A Look at the Barbasol Championship

July 12, 2021 Thomas Hawley

On this side of the Atlantic, they have a slightly better than average field gathering for the Barbasol Championship a little bit outside Lexington KY. Based on the Hawley Ratings, four of the top 100 players (Seamus Power, Charl Schwartzel, JT Poston, and Richy Werenski) are in the field, plus seven more from the top 125.

Power, a 34-year-old from Ireland who is in his fifth year on the Tour, is the pick from this perspective. He is at a career-high no. 63 in the ratings (although only 210 in the Official World Golf Ratings) after a very nice spring and summer that has seen him make eight cuts in a row with three top-10s (Deere, Rocket, and Nelson) and two additional top-20s. After Power, Beau Hossler is probably second in terms of the strength of the upswing in recent appearances. He missed the cut at the Deere but had three solid finishes prior to that, notably a top-10 at the Travelers. Also, Jim Herman and Schwartzel have nice recent finishes.

The top fits for the course are a closely bunched quartet of John Huh, Power, David Lipsky, and Brian Stuard. The top statistical predictors of success on Keene Trace have been shots gained around the green, shots gained off the tee, and driving accuracy. Note that the field contains over five dozen players without sufficient Tour appearances this season to be included in the statistical rankings; the highest-rated among these wildcards is Sahith Seegala.

The 149th Open

July 11, 2021 Thomas Hawley , ,
Jon Rahm
Jon Rahm
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Jon Rahm 25.7 3
2 Rory McIlroy 28.0 46
3 Xander Schauffele 30.4 26
4 Brooks Koepka 33.6 6
5 Jordan Spieth 35.3 2
6 Louis Oosthuizen 36.7 3
7 Collin Morikawa 37.1 1
8 Patrick Cantlay 37.7 98
9 Patrick Reed 38.4 98
10 Dustin Johnson 41.6 8
11 Justin Thomas 41.9 40
12 Scottie Scheffler 42.2 8
13 Paul Casey 42.7 15
14 Harris English 43.2 46
15 Daniel Berger 43.2 8
16 Bryson DeChambeau 43.8 33
17 Tyrrell Hatton 44.4 78
18 Brian Harman 44.9 19
19 Webb Simpson 45.0 19
20 Tony Finau 46.0 15
21 Abraham Ancer 46.3 59
22 Matthew Fitzpatrick 46.9 26
23 Shane Lowry 50.8 12
24 Adam Scott 51.1 46
25 Russell Henley 52.8 78
26 Viktor Hovland 53.0 12
27 Jason Kokrak 53.4 26
28 Charley Hoffman 53.5 98
29 Jason Day 53.8 125
30 Joaquin Niemann 54.0 59
31 Alex Noren 54.1 125
32 Justin Rose 54.3 46
33 Sergio Garcia 55.2 19
34 Tommy Fleetwood 55.3 33
35 Corey Conners 55.6 15
36 Rickie Fowler 55.8 53
37 Keegan Bradley 56.1 78
38 Will Zalatoris 56.6 WD
39 Cameron Smith 56.6 33
40 Ryan Palmer 56.7 78
41 Kevin Kisner 57.0 73
42 Ian Poulter 57.1 26
43 Kevin Streelman 57.3 19
44 Talor Gooch 57.6 33
45 Cameron Tringale 57.8 26
46 Sam Burns 58.0 76
47 Marc Leishman 58.1 78
48 Branden Grace 58.3 98
49 Max Homa 58.5 40
50 Zach Johnson 59.7 DNP
51 Francesco Molinari 60.0 78
52 Matt Kuchar 61.3 130
53 Lee Westwood 61.3 59
54 Chris Kirk 61.6 78
55 Billy Horschel 61.7 53
56 Guido Migliozzi 62.3 78
57 Stewart Cink 62.5 98
58 Robert MacIntyre 62.6 8
59 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 62.7 53
60 Gary Woodland 63.2 98
61 Lanto Griffin 64.0 33
62 Lucas Glover 64.6 125
63 Joel Dahmen 64.6 46
64 Carlos Ortiz 64.9 125
65 Emiliano Grillo 64.9 12
66 Phil Mickelson 65.3 152
67 Brendon Todd 65.7 98
68 Erik Van Rooyen 66.1 98
69 Matt Wallace 66.5 40
70 Troy Merritt 66.6 98
71 Victor Perez 66.9 78
72 Danny Willett 67.0 33
73 Sebastian Munoz 67.4 78
74 Martin Kaymer 67.4 78
75 Bernd Wiesberger 67.6 59
76 Matt Jones 67.6 98
77 Brandt Snedeker 67.6 19
78 Chez Reavie 67.7 59
79 Henrik Stenson 68.4 78
80 Thomas Detry 68.5 130
81 Adam Hadwin 68.5 115
82 Andy Sullivan 68.9 26
83 Mac Hughes 69.2 6
84 Richard Bland 69.2 67
85 Ryan Fox 69.8 67
86 Antoine Rozner 70.0 59
87 Matthias Schwab 70.2 98
88 Keith Mitchell 70.6 115
89 Jason Scrivener 70.9 115
90 Min Woo Lee 70.9 98
91 Padraig Harrington 71.2 72
92 Rafa Cabrera Bello 71.3 98
93 Byeong Hun An 71.4 26
94 Johannes Veerman 71.4 46
95 Kurt Kitayama 71.6 78
96 Aaron Rai 71.7 19
97 CT Pan 72.2 136
98 Justin Harding 72.5 19
99 Joost Luiten 72.9 136
100 Garrick Higgo 73.1 142
101 Dean Burmester 73.3 40
102 Jimmy Walker 73.7 78
103 Marcus Armitage 74.0 53
104 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 74.2 115
105 Louis de Jager 74.5 DNP
106 Jack Senior 74.5 67
107 Marcus Kinhult 74.8 78
108 Romain Langasque 75.0 136
109 Benjamin Hebert 75.0 33
110 Paul Waring 75.6 142
111 Jorge Campillo 75.6 78
112 Jazz Janewattananond 75.8 46
113 Marcel Schneider 77.0 145
114 Richard Mansell 77.2 74
115 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 78.1 115
116 Rikard Karlberg 78.3 78
117 Aaron Pike 81.7 145
118 Sam Bairstow 82.5 136
119 Christoffer Bring 82.5 136
120 Ricardo Celia 82.5 115
121 Daniel Croft 82.5 153
122 David Duval 82.5 DNP
123 Sam Forgan 82.5 150
124 Abel Gallegos 82.5 145
125 Ben Hutchinson 82.5 145
126 Joe Long 82.5 130
127 Nicholas Poppleton 82.5 142
128 Laird Shepherd 82.5 98
129 Connor Worsdall 82.5 150
130 Cole Hammer 82.5 130
131 Darren Clarke 83.1 130
132 Haotong Li 142.2 115
133 Lucas Herbert 150.0 98
134 Shaun Norris 150.0 98
135 Chan Kim 150.0 53
136 Rikuya Hoshino 150.0 130
137 Takumi Kanaya 150.0 78
138 Daniel van Tonder 150.0 40
139 Jaco Ahlers 150.0 136
140 Brad Kennedy 150.0 125
141 Ryosuke Kinoshita 150.0 59
142 Matthias Schmid 150.0 59
143 Yuki Inamori 150.0 154
144 JC Ritchie 150.0 40
145 Ernie Els 150.0 115
146 Deyen Lawson 150.0 155
147 Ryutaro Nagano 150.0 78
148 Yuxin Lin 150.0 74
149 Daniel Hillier 150.0 98
150 Richard T Lee 150.0 115
151 Poom Saksansin 150.0 76
152 Jonathan Thomson 150.0 53
Dylan Frittelli late entry 5
Marcel Siem late entry 17
Brendan Steele late entry 67
Sam Horsfield late entry 70
Harold Varner late entry 86
John Catlin late entry 119
Adam Long late entry 147
The accuracy number for these picks is 164. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Barbasol Championship

July 11, 2021 Thomas Hawley ,
Seamus Power
Seamus Power
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Seamus Power 50.7 1
2 Charl Schwartzel 55.9 26
3 Richy Werenski 56.5 78
4 Cameron Percy 59.4 42
5 Brian Gay 59.9 DNP
6 JT Poston 60.9 2
7 Jim Herman 61.7 20
8 Henrik Norlander 62.7 5
9 Ryan Armour 63.5 5
10 Nick Taylor 63.6 67
11 David Lipsky 63.7 DNP
12 Beau Hossler 63.9 15
13 Chesson Hadley 64.0 117
14 Ben Martin 64.1 58
15 Doc Redman 64.4 DNP
16 Brice Garnett 64.5 72
17 Brian Stuard 64.6 15
18 Luke List 64.7 5
19 Mark Hubbard 64.8 20
20 Adam Schenk 64.9 15
21 Patrick Rodgers 64.9 5
22 Scott Stallings 65.0 DNP
23 Russell Knox 65.5 102
24 Tom Lewis 65.9 40
25 Harry Higgs 66.1 DNP
26 James Hahn 66.2 5
27 Vaughn Taylor 66.6 42
28 Chase Seiffert 66.7 96
29 Denny McCarthy 66.7 102
30 Bo Hoag 66.8 11
31 Satoshi Kodaira 67.1 20
32 Camilo Villegas 67.2 53
33 Fabian Gomez 67.3 96
34 Sean O’Hair 67.4 WD
35 Aaron Baddeley 67.4 86
36 Roger Sloan 67.4 31
37 John Huh 67.5 78
38 Will Gordon 67.5 78
39 Hudson Swafford 67.5 86
40 Vincent Whaley 67.7 26
41 Joseph Bramlett 67.8 11
42 Kevin Tway 68.3 26
43 Mark Anderson 68.4 26
44 David Hearn 68.5 20
45 Scott Brown 68.6 86
46 Robby Shelton 68.7 78
47 Bronson Burgoon 68.7 53
48 Rob Oppenheim 68.7 70
49 Sam Ryder 68.8 3
50 Josh Teater 68.8 15
51 Tyler Duncan 68.9 86
52 Anirban Lahiri 69.2 3
53 Grayson Murray 69.2 109
54 Chris Baker 69.2 78
55 Austin Cook 69.3 47
56 Jason Dufner 69.4 26
57 JJ Spaun 69.5 47
58 DJ Trahan 70.0 96
59 Bo Van Pelt 70.4 31
60 Wilco Nienaber 70.8 31
61 Scott Harrington 70.8 53
62 Michael Gligic 70.8 19
63 KJ Choi 71.1 75
64 Bill Haas 71.2 102
65 Ted Potter 71.4 47
66 Kristoffer Ventura 71.9 117
67 Nelson Ledesma 72.0 121
68 Rafael Campos 72.2 20
69 Nick Watney 72.2 37
70 Rhein Gibson 72.4 109
71 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 72.5 78
72 Sebastian Cappelen 73.0 DNP
73 Hunter Mahan 73.0 86
74 Ben Taylor 73.1 20
75 Ryan Brehm 73.3 53
76 Michael Kim 74.3 72
77 Martin Trainer 74.7 117
78 Mark Hensby 82.4 DNP
79 Will Grimmer 82.5 47
80 David Pastore 82.5 67
81 Andrew Stephens 82.5 126
82 Preston Summerhays 82.5 86
83 Carlos Franco 82.5 DNP
84 Matt Every 83.2 WD
85 JJ Henry 83.5 58
86 Kevin Stadler 83.7 102
87 Smylie Kaufman 84.9 128
88 Omar Uresti 86.8 121
89 Parker McLachlin 88.1 124
90 Derek Ernst 88.1 37
91 Ted Purdy 89.3 DNP
92 Carl Pettersson 90.0 109
93 Daniel Chopra 91.1 86
94 DA Points 91.4 78
95 John Rollins 92.8 109
96 John Daly 93.6 117
97 Eric Axley 97.5 102
98 Sangmoon Bae 98.5 WD
99 David Lingmerth 101.9 11
100 Freddie Jacobson 110.4 DNP
101 Brendon de Jonge 110.8 126
102 Arjun Atwal 113.0 77
103 Dominic Bozzelli 119.0 40
104 Robert Garrigus 122.9 31
105 Greg Chalmers 125.1 31
106 Zack Sucher 127.6 70
107 Andrew Loupe 132.0 74
108 George McNeill 137.1 102
109 Ricky Barnes 137.5 62
110 John Merrick 138.9 121
111 Ryan Blaum 140.1 109
112 Sahith Theegala 150.0 37
113 Taylor Pendrith 150.0 11
114 MJ Daffue 150.0 62
115 Davis Thompson 150.0 31
116 Wes Roach 150.0 47
117 Ben Crane 150.0 124
118 Greyson Sigg 150.0 47
119 Stephan Jaeger 150.0 78
120 Mito Pereira 150.0 5
121 Jonathan Byrd 150.0 62
122 Lee Hodges 150.0 53
123 Andres Romero 150.0 109
124 Shawn Stefani 150.0 62
125 Michael Gellerman 150.0 86
126 Johnson Wagner 150.0 96
127 Davis Riley 150.0 58
128 Tommy Gainey 150.0 109
129 Charlie Beljan 150.0 96
130 John Senden 150.0 102
131 Jason Bohn 150.0 62
132 Richard S Johnson 150.0 58
133 Paul Barjon 150.0 42
134 Case Cochran 150.0 86
135 Chris Couch 150.0 DNP
136 Stephen Stallings 150.0 75
137 Ken Duke 150.0 109
138 John Pak 150.0 96
David Gazzolo late entry 43
Bobby Bai late entry 45
Trey Shirley late entry 67
Scott Gutschewski late entry 87
Will MacKenzie late entry 130
The accuracy number for these picks is 381. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (July 11, 2021)

