A Look at Golf – Page 51 – Alookatgolf provides information for the professional golf fan, fantasy golf enthusiast, and daily fantasy sports golf participant. We provide true odds on U.S. and European professional golf events and accurate rankings of U.S. and European pro golfers.

Tour Championship

August 30, 2021 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Jon Rahm

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Jon Rahm	6.4	2
2	Xander Schauffele	17.5	5
3	Justin Thomas	24.9	4
4	Bryson DeChambeau	27.9	7
5	Rory McIlroy	28.0	14
6	Daniel Berger	29.4	11
7	Patrick Cantlay	29.7	1
8	Dustin Johnson	30.0	8
9	Louis Oosthuizen	34.5	17
10	Tony Finau	34.6	13
11	Abraham Ancer	37.0	10
12	Brooks Koepka	37.1	WD
13	Scottie Scheffler	39.1	23
14	Cameron Smith	39.2	16
15	Harris English	40.4	18
16	Collin Morikawa	41.4	28
17	Jordan Spieth	42.4	21
18	Kevin Na	42.5	2
19	Patrick Reed	43.0	23
20	Sam Burns	44.1	18
21	Sungjae Im	44.6	20
22	Corey Conners	45.0	23
23	Hideki Matsuyama	46.6	26
24	Viktor Hovland	47.0	6
25	Erik van Rooyen	50.7	22
26	Joaquin Niemann	52.4	29
27	Sergio Garcia	52.6	15
28	Jason Kokrak	54.0	12
29	Billy Horschel	55.2	9
30	Stewart Cink	63.2	26
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 288. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

DS Automobiles Italian Open

August 30, 2021 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Matthew Fitzpatrick

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Matthew Fitzpatrick	37.9	88
2	Matt Wallace	52.6	98
3	Tommy Fleetwood	54.5	2
4	Francesco Molinari	56.2	52
5	Jordan Smith	65.2	116
6	Bernd Wiesberger	65.9	46
7	Guido Migliozzi	67.3	34
8	Thomas Pieters	67.5	18
9	Victor Perez	68.1	18
10	Thomas Detry	68.9	108
11	Ryan Fox	69.2	130
12	Martin Kaymer	69.2	88
13	Dean Burmester	69.4	34
14	Nicolas Colsaerts	70.7	88
15	Benjamin Hebert	71.4	57
16	Miguel Angel Jimenez	71.9	130
17	Joost Luiten	72.0	18
18	Richard Bland	72.0	5
19	Andy Sullivan	72.2	108
20	Justin Harding	72.3	98
21	Andrew Johnston	72.4	88
22	Ross Fisher	72.8	34
23	Antoine Rozner	73.0	52
24	Marcel Siem	73.2	34
25	Rasmus Hojgaard	73.3	18
26	George Coetzee	73.6	27
27	Min Woo Lee	73.6	12
28	Laurie Canter	73.7	108
29	David Horsey	73.7	27
30	Calum Hill	73.8	34
31	Eddie Pepperell	74.0	46
32	Johannes Veerman	74.0	8
33	Wade Ormsby	74.3	67
34	Alexander Bjork	74.5	67
35	Adrian Otaegui	74.5	34
36	Adri Arnaus	74.6	12
37	Nacho Elvira	74.7	98
38	Renato Paratore	74.9	108
39	Alexander Levy	74.9	34
40	Matthew Jordan	75.0	15
41	Henrik Stenson	75.1	15
42	Sean Crocker	75.2	18
43	Kalle Samooja	75.3	60
44	Victor Dubuisson	75.6	27
45	Marcus Armitage	75.7	67
46	Richie Ramsay	75.8	98
47	Masahiro Kawamura	75.9	5
48	James Morrison	75.9	144
49	Jamie Donaldson	75.9	79
50	Thorbjorn Olesen	75.9	79
51	Mikko Korhonen	76.0	8
52	Jorge Campillo	76.0	67
53	Nino Bertasio	76.0	122
54	Darren Fichardt	76.1	52
55	Garrick Higgo	76.2	67
56	Luke Donald	76.3	98
57	Matthieu Pavon	76.3	98
58	Chris Paisley	76.3	116
59	Sam Horsfield	76.3	15
60	Sami Valimaki	76.4	46
61	Marcus Kinhult	76.6	79
62	Wil Besseling	76.7	52
63	Soren Kjeldsen	76.7	88
64	Joakim Lagergren	76.9	63
65	Fabrizio Zanotti	76.9	27
66	Brandon Stone	77.0	79
67	Scott Jamieson	77.1	8
68	Joachim B Hansen	77.2	79
69	Callum Shinkwin	77.3	46
70	Daniel van Tonder	77.4	27
71	Grant Forrest	77.5	34
72	Romain Langasque	77.5	67
73	Jazz Janewattananond	77.6	WD
74	John Catlin	77.6	24
75	Edoardo Molinari	77.7	5
76	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	77.7	79
77	Connor Syme	77.9	145
78	Pablo Larrazabal	77.9	8
79	Adrian Meronk	78.0	2
80	Wilco Nienaber	78.0	67
81	Matthew Southgate	78.1	34
82	Tapio Pulkkanen	78.2	27
83	Jack Senior	78.2	130
84	Jeff Winther	78.2	98
85	Marc Warren	78.3	150
86	Paul Waring	78.3	62
87	Shubhankar Sharma	78.4	12
88	Gavin Green	78.4	24
89	Justin Walters	78.5	67
90	Ross McGowan	78.5	88
91	Dale Whitnell	78.6	65
92	Adrien Saddier	78.7	44
93	Julien Guerrier	78.7	44
94	Maximilian Kieffer	78.7	27
95	Ashley Chesters	79.0	24
96	Sihwan Kim	79.1	108
97	Maverick Antcliff	79.1	66
98	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	79.2	79
99	Francesco Laporta	79.2	4
100	Darius van Driel	79.3	88
101	Oliver Fisher	79.4	108
102	David Drysdale	79.5	67
103	Robert Rock	79.5	122
104	Zander Lombard	79.6	122
105	David Law	79.6	108
106	Scott Hend	79.6	52
107	Sebastian Heisele	79.7	122
108	Steven Brown	79.7	57
109	Andrea Pavan	79.8	151
110	Sebastian Soderberg	79.8	98
111	Stephen Gallacher	80.0	79
112	Oliver Farr	80.0	18
113	Daniel Gavins	80.1	79
114	Aaron Cockerill	80.2	116
115	Lorenzo Gagli	80.2	139
116	Alvaro Quiros	80.3	116
117	Jonathan Caldwell	80.3	57
118	Dave Coupland	80.4	46
119	Garrick Porteous	80.4	130
120	David Howell	80.5	WD
121	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	80.6	98
122	Richard McEvoy	80.8	122
123	Oliver Wilson	80.8	67
124	Tae-hee Lee	80.8	WD
125	Lucas Bjerregaard	80.9	88
126	Cormac Sharvin	81.0	130
127	Jean-Baptiste Gonnet	81.1	60
128	Rikard Karlberg	81.1	108
129	Julian Suri	81.2	46
130	Gregory Havret	81.3	88
131	Julien Quesne	81.3	34
132	Robin Roussel	81.3	63
133	Chris Wood	81.4	98
134	Lorenzo Scalise	81.4	139
135	Joel Stalter	81.7	130
136	Ricardo Santos	81.7	116
137	Graeme Storm	82.0	122
138	Kyong-jun Moon	82.1	139
139	Raphael Jacquelin	82.1	148
140	Thomas Aiken	82.1	WD
141	Haydn Porteous	82.2	130
142	Federico Maccario	82.4	145
143	Aaron Zemmer	82.4	130
144	Giovanni Manzoni	82.5	145
145	Enrico di Nitto	82.5	142
146	Jacopo Vecchi Fossa	82.6	116
147	Stefano Mazzoli	82.6	122
148	Tommaso Perrino	82.6	152
149	Luca Cianchetti	82.6	149
150	Gregorio De Leo	82.6	142
151	Filippo Celli	82.6	88
152	Pietro Bovari	82.6	122
153	Davide Buchi	82.6	130
154	Andrea Romano	82.6	67
	Nicolai Hojgaard	late entry	1
	Joel Sjoholm	late entry	75
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 102. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 29, 2021)

August 30, 2021 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Jon Rahm remains no. 1 going into the Tour Championship.

