A Look at Golf – Page 54 – Alookatgolf provides information for the professional golf fan, fantasy golf enthusiast, and daily fantasy sports golf participant. We provide true odds on U.S. and European professional golf events and accurate rankings of U.S. and European pro golfers.

A Look at the Travelers Championship

June 22, 2021 Thomas Hawley Narrative

In case you’re wondering who really wants to be just a few miles south of Hartford CT this weekend for the Travelers Championship, you have to include those guys who made the 2,400-mile trip from South Carolina to southern California last week followed by the 2,900-mile trip to Harford this week. And there are actually 16 of them in the Travelers field, headed by Dustin Johnson, ranked no. 9 in the world per the Hawley Ratings. From the top 20, there’s Harris English, no. 19. From the top 50 there are Brooks Koepka, no. 22, and Ian Poulter, no. 40.

We’re not going to say that none of those guys can win, but instead let’s start with Paul Casey, Bryson DeChambeau, and the Patricks (Cantlay and Reed).

Casey is playing well, fits the TPC River Highlands course, and has a great record in this event. He’s played here each of the last six years and has four finishes in the top five, including as runner-up in 2018 and 2015, plus two others that were OK. More recently he was seventh in the U.S. Open, fourth in the PGA, and between them squeezed in a top-10 finish in a Euro Tour event. Per tennisworldusa.org, Casey had this to say before the Euro event in Hamburg, Germany: “I’ve noticed an up-tick in my play and a sharpness and a focus, an added layer. It might be some of it is a little bit of pressure, you’re now in people’s gaze. You’re there under scrutiny and something about that has raised my focus.”

DeChambeau blew up like a hot air balloon on the back nine of the U.S. Open last week, but he gets consideration based on prior performance in this event. He has back-to-back-to-back top-10s in the event since 2018 and is a very strong fit for the course.

Cantlay falls in DeChambeau’s shadow as a competitor here — top-20 finishes each of the last three years. He’s been better recently, however, with top-25 finishes in the Open and PGA, sandwiched around the win in the Memorial.

Reed plays here every year and has one top-10 in the last eight tries, a fifth in 2017. He’s been good four of the last five appearances in 2021 — top-20 in the two majors, top-10 in the Memorial and Wells Fargo, and one missed cut.

Among the 10 PGA Tour stats that are tracked within the Hawley course fit assessment, shots gained off the tee shows by far the highest correlation between player performance in the event and player standing in the stat ranking. There are lower levels of correlation between shots gained in approach and shots gained around the green. DeChambeau, widely known as a monster off the tee, is easily the best fit for the course based on those correlations and his 2021 performance. He leads a bunched pack of Keegan Bradley, Cantlay, Koepka, Joaquin Niemann, David Lipsky, and Tony Finau by over a half-stroke, a significant margin.

Johnson, who finally fell out of the no. 1 spot in the Official World Golf Ratings this week, has one top-10 in his last nine appearances (snuck in at 10th at the Palmetto two weeks ago) and one made cut in the three 2021 majors (18th last week in the U.S. Open).

Looking at the field from the perspectives of course fit and recent play, Casey, Cantlay, Scottie Scheffler, Koepka, and Bradley look like contenders. From a little deeper in the ratings, you might consider Emiliano Grillo, Harold Varner, Aaron Wise, or Matthew NeSmith. Grillo has a recent top-10 in the Schwab. Varner was second in the Heritage back in April. Wise was in the top 10 in the Memorial, his last time out, in the top 20 in the PGA, and in the top 10 in the Wells Fargo.

Others who are playing the 5,300-mile “June swing”, in ratings order, are Kevin Kisner, Erik Van Rooyen, Jhonattan Vegas, Chez Reavie, Rafa Cabrera Bello, Patrick Rodgers, Bo Hoag, Brian Stuard, Robby Shelton, Sam Ryder, Garrick Higgo, and JJ Spaun.

Travelers Championship

June 20, 2021 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Paul Casey

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Paul Casey	26.9	36
2	Bryson DeChambeau	29.9	19
3	Patrick Cantlay	32.8	13
4	Patrick Reed	34.0	25
5	Daniel Berger	34.2	DNP
6	Scottie Scheffler	35.4	47
7	Kevin Streelman	38.4	80
8	Brian Harman	39.3	5
9	Dustin Johnson	39.9	25
10	Abraham Ancer	41.5	4
11	Brooks Koepka	43.3	5
12	Tony Finau	44.4	127
13	Keegan Bradley	45.5	80
14	Harris English	45.7	1
15	Charley Hoffman	46.3	30
16	Cameron Smith	52.0	30
17	Joaquin Niemann	53.0	36
18	Bubba Watson	53.0	19
19	Ian Poulter	55.3	36
20	Aaron Wise	55.3	66
21	Emiliano Grillo	55.3	80
22	Talor Gooch	55.3	36
23	Russell Henley	55.6	19
24	Justin Rose	55.6	36
25	Brendan Steele	56.0	80
26	Max Homa	56.3	99
27	Adam Scott	56.4	13
28	Jason Day	56.8	10
29	Cameron Tringale	56.9	80
30	Rickie Fowler	57.0	131
31	Sam Burns	57.8	13
32	Si Woo Kim	58.2	131
33	Marc Leishman	59.0	3
34	Patton Kizzire	59.3	120
35	Kyle Stanley	59.5	54
36	Matthew Wolff	60.2	140
37	Kevin Na	60.3	47
38	Lanto Griffin	60.4	70
39	Joel Dahmen	61.0	DNP
40	Francesco Molinari	61.2	140
41	Brandt Snedeker	61.3	80
42	Chris Kirk	61.5	110
43	Stewart Cink	61.5	30
44	Brendon Todd	61.7	30
45	Carlos Ortiz	61.8	47
46	Doc Redman	61.8	61
47	Troy Merritt	62.1	36
48	Harold Varner	62.5	47
49	Adam Long	62.6	131
50	Adam Hadwin	62.6	131
51	Jhonattan Vegas	62.8	DNP
52	Zach Johnson	63.4	25
53	Matt Jones	63.5	36
54	Keith Mitchell	63.5	148
55	Sebastian Munoz	63.8	80
56	Phil Mickelson	63.9	61
57	Kevin Kisner	63.9	5
58	Chez Reavie	64.4	25
59	Russell Knox	64.5	110
60	Maverick McNealy	64.5	30
61	Doug Ghim	64.6	54
62	David Lipsky	64.7	131
63	Erik Van Rooyen	64.8	DNP
64	Harry Higgs	64.9	140
65	Danny Lee	65.0	99
66	Scott Piercy	65.1	80
67	Vincent Whaley	65.3	80
68	Richy Werenski	65.5	80
69	CT Pan	65.6	80
70	Matthew NeSmith	65.7	131
71	Satoshi Kodaira	65.9	36
72	Scott Stallings	66.0	80
73	Pat Perez	66.1	110
74	KH Lee	66.5	73
75	Tom Hoge	66.5	66
76	Hank Lebioda	66.5	5
77	Ryan Moore	66.6	54
78	Henrik Norlander	66.7	61
79	Ryan Armour	66.9	61
80	Wyndham Clark	66.9	151
81	Rafa Cabrera Bello	67.0	110
82	Dylan Frittelli	67.1	131
83	Patrick Rodgers	67.3	76
84	Vaughn Taylor	67.4	80
85	Joseph Bramlett	67.5	80
86	Garrick Higgo	67.6	80
87	Mac Hughes	67.6	76
88	Rory Sabbatini	67.7	99
89	Kevin Tway	67.7	66
90	Bronson Burgoon	67.8	140
91	Nick Taylor	68.1	120
92	Luke List	68.2	DNP
93	Bo Hoag	68.4	DNP
94	Denny McCarthy	68.4	73
95	Sepp Straka	68.6	10
96	Michael Thompson	68.6	120
97	Mark Hubbard	68.7	13
98	Chase Seiffert	68.7	110
99	Tom Lewis	69.0	47
100	Anirban Lahiri	69.0	140
101	Will Gordon	69.2	79
102	Nate Lashley	69.2	76
103	Brandon Hagy	69.3	99
104	Chesson Hadley	69.3	110
105	Andrew Putnam	69.4	13
106	Peter Malnati	69.5	54
107	Kramer Hickok	69.5	2
108	Hudson Swafford	69.6	148
109	Adam Schenk	69.7	80
110	Brice Garnett	69.7	5
111	Beau Hossler	70.0	10
112	Rob Oppenheim	70.1	110
113	Brian Stuard	70.2	30
114	Tyler Duncan	70.2	54
115	Sam Ryder	70.4	54
116	Roger Sloan	70.6	131
117	Robby Shelton	70.8	66
118	Tyler McCumber	70.8	99
119	Luke Donald	70.9	154
120	Sung Kang	71.4	80
121	JJ Spaun	71.5	47
122	Robert Streb	71.6	19
123	Jim Herman	71.7	25
124	Bo Van Pelt	71.7	151
125	Cameron Percy	71.9	54
126	JB Holmes	72.1	36
127	Scott Brown	72.2	120
128	Nick Watney	72.5	155
129	Sean O’Hair	72.6	110
130	Michael Gligic	72.6	99
131	Jason Dufner	72.7	131
132	Ted Potter	72.7	127
133	Austin Cook	73.0	110
134	Kristoffer Ventura	73.3	70
135	Scott Harrington	73.5	80
136	Rafael Campos	73.8	99
137	Grayson Murray	73.8	153
138	DJ Trahan	74.0	127
139	Ryan Brehm	74.0	99
140	David Hearn	74.1	73
141	Sebastian Cappelen	74.4	127
142	Nelson Ledesma	74.6	DNP
143	Brian Gay	74.8	120
144	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	74.8	DNP
145	Hunter Mahan	76.3	120
146	Martin Trainer	76.8	140
147	Michael Kim	76.9	140
148	Kevin Stadler	77.0	99
149	Alex Beach	82.5	150
150	Brian Keiser	82.5	156
151	JJ Henry	101.4	140
152	William McGirt	150.2	70
153	Jonas Blixt	154.0	36
154	Davis Thompson	154.0	110
155	John Pak	154.0	99
156	Kevin Chappell	154.0	36
157	Chase Koepka	154.0	120
158	Austin Eckroat	154.0	47
	Guido Migliozzi	late entry	14
	Seamus Power	late entry	19
	Lucas Herbert	late entry	20
	Andrew Svoboda	late entry	62
	Byeong Hun An	late entry	91
	Stephen Stallings	late entry	101
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 38. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

BMW International Open

June 20, 2021 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Louis Oosthuizen

