Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Oct. 11, 2020)

October 12, 2020 Thomas Hawley

Despite some mediocre play, Rory McIlroy remains no. 1 for the 64th straight week.
# Thru Oct. 11, 2020 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Rory McIlroy 42 1697 1
2 Jon Rahm 45 1625 2
3 Justin Thomas 41 1465 3
4 Dustin Johnson 39 1439 4
5 Webb Simpson 39 1431 5
6 Xander Schauffele 43 1377 6
7 Patrick Cantlay 38 1337 7
8 Adam Scott 32 1238 8
9 Bryson DeChambeau 48 1210 10
10 Hideki Matsuyama 50 1188 9
11 Tommy Fleetwood 47 1068 11
12 Brooks Koepka 38 1049 12
13 Patrick Reed 59 1040 13
14 Tyrrell Hatton 41 1038 14
15 Tony Finau 53 1007 16
16 Tiger Woods 23 970 19
17 Collin Morikawa 33 968 15
18 Louis Oosthuizen 44 965 20
19 Daniel Berger 39 958 21
20 Justin Rose 43 956 18
21 Paul Casey 43 951 17
22 Matthew Fitzpatrick 49 928 22
23 Billy Horschel 50 913 23
24 Abraham Ancer 53 877 31
25 Jason Kokrak 45 875 24
26 Viktor Hovland 38 864 27
27 Jason Day 40 858 25
28 Matt Kuchar 47 858 26
29 Sungjae Im 63 843 34
30 Gary Woodland 45 842 28
31 Kevin Kisner 51 836 32
32 Matthew Wolff 32 832 38
33 Ryan Palmer 41 824 30
34 Ian Poulter 48 821 35
35 Scottie Scheffler 33 811 29
36 Rickie Fowler 40 793 33
37 Harris English 52 755 37
38 Byeong Hun An 50 743 39
39 Francesco Molinari 27 738 36
40 Rory Sabbatini 53 721 40
41 Jordan Spieth 43 716 42
42 Henrik Stenson 38 703 45
43 Shane Lowry 47 700 46
44 Sergio Garcia 47 698 41
45 Joel Dahmen 51 689 43
46 Brandt Snedeker 46 686 44
47 Marc Leishman 42 672 47
48 Lucas Glover 49 656 49
49 Kevin Na 43 654 48
50 Bubba Watson 44 652 51
51 Erik Van Rooyen 53 652 50
52 Alex Noren 46 645 53
53 Joaquin Niemann 52 630 58
54 Chez Reavie 53 630 52
55 Brian Harman 55 630 59
56 Matt Wallace 54 623 54
57 JT Poston 55 615 56
58 Ryan Moore 35 605 63
59 Lee Westwood 38 604 61
60 Doc Redman 33 597 55
61 Brendon Todd 41 594 64
62 Rafa Cabrera Bello 52 588 57
63 Kevin Streelman 51 584 62
64 Charles Howell 50 583 66
65 Adam Hadwin 43 581 65
66 Lanto Griffin 32 579 60
67 Corey Conners 53 574 67
68 Will Zalatoris 11 572 113
69 Harold Varner 52 559 73
70 Mac Hughes 48 558 70
71 Cameron Tringale 42 553 72
72 Danny Willett 46 548 69
73 Scott Piercy 43 544 74
74 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 34 536 68
75 Russell Henley 45 536 76
76 Cameron Smith 48 531 77
77 Jim Furyk 35 528 75
78 Vaughn Taylor 48 526 71
79 Wesley Bryan 10 525 79
80 Bud Cauley 45 521 78
81 Sebastian Munoz 54 519 80
82 Zach Johnson 40 510 90
83 Adam Long 54 498 88
84 Sam Burns 48 496 84
85 Dylan Frittelli 55 495 85
86 Si Woo Kim 56 493 98
87 Charley Hoffman 49 490 82
88 Robert MacIntyre 41 488 83
89 James Hahn 22 487 136
90 Thomas Pieters 40 486 81
91 Victor Perez 38 478 106
92 Talor Gooch 44 477 87
93 Brendan Steele 42 476 89
94 Max Homa 48 474 91
95 Paul Waring 34 474 86
96 Andrew Putnam 45 473 92
97 Martin Kaymer 44 472 101
98 Sung Kang 51 471 93
99 Bernd Wiesberger 42 465 94
100 Keegan Bradley 50 455 95
101 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 47 454 99
102 Jonas Blixt 25 452 102
103 Brian Stuard 55 451 96
104 Wyndham Clark 52 448 116
105 Tom Lewis 45 447 100
106 Mark Hubbard 31 444 97
107 Jhonattan Vegas 45 440 104
108 Eddie Pepperell 35 438 120
109 Peter Malnati 50 431 132
110 Henrik Norlander 32 430 103
111 Graeme McDowell 47 427 111
112 Emiliano Grillo 49 426 110
113 Maverick McNealy 30 423 105
114 Cameron Champ 50 423 107
115 Russell Knox 53 422 108
116 Michael Thompson 42 416 114
117 Harry Higgs 30 416 109
118 Denny McCarthy 54 414 112
119 Matthias Schwab 45 408 117
120 Phil Mickelson 38 407 119
121 Troy Merritt 49 400 121
122 Sepp Straka 53 396 126
123 Nick Taylor 49 395 118
124 Carlos Ortiz 52 391 122
125 Andrew Johnston 27 390 134
126 Will Gordon 16 390 115
127 Matt Jones 54 388 128
128 Danny Lee 49 387 125
129 Luke List 48 385 123
130 Haotong Li 46 383 124
131 Martin Laird 42 381 169
132 Matthew NeSmith 31 380 155
133 Nick Watney 43 380 129
134 Pat Perez 41 379 127
135 Xinjun Zhang 34 369 130
136 Keith Mitchell 48 365 131
137 Scott Stallings 48 363 133
138 Marcus Kinhult 40 362 151
139 Adam Schenk 58 362 143
140 Andy Sullivan 43 358 157
141 Patrick Rodgers 48 357 135
142 Tom Hoge 59 357 149
143 Cameron Davis 54 357 139
144 Nate Lashley 44 356 138
145 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 42 351 137
146 Robby Shelton 31 350 148
147 Joost Luiten 45 346 140
148 Thomas Detry 47 345 141
149 Chesson Hadley 46 341 142
150 Ryan Armour 51 339 145
151 Gavin Green 42 336 147
152 Stewart Cink 35 334 146
153 JB Holmes 33 331 144
154 Brice Garnett 49 329 152
155 KH Lee 57 328 150
156 Jordan Smith 44 322 165
157 Kyle Stanley 49 322 153
158 Andrew Landry 47 319 164
159 Seamus Power 43 315 159
160 Benjamin Hebert 42 313 154
161 Richy Werenski 50 311 156
162 Charl Schwartzel 33 306 158
163 Kurt Kitayama 45 303 160
164 CT Pan 50 299 162
165 Kristoffer Ventura 28 295 161
166 Brian Gay 51 292 168
167 Jorge Campillo 46 292 166
168 Scott Brown 52 292 167
169 Aaron Wise 42 291 163
170 Trey Mullinax 26 291 173
171 Kevin Tway 47 288 171
172 Romain Langasque 42 286 172
173 Lucas Herbert 37 285 170
174 Roger Sloan 49 281 178
175 Beau Hossler 52 281 183
176 Aaron Rai 42 281 174
177 Jim Knous 18 281 180
178 Thorbjorn Olesen 28 280 182
179 Victor Dubuisson 27 280 181
180 Austin Cook 44 278 235
181 Justin Harding 54 276 175
182 Branden Grace 53 275 177
183 Richard Sterne 29 273 184
184 Hank Lebioda 48 272 185
185 Hudson Swafford 34 270 176
186 Shawn Stefani 39 268 191
187 Tyler Duncan 59 265 186
188 Lucas Bjerregaard 47 265 179
189 Jason Dufner 44 262 187
190 Justin Suh 15 260 356
191 Ross Fisher 40 259 201
192 Matt Every 38 258 192
193 Sam Horsfield 42 258 188
194 Scott Jamieson 37 257 190
195 Adri Arnaus 45 256 196
196 Chase Seiffert 25 255 189
197 Cameron Percy 25 255 195
198 David Lipsky 37 254 194
199 Joakim Lagergren 39 251 200
200 Andrea Pavan 51 250 193
201 Doug Ghim 29 245 203
202 Aaron Baddeley 37 243 205
203 Patton Kizzire 49 242 212
204 Kalle Samooja 41 242 202
205 Ryan Fox 48 241 211
206 Sam Ryder 50 240 199
207 Roberto Castro 32 239 206
208 Jason Scrivener 47 238 197
209 George Coetzee 44 238 198
210 Roberto Diaz 32 237 208
211 Richie Ramsay 41 236 215
212 Renato Paratore 49 235 240
213 Jimmy Walker 40 233 204
214 Kelly Kraft 32 231 209
215 Tyler McCumber 26 229 207
216 Matthew Jordan 22 227 213
217 Stephan Jaeger 33 224 214
218 Fabian Gomez 46 224 210
219 Rob Oppenheim 31 221 248
220 Peter Uihlein 46 219 219
221 Chris Stroud 46 219 218
222 Seung-yul Noh 10 218 223
223 Zack Sucher 28 218 224
224 Joey Garber 27 216 230
225 Wes Roach 41 216 231
226 Zander Lombard 44 216 229
227 Steve Stricker 19 216 228
228 Josh Teater 43 215 233
229 Jonathan Byrd 33 213 226
230 Bronson Burgoon 41 213 221
231 Curtis Luck 29 213 225
232 Robert Streb 51 212 232
233 Joachim B Hansen 46 212 261
234 Zac Blair 32 212 217
235 DJ Trahan 38 210 234
236 Alex Prugh 31 210 237
237 Mikko Korhonen 38 210 216
238 Pablo Larrazabal 44 210 244
239 Jazz Janewattananond 37 208 220
240 Sami Valimaki 16 208 288
241 Joseph Bramlett 27 207 241
242 David Hearn 42 205 239
243 Matthew Southgate 46 203 243
244 Billy Hurley 18 203 242
245 David Horsey 37 203 265
246 Alexander Bjork 41 202 227
247 JJ Spaun 46 202 238
248 Michael Gligic 26 201 266
249 Bo Hoag 29 200 236
250 Rasmus Hojgaard 16 200 222
251 John Huh 24 200 344
252 Adam Svensson 31 197 250
253 Guido Migliozzi 42 197 246
254 Padraig Harrington 34 196 249
255 Scott Harrington 29 193 245
256 Robert Rock 36 189 251
257 Wade Ormsby 41 187 252
258 Masahiro Kawamura 48 186 273
259 Nino Bertasio 36 184 253
260 Sebastian Soderberg 41 183 256
261 Kramer Hickok 49 183 260
262 Jeff Winther 38 183 254
263 Chris Paisley 44 181 257
264 Grant Forrest 42 180 269
265 Luke Donald 31 179 258
266 Fabrizio Zanotti 31 177 255
267 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 29 176 267
268 Brandon Hagy 34 175 271
269 Jeunghun Wang 40 175 268
270 Johnson Wagner 33 173 272
271 Hugo Leon 26 173 275
272 Ben Martin 20 172 276
273 Dean Burmester 48 172 262
274 Vincent Whaley 21 169 277
275 Sang-hyun Park 24 169 278
276 Jamie Donaldson 28 168 280
277 Matthieu Pavon 45 168 289
278 George McNeill 22 167 281
279 Callum Shinkwin 35 167 270
280 Jack Singh Brar 39 165 274
281 Tim Wilkinson 23 165 284
282 Brandon Wu 13 163 285
283 KJ Choi 20 163 264
284 Ernie Els 31 162 283
285 Edoardo Molinari 45 161 282
286 Miguel Angel Jimenez 14 161 263
287 Akshay Bhatia 10 160 286
288 Sean O’Hair 16 160 259
289 Ted Potter 42 160 279
290 Shaun Norris 35 158 292
291 Antoine Rozner 20 157 294
292 Sam Saunders 30 157 293
293 Anirban Lahiri 43 156 291
294 Shubhankar Sharma 49 156 290
295 Connor Syme 25 155 298
296 Brandon Stone 45 155 287
297 Bill Haas 40 155 295
298 Calum Hill 21 154 299
299 Marcus Armitage 15 154 297
300 Scott Hend 46 153 339
301 Wil Besseling 16 152 302
302 Shugo Imahira 30 152 300
303 Jim Herman 43 150 303
304 Sean Crocker 41 150 301
305 Sebastian Cappelen 26 150 304
306 Lorenzo Gagli 42 149 296
307 Chris Baker 24 149 306
308 Laurie Canter 19 145 311
309 Chris Kirk 31 145 308
310 Brad Kennedy 17 144 312
311 Ollie Schniederjans 33 143 309
312 Mark Anderson 23 143 314
313 Dominic Bozzelli 41 142 313
314 Boo Weekley 16 141 315
315 Min Woo Lee 30 141 305
316 Adrian Otaegui 50 140 307
317 Jaco Ahlers 8 139 322
318 Grayson Murray 33 138 323
319 Ashun Wu 41 138 310
320 Garrick Higgo 9 137 377
321 Johannes Veerman 30 137 321
322 Ryan Blaum 34 136 317
323 Thongchai Jaidee 19 136 320
324 Francesco Laporta 16 135 325
325 Julian Suri 31 134 316
326 Jack Senior 26 134 326
327 Scott Langley 32 134 319
328 John Catlin 42 133 318
329 Cody Gribble 28 132 331
330 Nick Flanagan 8 130 330
331 Craig Howie 8 129 333
332 Oliver Wilson 41 129 324
333 Niklas Lemke 38 129 332
334 Alvaro Quiros 39 127 327
335 Jung-gon Hwang 16 127 334
336 Andres Romero 27 127 336
337 Ashley Chesters 46 125 329
338 Carl Yuan 9 125 340
339 Bradley Dredge 25 124 338
340 Nacho Elvira 43 123 337
341 Nicolas Colsaerts 47 122 335
342 Kevin Chappell 21 122 328
343 Gunn Charoenkul 11 121 342
344 Sebastian Heisele 13 120 343
345 Brandon Harkins 34 119 341
346 Chase Wright 31 117 345
347 Wilco Nienaber 19 116 346
348 Rikuya Hoshino 20 116 347
349 Rikard Karlberg 25 115 348
350 Steven Brown 46 114 374
351 Ricky Barnes 24 114 349
352 Takumi Kanaya 10 114 351
353 Clement Sordet 33 112 352
354 Alex Cejka 33 110 357
355 Darren Fichardt 32 110 350
356 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 36 109 359
357 Sihwan Kim 37 108 362
358 Tapio Pulkkanen 45 108 353
359 Vijay Singh 14 108 355
360 Alejandro Canizares 36 108 363
361 Nicholas Lindheim 23 107 360
362 Julian Etulain 30 107 361
363 Louis de Jager 36 106 365
364 Adrien Saddier 34 106 364
365 Soren Kjeldsen 41 105 354
366 Ryan Brehm 23 104 367
367 Adrian Meronk 16 104 368
368 Benjamin Silverman 30 103 369
369 Hiroyuki Fujita 17 103 371
370 Chan Kim 17 103 370
371 Maximilian Kieffer 41 103 358
372 Ewen Ferguson 17 102 373
373 Oliver Fisher 43 101 366
374 Tom Lovelady 14 101 372
375 Scott Vincent 38 100 376
376 Lee Slattery 40 100 379
377 Yuta Ikeda 24 100 378
378 Robert Karlsson 27 98 383
379 James Morrison 44 97 375
380 Brady Schnell 24 97 380
381 Alexander Levy 40 96 381
382 Daniel van Tonder 9 96 387
383 Espen Kofstad 21 96 386
384 Ben Crane 22 95 385
385 Lasse Jensen 10 95 384
386 Cormac Sharvin 18 94 388
387 Justin Walters 48 94 382
388 Darren Beck 8 93 389
389 Kyle Jones 31 92 391
390 Chip McDaniel 13 92 390
391 Dave Coupland 13 92 392
392 Rhein Gibson 26 91 395
393 Julien Guerrier 22 90 405
394 Kyung-nam Kang 16 90 401
395 Romain Wattel 34 90 400
396 Hideto Tanihara 33 90 398
397 Paul Dunne 36 90 393
398 Kristoffer Reitan 30 90 399
399 Jamie Arnold 9 89 404
400 Seung-su Han 21 89 402
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

