A Look at Golf – Page 52 – Alookatgolf provides information for the professional golf fan, fantasy golf enthusiast, and daily fantasy sports golf participant. We provide true odds on U.S. and European professional golf events and accurate rankings of U.S. and European pro golfers.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 8, 2021)

August 9, 2021 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Jon Rahm, idle since the British Open, is no. 1 moving into the home stretch of the PGA Tour season.

#	Thru Aug. 8, 2021	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Jon Rahm	41	1458	1
2	Xander Schauffele	43	1259	2
3	Daniel Berger	39	1234	3
4	Bryson DeChambeau	42	1139	5
5	Collin Morikawa	46	1121	4
6	Rory McIlroy	42	1113	6
7	Dustin Johnson	36	1107	8
8	Louis Oosthuizen	42	1074	9
9	Justin Thomas	44	1070	7
10	Webb Simpson	35	1046	10
11	Paul Casey	43	1003	14
12	Harris English	46	987	16
13	Scottie Scheffler	52	986	12
14	Abraham Ancer	52	964	19
15	Patrick Cantlay	37	958	13
16	Jordan Spieth	40	956	17
17	Brooks Koepka	33	954	11
18	Patrick Reed	55	932	15
19	Matthew Fitzpatrick	49	892	18
20	Hideki Matsuyama	47	888	23
21	Tyrrell Hatton	40	879	21
22	Tony Finau	52	877	20
23	Viktor Hovland	50	837	22
24	Brian Harman	48	795	24
25	Cameron Smith	45	782	27
26	Will Zalatoris	30	778	28
27	Corey Conners	52	751	25
28	Jason Kokrak	46	735	26
29	Ryan Palmer	43	722	29
30	Shane Lowry	48	688	32
31	Russell Henley	42	683	31
32	Joaquin Niemann	50	678	33
33	Sungjae Im	61	677	30
34	Sam Burns	43	669	43
35	Ian Poulter	48	662	40
36	Billy Horschel	48	659	36
37	Bubba Watson	43	659	34
38	Sergio Garcia	44	641	37
39	Charley Hoffman	48	636	38
40	Adam Scott	32	633	35
41	Jason Day	38	622	42
42	Tommy Fleetwood	46	607	39
43	Kevin Streelman	50	606	44
44	Max Homa	48	603	41
45	Talor Gooch	49	599	45
46	Cameron Tringale	44	587	47
47	Kevin Na	45	577	48
48	Justin Rose	41	576	46
49	Alex Noren	49	562	51
50	Marc Leishman	45	555	49
51	Gary Woodland	44	551	53
52	Keegan Bradley	45	542	54
53	Kevin Kisner	47	541	50
54	Matthew Wolff	41	537	61
55	Seamus Power	28	535	55
56	Charl Schwartzel	39	528	56
57	Joel Dahmen	47	522	59
58	Robert MacIntyre	44	519	63
59	Maverick McNealy	48	517	58
60	Lee Westwood	45	515	60
61	Tiger Woods	12	509	57
62	Mito Pereira	10	499	52
63	Mac Hughes	49	485	68
64	Rickie Fowler	40	483	65
65	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	47	481	66
66	Lanto Griffin	56	480	67
67	Brendan Steele	43	478	62
68	Si Woo Kim	52	473	64
69	Brendon Todd	55	470	69
70	Bud Cauley	21	467	70
71	Sebastian Munoz	57	460	72
72	Emiliano Grillo	51	460	71
73	Cameron Davis	48	448	73
74	Patton Kizzire	46	426	78
75	Chris Kirk	36	425	77
76	Erik Van Rooyen	50	423	92
77	Cameron Champ	47	422	80
78	Harold Varner	50	420	83
79	Brandt Snedeker	43	420	75
80	Jhonattan Vegas	43	420	79
81	Zach Johnson	40	419	82
82	Victor Perez	40	418	74
83	Matt Wallace	54	417	81
84	Francesco Molinari	25	416	84
85	Matt Kuchar	45	415	76
86	Carlos Ortiz	49	410	86
87	Dylan Frittelli	51	407	89
88	Phil Mickelson	39	407	100
89	Stewart Cink	41	406	87
90	JT Poston	51	404	90
91	Hank Lebioda	43	402	94
92	Branden Grace	48	401	91
93	Lucas Glover	49	400	85
94	Adam Long	53	400	93
95	Lucas Herbert	35	398	95
96	Adam Hadwin	45	392	88
97	Keith Mitchell	46	386	99
98	Charles Howell	43	383	98
99	Aaron Wise	39	380	97
100	Thomas Pieters	36	375	96
101	Matt Jones	51	362	101
102	Chez Reavie	53	349	102
103	Henrik Norlander	54	349	105
104	Doc Redman	49	348	103
105	Troy Merritt	57	347	104
106	Rory Sabbatini	50	346	106
107	Doug Ghim	43	345	107
108	Wesley Bryan	15	343	108
109	David Lipsky	21	342	110
110	Guido Migliozzi	42	334	111
111	Sepp Straka	55	333	113
112	Danny Willett	47	331	112
113	Richy Werenski	49	330	109
114	Harry Higgs	51	327	115
115	Luke List	51	326	116
116	Mark Hubbard	56	322	114
117	Matthew NeSmith	52	318	119
118	KH Lee	55	315	117
119	Brandon Hagy	44	314	133
120	Patrick Rodgers	60	313	127
121	James Hahn	35	309	122
122	Kyle Stanley	47	309	121
123	Scott Piercy	43	309	136
124	Tom Hoge	56	307	120
125	Pat Perez	47	305	123
126	Ryan Moore	31	303	118
127	Scott Stallings	45	303	132
128	Byeong Hun An	51	302	125
129	Brice Garnett	48	297	128
130	Bernd Wiesberger	44	296	129
131	Ryan Armour	48	295	126
132	Wyndham Clark	48	295	124
133	Thomas Detry	47	293	130
134	Martin Kaymer	36	289	134
135	Adam Schenk	55	287	142
136	Steve Stricker	22	285	135
137	Brian Stuard	58	284	131
138	Taylor Pendrith	9	282	164
139	Andrew Putnam	48	281	146
140	CT Pan	48	273	141
141	Michael Thompson	43	273	144
142	Kramer Hickok	42	273	140
143	Bo Hoag	54	273	137
144	Andy Sullivan	45	271	138
145	Tom Lewis	52	270	139
146	Aaron Rai	42	265	156
147	Padraig Harrington	38	256	145
148	Rafa Cabrera Bello	54	256	143
149	Danny Lee	44	253	148
150	Russell Knox	54	251	147
151	Denny McCarthy	51	250	150
152	Jeunghun Wang	18	246	154
153	Jason Scrivener	43	246	153
154	Matthias Schwab	45	245	152
155	Vincent Whaley	42	237	167
156	Beau Hossler	52	236	155
157	Antoine Rozner	37	234	161
158	Camilo Villegas	28	233	157
159	Justin Suh	17	232	151
160	Vaughn Taylor	49	228	158
161	Chesson Hadley	44	227	159
162	Martin Laird	37	226	162
163	Nick Taylor	46	224	160
164	Sam Ryder	55	223	165
165	Chase Seiffert	46	221	163
166	Joseph Bramlett	46	220	171
167	Roger Sloan	45	217	189
168	Jack Singh Brar	19	214	168
169	Peter Malnati	49	214	170
170	Nate Lashley	44	211	166
171	Kurt Kitayama	40	210	169
172	Sean O’Hair	23	209	210
173	Justin Harding	51	208	174
174	George Coetzee	34	208	173
175	John Huh	29	208	185
176	Peter Uihlein	30	206	180
177	Will Gordon	41	204	172
178	Jim Herman	42	203	181
179	Hudson Swafford	37	203	178
180	Andrew Johnston	23	202	177
181	Zac Blair	28	202	175
182	Ryan Fox	39	199	176
183	Jimmy Walker	42	199	182
184	Robby Shelton	56	199	186
185	Victor Dubuisson	23	194	191
186	Robert Streb	45	193	192
187	Satoshi Kodaira	40	191	190
188	Anirban Lahiri	35	190	195
189	Kalle Samooja	40	190	193
190	Andrew Landry	44	189	188
191	Marcus Kinhult	34	188	179
192	Ben Martin	35	186	184
193	Cameron Percy	46	186	187
194	Richard Bland	35	185	199
195	Mikko Korhonen	33	185	197
196	Sung Kang	53	182	194
197	Shaun Norris	31	182	201
198	Dean Burmester	47	182	202
199	Adri Arnaus	43	179	204
200	Garrick Higgo	34	179	198
201	Tyler Duncan	59	178	208
202	Sahith Theegala	11	178	211
203	Wade Ormsby	37	177	205
204	Min Woo Lee	35	177	200
205	Marcel Siem	22	175	196
206	Chan Kim	22	174	213
207	Xinjun Zhang	54	173	207
208	Tyler McCumber	43	173	206
209	Ross Fisher	43	172	203
210	Sami Valimaki	33	172	215
211	Graeme McDowell	44	171	212
212	Sam Horsfield	41	169	214
213	Benjamin Hebert	44	169	209
214	Johannes Veerman	39	167	219
215	Richie Ramsay	44	166	217
216	Lee Hodges	10	166	376
217	Jordan Smith	49	166	218
218	Kevin Chappell	27	166	222
219	Joost Luiten	48	163	221
220	Alexander Bjork	40	162	224
221	Luke Donald	37	161	216
222	Laurie Canter	32	161	226
223	Scott Brown	51	160	220
224	JB Holmes	27	158	227
225	Jim Furyk	20	158	228
226	Mark Anderson	37	157	223
227	Jason Dufner	47	156	232
228	Rob Oppenheim	49	156	225
229	Matthew Jordan	36	154	239
230	Rasmus Hojgaard	36	153	234
231	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	30	152	231
232	Bronson Burgoon	45	151	230
233	Brandon Stone	42	151	235
234	Kevin Tway	44	149	238
235	Renato Paratore	47	148	233
236	Ashun Wu	37	148	237
237	Michael Gligic	47	147	236
238	John Augenstein	9	147	243
239	Matthieu Pavon	46	147	240
240	Fabrizio Zanotti	31	146	244
241	Henrik Stenson	38	145	241
242	Paul Waring	34	145	229
243	Greyson Sigg	11	145	332
244	Masahiro Kawamura	53	142	249
245	Sean Crocker	44	142	250
246	Jung-gon Hwang	9	141	251
247	Marcus Armitage	39	141	246
248	Rikuya Hoshino	24	141	252
249	Calum Hill	41	140	258
250	Richard Sterne	20	140	248
251	Scott Jamieson	42	139	242
252	Eddie Pepperell	35	137	245
253	Joachim B Hansen	46	137	247
254	Grant Forrest	44	137	270
255	Ollie Schniederjans	10	136	257
256	Nick Watney	41	134	253
257	Romain Langasque	44	133	254
258	Darren Fichardt	24	133	260
259	Bo Van Pelt	45	132	294
260	Chris Paisley	42	132	266
261	Tim Wilkinson	33	131	259
262	Jacques Kruyswijk	26	131	263
263	Fabian Gomez	44	129	262
264	MJ Daffue	15	129	255
265	Wilco Nienaber	36	129	256
266	Travis Smyth	9	128	268
267	Matthew Southgate	47	128	261
268	Jack Senior	40	127	265
269	Davis Thompson	9	126	272
270	Takumi Kanaya	20	126	269
271	Connor Syme	39	125	264
272	Adrian Otaegui	50	124	274
273	Austin Cook	48	123	301
274	Chris Baker	40	123	267
275	Gavin Green	42	123	273
276	JJ Spaun	45	122	271
277	Edoardo Molinari	43	121	277
278	Wil Besseling	37	121	276
279	Seung-yul Noh	16	121	285
280	Scott Vincent	33	120	284
281	Brandon Wu	14	119	280
282	Pablo Larrazabal	42	119	283
283	Joakim Lagergren	39	118	279
284	Jeff Winther	39	118	275
285	Hugo Leon	18	117	298
286	Jorge Campillo	48	116	286
287	Jazz Janewattananond	42	115	289
288	Kristoffer Ventura	46	115	290
289	Kyung-nam Kang	9	115	291
290	Marc Warren	31	115	281
291	Chris Stroud	22	114	293
292	Chase Hanna	10	114	346
293	Jamie Donaldson	40	114	292
294	David Horsey	42	113	288
295	Haotong Li	40	112	287
296	Ted Potter	43	111	295
297	Joohyung Kim	9	110	297
298	Akshay Bhatia	17	109	282
299	Justin Walters	50	108	303
300	Callum Shinkwin	38	105	304
301	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	105	300
302	Daniel van Tonder	19	104	296
303	Aaron Baddeley	38	103	316
304	Scott Harrington	52	101	318
305	David Lingmerth	21	101	299
306	John Catlin	39	100	306
307	Daniel Hillier	9	99	321
308	Michael Gellerman	34	98	302
309	Thorbjorn Olesen	20	98	308
310	Nicolas Colsaerts	37	98	307
311	Adrian Meronk	36	97	309
312	Zander Lombard	45	97	305
313	David Hearn	45	96	311
314	James Morrison	48	95	331
315	Louis de Jager	33	95	312
316	Craig Howie	15	94	325
317	Jonathan Byrd	28	93	310
318	Roberto Castro	17	92	317
319	Ryosuke Kinoshita	20	92	358
320	Jayden Trey Schaper	12	90	319
321	Robert Rock	30	89	315
322	Brian Gay	48	89	313
323	Nino Bertasio	36	89	320
324	Josh Teater	33	88	314
325	Stephan Jaeger	12	88	343
326	Hennie du Plessis	10	86	328
327	Scott Hend	48	86	322
328	Niall Kearney	16	86	367
329	Darius van Driel	35	85	326
330	Shubhankar Sharma	51	85	340
331	Sebastian Heisele	28	85	336
332	Alexander Levy	45	84	329
333	Steven Brown	47	84	335
334	Niklas Lemke	37	84	324
335	Maverick Antcliff	36	84	338
336	Kyung-tae Kim	9	84	337
337	Stephen Gallacher	32	83	323
338	Zach Murray	15	83	334
339	Francesco Laporta	36	83	327
340	Dale Whitnell	38	83	333
341	Sebastian Cappelen	43	82	330
342	Brendan Jones	8	82	341
343	Tomoharu Otsuki	22	81	345
344	Shugo Imahira	24	81	342
345	Brad Kennedy	17	80	388
346	Ryan Brehm	39	79	374
347	Maximilian Kieffer	42	79	348
348	Anthony Quayle	11	78	350
349	Oscar Lengden	13	78	352
350	Wes Roach	31	77	339
351	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	36	77	349
352	Bill Haas	34	76	375
353	Rafael Campos	35	76	347
354	Sihwan Kim	36	74	373
355	Alejandro Canizares	44	74	353
356	Grayson Murray	38	73	357
357	Adrien Saddier	40	73	354
358	Rhein Gibson	42	72	356
359	Sang-hee Lee	9	71	361
360	Ben Stow	17	71	363
361	DJ Trahan	43	71	355
362	Alex Cejka	15	70	344
363	Bryce Easton	28	70	394
364	Tapio Pulkkanen	44	69	365
365	Daniel Gavins	20	69	360
366	Ben Taylor	37	69	396
367	Jaco Ahlers	9	69	366
368	JC Ritchie	20	68	368
369	Matthias Schmid	10	68	351
370	Soren Kjeldsen	43	67	362
371	Nacho Elvira	48	67	364
372	Gunn Charoenkul	16	67	370
373	Nelson Ledesma	37	67	402
374	Josh Geary	10	66	359
375	Ashley Chesters	45	65	369
376	Seung-su Han	13	65	372
377	Sebastian Soderberg	41	65	371
378	David Law	48	64	414
379	Oliver Farr	35	63	384
380	Julien Guerrier	39	62	380
381	Alejandro Del Rey	9	62	383
382	Andrew Dodt	8	62	381
383	Lorenzo Gagli	47	62	377
384	Aaron Cockerill	35	61	379
385	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	29	61	378
386	Sang-hyun Park	10	60	385
387	Sebi Garcia	10	60	391
388	Garrick Porteous	34	60	416
389	Brett Rumford	9	60	395
390	Andy Ogletree	9	60	390
391	Clement Sordet	36	59	382
392	Nick Cullen	9	59	403
393	Jaco van Zyl	12	58	387
394	Mikumu Horikawa	22	58	392
395	Yuki Inamori	21	58	397
396	Nicolai Hojgaard	37	58	386
397	Daijiro Izumida	18	58	393
398	Trevor Immelman	8	58	407
399	Jonathan Caldwell	37	57	408
400	Ryuko Tokimatsu	19	56	405
More \| Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational

August 2, 2021 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks, U.S. Events

Brooks Koepka

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Brooks Koepka	22.2	54
2	Daniel Berger	22.3	5
3	Xander Schauffele	29.0	46
4	Louis Oosthuizen	29.8	17
5	Collin Morikawa	31.6	26
6	Jordan Spieth	34.3	12
7	Dustin Johnson	34.4	10
8	Scottie Scheffler	38.0	14
9	Paul Casey	38.3	5
10	Matthew Fitzpatrick	38.7	57
11	Patrick Cantlay	39.4	23
12	Justin Thomas	39.6	26
13	Webb Simpson	40.0	15
14	Brian Harman	42.6	36
15	Harris English	43.7	4
16	Bryson DeChambeau	44.3	8
17	Rory McIlroy	44.7	12
18	Abraham Ancer	45.6	1
19	Patrick Reed	46.1	31
20	Viktor Hovland	46.8	36
21	Corey Conners	46.9	36
22	Jason Kokrak	49.7	34
23	Tony Finau	50.3	34
24	Tyrrell Hatton	50.4	17
25	Cameron Smith	50.6	5
26	Joaquin Niemann	51.5	17
27	Hideki Matsuyama	52.0	2
28	Ian Poulter	53.4	10
29	Adam Scott	53.8	36
30	Sergio Garcia	54.2	26
31	Shane Lowry	54.8	23
32	Sungjae Im	55.6	46
33	Will Zalatoris	56.2	8
34	Ryan Palmer	56.3	26
35	Billy Horschel	56.8	17
36	Tommy Fleetwood	56.8	46
37	Max Homa	58.1	51
38	Kevin Kisner	58.2	63
39	Sam Burns	58.6	2
40	Robert MacIntyre	58.8	15
41	Marc Leishman	59.9	36
42	Kevin Na	60.0	23
43	Justin Rose	60.2	54
44	Phil Mickelson	62.5	17
45	Cameron Davis	62.7	60
46	Stewart Cink	63.7	43
47	Matthew Wolff	63.9	17
48	Si Woo Kim	64.1	65
49	Lee Westwood	64.4	31
50	Lucas Herbert	65.0	36
51	Lucas Glover	65.3	57
52	Cameron Champ	65.4	31
53	Matt Jones	65.8	51
54	Carlos Ortiz	66.7	36
55	Victor Perez	68.0	61
56	Aaron Rai	68.8	26
57	KH Lee	69.0	54
58	Jim Herman	69.2	46
59	Min Woo Lee	71.2	62
60	Robert Streb	71.8	46
61	Wade Ormsby	72.1	51
62	Martin Laird	72.1	57
63	Garrick Higgo	72.6	WD
64	Wilco Nienaber	74.2	64
65	Brad Kennedy	690.4	43
66	Ryosuke Kinoshita	5252.1	43
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 47. The average is 138. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 1, 2021)

August 2, 2021 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Jon Rahm, idle since the British Open, is no. 1 moving into the home stretch of the PGA Tour season.