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Louis Oosthuizen	34.6	42
2	Sergio Garcia	47.2	17
3	Viktor Hovland	48.8	1
4	Thorbjorn Olesen	58.6	62
5	Thomas Pieters	63.6	29
6	Martin Kaymer	63.7	2
7	Bernd Wiesberger	64.0	5
8	Matthias Schwab	65.3	29
9	Andy Sullivan	65.4	5
10	Antoine Rozner	66.5	55
11	Rafa Cabrera Bello	67.1	DNP
12	Ryan Fox	67.3	14
13	Lucas Herbert	67.3	DNP
14	Padraig Harrington	67.9	78
15	Edoardo Molinari	68.0	78
16	Kurt Kitayama	68.2	78
17	Richard Bland	68.7	DNP
18	Dean Burmester	68.9	70
19	Pablo Larrazabal	69.0	17
20	Andrew Johnston	69.3	14
21	Sam Horsfield	69.4	5
22	Brandon Stone	69.5	122
23	Alexander Bjork	69.6	147
24	Calum Hill	70.0	17
25	Jamie Donaldson	70.1	91
26	Ross Fisher	70.2	112
27	Victor Dubuisson	70.4	4
28	Joachim B Hansen	70.5	112
29	Eddie Pepperell	70.7	91
30	Wade Ormsby	70.7	55
31	David Horsey	70.8	52
32	Darren Fichardt	70.9	5
33	George Coetzee	71.3	DNP
34	Rasmus Hojgaard	71.4	17
35	Masahiro Kawamura	71.4	29
36	Louis de Jager	71.4	60
37	Sean Crocker	71.5	29
38	Jazz Janewattananond	71.5	37
39	Scott Jamieson	71.5	78
40	Renato Paratore	71.6	91
41	Ashley Chesters	71.6	102
42	Nacho Elvira	71.7	55
43	Wil Besseling	71.7	52
44	Nino Bertasio	71.7	112
45	Matthieu Pavon	71.8	91
46	Justin Harding	71.8	5
47	Connor Syme	71.8	78
48	Dale Whitnell	71.8	42
49	Ashun Wu	71.9	DNP
50	Jeff Winther	72.0	55
51	Maximilian Kieffer	72.3	137
52	Adrian Otaegui	72.4	29
53	Nicolas Colsaerts	72.5	62
54	Jacques Kruyswijk	72.5	17
55	Min Woo Lee	72.5	42
56	Jorge Campillo	72.6	3
57	Sebastian Heisele	72.8	155
58	Steven Brown	72.9	42
59	John Catlin	72.9	91
60	Stephen Gallacher	73.0	122
61	Maverick Antcliff	73.0	60
62	Jack Senior	73.0	129
63	Nicolai Hojgaard	73.1	42
64	Justin Walters	73.3	17
65	Niklas Lemke	73.3	102
66	Tapio Pulkkanen	73.3	129
67	Alexander Levy	73.3	112
68	Grant Forrest	73.3	55
69	Johannes Veerman	73.4	78
70	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	73.5	62
71	Matthew Jordan	73.5	17
72	Gavin Green	73.5	151
73	James Morrison	73.6	42
74	Scott Hend	73.7	26
75	Julien Guerrier	73.7	42
76	Bernd Ritthammer	73.8	148
77	Darius van Driel	73.9	68
78	Zander Lombard	73.9	42
79	Soren Kjeldsen	73.9	76
80	Richard Mansell	74.0	37
81	Clement Sordet	74.1	78
82	Sebastian Soderberg	74.1	91
83	Francesco Laporta	74.1	112
84	Garrick Porteous	74.1	29
85	David Drysdale	74.2	112
86	Kristoffer Broberg	74.2	37
87	Lorenzo Gagli	74.2	62
88	Pep Angles	74.3	156
89	Aaron Cockerill	74.3	102
90	Marcel Schneider	74.4	62
91	Gregory Havret	74.5	91
92	Niall Kearney	74.6	12
93	Alejandro Canizares	74.6	42
94	Jonathan Caldwell	74.6	102
95	Richard McEvoy	74.7	78
96	David Law	74.7	62
97	Chris Wood	74.8	78
98	Robin Sciot-Siegrist	74.8	102
99	Rikard Karlberg	74.9	102
100	Rhys Enoch	74.9	102
101	Lucas Bjerregaard	75.0	91
102	Julian Suri	75.0	143
103	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	75.2	122
104	Max Schmitt	75.2	133
105	Thomas Bjorn	75.3	DNP
106	Ben Evans	75.3	122
107	Sihwan Kim	75.4	37
108	Adrien Saddier	75.4	17
109	Liam Johnston	75.5	122
110	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	75.5	75
111	Ricardo Santos	75.6	102
112	Oliver Farr	75.7	78
113	Lars van Meijel	75.7	91
114	Raphael Jacquelin	75.8	102
115	Haydn Porteous	75.8	153
116	Yi Keun Chang	75.8	122
117	Ondrej Lieser	75.9	91
118	Gaganjeet Bhullar	76.1	149
119	Robin Roussel	76.1	29
120	David Howell	76.1	74
121	Alvaro Quiros	76.2	72
122	Benjamin Poke	76.3	52
123	Pedro Figueiredo	76.3	152
124	Jean-Baptiste Gonnet	76.4	143
125	Jake McLeod	76.4	141
126	Joel Stalter	76.4	137
127	Oliver Fisher	76.5	133
128	Ross McGowan	76.5	143
129	Paul Dunne	76.9	112
130	Carlos Pigem	77.4	70
131	Tyler Koivisto	77.7	112
132	Janne Kaske	77.8	150
133	Jordan Wrisdale	82.5	DNP
134	Vincent Norman	82.5	5
135	Zachary Bauchou	82.5	78
136	Matthias Schmid	82.5	14
137	Andrea Pavan	87.4	154
138	JC Ritchie	101.8	37
139	Bryce Easton	107.9	78
140	Ewen Ferguson	115.1	129
141	Graeme Storm	117.1	133
142	Daniel Young	142.0	112
143	Marc Warren	142.0	76
144	Peter Hanson	142.0	129
145	Hugo Leon	142.0	137
146	Thomas Aiken	142.0	112
147	Hurly Long	142.0	DNP
148	Euan Walker	142.0	DNP
149	Alex Cejka	142.0	137
150	Dimitrios Papadatos	142.0	91
151	Andres Romero	142.0	26
152	Thomas Rosenmller	142.0	78
153	Matthew Baldwin	142.0	26
154	Takumi Kanaya	142.0	17
155	Daniel Gavins	142.0	42
156	Josh Geary	142.0	29
157	Elvis Smylie	142.0	141
158	Stephan Jaeger	142.0	143
159	Shaun Norris	142.0	5
160	Daniel van Tonder	142.0	12
	Freddy Schott	late entry	68
	Philipp Mejow	late entry	72
	Simon Zach	late entry	111
	Deyen Lawson	late entry	127
	Benedict Staben	late entry	135
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 121. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (June 20, 2021)

June 20, 2021 Thomas Hawley Ratings

U.S. Open champ Jon Rahm has been no. 1 for most of the year.

