A Look at the Farmers Insurance Open

January 26, 2021 Thomas Hawley

The Farmers Insurance Open in La Jolla CA, on the coast a bit north of San Diego, draws its usual solid field this week. Included are four of the Hawley Ratings top 10 – no. 1 Jon Rahm, no. 2 Rory McIlroy, no. 6 Xander Schauffele, and no. 9 Hideki Matsuyama. Also present are six more from the top 20 and 17 more of the top 50. Fourteen entrants have won majors, from Phil Mickelson winning the 2004 Masters to Brooks Koepka in the 2019 PGA and Gary Woodland in the 2019 U.S. Open.

You have to go quite a way back to find any blemish in Rahm’s play. Start with 14 straight made cuts. Back in early August he finished outside the top 50 in the WGC-FedEx, and since then he has six top-10s, two in the top 20, and a 23rd in the U.S. Open. Last time out he was seventh in the Champions. Hard to say if his withdrawal from last week’s AmEx due to a workout “tweak” is significant. Also a slight negative, his Champions finish was his only appearance in the last 11 weeks. He has the 2017 win in this event.

McIlroy, who has slid down from a long perch as the world’s no. 1-ranked player with a stretch of OK but not great results over several months, is another guy who took plenty of time to refresh. He was third in last week’s Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship after a break of nine weeks. McIlroy had an amazing streak of seven straight top-five finishes from late 2019 through the spring of 2020. In the eight months since then, he’s got three top-10s but has been outside the top 30 more than half the time. He leads the Tour with 23 straight made cuts.

Let’s consider three players who have been generally active and successful in the last few months. Taking them in world ranking order:

  • Harris English – Had a streak of four straight top-10s, including two wins, ended when he was outside the top 30 in the Sony. He missed the cut here the last two years but has multiple Torrey Pines top-10s before that.
  • Viktor Hovland has at least one appearance every month since last May. December was especially good as he won at Mayakoba and finished third in the Euro Tour season-ending event in Dubai. He finished near the bottom at the Champions. Bet you didn’t know that he’s made the cut 18 times in a row.
  • Corey Conners – Played regularly thru the fall season, with 10th-place finishes in the RSM and Masters, but this is his first appearance of 2020.

Schauffele’s past two appearances were in the Champions and Masters, a la Rahm. Although second on the Tour with 19 straight made cuts, the San Diego native has a surprisingly bad record in this event – four missed cuts and a 25th place finish in the last five years.

Matsuyama is appearing for the third time in 2021. He’s been just so-so going back to October, with one top-10 and one top-20 in seven tries. He plays this event every year and has two top-10s, two top-20s, and four mediocre finishes in the last eight years.

Along the stretch of coastline where the two Torrey Pines courses are located, there is a series of peninsulas that are maybe a half-mile apart and extend several hundred yards out over the beach. The South course, used for the tournament, winds its way in and out of these scenic features of the terrain. It can be windy, and unfortunately Monday’s pro-am was cancelled and the course was closed due to a steady 30 mph wind off the Pacific, with gusts to 50 mph. Per the San Diego Union-Tribune, by mid-afternoon the gusts reached 60 mph and didn’t let up. It is supposed to be breezy but nothing like that for the event, with temperatures topping out in the low 60s and rain possible Friday.

The Hawley course fit statistics indicate that a nicely rounded set of skills ought to work here – driving distance, putting, and greens in regulation are the three statistics that have correlated most closely with success here over the past eight years. The top two players in the field as determined by how closely their statistical profiles align with those statistics are J.B. Holmes and Justin Suh. Holmes is in the top 5 percent of all PGA/ Euro players in putting, top 10 percent in greens in regulation, and top 25 percent in driving. Suh, 23, is in the top 1 percent in GIR, top 5 percent in putting, and top half in driving. He’s a native of San Jose who played at USC and has a couple of years of minor league tour experiences.

Others whose stat profiles look good are Rahm and John Huh, and then Tony Finau, Schauffele, McIlroy, Will Zalatoris, Sam Burns, and Scottie Scheffler.

The field includes mini-tour veteran Kamaiu Johnson, from Talahassee FL, who is making his PGA Tour debut appearance. As a 14-year-old in 2007, he was swinging a stick outside a local course when his fluid motion intrigued the course manager, who asked him about playing golf. All these years later, after untold mini-tour stops, he makes his Tour debut. There’s a great story about it at https://www.golfdigest.com/story/kamaiu-johnson-pga-tour-farmers-insurance-open-apga.

Farmers Insurance Open

January 25, 2021 Thomas Hawley ,

Jon Rahm
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Jon Rahm 14.0 7
2 Rory McIlroy 25.8 16
3 Xander Schauffele 30.4 2
4 Harris English 38.3 140
5 Tony Finau 39.5 2
6 Hideki Matsuyama 40.1 53
7 Patrick Reed 41.6 1
8 Viktor Hovland 46.5 2
9 Ryan Palmer 49.5 2
10 Brooks Koepka 50.1 124
11 Jason Day 50.3 124
12 Scottie Scheffler 51.1 82
13 Billy Horschel 51.3 97
14 Adam Scott 51.6 10
15 Corey Conners 53.0 37
16 Sungjae Im 53.1 32
17 Bubba Watson 53.9 115
18 Louis Oosthuizen 54.6 29
19 Joel Dahmen 57.9 132
20 Cameron Smith 58.6 97
21 Alex Noren 58.7 37
22 Charles Howell 58.8 115
23 Gary Woodland 59.5 48
24 Si Woo Kim 59.5 82
25 Marc Leishman 59.5 18
26 Talor Gooch 59.8 48
27 Matthew Wolff 60.0 155
28 Rory Sabbatini 60.4 10
29 Rickie Fowler 60.5 53
30 Francesco Molinari 60.5 10
31 Carlos Ortiz 60.5 29
32 Lanto Griffin 60.6 7
33 Cameron Tringale 60.6 18
34 Jason Kokrak 60.7 29
35 Mac Hughes 61.6 82
36 Charley Hoffman 61.9 81
37 Byeong Hun An 62.0 75
38 Sam Burns 62.3 18
39 Erik Van Rooyen 62.6 97
40 Keegan Bradley 62.7 DNP
41 Cameron Davis 62.9 32
42 Emiliano Grillo 62.9 115
43 Dylan Frittelli 63.3 53
44 Ryan Moore 63.5 82
45 Maverick McNealy 63.5 124
46 Brandt Snedeker 63.7 32
47 Lucas Glover 63.9 42
48 Max Homa 64.0 18
49 John Huh 64.4 65
50 Jordan Spieth 64.5 82
51 Doc Redman 64.7 82
52 Cameron Champ 64.8 115
53 Kevin Streelman 64.8 37
54 Harold Varner 65.0 140
55 Matt Jones 65.2 48
56 Adam Hadwin 66.1 18
57 Will Zalatoris 66.1 7
58 Tom Hoge 66.3 124
59 Wyndham Clark 66.5 32
60 Russell Knox 66.5 97
61 Sepp Straka 66.8 32
62 James Hahn 66.8 132
63 Doug Ghim 66.9 37
64 Patrick Rodgers 66.9 105
65 Henrik Norlander 67.3 2
66 Scott Piercy 67.3 DNP
67 JT Poston 67.4 18
68 JB Holmes 67.5 105
69 Matthew NeSmith 67.8 48
70 Peter Malnati 67.8 10
71 Harry Higgs 68.1 65
72 Mark Hubbard 68.2 DNP
73 Kyle Stanley 68.2 18
74 Richy Werenski 68.5 60
75 Martin Laird 68.5 82
76 Scott Stallings 68.6 82
77 Jhonattan Vegas 68.6 115
78 Kramer Hickok 68.7 105
79 Chesson Hadley 68.8 97
80 Adam Schenk 68.8 105
81 Denny McCarthy 69.1 73
82 Pat Perez 69.1 69
83 Tom Lewis 69.2 42
84 Bo Hoag 69.4 18
85 Sung Kang 69.5 DNP
86 Robert Streb 69.6 82
87 Keith Mitchell 69.9 124
88 Danny Lee 69.9 65
89 Luke List 70.0 10
90 Phil Mickelson 70.1 53
91 Robby Shelton 70.1 16
92 KH Lee 70.3 105
93 Branden Grace 70.3 DNP
94 Charl Schwartzel 70.4 18
95 Brian Stuard 70.4 82
96 Justin Suh 70.4 37
97 Troy Merritt 70.5 72
98 Tyler Duncan 70.6 97
99 Camilo Villegas 70.6 156
100 Austin Cook 71.1 DNP
101 Chase Seiffert 71.2 60
102 Xinjun Zhang 71.2 60
103 Nick Watney 71.5 140
104 Bronson Burgoon 71.7 42
105 Roger Sloan 71.7 53
106 Steve Stricker 71.8 60
107 Beau Hossler 71.8 82
108 Scott Brown 71.9 82
109 Seamus Power 72.2 149
110 Kevin Tway 72.2 132
111 Kristoffer Ventura 72.3 115
112 Cameron Percy 72.4 48
113 Hank Lebioda 72.8 82
114 Will Gordon 72.8 42
115 Tyler McCumber 72.9 75
116 Jimmy Walker 73.0 105
117 Anirban Lahiri 73.1 105
118 JJ Spaun 73.1 124
119 Vincent Whaley 73.3 149
120 Sam Ryder 73.4 10
121 Rob Oppenheim 73.4 145
122 Michael Gligic 73.4 151
123 Brandon Hagy 73.5 42
124 KJ Choi 73.7 69
125 Peter Uihlein 73.7 DNP
126 Jason Dufner 73.8 77
127 Joseph Bramlett 73.8 18
128 Aaron Baddeley 73.9 124
129 Fabian Gomez 73.9 80
130 David Hearn 74.0 145
131 Chris Baker 74.1 115
132 Grayson Murray 74.2 79
133 Ryan Brehm 74.2 145
134 Kelly Kraft 74.3 60
135 Bill Haas 74.4 42
136 Chris Stroud 74.5 DNP
137 Scott Harrington 74.6 124
138 Mark Anderson 74.7 132
139 Sebastian Cappelen 74.7 132
140 Tim Wilkinson 74.9 73
141 Ted Potter 75.0 18
142 Matt Every 75.1 105
143 Jim Knous 75.3 140
144 Rhein Gibson 75.7 53
145 Satoshi Kodaira 75.7 82
146 Jamie Lovemark 75.9 132
147 Ben Taylor 76.2 115
148 Rafael Campos 76.4 97
149 Nelson Ledesma 76.5 140
150 Michael Gellerman 76.7 105
151 Seung-yul Noh 77.0 82
152 Andy Ogletree 77.0 132
153 Hunter Mahan 77.2 115
154 Martin Trainer 77.2 154
155 John Senden 77.3 153
156 Michael Kim 77.5 53
157 Kevin Stadler 77.7 77
158 Kamaiu Johnson 82.2 DNP
159 Kyle Mendoza 82.2 65
160 Ty Strafaci 82.2 148
Tain Lee late entry 70
Jared du Toit late entry 103
Cameron Young late entry 114
Willie Mack late entry 139
Andres Gonzales late entry 152
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 151. The average is 143. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Omega Dubai Desert Classic