#	Thru Aug. 29, 2021	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Jon Rahm	42	1560	1
2	Xander Schauffele	43	1250	2
3	Bryson DeChambeau	43	1193	5
4	Daniel Berger	40	1179	3
5	Justin Thomas	45	1151	4
6	Rory McIlroy	42	1125	8
7	Dustin Johnson	37	1125	9
8	Patrick Cantlay	38	1105	11
9	Webb Simpson	37	1084	10
10	Louis Oosthuizen	42	1049	7
11	Collin Morikawa	48	1046	6
12	Tony Finau	53	992	13
13	Harris English	46	988	12
14	Abraham Ancer	53	974	17
15	Scottie Scheffler	52	971	14
16	Brooks Koepka	34	965	16
17	Paul Casey	43	941	15
18	Patrick Reed	53	930	18
19	Jordan Spieth	42	901	19
20	Cameron Smith	47	875	20
21	Matthew Fitzpatrick	48	856	21
22	Viktor Hovland	51	848	24
23	Tyrrell Hatton	41	839	22
24	Corey Conners	53	823	25
25	Hideki Matsuyama	49	812	23
26	Will Zalatoris	29	770	26
27	Sam Burns	45	761	32
28	Sungjae Im	63	754	31
29	Shane Lowry	50	752	27
30	Kevin Na	48	742	29
31	Brian Harman	51	739	28
32	Jason Kokrak	48	718	35
33	Alex Noren	49	716	39
34	Russell Henley	45	693	30
35	Adam Scott	33	685	34
36	Sergio Garcia	45	680	45
37	Ian Poulter	49	677	36
38	Joaquin Niemann	52	671	37
39	Ryan Palmer	45	669	33
40	Charley Hoffman	50	661	38
41	Billy Horschel	50	642	40
42	Justin Rose	41	625	42
43	Bubba Watson	45	620	44
44	Kevin Streelman	53	616	41
45	Cameron Tringale	46	605	43
46	Jason Day	39	598	47
47	Keegan Bradley	47	589	46
48	Kevin Kisner	49	574	48
49	Erik Van Rooyen	51	571	60
50	Tommy Fleetwood	45	571	51
51	Talor Gooch	52	569	49
52	Max Homa	50	562	50
53	Seamus Power	28	541	54
54	Lee Westwood	46	536	55
55	Si Woo Kim	55	528	56
56	Charl Schwartzel	42	523	64
57	Maverick McNealy	49	521	52
58	Marc Leishman	46	520	53
59	Harold Varner	53	514	67
60	Joel Dahmen	49	513	57
61	Gary Woodland	45	506	58
62	Matthew Wolff	43	502	61
63	Sebastian Munoz	60	500	63
64	Mac Hughes	52	499	59
65	Brendon Todd	55	493	62
66	Cameron Davis	48	474	69
67	Tiger Woods	12	464	65
68	Aaron Wise	42	464	81
69	Rickie Fowler	40	461	70
70	Brendan Steele	44	456	72
71	Bud Cauley	21	454	71
72	Stewart Cink	41	452	75
73	Robert MacIntyre	44	452	66
74	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	47	451	68
75	Mito Pereira	11	445	79
76	Branden Grace	51	443	73
77	Lanto Griffin	57	442	78
78	Keith Mitchell	49	441	74
79	Jhonattan Vegas	46	440	80
80	Emiliano Grillo	53	440	76
81	Cameron Champ	49	432	77
82	Patton Kizzire	49	416	85
83	Adam Hadwin	47	414	83
84	Harry Higgs	53	410	84
85	Chris Kirk	39	409	82
86	Zach Johnson	42	404	90
87	Matt Kuchar	45	402	86
88	Matt Wallace	54	402	88
89	Brandt Snedeker	44	393	92
90	Lucas Herbert	34	386	89
91	Carlos Ortiz	51	384	91
92	Victor Perez	40	384	87
93	Dylan Frittelli	53	383	95
94	Lucas Glover	51	381	98
95	Hank Lebioda	43	377	101
96	JT Poston	53	374	100
97	Charles Howell	42	374	99
98	Adam Long	55	374	102
99	Phil Mickelson	41	373	93
100	Tom Hoge	58	371	97
101	KH Lee	58	371	115
102	Rory Sabbatini	51	369	96
103	Francesco Molinari	27	369	94
104	Pat Perez	48	358	104
105	Chez Reavie	54	357	105
106	Doug Ghim	43	357	106
107	Sepp Straka	57	356	107
108	Thomas Pieters	35	348	103
109	Wesley Bryan	15	345	108
110	Guido Migliozzi	41	345	112
111	Troy Merritt	56	341	109
112	Hudson Swafford	40	341	123
113	Henrik Norlander	53	338	110
114	Matt Jones	54	336	111
115	Doc Redman	51	331	114
116	Scott Piercy	45	331	113
117	David Lipsky	21	327	118
118	Richy Werenski	49	317	116
119	Bernd Wiesberger	44	304	130
120	Luke List	53	303	120
121	Brian Stuard	60	301	121
122	Danny Willett	48	300	117
123	Mark Hubbard	58	297	119
124	Adam Schenk	57	296	124
125	Patrick Rodgers	63	293	122
126	Brandon Hagy	45	292	126
127	Matthew NeSmith	52	292	125
128	Martin Kaymer	37	290	132
129	Kyle Stanley	49	290	128
130	Roger Sloan	47	287	133
131	Thomas Detry	46	286	127
132	Scott Stallings	47	286	135
133	Steve Stricker	22	285	134
134	Ryan Armour	50	284	131
135	James Hahn	37	282	137
136	Brice Garnett	50	280	139
137	Ryan Moore	32	279	138
138	CT Pan	50	277	140
139	Byeong Hun An	54	276	129
140	Wyndham Clark	50	270	143
141	Denny McCarthy	53	268	144
142	Nick Taylor	47	267	145
143	Andy Sullivan	44	266	142
144	Michael Thompson	44	265	146
145	Aaron Rai	42	264	141
146	Taylor Pendrith	10	261	136
147	Kramer Hickok	42	258	151
148	Andrew Putnam	50	258	147
149	Chesson Hadley	46	257	150
150	Russell Knox	56	256	148
151	Bo Hoag	56	251	152
152	Tom Lewis	53	248	149
153	Robert Streb	47	244	154
154	Vincent Whaley	44	242	160
155	Jason Scrivener	41	240	155
156	Antoine Rozner	38	240	161
157	Rafa Cabrera Bello	55	239	153
158	Padraig Harrington	38	239	158
159	Jeunghun Wang	15	238	156
160	Matthias Schwab	45	228	157
161	Danny Lee	46	226	159
162	Vaughn Taylor	49	220	162
163	Sam Ryder	57	219	164
164	Camilo Villegas	31	216	163
165	Marcel Siem	23	215	197
166	Jack Singh Brar	16	214	167
167	Beau Hossler	54	212	165
168	Martin Laird	39	211	170
169	Peter Malnati	51	209	173
170	Tyler McCumber	45	209	171
171	Justin Harding	50	208	172
172	Joseph Bramlett	47	207	169
173	Sung Kang	54	207	168
174	Peter Uihlein	30	203	176
175	Justin Suh	19	203	166
176	Jim Herman	43	202	177
177	John Huh	30	201	175
178	Chase Seiffert	48	199	174
179	Jimmy Walker	42	198	178
180	Ryan Fox	39	196	181
181	Nate Lashley	45	194	180
182	Anirban Lahiri	36	192	188
183	Rasmus Hojgaard	38	191	211
184	Richard Bland	37	191	179
185	Cameron Percy	45	190	187
186	Sahith Theegala	13	187	223
187	Min Woo Lee	33	187	200
188	John Augenstein	10	185	198
189	Andrew Landry	45	185	192
190	Satoshi Kodaira	43	183	193
191	Kalle Samooja	39	183	186
192	Will Gordon	44	182	190
193	Jason Dufner	48	181	199
194	Sean O’Hair	26	181	189
195	George Coetzee	35	180	185
196	Victor Dubuisson	21	180	182
197	Dean Burmester	46	180	196
198	Zac Blair	27	180	191
199	Kurt Kitayama	40	180	183
200	Robby Shelton	58	179	194
201	Andrew Johnston	22	177	184
202	Stephan Jaeger	12	177	251
203	Alexander Bjork	38	176	217
204	Greyson Sigg	13	176	195
205	Tyler Duncan	58	176	201
206	Garrick Higgo	35	173	203
207	Shaun Norris	32	171	204
208	Calum Hill	43	170	227
209	Jordan Smith	47	169	207
210	Henrik Stenson	39	169	235
211	Matthew Jordan	38	169	233
212	Johannes Veerman	39	168	202
213	Mikko Korhonen	34	166	205
214	Kevin Chappell	26	165	212
215	Sean Crocker	44	164	239
216	Richie Ramsay	43	163	206
217	Marcus Kinhult	34	161	208
218	Graeme McDowell	44	160	215
219	Adri Arnaus	42	160	209
220	Wade Ormsby	37	160	213
221	Renato Paratore	46	159	242
222	Ben Martin	36	159	210
223	Marcus Armitage	40	159	243
224	Chan Kim	23	159	220
225	Xinjun Zhang	54	158	221
226	Benjamin Hebert	44	156	222
227	Sam Horsfield	40	155	216
228	Laurie Canter	32	155	225
229	Joost Luiten	47	155	224
230	Sami Valimaki	36	154	219
231	Ross Fisher	43	153	218
232	Bronson Burgoon	47	152	241
233	JB Holmes	27	152	226
234	Luke Donald	37	151	229
235	Jim Furyk	20	149	228
236	Kevin Tway	45	148	230
237	Lee Hodges	9	147	214
238	Michael Gligic	49	146	247
239	Jung-gon Hwang	9	145	240
240	Rob Oppenheim	50	144	231
241	Masahiro Kawamura	53	144	248
242	Ashun Wu	34	144	238
243	Darren Fichardt	23	143	263
244	Scott Brown	54	143	232
245	Brandon Stone	43	139	236
246	Mark Anderson	39	137	237
247	Fabrizio Zanotti	30	137	234
248	Wil Besseling	39	135	276
249	Matthieu Pavon	46	134	246
250	Travis Smyth	8	133	254
251	Jamie Donaldson	40	133	261
252	Jacques Kruyswijk	25	131	244
253	MJ Daffue	15	131	257
254	Grant Forrest	43	131	249
255	Rikuya Hoshino	25	130	258
256	Scott Jamieson	41	129	253
257	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	30	128	245
258	Bo Van Pelt	48	128	265
259	Tim Wilkinson	33	128	260
260	Eddie Pepperell	36	128	250
261	Joachim B Hansen	45	128	252
262	JJ Spaun	48	127	256
263	Richard Sterne	18	127	255
264	Adrian Otaegui	48	123	264
265	Nick Watney	42	122	268
266	Romain Langasque	43	122	259
267	Takumi Kanaya	21	122	272
268	Wilco Nienaber	36	120	267
269	Connor Syme	40	120	266
270	Daniel van Tonder	21	118	300
271	Seung-yul Noh	18	118	262
272	Jorge Campillo	48	118	280
273	Chris Paisley	42	118	269
274	David Horsey	43	117	274
275	Callum Shinkwin	38	117	278
276	Matthew Southgate	46	117	271
277	Edoardo Molinari	42	117	273
278	Jack Senior	42	117	275
279	Paul Waring	33	116	270
280	Scott Vincent	34	116	282
281	Austin Cook	51	115	277
282	Chris Stroud	22	114	287
283	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	112	308
284	Kyung-nam Kang	9	112	289
285	Fabian Gomez	45	112	279
286	Chris Baker	41	111	288
287	Pablo Larrazabal	41	110	281
288	Ben Taylor	38	110	284
289	Nicolas Colsaerts	36	110	307
290	Brandon Wu	16	109	298
291	David Lingmerth	23	109	283
292	Gavin Green	43	108	295
293	Jeff Winther	39	108	291
294	John Catlin	39	107	306
295	Joohyung Kim	8	107	294
296	James Morrison	47	106	301
297	Joakim Lagergren	38	106	286
298	Davis Thompson	10	106	296
299	Jazz Janewattananond	43	106	290
300	Haotong Li	41	106	297
301	Adrian Meronk	38	105	304
302	Kristoffer Ventura	47	105	293
303	Marc Warren	31	104	292
304	Alexander Levy	44	102	305
305	Justin Walters	49	102	299
306	Ollie Schniederjans	10	98	285
307	Aaron Baddeley	41	97	313
308	Jonathan Byrd	26	96	310
309	Ted Potter	46	95	302
310	Michael Gellerman	34	95	311
311	Craig Howie	15	95	309
312	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	39	93	312
313	Ryosuke Kinoshita	20	92	317
314	Roberto Castro	17	91	318
315	Jayden Trey Schaper	12	90	322
316	Dale Whitnell	40	89	316
317	Chase Hanna	12	89	323
318	Adrien Saddier	40	89	367
319	Scott Harrington	54	88	315
320	Shubhankar Sharma	51	87	321
321	Hugo Leon	17	87	303
322	David Hearn	45	86	320
323	Niall Kearney	18	86	326
324	Hennie du Plessis	10	86	327
325	Akshay Bhatia	20	86	314
326	Daniel Hillier	10	85	330
327	Thorbjorn Olesen	22	85	319
328	Maximilian Kieffer	41	85	329
329	Tomoharu Otsuki	22	84	331
330	Louis de Jager	32	83	332
331	Robert Rock	31	83	325
332	Kyung-tae Kim	9	82	337
333	Zander Lombard	44	82	324
334	Nino Bertasio	37	81	328
335	Maverick Antcliff	39	81	333
336	Brian Gay	50	81	335
337	Darius van Driel	37	80	334
338	Scott Hend	48	79	336
339	Nacho Elvira	47	79	373
340	Oscar Lengden	12	78	346
341	Brad Kennedy	17	78	345
342	Steven Brown	47	77	338
343	Zach Murray	14	77	342
344	Soren Kjeldsen	42	77	354
345	Brendan Jones	8	76	344
346	Sebastian Heisele	30	76	341
347	Shugo Imahira	25	75	350
348	Francesco Laporta	37	75	339
349	Niklas Lemke	37	75	340
350	Sebastian Cappelen	44	75	353
351	Tapio Pulkkanen	43	74	347
352	Josh Teater	34	74	343
353	Sihwan Kim	36	73	349
354	Ben Stow	16	73	358
355	Kelly Kraft	19	73	348
356	Roberto Diaz	9	72	436
357	Bill Haas	36	72	355
358	Ashley Chesters	44	72	357
359	Ryan Brehm	40	71	352
360	Stephen Gallacher	32	71	351
361	Sang-hee Lee	9	70	359
362	Matthias Schmid	9	70	363
363	Alejandro Canizares	43	69	356
364	Paul Barjon	11	68	544
365	Rafael Campos	37	68	362
366	Rhein Gibson	43	68	370
367	Nicolai Hojgaard	38	67	365
368	Grayson Murray	36	67	361
369	Paul Peterson	20	67	393
370	Alex Cejka	15	66	366
371	Seung-su Han	14	66	368
372	JC Ritchie	20	66	369
373	Clement Sordet	37	66	364
374	Sebi Garcia	10	65	377
375	Sebastian Soderberg	41	65	376
376	Gunn Charoenkul	16	65	372
377	Wes Roach	32	64	360
378	Jaco Ahlers	9	64	371
379	Yuki Inamori	22	64	374
380	Jonas Blixt	8	62	384
381	Alejandro Del Rey	9	62	383
382	Andy Ogletree	9	62	387
383	DJ Trahan	43	62	378
384	Aaron Cockerill	38	62	375
385	David Law	48	61	379
386	Anthony Quayle	12	61	385
387	Nelson Ledesma	38	60	381
388	Bryce Easton	31	60	380
389	Kazuki Higa	20	59	389
390	Oliver Farr	37	59	386
391	Julien Guerrier	41	59	388
392	Mikumu Horikawa	22	57	392
393	Sang-hyun Park	10	57	391
394	Shih-chang Chan	9	56	395
395	Lorenzo Gagli	46	56	390
396	Dave Coupland	34	56	397
397	Robin Sciot-Siegrist	35	56	441
398	Daniel Gavins	19	56	382
399	Jonathan Caldwell	39	55	396
400	Hiroshi Iwata	18	54	400
More \| Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