#	Thru June 20, 2021	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Jon Rahm	44	1434	1
2	Xander Schauffele	43	1287	2
3	Rory McIlroy	42	1264	3
4	Daniel Berger	40	1159	7
5	Bryson DeChambeau	43	1158	4
6	Justin Thomas	45	1156	6
7	Webb Simpson	37	1094	5
8	Collin Morikawa	48	1069	10
9	Dustin Johnson	36	1055	9
10	Patrick Reed	55	1044	8
11	Louis Oosthuizen	43	1016	14
12	Patrick Cantlay	38	1004	11
13	Paul Casey	43	937	18
14	Scottie Scheffler	50	937	17
15	Tony Finau	53	926	12
16	Tyrrell Hatton	42	911	13
17	Matthew Fitzpatrick	49	909	15
18	Abraham Ancer	53	899	16
19	Harris English	48	881	23
20	Jordan Spieth	43	870	21
21	Hideki Matsuyama	50	859	19
22	Brooks Koepka	35	858	25
23	Viktor Hovland	50	816	22
24	Will Zalatoris	28	811	20
25	Brian Harman	49	773	29
26	Corey Conners	54	772	24
27	Cameron Smith	45	732	26
28	Jason Kokrak	47	725	28
29	Ryan Palmer	45	724	27
30	Sungjae Im	63	713	31
31	Billy Horschel	50	708	30
32	Tommy Fleetwood	46	682	32
33	Max Homa	48	662	34
34	Adam Scott	33	661	35
35	Shane Lowry	48	660	33
36	Russell Henley	44	649	43
37	Charley Hoffman	50	643	37
38	Justin Rose	42	629	36
39	Joaquin Niemann	51	628	39
40	Sergio Garcia	43	620	45
41	Bubba Watson	43	614	38
42	Kevin Streelman	51	604	50
43	Talor Gooch	51	597	42
44	Ian Poulter	50	594	41
45	Tiger Woods	15	582	44
46	Sam Burns	41	582	40
47	Keegan Bradley	46	570	49
48	Jason Day	40	566	51
49	Gary Woodland	44	563	47
50	Matthew Wolff	42	556	63
51	Marc Leishman	45	556	46
52	Kevin Na	45	552	48
53	Cameron Tringale	44	551	54
54	Lee Westwood	46	550	52
55	Alex Noren	48	543	55
56	Rickie Fowler	40	538	56
57	Brendan Steele	43	536	53
58	Joel Dahmen	48	525	59
59	Francesco Molinari	25	524	83
60	Si Woo Kim	54	515	60
61	Lanto Griffin	54	515	61
62	Brendon Todd	55	514	58
63	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	46	510	64
64	Victor Perez	39	510	57
65	Bud Cauley	25	495	65
66	Kevin Kisner	48	493	62
67	Charl Schwartzel	37	486	73
68	Matt Kuchar	47	467	67
69	Maverick McNealy	45	466	68
70	Carlos Ortiz	49	465	66
71	Emiliano Grillo	50	457	71
72	Chris Kirk	32	450	72
73	Robert MacIntyre	44	446	74
74	Sebastian Munoz	58	446	70
75	Erik Van Rooyen	51	444	69
76	Harold Varner	49	443	76
77	Branden Grace	49	435	103
78	Stewart Cink	40	433	75
79	Adam Hadwin	45	430	80
80	Adam Long	54	429	82
81	Brandt Snedeker	43	426	79
82	Charles Howell	45	424	81
83	JT Poston	53	422	84
84	Matt Wallace	55	421	77
85	Phil Mickelson	40	419	78
86	Aaron Wise	39	418	86
87	Matt Jones	52	408	85
88	Cameron Davis	50	406	88
89	Lucas Glover	51	399	90
90	Patton Kizzire	46	398	92
91	Thomas Pieters	35	395	93
92	Zach Johnson	41	392	87
93	Mac Hughes	49	392	89
94	Dylan Frittelli	52	390	91
95	Doc Redman	49	386	94
96	Keith Mitchell	47	382	95
97	Harry Higgs	49	379	96
98	Richy Werenski	49	377	97
99	Danny Willett	48	369	98
100	Matthew NeSmith	50	368	101
101	Tom Hoge	58	365	100
102	Byeong Hun An	50	360	102
103	Cameron Champ	48	356	99
104	Rory Sabbatini	51	356	104
105	Henrik Norlander	51	354	106
106	David Lipsky	24	353	108
107	Kyle Stanley	46	348	107
108	Wyndham Clark	50	345	105
109	Scott Piercy	42	343	109
110	Wesley Bryan	15	336	110
111	Doug Ghim	41	335	113
112	Martin Kaymer	36	327	129
113	Troy Merritt	58	326	111
114	James Hahn	32	324	115
115	Jhonattan Vegas	44	323	114
116	Bernd Wiesberger	45	316	112
117	Denny McCarthy	52	315	119
118	Ryan Moore	31	315	116
119	Chez Reavie	52	314	121
120	Steve Stricker	20	314	120
121	Rafa Cabrera Bello	53	312	117
122	KH Lee	56	310	118
123	Tom Lewis	50	302	122
124	Guido Migliozzi	40	300	201
125	Lucas Herbert	31	299	125
126	Russell Knox	54	297	126
127	Matthias Schwab	44	296	124
128	Vaughn Taylor	47	296	123
129	Seamus Power	30	296	133
130	Patrick Rodgers	58	293	140
131	Scott Stallings	44	293	130
132	Mark Hubbard	52	293	128
133	Sepp Straka	56	291	127
134	Kurt Kitayama	39	289	131
135	Luke List	52	288	134
136	Michael Thompson	42	286	135
137	Andrew Putnam	48	284	132
138	Camilo Villegas	23	282	138
139	Danny Lee	47	281	137
140	Antoine Rozner	32	278	139
141	Erik Compton	8	275	145
142	Ryan Armour	47	274	142
143	Padraig Harrington	39	270	144
144	Nate Lashley	46	269	143
145	Chesson Hadley	41	269	148
146	Pat Perez	47	268	147
147	Nick Taylor	46	266	146
148	Thomas Detry	45	265	141
149	Jason Scrivener	43	263	149
150	Marcus Kinhult	32	262	150
151	CT Pan	49	261	151
152	Justin Suh	18	260	136
153	Andy Sullivan	42	257	153
154	Chase Seiffert	42	256	155
155	Jeunghun Wang	21	251	156
156	Bo Hoag	51	251	152
157	Brice Garnett	47	251	154
158	Adam Schenk	54	248	157
159	Vincent Whaley	38	247	159
160	Ben Martin	31	243	161
161	Will Gordon	36	242	163
162	Ryan Fox	36	241	162
163	Joseph Bramlett	42	240	167
164	Peter Malnati	50	239	158
165	Zac Blair	30	237	165
166	Brandon Hagy	40	236	171
167	Paul Waring	34	235	164
168	Andrew Landry	45	234	168
169	Hudson Swafford	34	233	172
170	Brian Stuard	56	232	160
171	Robby Shelton	52	231	166
172	Martin Laird	40	227	170
173	Kalle Samooja	40	226	174
174	Sung Kang	53	224	173
175	Jack Singh Brar	22	222	176
176	John Huh	26	222	169
177	Dylan Wu	9	222	592
178	Sam Ryder	54	219	175
179	Garrick Higgo	28	215	177
180	Hank Lebioda	46	214	182
181	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	30	212	178
182	Adri Arnaus	43	211	181
183	Andrew Johnston	23	211	180
184	George Coetzee	35	210	184
185	Bronson Burgoon	44	210	183
186	Peter Uihlein	35	208	186
187	Mikko Korhonen	33	207	187
188	Tyler McCumber	41	203	190
189	Graeme McDowell	47	202	189
190	Joost Luiten	48	202	188
191	Tyler Duncan	59	199	192
192	Kramer Hickok	45	198	193
193	Aaron Rai	41	196	194
194	Rob Oppenheim	45	194	197
195	Shaun Norris	30	193	195
196	Laurie Canter	28	193	198
197	Satoshi Kodaira	38	193	199
198	Chan Kim	21	193	185
199	Dean Burmester	46	189	204
200	Beau Hossler	52	189	202
201	Scott Jamieson	40	188	200
202	Sam Horsfield	39	188	203
203	Ross Fisher	40	187	206
204	Xinjun Zhang	55	187	205
205	Henrik Stenson	39	186	191
206	Jordan Smith	46	186	196
207	Benjamin Hebert	43	185	207
208	Brandon Stone	42	183	210
209	Sahith Theegala	9	183	179
210	Victor Dubuisson	24	182	212
211	Jim Furyk	24	181	208
212	Eddie Pepperell	35	180	211
213	Dawie van der Walt	9	179	214
214	Anirban Lahiri	34	178	213
215	Boo Weekley	10	176	216
216	Jimmy Walker	42	176	209
217	JB Holmes	28	175	215
218	Sami Valimaki	30	171	218
219	Robert Streb	46	169	217
220	Renato Paratore	45	167	220
221	Cameron Percy	41	166	219
222	Gavin Green	41	160	221
223	Joachim B Hansen	44	159	222
224	Rikuya Hoshino	22	158	362
225	Richard Sterne	23	158	223
226	Alexander Bjork	41	157	228
227	Calum Hill	36	157	225
228	Wade Ormsby	34	156	244
229	Rasmus Hojgaard	32	155	230
230	Romain Langasque	43	155	226
231	Roger Sloan	44	155	224
232	Nick Watney	39	154	229
233	Jim Herman	41	151	232
234	Marcus Armitage	34	151	227
235	Haotong Li	39	151	231
236	Ashun Wu	38	149	233
237	Justin Harding	50	149	234
238	Luke Donald	35	148	235
239	Scott Brown	49	147	237
240	Fabrizio Zanotti	30	146	238
241	Michael Gligic	43	146	240
242	MJ Daffue	13	146	243
243	Kevin Chappell	27	146	242
244	Chris Baker	37	142	322
245	Carl Yuan	9	142	241
246	John Augenstein	9	142	248
247	Masahiro Kawamura	50	142	245
248	Ted Potter	42	141	239
249	Wilco Nienaber	33	141	236
250	Marc Warren	27	140	250
251	Jamie Donaldson	39	140	247
252	Jung-gon Hwang	10	138	252
253	Chris Paisley	41	137	251
254	Joakim Lagergren	39	137	249
255	Hugo Leon	14	137	246
256	Tim Wilkinson	35	135	254
257	Kristoffer Ventura	42	135	255
258	Richard Bland	32	132	263
259	Matthieu Pavon	45	132	257
260	Matthew Southgate	47	131	253
261	Connor Syme	34	131	259
262	Brandon Wu	15	131	258
263	Richie Ramsay	43	130	256
264	Sean Crocker	43	130	260
265	Austin Cook	46	128	264
266	Miguel Angel Jimenez	14	128	261
267	David Horsey	39	127	267
268	Jeff Winther	38	127	266
269	Thorbjorn Olesen	20	127	262
270	Jorge Campillo	45	126	265
271	Jason Dufner	46	126	270
272	Travis Smyth	9	124	273
273	Billy Hurley	8	124	271
274	Chris Stroud	27	124	268
275	Zander Lombard	45	123	269
276	Brian Gay	47	122	272
277	Pablo Larrazabal	41	119	278
278	Wil Besseling	32	119	277
279	Takumi Kanaya	18	119	280
280	Kyung-nam Kang	9	119	281
281	Sean O’Hair	17	118	283
282	Grant Forrest	42	118	282
283	Ollie Schniederjans	14	118	286
284	JJ Spaun	43	117	274
285	Kevin Tway	43	116	279
286	Joohyung Kim	9	116	284
287	Fabian Gomez	45	114	276
288	Nicolas Colsaerts	36	114	285
289	Stephen Gallacher	31	113	291
290	Jazz Janewattananond	39	113	289
291	Callum Shinkwin	35	112	290
292	Nino Bertasio	36	112	287
293	Akshay Bhatia	16	111	292
294	Matthew Jordan	30	111	295
295	Scott Harrington	48	110	294
296	Josh Teater	34	110	288
297	Edoardo Molinari	43	110	333
298	Jack Senior	35	110	297
299	Sebastian Cappelen	40	108	298
300	Seung-yul Noh	16	108	304
301	Robert Rock	29	108	300
302	Adam Svensson	12	108	275
303	Niklas Lemke	36	107	302
304	Hennie du Plessis	9	107	303
305	Grayson Murray	34	107	299
306	Bo Van Pelt	39	106	306
307	Adrian Meronk	33	106	296
308	Darren Fichardt	24	105	308
309	Sang-hyun Park	13	104	293
310	Stephan Jaeger	15	104	314
311	John Catlin	35	104	311
312	DJ Trahan	41	104	305
313	Jayden Trey Schaper	11	104	307
314	Alex Cejka	17	104	310
315	David Hearn	45	103	309
316	Mark Anderson	34	101	313
317	Shubhankar Sharma	50	101	312
318	Wes Roach	33	100	301
319	Aaron Baddeley	34	100	315
320	Louis de Jager	35	100	317
321	Adrian Otaegui	48	100	318
322	Jacques Kruyswijk	26	99	319
323	Min Woo Lee	30	98	320
324	Roberto Castro	21	97	321
325	Julian Etulain	12	97	331
326	Steven Brown	45	96	323
327	Scott Hend	44	96	326
328	Shugo Imahira	26	95	324
329	Jamie Arnold	8	94	325
330	Jaco Ahlers	8	94	328
331	Zach Murray	15	93	329
332	Sebastian Heisele	25	92	332
333	Johannes Veerman	36	91	327
334	Dale Whitnell	32	91	334
335	Rafael Campos	30	90	336
336	Greyson Sigg	9	90	316
337	Ben Crane	10	90	337
338	Sebastian Soderberg	41	89	335
339	Daniel van Tonder	13	88	338
340	Brendan Jones	8	88	340
341	Jonathan Byrd	29	87	342
342	Craig Howie	14	87	344
343	Maverick Antcliff	31	86	343
344	James Morrison	45	86	345
345	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	36	86	341
346	Kyung-tae Kim	10	86	347
347	Soren Kjeldsen	40	85	346
348	Alexander Levy	43	83	349
349	Tomoharu Otsuki	22	83	351
350	Bill Haas	35	83	348
351	Andrea Pavan	42	83	339
352	Lorenzo Gagli	45	82	352
353	Brad Kennedy	15	82	330
354	Scott Vincent	32	81	353
355	Lee Hodges	10	80	354
356	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	24	79	355
357	Maximilian Kieffer	40	79	358
358	Ryan Brehm	35	78	356
359	Anthony Quayle	12	78	360
360	Adrien Saddier	36	78	365
361	Ryosuke Kinoshita	19	77	363
362	Shawn Stefani	25	77	350
363	Francesco Laporta	31	76	361
364	Bradley Dredge	14	76	359
365	Oscar Lengden	13	76	368
366	Ashley Chesters	42	76	364
367	Chad Campbell	15	76	357
368	Ricky Barnes	24	76	366
369	Justin Walters	48	75	367
370	Rhein Gibson	39	74	369
371	Oliver Bekker	8	72	374
372	Seung-su Han	14	72	373
373	Sang-hee Lee	10	72	376
374	Alejandro Del Rey	8	71	375
375	Julien Guerrier	34	71	377
376	Alejandro Canizares	41	71	380
377	Jaco van Zyl	14	71	378
378	George McNeill	22	70	371
379	Morgan Hoffmann	8	70	387
380	Gunn Charoenkul	15	70	382
381	Nacho Elvira	44	69	381
382	Tapio Pulkkanen	43	69	384
383	Darius van Driel	30	69	385
384	Charlie Saxon	9	69	383
385	Ben Stow	17	69	386
386	Andres Romero	19	68	370
387	Clement Sordet	34	67	388
388	Hideto Tanihara	20	67	379
389	Daijiro Izumida	18	67	389
390	Kyle Jones	11	67	372
391	Marcel Schneider	22	66	390
392	Mikumu Horikawa	24	66	391
393	Jonathan Caldwell	32	65	393
394	Dimitrios Papadatos	13	65	394
395	Andrew Dodt	8	63	400
396	Mike Weir	8	63	402
397	Dave Coupland	28	62	392
398	John Chin	11	60	395
399	Yuki Inamori	21	60	405
400	Roberto Diaz	15	59	399
More \| Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A Look at the U.S. Open Championship

June 14, 2021 Thomas Hawley Narrative

In a season in which no player has stood out from the pack to any significant extent, golf’s third major arrives this week just north of San Diego with plenty of contenders but no clear-cut top choice. Let’s take a look at a half-dozen of the most logical choices and then another half-dozen of guys from the next echelon who could get it done.

Xander Schauffele – A top contender by most measures, Schauffele, 27, is a native of San Diego whose exposure to the Torrey Pines course goes back to high school. He has been good but not great this season, having missed two cuts and finished 39th in the WGC-Mexico event. The rest of the time he’s been good – three top-10s, including a runner-up finish at Phoenix and a third in the Masters. Also he has three other top-20 finishes, not to mention a record of four-for-four in finishing in the top 10 in the U.S. Open, never worse than sixth.
Patrick Reed – Another player who misses the cut occasionally but is frequently prominent on Sunday. He has three top-10s in his last five appearances with a best of fifth in the Memorial earlier this month. He’s a very good putter, no. 1 among all U.S./ Euro pros in putts per green in regulation and in the top 5 percent in shots gained putting.
Jon Rahm – Hawley Ratings no. 1 for almost all of the last six months who made the foolish mistake of not getting vaccinated for covid-19 and then had to withdraw from the Memorial with a six-stroke lead. He has only one missed cut this year and six top-10 finishes in his last nine appearances (ignoring the Memorial fiasco).
Louis Oosthuizen – 38-year-old South African, winner of the 2010 British Open, has had a remarkable resurgence of his career in the last two months. In the last four events, he has three top-10s, including runner-up finishes at the PGA and Zurich. He’s been in the top 10 in four of the last eight U.S. Opens, including a runner-up finish in 2015. He’s in the top 2 percent in shots gained putting.
Webb Simpson – Has only three appearances since the start of April, including a 12th at the Masters and 30th at the PGA. Was in the top 10 of the U.S. Open twice in the last three years.
Bryson DeChambeau – He was great in March, winning the Palmer and finishing third in TPC. Since then it’s been a downward slope. In the last six events, he’s been outside the top 40 three times and just once in the top 10. Hits the ball out of sight.

Now we’ll skip over some good players and look for someone who would be a little surprising.

Abraham Ancer – No. 16 in the Hawley Ratings, he went thru a string of eight straight events from February thru May with two top-10s (including runner-up at the Wells Fargo) and nothing worse than 26th at the Masters. Then he went to Germany to play a Euro Tour event and missed the cut as the event favorite.
Jordan Spieth – No. 21 in the ratings. Working on a long string of 10 straight events without a missed cut. That includes the Texas win, a runner-up at the Schwab, a third at the Masters, and three other top-10s.
Shane Lowry – No. 33, a 34-year-old Irishman has three top-10s in five events since the start of April. The top-10s include the last two appearances (Memorial and PGA). Runner-up in the 2016 U.S. Open.
Kevin Streelman – No. 50 is having a steady year with five top-20 finishes, one of them an eighth at the PGA.
Troy Merritt – No. 111 has two strings of three straight missed cuts this year but opened some eyes with back-to-back sevenths at the Schwab and Nelson.
Garrick Higgo – No. 177 and the stunning winner last week at the Palmetto. He emerges as the no. 1 player in the field in terms of fit for the course. The 22-year-old South African, who missed the cut in the PGA in his only U.S. appearance prior to the Palmetto, is no. 1 among all U.S. and Euro pros in shots gained putting, is in the top 2 percent in putts per green in regulation, and in the top 10 percent in driving distance and greens in regulation. He has a remarkably large lead of 0.9 strokes per round over Oosthuizen, who is second in course fit per the Hawley statistics. Oosthuizen is in the top 2 percent in shots gained putting and in the top half among all players in the other stats mentioned.

Unlike some U.S. Open courses, Torrey Pines is well-known to Tour regulars as the course on which the annual Farmers Insurance Open is played each January or February. As supported by data in the Hawley course fit statistics, Torrey Pines demands a well-rounded game from the competitor. Putting, driving distance, and greens in regulation are the three stats most highly correlated with success in the last eight iterations of the Farmers. The typical U.S. Open course skews similarly, although with much stronger emphasis on success putting.