January 25, 2021 Thomas Hawley ,
Tyrrell Hatton
Tyrrell Hatton
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Tyrrell Hatton 30.9 22
2 Tommy Fleetwood 44.1 17
3 Collin Morikawa 45.1 68
4 Sergio Garcia 46.5 6
5 Matthew Fitzpatrick 49.9 17
6 Ian Poulter 51.6 72
7 Paul Casey 54.4 1
8 Shane Lowry 56.8 27
9 Henrik Stenson 58.8 119
10 Justin Rose 58.9 35
11 Martin Kaymer 60.1 44
12 Lee Westwood 60.2 17
13 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 60.6 22
14 Matt Wallace 61.1 51
15 Lucas Herbert 61.2 22
16 Bernd Wiesberger 61.3 6
17 Thomas Pieters 61.7 27
18 Victor Perez 62.7 72
19 Robert MacIntyre 63.3 3
20 Andy Sullivan 64.2 48
21 Andrew Johnston 64.2 72
22 Jason Scrivener 64.7 41
23 Danny Willett 65.2 44
24 Thomas Detry 65.5 9
25 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 65.5 122
26 Adri Arnaus 65.9 9
27 Rafa Cabrera Bello 66.7 35
28 Matthias Schwab 67.2 9
29 David Lipsky 67.2 35
30 Haotong Li 67.4 111
31 Aaron Rai 67.4 101
32 Thorbjorn Olesen 67.6 DNP
33 Paul Waring 67.8 89
34 Romain Langasque 68.0 89
35 Jordan Smith 68.1 60
36 Kurt Kitayama 68.1 20
37 George Coetzee 68.2 60
38 Dean Burmester 68.9 35
39 Gavin Green 68.9 71
40 Marcus Kinhult 69.0 60
41 Kalle Samooja 69.1 4
42 Scott Jamieson 69.2 27
43 Chris Paisley 69.2 82
44 Mikko Korhonen 69.3 35
45 Alexander Bjork 69.6 35
46 Ryan Fox 69.9 41
47 Eddie Pepperell 69.9 89
48 Joost Luiten 70.0 44
49 Benjamin Hebert 70.1 51
50 Ross Fisher 70.5 60
51 Antoine Rozner 70.6 9
52 Sami Valimaki 70.6 51
53 Victor Dubuisson 70.7 72
54 Stephen Gallacher 70.9 89
55 Richie Ramsay 70.9 68
56 Callum Shinkwin 71.0 105
57 Joakim Lagergren 71.0 111
58 Matthew Southgate 71.2 105
59 Justin Harding 71.3 27
60 Graeme McDowell 71.3 105
61 Adrian Otaegui 71.4 51
62 Joachim B Hansen 71.4 89
63 Ashun Wu 71.6 9
64 Jorge Campillo 71.7 119
65 Nacho Elvira 71.8 51
66 Brandon Stone 71.8 2
67 Fabrizio Zanotti 71.8 27
68 Renato Paratore 71.8 67
69 Sean Crocker 71.8 51
70 Padraig Harrington 71.9 6
71 Laurie Canter 71.9 4
72 Marc Warren 71.9 DNP
73 Wade Ormsby 72.0 22
74 Matthieu Pavon 72.0 101
75 Masahiro Kawamura 72.2 82
76 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 72.3 60
77 Nino Bertasio 72.5 41
78 Robert Rock 72.5 WD
79 Jamie Donaldson 72.6 DNP
80 David Horsey 72.7 89
81 Wilco Nienaber 72.8 105
82 Nicolas Colsaerts 72.8 27
83 Scott Hend 73.0 72
84 Alexander Levy 73.2 9
85 Zander Lombard 73.2 89
86 Connor Syme 73.2 111
87 Jazz Janewattananond 73.4 DNP
88 Pablo Larrazabal 73.5 51
89 Rasmus Hojgaard 73.5 9
90 Guido Migliozzi 73.6 44
91 Jeff Winther 73.7 27
92 Sebastian Soderberg 73.8 101
93 Maximilian Kieffer 73.9 111
94 Sebastian Heisele 73.9 72
95 Richard Sterne 74.0 20
96 James Morrison 74.0 89
97 Grant Forrest 74.0 27
98 Andrea Pavan 74.1 132
99 Tapio Pulkkanen 74.2 89
100 John Catlin 74.2 72
101 Francesco Laporta 74.4 DNP
102 Shubhankar Sharma 74.4 22
103 Garrick Higgo 74.4 122
104 Steven Brown 74.5 48
105 Edoardo Molinari 74.6 66
106 Ashley Chesters 74.6 51
107 Takumi Kanaya 74.7 9
108 Lorenzo Gagli 74.7 82
109 Julien Guerrier 74.8 89
110 Min Woo Lee 75.1 111
111 Alvaro Quiros 75.3 119
112 Justin Walters 75.3 59
113 Miguel Angel Jimenez 75.3 68
114 Julian Suri 75.4 111
115 Soren Kjeldsen 75.4 82
116 Haydn Porteous 75.6 89
117 Oliver Wilson 75.9 128
118 Oliver Fisher 76.1 72
119 David Drysdale 76.2 89
120 Joel Stalter 76.6 DNP
121 Richard McEvoy 76.7 105
122 Raphael Jacquelin 76.7 122
123 David Law 76.8 72
124 Robert Karlsson 76.9 82
125 Thomas Bjorn 76.9 111
126 Ross McGowan 76.9 122
127 David Howell 77.2 122
128 Kristoffer Broberg 77.3 82
129 Ernie Els 78.3 111
130 Thomas Aiken 79.0 DNP
131 Gaganjeet Bhullar 80.0 101
132 Chris Wood 81.3 60
133 Jayden Trey Schaper 81.5 48
134 Invite 82.2 DNP
135 Karim El Hali 82.2 130
136 Shergo Al Kurdi 82.2 129
137 Eduard Rousaud 82.2 82
138 David Langley 82.2 72
139 David Hague 82.2 105
140 Curtis Knipes 82.2 122
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 34. The average is 143. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Jan. 24, 2021)

