jason Kokrak 48 740 38
35 Kevin Na 46 732 29
36 Talor Gooch 51 717 28
37 Will Zalatoris 34 716 31
38 Sergio Garcia 44 711 32
39 Matthew Fitzpatrick 47 703 34
40 Alex Noren 46 697 36
41 Cameron Tringale 47 689 42
42 Joaquin Niemann 52 681 35
43 Aaron Wise 42 675 39
44 Shane Lowry 49 659 37
45 Billy Horschel 48 649 41
46 Brian Harman 49 636 40
47 Ryan Palmer 46 635 45
48 Justin Rose 38 624 46
49 Marc Leishman 46 619 48
50 Ian Poulter 48 607 44
51 Seamus Power 28 605 43
52 Maverick McNealy 47 604 52
53 Bubba Watson 41 603 47
54 Charley Hoffman 51 591 49
55 Si Woo Kim 53 591 51
56 Mac Hughes 50 587 53
57 Tommy Fleetwood 45 581 50
58 Kevin Kisner 47 565 56
59 Keegan Bradley 45 559 57
60 Kevin Streelman 50 558 55
61 Jason Day 38 557 54
62 Max Homa 48 555 58
63 Joel Dahmen 46 537 71
64 Harold Varner 52 534 59
65 Mito Pereira 17 521 61
66 Erik van Rooyen 48 520 60
67 Hayden Buckley 12 507 62
68 Brendon Todd 51 504 63
69 Rickie Fowler 44 493 65
70 Brendan Steele 43 489 68
71 Lanto Griffin 54 488 64
72 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 46 475 66
73 Gary Woodland 45 472 67
74 Sebastian Munoz 59 469 70
75 Lee Westwood 41 467 69
76 Jhonattan Vegas 45 463 74
77 Charl Schwartzel 45 456 72
78 Alex Smalley 13 448 110
79 Keith Mitchell 49 442 75
80 Harry Higgs 50 440 76
81 Cameron Davis 46 440 73
82 Chris Kirk 41 435 78
83 Carlos Ortiz 50 430 80
84 Adam Hadwin 47 428 81
85 Rory Sabbatini 49 420 84
86 Adam Long 54 420 94
87 Matt Wallace 52 419 79
88 KH Lee 54 419 82
89 Branden Grace 50 419 77
90 Cameron Champ 44 418 83
91 Emiliano Grillo 53 414 85
92 Bud Cauley 17 406 86
93 Matt Kuchar 46 399 89
94 Henrik Norlander 50 391 88
95 Stewart Cink 41 391 87
96 Taylor Moore 8 390
97 Patton Kizzire 47 389 92
98 Troy Merritt 55 387 91
99 Luke List 52 385 111
100 Tom Hoge 59 384 90
101 Austin Eckroat 8 381 93
102 Harry Hall 9 381 95
103 Robert Streb 45 379 125
104 Dylan Frittelli 52 376 108
105 Zach Johnson 41 364 97
106 Lucas Herbert 35 362 99
107 Lucas Glover 48 359 100
108 Hank Lebioda 41 359 126
109 Scott Piercy 44 358 116
110 Doug Ghim 43 357 103
111 Matt Jones 51 356 102
112 Thomas Pieters 35 354 101
113 Adam Schenk 55 354 109
114 Chez Reavie 53 353 105
115 Phil Mickelson 38 350 107
116 Robert MacIntyre 42 349 104
117 Denny McCarthy 52 342 137
118 CT Pan 49 341 106
119 Charles Howell 38 340 112
120 John Augenstein 12 335 114
121 Chad Ramey 11 333 98
122 Hudson Swafford 43 330 118
123 Trey Mullinax 10 328 96
124 Scott Stallings 46 327 113
125 Patrick Rodgers 60 325 117
126 Wesley Bryan 16 317 124
127 Danny Willett 48 317 115
128 Aaron Rai 44 314 145
129 Sepp Straka 56 314 119
130 Michael Thompson 43 311 128
131 James Hahn 38 310 120
132 Martin Laird 36 309 122
133 JT Poston 52 308 121
134 Kramer Hickok 41 307 173
135 Mark Hubbard 54 306 130
136 Francesco Molinari 26 303 123
137 Bernd Wiesberger 43 299 144
138 Steve Stricker 22 299 138
139 Cameron Young 11 299 133
140 Victor Perez 40 297 136
141 Andrew Landry 43 297 129
142 Pat Perez 48 296 131
143 Brandt Snedeker 46 292 132
144 Andrew Putnam 51 292 141
145 Richy Werenski 49 290 140
146 Doc Redman 49 288 135
147 Tiger Woods 11 287 134
148 Taylor Pendrith 17 287 127
149 Matthew NeSmith 51 287 142
150 Roger Sloan 47 286 139
151 Danny Lee 45 283 143
152 Vincent Whaley 45 273 167
153 Guido Migliozzi 41 266 146
154 Brian Stuard 58 265 148
155 Ryan Armour 47 263 152
156 Thomas Detry 46 262 149
157 Richard Bland 43 261 153
158 Wyndham Clark 49 260 154
159 John Huh 31 257 150
160 Sahith Theegala 19 257 147
161 Kyle Stanley 48 256 151
162 Martin Kaymer 35 251 159
163 Chesson Hadley 46 248 155