October 5, 2020 Thomas Hawley ,
Webb Simpson
Webb Simpson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Webb Simpson 18.8 13
2 Patrick Cantlay 25.1 8
3 Bryson DeChambeau 27.7 8
4 Hideki Matsuyama 36.7 81
5 Harris English 41.2 81
6 Tony Finau 43.0 DNP
7 Collin Morikawa 44.9 67
8 Scottie Scheffler 45.0 67
9 Louis Oosthuizen 45.2 19
10 Paul Casey 47.8 81
11 Jason Kokrak 48.3 67
12 Matthew Wolff 48.7 2
13 Sungjae Im 52.9 13
14 Ryan Palmer 53.6 34
15 Jason Day 53.7 116
16 Abraham Ancer 54.1 4
17 Francesco Molinari 55.2 99
18 Joel Dahmen 55.8 58
19 Rickie Fowler 55.8 121
20 Russell Henley 56.6 27
21 Brian Harman 56.7 13
22 Matt Kuchar 56.7 34
23 Doc Redman 57.1 81
24 Sergio Garcia 57.1 43
25 Kevin Na 58.5 43
26 Zach Johnson 58.6 19
27 Charley Hoffman 58.6 121
28 Lanto Griffin 58.6 116
29 Harold Varner 58.7 13
30 Ryan Moore 59.2 DNP
31 Byeong Hun An 59.5 81
32 JT Poston 59.8 27
33 Lucas Glover 60.2 DNP
34 Cameron Davis 60.2 52
35 Brendan Steele 60.4 67
36 Joaquin Niemann 60.6 13
37 Cameron Smith 60.7 24
38 Sebastian Munoz 60.8 27
39 Chez Reavie 61.1 63
40 Kevin Streelman 61.5 67
41 Adam Hadwin 61.7 34
42 Brandt Snedeker 61.8 43
43 Rory Sabbatini 62.0 52
44 Rafa Cabrera Bello 62.1 81
45 Harry Higgs 62.2 67
46 Talor Gooch 62.2 107
47 Cameron Tringale 62.7 19
48 Charles Howell 62.8 34
49 Sam Burns 63.0 34
50 Maverick McNealy 63.2 121
51 Dylan Frittelli 63.3 34
52 Pat Perez 63.4 81
53 Keegan Bradley 63.5 81
54 Will Zalatoris 63.6 5
55 Scott Piercy 64.5 19
56 Max Homa 64.7 139
57 Denny McCarthy 64.9 57
58 Cameron Champ 65.1 107
59 Chesson Hadley 65.1 99
60 Stewart Cink 65.1 64
61 Si Woo Kim 65.1 8
62 Henrik Norlander 65.4 58
63 Brian Stuard 65.6 99
64 Russell Knox 65.9 81
65 Vaughn Taylor 65.9 67
66 Mark Hubbard 65.9 81
67 Scott Stallings 66.1 99
68 Patrick Rodgers 66.1 132
69 Emiliano Grillo 66.2 34
70 Peter Malnati 66.3 5
71 MJ Daffue 66.3 116
72 Danny Lee 66.3 121
73 Tom Lewis 66.4 43
74 James Hahn 66.4 5
75 Kristoffer Ventura 66.5 81
76 Luke List 66.6 107
77 Adam Schenk 66.7 27
78 Nick Taylor 66.8 107
79 Xinjun Zhang 67.0 67
80 Carlos Ortiz 67.2 67
81 Matt Jones 67.2 52
82 Sung Kang 67.3 43
83 Sepp Straka 67.5 43
84 Andrew Putnam 67.5 58
85 Richy Werenski 68.0 127
86 Tom Hoge 68.1 24
87 Jhonattan Vegas 68.2 DNP
88 Troy Merritt 68.2 43
89 Aaron Wise 68.3 107
90 Matthew NeSmith 68.3 8
91 Tyler Duncan 68.3 81
92 Wyndham Clark 68.4 13
93 Beau Hossler 68.4 34
94 Robby Shelton 68.5 34
95 Martin Laird 68.7 1
96 KH Lee 68.7 132
97 Nick Watney 68.8 127
98 Will Gordon 69.0 67
99 Keith Mitchell 69.1 81
100 JB Holmes 69.5 116
101 Nate Lashley 69.5 52
102 Charl Schwartzel 69.6 99
103 Ryan Armour 69.9 121
104 Brice Garnett 70.0 51
105 Kyle Stanley 70.0 139
106 Chase Seiffert 70.1 132
107 Andrew Landry 70.1 27
108 Cameron Percy 70.3 DNP
109 Jason Dufner 70.7 67
110 Sam Ryder 70.8 81
111 Hank Lebioda 70.9 DNP
112 Kevin Tway 70.9 81
113 Scott Brown 71.1 127
114 Rob Oppenheim 71.1 27
115 Brian Gay 71.2 81
116 Joseph Bramlett 71.2 43
117 CT Pan 71.3 52
118 Hudson Swafford 71.3 142
119 Patton Kizzire 71.5 24
120 Jimmy Walker 71.7 121
121 Scott Harrington 72.3 67
122 Robert Streb 72.3 DNP
123 Bronson Burgoon 72.3 58
124 Zac Blair 72.4 107
125 Fabian Gomez 72.4 81
126 Bo Hoag 72.7 107
127 Kevin Chappell 73.1 127
128 Tim Wilkinson 73.1 DNP
129 Austin Cook 73.3 2
130 Ted Potter 73.8 67
131 Sean O’Hair 75.1 99
132 Luke Donald 75.7 66
133 KJ Choi 76.0 81
134 John Huh 76.4 19
135 Martin Trainer 76.9 143
136 Camilo Villegas 76.9 99
137 Justin Suh 77.0 8
138 Bo Van Pelt 77.5 107
139 Satoshi Kodaira 79.6 127
140 Jamie Lovemark 79.8 67
141 Smylie Kaufman 80.8 DNP
142 Hunter Mahan 80.8 58
143 Greg Chalmers 81.2 DNP
144 Graham DeLaet 81.9 138
145 William McGirt 81.9 DNP
146 DA Points 82.1 116
147 Parker Coody 82.2 132
148 Craig Hocknull 82.2 107
149 Michael Kim 82.2 99
150 Kevin Stadler 82.2 132
Michael Gligic late entry 33
George Markham late entry 64
Spencer Levin late entry 136
Tyler McCumber late entry 139
Matt Wilson late entry 143
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 18. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

BMW PGA Championship

October 5, 2020 Thomas Hawley ,
Tyrrell Hatton
Tyrrell Hatton
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Tyrrell Hatton 39.0 1
2 Tommy Fleetwood 45.6 13
3 Matthew Fitzpatrick 49.3 7
4 Ian Poulter 50.3 5
5 Justin Rose 50.9 37
6 Erik Van Rooyen 55.2 27
7 Lee Westwood 56.8 18
8 Shane Lowry 57.8 13
9 Thomas Pieters 59.9 62
10 Danny Willett 60.4 32
11 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 62.4 81
12 Matt Wallace 62.5 24
13 Bernd Wiesberger 62.9 40
14 Robert MacIntyre 63.1 58
15 Martin Kaymer 63.1 10
16 Paul Waring 64.0 99
17 Andrew Johnston 64.9 18
18 Benjamin Hebert 65.5 68
19 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 65.7 40
20 Joost Luiten 65.7 86
21 Gavin Green 66.0 48
22 Victor Perez 66.2 2
23 Andy Sullivan 66.2 3
24 Marcus Kinhult 66.9 10
25 Thomas Detry 67.0 48
26 Lucas Herbert 67.2 108
27 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 67.6 40
28 Jorge Campillo 68.1 108
29 Haotong Li 68.1 114
30 Matthias Schwab 68.3 37
31 Branden Grace 68.5 108
32 Ross Fisher 68.5 20
33 Graeme McDowell 68.6 24
34 Eddie Pepperell 68.7 6
35 Scott Jamieson 68.7 91
36 Joakim Lagergren 68.9 32
37 Jordan Smith 68.9 13
38 Victor Dubuisson 69.1 32
39 Romain Langasque 69.7 58
40 Mikko Korhonen 69.7 68
41 George Coetzee 69.7 116
42 Sam Horsfield 69.7 103
43 Aaron Rai 69.9 68
44 Richie Ramsay 70.0 20
45 Kalle Samooja 70.2 48
46 Adri Arnaus 70.7 32
47 Dean Burmester 70.7 68
48 Renato Paratore 70.9 7
49 Ryan Fox 71.2 20
50 Jason Scrivener 71.2 68
51 Kurt Kitayama 71.5 68
52 Justin Harding 71.5 86
53 David Horsey 71.8 13
54 Matthew Southgate 71.9 44
55 Robert Rock 72.0 48
56 Sebastian Soderberg 72.2 91
57 Masahiro Kawamura 72.2 20
58 Lucas Bjerregaard 72.3 81
59 John Catlin 72.3 86
60 Wade Ormsby 72.3 54
61 Fabrizio Zanotti 72.4 62
62 Guido Migliozzi 72.4 81
63 Brandon Stone 72.5 91
64 Thorbjorn Olesen 72.6 27
65 Rasmus Hojgaard 72.7 68
66 Pablo Larrazabal 72.7 27
67 Joachim B Hansen 72.7 7
68 Grant Forrest 72.7 32
69 Callum Shinkwin 72.7 86
70 Andrea Pavan 72.9 117
71 Jeff Winther 72.9 112
72 Jack Singh Brar 73.2 WD
73 Lorenzo Gagli 73.3 68
74 Nino Bertasio 73.3 108
75 Nicolas Colsaerts 73.4 103
76 Matthieu Pavon 73.5 27
77 Sean Crocker 73.5 44
78 Adrian Otaegui 73.7 68
79 Chris Paisley 73.7 81
80 Min Woo Lee 73.7 91
81 Alexander Bjork 73.7 91
82 Ashun Wu 73.9 103
83 Scott Hend 73.9 10
84 Edoardo Molinari 74.1 91
85 Julian Suri 74.1 112
86 Shubhankar Sharma 74.2 48
87 Soren Kjeldsen 74.2 65
88 Calum Hill 74.2 DNP
89 Jeunghun Wang 74.3 44
90 Francesco Laporta 74.5 DNP
91 Alvaro Quiros 74.6 91
92 Jazz Janewattananond 74.6 68
93 Maximilian Kieffer 74.6 68
94 James Morrison 74.6 68
95 Ashley Chesters 74.6 86
96 Padraig Harrington 74.6 40
97 Nacho Elvira 74.9 54
98 Steven Brown 74.9 24
99 Julien Guerrier 75.0 44
100 Stephen Gallacher 75.1 60
101 Alexander Levy 75.1 48
102 Miguel Angel Jimenez 75.2 81
103 Justin Walters 75.2 99
104 Oliver Fisher 75.4 67
105 Oliver Wilson 75.4 99
106 Tapio Pulkkanen 75.5 54
107 Sami Valimaki 75.6 13
108 David Drysdale 75.6 103
109 Thomas Bjorn 75.8 WD
110 Graeme Storm 76.2 WD
111 Haydn Porteous 76.4 114
112 David Law 76.8 68
113 Richard McEvoy 76.8 99
114 David Howell 77.2 65
115 Marc Warren 77.4 91
116 Raphael Jacquelin 77.6 DNP
117 Garrick Higgo 78.2 27
118 Chris Wood 78.9 DNP
119 Gaganjeet Bhullar 79.2 103
120 Peter Hanson 79.2 DNP
121 Thomas Aiken 79.4 60
122 Joel Stalter 81.0 62
123 Kristoffer Broberg 81.6 57
124 Michael Bullen 82.2 37
125 Michael Campbell 82.2 DNP
Patrick Reed late entry 3
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 378. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Oct. 4, 2020)