January 25, 2021 Thomas Hawley

Jon Rahm again has taken the world no. 1 spot after being idle the prior week.
# Thru Jan. 24, 2021 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Jon Rahm 42 1573 2
2 Rory McIlroy 41 1567 1
3 Justin Thomas 43 1409 3
4 Dustin Johnson 37 1368 4
5 Webb Simpson 40 1341 5
6 Xander Schauffele 41 1333 6
7 Patrick Cantlay 38 1243 7
8 Bryson DeChambeau 43 1185 8
9 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1097 9
10 Tyrrell Hatton 42 1060 11
11 Patrick Reed 56 1044 10
12 Daniel Berger 42 969 14
13 Tony Finau 53 963 15
14 Adam Scott 33 958 13
15 Brooks Koepka 38 926 12
16 Tommy Fleetwood 47 925 16
17 Collin Morikawa 39 921 17
18 Harris English 51 901 19
19 Louis Oosthuizen 44 876 20
20 Matthew Fitzpatrick 49 861 18
21 Viktor Hovland 41 849 21
22 Billy Horschel 51 848 22
23 Abraham Ancer 53 837 26
24 Paul Casey 43 835 23
25 Sungjae Im 64 824 25
26 Ryan Palmer 42 815 24
27 Kevin Kisner 51 768 29
28 Scottie Scheffler 38 757 28
29 Justin Rose 41 754 27
30 Jason Kokrak 47 747 30
31 Tiger Woods 23 736 31
32 Jason Day 41 726 32
33 Joaquin Niemann 53 721 34
34 Ian Poulter 45 690 33
35 Byeong Hun An 49 690 41
36 Matthew Wolff 36 683 35
37 Corey Conners 53 671 40
38 Bubba Watson 43 667 39
39 Joel Dahmen 50 665 36
40 Gary Woodland 42 659 42
41 Kevin Na 45 652 37
42 Shane Lowry 46 646 38
43 Rickie Fowler 40 642 43
44 Rory Sabbatini 52 639 45
45 Brian Harman 54 631 53
46 Francesco Molinari 27 620 58
47 Russell Henley 46 620 44
48 Cameron Smith 47 612 49
49 Jordan Spieth 43 607 50
50 Erik Van Rooyen 49 603 47
51 Alex Noren 47 600 48
52 Matt Kuchar 46 597 51
53 Marc Leishman 44 593 54
54 Lanto Griffin 40 588 52
55 Ryan Moore 32 585 46
56 Sergio Garcia 45 583 55
57 Brandt Snedeker 44 558 56
58 Cameron Tringale 42 551 57
59 Sebastian Munoz 55 543 61
60 Brendon Todd 49 535 63
61 Lucas Glover 49 533 59
62 Dylan Frittelli 51 530 66
63 Henrik Stenson 38 524 60
64 Adam Long 54 522 62
65 Bud Cauley 39 521 71
66 Mac Hughes 49 519 70
67 Talor Gooch 44 518 77
68 Will Zalatoris 13 518 74
69 JT Poston 53 513 64
70 Harold Varner 48 511 76
71 Lee Westwood 39 509 65
72 Sam Burns 42 504 67
73 Charles Howell 48 503 68
74 Si Woo Kim 54 502 95
75 Victor Perez 36 501 73
76 Rafa Cabrera Bello 52 499 83
77 Doc Redman 37 497 69
78 Bernd Wiesberger 42 497 80
79 Matt Wallace 52 496 82
80 Kevin Streelman 50 494 72
81 Carlos Ortiz 50 494 81
82 Chez Reavie 53 488 75
83 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 46 486 88
84 Robert MacIntyre 42 484 86
85 Brendan Steele 43 483 92
86 Zach Johnson 40 482 79
87 Max Homa 46 477 94
88 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 29 476 78
89 Danny Willett 48 474 90
90 Adam Hadwin 43 472 87
91 Cameron Champ 47 467 84
92 Wyndham Clark 49 455 91
93 Scott Piercy 43 455 85
94 Charley Hoffman 49 452 89
95 James Hahn 20 450 97
96 Vaughn Taylor 47 447 93
97 Maverick McNealy 34 435 96
98 Andrew Johnston 21 429 100
99 Martin Kaymer 41 428 98
100 Thomas Pieters 36 423 99
101 Cameron Davis 50 420 122
102 Matt Jones 52 407 111
103 Mark Hubbard 38 406 101
104 Keegan Bradley 49 404 102
105 Russell Knox 51 403 116
106 Tom Hoge 58 402 105
107 Harry Higgs 35 402 109
108 Andrew Putnam 46 401 114
109 Sepp Straka 54 401 103
110 Denny McCarthy 52 399 104
111 Emiliano Grillo 48 399 107
112 Peter Malnati 49 394 106
113 Tom Lewis 43 385 108
114 Jonas Blixt 18 385 113
115 Matthias Schwab 44 384 118
116 Paul Waring 34 383 110
117 Wesley Bryan 9 383 117
118 Matthew NeSmith 35 381 112
119 Henrik Norlander 36 379 127
120 John Huh 20 376 137
121 Danny Lee 49 375 115
122 Jim Furyk 33 369 119
123 Michael Thompson 44 366 150
124 Brian Stuard 54 365 120
125 Nick Taylor 47 358 123
126 Sung Kang 52 356 121
127 Stewart Cink 36 356 124
128 Kurt Kitayama 39 351 125
129 Andy Sullivan 41 347 128
130 Troy Merritt 50 335 126
131 Jhonattan Vegas 42 332 132
132 Robby Shelton 36 332 129
133 Marcus Kinhult 38 331 130
134 Graeme McDowell 49 327 133
135 Patrick Rodgers 46 326 134
136 Aaron Wise 42 325 131
137 Martin Laird 39 325 135
138 Chris Kirk 28 323 164
139 Patton Kizzire 46 323 141
140 Kyle Stanley 48 323 147
141 Keith Mitchell 48 323 145
142 Richy Werenski 49 322 155
143 Brice Garnett 48 320 140
144 Thomas Detry 45 320 139
145 Pat Perez 41 320 138
146 Chesson Hadley 45 319 136
147 Adam Schenk 56 318 148
148 Andrew Landry 48 316 142
149 JB Holmes 30 313 152
150 Charl Schwartzel 31 313 143
151 Ryan Armour 51 313 158
152 Nate Lashley 47 311 146
153 Doug Ghim 31 310 189
154 Lucas Herbert 32 308 156
155 Eddie Pepperell 36 307 144
156 Xinjun Zhang 38 304 151
157 Phil Mickelson 40 304 149
158 Luke List 48 296 162
159 Nick Watney 43 293 153
160 CT Pan 49 291 154
161 Adri Arnaus 44 290 168
162 Benjamin Hebert 41 288 166
163 Scott Stallings 46 284 157
164 KH Lee 57 284 163
165 Romain Langasque 40 281 174
166 Victor Dubuisson 25 274 175
167 Will Gordon 22 272 159
168 Haotong Li 42 270 160
169 Aaron Rai 41 267 179
170 Gavin Green 42 265 165
171 Tyler Duncan 58 265 169
172 Joost Luiten 46 264 172
173 Austin Cook 46 262 185
174 Brian Gay 49 261 167
175 Robert Streb 47 261 183
176 Beau Hossler 52 256 177
177 Camilo Villegas 11 255 161
178 George Coetzee 39 255 202
179 Kevin Tway 48 255 176
180 David Lipsky 31 255 219
181 Roger Sloan 47 255 184
182 Kalle Samooja 40 252 178
183 Jordan Smith 43 252 182
184 Joakim Lagergren 36 250 180
185 Sami Valimaki 21 250 173
186 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 38 249 171
187 Seamus Power 37 249 186
188 Jason Scrivener 44 247 210
189 Branden Grace 51 246 188
190 Justin Suh 16 244 191
191 Chase Seiffert 30 244 231
192 Bronson Burgoon 42 243 196
193 Kramer Hickok 46 243 205
194 Zac Blair 32 241 197
195 Shawn Stefani 33 240 190
196 Scott Jamieson 39 239 204
197 Scott Brown 50 239 187
198 Bo Hoag 35 239 213
199 Steve Stricker 19 236 181
200 Ross Fisher 39 230 195
201 Ryan Fox 40 230 192
202 Hudson Swafford 33 229 194
203 Cameron Percy 28 228 193
204 Hank Lebioda 48 224 198
205 Jeunghun Wang 33 222 206
206 Andrea Pavan 46 222 200
207 Jorge Campillo 45 220 201
208 Richie Ramsay 42 220 203
209 Kristoffer Ventura 32 219 199
210 Mikko Korhonen 35 216 235
211 Sam Horsfield 40 213 209
212 Stephan Jaeger 25 211 211
213 Renato Paratore 47 208 207
214 Joachim B Hansen 44 207 208
215 Tyler McCumber 30 205 221
216 Sam Ryder 48 204 215
217 Jim Knous 14 203 170
218 Josh Teater 39 203 223
219 Roberto Castro 27 203 216
220 Matthew Jordan 25 202 225
221 Wes Roach 36 202 220
222 Richard Sterne 25 202 241
223 Wade Ormsby 36 201 260
224 Shaun Norris 32 200 230
225 Matthew Southgate 43 200 227
226 Zander Lombard 43 199 214
227 Joey Garber 23 198 228
228 Justin Harding 51 198 212
229 Thorbjorn Olesen 25 197 229
230 Antoine Rozner 26 197 264
231 Alex Prugh 24 197 232
232 Padraig Harrington 35 196 217
233 Fabian Gomez 46 194 222
234 Guido Migliozzi 42 194 226
235 Jason Dufner 44 194 218
236 Miguel Angel Jimenez 12 193 237
237 Roberto Diaz 27 192 234
238 Zack Sucher 29 190 238
239 Laurie Canter 23 190 224
240 Adam Svensson 24 189 245
241 Jimmy Walker 41 188 233
242 Masahiro Kawamura 50 187 236
243 Rob Oppenheim 35 187 244
244 Peter Uihlein 43 185 246
245 Dean Burmester 47 185 240
246 Hugo Leon 26 184 249
247 Chris Paisley 41 184 291
248 Jack Singh Brar 33 183 250
249 Callum Shinkwin 38 182 251
250 Joseph Bramlett 31 182 242
251 David Hearn 42 181 239
252 Michael Gligic 31 180 243
253 Sebastian Soderberg 41 177 247
254 DJ Trahan 39 175 257
255 Billy Hurley 17 175 255
256 MJ Daffue 11 174 258
257 Dawie van der Walt 10 174 267
258 Nino Bertasio 35 172 266
259 Sang-hyun Park 18 172 261
260 Rasmus Hojgaard 21 171 286
261 Brandon Stone 42 171 256
262 Jazz Janewattananond 39 170 280
263 Robert Rock 33 169 252
264 Fabrizio Zanotti 30 169 326
265 Vincent Whaley 25 169 253
266 Aaron Baddeley 38 168 254
267 Brandon Hagy 34 166 262
268 Jim Herman 41 165 265
269 Jamie Donaldson 36 165 263
270 Brandon Wu 13 165 276
271 Scott Harrington 34 162 269
272 David Horsey 39 160 271
273 Chris Stroud 41 159 259
274 Lucas Bjerregaard 44 159 272
275 Ben Martin 22 159 275
276 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 22 159 284
277 Anirban Lahiri 39 159 270
278 George McNeill 22 158 287
279 Alexander Bjork 38 157 282
280 JJ Spaun 44 157 273
281 Curtis Luck 23 157 281
282 Jeff Winther 39 155 279
283 Seung-yul Noh 11 155 248
284 Sean Crocker 41 155 278
285 Marcus Armitage 24 155 283
286 Trey Mullinax 19 154 268
287 Pablo Larrazabal 43 154 285
288 Jonathan Byrd 32 153 288
289 Matt Every 41 152 277
290 Grant Forrest 43 149 292
291 Kelly Kraft 30 149 274
292 Marc Warren 32 148 356
293 Edoardo Molinari 40 147 289
294 Brad Kennedy 15 146 299
295 Sam Saunders 24 146 296
296 Shubhankar Sharma 47 146 295
297 Garrick Higgo 16 142 290
298 Luke Donald 34 142 294
299 Francesco Laporta 20 142 293
300 Carl Yuan 9 141 312
301 Sebastian Cappelen 29 141 297
302 Wil Besseling 23 141 306
303 Calum Hill 27 141 301
304 Matthieu Pavon 45 140 300
305 Connor Syme 29 140 309
306 Ollie Schniederjans 29 139 302
307 Andres Romero 22 138 310
308 Johnson Wagner 32 137 307
309 Ted Potter 42 137 304
310 Cody Gribble 21 136 316
311 Grayson Murray 30 135 303
312 Boo Weekley 16 133 318
313 Chris Baker 29 133 308
314 Mark Anderson 28 132 313
315 Adrian Otaegui 48 132 311
316 Sean O’Hair 12 130 298
317 Jung-gon Hwang 13 129 322
318 Niklas Lemke 41 129 323
319 Lorenzo Gagli 43 129 315
320 Tim Wilkinson 27 129 314
321 Ashun Wu 38 128 317
322 Shugo Imahira 29 127 324
323 KJ Choi 22 127 325
324 Sebastian Heisele 17 125 327
325 Kristoffer Broberg 9 124 644
326 John Catlin 37 124 319
327 Johannes Veerman 34 124 328
328 Wilco Nienaber 26 124 320
329 Ricky Barnes 23 124 330
330 Akshay Bhatia 12 123 305
331 Bill Haas 37 121 321
332 Ashley Chesters 42 119 329
333 Nicolas Colsaerts 44 118 332
334 Chase Wright 23 118 333
335 Takumi Kanaya 13 117 334
336 Steven Brown 47 116 331
337 Nacho Elvira 43 116 362
338 Hennie du Plessis 8 114 336
339 Richard Bland 23 113 345
340 Dominic Bozzelli 36 112 337
341 Sihwan Kim 33 111 338
342 Scott Hend 44 110 335
343 Kevin Chappell 22 110 339
344 James Morrison 44 109 341
345 Adrien Saddier 38 108 343
346 Rikard Karlberg 29 107 342
347 Jack Senior 31 106 350
348 Louis de Jager 39 105 349
349 Chan Kim 20 105 351
350 Thongchai Jaidee 16 105 344
351 Ryan Brehm 26 104 347
352 Alex Cejka 27 103 352
353 Bernd Ritthammer 31 103 354
354 Craig Howie 11 102 353
355 Alexander Levy 39 102 370
356 Stephen Gallacher 34 102 420
357 Scott Vincent 38 102 355
358 Ernie Els 24 101 348
359 Kyung-nam Kang 12 101 357
360 Julian Suri 35 100 346
361 Min Woo Lee 30 99 340
362 Rikuya Hoshino 20 99 358
363 Kyle Jones 24 97 361
364 Jamie Arnold 8 96 364
365 Bradley Dredge 21 95 360
366 Adrian Meronk 23 94 365
367 Travis Smyth 13 93 369
368 Justin Walters 48 93 363
369 Kristoffer Reitan 30 92 367
370 Ben Crane 18 91 371
371 Gunn Charoenkul 13 91 374
372 Seung-su Han 17 91 375
373 Alejandro Canizares 37 90 377
374 Tom Lovelady 11 89 372
375 Hiroyuki Fujita 17 89 379
376 Hideto Tanihara 30 88 378
377 Oliver Wilson 44 88 368
378 Julien Guerrier 23 88 376
379 Robert Karlsson 23 88 359
380 Brendan Jones 11 88 381
381 Ryan Blaum 28 88 373
382 Jaco Ahlers 8 88 382
383 Brandon Harkins 26 88 366
384 Tyrone van Aswegen 14 87 384
385 Lee Slattery 36 87 380
386 Espen Kofstad 18 86 383
387 Tapio Pulkkanen 43 86 388
388 Clement Sordet 34 84 386
389 John Chin 19 83 390
390 Romain Wattel 35 83 393
391 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 36 83 387
392 Chad Campbell 21 83 398
393 Nicholas Lindheim 18 83 389
394 Satoshi Kodaira 37 82 385
395 Tomoharu Otsuki 22 82 396
396 Darren Fichardt 28 81 392
397 Ewen Ferguson 20 81 395
398 Rhein Gibson 29 81 421
399 Dale Whitnell 21 80 399
400 Soren Kjeldsen 38 80 391
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A Look at the American Express

January 19, 2021 Thomas Hawley

Well, that’s a surprise. Jon Rahm, the top-ranked player expected to be in the field for this week’s American Express, withdrew Monday, citing no reason. Tuesday his manager said Rahm had tweaked something while practicing. Rahm, the winner here in 2018, is on a streak of three straight top-10 finishes going back to October’s Zozo. His absence means Patrick Cantlay, seventh in the Hawley Ratings; Patrick Reed, 10th; and Brooks Koepka, 12th, are the highest-ranked players in the field for this event.

It never was the case that this event. played in the desert about 145 miles inland from the Pacific coast, was a reliable spot for favorites. Within just the last eight years the event winners have included the famous (Rahm; Bill Haas, ranked 16th when he won in 2015) and the not-so-famous (Adam Long, ranked 655th when he won in 2019; Andrew Landry (ranked 229th when he won last year).

Cantlay comes in playing his normal steady game. He won the Zozo in October and was in the top 20 at the Masters and Champions in his two appearances since then. He was in the top 10 in 2018, his only recent appearance here, and missed the cut as a 20-year-old in 2013.

Reed, who picked up his second Tour victory here in 2014, is in or around the top 10 almost all the time. In 11 appearances over the last six months, he has seven top-10s, including thirds on the Euro Tour at Dubai in December and the BMW PGA in October. He’s not a particularly good fit for these courses, although obviously he overcame that issue in the win a few years ago. He skipped the event the last two years after a missed cut in 2018.

Koepka is here for the first time and making his first appearance of 2021. He was in the top 10 at both the Masters and at Houston last fall before missing the cut at Mayakoba in his last time out.

In the first three rounds, each player will play one round on each of the three courses used in this event. That’s the PGA West Stadium course, the PGA West Nicklaus Tournament course, and the La Quinta Country Club, all minutes apart in this golf-course-rich area. After a cut following the third round, the final round will be at the Stadium course, noted for its set of difficult par-3s.

In terms of the PGA Tour set of individual statistics, driving distance and greens in regulation have correlated most closely with success on the varying set of courses used over the past eight years. Paul Casey and Scottie Scheffler are the best fits for the course among the higher-ranked players. Both are in the top quarter of all U.S./ Euro pros in both driving and GIRs. Others in the field who could benefit most significantly from course fit include Martin Laird (top 5 percent in GIR), Emiliano Grillo (also top 5 percent in GIR), Aaron Wise (ditto), John Huh (top 2 percent in GIR), and Will Gordon (top 10 percent in driving and top quarter in GIR).