After Higgo and Oosthuizen, others for whom the course might be appealing, in order, include Robert MacIntyre, Schauffele, Jason Kokrak, DeChambeau, and Simpson.

What is widely referred to simply as Torrey Pines is actually two municipal courses, North and South, with the latter earning most of the notoriety. Torrey Pines is built on an undulating landscape overlooking the Pacific Ocean. The most distinctive feature is two large and three smaller tongues (or isthmuses, if you will) of land that extend toward the beach and are bounded by deep drop-offs or ravines. The 18th hole runs north, parallel to Torrey Pines Road and the coastline. The par-five closer features a raised green just beyond a large pond that has claimed the golf ball of many a player who is a bit short on approach. The course is located about 15 miles north of the downtown waterfront in San Diego, or about five miles south of the Del Mar racetrack, or try 85 miles south of Disneyland.

As usual, the field is incredibly strong thru the first 100 players or so. Hawley Ratings no. 42 Talor Gooch is the highest-rated player not in the field. Marc Leishman and Brendan Steele are the only others from the top 50 who are missing. Below the highest-ranked 100 or so entrants, there are a couple of dozen pros ranked in the 200s or lower, and finally, emerging from qualifying, there are about three dozen players known only to their local fans, college buddies, and families. (In TPC and the PGA, the absence of these last 50 or 60 guys is what makes those fields the strongest in the world.)

U.S. Open Championship

June 13, 2021 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Xander Schauffele

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Xander Schauffele	32.3	7
2	Patrick Reed	36.2	18
3	Jon Rahm	36.3	1
4	Louis Oosthuizen	36.5	2
5	Webb Simpson	36.5	127
6	Bryson DeChambeau	39.6	25
7	Rory McIlroy	39.7	7
8	Brooks Koepka	40.1	4
9	Collin Morikawa	40.5	4
10	Daniel Berger	41.1	7
11	Abraham Ancer	41.8	104
12	Dustin Johnson	41.9	18
13	Jordan Spieth	43.1	18
14	Patrick Cantlay	43.4	15
15	Justin Thomas	44.1	18
16	Tony Finau	45.1	104
17	Scottie Scheffler	45.4	7
18	Matthew Fitzpatrick	46.2	54
19	Viktor Hovland	47.0	WD
20	Tyrrell Hatton	47.7	84
21	Cameron Smith	48.4	72
22	Brian Harman	48.6	18
23	Shane Lowry	48.7	64
24	Paul Casey	49.2	7
25	Hideki Matsuyama	50.1	25
26	Corey Conners	50.1	84
27	Charley Hoffman	50.3	56
28	Will Zalatoris	50.7	95
29	Jason Kokrak	52.6	116
30	Harris English	53.4	3
31	Justin Rose	53.5	142
32	Billy Horschel	54.3	95
33	Kevin Streelman	54.6	15
34	Max Homa	55.9	95
35	Joaquin Niemann	56.6	30
36	Sam Burns	56.7	72
37	Tommy Fleetwood	56.8	49
38	Adam Scott	57.6	34
39	Ryan Palmer	57.7	104
40	Ian Poulter	57.8	39
41	Sungjae Im	57.9	34
42	Bubba Watson	58.8	49
43	Gary Woodland	59.0	49
44	Marc Leishman	60.5	63
45	Stewart Cink	62.2	56
46	Brendan Steele	62.2	72
47	Carlos Ortiz	62.3	84
48	Sergio Garcia	62.3	18
49	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	62.4	30
50	Russell Henley	62.5	13
51	Brendon Todd	62.5	95
52	Charl Schwartzel	62.7	18
53	Si Woo Kim	63.4	39
54	Kevin Na	63.4	104
55	Victor Perez	63.8	104
56	Lee Westwood	64.2	45
57	Matt Wallace	64.2	84
58	Robert MacIntyre	64.5	34
59	Zach Johnson	64.5	84
60	Matt Jones	65.1	64
61	Lanto Griffin	65.3	34
62	Matt Kuchar	65.3	84
63	Troy Merritt	66.0	64
64	Branden Grace	66.1	7
65	Kevin Kisner	66.1	54
66	Jhonattan Vegas	66.3	56
67	Matthew Wolff	66.4	15
68	Sebastian Munoz	66.5	84
69	Phil Mickelson	66.7	61
70	Adam Hadwin	67.2	39
71	Garrick Higgo	67.6	84
72	Erik Van Rooyen	67.8	72
73	Francesco Molinari	68.4	13
74	Wyndham Clark	68.8	72
75	Rafa Cabrera Bello	68.8	49
76	JT Poston	68.9	39
77	Bernd Wiesberger	69.2	72
78	Mac Hughes	69.3	71
79	Martin Kaymer	69.4	25
80	KH Lee	70.0	142
81	Dylan Frittelli	71.0	45
82	Bo Hoag	71.2	146
83	Guido Migliozzi	71.3	4
84	Tom Hoge	71.4	45
85	Thomas Detry	71.5	72
86	Martin Laird	72.0	104
87	Chez Reavie	72.1	39
88	Jordan Smith	72.4	95
89	Patrick Rodgers	72.4	30
90	Cameron Champ	72.6	116
91	Brian Stuard	72.9	116
92	Richard Bland	72.9	49
93	Marcus Armitage	73.0	72
94	Peter Malnati	73.0	116
95	John Huh	74.0	150
96	Adrian Meronk	74.1	116
97	Jimmy Walker	74.2	69
98	Sam Ryder	74.8	72
99	Robby Shelton	74.8	104
100	Wade Ormsby	74.8	39
101	Wilco Nienaber	75.3	67
102	Matthew Southgate	75.4	116
103	Sung Kang	75.7	134
104	JJ Spaun	75.7	127
105	Henrik Stenson	75.8	127
106	Dave Coupland	76.1	141
107	Edoardo Molinari	77.0	34
108	Fabian Gomez	77.6	69
109	Johannes Veerman	77.6	84
110	Chris Baker	78.5	25
111	Andrew Kozan	82.5	72
112	Carson Schaake	82.5	142
113	Charles Osborne	82.5	DNP
114	Christopher Crawford	82.5	142
115	Davis Shore	82.5	127
116	Hayden Buckley	82.5	116
117	Hayden Springer	82.5	104
118	James Hervol	82.5	155
119	Joe Highsmith	82.5	95
120	Joe Long	82.5	134
121	Kyle Westmoreland	82.5	67
122	Luis Fernando Barco	82.5	146
123	Mario Carmona	82.5	150
124	Matthew Sharpstene	82.5	116
125	Matthias Schmid	82.5	127
126	Pierceson Coody	82.5	116
127	Roy Cootes	82.5	134
128	Spencer Ralston	82.5	84
129	Wilson Furr	82.5	153
130	Zach Zaback	82.5	72
131	Dylan Meyer	97.9	146
132	Luis Gagne	157.3	104
133	Rick Lamb	173.7	45
134	Paul Barjon	190.5	116
135	Michael Johnson	203.9	95
136	Cole Hammer	266.6	104
137	Thomas Aiken	286.6	134
138	Ryo Ishikawa	394.4	134
139	Ty Strafaci	739.9	146
140	Dylan Wu	760.6	30
141	Andy Pope	978.3	134
142	Rikuya Hoshino	1027.5	25
143	Taylor Montgomery	1240.5	56
144	Yosuke Asaji	1283.6	116
145	Alvaro Ortiz	1554.2	150
146	Eric Cole	2194.1	104
147	Akshay Bhatia	3490.6	56
148	Cameron Young	3775.3	104
149	Brad Kennedy	3917.8	127
150	Steve Allan	4718.5	153
151	Greyson Sigg	4842.5	61
152	Justin Suh	14454.7	127
153	Taylor Pendrith	15034.0	72
154	Chan Kim	21930.7	134
155	Sahith Theegala	24152.8	95
	Ollie Osborne	late entry	89
	Zack Sucher	late entry	99
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 187. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (June 13, 2021)

June 13, 2021 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Are you like Jon Rahm and the rest of us? Are you wondering why Dustin Johnson is still no. 1 in the Official World Golf Ratings?