#	Thru Aug. 2, 2021	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Jon Rahm	42	1460	1
2	Xander Schauffele	43	1300	2
3	Daniel Berger	38	1197	3
4	Collin Morikawa	46	1130	4
5	Bryson DeChambeau	42	1112	5
6	Rory McIlroy	42	1105	7
7	Justin Thomas	44	1087	6
8	Dustin Johnson	36	1078	8
9	Louis Oosthuizen	42	1068	9
10	Webb Simpson	35	1035	10
11	Brooks Koepka	33	992	11
12	Scottie Scheffler	52	970	12
13	Patrick Cantlay	37	965	13
14	Paul Casey	43	962	15
15	Patrick Reed	55	944	14
16	Harris English	46	942	17
17	Jordan Spieth	40	934	16
18	Matthew Fitzpatrick	48	924	18
19	Abraham Ancer	52	916	19
20	Tony Finau	52	893	20
21	Tyrrell Hatton	39	869	21
22	Viktor Hovland	50	849	22
23	Hideki Matsuyama	47	841	23
24	Brian Harman	47	810	24
25	Corey Conners	52	765	25
26	Jason Kokrak	46	746	26
27	Cameron Smith	44	736	29
28	Will Zalatoris	30	729	27
29	Ryan Palmer	43	724	28
30	Sungjae Im	61	695	30
31	Russell Henley	42	681	32
32	Shane Lowry	48	681	31
33	Joaquin Niemann	50	660	36
34	Bubba Watson	43	658	34
35	Adam Scott	32	652	33
36	Billy Horschel	48	643	35
37	Sergio Garcia	43	638	37
38	Charley Hoffman	48	636	38
39	Tommy Fleetwood	46	629	40
40	Ian Poulter	48	628	39
41	Max Homa	48	622	41
42	Jason Day	39	622	42
43	Sam Burns	42	607	43
44	Kevin Streelman	50	603	44
45	Talor Gooch	49	600	45
46	Justin Rose	41	594	46
47	Cameron Tringale	44	587	48
48	Kevin Na	44	570	49
49	Marc Leishman	45	567	47
50	Kevin Kisner	47	561	50
51	Alex Noren	49	560	51
52	Mito Pereira	9	548	94
53	Gary Woodland	44	545	52
54	Keegan Bradley	46	542	53
55	Seamus Power	29	529	56
56	Charl Schwartzel	39	528	55
57	Tiger Woods	13	523	54
58	Maverick McNealy	48	519	57
59	Joel Dahmen	47	514	58
60	Lee Westwood	45	514	59
61	Matthew Wolff	40	508	60
62	Brendan Steele	42	499	61
63	Robert MacIntyre	44	489	62
64	Si Woo Kim	52	487	64
65	Rickie Fowler	41	484	65
66	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	47	483	68
67	Lanto Griffin	57	482	66
68	Mac Hughes	49	482	63
69	Brendon Todd	56	471	69
70	Bud Cauley	21	471	67
71	Emiliano Grillo	51	465	70
72	Sebastian Munoz	57	462	75
73	Cameron Davis	48	462	71
74	Victor Perez	39	442	73
75	Brandt Snedeker	43	440	72
76	Matt Kuchar	45	433	74
77	Chris Kirk	36	426	76
78	Patton Kizzire	46	424	78
79	Jhonattan Vegas	43	421	91
80	Cameron Champ	47	418	80
81	Matt Wallace	54	417	81
82	Zach Johnson	40	417	83
83	Harold Varner	50	417	79
84	Francesco Molinari	26	415	82
85	Lucas Glover	49	414	84
86	Carlos Ortiz	48	414	77
87	Stewart Cink	40	413	86
88	Adam Hadwin	45	410	85
89	Dylan Frittelli	52	407	87
90	JT Poston	52	406	88
91	Branden Grace	47	405	89
92	Erik Van Rooyen	50	404	90
93	Adam Long	54	401	92
94	Hank Lebioda	44	400	93
95	Lucas Herbert	34	397	95
96	Thomas Pieters	36	394	101
97	Aaron Wise	38	393	96
98	Charles Howell	44	387	97
99	Keith Mitchell	47	386	98
100	Phil Mickelson	39	374	100
101	Matt Jones	50	373	99
102	Chez Reavie	53	357	102
103	Doc Redman	48	357	105
104	Troy Merritt	57	356	103
105	Henrik Norlander	55	348	104
106	Rory Sabbatini	51	347	126
107	Doug Ghim	44	344	106
108	Wesley Bryan	15	342	108
109	Richy Werenski	49	339	107
110	David Lipsky	22	339	110
111	Guido Migliozzi	42	334	111
112	Danny Willett	47	333	109
113	Sepp Straka	55	332	124
114	Mark Hubbard	56	330	112
115	Harry Higgs	52	327	113
116	Luke List	51	326	115
117	KH Lee	54	325	116
118	Ryan Moore	31	322	114
119	Matthew NeSmith	53	320	118
120	Tom Hoge	56	320	117
121	Kyle Stanley	46	319	119
122	James Hahn	35	310	122
123	Pat Perez	46	308	123
124	Wyndham Clark	48	308	120
125	Byeong Hun An	52	306	121
126	Ryan Armour	47	305	127
127	Patrick Rodgers	59	305	125
128	Brice Garnett	47	302	128
129	Bernd Wiesberger	45	299	129
130	Thomas Detry	47	295	137
131	Brian Stuard	57	294	131
132	Scott Stallings	44	294	133
133	Brandon Hagy	44	293	132
134	Martin Kaymer	36	290	134
135	Steve Stricker	22	285	138
136	Scott Piercy	43	285	136
137	Bo Hoag	54	280	139
138	Andy Sullivan	44	280	135
139	Tom Lewis	52	277	140
140	Kramer Hickok	43	274	141
141	CT Pan	49	273	162
142	Adam Schenk	54	269	142
143	Rafa Cabrera Bello	54	266	143
144	Michael Thompson	42	266	146
145	Padraig Harrington	38	266	145
146	Andrew Putnam	48	261	144
147	Russell Knox	53	260	147
148	Danny Lee	44	257	148
149	Dylan Wu	8	253	154
150	Denny McCarthy	51	253	149
151	Justin Suh	16	252	150
152	Matthias Schwab	46	250	153
153	Jason Scrivener	44	247	151
154	Jeunghun Wang	19	247	152
155	Beau Hossler	52	246	155
156	Aaron Rai	42	245	156
157	Camilo Villegas	27	245	158
158	Vaughn Taylor	49	240	157
159	Chesson Hadley	43	235	161
160	Nick Taylor	45	235	160
161	Antoine Rozner	37	234	159
162	Martin Laird	36	232	163
163	Chase Seiffert	46	229	164
164	Taylor Pendrith	8	225	166
165	Sam Ryder	54	225	165
166	Nate Lashley	44	222	167
167	Vincent Whaley	42	217	170
168	Jack Singh Brar	20	216	169
169	Kurt Kitayama	40	215	168
170	Peter Malnati	49	214	171
171	Joseph Bramlett	46	213	172
172	Will Gordon	40	213	174
173	George Coetzee	35	209	176
174	Justin Harding	52	208	179
175	Zac Blair	29	208	173
176	Ryan Fox	38	207	175
177	Andrew Johnston	23	205	177
178	Hudson Swafford	37	204	180
179	Marcus Kinhult	33	204	178
180	Peter Uihlein	31	203	181
181	Jim Herman	41	202	182
182	Jimmy Walker	42	199	183
183	Dawie van der Walt	8	196	195
184	Ben Martin	35	196	184
185	John Huh	29	196	189
186	Robby Shelton	56	195	187
187	Cameron Percy	46	195	188
188	Andrew Landry	43	195	186
189	Roger Sloan	44	194	191
190	Satoshi Kodaira	39	194	194
191	Victor Dubuisson	24	193	192
192	Robert Streb	45	193	193
193	Kalle Samooja	41	192	185
194	Sung Kang	53	190	190
195	Anirban Lahiri	36	189	197
196	Marcel Siem	22	187	199
197	Mikko Korhonen	34	186	198
198	Garrick Higgo	33	186	196
199	Richard Bland	35	184	202
200	Min Woo Lee	34	184	203
201	Shaun Norris	31	183	200
202	Dean Burmester	48	182	205
203	Ross Fisher	42	182	201
204	Adri Arnaus	44	182	204
205	Wade Ormsby	36	181	207
206	Tyler McCumber	43	180	208
207	Xinjun Zhang	54	180	206
208	Tyler Duncan	59	179	210
209	Benjamin Hebert	43	177	209
210	Sean O’Hair	22	176	213
211	Sahith Theegala	10	175	212
212	Graeme McDowell	45	174	211
213	Chan Kim	22	173	214
214	Sam Horsfield	42	172	215
215	Sami Valimaki	33	171	232
216	Luke Donald	36	171	217
217	Richie Ramsay	44	171	216
218	Jordan Smith	48	169	224
219	Johannes Veerman	40	167	222
220	Scott Brown	50	167	220
221	Joost Luiten	48	166	218
222	Kevin Chappell	28	166	223
223	Mark Anderson	37	163	225
224	Alexander Bjork	41	163	227
225	Rob Oppenheim	49	162	229
226	Laurie Canter	32	161	219
227	JB Holmes	28	161	228
228	Jim Furyk	21	160	226
229	Paul Waring	34	160	221
230	Bronson Burgoon	45	160	231
231	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	30	157	230
232	Jason Dufner	47	156	233
233	Renato Paratore	47	154	246
234	Rasmus Hojgaard	36	154	238
235	Brandon Stone	43	151	237
236	Michael Gligic	47	151	239
237	Ashun Wu	37	149	247
238	Kevin Tway	44	149	236
239	Matthew Jordan	35	148	235
240	Matthieu Pavon	47	147	241
241	Henrik Stenson	38	147	240
242	Scott Jamieson	42	147	234
243	John Augenstein	9	147	245
244	Fabrizio Zanotti	31	146	249
245	Eddie Pepperell	35	145	242
246	Marcus Armitage	38	144	243
247	Joachim B Hansen	46	144	255
248	Richard Sterne	20	143	244
249	Masahiro Kawamura	53	141	253
250	Sean Crocker	44	141	248
251	Jung-gon Hwang	9	141	250
252	Rikuya Hoshino	24	140	254
253	Nick Watney	40	136	252
254	Romain Langasque	44	135	265
255	MJ Daffue	14	134	257
256	Wilco Nienaber	36	134	260
257	Ollie Schniederjans	11	134	264
258	Calum Hill	40	134	251
259	Tim Wilkinson	34	132	258
260	Darren Fichardt	25	132	266
261	Matthew Southgate	47	131	259
262	Fabian Gomez	44	131	262
263	Jacques Kruyswijk	27	131	279
264	Connor Syme	38	130	256
265	Jack Senior	40	128	267
266	Chris Paisley	41	128	268
267	Chris Baker	40	127	272
268	Travis Smyth	9	127	274
269	Takumi Kanaya	20	127	271
270	Grant Forrest	44	127	261
271	JJ Spaun	44	126	276
272	Davis Thompson	8	126	273
273	Gavin Green	43	125	263
274	Adrian Otaegui	50	125	269
275	Jeff Winther	39	124	277
276	Wil Besseling	36	123	270
277	Edoardo Molinari	44	122	283
278	Carl Yuan	8	122	278
279	Joakim Lagergren	39	121	280
280	Brandon Wu	14	121	282
281	Marc Warren	31	120	275
282	Akshay Bhatia	16	120	286
283	Pablo Larrazabal	42	120	284
284	Scott Vincent	33	119	351
285	Seung-yul Noh	16	119	287
286	Jorge Campillo	47	118	281
287	Haotong Li	39	118	285
288	David Horsey	42	117	297
289	Jazz Janewattananond	42	116	302
290	Kristoffer Ventura	46	116	290
291	Kyung-nam Kang	9	116	288
292	Jamie Donaldson	40	116	289
293	Chris Stroud	22	114	292
294	Bo Van Pelt	44	113	293
295	Ted Potter	43	113	291
296	Daniel van Tonder	18	112	294
297	Joohyung Kim	9	111	296
298	Hugo Leon	18	110	320
299	David Lingmerth	20	109	299
300	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	109	295
301	Austin Cook	47	108	298
302	Michael Gellerman	34	103	306
303	Justin Walters	50	102	305
304	Callum Shinkwin	38	102	300
305	Zander Lombard	46	100	304
306	John Catlin	40	99	319
307	Nicolas Colsaerts	38	99	307
308	Thorbjorn Olesen	20	98	309
309	Adrian Meronk	36	97	308
310	Jonathan Byrd	28	97	312
311	David Hearn	46	97	310
312	Louis de Jager	34	95	313
313	Brian Gay	47	94	311
314	Josh Teater	33	93	314
315	Robert Rock	29	93	321
316	Aaron Baddeley	37	92	315
317	Roberto Castro	17	92	318
318	Scott Harrington	52	92	316
319	Jayden Trey Schaper	12	91	303
320	Nino Bertasio	37	90	322
321	Daniel Hillier	8	90
322	Scott Hend	47	89	317
323	Stephen Gallacher	32	89	323
324	Niklas Lemke	37	89	324
325	Craig Howie	14	89	327
326	Darius van Driel	34	88	345
327	Francesco Laporta	35	87	325
328	Hennie du Plessis	10	87	301
329	Alexander Levy	45	87	330
330	Sebastian Cappelen	43	86	329
331	James Morrison	48	86	326
332	Greyson Sigg	10	86	332
333	Dale Whitnell	37	85	348
334	Zach Murray	15	85	331
335	Steven Brown	48	85	328
336	Sebastian Heisele	28	85	334
337	Kyung-tae Kim	9	84	336
338	Maverick Antcliff	36	83	340
339	Wes Roach	31	83	337
340	Shubhankar Sharma	51	83	335
341	Brendan Jones	8	83	338
342	Shugo Imahira	24	82	342
343	Stephan Jaeger	12	82	346
344	Alex Cejka	14	82	343
345	Tomoharu Otsuki	22	81	344
346	Chase Hanna	9	81	347
347	Rafael Campos	35	80	339
348	Maximilian Kieffer	42	78	356
349	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	36	78	349
350	Anthony Quayle	11	78	352
351	Matthias Schmid	9	78	380
352	Oscar Lengden	13	77	354
353	Alejandro Canizares	44	77	370
354	Adrien Saddier	40	77	350
355	DJ Trahan	43	76	353
356	Rhein Gibson	42	75	358
357	Grayson Murray	39	75	355
358	Ryosuke Kinoshita	19	75	359
359	Josh Geary	10	75	333
360	Daniel Gavins	20	72	461
361	Sang-hee Lee	9	72	362
362	Soren Kjeldsen	43	71	360
363	Ben Stow	17	71	368
364	Nacho Elvira	47	70	369
365	Tapio Pulkkanen	45	70	367
366	Jaco Ahlers	9	70	363
367	Niall Kearney	15	70	357
368	JC Ritchie	21	68	372
369	Ashley Chesters	45	68	382
370	Gunn Charoenkul	16	68	391
371	Sebastian Soderberg	42	67	371
372	Seung-su Han	13	66	375
373	Sihwan Kim	36	66	373
374	Ryan Brehm	39	66	379
375	Bill Haas	33	66	381
376	Lee Hodges	10	66	377
377	Lorenzo Gagli	47	65	378
378	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	28	64	376
379	Aaron Cockerill	34	64	386
380	Julien Guerrier	39	63	383
381	Andrew Dodt	8	62	388
382	Clement Sordet	35	62	384
383	Alejandro Del Rey	9	62	361
384	Oliver Farr	34	62	409
385	Sang-hyun Park	10	61	389
386	Nicolai Hojgaard	36	61	385
387	Jaco van Zyl	12	61	387
388	Brad Kennedy	16	61	393
389	Charlie Saxon	8	60	390
390	Andy Ogletree	9	59	398
391	Sebi Garcia	10	59	401
392	Mikumu Horikawa	22	59	395
393	Daijiro Izumida	18	58	396
394	Bryce Easton	28	58	394
395	Brett Rumford	10	58	403
396	Ben Taylor	37	58	397
397	Yuki Inamori	21	58	399
398	Chad Campbell	10	58	392
399	David Dixon	10	58	374
400	Bradley Dredge	14	57	366
More \| Less

A Look at the Olympic Men’s Competition

July 26, 2021 Thomas Hawley Narrative

Let’s be real, real generous here. At most, half the guys in the Olympic men’s golf competition have a chance to win. Realistically, maybe a fourth.

Based on a look at over 170 events on the PGA and Euro tours over the past three seasons, the chance of someone outside the top 150 in the Hawley Ratings winning against a field of this strength is about 1 in 20. From this perspective, the clear favorites are Xander Schauffele and Collin Morikawa, both southern Californians.

Schauffele, ranked second, hasn’t won this season but he has three seconds (Phoenix, Farmers, CJ) and four other top-10s. Morikawa, ranked fourth, has been more outstanding recently. In the last two months he’s competed six times and the only clunker was a finish just above the cut line after a trip across the Atlantic. He then proceeded to win the British Open. Also, he was runner-up in the Memorial, had top-10s in two majors, and finished in the top 20 in the other appearance.

Among the other five players from the world top 20, Paul Casey comes in with the most sizzle. He last won in January at the Omega Dubai. He has half a dozen top-10s on the PGA Tour this year and his worst finish in the majors was 26th in the Masters.

Three others from a little farther down the rankings who come in with some plusses in recent history are Canadian Mac Hughes, Italian Guido Migliozzi, and Venezuelan Jhonattan Vegas. Hughes, no. 63, went thru a horrible stretch of five events without a made cut, then made the top 20 at the Rocket and U.S. Open and was sixth in the British. Vegas, no. 91, was runner-up in two of his last four PGA appearances (3M and Palmetto) and just missed the top 10 at the Deere. Migliozzi, no. 111, had a nice stretch of back-to-back Euro runners-up (HimmerLand and British Masters), then back-to-back top-20s in the U.S. (Open, Travelers), before fading in his last two Euro appearances.

Among the Asians, Hideki Matsuyama, no. 23, Japan’s top player, draws most of the attention. Unfortunately, he hasn’t done much since winning the Masters, finishing outside the top 20 five times in a row. His last appearance was a missed cut at the Rocket. The next two Asians from the ratings are no. 30 Sungjae Im and no. 64 Si Woo Kim, both Korean. Im has one top-10 (Rocket) and five missed cuts among his last dozen PGA Tour appearances. Also looking at the last 12 appearances, going back a bit more than four months, Kim has two top-10s (Memorial, TPC) and merely three missed cuts.