July 11, 2021 Thomas Hawley

U.S. Open champ Jon Rahm has been no. 1 for almost all of 2021.
# Thru July 11, 2021 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Jon Rahm 43 1417 1
2 Xander Schauffele 43 1290 2
3 Rory McIlroy 42 1150 3
4 Justin Thomas 44 1145 5
5 Daniel Berger 39 1139 4
6 Bryson DeChambeau 43 1127 6
7 Dustin Johnson 36 1058 8
8 Collin Morikawa 47 1033 7
9 Webb Simpson 37 1028 9
10 Patrick Cantlay 38 1020 10
11 Patrick Reed 55 1016 11
12 Louis Oosthuizen 42 970 12
13 Harris English 47 956 13
14 Abraham Ancer 52 947 14
15 Matthew Fitzpatrick 48 925 19
16 Scottie Scheffler 52 924 16
17 Paul Casey 43 916 17
18 Brooks Koepka 34 914 15
19 Tyrrell Hatton 40 904 18
20 Tony Finau 52 883 20
21 Jordan Spieth 42 858 21
22 Hideki Matsuyama 49 826 22
23 Viktor Hovland 49 805 24
24 Brian Harman 48 793 23
25 Will Zalatoris 30 763 25
26 Ryan Palmer 44 752 30
27 Jason Kokrak 47 741 27
28 Corey Conners 53 738 26
29 Cameron Smith 45 725 29
30 Sungjae Im 62 712 28
31 Adam Scott 33 697 31
32 Russell Henley 44 696 33
33 Bubba Watson 44 677 34
34 Billy Horschel 50 677 32
35 Joaquin Niemann 50 668 35
36 Charley Hoffman 49 650 37
37 Jason Day 40 644 39
38 Tommy Fleetwood 46 642 36
39 Shane Lowry 47 640 38
40 Max Homa 49 638 40
41 Sam Burns 41 625 41
42 Ian Poulter 49 618 48
43 Marc Leishman 45 617 42
44 Justin Rose 42 614 43
45 Sergio Garcia 43 610 44
46 Talor Gooch 50 598 45
47 Kevin Kisner 48 585 49
48 Keegan Bradley 46 575 50
49 Kevin Streelman 51 574 47
50 Kevin Na 46 574 56
51 Alex Noren 49 568 46
52 Cameron Tringale 44 555 52
53 Tiger Woods 14 555 51
54 Joel Dahmen 47 544 55
55 Gary Woodland 44 544 54
56 Lee Westwood 44 535 53
57 Brendan Steele 43 520 57
58 Matthew Wolff 42 514 58
59 Rickie Fowler 40 507 59
60 Brendon Todd 55 501 63
61 Lanto Griffin 56 499 61
62 Maverick McNealy 48 498 64
63 Seamus Power 30 493 74
64 Si Woo Kim 53 490 65
65 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 45 488 62
66 Charl Schwartzel 37 488 66
67 Bud Cauley 23 482 67
68 Victor Perez 38 477 60
69 Matt Kuchar 45 469 70
70 Chris Kirk 34 466 71
71 Cameron Davis 49 459 69
72 Sebastian Munoz 58 447 79
73 Carlos Ortiz 48 447 72
74 Francesco Molinari 26 445 68
75 Robert MacIntyre 42 444 76
76 Stewart Cink 39 443 73
77 Erik Van Rooyen 48 438 75
78 Harold Varner 51 438 81
79 Lucas Herbert 32 435 96
80 Emiliano Grillo 51 428 78
81 Lucas Glover 50 426 93
82 Branden Grace 48 423 77
83 Patton Kizzire 47 423 87
84 Matt Wallace 53 423 80
85 Mac Hughes 49 418 83
86 Zach Johnson 41 411 84
87 Adam Long 55 407 86
88 JT Poston 52 402 82
89 Charles Howell 45 401 88
90 Matt Jones 51 393 90
91 Brandt Snedeker 44 392 89
92 Hank Lebioda 46 392 101
93 Adam Hadwin 45 392 91
94 Phil Mickelson 40 391 92
95 Aaron Wise 40 388 85
96 Thomas Pieters 35 379 94
97 Troy Merritt 58 369 95
98 Cameron Champ 48 367 106
99 Richy Werenski 49 364 97
100 Keith Mitchell 47 358 98
101 Ryan Moore 31 356 129
102 Doug Ghim 44 351 111
103 Doc Redman 49 351 99
104 Jhonattan Vegas 43 350 118
105 Guido Migliozzi 40 350 103
106 Dylan Frittelli 52 349 100
107 Henrik Norlander 54 346 107
108 Harry Higgs 52 343 102
109 Wesley Bryan 15 339 109
110 Chez Reavie 54 338 117
111 Tom Hoge 57 337 108
112 Matthew NeSmith 53 335 105
113 David Lipsky 22 331 113
114 Danny Willett 48 331 104
115 Kyle Stanley 47 330 110
116 Wyndham Clark 49 328 112
117 Luke List 51 325 133
118 Sepp Straka 56 316 115
119 Bernd Wiesberger 44 315 124
120 Mark Hubbard 55 315 120
121 Byeong Hun An 52 313 114
122 Rory Sabbatini 52 311 116
123 James Hahn 33 310 123
124 Martin Kaymer 37 307 119
125 Steve Stricker 21 305 122
126 Brandon Hagy 43 304 135
127 Scott Piercy 44 302 121
128 Thomas Detry 45 300 155
129 Tom Lewis 50 296 125
130 Patrick Rodgers 60 295 134
131 Brice Garnett 47 294 126
132 Rafa Cabrera Bello 53 292 136
133 Scott Stallings 45 291 128
134 KH Lee 56 291 130
135 Andrew Putnam 49 287 127
136 Erik Compton 8 286 138
137 Russell Knox 53 282 137
138 Pat Perez 48 279 132
139 Denny McCarthy 52 278 131
140 Padraig Harrington 39 275 156
141 Adam Schenk 54 272 162
142 Kramer Hickok 45 271 140
143 Matthias Schwab 44 267 139
144 Vaughn Taylor 49 266 143
145 Michael Thompson 43 264 145
146 Jason Scrivener 43 262 141
147 Andy Sullivan 42 262 142
148 Camilo Villegas 25 262 144
149 Danny Lee 46 261 147
150 Brian Stuard 57 260 163
151 Chesson Hadley 43 253 153
152 Bo Hoag 53 252 148
153 Nick Taylor 46 251 157
154 Jeunghun Wang 19 251 152
155 Antoine Rozner 35 251 146
156 Ryan Armour 47 247 149
157 Beau Hossler 52 246 151
158 Chase Seiffert 45 245 161
159 Justin Suh 17 244 159
160 CT Pan 49 242 154
161 Kurt Kitayama 39 240 150
162 Nate Lashley 45 239 158
163 Dylan Wu 9 237 166
164 Will Gordon 39 231 173
165 Martin Laird 39 229 176
166 Marcus Kinhult 32 226 160
167 Zac Blair 30 223 169
168 Ryan Fox 36 223 167
169 Vincent Whaley 41 222 165
170 Peter Malnati 50 222 170
171 Jack Singh Brar 20 220 175
172 Ben Martin 33 219 168
173 John Huh 27 217 171
174 Andrew Johnston 23 216 164
175 Hudson Swafford 36 214 172
176 Joseph Bramlett 45 213 174
177 George Coetzee 35 210 191
178 Robby Shelton 55 210 178
179 Aaron Rai 41 209 185
180 Andrew Landry 45 208 177
181 Sung Kang 54 203 180
182 Peter Uihlein 33 201 187
183 Robert Streb 46 201 181
184 Kalle Samooja 40 201 179
185 Sam Ryder 55 201 186
186 Boo Weekley 8 201 196
187 Garrick Higgo 31 199 182
188 Sean O’Hair 20 199 260
189 Shaun Norris 30 199 188
190 Cameron Percy 44 197 223
191 Ross Fisher 41 196 218
192 Chan Kim 20 195 192
193 Victor Dubuisson 24 193 184
194 Satoshi Kodaira 38 192 189
195 Jim Herman 41 191 208
196 Min Woo Lee 33 191 291
197 Richard Bland 34 191 226
198 Paul Waring 33 190 183
199 Tyler Duncan 59 189 194
200 Tyler McCumber 43 189 199
201 Adri Arnaus 43 188 190
202 Dawie van der Walt 9 186 203
203 Xinjun Zhang 55 184 202
204 Sahith Theegala 9 184 204
205 Graeme McDowell 46 183 195
206 Mikko Korhonen 33 183 193
207 Scott Brown 50 181 247
208 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 29 180 201
209 Joost Luiten 47 180 198
210 Sam Horsfield 40 180 197
211 Wade Ormsby 35 180 252
212 Richie Ramsay 43 178 233
213 Bronson Burgoon 45 178 200
214 Dean Burmester 47 177 213
215 Rob Oppenheim 48 175 207
216 Laurie Canter 30 174 205
217 Jordan Smith 46 173 206
218 Jim Furyk 23 171 211
219 Mark Anderson 36 170 209
220 Jimmy Walker 41 167 215
221 JB Holmes 30 166 210
222 Kevin Chappell 28 166 221
223 Matthew Jordan 33 165 256
224 Roger Sloan 45 164 216
225 Benjamin Hebert 42 164 214
226 Kevin Tway 45 162 237
227 Johannes Veerman 39 162 286
228 Alexander Bjork 41 162 240
229 Henrik Stenson 38 162 212
230 Anirban Lahiri 35 161 217
231 Brandon Stone 42 160 220
232 Scott Jamieson 41 159 219
233 Justin Harding 50 159 222
234 Sami Valimaki 32 156 224
235 Matthieu Pavon 46 154 279
236 Richard Sterne 20 152 230
237 Rasmus Hojgaard 35 152 227
238 MJ Daffue 13 151 235
239 Eddie Pepperell 35 149 228
240 Fabian Gomez 44 148 229
241 Rikuya Hoshino 22 147 225
242 Marcus Armitage 36 147 234
243 Calum Hill 38 146 231
244 Renato Paratore 46 145 232
245 Ashun Wu 36 145 239
246 John Augenstein 9 144 243
247 Michael Gligic 46 142 241
248 Sean Crocker 44 142 238
249 Matthew Southgate 46 141 267
250 Romain Langasque 42 140 245
251 Jack Senior 37 140 305
252 Fabrizio Zanotti 30 140 236
253 Jason Dufner 46 140 282
254 Jung-gon Hwang 9 139 250
255 Takumi Kanaya 19 139 249
256 Joachim B Hansen 45 137 242
257 Gavin Green 42 135 244
258 Luke Donald 36 135 258
259 Tim Wilkinson 35 134 263
260 Chris Baker 39 133 248
261 Haotong Li 38 133 246
262 Nick Watney 40 133 262
263 Grant Forrest 43 132 254
264 Masahiro Kawamura 51 132 257
265 Connor Syme 36 132 275
266 Carl Yuan 9 131 259
267 JJ Spaun 45 131 264
268 Adrian Otaegui 48 131 285
269 Marc Warren 29 131 251
270 Chris Paisley 41 130 255
271 Joakim Lagergren 39 129 273
272 Wilco Nienaber 35 129 261
273 Jorge Campillo 45 129 265
274 Darren Fichardt 25 128 253
275 Ollie Schniederjans 11 127 276
276 Wil Besseling 34 127 270
277 Brandon Wu 14 127 268
278 Jeff Winther 39 126 274
279 Travis Smyth 9 125 272
280 Kristoffer Ventura 45 123 271
281 Ted Potter 42 123 266
282 Edoardo Molinari 44 123 314
283 Pablo Larrazabal 42 122 269
284 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 119 278
285 Kyung-nam Kang 9 118 281
286 Jamie Donaldson 40 117 277
287 Akshay Bhatia 16 115 288
288 Chris Stroud 25 114 287
289 Jacques Kruyswijk 25 114 290
290 Austin Cook 46 114 280
291 Joohyung Kim 9 113 289
292 David Horsey 40 113 284
293 Seung-yul Noh 16 113 292
294 Zander Lombard 45 112 283
295 Julian Etulain 9 110 295
296 Justin Walters 49 107 347
297 Hennie du Plessis 9 105 296
298 Brian Gay 48 104 293
299 Jayden Trey Schaper 11 104 302
300 Scott Harrington 51 102 307
301 Aaron Baddeley 36 100 294
302 Thorbjorn Olesen 21 100 300
303 Jazz Janewattananond 40 100 298
304 Josh Geary 8 99 309
305 Callum Shinkwin 36 98 299
306 Adrian Meronk 35 98 303
307 Nicolas Colsaerts 37 97 301
308 Nino Bertasio 36 97 319
309 Scott Hend 45 97 318
310 Daniel van Tonder 16 96 297
311 John Catlin 37 96 304
312 Louis de Jager 34 96 317
313 Niklas Lemke 36 96 316
314 Robert Rock 28 95 308
315 Bo Van Pelt 42 94 311
316 Wes Roach 31 94 321
317 Roberto Castro 18 94 323
318 Stephen Gallacher 32 93 310
319 David Hearn 45 93 326
320 Francesco Laporta 34 93 312
321 Sebastian Cappelen 43 93 313
322 Jaco Ahlers 8 92 325
323 James Morrison 46 92 315
324 Alexander Levy 43 91 362
325 Steven Brown 46 91 320
326 Ben Crane 9 91 329
327 Greyson Sigg 9 91 333
328 Stephan Jaeger 13 90 332
329 Josh Teater 33 90 306
330 Sebastian Heisele 27 90 342
331 Zach Murray 15 90 328
332 Shubhankar Sharma 49 89 322
333 Jamie Arnold 8 88 331
334 Grayson Murray 37 88 324
335 Craig Howie 14 88 337
336 Shugo Imahira 25 87 330
337 DJ Trahan 42 87 327
338 Alex Cejka 16 87 335
339 Brendan Jones 8 86 339
340 Kyung-tae Kim 9 86 343
341 Maverick Antcliff 34 85 334
342 Adrien Saddier 38 83 345
343 Dale Whitnell 35 83 341
344 Jonathan Byrd 28 82 336
345 Rhein Gibson 41 82 371
346 Tomoharu Otsuki 22 82 346
347 Hugo Leon 16 81 340
348 Darius van Driel 33 81 349
349 Scott Vincent 32 79 352
350 Brad Kennedy 14 79 351
351 Anthony Quayle 11 79 353
352 Niall Kearney 13 78 355
353 Ryosuke Kinoshita 18 77 359
354 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 36 77 344
355 Lee Hodges 10 77 357
356 Oscar Lengden 13 77 360
357 Rafael Campos 33 76 350
358 Maximilian Kieffer 41 76 354
359 Bill Haas 33 73 356
360 Sebastian Soderberg 42 73 358
361 Soren Kjeldsen 41 72 361
362 Sang-hee Lee 9 72 366
363 Alejandro Del Rey 8 72 370
364 Oliver Bekker 8 71 367
365 Tapio Pulkkanen 44 70 396
366 Jonas Blixt 10 70 348
367 Lorenzo Gagli 46 70 364
368 Ben Stow 17 70 375
369 Seung-su Han 13 70 373
370 Chad Campbell 12 69 369
371 Bradley Dredge 12 68 372
372 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 27 68 368
373 Jaco van Zyl 12 68 377
374 Ricky Barnes 23 68 363
375 Alejandro Canizares 42 67 380
376 Ryan Brehm 38 67 374
377 Julien Guerrier 37 66 376
378 Clement Sordet 33 65 388
379 Charlie Saxon 9 65 381
380 Ashley Chesters 43 64 379
381 Yuki Inamori 20 64 398
382 Gunn Charoenkul 15 64 378
383 Sang-hyun Park 10 64 338
384 Aaron Cockerill 34 63 392
385 Marcel Schneider 23 63 395
386 Andrew Dodt 8 62 394
387 Andres Romero 18 62 365
388 Nelson Ledesma 36 61 389
389 Sihwan Kim 34 61 397
390 Dave Coupland 29 60 399
391 Mikumu Horikawa 23 60 387
392 Nacho Elvira 45 60 391
393 Daijiro Izumida 18 60 382
394 Hideto Tanihara 19 59 384
395 David Dixon 8 59 402
396 Shawn Stefani 23 59 383
397 Nicolai Hojgaard 34 58 401
398 Michael Gellerman 33 58 462
399 Andy Ogletree 9 58 404
400 George McNeill 21 58 385
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A Look at the John Deere Classic