October 5, 2020 Thomas Hawley

Despite some mediocre play, Rory McIlroy remains no. 1 for the 63rd straight week.
# Thru OCT. 4, 2020 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Rory McIlroy 42 1700 1
2 Jon Rahm 45 1626 2
3 Justin Thomas 42 1466 3
4 Dustin Johnson 39 1442 4
5 Webb Simpson 38 1437 5
6 Xander Schauffele 44 1377 6
7 Patrick Cantlay 37 1329 7
8 Adam Scott 33 1241 8
9 Hideki Matsuyama 50 1230 9
10 Bryson DeChambeau 47 1196 10
11 Tommy Fleetwood 46 1082 11
12 Brooks Koepka 39 1055 12
13 Patrick Reed 58 1032 13
14 Tyrrell Hatton 41 1026 14
15 Collin Morikawa 32 1012 15
16 Tony Finau 53 1006 16
17 Paul Casey 43 993 17
18 Justin Rose 42 992 18
19 Tiger Woods 23 975 19
20 Louis Oosthuizen 44 965 20
21 Daniel Berger 39 956 21
22 Matthew Fitzpatrick 48 927 22
23 Billy Horschel 51 912 24
24 Jason Kokrak 45 912 23
25 Jason Day 40 901 25
26 Matt Kuchar 46 883 26
27 Viktor Hovland 38 861 28
28 Gary Woodland 46 848 29
29 Scottie Scheffler 32 848 27
30 Ryan Palmer 41 847 30
31 Abraham Ancer 53 843 31
32 Kevin Kisner 51 838 34
33 Rickie Fowler 39 835 33
34 Sungjae Im 63 830 32
35 Ian Poulter 48 817 35
36 Francesco Molinari 26 802 36
37 Harris English 51 777 39
38 Matthew Wolff 31 775 38
39 Byeong Hun An 50 767 37
40 Rory Sabbatini 52 741 41
41 Sergio Garcia 47 723 46
42 Jordan Spieth 43 715 43
43 Joel Dahmen 51 714 42
44 Brandt Snedeker 46 702 45
45 Henrik Stenson 38 702 40
46 Shane Lowry 47 698 44
47 Marc Leishman 43 678 48
48 Kevin Na 43 670 50
49 Lucas Glover 49 662 47
50 Erik Van Rooyen 52 660 53
51 Bubba Watson 44 656 51
52 Chez Reavie 53 655 49
53 Alex Noren 47 643 54
54 Matt Wallace 53 634 52
55 Doc Redman 32 626 56
56 JT Poston 54 616 67
57 Rafa Cabrera Bello 52 612 55
58 Joaquin Niemann 52 607 60
59 Brian Harman 55 606 57
60 Lanto Griffin 31 605 59
61 Lee Westwood 38 603 58
62 Kevin Streelman 50 602 61
63 Ryan Moore 36 602 62
64 Brendon Todd 41 593 65
65 Adam Hadwin 43 593 64
66 Charles Howell 50 592 63
67 Corey Conners 53 574 70
68 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 33 569 66
69 Danny Willett 46 558 68
70 Mac Hughes 48 556 72
71 Vaughn Taylor 47 546 69
72 Cameron Tringale 41 535 73
73 Harold Varner 51 535 76
74 Scott Piercy 43 535 71
75 Jim Furyk 35 534 75
76 Russell Henley 44 531 77
77 Cameron Smith 48 527 78
78 Bud Cauley 45 522 80
79 Wesley Bryan 10 516 124
80 Sebastian Munoz 53 513 85
81 Thomas Pieters 39 513 74
82 Charley Hoffman 49 508 96
83 Robert MacIntyre 40 505 89
84 Sam Burns 47 500 81
85 Dylan Frittelli 54 498 82
86 Paul Waring 34 498 79
87 Talor Gooch 43 496 84
88 Adam Long 54 496 83
89 Brendan Steele 42 495 88
90 Zach Johnson 39 492 91
91 Max Homa 47 491 90
92 Andrew Putnam 45 489 87
93 Sung Kang 51 486 86
94 Bernd Wiesberger 41 473 93
95 Keegan Bradley 49 472 107
96 Brian Stuard 55 465 95
97 Mark Hubbard 30 464 92
98 Si Woo Kim 56 464 99
99 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 47 462 98
100 Tom Lewis 44 458 97
101 Martin Kaymer 43 453 100
102 Jonas Blixt 25 450 104
103 Henrik Norlander 31 448 130
104 Jhonattan Vegas 46 443 101
105 Maverick McNealy 29 443 115
106 Victor Perez 37 440 113
107 Cameron Champ 49 439 106
108 Russell Knox 53 437 103
109 Harry Higgs 29 436 109
110 Emiliano Grillo 49 428 108
111 Graeme McDowell 47 428 105
112 Denny McCarthy 53 425 131
113 Will Zalatoris 10 422 94
114 Michael Thompson 42 422 114
115 Will Gordon 15 421 102
116 Wyndham Clark 51 418 110
117 Matthias Schwab 44 415 111
118 Nick Taylor 48 412 112
119 Phil Mickelson 38 410 121
120 Eddie Pepperell 34 409 132
121 Troy Merritt 49 406 117
122 Carlos Ortiz 51 404 119
123 Luke List 47 403 118
124 Haotong Li 45 403 128
125 Danny Lee 49 401 126
126 Sepp Straka 52 400 122
127 Pat Perez 41 400 116
128 Matt Jones 53 398 120
129 Nick Watney 43 394 123
130 Xinjun Zhang 33 386 127
131 Keith Mitchell 48 384 125
132 Peter Malnati 49 383 149
133 Scott Stallings 48 378 148
134 Andrew Johnston 27 373 129
135 Patrick Rodgers 47 373 134
136 James Hahn 22 371 138
137 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 41 366 133
138 Nate Lashley 43 365 136
139 Cameron Davis 53 363 152
140 Joost Luiten 45 363 141
141 Thomas Detry 46 356 142
142 Chesson Hadley 46 355 137
143 Adam Schenk 57 355 144
144 JB Holmes 33 354 135
145 Ryan Armour 51 353 140
146 Stewart Cink 35 349 160
147 Gavin Green 42 346 143
148 Robby Shelton 30 345 139
149 Tom Hoge 59 343 150
150 KH Lee 57 339 147
151 Marcus Kinhult 40 338 162
152 Brice Garnett 49 337 146
153 Kyle Stanley 49 334 145
154 Benjamin Hebert 41 325 157
155 Matthew NeSmith 30 324 172
156 Richy Werenski 49 323 151
157 Andy Sullivan 42 323 153
158 Charl Schwartzel 33 320 156
159 Seamus Power 43 318 154
160 Kurt Kitayama 44 313 161
161 Kristoffer Ventura 27 313 198
162 CT Pan 50 307 178
163 Aaron Wise 41 307 175
164 Andrew Landry 46 306 168
165 Jordan Smith 43 306 158
166 Jorge Campillo 46 305 159
167 Scott Brown 51 305 155
168 Brian Gay 51 304 165
169 Martin Laird 41 299 174
170 Lucas Herbert 36 298 190
171 Kevin Tway 47 296 164
172 Romain Langasque 41 296 163
173 Trey Mullinax 26 296 170
174 Aaron Rai 42 292 199
175 Justin Harding 53 289 169
176 Hudson Swafford 33 287 166
177 Branden Grace 53 287 171
178 Roger Sloan 49 281 183
179 Lucas Bjerregaard 46 281 173
180 Jim Knous 18 281 180
181 Victor Dubuisson 26 280 206
182 Thorbjorn Olesen 27 279 167
183 Beau Hossler 52 279 176
184 Richard Sterne 30 274 184
185 Hank Lebioda 48 273 181
186 Tyler Duncan 58 273 185
187 Jason Dufner 44 272 179
188 Sam Horsfield 41 271 177
189 Chase Seiffert 24 269 209
190 Scott Jamieson 36 269 186
191 Shawn Stefani 39 269 188
192 Matt Every 38 262 182
193 Andrea Pavan 50 259 187
194 David Lipsky 38 257 191
195 Cameron Percy 25 256 189
196 Adri Arnaus 44 254 201
197 Jason Scrivener 47 249 192
198 George Coetzee 43 248 194
199 Sam Ryder 49 248 196
200 Joakim Lagergren 39 247 195
201 Ross Fisher 39 247 193
202 Kalle Samooja 40 247 226
203 Doug Ghim 29 246 217
204 Jimmy Walker 40 245 200
205 Aaron Baddeley 37 244 197
206 Roberto Castro 32 241 202
207 Tyler McCumber 25 241 267
208 Roberto Diaz 32 237 208
209 Kelly Kraft 33 233 203
210 Fabian Gomez 45 232 204
211 Ryan Fox 47 229 207
212 Patton Kizzire 49 227 205
213 Matthew Jordan 22 226 220
214 Stephan Jaeger 33 225 219
215 Richie Ramsay 41 223 211
216 Mikko Korhonen 38 222 212
217 Zac Blair 31 221 213
218 Chris Stroud 46 221 214
219 Peter Uihlein 47 220 221
220 Jazz Janewattananond 36 220 215
221 Bronson Burgoon 40 218 216
222 Rasmus Hojgaard 15 218 210
223 Seung-yul Noh 10 217 227
224 Zack Sucher 28 217 230
225 Curtis Luck 29 215 229
226 Jonathan Byrd 33 215 218
227 Alexander Bjork 40 215 246
228 Steve Stricker 19 215 237
229 Zander Lombard 45 214 236
230 Joey Garber 27 213 238
231 Wes Roach 41 213 239
232 Robert Streb 51 213 224
233 Josh Teater 43 212 242
234 DJ Trahan 38 212 232
235 Austin Cook 44 210 222
236 Bo Hoag 28 210 223
237 Alex Prugh 31 209 244
238 JJ Spaun 47 207 228
239 David Hearn 42 207 231
240 Renato Paratore 49 206 233
241 Joseph Bramlett 26 206 243
242 Billy Hurley 18 205 245
243 Matthew Southgate 46 205 262
244 Pablo Larrazabal 44 204 234
245 Scott Harrington 28 203 235
246 Guido Migliozzi 41 203 240
247 Chase Koepka 8 202 252
248 Rob Oppenheim 30 201 241
249 Padraig Harrington 34 197 285
250 Adam Svensson 31 196 253
251 Robert Rock 36 194 307
252 Wade Ormsby 41 192 264
253 Nino Bertasio 36 192 248
254 Jeff Winther 38 191 256
255 Fabrizio Zanotti 30 190 250
256 Sebastian Soderberg 40 190 257
257 Chris Paisley 43 189 251
258 Luke Donald 30 189 247
259 Sean O’Hair 15 187 225
260 Kramer Hickok 49 184 255
261 Joachim B Hansen 45 181 258
262 Dean Burmester 47 179 259
263 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 179 249
264 KJ Choi 19 177 254
265 David Horsey 37 177 296
266 Michael Gligic 25 177 271
267 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 29 175 269
268 Jeunghun Wang 40 175 309
269 Grant Forrest 41 175 289
270 Callum Shinkwin 35 175 277
271 Brandon Hagy 34 174 260
272 Johnson Wagner 33 173 270
273 Masahiro Kawamura 48 173 263
274 Jack Singh Brar 38 173 272
275 Hugo Leon 26 172 274
276 Ben Martin 20 171 275
277 Vincent Whaley 21 170 261
278 Sang-hyun Park 25 168 279
279 Ted Potter 42 168 265
280 Jamie Donaldson 28 168 278
281 George McNeill 22 167 280
282 Edoardo Molinari 45 166 273
283 Ernie Els 32 165 276
284 Tim Wilkinson 23 164 268
285 Brandon Wu 13 163 284
286 Akshay Bhatia 10 161 287
287 Brandon Stone 44 161 313
288 Sami Valimaki 15 160 266
289 Matthieu Pavon 44 159 283
290 Shubhankar Sharma 49 158 300
291 Anirban Lahiri 43 158 298
292 Shaun Norris 35 157 281
293 Sam Saunders 30 157 293
294 Antoine Rozner 20 157 292
295 Bill Haas 40 155 306
296 Lorenzo Gagli 41 155 286
297 Marcus Armitage 15 154 295
298 Connor Syme 26 154 290
299 Calum Hill 21 153 282
300 Shugo Imahira 31 152 299
301 Sean Crocker 40 152 305
302 Wil Besseling 16 152 303
303 Jim Herman 43 151 297
304 Sebastian Cappelen 26 150 291
305 Min Woo Lee 29 150 316
306 Chris Baker 24 149 288
307 Adrian Otaegui 49 148 301
308 Chris Kirk 31 146 304
309 Ollie Schniederjans 34 145 310
310 Ashun Wu 40 145 308
311 Laurie Canter 20 145 294
312 Brad Kennedy 18 145 314
313 Dominic Bozzelli 41 144 311
314 Mark Anderson 23 143 302
315 Boo Weekley 16 143 315
316 Julian Suri 30 142 318
317 Ryan Blaum 34 139 320
318 John Catlin 41 139 312
319 Scott Langley 32 138 317
320 Thongchai Jaidee 20 137 323
321 Johannes Veerman 30 137 324
322 Jaco Ahlers 8 137 326
323 Grayson Murray 33 137 322
324 Oliver Wilson 40 135 319
325 Francesco Laporta 16 134 328
326 Jack Senior 26 134 327
327 Alvaro Quiros 39 133 321
328 Kevin Chappell 21 132 379
329 Ashley Chesters 46 131 325
330 Nick Flanagan 8 131 330
331 Cody Gribble 28 130 335
332 Niklas Lemke 38 130 332
333 Craig Howie 8 130 334
334 Jung-gon Hwang 17 127 337
335 Nicolas Colsaerts 46 127 341
336 Andres Romero 27 127 338
337 Nacho Elvira 43 127 331
338 Bradley Dredge 26 126 336
339 Scott Hend 46 125 333
340 Carl Yuan 9 124 339
341 Brandon Harkins 34 121 340
342 Gunn Charoenkul 12 120 342
343 Sebastian Heisele 14 120 329
344 John Huh 23 118 344
345 Chase Wright 31 117 345
346 Wilco Nienaber 19 116 349
347 Rikuya Hoshino 21 115 351
348 Rikard Karlberg 25 114 352
349 Ricky Barnes 24 114 354
350 Darren Fichardt 33 113 346
351 Takumi Kanaya 10 113 355
352 Clement Sordet 34 112 350
353 Tapio Pulkkanen 45 111 347
354 Soren Kjeldsen 41 111 343
355 Vijay Singh 14 111 353
356 Justin Suh 14 110 360
357 Alex Cejka 33 110 359
358 Maximilian Kieffer 41 110 348
359 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 37 110 361
360 Nicholas Lindheim 23 109 356
361 Julian Etulain 30 109 357
362 Sihwan Kim 37 109 362
363 Alejandro Canizares 37 108 363
364 Adrien Saddier 35 107 364
365 Louis de Jager 36 106 365
366 Oliver Fisher 43 106 358
367 Ryan Brehm 23 105 368
368 Adrian Meronk 16 104 372
369 Benjamin Silverman 30 104 370
370 Chan Kim 17 103 374
371 Hiroyuki Fujita 18 102 373
372 Tom Lovelady 14 102 371
373 Ewen Ferguson 17 101 410
374 Steven Brown 46 101 367
375 James Morrison 44 101 369
376 Scott Vincent 38 100 380
377 Garrick Higgo 8 100
378 Yuta Ikeda 25 100 381
379 Lee Slattery 41 99 382
380 Brady Schnell 24 99 376
381 Alexander Levy 39 99 366
382 Justin Walters 48 98 378
383 Robert Karlsson 28 97 384
384 Lasse Jensen 11 97 383
385 Ben Crane 22 96 385
386 Espen Kofstad 21 94 391
387 Daniel van Tonder 9 94 392
388 Cormac Sharvin 18 94 389
389 Darren Beck 8 94 388
390 Chip McDaniel 13 93 387
391 Kyle Jones 31 92 393
392 Dave Coupland 13 92 394
393 Paul Dunne 36 92 390
394 Gaganjeet Bhullar 34 92 377
395 Rhein Gibson 26 91 397
396 Dimitrios Papadatos 25 90 396
397 Panuphol Pittayarat 15 90 395
398 Hideto Tanihara 33 90 400
399 Kristoffer Reitan 30 90 399
400 Romain Wattel 35 90 401
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship

September 21, 2020 Thomas Hawley ,
Brice Garnett
Brice Garnett
Pick Player Finish Estimate Observed Odds Course fit
1 Brice Garnett 54.3 22-1 70.1
2 Graeme McDowell 54.7 22-1 71.1
3 Henrik Stenson 57.0 25-1
4 Sam Burns 58.3 30-1 68.9
5 Mac Hughes 59.3 35-1 69.7
6 Keith Mitchell 60.1 35-1 69.9
7 Corey Conners 60.4 40-1 70.3
8 Adam Long 61.9 45-1 70.1
9 Denny McCarthy 62.9 50-1 69.6
10 Charles Howell 62.9 50-1 69.9
11 Vaughn Taylor 63.3 55-1 70.2
12 Pat Perez 64.2 60-1 70.5
13 Will Zalatoris 64.6 65-1
14 Charley Hoffman 64.8 65-1 69.6
15 Thomas Detry 65.7 75-1 68.9
16 Kelly Kraft 65.7 75-1
17 Brian Stuard 65.8 80-1 70.5
18 Adam Schenk 65.8 80-1 69.7
19 Patrick Rodgers 65.9 80-1 69.1
20 Chris Stroud 66.0 80-1 70.3
21 Jhonattan Vegas 66.6 85-1 69.6
22 Henrik Norlander 66.7 90-1 70.3
23 Matt Jones 66.7 90-1 70.0
24 Emiliano Grillo 66.7 90-1 70.7
25 Matthias Schwab 66.7 90-1
26 Seamus Power 66.8 90-1 69.1
27 Sepp Straka 67.3 95-1 69.8
28 Will Gordon 67.7 100-1 69.7
29 Xinjun Zhang 68.0 100-1 70.1
30 Beau Hossler 68.0 100-1 69.5
31 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 68.2 100-1
32 KH Lee 68.4 100-1 70.0
33 Martin Laird 68.9 100-1 70.2
34 Luke List 68.9 100-1 69.9
35 Kristoffer Ventura 68.9 100-1 69.7
36 Ryan Armour 68.9 100-1 70.6
37 Kyle Stanley 69.0 100-1 70.9
38 Sam Horsfield 69.1 100-1 68.2
39 Aaron Baddeley 69.4 100-1 70.5
40 Nate Lashley 69.6 100-1 70.7
41 Matthew NeSmith 69.6 100-1 70.2
42 James Hahn 69.8 100-1 70.5
43 DJ Trahan 69.8 150-1 70.5
44 Peter Malnati 69.9 150-1 70.1
45 Doug Ghim 70.2 150-1 70.9
46 Jonathan Byrd 70.2 150-1
47 Branden Grace 70.3 150-1 70.3
48 Rob Oppenheim 70.6 150-1 71.1
49 Fabian Gomez 70.8 150-1 70.4
50 Kevin Tway 70.8 150-1 70.3
51 Kurt Kitayama 70.9 150-1
52 David Hearn 70.9 150-1 70.8
53 Bo Hoag 71.0 150-1 70.6
54 Scott Brown 71.0 150-1 70.7
55 Michael Gligic 71.0 150-1 70.2
56 Shawn Stefani 71.1 150-1
57 Hank Lebioda 71.4 150-1 70.4
58 Sam Ryder 71.4 150-1 70.0
59 Kramer Hickok 71.5 200-1 71.0
60 Cameron Percy 71.5 200-1 70.4
61 Roger Sloan 71.7 200-1 70.5
62 Bronson Burgoon 71.8 200-1 69.6
63 George McNeill 71.8 200-1
64 Peter Uihlein 71.8 200-1 70.0
65 Zac Blair 71.9 200-1 71.0
66 Joseph Bramlett 72.0 200-1 70.6
67 Chase Seiffert 72.0 200-1 70.3
68 Brandon Hagy 72.1 200-1 69.5
69 JJ Spaun 72.1 200-1 70.1
70 CT Pan 72.2 200-1 71.3
71 Patton Kizzire 72.2 200-1 70.0
72 Matt Every 72.4 200-1 70.7
73 Robert Streb 72.4 200-1 70.4
74 Tim Wilkinson 72.4 200-1 70.6
75 Chris Baker 72.6 200-1 71.0
76 Grayson Murray 72.6 200-1 69.1
77 Hudson Swafford 72.7 200-1
78 Zack Sucher 72.7 200-1 70.2
79 Josh Teater 72.9 250-1 70.3
80 Mark Anderson 73.0 250-1 70.8
81 Wes Roach 73.1 250-1 70.5
82 Ben Martin 73.1 250-1 70.7
83 Tyler McCumber 73.2 250-1 69.9
84 Vincent Whaley 73.3 250-1 69.8
85 Kevin Chappell 73.3 250-1 69.6
86 Roberto Diaz 73.4 250-1
87 Scott Harrington 73.4 250-1 69.9
88 Chris Kirk 73.8 250-1 70.7
89 Dominic Bozzelli 74.0 300-1 69.5
90 Sebastian Cappelen 74.3 300-1 70.0
91 Bill Haas 74.4 300-1 70.9
92 Ryan Brehm 74.5 300-1 69.8
93 Anirban Lahiri 74.6 300-1 70.2
94 Ricky Barnes 74.7 300-1 70.6
95 Akshay Bhatia 74.9 300-1
96 Ben Taylor 75.5 350-1 70.9
97 Arjun Atwal 75.6 350-1 71.3
98 Johnson Wagner 75.9 350-1
99 Nelson Ledesma 75.9 350-1 70.2
100 Rhein Gibson 76.0 350-1 70.4
101 Michael Gellerman 76.3 350-1 70.7
102 Martin Trainer 76.9 350-1 70.9
103 Ryan Blaum 77.0 350-1
104 Sean O’Hair 77.0 350-1
105 John Senden 77.5 350-1 71.7
106 Andres Romero 77.5 350-1
107 Bo Van Pelt 77.5 350-1 71.7
108 Ben Crane 77.8 350-1
109 Alex Cejka 78.1 350-1
110 Joohyung Kim- 79.0 350-1
111 Jamie Lovemark 79.2 350-1
112 Freddie Jacobson 79.5 350-1
113 Rafael Campos 79.7 350-1
114 Tommy Gainey 79.8 350-1
115 Sangmoon Bae 79.9 350-1
116 David Lingmerth 79.9 350-1
117 Chad Campbell 80.1 350-1
118 Justin Suh 80.1 350-1
119 John Merrick 80.4 350-1
120 JJ Henry 80.5 350-1
121 Daniel Chopra 80.8 350-1
122 Charlie Beljan 81.1 350-1
123 John Rollins 81.5 350-1
124 Parker McLachlin 81.7 350-1
125 Carl Pettersson 81.8 350-1
126 Robert Garrigus 81.8 350-1
127 Julio Santos 81.8 350-1
128 Robert Allenby 81.8 350-1
129 Dicky Pride 81.8 350-1
130 Michael Kim 81.9 350-1
131 Smylie Kaufman 81.9 350-1
132 Graham DeLaet 81.9 350-1
133 Brian Davis 82.0 350-1
134 Eric Axley 82.0 350-1
135 Charlie Wi 82.0 350-1
136 Ken Duke 82.0 350-1
137 DA Points 82.1 350-1
138 Jason Bohn 82.1 350-1
139 Isidro Benitez 82.2 350-1
140 Ben Cook 82.2 350-1
141 Luke Graboyes 82.2 350-1
142 Juan Jose Guerra 82.2 350-1
143 Gavin Hall 82.2 350-1
144 Michael Kartrude 82.2 350-1
145 Marcel Olivares 82.2 350-1
146 Matt Oshrine 82.2 350-1
147 Willy Pumarol 82.2 350-1
148 Hiram Silfa 82.2 350-1
149 Alex Smalley 82.2 350-1
150 Carlos Franco 82.2 350-1
151 Richard S Johnson 82.2 350-1
152 Will MacKenzie 82.2 350-1
153 Ted Purdy 82.2 350-1
154 Brendon de Jonge 82.3 350-1
More | Less

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Dubai Duty Free Irish Open

September 21, 2020 Thomas Hawley ,

Shane Lowry
Pick Player Finish Estimate Observed Odds Course fit
1 Shane Lowry 55.4 9-1
2 George Coetzee 69.0 50-1
3 Joost Luiten 69.5 55-1
4 Ryan Fox 69.5 55-1
5 Marcus Kinhult 69.9 60-1
6 Scott Jamieson 70.8 70-1
7 Jordan Smith 71.2 75-1
8 Justin Harding 71.2 75-1
9 Jason Scrivener 71.5 80-1
10 Lucas Bjerregaard 71.6 80-1
11 Lucas Herbert 71.9 85-1
12 Joakim Lagergren 72.0 85-1
13 Richie Ramsay 72.4 95-1
14 Aaron Rai 72.8 100-1
15 Mikko Korhonen 72.9 100-1
16 Andrea Pavan 73.1 100-1
17 Matthew Southgate 73.1 100-1
18 Adri Arnaus 73.5 100-1
19 Connor Syme 74.0 100-1
20 Sebastian Soderberg 74.2 100-1
21 Dean Burmester 74.4 100-1
22 Callum Shinkwin 74.4 100-1
23 Wade Ormsby 74.5 100-1
24 Jazz Janewattananond 74.5 100-1
25 Fabrizio Zanotti 74.6 100-1
26 Masahiro Kawamura 74.9 100-1
27 Calum Hill 75.1 100-1
28 David Horsey 75.1 100-1
29 Laurie Canter 75.1 100-1
30 Wil Besseling 75.1 100-1
31 Joachim B Hansen 75.2 100-1
32 Jeff Winther 75.3 100-1
33 Jamie Donaldson 75.4 100-1
34 Edoardo Molinari 75.7 100-1
35 Robert Rock 75.7 100-1
36 Antoine Rozner 75.7 100-1
37 Padraig Harrington 75.7 100-1
38 Johannes Veerman 75.9 150-1
39 Min Woo Lee 75.9 150-1
40 Sean Crocker 76.0 150-1
41 John Catlin 76.0 150-1
42 Marcus Armitage 76.1 150-1
43 Jack Senior 76.3 150-1
44 Ashley Chesters 76.6 150-1
45 Nicolas Colsaerts 76.7 150-1
46 Ashun Wu 76.7 150-1
47 Soren Kjeldsen 76.8 150-1
48 Wilco Nienaber 76.9 150-1
49 Shubhankar Sharma 76.9 150-1
50 Julian Suri 76.9 150-1
51 Oliver Fisher 77.0 150-1
52 Nacho Elvira 77.1 150-1
53 Francesco Laporta 77.1 150-1
54 James Morrison 77.3 150-1
55 Clement Sordet 77.3 150-1
56 Niklas Lemke 77.4 150-1
57 Rikard Karlberg 77.7 150-1
58 Scott Hend 77.7 150-1
59 Alejandro Canizares 77.9 150-1
60 Steven Brown 77.9 150-1
61 Cormac Sharvin 78.3 150-1
62 Julien Guerrier 78.4 150-1
63 Dave Coupland 78.4 150-1
64 Gaganjeet Bhullar 78.4 150-1
65 Romain Wattel 78.5 150-1
66 Adrian Meronk 78.5 150-1
67 Paul Dunne 78.6 150-1
68 Lee Slattery 78.6 150-1
69 Liam Johnston 78.8 150-1
70 Bernd Ritthammer 78.8 150-1
71 Dale Whitnell 78.8 150-1
72 Aaron Cockerill 78.9 150-1
73 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 78.9 150-1
74 Kristoffer Reitan 79.0 150-1
75 Stephen Gallacher 79.0 150-1
76 David Drysdale 79.0 150-1
77 Darius van Driel 79.1 150-1
78 Richard Bland 79.1 150-1
79 Haydn Porteous 79.3 150-1
80 Jake McLeod 79.3 150-1
81 Ewen Ferguson 79.5 150-1
82 Ben Stow 79.6 150-1
83 Robin Roussel 79.7 150-1
84 Gavin Moynihan 79.7 150-1
85 Robin Sciot-Siegrist 79.8 150-1
86 Zach Murray 79.8 150-1
87 Oscar Lengden 79.9 150-1
88 Martin Simonsen 80.0 150-1
89 Jens Fahrbring 80.0 150-1
90 Jonathan Caldwell 80.0 150-1
91 Max Schmitt 80.1 150-1
92 Oliver Farr 80.2 150-1
93 Marc Warren 80.3 150-1
94 Graeme Storm 80.4 150-1
95 David Law 80.4 150-1
96 Maverick Antcliff 80.4 150-1
97 Yi Keun Chang 80.5 150-1
98 Joel Stalter 80.5 150-1
99 Nicolai Hojgaard 80.6 150-1
100 Toby Tree 80.7 150-1
101 Benjamin Poke 80.7 150-1
102 Daan Huizing 80.8 150-1
103 Damien Perrier 80.8 150-1
104 Richard McEvoy 80.8 150-1
105 Garrick Porteous 80.9 150-1
106 Lars van Meijel 80.9 150-1
107 Mathieu Fenasse 80.9 150-1
108 Jbe Kruger 81.0 150-1
109 Carlos Pigem 81.2 150-1
110 Rhys Enoch 81.4 150-1
111 David Howell 81.4 150-1
112 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 81.4 150-1
113 Tom Gandy 81.5 150-1
114 Matthew Baldwin 81.7 150-1
115 Ross McGowan 81.7 150-1
116 Steven Tiley 81.8 150-1
117 Damien McGrane 81.9 150-1
118 Hurly Long 82.0 150-1
119 Daniel Young 82.1 150-1
120 Mark Power 82.2 150-1
121 James Sugrue 82.2 150-1
122 Tom McKibbin 82.2 150-1
123 Colm Moriarty 82.2 150-1
124 Michael Campbell 82.2 150-1
125 Tyler Koivisto 82.2 150-1
More | Less