From the perspective of our well-known PGA and Euro Tour pros, there is no tribal knowledge of the host course, the Kasumigaseki Country Club, and not much from on-line sources, nor even much among Japanese golfers. The tournament venue is in Saitama, about 20 miles north of Tokyo. Unlike the 2016 Rio Olympics course that was constructed for the tournament, the Kasumigaseki CC was built in 1929. Its East Course, where the tournament will be played, shows an on-line scorecard listing par as 71 and at 7466 yards. For a brief period in the late 1940s, its membership consisted of the U.S. military. More commonly it is a private club with no access to the public. The East Course was the venue for the 1957 Canada Cup (precursor to the World Cup of Golf); Sam Snead and Jimmy Demaret represented the U.S. and finished second to the host nation.

The course was redesigned by Tom Fazio in 2016 in preparation for these Games. It is a parkland style layout with water and bunkers coming into play throughout. PGA Tour agronomist Dennis Ingram, who has been on-site since May, said that its trees give it a Monterey Peninsula feel. Ingram described the East Course as a “big, mainly wide open, in your face course of 7,600 yards with big, deep bunkers.” Carefully placed lakes, bunkers, and trees, and the softly rolling fairways provide a classic look. Seasonal plants include dogwood, hydrangea, and horse-chestnut. (Golf-in-japan.com and pgatour.com were sources for some of the Kasumigaseki content in this narrative.)

Olympic Men’s Golf Competition

July 26, 2021 Thomas Hawley Picks

Xander Schauffele

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Xander Schauffele	25.0	1
2	Collin Morikawa	25.8	3
3	Justin Thomas	35.4	22
4	Rory McIlroy	38.4	3
5	Paul Casey	39.6	3
6	Patrick Reed	43.7	22
7	Abraham Ancer	46.2	14
8	Viktor Hovland	47.2	14
9	Hideki Matsuyama	47.8	3
10	Shane Lowry	49.4	22
11	Corey Conners	51.9	13
12	Sungjae Im	51.9	22
13	Cameron Smith	53.0	10
14	Joaquin Niemann	53.2	10
15	Tommy Fleetwood	55.3	16
16	Marc Leishman	57.8	51
17	Mac Hughes	58.0	50
18	Jhonattan Vegas	58.7	16
19	Alex Noren	59.6	16
20	Si Woo Kim	60.4	32
21	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	62.1	16
22	Guido Migliozzi	62.4	32
23	Mito Pereira	63.0	3
24	Carlos Ortiz	63.9	42
25	Sebastian Munoz	64.1	3
26	Henrik Norlander	65.7	45
27	Thomas Pieters	66.0	16
28	Sepp Straka	68.4	10
29	Thomas Detry	69.3	22
30	Rory Sabbatini	69.8	2
31	Matthias Schwab	71.8	27
32	Antoine Rozner	71.9	45
33	CT Pan	72.3	3
34	Ryan Fox	72.8	42
35	Anirban Lahiri	73.3	42
36	Kalle Samooja	73.5	45
37	Garrick Higgo	73.9	53
38	Adri Arnaus	74.2	38
39	Rasmus Hojgaard	74.9	38
40	Ashun Wu	75.1	32
41	Rikuya Hoshino	75.2	38
42	Sami Valimaki	75.2	27
43	Fabrizio Zanotti	75.5	35
44	Renato Paratore	75.7	27
45	Joachim B Hansen	76.0	27
46	Romain Langasque	76.1	35
47	Gavin Green	76.2	57
48	Jazz Janewattananond	76.8	27
49	Adrian Meronk	77.3	51
50	Rafael Campos	77.7	57
51	Scott Vincent	77.9	16
52	Maximilian Kieffer	78.0	45
53	Gunn Charoenkul	78.7	45
54	Yechun Yuan	79.5	38
55	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	79.5	53
56	Hurly Long	80.3	35
57	Ondrej Lieser	80.3	60
58	Juvic Pagunsan	80.4	55
59	Udayan Mane	81.0	56
	Jorge Campillo	late entry	59
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 538. The average is 138. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

ISPS HANDA World Invitational presented by Modest! Golf Management

July 26, 2021 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Andy Sullivan

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Andy Sullivan	67.3	47
2	Justin Harding	70.9	7
3	Matthew Jordan	72.8	94
4	Adrian Otaegui	74.4	94
5	Laurie Canter	74.6	84
6	Jordan Smith	74.9	3
7	Scott Jamieson	75.1	84
8	Marcus Armitage	75.2	30
9	Connor Syme	75.3	32
10	Masahiro Kawamura	75.4	3
11	Jack Senior	75.4	22
12	Wil Besseling	75.4	53
13	Jacques Kruyswijk	75.4	11
14	Grant Forrest	75.5	110
15	Eddie Pepperell	75.6	22
16	Calum Hill	75.7	47
17	Marc Warren	76.2	47
18	Hennie du Plessis	76.4	94
19	Callum Shinkwin	76.8	69
20	Jayden Trey Schaper	76.8	94
21	David Horsey	77.0	2
22	Francesco Laporta	77.1	32
23	Scott Hend	77.1	122
24	James Morrison	77.2	58
25	Craig Howie	77.3	DNP
26	John Catlin	77.4	7
27	Alexander Levy	77.4	26
28	Sihwan Kim	77.4	42
29	Hugo Leon	77.5	7
30	Steven Brown	77.5	69
31	Darius van Driel	77.6	7
32	Maverick Antcliff	77.7	26
33	Shubhankar Sharma	77.7	30
34	Josh Geary	77.7	129
35	Niall Kearney	77.9	53
36	Adrien Saddier	77.9	39
37	Dale Whitnell	78.0	11
38	Matthias Schmid	78.1	19
39	Alejandro Del Rey	78.1	115
40	Nacho Elvira	78.1	22
41	Soren Kjeldsen	78.1	69
42	Oliver Farr	78.2	11
43	Alejandro Canizares	78.2	3
44	Nicolai Hojgaard	78.3	66
45	Bradley Dredge	78.3	58
46	David Law	78.4	15
47	Julien Guerrier	78.4	84
48	David Dixon	78.4	69
49	Clement Sordet	78.5	58
50	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	78.5	94
51	Ashley Chesters	78.5	15
52	Bryce Easton	78.6	42
53	Cormac Sharvin	78.6	122
54	Alvaro Quiros	78.7	141
55	Jonathan Caldwell	78.7	94
56	Kristoffer Broberg	78.7	135
57	Dave Coupland	78.9	47
58	Dimitrios Papadatos	79.0	53
59	David Drysdale	79.0	32
60	Pep Angles	79.1	53
61	Richard Mansell	79.1	84
62	Daniel Gavins	79.1	1
63	Garrick Porteous	79.2	15
64	Kristoffer Reitan	79.2	94
65	Rhys Enoch	79.2	69
66	Robin Sciot-Siegrist	79.4	41
67	Bernd Ritthammer	79.4	58
68	Romain Wattel	79.4	122
69	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	79.4	69
70	Matthew Baldwin	79.5	69
71	Deyen Lawson	79.6	129
72	Yi Keun Chang	79.6	DNP
73	Julian Suri	79.6	42
74	Richard McEvoy	79.6	39
75	Jean-Baptiste Gonnet	79.6	58
76	Benjamin Poke	79.7	67
77	Liam Johnston	79.7	107
78	David Howell	79.7	69
79	Daniel Hillier	79.8	3
80	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	79.8	47
81	Lars van Meijel	79.8	69
82	Jake McLeod	79.8	115
83	Gaganjeet Bhullar	79.8	38
84	Ben Evans	79.9	32
85	Blake Windred	79.9	22
86	Joel Stalter	79.9	122
87	Vincent Norman	80.0	11
88	Paul Peterson	80.0	19
89	Jordan Wrisdale	80.0	26
90	Pedro Figueiredo	80.0	84
91	Damien Perrier	80.0	69
92	Ajeetesh Sandhu	80.1	58
93	Eduardo de la Riva	80.1	42
94	Max Schmitt	80.2	32
95	Graeme Storm	80.3	110
96	Lucas Bjerregaard	80.3	32
97	Gregory Havret	80.4	94
98	Lee Slattery	80.4	94
99	Haydn Porteous	80.4	141
100	Gavin Moynihan	80.6	139
101	Paul Dunne	80.6	115
102	Carlos Pigem	80.7	47
103	Matt Ford	80.7	110
104	Thongchai Jaidee	80.7	58
105	Berry Henson	80.7	68
106	Euan Walker	80.7	84
107	Aaron Zemmer	80.7	84
108	Austin Bautista	80.7	69
109	Elvis Smylie	80.8	DNP
110	Bryden Macpherson	80.8	84
111	Suradit Yongcharoenchai	80.8	122
112	Janne Kaske	80.9	122
113	Simon Thornton	80.9	58
114	Bradley Neil	80.9	94
115	Ryan Lumsden	80.9	53
116	Paul McBride	80.9	134
117	Daniel Young	80.9	115
118	Santiago Tarrio Ben	81.0	15
119	Harry Ellis	81.0	94
120	Tyler Koivisto	81.0	143
121	Michael Hoey	81.0	69
122	Mark Power	81.0	69
123	Conor Purcell	81.0	122
124	James Sugrue	81.0	107
125	Joe Long	81.0	107
126	Alejandro Tosti	81.0	115
127	Ben Schmidt	81.0	94
128	Robin Williams	81.0	110
129	Matty Lamb	81.0	94
130	Robert Moran	81.0	137
131	Joshua Hill	81.0	110
132	Michael Reid	81.0	129
133	John Murphy	81.0	84
134	Dermot McElroy	81.0	19
135	Tom McKibbin	81.0	26
136	Rowan Lester	81.0	115
137	Colm Moriarty	81.0	115
138	Ryan Campbell	81.0	69
139	Charlie Williams	81.0	140
140	John Ross Galbraith	81.0	DNP
	Tom Murray	late entry	45
	Conor O’Rourke	late entry	78
	Ricardo Santos	late entry	91
	Bailey Gill	late entry	130
	Brendan McCarroll	late entry	133
	Hugo Dobson	late entry	136
	Eoin O’Brien	late entry	138
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 39. The average is 138. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (July 25, 2021)

July 26, 2021 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Jon Rahm has been no. 1 for over six months without an interruption.