BMW Championship

August 24, 2021 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Jon Rahm

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Jon Rahm	5.6	9
2	Daniel Berger	24.1	26
3	Xander Schauffele	26.6	49
4	Webb Simpson	29.7	12
5	Brooks Koepka	30.9	22
6	Rory McIlroy	31.9	4
7	Dustin Johnson	32.1	6
8	Louis Oosthuizen	32.4	38
9	Harris English	32.7	26
10	Collin Morikawa	33.3	63
11	Patrick Cantlay	33.3	1
12	Hideki Matsuyama	34.1	46
13	Bryson DeChambeau	34.2	2
14	Paul Casey	34.3	38
15	Justin Thomas	34.8	22
16	Tony Finau	35.7	15
17	Jordan Spieth	36.3	34
18	Abraham Ancer	36.5	9
19	Scottie Scheffler	38.8	22
20	Patrick Reed	43.5	DNP
21	Cameron Smith	45.7	34
22	Viktor Hovland	46.4	17
23	Russell Henley	48.4	60
24	Jason Kokrak	48.4	15
25	Joaquin Niemann	49.7	29
26	Corey Conners	49.8	22
27	Kevin Na	50.7	17
28	Sam Burns	50.7	8
29	Brian Harman	51.6	29
30	Shane Lowry	52.3	26
31	Ryan Palmer	52.6	57
32	Kevin Kisner	52.8	66
33	Kevin Streelman	53.9	52
34	Sergio Garcia	54.6	6
35	Sungjae Im	55.0	3
36	Cameron Tringale	55.5	52
37	Billy Horschel	55.8	52
38	Marc Leishman	57.2	51
39	Alex Noren	57.8	9
40	Talor Gooch	57.9	57
41	Jhonattan Vegas	58.1	38
42	Charley Hoffman	58.4	38
43	Charl Schwartzel	58.6	17
44	Maverick McNealy	58.6	63
45	Max Homa	58.6	63
46	Mac Hughes	58.8	52
47	Si Woo Kim	59.3	29
48	Sebastian Munoz	59.5	29
49	Keegan Bradley	59.7	60
50	Cameron Champ	61.5	66
51	Lee Westwood	62.0	34
52	Branden Grace	62.7	52
53	Emiliano Grillo	62.8	46
54	Cameron Davis	63.1	29
55	Patton Kizzire	64.2	34
56	Chris Kirk	64.2	48
57	Lucas Glover	64.2	38
58	Harold Varner	65.4	12
59	Erik Van Rooyen	65.4	5
60	Phil Mickelson	66.0	66
61	Stewart Cink	66.6	38
62	Carlos Ortiz	66.7	66
63	KH Lee	67.1	12
64	Keith Mitchell	67.2	57
65	Harry Higgs	68.4	38
66	Aaron Wise	68.6	17
67	Matt Jones	69.6	38
68	Tom Hoge	71.9	49
69	Hudson Swafford	74.6	17
70	Robert Streb	75.6	60
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 66. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Omega European Masters 2021

August 24, 2021 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Rory Sabbatini

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Rory Sabbatini	63.3	60
2	Thomas Pieters	66.4	74
3	Victor Perez	67.4	50
4	Guido Migliozzi	67.7	7
5	Francesco Molinari	68.5	32
6	Thomas Detry	69.3	27
7	Bernd Wiesberger	69.9	2
8	Danny Willett	70.4	109
9	Andy Sullivan	71.0	40
10	Martin Kaymer	71.4	18
11	Richard Bland	71.4	87
12	Scott Hend	71.9	87
13	Johannes Veerman	72.4	96
14	Justin Harding	72.4	32
15	Andrew Johnston	73.1	60
16	Marcel Siem	73.5	7
17	Antoine Rozner	73.5	13
18	Min Woo Lee	73.7	21
19	Richie Ramsay	74.0	87
20	Dean Burmester	74.2	40
21	George Coetzee	74.6	74
22	Wade Ormsby	74.8	56
23	Kalle Samooja	74.9	130
24	Victor Dubuisson	75.0	74
25	Alexander Bjork	75.0	13
26	Fabrizio Zanotti	75.1	72
27	Darren Fichardt	75.4	21
28	Rasmus Hojgaard	75.4	1
29	Benjamin Hebert	75.5	32
30	Ross Fisher	75.5	123
31	Mikko Korhonen	75.7	40
32	Calum Hill	75.7	7
33	Jacques Kruyswijk	75.8	109
34	Edoardo Molinari	75.9	144
35	Masahiro Kawamura	76.0	21
36	Renato Paratore	76.0	7
37	Sam Horsfield	76.0	148
38	Sean Crocker	76.1	4
39	Grant Forrest	76.1	96
40	Marcus Kinhult	76.1	47
41	David Horsey	76.1	87
42	Adri Arnaus	76.2	123
43	Sami Valimaki	76.2	115
44	James Morrison	76.6	27
45	Joachim B Hansen	76.6	74
46	Pablo Larrazabal	76.6	DQ
47	Matthieu Pavon	76.6	96
48	Matthew Jordan	76.8	4
49	Marcus Armitage	76.9	7
50	Romain Langasque	77.0	74
51	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	77.0	96
52	Henrik Stenson	77.0	3
53	Brandon Stone	77.1	96
54	Justin Walters	77.2	74
55	Connor Syme	77.2	137
56	Scott Jamieson	77.2	47
57	Eddie Pepperell	77.2	96
58	Jamie Donaldson	77.3	27
59	Jazz Janewattananond	77.4	67
60	Matthew Southgate	77.4	137
61	Chris Paisley	77.4	148
62	Adrian Otaegui	77.4	74
63	Wil Besseling	77.4	13
64	Gavin Green	77.6	32
65	Hugo Leon	77.7	62
66	Joakim Lagergren	77.8	143
67	Nino Bertasio	77.8	62
68	Wilco Nienaber	77.9	87
69	Jorge Campillo	77.9	32
70	Alexander Levy	77.9	32
71	Jeff Winther	78.0	40
72	Jack Senior	78.0	115
73	Nicolas Colsaerts	78.1	18
74	Shubhankar Sharma	78.2	50
75	Miguel Angel Jimenez	78.3	27
76	Tapio Pulkkanen	78.5	115
77	Dale Whitnell	78.5	109
78	Daniel van Tonder	78.5	21
79	Marc Warren	78.5	115
80	John Catlin	78.5	21
81	Adrian Meronk	78.6	27
82	Stephen Gallacher	78.7	130
83	Nacho Elvira	78.8	13
84	Ashley Chesters	78.8	40
85	Francesco Laporta	78.9	123
86	Lucas Bjerregaard	78.9	67
87	Sihwan Kim	78.9	130
88	Maverick Antcliff	78.9	65
89	David Drysdale	79.0	123
90	Darius van Driel	79.0	96
91	David Law	79.2	115
92	Thorbjorn Olesen	79.2	109
93	Zander Lombard	79.2	130
94	Alejandro Canizares	79.2	74
95	Soren Kjeldsen	79.3	32
96	Robert Rock	79.3	130
97	Oliver Farr	79.4	130
98	Niklas Lemke	79.5	96
99	Louis De Jager	79.5	DNP
100	Sebastian Heisele	79.5	96
101	Andres Romero	79.5	DNP
102	Steven Brown	79.6	74
103	Clement Sordet	79.6	87
104	Aaron Cockerill	79.7	74
105	Paul Peterson	79.7	32
106	Daniel Gavins	79.7	96
107	Garrick Porteous	79.9	137
108	Bryce Easton	79.9	130
109	Adrien Saddier	80.0	7
110	Sebastian Soderberg	80.1	40
111	Julien Guerrier	80.3	56
112	Lorenzo Gagli	80.4	123
113	Oliver Fisher	80.4	109
114	Jonathan Caldwell	80.4	53
115	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	80.5	144
116	Lars van Meijel	80.6	74
117	Tae-hee Lee	80.6	146
118	Rikard Karlberg	80.6	53
119	Bradley Dredge	80.7	WD
120	Matthew Baldwin	80.7	115
121	Richard McEvoy	80.8	47
122	Robin Sciot-Siegrist	80.9	18
123	Lee Slattery	80.9	13
124	Damien Perrier	80.9	109
125	Cormac Sharvin	80.9	87
126	Benjamin Poke	81.1	152
127	Robin Roussel	81.1	67
128	Daan Huizing	81.2	DNP
129	Haydn Porteous	81.2	146
130	Jean-Baptiste Gonnet	81.2	50
131	Julian Suri	81.3	56
132	Toby Tree	81.3	115
133	SSP Chawrasia	81.3	96
134	Gregory Havret	81.4	148
135	Oliver Wilson	81.4	21
136	Joel Stalter	81.5	87
137	Ricardo Santos	81.5	74
138	Andrea Pavan	81.6	53
139	David Howell	81.6	96
140	Jake McLeod	81.6	87
141	Pedro Figueiredo	81.9	137
142	Ross McGowan	81.9	4
143	Kyong-jun Moon	81.9	73
144	Raphael Jacquelin	81.9	115
145	Graeme Storm	81.9	74
146	Carlos Pigem	82.1	62
147	Harry Ellis	82.2	148
148	Bryden Macpherson	82.3	40
149	Mathias Eggenberger	82.4	137
150	Suradit Yongcharoenchai	82.5	137
151	Raphael De Sousa	82.6	71
152	Rowan Lester	82.6	96
153	Pietro Bovari	82.6	65
154	Ronan Kleu	82.6	70
155	Cedric Gugler	82.6	123
156	Mauro Gilardi	82.6	154
157	Max Schliesing	82.6	152
158	Jose-Filipe Lima	82.6	123
159	Yi Keun Chang	82.6	56
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 27. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 23, 2021)

August 24, 2021 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Jon Rahm remains no. 1 after the first event of the FedEx Cup playoffs.