#	Thru June 13, 2021	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Jon Rahm	44	1370	1
2	Xander Schauffele	42	1238	2
3	Rory McIlroy	41	1217	3
4	Bryson DeChambeau	42	1159	4
5	Webb Simpson	36	1151	5
6	Justin Thomas	44	1148	6
7	Daniel Berger	39	1097	7
8	Patrick Reed	55	1037	8
9	Dustin Johnson	36	1029	9
10	Collin Morikawa	47	1006	10
11	Patrick Cantlay	37	976	11
12	Tony Finau	52	958	12
13	Tyrrell Hatton	41	949	16
14	Louis Oosthuizen	42	937	13
15	Matthew Fitzpatrick	49	937	14
16	Abraham Ancer	52	928	15
17	Scottie Scheffler	49	889	17
18	Paul Casey	42	878	18
19	Hideki Matsuyama	50	856	19
20	Will Zalatoris	27	854	21
21	Jordan Spieth	42	849	20
22	Viktor Hovland	50	847	22
23	Harris English	48	801	25
24	Corey Conners	54	799	24
25	Brooks Koepka	34	765	23
26	Cameron Smith	45	763	26
27	Ryan Palmer	44	752	27
28	Jason Kokrak	47	751	29
29	Brian Harman	49	749	28
30	Billy Horschel	50	736	30
31	Sungjae Im	63	720	31
32	Tommy Fleetwood	45	708	32
33	Shane Lowry	47	687	33
34	Max Homa	48	682	34
35	Adam Scott	32	666	35
36	Justin Rose	41	661	36
37	Charley Hoffman	50	657	37
38	Bubba Watson	43	628	39
39	Joaquin Niemann	51	627	38
40	Sam Burns	41	604	40
41	Ian Poulter	49	600	41
42	Talor Gooch	52	596	43
43	Russell Henley	44	594	44
44	Tiger Woods	15	590	42
45	Sergio Garcia	43	587	45
46	Marc Leishman	44	581	46
47	Gary Woodland	44	575	47
48	Kevin Na	44	574	48
49	Keegan Bradley	46	571	49
50	Kevin Streelman	51	567	52
51	Jason Day	40	564	51
52	Lee Westwood	45	562	53
53	Brendan Steele	43	554	55
54	Cameron Tringale	45	553	54
55	Alex Noren	48	545	50
56	Rickie Fowler	41	541	56
57	Victor Perez	39	537	57
58	Brendon Todd	54	529	59
59	Joel Dahmen	48	523	60
60	Si Woo Kim	54	518	62
61	Lanto Griffin	53	513	61
62	Kevin Kisner	48	508	58
63	Matthew Wolff	42	506	63
64	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	46	500	64
65	Bud Cauley	26	498	65
66	Carlos Ortiz	49	484	66
67	Matt Kuchar	46	482	67
68	Maverick McNealy	45	464	68
69	Erik Van Rooyen	50	461	78
70	Sebastian Munoz	58	458	70
71	Emiliano Grillo	50	457	71
72	Chris Kirk	32	450	73
73	Charl Schwartzel	36	448	75
74	Robert MacIntyre	43	446	74
75	Stewart Cink	40	446	76
76	Harold Varner	50	442	69
77	Matt Wallace	54	435	79
78	Phil Mickelson	39	434	83
79	Brandt Snedeker	44	434	72
80	Adam Hadwin	44	432	80
81	Charles Howell	46	429	81
82	Adam Long	55	428	84
83	Francesco Molinari	24	427	82
84	JT Poston	53	426	77
85	Matt Jones	52	422	85
86	Aaron Wise	40	419	87
87	Zach Johnson	40	406	89
88	Cameron Davis	51	405	90
89	Mac Hughes	49	403	91
90	Lucas Glover	51	401	86
91	Dylan Frittelli	52	396	92
92	Patton Kizzire	47	396	88
93	Thomas Pieters	35	396	93
94	Doc Redman	50	387	107
95	Keith Mitchell	48	381	94
96	Harry Higgs	49	380	98
97	Richy Werenski	50	376	95
98	Danny Willett	48	373	99
99	Cameron Champ	48	371	101
100	Tom Hoge	58	370	102
101	Matthew NeSmith	50	369	100
102	Byeong Hun An	51	365	97
103	Branden Grace	48	364	104
104	Rory Sabbatini	52	363	96
105	Wyndham Clark	50	360	103
106	Henrik Norlander	51	354	106
107	Kyle Stanley	47	350	105
108	David Lipsky	25	347	154
109	Scott Piercy	42	343	115
110	Wesley Bryan	15	336	112
111	Troy Merritt	58	335	110
112	Bernd Wiesberger	44	334	108
113	Doug Ghim	41	334	113
114	Jhonattan Vegas	43	331	134
115	James Hahn	32	323	109
116	Ryan Moore	32	320	114
117	Rafa Cabrera Bello	52	319	111
118	KH Lee	56	318	117
119	Denny McCarthy	53	318	116
120	Steve Stricker	20	314	119
121	Chez Reavie	52	308	132
122	Tom Lewis	50	304	118
123	Vaughn Taylor	48	300	120
124	Matthias Schwab	45	300	122
125	Lucas Herbert	31	299	128
126	Russell Knox	54	299	125
127	Sepp Straka	57	293	123
128	Mark Hubbard	52	293	126
129	Martin Kaymer	35	292	130
130	Scott Stallings	45	292	124
131	Kurt Kitayama	40	291	131
132	Andrew Putnam	48	290	121
133	Seamus Power	31	290	153
134	Luke List	53	287	129
135	Michael Thompson	43	284	133
136	Justin Suh	18	284	137
137	Danny Lee	48	282	145
138	Camilo Villegas	23	282	127
139	Antoine Rozner	32	280	138
140	Patrick Rodgers	57	279	135
141	Thomas Detry	45	278	139
142	Ryan Armour	48	274	167
143	Nate Lashley	47	273	140
144	Padraig Harrington	39	270	136
145	Erik Compton	8	270	144
146	Nick Taylor	47	269	141
147	Pat Perez	47	269	166
148	Chesson Hadley	42	268	179
149	Jason Scrivener	44	264	143
150	Marcus Kinhult	33	264	146
151	CT Pan	49	263	149
152	Bo Hoag	50	261	142
153	Andy Sullivan	43	259	148
154	Brice Garnett	48	255	147
155	Chase Seiffert	42	255	156
156	Jeunghun Wang	22	251	158
157	Adam Schenk	55	250	150
158	Peter Malnati	50	248	160
159	Vincent Whaley	38	246	151
160	Brian Stuard	56	243	155
161	Ben Martin	31	243	152
162	Ryan Fox	36	243	159
163	Will Gordon	36	242	181
164	Paul Waring	35	241	161
165	Zac Blair	30	240	164
166	Robby Shelton	51	240	163
167	Joseph Bramlett	42	239	172
168	Andrew Landry	46	238	165
169	John Huh	25	237	157
170	Martin Laird	40	236	162
171	Brandon Hagy	40	234	169
172	Hudson Swafford	34	232	214
173	Sung Kang	53	231	171
174	Kalle Samooja	41	227	168
175	Sam Ryder	54	227	170
176	Jack Singh Brar	23	226	174
177	Garrick Higgo	27	225	235
178	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	31	220	173
179	Sahith Theegala	8	218	178
180	Andrew Johnston	24	216	177
181	Adri Arnaus	44	215	176
182	Hank Lebioda	47	213	188
183	Bronson Burgoon	45	213	175
184	George Coetzee	36	212	180
185	Chan Kim	20	212	185
186	Peter Uihlein	36	208	186
187	Mikko Korhonen	34	207	187
188	Joost Luiten	49	204	182
189	Graeme McDowell	47	203	192
190	Tyler McCumber	41	203	184
191	Henrik Stenson	38	200	183
192	Tyler Duncan	60	199	190
193	Kramer Hickok	46	198	189
194	Aaron Rai	42	197	191
195	Shaun Norris	30	194	196
196	Jordan Smith	45	194	194
197	Rob Oppenheim	45	193	215
198	Laurie Canter	28	193	197
199	Satoshi Kodaira	39	191	219
200	Scott Jamieson	41	191	199
201	Guido Migliozzi	40	190	200
202	Beau Hossler	53	190	216
203	Sam Horsfield	39	190	195
204	Dean Burmester	47	189	201
205	Xinjun Zhang	55	188	198
206	Ross Fisher	41	188	203
207	Benjamin Hebert	44	187	193
208	Jim Furyk	24	186	202
209	Jimmy Walker	42	184	206
210	Brandon Stone	42	183	204
211	Eddie Pepperell	35	181	205
212	Victor Dubuisson	25	181	207
213	Anirban Lahiri	35	176	226
214	Dawie van der Walt	9	176	210
215	JB Holmes	29	176	208
216	Boo Weekley	10	171	221
217	Robert Streb	47	170	212
218	Sami Valimaki	30	170	209
219	Cameron Percy	41	168	211
220	Renato Paratore	46	167	213
221	Gavin Green	42	162	217
222	Joachim B Hansen	45	160	225
223	Richard Sterne	24	160	222
224	Roger Sloan	45	159	220
225	Calum Hill	36	159	224
226	Romain Langasque	43	158	223
227	Marcus Armitage	33	158	227
228	Alexander Bjork	41	157	231
229	Nick Watney	40	156	218
230	Rasmus Hojgaard	32	155	228
231	Haotong Li	39	152	230
232	Jim Herman	42	151	233
233	Ashun Wu	39	150	237
234	Justin Harding	50	149	238
235	Luke Donald	36	148	253
236	Wilco Nienaber	32	147	308
237	Scott Brown	50	147	232
238	Fabrizio Zanotti	31	146	242
239	Ted Potter	43	146	229
240	Michael Gligic	43	146	234
241	Carl Yuan	9	145	239
242	Kevin Chappell	27	145	245
243	MJ Daffue	13	144	246
244	Wade Ormsby	34	143	243
245	Masahiro Kawamura	51	143	247
246	Hugo Leon	15	141	244
247	Jamie Donaldson	40	141	241
248	John Augenstein	9	141	248
249	Joakim Lagergren	40	140	236
250	Marc Warren	28	140	240
251	Chris Paisley	42	139	250
252	Jung-gon Hwang	10	138	252
253	Matthew Southgate	47	138	249
254	Tim Wilkinson	35	135	256
255	Kristoffer Ventura	42	134	251
256	Richie Ramsay	44	132	254
257	Matthieu Pavon	46	132	261
258	Brandon Wu	15	132	259
259	Connor Syme	34	131	264
260	Sean Crocker	44	131	255
261	Miguel Angel Jimenez	14	131	262
262	Thorbjorn Olesen	20	130	257
263	Richard Bland	31	129	269
264	Austin Cook	47	128	279
265	Jorge Campillo	46	128	267
266	Jeff Winther	39	127	274
267	David Horsey	40	127	260
268	Chris Stroud	28	127	268
269	Zander Lombard	46	125	271
270	Jason Dufner	47	125	273
271	Billy Hurley	9	125	275
272	Brian Gay	48	124	266
273	Travis Smyth	9	124	277
274	JJ Spaun	43	123	270
275	Adam Svensson	13	122	258
276	Fabian Gomez	45	122	265
277	Wil Besseling	32	120	278
278	Pablo Larrazabal	42	119	281
279	Kevin Tway	44	119	263
280	Takumi Kanaya	18	119	280
281	Kyung-nam Kang	9	119	282
282	Grant Forrest	43	119	283
283	Sean O’Hair	17	119	272
284	Joohyung Kim	9	116	287
285	Nicolas Colsaerts	37	115	289
286	Ollie Schniederjans	15	115	298
287	Nino Bertasio	37	114	285
288	Josh Teater	35	114	276
289	Jazz Janewattananond	39	113	291
290	Callum Shinkwin	36	113	288
291	Stephen Gallacher	32	113	294
292	Akshay Bhatia	15	112	299
293	Sang-hyun Park	13	112	284
294	Scott Harrington	48	112	297
295	Matthew Jordan	30	111	286
296	Adrian Meronk	32	110	301
297	Jack Senior	36	109	295
298	Sebastian Cappelen	40	109	292
299	Grayson Murray	34	108	290
300	Robert Rock	30	108	296
301	Wes Roach	34	108	303
302	Niklas Lemke	37	108	300
303	Hennie du Plessis	9	107	307
304	Seung-yul Noh	16	107	309
305	DJ Trahan	41	106	293
306	Bo Van Pelt	39	105	451
307	Jayden Trey Schaper	11	104	311
308	Darren Fichardt	25	104	310
309	David Hearn	45	104	304
310	Alex Cejka	18	104	313
311	John Catlin	36	103	314
312	Shubhankar Sharma	51	103	306
313	Mark Anderson	34	102	305
314	Stephan Jaeger	16	101	312
315	Aaron Baddeley	34	101	320
316	Greyson Sigg	8	100	316
317	Louis de Jager	36	100	317
318	Adrian Otaegui	49	99	333
319	Jacques Kruyswijk	26	99	323
320	Min Woo Lee	31	99	318
321	Roberto Castro	22	99	302
322	Chris Baker	36	98	315
323	Steven Brown	46	97	322
324	Shugo Imahira	26	97	319
325	Jamie Arnold	8	96	321
326	Scott Hend	45	96	337
327	Johannes Veerman	36	95	326
328	Jaco Ahlers	8	94	331
329	Zach Murray	15	94	328
330	Brad Kennedy	14	94	329
331	Julian Etulain	12	93	340
332	Sebastian Heisele	25	92	336
333	Edoardo Molinari	43	92	327
334	Dale Whitnell	32	90	334
335	Sebastian Soderberg	42	90	325
336	Rafael Campos	30	90	335
337	Ben Crane	10	89	341
338	Daniel van Tonder	13	89	344
339	Andrea Pavan	43	88	330
340	Brendan Jones	8	88	342
341	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	36	88	332
342	Jonathan Byrd	29	87	338
343	Maverick Antcliff	31	87	339
344	Craig Howie	14	87	345
345	James Morrison	46	86	360
346	Soren Kjeldsen	41	86	346
347	Kyung-tae Kim	10	85	348
348	Bill Haas	35	84	401
349	Alexander Levy	43	84	350
350	Shawn Stefani	26	83	324
351	Tomoharu Otsuki	22	83	353
352	Lorenzo Gagli	46	83	349
353	Scott Vincent	32	82	354
354	Lee Hodges	10	81	358
355	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	24	79	363
356	Ryan Brehm	35	79	355
357	Chad Campbell	15	78	359
358	Maximilian Kieffer	41	78	366
359	Bradley Dredge	15	78	362
360	Anthony Quayle	12	78	368
361	Francesco Laporta	31	78	357
362	Rikuya Hoshino	21	78	364
363	Ryosuke Kinoshita	19	78	367
364	Ashley Chesters	43	78	370
365	Adrien Saddier	37	78	371
366	Ricky Barnes	24	76	352
367	Justin Walters	49	76	361
368	Oscar Lengden	13	76	373
369	Rhein Gibson	39	74	429
370	Andres Romero	20	73	343
371	George McNeill	22	73	356
372	Kyle Jones	12	73	369
373	Seung-su Han	14	73	376
374	Oliver Bekker	8	72	378
375	Alejandro Del Rey	8	72	382
376	Sang-hee Lee	10	72	383
377	Julien Guerrier	34	71	381
378	Jaco van Zyl	14	71	379
379	Hideto Tanihara	21	71	377
380	Alejandro Canizares	42	71	375
381	Nacho Elvira	45	70	374
382	Gunn Charoenkul	15	70	385
383	Charlie Saxon	9	70	384
384	Tapio Pulkkanen	44	70	386
385	Darius van Driel	31	69	380
386	Ben Stow	17	68	388
387	Morgan Hoffmann	9	67	396
388	Clement Sordet	35	67	390
389	Daijiro Izumida	18	67	389
390	Marcel Schneider	22	66	392
391	Mikumu Horikawa	24	66	391
392	Dave Coupland	27	65	395
393	Jonathan Caldwell	32	65	421
394	Dimitrios Papadatos	14	65	398
395	John Chin	12	65	387
396	Zack Sucher	31	64	365
397	Joey Garber	13	64	372
398	Thongchai Jaidee	8	64	403
399	Roberto Diaz	16	64	347
400	Andrew Dodt	8	63	399
More \| Less

A Look at the Palmetto Classic at Congaree

June 7, 2021 Thomas Hawley Narrative

The Palmetto Championship at Congaree is happening this week, and if you haven’t been following PGA Tour scheduling news closely, the event exists because the Canadian Open was cancelled for 2021 last winter and this event was announced as a one-time filler in early April. The Tour does not lack for players with South Carolina connections and thus the fans will see a good number of familiar faces, and in particular world no. 1 (per the Official World Golf Ratings) Dustin Johnson.

This event brings professional golf to the Congaree Golf Club for the first time. It hasn’t taken too long for the 2017 Tom Fazio design in South Carolina’s Lowcountry to get its week in the spotlight. Congaree was named Golf Digest’s best new private course for 2018, also the best golf course built during the 2010s decade. The club is located about 40 miles north of Savannah and about the same distance inland from the Atlantic Ocean, near the Broad River.