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Sep. 20, 2020)

September 21, 2020 Thomas Hawley

Rory McIlroy has only a small lead in the ratings but he remains no. 1.
# Thru Sep. 20, 2020 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Rory McIlroy 42 1706 1
2 Jon Rahm 45 1631 2
3 Justin Thomas 43 1470 3
4 Dustin Johnson 39 1449 4
5 Webb Simpson 38 1433 5
6 Xander Schauffele 45 1377 7
7 Patrick Cantlay 38 1330 6
8 Adam Scott 34 1237 8
9 Hideki Matsuyama 50 1227 9
10 Bryson DeChambeau 47 1199 10
11 Tommy Fleetwood 47 1087 11
12 Brooks Koepka 40 1053 15
13 Patrick Reed 58 1030 17
14 Tyrrell Hatton 42 1026 12
15 Collin Morikawa 32 1014 14
16 Tony Finau 54 1006 21
17 Paul Casey 44 1001 18
18 Justin Rose 43 998 16
19 Tiger Woods 23 987 13
20 Louis Oosthuizen 46 964 27
21 Matthew Fitzpatrick 49 954 19
22 Daniel Berger 39 953 20
23 Jason Kokrak 46 915 25
24 Jason Day 40 909 23
25 Billy Horschel 52 907 24
26 Matt Kuchar 47 894 22
27 Scottie Scheffler 31 877 29
28 Gary Woodland 47 859 26
29 Viktor Hovland 38 856 37
30 Ryan Palmer 42 852 28
31 Rickie Fowler 39 846 30
32 Sungjae Im 63 844 34
33 Abraham Ancer 54 843 32
34 Kevin Kisner 51 842 31
35 Ian Poulter 47 823 33
36 Francesco Molinari 27 813 36
37 Byeong Hun An 50 795 35
38 Matthew Wolff 31 774 49
39 Harris English 52 770 46
40 Henrik Stenson 36 752 38
41 Rory Sabbatini 51 729 39
42 Shane Lowry 48 720 42
43 Joel Dahmen 53 719 40
44 Jordan Spieth 43 707 43
45 Sergio Garcia 46 701 41
46 Brandt Snedeker 47 694 45
47 Lucas Glover 49 694 50
48 Marc Leishman 44 690 44
49 Chez Reavie 54 675 47
50 Kevin Na 44 669 48
51 Bubba Watson 44 661 51
52 Matt Wallace 54 649 52
53 Alex Noren 47 643 61
54 Erik Van Rooyen 53 643 55
55 Rafa Cabrera Bello 52 636 54
56 Doc Redman 31 634 53
57 Charles Howell 50 623 56
58 Brian Harman 54 612 62
59 Lee Westwood 38 610 72
60 Lanto Griffin 31 604 60
61 Ryan Moore 38 601 64
62 Kevin Streelman 51 599 58
63 Joaquin Niemann 53 598 68
64 Adam Hadwin 44 596 59
65 Brendon Todd 41 594 69
66 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 34 588 57
67 Vaughn Taylor 46 588 67
68 JT Poston 54 586 63
69 Corey Conners 52 582 65
70 Danny Willett 47 576 66
71 Scott Piercy 44 566 70
72 Jim Furyk 35 547 73
73 Cameron Tringale 41 544 75
74 Thomas Pieters 40 542 83
75 Mac Hughes 48 542 71
76 Harold Varner 52 536 77
77 Cameron Smith 49 533 76
78 Russell Henley 45 530 78
79 Sam Burns 46 527 80
80 Bud Cauley 46 523 82
81 Paul Waring 34 522 74
82 Dylan Frittelli 54 515 86
83 Talor Gooch 42 510 85
84 Sung Kang 51 508 79
85 Sebastian Munoz 53 505 84
86 Andrew Putnam 45 504 81
87 Will Gordon 13 502 89
88 Adam Long 53 499 102
89 Brendan Steele 44 493 93
90 Max Homa 48 490 88
91 Jhonattan Vegas 45 490 94
92 Zach Johnson 38 489 122
93 Brian Stuard 55 489 95
94 Robert MacIntyre 39 488 91
95 Mark Hubbard 29 487 87
96 Tom Lewis 45 482 90
97 Bernd Wiesberger 40 482 97
98 Si Woo Kim 56 480 92
99 Charley Hoffman 47 478 99
100 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 47 475 96
101 Martin Kaymer 44 467 98
102 Graeme McDowell 46 462 100
103 Russell Knox 53 453 105
104 Matthias Schwab 44 447 101
105 Jonas Blixt 26 446 108
106 Cameron Champ 50 441 103
107 Will Zalatoris 8 440
108 Emiliano Grillo 49 439 109
109 Keegan Bradley 49 439 104
110 Harry Higgs 29 434 112
111 Michael Thompson 43 433 106
112 Nick Taylor 48 431 113
113 Wyndham Clark 51 431 114
114 Victor Perez 36 426 107
115 Keith Mitchell 47 424 115
116 Maverick McNealy 29 423 116
117 Troy Merritt 50 422 111
118 Pat Perez 40 421 117
119 Sepp Straka 51 418 123
120 Phil Mickelson 39 418 110
121 Henrik Norlander 29 418 124
122 Carlos Ortiz 51 416 125
123 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 40 414 121
124 Luke List 46 411 126
125 Nick Watney 44 410 128
126 Matt Jones 52 407 118
127 Danny Lee 51 405 119
128 Haotong Li 46 405 127
129 Denny McCarthy 52 403 129
130 Wesley Bryan 10 397 132
131 Andrew Johnston 27 395 130
132 Eddie Pepperell 35 394 120
133 Xinjun Zhang 31 390 133
134 JB Holmes 34 387 131
135 Patrick Rodgers 46 381 134
136 Ryan Armour 50 378 136
137 Chesson Hadley 47 373 135
138 Adam Schenk 56 367 139
139 Thomas Detry 46 367 137
140 Joost Luiten 43 367 138
141 Robby Shelton 29 364 140
142 Brice Garnett 48 362 141
143 KH Lee 56 359 142
144 Nate Lashley 42 358 143
145 Gavin Green 43 354 145
146 Kyle Stanley 48 353 144
147 Peter Malnati 48 350 146
148 Scott Stallings 48 343 148
149 Seamus Power 43 337 150
150 Richy Werenski 49 337 147
151 Tom Hoge 60 334 153
152 Scott Brown 50 329 152
153 Cameron Davis 53 328 154
154 Andy Sullivan 43 324 149
155 Marcus Kinhult 40 323 157
156 James Hahn 23 323 156
157 Kurt Kitayama 43 322 151
158 Jordan Smith 43 318 159
159 Lucas Bjerregaard 46 316 158
160 Benjamin Hebert 42 315 163
161 Kevin Tway 47 315 162
162 Jorge Campillo 46 314 164
163 Charl Schwartzel 33 313 165
164 Branden Grace 53 313 155
165 Stewart Cink 35 313 166
166 Thorbjorn Olesen 27 310 161
167 Martin Laird 40 310 167
168 Romain Langasque 40 307 172
169 Matthew NeSmith 28 307 170
170 Brian Gay 52 307 169
171 Justin Harding 52 306 160
172 Trey Mullinax 27 304 168
173 Andrew Landry 47 303 171
174 Beau Hossler 52 295 173
175 CT Pan 49 294 174
176 Matt Every 36 293 175
177 Aaron Wise 40 292 176
178 Roger Sloan 48 288 179
179 Jim Knous 19 288 178
180 Sam Horsfield 42 288 177
181 Scott Jamieson 36 284 180
182 Jason Dufner 45 283 184
183 Shawn Stefani 39 282 183
184 Andrea Pavan 50 282 181
185 Richard Sterne 32 280 182
186 Aaron Baddeley 36 275 185
187 Hank Lebioda 47 274 187
188 Tyler Duncan 59 270 196
189 George Coetzee 43 268 186
190 Sam Ryder 49 268 188
191 Jason Scrivener 47 267 189
192 Kristoffer Ventura 25 265 192
193 Hudson Swafford 32 263 191
194 David Lipsky 40 263 190
195 Lucas Herbert 36 261 210
196 Ross Fisher 40 261 194
197 Roberto Diaz 32 252 198
198 Joakim Lagergren 39 251 202
199 Adri Arnaus 42 251 200
200 Jimmy Walker 40 251 193
201 Ryan Fox 47 249 195
202 Patton Kizzire 47 247 199
203 Roberto Castro 33 247 201
204 Mikko Korhonen 37 245 203
205 Fabian Gomez 44 244 208
206 Aaron Rai 42 243 205
207 Chase Seiffert 22 242 204
208 Doug Ghim 28 242 207
209 Chris Stroud 45 241 206
210 Zac Blair 30 241 211
211 Victor Dubuisson 25 240 209
212 Cameron Percy 23 237 213
213 Richie Ramsay 41 236 215
214 Rasmus Hojgaard 14 233 197
215 Bo Hoag 26 232 216
216 Peter Uihlein 48 229 218
217 Zack Sucher 27 229 220
218 JJ Spaun 47 229 217
219 Bronson Burgoon 41 228 221
220 Jonathan Byrd 32 227 222
221 DJ Trahan 36 225 223
222 Matthew Jordan 23 225 225
223 Stephan Jaeger 34 224 243
224 Austin Cook 44 223 224
225 Jazz Janewattananond 34 223 214
226 Kelly Kraft 33 221 226
227 Curtis Luck 30 219 212
228 Kalle Samooja 39 219 229
229 Wes Roach 41 219 230
230 David Hearn 41 218 228
231 Seung-yul Noh 10 218 227
232 Josh Teater 43 217 232
233 Pablo Larrazabal 45 215 231
234 Robert Streb 50 214 234
235 Renato Paratore 50 214 248
236 Joseph Bramlett 24 213 235
237 Steve Stricker 19 212 219
238 Rob Oppenheim 28 211 237
239 Zander Lombard 47 211 238
240 Alexander Bjork 41 211 233
241 Guido Migliozzi 40 210 239
242 Billy Hurley 18 209 236
243 Joey Garber 28 208 241
244 Alex Prugh 32 207 240
245 Luke Donald 31 203 242
246 Jeff Winther 36 201 245
247 Chris Paisley 43 201 244
248 Nino Bertasio 37 199 246
249 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 198 252
250 KJ Choi 18 196 249
251 Sebastian Soderberg 39 195 254
252 Adam Svensson 32 195 253
253 Fabrizio Zanotti 28 195 247
254 Chase Koepka 10 194 256
255 Scott Harrington 26 194 255
256 Brandon Hagy 33 191 257
257 Akshay Bhatia 9 190 258
258 Joachim B Hansen 43 189 260
259 Dean Burmester 47 188 259
260 Tim Wilkinson 21 186 262
261 Kramer Hickok 48 186 261
262 Wade Ormsby 41 186 251
263 Johnson Wagner 33 184 263
264 Matthew Southgate 46 183 265
265 Michael Gligic 23 183 264
266 Ben Martin 19 179 268
267 Edoardo Molinari 45 178 269
268 Sami Valimaki 14 176 250
269 Callum Shinkwin 35 176 272
270 Masahiro Kawamura 47 176 271
271 Ted Potter 43 176 270
272 Vincent Whaley 19 175 274
273 Padraig Harrington 34 174 273
274 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 30 174 278
275 Ernie Els 34 172 275
276 Chris Baker 22 171 279
277 Jack Singh Brar 38 171 281
278 George McNeill 21 171 280
279 Hugo Leon 26 170 282
280 Connor Syme 25 168 267
281 Jamie Donaldson 29 167 276
282 Sang-hyun Park 26 166 283
283 Calum Hill 19 166 284
284 Shaun Norris 35 165 277
285 Matthieu Pavon 45 163 289
286 David Horsey 37 162 288
287 Wil Besseling 15 162 290
288 Brandon Wu 13 162 266
289 Mark Anderson 21 162 293
290 Lorenzo Gagli 40 161 294
291 Chris Kirk 30 161 295
292 Antoine Rozner 19 160 296
293 Bill Haas 39 160 291
294 Grant Forrest 40 159 299
295 Shubhankar Sharma 48 159 297
296 Marcus Armitage 14 156 302
297 Ashun Wu 38 156 285
298 Sam Saunders 31 156 303
299 Sean Crocker 38 155 304
300 Jim Herman 43 155 298
301 Dominic Bozzelli 41 154 301
302 Adrian Otaegui 50 154 287
303 Ryan Blaum 34 154 300
304 Julian Suri 29 153 286
305 Min Woo Lee 27 153 305
306 Shugo Imahira 32 153 292
307 Robert Rock 36 152 306
308 Sean O’Hair 14 149 307
309 Ollie Schniederjans 36 149 309
310 Laurie Canter 19 149 310
311 Scott Langley 33 147 308
312 Brandon Stone 45 146 312
313 Jeunghun Wang 41 146 315
314 Boo Weekley 16 146 311
315 Grayson Murray 32 146 316
316 Brad Kennedy 19 145 313
317 Johannes Veerman 29 144 314
318 Francesco Laporta 14 144 319
319 Ashley Chesters 46 142 320
320 Oliver Wilson 39 142 321
321 Thongchai Jaidee 22 141 318
322 Alvaro Quiros 40 139 322
323 Nacho Elvira 43 137 323
324 Niklas Lemke 37 136 324
325 Andres Romero 26 134 317
326 Jack Senior 25 134 327
327 John Catlin 40 134 326
328 Nick Flanagan 8 133 325
329 Sebastian Heisele 13 132 330
330 Jaco Ahlers 9 131 335
331 Nicolas Colsaerts 46 129 331
332 Bradley Dredge 28 128 332
333 Tyler McCumber 24 128 333
334 Cody Gribble 29 127 339
335 Sebastian Cappelen 24 127 337
336 Jung-gon Hwang 18 127 336
337 Brandon Harkins 35 126 334
338 Scott Hend 46 126 329
339 Soren Kjeldsen 41 125 338
340 Anirban Lahiri 43 123 340
341 Wilco Nienaber 18 123 342
342 Carl Yuan 9 123 344
343 Chase Wright 32 122 343
344 Darren Fichardt 35 120 341
345 Tapio Pulkkanen 46 120 345
346 Gunn Charoenkul 12 120 349
347 Maximilian Kieffer 42 119 347
348 Clement Sordet 35 118 346
349 Alex Cejka 32 117 352
350 John Huh 24 117 355
351 Oliver Bekker 8 116 351
352 Julian Etulain 31 116 348
353 Vijay Singh 14 116 350
354 Oliver Fisher 43 116 354
355 Rikuya Hoshino 22 114 358
356 Kevin Chappell 20 113 353
357 Ricky Barnes 24 111 364
358 Nicholas Lindheim 23 111 361
359 Takumi Kanaya 11 111 328
360 Alejandro Canizares 37 110 363
361 Gaganjeet Bhullar 33 110 359
362 Alexander Levy 40 109 360
363 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 39 109 357
364 Adrien Saddier 37 108 365
365 Sihwan Kim 38 108 366
366 James Morrison 44 108 367
367 Rikard Karlberg 24 107 369
368 Steven Brown 46 106 372
369 Louis de Jager 37 106 371
370 Tom Lovelady 14 105 370
371 Benjamin Silverman 31 104 373
372 Lee Slattery 42 104 376
373 Julien Guerrier 22 103 375
374 Hiroyuki Fujita 19 102 378
375 Chan Kim 17 102 362
376 Davis Riley 11 101 356
377 Brady Schnell 25 101 377
378 Cormac Sharvin 17 101 381
379 Justin Walters 48 101 380
380 Scott Vincent 39 100 374
381 Paul Dunne 37 100 368
382 Yuta Ikeda 26 100 383
383 Ryan Brehm 22 98 385
384 Lasse Jensen 13 97 386
385 Robert Karlsson 30 97 389
386 Ben Crane 23 97 387
387 Steve Marino 10 96 379
388 Dave Coupland 12 96 390
389 Kristoffer Reitan 29 96 391
390 Chip McDaniel 13 95 388
391 Darren Beck 8 94 392
392 Romain Wattel 36 94 384
393 Panuphol Pittayarat 15 93 393
394 Kyle Jones 32 92 395
395 Dimitrios Papadatos 25 92 396
396 Espen Kofstad 21 92 382
397 Daniel van Tonder 9 91 400
398 Brendan Jones 16 90 398
399 Seung-su Han 23 90 399
400 Jamie Lovemark 23 89 397
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A look at the U.S. Open