164 Padraig Harrington 35 243 172
165 Nate Lashley 45 242 156
166 Nick Taylor 47 240 163
167 Russell Knox 54 238 157
168 Byeong Hun An 49 237 162
169 Brandon Hagy 45 234 158
170 Nick Hardy 11 231 168
171 Brice Garnett 49 230 166
172 Sam Ryder 55 229 164
173 Peter Malnati 51 227 165
174 Andy Sullivan 44 227 178
175 Stephan Jaeger 17 226 189
176 Takumi Kanaya 21 226 170
177 Kevin Tway 45 225 260
178 Tyler Duncan 55 221 188
179 Bo Hoag 52 220 174
180 Chan Kim 17 220 161
181 David Lipsky 20 220 160
182 Matthias Schwab 44 219 183
183 Jeunghun Wang 8 216 179
184 Seth Reeves 10 216 175
185 Greyson Sigg 19 215 171
186 Ryan Moore 32 214 176
187 Laurie Canter 37 213 180
188 Min Woo Lee 38 212 197
189 Lee Hodges 15 212 182
190 Antoine Rozner 44 211 196
191 Andrew Johnston 26 211 185
192 Sean Crocker 48 210 193
193 Beau Hossler 50 207 184
194 Tom Lewis 48 207 177
195 Dawie van der Walt 11 205 169
196 Jim Herman 40 204 186
197 Rafa Cabrera Bello 53 203 181
198 Camilo Villegas 36 199 191
199 Jimmy Walker 44 198 187
200 Chase Seiffert 44 197 192
201 Dean Burmester 46 197 190
202 Adri Arnaus 42 195 194
203 Justin Suh 20 194 199
204 Marcel Siem 25 191 200
205 Matthias Schmid 13 191 201
206 Max McGreevy 10 186 420
207 Jason Scrivener 37 186 203
208 JJ Spaun 47 186 206
209 Rasmus Hojgaard 43 184 210
210 Fabrizio Zanotti 30 184 207
211 Sung Kang 55 184 198
212 Peter Uihlein 28 184 195
213 Sean O’Hair 29 183 208
214 Jamie Donaldson 40 179 214
215 Nick Watney 42 179 202
216 Johannes Veerman 41 179 204
217 Joseph Bramlett 49 178 205
218 Mikko Korhonen 33 177 217
219 Anirban Lahiri 35 176 209
220 Bronson Burgoon 44 176 232
221 Matthew Jordan 45 175 215
222 Jason Dufner 46 173 211
223 Alexander Bjork 40 173 231
224 Justin Harding 49 172 212
225 Justin Lower 8 172 218
226 Robby Shelton 51 172 220
227 Francesco Laporta 43 172 244
228 Cameron Percy 42 171 223
229 Curtis Thompson 12 171 219
230 Tyler McCumber 43 169 216
231 Andrew Novak 10 168 229
232 Satoshi Kodaira 39 167 222
233 Calum Hill 46 167 230
234 Will Gordon 42 167 226
235 Masahiro Kawamura 52 164 225
236 Sam Horsfield 39 163 227
237 Nicolai Hojgaard 39 163 233
238 Henrik Stenson 38 163 221
239 Austin Cook 48 163 236
240 Vaughn Taylor 45 163 228
241 Victor Dubuisson 26 162 234
242 Joachim B Hansen 46 162 258
243 Adam Svensson 12 161 213
244 Shaun Norris 25 156 235
245 Jim Knous 11 155 239
246 Marcus Armitage 47 155 245
247 Ryan Fox 39 155 240
248 Hiroshi Iwata 13 154 224
249 Dylan Wu 10 154 241
250 Wade Ormsby 34 153 242
251 Kalle Samooja 40 151 265
252 Matthieu Pavon 48 151 247
253 Davis Riley 18 150 310
254 Shugo Imahira 18 149 238
255 Xinjun Zhang 46 148 246
256 Grant Forrest 45 148 243
257 MJ Daffue 17 147 237
258 Adrian Meronk 44 147 270
259 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 38 143 253
260 Garrick Higgo 41 142 250
261 George Coetzee 34 142 252
262 Michael Gligic 45 142 257
263 David Horsey 45 141 248
264 Edoardo Molinari 42 140 269
265 Jordan Smith 47 139 263
266 Joakim Lagergren 38 139 249
267 Renato Paratore 48 138 251
268 Shubhankar Sharma 50 137 256
269 Wil Besseling 42 137 261
270 Jim Furyk 17 137 259
271 Richie Ramsay 44 136 255
272 Rikuya Hoshino 19 134 254
273 Rob Oppenheim 43 133 266
274 Wilco Nienaber 40 133 267
275 Adrian Otaegui 49 133 262
276 Jonathan Byrd 23 129 273
277 Scott Jamieson 41 129 297
278 Kevin Chappell 24 128 272
279 Seonghyeon Kim 9 128 274
280 Graeme McDowell 45 127 264
281 Jack Singh Brar 11 127 268
282 Davis Thompson 10 126 271
283 Pablo Larrazabal 41 126 278
284 Jack Senior 51 125 275
285 Chris Stroud 20 125 345
286 Sami Valimaki 42 122 276
287 Kristoffer Broberg 25 122 277