July 5, 2021 Thomas Hawley

With a couple of dozen U.S.-based PGA Tour players probably already on-site at this week’s Euro Tour event in Scotland, one of those rare soft spots on the PGA Tour schedule is found this week at TPC Deere Run in Silvis IL. It’s the John Deere Classic, in its regular week-before-the-British spot on the Tour calendar. The obvious pick on the west side of the Atlantic is Daniel Berger, by far the highest-rated player in the field and one who fits the course and is playing well.

Berger Is at a career-high no. 4 in the Hawley Ratings and ahead of a field that includes only five other players from the top 50: no. 23 Brian Harman, no. 28 Sungjae Im, no. 33 Russell Henley, no. 46 Alex Noren, and no. 47 Kevin Streelman. Meanwhile, the oddly-named abrdn Scottish Open in North Berwick, Scotland has the world top three, half of the top 10, and 15 of the top 50.

Whoever wins the Deere, you can count on a low score being necessary. The average winner in the last eight iterations of the event has been at 263, or 21-under. The Hawley course fit statistics indicate that greens in regulation and putts per GIR are the statistics where player performance correlates most highly with success in the event. Scrambling and driving distance are a bit behind.

Let’s look at the six top-rated players in the John Deere, and then six more who could step up and surprise

  • Daniel Berger – Very steady in the run-of-the-mill Tour events, which this surely is. Excluding the majors and WGC events, he is a perfect seven-for-seven in top-20 finishes this year, with five top-10s. He also was seventh in the U.S. Open. And finally Berger is the no. 1 player in the field in terms of how his game matches what works at TPC Deere Run. He’s in the top 10 percent of U.S. and Euro pros in greens in regulation, and in the top quarter in putting.
  • Brian Harman – 2014 winner here also is having a very good season. If you excuse a missed cut at the PGA, he’s been in the top 20 in every other appearance (eight of them) going back to last March. His best was a third in TPC. He’s in the top 10 percent in putting.
  • Sungjae Im – Trying to solidify his game after a stretch from April to June where he missed the cut in four of five appearances. The last two have been better, eighth last week in the Rocket and in the top 40 at the U.S. Open. He’s heading east next week for final Olympics prep. In top quarter in greens in regulation.
  • Russell Henley – Fourth in the field in course fit, mostly based on being in the top quarter in greens in regulation and scrambling. He was the runner-up here in 2019 when the event was last played. Henley had a couple of top-10s early in the spring (Honda and Heritage) and arrives in Iowa with top-20s the last two times out (Travelers and U.S. Open).
  • Alex Noren – Just missed that three-man playoff last weekend by one stroke, finishing fourth in the Rocket. Before that, you must go back 10 events to find a top-20.
  • Kevin Streelman – Was playing steady golf, with four straight in the top 20, including an eighth in the PGA, until he missed the cut at the Travelers.

Going a bit deeper into the ratings, here are six other players with various plusses to recommend them, listed by Hawley Ratings rank:

  • Seamus Power, no. 74 – The 34-year-old from Waterford, Ireland has been on a nice streak with six straight made cuts including the last three in the top 20. Eighth last week at the Rocket.
  • Aaron Wise, no. 85 – Has been in the money in eight of the last nine appearances including top-10s at the Memorial and Wells Fargo. Very good fit for the course, largely based on ranking in the top 10 percent in greens in regulation.
  • Hank Lebioda, no. 101 – Like Noren, opened some eyes last weekend while just missing the Rocket playoff by one stroke. The fourth-place finish marked the second week in a row that the 27-year-old Floridian finished in the top five.
  • Jhonattan Vegas, no. 118 – Was as high as no. 13 in the ratings 10 years ago. Twice a runner-up this year (Palmetto and Puerto Rico) and comes in with six straight made cuts, including ninth at the Nelson.
  • Kramer Hickok, no. 140 – It’s been an up-and-down season (eight missed cuts) for Hickok, runner-up in the Travelers two weeks ago.
  • Beau Hossler, no. 151 – He’s been good the last three times out, in the top 25 each time and 10th in the Travelers. Played in the U.S. Open as a 16-year-old in 2011; qualified again the next year and even made the cut.

    • John Deere Classic

    July 5, 2021 Thomas Hawley ,
    Dustin Johnson
    Daniel Berger
    Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
    1 Daniel Berger 33.8 34
    2 Brian Harman 37.3 104
    3 Kevin Streelman 50.3 135
    4 Russell Henley 52.7 11
    5 Sungjae Im 53.6 47
    6 Zach Johnson 53.8 34
    7 Seamus Power 54.8 8
    8 Alex Noren 55.7 86
    9 Hank Lebioda 58.1 8
    10 Scott Stallings 58.8 55
    11 Kyle Stanley 59.8 41
    12 Aaron Wise 60.1 69
    13 Maverick McNealy 60.6 18
    14 Lucas Glover 60.9 1
    15 Charles Howell 60.9 23
    16 Cameron Davis 61.4 55
    17 Si Woo Kim 61.5 DNP
    18 Troy Merritt 61.6 129
    19 Ryan Moore 61.7 2
    20 Andrew Landry 62.1 64
    21 Kevin Na 62.1 2
    22 Patton Kizzire 62.8 11
    23 Vaughn Taylor 62.9 34
    24 Jhonattan Vegas 63.3 11
    25 Richy Werenski 63.5 74
    26 Doug Ghim 63.7 18
    27 Harold Varner 64.2 11
    28 Patrick Rodgers 64.3 23
    29 Kramer Hickok 64.3 WD
    30 Pat Perez 64.8 74
    31 Adam Long 65.1 23
    32 Erik Van Rooyen 65.6 DNP
    33 Scott Brown 65.6 4
    34 Doc Redman 65.7 86
    35 Beau Hossler 65.8 104
    36 Chez Reavie 65.8 18
    37 JT Poston 65.9 104
    38 Ben Martin 66.0 86
    39 Brandt Snedeker 66.2 DNP
    40 Sam Ryder 66.3 58
    41 Dylan Frittelli 66.6 74
    42 Sebastian Munoz 66.8 4
    43 Brice Garnett 66.8 74
    44 Keith Mitchell 66.9 86
    45 Sepp Straka 67.0 124
    46 Matthew NeSmith 67.3 50
    47 Mark Hubbard 67.6 41
    48 Henrik Norlander 67.6 28
    49 Andrew Putnam 67.6 104
    50 Scott Piercy 67.8 69
    51 Bo Hoag 67.9 47
    52 Brandon Hagy 68.0 18
    53 Nick Taylor 68.0 28
    54 Satoshi Kodaira 68.0 114
    55 Harry Higgs 68.1 86
    56 Ryan Armour 68.3 86
    57 Bronson Burgoon 68.4 74
    58 Luke List 68.4 4
    59 Rory Sabbatini 68.5 86
    60 Chesson Hadley 68.6 34
    61 CT Pan 68.6 74
    62 Tom Lewis 68.6 55
    63 Robert Streb 69.0 86
    64 Vincent Whaley 69.0 114
    65 Hudson Swafford 69.1 86
    66 Tyler Duncan 69.2 104
    67 Cameron Champ 69.3 11
    68 Peter Malnati 69.5 58
    69 Roger Sloan 69.6 71
    70 Denny McCarthy 69.6 104
    71 Camilo Villegas 69.7 41
    72 Danny Lee 69.8 DNP
    73 Jim Herman 69.9 28
    74 Byeong Hun An 69.9 114
    75 Michael Thompson 69.9 41
    76 Adam Schenk 70.0 4
    77 John Huh 70.0 50
    78 Rafa Cabrera Bello 70.2 23
    79 Joseph Bramlett 70.4 135
    80 Chase Seiffert 70.5 28
    81 Rob Oppenheim 70.5 58
    82 Will Gordon 70.6 28
    83 Brian Stuard 70.9 8
    84 Kevin Tway 71.0 23
    85 Mark Anderson 71.0 124
    86 Martin Laird 71.1 28
    87 Anirban Lahiri 71.3 114
    88 Cameron Percy 71.7 11
    89 Tyler McCumber 72.1 DNP
    90 Robby Shelton 72.1 114
    91 Sean O’Hair 72.2 11
    92 JB Holmes 72.3 WD
    93 Sung Kang 72.5 114
    94 Fabian Gomez 72.5 WD
    95 Chris Baker 72.6 74
    96 Austin Cook 72.6 138
    97 JJ Spaun 72.7 64
    98 Michael Gligic 72.8 104
    99 Bo Van Pelt 72.8 141
    100 Nick Watney 72.9 50
    101 Bill Haas 73.1 86
    102 Aaron Baddeley 73.3 74
    103 Jason Dufner 73.7 18
    104 Josh Teater 73.7 114
    105 David Hearn 73.8 50
    106 Kristoffer Ventura 73.8 143
    107 Michael Kim 73.8 138
    108 Ted Potter 74.0 72
    109 Scott Harrington 74.2 41
    110 Nelson Ledesma 74.4 86
    111 Ryan Brehm 74.5 129
    112 Rhein Gibson 74.6 34
    113 DJ Trahan 74.6 58
    114 Rafael Campos 74.6 104
    115 Sebastian Cappelen 74.7 143
    116 Brian Gay 74.8 64
    117 Ben Taylor 74.9 74
    118 Grayson Murray 75.1 WD
    119 KJ Choi 75.8 74
    120 Martin Trainer 77.0 129
    121 Hunter Mahan 77.2 DNP
    122 Michael Feagles 82.5 138
    123 Harrison Frazar 82.5 143
    124 Tripp Kinney 82.5 148
    125 Luke Kluver 82.5 104
    126 Willie Mack 82.5 64
    127 David Perkins 82.5 129
    128 Chad Proehl 82.5 151
    129 Alex Schaake 82.5 141
    130 Matt Every 83.2 135
    131 Kevin Stadler 83.7 143
    132 DA Points 84.1 104
    133 Mark Wilson 86.6 86
    134 Parker McLachlin 88.1 149
    135 Derek Ernst 88.1 DNP
    136 Carl Pettersson 90.0 DNP
    137 Robert Garrigus 98.2 DNP
    138 Sangmoon Bae 104.8 124
    139 Arjun Atwal 108.3 86
    140 JJ Henry 115.4 74
    141 Ryan Blaum 122.6 129
    142 Ricky Barnes 135.3 86
    143 George McNeill 137.1 129
    144 Dominic Bozzelli 137.2 114
    145 Greg Chalmers 145.0 68
    146 Shawn Stefani 145.0 62
    147 Zack Sucher 145.0 74
    148 Richard S Johnson 145.0 143
    149 Jason Bohn 145.0 149
    150 Jonathan Byrd 145.0 86
    151 Tommy Gainey 145.0 DNP
    152 Charlie Beljan 145.0 DNP
    153 Mito Pereira 145.0 34
    154 David Lingmerth 145.0 114
    155 John Senden 145.0 62
    156 Michael Gellerman 145.0 34
    157 Johnson Wagner 145.0 86
    158 Ben Crane 145.0 DNP
    159 Wes Roach 145.0 50
    160 Andres Romero 145.0 86
    161 Jonas Blixt 145.0 86
    162 Steve Stricker 145.0 41
    Alex Smalley late entry 48
    Luke Gannon late entry 122
    Eric Cole late entry 125
    Rodrigo Lee late entry 128
    More | Less
    The accuracy number for these picks is 35. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

    Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

    abrdn Scottish Open 2021

    July 5, 2021 Thomas Hawley ,
    Jon Rahm
    Jon Rahm
    Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
    1 Jon Rahm 24.7 7
    2 Xander Schauffele 29.4 10
    3 Collin Morikawa 30.2 71
    4 Rory McIlroy 38.0 88
    5 Tyrrell Hatton 39.4 18
    6 Matthew Fitzpatrick 39.6 2
    7 Justin Thomas 41.3 8
    8 Scottie Scheffler 41.7 12
    9 Ian Poulter 43.9 4
    10 Corey Conners 48.9 88
    11 Will Zalatoris 51.9 26
    12 Branden Grace 53.6 54
    13 Ryan Fox 55.5 44
    14 Tommy Fleetwood 55.5 26
    15 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 55.8 44
    16 Ryan Palmer 56.7 4
    17 Billy Horschel 57.1 54
    18 Lee Westwood 57.4 35
    19 Sam Burns 57.4 18
    20 Lucas Herbert 58.8 4
    21 Guido Migliozzi 59.0 35
    22 Bernd Wiesberger 59.0 26
    23 Andy Sullivan 59.7 88
    24 Thomas Pieters 59.8 35
    25 Aaron Rai 60.0 35
    26 Victor Perez 60.0 59
    27 Eddie Pepperell 60.5 88
    28 Robert MacIntyre 61.0 18
    29 Matt Wallace 61.0 26
    30 Brandon Stone 61.7 75
    31 Francesco Molinari 62.8 81
    32 Andrew Johnston 63.2 102
    33 Alexander Bjork 63.9 26
    34 Padraig Harrington 64.1 18
    35 Martin Kaymer 64.3 102
    36 Benjamin Hebert 64.5 88
    37 Kalle Samooja 64.9 121
    38 Danny Willett 65.1 141
    39 Robert Rock 65.3 84
    40 Adrian Otaegui 65.6 26
    41 Jason Scrivener 65.7 81
    42 Garrick Higgo 66.5 88
    43 Matthias Schwab 66.5 129
    44 Antoine Rozner 66.7 65
    45 Thomas Detry 66.8 2
    46 Richard Bland 67.1 15
    47 Jordan Smith 67.4 88
    48 Jorge Campillo 67.5 144
    49 Nicolas Colsaerts 67.9 88
    50 Sam Horsfield 68.0 121
    51 Matthew Southgate 68.0 26
    52 David Horsey 68.0 88
    53 Mikko Korhonen 68.1 88
    54 Kurt Kitayama 68.2 81
    55 Joost Luiten 68.2 69
    56 Matthieu Pavon 68.3 12
    57 Richie Ramsay 68.7 15
    58 Calum Hill 68.8 87
    59 George Coetzee 69.1 26
    60 Victor Dubuisson 69.1 WD
    61 Henrik Stenson 69.1 115
    62 Scott Jamieson 69.2 102
    63 Dean Burmester 69.3 35
    64 Justin Harding 69.4 141
    65 Marcus Armitage 69.6 54
    66 Callum Shinkwin 69.7 102
    67 Laurie Canter 69.9 59
    68 Grant Forrest 70.2 73
    69 Marcus Kinhult 70.3 59
    70 Masahiro Kawamura 70.4 59
    71 Jeff Winther 70.4 44
    72 Fabrizio Zanotti 70.4 65
    73 Adri Arnaus 70.4 75
    74 Sean Crocker 70.5 121
    75 Pablo Larrazabal 70.6 148
    76 James Morrison 70.6 102
    77 Rasmus Hojgaard 70.7 88
    78 Stephen Gallacher 70.9 115
    79 Soren Kjeldsen 71.0 84
    80 Connor Syme 71.0 35
    81 Jamie Donaldson 71.0 65
    82 Jimmy Walker 71.2 121
    83 Chris Paisley 71.3 153
    84 Shubhankar Sharma 71.4 129
    85 Thorbjorn Olesen 71.6 54
    86 Renato Paratore 71.6 65
    87 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 71.6 44
    88 Paul Waring 71.7 147
    89 Daniel van Tonder 71.8 115
    90 Wade Ormsby 71.8 12
    91 Scott Hend 71.8 44
    92 Marc Warren 71.9 115
    93 Joachim B Hansen 72.0 121
    94 Sami Valimaki 72.1 84
    95 Matthew Jordan 72.3 18
    96 Edoardo Molinari 72.3 18
    97 Graeme McDowell 72.3 129
    98 Romain Langasque 72.3 44
    99 Nino Bertasio 72.4 44
    100 Ross Fisher 72.4 15
    101 Adrian Meronk 72.5 59
    102 Jazz Janewattananond 72.7 121
    103 Darius van Driel 72.8 54
    104 Maverick Antcliff 72.9 152
    105 Alexander Levy 72.9 26
    106 Zander Lombard 73.1 115
    107 Justin Walters 73.1 18
    108 Ashley Chesters 73.1 102
    109 John Catlin 73.1 102
    110 Wilco Nienaber 73.1 139
    111 Lorenzo Gagli 73.2 88
    112 Min Woo Lee 73.2 1
    113 Gavin Green 73.2 141
    114 Joakim Lagergren 73.3 35
    115 Johannes Veerman 73.3 8
    116 Sihwan Kim 73.4 DNP
    117 Jonathan Caldwell 73.5 148
    118 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 73.5 129
    119 Steven Brown 73.5 69
    120 Maximilian Kieffer 73.6 139
    121 Jack Senior 73.6 10
    122 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 73.7 78
    123 Julien Guerrier 73.8 80
    124 Julian Suri 73.9 102
    125 Alejandro Canizares 73.9 DNP
    126 Aaron Cockerill 73.9 DNP
    127 Francesco Laporta 74.2 71
    128 Tapio Pulkkanen 74.3 35
    129 Sebastian Heisele 74.3 44
    130 Raphael Jacquelin 74.4 121
    131 Chris Wood 74.5 77
    132 Garrick Porteous 74.5 DNP
    133 Cormac Sharvin 74.7 44
    134 David Drysdale 74.7 148
    135 Gaganjeet Bhullar 75.0 148
    136 Sebastian Soderberg 75.1 88
    137 David Law 75.2 35
    138 David Howell 75.2 129
    139 Robin Sciot-Siegrist 75.3 DNP
    140 Ricardo Santos 75.4 102
    141 Adrien Saddier 75.5 DNP
    142 Benjamin Poke 75.5 DNP
    143 Oliver Farr 75.8 59
    144 Oliver Fisher 75.9 78
    145 Nacho Elvira 75.9 102
    146 SSP Chawrasia 76.0 DNP
    147 Robin Roussel 76.0 121
    148 Lucas Bjerregaard 76.0 144
    149 Oliver Wilson 76.1 102
    150 Richard McEvoy 76.3 129
    151 Gregory Havret 76.5 DNP
    152 Pedro Figueiredo 76.6 DNP
    153 Haydn Porteous 76.9 129
    154 Joel Stalter 77.5 44
    155 Carlos Pigem 77.5 DNP
    156 Alvaro Quiros 78.2 18
    157 Jake McLeod 78.2 DNP
    158 Ross McGowan 78.6 129
    159 Paul O’Hara 82.5 129
    160 Graeme Storm 91.7 73
    161 Thomas Aiken 109.2 129
    162 Andrea Pavan 117.2 155
    163 Haotong Li 163.0 102
    164 Peter Hanson 163.0 153
    Darren Fichardt late entry 90
    Rikard Karlberg late entry 107
    Dale Whitnell late entry 120
    Thomas Bjorn late entry 145
    More | Less
    The accuracy number for these picks is 51. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

    Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

    Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (July 4, 2021)