#	Thru Aug. 23, 2021	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Jon Rahm	41	1540	1
2	Xander Schauffele	43	1288	2
3	Daniel Berger	40	1191	3
4	Justin Thomas	44	1151	10
5	Bryson DeChambeau	42	1129	4
6	Collin Morikawa	47	1084	5
7	Louis Oosthuizen	41	1076	9
8	Rory McIlroy	41	1073	7
9	Dustin Johnson	36	1069	6
10	Webb Simpson	36	1051	8
11	Patrick Cantlay	37	1025	15
12	Harris English	46	988	12
13	Tony Finau	52	971	21
14	Scottie Scheffler	52	968	13
15	Paul Casey	43	963	11
16	Brooks Koepka	33	957	17
17	Abraham Ancer	52	936	14
18	Patrick Reed	54	932	18
19	Jordan Spieth	41	917	16
20	Cameron Smith	46	886	24
21	Matthew Fitzpatrick	48	858	19
22	Tyrrell Hatton	41	840	20
23	Hideki Matsuyama	48	835	22
24	Viktor Hovland	50	827	23
25	Corey Conners	52	814	27
26	Will Zalatoris	30	771	25
27	Shane Lowry	49	748	32
28	Brian Harman	50	740	26
29	Kevin Na	47	717	40
30	Russell Henley	44	714	28
31	Sungjae Im	62	707	34
32	Sam Burns	44	704	35
33	Ryan Palmer	44	693	30
34	Adam Scott	33	687	29
35	Jason Kokrak	47	686	31
36	Ian Poulter	49	674	36
37	Joaquin Niemann	51	667	33
38	Charley Hoffman	49	667	42
39	Alex Noren	48	665	50
40	Billy Horschel	49	661	37
41	Kevin Streelman	52	632	38
42	Justin Rose	41	625	44
43	Cameron Tringale	45	622	47
44	Bubba Watson	45	620	39
45	Sergio Garcia	44	616	41
46	Keegan Bradley	46	610	52
47	Jason Day	39	598	43
48	Kevin Kisner	48	592	45
49	Talor Gooch	51	587	49
50	Max Homa	49	585	46
51	Tommy Fleetwood	45	575	48
52	Maverick McNealy	49	538	55
53	Marc Leishman	45	536	51
54	Seamus Power	29	536	58
55	Lee Westwood	45	535	57
56	Si Woo Kim	54	520	53
57	Joel Dahmen	49	514	61
58	Gary Woodland	45	508	54
59	Mac Hughes	51	507	64
60	Erik Van Rooyen	50	504	80
61	Matthew Wolff	43	500	56
62	Brendon Todd	56	493	59
63	Sebastian Munoz	59	493	68
64	Charl Schwartzel	41	489	60
65	Tiger Woods	12	480	63
66	Robert MacIntyre	44	474	62
67	Harold Varner	52	471	84
68	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	46	470	65
69	Cameron Davis	48	464	74
70	Rickie Fowler	40	463	70
71	Bud Cauley	21	458	69
72	Brendan Steele	44	457	66
73	Branden Grace	50	455	67
74	Keith Mitchell	48	454	100
75	Stewart Cink	41	452	86
76	Emiliano Grillo	52	447	72
77	Cameron Champ	48	446	78
78	Lanto Griffin	58	446	71
79	Mito Pereira	11	445	75
80	Jhonattan Vegas	45	439	73
81	Aaron Wise	41	424	99
82	Chris Kirk	38	419	77
83	Adam Hadwin	47	416	76
84	Harry Higgs	52	411	103
85	Patton Kizzire	48	406	82
86	Matt Kuchar	46	404	79
87	Victor Perez	39	404	83
88	Matt Wallace	54	403	81
89	Lucas Herbert	34	402	90
90	Zach Johnson	42	402	88
91	Carlos Ortiz	50	400	85
92	Brandt Snedeker	44	396	89
93	Phil Mickelson	40	390	87
94	Francesco Molinari	26	385	97
95	Dylan Frittelli	53	384	91
96	Rory Sabbatini	51	382	92
97	Tom Hoge	57	378	128
98	Lucas Glover	50	377	93
99	Charles Howell	42	377	98
100	JT Poston	53	376	94
101	Hank Lebioda	44	375	95
102	Adam Long	55	374	96
103	Thomas Pieters	35	370	101
104	Pat Perez	48	358	121
105	Chez Reavie	54	355	111
106	Doug Ghim	44	355	112
107	Sepp Straka	57	355	102
108	Wesley Bryan	15	344	109
109	Troy Merritt	57	340	104
110	Henrik Norlander	54	338	105
111	Matt Jones	53	335	106
112	Guido Migliozzi	41	333	113
113	Scott Piercy	45	333	108
114	Doc Redman	51	329	110
115	KH Lee	57	327	114
116	Richy Werenski	50	319	115
117	Danny Willett	47	314	116
118	David Lipsky	21	311	107
119	Mark Hubbard	57	307	117
120	Luke List	53	305	118
121	Brian Stuard	60	302	119
122	Patrick Rodgers	62	301	122
123	Hudson Swafford	39	297	171
124	Adam Schenk	57	296	141
125	Matthew NeSmith	53	294	120
126	Brandon Hagy	45	292	123
127	Thomas Detry	45	290	130
128	Kyle Stanley	49	289	125
129	Byeong Hun An	53	289	124
130	Bernd Wiesberger	44	288	132
131	Ryan Armour	49	288	134
132	Martin Kaymer	36	287	133
133	Roger Sloan	47	287	127
134	Steve Stricker	22	286	136
135	Scott Stallings	47	285	129
136	Taylor Pendrith	9	284	138
137	James Hahn	37	283	126
138	Ryan Moore	32	282	137
139	Brice Garnett	50	281	131
140	CT Pan	50	277	135
141	Aaron Rai	41	274	147
142	Andy Sullivan	44	273	142
143	Wyndham Clark	50	272	139
144	Denny McCarthy	53	271	140
145	Nick Taylor	47	269	143
146	Michael Thompson	44	264	148
147	Andrew Putnam	50	261	144
148	Russell Knox	56	259	145
149	Tom Lewis	53	258	151
150	Chesson Hadley	46	257	146
151	Kramer Hickok	43	256	150
152	Bo Hoag	56	256	149
153	Rafa Cabrera Bello	54	250	152
154	Robert Streb	46	250	192
155	Jason Scrivener	41	243	156
156	Jeunghun Wang	16	242	155
157	Matthias Schwab	45	242	157
158	Padraig Harrington	39	239	154
159	Danny Lee	45	238	153
160	Vincent Whaley	44	233	161
161	Antoine Rozner	37	232	159
162	Vaughn Taylor	49	223	164
163	Camilo Villegas	30	221	160
164	Sam Ryder	57	221	162
165	Beau Hossler	53	220	163
166	Justin Suh	18	218	158
167	Jack Singh Brar	17	213	167
168	Sung Kang	54	211	168
169	Joseph Bramlett	47	210	170
170	Martin Laird	39	210	166
171	Tyler McCumber	45	210	165
172	Justin Harding	50	209	172
173	Peter Malnati	51	209	174
174	Chase Seiffert	47	205	169
175	John Huh	30	203	182
176	Peter Uihlein	30	200	175
177	Jim Herman	43	199	183
178	Jimmy Walker	42	198	179
179	Richard Bland	36	198	181
180	Nate Lashley	45	197	178
181	Ryan Fox	40	197	177
182	Victor Dubuisson	21	195	187
183	Kurt Kitayama	40	194	176
184	Andrew Johnston	21	194	185
185	George Coetzee	34	193	173
186	Kalle Samooja	39	193	186
187	Cameron Percy	46	191	189
188	Anirban Lahiri	36	191	190
189	Sean O’Hair	25	190	180
190	Will Gordon	43	189	184
191	Zac Blair	27	187	188
192	Andrew Landry	45	186	193
193	Satoshi Kodaira	42	185	194
194	Robby Shelton	58	185	191
195	Greyson Sigg	12	184	239
196	Dean Burmester	46	183	197
197	Marcel Siem	23	183	200
198	John Augenstein	10	183	195
199	Jason Dufner	48	180	198
200	Min Woo Lee	33	179	201
201	Tyler Duncan	59	176	205
202	Johannes Veerman	39	175	211
203	Garrick Higgo	35	172	199
204	Shaun Norris	32	172	196
205	Mikko Korhonen	33	171	207
206	Richie Ramsay	43	171	209
207	Jordan Smith	48	170	210
208	Marcus Kinhult	33	170	206
209	Adri Arnaus	42	168	202
210	Ben Martin	36	168	204
211	Rasmus Hojgaard	37	166	217
212	Kevin Chappell	26	166	219
213	Wade Ormsby	36	166	214
214	Lee Hodges	9	165	216
215	Graeme McDowell	44	164	212
216	Sam Horsfield	40	164	213
217	Alexander Bjork	38	162	221
218	Ross Fisher	43	162	220
219	Sami Valimaki	35	161	215
220	Chan Kim	23	160	208
221	Xinjun Zhang	55	160	218
222	Benjamin Hebert	43	158	222
223	Sahith Theegala	12	158	203
224	Joost Luiten	47	158	223
225	Laurie Canter	32	155	226
226	JB Holmes	27	154	224
227	Calum Hill	42	153	228
228	Jim Furyk	20	152	225
229	Luke Donald	37	152	229
230	Kevin Tway	45	149	232
231	Rob Oppenheim	50	149	231
232	Scott Brown	53	148	227
233	Matthew Jordan	37	147	233
234	Fabrizio Zanotti	30	146	237
235	Henrik Stenson	38	146	243
236	Brandon Stone	42	146	240
237	Mark Anderson	38	145	230
238	Ashun Wu	35	145	236
239	Sean Crocker	44	144	250
240	Jung-gon Hwang	9	143	242
241	Bronson Burgoon	46	142	238
242	Renato Paratore	46	142	234
243	Marcus Armitage	39	141	244
244	Jacques Kruyswijk	25	141	257
245	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	29	140	235
246	Matthieu Pavon	45	139	246
247	Michael Gligic	48	139	241
248	Masahiro Kawamura	52	138	248
249	Grant Forrest	43	137	251
250	Eddie Pepperell	35	135	252
251	Stephan Jaeger	12	134	324
252	Joachim B Hansen	45	134	254
253	Scott Jamieson	40	134	249
254	Travis Smyth	8	132	260
255	Richard Sterne	19	132	253
256	JJ Spaun	47	131	281
257	MJ Daffue	15	131	261
258	Rikuya Hoshino	25	130	245
259	Romain Langasque	42	129	256
260	Tim Wilkinson	33	129	259
261	Jamie Donaldson	39	128	263
262	Seung-yul Noh	17	128	271
263	Darren Fichardt	23	126	255
264	Adrian Otaegui	48	126	268
265	Bo Van Pelt	47	125	262
266	Connor Syme	39	125	267
267	Wilco Nienaber	36	125	269
268	Nick Watney	42	125	264
269	Chris Paisley	41	124	266
270	Paul Waring	34	123	258
271	Matthew Southgate	46	122	272
272	Takumi Kanaya	21	122	265
273	Edoardo Molinari	41	122	275
274	David Horsey	42	121	277
275	Jack Senior	41	121	274
276	Wil Besseling	38	121	276
277	Austin Cook	50	119	279
278	Callum Shinkwin	39	118	278
279	Fabian Gomez	45	118	273
280	Jorge Campillo	48	117	282
281	Pablo Larrazabal	41	117	283
282	Scott Vincent	34	116	280
283	David Lingmerth	22	116	270
284	Ben Taylor	38	115	298
285	Ollie Schniederjans	10	115	247
286	Joakim Lagergren	38	114	288
287	Chris Stroud	22	114	291
288	Chris Baker	41	114	284
289	Kyung-nam Kang	9	113	290
290	Jazz Janewattananond	42	111	289
291	Jeff Winther	39	110	293
292	Marc Warren	31	110	295
293	Kristoffer Ventura	47	108	292
294	Joohyung Kim	8	108	297
295	Gavin Green	42	107	287
296	Davis Thompson	10	107	296
297	Haotong Li	41	106	299
298	Brandon Wu	15	106	285
299	Justin Walters	49	106	300
300	Daniel van Tonder	20	105	294
301	James Morrison	47	102	302
302	Ted Potter	45	101	301
303	Hugo Leon	17	100	286
304	Adrian Meronk	37	100	307
305	Alexander Levy	44	99	306
306	John Catlin	39	98	309
307	Nicolas Colsaerts	35	96	310
308	Miguel Angel Jimenez	12	95	303
309	Craig Howie	15	95	314
310	Jonathan Byrd	27	95	315
311	Michael Gellerman	34	95	313
312	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	38	94	323
313	Aaron Baddeley	40	94	308
314	Akshay Bhatia	19	92	304
315	Scott Harrington	53	92	311
316	Dale Whitnell	39	92	321
317	Ryosuke Kinoshita	20	92	318
318	Roberto Castro	17	91	319
319	Thorbjorn Olesen	21	91	320
320	David Hearn	45	91	312
321	Shubhankar Sharma	51	90	317
322	Jayden Trey Schaper	12	90	322
323	Chase Hanna	12	88	305
324	Zander Lombard	44	88	316
325	Robert Rock	30	86	330
326	Niall Kearney	18	86	329
327	Hennie du Plessis	10	86	328
328	Nino Bertasio	36	85	327
329	Maximilian Kieffer	42	85	331
330	Daniel Hillier	10	84	333
331	Tomoharu Otsuki	22	84	343
332	Louis de Jager	33	84	325
333	Maverick Antcliff	38	84	334
334	Darius van Driel	36	84	335
335	Brian Gay	50	83	326
336	Scott Hend	48	83	337
337	Kyung-tae Kim	9	82	336
338	Steven Brown	46	81	341
339	Francesco Laporta	36	80	340
340	Niklas Lemke	37	80	339
341	Sebastian Heisele	29	80	332
342	Zach Murray	14	79	342
343	Josh Teater	34	78	338
344	Brendan Jones	8	78	344
345	Brad Kennedy	17	78	346
346	Oscar Lengden	12	78	347
347	Tapio Pulkkanen	43	78	363
348	Kelly Kraft	18	78	411
349	Sihwan Kim	36	77	351
350	Shugo Imahira	25	76	345
351	Stephen Gallacher	31	76	349
352	Ryan Brehm	40	74	352
353	Sebastian Cappelen	44	73	350
354	Soren Kjeldsen	42	73	369
355	Bill Haas	35	73	353
356	Alejandro Canizares	43	72	355
357	Ashley Chesters	44	72	354
358	Ben Stow	17	72	357
359	Sang-hee Lee	9	71	359
360	Wes Roach	32	69	358
361	Grayson Murray	37	69	360
362	Rafael Campos	36	69	356
363	Matthias Schmid	10	69	364
364	Clement Sordet	37	69	372
365	Nicolai Hojgaard	39	68	375
366	Alex Cejka	15	68	365
367	Adrien Saddier	40	68	362
368	Seung-su Han	14	67	376
369	JC Ritchie	20	66	366
370	Rhein Gibson	43	66	361
371	Jaco Ahlers	9	66	367
372	Gunn Charoenkul	16	65	370
373	Nacho Elvira	47	65	371
374	Yuki Inamori	22	64	395
375	Aaron Cockerill	37	64	392
376	Sebastian Soderberg	40	64	382
377	Sebi Garcia	10	63	384
378	DJ Trahan	44	63	368
379	David Law	47	63	379
380	Bryce Easton	30	63	373
381	Nelson Ledesma	38	63	374
382	Daniel Gavins	19	62	378
383	Alejandro Del Rey	9	62	383
384	Jonas Blixt	8	62	381
385	Anthony Quayle	12	62	348
386	Oliver Farr	36	61	387
387	Andy Ogletree	9	61	390
388	Julien Guerrier	40	60	377
389	Kazuki Higa	20	60	410
390	Lorenzo Gagli	46	59	389
391	Sang-hyun Park	10	58	391
392	Mikumu Horikawa	22	57	396
393	Paul Peterson	19	57	482
394	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	31	56	394
395	Shih-chang Chan	9	56	402
396	Jonathan Caldwell	38	56	400
397	Dave Coupland	34	55	405
398	Garrick Porteous	36	55	397
399	Daijiro Izumida	19	54	398
400	Hiroshi Iwata	18	54	417
More \| Less