288 Kurt Kitayama 36 122 280
289 Callum Shinkwin 40 122 292
290 Brandon Stone 41 121 286
291 Joost Luiten 46 120 279
292 Luke Donald 38 120 285
293 Ashun Wu 31 119 288
294 Ben Martin 35 119 289
295 Mark Anderson 34 118 290
296 Haotong Li 36 118 293
297 Jacques Kruyswijk 22 118 294
298 Alexander Levy 45 118 287
299 Jeff Winther 42 117 284
300 Scott Brown 50 117 291
301 Bo Van Pelt 46 117 298
302 Ross Fisher 43 116 283
303 Darren Fichardt 22 116 281
304 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 116 296
305 Kristoffer Ventura 42 115 301
306 Jazz Janewattananond 45 115 330
307 John Catlin 43 114 304
308 Scott Gutschewski 10 114 303
309 Tomoharu Otsuki 15 113 295
310 Joohyung Kim 9 113 302
311 Seung-yul Noh 22 112 306
312 Eddie Pepperell 39 111 299
313 Benjamin Hebert 44 109 300
314 Tim Wilkinson 28 109 307
315 Daniel van Tonder 28 108 327
316 Jorge Campillo 49 107 305
317 Ben Taylor 31 106 314
318 JB Holmes 26 105 308
319 Richard Sterne 11 105 312
320 Marc Warren 34 104 313
321 Chris Baker 35 103 317
322 Matthew Southgate 45 102 320
323 Tapio Pulkkanen 45 102 318
324 Scott Vincent 29 102 311
325 Fabian Gomez 39 102 319
326 Connor Syme 46 102 315
327 Zac Blair 19 101 316
328 David Lingmerth 20 99 323
329 Paul Barjon 14 99 309
330 Daniel Gavins 22 99 321
331 Nicolas Colsaerts 34 98 332
332 Maximilian Kieffer 43 98 344
333 Romain Langasque 43 98 331
334 Ben Kohles 9 97 326
335 Michael Gellerman 28 97 325
336 Akshay Bhatia 17 96 329
337 Kelly Kraft 25 96 401
338 Yuki Inamori 16 95 324
339 Marcus Kinhult 35 95 340
340 Daniel Hillier 8 92 334
341 Aaron Baddeley 38 92 333
342 Justin Walters 49 92 328
343 Sebi Garcia 10 92 339
344 Ollie Schniederjans 10 92 335
345 Craig Howie 16 90 336
346 Naoto Nakanishi 14 90 322
347 Niall Kearney 20 89 337
348 Roberto Castro 12 88 343
349 Thorbjorn Olesen 29 87 391
350 Jayden Trey Schaper 12 87 342
351 Santiago Tarrio Ben 11 87 348
352 Ewen Ferguson 24 86 347
353 Hennie du Plessis 10 86 349
354 Stephen Gallacher 33 85 338
355 Martin Trainer 50 85 560
356 Chris Paisley 41 85 341
357 James Morrison 48 84 346
358 Alejandro Canizares 44 84 370
359 Hugo Leon 12 83 356
360 Adrien Saddier 39 83 353
361 David Law 50 83 351
362 William McGirt 18 82 355
363 Darius van Driel 41 82 357
364 Chase Hanna 13 81 358
365 Dale Whitnell 44 81 354
366 Gavin Green 45 81 350
367 Scott Harrington 48 79 362
368 Brian Gay 48 79 359
369 Robert Rock 32 79 366
370 Oscar Lengden 12 78 364
371 Jinichiro Kozuma 13 78 352
372 David Hearn 41 78 365
373 Brandon Wu 18 77 368
374 Julien Guerrier 46 77 374
375 Nino Bertasio 39 77 361
376 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 31 76 360
377 Niklas Lemke 38 76 367
378 Louis de Jager 30 76 369
379 Callum Tarren 9 75 371
380 Andy Ogletree 10 74 372
381 Bryce Easton 31 73 373
382 Ryan Brehm 33 70 378
383 Ben Stow 17 70 379
384 Sebastian Soderberg 42 70 386
385 Ted Potter 44 70 375
386 Ryosuke Kinoshita 15 70 363
387 Paul Waring 31 69 416
388 Maverick Antcliff 44 69 380
389 Lucas Bjerregaard 45 69 377
390 Sebastian Heisele 31 68 381
391 Brad Kennedy 11 68 382
392 Oliver Farr 44 67 383
393 Bill Haas 37 67 376
394 Rhein Gibson 37 66 385
395 Ashley Chesters 47 66 397
396 Kazuki Higa 14 65 411
397 Hideto Tanihara 10 65 432
398 Aaron Cockerill 43 65 384
399 Takahiro Hataji 9 65 429
400 Steven Brown 47 64 387
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Houston Open

November 9, 2021 Thomas Hawley ,
Talor Gooch
Talor Gooch
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Sam Burns 38.2 7
2 Cameron Smith 40.1 15
3 Scottie Scheffler 40.6 2
4 Russell Henley 42.2 7