There are numerous unique aspects to the club, built on a relatively flat 3,200-acre property surrounded by over 2,000 acres of lakes and dotted with longleaf pine and bottomland hardwood forests. Per forbes.com, the course contains some cavernous bunkers and vast waste areas, many of which have the sharp edges like those found in the Australian sand belt. All sandy expanses at Congaree are deemed “natural areas,” so players are permitted to ground their club anywhere, anytime. Per top100golfcourses.com, the 546-yard eighth is the signature hole. It plays as a par-five, except for this week when it will be a ridiculously tough par-four. Golfers navigate around two vast sandy waste areas en route to the green. The finishing set of four straight par-fours culminates in a tough approach shot over water and sand to the narrow 18th green.

Also unique to the club is its commitment to what it calls the Global Golf Initiative. Each year, Congaree “ambassadors”, who might be referred to as members elsewhere, identify dozens of high school students from around the world who have the talent to play college golf but who lack family resources. For a month, the young players receive a mix of golf-related and educational instruction, such as college prep and fitness training. Lucas Glover and William McGirt are two such ambassadors, professional category.

Fact: The original Greek Revival home on the property was burned by the Union army late in 1864 during the (pick your term) historic/ vilified Sherman’s March to the Sea. Much of nearby Gillisonville SC also saw the torch.

With no event history and no history of Tour competition on the course, there is not a lot to go on in terms of picks to win. Unsurprisingly, many players are focused on the U.S. Open, which will take place thousands of miles away at Torrey Pines next week. Johnson, who for hard-to-understand reasons continues to lead the OWGR, is the world’s no. 9 player per the Hawley Ratings and the only top-10 player in the field. Consider the top 20 and you add only Matthew Fitzpatrick and Tyrrell Hatton. A top-50 list gets you seven more. Here are a dozen names offering at least a hint of a reason for your support:

Dustin Johnson – The South Carolina native and top-rated player in the field hasn’t had a top-10 in seven tries since February and missed the cut in the two majors.
Matthew Fitzpatrick – Rated 15th, but trending down (although not as steeply down as Johnson) with two missed cuts in his last three appearances. Has top-10s at the Heritage, TPC, and Palmer since March.
Tyrrell Hatton – Rated 16th, but trending down (although not as steeply down as the two names above). Had three top-10s on Euro Tour last winter but only a best of 15th in eight PGA Tour appearances in 2021.
Brooks Koepka – Rated 23rd and part of an overblown kerfuffle with Bryson DeChambeau. Up and down like a roller coaster this year with the Phoenix win, runner-up finishes in the PGA and WGC-Mexico, one deep-in-the-pack finish, and three missed cuts.
Charley Hoffman – Rated 37th and finally we have a guy on this list who is trending up. Playing regularly (16 events) in 2021 and really good in Texas — runner-up at Texas Open, third at Schwab. Has four other top-20s since March.
Ian Poulter – Rated no. 41. Trending up but not without some bumps in 10 U.S. appearances in 2021. Third In the Schwab two weeks ago, one other top-10, also three missed cuts.
Brandt Snedeker – 40-year-old nice guy is no. 72. Wasn’t very good last winter but has warmed up since then with six spring appearances, two top-10s (Texas, Zurich) and two top-20s, no MC.
Patton Kizzire – Rated no. 88. Was third in back-to-back appearances in May (Nelson, Schwab); also has a top-10 at Texas mixed in with three missed cuts over the last three months.
Troy Merritt – Rated no. 110 and another guy on the roller coaster; was seventh in back-to-back appearances in May (Nelson, Schwab), also six missed cuts in the last four months.
Vincent Whaley – 26-year-old from Kentucky is no. 151. He has played 34 Tour events the past two years with one top-10 (Puerto Rico last year) and two top-20s (Puerto Rico this year and Schwab two weeks ago). Things are looking up, however, as he has been steadily in the mid-pack the last four months, seven times in the top 40 in eight appearances.
Ben Martin – 33-year-old South Carolinian is no. 152. He was ninth at Puntacana, 11th at Wells Fargo, 26th at the Nelson.
Satoshi Kodaira – 31-year-old from Tokyo is no. 220. Things started to look up suddenly last month when he was 13th at the Nelson and 11th at Wells Fargo after six missed cuts and nothing approaching a top-20 in his previous eight appearances.

The list of players with South Carolina connections is lengthy. In alphabetical order, Mark Anderson is from Beaufort and played for South Carolina; Scott Brown resides in Aiken and played for South Carolina-Aiken; Jonathan Byrd played for Clemson; Lucas Glover is a Congaree ambassador, Clemson graduate, and Greenville native; Bill Haas is from Greenville and played for Wake Forest; Dustin Johnson is from Columbia and attended Coastal Carolina; Ben Martin is from Greenwood and played for Clemson; William McGirt is a Congaree ambassador, attended Wofford University, and is from Spartanburg; Matthew NeSmith is from North Augusta and played for South Carolina; Doc Redman played for Clemson; and DJ Trahan is from Mt. Pleasant and played for Clemson.

Notables (or maybe “wannabe notables” would be more accurate) making their Tour debuts include recent Ben Hogan Award winner John Pak (Florida State) and former world no. 1 amateur Davis Thompson (U. of Georgia). Both are 22; Thompson turned 22 last weekend.

Palmetto Championship at Congaree

June 7, 2021 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Dustin Johnson

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Dustin Johnson	39.5	10
2	Matthew Fitzpatrick	40.2	10
3	Charley Hoffman	41.4	DNP
4	Tyrrell Hatton	46.0	2
5	Brooks Koepka	48.3	81
6	Harris English	54.3	14
7	Ian Poulter	55.5	25
8	Alex Noren	56.6	70
9	Patton Kizzire	58.5	93
10	Sungjae Im	58.8	35
11	Si Woo Kim	60.5	DNP
12	Kyle Stanley	61.1	DNP
13	Tommy Fleetwood	61.5	35
14	Brandt Snedeker	62.0	60
15	Vincent Whaley	63.4	111
16	Troy Merritt	63.4	DNP
17	Doug Ghim	64.1	DNP
18	Branden Grace	64.6	DNP
19	Lucas Glover	64.8	123
20	Kevin Kisner	65.1	70
21	Keith Mitchell	65.9	81
22	Harold Varner	67.2	103
23	Scott Stallings	67.9	111
24	Vaughn Taylor	68.0	52
25	Richy Werenski	68.1	111
26	Satoshi Kodaira	68.5	19
27	Danny Willett	68.5	DNP
28	Ben Martin	68.6	123
29	CT Pan	68.6	31
30	Padraig Harrington	68.8	81
31	Camilo Villegas	68.9	81
32	Rafa Cabrera Bello	69.0	93
33	Hank Lebioda	69.1	31
34	Matthew NeSmith	69.2	35
35	Bronson Burgoon	69.3	127
36	Doc Redman	69.5	2
37	Martin Laird	69.6	93
38	Jhonattan Vegas	69.8	2
39	Russell Knox	70.0	35
40	Seamus Power	70.0	19
41	Pat Perez	70.0	10
42	David Lipsky	70.2	8
43	Luke List	70.2	81
44	JT Poston	70.3	111
45	Adam Schenk	70.6	68
46	Erik Van Rooyen	70.6	10
47	Garrick Higgo	70.6	1
48	Bo Hoag	70.8	WD
49	Brice Garnett	71.0	81
50	Sepp Straka	71.1	111
51	Kramer Hickok	71.2	81
52	James Hahn	71.2	70
53	Jonas Blixt	71.3	93
54	Nick Taylor	71.4	44
55	Peter Uihlein	71.5	44
56	Scott Piercy	71.5	19
57	Brian Stuard	71.8	103
58	Andrew Putnam	71.9	67
59	Joseph Bramlett	72.1	25
60	Nate Lashley	72.1	DNP
61	John Huh	72.1	103
62	Rory Sabbatini	72.2	131
63	Roger Sloan	72.3	52
64	Chase Seiffert	72.4	35
65	Henrik Norlander	72.5	25
66	Tyler McCumber	72.6	81
67	Anirban Lahiri	72.6	25
68	Peter Malnati	72.7	DNP
69	Jim Knous	72.7	70
70	Danny Lee	72.8	19
71	Robby Shelton	73.1	57
72	Sean O’Hair	73.1	81
73	Michael Gligic	73.3	93
74	JJ Spaun	73.3	131
75	Mark Hubbard	73.3	57
76	Kevin Chappell	73.4	44
77	Byeong Hun An	73.4	52
78	Rob Oppenheim	73.4	19
79	Luke Donald	73.6	31
80	Roberto Castro	73.7	123
81	Jason Dufner	73.7	81
82	Patrick Rodgers	73.8	50
83	Chez Reavie	73.8	14
84	Sam Ryder	73.8	52
85	Ryan Armour	73.9	8
86	Tom Lewis	74.0	103
87	Chesson Hadley	74.1	2
88	Shawn Stefani	74.2	70
89	Tyler Duncan	74.3	60
90	Wilco Nienaber	74.4	14
91	Nick Watney	74.4	131
92	Xinjun Zhang	74.5	81
93	Josh Teater	74.5	63
94	JB Holmes	74.5	50
95	Cameron Percy	74.5	WD
96	Scott Brown	74.5	111
97	Wes Roach	74.6	44
98	Sung Kang	74.6	DNP
99	Ted Potter	74.6	145
100	William McGirt	74.7	111
101	Kristoffer Ventura	74.7	142
102	Andres Romero	74.8	111
103	Greg Chalmers	74.9	143
104	Hudson Swafford	74.9	2
105	Johnson Wagner	75.1	111
106	Grayson Murray	75.1	93
107	George McNeill	75.1	WD
108	Austin Cook	75.2	31
109	Mark Anderson	75.2	111
110	Rafael Campos	75.2	56
111	Will Gordon	75.3	14
112	Fabian Gomez	75.3	137
113	Jonathan Byrd	75.4	57
114	Chris Baker	75.4	60
115	Ricky Barnes	75.4	93
116	Beau Hossler	75.5	19
117	Ryan Brehm	75.6	131
118	David Hearn	75.6	93
119	Bo Van Pelt	75.6	2
120	John Pak	75.7	127
121	Zack Sucher	75.7	70
122	Aaron Baddeley	75.7	44
123	Brian Gay	75.7	93
124	Nelson Ledesma	75.8	145
125	Scott Harrington	75.8	44
126	Ryan Blaum	75.8	103
127	DJ Trahan	75.9	70
128	David Lingmerth	75.9	123
129	Dominic Bozzelli	75.9	137
130	Davis Thompson	76.0	35
131	Bill Haas	76.0	25
132	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	76.1	70
133	Arjun Atwal	76.1	WD
134	Kevin Tway	76.2	70
135	Rhein Gibson	76.2	25
136	Sebastian Cappelen	76.3	70
137	Tommy Gainey	76.3	DNP
138	Ben Taylor	76.4	35
139	Michael Gellerman	76.4	64
140	JJ Henry	76.5	93
141	Charlie Beljan	76.5	70
142	Carl Pettersson	76.5	WD
143	Lucas Bjerregaard	76.6	127
144	Bryson Nimmer	76.6	35
145	Daniel Chopra	76.6	DNP
146	Martin Trainer	76.7	103
147	Michael Kim	76.7	141
148	Hunter Mahan	76.7	WD
149	Derek Ernst	76.7	103
150	John Rollins	76.8	140
151	Kevin Stadler	76.8	143
152	Richard S Johnson	76.8	66
153	Parker McLachlin	76.8	WD
154	Smylie Kaufman	76.8	149
155	DA Points	76.8	81
156	Robert Garrigus	76.8	64
157	Cole Hammer	76.9	137
158	Omar Uresti	76.9	131
159	Matt Every	76.9	127
160	Harrison Frazar	76.9	111
161	Kelly Mitchum	76.9	148
162	Mark Hensby	76.9	WD
	Tain Lee	late entry	17
	Broc Everett	late entry	42
	Cody Blick	late entry	106
	Brendon de Jonge	late entry	120
	Brant Peaper	late entry	132
	Ted Purdy	late entry	147
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 106. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (June 6, 2021)

June 7, 2021 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Jon Rahm remains no. 1 after his forced withdrawal from the Memorial.