The field includes a number of mid-range players who are coming in with things on the upswing. They include:

  • Patton Kizzire has two top-10s and an 11th in four outings going back to November. He was seventh last week. He has not cracked the top 40 in visits to La Quinta the last five years.
  • Huh was in the top 20 in three out of four fall appearances going back to the Shriners. He’s among the leaders in GIR and has one top-10 in six appearances here.
  • Wise was the runner-up at Mayakoba and just missed the top 10 at Houston last fall. He also missed the cut here the last two years.
  • Chris Kirk was the runner-up last week in the Sony, rescuing his career after a self-described fight with alcoholism.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Jan. 17, 2010)

January 19, 2021 Thomas Hawley

Rory McIlroy, who has not played since the Masters, retains the no. 1 spot this week.
# Thru Jan. 17, 2021 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Rory McIlroy 40 1597 1
2 Jon Rahm 43 1578 2
3 Justin Thomas 43 1474 3
4 Dustin Johnson 38 1375 4
5 Webb Simpson 41 1344 6
6 Xander Schauffele 42 1336 5
7 Patrick Cantlay 37 1222 7
8 Bryson DeChambeau 44 1181 8
9 Hideki Matsuyama 50 1100 9
10 Patrick Reed 56 1077 10
11 Tyrrell Hatton 42 1053 11
12 Brooks Koepka 38 984 13
13 Adam Scott 33 967 12
14 Daniel Berger 43 960 16
15 Tony Finau 53 940 14
16 Tommy Fleetwood 46 932 15
17 Collin Morikawa 39 921 18
18 Matthew Fitzpatrick 48 895 19
19 Harris English 52 894 17
20 Louis Oosthuizen 44 878 20
21 Viktor Hovland 41 853 21
22 Billy Horschel 52 848 25
23 Paul Casey 42 819 26
24 Ryan Palmer 43 815 22
25 Sungjae Im 64 814 24
26 Abraham Ancer 53 810 23
27 Justin Rose 41 793 27
28 Scottie Scheffler 37 788 30
29 Kevin Kisner 52 773 28
30 Jason Kokrak 48 754 29
31 Tiger Woods 23 745 31
32 Jason Day 41 730 32
33 Ian Poulter 45 726 33
34 Joaquin Niemann 54 720 36
35 Matthew Wolff 36 703 34
36 Joel Dahmen 50 688 35
37 Kevin Na 45 677 47
38 Shane Lowry 45 673 37
39 Bubba Watson 44 671 38
40 Corey Conners 53 668 40
41 Byeong Hun An 49 666 39
42 Gary Woodland 42 651 41
43 Rickie Fowler 40 649 42
44 Russell Henley 46 646 50
45 Rory Sabbatini 52 626 43
46 Ryan Moore 32 626 49
47 Erik Van Rooyen 49 625 44
48 Alex Noren 47 614 54
49 Cameron Smith 48 612 46
50 Jordan Spieth 43 611 52
51 Matt Kuchar 47 609 45
52 Lanto Griffin 39 609 51
53 Brian Harman 54 605 48
54 Marc Leishman 44 595 60
55 Sergio Garcia 46 588 55
56 Brandt Snedeker 44 586 53
57 Cameron Tringale 41 575 57
58 Francesco Molinari 26 573 56
59 Lucas Glover 49 561 58
60 Henrik Stenson 38 552 59
61 Sebastian Munoz 55 541 61
62 Adam Long 54 537 65
63 Brendon Todd 49 534 63
64 JT Poston 53 532 62
65 Lee Westwood 39 531 66
66 Dylan Frittelli 51 529 70
67 Sam Burns 42 529 67
68 Charles Howell 47 526 74
69 Doc Redman 36 525 69
70 Mac Hughes 50 521 76
71 Bud Cauley 40 520 72
72 Kevin Streelman 50 518 73
73 Victor Perez 36 517 77
74 Will Zalatoris 13 515 75
75 Chez Reavie 53 513 64
76 Harold Varner 49 511 78
77 Talor Gooch 44 507 68
78 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 29 504 79
79 Zach Johnson 40 503 71
80 Bernd Wiesberger 42 500 81
81 Carlos Ortiz 51 490 91
82 Matt Wallace 52 487 82
83 Rafa Cabrera Bello 51 483 83
84 Cameron Champ 47 481 84
85 Scott Piercy 43 478 80
86 Robert MacIntyre 42 476 86
87 Adam Hadwin 43 476 85
88 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 46 475 88
89 Charley Hoffman 49 472 95
90 Danny Willett 47 472 87
91 Wyndham Clark 48 470 89
92 Brendan Steele 43 470 103
93 Vaughn Taylor 47 467 93
94 Max Homa 46 466 92
95 Si Woo Kim 54 458 94
96 Maverick McNealy 33 453 96
97 James Hahn 20 452 90
98 Martin Kaymer 41 449 97
99 Thomas Pieters 36 439 98
100 Andrew Johnston 21 427 100
101 Mark Hubbard 37 422 101
102 Keegan Bradley 49 420 99
103 Sepp Straka 53 415 106
104 Denny McCarthy 52 414 105
105 Tom Hoge 58 411 102
106 Peter Malnati 48 409 116
107 Emiliano Grillo 48 406 104
108 Tom Lewis 43 404 111
109 Harry Higgs 35 402 112
110 Paul Waring 34 400 113
111 Matt Jones 51 395 121
112 Matthew NeSmith 34 395 108
113 Jonas Blixt 19 390 115
114 Andrew Putnam 46 389 109
115 Danny Lee 49 388 114
116 Russell Knox 51 386 110
117 Wesley Bryan 9 385 118
118 Matthias Schwab 44 383 120
119 Jim Furyk 33 382 107
120 Brian Stuard 54 374 119
121 Sung Kang 52 370 117
122 Cameron Davis 49 368 124
123 Nick Taylor 47 367 137
124 Stewart Cink 37 355 144
125 Kurt Kitayama 39 353 125
126 Troy Merritt 49 350 123
127 Henrik Norlander 35 348 122
128 Andy Sullivan 41 345 127
129 Robby Shelton 35 345 139
130 Marcus Kinhult 38 345 129
131 Aaron Wise 41 342 128
132 Jhonattan Vegas 43 341 126
133 Graeme McDowell 48 341 130
134 Patrick Rodgers 46 337 136
135 Martin Laird 39 337 132
136 Chesson Hadley 45 335 135
137 John Huh 20 335 133
138 Pat Perez 40 334 143
139 Thomas Detry 45 333 141
140 Brice Garnett 48 333 146
141 Patton Kizzire 46 332 161
142 Andrew Landry 48 327 131
143 Charl Schwartzel 31 327 148
144 Eddie Pepperell 36 327 142
145 Keith Mitchell 49 324 157
146 Nate Lashley 46 323 138
147 Kyle Stanley 48 321 134
148 Adam Schenk 56 321 140
149 Phil Mickelson 40 320 149
150 Michael Thompson 43 318 152
151 Xinjun Zhang 37 317 145
152 JB Holmes 31 315 151
153 Nick Watney 43 309 147
154 CT Pan 49 305 150
155 Richy Werenski 49 304 153
156 Lucas Herbert 31 302 156
157 Scott Stallings 46 301 155
158 Ryan Armour 51 291 160
159 Will Gordon 21 290 154
160 Haotong Li 42 287 159
161 Camilo Villegas 10 284 163
162 Luke List 48 282 158
163 KH Lee 56 282 177
164 Chris Kirk 28 280 252
165 Gavin Green 42 278 164
166 Benjamin Hebert 41 274 167
167 Brian Gay 49 274 162
168 Adri Arnaus 44 272 172
169 Tyler Duncan 58 271 169
170 Jim Knous 13 269 166
171 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 38 269 168
172 Joost Luiten 46 268 174
173 Sami Valimaki 20 267 176
174 Romain Langasque 40 267 175
175 Victor Dubuisson 25 266 178
176 Kevin Tway 48 266 165
177 Beau Hossler 52 266 179
178 Kalle Samooja 40 263 185
179 Aaron Rai 41 262 182
180 Joakim Lagergren 36 260 188
181 Steve Stricker 19 260 184
182 Jordan Smith 43 260 186
183 Robert Streb 48 259 173
184 Roger Sloan 46 258 170
185 Austin Cook 46 255 180
186 Seamus Power 38 253 171
187 Scott Brown 49 250 187
188 Branden Grace 52 250 183
189 Doug Ghim 30 244 181
190 Shawn Stefani 33 242 191
191 Justin Suh 16 242 192
192 Ryan Fox 40 241 193
193 Cameron Percy 27 241 194
194 Hudson Swafford 32 241 203
195 Ross Fisher 39 239 195
196 Bronson Burgoon 42 239 189
197 Zac Blair 32 238 196
198 Hank Lebioda 47 235 190
199 Kristoffer Ventura 31 232 199
200 Andrea Pavan 46 232 198
201 Jorge Campillo 45 231 197
202 George Coetzee 39 230 200
203 Richie Ramsay 42 228 201
204 Scott Jamieson 39 223 202
205 Kramer Hickok 45 221 237
206 Jeunghun Wang 34 218 211
207 Renato Paratore 47 217 204
208 Joachim B Hansen 44 215 209
209 Sam Horsfield 41 214 206
210 Jason Scrivener 43 211 212
211 Stephan Jaeger 26 211 214
212 Justin Harding 51 209 207
213 Bo Hoag 34 207 205
214 Zander Lombard 43 207 220
215 Sam Ryder 48 207 208
216 Roberto Castro 27 206 216
217 Padraig Harrington 34 206 221
218 Jason Dufner 43 205 218
219 David Lipsky 31 204 219
220 Wes Roach 36 204 223
221 Tyler McCumber 29 203 210
222 Fabian Gomez 45 203 213
223 Josh Teater 38 202 224
224 Laurie Canter 22 202 225
225 Matthew Jordan 26 202 226
226 Guido Migliozzi 41 202 228
227 Matthew Southgate 43 202 229
228 Joey Garber 23 200 227
229 Thorbjorn Olesen 26 200 222
230 Shaun Norris 33 199 235
231 Chase Seiffert 29 199 215
232 Alex Prugh 24 198 232
233 Jimmy Walker 41 197 217
234 Roberto Diaz 27 195 233
235 Mikko Korhonen 35 194 239
236 Masahiro Kawamura 49 193 241
237 Miguel Angel Jimenez 12 191 246
238 Zack Sucher 29 191 240
239 David Hearn 42 191 230
240 Dean Burmester 47 190 243
241 Richard Sterne 25 190 242
242 Joseph Bramlett 30 190 244
243 Michael Gligic 30 190 231
244 Rob Oppenheim 34 189 234
245 Adam Svensson 24 188 245
246 Peter Uihlein 44 185 238
247 Sebastian Soderberg 41 185 250
248 Seung-yul Noh 10 183 248
249 Hugo Leon 26 183 251
250 Jack Singh Brar 34 181 256
251 Callum Shinkwin 37 181 255
252 Robert Rock 33 179 259
253 Vincent Whaley 24 179 258
254 Aaron Baddeley 38 178 260
255 Billy Hurley 17 177 257
256 Brandon Stone 42 176 264
257 DJ Trahan 39 176 249
258 MJ Daffue 11 175 236
259 Chris Stroud 41 175 254
260 Wade Ormsby 36 175 266
261 Sang-hyun Park 18 174 263
262 Brandon Hagy 34 173 253
263 Jamie Donaldson 35 173 268
264 Antoine Rozner 25 173 270
265 Jim Herman 41 172 279
266 Nino Bertasio 35 172 271
267 Dawie van der Walt 10 171 272
268 Trey Mullinax 20 171 247
269 Scott Harrington 33 170 273
270 Anirban Lahiri 38 168 261
271 David Horsey 39 167 275
272 Lucas Bjerregaard 43 166 269
273 JJ Spaun 44 166 267
274 Kelly Kraft 30 165 274
275 Ben Martin 21 165 262
276 Brandon Wu 13 164 278
277 Matt Every 40 163 265
278 Sean Crocker 41 163 281
279 Jeff Winther 39 163 280
280 Jazz Janewattananond 38 162 277
281 Curtis Luck 23 162 276
282 Alexander Bjork 37 161 282
283 Marcus Armitage 23 161 285
284 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 22 161 283
285 Pablo Larrazabal 43 160 284
286 Rasmus Hojgaard 20 158 287
287 George McNeill 22 158 288
288 Jonathan Byrd 32 156 286
289 Edoardo Molinari 40 155 289
290 Garrick Higgo 15 155 292
291 Chris Paisley 41 154 290
292 Grant Forrest 43 154 291
293 Francesco Laporta 19 150 298
294 Luke Donald 33 150 295
295 Shubhankar Sharma 47 150 299
296 Sam Saunders 24 148 296
297 Sebastian Cappelen 28 148 301
298 Sean O’Hair 12 147 304
299 Brad Kennedy 15 147 300
300 Matthieu Pavon 45 145 303
301 Calum Hill 26 143 308
302 Ollie Schniederjans 30 143 306
303 Grayson Murray 30 143 294
304 Ted Potter 42 143 297
305 Akshay Bhatia 11 143 307
306 Wil Besseling 23 141 310
307 Johnson Wagner 32 140 293
308 Chris Baker 28 140 302
309 Connor Syme 29 139 313
310 Andres Romero 23 139 315
311 Adrian Otaegui 48 139 312
312 Carl Yuan 9 138 316
313 Mark Anderson 27 138 305
314 Tim Wilkinson 26 135 309
315 Lorenzo Gagli 43 135 317
316 Cody Gribble 22 135 318
317 Ashun Wu 38 133 320
318 Boo Weekley 16 132 319
319 John Catlin 37 131 321
320 Wilco Nienaber 25 131 322
321 Bill Haas 37 130 314
322 Jung-gon Hwang 13 129 324
323 Niklas Lemke 42 129 325
324 Shugo Imahira 29 128 327
325 KJ Choi 23 128 311
326 Fabrizio Zanotti 30 126 326
327 Sebastian Heisele 17 125 328
328 Johannes Veerman 34 124 329
329 Ashley Chesters 42 124 330
330 Ricky Barnes 23 122 331
331 Steven Brown 47 120 332
332 Nicolas Colsaerts 44 119 333
333 Chase Wright 24 118 334
334 Takumi Kanaya 13 117 323
335 Scott Hend 44 115 335
336 Hennie du Plessis 8 113 336
337 Dominic Bozzelli 36 111 340
338 Sihwan Kim 33 111 338
339 Kevin Chappell 22 110 342
340 Min Woo Lee 30 109 339
341 James Morrison 44 109 343
342 Rikard Karlberg 29 107 344
343 Adrien Saddier 38 107 347
344 Thongchai Jaidee 16 107 341
345 Richard Bland 22 107 345
346 Julian Suri 34 106 346
347 Ryan Brehm 26 105 348
348 Ernie Els 25 105 337
349 Louis de Jager 39 105 349
350 Jack Senior 31 105 350
351 Chan Kim 20 104 351
352 Alex Cejka 28 103 353
353 Craig Howie 11 102 352
354 Bernd Ritthammer 32 102 356
355 Scott Vincent 38 101 355
356 Marc Warren 31 100 360
357 Kyung-nam Kang 12 100 359
358 Rikuya Hoshino 20 99 361
359 Robert Karlsson 23 98 358
360 Bradley Dredge 22 98 357
361 Kyle Jones 24 98 363
362 Nacho Elvira 43 97 362
363 Justin Walters 48 96 364
364 Jamie Arnold 8 95 365
365 Adrian Meronk 23 94 367
366 Brandon Harkins 27 93 366
367 Kristoffer Reitan 30 93 370
368 Oliver Wilson 43 92 368
369 Travis Smyth 13 92 373
370 Alexander Levy 39 92 371
371 Ben Crane 18 92 372
372 Tom Lovelady 11 91 369
373 Ryan Blaum 29 91 354
374 Gunn Charoenkul 13 91 374
375 Seung-su Han 17 91 376
376 Julien Guerrier 22 90 375
377 Alejandro Canizares 38 90 377
378 Hideto Tanihara 31 89 379
379 Hiroyuki Fujita 17 88 382
380 Lee Slattery 37 88 380
381 Brendan Jones 11 88 384
382 Jaco Ahlers 8 88 385
383 Espen Kofstad 18 87 381
384 Tyrone van Aswegen 14 87 383
385 Satoshi Kodaira 37 87 378
386 Clement Sordet 35 85 386
387 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 37 84 390
388 Tapio Pulkkanen 43 84 389
389 Nicholas Lindheim 18 84 387
390 John Chin 19 83 393
391 Soren Kjeldsen 38 83 394
392 Darren Fichardt 28 83 391
393 Romain Wattel 36 82 392
394 Alvaro Quiros 40 82 388
395 Ewen Ferguson 20 82 396
396 Tomoharu Otsuki 22 81 398
397 Oliver Fisher 43 81 397
398 Chad Campbell 21 81 405
399 Dale Whitnell 21 80 400
400 Benjamin Silverman 25 80 395
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A Look at the Sony Open in Hawaii