#	Thru July 25, 2021	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Jon Rahm	43	1466	1
2	Xander Schauffele	43	1282	2
3	Daniel Berger	38	1196	3
4	Collin Morikawa	46	1115	7
5	Bryson DeChambeau	43	1112	6
6	Justin Thomas	44	1110	5
7	Rory McIlroy	42	1098	8
8	Dustin Johnson	37	1074	4
9	Louis Oosthuizen	43	1073	9
10	Webb Simpson	36	1036	10
11	Brooks Koepka	34	992	11
12	Scottie Scheffler	53	971	14
13	Patrick Cantlay	38	970	13
14	Patrick Reed	55	961	12
15	Paul Casey	42	942	15
16	Jordan Spieth	41	939	16
17	Harris English	46	939	17
18	Matthew Fitzpatrick	48	924	18
19	Abraham Ancer	52	918	19
20	Tony Finau	53	894	20
21	Tyrrell Hatton	40	869	21
22	Viktor Hovland	49	844	22
23	Hideki Matsuyama	47	819	23
24	Brian Harman	48	809	24
25	Corey Conners	52	762	25
26	Jason Kokrak	47	746	26
27	Will Zalatoris	31	729	27
28	Ryan Palmer	44	724	28
29	Cameron Smith	44	721	29
30	Sungjae Im	61	703	30
31	Shane Lowry	48	685	31
32	Russell Henley	43	677	33
33	Adam Scott	33	661	34
34	Bubba Watson	44	656	32
35	Billy Horschel	49	647	35
36	Joaquin Niemann	50	646	36
37	Sergio Garcia	44	639	37
38	Charley Hoffman	49	634	39
39	Ian Poulter	49	628	41
40	Tommy Fleetwood	46	628	38
41	Max Homa	49	625	40
42	Jason Day	40	620	42
43	Sam Burns	42	604	43
44	Kevin Streelman	51	603	45
45	Talor Gooch	50	600	44
46	Justin Rose	42	597	46
47	Marc Leishman	45	589	47
48	Cameron Tringale	45	586	49
49	Kevin Na	45	571	48
50	Kevin Kisner	48	563	50
51	Alex Noren	48	550	52
52	Gary Woodland	45	547	55
53	Keegan Bradley	47	543	51
54	Tiger Woods	14	533	53
55	Charl Schwartzel	39	528	67
56	Seamus Power	29	522	57
57	Maverick McNealy	49	517	61
58	Joel Dahmen	48	516	54
59	Lee Westwood	45	515	56
60	Matthew Wolff	41	505	59
61	Brendan Steele	42	500	62
62	Robert MacIntyre	44	494	58
63	Mac Hughes	49	493	65
64	Si Woo Kim	52	490	64
65	Rickie Fowler	42	487	63
66	Lanto Griffin	58	484	60
67	Bud Cauley	22	473	68
68	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	46	472	70
69	Brendon Todd	56	471	66
70	Emiliano Grillo	52	463	69
71	Cameron Davis	48	462	71
72	Brandt Snedeker	44	448	79
73	Victor Perez	39	446	72
74	Matt Kuchar	46	433	73
75	Sebastian Munoz	57	432	75
76	Chris Kirk	36	427	74
77	Carlos Ortiz	48	425	76
78	Patton Kizzire	47	421	78
79	Harold Varner	51	420	80
80	Cameron Champ	48	418	98
81	Matt Wallace	54	418	81
82	Francesco Molinari	27	416	84
83	Zach Johnson	40	415	87
84	Lucas Glover	50	413	86
85	Adam Hadwin	46	412	96
86	Stewart Cink	40	411	77
87	Dylan Frittelli	53	409	83
88	JT Poston	53	408	88
89	Branden Grace	48	408	89
90	Erik Van Rooyen	50	406	82
91	Jhonattan Vegas	43	404	104
92	Adam Long	55	401	92
93	Hank Lebioda	44	397	91
94	Mito Pereira	8	395
95	Lucas Herbert	34	395	85
96	Aaron Wise	39	393	93
97	Charles Howell	45	389	90
98	Keith Mitchell	48	388	106
99	Matt Jones	51	376	94
100	Phil Mickelson	40	375	97
101	Thomas Pieters	35	374	95
102	Chez Reavie	54	356	116
103	Troy Merritt	58	356	99
104	Henrik Norlander	55	355	100
105	Doc Redman	48	354	102
106	Doug Ghim	45	341	101
107	Richy Werenski	49	341	103
108	Wesley Bryan	15	341	108
109	Danny Willett	48	337	109
110	David Lipsky	22	336	113
111	Guido Migliozzi	41	335	110
112	Mark Hubbard	57	331	121
113	Harry Higgs	53	329	107
114	Ryan Moore	32	328	105
115	Luke List	52	327	111
116	KH Lee	55	325	131
117	Tom Hoge	56	323	112
118	Matthew NeSmith	54	321	114
119	Kyle Stanley	47	318	115
120	Wyndham Clark	49	312	118
121	Byeong Hun An	53	311	117
122	James Hahn	35	311	119
123	Pat Perez	47	309	138
124	Sepp Straka	55	307	120
125	Patrick Rodgers	60	305	124
126	Rory Sabbatini	51	305	122
127	Ryan Armour	48	304	146
128	Brice Garnett	48	302	135
129	Bernd Wiesberger	45	301	126
130	Erik Compton	8	298	128
131	Brian Stuard	58	295	145
132	Brandon Hagy	44	294	125
133	Scott Stallings	45	293	129
134	Martin Kaymer	36	291	130
135	Andy Sullivan	43	290	132
136	Scott Piercy	44	287	127
137	Thomas Detry	46	285	134
138	Steve Stricker	22	285	123
139	Bo Hoag	55	281	148
140	Tom Lewis	52	279	133
141	Kramer Hickok	43	272	140
142	Adam Schenk	55	270	139
143	Rafa Cabrera Bello	54	269	137
144	Andrew Putnam	49	267	136
145	Padraig Harrington	38	265	144
146	Michael Thompson	43	265	143
147	Russell Knox	54	262	141
148	Danny Lee	45	259	147
149	Denny McCarthy	52	255	142
150	Justin Suh	16	249	156
151	Jason Scrivener	44	249	154
152	Jeunghun Wang	19	248	155
153	Matthias Schwab	45	248	151
154	Dylan Wu	9	248	159
155	Beau Hossler	52	247	153
156	Aaron Rai	42	245	150
157	Vaughn Taylor	50	245	149
158	Camilo Villegas	27	244	152
159	Antoine Rozner	36	241	158
160	Nick Taylor	46	238	160
161	Chesson Hadley	44	236	157
162	CT Pan	49	231	163
163	Martin Laird	37	231	164
164	Chase Seiffert	47	229	161
165	Sam Ryder	55	226	173
166	Taylor Pendrith	8	224	167
167	Nate Lashley	45	224	162
168	Kurt Kitayama	40	220	165
169	Jack Singh Brar	20	217	172
170	Vincent Whaley	43	216	166
171	Peter Malnati	50	214	170
172	Joseph Bramlett	47	214	168
173	Zac Blair	30	213	171
174	Will Gordon	40	213	169
175	Ryan Fox	37	210	175
176	George Coetzee	35	210	176
177	Andrew Johnston	23	209	174
178	Marcus Kinhult	33	207	177
179	Justin Harding	51	206	186
180	Hudson Swafford	37	204	181
181	Peter Uihlein	31	203	185
182	Jim Herman	41	200	190
183	Jimmy Walker	42	199	232
184	Ben Martin	35	198	178
185	Kalle Samooja	40	197	188
186	Andrew Landry	44	196	180
187	Robby Shelton	57	196	183
188	Cameron Percy	46	196	194
189	John Huh	29	195	182
190	Sung Kang	54	194	184
191	Roger Sloan	45	193	228
192	Victor Dubuisson	24	193	192
193	Robert Streb	45	193	187
194	Satoshi Kodaira	39	193	189
195	Dawie van der Walt	9	192	196
196	Garrick Higgo	32	191	193
197	Anirban Lahiri	35	190	198
198	Mikko Korhonen	34	188	208
199	Marcel Siem	22	186	203
200	Shaun Norris	31	184	199
201	Ross Fisher	42	184	191
202	Richard Bland	35	184	205
203	Min Woo Lee	34	183	206
204	Adri Arnaus	43	183	201
205	Dean Burmester	48	183	202
206	Xinjun Zhang	55	182	207
207	Wade Ormsby	36	181	211
208	Tyler McCumber	44	181	197
209	Benjamin Hebert	43	180	209
210	Tyler Duncan	59	179	204
211	Graeme McDowell	46	178	210
212	Sahith Theegala	10	175	213
213	Sean O’Hair	22	175	200
214	Chan Kim	22	174	195
215	Sam Horsfield	42	174	220
216	Richie Ramsay	44	172	212
217	Luke Donald	36	171	253
218	Joost Luiten	48	169	219
219	Laurie Canter	31	168	215
220	Scott Brown	51	167	214
221	Paul Waring	34	167	216
222	Johannes Veerman	40	167	223
223	Kevin Chappell	28	166	226
224	Jordan Smith	47	165	217
225	Mark Anderson	38	164	218
226	Jim Furyk	22	163	225
227	Alexander Bjork	41	163	230
228	JB Holmes	29	162	227
229	Rob Oppenheim	50	162	222
230	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	30	161	224
231	Bronson Burgoon	45	161	221
232	Sami Valimaki	32	157	235
233	Jason Dufner	47	156	247
234	Scott Jamieson	41	156	234
235	Matthew Jordan	34	156	229
236	Kevin Tway	45	153	231
237	Brandon Stone	43	152	233
238	Rasmus Hojgaard	35	152	237
239	Michael Gligic	48	150	239
240	Henrik Stenson	38	150	238
241	Matthieu Pavon	47	148	236
242	Eddie Pepperell	34	147	241
243	Marcus Armitage	37	147	242
244	Richard Sterne	20	146	240
245	John Augenstein	9	145	244
246	Renato Paratore	46	144	245
247	Ashun Wu	36	142	246
248	Sean Crocker	44	141	248
249	Fabrizio Zanotti	30	140	249
250	Jung-gon Hwang	9	140	252
251	Calum Hill	39	139	243
252	Nick Watney	41	139	267
253	Masahiro Kawamura	52	136	265
254	Rikuya Hoshino	23	135	256
255	Joachim B Hansen	45	133	255
256	Connor Syme	37	133	264
257	MJ Daffue	15	133	254
258	Tim Wilkinson	35	133	259
259	Matthew Southgate	47	133	251
260	Wilco Nienaber	36	133	262
261	Grant Forrest	43	132	261
262	Fabian Gomez	45	132	250
263	Gavin Green	42	132	258
264	Ollie Schniederjans	11	131	269
265	Romain Langasque	43	131	260
266	Darren Fichardt	25	130	270
267	Jack Senior	39	129	257
268	Chris Paisley	41	129	268
269	Adrian Otaegui	49	128	263
270	Wil Besseling	35	128	277
271	Takumi Kanaya	20	127	273
272	Chris Baker	41	127	275
273	Davis Thompson	8	127	272
274	Travis Smyth	9	126	279
275	Marc Warren	30	126	266
276	JJ Spaun	45	126	271
277	Jeff Winther	39	125	278
278	Carl Yuan	9	125	274
279	Jacques Kruyswijk	26	124	293
280	Joakim Lagergren	39	124	276
281	Jorge Campillo	46	123	282
282	Brandon Wu	14	123	280
283	Edoardo Molinari	44	122	283
284	Pablo Larrazabal	42	121	285
285	Haotong Li	39	119	281
286	Akshay Bhatia	16	118	289
287	Seung-yul Noh	16	116	292
288	Kyung-nam Kang	9	116	288
289	Jamie Donaldson	40	116	290
290	Kristoffer Ventura	47	116	287
291	Ted Potter	43	114	286
292	Chris Stroud	23	113	295
293	Bo Van Pelt	44	113	309
294	Daniel van Tonder	18	112	284
295	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	112	291
296	Joohyung Kim	9	112	296
297	David Horsey	41	109	294
298	Austin Cook	47	108	297
299	David Lingmerth	21	108	366
300	Callum Shinkwin	37	108	312
301	Hennie du Plessis	9	104	302
302	Jazz Janewattananond	41	104	301
303	Jayden Trey Schaper	11	104	304
304	Zander Lombard	46	103	299
305	Justin Walters	50	102	300
306	Michael Gellerman	35	102	409
307	Nicolas Colsaerts	38	100	315
308	Adrian Meronk	35	98	308
309	Thorbjorn Olesen	20	98	311
310	David Hearn	46	98	306
311	Brian Gay	48	97	305
312	Jonathan Byrd	28	96	353
313	Louis de Jager	34	95	317
314	Josh Teater	33	94	303
315	Aaron Baddeley	38	94	319
316	Scott Harrington	53	94	310
317	Scott Hend	46	93	313
318	Roberto Castro	17	93	320
319	John Catlin	39	92	321
320	Hugo Leon	17	92	354
321	Robert Rock	29	92	316
322	Nino Bertasio	37	91	314
323	Stephen Gallacher	32	91	322
324	Niklas Lemke	37	90	318
325	Francesco Laporta	34	90	326
326	James Morrison	47	90	323
327	Craig Howie	14	88	332
328	Steven Brown	47	88	328
329	Sebastian Cappelen	44	87	324
330	Alexander Levy	44	87	327
331	Zach Murray	15	87	330
332	Greyson Sigg	10	86	334
333	Josh Geary	9	85	307
334	Sebastian Heisele	28	85	329
335	Shubhankar Sharma	50	85	333
336	Kyung-tae Kim	9	85	336
337	Wes Roach	31	84	325
338	Brendan Jones	8	84	337
339	Rafael Campos	35	84	331
340	Maverick Antcliff	35	83	338
341	Jamie Arnold	8	83	335
342	Shugo Imahira	24	83	339
343	Alex Cejka	14	83	341
344	Tomoharu Otsuki	22	81	345
345	Darius van Driel	33	81	346
346	Stephan Jaeger	12	80	349
347	Chase Hanna	9	80	490
348	Dale Whitnell	36	80	342
349	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	37	80	358
350	Adrien Saddier	39	79	340
351	Scott Vincent	32	79	347
352	Anthony Quayle	11	78	350
353	DJ Trahan	43	77	344
354	Oscar Lengden	13	77	352
355	Grayson Murray	39	77	343
356	Maximilian Kieffer	41	77	355
357	Niall Kearney	14	75	351
358	Rhein Gibson	43	75	348
359	Ryosuke Kinoshita	19	75	356
360	Soren Kjeldsen	42	75	361
361	Alejandro Del Rey	8	72	360
362	Sang-hee Lee	9	72	359
363	Jaco Ahlers	9	71	357
364	Oliver Bekker	8	71	362
365	Jonas Blixt	8	71	363
366	Bradley Dredge	13	71	381
367	Tapio Pulkkanen	45	71	368
368	Ben Stow	17	71	365
369	Nacho Elvira	46	69	397
370	Alejandro Canizares	43	69	375
371	Sebastian Soderberg	42	69	364
372	JC Ritchie	21	69	371
373	Sihwan Kim	35	69	391
374	David Dixon	9	68	393
375	Seung-su Han	13	68	370
376	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	27	67	374
377	Lee Hodges	11	67	373
378	Lorenzo Gagli	47	66	367
379	Ryan Brehm	40	66	380
380	Matthias Schmid	8	66
381	Bill Haas	33	66	369
382	Ashley Chesters	44	65	387
383	Julien Guerrier	38	65	376
384	Clement Sordet	34	65	378
385	Nicolai Hojgaard	35	65	402
386	Aaron Cockerill	34	64	383
387	Jaco van Zyl	12	63	379
388	Andrew Dodt	8	62	388
389	Sang-hyun Park	10	62	384
390	Charlie Saxon	9	62	382
391	Gunn Charoenkul	15	62	385
392	Chad Campbell	11	62	377
393	Brad Kennedy	16	62	372
394	Bryce Easton	27	60	451
395	Mikumu Horikawa	22	59	392
396	Daijiro Izumida	18	59	394
397	Ben Taylor	38	59	386
398	Andy Ogletree	9	59	399
399	Yuki Inamori	21	58	401
400	Dave Coupland	30	58	390
More \| Less

A Look at the 3M Open

July 20, 2021 Thomas Hawley Narrative

This week’s 3M Open, situated in kind of an awkward spot on the calendar (not to mention an awkward spot on the planet Earth) between last weekend’s British Open and next week’s Tokyo Olympics, draws a representative field. It’s similar to the field that played the event in its first two occurrences the last two years. At the top of the list are two top-10 finishers from the Open – Louis Oosthuizen, who led for much of the event before fading slightly to third, and Dustin Johnson, whose eighth-place finish in the Open was only his second top-10 since February.