A Look at the Northern Trust

August 16, 2021 Thomas Hawley Narrative

You’re already familiar with the top players on the PGA Tour as the season heads into its final phase, the FedEx Cup playoffs. So let’s focus on the 10 hottest players in the event. We’ll define the 10 hottest players as seven with the best performance over their last nine events, and three more who have played at the highest level above their current Hawley Rating over the past four appearances. (Players listed in ratings order.)

Jon Rahm, ranked 1 – Won U.S. Open in June. Good fit for the course; in the top quarter of all PGA/ Euro players in driving distance and putting (i.e. putts per GIR). He’s been idle since the mid-July British Open, keeping intact a streak of three straight top-10s (British, Scottish, and U.S. Open). That streak goes to four of five, skipping over one missed cut, if you include the PGA. Three previous top-10s in four appearances in this event.
Collin Morikawa, ranked 5 – Won the WGC Workday event in February and British Open in July. His season has been very good, averaging better than one top-10 per month, with a clunker slipped in every three or four events. The last one was not so great (26th at the FedEx) so maybe another bounce-back happens here. Has done next to nothing in two prior appearances in this event (missed cut in 2020, 52nd in 2019).
Louis Oosthuizen, ranked 9 – Those 2’s (second in the 3M, U.S. Open, PGA, and Zurich, just since May) are pretty good for the bank account but maybe a little tough on the nerves. That doesn’t even include the two other top-10s and two other top-20s in the same time span. Last time out the South African was 17th at the FedEx, extending a streak of made cuts to 14 events, second-best on the Tour.
Paul Casey, ranked 11 – Won Euro Tour Omega Dubai event in January, and acting like he might be ready to win here too. He’s been in the top 10 five times (FedEx, Olympics, U.S. Open, Porsche European, PGA) in his last seven appearances. Has only one top-10 in his last six times playing this event. The Englishman is in the top quarter in driving distance but bottom half in putting and sand saves.
Harris English, ranked 12 – Won Champions in January and Travelers in June. Started the season great, faded into the pack a bit in the spring, then picked up the second win and two other top-10s (FedEx, U.S. Open). He’s a top 10 percent scrambler and a pretty good putter. Runner-up here last year but also has a few missed cuts over the years.
Scottie Scheffler, ranked 13 – Believe it or not, this 25-year-old Texan already has played 57 Tour events, going back to an appearance at the Nelson as a 17-year-old. He’s played great since June (well, except for a 47th-place finish at the Travelers) with three top-10s (British, U.S. Open, Memorial) and nothing worse than 14th in five of his last six appearances. Fourth in this event last year in his first appearance in it. Putting is a strength.
Jordan Spieth, ranked 16 – Won Texas event in April. He’s had an amazingly steady resurgence, starting the year 52nd (Hawley Ratings) and now up 36 spots. He leads the Tour with 15 straight made cuts. In addition to the win, he’s had two seconds (British, Schwab), two thirds, two fourths, and two other top-10s. Putting has been the backbone of his game.
Brooks Koepka, ranked 17 – Won at Phoenix in February. Has been up and down a bunch. He was 54th in the FedEx and had three missed cuts in a four-event span from April into June. On the other hand, he also has one finish in each position from first (Phoenix) to sixth since last winter. Good fit for the course with ranks in the top 10 percent in driving distance and sand saves.
Jhonattan Vegas, ranked 73 – Venezuelan is another guy who’s had a resurgence. Spent a good part of the winter ranked down in the 150s, and even into the 160s, before getting into the top 10 at the Nelson in May. Since then he’s been a runner-up twice (3M, Palmetto) and in the top 20 three other times. Good fit for the course based on top 10 percent ranking in driving distance.
Hank Lebioda, ranked 95 – Came out of nowhere, only his third year in the rankings and down at no. 190 when the year started. Had a nice streak of three straight top-10s (Deere, Rocket, Travelers) ended when he missed the cut at the Wyndham. First appearance in this event.

There have been two previous FedEx Cup events at Liberty National, the New Jersey course that offers views of the Statue of Liberty across the Hudson River. Those events were in 2019 and 2013, won by Patrick Reed and Adam Scott, respectively. In those two events, driving distance was by far the stat that correlated most closely to success. A bit less strongly correlated were scrambling, putting, and sand saves. In this field, Bryson DeChambeau is easily the player who best fits that stat profile, leading the next-best fit (Rory McIlroy) by over one stroke per round per the Hawley course fit statistics. A lead that large usually is significant. From deep in the pack, Wyndham Clark and Garrick Higgo also have stat profiles that seem to match.

Only the top 70 players will move on to the BMW Championship next week. This is the only FedEx Cup Playoff event with a 36-hole cut.

The Northern Trust

August 15, 2021 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Jon Rahm

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Jon Rahm	20.1	3
2	Dustin Johnson	30.3	76
3	Xander Schauffele	33.1	16
4	Daniel Berger	33.6	56
5	Rory McIlroy	34.0	43
6	Bryson DeChambeau	36.9	31
7	Brooks Koepka	37.3	31
8	Tony Finau	38.4	1
9	Harris English	38.5	31
10	Jordan Spieth	39.9	73
11	Paul Casey	40.8	64
12	Patrick Cantlay	41.1	11
13	Louis Oosthuizen	41.6	DNP
14	Collin Morikawa	42.2	124
15	Justin Thomas	42.3	4
16	Webb Simpson	43.1	47
17	Scottie Scheffler	43.7	43
18	Abraham Ancer	45.0	64
19	Adam Scott	46.7	76
20	Cameron Smith	47.9	2
21	Hideki Matsuyama	48.7	43
22	Viktor Hovland	51.8	43
23	Sam Burns	51.8	21
24	Joaquin Niemann	51.8	47
25	Matthew Fitzpatrick	52.7	88
26	Jason Kokrak	53.6	76
27	Tyrrell Hatton	53.8	97
28	Patrick Reed	53.9	DNP
29	Russell Henley	54.1	56
30	Bubba Watson	54.7	88
31	Max Homa	55.1	47
32	Kevin Na	55.5	8
33	Sergio Garcia	56.2	88
34	Talor Gooch	56.6	31
35	Corey Conners	56.7	8
36	Shane Lowry	57.1	11
37	Ryan Palmer	57.4	76
38	Ian Poulter	57.4	31
39	Cameron Tringale	58.2	21
40	Jason Day	58.2	112
41	Jhonattan Vegas	58.4	76
42	Brian Harman	58.6	75
43	Kevin Streelman	59.0	64
44	Alex Noren	59.8	4
45	Sungjae Im	60.3	16
46	Kevin Kisner	60.4	119
47	Charl Schwartzel	60.6	88
48	Charley Hoffman	60.7	21
49	Justin Rose	61.1	DNP
50	Hank Lebioda	61.3	101
51	Cameron Champ	61.3	27
52	Maverick McNealy	61.7	27
53	Gary Woodland	61.7	74
54	Sebastian Munoz	61.9	21
55	Seamus Power	62.0	31
56	Adam Hadwin	62.5	101
57	Marc Leishman	62.5	47
58	Billy Horschel	62.9	31
59	Matthew Wolff	63.0	119
60	Mac Hughes	63.0	27
61	Si Woo Kim	63.4	76
62	Cameron Davis	64.0	31
63	Keegan Bradley	64.2	11
64	Lanto Griffin	65.1	64
65	Luke List	65.4	70
66	Branden Grace	66.1	97
67	Patton Kizzire	66.3	56
68	Emiliano Grillo	66.4	76
69	Lee Westwood	66.5	27
70	Dylan Frittelli	66.6	56
71	Sepp Straka	66.8	88
72	Carlos Ortiz	66.8	47
73	James Hahn	67.1	71
74	Harold Varner	67.2	11
75	JT Poston	67.3	122
76	Erik Van Rooyen	67.3	7
77	Joel Dahmen	67.3	31
78	KH Lee	67.5	47
79	Stewart Cink	67.8	21
80	Wyndham Clark	67.9	115
81	Brendan Steele	68.0	101
82	Matt Wallace	68.0	WD
83	Chris Kirk	68.2	56
84	Pat Perez	68.3	16
85	Scott Piercy	68.5	64
86	Brandon Hagy	68.5	113
87	Brandt Snedeker	68.5	47
88	Phil Mickelson	68.5	101
89	Keith Mitchell	68.8	8
90	Matt Kuchar	69.3	117
91	Lucas Glover	70.2	88
92	Matt Jones	70.4	117
93	Brendon Todd	70.4	115
94	Brian Stuard	70.5	101
95	Henrik Norlander	70.5	101
96	Zach Johnson	70.8	47
97	CT Pan	70.9	101
98	Harry Higgs	71.0	16
99	Adam Long	71.0	88
100	Aaron Wise	71.3	21
101	Doug Ghim	71.5	31
102	Adam Schenk	71.9	31
103	Scott Stallings	72.3	101
104	Sam Ryder	72.6	76
105	Tyler McCumber	73.1	76
106	Troy Merritt	73.1	101
107	Doc Redman	73.1	101
108	Denny McCarthy	73.2	71
109	Chesson Hadley	73.2	88
110	Richy Werenski	73.3	113
111	Kramer Hickok	73.6	56
112	Matthew NeSmith	73.9	97
113	Garrick Higgo	73.9	64
114	Brice Garnett	73.9	88
115	Chez Reavie	74.0	31
116	Kyle Stanley	74.5	76
117	Anirban Lahiri	74.8	56
118	Russell Knox	75.0	76
119	Tom Hoge	75.2	4
120	Martin Laird	75.3	76
121	Hudson Swafford	75.6	11
122	Andrew Putnam	76.0	56
123	Peter Malnati	77.5	47
124	Robert Streb	78.0	16
125	Brian Gay	81.4	101
	Roger Sloan	late entry	121
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 72. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 15, 2021)

August 15, 2021 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Jon Rahm, idle since the British Open, is no. 1 moving into the FedEx Cup playoffs.