September 15, 2020 Thomas Hawley

We’re going to go with Jon Rahm as pick to win this week’s U.S. Open. He gets a slight edge over the other obvious choice (and betting line favorite), recent FedEx Cup winner Dustin Johnson, on the basis of better numbers in terms of how his game fits the course. Or at least how we think his game will fit the Winged Foot Golf Club West course.

Winged Foot is located in Mamaroneck NY, about 20 miles northeast of Yankee Stadium and a few miles south of the Connecticut state line. This is the sixth U.S. Open at the course in its 97-year history. As noted by Sean Martin at pgatour.com, the A.W. Tillinghast design has stood the test of time. There are no lakes or large water hazards. There are a couple of creeks. There are no dramatic landforms. It just consists of 18 difficult holes.

Based on performances on the last eight U.S. Open courses, the Hawley course fit statistics find that the stat most strongly correlated with success in those events is shots gained putting. The correlation is one of the strongest among all stats on all PGA Tour courses, and there also is a good correlation of strong performance in shots gained off the tee with U.S. Open success.

Rahm is in the top third of all U.S. and Euro players in all the stats used to compute course fit. Included in that is a top 3% figure for shots gained off the tee and a top 11% number for shots gained putting. Johnson’s numbers are very strong, too, but he’s only in the top third for shots gained putting and in the top 8% for shots gained off the tee. Both are excellent putters when the stat measured is putts per green in regulation.

Johnson has an edge in recent performance. The last four times out he has wins in the Tour Championship and Northern Trust, and runner-up finishes in the BMW and PGA.

Rahm has an edge in sustained performance farther back within the past two years, and he does have the victory over Johnson three weeks ago on the first extra hole of the BMW.

Webb Simpson rates just behind the top two picks. He’s a good fit for the course, especially around and on the greens. He was in the top 10 in back-to-back events last month, the Wyndham and Northern Trust.

Bryson DeChambeau has an even better course-fit number than Rahm but his game has fallen off a bit since he came out of the spring break with a third in the Schwab and then won the Rocket.

Of course, for an event of this magnitude, the field is packed with others who have shown exceptional performance in recent months. Include:

  • Xander Schauffele, low scorer but event runner-up in the Tour Championship;
  • Justin Thomas, winner of the WGC FedEx, co-runner-up in the Tour Championship, and playoff loser in the Workday;
  • Daniel Berger, top-three finisher in the Northern Trust and WGC-FedEx; and
  • Collin Morikawa, PGA and Workday champion,

in that group.

Coming in under the radar is Si Woo Kim, winner of TPC at age 21 in 2017. He was good for a handful of top-10s each year for a couple of years afterward, until having a poor start to the 2020 season. Recently he made the top 20 at the PGA and the top 10 at the Wyndham in a string of seven straight made cuts. Harris English should be good on the course and has been solid since the Tour re-start.

From Europe, Alex Noren and Christiaan Bezuidenhout have outplayed their previous rankings since the re-start.

And possibly consider this player, one with whom you probably have no familiarity. It’s Scotsman Connor Syme, 24. Syme should be a good fit for the course and has a current string of three straight top-10s in Euro events, although against drastically softer competition than what the top U.S. pros face. He’s up just over 100 spots, from 372nd to 267th in the Hawley Ratings, since golf re-started in June. He is bringing his act to a pretty big stage.

U.S. Open

September 14, 2020 Thomas Hawley ,

Jon Rahm
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Jon Rahm 17.9 23
2 Dustin Johnson 19.7 6
3 Webb Simpson 25.6 8
4 Rory McIlroy 26.1 8
5 Xander Schauffele 27.9 5
6 Justin Thomas 29.9 8
7 Daniel Berger 36.3 34
8 Brooks Koepka 36.4 DNP
9 Hideki Matsuyama 36.8 17
10 Bryson DeChambeau 36.9 1
11 Patrick Cantlay 37.9 43
12 Tyrrell Hatton 38.5 111
13 Scottie Scheffler 40.4 DNP
14 Collin Morikawa 40.6 63
15 Adam Scott 40.7 38
16 Tommy Fleetwood 41.0 73
17 Matthew Fitzpatrick 42.7 63
18 Patrick Reed 45.7 13
19 Tiger Woods 45.8 89
20 Tony Finau 46.0 8
21 Louis Oosthuizen 46.4 3
22 Kevin Kisner 46.6 111
23 Paul Casey 47.5 17
24 Harris English 47.7 4
25 Justin Rose 49.0 89
26 Jason Day 49.8 38
27 Jason Kokrak 51.0 17
28 Joel Dahmen 51.4 63
29 Billy Horschel 51.6 38
30 Abraham Ancer 51.7 56
31 Ryan Palmer 52.4 73
32 Byeong Hun An 52.7 63
33 Ian Poulter 53.0 111
34 Viktor Hovland 53.1 13
35 Henrik Stenson 53.3 103
36 Matt Kuchar 53.5 83
37 Alex Noren 54.2 17
38 Francesco Molinari 54.3 DNP
39 Gary Woodland 54.5 73
40 Rickie Fowler 54.9 49
41 Sungjae Im 55.0 22
42 Bubba Watson 55.8 31
43 Lanto Griffin 55.9 43
44 Matthew Wolff 56.1 2
45 Sergio Garcia 57.4 133
46 Brendon Todd 58.5 23
47 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 58.9 55
48 Mac Hughes 59.2 73
49 Kevin Na 59.5 111
50 Chez Reavie 60.1 103
51 Si Woo Kim 60.2 83
52 Corey Conners 60.4 63
53 Brandt Snedeker 60.6 111
54 Shane Lowry 60.7 43
55 Martin Kaymer 60.9 63
56 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 61.1 89
57 Marc Leishman 61.1 103
58 Erik Van Rooyen 61.5 23
59 Jordan Spieth 61.7 124
60 Cameron Smith 61.7 38
61 Thomas Pieters 61.8 23
62 JT Poston 61.8 119
63 Adam Hadwin 62.0 54
64 Charles Howell 62.3 30
65 Kevin Streelman 62.4 73
66 Tom Lewis 62.8 103
67 Lee Westwood 63.1 13
68 Cameron Champ 63.4 103
69 Joaquin Niemann 63.6 23
70 Robert MacIntyre 63.8 56
71 Rafa Cabrera Bello 64.0 23
72 Matt Wallace 64.0 43
73 Danny Willett 64.0 89
74 Max Homa 64.2 124
75 Bernd Wiesberger 64.3 43
76 Lucas Glover 64.5 17
77 Matthias Schwab 64.7 124
78 Adam Long 64.7 13
79 Zach Johnson 64.7 8
80 Thomas Detry 65.0 49
81 Phil Mickelson 65.1 119
82 Victor Perez 65.4 89
83 Richy Werenski 65.8 111
84 Andy Sullivan 66.4 73
85 Keegan Bradley 66.4 73
86 Sung Kang 66.4 141
87 Andrew Putnam 66.9 WD
88 Graeme McDowell 67.0 135
89 Matt Jones 67.2 89
90 Chesson Hadley 67.3 51
91 Troy Merritt 68.0 58
92 Michael Thompson 68.9 48
93 Eddie Pepperell 69.0 124
94 Romain Langasque 69.1 34
95 Sam Horsfield 69.3 DNP
96 Ryan Fox 69.4 140
97 Kurt Kitayama 70.1 63
98 Justin Harding 70.8 119
99 Rasmus Hojgaard 70.8 124
100 Connor Syme 70.8 89
101 Jimmy Walker 71.8 89
102 Renato Paratore 71.9 31
103 Jim Herman 71.9 89
104 Adrian Otaegui 72.5 89
105 Steve Stricker 72.7 103
106 Lucas Herbert 73.1 31
107 Sami Valimaki 73.5 124
108 Curtis Luck 74.0 103
109 Jazz Janewattananond 74.3 89
110 Shaun Norris 74.6 73
111 Stephan Jaeger 74.7 34
112 Scott Hend 74.8 139
113 Brandon Wu 75.8 89
114 Paul Barjon 75.9 73
115 Shugo Imahira 76.4 61
116 Takumi Kanaya 76.5 63
117 Jung-gon Hwang 76.9 DNP
118 Chan Kim 77.9 63
119 Davis Riley 78.1 124
120 Will Zalatoris 78.7 6
121 Ryo Ishikawa 79.6 51
122 Davis Thompson 79.8 63
123 Lee Hodges 79.9 119
124 Dan McCarthy 80.4 119
125 JC Ritchie 80.4 111
126 Lukas Michel 81.0 136
127 Greyson Sigg 81.9 141
128 Taylor Pendrith 81.9 23
129 Cole Hammer 82.1 103
130 Andy Ogletree 82.2 73
131 An Yu Chun 82.2 90
132 Daniel Balin 82.2 89
133 Eduard Rousaud 82.2 143
134 James Sugrue 82.2 136
135 John Augenstein 82.2 83
136 John Pak 82.2 51
137 Marty Jertson 82.2 136
138 Preston Summerhays 82.2 83
139 Ricky Castillo 82.2 111
140 Ryan Vermeer 82.2 133
141 Sandy Scott 82.2 83
Tyler Duncan late entry 34
Brian Harman late entry 40
Rory Sabbatini late entry 59
Sebastian Munoz late entry 60
Danny Lee late entry 62
Paul Waring late entry 87
Mark Hubbard late entry 128
Branden Grace late entry 132
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 121. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Sep. 13, 2020)