#	Thru June 6, 2021	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Jon Rahm	44	1373	1
2	Xander Schauffele	42	1237	3
3	Rory McIlroy	41	1221	2
4	Bryson DeChambeau	43	1156	6
5	Webb Simpson	36	1154	5
6	Justin Thomas	45	1151	4
7	Daniel Berger	40	1090	7
8	Patrick Reed	56	1038	9
9	Dustin Johnson	35	1024	8
10	Collin Morikawa	48	1004	13
11	Patrick Cantlay	38	980	17
12	Tony Finau	53	958	11
13	Louis Oosthuizen	43	938	14
14	Matthew Fitzpatrick	49	932	10
15	Abraham Ancer	53	929	12
16	Tyrrell Hatton	40	922	15
17	Scottie Scheffler	49	886	22
18	Paul Casey	43	880	16
19	Hideki Matsuyama	50	859	18
20	Jordan Spieth	43	852	21
21	Will Zalatoris	27	850	20
22	Viktor Hovland	51	848	19
23	Brooks Koepka	34	808	24
24	Corey Conners	54	802	23
25	Harris English	48	794	26
26	Cameron Smith	46	764	25
27	Ryan Palmer	44	752	30
28	Brian Harman	50	752	29
29	Jason Kokrak	48	751	31
30	Billy Horschel	50	738	27
31	Sungjae Im	63	736	28
32	Tommy Fleetwood	45	734	32
33	Shane Lowry	47	687	37
34	Max Homa	49	679	40
35	Adam Scott	32	670	38
36	Justin Rose	41	662	33
37	Charley Hoffman	51	653	34
38	Joaquin Niemann	52	633	35
39	Bubba Watson	44	624	36
40	Sam Burns	42	605	39
41	Ian Poulter	48	603	44
42	Tiger Woods	15	595	43
43	Talor Gooch	52	594	49
44	Russell Henley	45	590	41
45	Sergio Garcia	44	584	47
46	Marc Leishman	45	583	42
47	Gary Woodland	44	575	45
48	Kevin Na	45	574	48
49	Keegan Bradley	47	573	46
50	Alex Noren	48	566	59
51	Jason Day	41	565	51
52	Kevin Streelman	52	564	58
53	Lee Westwood	46	562	52
54	Cameron Tringale	46	556	54
55	Brendan Steele	44	554	53
56	Rickie Fowler	41	542	65
57	Victor Perez	39	539	50
58	Kevin Kisner	48	530	56
59	Brendon Todd	54	529	55
60	Joel Dahmen	49	520	60
61	Lanto Griffin	53	515	57
62	Si Woo Kim	55	514	69
63	Matthew Wolff	43	506	61
64	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	47	501	62
65	Bud Cauley	27	500	63
66	Carlos Ortiz	50	487	74
67	Matt Kuchar	46	480	64
68	Maverick McNealy	45	463	70
69	Harold Varner	50	460	68
70	Sebastian Munoz	59	459	66
71	Emiliano Grillo	51	457	67
72	Brandt Snedeker	44	455	73
73	Chris Kirk	32	453	83
74	Robert MacIntyre	44	449	76
75	Charl Schwartzel	36	446	72
76	Stewart Cink	40	445	77
77	JT Poston	53	442	71
78	Erik Van Rooyen	50	441	80
79	Matt Wallace	55	436	78
80	Adam Hadwin	45	434	79
81	Charles Howell	46	432	75
82	Francesco Molinari	25	432	81
83	Phil Mickelson	40	429	84
84	Adam Long	56	429	88
85	Matt Jones	53	423	82
86	Lucas Glover	51	419	86
87	Aaron Wise	40	417	106
88	Patton Kizzire	47	411	85
89	Zach Johnson	40	405	91
90	Cameron Davis	52	403	87
91	Mac Hughes	50	400	90
92	Dylan Frittelli	53	397	89
93	Thomas Pieters	35	396	94
94	Keith Mitchell	47	392	95
95	Richy Werenski	50	388	92
96	Rory Sabbatini	51	380	97
97	Byeong Hun An	51	378	93
98	Harry Higgs	49	377	96
99	Danny Willett	48	376	102
100	Matthew NeSmith	49	372	98
101	Cameron Champ	49	370	99
102	Tom Hoge	59	370	100
103	Wyndham Clark	51	364	101
104	Branden Grace	48	364	133
105	Kyle Stanley	48	353	105
106	Henrik Norlander	50	348	103
107	Doc Redman	49	347	108
108	Bernd Wiesberger	45	341	104
109	James Hahn	31	337	107
110	Troy Merritt	59	337	110
111	Rafa Cabrera Bello	52	335	112
112	Wesley Bryan	15	334	113
113	Doug Ghim	41	333	109
114	Ryan Moore	33	327	114
115	Scott Piercy	41	326	116
116	Denny McCarthy	54	321	111
117	KH Lee	57	320	115
118	Tom Lewis	50	316	119
119	Steve Stricker	20	316	120
120	Vaughn Taylor	48	315	134
121	Andrew Putnam	48	306	123
122	Matthias Schwab	46	304	118
123	Sepp Straka	57	304	121
124	Scott Stallings	45	302	127
125	Russell Knox	54	301	124
126	Mark Hubbard	51	301	128
127	Camilo Villegas	22	300	117
128	Lucas Herbert	32	297	167
129	Luke List	52	295	125
130	Martin Kaymer	36	295	122
131	Kurt Kitayama	41	294	126
132	Chez Reavie	52	290	130
133	Michael Thompson	43	284	129
134	Jhonattan Vegas	43	282	137
135	Patrick Rodgers	56	282	132
136	Padraig Harrington	39	280	131
137	Justin Suh	19	280	139
138	Antoine Rozner	32	279	171
139	Thomas Detry	46	279	141
140	Nate Lashley	47	277	135
141	Nick Taylor	47	274	140
142	Bo Hoag	49	270	176
143	Jason Scrivener	44	268	136
144	Erik Compton	8	267	146
145	Danny Lee	48	267	138
146	Marcus Kinhult	33	267	142
147	Brice Garnett	48	266	144
148	Andy Sullivan	44	262	145
149	CT Pan	49	261	143
150	Adam Schenk	55	259	147
151	Vincent Whaley	37	256	151
152	Ben Martin	30	256	150
153	Seamus Power	31	255	158
154	David Lipsky	25	255	157
155	Brian Stuard	56	253	149
156	Chase Seiffert	41	253	156
157	John Huh	24	253	154
158	Jeunghun Wang	23	251	155
159	Ryan Fox	35	248	159
160	Peter Malnati	51	248	148
161	Paul Waring	35	248	152
162	Martin Laird	40	247	153
163	Robby Shelton	50	246	168
164	Zac Blair	30	242	160
165	Andrew Landry	47	240	162
166	Pat Perez	46	240	161
167	Ryan Armour	48	239	163
168	Kalle Samooja	41	236	165
169	Brandon Hagy	41	233	169
170	Sam Ryder	54	232	170
171	Sung Kang	54	229	180
172	Joseph Bramlett	41	228	175
173	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	31	226	164
174	Jack Singh Brar	24	225	177
175	Bronson Burgoon	45	225	173
176	Adri Arnaus	44	225	166
177	Andrew Johnston	25	221	174
178	Sahith Theegala	8	217
179	Chesson Hadley	42	215	178
180	George Coetzee	37	214	181
181	Will Gordon	35	213	183
182	Joost Luiten	49	211	185
183	Henrik Stenson	37	210	172
184	Tyler McCumber	40	209	179
185	Chan Kim	21	209	186
186	Peter Uihlein	36	208	187
187	Mikko Korhonen	35	207	193
188	Hank Lebioda	47	207	191
189	Kramer Hickok	46	207	189
190	Tyler Duncan	60	204	184
191	Aaron Rai	41	204	182
192	Graeme McDowell	47	204	188
193	Benjamin Hebert	43	196	200
194	Jordan Smith	46	196	199
195	Sam Horsfield	39	195	195
196	Shaun Norris	30	194	190
197	Laurie Canter	28	194	192
198	Xinjun Zhang	54	194	212
199	Scott Jamieson	42	193	198
200	Guido Migliozzi	41	192	197
201	Dean Burmester	47	189	201
202	Jim Furyk	24	189	196
203	Ross Fisher	42	188	194
204	Brandon Stone	43	184	205
205	Eddie Pepperell	35	183	204
206	Jimmy Walker	42	182	320
207	Victor Dubuisson	26	179	209
208	JB Holmes	29	179	202
209	Sami Valimaki	29	178	203
210	Dawie van der Walt	9	177	210
211	Cameron Percy	40	176	211
212	Robert Streb	48	174	206
213	Renato Paratore	46	174	219
214	Hudson Swafford	33	174	207
215	Rob Oppenheim	44	173	213
216	Beau Hossler	53	171	214
217	Gavin Green	42	171	208
218	Nick Watney	40	167	215
219	Satoshi Kodaira	39	166	220
220	Roger Sloan	45	165	217
221	Boo Weekley	11	164	225
222	Richard Sterne	24	162	221
223	Romain Langasque	44	160	216
224	Calum Hill	36	160	222
225	Joachim B Hansen	45	159	218
226	Anirban Lahiri	35	157	228
227	Marcus Armitage	33	157	246
228	Rasmus Hojgaard	32	155	224
229	Ted Potter	42	154	229
230	Haotong Li	39	154	223
231	Alexander Bjork	40	153	231
232	Scott Brown	50	152	232
233	Jim Herman	43	151	278
234	Michael Gligic	42	150	235
235	Garrick Higgo	26	150	236
236	Joakim Lagergren	40	150	226
237	Ashun Wu	39	150	230
238	Justin Harding	50	149	233
239	Carl Yuan	9	148	234
240	Marc Warren	28	148	239
241	Jamie Donaldson	40	147	237
242	Fabrizio Zanotti	32	146	241
243	Wade Ormsby	34	146	227
244	Hugo Leon	16	145	238
245	Kevin Chappell	26	143	245
246	MJ Daffue	13	142	247
247	Masahiro Kawamura	51	142	244
248	John Augenstein	9	141	248
249	Matthew Southgate	47	140	271
250	Chris Paisley	43	139	240
251	Kristoffer Ventura	41	138	252
252	Jung-gon Hwang	11	138	250
253	Luke Donald	35	137	253
254	Richie Ramsay	44	137	249
255	Sean Crocker	44	136	270
256	Tim Wilkinson	35	135	259
257	Thorbjorn Olesen	21	134	243
258	Adam Svensson	14	134	242
259	Brandon Wu	15	132	255
260	David Horsey	40	132	263
261	Matthieu Pavon	47	132	262
262	Miguel Angel Jimenez	14	132	261
263	Kevin Tway	44	131	256
264	Connor Syme	34	131	272
265	Fabian Gomez	45	131	258
266	Brian Gay	48	130	251
267	Jorge Campillo	46	130	265
268	Chris Stroud	29	130	260
269	Richard Bland	31	129	268
270	JJ Spaun	43	129	266
271	Zander Lombard	46	129	254
272	Sean O’Hair	16	129	269
273	Jason Dufner	46	129	287
274	Jeff Winther	40	128	257
275	Billy Hurley	9	127	273
276	Josh Teater	35	125	267
277	Travis Smyth	10	122	281
278	Wil Besseling	31	121	289
279	Austin Cook	47	120	280
280	Takumi Kanaya	18	120	264
281	Pablo Larrazabal	43	120	275
282	Kyung-nam Kang	10	119	283
283	Grant Forrest	44	119	284
284	Sang-hyun Park	14	118	276
285	Nino Bertasio	38	117	274
286	Matthew Jordan	29	116	285
287	Joohyung Kim	9	116	288
288	Callum Shinkwin	37	116	277
289	Nicolas Colsaerts	38	116	290
290	Grayson Murray	33	115	291
291	Jazz Janewattananond	40	115	279
292	Sebastian Cappelen	39	114	298
293	DJ Trahan	40	113	292
294	Stephen Gallacher	33	112	282
295	Jack Senior	36	112	306
296	Robert Rock	30	112	296
297	Scott Harrington	47	112	297
298	Ollie Schniederjans	16	111	302
299	Akshay Bhatia	15	111	301
300	Niklas Lemke	37	111	286
301	Adrian Meronk	32	111	295
302	Roberto Castro	21	109	299
303	Wes Roach	34	109	294
304	David Hearn	44	109	300
305	Mark Anderson	33	108	304
306	Shubhankar Sharma	50	108	293
307	Hennie du Plessis	9	108	305
308	Wilco Nienaber	31	106	307
309	Seung-yul Noh	16	106	310
310	Darren Fichardt	24	105	311
311	Jayden Trey Schaper	11	105	308
312	Stephan Jaeger	17	104	312
313	Alex Cejka	19	103	313
314	John Catlin	37	103	315
315	Chris Baker	35	102	317
316	Greyson Sigg	8	100	322
317	Louis de Jager	36	100	324
318	Min Woo Lee	31	99	309
319	Shugo Imahira	26	98	318
320	Aaron Baddeley	34	98	327
321	Jamie Arnold	8	98	325
322	Steven Brown	46	98	316
323	Jacques Kruyswijk	26	97	329
324	Shawn Stefani	26	97	319
325	Sebastian Soderberg	42	96	314
326	Johannes Veerman	37	96	323
327	Edoardo Molinari	44	95	362
328	Zach Murray	16	95	333
329	Brad Kennedy	14	95	303
330	Andrea Pavan	44	95	321
331	Jaco Ahlers	8	95	332
332	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	36	94	331
333	Adrian Otaegui	48	94	330
334	Dale Whitnell	31	93	361
335	Rafael Campos	29	92	337
336	Sebastian Heisele	26	92	340
337	Scott Hend	45	90	334
338	Jonathan Byrd	28	90	338
339	Maverick Antcliff	30	90	369
340	Julian Etulain	13	89	351
341	Ben Crane	10	89	343
342	Brendan Jones	8	89	342
343	Andres Romero	20	88	336
344	Daniel van Tonder	13	88	326
345	Craig Howie	14	86	348
346	Soren Kjeldsen	41	86	345
347	Roberto Diaz	17	86	328
348	Kyung-tae Kim	11	85	350
349	Lorenzo Gagli	46	85	339
350	Alexander Levy	44	85	341
351	Cody Gribble	10	84	335
352	Ricky Barnes	23	84	353
353	Tomoharu Otsuki	23	83	347
354	Scott Vincent	33	83	349
355	Ryan Brehm	34	83	357
356	George McNeill	21	82	352
357	Francesco Laporta	30	82	346
358	Lee Hodges	10	82	359
359	Chad Campbell	15	81	358
360	James Morrison	46	80	354
361	Justin Walters	49	80	365
362	Bradley Dredge	16	79	363
363	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	23	79	356
364	Rikuya Hoshino	21	79	368
365	Zack Sucher	31	79	355
366	Maximilian Kieffer	42	78	367
367	Ryosuke Kinoshita	19	78	381
368	Anthony Quayle	12	78	370
369	Kyle Jones	13	78	360
370	Ashley Chesters	43	78	378
371	Adrien Saddier	38	77	364
372	Joey Garber	14	76	344
373	Oscar Lengden	13	76	373
374	Nacho Elvira	44	73	371
375	Alejandro Canizares	42	73	372
376	Seung-su Han	15	73	376
377	Hideto Tanihara	22	73	375
378	Oliver Bekker	8	72	380
379	Jaco van Zyl	15	72	379
380	Darius van Driel	31	71	445
381	Julien Guerrier	34	71	374
382	Alejandro Del Rey	8	71	383
383	Sang-hee Lee	11	71	385
384	Charlie Saxon	9	71	382
385	Gunn Charoenkul	15	71	366
386	Tapio Pulkkanen	45	70	398
387	John Chin	13	68	384
388	Ben Stow	17	67	391
389	Daijiro Izumida	18	67	392
390	Clement Sordet	35	67	394
391	Mikumu Horikawa	24	66	402
392	Marcel Schneider	23	66	475
393	Johnson Wagner	29	66	388
394	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	13	66	387
395	Dave Coupland	27	65	396
396	Morgan Hoffmann	10	65	401
397	Chase Wright	13	65	377
398	Dimitrios Papadatos	15	64	449
399	Andrew Dodt	8	63	399
400	Rikard Karlberg	35	63	409
More \| Less