#	Thru Aug. 15, 2021	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Jon Rahm	40	1458	1
2	Xander Schauffele	42	1259	2
3	Daniel Berger	39	1235	3
4	Bryson DeChambeau	41	1139	4
5	Collin Morikawa	46	1119	5
6	Dustin Johnson	35	1111	7
7	Rory McIlroy	41	1106	6
8	Webb Simpson	35	1088	10
9	Louis Oosthuizen	41	1073	8
10	Justin Thomas	43	1069	9
11	Paul Casey	42	1001	11
12	Harris English	45	991	12
13	Scottie Scheffler	51	984	13
14	Abraham Ancer	51	967	14
15	Patrick Cantlay	36	959	15
16	Jordan Spieth	40	955	16
17	Brooks Koepka	32	954	17
18	Patrick Reed	54	931	18
19	Matthew Fitzpatrick	48	891	19
20	Tyrrell Hatton	40	878	21
21	Tony Finau	51	876	22
22	Hideki Matsuyama	47	854	20
23	Viktor Hovland	49	839	23
24	Cameron Smith	45	782	25
25	Will Zalatoris	30	773	26
26	Brian Harman	49	767	24
27	Corey Conners	51	750	27
28	Russell Henley	43	735	31
29	Adam Scott	32	724	40
30	Ryan Palmer	43	721	29
31	Jason Kokrak	46	711	28
32	Shane Lowry	48	686	30
33	Joaquin Niemann	50	678	32
34	Sungjae Im	61	676	33
35	Sam Burns	43	673	34
36	Ian Poulter	48	665	35
37	Billy Horschel	48	657	36
38	Kevin Streelman	51	649	43
39	Bubba Watson	44	643	37
40	Kevin Na	46	641	47
41	Sergio Garcia	44	640	38
42	Charley Hoffman	48	637	39
43	Jason Day	38	623	41
44	Justin Rose	41	622	48
45	Kevin Kisner	47	609	53
46	Max Homa	48	599	44
47	Cameron Tringale	44	587	46
48	Tommy Fleetwood	46	581	42
49	Talor Gooch	50	578	45
50	Alex Noren	48	563	49
51	Marc Leishman	44	552	50
52	Keegan Bradley	45	541	52
53	Si Woo Kim	53	533	68
54	Gary Woodland	44	529	51
55	Maverick McNealy	48	518	59
56	Matthew Wolff	42	518	54
57	Lee Westwood	45	514	60
58	Seamus Power	28	512	55
59	Brendon Todd	55	509	69
60	Charl Schwartzel	40	509	56
61	Joel Dahmen	48	502	57
62	Robert MacIntyre	44	496	58
63	Tiger Woods	12	495	61
64	Mac Hughes	50	484	63
65	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	46	479	65
66	Brendan Steele	43	477	67
67	Branden Grace	49	469	92
68	Sebastian Munoz	58	465	71
69	Bud Cauley	21	463	70
70	Rickie Fowler	40	463	64
71	Lanto Griffin	57	462	66
72	Emiliano Grillo	51	460	72
73	Jhonattan Vegas	44	455	80
74	Cameron Davis	47	447	73
75	Mito Pereira	11	445	62
76	Adam Hadwin	46	434	96
77	Chris Kirk	37	432	75
78	Cameron Champ	47	423	77
79	Matt Kuchar	45	421	85
80	Erik Van Rooyen	50	421	76
81	Matt Wallace	54	416	83
82	Patton Kizzire	47	415	74
83	Victor Perez	40	409	82
84	Harold Varner	51	408	78
85	Carlos Ortiz	49	407	86
86	Stewart Cink	40	407	89
87	Phil Mickelson	39	406	88
88	Zach Johnson	41	405	81
89	Brandt Snedeker	43	403	79
90	Lucas Herbert	34	401	95
91	Dylan Frittelli	52	393	87
92	Rory Sabbatini	51	391	106
93	Lucas Glover	49	390	93
94	JT Poston	52	389	90
95	Hank Lebioda	43	389	91
96	Adam Long	54	387	94
97	Francesco Molinari	26	386	84
98	Charles Howell	42	380	98
99	Aaron Wise	40	373	99
100	Keith Mitchell	47	373	97
101	Thomas Pieters	36	372	100
102	Sepp Straka	56	364	111
103	Harry Higgs	51	358	114
104	Troy Merritt	57	349	105
105	Henrik Norlander	53	349	103
106	Matt Jones	52	348	101
107	David Lipsky	20	346	109
108	Scott Piercy	44	345	123
109	Wesley Bryan	15	343	108
110	Doc Redman	50	339	104
111	Chez Reavie	53	339	102
112	Doug Ghim	43	334	107
113	Guido Migliozzi	42	333	110
114	KH Lee	56	331	118
115	Richy Werenski	49	330	113
116	Danny Willett	47	328	112
117	Mark Hubbard	56	315	116
118	Luke List	52	314	115
119	Brian Stuard	59	312	137
120	Matthew NeSmith	52	306	117
121	Pat Perez	47	304	125
122	Patrick Rodgers	61	304	120
123	Brandon Hagy	44	303	119
124	Byeong Hun An	52	302	128
125	Kyle Stanley	48	299	122
126	James Hahn	36	296	121
127	Roger Sloan	46	295	167
128	Tom Hoge	56	295	124
129	Scott Stallings	46	294	127
130	Thomas Detry	46	292	133
131	Brice Garnett	49	292	129
132	Bernd Wiesberger	45	291	130
133	Martin Kaymer	36	288	134
134	Ryan Armour	49	287	131
135	CT Pan	49	285	140
136	Steve Stricker	22	285	136
137	Ryan Moore	32	285	126
138	Taylor Pendrith	9	284	138
139	Wyndham Clark	49	283	132
140	Denny McCarthy	52	282	151
141	Adam Schenk	56	279	135
142	Andy Sullivan	45	272	144
143	Nick Taylor	47	271	163
144	Andrew Putnam	49	269	139
145	Russell Knox	55	267	150
146	Chesson Hadley	45	267	161
147	Aaron Rai	41	265	146
148	Michael Thompson	44	264	141
149	Bo Hoag	55	264	143
150	Kramer Hickok	42	263	142
151	Tom Lewis	52	259	145
152	Rafa Cabrera Bello	54	253	148
153	Danny Lee	44	251	149
154	Padraig Harrington	39	245	147
155	Jeunghun Wang	17	245	152
156	Jason Scrivener	42	244	153
157	Matthias Schwab	45	240	154
158	Justin Suh	17	234	159
159	Antoine Rozner	37	232	157
160	Camilo Villegas	29	232	158
161	Vincent Whaley	43	229	155
162	Sam Ryder	56	228	164
163	Beau Hossler	52	228	156
164	Vaughn Taylor	49	226	160
165	Tyler McCumber	44	217	208
166	Martin Laird	38	217	162
167	Jack Singh Brar	18	214	168
168	Sung Kang	54	213	196
169	Chase Seiffert	46	213	165
170	Joseph Bramlett	46	212	166
171	Hudson Swafford	38	210	179
172	Justin Harding	50	208	173
173	George Coetzee	33	207	174
174	Peter Malnati	50	206	169
175	Peter Uihlein	29	206	176
176	Kurt Kitayama	40	204	171
177	Ryan Fox	40	203	182
178	Nate Lashley	45	200	170
179	Jimmy Walker	42	198	183
180	Sean O’Hair	24	198	172
181	Richard Bland	36	198	194
182	John Huh	29	197	175
183	Jim Herman	43	197	178
184	Will Gordon	42	197	177
185	Andrew Johnston	22	197	180
186	Kalle Samooja	40	196	189
187	Victor Dubuisson	22	195	185
188	Zac Blair	27	194	181
189	Cameron Percy	46	192	193
190	Anirban Lahiri	35	192	188
191	Robby Shelton	57	191	184
192	Robert Streb	45	187	186
193	Andrew Landry	45	186	190
194	Satoshi Kodaira	41	185	187
195	John Augenstein	10	182	238
196	Shaun Norris	31	181	197
197	Dean Burmester	46	180	198
198	Jason Dufner	48	180	227
199	Garrick Higgo	34	180	200
200	Marcel Siem	22	179	205
201	Min Woo Lee	34	178	204
202	Adri Arnaus	42	178	199
203	Sahith Theegala	11	177	202
204	Ben Martin	35	177	192
205	Tyler Duncan	59	175	201
206	Marcus Kinhult	34	174	191
207	Mikko Korhonen	34	173	195
208	Chan Kim	22	173	206
209	Richie Ramsay	44	173	215
210	Jordan Smith	49	172	217
211	Johannes Veerman	39	168	214
212	Graeme McDowell	44	168	211
213	Sam Horsfield	40	168	212
214	Wade Ormsby	37	167	203
215	Sami Valimaki	34	167	210
216	Lee Hodges	9	167	216
217	Rasmus Hojgaard	37	166	230
218	Xinjun Zhang	54	166	207
219	Kevin Chappell	26	166	218
220	Ross Fisher	44	164	209
221	Alexander Bjork	39	162	220
222	Benjamin Hebert	44	160	213
223	Joost Luiten	47	160	219
224	JB Holmes	27	156	224
225	Jim Furyk	20	155	225
226	Laurie Canter	32	155	222
227	Scott Brown	52	154	223
228	Calum Hill	42	154	249
229	Luke Donald	38	154	221
230	Mark Anderson	37	152	226
231	Rob Oppenheim	49	151	228
232	Kevin Tway	45	150	234
233	Matthew Jordan	37	148	229
234	Renato Paratore	46	147	235
235	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	30	147	231
236	Ashun Wu	36	146	236
237	Fabrizio Zanotti	31	146	240
238	Bronson Burgoon	45	145	232
239	Greyson Sigg	11	145	243
240	Brandon Stone	42	144	233
241	Michael Gligic	47	143	237
242	Jung-gon Hwang	9	142	246
243	Henrik Stenson	37	142	241
244	Marcus Armitage	39	141	247
245	Rikuya Hoshino	24	140	248
246	Matthieu Pavon	46	140	239
247	Ollie Schniederjans	9	139	255
248	Masahiro Kawamura	53	138	244
249	Scott Jamieson	41	136	251
250	Sean Crocker	44	136	245
251	Grant Forrest	44	136	254
252	Eddie Pepperell	36	136	252
253	Richard Sterne	20	136	250
254	Joachim B Hansen	46	135	253
255	Darren Fichardt	23	134	258
256	Romain Langasque	43	131	257
257	Jacques Kruyswijk	25	131	262
258	Paul Waring	34	130	242
259	Tim Wilkinson	33	130	261
260	Travis Smyth	9	130	266
261	MJ Daffue	15	130	264
262	Bo Van Pelt	46	129	259
263	Jamie Donaldson	40	128	293
264	Nick Watney	42	127	256
265	Takumi Kanaya	20	126	270
266	Chris Paisley	42	125	260
267	Connor Syme	39	125	271
268	Adrian Otaegui	49	125	272
269	Wilco Nienaber	37	124	265
270	David Lingmerth	21	124	305
271	Seung-yul Noh	16	123	279
272	Matthew Southgate	47	123	267
273	Fabian Gomez	44	123	263
274	Jack Senior	41	122	268
275	Edoardo Molinari	42	122	277
276	Wil Besseling	38	121	278
277	David Horsey	43	121	294
278	Callum Shinkwin	38	121	300
279	Austin Cook	49	119	273
280	Scott Vincent	33	119	280
281	JJ Spaun	46	118	276
282	Jorge Campillo	49	118	286
283	Pablo Larrazabal	42	118	282
284	Chris Baker	40	117	274
285	Brandon Wu	14	116	281
286	Hugo Leon	17	116	285
287	Gavin Green	42	115	275
288	Joakim Lagergren	38	115	283
289	Jazz Janewattananond	42	114	287
290	Kyung-nam Kang	9	114	289
291	Chris Stroud	22	114	291
292	Kristoffer Ventura	46	112	288
293	Jeff Winther	39	111	284
294	Daniel van Tonder	20	111	302
295	Marc Warren	31	109	290
296	Davis Thompson	10	109	269
297	Joohyung Kim	9	109	297
298	Ben Taylor	37	107	366
299	Haotong Li	41	107	295
300	Justin Walters	50	106	299
301	Ted Potter	44	106	296
302	James Morrison	48	102	314
303	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	101	301
304	Akshay Bhatia	18	100	298
305	Chase Hanna	11	100	292
306	Alexander Levy	45	99	332
307	Adrian Meronk	36	97	311
308	Aaron Baddeley	39	97	303
309	John Catlin	39	97	306
310	Nicolas Colsaerts	36	97	310
311	Scott Harrington	52	97	304
312	David Hearn	44	95	313
313	Michael Gellerman	34	94	308
314	Craig Howie	15	94	316
315	Jonathan Byrd	27	94	317
316	Zander Lombard	44	94	312
317	Shubhankar Sharma	51	92	330
318	Ryosuke Kinoshita	20	92	319
319	Roberto Castro	17	92	318
320	Thorbjorn Olesen	21	91	309
321	Dale Whitnell	39	91	340
322	Jayden Trey Schaper	12	90	320
323	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	37	90	351
324	Stephan Jaeger	11	90	325
325	Louis de Jager	33	90	315
326	Brian Gay	49	88	322
327	Nino Bertasio	36	87	323
328	Hennie du Plessis	10	86	326
329	Niall Kearney	17	86	328
330	Robert Rock	30	85	321
331	Maximilian Kieffer	42	84	347
332	Sebastian Heisele	28	84	331
333	Daniel Hillier	10	84	307
334	Maverick Antcliff	37	84	335
335	Darius van Driel	36	83	329
336	Kyung-tae Kim	9	83	336
337	Scott Hend	49	83	327
338	Josh Teater	33	83	324
339	Niklas Lemke	37	81	334
340	Francesco Laporta	36	81	339
341	Steven Brown	47	81	333
342	Zach Murray	15	81	338
343	Tomoharu Otsuki	22	81	343
344	Brendan Jones	8	80	342
345	Shugo Imahira	24	80	344
346	Brad Kennedy	17	79	345
347	Oscar Lengden	12	78	349
348	Anthony Quayle	11	78	348
349	Stephen Gallacher	32	77	337
350	Sebastian Cappelen	43	77	341
351	Sihwan Kim	36	75	354
352	Ryan Brehm	39	75	346
353	Bill Haas	35	73	352
354	Ashley Chesters	45	73	375
355	Alejandro Canizares	44	73	355
356	Rafael Campos	35	72	353
357	Ben Stow	17	72	360
358	Wes Roach	31	72	350
359	Sang-hee Lee	9	71	359
360	Grayson Murray	37	71	356
361	Rhein Gibson	42	69	358
362	Adrien Saddier	40	69	357
363	Tapio Pulkkanen	43	69	364
364	Matthias Schmid	10	69	369
365	Alex Cejka	15	69	362
366	JC Ritchie	20	68	368
367	Jaco Ahlers	9	67	367
368	DJ Trahan	43	67	361
369	Soren Kjeldsen	42	66	370
370	Gunn Charoenkul	16	66	372
371	Nacho Elvira	48	66	371
372	Clement Sordet	37	66	391
373	Bryce Easton	29	66	363
374	Nelson Ledesma	37	65	373
375	Nicolai Hojgaard	38	64	396
376	Seung-su Han	13	64	376
377	Julien Guerrier	39	63	380
378	Daniel Gavins	20	63	365
379	David Law	48	62	378
380	Andrew Dodt	8	62	382
381	Jonas Blixt	8	62
382	Sebastian Soderberg	40	62	377
383	Alejandro Del Rey	9	62	381
384	Sebi Garcia	10	62	387
385	Nick Cullen	8	62	392
386	Brett Rumford	8	61	389
387	Oliver Farr	36	61	379
388	Trevor Immelman	8	61	398
389	Lorenzo Gagli	47	61	383
390	Andy Ogletree	9	60	390
391	Sang-hyun Park	10	59	386
392	Aaron Cockerill	36	59	384
393	Josh Geary	11	59	374
394	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	30	58	385
395	Yuki Inamori	21	58	395
396	Mikumu Horikawa	22	58	394
397	Garrick Porteous	35	58	388
398	Daijiro Izumida	18	57	397
399	Ryuko Tokimatsu	19	56	400
400	Jonathan Caldwell	38	56	399
More \| Less