January 12, 2021 Thomas Hawley

Of the seven highest-rated players appearing in last week’s Sentry Tournament of Champions, six did not enter this week’s Sony Open in Hawaii, the exception being Webb Simpson. Going down the list a bit, eight of the top 11 have departed or found something else to do in Hawaii, the other exceptions being Hideki Matsuyama and Adam Scott. The Champions winner, Harris English, is playing again this week, and, overall, 31 of the 42 members of the Champions field are expected to tee it up Thursday. Still, it’s not a real strong statement about the quality of field in this event just a few miles around the coast from Honolulu.

Those top few returnees are a good place to start looking for Sony favorites. Going at it in their Hawley Ratings order, here are:

  • Webb Simpson – The probable favorite has an exceptional record of three top-fives and three finishes in the top 15 in six appearances in this event in the past eight years. He was out of the top 20 only once in six events since the Tour Championship, the best finish being a top-10 in the U.S. Open. Strong fit for the course based on accuracy off the tee and scrambling ability. He is sixth in the Hawley Ratings.
  • Hideki Matsuyama – Generally steady player has one top-10 and one top-20 in five appearances here in the last eight years. Was one spot up from the bottom after going 73-75 in the first two rounds last week on a course where 67 would have been good. Ninth in the ratings.
  • Adam Scott – Has had a difficult time getting things back in order after sitting out five months in the middle of last season. He hasn’t cracked the top 20 in any of six events going back to the August PGA. 12th in the ratings.
  • Daniel Berger – Opened up with a win and a third when the Tour re-started last June. Since then it’s been some weeks in contention, some not, with top-15 finishes at the two majors (PGA/ U.S. Open) and a 10th last week. Very good fit for the course. 16th in the ratings.
  • Harris English – Has posted back-to-back wins in the Champions and Shootout, the latter as half of a team with Matt Kuchar, and top-10s in five of the last six overall. Had three straight top-10s on this course in 2013-’15 and is a very good fit for the course. 17th in the ratings.

Per pgatour.com, at just under 7,050 yards on the scorecard, the 93-year old Waialae Country Club is in the bottom 25 percent of Tour courses in length. (On the other hand, it does have the iconic “W” formed by coconut palms behind the 16th hole.) The Hawley course fit statistics indicate driving distance, driving accuracy, and scrambling as the top statistics as correlated with success in this event over the past eight years. Shots gained in approach also is a good indicator. Simpson is the clear leader in course fit with Russell Henley, Berger, and English next. Among the lesser-knowns, Adam Schenk, Kramer Hickock, and Brian Stuard appear to have reason for optimism about playing this track.

Among players who are outside the top 100 in the ratings, these four have done the most to improve their rating number since the Tour Championship back around Labor Day:

  • Tom Hoge – third at Mayakoba, preceded by five straight made cuts and two missed cuts.
  • Matthew NeSmith – top 20 at the RSM, top 10 at the Shriners among six appearances.
  • Stewart Cink – won the Safeway, the 47-year-old’s first victory in 11 years.
  • Tyler McCumber – in the top 10 at the Sanderson after being Puntacana runner-up, but missed his last three cuts.

The field includes a few of what you might call the sport’s elder statesmen, who may enjoy the expected 80-degree Honolulu weather more than playing a full 72 holes. Included in that group are Jerry Kelly, Davis Love, Vijay Singh, Mike Weir, and YE Yang. Among them they have six majors, 68 Tour victories (the last of which was by Love in 2015), two Sony victories, and a million golf stories. It doesn’t seem likely that any update to the victory totals will occur this weekend.

Sony Open in Hawaii

January 11, 2021 Thomas Hawley ,
Webb Simpson
Webb Simpson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Webb Simpson 22.8 4
2 Harris English 35.3 32
3 Patrick Reed 39.6 DNP
4 Hideki Matsuyama 41.7 19
5 Kevin Kisner 42.0 32
6 Daniel Berger 42.4 7
7 Viktor Hovland 46.3 DNP
8 Ryan Palmer 47.8 41
9 Collin Morikawa 49.1 7
10 Sungjae Im 49.3 56
11 Adam Scott 50.0 41
12 Abraham Ancer 50.4 74
13 Charles Howell 52.7 19
14 Russell Henley 52.8 11
15 Zach Johnson 53.8 62
16 Cameron Smith 53.9 62
17 Brian Harman 54.8 56
18 Billy Horschel 54.9 7
19 Chez Reavie 56.8 67
20 Erik Van Rooyen 57.2 74
21 Joaquin Niemann 57.8 2
22 Sergio Garcia 57.8 47
23 Talor Gooch 58.0 74
24 Rory Sabbatini 58.4 110
25 Matt Kuchar 58.7 88
26 Kevin Na 58.7 1
27 Jason Kokrak 59.0 56
28 Lanto Griffin 59.5 41
29 Brendon Todd 59.5 41
30 Patton Kizzire 59.8 7
31 Russell Knox 60.2 110
32 Si Woo Kim 60.5 25
33 Brandt Snedeker 60.6 121
34 Marc Leishman 60.7 4
35 Emiliano Grillo 60.9 47
36 Mac Hughes 61.3 19
37 Carlos Ortiz 61.6 14
38 Scott Piercy 61.6 110
39 Sebastian Munoz 61.6 65
40 Tom Hoge 61.6 74
41 James Hahn 62.3 41
42 Brian Stuard 62.4 47
43 Keegan Bradley 62.4 101
44 Matthew NeSmith 62.8 101
45 JT Poston 63.4 101
46 Charley Hoffman 64.1 14
47 Sepp Straka 64.5 25
48 Cameron Davis 65.5 31
49 Kyle Stanley 65.8 110
50 Brendan Steele 66.1 4
51 Stewart Cink 66.2 19
52 Henrik Norlander 66.3 88
53 Peter Malnati 66.3 14
54 Matt Jones 66.3 11
55 Vaughn Taylor 67.2 25
56 Mark Hubbard 67.5 32
57 Danny Lee 67.5 88
58 Michael Thompson 67.6 25
59 Hudson Swafford 67.7 25
60 Harry Higgs 67.7 32
61 Richy Werenski 68.2 88
62 Brian Gay 68.4 72
63 Doug Ghim 68.4 117
64 Troy Merritt 68.4 56
65 Jim Furyk 68.4 47
66 Andrew Putnam 68.5 110
67 Pat Perez 68.8 32
68 Sung Kang 69.0 88
69 Jhonattan Vegas 69.0 DNP
70 Adam Schenk 69.0 128
71 Andrew Landry 69.1 128
72 Brice Garnett 69.1 32
73 Nick Taylor 69.1 11
74 Austin Cook 69.2 47
75 Nate Lashley 69.3 144
76 CT Pan 69.5 74
77 Wesley Bryan 69.6 32
78 Robby Shelton 69.6 25
79 Ryan Armour 69.6 32
80 Keith Mitchell 69.7 14
81 Branden Grace 69.8 133
82 Roger Sloan 69.9 74
83 Jimmy Walker 70.1 121
84 Robert Streb 70.1 67
85 Ted Potter 70.4 101
86 Seamus Power 70.7 145
87 Chris Kirk 70.7 2
88 Xinjun Zhang 70.7 88
89 Bo Hoag 70.9 74
90 Anirban Lahiri 71.1 62
91 Michael Gligic 71.1 121
92 Luke List 71.1 101
93 Ben Martin 71.1 145
94 Will Gordon 71.2 88
95 Hank Lebioda 71.2 101
96 Fabian Gomez 71.4 133
97 Scott Brown 71.4 47
98 Nick Watney 71.4 88
99 Tyler McCumber 71.8 139
100 Bronson Burgoon 71.8 74
101 Kramer Hickok 71.8 19
102 Kevin Tway 72.1 110
103 KH Lee 72.2 19
104 Jim Herman 72.2 32
105 Joseph Bramlett 72.4 DNP
106 Rob Oppenheim 72.5 101
107 Sam Ryder 72.6 74
108 Sean O’Hair 72.7 DNP
109 Chase Seiffert 72.8 74
110 David Hearn 72.9 74
111 Brandon Hagy 72.9 133
112 Peter Uihlein 73.2 145
113 Tim Wilkinson 73.5 74
114 DJ Trahan 73.5 88
115 JJ Spaun 73.6 74
116 Chris Stroud 73.7 DNP
117 Chris Baker 73.9 56
118 Mark Anderson 73.9 121
119 Aaron Baddeley 73.9 41
120 Ryan Blaum 74.0 145
121 Satoshi Kodaira 74.0 56
122 Grayson Murray 74.1 121
123 Takumi Kanaya 74.2 74
124 Bill Haas 74.3 145
125 KJ Choi 74.3 71
126 Matt Every 74.5 117
127 Johnson Wagner 74.5 145
128 William McGirt 74.6 88
129 Ryo Ishikawa 75.0 133
130 Jamie Lovemark 75.5 67
131 Ben Taylor 75.5 88
132 Rhein Gibson 75.6 128
133 Rafael Campos 76.0 101
134 Nelson Ledesma 76.1 47
135 Michael Gellerman 76.6 142
136 Martin Trainer 77.2 47
137 Hunter Mahan 77.2 121
138 Parker McLachlin 77.4 139
139 Bo Van Pelt 77.5 117
140 Michael Kim 77.5 65
141 Ryosuke Kinoshita 79.1 67
142 YE Yang 79.1 88
143 Jerry Kelly 79.4 73
144 Jinichiro Kozuma 79.5 133
145 Vijay Singh 80.4 121
146 Davis Love 81.2 128
147 Mike Weir 81.2 47
148 Shane Bertsch 81.8 139
149 Eric Dugas 82.2 128
150 Evan Kawai 82.2 143
Nick Hardy late entry 15
Andres Gonzales late entry 101
MJ Daffue late entry 116
In-hoi Hur late entry 136
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 90. The average is 143. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Jan. 10, 2021)