They will be playing at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine MN. The weather is forecast to be hot, in the low to mid-90s each day. The course is built on naturally rolling terrain, a former sod farm. It’s in the north-central metro area, not quite 20 miles north of Target Field, the Minnesota Twins’ home. In the first two iterations of the event, per the Hawley course fit statistics, the top skill areas have been those used en route to the greens. Shots gained in approach and driving distance have been the two stats most closely correlated with player success. Shots gained around the green and driving accuracy have paid off just slightly less.

Before we return to Oosthuizen and DJ, let’s look for contenders from those who (a) appear in the Hawley Ratings top 100, who (b) are not suffering any jet lag based on a return trip from England, and who (c) have been playing solid golf in recent appearances. There are three who stand out per that description:

Bubba Watson, ranked no. 32 – Been pretty steady without raising many eyebrows the last four months. His best finish in that span was sixth in the Rocket, his last appearance. Also has five other top-20 finishes and just one missed cut in aa 10-event span. Missed cut here last year.
Maverick McNealy, no. 61 – Playing his best golf toward the end of an up-and-down season with four straight finishes between 18th and 30th.
Hank Lebioda, no. 91 – Missed four cuts in a row in early spring, then something turned on and he made four in a row, with two top-20s (Nelson, Valspar). Now he’s got the afterburners going with three straight top-10s (Deere, Rocket, Travelers). Made cut here in both prior events.

Here are probably the top five players in the field, in order of preference:

Louis Oosthuizen, no 9 in the Hawley Ratings – First appearance in this event comes after he led for much of the British Open and was undone by the loss of four strokes to Collin Morikawa on holes seven thru nine Sunday. He didn’t play really well in his return to Europe at the end of June but nevertheless has five top-10s in his last seven appearances. He’s in the top 10 percent in shots gained around the green and in the top quarter in driving accuracy.
Dustin Johnson, no. 4 (but oddly no. 1 in the Official World Golf Ratings) – Missed the cut here last year as favorite. Best fit for the course in the field per the Hawley course fit stats: Top 5 percent in driving distance and top quarter in shots gained in approach. Failure to make the top 10 in nine events of a 10-event stretch leading into the British has been well documented.
Brian Harman, no. 24 – Playing as well or better than he has at any point in a career going back to the mid-00s. Has four top-10s and four other top-20s since February. Top 10 percent in driving accuracy and top quarter in shots gained around the green. Made cut in both prior 3M events, including a top-10 in 2019.
Patrick Reed, no. 12 – Misses a cut every three or four events, as he did at the British, and hits top-10s with about the same frequency.
Tony Finau, no. 20 – Bounced back from consecutive missed cuts to finish 15th in England. Last two top-10s were in the PGA and Masters.

Believe it or not, there is a player in the field who played the Open Championship in England last week and is playing the Olympics next week. It’s three continents in three weeks for Emiliano Grillo, who will represent Argentina in Tokyo.

There’s a nice story of one-time teenage phenom Norman Xiong at golfchannel.com. He turned pro in 2018 after an award-winning sophomore season at Oregon, and then the expected quick success did not happen. Xiong, 22, made it into the field via the Monday qualifier.

3M Open

July 19, 2021 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Louis Oosthuizen

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Louis Oosthuizen	34.3	2
2	Dustin Johnson	36.8	96
3	Brian Harman	40.7	DNP
4	Patrick Reed	43.5	34
5	Tony Finau	45.0	28
6	Matthew Wolff	48.7	39
7	Jason Kokrak	49.4	DNP
8	Cameron Tringale	50.5	16
9	Sergio Garcia	52.2	25
10	Bubba Watson	53.7	51
11	Hank Lebioda	54.9	DNP
12	Seamus Power	55.3	DNP
13	Michael Thompson	56.6	39
14	Emiliano Grillo	57.9	121
15	Branden Grace	58.0	DNP
16	Keegan Bradley	58.1	39
17	Charl Schwartzel	58.6	2
18	Lanto Griffin	59.6	74
19	Maverick McNealy	59.8	16
20	Lucas Herbert	60.0	116
21	Adam Long	60.2	25
22	Chris Kirk	60.8	108
23	Cameron Davis	61.0	28
24	Charles Howell	62.0	39
25	Rickie Fowler	62.4	34
26	Doug Ghim	62.4	96
27	Joel Dahmen	62.5	67
28	Patton Kizzire	62.6	39
29	Troy Merritt	62.7	39
30	Stewart Cink	63.3	96
31	Dylan Frittelli	63.7	121
32	Gary Woodland	64.0	11
33	Jhonattan Vegas	64.2	2
34	Adam Hadwin	64.3	6
35	Brandt Snedeker	64.5	11
36	Pat Perez	64.7	11
37	Wyndham Clark	65.1	74
38	Richy Werenski	65.1	138
39	Brendon Todd	65.3	74
40	Kyle Stanley	65.4	74
41	Luke List	65.4	58
42	Ryan Moore	65.7	74
43	Matt Kuchar	66.0	74
44	Brandon Hagy	66.0	138
45	Erik Van Rooyen	66.4	58
46	Adam Schenk	66.4	51
47	JT Poston	66.4	28
48	Beau Hossler	66.7	49
49	Sepp Straka	66.9	74
50	Chez Reavie	67.1	11
51	Bo Hoag	67.2	16
52	Brian Stuard	67.3	6
53	Brice Garnett	67.4	16
54	Patrick Rodgers	67.6	39
55	Scott Stallings	67.7	39
56	Mark Hubbard	67.7	16
57	Scott Piercy	68.0	71
58	Matthew NeSmith	68.1	96
59	Tom Hoge	68.2	135
60	Andrew Putnam	68.5	121
61	James Hahn	68.5	129
62	Cameron Champ	68.7	1
63	Tom Lewis	68.8	67
64	Byeong Hun An	68.8	145
65	Russell Knox	68.9	108
66	Keith Mitchell	69.3	5
67	Harry Higgs	69.4	74
68	Denny McCarthy	69.6	67
69	Roger Sloan	69.7	16
70	KH Lee	69.7	6
71	Robby Shelton	69.8	108
72	Rafa Cabrera Bello	69.8	58
73	Camilo Villegas	70.0	51
74	Vincent Whaley	70.0	108
75	Robert Streb	70.1	74
76	Kevin Tway	70.3	74
77	Scott Brown	70.4	71
78	Vaughn Taylor	70.5	WD
79	Sean O’Hair	70.5	74
80	Joseph Bramlett	70.5	65
81	Nate Lashley	70.5	108
82	Satoshi Kodaira	70.6	145
83	Ryan Armour	70.7	6
84	Cameron Percy	70.8	34
85	Chase Seiffert	70.8	58
86	Fabian Gomez	71.1	108
87	Chesson Hadley	71.2	58
88	Sam Ryder	71.3	25
89	Mark Anderson	71.4	121
90	John Huh	71.4	121
91	Ben Martin	71.6	74
92	Jason Dufner	71.8	28
93	Peter Uihlein	71.9	DNP
94	Peter Malnati	72.1	74
95	Will Gordon	72.2	121
96	Bronson Burgoon	72.2	74
97	Michael Gligic	72.4	49
98	Tyler McCumber	72.4	96
99	Luke Donald	72.4	16
100	Brandon Stone	72.6	96
101	Rob Oppenheim	72.6	96
102	Tyler Duncan	72.7	74
103	Chris Baker	72.8	51
104	Andrew Landry	72.8	96
105	Nick Watney	72.9	34
106	Aaron Baddeley	73.2	51
107	JJ Spaun	73.7	74
108	Josh Teater	73.9	65
109	Jimmy Walker	74.0	11
110	Bill Haas	74.2	108
111	Sung Kang	74.2	70
112	Ben Taylor	74.3	116
113	Scott Harrington	74.5	96
114	Rhein Gibson	74.5	135
115	Austin Cook	74.5	150
116	Bo Van Pelt	74.8	28
117	Ted Potter	74.8	129
118	David Hearn	75.1	58
119	DJ Trahan	75.2	74
120	Rafael Campos	75.2	149
121	Kristoffer Ventura	75.6	138
122	Nelson Ledesma	75.6	152
123	Brian Gay	75.7	74
124	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	75.9	39
125	Sebastian Cappelen	76.0	138
126	Grayson Murray	76.5	WD
127	Ryan Brehm	76.5	51
128	Michael Kim	77.1	39
129	Martin Trainer	78.2	58
130	Hunter Mahan	79.3	116
131	Quade Cummins	82.5	121
132	Angus Flanagan	82.5	153
133	Ryan Hall	82.5	129
134	Brent Snyder	82.5	138
135	Service Terms of	82.5	DNP
136	Choices Cookie	82.5	DNP
137	Policy Privacy	82.5	DNP
138	Statement Accessibility	82.5	DNP
139	Careers	82.5	DNP
140	Us Contact	82.5	DNP
141	Schedule Tournament	82.5	DNP
142	Advertise	82.5	DNP
143	Tour Connect With Pga	82.5	DNP
144	Information Do Not Sell My Personal	82.5	DNP
145	Inc All Rights Reserved- Pga Tour	82.5	DNP
146	Pga Tour Champions and the Swinging Golfer designreegisteredrademarksgaour	82.5	DNP
147	and is used in the Korn Ferry Tourogoithermissionheornerryrademarkslsoegisteredrademark	82.5	DNP
148	John Pak	82.5	116
149	Kevin Stadler	83.7	121
150	DA Points	84.1	74
151	Matt Every	84.6	116
152	Charlie Beljan	88.9	DNP
153	Sangmoon Bae	98.5	WD
154	Ryan Blaum	108.2	74
155	Zack Sucher	127.6	129
156	MJ Daffue	133.1	51
157	George McNeill	137.1	DNP
158	Ricky Barnes	174.9	145
159	John Senden	194.2	150
160	JJ Henry	239.9	DNP
161	Shawn Stefani	401.7	96
162	Jason Bohn	556.0	DNP
163	Jonathan Byrd	652.6	34
164	Richard S Johnson	820.1	DNP
165	Dominic Bozzelli	1019.6	138
166	Greg Chalmers	1696.2	96
167	Andres Romero	1721.6	DNP
168	Johnson Wagner	2358.2	108
169	David Lingmerth	4595.6	28
170	Wes Roach	5902.6	135
171	Michael Gellerman	9983.9	16
172	Mito Pereira	14306.1	6
173	Austin Eckroat	14811.0	16
174	Steve Stricker	22208.8	138
	Robert MacIntyre	late entry	77
	Norman Xiong	late entry	84
	Stephen Stallings	late entry	107
	Justin Quiban	late entry	130
	Ben Crane	late entry	132
	Tom Lovelady	late entry	148
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 134. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Cazoo Open supported by Gareth Bale

July 19, 2021 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Robert MacIntyre