A look at the Wyndham Championship

August 9, 2021 Thomas Hawley Narrative

Here are two important things to know about this week’s Wyndham Championship in Greensboro NC:

This is Webb Simpson, country.
This is the last week for Tour players to move into the top 125 of the FedEx Cup standings and thus qualify for the upcoming series of three FedEx Cup events, and, more importantly, become fully exempt for next year’s PGA Tour.

Simpson, the second pick based on the Hawley Ratings data analysis, has a record that is little short of fantastic in this event. Simpson, a North Carolina native and Charlotte resident, missed the cut in 2009, his first appearance in the event. In the 12 years since then, he has won once (2011), finished second twice, finished third twice, finished in the top 10 an additional four times, and made the cut the other two times. Currently he is working on a streak of four years in a row with finishes of second or third.

The computer pick is Louis Oosthuizen, who at age 38 is experiencing the most extended period of high-level success in his career. Since late April, he has nine appearances and has finished second four times, including two majors, the U.S. Open and PGA. In PGA Tour events, he’s been in the top 20 eight out of eight tries.

Here’s a list of guys on or near the bubble for FedEx Cup status:

FedEx rank	Player	Playing?	FedEx pts	Hawley Rating	Trend
115	Dylan Frittelli	yes	453	407.3	so-so
116	Richy Werenski	yes	452	329.6	way down
117	Scott Stallings	yes	447	302.6	up
118	Anirban Lahiri	yes	446	190.1	up
119	Brice Garnett	yes	445	297.2	down
120	CT Pan	yes	440	272.9	so-so
121	Adam Scott	yes	437	633.2	so-so
122	Ryan Armour	yes	434	295.5	way up
123	Patrick Rodgers	yes	433	312.9	way up
124	Matt Kuchar	yes	431	414.7	way down
125	Bo Hoag	yes	428	272.5	up
126	Scott Piercy	yes	423	308.7	way down
127	Nate Lashley	yes	407	210.9	way down
128	Michael Thompson	yes	403	272.9	so-so
129	Camilo Villegas	yes	402	232.7	down
130	Rickie Fowler	yes	402	482.8	way down
131	Roger Sloan	yes	398	217.4	way up
132	Chesson Hadley	yes	393	227.3	down
133	Cameron Percy	yes	385	185.8	way up
134	Austin Cook	yes	383	123.0	so-so
135	Chase Seiffert	yes	380	220.6	down
136	Tommy Fleetwood	yes	379	607.3	so-so
137	Charles Howell	no	378	383.3	way up
138	Justin Rose	yes	374	575.7	way down
139	Vincent Whaley	yes	373	236.6	so-so
140	Francesco Molinari	yes	353	415.7	way down

(Notes: A win in this event is worth 300 FedEx Cup points. Points scale down to 40 for 10th place, continuing to 3.11 for 60th place, and slightly diminishing beyond that. The “Trend” column reflects a player’s last four appearances in comparison to the listed Hawley Rating.)

Names that catch your eye might include Bo Hoag and Roger Sloan. Both are solid recently. Hoag is right on the top-125 cutoff line and needs at least a few points to stay on the good sign of that line. Sloan, a 34-year-old Canadian, is finishing strong with five straight made cuts, including a top-20 and top-10 (Barracuda) in his last two appearances. Sloan probably needs something close to another top-10 to make it.

Some other players of note include Hideki Matsuyama, Mito Pereira, and Hank Lebioda, Matsuyama was part of that big bronze-medal playoff in the Olympics and then returned to the U.S. to make it into another playoff at the WGC FedEx, where he again failed to win. Pereira is a 26-year-old Chilean who made his first PGA Tour cut in his fifth try last month. Since then he’s made four cuts in a row, including a streak of fifth-sixth-fourth in the Barbasol, 3M, and Olympics. Lebioda came into the 3M on a similar streak of three straight top-10s, then withdrew after the second round due to a family medical emergency in Florida involving his father.

The event venue, the Sedgefield Country Club, is a Donald Ross design dating to 1926. It’s has been the site of the event for the last 14 years. The top100golfcourses.com website quotes Daniel Wexler in his book The American Private Golf Club Guide as saying, “Routed over a rolling, wooded landscape, it is a strong, well-balanced test. Sedgefield serves as positive proof that a Golden Age design needn’t be mangled beyond recognition to remain tournament relevant in the new millennium.”