A Look at the Memorial Tournament

June 1, 2021 Thomas Hawley Narrative

There will be another nice field on hand this weekend when the Memorial Tournament is played on the northwest rim of Columbus OH. Included in the field are seven of the Hawley Ratings top 10, 14 of the top 20, and the same totals if you use the Official World Golf Ratings as a data source.

If the question is “How many of these guys are playing well?”, the answer is “Not many.”

You probably can say Louis Oosthuizen is playing well. The 38-year-old South African, winner of the 2010 British Open, is on a string of three straight top-10s, including runner-up finishes in the PGA and Zurich. Certainly you can say that Jordan Spieth is playing well. In nine appearances going back to February, he has one win (Texas), a runner-up finish (last week in the Schwab), two thirds (Masters and Pebble Beach), and a fourth (Palmer). Spieth also has another top-10, a top-20, and two forgettable made cuts. And Collin Morikawa, a notable player at only 25 years old, has been up and down, but mostly up. Playing a fairly packed schedule of 12 appearances so far this year, he won the WGC Mexico event and has four other top-10s and two other top-20s.

Many of the other big names from the top of the ranking lists are wondering where their games went.

Jon Rahm, the defending champion, the computer selection in this event, and the Hawley Ratings no. 1 for most of the last six months, has had three unimpressive outings this year, missing one cut and finishing outside the top 30 in two other events. His Hawley Rating is down about 10 percent since the new year. Bottom line, though, give the big guy credit; he’s been best in the biggest events, in the top 10 in both majors plus TPC.

The second biggest name, Rory McIlroy, won the Wells Fargo and had back-to-back top-10s in late winter. He’s also missed three cuts going back to February and has two other finishes outside the top 30.

Justin Thomas? Hasn’t been in the top 20 in five events since winning TPC in mid-March. Bryson DeChambeau? Since winning the Palmer the first weekend in March, the Mr. Universe of the PGA Tour and 2018 winner of this event has two top-10s and four finishes outside the top 30.

The Muirfield Village course will have a new look for this event. Since last July, all 18 greens and bunkers have been rebuilt as the second element of a two-phase project. Most of the green have been re-contoured. One hole, no. 5, has an entirely new layout, including an expanded landing area, and it will play as a par-four for the tournament. The prior design of the hole didn’t cut it with Jack Nicklaus, course designer and club founder, because, he said, “It’s the easiest hole on the golf course.”

Players with better rankings in shots gained in approach, driving distance, driving accuracy, and sand saves, in that order, fared well in this event in Muirfield Village’s previous design. Based on today’s stat sheets, the players best suited to score on the course are Morikawa and Keegan Bradley. Others whose Hawley course fit rankings are within a stroke of Morikawa include, in order, Xander Schauffele, Corey Conners, Viktor Hovland, DeChambeau, McIlroy, Russell Henley, Doug Ghim, Emiliano Grillo, Rahm, Will Zalatoris, and Matthew NeSmith.

On the plus side, here are a few guys who would seem to have a chance, in ratings order:

Matthew Fitzpatrick, rated 10th, has four top-10s in 11 appearances this year and is in the top 5 percent of all U.S./ Euro pros in driving accuracy.
Viktor Hovland, 19th, 24-year-old from Norway is a good fit for the course as noted above, was great in February (three straight top-10s) but has been just so-so since then.
Corey Conners, 23rd, good fit for the course as noted above, has been out of the top 20 only once in eight events since March and has four top-10s in that span (third at Palmer was best).
Cameron Smith, 25th, had back-to-back top-10s in April followed by the co-win in the Zurich; was just above the cut line in the PGA in his only start since then.
Shane Lowry, 37th, was in the top 10 in two of his last three starts, including fourth in the PGA.
Sam Burns, 39th, has had huge up-and-down swings: third in the Genesis, then three straight missed cuts; three straight top-10s, including the Valspar win, followed by a missed cut in the PGA.
Keegan Bradley, 46th, has three straight top-20s, including seventh at the Zurich.
Matt Kuchar, 64th, won this event in 2013 and has two top-10s and two top-20s in it since then, along with a 2019 missed cut.
Troy Merritt, 110th, a 35-year-old Minnesota native, has missed the cut half the time in 2021 but came out of nowhere with back-to-back top-10s in the Nelson and Schwab.

Memorial Tournament

May 31, 2021 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Jon Rahm

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Jon Rahm	28.3	WD
2	Xander Schauffele	32.4	11
3	Justin Thomas	33.1	42
4	Jordan Spieth	33.7	18
5	Patrick Cantlay	35.1	1
6	Rory McIlroy	39.1	18
7	Bryson DeChambeau	39.4	18
8	Tony Finau	40.2	32
9	Louis Oosthuizen	40.5	18
10	Patrick Reed	41.3	5
11	Collin Morikawa	41.5	2
12	Hideki Matsuyama	41.9	62
13	Matthew Fitzpatrick	43.1	72
14	Cameron Smith	43.9	72
15	Viktor Hovland	45.3	47
16	Corey Conners	46.9	53
17	Billy Horschel	47.9	67
18	Keegan Bradley	48.9	98
19	Marc Leishman	48.9	57
20	Charley Hoffman	49.1	57
21	Will Zalatoris	49.7	DNP
22	Joaquin Niemann	50.9	92
23	Bubba Watson	51.0	WD
24	Scottie Scheffler	51.4	3
25	Kevin Streelman	51.9	13
26	Rickie Fowler	52.5	11
27	Sam Burns	52.7	50
28	Shane Lowry	53.0	6
29	Matt Kuchar	53.8	WD
30	Emiliano Grillo	54.5	92
31	Gary Woodland	55.1	82
32	Sungjae Im	55.9	72
33	Adam Scott	56.0	16
34	Stewart Cink	57.5	47
35	Victor Perez	58.2	98
36	Russell Henley	58.6	82
37	Max Homa	58.9	6
38	Jason Day	59.1	DNP
39	Cameron Tringale	59.5	26
40	Talor Gooch	59.5	18
41	Charl Schwartzel	59.6	53
42	Kevin Na	60.0	DNP
43	Patton Kizzire	60.3	92
44	Brendan Steele	60.5	37
45	Brendon Todd	61.6	53
46	Brandt Snedeker	62.2	DNP
47	Troy Merritt	62.4	50
48	Matt Wallace	62.4	72
49	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	62.6	37
50	Alex Noren	62.7	13
51	Si Woo Kim	63.4	9
52	Byeong Hun An	63.6	113
53	Lanto Griffin	63.7	72
54	Aaron Wise	63.9	9
55	Matt Jones	64.0	92
56	Doug Ghim	64.3	101
57	Jason Dufner	64.3	37
58	Lucas Glover	64.5	37
59	Chris Kirk	64.8	26
60	Sebastian Munoz	64.9	101
61	Carlos Ortiz	65.1	16
62	Adam Hadwin	65.1	72
63	Charles Howell	65.1	92
64	Joel Dahmen	65.5	32
65	Harold Varner	65.7	47
66	Keith Mitchell	65.9	DNP
67	Cameron Davis	66.3	107
68	Russell Knox	66.4	57
69	Camilo Villegas	66.5	82
70	Richy Werenski	66.6	101
71	Danny Willett	67.0	26
72	Harry Higgs	67.0	68
73	Wyndham Clark	67.2	105
74	Matthew NeSmith	67.2	82
75	KH Lee	67.3	65
76	JT Poston	67.7	65
77	Luke List	67.8	82
78	Adam Long	68.1	26
79	Henrik Norlander	68.2	98
80	Mac Hughes	68.5	113
81	Doc Redman	68.6	42
82	CT Pan	68.6	57
83	James Hahn	68.6	72
84	Patrick Rodgers	68.7	117
85	Cameron Champ	68.7	WD
86	Padraig Harrington	68.7	115
87	Pat Perez	68.8	DNP
88	Dylan Frittelli	69.1	82
89	Michael Thompson	69.2	64
90	Rafa Cabrera Bello	69.3	37
91	Tom Hoge	69.4	107
92	Denny McCarthy	69.6	82
93	Sepp Straka	70.0	107
94	Martin Laird	70.2	53
95	Andrew Putnam	70.6	DNP
96	Branden Grace	70.6	4
97	Brian Stuard	70.7	DNP
98	Vaughn Taylor	71.0	18
99	Danny Lee	71.0	115
100	Nate Lashley	71.1	DNP
101	Nick Taylor	71.4	42
102	Tyler McCumber	71.5	72
103	Chez Reavie	71.5	DNP
104	Antoine Rozner	71.6	18
105	Tyler Duncan	71.9	107
106	Mark Hubbard	72.0	42
107	Peter Malnati	72.4	105
108	Brandon Hagy	72.4	50
109	Bo Hoag	73.0	13
110	Robert Streb	73.3	101
111	Lucas Herbert	73.6	18
112	Robby Shelton	73.9	32
113	William McGirt	74.2	82
114	JB Holmes	74.3	WD
115	Hudson Swafford	74.3	62
116	Sung Kang	74.7	32
117	Haotong Li	74.9	107
118	Xinjun Zhang	75.0	26
119	Vijay Singh	75.1	DNP
120	Sahith Theegala	75.2	32
121	Takumi Kanaya	75.3	92
122	Jim Herman	75.6	26
123	David Lingmerth	75.8	82
124	KJ Choi	75.9	72
125	Brian Gay	76.1	82
126	Jamie Lovemark	76.3	117
127	Chase Johnson	76.9	72
128	Joe Long	76.9	107
129	Ty Strafaci	76.9	57
	Jimmy Walker	late entry	6
	Kyle Stanley	late entry	45
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The accuracy number for these picks is 24. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

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