5 Tony Finau 42.7 68
6 Sungjae Im 44.6 19
7 Aaron Wise 45.2 26
8 Matthew Wolff 46.2 11
9 Adam Scott 48.6 54
10 Carlos Ortiz 48.6 DNP
11 Tyrrell Hatton 48.7 82
12 Shane Lowry 50.5 68
13 Brooks Koepka 50.6 82
14 Patrick Reed 51.7 61
15 Marc Leishman 52.1 19
16 Seamus Power 52.4 106
17 Joaquin Niemann 52.6 82
18 Maverick McNealy 53.2 19
19 Jason Kokrak 54.4 1
20 Cameron Tringale 54.5 7
21 Harold Varner 54.6 WD
22 Mac Hughes 56.6 29
23 Brian Harman 57.5 54
24 Charley Hoffman 57.6 DNP
25 Ian Poulter 57.7 68
26 Sepp Straka 57.7 68
27 Lanto Griffin 57.8 64
28 Ryan Palmer 58.3 26
29 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 58.8 98
30 Kevin Streelman 59.5 50
31 Max Homa 59.6 35
32 Jason Day 60.5 54
33 Joel Dahmen 61.5 5
34 Harry Higgs 61.7 50
35 Luke List 61.7 11
36 Lee Westwood 61.8 127
37 Jhonattan Vegas 61.9 26
38 Mito Pereira 61.9 29
39 Tom Hoge 62.3 46
40 Gary Woodland 62.9 113
41 Erik Van Rooyen 63.0 54
42 Sebastian Munoz 63.0 82
43 Henrik Norlander 63.3 67
44 Cameron Davis 63.4 82
45 Keith Mitchell 63.7 41
46 Branden Grace 63.9 117
47 CT Pan 64.2 98
48 Stewart Cink 64.2 98
49 Danny Willett 64.7 122
50 Andrew Landry 64.8 82
51 Adam Long 64.9 11
52 Denny McCarthy 65.1 11
53 Robert Streb 65.6 7
54 James Hahn 65.6 68
55 Emiliano Grillo 65.8 DNP
56 Chad Ramey 66.2 82
57 Adam Schenk 66.5 29
58 Scott Piercy 66.7 19
59 Martin Laird 66.7 82
60 Trey Mullinax 67.0 68
61 Nate Lashley 67.2 117
62 Alex Smalley 67.7 15
63 Chez Reavie 67.8 41
64 John Huh 68.4 106
65 Kyle Stanley 68.5 68
66 Hudson Swafford 68.6 35
67 Dylan Frittelli 68.7 19
68 Zach Johnson 68.7 54
69 Taylor Pendrith 69.1 125
70 Scott Stallings 69.4 61
71 Russell Knox 69.6 68
72 Andrew Putnam 69.7 41
73 Cameron Young 69.9 DNP
74 JT Poston 70.1 106
75 Matthew NeSmith 70.3 46
76 Sam Ryder 70.4 106
77 Francesco Molinari 70.5 WD
78 Doc Redman 70.6 98
79 Brandt Snedeker 70.7 122
80 Roger Sloan 70.8 98
81 Sahith Theegala 70.8 61
82 Aaron Rai 71.0 19
83 Hank Lebioda 71.0 15
84 Wyndham Clark 71.1 41
85 Richy Werenski 71.1 50
86 Jimmy Walker 71.1 117
87 JJ Spaun 71.1 46
88 Pat Perez 71.2 113
89 Nick Watney 71.9 82
90 Brian Stuard 71.9 66
91 Bronson Burgoon 72.0 35
92 Chesson Hadley 72.0 113
93 Greyson Sigg 72.0 82
94 Dawie van der Walt 72.2 82
95 Jason Dufner 72.8 68
96 Nick Taylor 72.9 41
97 Sung Kang 73.0 WD
98 Brice Garnett 73.2 50
99 Brandon Hagy 73.2 117
100 Tyler Duncan 73.2 29
101 Stephan Jaeger 73.2 35
102 Peter Malnati 73.2 68
103 Kramer Hickok 73.3 4
104 Vincent Whaley 73.3 15
105 Henrik Stenson 73.4 113
106 Lee Hodges 73.7 46
107 David Lipsky 73.8 106
108 Matthias Schwab 73.9 35
109 Peter Uihlein 74.2 68
110 Jim Herman 74.3 54
111 Adam Svensson 75.1 106
112 Anirban Lahiri 75.6 82
113 Joseph Bramlett 75.8 106
114 MJ Daffue 76.0 64
115 Tyler McCumber 76.1 68
116 Dylan Wu 76.5 DNP
117 Graeme McDowell 76.6 82
118 Paul Barjon 76.9 68
119 Kevin Tway 76.9 2
120 Davis Riley 77.6 29
121 Scott Gutschewski 77.9 DNP
122 Seung-yul Noh 78.3 DNP
123 Taylor Moore 78.4 82
124 Bill Haas 78.9 82
125 Brian Gay 79.0 117
126 Chris Stroud 79.4 35
127 Brandon Wu 79.5 DNP
128 Callum Tarren 79.8 DNP
129 Kelly Kraft 80.4 29
130 Max McGreevy 80.5 19
131 Chase Koepka 81.2 128
132 Shawn Stefani 81.3 82
133 Joshua Creel 81.4 DNP
134 Martin Trainer 82.2 5
135 Jared Wolfe 82.4 98
136 Gilbert Mendez 82.6 122
137 Cameron Sisk 82.6 98
Talor Gooch late entry 60
Sangmoon Bae late entry 74
Benjamin Silverman late entry 102
Rodolfo E Cazaubon late entry 126
Connor Arendell late entry 129
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 87. The average is 133. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