    July 5, 2021 Thomas Hawley

    U.S. Open champ Jon Rahm has been no. 1 for most of the year.
    # Thru July 4, 2021 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
    1 Jon Rahm 43 1427 1
    2 Xander Schauffele 43 1293 2
    3 Rory McIlroy 42 1204 3
    4 Daniel Berger 38 1172 4
    5 Justin Thomas 44 1147 6
    6 Bryson DeChambeau 44 1123 5
    7 Collin Morikawa 46 1069 8
    8 Dustin Johnson 37 1054 9
    9 Webb Simpson 38 1034 7
    10 Patrick Cantlay 39 1022 11
    11 Patrick Reed 56 1017 10
    12 Louis Oosthuizen 43 973 12
    13 Harris English 48 952 13
    14 Abraham Ancer 53 945 14
    15 Brooks Koepka 35 917 15
    16 Scottie Scheffler 51 916 17
    17 Paul Casey 44 915 16
    18 Tyrrell Hatton 40 912 18
    19 Matthew Fitzpatrick 48 905 19
    20 Tony Finau 53 888 20
    21 Jordan Spieth 43 863 21
    22 Hideki Matsuyama 50 827 22
    23 Brian Harman 48 822 23
    24 Viktor Hovland 49 805 25
    25 Will Zalatoris 29 774 24
    26 Corey Conners 53 766 26
    27 Jason Kokrak 48 744 29
    28 Sungjae Im 62 731 30
    29 Cameron Smith 46 726 27
    30 Ryan Palmer 44 724 28
    31 Adam Scott 34 702 32
    32 Billy Horschel 50 701 31
    33 Russell Henley 43 677 34
    34 Bubba Watson 45 676 38
    35 Joaquin Niemann 51 667 39
    36 Tommy Fleetwood 46 656 33
    37 Charley Hoffman 50 648 36
    38 Shane Lowry 48 644 35
    39 Jason Day 41 643 42
    40 Max Homa 49 641 37
    41 Sam Burns 40 619 43
    42 Marc Leishman 46 619 40
    43 Justin Rose 43 616 41
    44 Sergio Garcia 44 609 44
    45 Talor Gooch 50 597 45
    46 Alex Noren 49 590 53
    47 Kevin Streelman 51 589 46
    48 Ian Poulter 49 588 47
    49 Kevin Kisner 49 586 52
    50 Keegan Bradley 47 574 51
    51 Tiger Woods 15 562 48
    52 Cameron Tringale 44 555 56
    53 Lee Westwood 44 549 50
    54 Gary Woodland 45 544 49
    55 Joel Dahmen 48 543 57
    56 Kevin Na 45 538 54
    57 Brendan Steele 43 519 58
    58 Matthew Wolff 42 513 55
    59 Rickie Fowler 41 510 60
    60 Victor Perez 37 503 62
    61 Lanto Griffin 56 502 64
    62 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 45 502 61
    63 Brendon Todd 56 501 59
    64 Maverick McNealy 47 489 68
    65 Si Woo Kim 54 489 63
    66 Charl Schwartzel 37 487 66
    67 Bud Cauley 23 485 65
    68 Francesco Molinari 26 482 67
    69 Cameron Davis 49 472 86
    70 Matt Kuchar 46 470 69
    71 Chris Kirk 34 467 78
    72 Carlos Ortiz 48 450 70
    73 Stewart Cink 40 444 73
    74 Seamus Power 30 442 102
    75 Erik Van Rooyen 49 440 71
    76 Robert MacIntyre 42 437 72
    77 Branden Grace 48 435 75
    78 Emiliano Grillo 52 428 74
    79 Sebastian Munoz 58 420 77
    80 Matt Wallace 53 420 79
    81 Harold Varner 50 420 76
    82 JT Poston 52 418 80
    83 Mac Hughes 49 414 92
    84 Zach Johnson 41 413 84
    85 Aaron Wise 40 402 89
    86 Adam Long 54 402 82
    87 Patton Kizzire 47 398 91
    88 Charles Howell 44 397 81
    89 Brandt Snedeker 45 397 88
    90 Matt Jones 52 396 85
    91 Adam Hadwin 46 395 83
    92 Phil Mickelson 41 389 87
    93 Lucas Glover 50 387 90
    94 Thomas Pieters 35 384 93
    95 Troy Merritt 58 380 118
    96 Lucas Herbert 31 376 105
    97 Richy Werenski 49 376 99
    98 Keith Mitchell 47 369 96
    99 Doc Redman 49 363 95
    100 Dylan Frittelli 52 361 94
    101 Hank Lebioda 46 358 131
    102 Harry Higgs 51 354 97
    103 Guido Migliozzi 39 352 103
    104 Danny Willett 48 349 98
    105 Matthew NeSmith 52 344 101
    106 Cameron Champ 47 343 100
    107 Henrik Norlander 53 342 107
    108 Tom Hoge 58 340 104
    109 Wesley Bryan 15 338 110
    110 Kyle Stanley 47 335 109
    111 Doug Ghim 43 334 117
    112 Wyndham Clark 49 330 114
    113 David Lipsky 23 328 120
    114 Byeong Hun An 52 328 106
    115 Sepp Straka 56 326 111
    116 Rory Sabbatini 52 326 108
    117 Chez Reavie 54 324 113
    118 Jhonattan Vegas 43 323 121
    119 Martin Kaymer 36 322 112
    120 Mark Hubbard 54 319 115
    121 Scott Piercy 43 314 116
    122 Steve Stricker 20 313 125
    123 James Hahn 33 311 119
    124 Bernd Wiesberger 44 310 124
    125 Tom Lewis 50 307 130
    126 Brice Garnett 47 305 123
    127 Andrew Putnam 49 302 122
    128 Scott Stallings 44 298 137
    129 Ryan Moore 30 294 128
    130 KH Lee 56 292 127
    131 Denny McCarthy 52 291 126
    132 Pat Perez 47 289 153
    133 Luke List 51 288 133
    134 Patrick Rodgers 60 286 136
    135 Brandon Hagy 42 286 173
    136 Rafa Cabrera Bello 53 285 129
    137 Russell Knox 54 283 135
    138 Erik Compton 8 283 140
    139 Matthias Schwab 43 283 134
    140 Kramer Hickok 45 282 132
    141 Jason Scrivener 42 275 149
    142 Andy Sullivan 42 273 146
    143 Vaughn Taylor 48 268 138
    144 Camilo Villegas 24 266 139
    145 Michael Thompson 42 266 141
    146 Antoine Rozner 34 261 144
    147 Danny Lee 47 261 143
    148 Bo Hoag 52 256 158
    149 Ryan Armour 47 256 145
    150 Kurt Kitayama 39 256 142
    151 Beau Hossler 52 255 163
    152 Jeunghun Wang 19 252 156
    153 Chesson Hadley 42 252 152
    154 CT Pan 49 251 157
    155 Thomas Detry 44 251 147
    156 Padraig Harrington 39 249 150
    157 Nick Taylor 46 247 154
    158 Nate Lashley 46 242 155
    159 Justin Suh 17 242 148
    160 Marcus Kinhult 31 241 151
    161 Chase Seiffert 44 237 159
    162 Adam Schenk 54 237 164
    163 Brian Stuard 57 234 162
    164 Andrew Johnston 23 234 181
    165 Vincent Whaley 40 231 165
    166 Dylan Wu 9 231 172
    167 Ryan Fox 36 230 160
    168 Ben Martin 32 230 161
    169 Zac Blair 30 228 167
    170 Peter Malnati 50 228 166
    171 John Huh 26 224 178
    172 Hudson Swafford 35 223 177
    173 Will Gordon 38 223 168
    174 Joseph Bramlett 44 222 170
    175 Jack Singh Brar 20 221 179
    176 Martin Laird 39 218 171
    177 Andrew Landry 44 218 169
    178 Robby Shelton 54 217 175
    179 Kalle Samooja 39 212 176
    180 Sung Kang 54 210 180
    181 Robert Streb 46 209 192
    182 Garrick Higgo 30 209 190
    183 Paul Waring 33 207 174
    184 Victor Dubuisson 23 207 187
    185 Aaron Rai 40 207 199
    186 Sam Ryder 54 206 182
    187 Peter Uihlein 34 199 184
    188 Shaun Norris 31 199 183
    189 Satoshi Kodaira 38 199 189
    190 Adri Arnaus 43 198 186
    191 George Coetzee 34 194 185
    192 Chan Kim 21 194 200
    193 Mikko Korhonen 33 194 188
    194 Tyler Duncan 59 194 197
    195 Graeme McDowell 46 191 194
    196 Boo Weekley 9 191 208
    197 Sam Horsfield 39 190 193
    198 Joost Luiten 47 190 195
    199 Tyler McCumber 43 189 198
    200 Bronson Burgoon 44 188 196
    201 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 29 186 191
    202 Xinjun Zhang 55 185 204
    203 Dawie van der Walt 9 183 211
    204 Sahith Theegala 9 183 206
    205 Laurie Canter 29 182 201
    206 Jordan Smith 45 181 205
    207 Rob Oppenheim 47 180 203
    208 Jim Herman 41 180 212
    209 Mark Anderson 35 178 312
    210 JB Holmes 30 177 202
    211 Jim Furyk 24 174 214
    212 Henrik Stenson 38 174 210
    213 Dean Burmester 46 174 209
    214 Benjamin Hebert 42 172 207
    215 Jimmy Walker 41 171 215
    216 Roger Sloan 44 171 240
    217 Anirban Lahiri 34 168 219
    218 Ross Fisher 40 168 216
    219 Scott Jamieson 40 168 213
    220 Brandon Stone 42 167 217
    221 Kevin Chappell 28 166 221
    222 Justin Harding 50 166 225
    223 Cameron Percy 43 165 222
    224 Sami Valimaki 31 163 218
    225 Rikuya Hoshino 21 159 226
    226 Richard Bland 33 159 256
    227 Rasmus Hojgaard 34 159 224
    228 Eddie Pepperell 35 157 220
    229 Fabian Gomez 44 156 291
    230 Richard Sterne 21 154 228
    231 Calum Hill 37 153 223
    232 Renato Paratore 45 152 227
    233 Richie Ramsay 42 150 264
    234 Marcus Armitage 35 150 230
    235 MJ Daffue 13 149 236
    236 Fabrizio Zanotti 29 149 237
    237 Kevin Tway 44 148 295
    238 Sean Crocker 43 147 261
    239 Ashun Wu 36 147 234
    240 Alexander Bjork 41 147 232
    241 Michael Gligic 45 147 243
    242 Joachim B Hansen 44 144 231
    243 John Augenstein 9 144 242
    244 Gavin Green 41 142 233
    245 Romain Langasque 42 141 229
    246 Haotong Li 38 140 235
    247 Scott Brown 49 140 247
    248 Chris Baker 38 139 241
    249 Takumi Kanaya 20 139 259
    250 Jung-gon Hwang 9 138 251
    251 Marc Warren 28 138 258
    252 Wade Ormsby 34 138 238
    253 Darren Fichardt 24 137 248
    254 Grant Forrest 42 137 288
    255 Chris Paisley 40 137 252
    256 Matthew Jordan 32 136 279
    257 Masahiro Kawamura 50 136 244
    258 Luke Donald 36 136 245
    259 Carl Yuan 9 135 250
    260 Sean O’Hair 19 135 293
    261 Wilco Nienaber 34 135 246
    262 Nick Watney 39 135 239
    263 Tim Wilkinson 35 135 253
    264 JJ Spaun 44 135 275
    265 Jorge Campillo 45 134 249
    266 Ted Potter 42 129 254
    267 Matthew Southgate 45 128 262
    268 Brandon Wu 15 128 263
    269 Pablo Larrazabal 41 128 266
    270 Wil Besseling 34 127 284
    271 Kristoffer Ventura 44 127 260
    272 Travis Smyth 9 125 268
    273 Joakim Lagergren 38 125 255
    274 Jeff Winther 38 125 273
    275 Connor Syme 36 124 267
    276 Ollie Schniederjans 12 124 274
    277 Jamie Donaldson 39 123 257
    278 Miguel Angel Jimenez 14 122 269
    279 Matthieu Pavon 45 121 265
    280 Austin Cook 46 119 270
    281 Kyung-nam Kang 9 118 278
    282 Jason Dufner 46 118 272
    283 Zander Lombard 45 118 280
    284 David Horsey 39 117 271
    285 Adrian Otaegui 48 116 308
    286 Johannes Veerman 38 116 342
    287 Chris Stroud 25 115 276
    288 Akshay Bhatia 16 114 287
    289 Joohyung Kim 9 114 283
    290 Jacques Kruyswijk 25 114 286
    291 Min Woo Lee 32 113 323
    292 Seung-yul Noh 16 111 292
    293 Brian Gay 48 110 282
    294 Aaron Baddeley 35 106 314
    295 Julian Etulain 10 106 310
    296 Hennie du Plessis 9 106 298
    297 Daniel van Tonder 15 106 281
    298 Jazz Janewattananond 40 105 290
    299 Callum Shinkwin 36 105 289
    300 Thorbjorn Olesen 21 104 285
    301 Nicolas Colsaerts 36 103 296
    302 Jayden Trey Schaper 11 103 304
    303 Adrian Meronk 34 101 300
    304 John Catlin 36 100 315
    305 Jack Senior 37 100 303
    306 Josh Teater 33 100 297
    307 Scott Harrington 50 100 302
    308 Robert Rock 28 100 301
    309 Josh Geary 8 99 319
    310 Stephen Gallacher 31 99 299
    311 Bo Van Pelt 41 99 309
    312 Francesco Laporta 33 98 377
    313 Sebastian Cappelen 42 97 307
    314 Edoardo Molinari 43 97 306
    315 James Morrison 45 96 346
    316 Niklas Lemke 36 96 311
    317 Louis de Jager 34 96 325
    318 Scott Hend 44 95 317
    319 Nino Bertasio 36 95 305
    320 Steven Brown 45 95 326
    321 Wes Roach 31 95 318
    322 Shubhankar Sharma 49 94 316
    323 Roberto Castro 19 94 324
    324 Grayson Murray 36 93 313
    325 Jaco Ahlers 8 93 327
    326 David Hearn 45 93 320
    327 DJ Trahan 42 92 321
    328 Zach Murray 15 91 330
    329 Ben Crane 9 91 331
    330 Shugo Imahira 25 91 328
    331 Jamie Arnold 8 90 329
    332 Stephan Jaeger 14 90 335
    333 Greyson Sigg 9 90 332
    334 Maverick Antcliff 33 89 349
    335 Alex Cejka 16 89 333
    336 Jonathan Byrd 28 88 336
    337 Craig Howie 14 87 339
    338 Sang-hyun Park 11 87 322
    339 Brendan Jones 8 86 340
    340 Hugo Leon 16 86 294
    341 Dale Whitnell 34 86 334
    342 Sebastian Heisele 26 86 343
    343 Kyung-tae Kim 9 86 344
    344 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 36 84 347
    345 Adrien Saddier 38 83 338
    346 Tomoharu Otsuki 21 83 348
    347 Justin Walters 48 83 351
    348 Jonas Blixt 9 82 337
    349 Darius van Driel 32 81 389
    350 Rafael Campos 32 80 345
    351 Brad Kennedy 14 80 352
    352 Scott Vincent 32 80 354
    353 Anthony Quayle 11 79 359
    354 Maximilian Kieffer 40 78 363
    355 Niall Kearney 13 78 341
    356 Bill Haas 33 78 353
    357 Lee Hodges 10 78 357
    358 Sebastian Soderberg 41 78 350
    359 Ryosuke Kinoshita 18 77 361
    360 Oscar Lengden 13 77 362
    361 Soren Kjeldsen 40 76 356
    362 Alexander Levy 43 75 358
    363 Ricky Barnes 23 74 366
    364 Lorenzo Gagli 45 73 360
    365 Andres Romero 18 73 364
    366 Sang-hee Lee 9 72 372
    367 Oliver Bekker 8 72 375
    368 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 26 72 365
    369 Chad Campbell 13 72 369
    370 Alejandro Del Rey 8 71 374
    371 Rhein Gibson 40 71 367
    372 Bradley Dredge 12 71 371
    373 Seung-su Han 13 71 376
    374 Ryan Brehm 37 70 368
    375 Ben Stow 17 70 383
    376 Julien Guerrier 36 69 378
    377 Jaco van Zyl 12 69 379
    378 Gunn Charoenkul 15 69 382
    379 Ashley Chesters 42 68 373
    380 Alejandro Canizares 42 67 381
    381 Charlie Saxon 9 66 385
    382 Daijiro Izumida 17 66 386
    383 Shawn Stefani 23 66 380
    384 Hideto Tanihara 18 66 388
    385 George McNeill 21 66 384
    386 Mike Weir 8 66 393
    387 Mikumu Horikawa 23 65 390
    388 Clement Sordet 33 65 392
    389 Nelson Ledesma 35 64 426
    390 Andrea Pavan 42 63 370
    391 Nacho Elvira 44 63 387
    392 Aaron Cockerill 34 63 415
    393 Adam Svensson 10 63 355
    394 Andrew Dodt 8 62 395
    395 Marcel Schneider 23 62 394
    396 Tapio Pulkkanen 43 62 391
    397 Sihwan Kim 34 62 432
    398 Yuki Inamori 20 60 399
    399 Dave Coupland 29 60 396
    400 Jonathan Caldwell 34 60 397
    More | Less

    Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

    A Look at the Rocket Mortgage Classic

    June 28, 2021 Thomas Hawley

    Can Bryson DeChambeau deal with the weakest field on the PGA Tour since the Honda Classic more than three months ago? Can he focus on a run-of-the-mill PGA Tour event when his much-ballyhooed charity match involving Phil Mickelson and NFL players Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers looms only two days after the conclusion of this week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic?

    As far as the Rocket is concerned, it would seem like it’s not so much Godzilla vs. the field but Godzilla vs. himself. The amazing physical specimen DeChambeau has lost a bit of his touch and some swagger somewhere along the way in the last several weeks. He’s on a four-event slump with a best finish of 18th in the Memorial and he’s been on the final leaderboard (ninth in the Wells Fargo) only once since mid-March. His final-nine collapse at the U.S. Open two weeks ago sadly was the stuff of legend.

    Two items in DeChambeau’s favor are his victory last year in his only appearance in this two-year-old event and his seeming fitness for the course. The Hawley course fit statistics indicate that the Detroit Golf Club, a fairly short and flat track, has been good for the long-ball hitters, and that is exactly what DeChambeau is. Through this week’s statistics, he’s in the top 1 percent of all U.S./ Euro players in driving distance and shots gained off the tee. Also, he makes the top quarter in shots gained putting, another stat with high correlation between player performance and results in this event.

    As if he needed distractions, Capital One’s “The Match”, with DeChambeau and Rodgers playing Mickelson and Brady, is Tuesday at Moonlight Basin in southwest Montana. And then of course there is the ongoing hissy fit between DeChambeau and Brooks Koepka.

    Back in Detroit, the field includes only three players from the top 20 of the Hawley Ratings — no. 5 DeChambeau, no. 7 Webb Simpson, and no. 10 Patrick Reed. There are an additional 10 players from the top 50. You have to go back to the Honda to find an event with that few names from the top 20. Not only that, but 12 of these 13 leading players have lower Hawley Ratings now than they did four starts back. The only exception is Reed, who has been very solid since April. He has three top-10s (Memorial, Wells Fargo, Masters), two top-20s, and one unsightly missed cut since then.

    Another player who could make it work here is Jason Kokrak, ranked 29th and the best fit for the course in the field. He’s in the top quarter of all players in driving distance and shots gained off the tee, and he’s in the top 5 percent in shots gained putting. Kokrak has been extremely up-and-down. Going backward in time, he missed the cut at the U.S. Open three weeks after winning the Schwab. Before that he was mediocre at the PGA, good at the Valspar, mediocre in three straight events, then in the top 10 in three straight.

    Per pgatour.com, the Detroit Golf Club underwent an upgrade prior to the first Rocket event in 2019. It’s the flattest course on Tour, according to ShotLink data, and while the front-nine is tree-lined, the back nine is open for birdies in bunches; DeChambeau closed with three straight a year ago.

    Behind the top two in fit for the course (Kokrak and DeChambeau), others who could prosper on this track include, in order, Simpson, Joaquin Niemann, Sungjae Im, Garrick Higgo, and Reed.

    There is only one player in the field with strong finishes in both iterations of this event. It’s Sepp Straka, a 28-year-old product of the University of Georgia who is from Vienna, Austria. Straka was 11th in the inaugural event and eighth last year. The next-best pair of finishes is two top-20s by Viktor Hovland, who isn’t here after winning in Europe last week. Doc Redman and Hideki Matsuyama have played both years with two finishes in the top 30, including the 2019 runner-up finish by Redman.

    Many fans have given up on Rickie Fowler. Maybe re-check that. He may be having a Spieth-esque resurgence after failing to qualify for the U.S. Open. He has nice finishes the last two times out – 11th at the Memorial and a top-10 at the PGA. It was not pretty before that – four missed cuts and only two top-20s in the prior eight appearances.

    If you’re looking for a deep longshot, here’s one: 22-year-old Oklahoma native and Oklahoma State product Austin Eckroat. He’s in the field on a sponsor exemption. The four-time all-American has four PGA Tour appearances in the last three years; he was 13th in the Mayakoba last December and just inside the top 50 last week in the Travelers.

    Satoshi Kodaira is another seeming outsider who might have a chance. The 31-year-old Tokyo resident turned things around after missing three cuts in a row through mid-April. Since then, he has three straight top-20 finishes with a best of 11th at the Wells Fargo.

    Joseph Bramlett has been making the cut every other appearance, and he’s due for weekend action this time. He was seventh in the Nelson and has managed a couple of other top-20s this year.

    Rocket Mortgage Classic

    June 27, 2021 Thomas Hawley ,
    Bryson DeChambeau
    Bryson DeChambeau
    Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
    1 Bryson DeChambeau 22.6 98
    2 Patrick Reed 35.9 32
    3 Webb Simpson 36.5 98
    4 Hideki Matsuyama 47.9 WD
    5 Will Zalatoris 48.8 77
    6 Jason Kokrak 50.9 12
    7 Joaquin Niemann 51.8 2
    8 Matthew Wolff 52.4 58
    9 Charley Hoffman 52.6 DNP
    10 Kevin Kisner 53.1 8
    11 Sungjae Im 54.4 8
    12 Cameron Tringale 54.7 14
    13 Nate Lashley 54.8 78
    14 Keegan Bradley 55.3 14
    15 Doc Redman 55.5 121
    16 Rickie Fowler 55.9 32
    17 Max Homa 56.6 25
    18 Bubba Watson 57.3 6
    19 Jason Day 57.5 14
    20 Alex Noren 58.5 4
    21 Brendon Todd 58.8 78
    22 Adam Hadwin 59.2 121
    23 Gary Woodland 59.7 78
    24 Emiliano Grillo 60.1 111
    25 Si Woo Kim 60.2 58
    26 Maverick McNealy 60.4 21
    27 Lanto Griffin 61.9 25
    28 Joel Dahmen 62.0 21
    29 Danny Willett 62.0 67
    30 Sepp Straka 62.0 111
    31 Brandt Snedeker 62.2 38
    32 Kyle Stanley 62.3 41
    33 Chris Kirk 62.3 12
    34 Troy Merritt 62.4 2
    35 Charles Howell 62.8 111
    36 Lucas Glover 62.9 41
    37 Rory Sabbatini 63.1 78
    38 Harold Varner 63.2 98
    39 Patton Kizzire 63.5 25
    40 Matt Jones 63.5 52
    41 Kramer Hickok 63.6 58
    42 Ryan Armour 63.7 98
    43 Adam Long 63.7 147
    44 Hank Lebioda 63.9 4
    45 Cameron Davis 63.9 1
    46 Brice Garnett 63.9 111
    47 Phil Mickelson 63.9 74
    48 Sebastian Munoz 64.0 67
    49 Erik Van Rooyen 64.7 DNP
    50 Harry Higgs 64.9 78
    51 Doug Ghim 65.0 32
    52 Satoshi Kodaira 65.1 98
    53 Mark Hubbard 65.1 78
    54 Chez Reavie 65.6 78
    55 Henrik Norlander 65.9 38
    56 Richy Werenski 66.0 25
    57 Brian Stuard 66.2 78
    58 Cameron Champ 66.6 144
    59 Andrew Putnam 66.6 78
    60 Matthew NeSmith 66.7 58
    61 Denny McCarthy 67.1 78
    62 Ben Martin 67.1 129
    63 Dylan Frittelli 67.1 78
    64 Mac Hughes 67.2 14
    65 Pat Perez 67.3 14
    66 James Hahn 67.3 144
    67 Vincent Whaley 67.4 58
    68 Beau Hossler 67.5 25
    69 Scott Stallings 67.7 25
    70 Tom Lewis 67.8 25
    71 Tom Hoge 67.9 136
    72 Byeong Hun An 68.0 76
    73 Vaughn Taylor 68.0 121
    74 Michael Thompson 68.1 78
    75 KH Lee 68.1 78
    76 Garrick Higgo 68.2 41
    77 Rafa Cabrera Bello 68.3 144
    78 Patrick Rodgers 68.3 41
    79 Luke List 68.3 DNP
    80 Danny Lee 68.4 111
    81 Joseph Bramlett 68.5 98
    82 Scott Piercy 68.6 129
    83 Bo Hoag 68.7 32
    84 Chesson Hadley 68.7 52
    85 Nick Taylor 68.8 52
    86 Martin Laird 68.8 78
    87 Camilo Villegas 68.8 67
    88 Russell Knox 68.9 41
    89 Adam Schenk 69.2 41
    90 Jimmy Walker 69.7 71
    91 Robert Streb 69.7 38
    92 Peter Malnati 69.8 151
    93 Bronson Burgoon 69.8 78
    94 Rob Oppenheim 69.9 129
    95 Will Gordon 69.9 136
    96 Chase Seiffert 70.1 121
    97 Brandon Hagy 70.2 6
    98 Andrew Landry 70.6 136
    99 Roger Sloan 70.7 21
    100 Ted Potter 70.7 98
    101 JJ Spaun 70.8 32
    102 Sam Ryder 71.0 136
    103 Robby Shelton 71.1 111
    104 JB Holmes 71.4 98
    105 Kristoffer Ventura 71.5 121
    106 Tyler McCumber 71.5 129
    107 Anirban Lahiri 71.5 52
    108 Luke Donald 71.6 78
    109 Tyler Duncan 71.7 52
    110 Austin Cook 71.8 98
    111 Sung Kang 71.8 74
    112 Peter Uihlein 72.2 78
    113 Michael Gligic 72.2 41
    114 Josh Teater 72.3 58
    115 Bo Van Pelt 72.3 71
    116 Scott Brown 72.4 52
    117 Chris Baker 72.5 58
    118 Sean O’Hair 72.5 32
    119 Cameron Percy 72.8 41
    120 Scott Harrington 72.8 155
    121 Fabian Gomez 73.2 14
    122 Jason Dufner 73.5 111
    123 Nick Watney 73.5 147
    124 David Hearn 73.6 98
    125 Bill Haas 73.6 DNP
    126 Brian Gay 73.7 129
    127 Kevin Tway 73.8 14
    128 Rafael Campos 74.0 153
    129 Aaron Baddeley 74.1 41
    130 Mark Anderson 74.2 8
    131 Rhein Gibson 74.2 121
    132 Ryan Brehm 74.4 67
    133 Sebastian Cappelen 74.4 121
    134 DJ Trahan 74.5 136
    135 Nelson Ledesma 74.8 41
    136 Ben Taylor 75.0 151
    137 Grayson Murray 75.0 147
    138 Hunter Mahan 75.7 111
    139 KJ Choi 75.8 121
    140 Martin Trainer 75.8 111
    141 Michael Kim 76.4 147
    142 Kevin Stadler 78.0 98
    143 Harrison Frazar 82.5 111
    144 Willie Mack 82.5 71
    145 Jeff Roth 82.5 154
    146 Matt Every 83.2 136
    147 Michael Gellerman 99.3 41
    148 Ryan Blaum 113.3 DNP
    149 William McGirt 149.0 98
    150 Zack Sucher 149.0 DNP
    151 Jim Knous 149.0 DNP
    152 Mito Pereira 149.0 98
    153 Curtis Thompson 149.0 21
    154 Davis Thompson 149.0 58
    155 John Pak 149.0 78
    156 Johnson Wagner 149.0 DNP
    157 Jonas Blixt 149.0 58
    158 Wes Roach 149.0 DNP
    159 Kevin Chappell 149.0 DNP
    160 Austin Eckroat 149.0 129
    161 Seamus Power 149.0 8
    Justin Suh late entry 87
    Daniel Wetterich late entry 88
    Connor Arendell late entry 135
    Tim O’Neal late entry 142
    Tain Lee late entry 143
    More | Less
    The accuracy number for these picks is 39. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

    Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

    Dubai Duty Free Irish Open

    June 27, 2021 Thomas Hawley ,
    Rory McIlroy
    Rory McIlroy
    Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
    1 Rory McIlroy 30.6 59
    2 Shane Lowry 50.8 23
    3 Tommy Fleetwood 56.9 17
    4 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 60.7 23
    5 Robert MacIntyre 62.0 DNP
    6 Lucas Herbert 63.8 1
    7 Andy Sullivan 64.0 12
    8 Thomas Pieters 64.8 12
    9 Ryan Fox 65.5 146
    10 Martin Kaymer 66.6 41
    11 Antoine Rozner 67.1 33
    12 Jason Scrivener 67.5 9
    13 Sam Horsfield 67.8 155
    14 Kalle Samooja 68.9 70
    15 Andrew Johnston 68.9 9
    16 Dean Burmester 68.9 70
    17 Kurt Kitayama 69.0 69
    18 Joost Luiten 69.0 121
    19 Padraig Harrington 69.0 129
    20 Thomas Detry 69.0 70
    21 Calum Hill 69.3 85
    22 Richard Bland 69.5 4
    23 Mikko Korhonen 69.6 70
    24 Thorbjorn Olesen 69.7 85
    25 Victor Dubuisson 69.7 DNP
    26 Jordan Smith 69.9 41
    27 Laurie Canter 70.0 98
    28 Darren Fichardt 70.2 41
    29 Eddie Pepperell 70.2 98
    30 Adri Arnaus 70.5 56
    31 Alexander Bjork 70.6 51
    32 George Coetzee 70.6 70
    33 Jorge Campillo 70.7 85
    34 Justin Harding 70.8 23
    35 Marcus Armitage 71.1 41
    36 Jamie Donaldson 71.2 111
    37 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 71.3 98
    38 Paul Waring 71.3 98
    39 Aaron Rai 71.4 12
    40 Sami Valimaki 71.4 121
    41 Masahiro Kawamura 71.5 85
    42 Matthew Southgate 71.6 DNP
    43 Wade Ormsby 71.6 85
    44 Adrian Meronk 71.8 121
    45 Brandon Stone 71.9 139
    46 Matthieu Pavon 71.9 111
    47 Scott Jamieson 72.0 67
    48 Richie Ramsay 72.1 4
    49 Wil Besseling 72.2 17
    50 Fabrizio Zanotti 72.2 33
    51 Rasmus Hojgaard 72.2 41
    52 Ross Fisher 72.3 85
    53 Adrian Otaegui 72.4 12
    54 Benjamin Hebert 72.4 59
    55 Dale Whitnell 72.5 156
    56 Scott Hend 72.6 150
    57 Zander Lombard 72.6 33
    58 Joachim B Hansen 72.6 70
    59 Marcus Kinhult 72.7 85
    60 Connor Syme 72.7 41
    61 Pablo Larrazabal 72.8 33
    62 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 72.8 98
    63 Niklas Lemke 72.8 156
    64 Wilco Nienaber 72.9 145
    65 Joakim Lagergren 72.9 121
    66 Chris Paisley 73.0 33
    67 Nino Bertasio 73.1 70
    68 Edoardo Molinari 73.1 70
    69 Grant Forrest 73.1 4
    70 Sean Crocker 73.2 9
    71 Stephen Gallacher 73.4 121
    72 Jazz Janewattananond 73.4 70
    73 Justin Walters 73.4 41
    74 Romain Langasque 73.4 85
    75 Renato Paratore 73.5 98
    76 John Catlin 73.5 41
    77 Jeff Winther 73.5 28
    78 Graeme McDowell 73.6 56
    79 Julien Guerrier 73.7 51
    80 Soren Kjeldsen 73.7 98
    81 Maximilian Kieffer 73.8 39
    82 David Horsey 73.8 121
    83 Shubhankar Sharma 73.8 56
    84 Niall Kearney 73.8 85
    85 Alejandro Canizares 73.9 85
    86 Gavin Green 73.9 146
    87 Matthew Jordan 73.9 12
    88 Robert Rock 73.9 70
    89 James Morrison 73.9 17
    90 Maverick Antcliff 74.1 28
    91 Jack Senior 74.1 61
    92 Darius van Driel 74.1 17
    93 Sihwan Kim 74.2 23
    94 Min Woo Lee 74.2 17
    95 Tapio Pulkkanen 74.2 98
    96 Ashley Chesters 74.2 111
    97 Nicolas Colsaerts 74.2 51
    98 Dave Coupland 74.3 61
    99 Steven Brown 74.3 41
    100 Callum Shinkwin 74.4 135
    101 Jonathan Caldwell 74.5 111
    102 Sebastian Soderberg 74.5 111
    103 Sebastian Heisele 74.7 DNP
    104 Cormac Sharvin 74.7 33
    105 Johannes Veerman 74.7 3
    106 Garrick Porteous 74.9 61
    107 Julian Suri 74.9 98
    108 Francesco Laporta 75.0 4
    109 Alexander Levy 75.1 65
    110 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 75.1 39
    111 Aaron Cockerill 75.1 28
    112 Gaganjeet Bhullar 75.2 66
    113 David Drysdale 75.4 129
    114 Lucas Bjerregaard 75.4 135
    115 Ricardo Santos 75.5 129
    116 Benjamin Poke 75.6 98
    117 Rikard Karlberg 75.6 156
    118 Kristoffer Broberg 75.7 156
    119 Chris Wood 75.8 70
    120 Lars van Meijel 75.8 129
    121 Robin Sciot-Siegrist 76.0 121
    122 Toby Tree 76.0 51
    123 Gregory Havret 76.1 51
    124 Raphael Jacquelin 76.2 68
    125 Lorenzo Gagli 76.3 135
    126 Jake McLeod 76.4 139
    127 Oliver Fisher 76.4 98
    128 Adrien Saddier 76.5 70
    129 Carlos Pigem 76.5 111
    130 Richard McEvoy 76.6 70
    131 Oliver Wilson 76.7 85
    132 Nacho Elvira 76.7 111
    133 Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 76.8 156
    134 Paul Dunne 76.8 111
    135 Robin Roussel 76.9 98
    136 Pedro Figueiredo 77.0 111
    137 Haydn Porteous 77.1 139
    138 Alvaro Quiros 77.2 129
    139 David Law 77.3 41
    140 Joel Stalter 77.6 121
    141 David Howell 77.8 17
    142 Oliver Farr 77.8 23
    143 Ross McGowan 78.4 85
    144 Rowan Lester 82.5 139
    145 Caolan Rafferty 82.5 153
    146 Colm Moriarty 82.5 70
    147 Andrea Pavan 85.5 153
    148 Graeme Storm 92.9 139
    149 Gavin Moynihan 98.0 85
    150 Bryce Easton 107.3 156
    151 Haotong Li 150.5 146
    152 Marc Warren 152.0 28
    153 Peter Hanson 152.0 139
    154 Hugo Leon 152.0 156
    155 Thomas Aiken 152.0 135
    156 Neil O’Briain 152.0 152
    157 Mark Power 152.0 111
    158 Simon Thornton 152.0 150
    159 Takumi Kanaya 152.0 28
    160 Shaun Norris 152.0 129
    161 Robin Dawson 152.0 146
    162 Daniel van Tonder 152.0 70
    163 Vincent Norman 152.0 61
    More | Less
    The accuracy number for these picks is 21. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

    Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

    Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (June 27, 2021)