September 14, 2020 Thomas Hawley

Rory McIlroy has only a small lead in the ratings but he remains no. 1.
# Thru Sep. 13, 2020 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Rory McIlroy 42 1690 1
2 Jon Rahm 45 1654 2
3 Justin Thomas 43 1443 3
4 Dustin Johnson 39 1413 4
5 Webb Simpson 38 1397 5
6 Patrick Cantlay 37 1380 6
7 Xander Schauffele 44 1337 7
8 Adam Scott 33 1282 8
9 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1221 9
10 Bryson DeChambeau 47 1141 11
11 Tommy Fleetwood 47 1136 10
12 Tyrrell Hatton 42 1070 13
13 Tiger Woods 23 1065 12
14 Collin Morikawa 31 1063 14
15 Brooks Koepka 41 1048 15
16 Justin Rose 43 1040 16
17 Patrick Reed 58 1009 17
18 Paul Casey 44 987 18
19 Matthew Fitzpatrick 48 984 19
20 Daniel Berger 38 970 20
21 Tony Finau 54 969 21
22 Matt Kuchar 46 937 22
23 Jason Day 39 934 23
24 Billy Horschel 51 920 24
25 Jason Kokrak 45 899 26
26 Gary Woodland 46 898 25
27 Louis Oosthuizen 45 897 27
28 Ryan Palmer 41 888 28
29 Scottie Scheffler 31 879 30
30 Rickie Fowler 39 877 29
31 Kevin Kisner 50 872 31
32 Abraham Ancer 53 869 32
33 Ian Poulter 47 861 33
34 Sungjae Im 62 838 34
35 Byeong Hun An 49 823 35
36 Francesco Molinari 28 820 36
37 Viktor Hovland 37 820 37
38 Henrik Stenson 36 791 38
39 Rory Sabbatini 50 751 44
40 Joel Dahmen 52 746 39
41 Sergio Garcia 46 734 40
42 Shane Lowry 47 733 41
43 Jordan Spieth 43 731 42
44 Marc Leishman 43 722 45
45 Brandt Snedeker 46 720 43
46 Harris English 51 706 46
47 Chez Reavie 53 698 50
48 Kevin Na 43 695 48
49 Matthew Wolff 30 678 49
50 Lucas Glover 48 672 47
51 Bubba Watson 44 663 51
52 Matt Wallace 53 661 52
53 Doc Redman 31 633 66
54 Rafa Cabrera Bello 51 629 53
55 Erik Van Rooyen 52 625 54
56 Charles Howell 49 625 55
57 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 33 621 57
58 Kevin Streelman 50 619 67
59 Adam Hadwin 43 618 56
60 Lanto Griffin 30 617 58
61 Alex Noren 47 616 59
62 Brian Harman 53 615 60
63 JT Poston 53 607 61
64 Ryan Moore 38 601 62
65 Corey Conners 51 599 64
66 Danny Willett 46 597 65
67 Vaughn Taylor 46 585 68
68 Joaquin Niemann 52 578 71
69 Brendon Todd 40 576 70
70 Scott Piercy 44 571 63
71 Mac Hughes 47 561 74
72 Lee Westwood 37 557 75
73 Jim Furyk 35 552 69
74 Paul Waring 33 550 72
75 Cameron Tringale 41 543 73
76 Cameron Smith 48 540 78
77 Harold Varner 52 538 77
78 Russell Henley 45 532 83
79 Sung Kang 50 529 81
80 Sam Burns 46 527 92
81 Andrew Putnam 44 523 82
82 Bud Cauley 46 523 89
83 Thomas Pieters 39 518 84
84 Sebastian Munoz 52 518 86
85 Talor Gooch 42 515 79
86 Dylan Frittelli 54 513 88
87 Mark Hubbard 28 511 80
88 Max Homa 47 508 90
89 Will Gordon 13 504 76
90 Tom Lewis 44 503 91
91 Robert MacIntyre 38 502 93
92 Si Woo Kim 55 500 85
93 Brendan Steele 44 493 95
94 Jhonattan Vegas 45 493 87
95 Brian Stuard 55 489 104
96 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 46 487 96
97 Bernd Wiesberger 39 486 98
98 Martin Kaymer 43 485 97
99 Charley Hoffman 47 481 94
100 Graeme McDowell 45 480 99
101 Matthias Schwab 43 466 102
102 Adam Long 52 459 105
103 Cameron Champ 49 458 103
104 Keegan Bradley 48 457 100
105 Russell Knox 53 453 120
106 Michael Thompson 42 447 107
107 Victor Perez 35 445 113
108 Jonas Blixt 26 444 112
109 Emiliano Grillo 49 441 111
110 Phil Mickelson 39 438 106
111 Troy Merritt 49 435 108
112 Harry Higgs 29 434 137
113 Nick Taylor 48 432 116
114 Wyndham Clark 51 432 109
115 Keith Mitchell 47 428 119
116 Maverick McNealy 29 423 110
117 Pat Perez 40 421 134
118 Matt Jones 51 421 124
119 Danny Lee 50 420 123
120 Eddie Pepperell 34 419 122
121 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 40 418 114
122 Zach Johnson 37 416 126
123 Sepp Straka 51 416 129
124 Henrik Norlander 29 416 115
125 Carlos Ortiz 51 415 121
126 Luke List 46 413 117
127 Haotong Li 46 411 118
128 Nick Watney 44 410 125
129 Denny McCarthy 52 402 127
130 Andrew Johnston 27 392 132
131 JB Holmes 34 392 128
132 Wesley Bryan 10 392 101
133 Xinjun Zhang 31 389 144
134 Patrick Rodgers 46 383 131
135 Chesson Hadley 46 383 143
136 Ryan Armour 50 380 130
137 Thomas Detry 45 375 139
138 Joost Luiten 43 370 133
139 Adam Schenk 56 368 136
140 Robby Shelton 29 366 135
141 Brice Garnett 48 362 138
142 KH Lee 56 361 140
143 Nate Lashley 42 358 141
144 Kyle Stanley 48 354 145
145 Gavin Green 43 352 149
146 Peter Malnati 48 351 142
147 Richy Werenski 48 350 148
148 Scott Stallings 48 345 146
149 Andy Sullivan 42 339 152
150 Seamus Power 43 337 147
151 Kurt Kitayama 42 334 156
152 Scott Brown 50 333 150
153 Tom Hoge 60 332 160
154 Cameron Davis 53 328 157
155 Branden Grace 52 327 162
156 James Hahn 23 322 206
157 Marcus Kinhult 40 321 153
158 Lucas Bjerregaard 46 321 154
159 Jordan Smith 43 320 155
160 Justin Harding 51 319 165
161 Thorbjorn Olesen 28 316 151
162 Kevin Tway 47 315 161
163 Benjamin Hebert 42 315 158
164 Jorge Campillo 46 314 167
165 Charl Schwartzel 33 312 174
166 Stewart Cink 35 312 204
167 Martin Laird 40 312 159
168 Trey Mullinax 27 309 168
169 Brian Gay 52 308 166
170 Matthew NeSmith 28 306 163
171 Andrew Landry 47 301 172
172 Romain Langasque 39 296 176
173 Beau Hossler 52 296 180
174 CT Pan 49 296 171
175 Matt Every 36 296 170
176 Aaron Wise 40 295 169
177 Sam Horsfield 42 289 179
178 Jim Knous 19 288 164
179 Roger Sloan 48 287 173
180 Scott Jamieson 36 284 181
181 Andrea Pavan 50 284 175
182 Richard Sterne 32 282 183
183 Shawn Stefani 39 281 178
184 Jason Dufner 45 280 187
185 Aaron Baddeley 36 278 177
186 George Coetzee 42 277 190
187 Hank Lebioda 47 275 182
188 Sam Ryder 49 270 185
189 Jason Scrivener 47 269 188
190 David Lipsky 40 265 191
191 Hudson Swafford 32 265 184
192 Kristoffer Ventura 25 264 243
193 Jimmy Walker 39 263 195
194 Ross Fisher 40 262 186
195 Ryan Fox 46 261 189
196 Tyler Duncan 58 260 192
197 Rasmus Hojgaard 13 258 197
198 Roberto Diaz 32 252 199
199 Patton Kizzire 47 251 194
200 Adri Arnaus 42 250 202
201 Roberto Castro 33 250 193
202 Joakim Lagergren 39 250 211
203 Mikko Korhonen 37 246 203
204 Chase Seiffert 22 244 196
205 Aaron Rai 42 243 209
206 Chris Stroud 45 243 198
207 Doug Ghim 28 242 246
208 Fabian Gomez 44 242 200
209 Victor Dubuisson 25 240 213
210 Lucas Herbert 35 240 207
211 Zac Blair 30 239 201
212 Curtis Luck 29 238 215
213 Cameron Percy 23 236 234
214 Jazz Janewattananond 33 234 216
215 Richie Ramsay 41 233 218
216 Bo Hoag 26 232 229
217 JJ Spaun 47 232 248
218 Peter Uihlein 48 230 214
219 Steve Stricker 18 229 219
220 Zack Sucher 27 229 208
221 Bronson Burgoon 41 228 222
222 Jonathan Byrd 32 227 210
223 DJ Trahan 36 225 255
224 Austin Cook 44 224 217
225 Matthew Jordan 23 224 228
226 Kelly Kraft 33 223 212
227 Seung-yul Noh 10 220 205
228 David Hearn 41 220 257
229 Kalle Samooja 39 219 220
230 Wes Roach 41 217 223
231 Pablo Larrazabal 45 216 224
232 Josh Teater 43 216 225
233 Alexander Bjork 41 215 227
234 Robert Streb 50 215 226
235 Joseph Bramlett 24 213 221
236 Billy Hurley 18 212 235
237 Rob Oppenheim 28 211 237
238 Zander Lombard 47 211 236
239 Guido Migliozzi 40 209 232
240 Alex Prugh 32 206 240
241 Joey Garber 28 206 242
242 Luke Donald 31 205 230
243 Stephan Jaeger 33 204 241
244 Chris Paisley 43 202 233
245 Jeff Winther 36 202 244
246 Nino Bertasio 37 198 238
247 Fabrizio Zanotti 28 198 245
248 Renato Paratore 49 197 249
249 KJ Choi 18 197 231
250 Sami Valimaki 13 196 250
251 Wade Ormsby 40 195 239
252 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 195 256
253 Adam Svensson 32 195 253
254 Sebastian Soderberg 39 194 251
255 Scott Harrington 26 192 262
256 Chase Koepka 10 191 263
257 Brandon Hagy 33 190 247
258 Akshay Bhatia 9 189 718
259 Dean Burmester 47 189 259
260 Joachim B Hansen 43 189 261
261 Kramer Hickok 48 187 254
262 Tim Wilkinson 21 186 269
263 Johnson Wagner 33 184 252
264 Michael Gligic 23 183 324
265 Matthew Southgate 46 183 258
266 Brandon Wu 12 180 268
267 Connor Syme 24 179 273
268 Ben Martin 19 179 271
269 Edoardo Molinari 45 177 275
270 Ted Potter 43 176 265
271 Masahiro Kawamura 47 176 284
272 Callum Shinkwin 35 176 277
273 Padraig Harrington 34 175 276
274 Vincent Whaley 19 175 318
275 Ernie Els 34 175 272
276 Jamie Donaldson 28 175 267
277 Shaun Norris 34 174 279
278 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 30 174 280
279 Chris Baker 22 171 266
280 George McNeill 21 171 264
281 Jack Singh Brar 38 170 286
282 Hugo Leon 26 169 288
283 Sang-hyun Park 26 166 270
284 Calum Hill 19 165 274
285 Ashun Wu 37 164 281
286 Julian Suri 28 164 278
287 Adrian Otaegui 49 163 292
288 David Horsey 37 162 295
289 Matthieu Pavon 45 162 285
290 Wil Besseling 15 162 304
291 Bill Haas 39 162 282
292 Shugo Imahira 31 162 296
293 Mark Anderson 21 161 307
294 Lorenzo Gagli 40 161 287
295 Chris Kirk 30 161 297
296 Antoine Rozner 19 160 289
297 Shubhankar Sharma 48 160 291
298 Jim Herman 42 159 298
299 Grant Forrest 40 159 302
300 Ryan Blaum 34 157 293
301 Dominic Bozzelli 41 157 290
302 Marcus Armitage 14 157 283
303 Sam Saunders 31 156 299
304 Sean Crocker 38 155 303
305 Min Woo Lee 27 154 301
306 Robert Rock 36 154 294
307 Sean O’Hair 14 152 260
308 Scott Langley 33 151 300
309 Ollie Schniederjans 36 150 309
310 Laurie Canter 19 148 341
311 Boo Weekley 16 148 310
312 Brandon Stone 45 147 316
313 Brad Kennedy 19 146 313
314 Johannes Veerman 29 145 323
315 Jeunghun Wang 41 145 314
316 Grayson Murray 32 144 308
317 Andres Romero 25 144 306
318 Thongchai Jaidee 22 143 319
319 Francesco Laporta 14 143 305
320 Ashley Chesters 46 142 320
321 Oliver Wilson 39 142 311
322 Alvaro Quiros 40 139 317
323 Nacho Elvira 43 138 315
324 Niklas Lemke 37 136 336
325 Nick Flanagan 8 134 322
326 John Catlin 40 134 338
327 Jack Senior 25 134 334
328 Takumi Kanaya 10 132 329
329 Scott Hend 45 132 326
330 Sebastian Heisele 13 131 312
331 Nicolas Colsaerts 46 131 327
332 Bradley Dredge 28 129 328
333 Tyler McCumber 24 128 321
334 Brandon Harkins 35 128 330
335 Jaco Ahlers 9 128 340
336 Jung-gon Hwang 18 126 339
337 Sebastian Cappelen 24 126 325
338 Soren Kjeldsen 41 126 333
339 Cody Gribble 29 125 344
340 Anirban Lahiri 43 125 352
341 Darren Fichardt 35 124 335
342 Wilco Nienaber 18 124 357
343 Chase Wright 32 124 337
344 Carl Yuan 9 122 348
345 Tapio Pulkkanen 46 121 342
346 Clement Sordet 35 121 346
347 Maximilian Kieffer 42 120 332
348 Julian Etulain 31 120 343
349 Gunn Charoenkul 12 120 353
350 Vijay Singh 14 118 349
351 Oliver Bekker 8 118 351
352 Alex Cejka 32 117 345
353 Kevin Chappell 20 117 331
354 Oliver Fisher 43 116 347
355 John Huh 24 116 356
356 Davis Riley 10 116 354
357 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 38 114 369
358 Rikuya Hoshino 22 113 358
359 Gaganjeet Bhullar 33 113 355
360 Alexander Levy 40 112 350
361 Nicholas Lindheim 23 111 359
362 Chan Kim 16 111 362
363 Alejandro Canizares 37 110 361
364 Ricky Barnes 24 110 444
365 Adrien Saddier 37 109 360
366 Sihwan Kim 38 108 367
367 James Morrison 44 108 368
368 Paul Dunne 36 107 365
369 Rikard Karlberg 24 107 381
370 Tom Lovelady 14 107 366
371 Louis de Jager 37 106 372
372 Steven Brown 46 106 363
373 Benjamin Silverman 31 105 373
374 Scott Vincent 38 104 393
375 Julien Guerrier 22 104 403
376 Lee Slattery 42 104 377
377 Brady Schnell 25 102 378
378 Hiroyuki Fujita 19 102 379
379 Steve Marino 10 101 370
380 Justin Walters 48 101 376
381 Cormac Sharvin 17 100 364
382 Espen Kofstad 20 100 382
383 Yuta Ikeda 26 99 380
384 Romain Wattel 35 98 386
385 Ryan Brehm 22 98 374
386 Lasse Jensen 13 97 383
387 Ben Crane 23 97 387
388 Chip McDaniel 13 97 385
389 Robert Karlsson 30 97 388
390 Dave Coupland 12 96 371
391 Kristoffer Reitan 29 95 390
392 Darren Beck 8 95 389
393 Panuphol Pittayarat 15 94 392
394 Bernd Ritthammer 31 93 394
395 Kyle Jones 32 92 395
396 Dimitrios Papadatos 25 92 396
397 Jamie Lovemark 23 92 384
398 Brendan Jones 16 91 397
399 Seung-su Han 23 90 400
400 Daniel van Tonder 9 89 404
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Safeway Open