AVIV Dubai Championship

November 9, 2021 Thomas Hawley ,
Paul Casey
Paul Casey
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual finish
1 Paul Casey 51.0 31
2 Tommy Fleetwood 55.5 13
3 Matt Wallace 56.0 92
4 Antoine Rozner 62.6 4
5 Thomas Pieters 65.4 DNP
6 Bernd Wiesberger 66.5 2
7 Robert MacIntyre 66.8 24
8 Thomas Detry 67.6 70
9 Andy Sullivan 68.0 4
10 Grant Forrest 69.1 51
11 Francesco Laporta 69.1 2
12 Dean Burmester 69.1 44
13 Victor Perez 69.2 24
14 Guido Migliozzi 69.6 44
15 Martin Kaymer 69.6 13
16 Fabrizio Zanotti 70.3 31
17 Johannes Veerman 70.9 100
18 Padraig Harrington 70.9 8
19 Joakim Lagergren 71.2 64
20 Sean Crocker 71.2 8
21 Sam Horsfield 71.3 44
22 Matthew Jordan 71.3 31
23 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 71.4 44
24 Rafa Cabrera Bello 71.4 70
25 Mikko Korhonen 71.5 24
26 Min Woo Lee 71.5 4
27 Renato Paratore 71.8 110
28 Tom Lewis 71.9 77
29 Justin Harding 71.9 55
30 Masahiro Kawamura 72.0 59
31 Joachim B Hansen 72.0 1
32 Jack Senior 72.0 44
33 Kristoffer Broberg 72.3 51
34 David Horsey 72.3 100
35 Jason Scrivener 72.4 31
36 Alexander Bjork 72.4 19
37 Jeff Winther 72.4 69
38 Ross Fisher 72.5 83
39 Shubhankar Sharma 72.6 83
40 Matthieu Pavon 72.6 19
41 Wil Besseling 72.7 DNP
42 Adrian Otaegui 72.7 83
43 Marcus Armitage 72.7 19
44 Jordan Smith 72.8 24
45 Marc Warren 72.9 108
46 Callum Shinkwin 72.9 31
47 Stephen Gallacher 73.3 61
48 Richie Ramsay 73.3 70
49 Sami Valimaki 73.4 64
50 Edoardo Molinari 73.5 17
51 Alexander Levy 73.5 77
52 Lucas Bjerregaard 73.6 92
53 Kalle Samooja 73.6 8
54 Adrian Meronk 73.7 8
55 Jazz Janewattananond 73.7 4
56 Niklas Lemke 73.7 51
57 Darren Fichardt 73.7 59
58 John Catlin 73.8 31
59 Joost Luiten 73.9 92
60 Jorge Campillo 73.9 63
61 Daniel Gavins 74.0 44
62 Nicolas Colsaerts 74.2 31
63 Scott Jamieson 74.2 13
64 Connor Syme 74.2 100
65 Tapio Pulkkanen 74.2 44
66 Hugo Leon 74.3 DNP
67 Eddie Pepperell 74.3 98
68 Nino Bertasio 74.3 70
69 Benjamin Hebert 74.3 83
70 Alejandro Canizares 74.4 19
71 Steven Brown 74.4 92
72 James Morrison 74.5 64
73 Justin Walters 74.6 77
74 Romain Langasque 74.6 31
75 Sebastian Soderberg 74.8 31
76 Thorbjorn Olesen 74.8 8
77 Julien Guerrier 74.8 31
78 Daniel van Tonder 75.0 19
79 Marcus Kinhult 75.0 24
80 Maximilian Kieffer 75.0 17
81 Oliver Wilson 75.0 77
82 Gavin Green 75.0 83
83 David Law 75.0 61
84 Chris Paisley 75.1 105
85 Aaron Cockerill 75.1 105
86 Dale Whitnell 75.2 92
87 Alvaro Quiros 75.2 55
88 Robin Sciot-Siegrist 75.4 77
89 Paul Waring 75.5 13
90 Oliver Farr 75.6 51
91 Scott Hend 75.6 70
92 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 75.6 83
93 Sihwan Kim 75.7 DNP
94 Dave Coupland 75.8 31
95 Rikard Karlberg 75.8 113
96 Ashley Chesters 75.8 31
97 Nacho Elvira 75.8 55
98 Jonathan Caldwell 75.9 55
99 Ross McGowan 76.0 83
100 David Drysdale 76.1 70
101 Garrick Porteous 76.1 105
102 Zander Lombard 76.1 24
103 Chris Wood 76.2 24
104 Benjamin Poke 76.3 114
105 Lars van Meijel 76.4 108
106 Julian Suri 76.4 98
107 Ricardo Santos 76.4 83
108 Robin Roussel 76.5 31
109 Cormac Sharvin 76.6 DNP
110 Richard McEvoy 76.7 92
111 Oliver Fisher 76.7 100
112 Pedro Figueiredo 76.7 110
113 SSP Chawrasia 76.8 DNP
114 Joel Stalter 76.8 68
115 David Howell 77.0 70
116 Gregory Havret 77.0 DNP
117 Thomas Bjorn 77.1 100
118 Carlos Pigem 77.2 83
119 Haydn Porteous 77.2 64
120 Ahmed Skaik 77.4 77
Clement Sordet late entry 112
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 147. The average is 133. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Nov. 7, 2021)

November 9, 2021 Thomas Hawley

Jon Rahm has been no. 1 for the last three-quarters of a year.