Wyndham Championship

August 9, 2021 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Louis Oosthuizen

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Louis Oosthuizen	28.0	DNP
2	Webb Simpson	31.9	7
3	Hideki Matsuyama	39.0	75
4	Mito Pereira	40.5	108
5	Hank Lebioda	40.7	75
6	Brian Harman	41.0	91
7	Sam Burns	43.8	DNP
8	Russell Henley	44.8	7
9	Seamus Power	45.0	60
10	Jason Kokrak	48.2	140
11	Talor Gooch	48.7	91
12	Charl Schwartzel	50.6	151
13	Jhonattan Vegas	50.7	15
14	Bubba Watson	51.1	46
15	Kevin Streelman	51.2	7
16	Kevin Kisner	51.9	1
17	Patrick Reed	52.0	DNP
18	Brandt Snedeker	53.1	140
19	Sungjae Im	53.8	24
20	Mac Hughes	55.3	37
21	Will Zalatoris	55.5	29
22	Adam Scott	55.7	2
23	Brandon Hagy	55.9	91
24	Brian Stuard	56.0	15
25	Kevin Na	56.0	2
26	Sebastian Munoz	56.3	29
27	Tommy Fleetwood	56.6	65
28	Pat Perez	57.5	DNP
29	Adam Schenk	58.1	108
30	Patton Kizzire	59.2	108
31	Joel Dahmen	60.0	91
32	Ryan Armour	60.0	132
33	Gary Woodland	60.1	75
34	Harold Varner	60.8	57
35	Patrick Rodgers	61.0	75
36	Chez Reavie	61.3	132
37	Branden Grace	61.7	2
38	JT Poston	62.0	108
39	Zach Johnson	62.2	108
40	Roger Sloan	62.3	2
41	Luke List	63.1	91
42	Lucas Glover	63.2	132
43	Lanto Griffin	63.7	91
44	Jim Herman	63.8	108
45	Doug Ghim	63.8	75
46	Si Woo Kim	64.2	2
47	Henrik Norlander	64.2	DNP
48	Scott Stallings	64.3	75
49	Justin Rose	64.5	10
50	Rickie Fowler	64.6	138
51	Mark Hubbard	64.6	51
52	Dylan Frittelli	65.0	75
53	Bo Hoag	65.3	75
54	Rory Sabbatini	65.3	10
55	Aaron Wise	65.4	46
56	Sam Ryder	65.5	35
57	Kramer Hickok	65.5	138
58	Matthew Wolff	65.6	91
59	Jason Dufner	65.7	24
60	Francesco Molinari	65.7	108
61	Chris Kirk	65.8	29
62	Adam Long	65.8	91
63	Ryan Moore	66.3	75
64	Brice Garnett	66.6	51
65	KH Lee	67.2	24
66	Adam Hadwin	67.4	10
67	CT Pan	67.5	29
68	Keith Mitchell	67.5	55
69	Bo Van Pelt	67.6	108
70	Michael Thompson	67.7	75
71	Cameron Percy	67.8	37
72	Matt Jones	67.9	70
73	Erik Van Rooyen	68.1	37
74	Kyle Stanley	68.4	108
75	Brendon Todd	68.4	10
76	Joseph Bramlett	68.5	91
77	Vincent Whaley	68.6	140
78	Scott Piercy	69.3	15
79	Sepp Straka	69.3	15
80	Kevin Tway	69.8	46
81	Anirban Lahiri	69.8	46
82	Andrew Putnam	70.1	108
83	Byeong Hun An	70.3	35
84	Scott Brown	70.3	91
85	Hudson Swafford	70.5	37
86	Camilo Villegas	70.5	46
87	James Hahn	70.5	62
88	Matt Kuchar	70.8	29
89	Rafa Cabrera Bello	70.8	DNP
90	Padraig Harrington	70.9	132
91	Martin Laird	71.0	75
92	Doc Redman	71.1	75
93	Matthew NeSmith	71.1	91
94	Nick Taylor	71.2	10
95	Satoshi Kodaira	71.3	132
96	Beau Hossler	71.4	65
97	Robert Streb	71.4	140
98	Tom Hoge	71.4	108
99	Vaughn Taylor	71.6	DNP
100	Luke Donald	71.6	91
101	Denny McCarthy	71.6	15
102	Russell Knox	71.7	24
103	Richy Werenski	71.7	37
104	Tom Lewis	71.7	151
105	Chase Seiffert	71.8	91
106	Scott Harrington	72.0	108
107	Chesson Hadley	72.2	15
108	Harry Higgs	72.3	15
109	Xinjun Zhang	72.5	75
110	Peter Malnati	72.6	124
111	Austin Cook	72.6	140
112	Michael Gligic	72.8	65
113	Josh Teater	72.8	146
114	Wyndham Clark	72.8	150
115	Ben Taylor	72.8	24
116	Nick Watney	72.9	91
117	Tyler Duncan	73.1	57
118	Ben Martin	73.1	70
119	Will Gordon	73.1	75
120	Mark Anderson	73.2	57
121	Robby Shelton	73.3	132
122	Nate Lashley	73.3	73
123	Bill Haas	73.3	91
124	Aaron Baddeley	73.5	146
125	Andrew Landry	73.5	51
126	Chris Baker	73.7	70
127	JJ Spaun	73.8	91
128	Rob Oppenheim	73.8	62
129	Tyler McCumber	73.8	15
130	Bronson Burgoon	73.9	60
131	Ryan Brehm	74.0	124
132	Michael Gellerman	74.2	140
133	Fabian Gomez	74.2	108
134	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	74.3	37
135	Rafael Campos	74.3	74
136	Nelson Ledesma	74.8	62
137	Ted Potter	75.1	124
138	Sung Kang	75.3	15
139	Kristoffer Ventura	75.4	124
140	DJ Trahan	75.4	108
141	Brian Gay	75.6	51
142	KJ Choi	75.7	108
143	Rhein Gibson	75.8	75
144	Sebastian Cappelen	76.2	124
145	Michael Kim	76.2	65
146	Martin Trainer	76.9	124
147	Alex Smalley	76.9	29
148	Davis Thompson	77.8	124
149	Wes Roach	81.1	146
150	Roberto Castro	81.1	DNP
151	Johnson Wagner	81.4	55
152	Shawn Stefani	82.1	157
153	Matt Every	82.6	155
154	Zack Sucher	82.9	DNP
155	Dominic Bozzelli	83.0	157
156	John Senden	83.1	75
157	Jonas Blixt	83.2	153
158	Kevin Stadler	83.4	DNP
159	Matt Vick	83.4	156
160	Ryan Blaum	83.6	157
	David Lingmerth	late entry	39
	John Augenstein	late entry	41
	Austin Eckroat	late entry	42
	Robert MacIntyre	late entry	68
	John Huh	late entry	105
	Connor Arendell	late entry	115
	Sean O’Hair	late entry	129
	Akshay Bhatia	late entry	149
	Jacob Bergeron	late entry	153
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 33. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Cazoo Classic

August 9, 2021 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Victor Perez

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Victor Perez	64.6	13
2	Bernd Wiesberger	68.7	21
3	Vincent Norman	69.6	99
4	Andy Sullivan	70.5	13
5	Richard Bland	71.8	3
6	Richie Ramsay	72.0	9
7	Wade Ormsby	72.6	99
8	Marcel Siem	72.8	21
9	Mikko Korhonen	73.2	99
10	Ryan Fox	73.5	13
11	Ross Fisher	73.6	55
12	Marcus Kinhult	73.8	64
13	Kalle Samooja	73.8	8
14	Benjamin Hebert	74.0	87
15	Matthew Jordan	74.4	47
16	Rasmus Hojgaard	74.4	3
17	Jordan Smith	74.5	9
18	Sami Valimaki	74.6	44
19	Grant Forrest	74.6	DNP
20	Masahiro Kawamura	74.7	55
21	Matthieu Pavon	74.7	119
22	Jack Senior	75.0	125
23	Sean Crocker	75.2	87
24	Laurie Canter	75.2	69
25	Chase Hanna	75.3	69
26	Paul Waring	75.6	125
27	Marcus Armitage	75.6	DNP
28	Chris Paisley	75.7	99
29	Brandon Stone	75.7	99
30	Justin Walters	75.8	40
31	Eddie Pepperell	75.9	29
32	Joachim B Hansen	75.9	29
33	Calum Hill	75.9	1
34	Hugo Leon	75.9	DNP
35	Wil Besseling	76.0	29
36	Jeff Winther	76.1	87
37	Matthew Southgate	76.2	44
38	Gavin Green	76.3	138
39	Wilco Nienaber	76.3	87
40	Jorge Campillo	76.5	21
41	Daniel Hillier	76.5	114
42	Callum Shinkwin	76.6	3
43	Louis de Jager	76.7	87
44	Daniel van Tonder	77.0	21
45	David Horsey	77.0	13
46	Darius van Driel	77.0	47
47	Marc Warren	77.0	69
48	Haotong Li	77.1	141
49	Sihwan Kim	77.1	29
50	Niall Kearney	77.2	35
51	John Catlin	77.2	51
52	David Law	77.3	99
53	James Morrison	77.4	13
54	Jamie Donaldson	77.5	3
55	Alexander Levy	77.5	2
56	Shubhankar Sharma	77.6	9
57	Sebastian Heisele	77.6	DNP
58	Bryce Easton	77.7	69
59	Maverick Antcliff	77.8	35
60	Scott Hend	77.9	87
61	Oliver Farr	77.9	87
62	Robert Rock	78.0	69
63	Steven Brown	78.0	69
64	Niklas Lemke	78.0	44
65	Maximilian Kieffer	78.0	21
66	Garrick Porteous	78.1	60
67	Ashley Chesters	78.1	13
68	Alejandro Canizares	78.1	40
69	Thorbjorn Olesen	78.1	69
70	Stephen Gallacher	78.2	64
71	Dale Whitnell	78.2	13
72	Alvaro Quiros	78.3	35
73	Daniel Gavins	78.4	109
74	Adrien Saddier	78.4	129
75	Josh Geary	78.7	69
76	Nicolai Hojgaard	78.8	21
77	Aaron Cockerill	78.8	69
78	Lorenzo Gagli	78.8	40
79	Marcel Schneider	78.9	119
80	David Drysdale	78.9	51
81	Clement Sordet	79.0	21
82	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	79.0	87
83	Jonathan Caldwell	79.1	55
84	Bradley Dredge	79.2	60
85	David Dixon	79.2	114
86	Dave Coupland	79.3	99
87	Richard McEvoy	79.4	138
88	Jonathan Thomson	79.4	55
89	Cormac Sharvin	79.4	138
90	Yi Keun Chang	79.5	29
91	Robin Sciot-Siegrist	79.5	66
92	Oliver Fisher	79.6	119
93	Jordan Wrisdale	79.7	69
94	SSP Chawrasia	79.8	99
95	Pep Angles	79.9	114
96	Lucas Bjerregaard	79.9	35
97	Toby Tree	79.9	60
98	Gaganjeet Bhullar	79.9	87
99	Dimitrios Papadatos	79.9	DNP
100	Berry Henson	79.9	51
101	Julian Suri	79.9	60
102	Matthew Baldwin	80.0	119
103	Kristoffer Reitan	80.0	129
104	Chris Wood	80.1	119
105	Rhys Enoch	80.1	13
106	Deyen Lawson	80.2	69
107	Paul Peterson	80.2	55
108	Ben Evans	80.2	9
109	Benjamin Poke	80.2	69
110	Lars van Meijel	80.2	7
111	Ricardo Santos	80.3	129
112	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	80.3	69
113	Joel Stalter	80.3	51
114	Matt Ford	80.4	47
115	Jake McLeod	80.4	114
116	Damien Perrier	80.4	109
117	David Howell	80.5	69
118	Oliver Wilson	80.6	35
119	Philip Eriksson	80.6	87
120	Pedro Figueiredo	80.6	69
121	Lee Slattery	80.7	40
122	Ajeetesh Sandhu	80.7	134
123	Haydn Porteous	80.9	141
124	Tom Gandy	80.9	99
125	Emilio Cuartero Blanco	80.9	69
126	Ross McGowan	81.0	67
127	Carlos Pigem	81.0	129
128	Shiv Kapur	81.0	99
129	Paul Dunne	81.0	WD
130	Tyler Koivisto	81.1	69
131	Anton Karlsson	81.2	47
132	Euan Walker	81.2	114
133	Aaron Zemmer	81.2	134
134	Steven Tiley	81.2	87
135	Daniel Young	81.3	29
136	Janne Kaske	81.4	134
137	Suradit Yongcharoenchai	81.4	87
138	Alfie Plant	81.4	109
139	Pontus Nyholm	81.4	109
140	Adrien Pendaries	81.4	119
141	Jack Cope	81.4	WD
142	Laird Shepherd	81.4	68
143	Matthew Cort	81.4	69
144	Jesper Sandborg	81.4	129
145	Gary Stal	81.6	125
	Bryden Macpherson	late entry	24
	Rob Harris	late entry	110
	Thomas Thurloway	late entry	127
	Liam Robinson	late entry	135
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 58. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

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