January 11, 2021 Thomas Hawley

Rory McIlroy, who has not played since the Masters, returns to the no. 1 spot this week.
# Thru Jan. 10, 2021 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Rory McIlroy 41 1604 2
2 Jon Rahm 44 1584 1
3 Justin Thomas 43 1475 3
4 Dustin Johnson 38 1381 4
5 Xander Schauffele 43 1339 6
6 Webb Simpson 40 1336 5
7 Patrick Cantlay 38 1228 7
8 Bryson DeChambeau 45 1180 8
9 Hideki Matsuyama 50 1117 9
10 Patrick Reed 57 1077 11
11 Tyrrell Hatton 43 1049 12
12 Adam Scott 33 1027 10
13 Brooks Koepka 38 992 13
14 Tony Finau 54 944 14
15 Tommy Fleetwood 47 936 15
16 Daniel Berger 43 935 16
17 Harris English 52 904 22
18 Collin Morikawa 38 903 17
19 Matthew Fitzpatrick 49 896 18
20 Louis Oosthuizen 44 881 20
21 Viktor Hovland 42 855 19
22 Ryan Palmer 43 842 27
23 Abraham Ancer 53 838 23
24 Sungjae Im 64 833 29
25 Billy Horschel 52 833 21
26 Paul Casey 42 827 24
27 Justin Rose 42 805 25
28 Kevin Kisner 51 794 28
29 Jason Kokrak 48 789 26
30 Scottie Scheffler 37 787 30
31 Tiger Woods 24 754 31
32 Jason Day 42 738 32
33 Ian Poulter 46 733 33
34 Matthew Wolff 36 706 34
35 Joel Dahmen 51 687 36
36 Joaquin Niemann 54 685 43
37 Shane Lowry 46 675 35
38 Bubba Watson 44 674 38
39 Byeong Hun An 50 669 41
40 Corey Conners 53 666 44
41 Gary Woodland 43 657 40
42 Rickie Fowler 41 655 39
43 Rory Sabbatini 52 655 42
44 Erik Van Rooyen 49 649 47
45 Matt Kuchar 46 642 37
46 Cameron Smith 48 635 46
47 Kevin Na 44 631 45
48 Brian Harman 54 624 52
49 Ryan Moore 33 624 53
50 Russell Henley 45 624 54
51 Lanto Griffin 38 621 55
52 Jordan Spieth 44 616 49
53 Brandt Snedeker 44 614 51
54 Alex Noren 48 614 56
55 Sergio Garcia 46 612 50
56 Francesco Molinari 26 586 48
57 Cameron Tringale 42 576 60
58 Lucas Glover 49 569 57
59 Henrik Stenson 39 559 59
60 Marc Leishman 44 556 58
61 Sebastian Munoz 55 555 63
62 JT Poston 53 553 61
63 Brendon Todd 48 544 66
64 Chez Reavie 52 537 62
65 Adam Long 55 534 72
66 Lee Westwood 40 532 67
67 Sam Burns 43 529 70
68 Talor Gooch 44 528 71
69 Doc Redman 36 528 64
70 Dylan Frittelli 52 527 73
71 Zach Johnson 39 527 74
72 Bud Cauley 41 522 75
73 Kevin Streelman 51 520 69
74 Charles Howell 47 519 68
75 Will Zalatoris 13 515 79
76 Mac Hughes 50 513 65
77 Victor Perez 37 513 82
78 Harold Varner 50 511 80
79 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 30 505 78
80 Scott Piercy 42 503 77
81 Bernd Wiesberger 43 499 83
82 Matt Wallace 53 494 76
83 Rafa Cabrera Bello 52 486 81
84 Cameron Champ 48 477 86
85 Adam Hadwin 43 475 84
86 Robert MacIntyre 42 474 91
87 Danny Willett 48 474 85
88 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 47 471 92
89 Wyndham Clark 49 470 90
90 James Hahn 20 469 96
91 Carlos Ortiz 51 468 88
92 Max Homa 46 465 93
93 Vaughn Taylor 46 464 87
94 Si Woo Kim 54 458 89
95 Charley Hoffman 49 452 94
96 Maverick McNealy 33 451 98
97 Martin Kaymer 42 450 95
98 Thomas Pieters 37 439 100
99 Keegan Bradley 49 437 99
100 Andrew Johnston 22 425 108
101 Mark Hubbard 36 422 102
102 Tom Hoge 58 419 113
103 Brendan Steele 43 419 107
104 Emiliano Grillo 48 418 101
105 Denny McCarthy 53 412 110
106 Sepp Straka 53 412 106
107 Jim Furyk 32 411 97
108 Matthew NeSmith 33 411 112
109 Andrew Putnam 45 406 104
110 Russell Knox 51 404 105
111 Tom Lewis 44 403 109
112 Harry Higgs 34 400 115
113 Paul Waring 35 400 111
114 Danny Lee 49 400 119
115 Jonas Blixt 20 399 103
116 Peter Malnati 47 386 117
117 Sung Kang 52 386 114
118 Wesley Bryan 8 384 118
119 Brian Stuard 53 384 116
120 Matthias Schwab 45 380 121
121 Matt Jones 51 370 120
122 Henrik Norlander 34 363 123
123 Troy Merritt 48 363 122
124 Cameron Davis 49 363 125
125 Kurt Kitayama 40 347 144
126 Jhonattan Vegas 44 347 124
127 Andy Sullivan 42 346 126
128 Aaron Wise 42 344 128
129 Marcus Kinhult 39 343 140
130 Graeme McDowell 48 342 127
131 Andrew Landry 47 340 131
132 Martin Laird 40 339 136
133 John Huh 21 337 143
134 Kyle Stanley 48 337 133
135 Chesson Hadley 46 336 134
136 Patrick Rodgers 47 336 141
137 Nick Taylor 47 335 129
138 Nate Lashley 45 335 135
139 Robby Shelton 34 334 142
140 Adam Schenk 56 333 139
141 Thomas Detry 46 332 146
142 Eddie Pepperell 37 331 132
143 Pat Perez 40 331 148
144 Stewart Cink 37 330 137
145 Xinjun Zhang 36 329 147
146 Brice Garnett 48 329 149
147 Nick Watney 43 324 145
148 Charl Schwartzel 32 323 153
149 Phil Mickelson 40 321 138
150 CT Pan 49 317 151
151 JB Holmes 32 316 150
152 Michael Thompson 43 315 130
153 Richy Werenski 49 313 156
154 Will Gordon 20 310 154
155 Scott Stallings 47 304 152
156 Lucas Herbert 32 301 162
157 Keith Mitchell 49 298 158
158 Luke List 48 296 157
159 Haotong Li 43 292 155
160 Ryan Armour 50 290 159
161 Patton Kizzire 45 290 161
162 Brian Gay 48 286 160
163 Camilo Villegas 10 284 166
164 Gavin Green 43 278 167
165 Kevin Tway 48 278 168
166 Jim Knous 14 275 169
167 Benjamin Hebert 42 274 171
168 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 39 273 163
169 Tyler Duncan 59 271 176
170 Roger Sloan 46 271 164
171 Seamus Power 38 271 165
172 Adri Arnaus 45 270 179
173 Robert Streb 48 270 172
174 Joost Luiten 47 268 170
175 Romain Langasque 41 268 175
176 Sami Valimaki 20 267 181
177 KH Lee 56 267 173
178 Victor Dubuisson 26 266 178
179 Beau Hossler 53 265 184
180 Austin Cook 45 261 183
181 Doug Ghim 30 261 177
182 Aaron Rai 42 261 186
183 Branden Grace 52 261 180
184 Steve Stricker 19 261 185
185 Kalle Samooja 41 260 188
186 Jordan Smith 44 260 182
187 Scott Brown 49 260 174
188 Joakim Lagergren 37 258 190
189 Bronson Burgoon 42 248 193
190 Hank Lebioda 47 247 187
191 Shawn Stefani 34 245 189
192 Justin Suh 16 242 195
193 Ryan Fox 41 241 191
194 Cameron Percy 27 240 194
195 Ross Fisher 40 239 197
196 Zac Blair 32 235 203
197 Jorge Campillo 46 233 192
198 Andrea Pavan 47 232 198
199 Kristoffer Ventura 31 232 196
200 George Coetzee 40 230 199
201 Richie Ramsay 43 226 207
202 Scott Jamieson 40 221 204
203 Hudson Swafford 32 219 201
204 Renato Paratore 48 216 214
205 Bo Hoag 33 216 211
206 Sam Horsfield 42 215 209
207 Justin Harding 52 214 200
208 Sam Ryder 48 214 213
209 Joachim B Hansen 45 214 219
210 Tyler McCumber 28 213 221
211 Jeunghun Wang 35 213 236
212 Jason Scrivener 44 212 212
213 Fabian Gomez 45 211 216
214 Stephan Jaeger 27 211 215
215 Chase Seiffert 28 209 217
216 Roberto Castro 28 209 206
217 Jimmy Walker 41 208 218
218 Jason Dufner 43 207 210
219 David Lipsky 32 207 205
220 Zander Lombard 43 206 233
221 Padraig Harrington 34 205 225
222 Thorbjorn Olesen 27 205 208
223 Wes Roach 37 205 220
224 Josh Teater 39 204 223
225 Laurie Canter 22 202 231
226 Matthew Jordan 26 202 229
227 Joey Garber 24 201 227
228 Guido Migliozzi 41 201 241
229 Matthew Southgate 44 201 238
230 David Hearn 41 200 228
231 Michael Gligic 29 199 230
232 Alex Prugh 25 199 226
233 Roberto Diaz 27 199 222
234 Rob Oppenheim 33 198 239
235 Shaun Norris 34 197 247
236 MJ Daffue 10 197 232
237 Kramer Hickok 45 196 244
238 Peter Uihlein 44 195 234
239 Mikko Korhonen 36 193 245
240 Zack Sucher 29 192 235
241 Masahiro Kawamura 49 192 248
242 Richard Sterne 26 191 224
243 Dean Burmester 48 189 253
244 Joseph Bramlett 30 189 252
245 Adam Svensson 25 189 237
246 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 188 264
247 Trey Mullinax 21 187 202
248 Seung-yul Noh 10 185 242
249 DJ Trahan 38 185 251
250 Sebastian Soderberg 42 184 258
251 Hugo Leon 26 182 260
252 Chris Kirk 28 182 255
253 Brandon Hagy 34 182 267
254 Chris Stroud 42 180 240
255 Callum Shinkwin 38 180 262
256 Jack Singh Brar 34 180 265
257 Billy Hurley 17 180 250
258 Vincent Whaley 24 179 261
259 Robert Rock 34 179 256
260 Aaron Baddeley 37 179 246
261 Anirban Lahiri 37 177 266
262 Ben Martin 20 177 275
263 Sang-hyun Park 18 176 257
264 Brandon Stone 43 175 274
265 Matt Every 39 175 249
266 Wade Ormsby 37 174 271
267 JJ Spaun 44 174 263
268 Jamie Donaldson 35 173 268
269 Lucas Bjerregaard 44 173 243
270 Antoine Rozner 25 172 276
271 Nino Bertasio 36 172 269
272 Dawie van der Walt 10 171 279
273 Scott Harrington 33 169 281
274 Kelly Kraft 31 169 259
275 David Horsey 40 167 270
276 Curtis Luck 23 167 254
277 Jazz Janewattananond 38 164 273
278 Brandon Wu 13 164 284
279 Jim Herman 41 163 285
280 Jeff Winther 39 163 282
281 Sean Crocker 42 163 283
282 Alexander Bjork 38 162 280
283 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 23 161 277
284 Pablo Larrazabal 44 161 278
285 Marcus Armitage 23 161 287
286 Jonathan Byrd 32 160 272
287 Rasmus Hojgaard 20 158 286
288 George McNeill 22 158 291
289 Edoardo Molinari 41 156 289
290 Chris Paisley 42 154 292
291 Grant Forrest 43 154 294
292 Garrick Higgo 15 154 295
293 Johnson Wagner 31 152 288
294 Grayson Murray 30 151 305
295 Luke Donald 33 150 298
296 Sam Saunders 25 149 293
297 Ted Potter 41 149 297
298 Francesco Laporta 19 148 308
299 Shubhankar Sharma 48 148 304
300 Brad Kennedy 15 147 299
301 Sebastian Cappelen 28 147 309
302 Chris Baker 27 145 301
303 Matthieu Pavon 46 145 307
304 Sean O’Hair 13 145 290
305 Mark Anderson 26 145 311
306 Ollie Schniederjans 31 145 296
307 Akshay Bhatia 11 144 300
308 Calum Hill 26 144 303
309 Tim Wilkinson 25 143 312
310 Wil Besseling 23 141 314
311 KJ Choi 22 139 310
312 Adrian Otaegui 49 139 306
313 Connor Syme 29 139 315
314 Bill Haas 37 139 302
315 Andres Romero 24 137 317
316 Carl Yuan 9 136 324
317 Lorenzo Gagli 43 134 319
318 Cody Gribble 23 134 316
319 Boo Weekley 16 132 320
320 Ashun Wu 39 132 327
321 John Catlin 37 132 322
322 Wilco Nienaber 25 131 321
323 Takumi Kanaya 12 129 328
324 Jung-gon Hwang 13 129 325
325 Niklas Lemke 42 129 326
326 Fabrizio Zanotti 31 129 313
327 Shugo Imahira 29 128 323
328 Sebastian Heisele 17 124 330
329 Johannes Veerman 34 124 329
330 Ashley Chesters 43 124 331
331 Ricky Barnes 23 121 339
332 Steven Brown 48 119 336
333 Nicolas Colsaerts 45 118 335
334 Chase Wright 25 117 337
335 Scott Hend 45 116 332
336 Hennie du Plessis 8 113 340
337 Ernie Els 26 113 318
338 Sihwan Kim 33 111 342
339 Min Woo Lee 30 111 334
340 Dominic Bozzelli 37 110 333
341 Thongchai Jaidee 17 110 338
342 Kevin Chappell 22 109 345
343 James Morrison 45 108 349
344 Rikard Karlberg 29 107 350
345 Richard Bland 22 107 346
346 Julian Suri 34 107 341
347 Adrien Saddier 38 106 353
348 Ryan Brehm 26 106 348
349 Louis de Jager 39 105 347
350 Jack Senior 31 104 358
351 Chan Kim 20 104 355
352 Craig Howie 11 103 351
353 Alex Cejka 29 103 352
354 Ryan Blaum 29 101 343
355 Scott Vincent 38 101 360
356 Bernd Ritthammer 32 101 361
357 Bradley Dredge 23 101 344
358 Robert Karlsson 24 100 357
359 Kyung-nam Kang 12 99 366
360 Marc Warren 32 99 365
361 Rikuya Hoshino 20 98 363
362 Nacho Elvira 44 98 356
363 Kyle Jones 25 97 364
364 Justin Walters 49 96 367
365 Jamie Arnold 8 95 372
366 Brandon Harkins 28 95 354
367 Adrian Meronk 23 94 368
368 Oliver Wilson 43 94 359
369 Tom Lovelady 11 93 362
370 Kristoffer Reitan 31 93 369
371 Alexander Levy 40 93 370
372 Ben Crane 19 92 374
373 Travis Smyth 13 91 389
374 Gunn Charoenkul 13 91 376
375 Julien Guerrier 22 90 381
376 Seung-su Han 17 90 383
377 Alejandro Canizares 38 90 380
378 Satoshi Kodaira 37 89 379
379 Hideto Tanihara 32 89 385
380 Lee Slattery 38 89 378
381 Espen Kofstad 18 89 371
382 Hiroyuki Fujita 17 88 393
383 Tyrone van Aswegen 14 88 386
384 Brendan Jones 11 87 395
385 Jaco Ahlers 8 87 394
386 Clement Sordet 35 86 382
387 Nicholas Lindheim 19 86 375
388 Alvaro Quiros 41 85 373
389 Tapio Pulkkanen 44 85 391
390 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 38 85 387
391 Darren Fichardt 29 84 377
392 Romain Wattel 37 84 397
393 John Chin 20 83 399
394 Soren Kjeldsen 39 82 388
395 Benjamin Silverman 26 82 384
396 Ewen Ferguson 20 82 401
397 Oliver Fisher 44 81 400
398 Tomoharu Otsuki 22 81 408
399 Ryo Ishikawa 24 81 406
400 Dale Whitnell 21 80 402
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A look at the Sentry Tournament of Champions