# Thru Nov. 7, 2021 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Jon Rahm 44 1393 1
2 Justin Thomas 46 1227 4
3 Xander Schauffele 45 1226 2
4 Bryson DeChambeau 42 1194 3
5 Patrick Cantlay 38 1172 5
6 Dustin Johnson 40 1142 6
7 Daniel Berger 38 1137 7
8 Collin Morikawa 48 1091 8
9 Rory McIlroy 41 1088 9
10 Webb Simpson 39 1038 10
11 Louis Oosthuizen 42 1019 11
12 Abraham Ancer 51 988 12
13 Scottie Scheffler 51 943 16
14 Tony Finau 51 928 13
15 Viktor Hovland 52 908 21
16 Cameron Smith 44 901 15
17 Sam Burns 45 899 14
18 Harris English 45 869 17
19 Paul Casey 42 869 18
20 Jordan Spieth 42 857 20
21 Brooks Koepka 37 831 19
22 Patrick Reed 53 814 22
23 Sungjae Im 61 798 24
24 Corey Conners 51 792 25
25 Tyrrell Hatton 40 786 23
26 Adam Scott 31 775 26
27 Hideki Matsuyama 49 773 27
28 Talor Gooch 51 741 34
29 Kevin Na 46 732 30
30 Russell Henley 43 718 29
31 Will Zalatoris 34 717 28
32 Sergio Garcia 45 711 38
33 Matthew Wolff 43 706 43
34 Matthew Fitzpatrick 48 704 31
35 Joaquin Niemann 51 701 41
36 Alex Noren 47 698 32
37 Shane Lowry 49 684 33
38 Jason Kokrak 47 671 36
39 Aaron Wise 42 667 44
40 Brian Harman 49 656 35
41 Billy Horschel 49 647 40
42 Cameron Tringale 47 639 37
43 Seamus Power 28 638 55
44 Ian Poulter 48 630 39
45 Ryan Palmer 45 628 45
46 Justin Rose 39 625 42
47 Bubba Watson 41 606 47
48 Marc Leishman 45 602 48
49 Charley Hoffman 51 592 46
50 Tommy Fleetwood 45 589 49
51 Si Woo Kim 54 588 51
52 Maverick McNealy 47 587 60
53 Mac Hughes 50 580 53
54 Jason Day 37 576 54
55 Kevin Streelman 50 570 50
56 Kevin Kisner 48 562 58
57 Keegan Bradley 45 562 52
58 Max Homa 48 561 57
59 Harold Varner 51 552 56
60 Erik van Rooyen 48 535 61
61 Mito Pereira 16 509 59
62 Hayden Buckley 12 505 64
63 Brendon Todd 52 503 73
64 Lanto Griffin 54 501 66
65 Rickie Fowler 44 496 65
66 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 46 493 75
67 Gary Woodland 45 493 62
68 Brendan Steele 44 488 63
69 Lee Westwood 41 487 68
70 Sebastian Munoz 59 483 69
71 Joel Dahmen 46 477 67
72 Charl Schwartzel 45 459 71
73 Cameron Davis 46 457 74
74 Jhonattan Vegas 44 453 70
75 Keith Mitchell 49 451 72
76 Harry Higgs 50 451 76
77 Branden Grace 49 434 80
78 Chris Kirk 42 434 77
79 Matt Wallace 52 431 78
80 Carlos Ortiz 50 429 103
81 Adam Hadwin 48 426 79
82 KH Lee 55 420 84
83 Cameron Champ 45 420 85
84 Rory Sabbatini 50 418 82
85 Emiliano Grillo 53 414 83
86 Bud Cauley 17 410 86
87 Stewart Cink 41 407 88
88 Henrik Norlander 50 406 87
89 Matt Kuchar 47 399 95
90 Tom Hoge 59 390 89
91 Troy Merritt 56 388 105
92 Patton Kizzire 48 387 90
93 Austin Eckroat 8 381 94
94 Adam Long 54 378 101
95 Harry Hall 9 377 93
96 Trey Mullinax 9 376 81
97 Zach Johnson 41 372 91
98 Chad Ramey 10 372 96
99 Lucas Herbert 35 364 92
100 Lucas Glover 48 359 100
101 Thomas Pieters 36 356 110
102 Matt Jones 52 355 98
103 Doug Ghim 44 355 116
104 Robert MacIntyre 42 355 97
105 Chez Reavie 52 354 109
106 CT Pan 48 352 102
107 Phil Mickelson 38 352 106
108 Dylan Frittelli 52 349 99
109 Adam Schenk 55 344 104
110 Alex Smalley 12 342 111
111 Luke List 52 341 107
112 Charles Howell 39 338 120
113 Scott Stallings 46 337 108
114 John Augenstein 12 337 114
115 Danny Willett 48 329 127
116 Scott Piercy 43 329 119
117 Patrick Rodgers 61 327 112
118 Hudson Swafford 43 325 124
119 Sepp Straka 56 322 126
120 James Hahn 38 321 135
121 JT Poston 52 321 117
122 Martin Laird 36 320 141
123 Francesco Molinari 26 319 113
124 Wesley Bryan 16 318 123
125 Robert Streb 45 316 125
126 Hank Lebioda 41 316 118
127 Taylor Pendrith 16 311 115
128 Michael Thompson 44 310 149
129 Andrew Landry 43 309 165
130 Mark Hubbard 55 307 129
131 Pat Perez 47 307 122
132 Brandt Snedeker 45 307 121
133 Cameron Young 11 300 133
134 Tiger Woods 11 299 128
135 Doc Redman 49 298 134
136 Victor Perez 40 298 138
137 Denny McCarthy 52 297 151
138 Steve Stricker 22 296 136