September 7, 2020 Thomas Hawley ,
Brendan Steele
Brendan Steele
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Brendan Steele 47.6 29
2 Joel Dahmen 48.7 52
3 Matt Kuchar 54.3 DNP
4 Sergio Garcia 56.1 86
5 Shane Lowry 57.0 86
6 Harold Varner 57.4 29
7 Erik Van Rooyen 58.0 86
8 Brandt Snedeker 58.5 108
9 Si Woo Kim 59.8 44
10 Cameron Tringale 59.8 86
11 Chez Reavie 60.0 3
12 Mark Hubbard 60.1 86
13 Doc Redman 61.2 3
14 Talor Gooch 61.5 101
15 Jordan Spieth 61.7 108
16 Wesley Bryan 62.0 74
17 Bud Cauley 62.3 14
18 JB Holmes 62.3 46
19 Cameron Davis 62.3 36
20 Rafa Cabrera Bello 62.5 119
21 Phil Mickelson 62.5 44
22 Lucas Glover 62.9 65
23 Sam Burns 63.0 7
24 Vaughn Taylor 63.0 DNP
25 Henrik Norlander 63.0 132
26 Kevin Streelman 63.6 3
27 Scott Piercy 63.8 108
28 Maverick McNealy 63.8 74
29 Emiliano Grillo 64.0 29
30 Troy Merritt 64.4 86
31 Patrick Rodgers 64.5 46
32 Charley Hoffman 64.5 56
33 Keegan Bradley 65.4 74
34 Pat Perez 65.7 9
35 Adam Schenk 65.9 61
36 Jim Furyk 66.2 46
37 Denny McCarthy 66.2 86
38 Martin Laird 66.4 108
39 Carlos Ortiz 66.6 46
40 Brice Garnett 66.7 67
41 Andrew Putnam 66.7 36
42 Jhonattan Vegas 66.8 52
43 Seamus Power 66.8 132
44 Harry Higgs 66.9 2
45 Luke List 66.9 65
46 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 67.2 119
47 Wyndham Clark 67.2 101
48 Nick Watney 67.4 46
49 Robby Shelton 67.6 119
50 Scott Stallings 67.7 119
51 Tyler Duncan 67.8 128
52 Brian Stuard 67.9 3
53 Chesson Hadley 68.0 14
54 Sepp Straka 68.1 14
55 KH Lee 68.2 108
56 Tom Hoge 68.3 29
57 Matthew NeSmith 68.3 108
58 Xinjun Zhang 68.6 14
59 Ryan Armour 68.6 108
60 Will Gordon 68.8 61
61 Jim Knous 68.9 128
62 Russell Knox 68.9 9
63 Kyle Stanley 69.0 46
64 Peter Malnati 69.2 86
65 Charl Schwartzel 69.2 23
66 Kevin Tway 69.5 101
67 Beau Hossler 69.7 23
68 Nate Lashley 69.8 146
69 Roger Sloan 69.9 74
70 Scott Brown 70.0 108
71 Stewart Cink 70.1 1
72 Branden Grace 70.2 29
73 Aaron Baddeley 70.4 74
74 Chase Seiffert 70.4 86
75 Jason Dufner 70.4 29
76 James Hahn 70.7 9
77 Bo Hoag 70.7 29
78 Zac Blair 70.7 74
79 Sam Ryder 70.8 108
80 Fabian Gomez 70.8 132
81 Hank Lebioda 71.1 86
82 Patton Kizzire 71.3 108
83 Aaron Wise 71.4 128
84 Brandon Hagy 71.5 67
85 Rob Oppenheim 71.6 36
86 Brian Gay 71.6 152
87 Roberto Castro 71.7 137
88 Bronson Burgoon 71.7 DNP
89 Hudson Swafford 71.8 56
90 CT Pan 71.8 61
91 Joseph Bramlett 71.9 137
92 Chris Baker 71.9 74
93 Shawn Stefani 72.0 150
94 Kristoffer Ventura 72.0 7
95 Robert Streb 72.3 119
96 Matt Every 72.3 137
97 Zack Sucher 72.3 86
98 Chris Stroud 72.4 74
99 Cameron Percy 72.4 23
100 Peter Uihlein 72.5 108
101 Bill Haas 72.5 101
102 Tim Wilkinson 72.6 36
103 Austin Cook 72.7 52
104 Wes Roach 72.8 86
105 Doug Ghim 72.8 14
106 Josh Teater 72.8 74
107 Luke Donald 72.9 146
108 Ben Martin 72.9 DNP
109 Jonathan Byrd 73.0 61
110 Kevin Chappell 73.1 56
111 Kelly Kraft 73.3 137
112 Ted Potter 73.3 74
113 Kramer Hickok 73.3 148
114 JJ Spaun 73.4 9
115 Michael Gligic 73.4 14
116 Grayson Murray 73.4 74
117 DJ Trahan 73.5 14
118 Scott Harrington 73.5 36
119 David Hearn 73.6 14
120 Mark Anderson 73.8 36
121 Tyler McCumber 74.0 119
122 Dominic Bozzelli 74.2 128
123 Johnson Wagner 74.3 119
124 Sebastian Cappelen 74.3 101
125 Vincent Whaley 74.8 23
126 KJ Choi 74.8 119
127 Ryan Brehm 74.9 86
128 George McNeill 75.0 137
129 Anirban Lahiri 75.1 36
130 Arjun Atwal 75.6 DNP
131 Ricky Barnes 75.7 23
132 Rhein Gibson 75.7 73
133 Sean O’Hair 75.7 74
134 Michael Gellerman 76.0 101
135 Ben Taylor 76.0 36
136 Ryan Blaum 76.3 52
137 John Huh 76.7 DNP
138 Martin Trainer 77.0 119
139 Alex Cejka 77.1 137
140 Nelson Ledesma 77.3 23
141 John Senden 77.4 132
142 Bo Van Pelt 77.6 DNP
143 Hunter Mahan 78.7 137
144 Jamie Lovemark 78.8 56
145 Rafael Campos 79.5 101
146 Sangmoon Bae 79.6 137
147 Chad Campbell 79.8 155
148 William McGirt 81.3 67
149 Robert Garrigus 81.4 DNP
150 Michael Kim 81.7 132
151 Graham DeLaet 81.8 148
152 Carl Pettersson 81.8 DNP
153 Bryson Nimmer 82.0 DNP
154 Derek Ernst 82.0 DNP
155 DA Points 82.0 150
156 Sahith Theegala 82.1 14
157 Akshay Bhatia 82.2 9
158 Tommy Kim 82.2 DNP
159 Peter Kuest 82.2 153
160 Isaiah Salinda 82.2 56
161 Steve Watanabe 82.2 153
162 Camilo Villegas 82.4 86
Joohyung Kim- late entry 68
Andy Zhang late entry 71
MJ Daffue late entry 72
Shintaro Ban late entry 86
Luke Schniederjans late entry 137
Parker McLachlin late entry 156
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 5. The average is 138. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Portugal Masters

September 7, 2020 Thomas Hawley ,

Tommy Fleetwood
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Tommy Fleetwood 41.4 3
2 Paul Waring 59.5 32
3 George Coetzee 64.5 1
4 Lucas Bjerregaard 65.0 27
5 Chris Paisley 65.0 93
6 Haotong Li 65.3 113
7 Jason Scrivener 66.0 8
8 Jorge Campillo 66.3 8
9 Marcus Kinhult 66.3 97
10 Joost Luiten 67.3 81
11 Benjamin Hebert 67.6 93
12 Ryan Fox 68.1 32
13 Thorbjorn Olesen 68.1 58
14 Ross Fisher 68.4 101
15 Jordan Smith 68.8 36
16 Oliver Fisher 69.9 101
17 Nacho Elvira 70.8 71
18 Matthieu Pavon 70.8 101
19 Kalle Samooja 71.2 71
20 Matthew Jordan 71.2 14
21 Robert Rock 71.3 71
22 Justin Walters 71.3 121
23 Jamie Donaldson 71.3 44
24 Joakim Lagergren 71.4 3
25 Sebastian Soderberg 71.5 27
26 Nino Bertasio 71.7 50
27 Lorenzo Gagli 71.8 110
28 Matthew Southgate 72.0 64
29 Zander Lombard 72.0 DNP
30 Andrea Pavan 72.1 113
31 Guido Migliozzi 72.3 36
32 Adrien Saddier 72.5 32
33 Brandon Stone 72.7 14
34 Johannes Veerman 72.8 8
35 Calum Hill 72.9 81
36 Wil Besseling 73.2 14
37 Sebastian Heisele 73.2 81
38 Masahiro Kawamura 73.3 5
39 Marcus Armitage 73.4 50
40 Steven Brown 73.4 64
41 Stephen Gallacher 73.6 58
42 Laurie Canter 73.6 2
43 Antoine Rozner 73.6 36
44 Pablo Larrazabal 73.7 58
45 Jack Senior 73.8 14
46 Alexander Levy 73.9 WD
47 Grant Forrest 73.9 14
48 Ricardo Gouveia 73.9 36
49 Ashun Wu 74.0 71
50 Shubhankar Sharma 74.1 44
51 Alexander Bjork 74.1 24
52 Francesco Laporta 74.3 50
53 Maximilian Kieffer 74.4 71
54 Scott Vincent 74.5 8
55 Wilco Nienaber 74.7 14
56 Julien Guerrier 74.7 8
57 Wade Ormsby 74.7 121
58 Rikard Karlberg 74.8 14
59 Dave Coupland 74.9 67
60 Niklas Lemke 74.9 6
61 Tapio Pulkkanen 75.0 36
62 Cormac Sharvin 75.1 101
63 Sihwan Kim 75.1 27
64 Richard Bland 75.1 27
65 Oliver Wilson 75.3 128
66 Haydn Porteous 75.5 113
67 Adrian Meronk 75.6 36
68 David Drysdale 75.7 70
69 Bryce Easton 76.1 50
70 John Catlin 76.2 8
71 Ben Stow 76.2 27
72 Dale Whitnell 76.2 24
73 Robin Roussel 76.3 81
74 Julian Suri 76.4 50
75 Jonathan Caldwell 76.6 50
76 Alvaro Quiros 76.6 44
77 Maverick Antcliff 76.6 71
78 Toby Tree 76.7 36
79 Benjamin Poke 76.8 129
80 David Law 76.8 58
81 Garrick Porteous 76.8 44
82 Andres Romero 76.9 50
83 Pedro Figueiredo 77.0 113
84 Rhys Enoch 77.1 44
85 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 77.1 6
86 Alejandro Canizares 77.1 32
87 David Howell 77.2 121
88 Carlos Pigem 77.2 67
89 Ricardo Santos 77.3 50
90 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 77.8 14
91 Eduardo de la Riva 78.2 97
92 Peter Hanson 78.4 121
93 Jake McLeod 78.8 81
94 Ewen Ferguson 78.8 101
95 Jacques Kruyswijk 78.8 121
96 Darius van Driel 78.9 81
97 Marcel Siem 79.0 DNP
98 Robin Sciot-Siegrist 79.1 101
99 Gregory Havret 79.2 101
100 Liam Johnston 79.5 14
101 Raphael Jacquelin 79.5 81
102 Zach Murray 79.7 71
103 Ben Evans 79.7 14
104 Gavin Moynihan 79.8 71
105 Thomas Bjorn 79.9 97
106 Anton Karlsson 79.9 71
107 Joel Stalter 80.0 110
108 Max Schmitt 80.0 58
109 Daniel Gavins 80.2 DNP
110 Richard McEvoy 80.3 81
111 Martin Simonsen 80.3 24
112 Daan Huizing 80.4 93
113 Joel Sjoholm 80.6 121
114 Damien Perrier 80.6 101
115 Philip Eriksson 80.6 DNP
116 Mathieu Fenasse 80.6 113
117 Marcel Schneider 80.8 44
118 Lars van Meijel 80.9 58
119 Jbe Kruger 80.9 113
120 Matthew Baldwin 81.0 110
121 Kristoffer Broberg 81.1 81
122 Jose-Filipe Lima 81.5 71
123 Jonathan Thomson 81.5 113
124 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 81.5 97
125 Steve Webster 81.7 130
126 Jens Fahrbring 81.8 81
127 Hurly Long 81.9 DNP
128 Janne Kaske 82.0 DNP
129 Tom Gandy 82.0 36
130 Tomas Silva 82.0 113
131 Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 82.0 81
132 Robin Petersson 82.2 DNP
133 Jose Maria Olazabal 82.2 93
134 Will Enefer 82.2 101
135 Pedro Lencart 82.2 121
136 Tomas Guimares Bessa 82.2 64
137 Miguel Gasper 82.2 131
138 Vitor Lopes 82.2 81
139 Emilio Cuartero Blanco 82.2 69
140 Robbie van West 82.2 DNP
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 175. The average is 138. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.