January 4, 2021 Thomas Hawley

The last event on the PGA Tour schedule ended three and a half weeks ago. That was the QBE Shootout, an invitational-type team event. The same week, there was a big-bucks Euro Tour event in Dubai that attracted some U.S.-based players. The last full-field PGA Tour tournament ended four and a half weeks ago. That was the Mayakoba Golf Classic in Mexico. So now that the holidays are over, this week’s question is who’s in competitive form for the first event of 2021, the Sentry Tournament of Champions at Kapalua on Maui in Hawaii?

In the field of 42, exactly half appeared in one of the events noted above. That includes Abraham Ancer, Daniel Berger, Cameron Champ, Harris English, Tony Finau, Lanto Griffin, Billy Horschel, Viktor Hovland, Mac Hughes, Sungjae Im, Marc Leishman, Collin Morikawa, Sebastian Munoz, Kevin Na, Joaquin Niemann, Ryan Palmer, Patrick Reed, Cameron Smith, and Brendon Todd in either the Shootout or Dubai event. Additionally, Carlos Ortiz and Justin Thomas appeared in Mexico.

Of the other 21, everyone appeared somewhere in November. The following have been out of sight for more than seven weeks: Patrick Cantlay, Bryson DeChambeau, Sergio Garcia, Brian Gay, Dustin Johnson, Hideki Matsuyama, Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, Scottie Scheffler, Adam Scott, and Michael Thompson.

Then there’s the question of what actually happened in the last couple of months of 2020. In the last group — those who did not appear anywhere in December — only DeChambeau and Johnson performed well enough to show any improvement in their Hawley Rating numbers since the Tour Championship back around Labor Day.

In the group that was active in December, seven have played well enough since the Tour Championship to raise their Hawley Numbers by 50 points or more. Leading the way is English, who had a fabulous fall that included being part of the winning team at the Shootout plus top-10 finishes at Mayakoba, the RSM, the CJ Cup, and the U.S. Open. Australian 27-year-old Cameron Smith also had a pretty good time of it as runner-up in the Masters, in the top 10 at the Zozo, and 11th in the CJ Cup. Also raising their numbers by 50 points or more were Stewart Cink, Reed, Niemann, Hovland, and Robert Streb.

As you would expect, the favorites in the event are big names Thomas, Johnson, Rahm, and Schauffele. All but Rahm have rating numbers that are trending upward, and all but Johnson are among the leaders in expected fit for the Kapalua course, where shots gained putting and sand saves have been the stats most closely correlated with success in recent iterations of the event. Hideki Matsuyama and Mac Hughes lead the field in the course-fit number, with Thomas third.

All in all, it’s a great field to start of 2021. Take your pick.

Sentry Tournament of Champions

January 4, 2021 Thomas Hawley ,

Justin Thomas
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Justin Thomas 9.6 3
2 Dustin Johnson 13.4 11
3 Jon Rahm 18.8 7
4 Xander Schauffele 20.4 5
5 Webb Simpson 29.8 17
6 Bryson DeChambeau 30.2 7
7 Patrick Cantlay 34.3 13
8 Patrick Reed 34.7 21
9 Hideki Matsuyama 37.2 41
10 Harris English 40.8 1
11 Daniel Berger 42.3 10
12 Viktor Hovland 43.7 31
13 Tony Finau 48.0 31
14 Kevin Kisner 48.5 24
15 Collin Morikawa 48.6 7
16 Scottie Scheffler 49.9 13
17 Adam Scott 50.2 21
18 Abraham Ancer 50.2 17
19 Cameron Smith 50.9 24
20 Ryan Palmer 51.8 4
21 Billy Horschel 53.9 24
22 Sungjae Im 55.6 5
23 Jason Kokrak 55.9 35
24 Kevin Na 57.2 38
25 Sergio Garcia 57.5 11
26 Lanto Griffin 59.5 13
27 Joaquin Niemann 59.5 2
28 Cameron Champ 59.6 31
29 Mac Hughes 60.0 41
30 Brendon Todd 61.3 13
31 Carlos Ortiz 61.9 37
32 Sebastian Munoz 62.4 17
33 Marc Leishman 62.9 24
34 Martin Laird 66.9 17
35 Andrew Landry 68.3 38
36 Stewart Cink 68.5 31
37 Michael Thompson 69.0 21
38 Richy Werenski 69.2 24
39 Robert Streb 69.4 38
40 Nick Taylor 70.3 29
41 Brian Gay 71.6 29
42 Hudson Swafford 72.2 35
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 165. The average is 144. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Dec. 13, 2020)