    June 27, 2021 Thomas Hawley

    U.S. Open champ Jon Rahm has been no. 1 for most of the year.
    # Thru June 27, 2021 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
    1 Jon Rahm 43 1431 1
    2 Xander Schauffele 43 1290 2
    3 Rory McIlroy 42 1259 3
    4 Daniel Berger 39 1165 4
    5 Bryson DeChambeau 43 1162 5
    6 Justin Thomas 45 1152 6
    7 Webb Simpson 37 1089 7
    8 Collin Morikawa 47 1069 8
    9 Dustin Johnson 37 1048 9
    10 Patrick Reed 55 1038 10
    11 Patrick Cantlay 39 1025 12
    12 Louis Oosthuizen 43 978 11
    13 Harris English 48 947 19
    14 Abraham Ancer 53 943 18
    15 Brooks Koepka 35 922 22
    16 Paul Casey 44 918 13
    17 Scottie Scheffler 51 917 14
    18 Tyrrell Hatton 41 912 16
    19 Matthew Fitzpatrick 49 907 17
    20 Tony Finau 53 892 15
    21 Jordan Spieth 43 866 20
    22 Hideki Matsuyama 49 858 21
    23 Brian Harman 49 822 25
    24 Will Zalatoris 28 815 24
    25 Viktor Hovland 50 806 23
    26 Corey Conners 53 769 26
    27 Cameron Smith 46 727 27
    28 Ryan Palmer 45 724 29
    29 Jason Kokrak 47 722 28
    30 Sungjae Im 62 709 30
    31 Billy Horschel 50 704 31
    32 Adam Scott 34 703 34
    33 Tommy Fleetwood 45 675 32
    34 Russell Henley 44 673 36
    35 Shane Lowry 47 660 35
    36 Charley Hoffman 50 645 37
    37 Max Homa 48 639 33
    38 Bubba Watson 44 634 41
    39 Joaquin Niemann 51 621 39
    40 Marc Leishman 46 621 51
    41 Justin Rose 43 620 38
    42 Jason Day 40 617 48
    43 Sam Burns 41 616 46
    44 Sergio Garcia 44 609 40
    45 Talor Gooch 51 596 43
    46 Kevin Streelman 51 589 42
    47 Ian Poulter 50 589 44
    48 Tiger Woods 15 572 45
    49 Gary Woodland 44 564 49
    50 Lee Westwood 45 551 54
    51 Keegan Bradley 46 550 47
    52 Kevin Kisner 49 549 66
    53 Alex Noren 48 542 55
    54 Kevin Na 45 539 52
    55 Matthew Wolff 42 531 50
    56 Cameron Tringale 44 529 53
    57 Joel Dahmen 48 528 58
    58 Brendan Steele 43 518 57
    59 Brendon Todd 56 516 62
    60 Rickie Fowler 41 515 56
    61 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 45 510 63
    62 Victor Perez 38 507 64
    63 Si Woo Kim 54 502 60
    64 Lanto Griffin 55 498 61
    65 Bud Cauley 24 491 65
    66 Charl Schwartzel 37 488 67
    67 Francesco Molinari 26 486 59
    68 Maverick McNealy 46 473 69
    69 Matt Kuchar 47 468 68
    70 Carlos Ortiz 49 452 70
    71 Erik Van Rooyen 50 443 75
    72 Robert MacIntyre 43 443 73
    73 Stewart Cink 41 442 78
    74 Emiliano Grillo 51 442 71
    75 Branden Grace 49 436 77
    76 Harold Varner 50 433 76
    77 Sebastian Munoz 58 432 74
    78 Chris Kirk 33 429 72
    79 Matt Wallace 54 421 84
    80 JT Poston 53 421 83
    81 Charles Howell 44 420 82
    82 Adam Long 54 416 80
    83 Adam Hadwin 45 410 79
    84 Zach Johnson 42 410 92
    85 Matt Jones 52 408 87
    86 Cameron Davis 49 407 88
    87 Phil Mickelson 40 407 85
    88 Brandt Snedeker 44 405 81
    89 Aaron Wise 40 403 86
    90 Lucas Glover 50 394 89
    91 Patton Kizzire 46 384 90
    92 Mac Hughes 49 383 93
    93 Thomas Pieters 35 380 91
    94 Dylan Frittelli 52 376 94
    95 Doc Redman 49 375 95
    96 Keith Mitchell 47 370 96
    97 Harry Higgs 50 368 97
    98 Danny Willett 47 366 99
    99 Richy Werenski 49 365 98
    100 Cameron Champ 47 356 103
    101 Matthew NeSmith 51 355 100
    102 Seamus Power 30 355 129
    103 Guido Migliozzi 40 352 124
    104 Tom Hoge 58 352 101
    105 Lucas Herbert 31 348 125
    106 Byeong Hun An 51 344 102
    107 Henrik Norlander 52 343 105
    108 Rory Sabbatini 51 341 104
    109 Kyle Stanley 47 338 107
    110 Wesley Bryan 15 337 110
    111 Sepp Straka 56 336 133
    112 Martin Kaymer 36 335 112
    113 Chez Reavie 53 333 119
    114 Wyndham Clark 50 331 108
    115 Mark Hubbard 53 330 132
    116 Scott Piercy 42 328 109
    117 Doug Ghim 42 327 111
    118 Troy Merritt 58 327 113
    119 James Hahn 32 325 114
    120 David Lipsky 24 324 106
    121 Jhonattan Vegas 44 322 115
    122 Andrew Putnam 49 320 137
    123 Brice Garnett 47 317 157
    124 Bernd Wiesberger 45 315 116
    125 Steve Stricker 20 313 120
    126 Denny McCarthy 52 302 117
    127 KH Lee 56 300 122
    128 Ryan Moore 31 300 118
    129 Rafa Cabrera Bello 53 298 121
    130 Tom Lewis 50 296 123
    131 Hank Lebioda 46 292 180
    132 Kramer Hickok 45 289 192
    133 Luke List 51 289 135
    134 Matthias Schwab 44 287 127
    135 Russell Knox 54 286 126
    136 Patrick Rodgers 59 286 130
    137 Scott Stallings 44 283 131
    138 Vaughn Taylor 48 282 128
    139 Camilo Villegas 23 280 138
    140 Erik Compton 8 278 141
    141 Michael Thompson 42 275 136
    142 Kurt Kitayama 39 272 134
    143 Danny Lee 47 271 139
    144 Antoine Rozner 33 267 140
    145 Ryan Armour 47 265 142
    146 Andy Sullivan 42 263 153
    147 Thomas Detry 44 263 148
    148 Justin Suh 17 263 152
    149 Jason Scrivener 42 262 149
    150 Padraig Harrington 39 260 143
    151 Marcus Kinhult 31 260 150
    152 Chesson Hadley 41 258 145
    153 Pat Perez 47 257 146
    154 Nick Taylor 46 256 147
    155 Nate Lashley 46 255 144
    156 Jeunghun Wang 20 252 155
    157 CT Pan 50 251 151
    158 Bo Hoag 51 251 156
    159 Chase Seiffert 43 246 154
    160 Ryan Fox 36 245 162
    161 Ben Martin 31 244 160
    162 Brian Stuard 57 242 170
    163 Beau Hossler 52 240 200
    164 Adam Schenk 54 239 158
    165 Vincent Whaley 39 238 159
    166 Peter Malnati 50 236 164
    167 Zac Blair 30 233 165
    168 Will Gordon 37 232 161
    169 Andrew Landry 44 231 168
    170 Joseph Bramlett 43 231 163
    171 Martin Laird 39 228 172
    172 Dylan Wu 9 228 177
    173 Brandon Hagy 41 226 166
    174 Paul Waring 33 226 167
    175 Robby Shelton 53 224 171
    176 Kalle Samooja 39 224 173
    177 Hudson Swafford 35 223 169
    178 John Huh 26 222 176
    179 Jack Singh Brar 21 222 175
    180 Sung Kang 53 217 174
    181 Andrew Johnston 23 215 183
    182 Sam Ryder 54 214 178
    183 Shaun Norris 30 212 195
    184 Peter Uihlein 34 211 186
    185 George Coetzee 34 208 184
    186 Adri Arnaus 42 207 182
    187 Victor Dubuisson 24 206 210
    188 Mikko Korhonen 33 206 187
    189 Satoshi Kodaira 38 206 197
    190 Garrick Higgo 29 205 179
    191 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 29 204 181
    192 Robert Streb 46 204 219
    193 Sam Horsfield 39 201 202
    194 Graeme McDowell 46 200 189
    195 Joost Luiten 47 200 190
    196 Bronson Burgoon 44 197 185
    197 Tyler Duncan 59 197 191
    198 Tyler McCumber 42 196 188
    199 Aaron Rai 40 195 193
    200 Chan Kim 21 194 198
    201 Laurie Canter 28 193 196
    202 JB Holmes 29 188 217
    203 Rob Oppenheim 46 187 194
    204 Xinjun Zhang 55 186 204
    205 Jordan Smith 45 185 206
    206 Sahith Theegala 9 184 209
    207 Benjamin Hebert 42 183 207
    208 Boo Weekley 10 182 215
    209 Dean Burmester 46 181 199
    210 Henrik Stenson 39 181 205
    211 Dawie van der Walt 9 181 213
    212 Jim Herman 42 179 233
    213 Scott Jamieson 40 178 201
    214 Jim Furyk 24 178 211
    215 Jimmy Walker 41 178 216
    216 Ross Fisher 40 177 203
    217 Brandon Stone 42 175 208
    218 Sami Valimaki 30 171 218
    219 Anirban Lahiri 34 170 214
    220 Eddie Pepperell 35 166 212
    221 Kevin Chappell 28 165 243
    222 Cameron Percy 42 163 221
    223 Calum Hill 37 161 227
    224 Rasmus Hojgaard 33 161 229
    225 Justin Harding 50 161 237
    226 Rikuya Hoshino 21 160 224
    227 Renato Paratore 45 159 220
    228 Richard Sterne 22 155 225
    229 Romain Langasque 42 152 230
    230 Marcus Armitage 34 151 234
    231 Joachim B Hansen 44 151 223
    232 Alexander Bjork 41 151 226
    233 Gavin Green 41 150 222
    234 Ashun Wu 37 148 236
    235 Haotong Li 38 148 235
    236 MJ Daffue 13 148 242
    237 Fabrizio Zanotti 29 147 240
    238 Wade Ormsby 34 146 228
    239 Nick Watney 39 145 232
    240 Roger Sloan 44 145 231
    241 Chris Baker 37 144 244
    242 John Augenstein 9 142 246
    243 Michael Gligic 44 142 241
    244 Masahiro Kawamura 50 142 247
    245 Luke Donald 36 141 238
    246 Wilco Nienaber 33 141 249
    247 Scott Brown 49 141 239
    248 Darren Fichardt 24 139 308
    249 Jorge Campillo 45 139 270
    250 Carl Yuan 9 139 245
    251 Jung-gon Hwang 9 138 252
    252 Chris Paisley 40 136 253
    253 Tim Wilkinson 35 135 256
    254 Ted Potter 42 135 248
    255 Joakim Lagergren 38 133 254
    256 Richard Bland 32 132 258
    257 Jamie Donaldson 39 132 251
    258 Marc Warren 28 132 250
    259 Takumi Kanaya 19 132 279
    260 Kristoffer Ventura 43 131 257
    261 Sean Crocker 43 130 264
    262 Matthew Southgate 46 130 260
    263 Brandon Wu 15 130 262
    264 Richie Ramsay 42 128 263
    265 Matthieu Pavon 45 127 259
    266 Pablo Larrazabal 41 126 277
    267 Connor Syme 35 125 261
    268 Travis Smyth 9 125 272
    269 Miguel Angel Jimenez 14 125 266
    270 Austin Cook 46 123 265
    271 David Horsey 39 123 267
    272 Jason Dufner 46 122 271
    273 Jeff Winther 38 122 268
    274 Ollie Schniederjans 13 121 283
    275 JJ Spaun 43 121 284
    276 Chris Stroud 26 121 274
    277 Billy Hurley 8 119 273
    278 Kyung-nam Kang 9 118 280
    279 Matthew Jordan 31 118 294
    280 Zander Lombard 45 117 275
    281 Daniel van Tonder 14 117 339
    282 Brian Gay 47 116 276
    283 Joohyung Kim 9 115 286
    284 Wil Besseling 33 114 278
    285 Thorbjorn Olesen 20 113 269
    286 Jacques Kruyswijk 26 113 322
    287 Akshay Bhatia 16 113 293
    288 Grant Forrest 42 113 282
    289 Callum Shinkwin 35 111 291
    290 Jazz Janewattananond 39 111 290
    291 Fabian Gomez 44 110 287
    292 Seung-yul Noh 16 109 300
    293 Sean O’Hair 18 109 281
    294 Hugo Leon 15 108 255
    295 Kevin Tway 44 107 285
    296 Nicolas Colsaerts 36 107 288
    297 Josh Teater 33 107 296
    298 Hennie du Plessis 9 106 304
    299 Stephen Gallacher 31 106 289
    300 Adrian Meronk 33 106 307
    301 Robert Rock 28 105 301
    302 Scott Harrington 49 105 295
    303 Jack Senior 36 105 298
    304 Jayden Trey Schaper 11 104 313
    305 Nino Bertasio 36 104 292
    306 Edoardo Molinari 43 103 297
    307 Sebastian Cappelen 41 103 299
    308 Adrian Otaegui 48 102 321
    309 Bo Van Pelt 40 102 306
    310 Julian Etulain 11 101 325
    311 Niklas Lemke 36 101 303
    312 Mark Anderson 34 101 316
    313 Grayson Murray 35 100 305
    314 Aaron Baddeley 34 100 319
    315 John Catlin 36 99 311
    316 Shubhankar Sharma 49 99 317
    317 Scott Hend 44 99 327
    318 Wes Roach 32 98 318
    319 Josh Geary 8 98
    320 David Hearn 45 98 315
    321 DJ Trahan 42 98 312
    322 Sang-hyun Park 12 97 309
    323 Min Woo Lee 31 96 323
    324 Roberto Castro 20 96 324
    325 Louis de Jager 35 96 320
    326 Steven Brown 45 95 326
    327 Jaco Ahlers 8 94 330
    328 Shugo Imahira 25 93 328
    329 Jamie Arnold 8 93 329
    330 Zach Murray 15 92 331
    331 Ben Crane 9 91 337
    332 Greyson Sigg 9 90 336
    333 Alex Cejka 17 90 314
    334 Dale Whitnell 33 90 334
    335 Stephan Jaeger 15 89 310
    336 Jonathan Byrd 29 88 341
    337 Jonas Blixt 8 88 663
    338 Adrien Saddier 37 87 360
    339 Craig Howie 14 87 342
    340 Brendan Jones 8 87 340
    341 Niall Kearney 12 87 421
    342 Johannes Veerman 37 87 333
    343 Sebastian Heisele 26 87 332
    344 Kyung-tae Kim 9 86 346
    345 Rafael Campos 31 85 335
    346 James Morrison 45 84 344
    347 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 36 84 345
    348 Tomoharu Otsuki 21 83 349
    349 Maverick Antcliff 32 83 343
    350 Sebastian Soderberg 41 83 338
    351 Justin Walters 48 82 369
    352 Brad Kennedy 14 81 353
    353 Bill Haas 34 81 350
    354 Scott Vincent 32 81 354
    355 Adam Svensson 11 81 302
    356 Soren Kjeldsen 40 81 347
    357 Lee Hodges 10 79 355
    358 Alexander Levy 43 79 348
    359 Anthony Quayle 11 79 359
    360 Lorenzo Gagli 45 78 352
    361 Ryosuke Kinoshita 18 78 361
    362 Oscar Lengden 13 76 365
    363 Maximilian Kieffer 40 76 357
    364 Andres Romero 19 76 386
    365 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 25 75 356
    366 Ricky Barnes 24 75 368
    367 Rhein Gibson 39 74 370
    368 Ryan Brehm 36 74 358
    369 Chad Campbell 14 74 367
    370 Andrea Pavan 42 74 351
    371 Bradley Dredge 13 74 364
    372 Sang-hee Lee 9 72 373
    373 Ashley Chesters 42 72 366
    374 Alejandro Del Rey 8 72 374
    375 Oliver Bekker 8 72 371
    376 Seung-su Han 13 72 372
    377 Francesco Laporta 32 71 363
    378 Julien Guerrier 35 70 375
    379 Jaco van Zyl 13 70 377
    380 Shawn Stefani 24 70 362
    381 Alejandro Canizares 41 70 376
    382 Gunn Charoenkul 15 69 380
    383 Ben Stow 17 69 385
    384 George McNeill 22 68 378
    385 Charlie Saxon 9 68 384
    386 Daijiro Izumida 17 67 389
    387 Nacho Elvira 44 67 381
    388 Hideto Tanihara 19 66 388
    389 Darius van Driel 31 66 383
    390 Mikumu Horikawa 23 66 392
    391 Tapio Pulkkanen 43 66 382
    392 Clement Sordet 34 65 387
    393 Mike Weir 8 64 396
    394 Marcel Schneider 23 63 391
    395 Andrew Dodt 8 62 395
    396 Dave Coupland 28 62 397
    397 Jonathan Caldwell 33 62 393
    398 Kristoffer Broberg 15 61 404
    399 Yuki Inamori 20 60 399
    400 Nicolai Hojgaard 34 59 403
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    Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.