139 Roger Sloan 46 295 130
140 Richy Werenski 48 294 131
141 Andrew Putnam 50 290 132
142 Matthew NeSmith 51 290 137
143 Danny Lee 45 283 181
144 Bernd Wiesberger 43 283 140
145 Aaron Rai 44 283 163
146 Guido Migliozzi 41 276 139
147 Sahith Theegala 18 274 143
148 Brian Stuard 58 273 148
149 Thomas Detry 46 272 156
150 John Huh 30 268 192
151 Kyle Stanley 48 265 142
152 Ryan Armour 48 262 145
153 Richard Bland 43 261 153
154 Wyndham Clark 48 259 146
155 Chesson Hadley 46 256 150
156 Nate Lashley 44 253 144
157 Russell Knox 54 247 152
158 Brandon Hagy 45 244 155
159 Martin Kaymer 34 243 154
160 David Lipsky 20 239 147
161 Chan Kim 17 239 161
162 Byeong Hun An 49 238 162
163 Nick Taylor 47 236 170
164 Sam Ryder 55 236 158
165 Peter Malnati 51 234 160
166 Brice Garnett 49 234 157
167 Vincent Whaley 45 232 159
168 Nick Hardy 11 231 168
169 Dawie van der Walt 10 231 166
170 Takumi Kanaya 20 230 167
171 Greyson Sigg 19 230 190
172 Padraig Harrington 34 228 173
173 Kramer Hickok 41 224 164
174 Bo Hoag 53 220 172
175 Seth Reeves 10 217 179
176 Ryan Moore 32 216 169
177 Tom Lewis 48 216 178
178 Andy Sullivan 44 212 174
179 Jeunghun Wang 8 211 186
180 Laurie Canter 37 211 175
181 Rafa Cabrera Bello 53 211 180
182 Lee Hodges 14 210 183
183 Matthias Schwab 44 210 184
184 Beau Hossler 51 210 182
185 Andrew Johnston 26 210 176
186 Jim Herman 40 209 185
187 Jimmy Walker 43 208 177
188 Tyler Duncan 55 207 188
189 Stephan Jaeger 16 206 171
190 Dean Burmester 45 203 189
191 Camilo Villegas 36 198 187
192 Chase Seiffert 45 198 193
193 Sean Crocker 47 196 198
194 Adri Arnaus 43 196 207
195 Peter Uihlein 28 196 194
196 Antoine Rozner 43 194 195
197 Min Woo Lee 37 192 213
198 Sung Kang 54 192 191
199 Justin Suh 20 192 203
200 Marcel Siem 25 191 197
201 Matthias Schmid 13 191 204
202 Nick Watney 42 188 196
203 Jason Scrivener 37 188 200
204 Johannes Veerman 40 187 206
205 Joseph Bramlett 49 185 199
206 JJ Spaun 47 184 232
207 Fabrizio Zanotti 29 183 202
208 Sean O’Hair 29 183 209
209 Anirban Lahiri 35 183 217
210 Rasmus Hojgaard 43 183 205
211 Jason Dufner 46 179 214
212 Justin Harding 49 178 215
213 Adam Svensson 11 178 226
214 Jamie Donaldson 40 178 208
215 Matthew Jordan 44 175 233
216 Tyler McCumber 43 175 216
217 Mikko Korhonen 33 174 210
218 Justin Lower 8 173 221
219 Curtis Thompson 12 172 201
220 Robby Shelton 52 171 220
221 Henrik Stenson 38 171 212
222 Satoshi Kodaira 39 170 223
223 Cameron Percy 43 170 225
224 Hiroshi Iwata 13 169 228
225 Masahiro Kawamura 52 169 227
226 Will Gordon 43 168 224
227 Sam Horsfield 38 167 237
228 Vaughn Taylor 46 167 218
229 Andrew Novak 10 167 444
230 Calum Hill 46 166 222
231 Alexander Bjork 39 166 229
232 Bronson Burgoon 44 164 230
233 Nicolai Hojgaard 39 163 249
234 Victor Dubuisson 26 163 219
235 Shaun Norris 25 162 231
236 Austin Cook 49 162 235
237 MJ Daffue 16 161 236
238 Shugo Imahira 18 157 238
239 Jim Knous 11 156 240
240 Ryan Fox 39 155 241
241 Dylan Wu 10 155 239
242 Wade Ormsby 34 153 242
243 Grant Forrest 44 153 244
244 Francesco Laporta 42 151 263
245 Marcus Armitage 46 148 243
246 Xinjun Zhang 47 148 248
247 Matthieu Pavon 47 146 271
248 David Horsey 44 145 264
249 Joakim Lagergren 37 145 251
250 Garrick Higgo 41 143 246
251 Renato Paratore 47 143 247
252 George Coetzee 34 142 245
253 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 38 142 253
254 Rikuya Hoshino 19 142 254
255 Richie Ramsay 43 141 250
256 Shubhankar Sharma 49 141 258
257 Michael Gligic 46 141 259
258 Joachim B Hansen 46 140 265
259 Jim Furyk 18 138 262
260 Kevin Tway 44 138 257
261 Wil Besseling 42 137 260
262 Adrian Otaegui 48 137 255
263 Jordan Smith 47 136 261
264 Graeme McDowell 44 135 252
265 Kalle Samooja 39 135 256
266 Rob Oppenheim 44 134 266
267 Wilco Nienaber 40 133 267
268 Jack Singh Brar 11 132 211
269 Edoardo Molinari 41 131 277
270 Adrian Meronk 43 131 272