December 14, 2020 Thomas Hawley

Jon Rahm, idle since the Masters, is the world no. 1 heading into 2021.
# Thru Dec. 13, 2020 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Jon Rahm 45 1625 1
2 Rory McIlroy 42 1618 2
3 Justin Thomas 44 1487 3
4 Dustin Johnson 39 1439 4
5 Webb Simpson 40 1382 5
6 Xander Schauffele 43 1358 6
7 Patrick Cantlay 38 1280 7
8 Bryson DeChambeau 46 1184 8
9 Hideki Matsuyama 50 1169 9
10 Adam Scott 33 1099 10
11 Patrick Reed 58 1094 11
12 Tyrrell Hatton 44 1037 12
13 Brooks Koepka 40 1018 13
14 Tony Finau 53 977 14
15 Tommy Fleetwood 48 952 15
16 Daniel Berger 43 925 16
17 Collin Morikawa 37 909 17
18 Matthew Fitzpatrick 50 901 19
19 Viktor Hovland 41 895 20
20 Louis Oosthuizen 45 886 18
21 Billy Horschel 52 860 21
22 Harris English 53 857 24
23 Abraham Ancer 54 849 22
24 Paul Casey 45 845 25
25 Justin Rose 43 842 26
26 Jason Kokrak 48 838 27
27 Ryan Palmer 43 828 23
28 Kevin Kisner 52 825 28
29 Sungjae Im 65 818 29
30 Scottie Scheffler 36 792 31
31 Tiger Woods 24 790 30
32 Jason Day 43 761 33
33 Ian Poulter 49 757 32
34 Matthew Wolff 36 710 34
35 Shane Lowry 47 688 37
36 Joel Dahmen 52 684 40
37 Matt Kuchar 48 683 36
38 Bubba Watson 46 681 35
39 Rickie Fowler 41 680 38
40 Gary Woodland 45 678 39
41 Byeong Hun An 51 674 43
42 Rory Sabbatini 54 674 41
43 Joaquin Niemann 54 659 42
44 Corey Conners 55 657 46
45 Kevin Na 44 654 45
46 Cameron Smith 48 648 44
47 Erik Van Rooyen 50 647 48
48 Francesco Molinari 27 635 47
49 Jordan Spieth 45 631 49
50 Sergio Garcia 46 626 50
51 Brandt Snedeker 46 621 51
52 Brian Harman 56 621 52
53 Ryan Moore 33 618 54
54 Russell Henley 47 618 53
55 Lanto Griffin 37 615 55
56 Alex Noren 48 614 56
57 Lucas Glover 50 595 59
58 Marc Leishman 45 584 57
59 Henrik Stenson 40 580 58
60 Cameron Tringale 43 579 60
61 JT Poston 55 561 63
62 Chez Reavie 54 558 62
63 Sebastian Munoz 56 550 61
64 Doc Redman 36 543 64
65 Mac Hughes 50 539 67
66 Brendon Todd 47 539 65
67 Lee Westwood 41 536 79
68 Charles Howell 50 536 66
69 Kevin Streelman 52 532 68
70 Sam Burns 45 532 70
71 Talor Gooch 46 531 69
72 Adam Long 57 528 72
73 Dylan Frittelli 54 522 74
74 Zach Johnson 41 522 75
75 Bud Cauley 42 521 76
76 Matt Wallace 54 518 71
77 Scott Piercy 45 513 77
78 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 31 512 78
79 Will Zalatoris 13 511 80
80 Harold Varner 51 509 73
81 Rafa Cabrera Bello 53 502 81
82 Victor Perez 38 496 88
83 Bernd Wiesberger 44 494 82
84 Adam Hadwin 45 484 84
85 Danny Willett 49 479 83
86 Cameron Champ 49 478 85
87 Vaughn Taylor 48 473 86
88 Carlos Ortiz 52 473 89
89 Si Woo Kim 56 470 87
90 Wyndham Clark 51 470 90
91 Robert MacIntyre 43 466 91
92 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 48 461 96
93 Max Homa 48 461 93
94 Charley Hoffman 50 456 94
95 Martin Kaymer 43 455 99
96 James Hahn 22 453 97
97 Jim Furyk 32 453 92
98 Maverick McNealy 33 448 98
99 Keegan Bradley 51 441 100
100 Thomas Pieters 38 440 95
101 Emiliano Grillo 49 426 101
102 Mark Hubbard 36 419 103
103 Jonas Blixt 21 418 102
104 Andrew Putnam 48 416 105
105 Russell Knox 53 415 104
106 Sepp Straka 55 415 106
107 Brendan Steele 44 414 107
108 Andrew Johnston 23 414 108
109 Tom Lewis 45 410 109
110 Denny McCarthy 54 407 110
111 Paul Waring 36 403 111
112 Matthew NeSmith 33 403 112
113 Tom Hoge 60 399 117
114 Sung Kang 53 397 113
115 Harry Higgs 34 396 114
116 Brian Stuard 55 393 116
117 Peter Malnati 49 392 115
118 Wesley Bryan 8 388 118
119 Danny Lee 50 388 119
120 Matt Jones 53 374 120
121 Matthias Schwab 46 372 123
122 Troy Merritt 50 370 122
123 Henrik Norlander 34 368 124
124 Jhonattan Vegas 45 367 121
125 Cameron Davis 51 353 128
126 Andy Sullivan 43 349 143
127 Graeme McDowell 48 348 126
128 Aaron Wise 44 348 130
129 Nick Taylor 48 348 129
130 Michael Thompson 44 348 127
131 Andrew Landry 49 347 131
132 Eddie Pepperell 38 346 125
133 Kyle Stanley 49 344 132
134 Chesson Hadley 47 339 134
135 Nate Lashley 46 339 135
136 Martin Laird 40 339 133
137 Stewart Cink 37 339 136
138 Phil Mickelson 41 335 137
139 Adam Schenk 58 334 139
140 Marcus Kinhult 40 333 138
141 Patrick Rodgers 48 333 141
142 Robby Shelton 34 332 140
143 John Huh 23 331 144
144 Kurt Kitayama 41 329 148
145 Nick Watney 44 329 142
146 Thomas Detry 47 329 145
147 Xinjun Zhang 36 328 146
148 Pat Perez 42 326 147
149 Brice Garnett 50 326 149
150 JB Holmes 32 319 150
151 CT Pan 50 319 151
152 Scott Stallings 48 316 152
153 Charl Schwartzel 33 314 155
154 Will Gordon 20 313 153
155 Haotong Li 44 309 154
156 Richy Werenski 49 308 158
157 Luke List 49 307 156
158 Keith Mitchell 50 307 157
159 Ryan Armour 52 299 159
160 Brian Gay 49 297 160
161 Patton Kizzire 48 297 161
162 Lucas Herbert 33 294 163
163 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 40 291 162
164 Roger Sloan 48 285 165
165 Seamus Power 40 283 167
166 Camilo Villegas 10 282 169
167 Gavin Green 44 280 164
168 Kevin Tway 50 277 180
169 Jim Knous 16 277 170
170 Joost Luiten 48 277 168
171 Benjamin Hebert 43 275 166
172 Robert Streb 49 275 175
173 KH Lee 58 273 172
174 Scott Brown 51 271 173
175 Romain Langasque 41 271 177
176 Tyler Duncan 61 270 179
177 Doug Ghim 30 270 176
178 Victor Dubuisson 26 270 178
179 Adri Arnaus 46 269 188
180 Branden Grace 53 269 187
181 Sami Valimaki 20 266 215
182 Jordan Smith 45 266 174
183 Austin Cook 45 263 182
184 Beau Hossler 54 261 183
185 Steve Stricker 20 260 171
186 Aaron Rai 43 259 181
187 Hank Lebioda 49 253 184
188 Kalle Samooja 42 253 191
189 Shawn Stefani 36 252 185
190 Joakim Lagergren 38 248 189
191 Ryan Fox 42 244 190
192 Jorge Campillo 47 240 186
193 Bronson Burgoon 43 240 194
194 Cameron Percy 27 237 197
195 Justin Suh 16 236 198
196 Kristoffer Ventura 31 235 196
197 Ross Fisher 41 234 192
198 Andrea Pavan 48 231 199
199 George Coetzee 41 231 202
200 Justin Harding 53 229 193
201 Hudson Swafford 33 229 200
202 Trey Mullinax 23 229 195
203 Zac Blair 32 226 205
204 Scott Jamieson 41 222 201
205 David Lipsky 33 222 203
206 Roberto Castro 29 221 206
207 Richie Ramsay 44 221 208
208 Thorbjorn Olesen 28 217 209
209 Sam Horsfield 43 217 204
210 Jason Dufner 45 215 210
211 Bo Hoag 33 215 213
212 Jason Scrivener 45 215 211
213 Sam Ryder 50 214 212
214 Renato Paratore 49 213 207
215 Stephan Jaeger 29 213 214
216 Fabian Gomez 47 213 217
217 Chase Seiffert 28 212 216
218 Jimmy Walker 42 210 221
219 Joachim B Hansen 46 210 218
220 Wes Roach 39 210 219
221 Tyler McCumber 28 210 222
222 Roberto Diaz 29 209 220
223 Josh Teater 41 209 224
224 Richard Sterne 27 206 223
225 Padraig Harrington 34 204 227
226 Alex Prugh 27 204 225
227 Joey Garber 26 203 226
228 David Hearn 43 200 230
229 Matthew Jordan 26 200 235
230 Michael Gligic 29 200 233
231 Laurie Canter 22 200 305
232 MJ Daffue 10 199 228
233 Zander Lombard 44 199 238
234 Peter Uihlein 45 199 236
235 Zack Sucher 29 199 231
236 Jeunghun Wang 36 198 241
237 Adam Svensson 27 198 234
238 Matthew Southgate 45 197 239
239 Rob Oppenheim 33 197 240
240 Chris Stroud 43 197 232
241 Guido Migliozzi 41 196 242
242 Seung-yul Noh 10 196 237
243 Lucas Bjerregaard 45 195 229
244 Kramer Hickok 47 194 244
245 Mikko Korhonen 37 192 246
246 Aaron Baddeley 38 192 243
247 Shaun Norris 35 191 261
248 Masahiro Kawamura 50 191 265
249 Matt Every 39 190 245
250 Billy Hurley 17 189 247
251 DJ Trahan 39 186 249
252 Joseph Bramlett 30 186 250
253 Dean Burmester 49 184 282
254 Curtis Luck 24 183 248
255 Chris Kirk 30 183 251
256 Robert Rock 35 182 255
257 Sang-hyun Park 19 181 252
258 Sebastian Soderberg 43 180 254
259 Kelly Kraft 32 180 253
260 Hugo Leon 26 179 256
261 Vincent Whaley 24 178 259
262 Callum Shinkwin 39 178 260
263 JJ Spaun 45 178 257
264 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 177 262
265 Jack Singh Brar 35 176 263
266 Anirban Lahiri 39 175 268
267 Brandon Hagy 35 175 270
268 Jamie Donaldson 35 174 269
269 Nino Bertasio 37 173 267
270 David Horsey 41 173 264
271 Wade Ormsby 38 173 271
272 Jonathan Byrd 33 172 266
273 Jazz Janewattananond 39 171 258
274 Brandon Stone 44 170 288
275 Ben Martin 21 170 275
276 Antoine Rozner 25 170 277
277 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 25 168 273
278 Pablo Larrazabal 45 168 272
279 Dawie van der Walt 10 167 279
280 Alexander Bjork 39 167 278
281 Scott Harrington 33 166 280
282 Jeff Winther 39 164 281
283 Sean Crocker 43 164 301
284 Brandon Wu 13 163 284
285 Jim Herman 43 163 283
286 Rasmus Hojgaard 20 162 274
287 Marcus Armitage 23 160 276
288 Johnson Wagner 33 160 287
289 Edoardo Molinari 42 160 286
290 Sean O’Hair 15 159 345
291 George McNeill 22 158 291
292 Chris Paisley 43 157 290
293 Sam Saunders 27 157 289
294 Grant Forrest 44 155 285
295 Garrick Higgo 15 154 341
296 Ollie Schniederjans 33 152 292
297 Ted Potter 43 150 293
298 Luke Donald 34 150 294
299 Brad Kennedy 15 150 295
300 Akshay Bhatia 11 147 297
301 Chris Baker 27 146 296
302 Bill Haas 38 145 298
303 Calum Hill 26 144 300
304 Shubhankar Sharma 49 144 302
305 Grayson Murray 31 144 306
306 Adrian Otaegui 50 143 326
307 Matthieu Pavon 47 143 299
308 Francesco Laporta 19 143 308
309 Sebastian Cappelen 28 143 307
310 KJ Choi 22 142 303
311 Mark Anderson 26 141 309
312 Tim Wilkinson 25 141 311
313 Fabrizio Zanotti 32 140 304
314 Wil Besseling 23 140 310
315 Connor Syme 29 138 315
316 Cody Gribble 24 135 313
317 Andres Romero 25 134 316
318 Ernie Els 26 133 312
319 Lorenzo Gagli 43 133 318
320 Boo Weekley 16 132 317
321 Wilco Nienaber 25 132 336
322 John Catlin 38 131 314
323 Shugo Imahira 31 131 319
324 Carl Yuan 9 130 320
325 Jung-gon Hwang 13 128 321
326 Niklas Lemke 42 128 322
327 Ashun Wu 40 128 323
328 Takumi Kanaya 13 126 324
329 Johannes Veerman 35 125 325
330 Sebastian Heisele 17 123 327
331 Ashley Chesters 44 122 328
332 Scott Hend 46 121 329
333 Dominic Bozzelli 39 120 331
334 Min Woo Lee 31 119 330
335 Nicolas Colsaerts 46 117 333
336 Steven Brown 49 117 335
337 Chase Wright 27 116 334
338 Thongchai Jaidee 18 116 332
339 Ricky Barnes 23 115 337
340 Hennie du Plessis 8 112 338
341 Julian Suri 34 110 339
342 Sihwan Kim 34 109 343
343 Ryan Blaum 31 109 340
344 Bradley Dredge 24 108 342
345 Kevin Chappell 22 108 344
346 Richard Bland 22 107 346
347 Louis de Jager 39 106 347
348 Ryan Brehm 26 106 348
349 James Morrison 46 106 349
350 Rikard Karlberg 29 105 350
351 Craig Howie 11 104 351
352 Alex Cejka 30 104 353
353 Adrien Saddier 38 103 354
354 Brandon Harkins 30 103 352
355 Chan Kim 21 101 357
356 Nacho Elvira 45 101 355
357 Robert Karlsson 25 101 358
358 Jack Senior 31 101 360
359 Oliver Wilson 43 100 356
360 Scott Vincent 39 100 359
361 Bernd Ritthammer 32 98 362
362 Tom Lovelady 12 98 361
363 Rikuya Hoshino 22 97 363
364 Kyle Jones 27 96 364
365 Marc Warren 32 96 392
366 Kyung-nam Kang 13 95 366
367 Justin Walters 50 95 365
368 Adrian Meronk 23 94 368
369 Kristoffer Reitan 31 94 371
370 Alexander Levy 41 93 370
371 Espen Kofstad 18 93 369
372 Jamie Arnold 8 93 374
373 Alvaro Quiros 42 93 367
374 Ben Crane 20 92 373
375 Nicholas Lindheim 21 92 372
376 Gunn Charoenkul 14 91 377
377 Darren Fichardt 30 91 376
378 Lee Slattery 39 91 378
379 Satoshi Kodaira 39 91 379
380 Alejandro Canizares 38 91 381
381 Julien Guerrier 22 90 383
382 Clement Sordet 35 90 380
383 Seung-su Han 18 89 384
384 Benjamin Silverman 28 89 382
385 Hideto Tanihara 33 88 388
386 Tyrone van Aswegen 15 88 389
387 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 39 88 387
388 Soren Kjeldsen 40 87 385
389 Travis Smyth 14 87 393
390 Scott Langley 28 87 375
391 Tapio Pulkkanen 45 87 391
392 Maximilian Kieffer 41 86 386
393 Hiroyuki Fujita 18 86 394
394 Jaco Ahlers 8 86 396
395 Brendan Jones 11 85 397
396 Julian Etulain 28 85 390
397 Romain Wattel 38 85 398
398 Lasse Jensen 10 84 395
399 John Chin 22 84 401
400 Oliver Fisher 45 83 399
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Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.