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Observed Odds	Course fit
1	Robert MacIntyre	58.9	100-1
2	Matt Wallace	66.2	100-1
3	Aaron Rai	70.3	100-1
4	Justin Harding	71.9	100-1
5	Richie Ramsay	72.6	100-1
6	Ross Fisher	73.3	100-1
7	Matthew Jordan	73.7	100-1
8	Wade Ormsby	73.7	100-1
9	Chan Kim	74.3	100-1
10	Adrian Otaegui	74.9	100-1
11	Laurie Canter	75.5	100-1
12	Mikko Korhonen	75.5	100-1
13	Matthew Southgate	75.7	100-1
14	Matthieu Pavon	75.7	100-1
15	Jordan Smith	75.9	100-1
16	Robert Rock	75.9	100-1
17	Sam Horsfield	76.0	100-1
18	Calum Hill	76.5	100-1
19	Jack Senior	76.6	100-1
20	Connor Syme	76.6	100-1
21	Wil Besseling	76.7	100-1
22	James Morrison	76.7	100-1
23	Justin Walters	76.8	100-1
24	Daniel van Tonder	76.8	100-1
25	Marc Warren	77.1	100-1
26	Jacques Kruyswijk	77.2	100-1
27	Masahiro Kawamura	77.2	100-1
28	Gregory Bourdy	77.4	100-1
29	Renato Paratore	77.4	100-1
30	Romain Wattel	77.8	100-1
31	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	77.8	100-1
32	Scott Hend	77.9	100-1
33	Soren Kjeldsen	77.9	100-1
34	Josh Geary	78.0	100-1
35	Zander Lombard	78.0	100-1
36	Haotong Li	78.1	100-1
37	Nicolas Colsaerts	78.4	100-1
38	David Horsey	78.4	100-1
39	Nino Bertasio	78.6	100-1
40	Steven Brown	78.6	100-1
41	Alexander Levy	78.7	100-1
42	Sebastian Heisele	78.7	100-1
43	Niklas Lemke	78.9	100-1
44	Callum Shinkwin	78.9	100-1
45	David Drysdale	78.9	100-1
46	Tapio Pulkkanen	78.9	100-1
47	Maverick Antcliff	79.0	100-1
48	Graeme Storm	79.0	100-1
49	John Catlin	79.1	100-1
50	Adrien Saddier	79.1	100-1
51	Shubhankar Sharma	79.2	100-1
52	Oliver Fisher	79.2	100-1
53	Dale Whitnell	79.3	100-1
54	Matthias Schmid	79.3	100-1
55	Niall Kearney	79.3	100-1
56	David Law	79.3	100-1
57	Sihwan Kim	79.4	100-1
58	Bradley Dredge	79.5	100-1
59	Hugo Leon	79.5	100-1
60	Sebastian Soderberg	79.7	100-1
61	Lorenzo Gagli	79.7	100-1
62	Chris Wood	79.7	100-1
63	Dave Coupland	79.7	100-1
64	Alejandro Canizares	79.8	100-1
65	Clement Sordet	79.8	100-1
66	Julien Guerrier	79.8	100-1
67	Cormac Sharvin	79.8	100-1
68	Marcel Schneider	79.8	100-1
69	Alvaro Quiros	79.9	100-1
70	Nicolai Hojgaard	79.9	100-1
71	Nacho Elvira	79.9	100-1
72	Ashley Chesters	79.9	100-1
73	David Dixon	79.9	100-1
74	Kristoffer Broberg	80.0	100-1
75	Andrea Pavan	80.1	100-1
76	Oliver Farr	80.1	100-1
77	Kristoffer Reitan	80.3	100-1
78	Raphael Jacquelin	80.3	100-1
79	Rhys Enoch	80.3	100-1
80	Richard McEvoy	80.5	100-1
81	Matthew Baldwin	80.5	100-1
82	Pep Angles	80.5	100-1
83	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	80.5	100-1
84	Bernd Ritthammer	80.5	100-1
85	Bryce Easton	80.7	100-1
86	Richard Mansell	80.7	100-1
87	Julian Suri	80.8	100-1
88	Yi Keun Chang	80.8	100-1
89	Robin Roussel	80.8	100-1
90	Jean-Baptiste Gonnet	80.8	100-1
91	Benjamin Poke	80.9	100-1
92	Liam Johnston	80.9	100-1
93	David Howell	81.0	100-1
94	Lee Slattery	81.0	100-1
95	Lars van Meijel	81.0	100-1
96	Gaganjeet Bhullar	81.0	100-1
97	Paul Peterson	81.0	100-1
98	Deyen Lawson	81.1	100-1
99	Ben Evans	81.1	100-1
100	Oliver Wilson	81.1	100-1
101	Vincent Norman	81.2	100-1
102	Damien Perrier	81.2	100-1
103	Pedro Figueiredo	81.2	100-1
104	Ajeetesh Sandhu	81.2	100-1
105	Ricardo Santos	81.3	100-1
106	Gregory Havret	81.3	100-1
107	Toby Tree	81.3	100-1
108	Max Schmitt	81.4	100-1
109	Haydn Porteous	81.4	100-1
110	Tom Gandy	81.6	100-1
111	Paul Dunne	81.8	100-1
112	Ross McGowan	81.8	100-1
113	Gavin Moynihan	81.8	100-1
114	Jordan Wrisdale	81.8	100-1
115	Berry Henson	81.8	100-1
116	Euan Walker	81.8	100-1
117	Matt Ford	81.9	100-1
118	Carlos Pigem	81.9	100-1
119	Elvis Smylie	81.9	100-1
120	Aaron Zemmer	81.9	100-1
121	Suradit Yongcharoenchai	82.0	100-1
122	Janne Kaske	82.1	100-1
123	Daniel Young	82.1	100-1
124	Tyler Koivisto	82.1	100-1
125	Eric Bae	82.2	100-1
126	Nicholas Poppleton	82.2	100-1
127	Jack Davidson	82.2	100-1
128	Bryden Macpherson	82.2	100-1
129	John Murphy	82.2	100-1
130	Joe Long	82.2	100-1
131	James Sugrue	82.2	100-1
132	James Ashfield	82.2	100-1
133	Archie Davies	82.2	100-1
134	Matt Roberts	82.2	100-1
135	Alex Fitzpatrick	82.2	100-1
136	Tim Dykes	82.2	100-1
More \| Less

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (July 18, 2021)

July 19, 2021 Thomas Hawley Ratings

This week marks six months without an interruption at no. 1 for Jon Rahm.