271 Davis Thompson 11 130 270
272 Kevin Chappell 25 128 276
273 Jonathan Byrd 24 128 278
274 Seonghyeon Kim 9 128 279
275 Jack Senior 50 127 275
276 Sami Valimaki 41 127 269
277 Kristoffer Broberg 24 127 312
278 Pablo Larrazabal 41 127 274
279 Joost Luiten 46 126 268
280 Kurt Kitayama 37 124 280
281 Darren Fichardt 21 123 284
282 Kyle Reifers 8 123 283
283 Ross Fisher 42 123 282
284 Jeff Winther 41 122 287
285 Luke Donald 39 122 273
286 Brandon Stone 41 121 290
287 Alexander Levy 44 121 289
288 Ashun Wu 31 121 285
289 Ben Martin 36 121 281
290 Mark Anderson 35 121 286
291 Scott Brown 51 120 288
292 Callum Shinkwin 39 119 309
293 Haotong Li 37 118 295
294 Jacques Kruyswijk 22 118 294
295 Tomoharu Otsuki 15 117 296
296 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 117 293
297 Scott Jamieson 40 117 291
298 Bo Van Pelt 46 117 297
299 Eddie Pepperell 38 116 292
300 Benjamin Hebert 44 114 307
301 Kristoffer Ventura 43 114 304
302 Joohyung Kim 9 114 301
303 Scott Gutschewski 10 114 303
304 John Catlin 42 112 316
305 Jorge Campillo 49 112 298
306 Seung-yul Noh 22 111 310
307 Tim Wilkinson 29 111 305
308 JB Holmes 26 110 302
309 Paul Barjon 13 109 311
310 Davis Riley 18 108 299
311 Scott Vincent 29 108 313
312 Richard Sterne 12 108 314
313 Marc Warren 33 108 306
314 Ben Taylor 32 106 317
315 Connor Syme 45 106 308
316 Zac Blair 20 105 300
317 Chris Baker 36 103 319
318 Tapio Pulkkanen 44 103 329
319 Fabian Gomez 40 103 320
320 Matthew Southgate 46 102 318
321 Daniel Gavins 21 101 315
322 Naoto Nakanishi 13 100 321
323 David Lingmerth 21 99 322
324 Yuki Inamori 16 98 324
325 Michael Gellerman 29 97 327
326 Ben Kohles 9 97 325
327 Daniel van Tonder 27 95 328
328 Justin Walters 48 95 333
329 Akshay Bhatia 18 95 332
330 Jazz Janewattananond 45 95 326
331 Romain Langasque 43 94 337
332 Nicolas Colsaerts 33 94 323
333 Aaron Baddeley 39 93 331
334 Daniel Hillier 8 91 336
335 Ollie Schniederjans 10 91 335
336 Craig Howie 16 90 340
337 Niall Kearney 20 90 339
338 Stephen Gallacher 32 89 346
339 Sebi Garcia 10 88 351
340 Marcus Kinhult 35 88 330
341 Chris Paisley 40 88 334
342 Jayden Trey Schaper 12 88 341
343 Roberto Castro 13 88 342
344 Maximilian Kieffer 42 87 348
345 Chris Stroud 20 87 338
346 James Morrison 47 87 344
347 Ewen Ferguson 24 87 349
348 Santiago Tarrio Ben 11 87 345
349 Hennie du Plessis 10 86 350
350 Gavin Green 44 85 361
351 David Law 49 85 343
352 Jinichiro Kozuma 13 84 353
353 Adrien Saddier 39 84 354
354 Dale Whitnell 43 83 355
355 William McGirt 18 83 357
356 Hugo Leon 12 82 358
357 Darius van Driel 41 82 356
358 Chase Hanna 13 82 360
359 Brian Gay 48 81 352
360 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 31 80 347
361 Nino Bertasio 38 80 399
362 Scott Harrington 49 79 362
363 Ryosuke Kinoshita 15 78 363
364 Oscar Lengden 12 78 365
365 David Hearn 42 78 364
366 Robert Rock 32 78 359
367 Niklas Lemke 37 77 366
368 Brandon Wu 18 77 367
369 Louis de Jager 30 76 368
370 Alejandro Canizares 43 75 370
371 Callum Tarren 9 74 371
372 Andy Ogletree 10 74 372
373 Bryce Easton 31 73 374
374 Julien Guerrier 45 73 369
375 Ted Potter 45 71 373
376 Bill Haas 37 71 395
377 Lucas Bjerregaard 44 70 418
378 Ryan Brehm 34 70 378
379 Ben Stow 17 70 377
380 Maverick Antcliff 44 69 379
381 Sebastian Heisele 31 68 380
382 Brad Kennedy 12 68 382
383 Oliver Farr 43 68 376
384 Aaron Cockerill 42 67 383
385 Rhein Gibson 38 67 385
386 Sebastian Soderberg 41 66 381
387 Steven Brown 46 66 386
388 Clement Sordet 35 65 388
389 Sihwan Kim 35 64 389
390 Alvaro Quiros 44 64 384
391 Thorbjorn Olesen 28 64 394
392 Scott Hend 48 63 387
393 Josh Teater 31 63 393
394 JC Ritchie 19 62 391
395 Paul Peterson 15 62 396
396 Richard Mansell 19 62 398
397 Ashley Chesters 46 62 390
398 Nacho Elvira 46 60 397
399 Rafael Campos 32 60 400
400 Nelson Ledesma 32 60 402
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.