#	Thru July 18, 2021	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Jon Rahm	43	1468	1
2	Xander Schauffele	43	1280	2
3	Daniel Berger	39	1193	5
4	Dustin Johnson	36	1117	7
5	Justin Thomas	44	1114	4
6	Bryson DeChambeau	43	1111	6
7	Collin Morikawa	47	1109	8
8	Rory McIlroy	42	1105	3
9	Louis Oosthuizen	42	1042	12
10	Webb Simpson	37	1040	9
11	Brooks Koepka	34	987	18
12	Patrick Reed	55	980	11
13	Patrick Cantlay	38	972	10
14	Scottie Scheffler	53	966	16
15	Paul Casey	43	943	17
16	Jordan Spieth	42	939	21
17	Harris English	47	936	13
18	Matthew Fitzpatrick	48	925	15
19	Abraham Ancer	53	919	14
20	Tony Finau	52	908	20
21	Tyrrell Hatton	40	869	19
22	Viktor Hovland	50	844	23
23	Hideki Matsuyama	48	822	22
24	Brian Harman	49	811	24
25	Corey Conners	53	765	28
26	Jason Kokrak	48	749	27
27	Will Zalatoris	31	727	25
28	Ryan Palmer	44	725	26
29	Cameron Smith	45	721	29
30	Sungjae Im	62	709	30
31	Shane Lowry	48	685	39
32	Bubba Watson	43	677	33
33	Russell Henley	44	675	32
34	Adam Scott	33	669	31
35	Billy Horschel	50	653	34
36	Joaquin Niemann	51	647	35
37	Sergio Garcia	43	640	45
38	Tommy Fleetwood	46	634	38
39	Charley Hoffman	50	632	36
40	Max Homa	49	629	40
41	Ian Poulter	49	628	42
42	Jason Day	40	620	37
43	Sam Burns	42	604	41
44	Talor Gooch	51	599	46
45	Kevin Streelman	52	599	49
46	Justin Rose	42	596	44
47	Marc Leishman	45	591	43
48	Kevin Na	45	572	50
49	Cameron Tringale	44	571	52
50	Kevin Kisner	48	564	47
51	Keegan Bradley	46	553	48
52	Alex Noren	49	547	51
53	Tiger Woods	14	544	53
54	Joel Dahmen	48	534	54
55	Gary Woodland	44	524	55
56	Lee Westwood	45	517	56
57	Seamus Power	30	517	63
58	Robert MacIntyre	43	516	75
59	Matthew Wolff	41	515	58
60	Lanto Griffin	57	501	61
61	Maverick McNealy	48	501	62
62	Brendan Steele	43	501	57
63	Rickie Fowler	41	491	59
64	Si Woo Kim	53	490	64
65	Mac Hughes	50	490	85
66	Brendon Todd	55	487	60
67	Charl Schwartzel	38	478	66
68	Bud Cauley	23	478	67
69	Emiliano Grillo	51	478	80
70	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	46	474	65
71	Cameron Davis	48	460	71
72	Victor Perez	39	452	68
73	Matt Kuchar	45	452	69
74	Chris Kirk	35	446	70
75	Sebastian Munoz	58	435	72
76	Carlos Ortiz	49	429	73
77	Stewart Cink	40	427	76
78	Patton Kizzire	47	426	83
79	Brandt Snedeker	44	423	91
80	Harold Varner	52	423	78
81	Matt Wallace	53	422	84
82	Erik Van Rooyen	49	422	77
83	Dylan Frittelli	53	421	106
84	Francesco Molinari	27	416	74
85	Lucas Herbert	33	415	79
86	Lucas Glover	51	413	81
87	Zach Johnson	41	413	86
88	JT Poston	53	409	88
89	Branden Grace	49	406	82
90	Charles Howell	45	398	89
91	Hank Lebioda	45	395	92
92	Adam Long	55	394	87
93	Aaron Wise	40	388	95
94	Matt Jones	52	378	90
95	Thomas Pieters	35	376	96
96	Adam Hadwin	46	376	93
97	Phil Mickelson	40	374	94
98	Cameron Champ	48	366	98
99	Troy Merritt	58	359	97
100	Henrik Norlander	55	355	107
101	Doug Ghim	44	353	102
102	Doc Redman	49	353	103
103	Richy Werenski	49	352	99
104	Jhonattan Vegas	42	352	104
105	Ryan Moore	31	351	101
106	Keith Mitchell	47	345	100
107	Harry Higgs	52	341	108
108	Wesley Bryan	15	340	109
109	Danny Willett	48	339	114
110	Guido Migliozzi	41	335	105
111	Luke List	52	335	117
112	Tom Hoge	56	334	111
113	David Lipsky	22	334	113
114	Matthew NeSmith	53	334	112
115	Kyle Stanley	47	331	115
116	Chez Reavie	54	329	110
117	Byeong Hun An	53	328	121
118	Wyndham Clark	49	326	116
119	James Hahn	34	325	123
120	Sepp Straka	55	317	118
121	Mark Hubbard	56	314	120
122	Rory Sabbatini	52	309	122
123	Steve Stricker	21	306	125
124	Patrick Rodgers	60	305	130
125	Brandon Hagy	43	304	126
126	Bernd Wiesberger	45	304	119
127	Scott Piercy	44	299	127
128	Erik Compton	8	294	136
129	Scott Stallings	45	292	133
130	Martin Kaymer	37	292	124
131	KH Lee	55	290	134
132	Andy Sullivan	43	290	147
133	Tom Lewis	51	288	129
134	Thomas Detry	46	287	128
135	Brice Garnett	48	283	131
136	Andrew Putnam	48	281	135
137	Rafa Cabrera Bello	53	279	132
138	Pat Perez	47	278	138
139	Adam Schenk	55	276	141
140	Kramer Hickok	44	273	142
141	Russell Knox	54	271	137
142	Denny McCarthy	52	267	139
143	Michael Thompson	43	265	145
144	Padraig Harrington	39	263	140
145	Brian Stuard	58	262	150
146	Ryan Armour	48	261	156
147	Danny Lee	46	260	149
148	Bo Hoag	54	259	152
149	Vaughn Taylor	50	257	144
150	Aaron Rai	41	255	179
151	Matthias Schwab	45	253	143
152	Camilo Villegas	26	251	148
153	Beau Hossler	52	251	157
154	Jason Scrivener	44	250	146
155	Jeunghun Wang	19	249	154
156	Justin Suh	16	247	159
157	Chesson Hadley	44	244	151
158	Antoine Rozner	36	241	155
159	Dylan Wu	9	241	163
160	Nick Taylor	47	240	153
161	Chase Seiffert	46	236	158
162	Nate Lashley	44	235	162
163	CT Pan	49	232	160
164	Martin Laird	38	229	165
165	Kurt Kitayama	40	225	161
166	Vincent Whaley	42	224	169
167	Taylor Pendrith	8	224
168	Joseph Bramlett	46	223	176
169	Will Gordon	39	222	164
170	Peter Malnati	50	222	170
171	Zac Blair	30	218	167
172	Jack Singh Brar	20	218	171
173	Sam Ryder	55	215	185
174	Andrew Johnston	23	212	174
175	Ryan Fox	37	211	168
176	George Coetzee	35	211	177
177	Marcus Kinhult	33	210	166
178	Ben Martin	34	208	172
179	Boo Weekley	8	207	186
180	Andrew Landry	44	207	180
181	Hudson Swafford	37	206	175
182	John Huh	28	205	173
183	Robby Shelton	56	203	178
184	Sung Kang	53	201	181
185	Peter Uihlein	32	201	182
186	Justin Harding	50	201	233
187	Robert Streb	45	200	183
188	Kalle Samooja	40	199	184
189	Satoshi Kodaira	39	199	194
190	Jim Herman	41	198	195
191	Ross Fisher	41	194	191
192	Victor Dubuisson	24	193	193
193	Garrick Higgo	32	191	187
194	Cameron Percy	45	191	190
195	Chan Kim	21	189	192
196	Dawie van der Walt	9	189	202
197	Tyler McCumber	43	188	200
198	Anirban Lahiri	36	188	230
199	Shaun Norris	31	186	189
200	Sean O’Hair	21	186	188
201	Adri Arnaus	43	185	201
202	Dean Burmester	48	184	214
203	Marcel Siem	22	184	502
204	Tyler Duncan	59	184	199
205	Richard Bland	35	183	197
206	Min Woo Lee	34	183	196
207	Xinjun Zhang	55	183	203
208	Mikko Korhonen	33	181	206
209	Benjamin Hebert	43	181	225
210	Graeme McDowell	46	180	205
211	Wade Ormsby	35	179	211
212	Richie Ramsay	43	176	212
213	Sahith Theegala	10	175	204
214	Scott Brown	51	174	207
215	Laurie Canter	30	174	216
216	Paul Waring	34	174	198
217	Jordan Smith	46	172	217
218	Mark Anderson	37	172	219
219	Joost Luiten	48	171	209
220	Sam Horsfield	41	170	210
221	Bronson Burgoon	45	170	213
222	Rob Oppenheim	49	169	215
223	Johannes Veerman	40	167	227
224	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	30	166	208
225	Jim Furyk	22	166	218
226	Kevin Chappell	28	166	222
227	JB Holmes	29	165	221
228	Roger Sloan	45	164	224
229	Matthew Jordan	33	164	223
230	Alexander Bjork	41	163	228
231	Kevin Tway	45	162	226
232	Jimmy Walker	42	161	220
233	Brandon Stone	42	159	231
234	Scott Jamieson	41	157	232
235	Sami Valimaki	32	157	234
236	Matthieu Pavon	46	154	235
237	Rasmus Hojgaard	35	152	237
238	Henrik Stenson	38	152	229
239	Michael Gligic	47	150	247
240	Richard Sterne	20	150	236
241	Eddie Pepperell	34	148	239
242	Marcus Armitage	37	147	242
243	Calum Hill	38	145	243
244	John Augenstein	9	145	246
245	Renato Paratore	46	144	244
246	Ashun Wu	36	144	245
247	Jason Dufner	47	143	253
248	Sean Crocker	44	141	248
249	Fabrizio Zanotti	30	140	252
250	Fabian Gomez	45	140	240
251	Matthew Southgate	46	139	249
252	Jung-gon Hwang	9	139	254
253	Luke Donald	36	136	258
254	MJ Daffue	14	135	238
255	Joachim B Hansen	45	135	256
256	Rikuya Hoshino	23	135	241
257	Jack Senior	38	134	251
258	Gavin Green	42	134	257
259	Tim Wilkinson	35	134	259
260	Romain Langasque	43	133	250
261	Grant Forrest	43	132	263
262	Wilco Nienaber	36	132	272
263	Adrian Otaegui	48	132	268
264	Connor Syme	36	131	265
265	Masahiro Kawamura	51	131	264
266	Marc Warren	29	131	269
267	Nick Watney	41	131	262
268	Chris Paisley	41	129	270
269	Ollie Schniederjans	11	129	275
270	Darren Fichardt	25	129	274
271	JJ Spaun	45	129	267
272	Davis Thompson	8	129
273	Takumi Kanaya	20	128	255
274	Carl Yuan	9	128	266
275	Chris Baker	40	128	260
276	Joakim Lagergren	39	127	271
277	Wil Besseling	34	126	276
278	Jeff Winther	39	125	278
279	Travis Smyth	9	125	279
280	Brandon Wu	14	125	277
281	Haotong Li	38	125	261
282	Jorge Campillo	46	124	273
283	Edoardo Molinari	44	122	282
284	Daniel van Tonder	17	122	310
285	Pablo Larrazabal	42	121	283
286	Ted Potter	43	119	281
287	Kristoffer Ventura	46	119	280
288	Kyung-nam Kang	9	117	285
289	Akshay Bhatia	16	117	287
290	Jamie Donaldson	40	117	286
291	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	116	284
292	Seung-yul Noh	16	114	293
293	Jacques Kruyswijk	25	114	289
294	David Horsey	40	113	292
295	Chris Stroud	24	113	288
296	Joohyung Kim	9	112	291
297	Austin Cook	47	112	290
298	Julian Etulain	8	111	295
299	Zander Lombard	45	109	294
300	Justin Walters	49	107	296
301	Jazz Janewattananond	41	105	303
302	Hennie du Plessis	9	105	297
303	Josh Teater	33	104	329
304	Jayden Trey Schaper	11	104	299
305	Brian Gay	48	102	298
306	David Hearn	45	100	319
307	Josh Geary	8	100	304
308	Adrian Meronk	35	98	306
309	Bo Van Pelt	43	98	315
310	Scott Harrington	52	98	300
311	Thorbjorn Olesen	20	98	302
312	Callum Shinkwin	36	98	305
313	Scott Hend	45	97	309
314	Nino Bertasio	36	97	308
315	Nicolas Colsaerts	37	97	307
316	Robert Rock	28	96	314
317	Louis de Jager	34	96	312
318	Niklas Lemke	36	95	313
319	Aaron Baddeley	37	94	301
320	Roberto Castro	18	93	317
321	John Catlin	38	93	311
322	Stephen Gallacher	32	92	318
323	James Morrison	46	92	323
324	Sebastian Cappelen	43	92	321
325	Wes Roach	31	91	316
326	Francesco Laporta	34	91	320
327	Alexander Levy	43	91	324
328	Steven Brown	46	91	325
329	Sebastian Heisele	27	90	330
330	Zach Murray	15	88	331
331	Rafael Campos	34	88	357
332	Craig Howie	14	88	335
333	Shubhankar Sharma	49	87	332
334	Greyson Sigg	10	86	327
335	Jamie Arnold	8	86	333
336	Kyung-tae Kim	9	85	340
337	Brendan Jones	8	85	339
338	Maverick Antcliff	34	85	341
339	Shugo Imahira	24	84	336
340	Adrien Saddier	38	83	342
341	Alex Cejka	15	83	338
342	Dale Whitnell	35	83	343
343	Grayson Murray	38	82	334
344	DJ Trahan	42	82	337
345	Tomoharu Otsuki	22	81	346
346	Darius van Driel	33	80	348
347	Scott Vincent	32	79	349
348	Rhein Gibson	42	79	345
349	Stephan Jaeger	13	78	328
350	Anthony Quayle	11	78	351
351	Niall Kearney	13	78	352
352	Oscar Lengden	13	77	356
353	Jonathan Byrd	28	77	344
354	Hugo Leon	16	76	347
355	Maximilian Kieffer	41	76	358
356	Ryosuke Kinoshita	19	75	353
357	Jaco Ahlers	9	73	322
358	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	37	72	354
359	Sang-hee Lee	9	72	362
360	Alejandro Del Rey	8	72	363
361	Soren Kjeldsen	41	72	361
362	Oliver Bekker	8	71	364
363	Jonas Blixt	9	71	366
364	Sebastian Soderberg	42	71	360
365	Ben Stow	17	70	368
366	David Lingmerth	20	70	529
367	Lorenzo Gagli	46	70	367
368	Tapio Pulkkanen	44	70	365
369	Bill Haas	33	69	359
370	Seung-su Han	13	69	369
371	JC Ritchie	21	69	476
372	Brad Kennedy	15	69	350
373	Lee Hodges	11	68	355
374	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	27	68	372
375	Alejandro Canizares	42	67	375
376	Julien Guerrier	37	66	377
377	Chad Campbell	11	66	370
378	Clement Sordet	33	66	378
379	Jaco van Zyl	12	66	373
380	Ryan Brehm	39	65	376
381	Bradley Dredge	12	65	371
382	Charlie Saxon	9	64	379
383	Aaron Cockerill	34	63	384
384	Sang-hyun Park	10	63	383
385	Gunn Charoenkul	15	63	382
386	Ben Taylor	37	62	434
387	Ashley Chesters	43	62	380
388	Andrew Dodt	8	62	386
389	Ricky Barnes	23	62	374
390	Dave Coupland	29	61	390
391	Sihwan Kim	34	60	389
392	Mikumu Horikawa	22	60	391
393	David Dixon	8	59	395
394	Daijiro Izumida	18	59	393
395	Ben Crane	10	59	326
396	Nelson Ledesma	37	59	388
397	Nacho Elvira	45	59	392
398	Marcel Schneider	24	59	385
399	Andy Ogletree	9	58	399
400	Hideto Tanihara	19	58	394
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A Look at the 149th Open Championship

July 12, 2021 Thomas Hawley Narrative

This week at Royal St. George’s, the 149th Open Championship – more commonly known in the U.S. as the British Open — has eight highly rated players who come into the year’s final major playing real solid golf. Let’s walk through the list in Hawley Ratings order:

Jon Rahm, no. 1 – There are some clunkers in his background – two missed cuts this spring/ summer – but he has six top-10s in the last four months, including in all three majors. His game fits the typical Open Championship course configuration.
Xander Schauffele, no. 2 – Has top-10s in the Masters and U.S. Open, missed the cut at the PGA, and all other finishes in the last four months have been no worse than 21st. Should fit the course.
Collin Morikawa, no. 8. Kind of laid an egg in Scotland last week (71st) but the four before that included three top-10s (including U.S. Open and PGA) and a top-20. Should fit the course.
Patrick Cantlay, no. 10. His best in any of the majors was 15th in the U.S. Open, however he leads Tour in FedEx Cup points. Last four results include the Memorial win, the U.S. Open, and two others within the top 25. Should fit the course.
Louis Oosthuizen, no. 12. First time back in Europe was kind of a bummer when he was 42nd in Germany at the end of June. U.S. events were another story altogether. He was runner-up in both the PGA and U.S. Open, had three other top-10s, and made 11 straight cuts.
Harris English, no. 13. Aptly-named Georgian was great around New Year’s, dropped back into the pack for four months, then came back with a top-20 at the Palmetto, a third at the U.S. Open, and the Travelers win.
Brooks Koepka, no. 18. Would be ranked a lot higher if not for roller coaster tendencies. Won at Phoenix, has two runner-up finishes (including the PGA), and has three other top-10s this year. Oh yeah, and five missed cuts and one other finish way back in the pack. Should fit the course.
Jordan Spieth, no. 21. It’s not completely clear that he’s headed back to a spot in the top two of the world rankings, a feat attained a few years back, but it is clear that he’s amassed six top-10s (including the Texas win) and four other top-20s since the start of February. Won this event in 2017. Second on the Tour with 13 straight made cuts.

Top-20 players missing from the above are Rory McIlroy (2014 winner), Justin Thomas, Daniel Berger, Bryson DeChambeau, Dustin Johnson, Webb Simpson, Patrick Reed, Abraham Ancer, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Scottie Scheffler, Paul Casey, Tyrrell Hatton, and Tony Finau, all great players and winners but none of them arriving with a strut.

Royal St. George’s Golf Club is in Sandwich, Kent, in southeast England, about 20 miles north of the narrowest point in the English Channel. It is the only course on the Open Championship rotation that is in southern England. Per the Hawley course fit statistics, shots gained around the green, shots gained off the tee, and shots gained in approach are the three stats most closely correlated with success in the last eight Open Championships.

Here are some names from a bit off the top of the ratings:

Lucas Herbert, no. 79 – 25-year-old Australian made the top 20 in two U.S. starts in June, then headed to Europe to win the Irish Open and finish fourth in the Scottish. Should fit the course.
Branden Grace, no. 82 – 33-year-old South African won in Puerto Rico in February and had back-to-back top 10s in the Memorial and U.S. Open. These finishes highlight an otherwise up-and-down season.
Zach Johnson, no. 86 – Has a great record in this event; won in 2015 and has two other top-10s and three other top-20s since 2012. Has only one top-10 in 16 Tour appearances this year. (Everybody knows Zach is in his 40s and from Iowa, or it would have been mentioned earlier.)
Guido Migliozzi, no. 102 – 24-year-old Italian finished runner-up in back-to-back Euro events, then traveled to U.S. and was fourth in the U.S. Open and in the top 20 at the Travelers.
Richard Bland, no. 197 – 48-year-old Englishman has a win (English Masters), two other top-10s, and a top-20 in his last five appearances, all on the Euro Tour. Was 50th in the U.S. Open.

And a final thought. Can you believe the Official World Golf Ratings has Dustin Johnson as world no. 1? I mean, great player, terrific athlete. But the guy hasn’t had a top-10 finish in 10 events since he was eighth in the Genesis in February. World no. 1?

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